Carotid intima-media thickness predicts carotid plaque development: Meta-analysis of seven studies involving 9341 participants

The association of carotid plaque burden and composition and the coronary artery calcium score in intermediate cardiovascular risk patients

Both the carotid ultrasound and coronary artery calcium (CAC) score quantify subclinical atherosclerosis and are associated with cardiovascular disease and events. This study investigated the association between CAC score and carotid plaque quantity and composition. Adult participants (n = 43) without history of cardiovascular disease were recruited to undergo a carotid ultrasound. Maximum plaque height (MPH), total plaque area (TPA), carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT), and plaque score were measured. Grayscale pixel distribution analysis of ultrasound images determined plaque tissue composition. Participants then underwent CT to determine CAC score, which were also categorized as absent (0), mild (1-99), moderate (100-399), and severe (400+). Spearman correlation coefficients between carotid variables and CAC scores were computed. The mean age of participants was 63 ± 11 years. CIMT, TPA, MPH, and plaque score were significantly associated with CAC score (ρ = 0.60, p < 0.0001; ρ = 0.54, p = 0.0002; ρ = 0.38, p = 0.01; and ρ = 0.49, p = 0.001). Echogenic composition features %Calcium and %Fibrous tissue were not correlated to a clinically relevant extent. There was a significant difference in the TPA, MPH, and plaque scores of those with a severe CAC score category compared to lesser categories. While carotid plaque burden was associated with CAC score, plaque composition was not. Though CAC score reliably measures calcification, carotid ultrasound gives information on both plaque burden and composition. Carotid ultrasound with assessment of plaque features used in conjunction with traditional risk factors may be an alternative or additive to CAC scoring and could improve the prediction of cardiovascular events in the intermediate risk population.

Value of carotid intima thickness in assessing advanced carotid plaque vulnerability: a study based on carotid artery ultrasonography and carotid plaque histology

Background

Research has shown that carotid intima-media thickness (CIMT) could help to predict carotid plaque (CP) progression in patients with mild carotid stenosis. However, the debate continues as to the value of carotid intima thickness (CIT) in monitoring the development of CP in patients with severe carotid stenosis. This study sought to evaluate the relationships between CIT and the ultrasonic characteristics of CP and to analyze the value of CIT and the ultrasonic parameters of CP in assessing plaque vulnerability in advanced human carotid atherosclerosis.

Methods

A total of 55 individuals who underwent carotid endarterectomy (CEA) were included in the study (mean age: 65±7 years; female: 9.1%). CIMT and CIT were examined at the common carotid artery (CCA). Plaque textural features, such as the gray-scale median (GSM), superb microvascular imaging (SMI) level, and total plaque area (TPA), were also identified. A Spearman correlation coefficient analysis was performed to examine the relationship between CIT and the ultrasonic parameters of CP. The CIT of various plaque types was compared. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to analyze the diagnostic values of the ultrasound characteristics to evaluate CP vulnerability.

Results

The mean CIT of all the participants was 0.382±0.095 mm, the mean CIT of the participants with stable plaques was 0.328±0.031 mm, and the mean CIT of participants with vulnerable plaques was 0.424±0.106 mm (P<0.001). CIT was associated with the SMI level (Spearman's correlation coefficient: r=0.392, P=0.005), TPA (Spearman's correlation coefficient: r=0.337, P=0.012). Patients with thicker CIT had larger lipid cores, higher levels of plaque vulnerability, and more intraplaque hemorrhages (IPHs). The areas under the ROCs (AUCs) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for CIMT, CIT, the SMI level, the GSM, the TPA, and the combined model for identifying vulnerable plaques were 0.673 (0.533-0.793), 0.849 (0.727-0.932), 0.771 (0.629-0.879), 0.669 (0.529-0.790), 0.858 (0.738-0.938), and 0.949 (0.854-0.990), respectively.

Conclusions

CIT was associated with both the histology and ultrasonic features of CP. CIT may be helpful in the detection of severe CP development.

Extracranial carotid artery atherosclerotic plaque and APOE polymorphisms: a systematic review and meta-analysis

Introduction

Carotid atherosclerotic plaque is an important independent risk factor for stroke. Apolipoprotein E (APOE) influences cholesterol levels and certain isoforms are associated with increased carotid atherosclerosis, though the exact association between APOE and carotid plaque is uncertain. The study aimed to evaluate the association between APOE and carotid plaque.

