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Joshi R, Faruqui N, Nagarajan SR, Rampatige R, Martiniuk A, Gouda H. Reporting of ethics in peer-reviewed verbal autopsy studies: a systematic review. Int J Epidemiol 2018; 47:255-279. [PMID: 29092034 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyx216] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 10/02/2017] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Introduction Verbal autopsy (VA) is a method that determines the cause of death by interviewing a relative of the deceased about the events occurring before the death, in regions where medical certification of cause of death is incomplete. This paper aims to review the ethical standards reported in peer-reviewed VA studies. Methods A systematic review of Medline and Ovid was conducted by two independent researchers. Data were extracted and analysed for articles based on three key areas: Institutional Review Board (IRB) clearance and consenting process; data collection and management procedures, including: time between death and interview; training and education of interviewer, confidentiality of data and data security; and declarations of funding and conflict of interest. Results The review identified 802 articles, of which 288 were included. The review found that 48% all the studies reported having IRB clearance or obtaining consent of participants. The interviewer training and education levels were reported in 62% and 21% of the articles, respectively. Confidentiality of data was reported for 14% of all studies, 18% did not report the type of respondent interviewed and 51% reported time between death and the interview for the VA. Data security was reported in 8% of all studies. Funding was declared in 63% of all studies and conflict of interest in 42%. Reporting of all these variables increased over time. Conclusions The results of this systematic review show that although there has been an increase in ethical reporting for VA studies, there still remains a large gap in reporting.
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Affiliation(s)
- Rohina Joshi
- George Institute for Global Health
- University of New South Wales
- University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Neha Faruqui
- George Institute for Global Health
- University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | | | | | - Alex Martiniuk
- George Institute for Global Health
- University of Sydney, Sydney, NSW, Australia
| | - Hebe Gouda
- School of Public Health
- Queensland Centre for Mental Health Research, University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
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Bei AK, Ahouidi AD, Dvorin JD, Miura K, Diouf A, Ndiaye D, Premji Z, Diakite M, Mboup S, Long CA, Duraisingh MT. Functional Analysis Reveals Geographical Variation in Inhibitory Immune Responses Against a Polymorphic Malaria Antigen. J Infect Dis 2017; 216:267-275. [PMID: 28605544 PMCID: PMC5853457 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jix280] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.9] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/15/2017] [Accepted: 06/08/2017] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Plasmodium falciparum reticulocyte-binding protein homologue 2b (PfRh2b) is an invasion ligand that is a potential blood-stage vaccine candidate antigen; however, a naturally occurring deletion within an immunogenic domain is present at high frequencies in Africa and has been associated with alternative invasion pathway usage. Standardized tools that provide antigenic specificity in in vitro assays are needed to functionally assess the neutralizing potential of humoral responses against malaria vaccine candidate antigens. Methods Transgenic parasite lines were generated to express the PfRh2b deletion. Total immunoglobulin G (IgG) from individuals residing in malaria-endemic regions in Tanzania, Senegal, and Mali were used in growth inhibition assays with transgenic parasite lines. Results While the PfRh2b deletion transgenic line showed no change in invasion pathway utilization compared to the wild-type in the absence of specific antibodies, it outgrew wild-type controls in competitive growth experiments. Inhibition differences with total IgG were observed in the different endemic sites, ranging from allele-specific inhibition to allele-independent inhibitory immune responses. Conclusions The PfRh2b deletion may allow the parasite to escape neutralizing antibody responses in some regions. This difference in geographical inhibition was revealed using transgenic methodologies, which provide valuable tools for functionally assessing neutralizing antibodies against vaccine-candidate antigens in regions with varying malaria endemicity.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amy K Bei
- Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
- Laboratory of Bacteriology and Virology, Le Dantec Hospital, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
- Laboratory of Parasitology and Mycology, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Ambroise D Ahouidi
- Laboratory of Bacteriology and Virology, Le Dantec Hospital, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Jeffrey D Dvorin
- Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
