Frailty Status Predicts All-Cause and Cause-Specific Mortality in Community Dwelling Older Adults

The connection between 91 inflammatory cytokines and frailty mediated by 1400 metabolites: An exploratory two-step Mendelian randomization analysis

BACKGROUND

Frailty, a common, multifaceted, and significant geriatric condition, involves crucial roles of inflammation and metabolic factors in its onset and progression. Nevertheless, the ambiguities and complexities in earlier observational studies make current research into their interactions somewhat insufficient. Our goals were to clarify the causal link between inflammatory cytokines and frailty and to explore the potential mediating effect of metabolites using Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

METHODS

Utilizing detailed summary-level data from genome-wide association studies, we conducted two-sample Mendelian randomization analyses to evaluate the potential causal connection between 91 inflammatory cytokines and the frailty index, along with the possible mediating pathways that involve 1400 metabolites. For our main analysis, we applied the inverse variance weighted method. To evaluate the potential mediating pathways of metabolites, a two-step MR analysis was utilized.

RESULTS

We identified 8 inflammatory cytokines that were genetically associated with the frailty index, we subsequently identified 2 mediated relationships, with 2 metabolites acting as potential mediators between 2 inflammatory cytokines and frailty index. The 8 inflammatory cytokines were fractalkine (CX3CL1), interleukin-33 (IL-33), leukemia inhibitory factor receptor (LIF-R), monocyte chemoattractant protein-1 (CCL8), CC motif chemokine 4 (CCL4), C-X-C motif chemokine 10 (CXCL10), fibroblast growth factor 5 (FGF-5), and TNF-beta (TNFB) levels.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of this study demonstrate a direct connection between inflammatory cytokines and the frailty index, as well as two pathways mediated by metabolites. These biomarkers contribute valuable insights into the foundational mechanisms of frailty, presenting a novel research avenue for upcoming clinical studies.

Hospital frailty risk and CHA2DS2-VA scores in the mortality assessment of older patients with peripheral artery disease

Background: Older patients with peripheral artery disease (PAD) encounter an increased risk of in-hospital mortality. Accurate risk scoring methods are crucial for assessing the likelihood of cardiovascular events in these patients. However, a comprehensive comparison of these scoring methods for predicting in-hospital mortality in PAD patients has not yet been conducted. Patients and methods: This study analyzed 173,075 patients hospitalized with PAD in the year 2020 from a German nationwide registry. We assessed five risk scores: the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, the Charlson Comorbidity Index, the CHA2DS2-VA Score, the EuroSCORE, and the Hospital Frailty Risk Score (HFRS). The average patient age was 72 ± 10.94 years, with 36.82% female and 35.27% also diagnosed with diabetes mellitus. The overall in-hospital mortality rate was 2.68%. Mean scores were 7.12±6.55 for the Elixhauser Comorbidity Index, 2.66±1.72 for the Charlson Comorbidity Index, 3.85±1.43 for the CHA2DS2-VA Score, 8.96%±8.85% for the EuroSCORE, and 3.53±5 for the HFRS. The HFRS showed the highest predictive potential for in-hospital mortality with an area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86 (95% confidence interval (CI): 0.86-0.87) but had the worst calibration for high-risk patients. The CHA2DS2-VA Score had the lowest AUC 0.69 (95% CI: 0.68-0.70) but was the most consistent prediction model regarding calibration. Conclusions: HFRS was the most effective overall predictor of in-hospital mortality, but did not detect those patients with a very high risk of mortality. The CHA2DS2-VA Score was the most robust predictor of increasing score points but had the lowest sensitivity. Therefore, use of the HFRS combined with application of the CHA2DS2-VA Score appears to be most appropriate in identifying older PAD patients at risk of in-hospital mortality.

Comparative Study of Frailty Assessment Measures in Predicting All-Cause Mortality: Insights From NHANES

OBJECTIVES

The 3 most frequently utilized frailty assessment measures are the Fried criteria, FRAIL scale, and Frailty Index (FI). This study aimed to compare predictive capabilities of these 3 measures regarding all-cause mortality in the United States and to identify the key predictive variables.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

From the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2005-2018 cycles, a total of 39,631 participants aged 20 and older were included.

METHODS

Fried status, FRAIL status, and FI status were determined for each individual based on the cutoff values from the continuous scores of their respective scales. Univariate and multivariate models, incorporating 11 covariates-sex, age, body mass index, ethnicity, education, marital status, smoking status, alcohol intake, employment status, poverty-to-income ratio, and total energy intake-were fitted using Cox proportional hazards and 2 machine learning models. Model performance was assessed through Integrated Brier Score (IBS), concordance index (C-index), and area under the curve (AUC) values from 10-fold cross-validation. Key variable analysis was performed using permutation importance and C-index increment. Subgroup analysis was developed according to age.

RESULTS

In univariate analyses, FI consistently outperformed Fried and FRAIL, showing significantly lower IBS, and higher C-index and AUC values. In multivariate analyses, few significant differences were found. Permutation importance analysis identified age as the most important variable, followed by Fried status and FI status. Similarly, in C-index increment analysis, age was the top one variable. Subgroup analyses showed that FI status consistently performed best in all metrics across univariate analyses at least in 40-59 and 60-79 age groups. FI status consistently emerged as the most important variable in permutation analysis across all age groups.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

FI demonstrated the best performance as a single predictor in predicting all-cause mortality, with age being crucial for enhancing predictive performance. Future research should explore the applicability of FI in different populations and its relationship with cause-specific mortality.

Association between frailty and subsequent disability trajectories among older adults: a growth curve longitudinal analysis from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (2004-19)

Frailty is associated with adverse health outcomes in ageing populations, yet its long-term effect on the development of disability is not well defined. The study examines to what extent frailty affects disability trajectories over 15 years in older adults aged 50+. Using seven waves of data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), the study estimates the effect of baseline frailty on subsequent disability trajectories by multilevel growth curve models. The sample included 94 360 individuals from 28 European countries. Baseline frailty was assessed at baseline, using the sex-specific SHARE-Frailty-Instrument (SHARE-FI), including weight loss, exhaustion, muscle weakness, slowness, and low physical activity. Disability outcomes were the sum score of limitations in activities of daily living (ADL) and Instrumental ADL (IADL). Analyses were stratified by sex. Over 15 years, baseline frailty score was positively associated with disability trajectories in men [βADL = 0.074, 95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.064; P = .083; βIADL = 0.094, 95% CI = 0.080; P = 0.107] and women (βADL = 0.097, 95% CI = 0.089; P = .105; βIADL = 0.108, 95% CI = 0.097; P = .118). Frail participants showed higher ADL and IADL disability levels, independent of baseline disability, compared with prefrail and robust participants across all age groups. Overall, participants displayed higher levels of IADL disability than ADL disability. Study findings indicate the importance of early frailty assessment using the SHARE-FI in individuals 50 and older as it provides valuable insight into future disability outcomes.

Genetic insights into the causal linkage between systemic inflammatory regulators and frailty

OBJECTIVES

Previous studies have suggested the associations between systemic inflammation and the risk of frailty, but causal relationships between them remain not well established. We conducted a bi-directional Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis to investigate the causal links between systemic inflammatory regulators and frailty.

