Incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients receiving nucleos(t)ide therapy: a systematic review

AI model using CT-based imaging biomarkers to predict hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Various hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) prediction models have been proposed for patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) using clinical variables. We aimed to develop an artificial intelligence (AI)-based HCC prediction model by incorporating imaging biomarkers derived from abdominal computed tomography (CT) images along with clinical variables.

METHODS

An AI prediction model employing a gradient-boosting machine algorithm was developed utilizing imaging biomarkers extracted by DeepFore, a deep learning-based CT auto-segmentation software. The derivation cohort (n = 5,585) was randomly divided into the training and internal validation sets at a 3:1 ratio. The external validation cohort included 2,883 patients. Six imaging biomarkers (i.e. abdominal visceral fat-total fat volume ratio, total fat-trunk volume ratio, spleen volume, liver volume, liver-spleen Hounsfield unit ratio, and muscle Hounsfield unit) and eight clinical variables were selected as the main variables of our model, PLAN-B-DF.

RESULTS

In the internal validation set (median follow-up duration = 7.4 years), PLAN-B-DF demonstrated an excellent predictive performance with a c-index of 0.91 and good calibration function (p = 0.78 by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test). In the external validation cohort (median follow-up duration = 4.6 years), PLAN-B-DF showed a significantly better discrimination function compared to previous models, including PLAN-B, PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, and CU-HCC (c-index, 0.89 vs. 0.65-0.78; all p <0.001), and maintained a good calibration function (p = 0.42 by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test). When patients were classified into four groups according to the risk probability calculated by PLAN-B-DF, the 10-year cumulative HCC incidence was 0.0%, 0.4%, 16.0%, and 46.2% in the minimal-, low-, intermediate-, and high-risk groups, respectively.

CONCLUSION

This AI prediction model, integrating deep learning-based auto-segmentation of CT images, offers improved performance in predicting HCC risk among patients with CHB compared to previous models.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The novel predictive model PLAN-B-DF, employing an automated computed tomography segmentation algorithm, significantly improves predictive accuracy and risk stratification for hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Using a gradient-boosting algorithm and computed tomography metrics, such as visceral fat volume and myosteatosis, PLAN-B-DF outperforms previous models based solely on clinical and demographic data. This model not only shows a higher c-index compared to previous models, but also effectively classifies patients with CHB into different risk groups. This model uses machine learning to analyze the complex relationships among various risk factors contributing to hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence, thereby enabling more personalized surveillance for patients with CHB.

EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus infection

The updated EASL Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection provide comprehensive, evidence-based recommendations for its management. Spanning ten thematic sections, the guidelines address diagnostics, treatment goals, treatment indications, therapeutic options, hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance, management of special populations, HBV reactivation prophylaxis, post-transplant care, HBV prevention strategies, and finally address open questions and future research directions. Chronic HBV remains a global health challenge, with over 250 million individuals affected and significant mortality due to cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These guidelines emphasise the importance of early diagnosis, risk stratification based on viral and host factors, and tailored antiviral therapy. Attention is given to simplified algorithms, vaccination, and screening to support global HBV elimination targets. The guidelines also discuss emerging biomarkers and evolving definitions of functional and partial cure. Developed through literature review, expert consensus, and a Delphi process, the guidelines aim to equip healthcare providers across disciplines with practical tools to optimise HBV care and outcomes worldwide.

Impact of Nucleos(t)ide Analogs on Major Clinical Outcomes in Patients With Chronic Hepatitis B: A 10-Year French Nationwide Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Conflicting results have been reported on the impact of tenofovir versus entecavir on liver-related outcomes.

AIMS

To explore trends in clinical outcomes in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV)-infected patients and compare the impact of tenofovir versus entecavir on the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplantation (LT) and mortality.

METHODS

We used the French National Health Insurance Databases (SNDS) to identify HBV-infected patients. We quantified the excess clinical burden from 2012 to 2021 by comparing the HBV-infected cohort with a general population cohort, using 1:1 exact matching on birth date, sex, social deprivation index and follow-up start date. The risks of mortality, HCC and LT were compared between patients treated with tenofovir and entecavir using inverse probability weighting.

RESULTS

A total of 101,740 patients were matched to the general population. From 2012 to 2021, the average annual decreases in excess mortality, incidence of HCC and LT were 3.7%, 8.0% and 11.9%, respectively (p for trend < 0.001). During the same period, the nucleos(t)ide analog (NUC) treatment coverage significantly increased, particularly after 2016 (p < 0.001). Among 14,054 treatment-naïve patients starting tenofovir (n = 7426) or entecavir (n = 6628), we observed no difference in the composite outcome of mortality, LT or HCC (HR, 1.09; 95% CI, 0.95-1.24). Tenofovir was associated with an increased risk of HCC compared with entecavir (HR, 1.31; 95% CI, 1.07-1.62).

CONCLUSIONS

Tenofovir was associated with a higher risk of HCC compared with entecavir, although no difference in the composite outcome of mortality or liver-related events was observed between the two treatments.

Gaps and disparities in the treatment of chronic hepatitis B infection in the USA

Chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection affects nearly 300 million individuals worldwide and is a leading cause of hepatocellular carcinoma and liver-related mortality. However, major gaps in the CHB cascade of care persist, with the majority of individuals with CHB not diagnosed and not linked to care and treatment. Even among individuals with known CHB, existing studies report on major gaps and disparities in timely linkage to care and timely access to CHB therapies. While the momentum to expand and simplify CHB treatment guidelines is promising, access to treatment still relies on individuals being effectively engaged in clinical care and liver disease monitoring. The contributing factors to the observed gaps and disparities in the CHB cascade of care are complex and multifactorial, and there is no one-size-fits-all solution than can be easily applied across all global regions. However, any serious approach towards addressing the existing gaps in the CHB cascade of care to improve patient outcomes requires a concerted investment from healthcare institutions, governments, policymakers, and industry partners to provide the necessary resources to be able to achieve this goal. Anything less than a comprehensive and collaborative approach that engages all stakeholders to invest effort and resources into tackling the global epidemic of CHB will continue to fall short in making progress towards global viral hepatitis elimination goals.

Epidemiological, diagnostic, therapeutic and prognostic impact of hepatitis B and D virus infection on hepatocellular carcinoma: A review of the literature

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for >90% of primary liver cancer cases, and chronic infections with hepatitis B virus (HBV) and hepatitis D virus (HDV) are major contributors.

METHODS

A comprehensive literature review was conducted using the MEDLINE (PubMed) database, focusing on studies related to HBV, HDV, and HCC.

RESULTS

HBV contributes to HCC through mechanisms like viral integration into the host genome, chronic inflammation, and immune modulation, leading to genomic instability and altered cell signaling. HDV exacerbates HBV-induced liver damage, accelerating fibrosis and cirrhosis, and significantly increasing HCC risk. Antiviral therapies and vaccinations have majorly reduced the burden of HBV-related HCC, but HDV remains challenging to treat due to limited therapeutic options. Emerging treatments like Bulevirtide showed promising results.

CONCLUSION

This review highlights the critical impact of HBV and HDV co-infections on HCC development, emphasizing the need for more effective therapeutic strategies. While advances in antiviral therapies have reduced the incidence of HBV-related HCC, the high burden of HDV-related complications persists. Future research should focus on improving treatments for HDV and understanding its unique contribution to HCC pathogenesis.