- Division of Infectious Diseases, Boston Children's Hospital and Harvard Medical School, Massachusetts
| | - Kazutoyo Miura
- Laboratory of Malaria and Vector Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Ababacar Diouf
- Laboratory of Malaria and Vector Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Daouda Ndiaye
- Laboratory of Parasitology and Mycology, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Zul Premji
- Department of Parasitology and Medical Entomology, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, Dar-es-Salaam, Tanzania
- Department of Pathology, Aga Khan University Hospital, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Mahamadou Diakite
- Malaria Research and Training Center, Faculty of Medicine, Pharmacy and Odontostomatology, University of Science, Techniques and Technologies of Bamako, Mali
| | - Souleymane Mboup
- Laboratory of Bacteriology and Virology, Le Dantec Hospital, Faculty of Medicine and Pharmacy, Cheikh Anta Diop University, Dakar, Senegal
- Institut de Recherche en Santé, de Surveillance Epidemiologique et de Formations, Dakar, Senegal
| | - Carole A Long
- Laboratory of Malaria and Vector Research, National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland
| | - Manoj T Duraisingh
- Department of Immunology and Infectious Diseases, Harvard T. H. Chan School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts
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Plasmodium falciparum msp2 Genotypes and Multiplicity of Infections among Children under Five Years with Uncomplicated Malaria in Kibaha, Tanzania. J Parasitol Res 2015; 2015:721201. [PMID: 26770821 PMCID: PMC4684896 DOI: 10.1155/2015/721201] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.6] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2015] [Revised: 11/17/2015] [Accepted: 11/19/2015] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Genetic diversity of Plasmodium falciparum may pose challenges in malaria treatment and prevention through chemotherapy and vaccination. We assessed Plasmodium falciparum genetic diversity and multiplicity of infection (MOI) of P. falciparum infections and sort relationship of parasitaemia with P. falciparum msp2 genotypes as well as with the number of infecting clones. The study was carried out in Kibaha, Tanzania. Ninety-nine children under five years with uncomplicated malaria were recruited. Genetic diversity was analyzed by genotyping the msp2 gene using PCR-Restriction Fragment Length Polymorphism. Thirty-two different msp2 alleles were obtained. The msp2 3D7 allelic frequency was higher (48.1%) and more prevalent than FC27 (27.3%) (p < 0.05). Twenty-four percent of the infections were mixed alleles. The individuals with FC27 had high parasitemia compared to those with 3D7 alleles (p = 0.038). The mean MOI was low (1.4 clones, 95% CI 1.2–1.5). The P. falciparum population among children at Kibaha is composed of distinct P. falciparum clones, and parasites having 3D7 are more frequent than those with FC27 alleles. Individuals with parasite having FC27 alleles have high parasite densities suggesting that parasites with FC27 alleles may associate with severity of disease in Kibaha. Low MOI at Kibaha suggests low malaria transmission rate.
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Abstract
BACKGROUND Maternal and neonatal mortality remains a serious challenge in Tanzania. Progress is tracked through maternal mortality ratios (MMR) and neonatal mortality rates (NMR), yet robust national data on these outcomes is difficult and expensive to ascertain, and mask wide variation. SEARCH STRATEGY We searched EMBASE, MEDLINE, Popline, and EBSCO online databases, basing search terms on ("maternal" OR "neonatal") AND ("mortality" OR "cause of death") AND "Tanzania." SELECTION CRITERIA Nationally representative or population representative from the subnational context were eligible, providing NMR, MMR, or numbers of maternal deaths or early neonatal deaths or neonatal deaths and live births. DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS Data were extracted on study context, time period, number of deaths and live births, definition of maternal and neonatal death, study design, and completeness and representativeness of data. NMR and MMR were extracted or calculated and study quality was assessed. Nationally representative data were compared with modelled national data from international agencies. MAIN RESULTS 2107 records were screened yielding 21 maternal mortality and 15 neonatal mortality datasets. There were high mortality levels with wide subnational MMR and NMR variation. National survey data differed from the modelled estimates, with wide uncertainty ranges. CONCLUSION Subnational data quality was generally poor with no observable trends and geographical clustering across several regions. Combined MMR and NMR reporting is uncommon. Modelled national estimates lack precision and are complex to interpret. Results suggest that aggregate national data are inadequate for policy generation and progress monitoring. We recommend strengthening of vital registration and Health Management Information Systems with complementary use of process indicators, for improved monitoring of, and accountability for maternal and newborn health.
