Metformin reduces hepatocellular carcinoma incidence after successful antiviral therapy in patients with diabetes and chronic hepatitis C in Taiwan

The Asian Pacific association for the study of the liver clinical practice guidelines for the diagnosis and management of metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease

Metabolic dysfunction-associated fatty liver disease (MAFLD) affects over one-fourth of the global adult population and is the leading cause of liver disease worldwide. To address this, the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) has created clinical practice guidelines focused on MAFLD. The guidelines cover various aspects of the disease, such as its epidemiology, diagnosis, screening, assessment, and treatment. The guidelines aim to advance clinical practice, knowledge, and research on MAFLD, particularly in special groups. The guidelines are designed to advance clinical practice, to provide evidence-based recommendations to assist healthcare stakeholders in decision-making and to improve patient care and disease awareness. The guidelines take into account the burden of clinical management for the healthcare sector.

North American clinical practice guidelines for the medical management of hidradenitis suppurativa in special patient populations

BACKGROUND

Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) affects different patient populations that require unique considerations in their management. However, no HS guidelines for these populations exist.

OBJECTIVE

To provide evidence-based consensus recommendations for patients with HS in 7 special patient populations: (i) pregnancy, (ii) breastfeeding, (iii) pediatrics, (iv) malignancy, (v) tuberculosis infection, (vi) hepatitis B or C infection, and (vii) HIV disease.

METHODS

Recommendations were developed using the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation system to ascertain level of evidence and selected through a modified Delphi consensus process.

RESULTS

One hundred eighteen expert consensus statements are provided for the management of patients with HS across these 7 special patient populations.

Risk of de novo HCC in patients with MASLD following direct-acting antiviral-induced cure of HCV infection

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Data are limited on the risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) who have achieved sustained virologic response at off-treatment week 12 (SVR12) using direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for HCV.

METHODS

A total of 1,598 eligible patients received biannual alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and liver imaging surveillance to detect de novo HCC after achieving SVR12. MASLD was defined as presence of controlled attenuation parameter (CAP) ≥248 dB/m and ≥1 cardiometabolic risk factor (CMRF). Cumulative HCC incidence was compared between patients with/without MASLD. We built univariable and multivariable Cox proportional hazards models to evaluate factors associated with HCC. Sensitivity analysis was performed using the Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards model. Additionally, we evaluated the mediation effect of MASLD on CMRFs and of CMRFs on MASLD for HCC using mediation analysis with bootstrapping.

RESULTS

The incidence rate of HCC was 1.44 per 100 person-years of follow-up (95% CI 1.19-1.74). Patients with MASLD had a higher cumulative HCC incidence than those without MASLD (log-rank test, p <0.001). Multivariable Cox regression analysis revealed that in addition to age, sex, liver stiffness measurement, platelet count, and AFP, MASLD (adjusted hazard ratio 2.07; 95% CI 1.36-3.16; p <0.001) was independently associated with HCC. This finding was confirmed by the Fine-Gray model, which showed a subdistribution hazard ratio of 2.07 (95% CI 1.34-3.19, p <0.001) for MASLD. MASLD significantly mediated CMRFs for HCC development.

CONCLUSION

After achieving SVR12, patients with MASLD exhibited an increased HCC risk compared to those without MASLD. Vigilant HCC surveillance and control of CMRFs to mitigate the effect of MASLD on HCC remain crucial for this population.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

The risk of de novo hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) among patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) who have attained a sustained virologic response to direct-acting antivirals remains to be confirmed. In this study, recruiting 1,598 patients in Taiwan, individuals with MASLD had an approximately two-fold increased risk of de novo HCC compared to those without MASLD after achieving a sustained virologic response. MASLD significantly mediated cardiometabolic risk factors for HCC development. Our findings underscore the critical importance of pharmacological interventions and proactive lifestyle modifications to control cardiometabolic risk factors in patients with MASLD, as well as the need for vigilant HCC surveillance to ensure favorable outcomes following HCV eradication.

Long-Term Liver Morbidity and Mortality After Hepatitis C Virus Elimination by Direct-Acting Antivirals

BACKGROUND AND AIM

More accurate stratification of patients with chronic hepatitis C after permanent hepatitis C virus (HCV) clearance by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) is important for improving long-term surveillance and treatment. The aim of this study was to stratify patients with chronic hepatitis C who are at risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) after HCV cure.

METHODS

This multicenter, retrospective cohort study included 3177 consecutive adult chronic hepatitis C patients without decompensated cirrhosis who were treated with all-oral DAAs. The primary study endpoints were long-term cumulative de novo HCC incidence, HCC recurrence rates, and survival. Additionally, we analyzed the development of HCC by patients without cirrhosis, stratified by age and fibrosis status according to the FIB-4 index.

RESULTS

After exclusions, data from 3024 patients were available for analysis. The overall median follow-up period was 6.5 years. None of the patients with non-cirrhosis/FIB-4 < 1.45 (n = 475) developed HCC regardless of background factors. For patients with non-cirrhosis/FIB-4 ≥ 3.25, older age had a greater impact on HCC incidence (log-rank test: p = 0.038). In addition, metabolic factors, including body mass index and diabetes mellitus, were not related to HCC incidence. HCC recurrence commonly occurred within 5 years after HCV cure; nevertheless, HCV cure contributed to an improvement of survival rates.

CONCLUSIONS

Age is a pivotal factor in predicting de novo HCC development following HCV cure in patients with moderate to advanced fibrosis. Conversely, patients with mild fibrosis (FIB-4 < 1.45) may be eligible for discharge from specialized care after achieving HCV elimination.

Current and emerging strategies for the prevention of hepatocellular carcinoma

Liver cancer is the third leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally, with incident cases expected to rise from 905,700 in 2020 to 1.4 million by 2040. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) accounts for about 80% of all primary liver cancers. Viral hepatitis and chronic excessive alcohol consumption are major risk factors for HCC, but metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease is also becoming a dominant cause. The increasing numbers of cases of HCC and changes in risk factors highlight the urgent need for updated and targeted prevention strategies. Preventive interventions encompass strategies to decrease the burden of chronic liver diseases and their progression to HCC. These strategies include nutritional interventions and medications that have shown promise in preclinical models. Although prevailing approaches focus on treating chronic liver disease, leveraging a wider range of interventions represents a promising area to safeguard at-risk populations. In this Review, we explore existing evidence for preventive strategies by highlighting established and potential paths to reducing HCC risk effectively and safely, especially in individuals with chronic liver diseases. We categorize the preventive strategies by the mechanism of action, including anti-inflammatory, antihyperglycaemic, lipid-lowering, nutrition and dietary, antiviral, and antifibrotic pathways. For each category, we discuss the efficacy and safety information derived from mechanistic, translational, observational and clinical trial data, pinpointing knowledge gaps and directions for future research.

The Natural History of Hepatitis C Virus Infection and Disease in the Era of Curative Therapy with Direct-Acting Antivirals

The availability of highly effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) that cure individuals infected with HCV has changed completely the natural history of HCV infection and chronic hepatitis C. In sustained responders to DAAs, the most common clinical-pathologic outcome has become liver disease regression, cirrhosis re-compensation, and the de-listing of transplant candidates. However, careful scrutiny of liver disease cofactors and outcome predictors in treated patients is mandatory for an appropriate personalized surveillance of the residual risk for hepatocellular carcinoma. Since successful treatment with DAAs does not confer protective immunity against HCV reinfection, an effective vaccine is critically needed to control HCV infection. Meanwhile, it is mandatory to enhance universal access to DAAs, to test asymptomatic high-risk groups who are the main source of transmission, and to screen people who inject drugs (PWID), men who have sex with men (MSM), and sex workers, and to assure safe medical procedures with the provision of disposable needle and syringes.

High-normal and abnormal alanine transaminase levels linked to increased risk of hepatoma following treatment for chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND/PURPOSE

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increased in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and elevated alanine transaminase (ALT) levels. The association between HCC and ALT levels after interferon (IFN) or direct-acting antivirals (DAA) therapy is unclear.

