Phenotypic adaptation to temperature in the mosquito vector, Aedes aegypti

Evolution and adaptation of dengue virus in response to high-temperature passaging in mosquito cells

The incidence of arboviral diseases like dengue, chikungunya, and yellow fever continues to rise in association with the expanding geographic ranges of their vectors, Aedes aegypti and Aedes albopictus. The distribution of these vectors is believed to be driven in part by climate change and increasing urbanization. Arboviruses navigate a wide range of temperatures as they transition from ectothermic vectors (from 15°C to 35°C) to humans (37°C) and back again, but the role that temperature plays in driving the evolution of arboviruses remains largely unknown. Here, we passaged replicate dengue serotype-2 virus populations 10 times at either 26°C (Low) or 37°C (High) in C6/36 Aedes albopictus cells to explore the differences in adaptation to these thermal environments. We then deep-sequenced the resulting passaged dengue virus populations and tested their replicative fitness in an all-cross temperature regime. We also assessed the ability of the passaged viruses to replicate in the insect vector. While viruses from both thermal regimes accumulated substitutions, only those reared in the 37°C treatments exhibited nonsynonymous changes, including several in the E, or envelope protein, and multiple non-structural genes. Passaging at the higher temperature also led to reduced replicative ability at 26°C in both cells and mosquitoes. One of the mutations in the E gene involved the loss of a glycosylation site previously shown to reduce infectivity in the vector. These findings suggest that viruses selected for growth at higher ambient temperatures may experience tradeoffs between thermostability and replication in the vector. Such associations might also have implications for the suitability of virus transmission under a changing climate.

Mean daily temperatures predict the thermal limits of malaria transmission better than hourly rate summation

Temperature shapes the geographic distribution, seasonality, and magnitude of mosquito-borne disease outbreaks. Models predicting transmission often use mosquito and pathogen thermal responses measured at constant temperatures. However, mosquitoes live in fluctuating temperatures. Rate summation--non-linear averaging of trait values measured at constant temperatures-is commonly used to infer performance in fluctuating environments, but its accuracy is rarely validated. We measured three traits that impact transmission-bite rate, survival, fecundity-in a malaria mosquito (Anopheles stephensi) across three diurnal temperature ranges (0, 9, and 12 °C). We compared transmission thermal suitability models with temperature-trait relationships observed under constant temperatures, fluctuating temperatures, and those predicted by rate summation. We mapped results across An. stephenesi's native Asian and invasive African ranges. We found: 1) daily temperature fluctuation trait values substantially differ from both constant temperature experiments and rate summation; 2) rate summation partially captured decreases in performance near thermal optima, yet incorrectly predicted increases near thermal limits; and 3) while thermal suitability across constant temperatures did not perfectly capture fluctuating environments, it was better than rate summation for estimating and mapping thermal limits. Our study provides insight into methods for predicting mosquito-borne disease risk and emphasizes the need to improve understanding of organismal performance under fluctuating conditions.

Rapid molecular method for early detection of the invasive mosquito Aedes aegypti (Linnaeus, 1762) at Points of Entry

In recent years, globalization and climate change have led to a rise in the number of imported cases of Aedes-diseases in Europe, resulting in increased frequency and magnitude of local transmissions due to the presence of competent vectors. Recently, Italy has experienced the establishment of three exotic Aedes mosquitoes relevant to human health, Aedes albopictus, Aedes koreicus and Aedes japonicus. Aedes aegypti, the primary vector of dengue and yellow fever, distributed in tropical and subtropical regions, has recently reappeared in Europe and the risk for its re-introduction in Italy is high given the climatic conditions suitable for the species. To address the risk of introduction and spread of Aedes-diseases, the Health Authorities recommend the strengthening of entomological surveillance at regional level, particularly in strategic areas and Points of Entry, such as ports and airports. In 2021, a Korean research team developed a multiplex-PCR assay for the identification of six Aedini species, not including Ae. aegypti. In the present study, the previous diagnostic test was improved by designing reverse primers for the identification of Ae. aegypti and Aedes geniculatus. This latter native mosquito lays eggs morphologically similar to those of invasive species with which it can sometimes be found in sympatry. Furthermore, a ten-minute DNA extraction method was implemented. The results obtained demonstrate a perfect diagnostic capacity and sensitivity of the method in discriminating the five species tested. Here, findings of a sensitive, rapid and cost-effective molecular assay developed for the early identification of invasive species at high-risk sites are shown.