METHODS

Genetic variants associated with systemic inflammatory regulators were obtained from a comprehensive genetic study on 41 circulating cytokines, such as interleukin-4 (IL-4), eotaxin, and macrophage inflammatory protein-1β (MIP1β). We integrated summary-level data on frailty from two independent genetic studies on frailty index (FI) and Fried frailty score (FFS). The inverse-variance weighted method was used to assess the causal estimate. Sensitivity and heterogeneity analysis was performed to evaluate the stability of the estimates. The false discovery rate (FDR) method was used for P value adjustment of multiple comparisons.

RESULTS

Genetically elevated levels of MIP1β and decreased levels of eotaxin were suggestively associated with increased FI (MIP1β: β = 0.016, Praw = 0.006, PFDR = 0.083; eotaxin: β = -0.030, Praw = 0.007, PFDR = 0.083) and FFS (MIP1β: β = 0.008, Praw = 0.027, PFDR = 0.247; eotaxin: β = -0.015, Praw = 0.014, PFDR = 0.247). In contrast, genetically predicted FI was suggestively associated with decreased levels of IL-4 (β = -0.395, Praw = 0.040, PFDR = 0.638) and platelet-derived growth factor BB (PDGF-BB, β = -0.385, Praw = 0.047, PFDR = 0.638) and increased levels of stem cell factor (SCF, β = 0.527, Praw = 0.005, PFDR = 0.204). Similar results were obtained from different sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrates that increased MIP-1β levels and decreased eotaxin levels might lead to a higher risk of frailty, whereas frailty might reduce the levels of IL-4 and PDGF-BB and increase the levels of SCF.

Assessing clinical frailty scale scoring by junior medical learners on an inpatient geriatrics consultation service

The Clinical Frailty Scale (CFS) is incorporated into our institution's comprehensive geriatric assessment (CGA). CGAs and CFS scoring are completed by junior medical trainees on the Geriatric consult service. The agreement between CFS score assignment by junior trainees and Geriatrics trained individuals in this setting is unknown. Importantly, these scores assign a frailty level that impacts care pathways. We conducted a retrospective chart review from April-June 2019. A Geriatric medicine subspecialty resident assigned retrospective CFS scores based on data from the CGA. We compared scores to determine the level of agreement using the Cohen and Conger's Kappa inter-rater agreement metric and assessed whether patient characteristics influenced the likelihood of agreement between raters using a generalized linear model. Medical students assessed 43% (46/108) of patients (n = 13), and 57% (62/108) were assessed by PGY1s (n = 10). Inter-rater agreement measures showed substantial agreement overall and for PGY1s, but dropped to a moderate agreement for medical students. The retrospective inter-rater agreement of the CFS showed substantial agreement overall and decreased when limited to medical students, highlighting the need for interventions to improve the understanding of frailty early in medical training.

Trends over time in the deficit of (instrumental) activities of daily living in the Austrian population aged 65 years and older : Results from the Austrian Health Interview Survey series

BACKGROUND

Difficulties in activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL) in older adults are associated with diminished quality of life and increased demand for long-term care. The present study examined the prevalence of disability among individuals aged 65 years and older in Austria, using data from the Austrian Health Interview Surveys (ATHIS).

METHODS

The ATHIS 2014 and 2019 surveys were used (N = 5853) for the analysis. Binary logistic regression was performed to measure the association between disability in at least one ADL or IADL limitation and independent variables adjusted for sociodemographic, health-related behavior and survey year.

RESULTS

The prevalence of ADL or IADL limitations increased in both sexes during the 5‑year follow-up period. For ADL limitations, the prevalence rose from 12.8% to 17.9% in men (p < 0.001) and from 19.2% to 25.7% in women (p < 0.001). The IADL limitations increased from 18.9% to 35.1% in men (p < 0.001) and from 38.2% to 50.8% in women (p < 0.001). Women reported significantly higher odds for ADL (odds ratio [OR]: 1.08, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.93-1.26) and IADL limitations (OR: 1.74, 95% CI: 1.53-1.98). In both sexes, participants aged 80 years and older reported higher odds for ADL (OR: 4.37, 95% CI:3.77-5.07) and IADL limitations (OR: 4.43, 95% CI: 3.86-5.09) compared to the younger group. Participants with at least one chronic disease reported higher odds for ADL (OR: 4.00, 95% CI: 3.41-4.70) and IADL limitations (OR: 4.37, 95% CI: 3.85-4.96). Primary education, single status, being born in non-EU/EFTA countries, and residing in Vienna were associated with higher odds of ADL and IADL limitations.

CONCLUSION

Gender, age, education, country of birth, residence, partnership status, number of chronic diseases, noncompliance with physical activity, and nutrition recommendations had a strong association with increased vulnerability to disability. Public health policy must address these factors for disability prevention strategies.

Frailty and all-cause and cancer-related mortality in cancer patients: A prospective cohort study

PURPOSE

To evaluate the associations between frailty and all-cause and cancer-related mortality. Additionally, the objective is to compare the magnitude of these associations between older adults and younger adults.

METHODS

We gathered baseline data from NHANES (1999-2018) and developed a cumulative index consisting of 39 items to evaluate frailty. The National Death Index database was utilized to track the survival status of individuals. The Cox regression model was employed to estimate the associations between frailty status and all-cause and cancer-related mortality.

RESULTS

Ultimately, 3398 cancer patients were included in the analysis, comprising 910 younger adults and 2488 older adults. Compared to non-frail patients, the elevated all-cause and cancer-related mortality among pre-frail patients was not statistically significant (HRs = 1.312, 95%CI: 0.956-1.800, P = 0.092; HRs = 1.462, 0.811-2.635, P = 0.207). However, a significant elevation of both all-cause and cancer-related mortality risk was observed among frail patients (HRs = 2.213, 1.617-3.030, P < 0.001; HRs = 2.463, 95%CI = 1.370-4.429, P = 0.003). Frailty individuals demonstrated a more pronounced association with the prediction of all-cause mortality in younger (HRs = 2.230, 1.073-4.634, P = 0.032) than in older adults (HRs = 2.090, 1.475-2.960, P < 0.001). Sensitivity analysis consistently revealed robust results. RCS plots suggested a progressively escalating dose-response correlation between frailty and both all-cause and cancer-related mortality risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Pre-frailty did not result in an increase in mortality risks compared to non-frailty. However, frailty caused a higher all-cause and cancer-related mortality risk than non-frailty. Identifying those at risk and implementing targeted interventions may contribute to extending healthy life expectancy, regardless of age.

