Non-invasive tests accurately stratify patients with NAFLD based on their risk of liver-related events

Poor accuracy and sustainability of the first-step FIB4 EASL pathway for stratifying steatotic liver disease risk in the general population

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The European Association for the Study of the Liver introduced a clinical pathway (EASL CP) for screening significant/advanced fibrosis in people at risk of steatotic liver disease (SLD). We assessed the performance of the first-step FIB4 EASL CP in the general population across different SLD risk groups (MASLD, Met-ALD and ALD) and various age classes.

METHODS

We analysed a total of 3372 individuals at risk of SLD from the 2017-2018 National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES17-18), projected to 152.3 million U.S. adults, 300,329 from the UK Biobank (UKBB) and 57,644 from the Biobank Japan (BBJ). We assessed liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥8 kPa and liver-related events occurring within 3 and 10 years (3/10 year-LREs) as outcomes. We defined MASLD, MetALD, and ALD according to recent international recommendations.

RESULTS

FIB4 sensitivity for LSM ≥ 8 kPa was low (27.7%), but it ranged approximately 80%-90% for 3-year LREs. Using FIB4, 22%-57% of subjects across the three cohorts were identified as candidates for vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE), which was mostly avoidable (positive predictive value of FIB4 ≥ 1.3 for LSM ≥ 8 kPa ranging 9.5%-13% across different SLD categories). Sensitivity for LSM ≥ 8 kPa and LREs increased with increasing alcohol intake (ALD>MetALD>MASLD) and age classes. For individuals aged ≥65 years, using the recommended age-adjusted FIB4 cut-off (≥2) substantially reduced sensitivity for LSM ≥ 8 kPa and LREs.

CONCLUSIONS

The first-step FIB4 EASL CP is poorly accurate and feasible for individuals at risk of SLD in the general population. It is crucial to enhance the screening strategy with a first-step approach able to reduce unnecessary VCTEs and optimise their yield.

Increases and decreases in liver stiffness measurements are independently associated with the risk of liver-related events in NAFLD

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The clinical significance of change in liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) in patients with NAFLD is not well-understood. We prospectively defined rates of progression to and regression from LSM-defined compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) and their associations with liver-related events (LRE).

METHODS

Participants in the NASH Clinical Research Network NAFLD Database 2 and 3 studies were included. Progression to cACLD was defined as reaching LSM ≥10 kPa in participants with LSM < 10 kPa on initial VCTE; regression from cACLD was defined as reaching LSM < 10 kPa in participants with baseline LSM ≥ 10 kPa. LRE was defined ≥1 of the following: liver-related death, liver transplant, hepatocellular carcinoma, MELD>15, development of varices, or hepatic decompensation. Univariate and multivariable interval-censored Cox regression analyses were used to compare the cumulative LRE probability by LSM progression and regression status.

RESULTS

In 1,403 participants, 89 LRE developed over a mean follow-up of 4.4 years with an LRE annual incidence rate of 1.5 (95% CI: 1.2-1.8). In participants at risk, progression to LSM ≥10 or ≥15 kPa occurred in 29% and 17%, whereas regression to LSM <10 or <15 Kpa occurred in 44% and 49%. Progressors to cACLD (≥10 kPa) experienced a higher cumulative LRE rate versus non-progressors [16% vs 4%, Adj.HR: 3.8, 95% CI [2.3-6.5], P < 0.01]. Regressors from cACLD (to LSM <10 kPA) experienced a lower LRE rate than non-regressors [7% vs 32%%, Adj.HR: 0.25, 95% CI [0.10-0.61], P < 0.01] CONCLUSIONS: Change in LSM over time is independently and bi-directionally associated with risk of LRE and is a non-invasive surrogate for clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD. (Word count: 275) IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS: The prognostic value of change in LSM in patients with NAFLD is not well understood. In this large prospective study of patients with NAFLD and serial VCTE exams, baseline and dynamic changes in LSM were associated with the risk of developing liver-related events. LSM is a useful non-invasive surrogate of clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD.

MASLD and MASH at the crossroads of hepatology trials and cardiorenal metabolic trials

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) is a worldwide public health problem, causing considerable morbidity and mortality. Patients with SLD are at increased risk for major adverse cardiovascular (CV) events, type 2 diabetes mellitus and chronic kidney disease. Conversely, patients with cardiometabolic conditions have a high prevalence of SLD. In addition to epidemiological evidence linking many of these conditions, there is evidence of shared pathophysiological processes. In December 2022, a unique multi-stakeholder, multi-specialty meeting, called MOSAIC (Metabolic multi Organ Science Accelerating Innovation in Clinical Trials) was convened to foster collaboration across metabolic, hepatology, nephrology and CV disorders. One of the goals of the meeting was to consider approaches to drug development that would speed regulatory approval of treatments for multiple disorders by combining liver and cardiorenal endpoints within a single study. Non-invasive tests, including biomarkers and imaging, are needed in hepatic and cardiorenal trials. They can be used as trial endpoints, to enrich trial populations, to diagnose and risk stratify patients and to assess treatment efficacy and safety. Although they are used in proof of concept and phase 2 trials, they are often not acceptable for regulatory approval of therapies. The challenge is defining the optimal combination of biomarkers, imaging and morbidity/mortality outcomes and ensuring that they are included in future trials while minimizing the burden on patients, trialists and trial sponsors. This paper provides an overview of some of the wide array of CV, liver and kidney measurements that were discussed at the MOSAIC meeting.

A retrospective study to determine the correlation among HBV PreS1 antigen, HBV e antigen, alanine aminotransferase, and HBV DNA

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Hepatitis B virus (HBV) infection presents with indicators of varying clinical significance. We aimed to evaluate the correlation among HBV Pre-S1 antigen (HBV PreS1-Ag), HBV e antigen (HBeAg), HBV DNA, and alanine aminotransferase (ALT) levels.

METHODS

We retrospectively analyzed 6180 serum samples collected between 2020 and 2022 at the Shanghai General Hospital, China. Data regarding PreS1-Ag, HBeAg, ALT, and HBV DNA were compiled. Correlation analyses and cross-tabulations were employed to explore the diagnostic indicators.

RESULTS

The detection rates of both antigen indicators showed a proportional increase with HBV DNA loads. The correlation between PreS1-Ag and HBV DNA (r = 0.616) was stronger than that between HBeAg and HBV DNA (r = 0.391). The specificity of PreS1-Ag (84.30 %) was lower than that of HBeAg (97.44 %), whereas the sensitivity of HBeAg (91.13 %) significantly surpassed that of PreS1-Ag (29.56 %). Among the HBV DNA positive patients, 92.04 % tested positive for at least one indicator, which exceeded the rate of PreS1+HBeAg- and PreS1-HBeAg+ (52. 28 % and 68. 56 %, respectively). Only 1.75 % of the patients exhibited double negativity, which was lower than the percentage of patients with single negativity (1.95 % and 12.00 % for PreS1-Ag and HBeAg, respectively). The PreS1 levels correlated with ALT levels (r = 0.317); patients with PreS1-positive status had higher ALT levels than patients with PreS1-negative status.

CONCLUSION

PreS1-Ag is a more robust HBV replication indicator than HBeAg. PreS1-Ag displayed high sensitivity, whereas HBeAg demonstrated high specificity. Moreover, PreS1-Ag levels correlated with ALT levels. A combination of these indicators demonstrated dependable clinical value for detecting HBV infection and evaluating liver function.

Combination Therapy of Endoscopic Gastric Remodeling with GLP-1RA for the Treatment of MASLD

PURPOSE

The mainstay of treatment for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is weight loss. Endoscopic gastric remodeling (EGR) and glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP-1RA) are effective weight loss therapies. This study aims to assess the effect of combining EGR with GLP-1RA on liver-related outcomes and weight profile.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This is a retrospective study of a prospectively collected registry of patients with MASLD and compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) who underwent EGR. Patients were categorized as (1) monotherapy: EGR alone and (2) combination therapy: GLP-1RA prescribed within 6 months prior to or after EGR. Outcomes included changes in noninvasive tests of hepatic fibrosis, weight profile, and insulin resistance status at 12 months.

RESULTS

Thirty patients (body mass index 40.7 ± 9.3 kg/m2) were included. Of these, 12 patients (40%) underwent EGR monotherapy, and 18 patients (60%) underwent EGR + GLP-1RA combination therapy. Combination therapy group experienced greater improvements in fibrosis compared to monotherapy group (alanine aminotransferase: reduction by 55 ± 23% vs 29 ± 22% (p = 0.008), NAFLD fibrosis score: reduction by 181 ± 182% vs 30 ± 83% (p = 0.04), liver stiffness measurement on transient elastography: reduction by 54 ± 12% vs 14 ± 45% (p = 0.05)). There were greater reductions in hemoglobin A1c and homeostatic model assessment for insulin resistance in combination therapy compared to monotherapy (p < 0.05). At 12 months, the combination therapy group experienced 18.2 ± 6.6% TWL, while monotherapy group experienced 9.6 ± 3.3% TWL (p = 0.004).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with MASLD and cACLD, combination of EGR with GLP-1RA is associated with greater improvements in hepatic fibrosis, weight profile, and insulin resistance compared to EGR alone.

