Association of serum bilirubin levels with risk of cancer development and total death

Causal associations between liver function biomarkers and prostate cancer risk in European and East Asian populations: a univariate, multivariable, and bidirectional Mendelian Randomization study

BACKGROUND

Previous observational studies have indicated a potential association between liver function markers and prostate cancer (PCa), but the causal relationship of this association remains unclear. Additionally, genetic variations across populations may influence the direction and strength of this association. This study employed Mendelian Randomization (MR) to investigate the genetic causal relationship between liver function markers and PCa in European and East Asian populations. The aim was to uncover potential gene-disease associations across ancestries and provide novel insights for the prevention and treatment of PCa.

METHODS

Single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) significantly associated with liver function markers and PCa were selected from large-scale genome-wide association studies (GWAS) as instrumental variables (IVs). Univariate, multivariable, and bidirectional MR analyses were conducted to evaluate the causal relationships between liver function markers and PCa. The inverse variance weighting (IVW) method was used as the primary MR approach, complemented by sensitivity analyses to ensure the robustness and reliability of the findings.

RESULTS

In European populations, univariate MR analysis suggested that ALT (OR 0.85, 95% CI 0.75-0.95, P = 0.005) and AST (OR 0.90, 95% CI 0.81-1.00, P = 0.045) were associated with a reduced risk of PCa. However, multivariable MR analysis, after adjusting for confounders, showed that these associations were no longer statistically significant. Reverse MR analysis provided no evidence supporting a causal effect of PCa on liver function markers in European populations. Sensitivity analyses revealed heterogeneity in the IVs but did not detect evidence of horizontal pleiotropy. In East Asian populations, total bilirubin (OR 0.94, 95% CI 0.88-1.00, P = 0.049) and direct bilirubin (OR 0.91, 95% CI 0.84-0.99, P = 0.022) were causally associated with a reduced risk of PCa. After adjusting for confounders in multivariable MR, the association between total bilirubin and PCa remained significant (OR 0.74, 95% CI 0.55-0.99, P = 0.044). Reverse MR analysis suggested a causal effect of PCa on reduced ALT levels (OR 0.93, 95% CI 0.88-0.98, P = 0.007). Sensitivity analyses did not reveal heterogeneity or horizontal pleiotropy.

CONCLUSION

The relationship between liver function markers and PCa seems to be influenced by genetic background. In East Asian populations, total bilirubin was identified as an independent protective factor against PCa, while reverse MR suggested a causal effect of PCa on reduced ALT levels. In European populations, there was insufficient evidence for a causal relationship between liver function markers and the risk of PCa. These findings may inform strategies for the clinical prevention, monitoring, and treatment of PCa, and further research is warranted to elucidate the underlying mechanisms driving these associations.

Spontaneous Bilateral Drusen Regression Without Atrophy in an Octogenarian With Gilbert's Syndrome: A Case Report

We document significant drusen regression without atrophy (DRwoA) in a patient with dry age-related macular degeneration (AMD) and concomitant hyperbilirubinemia. Serial optical coherence tomography (OCT) and fundus images were used to monitor drusen progression in the patient. Fundus photography of the macula revealed a dramatic improvement in visible drusen in each eye over the course of 2020-2023. Only a few small drusen were visible in the right eye, while moderate to intermediate-to-large soft drusen were present in the left eye. OCT imaging also demonstrated significant improvement in drusen in both eyes compared to previous years. Average foveal thickness measurements from 2018 to 2023 showed a significant and steady decline, from 298 µm to 291 µm in the right eye and from 305 µm to 273 µm in the left eye. We report significant drusen regression in a patient with Gilbert's syndrome and dry AMD. Further investigation into the prevalence and severity of AMD in patients with Gilbert's syndrome is warranted. Additionally, further study of the potential therapeutic application of Spirulina in treating inflammatory conditions such as AMD is reasonable.

Serum bilirubin subgroups and cancer risk: Insights with a focus on lung cancer

BACKGROUND

Bilirubin is a potent antioxidant that neutralizes reactive oxygen species (ROS). While previous studies have predominantly focused on the association between total bilirubin and cancer risk, this study evaluates the association of different bilirubin subgroups with cancer risk in men and women.