Effective Antiviral Therapy Improves Immunosuppressive Activities in the Immune Microenvironment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma by Alleviating Inflammation and Fibrosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The immune microenvironment (IME) plays a crucial role in the progression of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). In HCC, the IME is often compromised by hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection, chronic inflammation, and fibrosis. Both antiviral therapy (AVT) and the alleviation of inflammation and fibrosis (AIF) have been shown to improve prognosis. However, the relationship among the IME of HCC, AVT, and AIF remains unclear.

METHODS

A total of 140 and 110 primary HBV-related HCC patients were enrolled as training and validation sets, respectively, to establish a HCC-immune microenvironment score (H-IME score). Immunohistochemistry was performed to assess the number of granzyme B+ (GrB+) and Foxp3+ cells, as well as the expression of CTLA-4, PD-1, LAG3, TIGIT, TIM3, and VISTA. Another cohort consisting of 114 recurrent HBV-related HCC patients with paired primary and recurrent tissues was used to study the relationship among the IME of HCC, AVT, and AIF.

RESULTS

The H-IME score, including GrB, Foxp3, CTLA-4, PD-1, LAG3, and TIGIT, was established to evaluate the IME. A higher H-IME score indicates stronger immunosuppressive activities. Both AVT and AIF were found to inhibit immunosuppressive activities in the IME. Compared to primary tumors, the H-IME scores of recurrent tumors in the effective AVT group (e-AVT, classified by HBV DNA) with AIF decreased, while the scores increased in the non-AVT group without AIF.

CONCLUSIONS

The IME of HCC is closely related to AVT and AIF. e-AVT can enhance anti-tumor activities in the IME by alleviating inflammation and fibrosis.

Evaluation of Hepatocellular Carcinoma Surveillance with Contrast-enhanced MRI in a High-Risk Western European Cohort

AIM

To investigate the utilization of MRI using a MRI liver protocol with extracellular contrast-enhanced series for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in high-risk patients.

METHODS

Consecutive high-risk patients of a western European cohort who underwent repeated liver MRI for HCC screening were included. Lesions were registered according to the Liver Reporting & Data System (LIRADS) 2018. HCC was staged as very early stage HCC (BCLC stage 0) and more advanced stages of HCC (BCLC stage A-D). Differences in time interval between MRI's for BCLC stage 0 and stage A-D were calculated with the Mann-Whitney U test. The HCC cumulative incidence at one-, three- and five years was calculated with the Kaplan Meier estimator.

RESULTS

From 2010 to 2019 a total of 240 patients were included (71% male; median age: 57 years; IQR: 50-64 years) with 1350 MRI's. Most patients (83 %) had cirrhosis with hepatitis C as the most common underlying cause. Patients underwent on average four MRI's (IQR: 3-7). Forty-two patients (17.5%) developed HCC (52 HCC lesions: 43 LIRADS-5, eight LIRADS-4, and one LIRADS-TIV). Eighteen patients (43%) had BCLC stage 0 HCC with a significant shorter screening time interval (10 months; IQR: 6-21) compared to patients with BCLC stage A-D (21 months; IQR: 10-32) (p = 0.03). Thirty seven percent of patients with a LIRADS-3 lesion (n=43) showed HCC development within twelve months (median: 7.4 months). One, three- and five-year HCC cumulative incidence in cirrhotic patients was 1%, 10% and 17%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

High-risk patients who underwent surveillance with contrast-enhanced MRI developed HCC in 17.5 % during a follow up period of over 4 years median. Very early stage HCC was seen in compensated cirrhosis after a median time interval of 10 months. Later stages of HCC were related to prolonged screening time interval (median 21 months).

Extrahepatic Cancer Risk in Patients with Hepatitis C Virus Infection Treated with Direct-Acting Antivirals

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is associated with an increased risk of extrahepatic cancers, particularly non-Hodgkin lymphoma. The introduction of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) has revolutionized HCV therapy, resulting in high cure rates. However, concerns have been raised about potential effects on cancer risk. This review summarizes the current evidence on extrahepatic cancer risk in HCV-infected patients treated with DAAs. We examined epidemiologic data on HCV-associated extrahepatic cancers and explored potential mechanisms linking HCV to carcinogenesis outside the liver. Studies evaluating cancer outcomes after DAA therapy were critically reviewed while considering methodological challenges. While some studies suggested a reduced risk of extrahepatic cancers after DAA therapy, others showed no significant change. Limitations included short follow-up periods and confounding variables. Immunological changes following rapid HCV clearance may have complex effects on cancer risk. Long-term prospective studies and mechanistic investigations are needed to fully elucidate the relationship between DAA therapy and extrahepatic cancer risk in HCV patients. Clinicians should remain vigilant for extrahepatic malignancies in this population.

Clinical outcomes of hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance in Melbourne, Australia

BACKGROUND

Ultrasound surveillance for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) may improve early tumour detection but may additionally result in surveillance-related harm through increased evaluation of non-HCC lesions. The incidence of these outcomes has not been reported outside North America.

AIMS

We aimed to report the outcomes of HCC surveillance with respect to both surveillance-related benefits and harms.

METHODS

We reviewed all HCC surveillance ultrasounds at a large Victorian tertiary hospital network in 2017 and followed their outcomes until 2021. Surveillance-related benefits were defined as early-stage HCC detection. Surveillance-related harm was defined as contrast imaging, biopsies or surgery performed to evaluate non-HCC liver lesions or false-positive alpha-fetoprotein levels.

RESULTS

Five hundred and fifty-three patients were included (mean age 54.5 ± 12.3 years, males 67.5%, cirrhosis 50.3%). The most common liver disease aetiology was hepatitis B (53.9%). Over a median of 4.7 years follow-up, early-stage HCC was detected in 3.3% (5.4% in cirrhotic vs 1.1% in non-cirrhotic patients, P < 0.01). 75% of all HCCs were early-stage. Surveillance-related harm occurred in 12.5% (15.5% in cirrhotic vs 9.5% in non-cirrhotic patients, P < 0.04), although most harm was mild (12.1%). In subgroup analysis, the detection of early-stage HCC ranged between 0% (screened outside of guideline criteria and alcoholic cirrhotic patients) and 7.2% (hepatitis C cirrhosis). Harm occurred between 9% (non-cirrhotic hepatitis B) and 20.8% (thrombocytopenia).

CONCLUSION

In our study, HCC surveillance was associated with early tumour detection, although many patients experienced mild surveillance-related harm. Novel surveillance strategies and pathways are required to improve detection in high-risk patients and minimise harm in low-risk patients.

British Society of Gastroenterology guidelines for the management of hepatocellular carcinoma in adults

Deaths from the majority of cancers are falling globally, but the incidence and mortality from hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing in the United Kingdom and in other Western countries. HCC is a highly fatal cancer, often diagnosed late, with an incidence to mortality ratio that approaches 1. Despite there being a number of treatment options, including those associated with good medium to long-term survival, 5-year survival from HCC in the UK remains below 20%. Sex, ethnicity and deprivation are important demographics for the incidence of, and/or survival from, HCC. These clinical practice guidelines will provide evidence-based advice for the assessment and management of patients with HCC. The clinical and scientific data underpinning the recommendations we make are summarised in detail. Much of the content will have broad relevance, but the treatment algorithms are based on therapies that are available in the UK and have regulatory approval for use in the National Health Service.