Methods

A systematic review was performed to retrieve all studies which examined the association between carotid plaque and APOE. This study was conducted in accordance with the PRISMA guidelines. Independent readers extracted the relevant data from each study including the type of imaging assessment, plaque definition, frequency of APOE E4 carrier status and type of genotyping. Meta-analyses with an assessment of study heterogeneity and publication bias were performed. Results were presented in a forest plot and summarized using a random-effects model.

Results

After screening 838 studies, 17 studies were included for systematic review. A meta-analysis of 5 published studies showed a significant association between ε4 homozygosity and carotid plaque [odds ratio (OR), 1.53; 95% CI, 1.16, 2.02; p = .003]. Additionally, there was a significant association between patients possessing at least one ε4 allele, heterozygotes or homozygotes, and carotid plaque (OR, 1.25; 95% CI, 1.03, 1.52; p = .03). Lastly, there was no association between ε4 heterozygosity and carotid plaque (OR, 1.08; 95% CI, 0.93, 1.26; p = .30).

Conclusion

APOE ε4 allele is significantly associated with extracranial carotid atherosclerotic plaque, especially for homozygous individuals.

Risk factors and a prediction model for unruptured intracranial aneurysms in patients with ischemic stroke using carotid intima-media thickness and systemic atherosclerosis

Background

Systemic atherosclerosis and carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) have been widely used in clinical practice for ischemic stroke; however, little is known about the risk factors for unruptured intracranial aneurysms (UIAs) in patients with ischemic stroke (IS). Therefore, we performed this study to identify the risk factors and construct a prediction model for UIA in patients with IS.

Methods

Data were retrospectively collected from patients with IS from 2015 to 2022 at the First Hospital of Quanzhou City, Quanzhou, Fujian, China. Risk factors for UIA in patients with IS were identified using a multivariate logistic regression model, and a receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was applied to construct the prediction model.

Results

Out of the 122 patients with IS, 52 who presented with UIA (ISUIA) were categorized into the study group and the remaining 70 IS patients without UIA into the control group. Patients in the ISUIA group had lower carotid IMT and carotid artery plaque scores than those in the IS group (P < 0.05). Multivariate analyses found that aspirin use (OR: 12.987; P = 0.031), elevated C-reactive protein (CRP) level (OR: 1.019; P = 0.004), and carotid IMT > 0.09 mm (OR: 0.218; P < 0.001) were significantly associated with the risk of UIA in patients with IS. However, UIA in patients with IS was unaffected by the carotid artery plaque score (P = 0.114). The constricted prediction model based on the abovementioned factors for UIA in IS patients was 0.79 (95% CI: 0.71-0.87).

Conclusion

The findings revealed that the risk factors for UIA in patients with IS included aspirin use, elevated CRP level, and smaller carotid IMT, and the predictive value of the prediction model was relatively better.

Factors associated with carotid intima-media thickness progression in patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia: insights from the PRIZE study

Hyperuricemia is reportedly associated with the progression of carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), a surrogate of cardiovascular risks and events. However, factors associated with carotid IMT progression in patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia are largely unknown. In this post-hoc analysis of the multicenter, randomized PRIZE study, we analyzed data from a total of 326 patients who underwent carotid ultrasonography in a blind manner at baseline and 24 months to evaluate carotid IMT. Mean and maximum IMT at the common carotid artery (CCA) were measured at a central core laboratory. Factors related to the absolute change in mean and maximum IMT from baseline to 24 months were explored. Overall, the adjusted mean [0.0032 (- 0.0214 to 0.0278) mm] and maximum [0.0011 (- 0.0327 to 0.0351) mm] CCA-IMT increased numerically from baseline to 24 months. Multivariable analysis identified higher body mass index, history of atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (ASCVD), and lower mean CCA-IMT at baseline as significant factors associated with the increase in mean CCA-IMT. In addition, older age and lower mean CCA-IMT at baseline were significant factors for an increased absolute change in the maximum CCA-IMT at 24 months. The present sub-analysis of the PRIZE study showed higher body mass index, history of ASCVD, and older age as significant factors associated with CCA-IMT progression in patients with asymptomatic hyperuricemia. These factors may be considered when identifying the possible risk of atherosclerotic progression in this specific patient population of hyperuricemia.Trial registration: UMIN000012911 and UMIN000041322.

