A community approach to mortality prediction in sepsis via gene expression analysis

A machine learning and centrifugal microfluidics platform for bedside prediction of sepsis

Sepsis is a life-threatening organ dysfunction due to a dysfunctional response to infection. Delays in diagnosis have substantial impact on survival. Herein, blood samples from 586 in-house patients with suspected sepsis are used in conjunction with machine learning and cross-validation to define a six-gene expression signature of immune cell reprogramming, termed Sepset, to predict clinical deterioration within the first 24 h (h) of clinical presentation. Prediction accuracy (~90% in early intensive care unit (ICU) and 70% in emergency room patients) is validated in 3178 patients from existing independent cohorts. A RT-PCR-based Sepset detection test shows a 94% sensitivity in 248 patients to predict worsening of the sequential organ failure assessment scores within the first 24 h. A stand-alone centrifugal microfluidic instrument that automates whole-blood Sepset classifier detection is tested, showing a sensitivity of 92%, and specificity of 89% in identifying the risk of clinical deterioration in patients with suspected sepsis.

Advances in pediatric sepsis biomarkers - what have we learnt so far?

INTRODUCTION

Sepsis is a systemic immune dysregulation syndrome triggered by secondary infection in the host, with diagnosis based on the updated Phoenix criteria and characterized by multi-organ failure as its core pathological manifestation. It is a significant global health challenge due to its increasing incidence and high mortality rates. Recent advancements in biomarker research provide promising tools for improving early diagnosis and timely intervention, essential for better patient outcomes.

AREAS COVERED

This review examines the latest developments in pediatric sepsis biomarkers, categorized by inflammation, metabolism, organ damage, and non-coding RNAs (miRNAs, LncRNAs). We discuss the advancements in each category, highlighting the integration of diverse biomarkers and advanced technologies to enhance diagnostics, personalize therapy, and improve patient stratification.

EXPERT OPINION

Given the limited specificity and sensitivity of current markers like CRP and PCT, multicenter studies are crucial for validating new biomarkers and for developing comprehensive panel markers that combine multiple diagnostic indicators. It is also important to consider the variability in host responses to different pathogens when identifying biomarkers based on host-pathogen interactions. To advance personalized medicine, future research may prioritize the identification of specific diagnostic biomarkers for pediatric sepsis, tailored to different pathogens.

Predicting Nonsense-mediated mRNA Decay from Splicing Events in Sepsis using RNA-Sequencing Data

Alternative splicing (AS) and nonsense-mediated mRNA decay (NMD) are highly conserved cellular mechanisms that modulate gene expression. Here we introduce NMD pipeline that computes how splicing events introduce premature termination codons to mRNA transcripts via frameshift, then predicts the rate of PTC-dependent NMD. We utilize whole blood, deep RNA-sequencing data from critically ill patients to study gene expression in sepsis. Statistical significance was determined as adjusted p value < 0.05 and |log2foldchange| > 2 for differential gene expression and probability >= 0.9 and |DeltaPsi| > 0.1 for AS. NMD pipeline was developed based on AS data from Whippet. We demonstrate that the rate of NMD is higher in sepsis and deceased groups compared to control and survived groups, which signify purposeful downregulation of transcripts by AS-NMD or aberrant splicing due to altered physiology. Predominance of non-exon skipping events was associated with disease and mortality states. The NMD pipeline also revealed proteins with potential novel roles in sepsis. Together, these results emphasize the utility of NMD pipeline in studying AS-NMD along with differential gene expression and discovering potential protein targets in sepsis.

CXCR4+ PD-L1+ neutrophils are increased in non-survived septic mice

The dysregulated host response to infections can lead to sepsis, a complex disease characterized by a spectrum of clinical phenotypes. Using scRNA-seq, we analyzed the immune cell of survived and non-survived CLP-septic mice to gain insights into the immunological mechanisms by which neutrophils contribute to the hyperinflammatory phenotype. Our findings reveal that non-survived mice exhibit increased frequencies of immature CXCR4+ PD-L1+ neutrophils in the bloodstream, accompanied by an accumulation of trafficking-specific CXCR4+ PD-L1+ neutrophils into the lungs. The IFN-gamma and LPS promote the PD-L1 expression on neutrophils and an activation profile associated with inflammation and organ damage. Notably, abrogating the IFN-gamma reduced susceptibility to CLP-sepsis and diminished CXCR4+ PD-L1+ neutrophils frequency. This study provides insights into the immune cell activation profiles associated with the worsening of the CLP-sepsis, and the CXCR4+ PD-L1+ neutrophils population highlighted here represents a promising target for therapeutic modulation in clinical sepsis hyperinflammatory phenotype.

Comprehensive integration of diagnostic biomarker analysis and immune cell infiltration features in sepsis via machine learning and bioinformatics techniques

Introduction

Sepsis, a critical medical condition resulting from an irregular immune response to infection, leads to life-threatening organ dysfunction. Despite medical advancements, the critical need for research into dependable diagnostic markers and precise therapeutic targets.

Methods

We screened out five gene expression datasets (GSE69063, GSE236713, GSE28750, GSE65682 and GSE137340) from the Gene Expression Omnibus. First, we merged the first two datasets. We then identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs), which were subjected to KEGG and GO enrichment analyses. Following this, we integrated the DEGs with the genes from key modules as determined by Weighted Gene Co-expression Network Analysis (WGCNA), identifying 262 overlapping genes. 12 core genes were subsequently selected using three machine-learning algorithms: random forest (RF), Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO), and Support Vector Machine-Recursive Feature Elimination (SVW-RFE). The utilization of the receiver operating characteristic curve in conjunction with the nomogram model served to authenticate the discriminatory strength and efficacy of the key genes. CIBERSORT was utilized to evaluate the inflammatory and immunological condition of sepsis. Astragalus, Salvia, and Safflower are the primary elements of Xuebijing, commonly used in the clinical treatment of sepsis. Using the Traditional Chinese Medicine Systems Pharmacology Database and Analysis Platform (TCMSP), we identified the chemical constituents of these three herbs and their target genes.

Results

We found that CD40LG is not only one of the 12 core genes we identified, but also a common target of the active components quercetin, luteolin, and apigenin in these herbs. We extracted the common chemical structure of these active ingredients -flavonoids. Through docking analysis, we further validated the interaction between flavonoids and CD40LG. Lastly, blood samples were collected from healthy individuals and sepsis patients, with and without the administration of Xuebijing, for the extraction of peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs). By qPCR and WB analysis. We observed significant differences in the expression of CD40LG across the three groups. In this study, we pinpointed candidate hub genes for sepsis and constructed a nomogram for its diagnosis.

Discussion

This research not only provides potential diagnostic evidence for peripheral blood diagnosis of sepsis but also offers insights into the pathogenesis and disease progression of sepsis.

A 29-mRNA host response test to identify bacterial and viral infections and to predict 30-day mortality in emergency department patients with suspected infections: A prospective observational cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The goal of this study is to validate the accuracy of the 29-mRNA host response classifiers Inflammatix Bacterial-Viral-Non infected-3b (IMX-BVN-3b) and Severity-3b (IMX-SEV-3b) to identify bacterial and viral infections and to predict 30-day mortality in patients with suspected infections in the ED.

METHODS

This prospective observational cohort study enrolled patients with suspected infections in a tertiary ED. IMX-BVN-3b was compared to clinically forced and consensus adjudicated bacterial/viral infection status and IMX-SEV-3b was compared to 30-day mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 688 patients were enrolled. Using forced adjudication, the AUC for the diagnosis of bacterial infection by IMX-BVN-3b was 0.76 (95 % CI: 0.72 - 0.80). The AUC for the diagnosis of viral infections was 0.89 (95 %CI 0.84-0.95). IMX-SEV-3b had an AUC of 0.77 (95 % CI: 0.68 - 0.85) on 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSION

The 29-gene host response classifiers IMX-BVN-3b and IMX-SEV-3b identify viral and bacterial infections and predict 30-day mortality in patients with suspected infections in the ED.

Role of plasma and blood-cell co-metagenomic sequencing in precise diagnosis and severity evaluation of sepsis, a prospective cohort study in sepsis patients

PURPOSES

Sepsis caused great clinical burden all over the world. This study clarified the value of plasma metagenomic next-generation sequencing (p-mNGS) and blood cell mNGS (bc-mNGS) in sepsis diagnosis and evaluation.

METHODS

One hundred and fourty-seven blood samples were collected from sepsis patients who met sepsis 3.0 criteria. Blood culture (BC), qPCR, p-mNGS, bc-mNGS and necessary routine assays were conducted. Taking BC and qPCR as reference, diagnosis performance of p-mNGS and bc-mNGS was analyzed. Blood transcriptome was conducted to evaluate the immunological response of patients in groups with different p/bc-mNGS results. Impact of antibiotic use on different methods was also analyzed.

RESULTS

The p-mNGS demonstrated a sensitivity of 100% for bacteria/fungi and 97% for viruses, which was higher than bc-mNGS (88% for bacteria and fungi, 71% for viruses). However, bc-mNGS showed higher concordance with BC results, which indicated that co-mNGS (p-mNGS plus bc-mNGS) protocol increased sensitivity and was helpful to justify viable blood pathogens in sepsis patients. This study showed that p-mNGS(+) & bc-mNGS(+) samples represented more activated immunity response (low expression of interferon-induced genes and high expression of JAK-STAT pathway genes), poorer clinical laboratory indicators (higher Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, higher procalcitonin and higher C-reactive protein) and lower survival rate. This study also proved that the use of broad-spectrum antibiotics affected much less on p/bc-mNGS diagnostic ability than on BC.

