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Pöhlmann J, Joecker A, Wittki T, Brown T, Pollock RF, Chase J. Point of Care Nucleic Acid Testing for Influenza-Like Illness: A Cost-Consequence Analysis for High-Risk Patients in Primary Care in Germany. Adv Ther 2025; 42:2385-2402. [PMID: 40120029 PMCID: PMC12006223 DOI: 10.1007/s12325-025-03156-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/06/2024] [Accepted: 02/26/2025] [Indexed: 03/25/2025]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Influenza A/B virus, severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) cause similar symptoms, often referred to as influenza-like illness, but require different treatments which must be administered within a short timeframe after symptom onset. This necessitates rapid detection and accurate differentiation by primary care providers, ideally at point of care (POC). POC nucleic acid tests such as the multiplex, real-time polymerase chain reaction (PCR) Xpert® Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus (Xpert Xpress) offer a faster, more accurate alternative compared to antigen testing, clinical judgement alone, or send-out PCR. This cost-consequence analysis evaluated Xpert Xpress versus conventional testing methods, from a German statutory health insurance (SHI) perspective. METHODS A 1-year decision tree was developed to compare Xpert Xpress with antigen testing, send-out PCR, and empiric diagnosis, for influenza A/B virus, SARS-CoV-2, and RSV. The model accounted for diagnostic accuracy and projected the share of patients receiving results within guideline-recommended treatment windows. Data on test accuracy, treatment effects, and costs were sourced from literature and German databases. The main outcome was total cost to the SHI for the 2023/24 respiratory illness season. RESULTS Xpert Xpress was associated with the highest number of net correct treatment courses (n = 443,600) versus empiric diagnosis (n = 239,250), antigen testing (n = 347,218), and send-out PCR (n = 280,527). Acquisition costs were highest for Xpert Xpress (EUR 38.4 million versus EUR 27.4 million for antigen testing and EUR 33.5 million for send-out PCR) but were offset by reduced hospitalization and intensive care costs. Overall, Xpert Xpress was associated with cost savings of EUR 1.97 million versus empiric diagnosis, EUR 10.1 million versus antigen testing, and EUR 20.8 million versus send-out PCR. CONCLUSIONS Using Xpert Xpress at POC combined fast turnaround with high diagnostic accuracy, thereby increasing correct treatment courses while reducing total costs for influenza, COVID-19, and RSV, offering substantial savings to the German SHI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Johannes Pöhlmann
- Covalence Research Ltd, Rivers Lodge, West Common, Harpenden, AL5 2JD, UK.
| | | | | | - Tray Brown
- Covalence Research Ltd, Rivers Lodge, West Common, Harpenden, AL5 2JD, UK
| | - Richard F Pollock
- Covalence Research Ltd, Rivers Lodge, West Common, Harpenden, AL5 2JD, UK
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Takahashi K, Tsuzuki S, Le MN, Anh NH, Anh DD, Ariyoshi K, Yoshida LM. Community-based pathogen-specific incidence of influenza-like illness due to respiratory viruses in South-central Vietnam in 2009-2012: after a pandemic of influenza A viruses. Trop Med Health 2025; 53:51. [PMID: 40211314 PMCID: PMC11984152 DOI: 10.1186/s41182-025-00711-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/02/2024] [Accepted: 02/14/2025] [Indexed: 04/14/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Influenza-like illness (ILI) is one of the most common illnesses caused by various respiratory viruses and directly or indirectly incurs high expenses to households. However, the pathogen-specific incidence and health-seeking behaviour in communities have not been well described. METHODS A longitudinal cohort study using a self-recorded health calendar among 1000 households was performed in South-central Vietnam from October 2009 to September 2012. Endemic respiratory viruses in the community were monitored using random sampling in public health clinics (polyclinics). The monthly incidence of specific pathogens was calculated using the Bayesian method. FINDINGS Among 5,016 household members, 3,687 ILI episodes were reported during the study period. The incidence rate of ILI was 21.7 (95% confidence interval 21.0-22.4) per 1,000 person-months for all ages and highest in children under 2 years with 71.6 (64.7-81.8) followed by 2-4 years with 71.3 (65.8-78.2). Rhinovirus had the highest incidence with 22.5 among the age under 2 years, followed by adenovirus and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) with 12.5 and 9.9, respectively. Most young children sought treatment from clinics and hospitals, whereas most schoolchildren and adults sought treatment from drugstores. RSV outbreaks significantly increase the number of healthcare visits among children under 2 years, but not in older age groups. INTERPRETATION Several surges of ILI were attributed by multiple respiratory viruses. Healthcare seeking patterns were varied among pathogens. Highly transmissible viruses, such as rhinovirus and adenovirus, pose the potential risk of the next pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Kensuke Takahashi
- Acute & Critical Care Center, Nagasaki University Hospital, Nagasaki, Japan.
- School of Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan.
| | - Shinya Tsuzuki
- Disease Control and Prevention Center, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
- Faculty of Medicine and Health Sciences, University of Antwerp, Antwerp, Belgium
- AMR Clinical Reference Center, National Center for Global Health and Medicine, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Minh Nhat Le
- Antimicrobial Resistance Research Centre, National Institute of Infectious Disease, Tokyo, Japan
| | - Nguyen Hien Anh
- Department of Bacteriology, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Vietnam
| | - Dang Duc Anh
- Department of Bacteriology, National Institute of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Hanoi, Vietnam
| | - Koya Ariyoshi
- Department of Clinical Medicine, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
| | - Lay-Myint Yoshida
- Department of Pediatric Infectious Diseases, Institute of Tropical Medicine, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
- Graduate School of Biomedical Science, Nagasaki University, Nagasaki, Japan
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Morelli T, Freeman A, Staples KJ, Wilkinson TMA. Hidden in plain sight: the impact of human rhinovirus infection in adults. Respir Res 2025; 26:120. [PMID: 40155903 PMCID: PMC11954259 DOI: 10.1186/s12931-025-03178-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/15/2024] [Accepted: 03/02/2025] [Indexed: 04/01/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Human rhinovirus (HRV), a non-enveloped RNA virus, was first identified more than 70 years ago. It is highly infectious and easily transmitted through aerosols and direct contact. The advent of multiplex PCR has enhanced the detection of a diverse range of respiratory viruses, and HRV consistently ranks among the most prevalent respiratory pathogens globally. Circulation occurs throughout the year, with peak incidence in autumn and spring in temperate climates. Remarkably, during the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic, HRV transmission persisted, demonstrating its resistance to stringent public health measures aimed at curbing viral transmission. MAIN BODY HRV is characterised by its extensive genetic diversity, comprising three species and more than 170 genotypes. This diversity and substantial number of concurrently circulating strains allows HRVs to frequently escape the adaptive immune system and poses formidable challenges for the development of effective vaccines and antiviral therapies. There is currently a lack of specific treatments. Historically, HRV has been associated with self-limiting upper respiratory infection. However, there is now extensive evidence highlighting its significant role in severe lower respiratory disease in adults, including exacerbations of chronic airway diseases, such as asthma and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD), as well as pneumonia. These severe manifestations can occur even in immunocompetent individuals, broadening the clinical impact of this ubiquitous virus. Consequently, the burden of rhinovirus infections extends across various healthcare settings, from primary care to general hospital wards and intensive care units. The impact of HRV in adults, in terms of morbidity and healthcare utilisation, rivals that of the other major respiratory viruses, including influenza and respiratory syncytial virus. Recognition of this substantial burden underscores the critical need for novel treatment strategies and effective management protocols to mitigate the impact of HRV infections on public health. CONCLUSION This review examines the epidemiology, clinical manifestations, and risk factors associated with severe HRV infection in adults. By drawing on contemporary literature, we aim to provide a comprehensive overview of the virus's significant health implications. Understanding the scope of this impact is essential for developing new, targeted interventions and improving patient outcomes in the face of this persistent and adaptable pathogen.