Successful therapy with tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) does not guarantee amelioration of liver damage assessing by transient elastography. A retrospective - prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Preventing disease progression and viral suppression are the main goals of antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by transient elastography is a reliable non-invasive method to assess liver fibrosis in patients with CHB. Our aim was to explore factors that may affect changes in LSMs during long term tenofovir (TDF) monotherapy in a well characterized cohort of patients with compensated CHB.

METHODS

We analyzed serial LSMs in 103 adult patients with CHB who were on TDF monotherapy and had at least three LSMs over a period of 90 months.

RESULTS

Twenty-five (24%) patients had advanced fibrosis at baseline. A significant decline in mean LSM between baseline and last visit (8.7 ± 6.2 kPa vs. 6.7 ± 3.3, p = 10- 3) was observed. Twenty-four (23%) patients had progression of liver fibrosis with mean increase in liver stiffness of 2.8 kPa (range: 0.2-10.2 kPa). Multivariate analysis showed that BMI ≥ 25 (OR, 0.014; 95% CI, 0.001-0.157; p = 0.001) and advanced fibrosis (OR, 5.169; 95% CI, 1.240-21.540; p = 0.024) were independently associated with a fibrosis regression of > 30% of liver stiffness compared to baseline value.

CONCLUSIONS

In CHB patients TDF monotherapy resulted in liver fibrosis regression, especially in patients with advanced fibrosis. Despite the successful antiviral effect of TDF, 1 out of 4 patients had liver fibrosis progression. Obesity and advanced fibrosis at baseline were independently associated with significant liver fibrosis regression.

Factors Positively Correlated with Hepatitis B Surface Antigen Seroconversion in Chronic Hepatitis B

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a global public health challenge since more than 250 million individuals are affected worldwide. Since different treatment modalities are available and not all patients are candidates for antiviral treatment, biomarkers that potentially predict the possibility of HBsAg clearance and seroconversion may be useful in clinical practice.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

In this retrospective study, we aimed to identify factors positively correlated with HBsAg seroconversion in a large cohort of 371 chronic hepatitis B patients treated at a German tertial center between 2005 and 2020.

RESULTS

Seroconversion occurred in 25/371 (6.7%) and HBsAg loss in 29/371 patients (7.8%) with chronic HBV infection. Antiviral therapy was associated with a lower chance of seroconversion (seroconversion antiviral therapy 14/260 (5.4%) vs. therapy-naïve patients 11/111 (9.9%), p = 0.027). Seroconversion rates were higher in patients with (very) low titers of HBV DNA (best cut-off value 357 IU/mL) and quantitative HBsAg. The best cut-off value with regard to seroconversion was 357 IU/mL for HBV DNA (AUC 0.693 (95%-CI 0.063-0.422), sensitivity 0.714, specificity 0.729; p < 0.0005) and 33,55 IU/mL for HBsAg (AUC 0.794 (95%-CI 0.651-0.937), sensitivity 0.714, specificity 0.949; p < 0.0005). However, male gender was positively associated with seroconversion (seroconversion: males 7.6% vs. females 2.7%, p = 0.036).

CONCLUSIONS

Treatment-naïve male chronic HBV patients with low viral load and inflammatory activity have the best chance to achieve seroconversion. In the absence of cirrhosis, antiviral therapy should therefore not be performed in this patient collective.

Review of Related Factors for Persistent Risk of Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is the largest global cause of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Current HBV treatment options include pegylated interferon-alpha and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs), which have been shown to be effective in reducing HBV DNA levels to become undetectable. However, the literature has shown that some patients have persistent risk of developing HCC. The mechanism in which this occurs has not been fully elucidated. However, it has been discovered that HBV's covalently closed circular DNA (cccDNA) integrates into the critical HCC driver genes in hepatocytes upon initial infection; additionally, these are not targets of current NA therapies. Some studies suggest that HBV undergoes compartmentalization in peripheral blood mononuclear cells that serve as a sanctuary for replication during antiviral therapy. The aim of this review is to expand on how patients with HBV may develop HCC despite years of HBV viral suppression and carry worse prognosis than treatment-naive HBV patients who develop HCC. Furthermore, HCC recurrence after initial surgical or locoregional treatment in this setting may cause carcinogenic cells to behave more aggressively during treatment. Curative novel therapies which target the life cycle of HBV, modulate host immune response, and inhibit HBV RNA translation are being investigated.

A prediction nomogram for hepatitis B virus-associated hepatocellular carcinoma

BACKGROUND

The present study aimed to develop and validate a new nomogram for predicting the incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients receiving antiviral therapy from real-world data.

METHODS

The nomogram was established based on a real-world retrospective study of 764 patients with HBV from October 2008 to July 2020. A predictive model for the incidence of HCC was developed by multivariable Cox regression, and a nomogram was constructed. The predictive accuracy and discriminative ability of the nomogram were assessed by the concordance index (C-index), calibration curves, and decision curve analysis (DCA). Risk group stratification was performed to assess the predictive capacity of the nomogram. The nomogram was compared to three current commonly used predictive models.

RESULTS

A total of 764 patients with HBV were recruited for this study. Age, family history of HCC, alcohol consumption, and Aspartate aminotransferase-to-Platelet Ratio Index (APRI) were all independent risk predictors of HCC in CHB patients. The constructed nomogram had good discrimination with a C-index of 0.811. The calibration curve and DCA also proved the reliability and accuracy of the nomogram. Three risk groups (low, moderate, and high) with significantly different prognoses were identified (p < 0.001). The model's performance was significantly better than that of other risk models.

CONCLUSIONS

The nomogram was superior in predicting HCC risk among CHB patients who received antiviral treatment. The model can be utilized in clinical practice to aid decision-making on the strategy of long-term HCC surveillance, especially for moderate- and high-risk patients.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Scores from Modeling to Real Clinical Practice in Areas Highly Endemic for Hepatitis B Infection

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for the majority of primary liver cancers and represents a global health challenge. Liver cancer ranks third in cancer-related mortality with 830,000 deaths and sixth in incidence with 906,000 new cases annually worldwide. HCC most commonly occurs in patients with underlying liver disease, especially chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection in highly endemic areas. Predicting HCC risk based on scoring models for patients with chronic liver disease is a simple, effective strategy for identifying and stratifying patients to improve the early diagnosis rate and prognosis of HCC. We examined 23 HCC risk scores published worldwide in CHB patients with (n=10) or without (n=13) antiviral treatment. We also described the characteristics of the risk score's predictive performance and application status. In the future, higher predictive accuracy could be achieved by combining novel technologies and machine learning algorithms to develop and update HCC risk score models and integrated early warning and diagnosis systems for HCC in hospitals and communities.