CONCLUSIONS

This research highlighted the potential value of plasma and blood-cell co-metagenomic sequencing in precise diagnosis and severity evaluation of sepsis patients, which will benefit the management of sepsis patients.

Exploring Core Genes Associated with Sepsis and Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome Using Single-Cell Sequencing Technology

Purpose

As a crucial aspect of emergency critical medicine, sepsis has been in a difficult stage. As its "preparatory stage", SIRS has attracted the attention of the medical workers all over the world. The frequency of occurrence is on the rise, but there is a lack of certain indicators for the timely detection and recognition of illnesses.

Methods

By virtue of scRNA-seq, this research has analyzed single-cell transcriptome data from samples taken from groups with septic death and systemic inflammatory response syndrome so as to identify the unique markers and patterns in immune response.

Results

By revealing the status of twelve cell clusters of four major cell types in blood samples through UMAP cell clustering and the differences of major cell populations between the dead and SIRS patients, the results have elucidated the components of different cells and their marker genes in two disease states, and the response mechanism beneficial to disease diagnosis in blood samples.

Conclusion

By establishing a theoretical framework centered on cellular and molecular regulation, the study has introduced a novel approach for diagnosing and treating sepsis death group and SIRS patients early, as well as differentiating and preventing these conditions.

FUNCTIONAL IMMUNOPHENOTYPING FOR PRECISION THERAPIES IN SEPSIS

ABSTRACT

Sepsis remains a significant cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Although many more patients are surviving the acute event, a substantial number enters a state of persistent inflammation and immunosuppression, rendering them more vulnerable to infections. Modulating the host immune response has been a focus of sepsis research for the past 50 years, yet novel therapies have been few and far between. Although many septic patients have similar clinical phenotypes, pathways affected by the septic event differ not only between individuals but also within an individual over the course of illness. These differences ultimately impact overall immune function and response to treatment. Defining the immune state, or endotype, of an individual is critical to understanding which patients will respond to a particular therapy. In this review, we highlight current approaches to define the immune endotype and propose that these technologies may be used to "prescreen" individuals to determine which therapies are most likely to be beneficial.

Recent advances of precision immunotherapy in sepsis

Precision immunotherapy signifies the administration of the required type of immune intervention tailored to the state of immune activation at the appropriate time window. The classification of patients into the different states of immune activation is usually done by either a protein blood biomarker or a molecular blood endotype that is diagnostic of the precise immune state. Evidence coming from trials of the last decade suggests that immune interventions should be split into strategies aiming to attenuate the exaggerated immune responses, restore sepsis-induced immunoparalysis (SII) and restore the vascular tone. Suggested strategies to attenuate the immune responses are anakinra, nangibotide and tocilizumab. Biomarkers that guide their use are ferritin, soluble triggering receptor expressed on myeloid cells-1 and C-reactive protein. Suggested strategies to restore SII are nivolumab, recombinant human interferon-gamma, CYT107, granulocyte macrophage colony stimulating factor and IgM-enriched immunoglobulin prepapations. Biomarkers that guide their use are the expression of the human leukocyte antigen DR on blood monocytes, the absolute lymphocyte count and blood levels of immunoglobulin M. One recently suggested strategy to restore vascular tone is adrecizumab, the use of which is guided by blood levels of bio-adrenomedulin. The use of these precision treatment strategies is still hampered by the need for large-scale randomized controlled trials.

Harnessing artificial intelligence in sepsis care: advances in early detection, personalized treatment, and real-time monitoring

Sepsis remains a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide due to its rapid progression and heterogeneous nature. This review explores the potential of Artificial Intelligence (AI) to transform sepsis management, from early detection to personalized treatment and real-time monitoring. AI, particularly through machine learning (ML) techniques such as random forest models and deep learning algorithms, has shown promise in analyzing electronic health record (EHR) data to identify patterns that enable early sepsis detection. For instance, random forest models have demonstrated high accuracy in predicting sepsis onset in intensive care unit (ICU) patients, while deep learning approaches have been applied to recognize complications such as sepsis-associated acute respiratory distress syndrome (ARDS). Personalized treatment plans developed through AI algorithms predict patient-specific responses to therapies, optimizing therapeutic efficacy and minimizing adverse effects. AI-driven continuous monitoring systems, including wearable devices, provide real-time predictions of sepsis-related complications, enabling timely interventions. Beyond these advancements, AI enhances diagnostic accuracy, predicts long-term outcomes, and supports dynamic risk assessment in clinical settings. However, ethical challenges, including data privacy concerns and algorithmic biases, must be addressed to ensure fair and effective implementation. The significance of this review lies in addressing the current limitations in sepsis management and highlighting how AI can overcome these hurdles. By leveraging AI, healthcare providers can significantly enhance diagnostic accuracy, optimize treatment protocols, and improve overall patient outcomes. Future research should focus on refining AI algorithms with diverse datasets, integrating emerging technologies, and fostering interdisciplinary collaboration to address these challenges and realize AI's transformative potential in sepsis care.

Whole blood ratio of CDK1/CX3CR1 mRNA expression combined to lactate refines the prediction of ICU mortality in septic patients in the Sepsis-3 era: a proof-of-concept study

Background

Transcriptomics biomarkers have been widely used to predict mortality in patients with sepsis. However, the association between mRNA levels and outcomes shows substantial variability over the course of sepsis, limiting their predictive performance. We aimed to: (a) identify and validate an mRNA biomarker signature whose association with all-cause intensive care unit (ICU) mortality is consistent at several timepoints; and (b) evaluate how this mRNA signature could be used in association with lactate levels for predictive and prognostic enrichment in sepsis.

Methods

We conducted a gene expression analysis study at two timepoints (day 1 and day 2-3 following ICU admission) using microarray data from adult septic patients to identify candidate biomarkers predictive of all-cause ICU mortality. We validated mRNA biomarkers using reverse transcriptase quantitative polymerase chain reaction (RT-qPCR) on an external validation cohort. The predictive performance of the mRNA biomarkers combination was assessed in association with lactate level to refine ICU mortality prediction.

Main results

Among 180 chips from 100 septic patients, we identified 39 upregulated and 2 downregulated differentially expressed genes (DEGs) in survivors vs. non-survivors, both at day 1 and days 2-3 following ICU admission. We combined CDK1, the hub gene of upregulated DEGs, and CX3CR1 and IL1b to compute expression ratios. The CDK1/CX3CR1 ratio had the best performance to predict all-cause ICU mortality, with an area under the ROC curve (AUROC) of 0.77 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.88-0.66) at day 1 and of 0.82 (95% CI 0.91-0.72) at days 2-3 after ICU admission. This performance was better than that of each individual mRNA biomarker. In the external validation cohort, the predictive performance of the CDK1/CX3CR1 ratio, measured using RT-qPCR, was similar to that of lactate when measure at day 1, and higher when measured at days 2-3. Combining lactate levels and the CDK1/CX3CR1 ratio, we identify 3 groups of patients with an increasing risk of ICU-mortality, ranging from 9 to 60% with an intermediate-risk group mortality rate of 28%.

Conclusion

With stable predictive performance over the first 3 days following ICU admission, the CDK1/CX3CR1 ratio identifies three groups of septic patients with increasing ICU mortality risk. In combination with lactate, this novel biomarker strategy may be useful for sepsis patient stratification for personalized medicine trials and ICU management.

International multi-cohort analysis identifies novel framework for quantifying immune dysregulation in critical illness: results of the SUBSPACE consortium

Progress in the management of critical care syndromes such as sepsis, Acute Respiratory Distress Syndrome (ARDS), and trauma has slowed over the last two decades, limited by the inherent heterogeneity within syndromic illnesses. Numerous immune endotypes have been proposed in sepsis and critical care, however the overlap of the endotypes is unclear, limiting clinical translation. The SUBSPACE consortium is an international consortium that aims to advance precision medicine through the sharing of transcriptomic data. By evaluating the overlap of existing immune endotypes in sepsis across over 6,000 samples, we developed cell-type specific signatures to quantify dysregulation in these immune compartments. Myeloid and lymphoid dysregulation were associated with disease severity and mortality across all cohorts. This dysregulation was not only observed in sepsis but also in ARDS, trauma, and burn patients, indicating a conserved mechanism across various critical illness syndromes. Moreover, analysis of randomized controlled trial data revealed that myeloid and lymphoid dysregulation is linked to differential mortality in patients treated with anakinra or corticosteroids, underscoring its prognostic and therapeutic significance. In conclusion, this novel immunology-based framework for quantifying cellular compartment dysregulation offers a valuable tool for prognosis and therapeutic decision-making in critical illness.