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Innocent E, Hassanali A, Kisinza WNW, Mutalemwa PPP, Magesa S, Kayombo E. Anti-mosquito plants as an alternative or incremental method for malaria vector control among rural communities of Bagamoyo District, Tanzania. JOURNAL OF ETHNOBIOLOGY AND ETHNOMEDICINE 2014; 10:56. [PMID: 25015092 PMCID: PMC4131773 DOI: 10.1186/1746-4269-10-56] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2013] [Accepted: 07/01/2014] [Indexed: 05/02/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Plants represent one of the most accessible resources available for mosquito control by communities in Tanzania. However, no documented statistics exist for their contribution in the management of mosquitoes and other insects except through verbal and some publications. This study aimed at assessing communities' knowledge, attitudes and practices of using plants as an alternative method for mosquito control among selected communities in a malaria-prone area in Tanzania. METHODS Questionnaires were administered to 202 respondents from four villages of Bagamoyo District, Pwani Region, in Tanzania followed by participatory rural appraisal with village health workers. Secondary data collection for plants mentioned by the communities was undertaken using different search engines such as googlescholar, PubMED and NAPRALERT. RESULTS Results showed about 40.3% of respondents used plants to manage insects, including mosquitoes. A broad profile of plants are used, including "mwarobaini" (Azadirachta indica) (22.5%), "mtopetope" (Annona spp) (20.8%), "mchungwa/mlimau" (Citrus spp) (8.3%), "mvumbashi/uvumbati" (Ocimum spp) (7.4%), "mkorosho" (Anacadium occidentale) (7.1%), "mwembe" (5.4%) (Mangifera indica), "mpera" (4.1%) (Psidium spp) and "maganda ya nazi" (4.1%) (Cocos nucifera). Majority of respondents collected these plants from the wild (54.2%), farms (28.9%) and/or home gardens (6%). The roles played by these plants in fighting mosquitoes is reflected by the majority that deploy them with or without bed-nets (p > 0.55) or insecticidal sprays (p >0.22). Most respondents were aware that mosquitoes transmit malaria (90.6%) while few respondents associated elephantiasis/hydrocele (46.5%) and yellow fever (24.3%) with mosquitoes. Most of the ethnobotanical uses mentioned by the communities were consistent with scientific information gathered from the literature, except for Psidium guajava, which is reported for the first time in insect control. CONCLUSION This survey has indicated some knowledge gap among community members in managing mosquito vectors using plant. The communities need a basic health education and sensitization for effective exploitation of this valuable tool for reducing mosquitoes and associated disease burdens. On the other hand, the government of Tanzania should strengthen advocacy of botanical pesticides development, registration and regulation for public health benefits because they are source of pest control tools people rely on them.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ester Innocent
- Institute of Traditional Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, P.O. Box 65001, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
| | - Ahmed Hassanali
- Department of Chemistry, School of Pure & Applied Sciences, Kenyatta University, P.O. Box 43844–00100, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - William NW Kisinza
- National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR), Amani Research Centre, P.O. Box 81, Muheza, Tanzania
| | - Prince PP Mutalemwa
- National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR), Amani Research Centre, P.O. Box 81, Muheza, Tanzania
| | - Stephen Magesa
- National Institute for Medical Research (NIMR), Amani Research Centre, P.O. Box 81, Muheza, Tanzania
- RTI International, Malaria Initiative, P.O. Box 1181–000621, Nairobi, Kenya
| | - Edmund Kayombo
- Institute of Traditional Medicine, Muhimbili University of Health and Allied Sciences, P.O. Box 65001, Dar es Salaam, Tanzania
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Abstract
Understanding of global health and changing morbidity and mortality is limited by inadequate measurement of population health. With fewer than one-third of deaths worldwide being assigned a cause, this long-standing dearth of information, almost exclusively in the world's poorest countries, hinders understanding of population health and limits opportunities for planning, monitoring, and evaluating interventions. In the absence of routine death registration, verbal autopsy (VA) methods are used to derive probable causes of death. Much effort has been put into refining the approach for specific purposes; however, there has been a lack of harmony regarding such efforts. Subsequently, a variety of methods and principles have been developed, often focusing on a single aspect of VA, and the resulting literature provides an inconsistent picture. By reviewing methodological and conceptual issues in VA, it is evident that VA cannot be reduced to a single one-size-fits-all tool. VA must be contextualized; given the lack of "gold standards," methodological developments should not be considered in terms of absolute validity but rather in terms of consistency, comparability, and adequacy for the intended purpose. There is an urgent need for clarified thinking about the overall objectives of population-level cause-of-death measurement and harmonized efforts in empirical methodological research.