Prognostic value of liver stiffness in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Liver stiffness measurement, assessed by vibration-controlled transient elastography, has been recognized as a powerful tool for liver fibrosis assessment. The potential of liver stiffness measurement to predict clinically relevant outcomes in fatty liver disease has received considerable attention. This study aimed to investigate the prediction of liver-related events in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease patients by liver stiffness measurement value on transient elastography.

METHODS

We systematically searched the Electronic databases including PubMed, EMBASE, Cochrane Library, and ClinicalTrials.gov until 6 September 2023. The hazard ratios adjusted for confounders were extracted and pooled by random-effects model analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 20587 individuals from 7 studies were included. The pooled HRs were 18.65 (95% CI 9.95-34.95, P < 0.01, I2 = 0%) in the stratification analysis of the highest versus lowest liver stiffness measurement categories. In 1-kPa analysis, the risk of liver-related events was increased with 1 kPa increment (HR 1.05, 95% CI 1.03-1.07, P < 0.01, I2 = 74.47%).

CONCLUSIONS

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease patients with high liver stiffness measurement values were at an increased risk of liver-related events. Liver stiffness measurement can be used as a prognostic tool to achieve risk stratification in fatty liver patients.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A silent pandemic

The worldwide epidemiology of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is showing an upward trend, parallel to the rising trend of metabolic syndrome, owing to lifestyle changes. The pathogenesis of NAFLD has not been fully understood yet. Therefore, NAFLD has emerged as a public health concern in the field of hepatology and metabolisms worldwide. Recent changes in the nomenclature from NAFLD to metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease have brought a positive outlook changes in the understanding of the disease process and doctor-patient communication. Lifestyle changes are the main treatment modality. Recently, clinical trial using drugs that target 'insulin resistance' which is the driving force behind NAFLD, have shown promising results. Further translational research is needed to better understand the underlying pathophysiological mechanism of NAFLD which may open newer avenues of therapeutic targets. The role of gut dysbiosis in etiopathogenesis and use of fecal microbiota modification in the treatment should be studied extensively. Prevention of this silent epidemic by spreading awareness and early intervention should be our priority.

The biochemical pattern defines MASLD phenotypes linked to distinct histology and prognosis

BACKGROUND

MASLD can manifest as hepatocellular damage, which can result in mild elevation of aminotransferases. However, in some patients, MASLD presents with cholestatic pattern.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of the biochemical pattern on the natural course of MASLD, including liver damage in histology, the accuracy of non-invasive tests(NITs), and prognosis.

METHODS

Multicenter study enrolling 2156 patients with biopsy-proven MASLD, who were classified based on their[ALT/ULN)]/[(ALP/ULN)] levels at the time of biopsy: (a) hepatocellular pattern(H), > 5; (b) mixed pattern(M),2-5; (c) cholestatic pattern(C), < 2.

OUTCOMES

(a) histological evaluation of the single components of NAS, MASH, and fibrosis; (b) NITs and transient elastography assessing advanced fibrosis; (c) prognosis determined by the appearance of decompensated cirrhosis and death.

RESULTS

Out of the 2156 patients, 22.9% exhibited the H-pattern, whilst 31.7% exhibited the C-pattern. Severe steatosis, ballooning, lobular inflammation, and MASH (56.4% H vs. 41.9% M vs. 31.9% C) were more common in H-pattern (p = 0.0001),whilst C-pattern was linked to cirrhosis (5.8% H vs. 5.6% M vs. 10.9% C; p = 0.0001). FIB-4(0.74(95% CI 0.69-0.79) vs. 0.83 (95% CI 0.80-0.85); p = 0.005) and Hepamet Fibrosis Score(0.77 (95% CI 0.69-0.85) vs. 0.84 (95% CI 0.80-0.87); p = 0.044)exhibited lower AUROCs in the H-pattern. The C-pattern[HR 2.37 (95% CI 1.12-5.02); p = 0.024], along with age, diabetes, and cirrhosis were independently associated with mortality. Most patients maintained their initial biochemical pattern during the second evaluation.

CONCLUSIONS

The H-pattern exhibited greater necro-inflammation in the histology than the C-pattern, whereas the latter showed more cirrhosis. The accuracy of NITs in detecting fibrosis was decreased in H-pattern. The occurrence of decompensated events and mortality was predominant in C-pattern. Therefore, identifying MASLD phenotypes based on the biochemical presentation could be relevant for clinical practice.

Accuracy of a sequential algorithm based on FIB-4 and ELF to identify high-risk advanced liver fibrosis at the primary care level

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the leading cause of chronic liver disease, and liver fibrosis is the strongest predictor of morbimortality. We aimed to assess the performance of a sequential algorithm encompassing the Fibrosis 4 (FIB-4) and Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) scores for identifying patients at risk of advanced fibrosis. This cross-sectional study included one hospital-based cohort with biopsy-proven NAFLD (n = 140) and two primary care cohorts from different clinical settings: Type 2 Diabetes (T2D) follow-up (n = 141) and chronic liver disease (CLD) initial study (n = 138). Logistic regression analysis was performed to assess liver fibrosis diagnosis models based on FIB-4 and ELF biomarkers. The sequential algorithm retrieved the following accuracy parameters in predicting stages F3-4 in the biopsy-confirmed cohort: sensitivity (85%), specificity (73%), negative predictive value (79%) and positive predictive value (81%). In both T2D and CLD cohorts, a total of 28% of patients were classified as stages F3-4. Furthermore, of all F3-4 classified patients in the T2D cohort, 80% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. Likewise, of all F3-4 classified patients in the CLD cohort, 71% had a diagnosis of liver disease and 44% were referred to secondary care. These results suggest the potential utility of this algorithm as a liver fibrosis stratifying tool in primary care, where updating referral protocols to detect high-risk F3-4 is needed. FIB-4 and ELF sequential measurement is an efficient strategy to prioritize patients with high risk of F3-4 in populations with metabolic risk factors.

Liver stiffness predicts progression to liver-related events in patients with chronic liver disease - A cohort study of 14 414 patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver stiffness measurement (LSM) by vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) is a non-invasive diagnostic biomarker of liver fibrosis. It is uncertain if LSM can predict risk for future liver-related outcomes in large, heterogenous populations.

METHODS

This Swedish multi-centre cohort study included patients (n = 14 414) from 16 sites who underwent LSM by VCTE between 2008 and 2020. Outcomes were ascertained from national registers. We investigated progression to cirrhosis with portal hypertension or hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), separately. Cox regression was used to obtain hazard ratios (HRs). Harrel's C-index was used to measure discrimination of VCTE.

RESULTS

Included patients had a median age of 46 (interquartile range 34-57), median LSM of 5.9 kPa (4.6-8.0), 59% were male, and the majority had hepatitis C (50.1%). During a median follow-up of 5.9 (4.3-8.0) years, 402 patients (2.7%) developed cirrhosis with portal hypertension. In patients with an LSM ≥25 kPa, 28.7% developed cirrhosis with portal hypertension within 5 years of follow-up, while only .6% of patients with an LSM <10 kPa did. This translated to a HR of 48.3 (95% confidence interval = 37.6-62.0). VCTE had a high discriminative ability, with C-indices above .80 for most liver diseases, including .82 for MASLD. Similar findings were seen for incident HCC.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased LSM by VCTE was associated with an increased risk of progression to both cirrhosis with portal hypertension, and to HCC, and had a high discriminative ability across different aetiologies of chronic liver diseases. These results support the use of VCTE to guide follow-up and treatment decisions.

Screening for liver fibrosis: lessons from colorectal and lung cancer screening

Many countries have incorporated population screening programmes for cancer, such as colorectal and lung cancer, into their health-care systems. Cirrhosis is more prevalent than colorectal cancer and has a comparable age-standardized mortality rate to lung cancer. Despite this fact, there are no screening programmes in place for early detection of liver fibrosis, the precursor of cirrhosis. In this Perspective, we use insights from colorectal and lung cancer screening to explore the benefits, challenges, implementation strategies and pathways for future liver fibrosis screening initiatives. Several non-invasive methods and referral pathways for early identification of liver fibrosis exist, but in addition to accurate detection, screening programmes must also be cost-effective and demonstrate benefit through a reduction in liver-related mortality. Randomized controlled trials are needed to confirm this. Future randomized screening trials should evaluate not only the screening tests, but also interventions used to halt disease progression in individuals identified through screening.

Validation of the new nomenclature of steatotic liver disease in patients with a history of excessive alcohol intake: an analysis of data from a prospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Steatotic liver disease is a new overarching term that includes metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), metabolic dysfunction and alcohol-related steatotic liver disease (MetALD), and alcohol-related liver disease (ALD). We aimed to validate the prognostic importance of MASLD, MetALD, and ALD as steatotic liver disease subclasses.