Risk-stratified approach by aMAP score for community population infected with hepatitis B and C to guide subsequent liver cancer screening practice: A cohort study with 10-year follow-up

The aim of this study was to determine whether the age-Male-ALBI-Platelet (aMAP) score is applicable in community settings and how to maximise its role in risk stratification. A total of thousand five hundred and three participants had an aMAP score calculated at baseline and were followed up for about 10 years to obtain information on liver cancer incidence and death. After assessing the ability of aMAP to predict liver cancer incidence and death in terms of differentiation and calibration, the optimal risk stratification threshold of the aMAP score was explored, based on absolute and relative risks. The aMAP score achieved higher area under curves (AUCs) (almost all above 0.8) within 10 years and exhibited a better calibration within 5 years. Regarding absolute risk, the risk of incidence of and death from liver cancer showed a rapid increase after an aMAP score of 55. The cumulative incidence (5-year: 8.3% vs. 1.3% and 10-year: 20.9% vs. 3.6%) and mortality (5-year: 6.7% vs. 1.1% and 10-year: 17.5% vs. 3.1%) of liver cancer in individuals with an aMAP score of ≥55 were significantly higher than in those with a score of <55 (Grey's test p  < .001). In terms of relative risk, the risk of death from liver cancer surpassed that from other causes after an aMAP score of ≥55 [HR = 1.38(1.02-1.87)]. Notably, the two types of death risk had opposite trends between the subpopulation with an aMAP score of ≥55 and < 55. To conclude, this study showed the value of the aMAP score in community settings and recommends using 55 as a new risk stratification threshold to guide subsequent liver cancer screening.

FIB‑4 index and serum α‑fetoprotein are useful predictors of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence in hepatitis B patients with nucleos(t)ide analogs therapy

Current antiviral therapies cannot achieve eradication of hepatitis B virus (HBV) and can reduce but not eliminate the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic HBV infection. The present study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development by analyzing nucleoside analogue (NA)-treated patients as a retrospective cohort using fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4 index) as a non-invasive fibrosis marker. A total of 260 patients with HBV receiving NAs without a history of HCC between January 2001 and January 2021 were included in the present study. The incidence of HCC in patients with HBV during NA therapy and the factors contributing to HCC occurrence were identified using clinical characteristics and blood test results. Among the 260 patients, 40 patients (15.4%) developed HCC. Univariate and multivariate analysis showed that age [hazard ratio (HR), 1.03; P=0.045], male sex (HR, 3.14; P<0.01) and FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment <1.95 (HR, 4.35; P<0.01) correlated with the incidence of HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC in patients with FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment >1.95 was significantly higher compared with that in patients with FIB-4 index ≤1.95 (P<0.01). Multivariate analysis in patients in which serum α-fetoprotein (AFP) level at 6 months after NA treatment was measured showed that FIB-4 index >1.95 (HR, 8.27; P=0.014) and serum AFP level >4 ng/ml (HR, 4.26; P=0.033) contributed to HCC occurrence. FIB-4 index at 6 months after NA treatment and serum AFP levels at 6 months after NA treatment were predictors for the development of HCC in patients with HBV during NA treatment. Further study of hepatocarcinogenesis during NA with a longer follow-up period and larger numbers of participants is required.

Health workers' perspectives of hepatitis B-related stigma among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people in New South Wales, Australia

BACKGROUND

Experiences of stigma and discrimination can act as a significant barrier to testing, monitoring, and treatment for hepatitis B virus (HBV). Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander Australians are a population disproportionately impacted by HBV and yet limited research has explored HBV-related stigma in these communities. To begin preliminary explorations of HBV-related stigma among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people, we interviewed health workers about their perceptions regarding HBV infection and HBV-related stigma.

METHODS

Participants were recruited from staff involved in the Deadly Liver Mob (DLM) program which is a health promotion program that offers incentives for Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander clients to be educated on viral hepatitis, recruit and educate peers, and receive screening and treatment for blood-borne viruses (BBVs) and sexually transmissible infections (STIs), and vaccination. Semi-structured interviews were conducted with 11 Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander and non-Aboriginal or Torres Strait Islander health workers who have been involved in the development, implementation, and/or management of the DLM program within participating services in New South Wales, Australia.

RESULTS

Findings suggest that stigma is a barrier to accessing mainstream health care among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander clients, with stigma being complex and multi-layered. Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander people contend with multiple and intersecting layers of stigma and discrimination in their lives, and thus HBV is just one dimension of those experiences. Health workers perceived that stigma is fuelled by multiple factors, including poor HBV health literacy within the health workforce broadly and among Aboriginal and Torres Strait Islander clients, shame about social practices associated with viral hepatitis, and fear of unknown transmission risks and health outcomes. The DLM program was viewed as helping to resist and reject stigma, improve health literacy among both health workers and clients, and build trust and confidence in mainstream health services.

CONCLUSIONS

Health promotion programs have the potential to reduce stigma by acting as a 'one stop shop' for BBVs and STIs through one-on-one support, yarning, and promotion of the HBV vaccine, monitoring for chronic HBV, and treatment (where required).

Predicting Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk in Chronic Hepatitis B Patients Receiving Finite Periods of Antiviral Therapy

PURPOSE

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most severe complications in chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection. HCC can still develop in patients with chronic HBV (CHB) infection undergoing antiviral therapy. Several effective scoring systems for the prediction of HCC risk in CHB patients have been established. However, very few of them are designed for CHB patients receiving nucleos(t)ide analogues (NAs) therapy. Furthermore, none are available for HCC risk prediction in CHB patients receiving finite periods of antiviral therapy.

METHODS

This study enrolled 790 consecutive treatment-naïve patients with CHB infection who had visited our liver clinics from 2008 to 2012 for pretreatment assessment before receiving antiviral therapies. The treatments were provided at finite periods according to the National Health Insurance Policy in Taiwan. The last follow-up date was 31 December 2021. We analyzed the virological and clinical factors in these 790 CHB patients receiving finite periods of NA treatments and identified the most significant risk factors for HCC to establish a novel predictive scoring system. By using stepwise selection in a multivariate Cox proportional hazards model, we divided the patients into three risk groups.

RESULTS

Our predictive scoring system included five independent variables: genotype C (adjusted HR [aHR] = 2.23), NA-withdraw-related hepatitis relapse (aHR = 6.96), male (aHR = 4.19), liver cirrhosis (aHR = 11.14), and T1768A core promoter mutation (aHR = 3.21). This model revealed significant differences in HCC incidence among the three risk groups. The 5-year cumulative HCC risk significantly differed among the three risk groups (low risk: 1.33%, moderate risk: 4.99%, and high risk: 17.46%), with log-rank test p < 0.001.

CONCLUSION

Our predictive scoring system is a promising tool for the prediction of HCC in CHB patients receiving finite NA treatments. Genotype C, NA-withdraw-related hepatitis relapse, male gender, liver cirrhosis, and the T1768A HBV core promoter mutation were significant independent risk factors.

Chronicles of HBV and the Road to HBV Cure

Chronic hepatitis B remains a major public health concern and a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide, specifically through its causative role in chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma. Worldwide, it affects up to 292 million people. In this paper, we review the historic discovery of the hepatitis B virus and chronicle the significant advances in our understanding of the virus and its interactions with the human host to cause disease. We also overview advancements in therapies for hepatitis B virus and the current absence of curative therapies and highlight on-going therapeutic efforts in search of curative therapies to control transmission and eradicate hepatitis B virus.