Association of Intima-Media Thickness Measured at the Common Carotid Artery With Incident Carotid Plaque: Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis of 20 Prospective Studies

Background The association between common carotid artery intima-media thickness (CCA-IMT) and incident carotid plaque has not been characterized fully. We therefore aimed to precisely quantify the relationship between CCA-IMT and carotid plaque development. Methods and Results We undertook an individual participant data meta-analysis of 20 prospective studies from the Proof-ATHERO (Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis) consortium that recorded baseline CCA-IMT and incident carotid plaque involving 21 494 individuals without a history of cardiovascular disease and without preexisting carotid plaque at baseline. Mean baseline age was 56 years (SD, 9 years), 55% were women, and mean baseline CCA-IMT was 0.71 mm (SD, 0.17 mm). Over a median follow-up of 5.9 years (5th-95th percentile, 1.9-19.0 years), 8278 individuals developed first-ever carotid plaque. We combined study-specific odds ratios (ORs) for incident carotid plaque using random-effects meta-analysis. Baseline CCA-IMT was approximately log-linearly associated with the odds of developing carotid plaque. The age-, sex-, and trial arm-adjusted OR for carotid plaque per SD higher baseline CCA-IMT was 1.40 (95% CI, 1.31-1.50; I²=63.9%). The corresponding OR that was further adjusted for ethnicity, smoking, diabetes, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, low- and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and lipid-lowering and antihypertensive medication was 1.34 (95% CI, 1.24-1.45; I²=59.4%; 14 studies; 16 297 participants; 6381 incident plaques). We observed no significant effect modification across clinically relevant subgroups. Sensitivity analysis restricted to studies defining plaque as focal thickening yielded a comparable OR (1.38 [95% CI, 1.29-1.47]; I²=57.1%; 14 studies; 17 352 participants; 6991 incident plaques). Conclusions Our large-scale individual participant data meta-analysis demonstrated that CCA-IMT is associated with the long-term risk of developing first-ever carotid plaque, independent of traditional cardiovascular risk factors.

The personality meta-trait of stability and carotid artery atherosclerosis

BACKGROUND

Several personality traits increase the risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease. Because many of these traits are correlated, their associations with disease risk could reflect shared variance, rather than unique contributions of each trait. We examined a higher-order personality trait of Stability as related to preclinical atherosclerosis and tested whether any such relationship might be explained by correlated variation in cardiometabolic risk factors.

METHOD

Among 798 community volunteers, lower-order traits of Neuroticism, Agreeableness, and Conscientiousness were modeled as latent variables (from self- and informant ratings) and used to estimate the second-order factor, Stability. Cardiometabolic risk was similarly modeled from indicators of glycemic control, blood pressure, adiposity, and lipids. Carotid artery atherosclerosis was measured as intima-media thickness (IMT) by duplex ultrasonography.

RESULT

A structural equation model incorporating direct and indirect effects showed lower Stability associated with greater IMT, and this relationship was accounted for by the indirect pathway via cardiometabolic risk. Secondary analyses showed that: (1) Neuroticism, Agreeableness, and Conscientiousness were unrelated to IMT independent of Stability; and (2) Stability predicted variation in IMT when estimated from informant-, but not self-rated, traits.

CONCLUSION

Personality traits may associate with atherosclerotic burden through their shared, rather than unique, variance, as reflected in Stability.

Plasma Campesterol Is Positively Associated with Carotid Plaques in Asymptomatic Subjects

BACKGROUND

Increased cholesterol absorption and reduced synthesis are processes that have been associated with cardiovascular disease risk in a controversial way. However, most of the studies involving markers of cholesterol synthesis and absorption include conditions, such as obesity, diabetes, dyslipidemia, which can be confounding factors. The present study aimed at investigating the relationships of plasma cholesterol synthesis and absorption markers with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors, cIMT (carotid intima-media thickness), and the presence of carotid plaques in asymptomatic subjects.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was carried out in 270 asymptomatic individuals and anthropometrical parameters, fasting plasma lipids, glucometabolic profiles, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP), markers of cholesterol synthesis (desmosterol and lathosterol), absorption (campesterol and sitosterol), cIMT, and the presence of atherosclerotic plaques were analyzed.