METHODS

Between April 18, 2013, and Sept 17, 2018, we prospectively recruited patients aged 18-75 years with current or previous excessive alcohol intake (>24 g/day for women and >36 g/day for men) for at least a year and no previous hepatic decompensation from the Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology at Odense University Hospital (Odense, Denmark). Participants were followed up until Sept 15, 2022. Here, we characterise these patients according to steatotic liver disease subclasses. We classified patients as having MASLD, MetALD, or ALD in accordance with the nomenclature definitions, on the basis of metabolic comorbidity and self-reported average alcohol intake in the 3 months leading up to inclusion. Histological scoring was done by a pathologist who was masked to the clinical data. We compared prognoses between classes using Cox regression analyses on hepatic decompensation and overall mortality as the two outcome measures. Patients not meeting the criteria for steatotic liver disease were classified as no steatotic liver disease and served as a reference group.

FINDINGS

We enrolled 446 patients with a history of excessive alcohol intake were included in this analysis (334 [75%] were male and 112 [25%] were female; median age 56 years [SD 10]). Cirrhosis was present in 58 (13%), and 435 (98%) had at least one cardiometabolic risk factor. 321 (72%) met steatotic liver disease criteria and 125 (28%) did not have steatotic liver disease, meaning no evident liver steatosis and no significant fibrosis (≥F2). Of the 321 patients with steatotic liver disease, six (2%) were identified as having ALD due to the absence of cardiometabolic risk factors. The remaining 315 (98%) patients presented with at least one cardiometabolic risk factor. Of these patients, 153 (49%) had MASLD, 76 (24%) had MetALD, and 86 (27%) had ALD. During follow-up, 67 (15%) of 446 patients decompensated and 97 (22%) died (median follow-up 70 months [IQR 53-94]). Patients with steatotic liver disease had a significantly higher risk of hepatic decompensation and overall mortality than those without steatotic liver disease, independent of age, sex, and liver stiffness. The risk of decompensation increased in a stepwise manner from MASLD (hazard ratio 4·73 [95% CI 1·03-21·6]), through MetALD (7·69 [1·66-35·6]), to ALD (10·2 [2·24-46·4]). Similarly, overall mortality increased from MASLD (HR 2·30 [95% CI 1·08-4·90]), through MetALD (2·94 [1·31-6·58]), to ALD (3·57 [1·64-7·80]), independent of age, sex, and liver stiffness.

INTERPRETATION

Steatotic liver disease and its subclasses portend distinct prognoses. There is a need to specify how historical alcohol intake should be integrated into the nomenclature and risk stratification of steatotic liver disease.

FUNDING

EU Horizon 2020 Research and Innovation Program.

Diagnosis and assessment of disease severity in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) includes simple steatosis, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), fibrosis, and eventually cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). The diagnosis of NAFLD is based on the detection of excess fat disposition in the liver, which is the first step to trigger further evaluation of NAFLD, including necroinflammation and fibrosis. In this review, we discuss non-invasive biomarkers and imaging tools that are currently and potentially available for different features (steatosis, necroinflammation and fibrosis) and disease severity assessment of NAFLD. In the past 2 decades, advances in non-invasive tests of fibrosis have transformed the management of NAFLD. Blood and imaging biomarkers have already been evaluated in multiple studies for the diagnosis of fibrosis and cirrhosis. Among the various histological features of NAFLD, the degree of fibrosis has the strongest correlation with liver-related morbidity and mortality. Non-invasive tests of fibrosis have been shown to predict liver-related outcomes, both in the general population and among patients with NAFLD. What is lacking, however, is good data to support the use of non-invasive tests as monitoring and response biomarkers. With the conclusion of several large phase 3 studies in the next few years, the availability of paired liver biopsy, non-invasive test and clinical outcome data will likely advance the field and shed light on new biomarkers and the way to use various non-invasive tests in a longitudinal manner.

Exploring the links between types 2 diabetes and liver-related complications: A comprehensive review

In recent decades, the prevalence of type 2 diabetes has been steadily increasing, presenting a significant global public health challenge. These epidemiological trends can be attributed to significant lifestyle changes in modern societies, characterized by sedentary behavior and the consumption of hypercaloric, highly processed foods, along with the aging of the human population. As a result, it has become crucial for both public healthcare systems and healthcare providers to prioritize the management of diabetes and identify its systemic consequences. Emerging research has shed light on the links and risks between diabetes and liver events. This comprehensive review aims to explore the complex interplay between type 2 diabetes mellitus and liver-related outcomes, especially hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis, offering insights into effective methods for detecting liver risk in individuals with diabetes. Additionally, the review will assess the various treatments that could hold the potential for positive outcomes in managing both diabetes and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and liver fibrosis.

Systemic immune-inflammatory biomarkers (SII, NLR, PLR and LMR) linked to non-alcoholic fatty liver disease risk

Background

Systemic immune-inflammatory biomarkers including systemic immune inflammation index (SII), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR) have been demonstrated to be associated with the risk and severity of various liver diseases. However, studies on their role and clinical significance in metabolic diseases, especially in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), are limited and results are inconsistent.

Methods

10821 adults aged 20 years or older were enrolled in this cross-sectional study, sourced from six cycles of the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). Survey-weighted logistic regression was employed to investigate the correlation between systemic immune-inflammatory biomarkers (SII, NLR, PLR, and LMR) and NAFLD risk. Restricted cubic spline regression models and segmented regression models were used to describe nonlinear relationships and threshold effects. Subgroup and sensitivity analyses were also conducted.

Results

After adjusting for all confounding variables, there was a significant positive association observed between ln-transformed SII (OR= 1.46, 95% CI: 1.27-1.69, P <0.001), NLR (OR= 1.25, 95% CI: 1.05-1.49, P =0.015), LMR (OR= 1.39, 95% CI: 1.14-1.69, P = 0.002) with NAFLD. A nonlinear dose-response relationship with an inverted "U"-shaped threshold of 4.64 was observed between ln(PLR) and NAFLD risk. When ln(PLR) was below 4.64, each unit increase in ln(PLR) was associated with a 0.55-fold increase in the risk of NAFLD (OR= 1.55, 95% CI: 1.05-2.31, P <0.05). Conversely, when ln(PLR) exceeded 4.64, each unit increase in ln(PLR) was associated with a 0.40-fold decrease in the risk of NAFLD (OR= 0.60, 95% CI. 0.44-0.81, P <0.05).

Conclusion

ln-transformed SII, NLR, and LMR were linearly associated with NAFLD risk. ln(PLR) showed an inverted "U"-shaped nonlinear dose-response relationship with the risk of NAFLD.

Hepatocellular and extrahepatic cancer risk in people with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is the most common chronic liver disease worldwide. Much of the recognised health-care burden occurs in the minority of people with NAFLD who progress towards cirrhosis and require specialist follow-up, including risk stratification and hepatocellular carcinoma surveillance. NAFLD is projected to become the leading global cause of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, but the frequency of non-cirrhotic hepatocellular carcinoma provides a challenge to existing surveillance strategies. Deaths from extrahepatic cancers far exceed those from hepatocellular carcinoma in NAFLD. Unlike hepatocellular carcinoma, the increased extrahepatic cancer risk in NAFLD is not dependent on liver fibrosis stage. Given that almost 30% of the world's adult population has NAFLD, extrahepatic cancer could represent a substantial health and economic issue. In this Review, we discuss current knowledge and controversies regarding hepatocellular carcinoma risk stratification and surveillance practices in people with NAFLD. We also assess the associations of extrahepatic cancers with NAFLD and their relevance both in the clinic and the wider community.

Crohn´s disease is an independent risk factor for liver fibrosis in patients with inflammatory bowel disease and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Controversial data have been reported regarding the prevalence of Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) in Inflammatory Bowel Disease (IBD) population and IBD-related risk factors. The aim of the study was to assess the prevalence and risk factors associated with NAFLD and liver fibrosis in IBD participants compared with non-IBD controls.

METHODS

Cross-sectional, case-control study including 741 IBD cases and 170 non-IBD controls, matched by sex and age. All participants underwent liver ultrasound, transient elastography and laboratory tests. A logistic regression multivariable analysis was performed adjusting for classic metabolic risk factors and history of systemic steroid use.

RESULTS

The prevalence of NAFLD and significant liver fibrosis was 45 % and 10 % in IBD group, and 40 % and 2.9 % in non-IBD group (p = 0.255 and 0.062, respectively). Longer IBD duration (aOR 1.02 95% CI (1.001-1.04)) and older age at IBD diagnosis (aOR 1.02 95 % CI (1.001-1.04)) were independent risk factors for NAFLD in IBD group. Crohn´s Disease was an independent risk factor for significant liver fibrosis in participants with IBD and NAFLD (aOR 3.97 95 % CI (1.78-8.96)). NAFLD occurred at lower BMI levels in IBD group with NAFLD compared to non-IBD group with NAFLD (aOR 0.92 95 % CI (0.87-0.98)).