Identifying septic shock subgroups to tailor fluid strategies through multi-omics integration

Fluid management remains a critical challenge in the treatment of septic shock, with individualized approaches lacking. This study aims to develop a statistical model based on transcriptomics to identify subgroups of septic shock patients with varied responses to fluid strategy. The study encompasses 494 septic shock patients. A benefit score is derived from the transcriptome space, with higher values indicating greater benefits from restrictive fluid strategy. Adherence to the recommended strategy is associated with a hazard ratio of 0.82 (95% confidence interval: 0.64-0.92). When applied to the baseline hospital mortality rate of 16%, adherence to the recommended fluid strategy could potentially lower this rate to 13%. A proteomic signature comprising six proteins is developed to predict the benefit score, yielding an area under the curve of 0.802 (95% confidence interval: 0.752-0.846) in classifying patients who may benefit from a restrictive strategy. In this work, we develop a proteomic signature with potential utility in guiding fluid strategy for septic shock patients.

Risk assessment with gene expression markers in sepsis development

Infection is a commonplace, usually self-limiting, condition but can lead to sepsis, a severe life-threatening dysregulated host response. We investigate the individual phenotypic predisposition to developing uncomplicated infection or sepsis in a large cohort of non-infected patients undergoing major elective surgery. Whole-blood RNA sequencing analysis was performed on preoperative samples from 267 patients. These patients developed postoperative infection with (n = 77) or without (n = 49) sepsis, developed non-infectious systemic inflammatory response (n = 31), or had an uncomplicated postoperative course (n = 110). Machine learning classification models built on preoperative transcriptomic signatures predict postoperative outcomes including sepsis with an area under the curve of up to 0.910 (mean 0.855) and sensitivity/specificity up to 0.767/0.804 (mean 0.746/0.769). Our models, confirmed by quantitative reverse-transcription PCR (RT-qPCR), potentially offer a risk prediction tool for the development of postoperative sepsis with implications for patient management. They identify an individual predisposition to developing sepsis that warrants further exploration to better understand the underlying pathophysiology.

Identification and transcriptomic assessment of latent profile pediatric septic shock phenotypes

BACKGROUND

Sepsis poses a grave threat, especially among children, but treatments are limited owing to heterogeneity among patients. We sought to test the clinical and biological relevance of pediatric septic shock subclasses identified using reproducible approaches.

METHODS

We performed latent profile analyses using clinical, laboratory, and biomarker data from a prospective multi-center pediatric septic shock observational cohort to derive phenotypes and trained a support vector machine model to assign phenotypes in an internal validation set. We established the clinical relevance of phenotypes and tested for their interaction with common sepsis treatments on patient outcomes. We conducted transcriptomic analyses to delineate phenotype-specific biology and inferred underlying cell subpopulations. Finally, we compared whether latent profile phenotypes overlapped with established gene-expression endotypes and compared survival among patients based on an integrated subclassification scheme.

RESULTS

Among 1071 pediatric septic shock patients requiring vasoactive support on day 1 included, we identified two phenotypes which we designated as Phenotype 1 (19.5%) and Phenotype 2 (80.5%). Membership in Phenotype 1 was associated with ~ fourfold adjusted odds of complicated course relative to Phenotype 2. Patients belonging to Phenotype 1 were characterized by relatively higher Angiopoietin-2/Tie-2 ratio, Angiopoietin-2, soluble thrombomodulin (sTM), interleukin 8 (IL-8), and intercellular adhesion molecule 1 (ICAM-1) and lower Tie-2 and Angiopoietin-1 concentrations compared to Phenotype 2. We did not identify significant interactions between phenotypes, common treatments, and clinical outcomes. Transcriptomic analysis revealed overexpression of genes implicated in the innate immune response and driven primarily by developing neutrophils among patients designated as Phenotype 1. There was no statistically significant overlap between established gene-expression endotypes, reflective of the host adaptive response, and the newly derived phenotypes, reflective of the host innate response including microvascular endothelial dysfunction. However, an integrated subclassification scheme demonstrated varying survival probabilities when comparing patient endophenotypes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our research underscores the reproducibility of latent profile analyses to identify pediatric septic shock phenotypes with high prognostic relevance. Pending validation, an integrated subclassification scheme, reflective of the different facets of the host response, holds promise to inform targeted intervention among those critically ill.

Enhancing sepsis biomarker development: key considerations from public and private perspectives

Implementation of biomarkers in sepsis and septic shock in emergency situations, remains highly challenging. This viewpoint arose from a public-private 3-day workshop aiming to facilitate the transition of sepsis biomarkers into clinical practice. The authors consist of international academic researchers and clinician-scientists and industry experts who gathered (i) to identify current obstacles impeding biomarker research in sepsis, (ii) to outline the important milestones of the critical path of biomarker development and (iii) to discuss novel avenues in biomarker discovery and implementation. To define more appropriately the potential place of biomarkers in sepsis, a better understanding of sepsis pathophysiology is mandatory, in particular the sepsis patient's trajectory from the early inflammatory onset to the late persisting immunosuppression phase. This time-varying host response urges to develop time-resolved test to characterize persistence of immunological dysfunctions. Furthermore, age-related difference has to be considered between adult and paediatric septic patients. In this context, numerous barriers to biomarker adoption in practice, such as lack of consensus about diagnostic performances, the absence of strict recommendations for sepsis biomarker development, cost and resources implications, methodological validation challenges or limited awareness and education have been identified. Biomarker-guided interventions for sepsis to identify patients that would benefit more from therapy, such as sTREM-1-guided Nangibotide treatment or Adrenomedullin-guided Enibarcimab treatment, appear promising but require further evaluation. Artificial intelligence also has great potential in the sepsis biomarker discovery field through capability to analyse high volume complex data and identify complex multiparametric patient endotypes or trajectories. To conclude, biomarker development in sepsis requires (i) a comprehensive and multidisciplinary approach employing the most advanced analytical tools, (ii) the creation of a platform that collaboratively merges scientific and commercial needs and (iii) the support of an expedited regulatory approval process.

A 29-mRNA host-response classifier identifies bacterial infections following liver transplantation - a pilot study

PURPOSE

Infections are common complications in patients following liver transplantation (LTX). The early diagnosis and prognosis of these infections is an unmet medical need even when using routine biomarkers such as C-reactive protein (CRP) and procalcitonin (PCT). Therefore, new approaches are necessary.

METHODS

In a prospective, observational pilot study, we monitored 30 consecutive patients daily between days 0 and 13 following LTX using the 29-mRNA host classifier IMX-BVN-3b that determine the likelihood of bacterial infections and viral infections. True infection status was determined using clinical adjudication. Results were compared to the accuracy of CRP and PCT for patients with and without bacterial infection due to clinical adjudication.

RESULTS

Clinical adjudication confirmed bacterial infections in 10 and fungal infections in 2 patients. 20 patients stayed non-infected until day 13 post-LTX. IMX-BVN-3b bacterial scores were increased directly following LTX and decreased until day four in all patients. Bacterial IMX-BVN-3b scores detected bacterial infections in 9 out of 10 patients. PCT concentrations did not differ between patients with or without bacterial, whereas CRP was elevated in all patients with significantly higher levels in patients with bacterial infections.

CONCLUSION

The 29-mRNA host classifier IMX-BVN-3b identified bacterial infections in post-LTX patients and did so earlier than routine biomarkers. While our pilot study holds promise future studies will determine whether these classifiers may help to identify post-LTX infections earlier and improve patient management.

CLINICAL TRIAL NOTATION

German Clinical Trials Register: DRKS00023236, Registered 07 October 2020, https://drks.de/search/en/trial/DRKS00023236.

Dysregulated STAT3 signaling and T cell immunometabolic dysfunction define a targetable, high mortality subphenotype of critically ill children

Sepsis is the leading cause of death of hospitalized children worldwide. Despite the established link between immune dysregulation and mortality in pediatric sepsis, it remains unclear which host immune factors contribute causally to adverse sepsis outcomes. Identifying modifiable pathobiology is an essential first step to successful translation of biologic insights into precision therapeutics. We designed a prospective, longitudinal cohort study of 88 critically ill pediatric patients with multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS), including patients with and without sepsis, to define subphenotypes associated with targetable mechanisms of immune dysregulation. We first assessed plasma proteomic profiles and identified shared features of immune dysregulation in MODS patients with and without sepsis. We then employed consensus clustering to define three subphenotypes based on protein expression at disease onset and identified a strong association between subphenotype and clinical outcome. We next identified differences in immune cell frequency and activation state by MODS subphenotype and determined the association between hyperinflammatory pathway activation and cellular immunophenotype. Using single cell transcriptomics, we demonstrated STAT3 hyperactivation in lymphocytes from the sickest MODS subgroup and then identified an association between STAT3 hyperactivation and T cell immunometabolic dysregulation. Finally, we compared proteomics findings between patients with MODS and patients with inborn errors of immunity that amplify cytokine signaling pathways to further assess the impact of STAT3 hyperactivation in the most severe patients with MODS. Overall, these results identify a potentially pathologic and targetable role for STAT3 hyperactivation in a subset of pediatric patients with MODS who have high severity of illness and poor prognosis.