Pre-frailty after blood or marrow transplantation and the risk of subsequent mortality

We examined the prevalence, risk factors, and association between pre-frailty and subsequent mortality after blood or marrow transplantation (BMT). Study participants were drawn from the BMT Survivor Study (BMTSS) and included 3346 individuals who underwent BMT between 1974 and 2014 at one of three transplant centers and survived ≥2 years post-BMT. Participants completed the BMTSS survey at a median of 9 years from BMT and were followed for subsequent mortality for a median of 5 years after survey completion. Closest-age and same-sex biological siblings also completed the survey. Previously published self-reported indices (exhaustion, weakness, low energy expenditure, slowness, unintentional weight loss) classified participants as non-frail (0-1 indices) or pre-frail (2 indices). National Death Index was used to determine vital status and cause of death. Overall, 626 (18.7%) BMT survivors were pre-frail. BMT survivors had a 3.2-fold higher odds of being pre-frail (95% CI = 1.9-5.3) compared to siblings. Compared to non-frail survivors, pre-frail survivors had higher hazards of all-cause mortality (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] = 1.6, 95% CI = 1.4-2.0). Female sex, pre-BMT radiation, smoking, lack of exercise, anxiety, and severe/life-threatening chronic health conditions were associated with pre-frailty. The novel association between pre-frailty and subsequent mortality provides evidence for interventions as pre-frail individuals may transition back to their robust state.

Deep learning model for the prediction of all-cause mortality among long term care people in China: a prospective cohort study

This study aimed to develop a deep learning model to predict the risk stratification of all-cause death for older people with disability, providing guidance for long-term care plans. Based on the government-led long-term care insurance program in a pilot city of China from 2017 and followed up to 2021, the study included 42,353 disabled adults aged over 65, with 25,071 assigned to the training set and 17,282 to the validation set. The administrative data (including baseline characteristics, underlying medical conditions, and all-cause mortality) were collected to develop a deep learning model by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator. After a median follow-up time of 14 months, 17,565 (41.5%) deaths were recorded. Thirty predictors were identified and included in the final models for disability-related deaths. Physical disability (mobility, incontinence, feeding), adverse events (pressure ulcers and falls from bed), and cancer were related to poor prognosis. A total of 10,127, 25,140 and 7086 individuals were classified into low-, medium-, and high-risk groups, with actual risk probabilities of death of 9.5%, 45.8%, and 85.5%, respectively. This deep learning model could facilitate the prevention of risk factors and provide guidance for long-term care model planning based on risk stratification.

The Association Between Habitual Tea Consumption and Frailty Transition in Community-Dwelling Older Adults: A Prospective Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association between habitual tea consumption and transitions between frailty states among older adults in China.

DESIGN

A prospective cohort study based on the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 23,720 older adults aged ≥65 years with complete data regarding frailty status and tea consumption were recruited.

METHODS

The frequency and consistency of tea consumption were introduced to evaluate levels of tea consumption. The frailty index was used to define frailty status (frail and nonfrail). Frailty transition was classified into remaining nonfrail, improvement, worsening, and remaining frail groups. Logistic regression models were applied.

RESULTS

The overall frailty prevalence at baseline was 19.1%, being lower among consistent daily tea drinkers (12.5%) and higher among non-tea drinkers (21.9%). Logistic regression analyses showed that the risk of frailty was significantly reduced among consistent daily tea drinkers after adjusting for all confounders [odds ratio (OR), 0.81; 95% CI, 0.67-0.98]. During the 3-year follow-up, improvement in frailty status was more common among consistent daily tea drinkers (50.9%) than non-tea drinkers (40.9%), and this trend was opposite in participants with worsened frailty status (consistent daily tea drinkers: 12.2%) vs non-tea drinkers: 19.2%). Further analysis showed that consistent daily tea drinkers were significantly associated with improvement in frailty status (OR, 3.24; 95% CI, 1.02-10.31) and remaining in a nonfrail state (OR, 1.35; 95% CI, 1.00-1.83). In addition, daily tea consumption was observed to be positively associated with remaining in a nonfrail state and inversely associated with worsened frailty status in men, but not in women.

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Older people consuming tea daily tend to have an improved frailty status in the future. Men with daily tea consumption were less likely to have a worsened frailty status. Advocating for the traditional lifestyle of drinking tea could be a promising way to advance healthy aging for older adults.

Polypharmacy and Associated Health Outcomes in the PARI-HD Study

Background

A growing body of evidence points to potential risks associated with polypharmacy (using ≥5 medications) in older adults, but most evidence is derived from studies where racial and ethnic minorities remain underrepresented among research participants.

Objective

Investigate the association between polypharmacy and cognitive function, subjective health state, frailty, and falls in Hispanic older adults.

Methods

Panama Aging Research Initiative-Health Disparities (PARI-HD) is a community-based cohort study of older adults free of dementia at baseline. Cognitive function was measured with a neuropsychological test battery. Frailty assessment was based on the Fried criteria. Subjective health state and falls were self-reported. Linear and multinomial logistic regression analyses were used to examine association.

Results

Baseline evaluations of 468 individuals with a mean age of 69.9 years (SD = 6.8) were included. The median number of medications was 2 (IQR: 1-4); the rate of polypharmacy was 19.7% (95% confidence interval [CI] = 16.1-23.3). Polypharmacy was inversely associated with self-rated overall health (b =-5.89, p < 0.01). Polypharmacy users had 2.3 times higher odds of reporting two or more falls in the previous 12 months (odds ratio [OR] = 2.31, 95% CI = 1.06-5.04). Polypharmacy was independently associated with Fried's criteria for pre-frailty (OR = 2.90, 95% CI = 1.36-5.96) and frailty (OR = 5.14, 95% CI = 1.83-14.42). Polypharmacy was not associated with cognitive impairment.

Conclusions

These findings illustrate the potential risks associated with polypharmacy among older adults in Panama and may inform interventions to improve health outcomes in this population.

Improving Discharge Rates to Home With the Help of Mobility Technicians: A Step in the Right Direction

Background Early ambulation during acute hospitalization has been associated with improved clinical outcomes for patients. Despite the benefits of mobility in the hospital setting, physical therapists and nursing staff are often constrained by time. Mobility technicians (MTs) are individuals with specialized training who have emerged as a potential solution by providing safe ambulation for patients during their hospital stay. Objectives The purpose of this quality improvement project was to investigate the impact of MTs on clinical and financial outcomes for admitted patients at a high-volume tertiary institution. Methods A quality improvement project was implemented at Jersey Shore University Medical Center, Neptune City, from October 2022 to March 2023. The study was a prospective, single-institution cohort study and included patients admitted to two medical floors. Patients were divided into an experimental group that received services from MTs and a control group that did not receive this service but was eligible based on clinical status. The primary endpoint was the proportion of patients discharged to home. Secondary outcomes included the length of stay and financial impact. Results A total of 396 admitted patients were included, with 222 patients in the MT group and 174 in the non-MT group. Patients in the MT group were discharged home more frequently, at a rate of 79.7% compared to 66.1% for patients in the non-MT group (p = 0.002). MTs contributed to an average 2.4-day reduction in the length of hospital stay (7.8 days vs. 10.2 days, p = 0.007). The MT intervention led to an estimated net savings of $148,500 during the six-month study period. Additionally, 2.9 daily hospital beds were created. Conclusion Implementing an MT program significantly increased the discharge-to-home rates and decreased hospital length of stay. Preliminary analysis suggests that this intervention is cost-effective and can assist institutions in managing increased hospital capacity strain through the creation of additional hospital beds.