CONCLUSIONS

Although we found no differences in the prevalence of NAFLD and liver fibrosis between IBD group and non-IBD group, our findings suggest that liver fibrosis progression should be closely monitored in patients with concomitant CD and NAFLD, more in particular in those with long standing active disease.

Algorithms for Early Detection of Silent Liver Fibrosis in the Primary Care Setting

More than one-third of the adult world population has steatotic liver disease (SLD), with a few percent of individuals developing cirrhosis after decades of silent liver fibrosis accumulation. Lack of systematic early detection causes most patients to be diagnosed late, after decompensation, when treatment has limited effect and survival is poor. Unfortunately, no isolated screening test in primary care can sufficiently predict advanced fibrosis from SLD. Recent efforts, therefore, combine several parameters into screening algorithms, to increase diagnostic accuracy. Besides patient selection, for example, by specific characteristics, algorithms include nonpatented or patented blood tests and liver stiffness measurements using elastography-based techniques. Algorithms can be composed as a set of sequential tests, as recommended by most guidelines on primary care pathways. Future use of algorithms that are easy to interpret, cheap, and semiautomatic will improve the management of patients with SLD, to the benefit of global health care systems.

Long-term major adverse liver outcomes in 1,260 patients with non-cirrhotic NAFLD

Background & Aims

Long-term studies of the prognosis of NAFLD are scarce. Here, we investigated the risk of major adverse liver outcomes (MALO) in a large cohort of patients with NAFLD.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study with data from Swedish university hospitals. Patients (n = 1,260) with NAFLD without cirrhosis were diagnosed through biopsy or radiology, and had fibrosis estimated through vibration-controlled transient elastography, biopsy, or FIB-4 score between 1974 and 2020 and followed up through 2020. Each patient was matched on age, sex, and municipality with up to 10 reference individuals from the general population (n = 12,529). MALO were ascertained from Swedish national registers. The rate of events was estimated by Cox regression.

Results

MALO occurred in 111 (8.8%, incidence rate = 5.9/1,000 person-years) patients with NAFLD and 197 (1.6%, incidence rate = 1.0/1,000 person-years) reference individuals during a median follow up of 13 years. The rate of MALO was higher in patients with NAFLD (hazard ratio = 6.6; 95% CI = 5.2-8.5). The risk of MALO was highly associated with the stage of fibrosis at diagnosis. In the biopsy subcohort (72% of total sample), there was no difference in risk between patients with and without non-alcoholic steatohepatitis. The 20-year cumulative incidences of MALO were 2% for the reference population, 3% for patients with F0, and 35% for F3. Prognostic information from biopsy was comparable to FIB-4 (C-indices around 0.73 vs. 0.72 at 10 years).

Conclusions

This study provides updated information on the natural history of NAFLD, showing a high rate of progression to cirrhosis in F3 and a similar prognostic capacity of non-invasive tests to liver biopsy.

Impact and implications

Several implications for clinical care and future research may be noted based on these results. First, the risk estimates for cirrhosis development are important when communicating risk to patients and deciding on clinical monitoring and treatment. Estimates can also be used in updated health-economic evaluations, and for regulatory agencies. Second, our results again highlight the low predictive information obtained from ascertaining NASHstatus by histology and call for more objective means by which to define NASH. Such methods may include artificial intelligence-supported digital pathology. We highlight that NASH is most likely the causal factor for fibrosis progression in NAFLD, but the subjective definition makes the prognostic value of a histological NASH diagnosis of limited value. Third, the finding that prognostic information from biopsy and the very simple Fibrosis-4 score were comparable is important as it may lead to fewer biopsies and further move the field towards non-invasive means by which to define fibrosis and, importantly, use non-invasive tests as outcomes in clinical trials. However, all modalities had modest discriminatory capacity and new risk stratification systems are needed in NAFLD. Repeated measures of non-invasive scores may be a potential solution.

Serum level of full-length connective tissue growth factor reflects liver fibrosis stage in patients with Fontan-associated liver disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic liver disease leads to liver fibrosis, and an accurate diagnosis of the fibrosis stage is crucial for medical management. Connective tissue growth factor (CTGF) is produced by endothelial cells and platelets and plays a central role in inducing fibrosis in various organs. In the present study, we tested the validity of measuring the serum levels of two types of CTGF to estimate the biopsy-confirmed liver fibrosis stage.

METHODS

We used two detection antibodies targeting the N- and C-terminal of CTGF to measure the serum levels of two forms of CTGF consisting of its full length and its N-terminal fragment. We analyzed the level of CTGF (via enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay) and the liver fibrosis stage in 38 patients with Fontan-associated liver disease (FALD) (26 cases of which were diagnosed pathologically). Correlations were determined by multivariate analysis and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve. The 65 patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were included as a disease control group for examination.

RESULTS

Full-length CTGF was significantly inversely correlated with liver fibrosis in patients with FALD. Although the platelet count was also associated with the liver fibrosis stage, full-length CTGF was more closely correlated with the fibrosis stage. Furthermore, the level of full-length CTGF was inversely associated with high central venous pressure. Conversely, the serum level of CTGF was not correlated with the fibrosis stage in NAFLD.

CONCLUSION

The serum level of full-length CTGF may be useful for estimating the liver fibrosis stage in patients with FALD.

Impact of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) on Weight Loss After Bariatric Surgery

OBJECTIVE

Obesity and associated comorbidities, such as NAFLD, impose a major healthcare burden worldwide. Bariatric surgery remains the most successful approach for sustained weight loss and the resolution of obesity-related complications. However, the impact of preexisting NAFLD on weight loss after bariatric surgery has not been previously studied. The goal of this study is to assess the impact of preexisting NAFLD on weight loss outcomes up to 5 years after weight loss surgery.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

Data from the Michigan Bariatric Surgery Cohort (MI-BASiC) was extracted to examine the effect of baseline NAFLD on weight loss outcomes. The cohort included a total of 714 patients older than 18 years of age undergoing gastric bypass (GB; 380 patients) or sleeve gastrectomy (SG; 334 patients) at the University of Michigan between January 2008 and November 2013. Repeated measure analysis was used to determine if preexisting NAFLD was a predictor of weight loss outcomes up to 5 years post-surgery.

RESULTS

We identified 221 patients with an established clinical diagnosis of NAFLD at baseline. Multivariable repeated measure analysis with adjustment for covariates shows that patients with preexisting NAFLD had a significantly lower percentage of total and excess weight loss compared to patients without preexisting NAFLD. Furthermore, our data show that baseline dyslipidemia is an indicator of the persistence of NAFLD after bariatric surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data show that patients' body weight loss in response to bariatric surgery is impacted by factors such as preexisting NAFLD. Additionally, we show that NAFLD may persist or recur in a subset of patients after surgery, and thus careful continued follow-up is recommended.

Magnetic resonance elastography-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation in NAFLD: A multicenter cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Magnetic resonance elastography (MRE) is an accurate, continuous biomarker of liver fibrosis; however, the optimal combination with clinical factors to predict the risk of incident hepatic decompensation is unknown. Therefore, we aimed to develop and validate an MRE-based prediction model for hepatic decompensation for patients with NAFLD.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This international multicenter cohort study included participants with NAFLD undergoing MRE from 6 hospitals. A total of 1254 participants were randomly assigned as training (n = 627) and validation (n = 627) cohorts. The primary end point was hepatic decompensation, defined as the first occurrence of variceal hemorrhage, ascites, or HE. Covariates associated with hepatic decompensation on Cox-regression were combined with MRE to construct a risk prediction model in the training cohort and then tested in the validation cohort. The median (IQR) age and MRE values were 61 (18) years and 3.5 (2.5) kPa in the training cohort and 60 (20) years and 3.4 (2.5) kPa in the validation cohort, respectively. The MRE-based multivariable model that included age, MRE, albumin, aspartate aminotransferase, and platelets had excellent discrimination for the 3- and 5-year risk of hepatic decompensation (c-statistic 0.912 and 0.891, respectively) in the training cohort. The diagnostic accuracy remained consistent in the validation cohort with a c-statistic of 0.871 and 0.876 for hepatic decompensation at 3 and 5 years, respectively, and was superior to Fibrosis-4 in both cohorts ( p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

An MRE-based prediction model allows for accurate prediction of hepatic decompensation and assists in the risk stratification of patients with NAFLD.