METHODS

Data were derived from the Korean Cancer Prevention Study-II cohort, including 133,630 participants. Over a mean follow-up of 13.5 years, 9876 cancer cases were identified. Serum bilirubin levels (total, indirect, direct) were categorized into sex-specific quartiles and analyzed. Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios (HR) and 95 % confidence intervals (CI), along with trend analyses.

RESULTS

In men, a 1 standard deviation (SD) increase in total bilirubin was inversely associated with lung cancer risk (HR: 0.82, 95 % CI: 0.74-0.91), and direct bilirubin showed an inverse association (HR: 0.83, 95 % CI: 0.74-0.93). In contrast, in women, a 1 SD increase in total bilirubin was positively associated with lung cancer risk (HR: 1.15, 95 % CI: 1.00-1.32). Among male smokers, a 1 SD increase in total bilirubin (≥30 cigarettes/day) was inversely associated with lung cancer risk (HR: 0.73, 95 % CI: 0.55-0.97), and a 1 SD increase in direct bilirubin (10-19 cigarettes/day) showed an inverse association (HR: 0.79, 95 % CI: 0.63-0.99).

CONCLUSIONS

In men, both total and direct bilirubin levels were inversely associated with lung cancer risk, whereas in women, total bilirubin was positively associated with lung cancer risk.

The systemic oxidative stress index predicts clinical outcomes of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma receiving neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy

Background

Strong correlations have been shown between systemic oxidative stress (SOS) and the occurrence, metastasis, and prognosis of many types of cancers. It is yet unknown how SOS levels relate to the prognosis of esophageal squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). The current research aims to explore the prognostic role of systemic oxidative stress index (SOSI) on ESCC receiving neoadjuvant immunochemotherapy (nICT).

Methods

Retrospective recruitment was used to identify 224 nICT-treated ESCC patients. In order to determine the integrative score of SOSI, logistic regression analyses were utilized to screen independent risk variables, with disease-free survival (DFS) serving as the dependent variable. Given the non-linear relationship between SOSI and DFS, the best threshold was determined using a restricted cubic spline (RCS) model. Independent variable determination was executed using a cox regression analysis. For prognostic prediction, a risk categorization method based on recursive partitioning analysis (RPA) was also created.

Results

Four SOS-related indicators, including albumin, creatinine, blood urea nitrogen, and direct bilirubin, were used to establish the SOSI. The ideal threshold of SOSI, shown by the non-linear relationship between DFS and SOSI (P<0.001), was used to compare between two groups. As a potential prognostic factor for those nICT-treated ESCC patients, SOSI showed a strong correlation with both DFS and overall survival (OS). Patients with low SOSI had better DFS (55.1% vs. 85.5%, P<0.001) and OS (72.6% vs. 79.1%, P=0.013). Then, a new staging that included TNM and SOSI based on RPA algorithms was produced. In terms of prognostication, the RPA model performed significantly better than TNM classification.

Conclusion

SOSI is a simple and useful score based on available SOS-related indices. In ESCC receiving nICT, low SOSI is found to be an important factor of better prognosis.

Serum bilirubin levels and risk of colorectal cancer in Korean adults: results from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study-Health Examinee (KoGES-HEXA) Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Current evidence on associations between circulating bilirubin and colorectal cancer (CRC) risk is inconsistent.

METHODS

In this prospective study, we investigated associations of pre-diagnostic circulating levels of total and indirect bilirubin with CRC risk in 78,467 Korean adults aged 40-78 years at recruitment, considering potential non-linearity and sex differences. Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for associations with CRC risk were estimated with Cox proportional hazard regression.

RESULTS

During a median 7.9-year follow-up, 539 incident CRC cases were recorded. In multivariable-adjusted models, higher levels of total bilirubin were associated with a 26% (CI: 42% to 7%) lower risk of CRC among men and women combined, comparing the highest with the lowest tertile (P-linear trend = 0.003). A U-shaped association was observed in men, with the lowest risk at approximately 0.8 mg/dL (=13.7 μmol/L) of total bilirubin (P for non-linearity = 0.01). Although the association was largely null in women, there was no evidence for effect modification by sex (P-interaction = 0.73). Associations between indirect bilirubin and CRC risk were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

Higher circulating levels of total and indirect bilirubin were inversely associated with the risk of CRC among Korean adults. The associations were strongly inverse and U-shaped among men.