The impact of respiratory infections and probiotic use on the nasal microbiota of frail residents in long-term care homes

Background

Residents in long-term care homes, who tend to be of advanced age and frail, are at increased risk of respiratory infections. The respiratory microbiota is known to change with age, but whether these changes contribute to the risk of infection is not known. Our goal was to determine how the nasal microbiota of frail older adults changes during symptoms of influenza-like illness (ILI) and how this may be impacted by enrolment in a placebo-controlled trial testing the feasibility of administering a Lactobacillus rhamnosus GG probiotic to prevent respiratory infection (2014-2017).

Methods

The microbiome of the nasal (mid-turbinate) of 150 residents of long-term care homes was interrogated using 16S rRNA gene sequencing.

Results

We identified a diverse and individualised microbiota which could be separated into nine distinct clusters based on Bray-Curtis distances. Samples collected during symptoms of ILI differed statistically from those collected pre- and post-cold and influenza season, and we observed decreased temporal stability (as measured by movement between clusters) in individuals who experienced ILI compared to those who did not.

Conclusions

The use of probiotics decreased ILI-induced changes to the microbiota; however, it is not clear whether this decrease is sufficient to prevent respiratory illness.

Association of Depressive Mood and Frailty With Mortality and Health Care Utilization: Korean National Cohort Study

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the association of depressive mood and frailty with mortality and health care utilization (HCU) and identify the coexisting effect of depressive mood and frailty in older adults.

DESIGN

A retrospective study using nationwide longitudinal cohort data.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

A total of 27,818 older adults age 66 years from the National Screening Program for Transitional Ages between 2007 and 2008, part of the National Health Insurance Service-Senior cohort.

METHODS

Depressive mood and frailty were measured by the Geriatric Depression Scale and Timed Up and Go test, respectively. Outcomes were mortality and HCU, including long-term care services (LTCS), hospital admissions, and total length of stay (LOS) from the index date to December 31, 2015. Cox proportional hazards regression and zero-inflated negative binomial regression were performed to identify differences in outcomes by depressive mood and frailty.

RESULTS

Participants with depressive mood and frailty represented 50.9% and 2.4%, respectively. The prevalence of mortality and LTCS use in the overall participants was 7.1% and 3.0%, respectively. More than 3 hospital admissions (36.7%) and total LOS above 15 days (53.2%) were the most common. Depressive mood was associated with LTCS use [hazard ratio (HR) 1.22, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.05-1.42] and hospital admissions [incidence rate ratio (IRR) 1.05, 95% CI 1.02-1.08]. Frailty had associations with mortality risk (HR 1.96, 95% CI 1.44-2.68), LTCS use (HR 4.86, 95% CI 3.45-6.84), and LOS (IRR 1.30, 95% CI 1.06-1.60). The coexistence of depressive mood and frailty was associated with increased LOS (IRR 1.55, 95% CI 1.16-2.07).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

Our findings highlight the need to focus on depressive mood and frailty to reduce mortality and HCU. Identifying combined problems early in older adults may contribute to healthy aging by reducing adverse health outcomes and the burden of health care costs.

Transitions in Frailty and 4-Year Mortality Risk in Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging

OBJECTIVES

To explore the associations of (1) the frailty phenotype or frailty index transition with cause-specific mortality, and (2) different combinations of transition in frailty phenotype and frailty index with all-cause mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING AND PARTICIPANTS

Data from 3529 respondents aged >50 years who completed the 1999 and 2003 surveys of the Taiwan Longitudinal Study on Aging were analyzed.

METHODS

Cox regression and subdistribution hazard models were constructed to investigate frailty phenotype or frailty index transitions (by categories of frailty phenotype, absolute and percentage changes in frailty index, and combined categories of the 2 measurements) and subsequent 4-year all-cause and cause-specific mortality, respectively.

RESULTS

Among the frailty phenotype transition groups, the improved frailty group had overall mortality risk comparable to that of the maintained robustness/prefrailty group [hazard ratio (HR): 0.9; 95% CI: 0.7-1.2] and lower risk of mortality due to organ failure (HR: 0.4; 95% CI: 0.2-0.8; P = .015), whereas the worsened frailty group had the highest risk of all-cause mortality and death from infection, malignancy, cardiometabolic/cerebrovascular diseases, and other causes (HR: 1.8-3.7; all P < .03). The rapidly increased frailty index group had significantly higher all-cause and every cause-specific mortality than the decreased frailty index group (HR: 1.8-7.7; all P < .05). When frailty phenotype and frailty index transition groups were combined, participants with worsened frailty/rapidly increased frailty index had increased risk under the same frailty index/frailty phenotype transition condition, particularly for large changes in each factor (HR: 1.5-2.2; P < .01 for worsened frailty; 1.7-4.5, P < .03 for rapidly increased frailty index).

CONCLUSIONS AND IMPLICATIONS

We found that considering both frailty phenotype and frailty index provided best mortality prediction. These associations were independent of baseline frailty status and comorbidities. Nevertheless, even capturing transitions in frailty phenotype or frailty index only can provide good mortality prediction, which supported adopting these approaches in different clinical settings.

Recent clinical trials with stem cells to slow or reverse normal aging processes

Aging is associated with a decline in the regenerative potential of stem cells. In recent years, several clinical trials have been launched in order to evaluate the efficacy of mesenchymal stem cell interventions to slow or reverse normal aging processes (aging conditions). Information concerning those clinical trials was extracted from national and international databases (United States, EU, China, Japan, and World Health Organization). Mesenchymal stem cell preparations were in development for two main aging conditions: physical frailty and facial skin aging. With regard to physical frailty, positive results have been obtained in phase II studies with intravenous Lomecel-B (an allogeneic bone marrow stem cell preparation), and a phase I/II study with an allogeneic preparation of umbilical cord-derived stem cells was recently completed. With regard to facial skin aging, positive results have been obtained with an autologous preparation of adipose-derived stem cells. A further sixteen clinical trials for physical frailty and facial skin aging are currently underway. Reducing physical frailty with intravenous mesenchymal stem cell administration can increase healthy life expectancy and decrease costs to the public health system. However, intravenous administration runs the risk of entrapment of the stem cells in the lungs (and could raise safety concerns). In addition to aesthetic purposes, clinical research on facial skin aging allows direct evaluation of tissue regeneration using sophisticated and precise methods. Therefore, research on both conditions is complementary, which facilitates a global vision.

Frailty and risks of all-cause and cause-specific death in community-dwelling adults: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The associations of frailty with all-cause and cause-specific mortality remain unclear. Therefore, we performed this meta-analysis to fill this gap.

METHODS

We searched the PubMed and Embase databases through June 2022. Prospective cohort studies or clinical trials examining frailty were evaluated, and the multiple adjusted risk estimates of all-cause and cause-specific mortality, such as death from cardiovascular disease (CVD), cancer, respiratory illness, dementia, infection, and coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), were included. A random effects model was used to calculate the summary hazard ratio (HR).