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Affiliation(s)
- Tommaso Morelli
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK.
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton, UK.
| | - Anna Freeman
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Karl J Staples
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton, UK
| | - Tom M A Wilkinson
- Clinical and Experimental Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
- NIHR Southampton Biomedical Research Centre, University Hospital Southampton, Southampton, UK
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Sedghian A, MohammadEbrahimi S, Sartorius B, Kiani B. Nationwide spatial epidemiological dataset of over 100,000 influenza-like illness notifications in Iran by county (2015-2019). BMC Res Notes 2025; 18:72. [PMID: 39962562 PMCID: PMC11834186 DOI: 10.1186/s13104-025-07139-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/05/2024] [Accepted: 02/04/2025] [Indexed: 02/20/2025] Open
Abstract
OBJECTIVES This data note documents influenza-like illness (ILI) notifications in Iran by county from 2015 to 2019 as a pre-COVID-19 dataset, providing individual and spatial data for further comprehensive spatiotemporal analysis. Due to the high contagion rate of ILI and global health impact, precise geographic mapping serves as a critical tool for public health officials and researchers to monitor, mitigate, and predict epidemics. By utilizing advanced spatial-temporal epidemiological analysis to study disease occurrence patterns, this geodatabase can enable a better understanding and more effective management of ILIs in the future. DATA DESCRIPTION This is the most comprehensive dataset of all individual ILI notifications in Iran between 2015 and 2019 by date of notification and county (398 counties). The database includes two data files, a help file, and a data usage agreement: Data File 1 is an Excel (.xlsx) file detailing demographic and clinical information from 109,919 ILI notifications nationwide, covering county and date of notification, patient demographics, admission details, sample types, differential diagnosis, medical history, mortality details, test results, and symptoms. Data File 2 contains spatiotemporal information in polygon shapefiles (.shp), mapping ILI notification locations by county with data on case counts for each year, total population, gender distribution, and geographic coordinates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Atieh Sedghian
- Department of Medical Informatics, School of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
- Student Research Committee, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran.
| | - Shahab MohammadEbrahimi
- Department of Medical Informatics, School of Medicine, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
- Student Research Committee, Mashhad University of Medical Sciences, Mashhad, Iran
| | - Benn Sartorius
- UQ Centre for Clinical Research (UQCCR), Faculty of Health, Medicine, and Behavioural Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
- Department of Health Metric Sciences, Faculty of Medicine, University of Washington, Seattle, USA
- Centre for Tropical Medicine and Global Health, Faculty of Medicine, University of Oxford, Oxford, UK
| | - Behzad Kiani
- UQ Centre for Clinical Research (UQCCR), Faculty of Health, Medicine, and Behavioural Sciences, University of Queensland, Brisbane, Australia
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Chou YC, Lin FH, Hsieh CJ, Yu CP. Increased Risk of Influenza-Like Illness Clusters in Schools, Taiwan from 2011 to 2020: A Retrospective Study. J Epidemiol Glob Health 2025; 15:16. [PMID: 39910014 PMCID: PMC11799474 DOI: 10.1007/s44197-025-00366-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/19/2024] [Accepted: 01/29/2025] [Indexed: 02/07/2025] Open
Abstract
Acute influenza-like illnesses (ILIs) are primarily caused by influenza type A or type B viruses. Several factors influence the risk of the spread of ILIs. The present study investigated the epidemiological characteristics, differences, and epidemiological trends of influenza viruses, noninfluenza respiratory pathogens, and locations where clusters occurred in Taiwan between 2011 and 2020. The study analyzed publicly available data on 1,545 confirmed ILI clusters, with the data obtained from the Taiwan Centers for Disease Control. In total, 1,334 ILI clusters were caused by influenza virus infection, 11 ILI clusters were caused by noninfluenza respiratory pathogens, and 78 ILI clusters were caused by pathogens not detected in routine testing. Additionally, for 122 ILI clusters, no pathogen detection was initiated. Significant differences were observed (p < 0.001) in the number of ILI clusters between influenza and noninfluenza respiratory pathogens in 2011-2020. In addition, significant differences were observed (p < 0.001) in the number of ILI clusters between locations in 2011-2020. In terms of specific pathogens within ILI clusters, single infections with influenza A virus accounted for the highest number of cases (69.6%, 1076/1358, odds ratio: 1.740-2.957, p < 0.001-0.012), followed by adenovirus infections among noninfluenza respiratory pathogens (58.3%, 7/12). Schools had the highest number of ILI clusters (47.3%, 731/1545) among the investigated institutions (odds ratio: 1.438-1.556, p < 0.001-0.012). This study provides valuable insights into ILI cluster transmission patterns in Taiwan over a 10-year period and highlights the importance of long-term studies covering a wide geographic area as a means of understanding the implications of such patterns.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yu-Ching Chou
- School of Public Health, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei City, 114201, Taiwan
| | - Fu-Huang Lin
- School of Public Health, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei City, 114201, Taiwan
| | - Chi-Jeng Hsieh
- Department of Healthcare Administration, Asia Eastern University of Science and Technology, New Taipei City, 220303, Taiwan
| | - Chia-Peng Yu
- School of Public Health, National Defense Medical Center, Taipei City, 114201, Taiwan.