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Affiliation(s)
- Edward Fottrell
- Umeå Centre for Global Health Research, Division of Epidemiology and Global Health, Department of Public Health and Clinical Medicine, Umeå University, SE-901-85 Umeå, Sweden.
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Carneiro I, Roca-Feltrer A, Griffin JT, Smith L, Tanner M, Schellenberg JA, Greenwood B, Schellenberg D. Age-patterns of malaria vary with severity, transmission intensity and seasonality in sub-Saharan Africa: a systematic review and pooled analysis. PLoS One 2010; 5:e8988. [PMID: 20126547 PMCID: PMC2813874 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0008988] [Citation(s) in RCA: 200] [Impact Index Per Article: 14.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/18/2009] [Accepted: 01/06/2010] [Indexed: 11/19/2022] Open
Abstract
Background There is evidence that the age-pattern of Plasmodium falciparum malaria varies with transmission intensity. A better understanding of how this varies with the severity of outcome and across a range of transmission settings could enable locally appropriate targeting of interventions to those most at risk. We have, therefore, undertaken a pooled analysis of existing data from multiple sites to enable a comprehensive overview of the age-patterns of malaria outcomes under different epidemiological conditions in sub-Saharan Africa. Methodology/Principal Findings A systematic review using PubMed and CAB Abstracts (1980–2005), contacts with experts and searching bibliographies identified epidemiological studies with data on the age distribution of children with P. falciparum clinical malaria, hospital admissions with malaria and malaria-diagnosed mortality. Studies were allocated to a 3×2 matrix of intensity and seasonality of malaria transmission. Maximum likelihood methods were used to fit five continuous probability distributions to the percentage of each outcome by age for each of the six transmission scenarios. The best-fitting distributions are presented graphically, together with the estimated median age for each outcome. Clinical malaria incidence was relatively evenly distributed across the first 10 years of life for all transmission scenarios. Hospital admissions with malaria were more concentrated in younger children, with this effect being even more pronounced for malaria-diagnosed deaths. For all outcomes, the burden of malaria shifted towards younger ages with increasing transmission intensity, although marked seasonality moderated this effect. Conclusions The most severe consequences of P. falciparum malaria were concentrated in the youngest age groups across all settings. Despite recently observed declines in malaria transmission in several countries, which will shift the burden of malaria cases towards older children, it is still appropriate to target strategies for preventing malaria mortality and severe morbidity at very young children who will continue to bear the brunt of malaria deaths in Sub-Saharan Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ilona Carneiro
- Disease Control and Vector Biology Unit, Department of Infectious and Tropical Diseases, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, United Kingdom.
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The Ifakara Health Institute's Bagamoyo Research and Training Centre: a well-established clinical trials site in Tanzania. Int Health 2009; 1:85-90. [PMID: 24036298 DOI: 10.1016/j.inhe.2009.06.009] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Bagamoyo Research and Training Centre (BRTC), a branch of the Ifakara Health Institute (IHI), established in late 2004, has evolved into a leading site in performing high-quality Phase II and Phase III malaria vaccine and drug trials according to ICH/GCP standards. Several Phase II and III trials and assessments of interventions focused on better diagnosis, treatment and prevention of malaria have been completed successfully. Expansion into the areas of TB, with the set up of a new BSL-3, and HIV/AIDS marks the commitment of the site to developing into a regional centre of excellence for both clinical trials and epidemiological research.