RESULTS

Fifty-eight studies were included for the qualitative systematic review, of which fifty-six studies were eligible for the quantitative meta-analysis, and the studies included a total of 1,852,951 individuals and more than 145,276 deaths. Compared with healthy adults, frail adults had a significantly higher risk of mortality from all causes (HR 2.40; 95% CI 2.17-2.65), CVD (HR 2.64; 95% CI 2.20-3.17), respiratory illness (HR 4.91; 95% CI 2.97-8.12), and cancer (HR 1.97; 95% CI 1.50-2.57). Similar results were found for the association between prefrail adults and mortality risk. In addition, based on the studies that have reported the HRs of the mortality risk per 0.1 and per 0.01 increase in the frailty index, we obtained consistent results.

CONCLUSIONS

The present study demonstrated that frailty was not only significantly related to an increased risk of all-cause mortality but was also a strong predictor of cause-specific mortality from CVD, cancer, and respiratory illness in community-dwelling adults. More studies are warranted to clarify the relationship between frailty and cause-specific mortality from dementia, infection, and COVID-19.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

PROSPERO (CRD42021276021).

Estimating the causal effect of frailty index on vestibular disorders: A two-sample Mendelian randomization

Background

Frailty index and vestibular disorders appear to be associated in observational studies, but causality of the association remains unclear.

Methods

A two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study was implemented to explore the causal relationship between the frailty index and vestibular disorders in individuals of European descent. A genome-wide association study (GWAS) of frailty index was used as the exposure (n = 175, 226), whereas the GWAS of vestibular disorders was the outcome (n = 462,933). MR Steiger filtering method was conducted to investigate the causal effect of the frailty index on vestibular disorders. An inverse variance weighted (IVW) approach was used as the essential approach to examine the causality. Additionally, the MR-Egger methods, the simple mode analysis, the weighted median analysis, and the weighted mode analysis were used as supplementary methods. The MR-PRESSO analysis, the MR-Egger intercept analysis, and Cochran's Q statistical analysis also were used to detect the possible heterogeneity as well as directional pleiotropy. To evaluate this association, the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) was used. All statistical analyses were performed in R. The STROBE-MR checklist for the reporting of MR studies was used in this study.

Results

In total, 14 single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) were identified as effective instrumental variables (IVs) in the two sample MR analyses. The significant causal effect of the frailty index on vestibular disorders was demonstrated by IVW method [OR 1.008 (95% CI 1.003, 1.013), p = 0.001]. Results from the various sensitivity analysis were consistent. The “leave-one-out” analysis indicated that our results were robust even without a single SNP. According to the MR-Egger intercept test [intercept = −0.000151, SE = 0.011, p = 0.544], genetic pleiotropy did not affect the results. No heterogeneity was detected by Cochran's Q test. Results of MR Steiger directionality test indicated the accuracy of our estimate of the potential causal direction (Steiger p < 0.001).

Conclusion

The MR study suggested that genetically predicted frailty index may be associated with an increased risk of vestibular disorders. Notably, considering the limitations of this study, the causal effects between frailty index and vestibular disorders need further investigation. These results support the importance of effectively managing frailty which may minimize vestibular disorders and improve the quality of life for those with vestibular disorders.

Frailty Among Older Individuals with and without COPD: A Cohort Study of Prevalence and Association with Adverse Outcomes

Rationale

Frailty prevalence estimates among individuals with COPD have varied widely, and few studies have investigated relationships between frailty and adverse outcomes in a COPD population.

Objectives

Describe frailty prevalence among individuals with and without COPD and examine associations between frailty and mortality and other adverse outcomes in the next two years.

Methods

This was an observational cohort study using Health and Retirement Study data (2006-2018) of community living individuals ages 50-64 and ≥65 with and without COPD (non-COPD). Frailty (Fried phenotype [5 items], and a modified Frailty Index-Comprehensive Geriatric Assessment [Enhanced FI-CGA] [37 items], and debility (modified BODE Index [4 items]) were assessed. Two-year post-assessment outcomes (mortality, ≥1 inpatient stay, home health and skilled nursing facility (SNF) use) were reviewed in a population matched 3:1 (non-COPD: COPD) on age, sex, race, and year using univariate and multivariate logistic regression (adjusted for morbidities). Area-under-the-curve (AUC) was used to evaluate regressions.

Results

The study included 18,979 survey observations for age 50-64, and 24,162 age ≥65; 7.8% and 12.0% respectively reporting a diagnosis of COPD. Fried phenotype frailty prevalence for age ≥65 was 23.1% (COPD) and 9.4% (non-COPD), and for the Enhanced FI-CGA, 45.9% (COPD) and 22.4% (non-COPD). Two-year mortality for COPD was more than double non-COPD for age 50-64 (95% CI: 3.8-5.9% vs 0.7-1.3%) and age ≥65 (95% CI: 11.9-14.3% vs 5.6-6.6%). Inpatient utilization, home health care use, or at least temporary SNF placement were also more frequent for COPD. Measures were predictive of adverse outcomes. In adjusted models, the Fried phenotype and modified BODE score performed similarly, and both performed better than the Enhanced FI-CGA index. AUC values were higher for morality regressions.

Conclusion

Frailty prevalence among individuals with COPD in this national survey is substantially greater than without COPD, even at pre-retirement (50-64 years). These measures identify patients with increased risk of poor outcomes.

Physical fitness and frailty status of frail older adults in long-term care facilities after acupunch exercises: A cluster-randomized controlled trial

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a complex geriatric syndrome and serves as an indicator for functional degradation in older adults. Regular exercise intervention could reduce the level of frailty and improve general physical fitness. The aim of this study was to test the effects of the Vitality Acupunch (VA) exercise on the promotion of physical fitness and the improvement of frailty status among frail older adults in long-term care facilities.

METHOD

This study was a cluster-randomized controlled trial adopted a pretest-posttest design. Using convenience sampling, 81 frail adults older than 65 years of age from 10 long-term care facilities participated in this study. The older adults were cluster-randomized by facility into an intervention group (5 long-term care facilities, n = 40) and a control group (5 long-term care facilities, n = 41). The intervention group engaged in the VA exercise 3 times a week, each lasting 40 min, for 24 weeks. The control group maintained regular activities of daily living. The outcome measures for physical fitness were assessed before study began (pretest), at the 12th week (posttest 1), and at the 24th week (posttest 2) in the study.

RESULTS

After a 24-week intervention, the frail older adults who engaged in the VA exercise program showed significant improvements in handgrip strength, upper-limb muscle endurance, lung function, shoulder flexibility, forward flexion, shoulder joint flexion, and shoulder joint abduction (all p < .05) but not in lower-limb muscle endurance (p = .502) compared against their pretest data. The intervention group had significantly better physical fitness and positive changes in frailty status than the control group (all p < .001), except for the lower-limb muscle endurance (p = .557).

CONCLUSION

Regular engagement in the VA exercise program for 24 weeks significantly improved the physical fitness and frailty status of frail older adults in long-term care facilities.

Pre-Existing Frailty is Unrelated to Progression of Diffuse Subcortical Damage of Vascular Origin: A Longitudinal Prospective Study in Community-Dwelling Older Adults

Background:

Both frailty and white matter hyperintensities (WMH) of presumed vascular origin are associated with enhanced expression of inflammatory biomarkers. Therefore, it is possible that pre-existing frailty predisposes to WMH progression. However, this relationship has not been explored. This population-based longitudinal prospective study aimed to assess the impact of frailty on subsequent progression of WMH in community-dwelling older adults living in rural Ecuador.