METHODS

Patients with CHC receiving antiviral therapy were included in two large-scale cohorts in Taiwan (T-COACH and TACR). Posttreatment ALT levels were assessed at 24-weeks/12-weeks after the end-of-treatment with IFN/DAA. HCC risk after antiviral therapy were identified for evaluation.

RESULTS

Of 29,926 CHC patients enrolled in the study, 64%, 22.5%, and 13.5% had posttreatment healthy-normal (female, ≤19 U/L; male ≤30 U/L), high-normal (female, 19-40 U/L; male, 30-40 U/L), and abnormal (>40 U/L) ALT levels, respectively. During a median follow-up of 2.4 years, 1245 patients developed HCC. The 5-year cumulative HCC incidence was 11.2% and 5.2% in the abnormal and high-normal ALT groups, respectively, compared to 2.7% in the healthy ALT group. In Cox regression analysis, factors associated with a higher HCC risk were advanced fibrosis, abnormal and high-normal posttreatment ALT levels, cirrhosis, and old age; whereas a sustained virological response (SVR) was associated with a lower HCC risk. The aforementioned impacts of abnormal and high-normal posttreatment ALT levels were observed across the SVR, non-SVR, and non-cirrhotic subgroups.

CONCLUSION

Patients with CHC with high-normal and abnormal posttreatment ALT levels have an increased risk of HCC; thus, HCC surveillance is still necessary in this population.

Prevention of liver cancer in the era of next-generation antivirals and obesity epidemic

Preventive interventions are expected to substantially improve the prognosis of patients with primary liver cancer, predominantly HCC and cholangiocarcinoma. HCC prevention is challenging in the face of the evolving etiological landscape, particularly the sharp increase in obesity-associated metabolic disorders, including metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease. Next-generation anti-HCV and HBV drugs have substantially reduced, but not eliminated, the risk of HCC and have given way to new challenges in identifying at-risk patients. The recent development of new therapeutic agents and modalities has opened unprecedented opportunities to refine primary, secondary, and tertiary HCC prevention strategies. For primary prevention (before exposure to risk factors), public health policies, such as universal HBV vaccination, have had a substantial prognostic impact. Secondary prevention (after or during active exposure to risk factors) includes regular HCC screening and chemoprevention. Emerging biomarkers and imaging modalities for HCC risk stratification and detection may enable individual risk-based personalized and cost-effective HCC screening. Clinical studies have suggested the potential utility of lipid-lowering, antidiabetic/obesity, and anti-inflammatory agents for secondary prevention, and some of them are being evaluated in prospective clinical trials. Computational and experimental studies have identified potential chemopreventive strategies directed at diverse molecular, cellular, and systemic targets for etiology-specific and/or agnostic interventions. Tertiary prevention (in conjunction with curative-intent therapies for HCC) is an area of active research with the development of new immune-based neoadjuvant/adjuvant therapies. Cholangiocarcinoma prevention may advance with recent efforts to elucidate risk factors. These advances will collectively lead to substantial improvements in liver cancer mortality rates.

Diverting hepatic lipid fluxes with lifestyles revision and pharmacological interventions as a strategy to tackle steatotic liver disease (SLD) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC)

Steatotic liver disease (SLD) and Hepatocellular Carcinoma (HCC) are characterised by a substantial rewiring of lipid fluxes caused by systemic metabolic unbalances and/or disrupted intracellular metabolic pathways. SLD is a direct consequence of the interaction between genetic predisposition and a chronic positive energy balance affecting whole-body energy homeostasis and the function of metabolically-competent organs. In this review, we discuss how the impairment of the cross-talk between peripheral organs and the liver stalls glucose and lipid metabolism, leading to unbalances in hepatic lipid fluxes that promote hepatic fat accumulation. We also describe how prolonged metabolic stress builds up toxic lipid species in the liver, and how lipotoxicity and metabolic disturbances drive disease progression by promoting a chronic activation of wound healing, leading to fibrosis and HCC. Last, we provide a critical overview of current state of the art (pre-clinical and clinical evidence) regarding mechanisms of action and therapeutic efficacy of candidate SLD treatment options, and their potential to interfere with SLD/HCC pathophysiology by diverting lipids away from the liver therefore improving metabolic health.

Metformin in Antiviral Therapy: Evidence and Perspectives

Metformin, a widely used antidiabetic medication, has emerged as a promising broad-spectrum antiviral agent due to its ability to modulate cellular pathways essential for viral replication. By activating AMPK, metformin depletes cellular energy reserves that viruses rely on, effectively limiting the replication of pathogens such as influenza, HIV, SARS-CoV-2, HBV, and HCV. Its role in inhibiting the mTOR pathway, crucial for viral protein synthesis and reactivation, is particularly significant in managing infections caused by HIV, CMV, and EBV. Furthermore, metformin reduces oxidative stress and reactive oxygen species (ROS), which are critical for replicating arboviruses such as Zika and dengue. The drug also regulates immune responses, cellular differentiation, and inflammation, disrupting the life cycle of HPV and potentially other viruses. These diverse mechanisms suppress viral replication, enhance immune system functionality, and contribute to better clinical outcomes. This multifaceted approach highlights metformin's potential as an adjunctive therapy in treating a wide range of viral infections.

Surveillance Imaging and GAAD/GALAD Scores for Detection of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Patients with Chronic Hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Early detection of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is crucial for improving survival in patients with chronic hepatitis. The GALAD algorithm combines gender (biological sex), age, α-fetoprotein (AFP), Lens culinaris agglutinin-reactive fraction of AFP (AFP-L3), and protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist-II (PIVKA-II) for HCC detection. Similarly, the GAAD algorithm incorporates gender (biological sex), age, AFP, and PIVKA-II. This study aimed to assess the clinical utility of AFP-L3 in the GALAD algorithm and its potential synergies with ultrasound. We compared the clinical performance of GALAD with GAAD; AFP; AFP-L3; and PIVKA-II, with or without ultrasound, in Taiwanese adults.

METHODS

A total of 439 serum samples were analyzed using a Cobas® e 601 analyzer (healthy controls, n = 200; chronic liver disease controls, n = 177; HCC cases, n = 62). Performance was assessed through receiver operating characteristic curve analyses to calculate the area under the curve.

RESULTS

The area under the curve for differentiating early-stage HCC from patients with chronic liver disease was optimal for PIVKA-II (84.9%), GAAD (79.8%), and GALAD (79.4%), with slightly improved performance for detecting all-stage HCC. Clinical performance was unaffected by disease stage or etiology. Sensitivity for early-stage HCC was highest for GAAD (57.6%) and GALAD (57.6%). Sensitivity for each strategy was further enhanced when combined with ultrasound, regardless of disease stage or etiology (P < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings indicate that the role of AFP-L3 in the GALAD algorithm is minimal, supporting the use of GAAD for HCC detection. A combination of GAAD, GALAD, or PIVKA-II with ultrasound may improve diagnostic efficiency compared with recommended strategies.

Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease in Chronic Hepatitis C Virus Infection: From Basics to Clinical and Nutritional Management

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is closely associated with obesity and other cardiometabolic risk factors. MASLD has rapidly become the most common cause of liver disease worldwide, currently affecting 38% of the global population. Excess weight causes chronic inflammation and the activation of different pathways involved in liver damage. MASLD can progress from simple steatosis to steatohepatitis, giving way to its inflammatory component, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), previously recognized as non-alcoholic steatosis hepatitis (NASH). Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remains a significant challenge to liver health as it triggers hepatic inflammation, metabolic disruption, and hepatic steatosis. The convergence of MASLD and chronic HCV infection can significantly alter the course of liver disease and accelerate the progression to severe liver damage. Currently, HCV treatment has a high cure rate. However, in patients who achieve a sustained virological response after treatment with direct-acting antivirals, weight gain, and excessive calorie intake may contribute to increased liver steatosis and a higher risk of liver disease progression. Therefore, the effective clinical and nutritional management of HCV patients, both before and after viral eradication, is crucial to reducing the risk of death from hepatocellular carcinoma. Understanding the complex interactions between MASLD and HCV infection is crucial for managing these patients appropriately. Herein, host and viral mechanisms inducing liver damage during the coexistence of MASLD and HCV infection are described, and their therapeutic and dietary management are discussed.