Use of Immune Profiling Panel to assess the immune response of septic patients for prediction of worsening as a composite endpoint

Sepsis induces intense, dynamic and heterogeneous host response modulations. Despite improvement of patient management, the risk of mortality and healthcare-associated infections remains high. Treatments to counterbalance immune response are under evaluation, but effective biomarkers are still lacking to perform patient stratification. The design of the present study was defined to alleviate the limitations of existing literature: we selected patients who survived the initial hyperinflammatory response and are still hospitalized at day 5-7 after ICU admission. Using the Immune Profiling Panel (IPP), a fully automated RT-qPCR multiplex prototype, we optimized a machine learning model combining the IPP gene expression levels for the identification of patients at high risk of worsening, a composite endpoint defined as death or secondary infection, within one week after sampling. This was done on 332 sepsis patients selected from two retrospective studies. The IPP model identified a high-risk group comprising 30% of patients, with a significant increased proportion of worsening events at day 28 compared to the low-risk group (49% vs. 28%, respectively). These preliminary results underline the potential clinical application of IPP for sepsis patient stratification in a personalized medicine perspective, that will be confirmed in a larger prospective multicenter study.

Identification of sepsis-associated mitochondrial genes through RNA and single-cell sequencing approaches

BACKGROUND

Sepsis ranks among the most formidable clinical challenges, characterized by exorbitant treatment costs and substantial demands on healthcare resources. Mitochondrial dysfunction emerges as a pivotal risk factor in the pathogenesis of sepsis, underscoring the imperative to identify mitochondrial-related biomarkers. Such biomarkers are crucial for enhancing the accuracy of sepsis diagnostics and prognostication.

METHODS

In this study, adhering to the SEPSIS 3.0 criteria, we collected peripheral blood within 24 h of admission from 20 sepsis patients at the ICU of the Southwest Medical University Affiliated Hospital and 10 healthy volunteers as a control group for RNA-seq. The RNA-seq data were utilized to identify differentially expressed RNAs. Concurrently, mitochondrial-associated genes (MiAGs) were retrieved from the MitoCarta3.0 database. The differentially expressed genes were intersected with MiAGs. The intersected genes were then subjected to GO (Gene Ontology), and KEGG (Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes) analyses and core genes were filtered using the PPI (Protein-Protein Interaction) network. Subsequently, relevant sepsis datasets (GSE65682, GSE28750, GSE54514, GSE67652, GSE69528, GSE95233) were downloaded from the GEO (Gene Expression Omnibus) database to perform bioinformatic validation of these core genes. Survival analysis was conducted to assess the prognostic value of the core genes, while ROC (Receiver Operating Characteristic) curves determined their diagnostic value, and a meta-analysis confirmed the accuracy of the RNA-seq data. Finally, we collected 5 blood samples (2 normal controls (NC); 2 sepsis; 1 SIRS (Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome), and used single-cell sequencing to assess the expression levels of the core genes in the different blood cell types.

RESULTS

Integrating high-throughput sequencing with bioinformatics, this study identified two mitochondrial genes (COX7B, NDUFA4) closely linked with sepsis prognosis. Survival analysis demonstrated that patients with lower expression levels of COX7B and NDUFA4 exhibited a higher day survival rate over 28 days, inversely correlating with sepsis mortality. ROC curves highlighted the significant sensitivity and specificity of both genes, with AUC values of 0.985 for COX7B and 0.988 for NDUFA4, respectively. Meta-analysis indicated significant overexpression of COX7B and NDUFA4 in the sepsis group in contrast to the normal group (P < 0.01). Additionally, single-cell RNA sequencing revealed predominant expression of these core genes in monocytes-macrophages, T cells, and B cells.

CONCLUSION

The mitochondrial-associated genes (MiAGs) COX7B and NDUFA4 are intimately linked with the prognosis of sepsis, offering potential guidance for research into the mechanisms underlying sepsis.

Host gene expression signatures to identify infection type and organ dysfunction in children evaluated for sepsis: a multicentre cohort study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is defined as dysregulated host response to infection that leads to life-threatening organ dysfunction. Biomarkers characterising the dysregulated host response in sepsis are lacking. We aimed to develop host gene expression signatures to predict organ dysfunction in children with bacterial or viral infection.

METHODS

This cohort study was done in emergency departments and intensive care units of four hospitals in Queensland, Australia, and recruited children aged 1 month to 17 years who, upon admission, underwent a diagnostic test, including blood cultures, for suspected sepsis. Whole-blood RNA sequencing of blood was performed with Illumina NovaSeq (San Diego, CA, USA). Samples with completed phenotyping, monitoring, and RNA extraction by March 31, 2020, were included in the discovery cohort; samples collected or completed thereafter and by Oct 27, 2021, constituted the Rapid Paediatric Infection Diagnosis in Sepsis (RAPIDS) internal validation cohort. An external validation cohort was assembled from RNA sequencing gene expression count data from the observational European Childhood Life-threatening Infectious Disease Study (EUCLIDS), which recruited children with severe infection in nine European countries between 2012 and 2016. Feature selection approaches were applied to derive novel gene signatures for disease class (bacterial vs viral infection) and disease severity (presence vs absence of organ dysfunction 24 h post-sampling). The primary endpoint was the presence of organ dysfunction 24 h after blood sampling in the presence of confirmed bacterial versus viral infection. Gene signature performance is reported as area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUCs) and 95% CI.

FINDINGS

Between Sept 25, 2017, and Oct 27, 2021, 907 patients were enrolled. Blood samples from 595 patients were included in the discovery cohort, and samples from 312 children were included in the RAPIDS validation cohort. We derived a ten-gene disease class signature that achieved an AUC of 94·1% (95% CI 90·6-97·7) in distinguishing bacterial from viral infections in the RAPIDS validation cohort. A ten-gene disease severity signature achieved an AUC of 82·2% (95% CI 76·3-88·1) in predicting organ dysfunction within 24 h of sampling in the RAPIDS validation cohort. Used in tandem, the disease class and disease severity signatures predicted organ dysfunction within 24 h of sampling with an AUC of 90·5% (95% CI 83·3-97·6) for patients with predicted bacterial infection and 94·7% (87·8-100·0) for patients with predicted viral infection. In the external EUCLIDS validation dataset (n=362), the disease class and disease severity predicted organ dysfunction at time of sampling with an AUC of 70·1% (95% CI 44·1-96·2) for patients with predicted bacterial infection and 69·6% (53·1-86·0) for patients with predicted viral infection.

INTERPRETATION

In children evaluated for sepsis, novel host transcriptomic signatures specific for bacterial and viral infection can identify dysregulated host response leading to organ dysfunction.

FUNDING

Australian Government Medical Research Future Fund Genomic Health Futures Mission, Children's Hospital Foundation Queensland, Brisbane Diamantina Health Partners, Emergency Medicine Foundation, Gold Coast Hospital Foundation, Far North Queensland Foundation, Townsville Hospital and Health Services SERTA Grant, and Australian Infectious Diseases Research Centre.

Profiling the dysregulated immune response in sepsis: overcoming challenges to achieve the goal of precision medicine

Sepsis is characterised by a dysregulated host immune response to infection. Despite recognition of its significance, immune status monitoring is not implemented in clinical practice due in part to the current absence of direct therapeutic implications. Technological advances in immunological profiling could enhance our understanding of immune dysregulation and facilitate integration into clinical practice. In this Review, we provide an overview of the current state of immune profiling in sepsis, including its use, current challenges, and opportunities for progress. We highlight the important role of immunological biomarkers in facilitating predictive enrichment in current and future treatment scenarios. We propose that multiple immune and non-immune-related parameters, including clinical and microbiological data, be integrated into diagnostic and predictive combitypes, with the aid of machine learning and artificial intelligence techniques. These combitypes could form the basis of workable algorithms to guide clinical decisions that make precision medicine in sepsis a reality and improve patient outcomes.

Reframing sepsis immunobiology for translation: towards informative subtyping and targeted immunomodulatory therapies

Sepsis is a common and deadly condition. Within the current model of sepsis immunobiology, the framing of dysregulated host immune responses into proinflammatory and immunosuppressive responses for the testing of novel treatments has not resulted in successful immunomodulatory therapies. Thus, the recent focus has been to parse observable heterogeneity into subtypes of sepsis to enable personalised immunomodulation. In this Personal View, we highlight that many fundamental immunological concepts such as resistance, disease tolerance, resilience, resolution, and repair are not incorporated into the current sepsis immunobiology model. The focus for addressing heterogeneity in sepsis should be broadened beyond subtyping to encompass the identification of deterministic molecular networks or dominant mechanisms. We explicitly reframe the dysregulated host immune responses in sepsis as altered homoeostasis with pathological disruption of immune-driven resistance, disease tolerance, resilience, and resolution mechanisms. Our proposal highlights opportunities to identify novel treatment targets and could enable successful immunomodulation in the future.

Epigenetic and transcriptional responses in circulating leukocytes are associated with future decompensation during SARS-CoV-2 infection

To elucidate host response elements that define impending decompensation during SARS-CoV-2 infection, we enrolled subjects hospitalized with COVID-19 who were matched for disease severity and comorbidities at the time of admission. We performed combined single-cell RNA sequencing (scRNA-seq) and single-cell assay for transposase-accessible chromatin using sequencing (scATAC-seq) on peripheral blood mononuclear cells (PBMCs) at admission and compared subjects who improved from their moderate disease with those who later clinically decompensated and required invasive mechanical ventilation or died. Chromatin accessibility and transcriptomic immune profiles were markedly altered between the two groups, with strong signals in CD4+ T cells, inflammatory T cells, dendritic cells, and NK cells. Multiomic signature scores at admission were tightly associated with future clinical deterioration (auROC 1.0). Epigenetic and transcriptional changes in PBMCs reveal early, broad immune dysregulation before typical clinical signs of decompensation are apparent and thus may act as biomarkers to predict future severity in COVID-19.