Lower prevalence of elevated liver stiffness measurements in people with type 2 diabetes taking sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 inhibitors or glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonists

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Among people with type 2 diabetes (T2D), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is very common and has an increased risk of clinically significant liver disease. The use of sodium-glucose co-transporter 2 (SGLT2i) inhibitors and glucagon-like peptide-1 (GLP-1a) receptor agonists is endorsed to reduce major cardiovascular events and/or progression of chronic kidney disease. Their prevalence of use in people with T2D and co-existent NAFLD remains unclear. We sought to determine the prevalence of use of these medications at two different time periods, and their association with prevalence of clinically significant liver disease.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Consecutive people with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) were recruited from diabetes clinics between Jun-2021 and Jun-2022 ('current' cohort). Liver stiffness measurements (LSM) using FibroScan were performed. Medication data were collected prospectively at recruitment and verified with the dispensing pharmacy or general practitioner medical records. Data for a historical cohort with NAFLD and T2D recruited from the same clinics during 2015-2017 ('historical' cohort) were available. Logistic regression was used to evaluate factors associated with LSM <8.0 or ≥8 kPa (clinically significant fibrosis).

RESULTS

There were 292 participants, 177 in the historical cohort and 115 in the current cohort. In the current cohort, 57.4% of patients with T2D and NAFLD were taking a GLP-1a and 42.6% were taking a SGLT2i; a 2.6 to 3.4-fold higher prevalence than in 2015-2017. A lower proportion of the current cohort (23.9% compared to 38.4%) had clinically significant fibrosis (LSM ≥8 kPa; p = 0.012). When the cohorts were pooled and differences adjusted for in multivariable logistic regression analysis, patients taking a GLP-1a or a SGLT2i were 2 times more likely to have a lower LSM (<8 kPa) compared to patients not taking these drugs (OR=2.05, 95%CI 1.07-3.94, p = 0.03 and OR 2.07 95%CI 1.04-4.11, p = 0.04, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The observation of a lower LSM in people taking SGLT2i and/or GLP-1a following adjustment for other relevant clinico-demographic variables provides support for clinical trials to assess their efficacy in reducing the progression of NAFLD.

Prognostication in NAFLD: physiological bases, clinical indicators, and newer biomarkers

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is becoming an epidemic in Western countries. Notably, while the majority of NAFLD patients will not evolve until advanced liver disease, a minority of them will progress towards liver-related events. Therefore, risk stratification and prognostication are emerging as fundamental in order to optimize human and economic resources for the care of these patients.Liver fibrosis has been clearly recognized as the main predictor of poor hepatic and extrahepatic outcomes. However, a prediction based only on the stage of fibrosis is near-sighted and static, as it does not capture the propensity of disease to further progress, the speed of progression and their changes over time. These determinants, which result from the interaction between genetic predisposition and acquired risk factors (obesity, diabetes, etc.), express themselves in disease activity, and can be synthesized by biomarkers of hepatic inflammation and fibrogenesis.In this review, we present the currently available clinical tools for risk stratification and prognostication in NAFLD specifically with respect to the risk of progression towards hard hepatic outcomes, i.e., liver-related events and death. We also discuss about the genetic and acquired drivers of disease progression, together with the physiopathological bases of their come into action. Finally, we introduce the most promising biomarkers in the direction of repeatedly assessing disease activity over time, mainly in response to future therapeutic interventions.

Comparison of the efficacy and safety of hypoglycemic treatments in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease and type-2 diabetes: a systematic review and Bayesian network analysis

PURPOSE

The association between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and metabolic disorders, especially type-2 diabetes (T2DM), has been proven to be bidirectional. Hypoglycemic agents may be promising treatments for those disorders. However, there is currently no approved hypoglycemic therapy for NAFLD. In this review, we aimed to compare the efficacy and safety of twelve different hypoglycemic treatments in patients with NAFLD and T2DM.

METHODS

We systematically screened randomized controlled trials (RCTs) published from March 2013 to March 2023 by searching PubMed, Embase, Medline, and Web of Science without any language restriction. We registered this project on the PROSPERO website: https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/PROSPERO/ (ID: CRD42023429701). All subsequent analyses were performed under the registered protocol. The mean difference (MD) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were adapted to evaluate the effect size of the treatment. The surface under the cumulative sorting curve (SUCRA) was used to rank the efficacy of the included treatments.

RESULTS

We included 19 trials involving 1212 patients in total. Insulin plus glucagon-like peptide-1 receptor agonist (GLP1RA) combination therapy was probably the most effective treatment for reducing weight and body mass index (BMI) (SUCRA: 0.93 and 1.00). Thiazolidinediones (TZD) were probably the most effective treatment for reducing glycosylated hemoglobin (HbA1c) and γ-glutamyltranspeptidase (γ-GGT) levels (SUCRA: 0.78 and 0.97). Sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 inhibitors (SGLT2i) had the highest probability of presenting good therapeutic efficacy in reducing triglyceride (TG) levels (SUCRA: 0.72). The most common adverse reactions were gastrointestinal disorders, mainly after the administration of GLP1RA, and mild hypoglycemia, which was closely related to the use of insulin.

CONCLUSION

GLP1RA plus insulin combination therapy, GLP1RA, SGLT2i, and TZD may be the most effective therapeutic methods for patients with NAFLD and T2DM.

An integrated gene-to-outcome multimodal database for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the commonest cause of chronic liver disease worldwide and represents an unmet precision medicine challenge. We established a retrospective national cohort of 940 histologically defined patients (55.4% men, 44.6% women; median body mass index 31.3; 32% with type 2 diabetes) covering the complete MASLD severity spectrum, and created a secure, searchable, open resource (SteatoSITE). In 668 cases and 39 controls, we generated hepatic bulk RNA sequencing data and performed differential gene expression and pathway analysis, including exploration of gender-specific differences. A web-based gene browser was also developed. We integrated histopathological assessments, transcriptomic data and 5.67 million days of time-stamped longitudinal electronic health record data to define disease-stage-specific gene expression signatures, pathogenic hepatic cell subpopulations and master regulator networks associated with adverse outcomes in MASLD. We constructed a 15-gene transcriptional risk score to predict future hepatic decompensation events (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.86, 0.81 and 0.83 for 1-, 3- and 5-year risk, respectively). Additionally, thyroid hormone receptor beta regulon activity was identified as a critical suppressor of disease progression. SteatoSITE supports rational biomarker and drug development and facilitates precision medicine approaches for patients with MASLD.

Noninvasive Fibrosis Assessment in Chronic Hepatitis C Infection: An Update

Liver biopsy is historically the gold standard for liver fibrosis assessment of chronic hepatitis C patients. However, with the introduction and validation of noninvasive tests (NITs) to evaluate advanced fibrosis, and the direct-acting antiviral agents for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV), the role of NITs have become even more complex. There is now need for longitudinal monitoring and elucidation of cutoff values for prediction of liver-related complication after sustained virological response. The aim of this report is to provide a critical overview of the various NITs available for the assessment of liver fibrosis in HCV patients.

Community-centered Disease Severity Assessment of Metabolic Dysfunction-associated Fatty Liver Disease

Background and Aims

Disease severity across the different diagnostic categories of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) remains elusive. This study assessed the fibrosis stages and features of MAFLD between different items. We also aimed to investigate the associations between advanced fibrosis and risk factors.

Methods

This multicenter cross-sectional study enrolled adults participating in liver disease screening in the community. Patients were stratified following MAFLD diagnostic criteria, to group A (395 patients) for type 2 diabetes, group B (1,818 patients) for body mass index (BMI)>23 kg/m2, and group C (44 patients) for BMI≤23 kg/m2 with at least two metabolic factors. Advanced fibrosis was defined as a fibrosis-4 index>2.67.

Results

Between 2009 and 2020, 1,948 MAFLD patients were recruited, including 478 with concomitant liver diseases. Advanced fibrosis was observed in 125 patients. A significantly larger proportion of patients in group C (25.0%) than in group A (7.6%) and group B (5.8%) had advanced fibrosis (p<0.01). Logistic regression analysis found that hepatitis B virus (HBV)/hepatitis C virus (HCV) coinfection (odds ratio [OR]: 12.14, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.04-36.52; p<0.01), HCV infection (OR: 7.87, 95% CI: 4.78-12.97; p<0.01), group C (OR: 6.00, 95% CI: 2.53-14.22; p<0.01), and TC/LDL-C (OR: 1.21, 95% CI: 1.06-1.38; p<0.01) were significant predictors of advanced fibrosis.

Conclusions

A higher proportion of lean MAFLD patients with metabolic abnormalities had advanced fibrosis. HCV infection was significantly associated with advanced fibrosis.