Beyond the Liver: A Comprehensive Review of Strategies to Prevent Hepatocellular Carcinoma

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a leading cause of cancer-related mortality worldwide, primarily developing in the context of chronic liver disease. Traditional prevention has focused on liver-specific interventions like antiviral therapies and surveillance. However, extrahepatic factors also significantly contribute to HCC risk. This review explores comprehensive strategies for HCC prevention, including both hepatic and extrahepatic factors.

METHODS

An extensive literature search of peer-reviewed articles up to October 2024 was conducted, focusing on studies addressing HCC prevention strategies. Studies that focused on both hepatic and extrahepatic factors were included. Data were extracted and synthesized to provide an overview of current prevention strategies and their effectiveness in reducing HCC incidence.

RESULTS

Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral treatments for hepatitis B and C significantly reduce HCC incidence. Lifestyle modifications-such as reducing alcohol consumption, maintaining a healthy weight through diet and exercise, and smoking cessation-are crucial in lowering HCC risk. Environmental measures to limit exposure to aflatoxins and other hazards also contribute to prevention. Regular surveillance of high-risk groups enables early detection and improves survival rates. Emerging strategies like immunotherapy and gene therapy show potential for further reducing HCC risk.

CONCLUSIONS

A comprehensive approach combining medical interventions, lifestyle changes, and environmental controls is essential for effectively decreasing HCC incidence globally. Implementing these combined measures could significantly reduce the global burden of HCC.

Clinical care guidance in patients with diabetes and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease: A joint consensus

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) is the most prevalent chronic liver disease worldwide, affecting >30% of the global population. Metabolic dysregulation, particularly insulin resistance and its subsequent manifestation as type 2 diabetes mellitus, serves as the fundamental pathogenesis of metabolic liver disease. Clinical evidence of the recent nomenclature evolution is accumulating. The interaction and impacts are bidirectional between MASLD and diabetes in terms of disease course, risk, and prognosis. Therefore, there is an urgent need to highlight the multifaceted links between MASLD and diabetes for both hepatologists and diabetologists. The surveillance strategy, risk stratification of management, and current therapeutic achievements of metabolic liver disease remain the major pillars in a clinical care setting. Therefore, the Taiwan Association for the Study of the Liver (TASL), Taiwanese Association of Diabetes Educators, and Diabetes Association of the Republic of China (Taiwan) collaboratively completed the first guidance in patients with diabetes and MASLD, which provides practical recommendations for patient care.

Daily Antiplatelets Other Than Aspirin Reduce Liver Cancer Risk but Increase Intracranial Hemorrhage Risk in Cirrhotic Patients

Purpose

Aspirin, known to reduce the risk of liver cancer, has been proposed as a preventive measure for patients with chronic hepatitis and cirrhosis. However, concerns regarding aspirin's potential to cause gastrointestinal (GI) mucosal injury and bleeding have emerged. Several antiplatelets other than aspirin (APOA) that pose a smaller risk of GI bleeding than aspirin have been proposed as potential aspirin substitutes. This study investigated whether APOAs were effective at reducing the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Additionally, we evaluated the safety of APOAs, specifically regarding their potential to increase the risk of GI bleeding, in a nationwide cirrhosis cohort.

Patients and Methods

For the period January 1, 2000, to December 31, 2017, we identified 686 993 patients with cirrhosis from a national database. A control group was established using 1:2 propensity score matching on the basis of sex, age, comorbidities, and medication use.

Results

Daily use of APOAs was significantly associated with lower incidences of HCC (aHR 0.67; 95% CI, 0.60-0.73; P < 0.001) and showed no significant increase in GI bleeding risk (aHR 1.04; 95% CI, 0.93-1.15; P = 0.533) compared to nonuse of APOAs. However, the risks of intracranial hemorrhage (aHR, 1.41; 95% CI, 1.18 to 1.69; P < 0.001) and overall mortality (aHR, 2.03; 95% CI, 1.95 to 2.10; P < 0.001) were higher in the APOA user group.

Conclusion

Our results suggest that although daily use of APOAs other than aspirin may decrease the HCC risk of patients with cirrhosis, it may also increase their risks of intracranial hemorrhage and overall mortality. Therefore, the use of APOAs as an alternative to aspirin for HCC prevention in patients with cirrhosis requires careful consideration.

Risk of hepatocellular carcinoma occurrence after antiviral therapy for patients with chronic hepatitis C Infection: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) occurrence following antiviral therapy in patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) remains unclear. The current study aims to compare: (1) the HCC occurrence rate following sustained virological response (SVR) versus non-response (NR); (2) the HCC occurrence rate following direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy versus interferon (IFN)-based therapy, and (3) the HCC occurrence rate in SVR patients with or without cirrhosis.

METHODS

A search was performed for articles published between January 2017 and July 2022. Studies were included if they assessed HCC occurrence rate in CHC patients following anti-HCV therapy. Random effects meta-analysis was used to synthesize the results from individual studies.

RESULTS

A total of 23 studies including 29,395 patients (IFN-based = 6, DAA = 17; prospective = 10, retrospective = 13) were included in the review. HCC occurrence was significantly lower in CHC with SVR (1.54 per 100 person-years (py, 95% CI 1.52, 1.57) than those in non-responders (7.80 py, 95% CI 7.61, 7.99). Stratified by HCV treatment regimens, HCC occurrence following SVR was 1.17 per 100 py (95% CI 1.11, 1.22) and 1.60 per 100 py (95% CI 1.58, 1.63) in IFN- and DAA treatment-based studies. HCC occurrence was 0.85 per 100 py (95% CI 0.85, 0.86) in the non-cirrhosis population and rose to 2.47 per 100 py (95% CI 2.42, 2.52) in the cirrhosis population. Further meta-regression analysis showed that treatment types were not associated with a higher HCC occurrence rate, while cirrhosis status was an important factor of HCC occurrence rate.

CONCLUSION

HCC occurrence was significantly lower in the SVR population than in the NR population. HCC risk following SVR occurred three times more frequently in patients with cirrhosis than patients without cirrhosis. However, we found no significant difference in HCC occurrence risk following SVR between DAA and IFN therapies.

CLINICAL TRIAL NUMBER

CRD42023473033.

AI-powered prediction of HCC recurrence after surgical resection: Personalised intervention opportunities using patient-specific risk factors

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence following surgical resection remains a significant clinical challenge, necessitating reliable predictive models to guide personalised interventions. In this study, we sought to harness the power of artificial intelligence (AI) to develop a robust predictive model for HCC recurrence using comprehensive clinical datasets.

METHODS

Leveraging data from 958 patients across multiple centres in Australia and Hong Kong, we employed a multilayer perceptron (MLP) as the optimal classifier for model generation.

RESULTS

Through rigorous internal cross-validation, including a cohort from the Chinese University of Hong Kong (CUHK), our AI model successfully identified specific pre-surgical risk factors associated with HCC recurrence. These factors encompassed hepatic synthetic function, liver disease aetiology, ethnicity and modifiable metabolic risk factors, collectively contributing to the predictive synergy of our model. Notably, our model exhibited high accuracy during cross-validation (.857 ± .023) and testing on the CUHK cohort (.835), with a notable degree of confidence in predicting HCC recurrence within accurately classified patient cohorts. To facilitate clinical application, we developed an online AI digital tool capable of real-time prediction of HCC recurrence risk, demonstrating acceptable accuracy at the individual patient level.

CONCLUSION

Our findings underscore the potential of AI-driven predictive models in facilitating personalised risk stratification and targeted interventions to mitigate HCC recurrence by identifying modifiable risk factors unique to each patient. This model aims to aid clinicians in devising strategies to disrupt the underlying carcinogenic network driving recurrence.

The association between proton-pump inhibitor use and recurrence of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatectomy

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The association between long-term proton-pump inhibitors (PPIs) use and malignancies had long been discussed, but it still lacks consensus. Our study investigated the association between PPI use and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) recurrence following curative surgery.