Machine learning-driven identification of the gene-expression signature associated with a persistent multiple organ dysfunction trajectory in critical illness

BACKGROUND

Multiple organ dysfunction syndrome (MODS) disproportionately drives morbidity and mortality among critically ill patients. However, we lack a comprehensive understanding of its pathobiology. Identification of genes associated with a persistent MODS trajectory may shed light on underlying biology and allow for accurate prediction of those at-risk.

METHODS

Secondary analyses of publicly available gene-expression datasets. Supervised machine learning (ML) was used to identify a parsimonious set of genes associated with a persistent MODS trajectory in a training set of pediatric septic shock. We optimized model parameters and tested risk-prediction capabilities in independent validation and test datasets, respectively. We compared model performance relative to an established gene-set predictive of sepsis mortality.

FINDINGS

Patients with a persistent MODS trajectory had 568 differentially expressed genes and characterized by a dysregulated innate immune response. Supervised ML identified 111 genes associated with the outcome of interest on repeated cross-validation, with an AUROC of 0.87 (95% CI: 0.85-0.88) in the training set. The optimized model, limited to 20 genes, achieved AUROCs ranging from 0.74 to 0.79 in the validation and test sets to predict those with persistent MODS, regardless of host age and cause of organ dysfunction. Our classifier demonstrated reproducibility in identifying those with persistent MODS in comparison with a published gene-set predictive of sepsis mortality.

INTERPRETATION

We demonstrate the utility of supervised ML driven identification of the genes associated with persistent MODS. Pending validation in enriched cohorts with a high burden of organ dysfunction, such an approach may inform targeted delivery of interventions among at-risk patients.

FUNDING

H.R.W.'s NIHR35GM126943 award supported the work detailed in this manuscript. Upon his death, the award was transferred to M.N.A. M.R.A., N.S.P, and R.K were supported by NIHR21GM151703. R.K. was supported by R01GM139967.

Derivation, validation, and transcriptomic assessment of pediatric septic shock phenotypes identified through latent profile analyses: Results from a prospective multi-center observational cohort

Background

Sepsis poses a grave threat, especially among children, but treatments are limited due to clinical and biological heterogeneity among patients. Thus, there is an urgent need for precise subclassification of patients to guide therapeutic interventions.

Methods

We used clinical, laboratory, and biomarker data from a prospective multi-center pediatric septic shock cohort to derive phenotypes using latent profile analyses. Thereafter, we trained a support vector machine model to assign phenotypes in a hold-out validation set. We tested interactions between phenotypes and common sepsis therapies on clinical outcomes and conducted transcriptomic analyses to better understand the phenotype-specific biology. Finally, we compared whether newly identified phenotypes overlapped with established gene-expression endotypes and tested the utility of an integrated subclassification scheme.

Findings

Among 1,071 patients included, we identified two phenotypes which we named 'inflamed' (19.5%) and an 'uninflamed' phenotype (80.5%). The 'inflamed' phenotype had an over 4-fold risk of 28-day mortality relative to those 'uninflamed'. Transcriptomic analysis revealed overexpression of genes implicated in the innate immune response and suggested an overabundance of developing neutrophils, pro-T/NK cells, and NK cells among those 'inflamed'. There was no significant overlap between endotypes and phenotypes. However, an integrated subclassification scheme demonstrated varying survival probabilities when comparing endophenotypes.

Interpretation

Our research underscores the reproducibility of latent profile analyses to identify clinical and biologically informative pediatric septic shock phenotypes with high prognostic relevance. Pending validation, an integrated subclassification scheme, reflective of the different facets of the host response, holds promise to inform targeted intervention among those critically ill.

Effects of Mitochondrial Transplantation on Transcriptomics in a Polymicrobial Sepsis Model

Previously, we demonstrated that mitochondrial transplantation has beneficial effects in a polymicrobial sepsis model. However, the mechanism has not been fully investigated. Mitochondria have their own genes, and genomic changes in sepsis are an important issue in terms of pathophysiology, biomarkers, and therapeutic targets. To investigate the changes in transcriptomic features after mitochondrial transplantation in a polymicrobial sepsis model, we used a rat model of fecal slurry polymicrobial sepsis. Total RNA from splenocytes of sham-operated (SHAM, n = 10), sepsis-induced (SEPSIS, n = 7), and sepsis receiving mitochondrial transplantation (SEPSIS + MT, n = 8) samples was extracted and we conducted a comparative transcriptome-wide analysis between three groups. We also confirmed these results with qPCR. In terms of percentage of mitochondrial mapped reads, the SEPSIS + MT group had a significantly higher mapping ratio than the others. RT1-M2 and Cbln2 were identified as highly expressed in SEPSIS + MT compared with SEPSIS. Using SHAM expression levels as another control variable, we further identified six genes (Fxyd4, Apex2l1, Kctd4, 7SK, SNORD94, and SNORA53) that were highly expressed after sepsis induction and observed that their expression levels were attenuated by mitochondrial transplantation. Changes in transcriptomic features were identified after mitochondrial transplantation in sepsis. This might provide a hint for exploring the mechanism of mitochondrial transplantation in sepsis.

Leveraging Data Science and Novel Technologies to Develop and Implement Precision Medicine Strategies in Critical Care

Precision medicine aims to identify treatments that are most likely to result in favorable outcomes for subgroups of patients with similar clinical and biological characteristics. The gaps for the development and implementation of precision medicine strategies in the critical care setting are many, but the advent of data science and multi-omics approaches, combined with the rich data ecosystem in the intensive care unit, offer unprecedented opportunities to realize the promise of precision critical care. In this article, the authors review the data-driven and technology-based approaches being leveraged to discover and implement precision medicine strategies in the critical care setting.

Predicting sepsis using a combination of clinical information and molecular immune markers sampled in the ambulance

Sepsis is a time dependent condition. Screening tools based on clinical parameters have been shown to increase the identification of sepsis. The aim of current study was to evaluate the additional predictive value of immunological molecular markers to our previously developed prehospital screening tools. This is a prospective cohort study of 551 adult patients with suspected infection in the ambulance setting of Stockholm, Sweden between 2017 and 2018. Initially, 74 molecules and 15 genes related to inflammation were evaluated in a screening cohort of 46 patients with outcome sepsis and 50 patients with outcome infection no sepsis. Next, 12 selected molecules, as potentially synergistic predictors, were evaluated in combination with our previously developed screening tools based on clinical parameters in a prediction cohort (n = 455). Seven different algorithms with nested cross-validation were used in the machine learning of the prediction models. Model performances were compared using posterior distributions of average area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC) and difference in AUCs. Model variable importance was assessed by permutation of variable values, scoring loss of classification as metric and with model-specific weights when applicable. When comparing the screening tools with and without added molecular variables, and their interactions, the molecules per se did not increase the predictive values. Prediction models based on the molecular variables alone showed a performance in terms of AUCs between 0.65 and 0.70. Among the molecular variables, IL-1Ra, IL-17A, CCL19, CX3CL1 and TNF were significantly higher in septic patients compared to the infection non-sepsis group. Combing immunological molecular markers with clinical parameters did not increase the predictive values of the screening tools, most likely due to the high multicollinearity of temperature and some of the markers. A group of sepsis patients was consistently miss-classified in our prediction models, due to milder symptoms as well as lower expression levels of the investigated immune mediators. This indicates a need of stratifying septic patients with a priori knowledge of certain clinical and molecular parameters in order to improve prediction for early sepsis diagnosis.Trial registration: NCT03249597. Registered 15 August 2017.

A hypoxia- and lactate metabolism-related gene signature to predict prognosis of sepsis: discovery and validation in independent cohorts

BACKGROUND

High throughput gene expression profiling is a valuable tool in providing insight into the molecular mechanism of human diseases. Hypoxia- and lactate metabolism-related genes (HLMRGs) are fundamentally dysregulated in sepsis and have great predictive potential. Therefore, we attempted to build an HLMRG signature to predict the prognosis of patients with sepsis.

METHODS

Three publicly available transcriptomic profiles of peripheral blood mononuclear cells from patients with sepsis (GSE65682, E-MTAB-4421 and E-MTAB-4451, total n = 850) were included in this study. An HLMRG signature was created by employing Cox regression and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator estimation. The CIBERSORT method was used to analyze the abundances of 22 immune cell subtypes based on transcriptomic data. Metascape was used to investigate pathways related to the HLMRG signature.

RESULTS

We developed a prognostic signature based on five HLMRGs (ERO1L, SIAH2, TGFA, TGFBI, and THBS1). This classifier successfully discriminated patients with disparate 28-day mortality in the discovery cohort (GSE65682, n = 479), and consistent results were observed in the validation cohort (E-MTAB-4421 plus E-MTAB-4451, n = 371). Estimation of immune infiltration revealed significant associations between the risk score and a subset of immune cells. Enrichment analysis revealed that pathways related to antimicrobial immune responses, leukocyte activation, and cell adhesion and migration were significantly associated with the HLMRG signature.