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Deressa W, Fantahun M, Ali A. Malaria-related mortality based on verbal autopsy in an area of low endemicity in a predominantly rural population in Ethiopia. Malar J 2007; 6:128. [PMID: 17883879 PMCID: PMC2039745 DOI: 10.1186/1475-2875-6-128] [Citation(s) in RCA: 22] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/18/2007] [Accepted: 09/21/2007] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Although malaria is one of the most important causes of death in Ethiopia, measuring the magnitude of malaria-attributed deaths at community level poses a considerable difficulty. Nevertheless, despite its low sensitivity and specificity, verbal autopsy (VA) has been the most important technique to determine malaria-specific cause of death for community-based studies. The present study was undertaken to assess the magnitude of malaria mortality in a predominantly rural population of Ethiopia using VA technique at Butajira Rural Health Programme (BRHP) Demographic Surveillance Site (DSS). Methods A verbal autopsy was carried out for a year from August 2003 to July 2004 for all deaths identified at BRPH-DSS. Two trained physicians independently reviewed each VA questionnaire and indicated the most likely causes of death. Finally, all malaria related deaths were identified and used for analysis. Results A verbal autopsy study was successfully conducted in 325 deaths, of which 42 (13%) were attributed to malaria. The majority of malaria deaths (47.6%) were from the rural lowlands compared to those that occurred in the rural highlands (31%) and urban (21.4%) areas. The proportional mortality attributable to malaria was not statistically significant among the specific age groups and ecological zones. Mortality from malaria was reckoned to be seasonal; 57% occurred during a three-month period at the end of the rainy season between September and November. About 71% of the deceased received some form of treatment before death, while 12 (28.6%) of those who died neither sought care from a traditional healer nor were taken to a conventional health facility before death. Of those who sought treatment, 53.3% were first taken to a private clinic, 40% sought care from public health facilities, and the remaining two (6.7%) received traditional medicine. Only 11.9% of the total malaria-related deaths received some sort of treatment within 24h after the onset of illness. Conclusion The results of this study suggest that malaria plays a considerable role as a cause of death in the study area. Further data on malaria mortality with a relatively large sample size for at least two years will be needed to substantially describe the burden of malaria mortality in the study area.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wakgari Deressa
- School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University PO Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Mesganaw Fantahun
- School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University PO Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
| | - Ahmed Ali
- School of Public Health, Addis Ababa University PO Box 9086, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia
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Ross A, Maire N, Molineaux L, Smith T. An epidemiologic model of severe morbidity and mortality caused by Plasmodium falciparum. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2006; 75:63-73. [PMID: 16931817 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2006.75.63] [Citation(s) in RCA: 66] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
The intensity of Plasmodium falciparum transmission has multifarious and sometimes counter-intuitive effects on age-specific rates of severe morbidity and mortality in endemic areas. This has led to conflicting speculations about the likely impact of malaria control interventions. We propose a quantitative framework to reconcile the various apparently contradictory observations relating morbidity and mortality rates to malaria transmission. Our model considers two sub-categories of severe malaria episodes. These comprise episodes with extremely high parasite densities in hosts with little previous exposure, and acute malaria episodes accompanied by co-morbidity or other risk factors enhancing susceptibility. In addition to direct malaria mortality from severe malaria episodes, the model also considers the enhanced risk of indirect mortality following acute episodes accompanied by co-morbidity after the parasites have been cleared. We fit this model to summaries of field data from endemic areas of Africa, and show that it can account for the observed age- and exposure-specific patterns of pediatric severe malaria and malaria-associated mortality in children. This model will allow us to make predictions of the long-term impact of potential malaria interventions. Predictions for children will be more reliable than those for older people because there is a paucity of epidemiologic studies of adults and adolescents.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanda Ross
- Swiss Tropical Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
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Ross A, Smith T. The effect of malaria transmission intensity on neonatal mortality in endemic areas. Am J Trop Med Hyg 2006; 75:74-81. [PMID: 16931818 DOI: 10.4269/ajtmh.2006.75.74] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.1] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/07/2022] Open
Abstract
Estimates of the impact of Plasmodium falciparum infections during pregnancy on neonatal mortality have not taken into account how this varies with the level of malaria endemicity and thus do not indicate the possible effects of malaria control strategies that reduce transmission. We now review the relevant literature, and propose a mathematical model for the association between P. falciparum transmission and neonatal death. The excess risk of neonatal mortality in malaria-endemic areas appears to be insensitive to the intensity of P. falciparum transmission over a wide range of endemicity. Moderate reductions in the overall level of malaria transmission in endemic areas are therefore unlikely to significantly reduce neonatal mortality. The magnitude of the excess risk is very uncertain because existing estimates are heavily dependent on the questionable assumption that the effects are mediated by birth weight. Accurate prediction of the impact of malaria control measures targeted at pregnant women requires direct estimates of malaria-attributable neonatal mortality rates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Amanda Ross
- Swiss Tropical Institute, Basel, Switzerland.