Methods:

Participants of the Atahualpa Project Cohort received baseline frailty assessment and brain MRIs. Frailty was evaluated by means of the Edmonton Frail Scale (EFS). WMH were graded according to the modified Fazekas scale. Individuals who received a follow-up brain MRI were included. Poisson regression models were fitted to assess the differential rate of WMH progression according to EFS score, after adjusting for demographics, level of education, and cardiovascular risk factors.

Results:

The study included 263 individuals aged ≥60 years (mean age: 65.7 ± 6.2 years; 57% women). The mean EFS score at baseline was 4 ± 2.3 points. Follow-up MRIs after a median follow-up of 6.5 years showed WMH progression in 103 (39%) individuals. The EFS score at baseline was associated with WMH progression in unadjusted analysis (P = .006). However, significance was not achieved in a multivariate Poisson regression model adjusted for relevant covariates (IRR: 1.07; 95% C.I.: 0.97-1.18; P = .192).

Conclusions:

Study results do not support an independent relationship between frailty and WMH progression, adjusting for the confounding effect of aging.

Cognitive dysfunction correlates with physical impairment in frail patients with acute myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

To the best of our knowledge, the association of physical impairment and cognitive decline has never been investigated in frail patients with acute myocardial infarction.

AIM

The aim of our study is to assess the correlation between physical and cognitive dysfunction in frail patients with ST-elevation myocardial infarction (STEMI).

METHODS

We examined consecutive frail patients with first STEMI treated with primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PPCI). All patients were evaluated via Mini Mental State Examination (MMSE) and 5-m gait speed test after PPCI.

RESULTS

A total of 871 frail patients with suspected STEMI were admitted and 301 patients successfully completed the study. We found that the gait speed significantly correlated with the MMSE score (r: 0.771; p: < 0.001). The independent effects on MMSE score were confirmed in a linear multivariate analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Taken together, our findings indicate that an assessment of both cognitive and physical conditions should be included in the comprehensive geriatric evaluation of hospitalized older STEMI patients.

Self-efficacy proxy predicts frailty incidence over time in non-institutionalized older adults

BACKGROUND

Physical frailty is defined as a syndrome of decreased physiologic reserve conferring vulnerability to functional decline, mortality, and other adverse outcomes upon experiencing stressors. Self-efficacy, which is confidence in one's ability to perform well in a domain of life, is modifiable. Self-efficacy is associated with improved health behavior and decreased chronic disease burden. Its relationship to frailty is unknown. The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether a general self-efficacy proxy predicts incident frailty.

METHODS

A nationally representative sample of 4825 U.S. older adults aged 65 and older living in the community or non-nursing home care setting enrolled in the National Health and Aging Trends Study from 2011 to 2018 was used. Self-efficacy was dichotomized into low and high groups using the one-item self-efficacy proxy measure. The Physical Frailty Phenotype was used to categorize participants as frail and non-frail. A discrete time hazard model using data from eight rounds was used to obtain incident hazard ratios of frailty in two models. Model 1 was adjusted for age, race, sex, education, and income. Model 2 contained Model 1 covariates and added disability and comorbidities.

RESULTS

Among people without frailty at baseline, risk of developing frailty over 7 years was increased by 41% among those with low versus high self-efficacy after adjustment for sociodemographics (P = 0.002), and by 27% after further adjustment for disability and comorbidities (P = 0.032).

CONCLUSION

This study generates a rationale to further explore self-efficacy in frailty research. Self-efficacy may be a key modifiable element to incorporate into multimodal physical frailty interventions.

Plasma Levels of Interleukin-6 and the Cluster of Differentiation 4/Cluster of Differentiation 8 Ratio in Frailty among Community-dwelling Older People

Background: Frailty has become a major health problem among Indonesian elders. Immunosenescence specifically inflammaging are essential components in the development of frailty. Early screening and timely tailored intervention may effectively prevent or delay the adverse outcomes in elders. This study measured the CD4/CD8 ratio from the immunosenescence pathway and plasma IL-6 levels as inflammatory markers from the inflammaging pathway and observed the correlations between robust and frail elders groups Methods: We conducted a cross-sectional survey. Using multistage random sampling, we enrolled 64 participants across Malang city, divided into frail and robust groups. We analyzed the plasma IL-6 levels and CD4/CD8 ratio using an independent t-test and the Mann–Whitney U test. Results: Significant differences between frail and robust elders were found in age and education level, with the frail participants being older than the robust (p=0.001) and lower educational level (p<0.001). However, plasma IL-6 levels (p=0.936) and the CD4/CD8 ratio (p=0.468) were not statistically different between the groups. Conclusion: Plasma level of IL-6 was found to increase similarly in both groups, while CD4/CD8 ratio was normal and not statistically different between the robust and frail group in elders.

Partner loss and its effect on frailty trajectories: results from the 13-year follow-up Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE)

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a geriatric syndrome closely linked to a variety of adverse health outcomes. Thus, it is important to identify factors associated with the development of frailty. It was the aim of this study to examine, if, and to what extent partner loss, a highly stressful life event, affects frailty trajectories of community dwelling adults aged 50 or older.

METHODS

Using six waves of panel data from the Survey of Health, Ageing and Retirement in Europe (SHARE), we investigated the effect of partner loss on frailty trajectories estimating growth curve models. Our sample included 183 502 observations of 83 494 community-dwelling individuals aged 50 or older from 21 European countries collected between 2004 and 2017. Frailty was measured using the validated sex-specific SHARE-Frailty-Instrument including muscular weakness, unintended weight loss, decrease in walking capacity, low physical activity and exhaustion.

RESULTS

Our sample contained 79 874 participants who lived in a partnership during their entire observational period and 3620 participants who lost their partner during their observational period. Both men (β=0.184 (95% CI: -0.017 to 0.386), p=0.073) and women (β=0.237 (95% CI: 0.106 to 0.369), p<0.001) showed initial effects of partner loss on frailty, but while only women gradually recovered over time (β=-0.023 (95% CI: -0.039 to -0.008), p=0.002), among men, the effect of partner loss persisted (β<0.001 (95% CI: -0.029 to 0.029), p=0.998).

CONCLUSION

This study revealed that partner loss is followed by elevated frailty. However, while women's frailty tended to recover from partner loss over time, men's frailty remained elevated. Notable individual differences in the response of frailty trajectories to partner loss suggest the existence of effect modifiers.

Spousal concordance in frailty predicting mental and functional health decline: A four-year follow-up study of older couples in urban and rural China

AIMS AND OBJECTIVES

To examine the joint effects of self and spousal frailty status on functional and mental health in Chinese older adults and determine whether such effects vary by urban versus rural residency.

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a clinical syndrome among old adults and would lead to adverse outcomes. However, studies on the interactive patterns of frailty status between spouses and the joint effects of such patterns on health outcomes are scarce.

DESIGN

Data were from the China Health and Retirement Longitudinal Study (CHARLS). A total of 2,581 married seniors who participated both 2011 and 2015 waves of the CHARLS were categorised into four groups: robust self-robust spouse (RR), robust self-frail spouse (RF), frail self-robust spouse (FR) and frail self-frail spouse (FF).