Exploring the potential mechanism of Rubus corchorifolius L. fruit polyphenol-rich extract in mitigating non-alcoholic fatty liver disease by integration of metabolomics and transcriptomics profiling

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), as the commonest chronic liver disease, is accompanied by liver oxidative stress and inflammatory responses. Herein, the extract obtained from Rubus corchorifolius fruits was purified and characterized for its polyphenol composition. The liver protective effect of the purified R. corchorifolius fruit extract (RCE) on mice with high-fat-diet (HFD)-induced NAFLD were investigated, and the potential mechanisms were explored through the integration of transcriptomics and metabolomics. Results showed that the polyphenolic compounds in RCE mainly included (-)-epigallocatechin, procyanidin B2, keracyanin, vanillin, dihydromyricetin, and ellagic acid. In addition, RCE intervention ameliorated liver and mitochondrial damage, which was evidenced by decreased indices of oxidative stress, liver function markers, and lipid profile levels. The liver metabonomics research revealed that RCE intervention affected the metabolic pathways of metabolites, including linoleic acid metabolism, galactose metabolism, alanine, aspartate and glutamate metabolism, retinol metabolism, glycine, serine and threonine metabolism, tryptophan metabolism, aminoacyl-tRNA biosynthesis, riboflavin metabolism, starch and sucrose metabolism, and arachidonic acid metabolism. Additionally, liver transcriptomics research indicated that pathways like fatty acid degradation, circadian rhythm, valine, leucine and isoleucine degradation, primary bile acid biosynthesis, cytokine-cytokine receptor interaction, adipocytokine signaling pathway, glutathione metabolism, lipid and atherosclerosis were significantly enriched. The transcriptomics and metabolomics analysis demonstrated that RCE intervention had significant modulatory effects on the metabolic pathways associated with glycolipid metabolism. Moreover, RT-PCR results verified that RCE intervention regulated liver mRNA levels associated with the inflammatory response. Therefore, our findings suggest that the intake of RCE might be an effective strategy to alleviate liver damage.

Identification of clinical phenotypes associated with poor prognosis in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease via unsupervised machine learning

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both fibrosis status and body weight are important for assessing prognosis in nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). The aim of this study was to identify population clusters for specific clinical outcomes based on fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index and body mass index (BMI) using an unsupervised machine learning method.

METHODS

We conducted a multicenter study of 1335 biopsy-proven NAFLD patients from Japan. Using the Gaussian mixture model to divide the cohort into clusters based on FIB-4 index and BMI, we investigated prognosis for these clusters.

RESULTS

The cohort consisted of 223 cases (16.0%) with advanced fibrosis (F3-4) as assessed from liver biopsy. Median values of BMI and FIB-4 index were 27.3 kg/m2 and 1.67. The patients were divided into four clusters by Bayesian information criterion, and all-cause mortality was highest in cluster d, followed by cluster b (P = 0.001). Regarding the characteristics of each cluster, clusters d and b presented a high FIB-4 index (median 5.23 and 2.23), cluster a presented the lowest FIB-4 index (median 0.78), and cluster c was associated with moderate FIB-4 level (median 1.30) and highest BMI (median 34.3 kg/m2 ). Clusters a and c had lower mortality rates than clusters b and d. However, all-cause of death in clusters a and c was unrelated to liver disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our clustering approach found that the FIB-4 index is an important predictor of mortality in NAFLD patients regardless of BMI. Additionally, non-liver-related diseases were identified as the causes of death in NAFLD patients with low FIB-4 index.

Prognostic assessment of liver cirrhosis and its complications: current concepts and future perspectives

Liver cirrhosis is an irreversible stage of chronic liver disease with varying clinical course. Acute decompensation of liver cirrhosis represents a watershed in prognosis and is characterized by the occurrence of clinical complications such as ascites, jaundice, hepatic encephalopathy, infections, or portal-hypertensive hemorrhages. Emergent data indicate that an acute decompensation can be subdivided into stable decompensated cirrhosis (SDC), unstable decompensated cirrhosis (UDC), pre-acute-on chronic liver failure (pre-ACLF) and acute-on chronic liver failure (ACLF), while the mortality risk varies greatly between the respective subgroups. ACLF is the most severe form of acutely decompensated cirrhosis and characterized by the development of organ failure(s) and a high short-term mortality. Due to the dynamic disease course of acute decompensation, it is paramount to detect patients at particular risk for severe complications those at high risk for developing ACLF as early as possible in order to initiate optimal management. This review describes new concepts and perspectives in the definition and classification of decompensated cirrhosis and provides on overview on emerging predictive scoring systems, non-invasive measurement methods and new biomarkers, which allow an early identification of patients with acute decompensation at risk.

A global research priority agenda to advance public health responses to fatty liver disease

BACKGROUND & AIMS

An estimated 38% of adults worldwide have non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). From individual impacts to widespread public health and economic consequences, the implications of this disease are profound. This study aimed to develop an aligned, prioritised fatty liver disease research agenda for the global health community.

METHODS

Nine co-chairs drafted initial research priorities, subsequently reviewed by 40 core authors and debated during a three-day in-person meeting. Following a Delphi methodology, over two rounds, a large panel (R1 n = 344, R2 n = 288) reviewed the priorities, via Qualtrics XM, indicating agreement using a four-point Likert-scale and providing written feedback. The core group revised the draft priorities between rounds. In R2, panellists also ranked the priorities within six domains: epidemiology, models of care, treatment and care, education and awareness, patient and community perspectives, and leadership and public health policy.

RESULTS

The consensus-built fatty liver disease research agenda encompasses 28 priorities. The mean percentage of 'agree' responses increased from 78.3 in R1 to 81.1 in R2. Five priorities received unanimous combined agreement ('agree' + 'somewhat agree'); the remaining 23 priorities had >90% combined agreement. While all but one of the priorities exhibited at least a super-majority of agreement (>66.7% 'agree'), 13 priorities had <80% 'agree', with greater reliance on 'somewhat agree' to achieve >90% combined agreement.

CONCLUSIONS

Adopting this multidisciplinary consensus-built research priorities agenda can deliver a step-change in addressing fatty liver disease, mitigating against its individual and societal harms and proactively altering its natural history through prevention, identification, treatment, and care. This agenda should catalyse the global health community's efforts to advance and accelerate responses to this widespread and fast-growing public health threat.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

An estimated 38% of adults and 13% of children and adolescents worldwide have fatty liver disease, making it the most prevalent liver disease in history. Despite substantial scientific progress in the past three decades, the burden continues to grow, with an urgent need to advance understanding of how to prevent, manage, and treat the disease. Through a global consensus process, a multidisciplinary group agreed on 28 research priorities covering a broad range of themes, from disease burden, treatment, and health system responses to awareness and policy. The findings have relevance for clinical and non-clinical researchers as well as funders working on fatty liver disease and non-communicable diseases more broadly, setting out a prioritised, ranked research agenda for turning the tide on this fast-growing public health threat.

Changing epidemiology, global trends and implications for outcomes of NAFLD

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has rapidly become the most common liver disease globally and is currently estimated to affect 38% of the global population. Only a minority of patients with NAFLD will progress to cirrhosis or hepatocellular carcinoma, but from this vast population the total number of patients who are at risk of such severe outcomes is increasing. Worryingly, individuals are increasingly being affected by NAFLD at an earlier age, meaning there is more time for them to develop severe complications. With considerable changes in dietary composition and urbanisation, alongside the growth in obesity and type 2 diabetes in the global population, in particular in developing countries, the global proportion of persons affected by NAFLD is projected to increase further. Yet, there are large geographical discrepancies in the prevalence rates of NAFLD and its inflammatory component non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Such differences are partly related to differing socio-economic milieus, but also to genetic predisposition. In this narrative review, we discuss recent changes in the epidemiology of NAFLD and NASH from regional and global perspectives, as well as in special populations. We also discuss the potential consequences of these changes on hepatic and extrahepatic events.

MRI-AST (MAST) Score Accurately Predicts Major Adverse Liver Outcome, Hepatocellular Carcinoma, Liver Transplant, and Liver-Related Death

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The MRI-AST (MAST) score accurately identifies patients with at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis, defined as nonalcoholic steatohepatitis with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease activity score ≥4 and fibrosis stage ≥2 at highest risk for disease progression. It is important to determine the robustness of the MAST score in predicting major adverse liver outcomes (MALO), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver transplant, and death.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis included patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease from a tertiary care center who underwent magnetic resonance imaging proton density fat fraction, magnetic resonance elastography, and laboratory testing within 6 months from 2013 to 2022. Other causes of chronic liver disease were excluded. Hazard ratios between logit MAST and MALO (ascites, hepatic encephalopathy, or bleeding esophageal varices), liver transplant, HCC, or liver-related death were computed using a Cox proportional hazards regression model. We computed the hazard ratio of MALO or death associated with MAST scores 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.000, using MAST scores 0.000-0.165 as the reference group.