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12
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Abstract
Despite its key role in determining the stability and intensity of malaria transmission, the infectiousness of human populations to mosquitoes has rarely been estimated. Field-based analyses of malaria transmission have frequently relied on the prevalence of asexual parasites or gametocytes as proxies for infectiousness. We now summarize empirical data on human infectiousness from Africa and Papua New Guinea. Over a wide range of transmission intensities there is little relationship between the infectiousness of human populations to vector mosquitoes and mosquito-to-human transmission intensity. We compare these data with the predictions of a stochastic simulation model of Plasmodium falciparum epidemiology. This model predicted little variation in the infectiousness of the human population for entomologic inoculation rates (EIRs) greater than approximately 10 infectious bites per year, demonstrating that the lack of relationship between the EIR and the infectious reservoir can be explained without invoking any effects of acquired transmission-blocking immunity. The near absence of field data from areas with an EIR < 10 per year precluded validation of the model predictions for low EIR values. These results suggest that interventions reducing mosquito-to-human transmission will have little or no effect on human infectiousness at the levels of transmission found in most rural areas of sub-Saharan Africa. Unless very large reductions in transmission can be achieved, measures to prevent mosquito-to-human transmission need to be complemented with interventions that reduce the density or infectiousness of blood stage parasites.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gerry F Killeen
- Ifakara Health Research and Development Center, Ifakara, Tanzania.
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13
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Rowe AK, Rowe SY, Snow RW, Korenromp EL, Schellenberg JRA, Stein C, Nahlen BL, Bryce J, Black RE, Steketee RW. The burden of malaria mortality among African children in the year 2000. Int J Epidemiol 2006; 35:691-704. [PMID: 16507643 PMCID: PMC3672849 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyl027] [Citation(s) in RCA: 167] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/25/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Although malaria is a leading cause of child deaths, few well-documented estimates of its direct and indirect burden exist. Our objective was to estimate the number of deaths directly attributable to malaria among children <5 years old in sub-Saharan Africa for the year 2000. METHODS We divided the population into six sub-populations and, using results of studies identified in a literature review, estimated a malaria mortality rate for each sub-population. Malaria deaths were estimated by multiplying each sub-population by its corresponding rate. Sensitivity analyses were performed to assess the impact of varying key assumptions. RESULTS The literature review identified 31 studies from 14 countries in middle Africa and 17 studies and reports from four countries in southern Africa. In 2000, we estimated that approximately 100 million children lived in areas where malaria transmission occurs and that 803 620 (precision estimate: 705 821-901 418) children died from the direct effects of malaria. For all of sub-Saharan Africa, including populations not exposed to malaria, malaria accounted for 18.0% (precision estimate: 15.8-20.2%) of child deaths. These estimates were sensitive to extreme assumptions about the causes of deaths with no known cause. CONCLUSIONS These estimates, based on the best available data and methods, clearly demonstrate malaria's enormous mortality burden. We emphasize that these estimates are an approximation with many limitations and that the estimates do not account for malaria's large indirect burden. We describe information needs that, if filled, might improve the validity of future estimates.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander K Rowe
- Malaria Branch, Division of Parasitic Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30341-3724, USA.
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14
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE To describe options for analysing deaths with an unknown cause, which often occur in community-based studies that are used to estimate disease-specific mortality burden and trends in low-income countries. METHODS Mathematical formulae were derived that accommodate deaths with an unknown cause for the disease-specific mortality rate, proportion of deaths attributable to the disease and all-cause mortality rate. Seven specific options are presented, including example calculations from a study of childhood malaria mortality in The Gambia. An algorithm is proposed to help make decisions on analysing deaths with an unknown cause. RESULTS In the Gambian study, 25.2% of deaths had an unknown cause. Three options would result in 23.6% (minimum), 48.8% (maximum) and 28.7% (probably the best estimate) of deaths attributed to malaria. The best analysis option depends on the disease of interest: diseases for which the diagnostic method has high sensitivity and specificity (e.g., measles, neonatal tetanus) are best analysed assuming that deaths with an unknown cause never have this cause, while diseases for which specificity and/or sensitivity is low (e.g., malaria) are likely to account for some proportion of deaths with an unknown cause. CONCLUSIONS The most important aspects of analysing deaths with unknown cause are choosing appropriate assumptions, describing them explicitly and performing a sensitivity analysis. Studies of causes of death should report several key pieces of information on deaths with unknown cause to aid interpretation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Alexander K Rowe
- Division of Parasitic Diseases, National Center for Infectious Diseases, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA 30341-3724, USA.