Plasma albumin, bilirubin, and uric acid and the subsequent risk of cancer: a case-cohort study in the Japan Public Health Center-based Prospective Study

Several epidemiologic studies have investigated the circulating levels of albumin, bilirubin, and uric acid (UA) in relation to cancer risk; however, they have provided equivocal evidence. In this prospective case-cohort study, we measured the plasma levels of albumin, bilirubin, and UA and investigated their association with cancer incidence in 3584 case patients and 4270 randomly selected participants with a median follow-up of 15.8 years. The adjusted hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% CIs of total cancer for the highest quartile (Q4) versus lowest quartile (Q1) was 0.77 (95% CI, 0.67-0.90; P <.001 for trend) for albumin. This association was attenuated after excluding liver cancer cases with lower plasma albumin levels. Plasma bilirubin levels were positively related to liver cancer but inversely to total cancer after excluding liver cancer with, for Q4 versus Q1, an adjusted HR of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.74-0.99; P = .015 for trend). Plasma UA levels were not dose-responsively associated with total cancer risk. Higher plasma bilirubin levels were associated with a decreased risk of total cancer after excluding liver cancer, which is likely attributed to the antioxidant properties of bilirubin.

Risk of childhood neoplasms related to neonatal phototherapy- a systematic review and meta-analysis

CONTEXT

Observational studies have shown conflicting results as to whether exposure to neonatal phototherapy is associated with increased rates of childhood cancer.

OBJECTIVE

To describe the rates of childhood neoplasms and cancer after neonatal phototherapy.

DATA SOURCES

The CENTRAL, PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science databases.

STUDY SELECTION

Observational studies regardless of design were included.

DATA EXTRACTION

The data were extracted by one author and validated by another. The risk-of-bias assessment was performed using the ROBINS-E and Joanna Briggs Institute critical appraisal tools.

RESULTS

Six cohort and 10 case-control studies were included. The overall risk of bias was high in seven and low in nine studies. In cohort studies, the odds ratio (OR) was increased for hematopoietic cancer (1.44; confidence interval [CI]: 1.16-1.80) and solid tumors (OR: 1.18; CI: 1.00-1.40). In case-control studies, the OR was 1.63 (CI: 0.99-2.67) for hematopoietic cancers and 1.18 (CI: 1.04-1.34) for solid tumors.

CONCLUSIONS

Children with a history of neonatal phototherapy had increased risk of hematopoietic cancer and solid tumors. The evidence quality was limited due to the high risk of bias and potential residual confounding.

IMPACT STATEMENT

Exposure to neonatal phototherapy increased later risk of hematopoietic cancer and solid tumors. This is the most comprehensive study on the association between phototherapy and cancer, but the evidence quality was limited due risk of bias and residual confounding. Future large scale well conducted studies are still needed to better estimate the association and.

A novel nomogram based on inflammatory-nutritional biomarkers for gallbladder cancer after surgical resection

PURPOSE

Systemic inflammation and nutrition are vital for tumor progression. This study aimed to identify prognostic inflammation nutrition markers and develop a predictive nomogram for gallbladder cancer (GBC).

METHODS

A total of 123 patients with GBC who underwent surgical resection at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University and Suzhou Kowloon Hospital were included in our study. The final prognostic variables were identified using univariate and multivariate analyses. A nomogram model was then established, and the consistency index (C-index), calibration curves, and Kaplan-Meier analysis were performed to evaluate the accuracy and discrimination of the nomogram. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) and decision curve analysis (DCA) suggested that our nomogram had better predictive ability and clinical feasibility than a published model.

RESULTS

The cox regression analysis showed that carcinoembryonic antigen (CEA) > 4.580, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) > -2.091, geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) < 90.83, T3-T4, and N2 are independent prognostic factors. A predictive nomogram was constructed with a C-index of 0.793. In the calibration curves, the nomogram-predicted 1-, 3-, and 5-year survival matched well with the actual survival. Kaplan-Meier analysis showed that the high-risk group had worse survival than the low-risk group (P < 0.001). Finally, our nomogram achieved better 1-, 3- and 5-year AUCs than an established model (0.871, 0.844, and 0.781 vs. 0.753, 0.750, and 0.693). DCA also confirmed that our model outperformed the established model.

CONCLUSIONS

In conclusion, our study revealed that CEA > 4.580, GNRI < 90.83, ALBI > -2.091, T3-T4 stage, and N2 were related to clinical outcomes of patients with GBC after surgical resection. The constructed nomogram has superior predictive ability and clinical practicality.