Significance of Circulating Cell-Free DNA Biomarkers in HBeAg-Negative Chronic Hepatitis B Virus Infection and Their Changes after Treatment Initiation

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection is a common chronic liver disease that is closely associated with increased morbidity and mortality. Circulating cell-free DNA (cf-DNA) and global DNA methylation, expressed as circulating levels of 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine, are increasingly used to monitor chronic inflammatory diseases of several etiologies. This study attempts to investigate the serum levels of circulating cf-DNA and 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine in HBeAg-negative patients with chronic infection (carriers) and chronic hepatitis B (CHB), as well as their changes after treatment initiation in CHB.

METHODS

Serum samples from a total of 61 HBeAg-negative patients (30 carriers and 31 CHB patients) were included in order to quantify the levels of circulating cf-DNA and 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine. In addition, serum samples from 17 CHB patients in complete virological and biochemical remission after initiation of treatment with a nucleos(t)ide analogue were included.

RESULTS

Circulating cf-DNA concentration was significantly increased after the initiation of treatment (15 vs. 10 ng/mL, p = 0.022). There was a trend in higher mean levels of circulating 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine in carriers compared to CHB patients (211.02 vs. 175.66 ng/mL, p = 0.089), as well as a trend in increasing 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine levels after treatment initiation in CHB patients compared to pre-treatment levels (215 vs. 173 ng/mL, p = 0.079).

CONCLUSIONS

Both circulating levels of cf-DNA and 5-methyl-2'-deoxycytidine might be useful biomarkers in order to monitor liver disease activity and response to antiviral treatment in HBeAg-negative chronic HBV patients, but further studies are essential in order to validate these intriguing findings.

Current Challenges and Future Direction in Surveillance for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

The burden for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) attributed to nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) continues to grow in parallel with rising global trends in obesity. The risk of HCC is elevated among patients with NAFLD-related cirrhosis to a level that justifies surveillance based on cost-effectiveness argument. The quality of current evidence for HCC surveillance in all patients with chronic liver disease is poor, and even lower in those with NAFLD. For a lack of more precise risk-stratification tools, current approaches to defining a target population in noncirrhotic NAFLD are limited to noninvasive tests for liver fibrosis, as a proxy for liver-related morbidity and mortality. Beyond etiology and severity of liver disease, traditional and metabolic risk factors, such as diabetes mellitus, older age, male gender and tobacco smoking, are not enough for HCC risk stratification for surveillance efficacy and effectiveness in NAFLD. There is an association between molecular and genetic factors and HCC risk in NAFLD, and risk models integrating both clinical and genetic factors will be key to personalizing HCC risk. In this review, we discuss concerns regarding defining a target population, surveillance test accuracy, surveillance underuse, and other cost-effective considerations for HCC surveillance in individuals with NAFLD.

Clinical features and management issues of NAFLD-related HCC: what we know so far

INTRODUCTION

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is replacing viral hepatitis as the leading cause of chronic liver disease and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in many Western countries. NAFLD-associated HCC usually affects older patients with multiple comorbidities, frequently develops in the absence of cirrhosis, and is often diagnosed later with worse chance of survival. The worse prognosis is also due to limited surveillance strategies and a lower efficacy of standard treatments.

AREAS COVERED

We evaluate the available literature to understand the current surveillance strategies and treatment limitations in the workup of NAFLD-associated HCC, focusing on the differences with HCC associated with other liver diseases.

EXPERT OPINION

In this review we discuss epidemiology and risk factors for HCC in NAFLD patients and address key HCC surveillance and management issues. Although most data are still preliminary, the detection of non-cirrhotic NAFLD patients at increased risk for HCC and the potential adoption of novel screening tools could lead to accurate and suitable HCC surveillance and management strategies for NAFLD patients.

Alanine aminotransferase levels as therapeutic targets after nucleotide/nucleoside analog therapy in patient with chronic hepatitis B

AIM

Alanine aminotransferase (ALT) is a criterion for the introduction of nucleotide/nucleoside analog (NA), and ALT levels are decreased by NA treatment. However, the association between post-treatment ALT levels and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk remains unclear. To fill this gap, we aimed to establish a target value of ALT level during NA treatment.

METHODS

In total, 413 patients with chronic hepatitis B who received entecavir, tenofovir alafenamide, or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were enrolled. The subsequent development of HCC was examined and a target value of ALT level during NA treatment as a risk marker for HCC was evaluated.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 5.1 years, during which time 27 patients (8.6%) developed HCC. ALT level at the start of treatment was not associated with HCC development (p = 0.08). When stratified by ALT at 1 year after NA initiation, the cumulative 3- and 5-year rates of HCC for patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L were 11.5% and 18.1%, and those with ALT <21 IU/L was 2.3% and 6.5%, respectively. Patients with ALT <21 IU/L had a significantly lower risk of HCC development compared with patients with ALT ≥21 IU/L (p = 0.002). In multivariable analysis adjusting age, sex, and platelet counts, ALT ≥21 IU/L was an independent risk factor of HCC development with hazard ratio of 4.5 (95% confidence interval: 1.01-20.4).

CONCLUSIONS

ALT <21 IU/L at 1 year after NA initiation has a lower risk of HCC and could be used as a target value for NA treatment.

Risk factors for hepatocellular carcinoma at baseline and 1 year after initiation of nucleos(t)ide analog therapy for chronic hepatitis B

Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) cannot completely suppress the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). This study aimed to identify the risk factors for HCC development in naïve CHB patients treated with current NA. Patients receiving NA (n = 905) were recruited retrospectively from the 17 hospitals of the Japanese Red Cross Liver Study Group. All treatment-naïve patients had been receiving current NA continuously for more than 1 year until the end of the follow-up. We analyzed the accuracy of predictive risk score using the area under receiver operating characteristic curve. The albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) score was significantly improved by NA therapy (-0.171 ± 0.396; p < 0.001 at Week 48). A total of 72 (8.0%) patients developed HCC over a median follow-up of 6.2 (1.03-15.7) years. An independent predictive factor of HCC development was older age, cirrhosis, lower platelet counts at baseline and ALBI score, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) at 1 year after NA therapy according to multivariate analysis. The accuracy was assessed using the PAGE-B, mPAGE-B, aMAP, APA-B, and REAL-B scores that included these factors. Discrimination was generally acceptable for these models. aMAP and REAL-B demonstrated high discrimination with 0.866/0.862 and 0.833/0.859 for 3- and 5-year prediction from the status of 1 year after NA therapy, respectively. Baseline age and platelet count, as well as ALBI and AFP one year after NA, were useful for stratifying carcinogenesis risk. The aMAP and REAL-B scores were validated with high accuracy in Japanese CHB patients.

Long-Term Prediction Model for Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis B Receiving Antiviral Therapy: Based on Data from Korean Patients

Predicting the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a key clinical issue in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). The aim of this study was to develop a precise and simple HCC risk score for up to 10 years. A total of 1895 CHB patients treated with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate were retrospectively recruited and randomized into derivation (n = 1239) and validation cohorts (n = 656). Variables proven to be independent risk factors for HCC in the derivation cohort were used to develop the prediction model. The ACCESS-HCC model included five variables (age, cirrhosis, consumption of ethanol, liver stiffness, and serum alanine aminotransferase). Areas under curves were 0.798, 0.762, and 0.883 for HCC risk at 3, 5, and 10 years, respectively, which were higher than those of other prediction models. The scores were categorized according to significantly different HCC incidences: 0-4, low; 5-8, intermediate; and 9-14, high-risk. The annual incidence rates were 0.5%, 3.2%, and 11.3%, respectively. The performance of this model was validated in an independent cohort. The ACCESS-HCC model shows improved long-term prediction and provides three distinct risk categories for HCC in CHB patients receiving antiviral therapy. Further research is needed for external validation using larger cohorts.