METHODS

We retrospectively enrolled 6037 patients with HCC who underwent hepatectomy. Patients were divided into four groups according to their PPI usage. (non-users: < 28 cumulative defined daily dose [cDDD]; short-term users: 28-89 cDDD; mid-term users: 90-179 cDDD, and long-term users: ≥ 180 cDDD, respectively). Recurrence-free survival (RFS) and overall survival (OS) were analyzed using Kaplan-Meier method and Cox proportional hazard models.

RESULTS

Among the 6037 HCC patients, 2043 (33.84%) were PPI users. PPI users demonstrated better median RFS (3.10 years, interquartile range [IQR] 1.49-5.01) compared with non-users (2.73 years, IQR 1.20-4.74; with an adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] of 0.57, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.44-0.74, P < 0.001). When considering the cumulative dosage of PPI, only long-term PPI users had significant lower risk of HCC recurrence than non-PPI group (adj-HR: 0.50; 95% CI: 0.35-0.70; P < 0.001). Moreover, the impact of long-term PPIs use on improving RFS was significant in most of the subgroup analysis, except in patients with advanced tumor stages, with non-cirrhosis, or with a history of chronic kidney disease. However, there were no significant differences in median OS between PPI users and non-users (4.23 years, IQR 2.73-5.86 vs 4.04 years, IQR 2.51-5.82, P = 0.369).

CONCLUSION

Long-term PPI use (≥ 180 cDDD) may be associated with a better RFS in HCC patients after hepatectomy.

External validation of models to predict hepatocellular carcinoma in Hepatitis C Virus cured F3-F4 patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Several hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) risk-models have been developed to individualise patient surveillance following sustained viral response (SVR) in Hepatitis C Virus patients. Validation of these models in different cohorts is an important step to incorporate a more personalised risk assessment in clinical practice. We aimed at applying these models to stratify the risk in our patients and potentially determine cost-saving associated with individualised HCC risk-stratification screening strategy.

METHODS

Patients with baseline F3-4 fibrosis treated with new oral direct-acting antivirals who had reached a SVR were regularly followed as part of the HCC surveillance strategy. Six models were applied: Pons, aMAP, Ioannou, HCC risk, Alonso and Semmler. Validation of the models was performed based on sensitivity and the proportion of patients labelled as "high risk".

RESULTS

After excluding 557 with less than 3 fibrosis, 12 without SVR, 18 with a follow up (FU) <1 year, 17 transplant recipients, 16 lost to FU and 31 with HCC at time of antiviral therapy, our cohort consisted of 349 F3-4 SVR patients. Twenty-three patients (6.6%) developed HCC after a median FU of 5.12 years. The sensitivity of the different models varied between 0.17 (Semmler7noalcohol) and 1 (Alonso A and aMAP). The lowest proportion of high-risk patients corresponded to the Semmler-noalcohol model (5%). Sixty-three and 90% of the Alonso A and aMAP patients, respectively were labelled as high risk. The most reliable HCC risk-model applied to our cohort to predict HCC development is the Alonso model (based on fibrosis stage assessed by liver stiffness measurements or Fibrosis-4 index (FIB-4) at baseline and after 1 year, and albumin levels at 1 year) with a-100% sensitivity in detecting HCC among those at high risk and 63% labelled as high risk. The application of the model would have saved the cost of 1290 ultrasound no longer being performed in the 37% low-risk group.

CONCLUSION

In our cohort, the Alonso A model allows the most reliable reduction in HCC screening resulting in safely stopping life-long monitoring in about a third of F3-F4 patients achieving SVR with DAAs.

Benefits of Hepatitis C Viral Eradication: A Real-World Nationwide Cohort Study in Taiwan

BACKGROUND

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) increases the risk of liver cirrhosis (LC) and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This nationwide cohort study assessed the effectiveness of viral eradication of CHC.

METHODS

The Taiwanese chronic hepatitis C cohort and Taiwan hepatitis C virus (HCV) registry are nationwide HCV registry cohorts incorporating data from 23 and 53 hospitals in Taiwan, respectively. This study included 27,577 individuals from these cohorts that were given a diagnosis of CHC and with data linked to the Taiwan National Health Insurance Research Database. Patients received either pegylated interferon and ribavirin or direct-acting antiviral agent therapy for > 4 weeks for new-onset LC and liver-related events.

RESULTS

Among the 27,577 analyzed patients, 25,461 (92.3%) achieved sustained virologic response (SVR). The mean follow-up duration was 51.2 ± 48.4 months, totaling 118,567 person-years. In the multivariable Cox proportional hazard analysis, the hazard ratio (HR) for incident HCC was 1.39 (95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.00-1.95, p = 0.052) among noncirrhotic patients without SVR compared with those with SVR and 1.82 (95% CI 1.34-2.48) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. The HR for liver-related events, including HCC and decompensated LC, was 1.70 (95% CI 1.30-2.24) among cirrhotic patients without SVR. Patients with SVR had a lower 10-year cumulative incidence of new-onset HCC than those without SVR did (21.7 vs. 38.7% in patients with LC, p < 0.001; 6.0 vs. 18.4% in patients without LC, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

HCV eradication reduced the incidence of HCC in patients with and without LC and reduced the incidence of liver-related events in patients with LC.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the management of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

Hepatitis C virus and hepatocellular carcinoma: carcinogenesis in the era of direct-acting antivirals

Chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is a major cause of hepatic fibrosis and cirrhosis, with a risk for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although highly effective direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) are available, the incidence, morbidity, and mortality of HCV-associated HCC are still high. This article reviews the current knowledge of the mechanisms of HCV-induced carcinogenesis with a special focus on those processes that continue after virus clearance and outlines implications for patient surveillance after DAA treatment.

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and diabetes: the cross-talk between hepatologist and diabetologist

INTRODUCTION

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) are the most prevalent metabolic disorders globally. The numbers affected in both disorders are also rapidly increasing with alarming trends in children and young adults.

AREAS COVERED

Insulin resistance (IR) and the subsequent metabolic dysregulation are the fundamental pathogenesis pathways of the prevalent metabolic disorders. The interaction and impacts are bidirectional between MASLD and DM in terms of disease mechanisms, disease course, risks, and prognosis. There's a pressing issue for highlighting the links between MASLD and DM for both care specialists and primary care providers. The review collected the scientific evidence addressing the mutual interactions between the two disorders. The strategies for surveillance, risk stratification, and management are discussed in a practical manner. It also provides individualized viewpoints of patient care in hepatology and diabetology.

EXPERT OPINION

Both MASLD and DM shared similar disease mechanisms, and affected the disease development and progression in a bidirectional manner. The high prevalence and the cross-link between the two disorders raise clinical issues from awareness, screening, risk stratification, optimal referral, to appropriate management for primary care providers.

Metformin as adjuvant treatment in hepatitis C virus infections and associated complications

Hepatitis C virus is an important global cause of hepatitis and subsequently cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. These infections may also cause extrahepatic manifestations, including insulin resistance and type 2 diabetes mellitus. These two complications can potentially reduce sustained virologic responses (SVR) in some drug regimens for this infection. Metformin has important biochemical effects that can limit viral replication in cellular cultures and can improve the response to antiviral drug therapy based on ribavirin and interferon. Clinical studies comparing treatment regimens with interferon, ribavirin, metformin with these regimens without metformin have demonstrated that metformin increases viral clearance, establishes higher rates of SVRs, and increases insulin sensitivity. Metformin also reduces the frequency of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients who have had SVRs. Larger treatment trials are needed to determine metformin's short-term and long-term treatment effects in patients with diabetes using newer antiviral drugs. In particular, if metformin reduces the frequency of cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma, this would significantly reduce the morbidity and mortality associated with this infection.