Development and Validation of an Interpretable Machine Learning Model for Early Prognosis Prediction in ICU Patients with Malignant Tumors and Hyperkalemia

This study aims to develop and validate a machine learning (ML) predictive model for assessing mortality in patients with malignant tumors and hyperkalemia (MTH). We extracted data on patients with MTH from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care-IV, version 2.2 (MIMIC-IV v2.2) database. The dataset was split into a training set (75%) and a validation set (25%). We used the Least Absolute Shrinkage and Selection Operator (LASSO) regression to identify potential predictors, which included clinical laboratory indicators and vital signs. Pearson correlation analysis tested the correlation between predictors. In-hospital death was the prediction target. The Area Under the Curve (AUC) and accuracy of the training and validation sets of 7 ML algorithms were compared, and the optimal 1 was selected to develop the model. The calibration curve was used to evaluate the prediction accuracy of the model further. SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) and Local Interpretable Model-agnostic Explanations (LIME) enhanced model interpretability. 496 patients with MTH in the Intensive Care Unit (ICU) were included. After screening, 17 clinical features were included in the construction of the ML model, and the Pearson correlation coefficient was <0.8, indicating that the correlation between the clinical features was small. eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) outperformed other algorithms, achieving perfect scores in the training set (accuracy: 1.000, AUC: 1.000) and high scores in the validation set (accuracy: 0.734, AUC: 0.733). The calibration curves indicated good predictive calibration of the model. SHAP analysis identified the top 8 predictive factors: urine output, mean heart rate, maximum urea nitrogen, minimum oxygen saturation, minimum mean blood pressure, maximum total bilirubin, mean respiratory rate, and minimum pH. In addition, SHAP and LIME performed in-depth individual case analyses. This study demonstrates the effectiveness of ML methods in predicting mortality risk in ICU patients with MTH. It highlights the importance of predictors like urine output and mean heart rate. SHAP and LIME significantly enhanced the model's interpretability.

Bile Acids and Bilirubin Role in Oxidative Stress and Inflammation in Cardiovascular Diseases

Bile acids (BAs) and bilirubin, primarily known for their role in lipid metabolism and as heme catabolite, respectively, have been found to have diverse effects on various physiological processes, including oxidative stress and inflammation. Indeed, accumulating evidence showed that the interplay between BAs and bilirubin in these processes involves intricate regulatory mechanisms mediated by specific receptors and signaling pathways under certain conditions and in specific contexts. Oxidative stress plays a significant role in the development and progression of cardiovascular diseases (CVDs) due to its role in inflammation, endothelial dysfunction, hypertension, and other risk factors. In the cardiovascular (CV) system, recent studies have suggested that BAs and bilirubin have some opposite effects related to oxidative and inflammatory mechanisms, but this area of research is still under investigation. This review aims to introduce BAs and bilirubin from a biochemical and physiological point of view, emphasizing their potential protective or detrimental effects on CVDs. Moreover, clinical studies that have assessed the association between BAs/bilirubin and CVD were examined in depth to better interpret the possible link between them.

Genetic prediction of causal association between serum bilirubin and hematologic malignancies: a two-sample Mendelian randomized and bioinformatics study

Introduction

An increasing number of cohort studies have shown a correlation between serum bilirubin and tumors, but no definitive causal relationship has been established between serum bilirubin and hematological malignancies.Therefore, the aim of the present study was to assess the causal relationship of serum bilirubin, including total bilirubin (TBIL) and direct bilirubin (DBIL), with hematological malignancies, including leukemia, lymphoma, and myeloma.

Methods

We used a genome-wide association study (GWAS) collection of TBIL, DBIL, and hematological malignancies data. Using two-sample Mendelian randomization(MR), we assessed the impact of TBIL and DBIL on hematological malignancies. For this study, the inverse variance weighting method (IVW) was the primary method of MR analysis. In the sensitivity analysis, the weighted median method, MR Egger regression, and MR-PRESSO test were used. To understand the mechanisms behind TBIL and DBIL, we used three different approaches based on screening single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) and their associated genes, followed by bioinformatics analysis.

Results

The IVW test results showed evidence of effects of TBIL (odds ratio [OR]: 4.47, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.58-12.62) and DBIL (OR: 3.31, 95% CI: 1.08-10.18) on the risk of acute myeloid leukemia (AML).The findings from bioinformatics indicated that TBIL could potentially undergo xenobiotic metabolism through cytochrome P450 and contribute to chemical carcinogenesis.