RESULTS

Among the selected subjects aged between 19 and 75 years, 51% were females. Age, body mass index, systolic and diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, non-HDL-C, triglycerides, glucose, and lathosterol/sitosterol ratios correlated positively with cIMT (p ≤ 0.05). Atherosclerotic plaques were present in 19% of the subjects. A direct association of carotid plaques with campesterol, OR = 1.71 (95% CI = 1.04-2.82, p ≤ 0.05) and inverse associations with both ratios lathosterol/campesterol, OR = 0.29 (CI = 0.11-0.80, p ≤ 0.05) and lathosterol/sitosterol, OR = 0.45 (CI = 0.22-0.95, p ≤ 0.05) were observed in univariate logistic regression analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings suggested that campesterol may be associated with atherosclerotic plaques and the lathosterol/campesterol or sitosterol ratios suggested an inverse association. Furthermore, synthesis and absorption of cholesterol are inverse processes, and the absorption marker, campesterol, may reflect changes in body cholesterol homeostasis with atherogenic potential.

Pathophysiological and clinical aspects of the circadian rhythm of arterial stiffness in diabetes mellitus: A minireview

Several cross-sectional trials have revealed increased arterial stiffness connected with the cardiac autonomic neuropathy in types 2 and 1 diabetic patients. The pathophysiological relationship between arterial stiffness and autonomic dysfunction in diabetes mellitus is still underinvestigated and the question whether the presence of cardiac autonomic neuropathy leads to arterial stiffening or increased arterial stiffness induced autonomic nervous system impairment is still open. Both arterial stiffness and dysfunction of the autonomic nervous system have common pathogenetic pathways, counting state of the chronic hyperinsulinemia and hyperglycemia, increased formation of advanced glycation end products, activation of protein kinase C, development of endothelial dysfunction, and chronic low-grade inflammation. Baroreceptor dysfunction is thought to be one of the possible reasons for the arterial wall stiffening development and progression. On the contrary, violated autonomic nervous system function can affect the vascular tone and by this way alter the large arteries walls elastic properties. Another possible mechanism of attachment and/or development of arterial stiffness is the increased heart rate and autonomic dysfunction corresponding progression. This minireview analyzes the current state of the relationship between the diabetes mellitus and the arterial stiffness. Particular attention is paid to the analysis, interpretation, and application of the results obtained in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus and diabetic cardiac autonomic neuropathy.

Evaluate the elasticity of carotid artery in the type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease by two-dimensional strain imaging

To evaluate carotid elasticity by using two-dimensional strain imaging (2DSI) in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients with nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). 98 patients with T2DM diagnosed in our hospital were selected. All the patients were without carotid plaque, which were proved by carotid ultrasonography. According to the fatty liver classification standard, patients were divided into three groups. There were 35 cases without NAFLD in group A, 33 cases with mild NAFLD in group B and 30 cases with moderate to severe NAFLD in group C. By using two-dimensional and M-mode ultrasound to measure the left carotid intima-media thickness (IMT), common carotid arterial systolic diameter (Ds) and diastolic diameter (Dd). The systolic peak velocity was measured by spectral Doppler ultrasound. The systolic global peak circumferential strain (CS), early and late systolic global circumferential strain rate (CSr) were measured by 2DSI. The stiffness parameters β1 and β2 were calculated by M-mode ultrasound and 2DSI separately. Among three groups, the Ds, Dd and systolic peak velocity showed no significant difference (all P > .05). In group C, IMT and β1 were obviously increased than those of groups A and B (all P < .05). Compared groups A and B, there were no significant difference in IMT and β1 (all P > .05). β2 was higher in groups B and C than those in group A, CS, CSr were lower in groups B and C than those in group A (both P > .05). The carotid elasticity of T2DM patients with NAFLD can be evaluated by 2DSI.