Systematic review: Clinical outcomes of discontinuation of oral antivirals in hepatitis B-related liver cirrhosis

Background

Discontinuation of Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) remains one of the most controversial topics in the management of hepatitis B-related liver cirrhosis. However, clinical outcomes after NAs discontinuation have not been studied.

Aim

The aim of this systematic review is to evaluate existing data on clinical outcomes of NAs withdrawal in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

A literature search (until May 2022) was performed in order to identify all published studies including hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients who discontinued NAs in virological remission with off-therapy follow-up >12 months.

Results

Nineteen studies with 1,287 hepatitis B-related cirrhotic patients were included. Most cirrhotic patients were compensated and achieved complete virological suppression when they stopped the antiviral therapy. The pooled proportions of virological relapse and clinical relapse after NAs discontinuation in cirrhotic patients were 55.23 (95% CI: 40.33-69.67) and 43.56% (95% CI: 26.13-61.85), respectively. HBsAg loss was observed in 56 of 500 (pooled proportion = 13.68%, 95% CI: 5.82-24.18) cirrhotic patients. And the pooled proportions of HCC development, hepatic decompensation and overall mortality were 8.76 (95% CI: 2.25-18.95), 3.63 (95% CI: 1.31-7.03), and 0.85% (95% CI: 0.35-1.57), respectively, after NAs discontinuation in cirrhotic patients.

Conclusion

In hepatitis B-related compensated cirrhosis, who have achieved complete virological suppression, discontinuation of oral antivirals still carries a high relapse rate, but the incidence of adverse events is generally low and controlled during follow-up of at least 12 months. Of attention is that discontinuation of NAs can achieve a high rate of HBsAg seroclearance. This study may be helpful in the management of NAs in cirrhotic patients.

Systematic review registration

http://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO, identifier: CRD42020170103.

Screening of the Key Genes for the Progression of Liver Cirrhosis to Hepatocellular Carcinoma Based on Bioinformatics

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), which is among the most globally prevalent cancers, is strongly associated with liver cirrhosis. Using a bioinformatics approach, we have identified and investigated the hub genes responsible for the progression of cirrhosis into HCC. We analyzed the Gene Expression Omnibus (GEO) microarray datasets, GSE25097 and GSE17549, to identify differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in these two conditions and also performed protein-protein interaction (PPI) network analysis. STRING database and Cytoscape software were used to analyze the modules and locate hub genes following which the connections between hub genes and the transition from cirrhosis to HCC, progression of HCC, and prognosis of HCC were investigated. We used the Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis to detect the molecular mechanisms underlying the action of the primary hub genes. In all, 239 DEGs were obtained, with 94 of them showing evidence of upregulation and 145 showing evidence of downregulation in HCC tissues as compared to cirrhotic liver tissues. We identified six hub genes, namely, BUB1B, NUSAP1, TTK, HMMR, CCNA2, and KIF2C, which were upregulated and had a high diagnostic value for HCC. Besides, these six hub genes were positively related to immune cell infiltration. Since these genes may play a direct role in the progression of cirrhosis to HCC, they can be considered as potential novel molecular indicators for the onset and development of HCC.

Management of Chronic Hepatitis B in HIV-Coinfected Patients

Hepatitis B virus infection occurs in approximately 7% of people living with HIV (PLWH), with substantial regional variation and higher prevalence among intravenous drug users. Early studies on the natural history of HIV/HBV coinfection demonstrated that in coinfected patients, chronic hepatitis B (CHB) has a more rapid progression than in HBV-monoinfected patients, leading to end-stage liver disease complications, including hepatocellular carcinoma. Therefore, the adequate management of CHB is considered a priority in HIV-coinfected patients. Several guidelines have highlighted this issue and have provided recommendations for preventing and treating HBV infection. This article discusses the management of liver disease in patients with HIV/HBV coinfection and summarizes the current and future therapeutic options for treating chronic hepatitis B in this setting.

Trends in decompensated cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma among people with a hepatitis B notification in New South Wales

Background & Aims

Population-level trends and factors associated with HBV-related decompensated cirrhosis (DC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver-related mortality are crucial to evaluate the impacts of therapeutic interventions.

Methods

Trends in HBV-DC and -HCC diagnoses and liver-related mortality in New South Wales, Australia, were determined through linkage of HBV notifications (1993-2017) to hospital admissions (2001-2018), mortality (1993-2018), and cancer registry (1994-2014) databases. Late HBV notification was defined as notification at or within 2 years of a DC or HCC diagnosis. Cox proportional-hazards regression and multivariable logistic regression analyses were performed to evaluate associated factors.

Results

Among 60,660 people with a HBV notification, 1,276 (2.0%) DC and 1,087 (1.8%) HCC diagnoses, and 1,219 (2.0%) liver-related deaths were documented. Since the early 2000s, the number of DC and HCC diagnoses increased; however, age-standardised incidence decreased from 2.64 and 1.95 in 2003 to 1.14 and 1.09 per 1,000 person-years in 2017, respectively. Similarly, age-standardised liver mortality decreased from 2.60 in 2003 to 1.14 per 1,000 person-years in 2017. Among people with DC and HCC diagnoses, late HBV notification declined from 41% and 40% between 2001-2009 to 29% and 25% in 2010-2018, respectively. Predictors of DC diagnosis included older age (birth <1944, adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 2.06, 95% CI 1.57–2.69), alcohol use disorder (aHR 4.82, 95% CI 3.96–5.87) and HCV co-infection (aHR 1.88, 95% CI 1.53–2.31). Predictors of HCC diagnosis included older age (birth <1944, aHR 3.94, 95% CI 2.91–5.32) and male sex (aHR 3.79, 95% CI 3.05–4.71).

Conclusion

In an era of improved antiviral therapies, the risk of HBV-related liver morbidity and mortality has declined. HCV co-infection and alcohol use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with the burden of HBV.

Lay summary

Rising hepatitis B-related morbidity and mortality is a major public health concern. However, the development of highly effective medicines against hepatitis B virus (HBV) has brought renewed optimism for its elimination by 2030. This study shows a steady decline in HBV-related liver morbidity and mortality in New South Wales, Australia. Moreover, late hepatitis notification has also declined, allowing individuals with HBV to have access to timely antiviral treatment. Despite this, hepatitis C co-infection and alcohol use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with HBV disease burden. To attain the desired benefits from highly effective antiviral treatment, managing comorbidities, including hepatitis C and high alcohol use, must improve among individuals with hepatitis B.

•

The World Health Organization has set a 65% HBV mortality reduction target by 2030.

•

Since the early 2000s, diagnoses of decompensated cirrhosis and HCC increased, but age-standardised incidence rates decreased.

•

Age-standardised liver mortality rates decreased from 2.64 in 2003 to 0.97 per 1,000 person-years in 2017.