CONCLUSIONS

Identification of a prognostic signature suggests the critical role of hypoxia and lactate metabolism in the pathophysiology of sepsis. The HLMRG signature can be used as an efficient tool for the risk stratification of patients with sepsis.

A machine learning classifier using 33 host immune response mRNAs accurately distinguishes viral and non-viral acute respiratory illnesses in nasal swab samples

BACKGROUND

Viral acute respiratory illnesses (viral ARIs) contribute significantly to human morbidity and mortality worldwide, but their successful treatment requires timely diagnosis of viral etiology, which is complicated by overlap in clinical presentation with the non-viral ARIs. Multiple pandemics in the twenty-first century to date have further highlighted the unmet need for effective monitoring of clinically relevant emerging viruses. Recent studies have identified conserved host response to viral infections in the blood.

METHODS

We hypothesize that a similarly conserved host response in nasal samples can be utilized for diagnosis and to rule out viral infection in symptomatic patients when current diagnostic tests are negative. Using a multi-cohort analysis framework, we analyzed 1555 nasal samples across 10 independent cohorts dividing them into training and validation.

RESULTS

Using six of the datasets for training, we identified 119 genes that are consistently differentially expressed in viral ARI patients (N = 236) compared to healthy controls (N = 146) and further down-selected 33 genes for classifier development. The resulting locked logistic regression-based classifier using the 33-mRNAs had AUC of 0.94 and 0.89 in the six training and four validation datasets, respectively. Furthermore, we found that although trained on healthy controls only, in the four validation datasets, the 33-mRNA classifier distinguished viral ARI from both healthy or non-viral ARI samples with > 80% specificity and sensitivity, irrespective of age, viral type, and viral load. Single-cell RNA-sequencing data showed that the 33-mRNA signature is dominated by macrophages and neutrophils in nasal samples.

CONCLUSION

This proof-of-concept signature has potential to be adapted as a clinical point-of-care test ('RespVerity') to improve the diagnosis of viral ARIs.

Predicting ward transfer mortality with machine learning

In order to address a long standing challenge for internal medicine physicians we developed artificial intelligence (AI) models to identify patients at risk of increased mortality. After querying 2,425 records of patients transferred from non-intensive care units to intensive care units from the Veteran Affairs Corporate Data Warehouse (CDW), we created two datasets. The former used 22 independent variables that included "Length of Hospital Stay" and "Days to Intensive Care Transfer," and the latter lacked these two variables. Since these two variables are unknown at the time of admission, the second set is more clinically relevant. We trained 16 machine learning models using both datasets. The best-performing models were fine-tuned and evaluated. The LightGBM model achieved the best results for both datasets. The model trained with 22 variables achieved a Receiver Operating Characteristics Curve-Area Under the Curve (ROC-AUC) of 0.89 and an accuracy of 0.72, with a sensitivity of 0.97 and a specificity of 0.68. The model trained with 20 variables achieved a ROC-AUC of 0.86 and an accuracy of 0.71, with a sensitivity of 0.94 and a specificity of 0.67. The top features for the former model included "Total length of Stay," "Admit to ICU Transfer Days," and "Lymphocyte Next Lab Value." For the latter model, the top features included "Lymphocyte First Lab Value," "Hemoglobin First Lab Value," and "Hemoglobin Next Lab Value." Our clinically relevant predictive mortality model can assist providers in optimizing resource utilization when managing large caseloads, particularly during shift changes.

Co-expression module analysis reveals high expression homogeneity for both coding and non-coding genes in sepsis

Sepsis is a life-threatening condition characterized by a harmful host response to infection with organ dysfunction. Annually about 20 million people are dead owing to sepsis and its mortality rates is as high as 20%. However, no studies have been carried out to investigate sepsis from the system biology point of view, as previous research predominantly focused on individual genes without considering their interactions and associations. Here, we conducted a comprehensive exploration of genome-wide expression alterations in both mRNAs and long non-coding RNAs (lncRNAs) in sepsis, using six microarray datasets. Co-expression networks were conducted to identify mRNA and lncRNA modules, respectively. Comparing these sepsis modules with normal modules, we observed a homogeneous expression pattern within the mRNA/lncRNA members, with the majority of them displaying consistent expression direction. Moreover, we identified consistent modules across diverse datasets, consisting of 20 common mRNA members and two lncRNAs, namely CHRM3-AS2 and PRKCQ-AS1, which are potential regulators of sepsis. Our results reveal that the up-regulated common mRNAs are mainly involved in the processes of neutrophil mediated immunity, while the down-regulated mRNAs and lncRNAs are significantly overrepresented in T-cell mediated immunity functions. This study sheds light on the co-expression patterns of mRNAs and lncRNAs in sepsis, providing a novel perspective and insight into the sepsis transcriptome, which may facilitate the exploration of candidate therapeutic targets and molecular biomarkers for sepsis.

Defining critical illness using immunological endotypes in patients with and without sepsis: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Sepsis is a heterogenous syndrome with limited therapeutic options. Identifying immunological endotypes through gene expression patterns in septic patients may lead to targeted interventions. We investigated whether patients admitted to a surgical intensive care unit (ICU) with sepsis and with high risk of mortality express similar endotypes to non-septic, but still critically ill patients using two multiplex transcriptomic metrics obtained both on admission to a surgical ICU and at set intervals.

METHODS

We analyzed transcriptomic data from 522 patients in two single-site, prospective, observational cohorts admitted to surgical ICUs over a 5-year period ending in July 2020. Using an FDA-cleared analytical platform (nCounter FLEX^®, NanoString, Inc.), we assessed a previously validated 29-messenger RNA transcriptomic classifier for likelihood of 30-day mortality (IMX-SEV-3) and a 33-messenger RNA transcriptomic endotype classifier. Clinical outcomes included all-cause mortality, development of chronic critical illness, and secondary infections. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess for true effect and confounding.

RESULTS

Sepsis was associated with a significantly higher predicted and actual hospital mortality. At enrollment, the predominant endotype for both septic and non-septic patients was adaptive, though with significantly different distributions. Inflammopathic and coagulopathic septic patients, as well as inflammopathic non-septic patients, showed significantly higher frequencies of secondary infections compared to those with adaptive endotypes (p < 0.01). Endotypes changed during ICU hospitalization in 57.5% of patients. Patients who remained adaptive had overall better prognosis, while those who remained inflammopathic or coagulopathic had worse overall outcomes. For severity metrics, patients admitted with sepsis and a high predicted likelihood of mortality showed an inflammopathic (49.6%) endotype and had higher rates of cumulative adverse outcomes (67.4%). Patients at low mortality risk, whether septic or non-septic, almost uniformly presented with an adaptive endotype (100% and 93.4%, respectively).

CONCLUSION

Critically ill surgical patients express different and evolving immunological endotypes depending upon both their sepsis status and severity of their clinical course. Future studies will elucidate whether endotyping critically ill, septic patients can identify individuals for targeted therapeutic interventions to improve patient management and outcomes.

Biomarker-Based Risk Stratification in Pediatric Sepsis From a Low-Middle Income Country

OBJECTIVES

Most biomarker studies of sepsis originate from high-income countries, whereas mortality risk is higher in low- and middle-income countries. The second version of the Pediatric Sepsis Biomarker Risk Model (PERSEVERE-II) has been validated in multiple North American PICUs for prognosis. Given differences in epidemiology, we assessed the performance of PERSEVERE-II in septic children from Pakistan, a low-middle income country. Due to uncertainty regarding how well PERSEVERE-II would perform, we also assessed the utility of other select biomarkers reflecting endotheliopathy, coagulopathy, and lung injury.

DESIGN

Prospective cohort study.

SETTING

PICU in Aga Khan University Hospital in Karachi, Pakistan.

PATIENTS

Children (< 18 yr old) meeting pediatric modifications of adult Sepsis-3 criteria between November 2020 and February 2022 were eligible.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Plasma was collected within 24 hours of admission and biomarkers quantified. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for PERSEVERE-II to discriminate 28-day mortality was determined. Additional biomarkers were compared between survivors and nonsurvivors and between subjects with and without acute respiratory distress syndrome. In 86 subjects (20 nonsurvivors, 23%), PERSEVERE-II discriminated mortality (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve, 0.83; 95% CI, 0.72-0.94) and stratified the cohort into low-, medium-, and high-risk of mortality. Biomarkers reflecting endotheliopathy (angiopoietin 2, intracellular adhesion molecule 1) increased across worsening risk strata. Angiopoietin 2, soluble thrombomodulin, and plasminogen activator inhibitor 1 were higher in nonsurvivors, and soluble receptor for advanced glycation end-products and surfactant protein D were higher in children meeting acute respiratory distress syndrome criteria.

CONCLUSIONS

PERSEVERE-II performs well in septic children from Aga Khan University Hospital, representing the first validation of PERSEVERE-II in a low-middle income country. Patients possessed a biomarker profile comparable to that of sepsis from high-income countries, suggesting that biomarker-based enrichment strategies may be effective in this setting.