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Du Z, Pandey A, Moghadas SM, Bai Y, Wang L, Matrajt L, Singer BH, Galvani AP. Impact of RSVpreF vaccination on reducing the burden of respiratory syncytial virus in infants and older adults. Nat Med 2025; 31:647-652. [PMID: 39789324 PMCID: PMC11835734 DOI: 10.1038/s41591-024-03431-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/27/2024] [Accepted: 11/26/2024] [Indexed: 01/12/2025]
Abstract
Respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) causes a substantial health burden among infants and older adults. Prefusion F protein-based vaccines have shown high efficacy against RSV disease in clinical trials, offering promise for mitigating this burden through maternal and older adult immunization. Employing an individual-based model, we evaluated the impact of RSV vaccination on hospitalizations and deaths in 13 high-income countries, assuming that the vaccine does not prevent infection or transmission. Using country-specific vaccine uptake rates for seasonal influenza, we found that vaccination of older adults would prevent hospitalizations by a median of 35-64% across the countries studied here. Vaccination of pregnant women could avert infant hospitalizations by 5-50%. Reductions in RSV-related mortality mirrored those estimated for hospitalizations. While substantial hospitalization costs could be averted, the impact of vaccination depends critically on uptake rates. Enhancing uptake and accessibility is crucial for maximizing the real-world impact of vaccination on reducing RSV burden among vulnerable populations.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zhanwei Du
- WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Hong Kong, China
- School of Medicine, Yunnan University, Kunming, Yunnan, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
- Division of Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Shenzhen, China
- Public Health Emergency Management Innovation Center, Beijing, China
| | - Abhishek Pandey
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Seyed M Moghadas
- Agent-Based Modelling Laboratory, York University, Toronto, Ontario, Canada
| | - Yuan Bai
- WHO Collaborating Center for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Control, School of Public Health, LKS Faculty of Medicine, The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, Hong Kong, China
- Laboratory of Data Discovery for Health Limited, Hong Kong Science Park, Hong Kong Special Administrative Region, China
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA
| | - Lin Wang
- Department of Genetics, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
| | - Laura Matrajt
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Center, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Burton H Singer
- Emerging Pathogens Institute, University of Florida, Gainesville, FL, USA
| | - Alison P Galvani
- Center for Infectious Disease Modeling and Analysis, Yale School of Public Health, New Haven, CT, USA.
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Eales O, McCaw J, Shearer F. Biases in Routine Influenza Surveillance Indicators Used to Monitor Infection Incidence and Recommendations for Improvement. Influenza Other Respir Viruses 2024; 18:e70050. [PMID: 39617738 PMCID: PMC11608885 DOI: 10.1111/irv.70050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/21/2024] [Revised: 11/08/2024] [Accepted: 11/13/2024] [Indexed: 03/06/2025] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Monitoring how the incidence of influenza infections changes over time is important for quantifying the transmission dynamics and clinical severity of influenza. Infection incidence is difficult to measure directly, and hence, other quantities which are more amenable to surveillance are used to monitor trends in infection levels, with the implicit assumption that they correlate with infection incidence. METHODS Here, we demonstrate, through mathematical reasoning using fundamental mathematical principles, the relationship between the incidence of influenza infections and three commonly reported surveillance indicators: (1) the rate per unit time of influenza-like illness reported through sentinel healthcare sites, (2) the rate per unit time of laboratory-confirmed influenza infections and (3) the proportion of laboratory tests positive for influenza ('test-positive proportion'). RESULTS Our analysis suggests that none of these ubiquitously reported surveillance indicators are a reliable tool for monitoring influenza incidence. In particular, we highlight how these surveillance indicators can be heavily biassed by the following: the dynamics of circulating pathogens (other than influenza) with similar symptom profiles, changes in testing rates and differences in infection rates, symptom rates and healthcare-seeking behaviour between age-groups and through time. We make six practical recommendations to improve the monitoring of influenza infection incidence. The implementation of our recommendations would enable the construction of more interpretable surveillance indicator(s) for influenza from which underlying patterns of infection incidence could be readily monitored. CONCLUSIONS The implementation of all (or a subset) of our recommendations would greatly improve understanding of the transmission dynamics, infection burden and clinical severity of influenza, improving our ability to respond effectively to seasonal epidemics and future pandemics.
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Affiliation(s)
- Oliver Eales
- Infectious Disease Dynamics Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global HealthThe University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
- School of Mathematics and StatisticsThe University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
| | - James M. McCaw
- Infectious Disease Dynamics Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global HealthThe University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
- School of Mathematics and StatisticsThe University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
| | - Freya M. Shearer
- Infectious Disease Dynamics Unit, Centre for Epidemiology and Biostatistics, Melbourne School of Population and Global HealthThe University of MelbourneMelbourneAustralia
- Infectious Disease Ecology and ModellingThe Kids Research Institute AustraliaPerthAustralia
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Pan M, Shen Y, Wang Y, Long L, Du X, Sun Y, Zhang D, Yao H, Liu Y, Yang P, Wang Q, Wang X, Wang L. Comparison of Three Influenza Surveillance Data Sources for Timely Detection of Epidemic Onset - Chengdu City, Sichuan Province and Beijing Municipality, China, 2017-2023. China CDC Wkly 2024; 6:918-923. [PMID: 39346690 PMCID: PMC11425297 DOI: 10.46234/ccdcw2024.194] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/12/2024] [Accepted: 08/21/2024] [Indexed: 10/01/2024] Open
Abstract
What is already known about this topic? The syndromic surveillance system, exemplified by the influenza-like illness (ILI) surveillance system, has long been crucial in providing early warnings of influenza epidemics. What is added by this report? The analysis revealed that employing reported influenza case data from the nationwide Notifiable Infectious Diseases Reporting Information System (NIDRIS) enhanced the early detection of influenza epidemics, particularly within the context of multiple respiratory pathogens circulating concurrently. What are the implications for public health practice? The NIDRIS, characterized by its extensive coverage, obligatory reporting, high specificity, and real-time data transmission, offers a valuable tool for the effective early detection of influenza epidemics. Utilizing this system could enhance preparedness and responses to such health crises, potentially mitigating their impact on public health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mingyue Pan
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
| | - Ying Shen
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Yao Wang
- Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Lu Long
- Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Xunbo Du
- Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China
| | - Ying Sun
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Daitao Zhang
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Hui Yao
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
| | - Yonghong Liu
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
| | - Peng Yang
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Quanyi Wang
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Xiaoli Wang
- Beijing Center for Disease Prevention and Control, Beijing, China
- Beijing Research Center for Respiratory Infectious Diseases, Beijing, China
| | - Liang Wang
- Chengdu Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Chengdu City, Sichuan Province, China