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Late HBV notification declined from 41% and 40% during 2001-2009 to 28% and 26% in 2010-2018, respectively.

•

Hepatitis C co-infection and alcohol-use disorder are key modifiable risk factors associated with HBV disease burden.

Risk prediction models for hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis B patients on antiviral therapy: A meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The risk prediction of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) is a challenge especially in the era of antiviral therapy. The aim of this meta-analysis was to comprehensively evaluate the performance of existing HCC prediction scores in HCC prediction on antivirals.

METHODS

We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library for relevant prospective studies from the inception to August 24, 2021. The areas under the receiver operating characteristics (AUROCs) and their relevant 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of the risk prediction models were calculated.

RESULTS

Nine eligible articles with 21561 patients (HCC developed in 947patients, 4.39%; mean follow-up duration: 5 years) and 14 predictive risk scores were included. The pooled AUROC of all included scores for 3-year and 5-year prediction of HCC was 0.72 (95%CI 0.68-0.76) and 0.80 (95%CI 0.76-0.83), with the corresponding sensitivity of 0.84 (95% CI 0.71-0.92) and 0.91(95% CI 0.86-0.95) and specificity of 0.46 (95% CI 0.30-0.63) and 0.48 (95% CI 0.37-0.59), respectively. All the 14 prediction models, as a whole, performed well in different populations, whether they include factor cirrhotic status or not; while those integrated viral load were less accurate (sensitivity 0.78, specificity of 0.57).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with CHB on antivirals, the scores included in our meta-analysis have been proven to be useful for mid-long term HCC prediction. Viral load seems not useful, whereas cirrhosis and its objective surrogates remain the predominant components. These models are expected to translate clinical benefits if used in complementarity with regular HCC surveillance.

Risk of HBV reactivation during therapies for HCC: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Treatment for HCC has evolved rapidly, but the risk of HBV reactivation to new therapies is unclear. We systematically reviewed data on HBV reactivation in patients receiving HCC therapy in relation to use of HBV antiviral prophylaxis.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

A literature search was performed to identify all published studies including HBsAg-positive patients with HCC providing data on HBV reactivation. Forty-one studies with 10,223 patients, all from Asia, were included. The pooled HBV reactivation rate was 5% in patients receiving no specific HCC therapy and was higher in patients undergoing surgical resection (16%), transarterial chemoembolization (19%), or radiotherapy (14%) and intermediate in patients treated with local ablation therapy (7%) or systemic agents (7%). HBV reactivation rates were higher in those without compared to those with HBV prophylaxis (ablation, 9% versus 0%; resection, 20% versus 3%; chemoembolization, 23% versus 1%; external radiotherapy alone, 18% versus 0%; systemic therapy, 9% versus 3%). HBV-related biochemical reactivation rates varied between 6%-11% and 2% in patients receiving HCC therapies with high and intermediate HBV reactivation risk, respectively. Liver decompensation and death were rarely reported (0%-3%) and only in patients receiving HCC treatment with high HBV reactivation risk.

CONCLUSIONS

HBsAg-positive patients with HCC are at high or intermediate risk of HBV reactivation depending on the type of HCC therapy. Nucleos(t)ide analogue prophylaxis reduces the risk of HBV reactivation, practically eliminates the risk of hepatitis flare, and should be administered regardless of HCC treatment.

The second Mexican consensus on hepatocellular carcinoma. Part I: Epidemiology and diagnosis

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is more frequently manifesting as one of the main complications of cirrhosis of the liver, its principal risk factor. There have been modifications in its incidence over the past decade, related to an epidemiologic transition in the etiology of cirrhosis, with a decrease in the prevalence of hepatitis C and an increase in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) as a cause, as well as the development of HCC in the non-cirrhotic liver due to NAFLD. Genetic markers associated with the disease have been identified, and surveillance and diagnosis have improved. Regarding treatment, surgical techniques, in both resection and transplantation, have advanced and radiologic techniques, at the curative stage of the disease, have enhanced survival in those patients. And finally, there have been radical changes in the systemic approach, with much more optimistic expectations, when compared with the options available a decade ago. Therefore, the Asociación Mexicana de Hepatología decided to carry out the Second Mexican Consensus on Hepatocellular Carcinoma, which is an updated review of the available national and international evidence on the epidemiology, risk factors, surveillance, diagnosis, and treatment of the disease, to offer the Mexican physician current information on the different topics regarding hepatocellular carcinoma. In this first part of the document, the topics related to epidemiology and diagnosis are presented.

Hepatitis B Virus-Associated Hepatocellular Carcinoma and Chronic Stress

The Hepatitis B virus is one of the most significant hepatocarcinogens globally. The carcinogenic mechanisms of this virus are complex, and may include interactions with the host's immune system. Certain factors, such as stress on the body, can also potentiate these mechanisms. Stress, although adaptive in an acute form, is deleterious to health when chronic and can both suppress and activate the host's defense system. In hepatocellular carcinoma, this can lead to tumor initiation and progression. Those that are more prone to stress, or exposed to situations that incite stress, may be at higher risk of developing cancer. Racial disparities, for example, are a source of chronic psychosocial stress in America and predispose minorities to poorer outcomes. As it remains perplexing why some individuals with chronic hepatitis B develop feared complications while others do not, it is important to recognize as many risk factors as possible, including those often overlooked such as chronic stress.

Low Rates of Hepatitis B Virus Treatment Among Treatment-Eligible Patients in Safety-Net Health Systems

BACKGROUND

Timely initiation of antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis B virus (CHB) reduces risk of disease progression. We evaluate overall treatment rates and predictors of treatment among treatment-eligible safety-net CHB patients.

METHODS

We retrospectively evaluated adults with CHB from 2010 to 2018 across 4 large safety-net health systems in the United States. CHB was identified with ICD-9/10 diagnosis coding and confirmed with laboratory data. Treatment eligibility was determined using American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) guidelines. Comparison of CHB treatment rates among treatment-eligible patients were performed using χ2 testing, Kaplan Meier methods and log-rank testing. Adjusted multivariate Cox proportional hazards models evaluated independent predictors of receiving treatment among eligible patients.

RESULTS

Among 5157 CHB patients (54.7% male, 34.6% African American, 22.3% Asian), 46.8% were treatment-eligible during the study period. CHB treatment rates were 48.4% overall and 37.3% among CHB patients without human immunodeficiency virus. Significantly lower odds of treatment were observed in females versus males (odds ratio: 0.40, 95% confidence interval: 0.33-0.49, P<0.001) and patients age 65 years or above versus age below 45 years (odds ratio: 0.68, 95% confidence interval: 0.51-0.92, P=0.012). Conversely, significantly greater odds of treatment were observed in African American and Asians versus non-Hispanic whites, CHB patients with indigent care versus commercially insured patients, and non-English speaking versus English speaking patients.