Defining critical illness using immunological endotypes in patients with and without of sepsis: A cohort study

Background: Sepsis is a heterogenous syndrome with limited therapeutic options. Identifying characteristic gene expression patterns, or endotypes, in septic patients may lead to targeted interventions. We investigated whether patients admitted to a surgical ICU with sepsis and with high risk of mortality express similar endotypes to non-septic, but still critically ill patients using two multiplex transcriptomic metrics obtained both on admission to a surgical intensive care unit (ICU) and at set intervals. Methods: We analyzed transcriptomic data from 522 patients in two single-site, prospective, observational cohorts admitted to surgical ICUs over a 5-year period ending in July 2020 . Using an FDA-cleared analytical platform (nCounter FLEX ^® , NanoString, Inc.), we assessed a previously validated 29-messenger RNA transcriptomic classifier for likelihood of 30-day mortality (IMX-SEV-3) and a 33-messenger RNA transcriptomic endotype classifier. Clinical outcomes included all-cause (in-hospital, 30-, 90-day) mortality, development of chronic critical illness (CCI), and secondary infections. Univariate and multivariate analyses were performed to assess for true effect and confounding. Results: Sepsis was associated with a significantly higher predicted and actual hospital mortality. At enrollment, the predominant endotype for both septic and non-septic patients was adaptive , though with significantly different distributions. Inflammopathic and coagulopathic septic patients, as well as inflammopathic non-septic patients, showed significantly higher frequencies of secondary infections compared to those with adaptive endotypes (p<0.01). Endotypes changed during ICU hospitalization in 57.5% of patients. Patients who remained adaptive had overall better prognosis, while those who remained inflammopathic or coagulopathic had worse overall outcomes. For severity metrics, patients admitted with sepsis and a high predicted likelihood of mortality showed an inflammopathic (49.6%) endotype and had higher rates of cumulative adverse outcomes (67.4%). Patients at low mortality risk, whether septic or non-septic, almost uniformly presented with an adaptive endotype (100% and 93.4%, respectively). Conclusion : Critically ill surgical patients express different and evolving immunological endotypes depending upon both their sepsis status and severity of their clinical course. Future studies will elucidate whether endotyping critically ill, septic patients can identify individuals for targeted therapeutic interventions to improve patient management and outcomes.

Identification of a sub-group of critically ill patients with high risk of intensive care unit-acquired infections and poor clinical course using a transcriptomic score

BACKGROUND

The development of stratification tools based on the assessment of circulating mRNA of genes involved in the immune response is constrained by the heterogeneity of septic patients. The aim of this study is to develop a transcriptomic score based on a pragmatic combination of immune-related genes detected with a prototype multiplex PCR tool.

METHODS

As training cohort, we used the gene expression dataset obtained from 176 critically ill patients enrolled in the REALISM study (NCT02638779) with various etiologies and still hospitalized in intensive care unit (ICU) at day 5-7. Based on the performances of each gene taken independently to identify patients developing ICU-acquired infections (ICU-AI) after day 5-7, we built an unweighted score assuming the independence of each gene. We then determined the performances of this score to identify a subgroup of patients at high risk to develop ICU-AI, and both longer ICU length of stay and mortality of this high-risk group were assessed. Finally, we validated the effectiveness of this score in a retrospective cohort of 257 septic patients.

RESULTS

This transcriptomic score (TScore) enabled the identification of a high-risk group of patients (49%) with an increased rate of ICU-AI when compared to the low-risk group (49% vs. 4%, respectively), with longer ICU length of stay (13 days [95% CI 8-30] vs. 7 days [95% CI 6-9], p < 0.001) and higher ICU mortality (15% vs. 2%). High-risk patients exhibited biological features of immune suppression with low monocytic HLA-DR levels, higher immature neutrophils rates and higher IL10 concentrations. Using the TScore, we identified 160 high-risk patients (62%) in the validation cohort, with 30% of ICU-AI (vs. 18% in the low-risk group, p = 0.06), and significantly higher mortality and longer ICU length of stay.

CONCLUSIONS

The transcriptomic score provides a useful and reliable companion diagnostic tool to further develop immune modulating drugs in sepsis in the context of personalized medicine.

The Role of Transcriptomics in Redefining Critical Illness

This article is one of ten reviews selected from the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine 2023. Other selected articles can be found online at  https://www.biomedcentral.com/collections/annualupdate2023 . Further information about the Annual Update in Intensive Care and Emergency Medicine is available from  https://link.springer.com/bookseries/8901 .

Leveraging transcriptomics for precision diagnosis: Lessons learned from cancer and sepsis

Diagnostics require precision and predictive ability to be clinically useful. Integration of multi-omic with clinical data is crucial to our understanding of disease pathogenesis and diagnosis. However, interpretation of overwhelming amounts of information at the individual level requires sophisticated computational tools for extraction of clinically meaningful outputs. Moreover, evolution of technical and analytical methods often outpaces standardisation strategies. RNA is the most dynamic component of all -omics technologies carrying an abundance of regulatory information that is least harnessed for use in clinical diagnostics. Gene expression-based tests capture genetic and non-genetic heterogeneity and have been implemented in certain diseases. For example patients with early breast cancer are spared toxic unnecessary treatments with scores based on the expression of a set of genes (e.g., Oncotype DX). The ability of transcriptomics to portray the transcriptional status at a moment in time has also been used in diagnosis of dynamic diseases such as sepsis. Gene expression profiles identify endotypes in sepsis patients with prognostic value and a potential to discriminate between viral and bacterial infection. The application of transcriptomics for patient stratification in clinical environments and clinical trials thus holds promise. In this review, we discuss the current clinical application in the fields of cancer and infection. We use these paradigms to highlight the impediments in identifying useful diagnostic and prognostic biomarkers and propose approaches to overcome them and aid efforts towards clinical implementation.

bvnGPS: a generalizable diagnostic model for acute bacterial and viral infection using integrative host transcriptomics and pretrained neural networks

MOTIVATION

The confusion of acute inflammation infected by virus and bacteria or noninfectious inflammation will lead to missing the best therapy occasion resulting in poor prognoses. The diagnostic model based on host gene expression has been widely used to diagnose acute infections, but the clinical usage was hindered by the capability across different samples and cohorts due to the small sample size for signature training and discovery.

RESULTS

Here, we construct a large-scale dataset integrating multiple host transcriptomic data and analyze it using a sophisticated strategy which removes batch effect and extracts the common information from different cohorts based on the relative expression alteration of gene pairs. We assemble 2680 samples across 16 cohorts and separately build gene pair signature (GPS) for bacterial, viral, and noninfected patients. The three GPSs are further assembled into an antibiotic decision model (bacterial-viral-noninfected GPS, bvnGPS) using multiclass neural networks, which is able to determine whether a patient is bacterial infected, viral infected, or noninfected. bvnGPS can distinguish bacterial infection with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.953 (95% confidence interval, 0.948-0.958) and viral infection with AUC of 0.956 (0.951-0.961) in the test set (N = 760). In the validation set (N = 147), bvnGPS also shows strong performance by attaining an AUC of 0.988 (0.978-0.998) on bacterial-versus-other and an AUC of 0.994 (0.984-1.000) on viral-versus-other. bvnGPS has the potential to be used in clinical practice and the proposed procedure provides insight into data integration, feature selection and multiclass classification for host transcriptomics data.

AVAILABILITY AND IMPLEMENTATION

The codes implementing bvnGPS are available at https://github.com/Ritchiegit/bvnGPS. The construction of iPAGE algorithm and the training of neural network was conducted on Python 3.7 with Scikit-learn 0.24.1 and PyTorch 1.7. The visualization of the results was implemented on R 4.2, Python 3.7, and Matplotlib 3.3.4.

Imbalanced gut microbiota predicts and drives the progression of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and nonalcoholic steatohepatitis in a fast-food diet mouse model

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is multifactorial in nature, affecting over a billion people worldwide. The gut microbiome has emerged as an associative factor in NAFLD, yet mechanistic contributions are unclear. Here, we show fast food (FF) diets containing high fat, added cholesterol, and fructose/glucose drinking water differentially impact short- vs. long-term NAFLD severity and progression in conventionally-raised, but not germ-free mice. Correlation and machine learning analyses independently demonstrate FF diets induce early and specific gut microbiota changes that are predictive of NAFLD indicators, with corresponding microbial community instability relative to control-fed mice. Shotgun metagenomics showed FF diets containing high cholesterol elevate fecal pro-inflammatory effectors over time, relating to a reshaping of host hepatic metabolic and inflammatory transcriptomes. FF diet-induced gut dysbiosis precedes onset and is highly predictive of NAFLD outcomes, providing potential insights into microbially-based pathogenesis and therapeutics.

Sepsis biomarkers and diagnostic tools with a focus on machine learning

Over the last years, there have been advances in the use of data-driven techniques to improve the definition, early recognition, subtypes characterisation, prognostication and treatment personalisation of sepsis. Some of those involve the discovery or evaluation of biomarkers or digital signatures of sepsis or sepsis sub-phenotypes. It is hoped that their identification may improve timeliness and accuracy of diagnosis, suggest physiological pathways and therapeutic targets, inform targeted recruitment into clinical trials, and optimise clinical management. Given the complexities of the sepsis response, panels of biomarkers or models combining biomarkers and clinical data are necessary, as well as specific data analysis methods, which broadly fall under the scope of machine learning. This narrative review gives a brief overview of the main machine learning techniques (mainly in the realms of supervised and unsupervised methods) and published applications that have been used to create sepsis diagnostic tools and identify biomarkers.