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Aleyiydi MS, Alshiban NM, Alajmi AM, Alosaimi NF, Alotaibi M, Nassar MS, Alhumaid NK, Almangour TA, Memish ZA, Binjomah AZ, Algarni SM, Al-Jedai A, Almutairi AS, Shibl A, Tawfik EA. Epidemiology of Viral Infectious Diseases Reported in Saudi Arabia. Infect Dis Ther 2024; 13:1893-1905. [PMID: 38967741 PMCID: PMC11266316 DOI: 10.1007/s40121-024-01014-0] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/16/2024] [Accepted: 06/24/2024] [Indexed: 07/06/2024] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Efficient epidemiological monitoring of virus diseases is crucial in evaluating general public health, the prevalence of specific diseases, the pattern of spread, and implementing preventative and control strategies into action. METHODS This study analyzed data obtained from the Field Epidemiology Program (FETP) which is part of the Ministry of Health (MOH) in Saudi Arabia, which contained reported cases of infectious diseases over four years, from January 2018 to December 2021, to investigate and highlight the significant trend and incidence rate for each viral infectious disease. RESULTS Of the reported viral infectious diseases, hepatitis B and C, dengue fever (DF), influenza, chickenpox, and measles were the highest reported viral cases over four years. For the aforementioned diseases, males were often more susceptible to viral infections than females. Except for DF, this viral infection was more common in Saudi citizens. Viral illnesses like hand, foot, and mouth disease were less prevalent, while neurological viral disorders such as acute flaccid paralysis were rarely detected. There was an overall reduction in viral cases recorded during 2020-2021, which may be attributed to the implementation of preventive measures during the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic or an underreporting of cases during the lockdown of that time. CONCLUSION The prevalence of these common viral infections in the Saudi population suggests that understanding the mechanisms influencing changes in these viruses, methods of transmission, and the burden of these diseases is a priority for health policy. This understanding is necessary to develop effective intervention and preventive strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Munirah S Aleyiydi
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Noura M Alshiban
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Areej M Alajmi
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Nada F Alosaimi
- Wellness and Preventive Medicine Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Maryam Alotaibi
- Healthy Aging Research Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Majed S Nassar
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Nada K Alhumaid
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Thamer A Almangour
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, King Saud University, 11451, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Ziad A Memish
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, 11533, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Research & Innovation Center, King Saud Medical City, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Hubert Department School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, USA
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Kyung Hee University, Seoul, South Korea
| | - Abdulwahab Z Binjomah
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, 11533, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Mycobacteriology Unit, Riyadh Regional Laboratory, Ministry of Health, 12746, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Ahmed Al-Jedai
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, 11533, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
- Therapeutic Affairs, Ministry of Health, 12631, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Atef Shibl
- College of Medicine, Alfaisal University, 11533, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia
| | - Essam A Tawfik
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology (KACST), 11442, Riyadh, Saudi Arabia.
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García‐Azorín D, Santana‐López L, Ordax‐Díez A, Lozano‐Alonso JE, Macias Saint‐Gerons D, González‐Osorio Y, Rojo‐Rello S, Eiros JM, Sánchez‐Martínez J, Sierra‐Mencía Á, Recio‐García A, Guerrero‐Peral ÁL, Sanz‐Muñoz I. Incidence and prevalence of headache in influenza: A 2010-2021 surveillance-based study. Eur J Neurol 2024; 31:e16349. [PMID: 38770742 PMCID: PMC11236060 DOI: 10.1111/ene.16349] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/26/2023] [Revised: 03/28/2024] [Accepted: 05/02/2024] [Indexed: 05/22/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND AND PURPOSE Influenza is a common cause of acute respiratory infection, with headache being one of the symptoms included in the European Commission case definition. The prevalence of headache as a symptom of influenza remains unknown. We aimed to describe the incidence and prevalence of headache in patients with influenza. METHODS All consecutive patients who met the definition criteria of influenza-like illness during the influenza seasons 2010-2011 through 2021-2022 were included. The seasonal cumulative incidence of influenza per 1000 patients at risk and the prevalence of headache as an influenza symptom were calculated, including the 95% confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses were done based on patients' sex, age group, microbiological confirmation, vaccination status, and influenza type/subtype/lineage. RESULTS During the study period, 8171 patients were eligible. The incidence of headache in the context of influenza varied between 0.24 cases per 1000 patients (season 2020-2021) and 21.69 cases per 1000 patients (season 2017-2018). The prevalence of headache was 66.1% (95% CI = 65.1%-67.1%), varying between 49.6% (season 2021-2022) and 80.1% (season 2010-2011). The prevalence of headache was higher in women (67.9% vs. 65.7%, p = 0.03) and higher in patients between 15 and 65 years old. Headache was more prevalent in patients infected with B subtypes than A subtypes (68.7% vs. 56.9%, p < 0.001). There were no notable differences regarding vaccination status or microbiological confirmation of the infection. CONCLUSIONS Headache is a common symptom in patients with influenza, with a prevalence higher than that observed in other viral infections.
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Affiliation(s)
- David García‐Azorín
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of MedicineUniversidad de ValladolidValladolidSpain
- Headache Unit, Department of NeurologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Laura Santana‐López
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of MedicineUniversidad de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Ana Ordax‐Díez
- Dirección General de Salud Pública e InvestigaciónDesarrollo e Innovación, Gerencia Regional de Salud, Junta de Castilla y LeonValladolidSpain
| | - José Eugenio Lozano‐Alonso
- Dirección General de Salud Pública e InvestigaciónDesarrollo e Innovación, Gerencia Regional de Salud, Junta de Castilla y LeonValladolidSpain
| | - Diego Macias Saint‐Gerons
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Valencia, Instituto de Investigación Sanitaria de Valencia (INCLIVA) Health Research Institute and Centro de Investigación Biomédica en Red de Salud Mental (CIBERSAM)ValenciaSpain
| | - Yésica González‐Osorio
- Headache Unit, Department of NeurologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Silvia Rojo‐Rello
- Department of MicrobiologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - José M Eiros
- Department of MicrobiologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
- National Influenza CenterValladolidSpain
| | - Javier Sánchez‐Martínez
- National Influenza CenterValladolidSpain
- Fundación Instituto de Estudios de Ciencias de la Salud de Castilla y Leon, Instituto de Ciencias de la Salud de Castilla y Leon (ICSCYL)SoriaSpain
| | - Álvaro Sierra‐Mencía
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of MedicineUniversidad de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Andrea Recio‐García
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of MedicineUniversidad de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Ángel Luis Guerrero‐Peral
- Department of Medicine, Faculty of MedicineUniversidad de ValladolidValladolidSpain
- Headache Unit, Department of NeurologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
| | - Ivan Sanz‐Muñoz
- Department of MicrobiologyHospital Clínico Universitario de ValladolidValladolidSpain
- National Influenza CenterValladolidSpain
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Alshiban NM, Aleyiydi MS, Nassar MS, Alhumaid NK, Almangour TA, Tawfik YM, Damiati LA, Almutairi AS, Tawfik EA. Epidemiologic and clinical updates on viral infections in Saudi Arabia. Saudi Pharm J 2024; 32:102126. [PMID: 38966679 PMCID: PMC11223122 DOI: 10.1016/j.jsps.2024.102126] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 07/06/2024] Open
Abstract
In the past two decades, the world has witnessed devastating pandemics affecting the global healthcare infrastructure and disrupting society and the economy worldwide. Among all pathogens, viruses play a critical role that is associated with outbreaks due to their wide range of species, involvement of animal hosts, easily transmitted to humans, and increased rates of infectivity. Viral disease outbreaks threaten public health globally due to the challenges associated with controlling and eradicating them. Implementing effective viral disease control programs starts with ongoing surveillance data collection and analyses to detect infectious disease trends and patterns, which is critical for maintaining public health. Viral disease control strategies include improved hygiene and sanitation facilities, eliminating arthropod vectors, vaccinations, and quarantine. The Saudi Ministry of Health (MOH) and the Public Health Authority (also known as Weqayah) in Saudi Arabia are responsible for public health surveillance to control and prevent infectious diseases. The notifiable viral diseases based on the Saudi MOH include hepatitis diseases, viral hemorrhagic fevers, respiratory viral diseases, exanthematous viral diseases, neurological viral diseases, and conjunctivitis. Monitoring trends and detecting changes in these viral diseases is essential to provide proper interventions, evaluate the established prevention programs, and develop better prevention strategies. Therefore, this review aims to highlight the epidemiological updates of the recently reported viral infections in Saudi Arabia and to provide insights into the recent clinical treatment and prevention strategies.