METHODS

Frailty was measured using the physical frailty phenotype scale. Depressive symptoms were measured using the Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale (CESD). Functional health was measured by difficulties in activities of daily living (ADL) and instrumental activities of daily living (IADL). The generalised estimating equation was used to estimate the effects of concordant frailty on mental and functional outcomes, stratified by rural/urban residency. This study followed the STROBE checklist.

RESULTS

The FF group reported higher levels of ADL/IADL difficulties and depressive symptoms at follow-up than the RR group; urban individuals in the RF group reported higher follow-up depression than the RR group; and rural individuals from the FR or RF groups reported more follow-up ADL/IADL difficulties than the RR group.

CONCLUSION

Frailty and subsequent health decline are interdependent in older couples, and the rural/urban context is important for understanding this interdependence in the older Chinese population.

RELEVANCE TO CLINICAL PRACTICE

Couples-based intervention strategies are needed to tackle situations in which one or both spouses are concurrently facing frailty.

Essential components of health assessment for older people in primary care: a cross-sectional survey of Australian general practitioners

OBJECTIVE

To examine general practitioners' views about how health assessments for older people should be conducted.

METHODS

General practitioners were randomly sampled from a national database of medical practitioners and invited to complete a survey. Survey items explored general practitioners' views about essential components of a 75+ Health Assessment and who should assess each component, consultation time, use of standardised templates and tools, and home visits.

RESULTS

Overall, 185 (19.2%) general practitioners participated. Of 61 items presented, 24 were rated 'essential' by ≥70% of practitioners, with an average estimated consultation time of 65 minutes. Of the 24 essential items, it was perceived that 21 could be assessed by either a general practitioner or clinic nurse. Most practitioners indicated a standardised template (86%) and standardised tools for complex issues (79%) should be used, and home visits conducted (75%).

CONCLUSIONS

General practitioners agreed on 24 items as essential for every health assessment, with assessments estimated to take more than one hour. Implications for public health: Increases to remuneration for prolonged assessments or mechanisms for improving efficiency and quality of assessments are needed. Acceptable mechanisms may include standardised patient-reported tools, standardised templates and the use of non-medical staff to assist with assessments.

Adherence Is More Than Just Being Present: Example of a Lay-Led Home-Based Programme with Physical Exercise, Nutritional Improvement and Social Support, in Prefrail and Frail Community-Dwelling Older Adults

BACKGROUND

Little is known about the implementation of lifestyle interventions in frail, community-dwelling people. This study highlights different domains of adherence to explain an effectively delivered home-based intervention.

METHODS

Eighty prefrail and frail persons (≥65 years) participated in a physical training, nutritional, and social support intervention over 24 weeks. A detailed log book was kept for comprehensive documentation in order to assess adherence and further organizational, exercise, and nutritional parameters.

RESULTS

Participants reached an adherence rate (performed home visits/number of planned visits) of 84.0/80.5% from week 1-12/13-24. Out of those, 59% carried out ≥75% of the offered visits. Older age was associated with a higher adherence rate. A mean of 1.5 (0.6) visits/week (2 were planned) were realized lasting for a mean of 1.5 (0.9) hours (154% of the planned duration). Per visit, 1.2 (0.6) circuits of strength training were performed (60.5% of the planned value) and 0.5 (0.3) nutritional interventions (47%). After twelve months, 4.2% still carried out the home visits regularly and 25.0% occasionally.

CONCLUSION

Adherence is much more than "being there". Adherence rate and category are limited parameters to describe the implementation of a complex lifestyle intervention, therefore a comprehensive documentation is needed.

Frailty Status and Polypharmacy Predict All-Cause Mortality in Community Dwelling Older Adults in Europe

European population ageing is associated with frailty, a complex geriatric syndrome, and polypharmacy, both resulting in adverse health outcomes. In this study we aimed to evaluate the impact of frailty and polypharmacy, on mortality rates, within 30 months, using a cohort of SHARE participants aged 65 years old or more. Frailty was assessed using a version of Fried’s phenotype criteria operationalized to SHARE while polypharmacy was defined as taking five or more drugs per day. We found a prevalence of 40.4% non-frail, 47.3% pre-frail and 12.3% frail participants. Moreover, a prevalence of polypharmacy of 31.3% was observed, being 3 three times more prevalent in frail individuals and two times in pre-frail individuals, when compared with non-frail. Individuals with both conditions had shown higher mortality rates. Comparing with non-polymedicated non-frail individuals all the other conditions are more prone to die within 30 months. Polymedicated older and male participants exhibited also higher mortality rates. This work shows polypharmacy and frailty to be associated with a higher risk of all-cause of mortality and highlights the need to decrease ‘unnecessary’ polypharmacy to reduce drug-related issues and also the need to assess frailty early to prevent avoidable adverse outcomes.

Frailty Phenotype and Cause-Specific Mortality in the United States

BACKGROUND

Frailty is a common condition among older adults increasing risk of adverse outcomes including mortality; however, little is known about the incidence or risk of specific causes of death among frail individuals.

METHODS

Data came from the Health and Retirement Study (HRS; 2004-2012), linked to underlying cause-of-death information from the National Death Index (NDI). Community-dwelling HRS participants aged 65 and older who completed a general health interview and physical measurements (n = 10,490) were included in analysis. Frailty was measured using phenotypic model criteria-exhaustion, low weight, low energy expenditure, slow gait, and weakness. Underlying causes of death were determined using International Classification of Diseases, Version 10 codes. We used Cox proportional hazards and competing risks regression models to calculate and compare incidence of cause-specific mortality by frailty status.

RESULTS

During follow-up, prefrail and frail older adults had significantly greater hazard of all-cause mortality compared to individuals without symptoms (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] prefrail: 1.85, 95% CI: 1.51, 2.25; HR frail: 2.75, 95% CI: 2.14, 3.53). Frailty was associated with 2.96 (95% CI: 2.17, 4.03), 2.82 (95% CI: 2.02, 3.94), 3.48 (95% CI: 2.17, 5.59), and 2.87 (95% CI: 1.47, 5.59) times greater hazard of death from heart disease, cancer, respiratory illness, and dementia, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Significantly greater risk of mortality from several different causes should be considered alongside the potential costs of screening and intervention for frailty in subspecialty and general geriatric clinical practice. Findings may help investigators estimate the potential impact of frailty reduction approaches on mortality.

Frailty index and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in Chinese adults: a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The fraily index is a useful proxy measure of accelerated biological ageing and in estimating all-cause and cause-specific mortality in older individuals in European and US populations. However, the predictive value of the frailty index in other populations outside of Europe and the USA and in adults younger than 50 years is unknown. We aimed to examine the association between the frailty index and mortality in a population of Chinese adults.