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15
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Abstract
The alarming increase in Plasmodium falciparum resistance to commonly used anti-malarial drugs represents a major public health threat. The impact is however difficult to quantify. In low transmission areas, an increase in acute manifestations ("epidemic") is often quickly apparent and resistance is rapidly propagated due to high drug pressure on existing parasite populations. In high transmission areas, the clinical effects are mainly prolonged/chronic infections with increasing risk of severe anemia. Mortality estimates from public health records in Africa generally suggest significant increases (from 2- to 11-fold) in malaria-associated mortality among children when resistance develops and spreads. Hospital attendances and admissions show similar trends. Change of policy to alternative efficacious treatment with radical cure is necessary at an earlier stage (from 10% treatment failure) than previously assumed in order to prevent deaths in millions of African children. Early switch to artemisinin based combination therapy (ACT) represents such a critical and urgent strategy.
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Affiliation(s)
- Anders Björkman
- Malaria Research Unit (M9:02), Unit of Infectious Diseases, Department of Medicine, Karolinska University Hospital, Solna 17176, Stockholm, Sweden.
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Measurement of trends in childhood malaria mortality in Africa: an assessment of progress toward targets based on verbal autopsy. THE LANCET. INFECTIOUS DISEASES 2003; 3:349-58. [PMID: 12781507 DOI: 10.1016/s1473-3099(03)00657-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 162] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/23/2022]
Abstract
Reduction of deaths associated with malaria in children is a primary goal of malaria control programmes in Africa, but there has been little discussion about how changes in mortality will be measured. This paper assesses recent historical changes in the contribution of malaria to child survival in Africa by examining data from demographic surveillance systems (DSS) in 25 mainly rural settings. The data were adjusted for the varying sensitivity and specificity of verbal autopsies (VA) in different ranges of malaria mortality and for varying parasite prevalences. Average malaria mortality in the DSS sites in west Africa was 7.8 per 1000 child-years between 1982 and 1998; the rate did not change significantly over this period. In the sites in east and southern Africa combined, malaria mortality was 6.5 per 1000 child-years between 1982 and 1989, but it increased to 11.9 per 1000 child-years between 1990 and 1998. All-cause child mortality and non-malaria mortality, by contrast, decreased significantly over time in both regions; consequently, the proportion of deaths due to malaria rose from 18% to 23% in west African sites and from 18% to 37% in east and southern African sites between 1982-89 and 1990-98. If malaria mortality fell at a rate consistent with the Roll Back Malaria target of halving malaria mortality by the year 2010, an individual DSS of a total population of 63 500 could with adequate VA adjustment detect this reduction after 7 years.
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Abstract
During the past few years, there has been a historic series of declarations of renewed commitment to malaria control in Africa. Whether the burden of malaria is increasing in Africa is a moot point. This article attempts to re-construct the evidence for the trends in childhood mortality as a result of Plasmodium falciparum infection over the last century in Africa.
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Affiliation(s)
- R W Snow
- The Wellcome Trust/Kenya Medical Research Institute Collaborative Programme, PO Box 43640, Nairobi, Kenya.
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Abstract
The desirability of controlling malaria transmission in the areas of highest endemicity of Plasmodium falciparum has long been debated. Most recently, it has been claimed that rates of malaria morbidity are no higher in areas of very high transmission in Africa than they are in places with lower inoculation rates. We now review the literature on the relationship of morbidity and mortality to malaria transmission intensity, and have linked published child mortality and malaria transmission rates to examine how age-specific mortality actually varies with the inoculation rate of P. falciparum.
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Affiliation(s)
- T A Smith
- Swiss Tropical Institute, Socinstrasse 57, PO Box CH-4002, Basel, Switzerland.