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Affiliation(s)
- Noura M. Alshiban
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
| | - Munirah S. Aleyiydi
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
| | - Majed S. Nassar
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
| | - Nada K. Alhumaid
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
| | - Thamer A. Almangour
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, King Saud University, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
| | - Yahya M.K. Tawfik
- Department of Clinical Pharmacy, College of Pharmacy, King Saud University, Riyadh 11451, Saudi Arabia
| | - Laila A. Damiati
- Department of Biological Sciences, College of Science, University of Jeddah, Jeddah 23218, Saudi Arabia
| | | | - Essam A. Tawfik
- Advanced Diagnostics and Therapeutics Institute, Health Sector, King Abdulaziz City for Science and Technology, Riyadh 11442, Saudi Arabia
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12
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Papagiannopoulou E, Bossa M, Deligiannis N, Sahli H. Long-Term Regional Influenza-Like-Illness Forecasting Using Exogenous Data. IEEE J Biomed Health Inform 2024; 28:3781-3792. [PMID: 38483802 DOI: 10.1109/jbhi.2024.3377529] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2024]
Abstract
Disease forecasting is a longstanding problem for the research community, which aims at informing and improving decisions with the best available evidence. Specifically, the interest in respiratory disease forecasting has dramatically increased since the beginning of the coronavirus pandemic, rendering the accurate prediction of influenza-like-illness (ILI) a critical task. Although methods for short-term ILI forecasting and nowcasting have achieved good accuracy, their performance worsens at long-term ILI forecasts. Machine learning models have outperformed conventional forecasting approaches enabling to utilize diverse exogenous data sources, such as social media, internet users' search query logs, and climate data. However, the most recent deep learning ILI forecasting models use only historical occurrence data achieving state-of-the-art results. Inspired by recent deep neural network architectures in time series forecasting, this work proposes the Regional Influenza-Like-Illness Forecasting (ReILIF) method for regional long-term ILI prediction. The proposed architecture takes advantage of diverse exogenous data, that are, meteorological and population data, introducing an efficient intermediate fusion mechanism to combine the different types of information with the aim to capture the variations of ILI from various views. The efficacy of the proposed approach compared to state-of-the-art ILI forecasting methods is confirmed by an extensive experimental study following standard evaluation measures.
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13
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Mahesh DN, Sreelatha B, Vinoth S, Nancy S. Clinical profile of children with influenza like illness during pre-monsoon at coastal Karaikal, Puducherry, India. Bioinformation 2024; 20:252-257. [PMID: 38712005 PMCID: PMC11069598 DOI: 10.6026/973206300200252] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/01/2024] [Revised: 03/31/2024] [Accepted: 03/31/2024] [Indexed: 05/08/2024] Open
Abstract
Influenza infections in developing countries are under reported and WHO estimates that nearly 99% of influenza deaths worldwide occur in children under-five years of age in Asian and African countries. Consequently, this study aims to analyze the use of clinical profile and easily available laboratory parameters to aid identification of the possible viral etiology in the setting of pre-monsoon ILI. A cross-sectional study was carried out for three months among children with ILI attending fever clinic of a tertiary care hospital in Karaikal, South India. In the study population the prevalence of ILI was highest in the age group four to five years followed by school aged children. Adolescents were affected the least. Influenza B was most common virus causing ILI in this region, followed by covid-19 infection. Laboratory parameters depicted a significantly high ESR in COVID-19 infected ILI children. They also exhibited leucopenia and normal platelet counts. Clinical symptoms and laboratory parameters which are easily available and cheaper can be used in resource poor settings of healthcare to identify possible influenza and COVID-19 infected children amongst cases presenting with ILI.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dande Naga Mahesh
- Department of Paediatrics, Vinayaka Mission's Medical College and Hospital, Vinayaka Mission's Research Foundation - Deemed to be University (VMRF-DU), Karaikal, Puducherry, India
| | - B Sreelatha
- Department of Paediatrics, Vinayaka Mission's Medical College and Hospital, Vinayaka Mission's Research Foundation - Deemed to be University (VMRF-DU), Karaikal, Puducherry, India
| | - S Vinoth
- Department of Paediatrics, Vinayaka Mission's Medical College and Hospital, Vinayaka Mission's Research Foundation - Deemed to be University (VMRF-DU), Karaikal, Puducherry, India
| | - S Nancy
- Department of Community Medicine, Vinayaka Mission's Medical College and Hospital, Vinayaka Mission's Research Foundation - Deemed to be University (VMRF-DU), Karaikal, Puducherry, India
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14
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Khaleel HA, Alhilfi RA, Rawaf S, Tabche C. Identify future epidemic threshold and intensity for influenza-like illness in Iraq by using the moving epidemic method. IJID REGIONS 2024; 10:126-131. [PMID: 38260712 PMCID: PMC10801321 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijregi.2023.12.005] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/30/2023] [Revised: 12/16/2023] [Accepted: 12/18/2023] [Indexed: 01/24/2024]
Abstract
Objectives Influenza-like illness (ILI) entered the Iraq surveillance system in 2021. The alert threshold was determined using the cumulative sum 2 method, which did not provide other characteristics. This study uses the moving epidemic method (MEM) to describe duration and estimate alert thresholds for ILI in Iraq for 2023-2024. Methods MEM default package was used to estimate influenza 2023-2024 epidemic thresholds. Analysis was repeated using optimum parameter of epidemic timing for fixed criteria method, which is 3.3. Arithmetic means and 95% confidence interval upper limit were used to estimate threshold. Geometric mean and 40%, 90%, and 97.3% confidence interval upper limits were used to estimate intensity levels. Aggregated Centers for Disease Control and Prevention surveillance data were used to detect epidemic thresholds, length, sensitivity, and predictive values. Results ILI activity starts at week 30 and lasts 7 weeks. Optimized epidemic threshold is 4513 cases, lower than default (4540 cases). Optimized medium-intensity level was higher than default, and high and very high-intensity levels were lower. Conclusions MEM is essential to determine an influenza epidemic's threshold and intensity levels. Despite requiring 3-5 years of data, using it on data for 2.5 years has resulted in an epidemic threshold slightly higher than the threshold calculated using the cumulative sum 2 method.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - Salman Rawaf