RESULTS

Among 346 total patients, average age was 58.8 years with 52.9% females and 34.4% with type 2 diabetes. Average alanine aminotransferase was 50.7 IU/L (24.3-60.0 IU/L), aspartate aminotransferase was 38.05 IU/L (22.00-41.00 IU/L), platelets were 242.9 × 109/L (193.8-290.0 × 109/L), proton density fat fraction was 12.90% (5.90%-18.22%), and liver stiffness on magnetic resonance elastography was 2.75 kPa (2.07-2.90 kPa). Median follow-up was 29.5 months. Fourteen had adverse outcomes, including 10 MALO, 1 HCC, 1 liver transplant, and 2 liver-related deaths. The Cox regression of MAST versus adverse event rate had a hazard ratio of 2.01 (95% confidence interval, 1.59-2.54; P < .0001) for each 1 logit unit increases in MAST. The corresponding Harrell concordance statistic (C statistic) was 0.919 (95% confidence interval, 0.865-0.953). The MAST score ranges of 0.165-0.242 and 0.242-1.0, respectively, had adverse event rate hazard ratio of 7.75 (1.40-42.9; P = .0189) and 22.11 (6.59-74.2; P < .0000) relative to MAST 0-0.165.

CONCLUSIONS

The MAST score noninvasively identifies at-risk nonalcoholic steatohepatitis and accurately predicts MALO, HCC, liver transplant, and liver-related death.

Noninvasive tests in the evaluation of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease: A review

1_kpnc0f20Kaltura.

Exploring Opportunities to Enhance the Screening and Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) through Risk Stratification Algorithms Incorporating Ultrasound Elastography

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), with its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), has emerged as a significant public health concern, affecting over 30% of the global population. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a complication associated with both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic NAFLD, has shown a significant increase in incidence. A substantial proportion of NAFLD-related HCC occurs in non-cirrhotic livers, highlighting the need for improved risk stratification and surveillance strategies. This comprehensive review explores the potential role of liver ultrasound elastography as a risk assessment tool for HCC development in NAFLD and highlights the importance of effective screening tools for early, cost-effective detection and improved management of NAFLD-related HCC. The integration of non-invasive tools and algorithms into risk stratification strategies could have the capacity to enhance NAFLD-related HCC screening and surveillance effectiveness. Alongside exploring the potential advancement of non-invasive tools and algorithms for effectively stratifying HCC risk in NAFLD, we offer essential perspectives that could enable readers to improve the personalized assessment of NAFLD-related HCC risk through a more methodical screening approach.

Prediction of Liver-Related Events With a Combination of Liver Stiffness Measurements and Controlled Attenuation Parameters in Japanese Patients With Biopsy-Proven Non-alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

OBJECTIVE

Liver stiffness measurements (LSMs) and controlled attenuation parameters (CAPs) obtained using vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) are recognized non-invasive methods of assessing liver histology. The usefulness of CAP for predicting liver-related events (LREs: hepatocellular carcinoma, decompensation, bleeding varices) is not well understood worldwide. Our aim was to re-evaluate the cutoff values of LSM/CAP in Japan and to examine whether LSM/CAP can predict LRE.

METHODS

Japanese NAFLD patients (n = 403) who underwent both liver biopsy and VCTE were enrolled. We determined optimal cutoff values of LSM/CAP diagnoses for fibrosis stage and steatosis grade and investigated their clinical outcome based on LSM/CAP values.

RESULTS

The LSM cutoff values for F1 to F4 are 7.1, 7.9, 10.0 and 20.2 kPa, and the CAP cutoff values for S1 to S3 are 230, 282 and 320 dB/m. During a median follow-up of 2.7 y (range: 0.0-12.5 y), 11 patients developed LREs. The incidence of LREs in the LSM Hi (≥8.7) group was significantly higher than that in the LSM Lo (<8.7) group (p = 0.003), and the incidence in the CAP Lo (<295) group was higher than that in CAP Hi (≥295) group (p = 0.018). Considering LSM and CAP together, the risk of LRE was higher in the LSM Hi CAP Lo group than in the LSM Hi CAP Hi group (p = 0.03).

CONCLUSION

We set LSM/CAP cutoff values to diagnose liver fibrosis and steatosis in Japan. Our study determined that NAFLD patients with high LSM and low CAP values are at high risk for LREs.

Noninvasive Assessment of Liver Fibrosis in NAFLD

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has emerged as a leading cause of liver-related morbidity and mortality worldwide, afflicting approximately a billion individuals. NAFLD is a slowly progressive disease that may evolve in a subset of patients toward cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, and end-stage liver disease. Liver fibrosis severity is the strongest predictor of clinical outcomes. The emergence of effective therapeutics on the horizon highlights the need to identify among patients with NAFLD, those with severe fibrosis or cirrhosis, who are the most at risk of developing complications and target them for therapy. Liver biopsy has been the reference standard for this purpose. However, it is not suitable for large-scale population evaluation, given its well-known limitations (invasiveness, rare but severe complications, and sampling variability). Thus, there have been major efforts to develop simple noninvasive tools that can be used in routine clinical settings and in drug development. Noninvasive approaches are based on the quantification of biomarkers in serum samples or on the measurement of liver stiffness, using either ultrasound- or magnetic resonance-based elastography techniques. This review provides a roadmap for future development and integration of noninvasive tools in clinical practice and in drug development in NAFLD. We discuss herein the principles for their development and validation, their use in clinical practice, including for diagnosis of NAFLD, risk stratification in primary care and hepatology settings, prediction of long-term liver-related and non-liver-related outcomes, monitoring of fibrosis progression and regression, and response to future treatment.

Comparison of Pathway Referrals for Liver Fibrosis Risk Stratification Performed in Diabetology and Nutrition Clinics

Purpose

A systematic screening for the presence of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD)-related advanced fibrosis is currently recommended in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity. However, real-world data of such liver fibrosis risk stratification pathway from diabetology and nutrition clinics towards hepatology clinics are scarce. Therefore, we compared data from two pathways with or without transient elastography (TE) performed in diabetology and nutrition clinics.

Patients and Methods

This is a retrospective study comparing the proportion of patients with intermediate/high risk of advanced fibrosis (AF) as defined by a liver stiffness measurement (LSM) ≥8kPa, among patients referred in hepatology from two diabetology-nutrition departments at Lyon University Hospital, France between November 1st 2018 to December 31st 2019.

Results

Among the two diabetology and nutrition departments using TE or not, 27.5% (62/225) versus 44.2% (126/285) were referred to hepatology, respectively. The pathway using TE in diabetology and nutrition referred to hepatology a higher proportion of patients with intermediate/high risk of AF compared to the pathway without TE: 77.4% versus 30.9%, p<0.001. In the pathway with TE, the odds of patients with intermediate/high risk of AF referred to hepatology was significantly higher: OR: 7.7, 95% CI: 3.6-16.7, p<0.001 after adjustment for age, sex and presence of obesity and T2D compared to the pathway without TE in diabetology and nutrition clinics. However, among the patients not referred, 29.4% had an intermediate/high risk of AF.

Conclusion

A pathway-referral using TE performed in diabetology and nutrition clinics, significantly improves the liver fibrosis risk stratification and avoids over-referral. However, collaboration between diabetologist, nutritionists and hepatologists is needed to avoid under-referral.

Performance of non-invasive tests and histology for the prediction of clinical outcomes in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: an individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Histologically assessed liver fibrosis stage has prognostic significance in patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and is accepted as a surrogate endpoint in clinical trials for non-cirrhotic NAFLD. Our aim was to compare the prognostic performance of non-invasive tests with liver histology in patients with NAFLD.

METHODS

This was an individual participant data meta-analysis of the prognostic performance of histologically assessed fibrosis stage (F0-4), liver stiffness measured by vibration-controlled transient elastography (LSM-VCTE), fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4), and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) in patients with NAFLD. The literature was searched for a previously published systematic review on the diagnostic accuracy of imaging and simple non-invasive tests and updated to Jan 12, 2022 for this study. Studies were identified through PubMed/MEDLINE, EMBASE, and CENTRAL, and authors were contacted for individual participant data, including outcome data, with a minimum of 12 months of follow-up. The primary outcome was a composite endpoint of all-cause mortality, hepatocellular carcinoma, liver transplantation, or cirrhosis complications (ie, ascites, variceal bleeding, hepatic encephalopathy, or progression to a MELD score ≥15). We calculated aggregated survival curves for trichotomised groups and compared them using stratified log-rank tests (histology: F0-2 vs F3 vs F4; LSM: <10 vs 10 to <20 vs ≥20 kPa; FIB-4: <1·3 vs 1·3 to ≤2·67 vs >2·67; NFS: <-1·455 vs -1·455 to ≤0·676 vs >0·676), calculated areas under the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curves (tAUC), and performed Cox proportional-hazards regression to adjust for confounding. This study was registered with PROSPERO, CRD42022312226.

FINDINGS

Of 65 eligible studies, we included data on 2518 patients with biopsy-proven NAFLD from 25 studies (1126 [44·7%] were female, median age was 54 years [IQR 44-63), and 1161 [46·1%] had type 2 diabetes). After a median follow-up of 57 months [IQR 33-91], the composite endpoint was observed in 145 (5·8%) patients. Stratified log-rank tests showed significant differences between the trichotomised patient groups (p<0·0001 for all comparisons). The tAUC at 5 years were 0·72 (95% CI 0·62-0·81) for histology, 0·76 (0·70-0·83) for LSM-VCTE, 0·74 (0·64-0·82) for FIB-4, and 0·70 (0·63-0·80) for NFS. All index tests were significant predictors of the primary outcome after adjustment for confounders in the Cox regression.