Multivariate Brain Activity while Viewing and Reappraising Affective Scenes Does Not Predict the Multiyear Progression of Preclinical Atherosclerosis in Otherwise Healthy Midlife Adults

Cognitive reappraisal is an emotion regulation strategy that is postulated to reduce risk for atherosclerotic cardiovascular disease (CVD), particularly the risk due to negative affect. At present, however, the brain systems and vascular pathways that may link reappraisal to CVD risk remain unclear. This study thus tested whether brain activity evoked by using reappraisal to reduce negative affect would predict the multiyear progression of a vascular marker of preclinical atherosclerosis and CVD risk: carotid artery intima-media thickness (CA-IMT). Participants were 176 otherwise healthy adults (50.6% women; aged 30-51 years) who completed a functional magnetic resonance imaging task involving the reappraisal of unpleasant scenes from the International Affective Picture System. Ultrasonography was used to compute CA-IMT at baseline and a median of 2.78 (interquartile range, 2.67 to 2.98) years later among 146 participants. As expected, reappraisal engaged brain systems implicated in emotion regulation. Reappraisal also reduced self-reported negative affect. On average, CA-IMT progressed over the follow-up period. However, multivariate and cross-validated machine-learning models demonstrated that brain activity during reappraisal failed to predict CA-IMT progression. Contrary to hypotheses, brain activity during cognitive reappraisal to reduce negative affect does not appear to forecast the progression of a vascular marker of CVD risk.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1007/s42761-021-00098-y.

Association of traditional risk factors with carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque in asymptomatic individuals with a family history of premature cardiovascular disease

The use of imaging to detect subclinical atherosclerosis helps to inform decision-making in people classified as having intermediate risk for cardiovascular disease (CVD). This study sought to use carotid plaque as an alternative to carotid intima media thickness (cIMT). Carotid ultrasound for assessment of cIMT and plaque was obtained in 1031 people (53 years, 61% female) with a family history of atherosclerotic CVD. The association of baseline characteristics and standard atherosclerotic risk factors (RFs) were sought with abnormal cIMT and plaque. The strongest association of plaque was a history of hypertension (odds ratio [OR] 1.87 (1.02-3.42), followed by age (OR 1.08 [95% CI 1.02-1.13]). For cIMT, the strongest association was smoking history (OR 1.57 [1.13-2.19]). The area under the receiver operator curve for the presence of plaque was 0.74 (95% CI 0.68-0.81, p < 0.001) and 0.65 (95% CI 0.61-0.70, p < 0.001) for cIMT elevation. Isolated elevation of cIMT (n = 178) was associated with increased total cholesterol, body mass index (BMI) and systolic blood pressure (SBP). Plaque only (n = 29) was associated with hypertension, male sex and older age. The presence of both markers abnormal (n = 22) was associated with a history of smoking. The absence of either abnormal cIMT or plaque (n = 773), was inversely associated with current or past smoking, SBP and BMI. Abnormalities in carotid vessels are present in a minority of intermediate risk patients with familial premature disease. The associations with RFs differ and are more closely associated with plaque.

Carotid Artery Plaque Progression: Proposal of a New Predictive Score and Role of Carotid Intima-Media Thickness

Background: We aimed to investigate if the carotid intima-media thickness (IMT) at baseline and the HAD₂S score, composed of the sum of single risk factors (hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes, dyslipidemia, smoking), were predictive of plaque progression. Methods: We performed a retrospective analysis on real-life prospectively collected data from patients with any detectable carotid plaque at follow up. The plaque score, calculated at baseline (T0) and at a median follow up of 36.6 months (IQR 39.6–34.3) (T3), was defined as 0: no plaque or stenosis < 30%; 1: stenosis in the range 30–49%; 2: in the range 50–69%; 3: in the range 70–99% and 4: occlusion. Carotid IMT was measured at T0 and T3; HAD₂S score was calculated at baseline. Results: We included 340 patients with a mean age of 69.9 (9.1) years and 25.3% subjects had plaque progression. Individuals with progression had a median HAD₂S score of 3 (1) while those without progression had 2 (1). Patients with progression had a mean baseline IMT of 0.86 (0.17) while those without progression had 0.77 (0.18) (p < 0.0001). A correlation between progression and baseline IMT was found (p = 0.002). Conclusion: Baseline IMT could be considered a predictor of progression. Patients with progression had an HAD₂S score higher than those without evolution.