Unmet needs in the post-direct-acting antivirals era: The risk and molecular mechanisms of hepatocellular carcinoma after hepatitis C virus eradication

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is one of the major etiologies of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) with approximately 30% of HCC being due to HCV infection worldwide. HCV eradication by antivirals greatly reduces the risk of HCC; nevertheless, HCC remains to occur in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who have achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). The proportion of post-SVR HCC among newly diagnosed HCC patients is increasing in the direct-acting antiviral (DAA) era and might be due to preexisting inflammatory and fibrotic liver backgrounds, immune dysregulation between host and virus interactions, as well as host epigenetic scars, genetic predispositions and alternations. By means of applying surrogate markers and adopting risk stratification, HCC surveillance should be consistently performed in high-risk populations. In this review, we discuss the possible molecular mechanism, risk factors, and HCC surveillance strategy for HCC development after HCV eradication in CHC patients.

Metformin and statins reduce hepatocellular carcinoma risk in chronic hepatitis C patients with failed antiviral therapy

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients who failed antiviral therapy are at increased risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This study assessed the potential role of metformin and statins, medications for diabetes mellitus (DM) and hyperlipidemia (HLP), in reducing HCC risk among these patients.

METHODS

We included CHC patients from the T-COACH study who failed antiviral therapy. We tracked the onset of HCC 1.5 years post-therapy by linking to Taiwan's cancer registry data from 2003 to 2019. We accounted for death and liver transplantation as competing risks and employed Gray's cumulative incidence and Cox subdistribution hazards models to analyze HCC development.

RESULTS

Out of 2,779 patients, 480 (17.3%) developed HCC post-therapy. DM patients not using metformin had a 51% increased risk of HCC compared to non-DM patients, while HLP patients on statins had a 50% reduced risk compared to those without HLP. The 5-year HCC incidence was significantly higher for metformin non-users (16.5%) versus non-DM patients (11.3%; adjusted sub-distribution hazard ratio [aSHR]=1.51; P=0.007) and metformin users (3.1%; aSHR=1.59; P=0.022). Statin use in HLP patients correlated with a lower HCC risk (3.8%) compared to non-HLP patients (12.5%; aSHR=0.50; P<0.001). Notably, the increased HCC risk associated with non-use of metformin was primarily seen in non-cirrhotic patients, whereas statins decreased HCC risk in both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic patients.

CONCLUSION

Metformin and statins may have a chemopreventive effect against HCC in CHC patients who failed antiviral therapy. These results support the need for personalized preventive strategies in managing HCC risk.

EASL-EASD-EASO Clinical Practice Guidelines on the Management of Metabolic Dysfunction-Associated Steatotic Liver Disease (MASLD)

Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD), previously termed non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), is defined as steatotic liver disease (SLD) in the presence of one or more cardiometabolic risk factor(s) and the absence of harmful alcohol intake. The spectrum of MASLD includes steatosis, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH, previously NASH), fibrosis, cirrhosis and MASH-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). This joint EASL-EASD-EASO guideline provides an update on definitions, prevention, screening, diagnosis and treatment for MASLD. Case-finding strategies for MASLD with liver fibrosis, using non-invasive tests, should be applied in individuals with cardiometabolic risk factors, abnormal liver enzymes, and/or radiological signs of hepatic steatosis, particularly in the presence of type 2 diabetes (T2D) or obesity with additional metabolic risk factor(s). A stepwise approach using blood-based scores (such as FIB-4) and, sequentially, imaging techniques (such as transient elastography) is suitable to rule-out/in advanced fibrosis, which is predictive of liver-related outcomes. In adults with MASLD, lifestyle modification - including weight loss, dietary changes, physical exercise and discouraging alcohol consumption - as well as optimal management of comorbidities - including use of incretin-based therapies (e.g. semaglutide, tirzepatide) for T2D or obesity, if indicated - is advised. Bariatric surgery is also an option in individuals with MASLD and obesity. If locally approved and dependent on the label, adults with non-cirrhotic MASH and significant liver fibrosis (stage ≥2) should be considered for a MASH-targeted treatment with resmetirom, which demonstrated histological effectiveness on steatohepatitis and fibrosis with an acceptable safety and tolerability profile. No MASH-targeted pharmacotherapy can currently be recommended for the cirrhotic stage. Management of MASH-related cirrhosis includes adaptations of metabolic drugs, nutritional counselling, surveillance for portal hypertension and HCC, as well as liver transplantation in decompensated cirrhosis.

The Role of Metabolic Reprogramming in the Tumor Immune Microenvironment: Mechanisms and Opportunities for Immunotherapy in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

As one of the emerging hallmarks of tumorigenesis and tumor progression, metabolic remodeling is common in the tumor microenvironment. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading cause of global tumor-related mortality, causing a series of metabolic alterations in response to nutrient availability and consumption to fulfill the demands of biosynthesis and carcinogenesis. Despite the efficacy of immunotherapy in treating HCC, the response rate remains unsatisfactory. Recently, research has focused on metabolic reprogramming and its effects on the immune state of the tumor microenvironment, and immune response rate. In this review, we delineate the metabolic reprogramming observed in HCC and its influence on the tumor immune microenvironment. We discuss strategies aimed at enhancing response rates and overcoming immune resistance through metabolic interventions, focusing on targeting glucose, lipid, or amino acid metabolism, as well as systemic regulation.

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 as a predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma in patients with hepatitis C virus after sustained virological response

Lysyl oxidase-like 2 (LOXL2) mediates the crosslinking of extracellular collagen, reflecting qualitative changes in liver fibrosis. This study aimed to validate the utility of serum LOXL2 levels as a predictive biomarker for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection who achieved a sustained virological response (SVR). This retrospective study included 137 patients with chronic HCV infection without history of HCC development and who achieved SVR via direct-acting antiviral therapy. Median LOXL2 levels decreased significantly after SVR achievement (pre-Tx, 2.33 ng/mL; post-Tx, 1.31 ng/mL, p < 0.001). Post-Tx LOXL2 levels, fibrosis-4 index, platelet counts, Wisteria floribunda agglutinin-positive human Mac-2 binding protein levels, and alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels were identified as independent predictive factors for post-SVR HCC development in the univariate analysis. The incidence of post-SVR HCC development was significantly higher in patients with post-Tx LOXL2 levels ≥ 2.08 ng/mL and AFP levels ≥ 5.0 ng/mL than in patients with elevated levels of either marker or with lower marker levels. Serum LOXL2 levels can serve as a predictive biomarker for HCC development after achieving SVR. The combination of serum LOXL2 and AFP levels provides robust risk stratification for HCC development after SVR, suggesting an enhanced surveillance strategy.

Triglyceride-Glucose Index is an Independent Risk Factor for Hepatocellular Carcinoma Development in Patients with HBV-Related Liver Cirrhosis

Aim

This study aimed to explore the effects of the triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index on hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development in patients with hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related liver cirrhosis (LC).

Methods

A total of 242 patients with HBV-related LC were enrolled and followed-up. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate risk factors for HCC.

Results

The median follow-up time was 37 months (range: 6-123 months). At the end of the follow-up, 11 (11.3%) patients with compensated cirrhosis (CC) and 45 (31.0%) with decompensated cirrhosis (DC) developed HCC. The TyG index was higher in the HCC group than in the non-HCC group (P=0.05). Univariate analysis showed that age (P<0.01), DC (P<0.01), TyG index (P=0.08), albumin (ALB) level (P=0.05), platelet (PLT) count (P<0.01), and HBV DNA positivity (P<0.01) were associated with HCC development. Multivariate analysis revealed that age, DC, TyG index, PLT count, and HBV DNA positivity were independent risk factors for HCC development (P=0.01, 0.01, <0.01, 0.05, and <0.01, respectively). For patients with DC, multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that age, TyG index, and HBV DNA positivity were independent risk factors for HCC development (all P<0.05). A new model encompassing age, DC, TyG, PLT, and positive HBV DNA had optimal predictive accuracy in patients with DC or CC, with a cutoff value of 0.197. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUROCs) of the model for predicting HCC development in patients with LC, DC, and CC were 0.778, 0.721, and 0.783, respectively.

Conclusion

TyG index was identified as an independent risk factor for HCC development in patients with LC.