- WHO Collaborating Centre, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, UK
| | - Celine Tabche
- WHO Collaborating Centre, Department of Primary Care and Public Health, Imperial College London, UK
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15
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Groot J, Keller A, Sigsgaard T, Loft S, Nybo Andersen AM. Residential exposure to mold, dampness, and indoor air pollution and risk of respiratory tract infections: a study among children ages 11 and 12 in the Danish National Birth Cohort. Eur J Epidemiol 2024; 39:299-311. [PMID: 38393605 PMCID: PMC10994992 DOI: 10.1007/s10654-024-01101-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/09/2022] [Accepted: 01/10/2024] [Indexed: 02/25/2024]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The burden of respiratory tract infections (RTIs) is high in childhood. Several residential exposures may affect relative rates. OBJECTIVES To determine risk of RTIs in children ages 11 and 12 by residential exposures. METHODS We included children in the Danish National Birth Cohort (DNBC) at ages 11 and 12. We estimated incidence risk ratios (IRR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for counts of RTIs within the last year by exposure to mold/dampness, gas stove usage, summer and winter candle-burning, fireplace usage, cats and dogs indoors, and farmhouse living. We also estimated IRR and 95% CI for RTIs for predicted scores of four extracted factors ('owned house', 'mold and dampness', 'candles', and 'density') from exploratory factor analyses (EFA). RESULTS We included 42 720 children with complete data. Mold/dampness was associated with all RTIs (common cold: IRRadj 1.09[1.07, 1.12]; influenza: IRRadj 1.10 [1.05, 1.15]; tonsillitis: IRRadj 1.19 [1.10, 1.28]; conjunctivitis: IRRadj 1.16 [1.02, 1.32]; and doctor-diagnosed pneumonia: IRRadj 1.05 [0.90, 1.21]), as was the EFA factor 'mold/dampness' for several outcomes. Gas stove usage was associated with conjunctivitis (IRRadj 1.25 [1.05, 1.49]) and with doctor-diagnosed pneumonia (IRRadj 1.14 [0.93, 1.39]). Candle-burning during summer, but not winter, was associated with several RTIs, for tonsillitis in a dose-dependent fashion (increasing weekly frequencies vs. none: [IRRadj 1.06 [0.98, 1.14], IRRadj 1.16 [1.04, 1.30], IRRadj 1.23 [1.06, 1.43], IRRadj 1.29 [1.00, 1.67], and IRRadj 1.41 [1.12, 1.78]). CONCLUSION Residential exposures, in particular to mold and dampness and to a lesser degree to indoor combustion sources, are related to the occurrence of RTIs in children.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jonathan Groot
- Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark.
| | - Amélie Keller
- Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Torben Sigsgaard
- Environment, Work and Health, Department of Public Health, University of Aarhus, Aarhus, Denmark
| | - Steffen Loft
- Section of Environmental Health, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
| | - Anne-Marie Nybo Andersen
- Section of Epidemiology, Department of Public Health, University of Copenhagen, Copenhagen, Denmark
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16
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Davies S, Boller E, Chase J, Beaubrun A, Miller C, Jensen I. A cost-consequence analysis of the Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus test strategy for the diagnosis of influenza-like illnesses. J Med Econ 2024; 27:430-441. [PMID: 38328858 DOI: 10.1080/13696998.2024.2313391] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/13/2023] [Accepted: 01/30/2024] [Indexed: 02/09/2024]
Abstract
AIMS Influenza-like illnesses (ILI) affect millions each year in the United States (US). Determining definitively the cause of symptoms is important for patient management. Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus (Xpert Xpress) is a rapid, point-of-care (POC), multiplex real-time polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) test intended for the simultaneous qualitative detection and differentiation of SARS-CoV-2, influenza A/B, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV). The objective of our analysis was to develop a cost-consequence model (CCM) demonstrating the clinico-economic impacts of implementing PCR testing with Xpert Xpress compared to current testing strategies. METHODS A decision tree model, with a 1-year time horizon, was used to compare testing with Xpert Xpress alone to antigen POC testing and send-out PCR strategies in the US outpatient setting from a payer perspective. A hypothetical cohort of 1,000,000 members was modeled, a portion of whom develop symptomatic ILIs and present to an outpatient care facility. Our main outcome measure is cost per correct treatment course. RESULTS The total cost per correct treatment course was $1,131 for the Xpert Xpress strategy compared with a range of $3,560 to $5,449 in comparators. POC antigen testing strategies cost more, on average, than PCR strategies. LIMITATIONS Simplifying model assumptions were used to allow for modeling ease. In clinical practice, treatment options, costs, and diagnostic test sensitivity and specificity may differ from what is included in the model. Additionally, the most recent incidence and prevalence data was used within the model, which is not reflective of historical averages due to the SARS-CoV-2 pandemic. CONCLUSION The Xpert Xpress CoV-2/Flu/RSV plus test allows for rapid and accurate diagnostic results, leading to reductions in testing costs and downstream healthcare resource utilization compared to other testing strategies. Compared to POC antigen testing strategies, PCR strategies were more efficient due to improved diagnostic accuracy and reduced use of confirmatory testing.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shawn Davies
- PRECISIONheor, Precision Value & Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Emily Boller
- PRECISIONheor, Precision Value & Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | | | | | - Cynthia Miller
- PRECISIONheor, Precision Value & Health, Boston, MA, USA
| | - Ivar Jensen
- PRECISIONheor, Precision Value & Health, Boston, MA, USA
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Marseglia GL, Ciprandi G. Clinical use of ketoprofen lysine salt: a reappraisal in adolescents with acute respiratory infections. Allergol Immunopathol (Madr) 2023; 51:76-82. [PMID: 37937499 DOI: 10.15586/aei.v51i6.918] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/29/2023] [Accepted: 08/23/2023] [Indexed: 11/09/2023]
Abstract