Integrating multiple brain imaging modalities does not boost prediction of subclinical atherosclerosis in midlife adults

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Brain measures from MRI do not improve Framingham Risk Score prediction of CA-IMT.

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Prediction stacking is a flexible approach to determine added predictive utility.

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Multimodal stacking can be applied to individual difference factors.

Background

Human neuroimaging evidence suggests that cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk may relate to functional and structural features of the brain. The present study tested whether combining functional and structural (multimodal) brain measures, derived from magnetic resonance imaging (MRI), would yield a multivariate brain biomarker that reliably predicts a subclinical marker of CVD risk, carotid-artery intima-media thickness (CA-IMT).

Methods

Neuroimaging, cardiovascular, and demographic data were assessed in 324 midlife and otherwise healthy adults who were free of (a) clinical CVD and (b) use of medications for chronic illnesses (aged 30–51 years, 49% female). We implemented a prediction stacking algorithm that combined multimodal brain imaging measures and Framingham Risk Scores (FRS) to predict CA-IMT. We included imaging measures that could be easily obtained in clinical settings: resting state functional connectivity and structural morphology measures from T1-weighted images.

Results

Our models reliably predicted CA-IMT using FRS, as well as for several individual MRI measures; however, none of the individual MRI measures outperformed FRS. Moreover, stacking functional and structural brain measures with FRS did not boost prediction accuracy above that of FRS alone.

Conclusions

Combining multimodal functional and structural brain measures through a stacking algorithm does not appear to yield a reliable brain biomarker of subclinical CVD, as reflected by CA-IMT.

Differential association of flow velocities in the carotid artery with plaques, intima media thickness and cardiac function

Background and aims

We aimed to determine the association of carotid intima media thickness (CIMT), carotid plaques, and heart function with peak systolic velocity (PSV) of the common (CCA) and internal carotid artery (ICA) in a cross-sectional study.

Methods

In the population-based Hamburg-City-Health-Study participants between 45 and 74 years were recruited. Cardio-vascular risk factors were assessed by history, blood samples, and clinical examination. CIMT, plaques, and PSV were determined by carotid ultrasound. Serum N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was determined as a biomarker for cardiac dysfunction, and left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was quantified by echocardiography. Participants with carotid stenosis were excluded. Data were analyzed by multivariate linear regression.

Results

We included 8567 participants, median age was 62 years, 51.8% were women. Median CIMT was 0.75 mm, NT-proBNP 80 pg/ml, LVEF 58.5%, and 30.4% had carotid plaques. For women PSV decreased in decades from 89 to 73 cm/s in CCAs and 78 to 66 cm/s in ICAs, and for men from 91 to 76 cm/s in CCAs and from 70 to 66 cm/s in ICAs. Corrected for age, sex, red blood cell count, and blood pressure, in CCAs lower PSV was associated with carotid plaques (p < 0.001; β = -0.03), lower CIMT (p = 0.005; β = 0.007), higher levels of log-transformed NT-proBNP (p < 0.001; β = -0.01), and lower LVEF (p < 0.001; β = 0.01). In ICAs, lower PSV was independently associated with lower CIMT (p < 0.001; β = 0.02) and lower EF (p = 0.001; β = 0.007).

Conclusions

Markers of cardiac dysfunction and plaques are associated with lower and CIMT with higher flow velocities in the carotid arteries.

Clinical Trial Registration

http://www.clinicaltrials.gov, NCT03934957.

Intake of food rich in saturated fat in relation to subclinical atherosclerosis and potential modulating effects from single genetic variants