Chronic viral hepatitis C micro-elimination program using telemedicine in Guigang city

Hepatitis C virus (HCV) represents a formidable menace to human health, necessitating urgent attention. The objective of this study was to assess the efficacy and safety of HCV health management in the city of Guigang which consists of five districts, employing a comprehensive multi-modal approach. The study systematically carried out HCV screening in Guigang city which consists of five districts, such as Gangbei District, Gangnan District, Guiping District, Qintang District, and Pingnan District from 1 January 2016 to 30 December 2022. The target population consisted of individuals residing in these aforementioned districts, falling within the age range of 30-75 years. A multidisciplinary HCV management team was established to deliver anti-HCV screening, diagnosis, and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy. The primary outcome of interest was the achievement of sustained virologic response (SVR). A total of 2489 individuals were included as the target population, with 1694 individuals residing in Gangbei District, 202 in Gangnan District, 111 in Qintang District, 167 in Pingnan District, and 315 in Guiping District. Out of these individuals, 2478 were subjected to anti-HCV screening. The screening rates varied across the districts, ranging from a peak of 99.55% in Guigang City to a nadir of 98.41% in Guiping District. Remarkably, within Guigang City, a noteworthy enhancement was observed in the HCV-RNA diagnosis rate from 23.4% prior to program implementation to a remarkable 100% following 7 years of intervention and management. Furthermore, the diagnosis and treatment coordination rate experienced a substantial improvement, rising from 26.8% before program inception to 80%. Importantly, a total of 1180 individuals affected by hepatitis C were successfully cured, equating to a 100% cure rate. Logistic regression analysis revealed a significant association between serological status and factors such as Aging, bilirubin, and glutamic oxalacetic transaminase. The findings from our investigation unveil a pioneering HCV management model, exemplified by the Guigang model, which has contributed crucially to HCV microclearance efforts and serves as an invaluable reference for future initiatives.

Leveraging metformin to combat hepatocellular carcinoma: its therapeutic promise against hepatitis viral infections

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is categorized among the most common primary malignant liver cancer and a primary global cause of death from cancer. HCC tends to affect males 2-4 times more than females in many nations. The main factors that raise the incidence of HCC are chronic liver diseases, hepatotropic viruses like hepatitis B (HBV) and C (HCV), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, exposure to toxins like aflatoxin, and non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Among these, hepatitis B and C are the most prevalent causes of chronic hepatitis globally. Metformin, which is made from a naturally occurring compound called galegine, derived from the plant Galega officinalis (G. officinalis ), has been found to exhibit antitumor effects in a wide range of malignancies, including HCC. In fact, compared to patients on sulphonylureas or insulin, studies have demonstrated that metformin treatment significantly lowers the risk of HCC in patients with chronic liver disease. This article will first describe the molecular mechanism of hepatitis B and C viruses in the development of HCC. Then, we will provide detailed explanations about metformin, followed by a discussion of the association between metformin and hepatocellular carcinoma caused by the viruses mentioned above.

Metformin adverse event profile: a pharmacovigilance study based on the FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) from 2004 to 2022

BACKGROUND

Metformin has the potential for treating numerous diseases, but there are still many unrecognized and unreported adverse events (AEs).

METHODS

We selected data from the United States FDA Adverse Event Reporting System (FAERS) database from the first quarter (Q1) of 2004 to the fourth quarter (Q4) of 2022 for disproportionality analysis to assess the association between metformin and related adverse events.

RESULTS

In this study 10,500,295 case reports were collected from the FAERS database, of which 56,674 adverse events related to metformin were reported. A total of 643 preferred terms (PTs) and 27 system organ classes (SOCs) that were significant disproportionality conforming to the four algorithms simultaneously were included. The SOCs included metabolic and nutritional disorders (p = 0.00E + 00), gastrointestinal disorders (p = 0.00E + 00) and others. PT levels were screened for adverse drug reaction (ADR) signals such as acute pancreatitis (p = 0.00E + 00), melas syndrome, pemphigoid (p = 0.00E + 00), skin eruption (p = 0.00E + 00) and drug exposure during pregnancy (p = 0.00E + 00).

CONCLUSION

Most of our results were consistent with the specification, but some new signals of adverse reactions such as acute pancreatitis were not included. Therefore, further studies are needed to validate unlabeled adverse reactions and provide important support for clinical monitoring and risk identification of metformin.

Artificial intelligence predicts direct-acting antivirals failure among hepatitis C virus patients: A nationwide hepatitis C virus registry program

BACKGROUND/AIMS

Despite the high efficacy of direct-acting antivirals (DAAs), approximately 1-3% of hepatitis C virus (HCV) patients fail to achieve a sustained virological response. We conducted a nationwide study to investigate risk factors associated with DAA treatment failure. Machine-learning algorithms have been applied to discriminate subjects who may fail to respond to DAA therapy.

METHODS

We analyzed the Taiwan HCV Registry Program database to explore predictors of DAA failure in HCV patients. Fifty-five host and virological features were assessed using multivariate logistic regression, decision tree, random forest, eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost), and artificial neural network. The primary outcome was undetectable HCV RNA at 12 weeks after the end of treatment.

RESULTS

The training (n=23,955) and validation (n=10,346) datasets had similar baseline demographics, with an overall DAA failure rate of 1.6% (n=538). Multivariate logistic regression analysis revealed that liver cirrhosis, hepatocellular carcinoma, poor DAA adherence, and higher hemoglobin A1c were significantly associated with virological failure. XGBoost outperformed the other algorithms and logistic regression models, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 1.000 in the training dataset and 0.803 in the validation dataset. The top five predictors of treatment failure were HCV RNA, body mass index, α-fetoprotein, platelets, and FIB-4 index. The accuracy, sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value of the XGBoost model (cutoff value=0.5) were 99.5%, 69.7%, 99.9%, 97.4%, and 99.5%, respectively, for the entire dataset.

CONCLUSION

Machine learning algorithms effectively provide risk stratification for DAA failure and additional information on the factors associated with DAA failure.

Metformin and Hepatocellular Carcinoma Risk Reduction in Diabetic Patients with Chronic Hepatitis C: Fact or Fiction?

BACKGROUND

Patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC) and concomitant type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) show a higher risk of developing hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Successful antiviral therapy has reduced the incidence of post-therapy HCC, but the presence of DM still represents an unfavourable predictive factor even in cured patients. Metformin (MET) is recommended as a first-line therapy for DM, and its use is associated with a significant reduction in HCC among diabetic patients with chronic liver disease of different etiology, but very few studies specifically address this issue in patients with CHC.

AIM

the aim of this review is to evaluate whether the use of MET induces a significant decrease in HCC in diabetic patients with CHC, treated or untreated with antiviral therapy.

METHODS

A search of PubMed, Medline, Web of Sciences and Embase was conducted for publications evaluating the role of MET in reducing the risk of HCC in patients with DM and CHC, with no language and study type restrictions up to 30 June 2023. Only studies fulfilling the following inclusion criteria were considered: (1) data on the incidence of HCC in the follow-up of diabetic patients with CHC only; (2) follow-up ≥24 months; (3) sufficient data to establish the rate of diabetic patients with CHC treated with metformin or other antidiabetic medications; and (4) data on the type of antiviral treatment and the clinical outcome.

RESULTS

Three studies met the inclusion criteria. A prospective cohort study considering only patients with DM and untreated advanced CHC, or non-responders to interferon (IFN) therapy, showed that the use of MET was associated with a significant decrease in HCC incidence, liver-related death and liver transplants. A recent retrospective study focusing on a large-scale nationwide cohort of patients with CHC in Taiwan successfully treated with IFN-based therapy stratified patients into 3 groups: non-MET users, MET users and non-diabetic patients, with 5-year cumulative rates of HCC of 10.9%, 2.6% and 3.0%, respectively, showing a significantly higher HCC risk in non-MET users compared with MET users and with non-diabetic patients, while it was not significantly different between MET users and non-diabetic patients. In a recent Italian cohort study focusing on 7007 patients with CHC treated and cured with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs), a combined effect of DM and MET therapy was found, showing a higher incidence of HCC in diabetic patients not taking MET compared with those without DM and those with DM taking MET.