Upper respiratory infections are widespread, and they are mainly of viral etiology. It has to be remarked that every infection is always associated with an inflammatory response. Inflammation implicates a cascade of bothersome symptoms, including fever, pain (headache, myalgia, and arthralgia), malaise, and respiratory complaints. As a result, anti-inflammatory medications could be beneficial as they act on different pathogenetic pathways. The ketoprofen lysine salt (KLS) has a potent anti-inflammatory activity associated with effective analgesic and antipyretic effects and has a valuable safety profile. However, adolescents present peculiar psychological characteristics that determine their difficulty to be managed. In this regard, an adolescent with a respiratory infection requires a prompt and adequate cure. KLS, thanks to its pharmacologic profile, could be favorably used in this regard. A recent primary-care experience outlined its effectiveness in this issue.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gian Luigi Marseglia
- Pediatric Clinic, Fondazione IRCCS Policlinico San Matteo, Pavia, Italy
- Department of Clinical, Surgical, Diagnostic and Pediatric Sciences, University of Pavia, Pavia, Italy;
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18
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Ciprandi G, Varriccchio A. Sobrerol: New Perspectives to Manage Patients with Frequent Respiratory Infections. CHILDREN (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 10:1210. [PMID: 37508708 PMCID: PMC10378669 DOI: 10.3390/children10071210] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/28/2023] [Revised: 07/06/2023] [Accepted: 07/11/2023] [Indexed: 07/30/2023]
Abstract
Respiratory tract infections (RTIs) are usually characterized by mucus hypersecretion. This condition may worsen and prolong symptoms and signs. For this reason, reducing mucus production and improving mucus removal represent relevant aspects of managing patients with RTIs. In this regard, mucoactive drugs may be effective. Mucoactive agents constitute a large class of compounds characterized by different mechanisms of action. Sobrerol is a monoterpene able to fluidify mucus, increase mucociliary clearance, and exert antioxidant activity. Sobrerol is available in various formulations (granules, syrup, nebulized, and suppository). Sobrerol has been on the market for over 50 years. Therefore, the present article revised the evidence concerning this compound and proposed new possible strategies. The literature analysis showed that several studies investigated the efficacy and safety of sobrerol in acute and chronic RTIs characterized by mucus hyperproduction. Seven pediatric studies have been conducted with favorable outcomes. However, the regulatory agencies recently reduced the treatment duration to three days. Therefore, a future study will test the hypothesis that a combination of oral and topical sobrerol could benefit children and adults with frequent respiratory tract infections. The rationale of this new approach is based on the concept that mucus accumulation could be a risk factor for increased susceptibility to infections.
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Affiliation(s)
- Giorgio Ciprandi
- Allergy Center, Casa di Cura Villa Montallegro, 16145 Genoa, Italy
| | - Attilio Varriccchio
- Department of Otolaryngology, University of Molise, 86100 Campobasso, Italy;
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Boehm AB, Hughes B, Duong D, Chan-Herur V, Buchman A, Wolfe MK, White BJ. Wastewater concentrations of human influenza, metapneumovirus, parainfluenza, respiratory syncytial virus, rhinovirus, and seasonal coronavirus nucleic-acids during the COVID-19 pandemic: a surveillance study. THE LANCET. MICROBE 2023; 4:e340-e348. [PMID: 36965504 PMCID: PMC10032662 DOI: 10.1016/s2666-5247(22)00386-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 101] [Impact Index Per Article: 50.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/22/2022] [Revised: 12/14/2022] [Accepted: 12/15/2022] [Indexed: 03/24/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Respiratory disease is a major cause of morbidity and mortality; however, surveillance for circulating respiratory viruses is passive and biased. Wastewater-based epidemiology has been used to understand SARS-CoV-2, influenza A, and respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infection rates at a community level but has not been used to investigate other respiratory viruses. We aimed to use wastewater-based epidemiology to understand community viral respiratory infection occurrence. METHODS A retrospective wastewater-based epidemiology surveillance study was carried out at a large wastewater treatment plant located in California, USA. Using droplet digital RT-PCR, we measured RNA concentrations of influenza A and influenza B viruses, RSV A and RSV B, parainfluenza (1-4) viruses, rhinovirus, seasonal coronaviruses, and metapneumovirus in wastewater solids three times per week for 17 months (216 samples) between Feb 1, 2021, and June 21, 2022. Novel probe-based RT-PCR assays for non-influenza viral targets were developed and validated. We compared viral RNA concentrations to positivity rates for viral infections from clinical specimens submitted to California Sentinel Clinical Laboratories (sentinel laboratories) to assess concordance between the two datasets. FINDINGS We detected RNA from all tested viruses in wastewater solids. Human rhinovirus (median concentration 4300 [0-9500] copies per gram dry weight) and seasonal human coronaviruses (35 000 [17 000-56 000]) were found at the highest concentrations. Concentrations of viral RNA correlated significantly and positively with positivity rates of associated viral diseases from sentinel laboratories (tau 0·32-0·57, p<0·0009); the only exceptions were influenza B and RSV A, which were rarely detected in wastewater solids. Measurements from wastewater indicated coronavirus OC43 dominated the seasonal human coronavirus infections whereas parainfluenza 3 dominated among parainfluenza infections during the study period. Concentrations of all tested viral RNA decreased noticeably after the omicron BA.1 surge suggesting a connection between changes in human behaviour during the surge and transmission of all respiratory viruses. INTERPRETATION Wastewater-based epidemiology can be used to obtain information on circulation of respiratory viruses at a localised, community level without the need to test many individuals because a single sample of wastewater represents the entire contributing community. Results from wastewater can be available within 24 h of sample collection, generating real time information to inform public health responses, clinical decision making, and individual behaviour modifications. FUNDING CDC Foundation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexandria B Boehm
- Department of Civil & Environmental Engineering, School of Engineering and Doerr School of Sustainability, Stanford University, Stanford, CA, USA.