Discussion

In this study, two-sample MR analysis revealed a causal relationship between TBIL, DBIL, and AML.

Non-linear associations of circulating total bilirubin concentration with the risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease and all-cause mortality

INTRODUCTION AND OBJECTIVES

Accumulating evidence has supported that mild elevated total bilirubin exerts antioxidant and anti-inflammatory properties in multiple metabolic diseases. We aimed to explore the association of circulating total bilirubin concentration with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) risk and all-cause mortality and examine the potential nonlinear relationships between them.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

We used nationally representative data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES). NAFLD was assessed using the fatty liver index (FLI) and United States fatty liver index (USFLI), respectively.

RESULTS

A total of 35 912 and 17 329 participants were included in FLI-NAFLD (case with NAFLD was diagnosed by FLI) and USFLI-NAFLD (case with NAFLD was diagnosed by USFLI) groups, respectively. The mean age of total population was 46.25 years, and 48.51% were male. Compared to participants with lowest quintile of total bilirubin concentration, those with highest quintile had lower risk of NAFLD in both FLI-NAFLD (OR: 0.48, 95% CI: 0.40, 0.59) and USFLI-NAFLD (OR: 0.55, 95% CI: 0.43, 0.70) groups. Compared to participants with lowest quintile of total bilirubin concentration, the association between total bilirubin concentration and all-cause mortality was not significant among those with highest quintile of total bilirubin concentration (HR: 0.89, 95% CI: 0.66, 1.20). The restricted spline curves showed the nonlinear U-shaped association of total bilirubin concentration with NAFLD risk and all-cause mortality. The segmented linear regression analysis showed negative associations between total bilirubin concentration and risk of NAFLD in both FLI-NAFLD (OR: 0.94, 95% CI: 0.93, 0.95) and USFLI-NAFLD (OR: 0.95, 95% CI: 0.93, 0.96) groups when total bilirubin concentration was below the turning point (FLI-NAFLD: 18.81 μmol/L; USFLI-NAFLD: 15.39 μmol/L) and these associations were not significant when total bilirubin concentration was higher than the turning point. Furthermore, all-cause mortality decreased (OR: 0.97, 95%CI: 0.95, 1.00) with increased total bilirubin concentration up to the turning point (11.97 μmol/L), and then all-cause mortality increased with increasing total bilirubin concentration (OR: 1.03, 95%CI: 1.02, 1.04).

CONCLUSIONS

We found that higher circulating total bilirubin concentration within the physiological range was associated with decreased risk of NAFLD and all-cause mortality among NAFLD patients.

Prognostic significance of pretreatment albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade and platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade in patients with small cell lung cancer

Small cell lung cancer (SCLC) is a common cancer among the world's lung cancers. Despite advances in diagnosis and treatment, the prognosis is still poor. There is no effective biomarker other than stage in daily practice. However, in daily practice, patients may have different features and survival times even though they have the same stage. Previously, albumin-bilirubin (ALBI) grade, platelet-albumin-bilirubin (PALBI) grade were used to determine the prognosis of acute-chronic liver failure and acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding in liver cirrhosis. In subsequent studies, they were found to be associated with prognosis in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and other solid cancers. However, the prognostic relationship between ALBI grade, PALBI grade, and SCLC is unknown. Therefore, we conducted this study to examine the relationship between ALBI grade and PALBI grade and prognosis in SCLC patients. Data of 138 patients with advanced SCLC at diagnosis between 2009 and 2020 were analyzed retrospectively. The results of the multivariate analysis were as follows: ALBI grade 1 vs 2, hazard ratio (HR) = 1.608, p = 0.002 for OS and HR = 1.575, p = 0.002 for PFS; ALBI grade 1 vs 3, HR = 2.035, p < 0.001 for OS and HR = 2.675, p < 0.001 for PFS; PALBI grade 1 vs 2, HR = 1.302, p = 0.006 for OS and HR = 1.674, p = 0.002 for PFS; and PALBI grade 1 vs 3, HR = 1.725, p < 0.001 for OS and HR = 2.675, p < 0.001 for PFS. In conclusion, the ALBI and PALBI grades were determined to be associated with the prognosis of SCLC, and they can be used as easy, inexpensive, and practical markers in determining the follow-up treatment and prognosis of SCLC patients.