The relationship between intake of saturated fats and subclinical atherosclerosis, as well as the possible influence of genetic variants, is poorly understood and investigated. We aimed to investigate this relationship, with a hypothesis that it would be positive, and to explore whether genetics may modulate it, using data from a European cohort including 3,407 participants aged 54–79 at high risk of cardiovascular disease. Subclinical atherosclerosis was assessed by carotid intima-media thickness (C-IMT), measured at baseline and after 30 months. Logistic regression (OR; 95% CI) was employed to assess the association between high intake of food rich in saturated fat (vs. low) and: (1) the mean and the maximum values of C-IMT in the whole carotid artery (C-IMT_mean, C-IMT_max), in the bifurcation (Bif-), the common (CC-) and internal (ICA-) carotid arteries at baseline (binary, cut-point ≥ 75th), and (2) C-IMT progression (binary, cut-point > zero). For the genetic-diet interaction analyses, we considered 100,350 genetic variants. We defined interaction as departure from additivity of effects. After age- and sex-adjustment, high intake of saturated fat was associated with increased C-IMT_mean (OR:1.27;1.06–1.47), CC-IMT_mean (OR:1.22;1.04–1.44) and ICA-IMT_mean (OR:1.26;1.07–1.48). However, in multivariate analysis results were no longer significant. No clear associations were observed between high intake of saturated fat and risk of atherosclerotic progression. There was no evidence of interactions between high intake of saturated fat and any of the genetic variants considered, after multiple testing corrections. High intake of saturated fats was not independently associated with subclinical atherosclerosis. Moreover, we did not identify any significant genetic-dietary fat interactions in relation to risk of subclinical atherosclerosis.

The Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis (Proof-ATHERO) Consortium: Design and Rationale

Atherosclerosis - the pathophysiological mechanism shared by most cardiovascular diseases - can be directly or indirectly assessed by a variety of clinical tests including measurement of carotid intima-media thickness, carotid plaque, -ankle-brachial index, pulse wave velocity, and coronary -artery calcium. The Prospective Studies of Atherosclerosis -(Proof-ATHERO) consortium (https://clinicalepi.i-med.ac.at/research/proof-athero/) collates de-identified individual-participant data of studies with information on atherosclerosis measures, risk factors for cardiovascular disease, and incidence of cardiovascular diseases. It currently comprises 74 studies that involve 106,846 participants from 25 countries and over 40 cities. In summary, 21 studies recruited participants from the general population (n = 67,784), 16 from high-risk populations (n = 22,677), and 37 as part of clinical trials (n = 16,385). Baseline years of contributing studies range from April 1980 to July 2014; the latest follow-up was until June 2019. Mean age at baseline was 59 years (standard deviation: 10) and 50% were female. Over a total of 830,619 person-years of follow-up, 17,270 incident cardiovascular events (including coronary heart disease and stroke) and 13,270 deaths were recorded, corresponding to cumulative incidences of 2.1% and 1.6% per annum, respectively. The consortium is coordinated by the Clinical Epidemiology Team at the Medical University of Innsbruck, Austria. Contributing studies undergo a detailed data cleaning and harmonisation procedure before being incorporated in the Proof-ATHERO central database. Statistical analyses are being conducted according to pre-defined analysis plans and use established methods for individual-participant data meta-analysis. Capitalising on its large sample size, the multi-institutional collaborative Proof-ATHERO consortium aims to better characterise, understand, and predict the development of atherosclerosis and its clinical consequences.

Carotid intima-media thickness predicts carotid plaque development: Meta-analysis of seven studies involving 9341 participants

BACKGROUND

Carotid intima-media thickness and carotid plaque are well-established imaging markers used to capture different stages of the atherosclerotic disease process. We aimed to quantify to which extent carotid intima-media thickness predicts incidence of first-ever carotid plaque.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two independent reviewers conducted a comprehensive literature search of PubMed and Web of Science. To be eligible for inclusion, prospective studies were required to involve participants free of carotid plaque at baseline and report on the association of baseline carotid intima-media thickness with development of first-ever carotid plaque. Study-specific relative risks and 95% confidence intervals were collected and pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.

RESULTS

We identified seven relevant prospective studies involving a total of 9341 participants. Individuals were recruited between 1987 and 2012, average age at baseline was 54 years, and 63% were female. Studies reported on 1288 incident first-ever carotid plaques, occurring over an average maximum follow-up of 8.7 years. When individuals in the top fourth of baseline carotid intima-media thickness distribution were compared with those in the bottom fourth, the pooled relative risk for incidence of first-ever carotid plaque was 1.78 (95% confidence interval: 1.53-2.07, P < .001, I²  = 2.8%). The strength of association was not modified by mean baseline age, proportion of female participants, length of follow-up, year of baseline, and geographical location of the studies.

CONCLUSIONS

In general population studies, elevated baseline carotid intima-media thickness is associated with incidence of carotid plaque in individuals free of carotid plaque at baseline.