CONCLUSION

according to the current evidence, the use of MET should be encouraged in diabetic patients with CHC in order to reduce the risk of HCC; however, a well-designed randomized controlled trial is needed to establish the generalizability of the beneficial effects of MET in this particular subset of patients.

HCC is associated with diabetes and longitudinal blood glucose control in a national cohort with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Diabetes is associated with HCC; however, the impact of longitudinal blood glucose (BG) control on HCC risk in cirrhosis is not well known. We investigated this knowledge gap in a cohort of United States Veterans with cirrhosis from 2015 to 2021.

METHODS

We used repeated hemoglobin A1c measurements to categorize follow-up time according to BG control (defined as hemoglobin A1c < 7%) state over time: uncontrolled, nonsustained control (≤2 y), or sustained control (>2 y). We performed a sensitivity analysis using hemoglobin A1c < 8% to define BG control. We used Fine and Gray Cox proportional hazards regression with death and transplant as competing events to compare rates of incident HCC.

RESULTS

Our study included 81,907 individuals, 56.2% of whom had diabetes at baseline. There were 8,002 incident HCCs. The rate of HCC was 18% higher in diabetes (95% CI: 13% - 24%), and the relative increase in the rate of HCC varied by etiology of cirrhosis from nonsignificant (HCV) to an increase of 120% (HBV). Uncontrolled and nonsustained BG control was associated with 1.80 (95% CI: 1.70-1.91) and 2.34 (95% CI: 2.21-2.48) times the rate of HCC compared to sustained BG control, respectively. Using Hgb A1c < 8% to define BG control, HCC rates in uncontrolled and nonsustained BG control were 2.43 (2.28-2.58) and 2.23 (2.11-2.36) times that observed in sustained BG control.

CONCLUSIONS

Associations between diabetes and HCC in cirrhosis vary according to the longitudinal BG control state. Inadequate BG control is consistently associated with a higher risk of HCC, and long-term BG control should be considered in comprehensive cirrhosis care.

Prediction and surveillance of de novo HCC in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease after hepatitis C virus eradication with direct antiviral agents

The risk of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) diminishes in patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV)-related advanced chronic liver disease after virological cure. However, despite viral clearance, HCV-induced epigenetic alterations, immune dysregulations, and hepatic parenchymal injuries remain, contributing to de novo HCC occurrence. While HCC incidence is low (0.45 – 0.5%) in patients with advanced fibrosis (F3), the presence of liver cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension increases the HCC risk. The cost-effectiveness of lifelong HCC surveillance in patients with compensated advanced chronic liver disease (cACLD) has sparked debate, raising questions about the most reliable noninvasive tests and stratification models for predicting HCC in patients with sustained virological response (SVR). Furthermore, identifying cACLD patients who may not require long-term HCC surveillance after SVR remains crucial. Several HCC risk stratification scores have been suggested for patients with cACLD, and emerging evidence supports individualized care based on personalized risk assessments. This review focuses on revising the pretreatment and posttreatment predictors of HCC, as well as the indications for HCC surveillance in cACLD patients treated with direct-acting antivirals.

Role of NLRP3 inflammasome in diabetes and COVID-19 role of NLRP3 inflammasome in the pathogenesis and treatment of COVID-19 and diabetes NLRP3 inflammasome in diabetes and COVID-19 intervention

2019 Coronavirus Disease (COVID-19) is a global pandemic caused by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2). A "cytokine storm", i.e., elevated levels of pro-inflammatory cytokines in the bloodstream, has been observed in severe cases of COVID-19. Normally, activation of the nucleotide-binding oligomeric domain-like receptor containing pyrin domain 3 (NLRP3) inflammatory vesicles induces cytokine production as an inflammatory response to viral infection. Recent studies have found an increased severity of necrobiosis infection in diabetic patients, and data from several countries have shown higher morbidity and mortality of necrobiosis in people with chronic metabolic diseases such as diabetes. In addition, COVID-19 may also predispose infected individuals to hyperglycemia. Therefore, in this review, we explore the potential relationship between NLRP3 inflammatory vesicles in diabetes and COVID-19. In contrast, we review the cellular/molecular mechanisms by which SARS-CoV-2 infection activates NLRP3 inflammatory vesicles. Finally, we propose several promising targeted NLRP3 inflammatory vesicle inhibitors with the aim of providing a basis for NLRP3-targeted drugs in diabetes combined with noncoronary pneumonia in the clinical management of patients.

Chronic hepatitis B infection and diabetes mellitus: a double liver trouble?

BACKGROUND

Concomitant Diabetes mellitus (DM) is commonly recognized in patients with chronic hepatitis B (CHB) infection, although its impact on liver-related outcomes remains controversial. We aimed to evaluate the effect of DM on the course, management and outcome of patients with CHB.

METHODS

We performed a large retrospective cohort study utilizing the Leumit-Health-Service (LHS) database. We reviewed electronic reports of 692106 LHS members from different ethnicities and districts in Israel from 2000-2019 and included patients with CHB diagnosis based on ICD-9-CM codes and supportive serology results. These were divided into two cohorts of patients with CHB and DM (CHD-DM) (N.=252) and those with CHB without DM (N.=964). Clinical parameters, treatment figures and patients' outcomes were compared and multiple regression models and Cox regression analysis were performed to investigate the association between DM and cirrhosis/HCC risk in CHB patients.

RESULTS

CHD-DM patients were significantly older (49.2±10.9 vs. 37.9±14, P<0.001), and had higher rates of obesity (BMI>30) and NAFLD (47.2% vs. 23.1%, and 27% vs. 12.6%, P<0.001, respectively). Both groups had a predominance of inactive carrier (HBeAg negative infection) state, but the HBeAg seroconversion rate was significantly lower in the CHB-DM group (25% vs. 45.7%; P<0.01). Multivariable Cox regression analysis showed that DM was independently associated with increased cirrhosis risk (HR 2.63; P=0.002). Older age, advanced fibrosis and DM were associated with HCC, but DM did not reach significance (HR 1.4; P=0.12) possibly due to the small number of HCC cases.

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant DM in CHB patients was significantly and independently associated with cirrhosis and possibly with increased risk of HCC.

Combining the age-male-albumin-bilirubin-platelets score and shear wave elastography stratifies carcinogenic risk in hepatitis C patients after viral clearance

BACKGROUND

The treatment of hepatitis C with direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) produces a high rate of sustained virological response (SVR) with fewer adverse events than interferon (IFN) therapy with a similar effect in inhibiting carcinogenesis as IFN therapy. The age-male-albumin-bilirubin-platelets (aMAP) score is useful for stratifying the risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in chronic hepatitis patients, and the velocity of shear waves (Vs) measured by shear wave elastography has also been shown to be useful for diagnosing the level of fibrotic progression in hepatitis C and predicting carcinogenic risk. Combining these two may improve the prediction of carcinogenic risk.

AIM

To determine whether combining the aMAP score with Vs improves carcinogenic risk stratification in medium-to-high-risk hepatitis C patients.

METHODS

This retrospective, observational study involved hepatitis C patients treated with DAAs who achieved SVR. Vs was measured before treatment (baseline), at the end of treatment (EOT), and 12 wk (follow-up 12) and 24 wk (follow-up 24) after treatment. The patients were followed for at least six months after EOT to determine whether cancer developed. Multiple regression analysis was used to identify factors contributing to hepatic carcinogenesis. The diagnostic performances of clinical parameters for predicting the presence of hepatocellular carcinoma were evaluated using receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve analyses.

RESULTS

A total of 279 patients (mean age 65.9 years, 118 males, 161 females) were included in the analysis. Multiple regression analysis was performed with carcinogenesis as the target variable and alanine aminotransferase, platelets, α-fetoprotein, Vs, and the Fib-4 index as explanatory variables; only Vs was found to be significant (P = 0.0296). The cut-off value for Vs for liver carcinogenesis calculated using the ROC curve was 1.53 m/s. Carcinoma developed in 2.0% (3/151) of those with Vs < 1.53 m/s and in 10.5% (9/86) of those with Vs ≥ 1.53 m/s.