Correlation between pre-treatment serum total blood bilirubin and unconjugated bilirubin and prognosis in patients with colorectal cancer

BACKGROUND

Epidemiological studies have found that unconjugated bilirubin (UCB) levels are positively correlated with the incidence of colorectal cancer (CRC). Therefore, bilirubin may also play an important role in the prognosis of CRC.

AIM

To investigate the predictive value of total bilirubin (TBIL) and UCB in the prognosis of patients with CRC.

METHODS

A total of 142 CRC patients were selected as the research subjects in Jingxian Hospital, from October 2014 to May 2021. General and tumour-related clinical data at admission and the overall survival at 3 years after surgery were collected. The optimal cut-off values of TBIL and UCB were determined by receiver operating characteristic curve analysis. Univariate and multivariate Cox regression were used to analyse the effect of bilirubin level on the survival of CRC patients. The Kaplan-Meier method was used to assess the survival time.

RESULTS

The 3-year overall survival rate of CRC patients was significantly higher in the high TBIL (> 13.45 μmol/L) group than in the low TBIL (≤ 13.45 μmol/L) group (76.4% vs 37.1%; P < 0.05). The 3-year overall survival rate of CRC patients in the high UCB (> 10.75 μmol/L) group was significantly higher than that in the low UCB (≤ 10.75 μmol/L) group (83.3% vs 34.2%; P < 0.05). Multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that higher TBIL levels were an independent predictor of better prognosis in CRC patients (hazard ratio = 0.360, 95% confidence interval: 0.159-0.812, P = 0.014).

CONCLUSION

TBIL levels can be used as a prognostic indicator for CRC patients.

Development of artificial intelligence prognostic model for surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer

There are great expectations for artificial intelligence (AI) in medicine. We aimed to develop an AI prognostic model for surgically resected non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). This study enrolled 1049 patients with pathological stage I-IIIA surgically resected NSCLC at Kyushu University. We set 17 clinicopathological factors and 30 preoperative and 22 postoperative blood test results as explanatory variables. Disease-free survival (DFS), overall survival (OS), and cancer-specific survival (CSS) were set as objective variables. The eXtreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) was used as the machine learning algorithm. The median age was 69 (23-89) years, and 605 patients (57.7%) were male. The numbers of patients with pathological stage IA, IB, IIA, IIB, and IIIA were 553 (52.7%), 223 (21.4%), 100 (9.5%), 55 (5.3%), and 118 (11.2%), respectively. The 5-year DFS, OS, and CSS rates were 71.0%, 82.8%, and 88.7%, respectively. Our AI prognostic model showed that the areas under the curve of the receiver operating characteristic curves of DFS, OS, and CSS at 5 years were 0.890, 0.926, and 0.960, respectively. The AI prognostic model using XGBoost showed good prediction accuracy and provided accurate predictive probability of postoperative prognosis of NSCLC.

Machine learning application for predicting smoking cessation among US adults: An analysis of waves 1-3 of the PATH study

Identifying determinants of smoking cessation is critical for developing optimal cessation treatments and interventions. Machine learning (ML) is becoming more prevalent for smoking cessation success prediction in treatment programs. However, only individuals with an intention to quit smoking cigarettes participate in such programs, which limits the generalizability of the results. This study applies data from the Population Assessment of Tobacco and Health (PATH), a United States longitudinal nationally representative survey, to select primary determinants of smoking cessation and to train ML classification models for predicting smoking cessation among the general population. An analytical sample of 9,281 adult current established smokers from the PATH survey wave 1 was used to develop classification models to predict smoking cessation by wave 2. Random forest and gradient boosting machines were applied for variable selection, and the SHapley Additive explanation method was used to show the effect direction of the top-ranked variables. The final model predicted wave 2 smoking cessation for current established smokers in wave 1 with an accuracy of 72% in the test dataset. The validation results showed that a similar model could predict wave 3 smoking cessation of wave 2 smokers with an accuracy of 70%. Our analysis indicated that more past 30 days e-cigarette use at the time of quitting, fewer past 30 days cigarette use before quitting, ages older than 18 at smoking initiation, fewer years of smoking, poly tobacco past 30-days use before quitting, and higher BMI resulted in higher chances of cigarette cessation for adult smokers in the US.