CONCLUSION

Among a large multicentered, safety-net cohort of CHB patients, 46.8% of treatment-eligible CHB patients overall and 37.3% of treatment-eligible CHB patients without human immunodeficiency virus received antiviral therapy. Improving CHB treatment rates among treatment-eligible patients represents "low hanging fruit," given the clear benefits of antiviral therapy in mitigating disease progression.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in antiviral treatment-naïve chronic hepatitis B patients treated with entecavir or tenofovir disoproxil fumarate: a network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Long-term antiviral treatments are associated with a significantly lower hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence in chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients by reducing HBV DNA concentrations. However, it is still controversial whether antiviral strategies affect HCC development in antiviral treatment-naïve CHB patients. This study aimed to estimate the incidence of HCC in antiviral treatment-naïve CHB patients who were treated with Entecavir (ETV) and Tenofovir Disoproxil Fumarate (TDF) and compare the efficacy of two treatment regimens in HCC reduction.

METHODS

The PubMed, Embase, China National Knowledge Infrastructure, and Wanfang databases were systematically searched until June 24, 2021. The pooled incidence and 95% confidence interval of HCC were calculated by the Freeman-Tukey double arcsine transformation method. The efficacies of ETV and TDF treatments in HCC reduction were compared through a network meta-analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 27 studies were identified as eligible for this systematic review. The incidence densities in the ETV and TDF treatment groups were 2.78 (95% CI: 2.21-3.40) and 2.59 (95% CI: 1.51-3.96) per 100 persons-year among patients with preexisting cirrhosis and 0.49 (95% CI: 0.32-0.68) and 0.30 (95% CI: 0.06-0.70) per 100 persons-year among patients without preexisting cirrhosis. As the proportion of CHB patients with preexisting cirrhosis increased, the incidence density of HCC also increased gradually. Compared with other Nucleos(t)ide analogs (NAs) treatments, ETV and TDF treatments significantly lowered the risk of HCC, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 0.60 (95% CI: 0.40-0.90) and 0.56 (95% CI: 0.35-0.89), respectively. However, there was no difference in the incidence density of HCC between ETV and TDF treatments (HR = 0.92, 95% CI: 0.71-1.20) regardless of preexisting cirrhosis.

CONCLUSION

ETV and TDF treatments were associated with significantly lower risks of HCC than other NAs treatments. However, no difference was observed between ETV and TDF treatments in the risk of HCC development regardless of preexisting cirrhosis among treatment-naïve CHB patients.

Entecavir combined with interferon-α Is superior to entecavir monotherapy in reducing hepatic and extrahepatic cancer in patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study was to assess whether entecavir (ETV) in combination with interferon-α (IFN-α) could reduce hepatocellular cancer (HCC) and extrahepatic cancers (EHCs) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB).

METHODS

The cohort consisted of 4194 patients with CHB treated with ETV combined with IFN-α or ETV monotherapy at a tertiary hospital in Beijing, China, from January 2009 to December 2017. The risks, hazard ratios (HRs), and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) of HCC and EHCs were compared in the 2 groups.

RESULTS

In a multivariate Cox regression analysis, a significantly lower risk of HCC (HR, 0.6; 95% CI, 0.3-0.9; P = .0310) and a marginally significantly lower risk of EHCs (HR, 0.2; 95% CI, 0.02-1.3; P = .0854) were observed in the group receiving ETV combined with IFN-α in comparison with the ETV monotherapy group. The annual virological response rates were significantly higher in the combination therapy group versus the monotherapy group (33.8% vs 21.2%; P < .0001), but the hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) seroclearance rates were not (1.2% vs 0.9%; P = .8537). The HRs were consistent with propensity score-based matching, inverse probability weighting adjustments, and adjustments for virological response and HBsAg seroclearance.

CONCLUSIONS

ETV combined with IFN-α therapy is superior to ETV monotherapy in reducing the risk of HCC and EHCs for patients with CHB. People who can tolerate and benefit from IFN-α therapy could consider combination therapy.

An artificial intelligence model to predict hepatocellular carcinoma risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with chronic hepatitis B

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Several models have recently been developed to predict risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB). Our aims were to develop and validate an artificial intelligence-assisted prediction model of HCC risk.

METHODS

Using a gradient-boosting machine (GBM) algorithm, a model was developed using 6,051 patients with CHB who received entecavir or tenofovir therapy from 4 hospitals in Korea. Two external validation cohorts were independently established: Korean (5,817 patients from 14 Korean centers) and Caucasian (1,640 from 11 Western centers) PAGE-B cohorts. The primary outcome was HCC development.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort and the 2 validation cohorts, cirrhosis was present in 26.9%-50.2% of patients at baseline. A model using 10 parameters at baseline was derived and showed good predictive performance (c-index 0.79). This model showed significantly better discrimination than previous models (PAGE-B, modified PAGE-B, REACH-B, and CU-HCC) in both the Korean (c-index 0.79 vs. 0.64-0.74; all p <0.001) and Caucasian validation cohorts (c-index 0.81 vs. 0.57-0.79; all p <0.05 except modified PAGE-B, p = 0.42). A calibration plot showed a satisfactory calibration function. When the patients were grouped into 4 risk groups, the minimal-risk group (11.2% of the Korean cohort and 8.8% of the Caucasian cohort) had a less than 0.5% risk of HCC during 8 years of follow-up.

CONCLUSIONS

This GBM-based model provides the best predictive power for HCC risk in Korean and Caucasian patients with CHB treated with entecavir or tenofovir.

LAY SUMMARY

Risk scores have been developed to predict the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with chronic hepatitis B. We developed and validated a new risk prediction model using machine learning algorithms in 13,508 antiviral-treated patients with chronic hepatitis B. Our new model, based on 10 common baseline characteristics, demonstrated superior performance in risk stratification compared with previous risk scores. This model also identified a group of patients at minimal risk of developing HCC, who could be indicated for less intensive HCC surveillance.

Viral hepatitis in 2021: The challenges remaining and how we should tackle them

Viral hepatitis results in 1.4 million deaths annually. The World Health Organization (WHO) set an ambitious target to eliminate viral hepatitis by 2030, but significant challenges remain. These include inequalities in access to healthcare, reaching at risk populations and providing access to screening and effective treatment. Stigma around viral hepatitis persists and must be addressed. The WHO goal of global elimination by 2030 is a worthy aim, but remains ambitious and the coronavirus 2019 pandemic undoubtedly has set back progress. This review article will focus on hepatitis A to E, highlighting problems that have been resolved in the field over the past decade, those that remain to be resolved and suggest directions for future problem solving and research.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Chronic Viral Hepatitis: Where Do We Stand?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the major causes of cancer-related death. Although the burden of alcohol- and NASH-related HCC is growing, chronic viral hepatitis (HBV and HCV) remains a major cause of HCC development worldwide. The pathophysiology of viral-related HCC includes liver inflammation, oxidative stress, and deregulation of cell signaling pathways. HBV is particularly oncogenic because, contrary to HCV, integrates in the cell DNA and persists despite virological suppression by nucleotide analogues. Surveillance by six-month ultrasound is recommended in patients with cirrhosis and in "high-risk" patients with chronic HBV infection. Antiviral therapy reduces the risks of development and recurrence of HCC; however, patients with advanced chronic liver disease remain at risk of HCC despite virological suppression/cure and should therefore continue surveillance. Multiple scores have been developed in patients with chronic hepatitis B to predict the risk of HCC development and may be used to stratify individual patient's risk. In patients with HCV-related liver disease who achieve sustained virological response by direct acting antivirals, there is a strong need for markers/scores to predict long-term risk of HCC. In this review, we discuss the most recent advances regarding viral-related HCC.