Host Gene Expression to Predict Sepsis Progression

OBJECTIVES

Sepsis causes significant mortality. However, most patients who die of sepsis do not present with severe infection, hampering efforts to deliver early, aggressive therapy. It is also known that the host gene expression response to infection precedes clinical illness. This study seeks to develop transcriptomic models to predict progression to sepsis or shock within 72 hours of hospitalization and to validate previously identified transcriptomic signatures in the prediction of 28-day mortality.

DESIGN

Retrospective differential gene expression analysis and predictive modeling using RNA sequencing data.

PATIENTS

Two hundred seventy-seven patients enrolled at four large academic medical centers; all with clinically adjudicated infection were considered for inclusion in this study.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Sepsis progression was defined as an increase in Sepsis 3 category within 72 hours. Transcriptomic data were generated using RNAseq of whole blood. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator modeling was used to identify predictive signatures for various measures of disease progression. Four previously identified gene signatures were tested for their ability to predict 28-day mortality. There were no significant differentially expressed genes in 136 subjects with worsened Sepsis 3 category compared with 141 nonprogressor controls. There were 1,178 differentially expressed genes identified when sepsis progression was defined as ICU admission or 28-day mortality. A model based on these genes predicted progression with an area under the curve of 0.71. Validation of previously identified gene signatures to predict sepsis mortality revealed area under the receiver operating characteristic values of 0.70-0.75 and no significant difference between signatures.

CONCLUSIONS

Host gene expression was unable to predict sepsis progression when defined by an increase in Sepsis-3 category, suggesting this definition is not a useful framework for transcriptomic prediction methods. However, there was a differential response when progression was defined as ICU admission or death. Validation of previously described signatures predicted 28-day mortality with insufficient accuracy to offer meaningful clinical utility.

A roadmap for translational cancer glycoimmunology at single cell resolution

Cancer cells can evade immune responses by exploiting inhibitory immune checkpoints. Immune checkpoint inhibitor (ICI) therapies based on anti-CTLA-4 and anti-PD-1/PD-L1 antibodies have been extensively explored over the recent years to unleash otherwise compromised anti-cancer immune responses. However, it is also well established that immune suppression is a multifactorial process involving an intricate crosstalk between cancer cells and the immune systems. The cancer glycome is emerging as a relevant source of immune checkpoints governing immunosuppressive behaviour in immune cells, paving an avenue for novel immunotherapeutic options. This review addresses the current state-of-the-art concerning the role played by glycans controlling innate and adaptive immune responses, while shedding light on available experimental models for glycoimmunology. We also emphasize the tremendous progress observed in the development of humanized models for immunology, the paramount contribution of advances in high-throughput single-cell analysis in this context, and the importance of including predictive machine learning algorithms in translational research. This may constitute an important roadmap for glycoimmunology, supporting careful adoption of models foreseeing clinical translation of fundamental glycobiology knowledge towards next generation immunotherapies.

An immune dysfunction score for stratification of patients with acute infection based on whole-blood gene expression

Dysregulated host responses to infection can lead to organ dysfunction and sepsis, causing millions of global deaths each year. To alleviate this burden, improved prognostication and biomarkers of response are urgently needed. We investigated the use of whole-blood transcriptomics for stratification of patients with severe infection by integrating data from 3149 samples from patients with sepsis due to community-acquired pneumonia or fecal peritonitis admitted to intensive care and healthy individuals into a gene expression reference map. We used this map to derive a quantitative sepsis response signature (SRSq) score reflective of immune dysfunction and predictive of clinical outcomes, which can be estimated using a 7- or 12-gene signature. Last, we built a machine learning framework, SepstratifieR, to deploy SRSq in adult and pediatric bacterial and viral sepsis, H1N1 influenza, and COVID-19, demonstrating clinically relevant stratification across diseases and revealing some of the physiological alterations linking immune dysregulation to mortality. Our method enables early identification of individuals with dysfunctional immune profiles, bringing us closer to precision medicine in infection.

Integrated host-microbe plasma metagenomics for sepsis diagnosis in a prospective cohort of critically ill adults

We carried out integrated host and pathogen metagenomic RNA and DNA next generation sequencing (mNGS) of whole blood (n = 221) and plasma (n = 138) from critically ill patients following hospital admission. We assigned patients into sepsis groups on the basis of clinical and microbiological criteria. From whole-blood gene expression data, we distinguished patients with sepsis from patients with non-infectious systemic inflammatory conditions using a trained bagged support vector machine (bSVM) classifier (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) = 0.81 in the training set; AUC = 0.82 in a held-out validation set). Plasma RNA also yielded a transcriptional signature of sepsis with several genes previously reported as sepsis biomarkers, and a bSVM sepsis diagnostic classifier (AUC = 0.97 training set; AUC = 0.77 validation set). Pathogen detection performance of plasma mNGS varied on the basis of pathogen and site of infection. To improve detection of virus, we developed a secondary transcriptomic classifier (AUC = 0.94 training set; AUC = 0.96 validation set). We combined host and microbial features to develop an integrated sepsis diagnostic model that identified 99% of microbiologically confirmed sepsis cases, and predicted sepsis in 74% of suspected and 89% of indeterminate sepsis cases. In summary, we suggest that integrating host transcriptional profiling and broad-range metagenomic pathogen detection from nucleic acid is a promising tool for sepsis diagnosis.

Prospective validation of a transcriptomic severity classifier among patients with suspected acute infection and sepsis in the emergency department

BACKGROUND AND IMPORTANCE

mRNA-based host response signatures have been reported to improve sepsis diagnostics. Meanwhile, prognostic markers for the rapid and accurate prediction of severity in patients with suspected acute infections and sepsis remain an unmet need. IMX-SEV-2 is a 29-host-mRNA classifier designed to predict disease severity in patients with acute infection or sepsis.

OBJECTIVE

Validation of the host-mRNA infection severity classifier IMX-SEV-2.

DESIGN, SETTINGS AND PARTICIPANTS

Prospective, observational, convenience cohort of emergency department (ED) patients with suspected acute infections.

OUTCOME MEASURES AND ANALYSIS

Whole blood RNA tubes were analyzed using independently trained and validated composite target genes (IMX-SEV-2). IMX-SEV-2-generated risk scores for severity were compared to the patient outcomes in-hospital mortality and 72-h multiorgan failure.

MAIN RESULTS

Of the 312 eligible patients, 22 (7.1%) died in hospital and 58 (18.6%) experienced multiorgan failure within 72 h of presentation. For predicting in-hospital mortality, IMX-SEV-2 had a significantly higher area under the receiver operating characteristic (AUROC) of 0.84 [95% confidence intervals (CI), 0.76-0.93] compared to 0.76 (0.64-0.87) for lactate, 0.68 (0.57-0.79) for quick Sequential Organ Failure Assessment (qSOFA) and 0.75 (0.65-0.85) for National Early Warning Score 2 (NEWS2), ( P  = 0.015, 0.001 and 0.013, respectively). For identifying and predicting 72-h multiorgan failure, the AUROC of IMX-SEV-2 was 0.76 (0.68-0.83), not significantly different from lactate (0.73, 0.65-0.81), qSOFA (0.77, 0.70-0.83) or NEWS2 (0.81, 0.75-0.86).

CONCLUSION

The IMX-SEV-2 classifier showed a superior prediction of in-hospital mortality compared to biomarkers and clinical scores among ED patients with suspected infections. No improvement for predicting multiorgan failure was found compared to established scores or biomarkers. Identifying patients with a high risk of mortality or multiorgan failure may improve patient outcomes, resource utilization and guide therapy decision-making.

Pathway analysis of sepsis-induced changes gene expression

Background

Sepsis reaction is a response to an infection composed of genetic elements. This research aims to better understand how sepsis affects the molecular pathways in whole blood samples.

Methods

Whole blood samples from healthy controls (n = 18), sepsis nonsurvivors (n = 9), and sepsis survivors (n = 26) were retrieved from the gene expression omnibus (GEO) collection of the national center for biotechnology information (NCBI) (accession number GSE54514). The NCBI's GEO2R program was used to determine differential expression, and the ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA) software was utilized to do a pathway analysis.

Results

In sepsis patients, 2672 genes were substantially differently expressed (p value 0.05). One thousand three hundred four genes were overexpressed, and one thousand three hundred sixty-eight were under-expressed. The inhibition of ARE-mediated mRNA degradation pathway and the Pl3K/AKT signaling spliceosomal cycle were the most significant canonical pathways identified by ingenuity pathway analysis (IPA). The IPA upstream analysis predicted the ESR1, SIRT1, and PTPRR proteins, and the drugs filgrastim and fluticasone were top transcriptional regulators.

Conclusions

The inhibition of ARE-mediated mRNA degradation pathway and the Pl3K/AKT signaling spliceosomal cycle were highlighted as essential pathways of inflammation by IPA, indicating widespread cancer owing to sepsis. Our data imply that sepsis considerably influences gene pathways in whole blood samples, pointing to possible targets for sepsis treatment.