Toward nanotechnology-enabled application of bilirubin in the treatment and diagnosis of various civilization diseases

Bilirubin, an open chain tetrapyrrole, has powerful antioxidant, anti-inflammatory, immuno-suppressive, metabolic-modulating and anti-proliferative activities. Bilirubin is a natural molecule that is produced and metabolized within the human body, making it highly biocompatible and well suited for clinical use. However, the use of bilirubin has been hampered by its poor water solubility and instability. With advanced construction strategies, bilirubin-derived nanoparticles (BRNPs) have not only overcome the disadvantages of bilirubin but also enhanced its therapeutic effects by targeting damaged tissues, passing through physiological barriers, and ensuring controlled sustained release. We review the mechanisms underlying the biological activities of bilirubin, BRNP preparation strategies and BRNP applications in various disease models. Based on their superior performance, BRNPs require further exploration of their efficacy, biodistribution and long-term biosafety in nonhuman primate models that recapitulate human disease to promote their clinical translation.

Non-linear association between body weight and functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke

This study aimed to determine whether body weight is associated with functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke. We measured the body mass index (BMI) and assessed clinical outcomes in patients with acute ischemic stroke. The BMI was categorized into underweight (< 18.5 kg/m²), normal weight (18.5-22.9 kg/m²), overweight (23.0-24.9 kg/m²), and obesity (≥ 25.0 kg/m²). The association between BMI and a poor functional outcome (modified Rankin Scale [mRS] score: 3-6) was evaluated. We included 11,749 patients with acute ischemic stroke (70.3 ± 12.2 years, 36.1% women). The risk of a 3-month poor functional outcome was higher for underweight, lower for overweight, and did not change for obesity in reference to a normal weight even after adjusting for covariates by logistic regression analysis. Restricted cubic splines and SHapley Additive exPlanation values in eXtreme Gradient Boosting model also showed non-linear relationships. Associations between BMI and a poor functional outcome were maintained even after excluding death (mRS score: 3-5) or including mild disability (mRS score: 2-6) as the outcome. The associations were strong in older patients, non-diabetic patients, and patients with mild stroke. Body weight has a non-linear relationship with the risk of a poor functional outcome after acute ischemic stroke.

Indirect bilirubin impairs invasion of osteosarcoma cells via inhibiting the PI3K/AKT/MMP-2 signaling pathway by suppressing intracellular ROS

Background

Osteosarcoma is most prevalently found primary malignant bone tumors, with primary metastatic patients accounting for approximately 25% of all osteosarcoma patients, yet their 5-year OS remains below 30%. Bilirubin plays a key role in oxidative stress-associated events, including malignancies, making the regulation of its serum levels a potential anti-tumor strategy. Herein, we investigated the association of osteosarcoma prognosis with serum levels of TBIL, IBIL and DBIL, and further explored the mechanisms by which bilirubin affects tumor invasion and migration.

Methods

ROC curve was plotted to assess survival conditions based on the determined optimal cut-off values and the AUC. Then, Kaplan-Meier curves, along with Cox proportional hazards model, was applied for survival analysis. Inhibitory function of IBIL on the malignant properties of osteosarcoma cells was examined using the qRT-PCR, transwell assays, western blotting, and flow cytometry.

Results

We found that, versus osteosarcoma patients with pre-operative higher IBIL (>8.9 μmol/L), those with low IBIL (≤8.9 μmol/L) had shorter OS and PFS. As indicated by the Cox proportional hazards model, pre-operative IBIL functioned as an independent prognostic factor for OS and PFS in total and gender-stratified osteosarcoma patients (P < 0.05 for all). In vitro experiments further confirmed that IBIL inhibits PI3K/AKT phosphorylation and downregulates MMP-2 expression via reducing intracellular ROS, thereby decreasing the invasion of osteosarcoma cells.

Conclusions

IBIL may serve as an independent prognostic predictor for osteosarcoma patients. IBIL impairs invasion of osteosarcoma cells through repressing the PI3K/AKT/MMP-2 pathway by suppressing intracellular ROS, thus inhibiting its metastatic potential.

Associations of Pre-Diagnostic Serum Levels of Total Bilirubin and Albumin With Lung Cancer Risk: Results From the Southern Community Cohort Study

Background

Previous studies conducted among European and Asian decedents reported inverse associations of serum total bilirubin and albumin with lung cancer risk. Yet, no study has been conducted among African Americans or low-income European Americans.