| | | | | | | | - Anna Buchman
- Verily Life Sciences, South San Francisco, CA, USA
| | - Marlene K Wolfe
- Gangarosa Department of Environmental Health, Rollins School of Public Health, Emory University, Atlanta, GA, USA
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Koureas M, Mellou K, Vontas A, Kyritsi M, Panagoulias I, Koutsolioutsou A, Mouchtouri VA, Speletas M, Paraskevis D, Hadjichristodoulou C. Wastewater Levels of Respiratory Syncytial Virus Associated with Influenza-like Illness Rates in Children-A Case Study in Larissa, Greece (October 2022-January 2023). INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 20:5219. [PMID: 36982128 PMCID: PMC10048987 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph20065219] [Citation(s) in RCA: 12] [Impact Index Per Article: 6.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/23/2023] [Revised: 03/13/2023] [Accepted: 03/14/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
The emergence of the COVID-19 pandemic has led to significant progress in the field of wastewater-based surveillance (WBS) of respiratory pathogens and highlighted its potential for a wider application in public health surveillance. This study aimed to evaluate whether monitoring of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) in wastewater can provide a comprehensive picture of disease transmission at the community level. The study was conducted in Larissa (Central Greece) between October 2022 and January 2023. Forty-six wastewater samples were collected from the inlet of the wastewater treatment plant of Larissa and analyzed with a real-time reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) based method. RSV and SARS-CoV-2 wastewater viral loads (genome copies/100,000 inhabitants) were analyzed against sentinel surveillance data on influenza-like illness (ILI) to identify potential associations. Univariate linear regression analysis revealed that RSV wastewater viral load (lagged by one week) and ILI notification rates in children up to 14 years old were strongly associated (std. Beta: 0.73 (95% CI: 0.31-1.14), p = 0.002, R2 = 0.308). A weaker association was found between SARS-CoV-2 viral load and ILI rates in the 15+ age group (std. Beta: 0.56 (95% CI: 0.06-1.05), p = 0.032, R2 = 0.527). The results support the incorporation of RSV monitoring into existing wastewater-based surveillance systems.
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Affiliation(s)
- Michalis Koureas
- Laboratory of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 22 Papakyriazi Str., 41222 Larissa, Greece
| | | | - Alexandros Vontas
- Laboratory of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 22 Papakyriazi Str., 41222 Larissa, Greece
| | - Maria Kyritsi
- Laboratory of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 22 Papakyriazi Str., 41222 Larissa, Greece
| | | | | | - Varvara A. Mouchtouri
- Laboratory of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 22 Papakyriazi Str., 41222 Larissa, Greece
| | - Matthaios Speletas
- Department of Immunology and Histocompatibility, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 41500 Larissa, Greece
| | | | - Christos Hadjichristodoulou
- Laboratory of Hygiene and Epidemiology, Faculty of Medicine, University of Thessaly, 22 Papakyriazi Str., 41222 Larissa, Greece
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21
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Yin J, Liu T, Tang F, Chen D, Sun L, Song S, Zhang S, Wu J, Li Z, Xing W, Wang X, Ding G. Effects of ambient temperature on influenza-like illness: A multicity analysis in Shandong Province, China, 2014-2017. Front Public Health 2023; 10:1095436. [PMID: 36699880 PMCID: PMC9868675 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2022.1095436] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/11/2022] [Accepted: 12/12/2022] [Indexed: 01/11/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The associations between ambient temperature and influenza-like illness (ILI) have been investigated in previous studies. However, they have inconsistent results. The purpose of this study was to estimate the effect of ambient temperature on ILI in Shandong Province, China. Methods Weekly ILI surveillance and meteorological data over 2014-2017 of the Shandong Province were collected from the Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention and the China Meteorological Data Service Center, respectively. A distributed lag non-linear model was adopted to estimate the city-specific temperature-ILI relationships, which were used to pool the regional-level and provincial-level estimates through a multivariate meta-analysis. Results There were 911,743 ILI cases reported in the study area between 2014 and 2017. The risk of ILI increased with decreasing weekly ambient temperature at the provincial level, and the effect was statistically significant when the temperature was <-1.5°C (RR = 1.24, 95% CI: 1.00-1.54). We found that the relationship between temperature and ILI showed an L-shaped curve at the regional level, except for Southern Shandong (S-shaped). The risk of ILI was influenced by cold, with significant lags from 2.5 to 3 weeks, and no significant effect of heat on ILI was found. Conclusion Our findings confirm that low temperatures significantly increased the risk of ILI in the study area. In addition, the cold effect of ambient temperature may cause more risk of ILI than the hot effect. The findings have significant implications for developing strategies to control ILI and respond to climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jia Yin
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, China,Center for Big Data Research in Health and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Ti Liu
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Fang Tang
- Center for Big Data Research in Health and Medicine, The First Affiliated Hospital of Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Provincial Qianfoshan Hospital, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Dongzhen Chen
- Institute of Viral Disease Control and Prevention, Liaocheng Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Liaocheng, Shandong, China
| | - Lin Sun
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Shaoxia Song
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Shengyang Zhang
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Julong Wu
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Zhong Li
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China
| | - Weijia Xing
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, China,Weijia Xing ✉
| | - Xianjun Wang
- Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Shandong Center for Disease Control and Prevention, Jinan, Shandong, China,Xianjun Wang ✉
| | - Guoyong Ding
- Department of Epidemiology, School of Public Health, Shandong First Medical University and Shandong Academy of Medical Sciences, Jinan, Shandong, China,*Correspondence: Guoyong Ding ✉
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22
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Gandhi L, Maisnam D, Rathore D, Chauhan P, Bonagiri A, Venkataramana M. Respiratory illness virus infections with special emphasis on COVID-19. Eur J Med Res 2022; 27:236. [PMID: 36348452 PMCID: PMC9641310 DOI: 10.1186/s40001-022-00874-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/16/2022] [Accepted: 10/26/2022] [Indexed: 11/10/2022] Open
Abstract
Viruses that emerge pose challenges for treatment options as their uniqueness would not know completely. Hence, many viruses are causing high morbidity and mortality for a long time. Despite large diversity, viruses share common characteristics for infection. At least 12 different respiratory-borne viruses are reported belonging to various virus taxonomic families. Many of these viruses multiply and cause damage to the upper and lower respiratory tracts. The description of these viruses in comparison with each other concerning their epidemiology, molecular characteristics, disease manifestations, diagnosis and treatment is lacking. Such information helps diagnose, differentiate, and formulate the control measures faster. The leading cause of acute illness worldwide is acute respiratory infections (ARIs) and are responsible for nearly 4 million deaths every year, mostly in young children and infants. Lower respiratory tract infections are the fourth most common cause of death globally, after non-infectious chronic conditions. This review aims to present the characteristics of different viruses causing respiratory infections, highlighting the uniqueness of SARS-CoV-2. We expect this review to help understand the similarities and differences among the closely related viruses causing respiratory infections and formulate specific preventive or control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lekha Gandhi
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India
| | - Deepti Maisnam
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India
| | - Deepika Rathore
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India
| | - Preeti Chauhan
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India
| | - Anvesh Bonagiri
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India
| | - Musturi Venkataramana
- Department of Biotechnology and Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, University of Hyderabad, Hyderabad, 500046, Telangana, India.
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