INTERPRETATION

Simple non-invasive tests performed as well as histologically assessed fibrosis in predicting clinical outcomes in patients with NAFLD and could be considered as alternatives to liver biopsy in some cases.

FUNDING

Innovative Medicines Initiative 2.

Regression of Hepatic Fibrosis After Endoscopic Gastric Plication in Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

INTRODUCTION

Fibrosis stage is the strongest predictor of mortality in patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). There is currently no approved therapy that specifically targets fibrosis. This study aims to assess the effect of endoscopic gastric plication on hepatic fibrosis in patients with underlying NAFLD.

METHODS

This is a retrospective analysis of prospectively collected registry of patients with obesity and NAFLD with clinically significant hepatic fibrosis (≥F2) who underwent endoscopic gastric plication. Full-thickness plications were placed in the gastric body using a commercially available platform to reduce the gastric volume. The primary outcome included various noninvasive tests (NITs) of hepatic fibrosis based on clinical chemistry and/or imaging. The secondary outcomes included NITs of hepatic steatosis, other metabolic outcomes, including hemoglobin A1c, insulin resistance, and total weight loss (TWL), and adverse events.

RESULTS

Forty-five patients (age 51 ± 13 years and body mass index 40.7 ± 6.9 kg/m 2 ) were included. All patients underwent endoscopic gastric plication successfully. At 6-12 months, there were significant reductions in biochemistries (alanine aminotransferase: 49.7 ± 36.8 U/L to 24.2 ± 12.0 U/L [ P < 0.0001], aspartate aminotransferase: 39.1 ± 24.1 U/L to 24.1 ± 10.0 U/L [ P < 0.0001]), composite fibrosis score (NAFLD fibrosis score: 0.48 ± 1.51 to -1.18 ± 1.56 [ P < 0.0001], fibrosis-4 index: 1.4 ± 1.2 to 1.2 ± 0.7 [ P = 0.03]), and imaging-based markers of fibrosis (vibration-controlled transient elastography: 13.9 ± 7.5 kPa to 8.9 ± 4.8 kPa ( P < 0.0001) and Agile 3+: 0.53 ± 0.28 to 0.37 ± 0.28 [ P = 0.001]). There were significant reductions in controlled attenuation parameter, Homeostatic Model Assessment for Insulin Resistance, and hemoglobin A1c ( P < 0.05 for all). At 12 months, patients experienced 15.5% ± 7.9% TWL, with 63% reaching at least 10% TWL.

DISCUSSION

Endoscopic gastric plication seems effective at treating NAFLD, with significant reduction in NITs of hepatic fibrosis even in patients with cirrhosis.

Associations between dietary flavonoid intake with hepatic steatosis and fibrosis quantified by VCTE: Evidence from NHANES and FNDDS

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Flavonoids are natural products of plant origin and have been shown to be beneficial for nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) in animal studies. However, relevant epidemiological evidence is still lacking, and the relationship between flavonoid and subclass intake with quantified hepatic steatosis and fibrosis has not been investigated.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study was based on the Food and Nutrient Database for Dietary Studies (FNDDS) expanded flavonoid intake database and the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-2018 and included a total of 4113 participants with vibration-controlled transient elastography (VCTE) data. Multiple logistic regression was used to assess linear relationships between flavonoids and hepatic steatosis and fibrosis. Smoothed curve fit and a generalized additive model were used to investigate the non-linear relationship, and a two-tailed linear regression model was used to find potential inflection points. Of the 4113 participants, 1045 (25.41%) were diagnosed with NAFLD. After adjusting for energy and major non-dietary covariates, significant linear negative correlations were observed between total flavonoids and CAP [-1.53 (-2.59, -0.47)] and LSM [-0.17 (-0.27, -0.07)]. After adjusting for all covariates, flavones had the strongest and most significant negative association with hepatic steatosis [-1.98 (-3.79, -0.17)]. The results of smooth curve fitting and subgroup analysis demonstrated gender differences, and threshold effect analysis further identified a U-shaped relationship and inflection point between flavonoid intake and hepatic steatosis (infection point: 287.25 mg/d).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest negative associations between flavonoid and subclass intake with hepatic steatosis and fibrosis.

Screening for At-Risk Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease in the Primary Care Setting

While nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is a leading cause of end-stage liver disease, most patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease do not develop cirrhosis and its complications. Therefore, risk stratification using inexpensive, noninvasive screening modalities is critical to avoid overdiagnosis and overtreatment of a large proportion of the population. In this review, we discuss the data supporting screening and current professional society recommendations on this topic. Screening for at-risk nonalcoholic fatty liver disease is recommended in patients with risk factors including diabetes, the metabolic syndrome, hepatic steatosis, and elevated aminotransferases. Screening typically consists of noninvasive testing using serum biomarkers followed by elastography using specialized imaging modalities. This sequential screening approach accurately identifies both high- and low-risk patients and is cost-effective when applied to at-risk populations. In conclusion, screening for advanced nonalcoholic fatty liver disease in the primary care setting is a crucial part of identifying high-risk patients who may benefit from aggressive intervention while avoiding overtreatment of patients at low risk of liver-related complications.

Research Priorities for Precision Medicine in NAFLD

NAFLD is a multisystem condition and the leading cause of chronic liver disease globally. There are no approved NAFLD-specific dugs. To advance in the prevention and treatment of NAFLD, there is a clear need to better understand the pathophysiology and genetic and environmental risk factors, identify subphenotypes, and develop personalized and precision medicine. In this review, we discuss the main NAFLD research priorities, with a particular focus on socioeconomic factors, interindividual variations, limitations of current NAFLD clinical trials, multidisciplinary models of care, and novel approaches in the management of patients with NAFLD.

Roles of Radiological Tests in Clinical Trials and the Clinical Management of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Radiological testing is now routinely used for clinical trial prescreening, diagnosis, and treatment and referral. The CAP performs well in detecting fatty liver but is unable to grade and track longitudinal changes. MRI-PDFF is a better technique for evaluating longitudinal changes and is used as a primary endpoint in trials of antisteatotic agents. The probability of detecting liver fibrosis using radiological testing techniques is high when performed at referral centers, and reasonable imaging strategies include the combination of FIB-4 and VCTE, the FAST Score, MAST, and MEFIB. The strategy currently recommended is the sequential application of FIB-4 and VCTE.

Using the ELF test, FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score to screen the population for liver disease

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

There is a need for accurate population screening biomarkers for alcohol-related and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (ALD, NAFLD). We evaluated the Enhanced Liver Fibrosis (ELF) test compared to FIB-4 and NAFLD fibrosis score (NFS) using transient elastography (TE) as fibrosis screening reference.

METHODS

We prospectively included participants from the general population, and people at risk of ALD or NAFLD. Screening positive participants (TE ≥8 kPa) were offered a liver biopsy. We measured concomitant ELF, FIB-4, and NFS using validated cut-offs: ≥9.8, ≥1.3, ≥-1.45, respectively.

RESULTS

We included 3,378 participants (1,973 general population, 953 at risk of ALD, 452 at risk of NAFLD), with a median age of 57 years (IQR: 51-63). Two hundred-and-forty-two were screening positive (3.4% in general population, 12% in ALD, 14% in NAFLD). Most participants with TE <8 kPa also had ELF <9.8 (88%) despite a poor overall correlation between ELF and TE (Spearman´s rho=0.207). ELF had significantly fewer false positives (11%) than FIB-4 and NFS (35% and 45%), while retaining a low rate of false negatives (<8%). A screening strategy of FIB-4 followed by ELF in indeterminate cases resulted in 8% false positives, 4% false negatives and 88% correctly classified. We performed a liver biopsy in 155/242 (64%) screening positives, of those 54 (35%) had advanced fibrosis (≥F3). ELF diagnosed advanced fibrosis with significantly better diagnostic accuracy than FIB-4 and NFS: AUROC 0.85 (95% CI 0.79-0.92) versus 0.73 (0.64-0.81) and 0.66 (0.57-0.76).

CONCLUSION

The ELF test alone or combined with FIB-4 for liver fibrosis screening in the general population and at-risk groups reduces the number of futile referrals compared to FIB-4 and NFS, without overlooking true cases.

IMPACT AND IMPLEMENTATIONS

We need referral pathways that are efficient at detecting advanced fibrosis from alcohol-related and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in the population, but without causing futile referrals or excessive use of resources. This study indicates that a sequential test strategy of FIB-4, followed by the ELF test in indeterminate cases leads to few patients referred for confirmatory liver stiffness measurement, while retaining a high rate of detected cases, and at low direct costs. This two-step referral pathway could be used by primary care for mass, targeted, or opportunistic screening for liver fibrosis in the population.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

Clinicaltrials.gov number NCT03308916.