Methods

This study included 522 incident lung cancer cases and 979 matched controls nested in the Southern Community Cohort Study, a cohort of predominantly low-income African and European Americans. Serum levels of total bilirubin and albumin, collected up to 11 years prior to case diagnoses, were measured by a clinical chemistry analyzer. Conditional logistic regression models were applied to evaluate the associations of total bilirubin and albumin with lung cancer risk.

Results

Overall, serum levels of total bilirubin (ORT3 vs. T1 = 0.96, 95% CI: 0.66-1.39) were not significantly associated with lung cancer risk. However, higher levels of serum total bilirubin were significantly associated with decreased risk of lung cancer among participants who were diagnosed within two years following sample collection (ORT3 vs. T1 = 0.36, 95% CI: 0.15-0.87) and among former/never smokers (ORT3 vs. T1 = 0.54, 95% CI: 0.32-0.93). Serum levels of albumin were significantly associated with decreased risk of lung cancer overall (ORT3 vs. T1 = 0.70, 95% CI: 0.50-0.98) and among African Americans (ORT3 vs. T1 = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.41-0.96), but not among European Americans.

Conclusion

Our results indicate that in a low-income African American and European American population, serum levels of total bilirubin may be related to lung cancer progression and differ by smoking status. Meanwhile, the association of serum albumin levels with lung cancer risk may differ by race. Further studies are warranted to confirm these results.

Bile acids, bile pigments and colorectal cancer risk

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

The gut microbial co-metabolism of bile-derived compounds (e.g. bile acids and bile pigments) affects colorectal cancer (CRC) risk. Here, we review recent findings with focus on selected novel aspects of bile-associated effects with interesting but unclear implications on CRC risk.

RECENT FINDINGS

Numerous studies demonstrated novel biotransformation of bile acids by gut bacteria (e.g. microbial conjugation of bile acids), resulting in diverse bile acid compounds that show complex interactions with host receptors (e.g. FXR, TGR5). In addition, YAP-associated signalling in intestinal epithelial cells is modulated via bile acid receptor TGR5 and contributes to colonic tumorigenesis. Finally, studies indicate that serum levels of the bile pigment bilirubin are inversely associated with CRC risk or intestinal inflammation and that bilirubin affects gut microbiota composition.

SUMMARY

Bile acids and bile pigments have multiple effects on intestinal microbe-host interactions, which may collectively modulate long-term CRC risk of the host.

Serum Total Bilirubin and Risk of Cancer: A Swedish Cohort Study and Meta-Analysis

Simple Summary

Several studies published to date have shown inconclusive results in the association between serum bilirubin and risk of site-specific cancer types and overall cancer. Therefore, there is a need to further investigate this association. Data from the large Swedish Apolipoprotein Mortality Risk (AMORIS) cohort study was used. We found that overall high levels of bilirubin had no association with overall cancer risk. However, a positive association was found between melanoma and breast cancer risk. On the other hand, an inverse association was found between high levels of bilirubin and risk of gynecological and lung cancers. Further studies are required to establish if bilirubin can be used as a biomarker for risk assessment and/or as a novel therapeutic target.

Abstract

Bilirubin has strong antioxidant properties that have been hypothesized to be preventive against the development of cancer. Thus, we aimed to investigate the association between serum total bilirubin (STB) and risk of overall and site-specific cancers in the large Swedish Apolipoprotein Mortality Risk (AMORIS) cohort. We also performed a systematic review and meta-analysis for specific cancer types (colorectal, breast and lung). We found no association between high levels of STB and risk of overall cancer. Regarding site-specific cancer, there was an inverse association between increased STB and lung cancer (Hazard Ratio (HR) for the 4th quartile (Q4) vs. Q1: 0.50; 95%CI: 0.44–0.59) and gynecological cancer (HR for Q4 vs. Q1: 0.86; 95%CI: 0.76–0.99). A positive association was found with melanoma (HR for Q4 vs. Q1: 1.25; 95%CI: 1.06–1.47) and breast cancer (HR for Q4 vs. Q1: 1.13; 95%CI: 1.01–1.25) risk. The meta-analysis showed an inverse association between high levels of STB and risk of lung cancer (Relative risk (RR): 0.69; 95%CI: 0.55–0.86). No associations were seen for colorectal and breast cancer risk. Further studies are required to establish if bilirubin can be used as a biomarker for risk assessment and/or as a novel therapeutic target.