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Guyatt HL, Snow RW, Evans DB. Malaria epidemiology and economics: the effect of delayed immune acquisition on the cost-effectiveness of insecticide-treated bednets. Philos Trans R Soc Lond B Biol Sci 1999; 354:827-35. [PMID: 10365407 PMCID: PMC1692554 DOI: 10.1098/rstb.1999.0434] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/12/2022] Open
Abstract
An understanding of the epidemiology of a disease is central in evaluating the health impact and cost-effectiveness of control interventions. The epidemiology of life-threatening malaria is receiving renewed interest, with concerns that the implementation of preventive measures such as insecticide-treated bednets (ITNs) while protecting young children might in fact increase the risks of mortality and morbidity in older ages by delaying the acquisition of functional immunity. This paper aims to illustrate how a combined approach of epidemiology and economics can be used to (i) explore the long-term impact of changes in epidemiological profiles, and (ii) identify those variables that are critical in determining whether an intervention will be an efficient use of resources. The key parameters for determining effectiveness are the protective efficacy of ITNs (reduction in all-cause mortality), the malaria attributable mortality and the increased malaria-specific mortality risk due to delays in the acquisition of functional immunity. In particular, the analysis demonstrates that delayed immune acquisition is not a problem per se, but that the critical issue is whether it occurs immediately following the implementation of an ITN programme or whether it builds up slowly over time. In the 'worst case' scenario where ITNs immediately increase malaria-specific mortality due to reduced immunity, the intervention might actually cost lives. In other words, it might be better to not use ITNs. On the other hand, if reduced immunity takes two years to develop, ITNs would still fall into the category of excellent value for money compared to other health interventions, saving a year of life (YLL) at a cost of between US$25-30. These types of calculations are important in identifying the parameters which field researchers should be seeking to measure to address the important question of the net impact of delaying the acquisition of immunity through preventive control measures.
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Affiliation(s)
- H L Guyatt
- Wellcome Trust Centre for the Epidemiology of Infectious Disease, University of Oxford, UK
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Snow RW, Craig MH, Deichmann U, le Sueur D. A preliminary continental risk map for malaria mortality among African children. PARASITOLOGY TODAY (PERSONAL ED.) 1999; 15:99-104. [PMID: 10322322 DOI: 10.1016/s0169-4758(99)01395-2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 95] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/28/2022]
Abstract
Approaches to global public health are increasingly driven by an understanding of regional patterns of disease-specific mortality and disability. Current estimates of disease risks associated with Plasmodium falciparum in sub-Saharan Africa remain poorly defined. Through the integration of high-resolution population and climate probability models of P. falciparum transmission, geographical information systems have been used to define the spatial limits of populations exposed to the risk of infection in Africa. These estimates were combined with a range of annual malaria-specific mortality rates, derived from a variety of epidemiological approaches, among children aged 0-4 years. The best estimates of malaria-attributable mortality using this approach ranged between 0. 43 million and 0.68 million deaths per annum among an exposed population of approximately 66 million children in 1990. Despite the limitations of modelled transmission and population distributions, these empirical approaches to probabilities of infection risk and epidemiological data on mortality provide a novel approach to present and projected burdens of malaria mortality, as discussed here by Bob Snow, Marlies Craig, Uwe Deichmann and Dave le Sueur.
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Affiliation(s)
- R W Snow
- Kenya Medical Research Institute/Wellcome Trust Collaborative Programme, PO Box 43640, Nairobi, Kenya.
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Temu EA, Minjas JN, Coetzee M, Hunt RH, Shift CJ. The role of four anopheline species (Diptera: Culicidae) in malaria transmission in coastal Tanzania. Trans R Soc Trop Med Hyg 1998; 92:152-8. [PMID: 9764318 DOI: 10.1016/s0035-9203(98)90724-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 40] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/21/2022] Open
Abstract
Malaria is holoendemic in coastal Tanzania with Anopheles funestus and members of the A. gambiae complex being mainly responsible for transmission. Over a 4 months' sampling period 2222 anopheline mosquitoes were collected using light-traps and indoor resting catches, of which 58.6% were A. gambiae, 7.6% A. arabiensis, 6.9% A. merus and 26.9% A. funestus. Plasmodium falciparum circumsporozoite antigen (CSA) rates were: A. funestus 6.05% (n = 479), A. gambiae 8.4% (n = 1042), A. arabiensis 7.3% (n = 136) and A. merus 9.8% (n = 122). The P. malariae CSA rate for all anophelines was 0.07% (n = 1862). Estimated sporozoite densities were less than 2000 for at least 50% of all the positive mosquitoes. Along the coast the abundance of A. merus (41.3%) and A. gambiae (46.1%) was similar, and their CSA rates were comparable (11.6% and 12.5%, respectively) and higher than those for A. arabiensis (7.7%) and A. funestus (4.6%). These results indicate that A. merus plays an unexpectedly important role in malaria transmission in coastal Tanzania.
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Affiliation(s)
- E A Temu
- Department of Tropical Diseases, School of Pathology, South African Institute for Medical Research, Johannesburg, South Africa.
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