METHODS

In this prospective cohort study, we used data from the China Kadoorie Biobank. We included adults aged 30-79 years from ten areas (five urban areas and five rural areas) of China who had no missing values for the items that made up the frailty index. We did not exclude participants on the basis of baseline morbidity status. We calculated the follow-up person-years from the baseline date to either the date of death, loss to follow-up, or Dec 31, 2017, whichever came first, through linkage with the registries of China's Disease Surveillance Points system and local residential records. Active follow-up visits to local communities were done annually for participants who were not linked to any established registries. Causes of death from official death certificates were supplemented, if necessary, by reviewing medical records or doing standard verbal autopsy procedures. The frailty index was calculated using 28 baseline variables, all of which were health status deficits measured by use of questionnaires and physical examination. We defined three categories of frailty status: robust (frailty index ≤0·10), prefrail (frailty index >0·10 to <0·25), and frail (frailty index ≥0·25). The primary outcomes were all-cause mortality and cause-specific mortality in Chinese adults aged 30-79 years. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to estimate the associations between the frailty index and all-cause and cause-specific mortality, adjusting for chronological age, education, and lifestyle factors.

FINDINGS

512 723 participants, recruited between June 25, 2004, and July 15, 2008, were followed up for a median of 10·8 years (IQR 10·2-13·1; total follow-up 5 551 974 person-years). 291 954 (56·9%) people were categorised as robust, 205 075 (40·0%) people were categorised as prefrail, and 15 694 (3·1%) people were categorised as frail. Women aged between 45 years and 79 years had a higher mean frailty index and a higher prevalence of frailty than did men. During follow-up, 49 371 deaths were recorded. After adjustment for established and potential risk factors for death, each 0·1 increment in the frailty index was associated with a higher risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio [HR] 1·68, 95% CI 1·66-1·71). Such associations were stronger among younger adults than among older adults (pinteraction<0·0001), with HRs per 0·1 increment of the frailty index of 1·95 (95% CI 1·87-2·03) for those younger than 50 years, 1·80 (1·76-1·83) for those aged 50-64 years, and 1·56 (1·53-1·59) for those 65 years and older. After adjustments, there was no difference between the sexes in the association between the frailty index and all-cause mortality (pinteraction=0·75). For each 0·1 increment of the frailty index, the corresponding HRs for risk of death were 1·89 (95% CI 1·83-1·94) from ischaemic heart disease, 1·84 (1·79-1·89) from cerebrovascular disease, 1·19 (1·16-1·22) from cancer, 2·54 (2·45-2·63) from respiratory disease, 1·78 (1·59-2·00) from infection, and 1·78 (1·73-1·83) from all other causes.

INTERPRETATION

The frailty index is associated with all-cause and cause-specific mortality independent of chronological age in younger and older Chinese adults. The identification of younger adults with accelerated ageing by use of surrogate measures could be useful for the prevention of premature death and the extension of healthy active life expectancy.

FUNDING

The National Natural Science Foundation of China, the National Key R&D Program of China, the Chinese Ministry of Science and Technology, the Kadoorie Charitable Foundation, and the Wellcome Trust.

Exercise testing and cardiac rehabilitation in patients treated for cancer

Cardiovascular disease (CVD) is a major competing cause of morbidity and mortality in patients with cancer. Cancer treatment can have detrimental short- and long-term cardiovascular effects. Moreover, cancer patients may have a significant loss in cardiorespiratory fitness, a key CVD risk factor, during and after cancer treatment. Exercise training has emerged as a potential intervention to improve fitness and reduce the risk of CVD in cancer. In this review, we discuss the role of cardiorespiratory fitness to predict cancer and CVD outcomes, as well as explore the impact of exercise training to improve fitness and other key outcomes in patients with cancer. The role of cardio-oncology rehabilitation will also be highlighted.

Loneliness as a risk factor for frailty transition among older Chinese people

Background

Previous literature has reported that loneliness is a strong predictor of frailty risk. However, less is known about the role of loneliness in frailty transition types. This study aimed to examine whether and how loneliness are related to frailty transition among older Chinese people.

Methods

Our study used participants (aged ≥60 years) from 2008/2009, 2011/2012 and 2014 waves of the Chinese Longitudinal Healthy Longevity Survey (CLHLS). Loneliness was assessed by a single question asking how often the respondent feels lonely. The FRAIL Scale was created to measure physical frailty for our study, and frailty was also assessed by a broader definition of the frailty index. Frailty transition as an outcome variable has been designed as two types according to the measurement of frailty.

Results

Greater loneliness at baseline reduced the possibility of remaining in a robust or prefrail physical frailty state after 3 years (OR = 0.78, 95%CI: 0.68–0.91, p < 0.01). Greater loneliness was associated with an increased risk of worsening physical frailty over time: compared with those who had never felt lonely, the odds ratios for people who often felt lonely were 1.19 (95%CI: 1.01–1.41, p < 0.05) after 3 years and 1.34 (95%CI: 1.08–1.66, p < 0.01) after 6 years. The association between loneliness and change in the frailty index differed in the survey periods: loneliness at baseline was found to increase the possibility of participants remaining in frailty (seldom loneliness: OR = 1.78, 95%CI: 1.25–2.55, p < 0.01; often loneliness: OR = 1.74, 95%CI: 1.21–2.50, p < 0.01) after 6 years, but no significance was shown in the 3-year follow up. Additionally, loneliness at baselines was significantly associated with frailty transition at follow up among the male participants. However, a similar association was not observed among the female participants.

Conclusion

Older people with a high level of loneliness tend to be frail in the future, and greater loneliness is related to an increased risk of worsening frailty and remaining frail. Male elderly with a high level of loneliness were more likely to have a worse frailty transition than female elderly in China.

Predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death using a composite assessment of cognitive and physical frailty in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease

Background

We aimed to assess the utility of the combination of the mini-mental state examination (MMSE) + clock drawing test (CDT) and the Fried phenotype for predicting non-elective hospital readmission or death within 6 months in elderly inpatients with cardiovascular disease (CVD).

Methods

A single-center prospective cohort was conducted from September 2018 to February 2019. Inpatients ≥65 years old were recruited. Predictive validity was tested using a Cox proportional hazards regression model analysis, and the discriminative ability was evaluated by the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve.

Results

A total of 542 patients were included. Overall, 12% (64/542) screened positive for cognitive impairment, 16% (86/542) were physically frail and 8% (44/542) had cognitive impairment combined with physical frailty, showing an older age (P < 0.001) and a lower education level (P < 0.001) than physically frail patients. A total of 113 patients (20.9%) died or were readmitted at 6 months. Frail participants with a normal (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.73, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.06–2.82, P = 0.028) or impaired cognition (HR: 2.50, 95% CI: 1.27–4.91, P = 0.008) had a higher risk of non-elective hospital readmission or death than robust patients after adjusting for the age, sex, education level, marital status, the presence of diabetes mellitus, heart failure, and history of stroke. The area under the ROC curve (AUC) showed that the discriminative ability in relation to 6 months readmission and death for the MMSE + CDT + Fried phenotype was 0.65 (95% CI: 0.60–0.71), and the AUC for men was 0.71 (95% CI: 0.63–0.78), while that for women was 0.60 (95% CI: 0.51–0.69).

Conclusions

Accounting for cognitive impairment in the frailty phenotype may allow for the better prediction of non-elective hospital readmission or death in elderly inpatients with CVD in the short term.

Trial registration

ChiCTR1800017204; date of registration: 07/18/2018.