CONCLUSION

In hepatitis C patients after SVR, combining the aMAP score and Vs to stratify the risk of carcinogenesis is more efficient than uniform surveillance of all patients.

Presence of diabetes further heightens hepatocellular carcinoma risk in patients with hepatitis B or hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis: A meta-analysis

Objective

Impact of diabetes mellitus on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) remained controversial in cirrhotic patients. This meta-analysis aimed to investigate the association of diabetes and the occurrence of HCC in patients with hepatitis B or hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis.

Methods

Two authors comprehensively searched PubMed and Embase databases until June 22, 2023, to identify studies that evaluated the association of diabetes with the occurrence of HCC in patients with hepatitis B or hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis.

Results

Sixteen retrospective/prospective cohort studies reporting on 15 articles (5357 cirrhotic patients) were included. The prevalence of diabetes in hepatitis B and hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis patients ranged from 4 to 46%. Diabetes was associated with higher risk of HCC (risk ratio [RR] 1.74; 95% confidence intervals [CI] 1.24-2.45) in patients with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. However, no significant relationship of diabetes with the occurrence of HCC was present in studies with less than 48-month follow-up among patients with hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis (RR 1.28; 95% CI 0.68-2.43). Moreover, diabetes also conferred an increased risk of HCC (RR 2.67; 95% CI 2.03-3.51) in patients with hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis.

Conclusion

Presence of diabetes significantly predicted the occurrence of HCC in patients with hepatitis B or hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis.

The Emerging Role of Metformin in the Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Is There Any Value in Repurposing Metformin for HCC Immunotherapy?

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the leading causes of cancer-related deaths worldwide. There has been significant progress in understanding the risk factors and epidemiology of HCC during the last few decades, resulting in efficient preventative, diagnostic and treatment strategies. Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been demonstrated to be a major risk factor for developing HCC. Metformin is a widely used hypoglycemic agent for patients with T2DM and has been shown to play a potentially beneficial role in improving the survival of patients with HCC. Experimental and clinical studies evaluating the outcomes of metformin as an antineoplastic drug in the setting of HCC were reviewed. Pre-clinical evidence suggests that metformin may enhance the antitumor effects of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) and reverse the effector T cells' exhaustion. However, there is still limited clinical evidence regarding the efficacy of metformin in combination with ICIs for the treatment of HCC. We appraised and analyzed in vitro and animal studies that aimed to elucidate the mechanisms of action of metformin, as well as clinical studies that assessed its impact on the survival of HCC patients.

Simple new clinical score to predict hepatocellular carcinoma after sustained viral response with direct-acting antivirals

The time point of the most precise predictor of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development after viral eradication with direct-acting antiviral (DAA) therapy is unclear. In this study we developed a scoring system that can accurately predict the occurrence of HCC using data from the optimal time point. A total of 1683 chronic hepatitis C patients without HCC who achieved sustained virological response (SVR) with DAA therapy were split into a training set (999 patients) and a validation set (684 patients). The most accurate predictive scoring system to estimate HCC incidence was developed using each of the factors at baseline, end of treatment, and SVR at 12 weeks (SVR12). Multivariate analysis identified diabetes, the fibrosis-4 (FIB-4) index, and the α-fetoprotein level as independent factors at SVR12 that contributed to HCC development. A prediction model was constructed with these factors that ranged from 0 to 6 points. No HCC was observed in the low-risk group. Five-year cumulative incidence rates of HCC were 1.9% in the intermediate-risk group and 15.3% in the high-risk group. The prediction model at SVR12 most accurately predicted HCC development compared with other time points. This simple scoring system combining factors at SVR12 can accurately evaluate HCC risk after DAA treatment.

Necessity for surveillance for hepatocellualr carcinoma in older patients with chronic hepatitis C who achieved sustained virological response

Background and Aim

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) surveillance in low-risk patients (annual incidence <1.5%) is not recommended per the American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases guidelines. Because patients with chronic hepatitis C with non-advanced fibrosis who have achieved sustained virological response (SVR) have a low risk of HCC, HCC surveillance is not recommended for them. However, aging is a risk factor for HCC; threfore, the necessity for HCC surveillance in older patients with non-advanced fibrosis needs to be verified.

Methods

This multicenter, prospective study enrolled 4993 patients with SVR (1998 patients with advanced fibrosis and 2995 patients with non-advanced fibrosis). The HCC incidence was examined with particular attention to age.

Results

The 3-year incidence of HCC in patients with advanced and non-advanced fibrosis was 9.2% (95% CI: 7.8-10.9) and 2.9% (95% CI: 2.1-3.7), respectively. HCC incidence was significantly higher in patients with advanced fibrosis (P < 0.001). HCC incidence stratified by age and sex was investigated in patients with non-advanced fibrosis. The HCC incidence in the 18-49, 50s, 60s, 70s, and ≥80 age groups were 0.26, 1.3, 1.8, 1.7, and 2.9 per 100 person-years in men, and 0.00, 0.32, 0.58, 0.49, and 0.57 per 100 person-years in women, respectively.

Conclusions

Male patients with non-advanced fibrosis aged ≥60 years have a higher risk of developing HCC and, thus, require HCC surveillance.

Type 2 diabetes mellitus characteristics affect hepatocellular carcinoma development in chronic hepatitis B patients with cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been shown to be correlated with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) development. However, further investigation is needed to understand how T2DM characteristics affect the prognosis of chronic hepatitis B (CHB) patients.

AIM

To assess the effect of T2DM on CHB patients with cirrhosis and to determine the risk factors for HCC development.

METHODS

Among the 412 CHB patients with cirrhosis enrolled in this study, there were 196 with T2DM. The patients in the T2DM group were compared to the remaining 216 patients without T2DM (non-T2DM group). Clinical characteristics and outcomes of the two groups were reviewed and compared.

RESULTS

T2DM was significantly related to hepatocarcinogenesis in this study (P = 0.002). The presence of T2DM, being male, alcohol abuse status, alpha-fetoprotein > 20 ng/mL, and hepatitis B surface antigen > 2.0 log IU/mL were identified to be risk factors for HCC development in the multivariate analysis. T2DM duration of more than 5 years and treatment with diet control or insulin ± sulfonylurea significantly increased the risk of hepatocarcinogenesis.

CONCLUSION

T2DM and its characteristics increase the risk of HCC in CHB patients with cirrhosis. The importance of diabetic control should be emphasized for these patients.

Perspectives on the Underlying Etiology of HCC and Its Effects on Treatment Outcomes

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) continues to be a serious medical problem with poor prognosis worldwide. The distribution of the major etiologies of HCC is changing due to the progress of anti-viral treatments, including hepatitis B virus (HBV) suppression by nucleoside/nucleotide analogues (NAs) and increased sustained virologic response (SVR) rates by direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) for hepatitis C virus (HCV), as well as the rising trend of nonviral liver disease. Although viral hepatitis remains the most common cause of HCC, non-alcoholic liver disease (NAFLD) with metabolic syndrome and alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) are increasing. Effective and well-tolerated NAs treatment can slow the disease progression of chronic HBV infection to cirrhosis, end-stage liver disease, and reduce HCC risk. Treatment with NAs is also associated with significant improvement in the long-term survival of patients with HBV infection who already have HCC. DAAs have achieved viral elimination in almost all patients with HCV without significant adverse events, even in patients with decompensated liver cirrhosis and HCC. Similarly, DAA therapy can reduce disease progression, liver and non-liver complications, and improve the long-term survival of patients with chronic HCV infection with or without HCC. Meanwhile, NAFLD is a rapidly increasing cause of HCC along with the epidemics of obesity and type 2 diabetes globally. NAFLD-related HCC can occur in patients without cirrhosis and is known to have a lower survival rate than viral hepatitis-related HCC. Since there is currently no specific pharmacotherapy effective for NAFLD, lifestyle modification and prevention of complications are important to improve prognosis. Additionally, ALD is the second fastest-growing cause of HCC-related deaths, especially with an accelerated trend since the COVID-19 pandemic. This review provides an overview of the epidemiologic trends in the etiologies of HCC, and the progress of treatments for each etiology and the impact on outcome in the patients with HCC.