Exploiting Wolbachia as a Tool for Mosquito-Borne Disease Control: Pursuing Efficacy, Safety, and Sustainability

Despite the application of control measures, mosquito-borne diseases continue to pose a serious threat to human health. In this context, exploiting Wolbachia, a common symbiotic bacterium in insects, may offer effective solutions to suppress vectors or reduce their competence in transmitting several arboviruses. Many Wolbachia strains can induce conditional egg sterility, known as cytoplasmic incompatibility (CI), when infected males mate with females that do not harbor the same Wolbachia infection. Infected males can be mass-reared and then released to compete with wild males, reducing the likelihood of wild females encountering a fertile mate. Furthermore, certain Wolbachia strains can reduce the competence of mosquitoes to transmit several RNA viruses. Through CI, Wolbachia-infected individuals can spread within the population, leading to an increased frequency of mosquitoes with a reduced ability to transmit pathogens. Using artificial methods, Wolbachia can be horizontally transferred between species, allowing the establishment of various laboratory lines of mosquito vector species that, without any additional treatment, can produce sterilizing males or females with reduced vector competence, which can be used subsequently to replace wild populations. This manuscript reviews the current knowledge in this field, describing the different approaches and evaluating their efficacy, safety, and sustainability. Successes, challenges, and future perspectives are discussed in the context of the current spread of several arboviral diseases, the rise of insecticide resistance in mosquito populations, and the impact of climate change. In this context, we explore the necessity of coordinating efforts among all stakeholders to maximize disease control. We discuss how the involvement of diverse expertise-ranging from new biotechnologies to mechanistic modeling of eco-epidemiological interactions between hosts, vectors, Wolbachia, and pathogens-becomes increasingly crucial. This coordination is especially important in light of the added complexity introduced by Wolbachia and the ongoing challenges posed by global change.

Assessing Temperature-Dependent Deltamethrin Toxicity in Various kdr Genotypes of Aedes aegypti Mosquitoes

Insecticide resistance surveillance systems for vector-borne diseases are crucial for early detection of resistance and the implementation of evidence-based resistance management strategies. While insecticide susceptibility bioassays are typically conducted under controlled laboratory conditions, mosquitoes in the field experience varying environmental conditions, with temperature being a key determinant. Understanding the relationship between temperature and insecticide toxicity is essential for interpreting and extrapolating assay results across different climate zones or more locally across days with different weather conditions. In this study, we examined Aedes aegypti mosquitoes with different genetic backgrounds of insecticide resistance. Mosquitoes were homozygous for the knockdown resistance (kdr) F1534C mutation, plus either (1) homozygous for the kdr 1016V wildtype allele, (2) homozygous for the kdr V1016I mutant allele, or (3) heterozygous genetic crosses. These three genotypes were exposed to deltamethrin using WHO tube tests at three temperatures (22 °C, 27 °C, and 32 °C) and varying dosages. LC50 values were determined for each genotype and temperature combination. A negative temperature coefficient was observed exclusively in female mosquitoes homozygous for the 1016V wildtype allele, indicating reduced pyrethroid toxicity at higher temperatures. No temperature-toxicity relationship was found in males of this genotype or in other genotypes of either sex. These findings suggest that temperature may interact with kdr mutations and possibly even sex, highlighting the complex interactions between genetic mutations and environmental factors, such as temperature, in determining the insecticide resistance phenotype. Given the wide distribution of Ae. aegypti, understanding how local climate conditions influence insecticide performance will help improve control strategies and slow resistance evolution, protecting public health efforts against mosquito-borne diseases.

Study of Bacterial Communities in Water and Different Developmental Stages of Aedes aegypti from Aquatic Breeding Sites in Leticia City, Colombian Amazon Biome

Aedes aegypti is a key vector in the transmission of arboviral diseases in the Colombian Amazon. This study aimed to characterize microbiota composition using DNA extracted from water in artificial breeding sites, immature stages, and adults of Ae. aegypti in Leticia, Amazonas. Additionally, the physicochemical water variables were correlated with the bacterial communities present. Eight artificial breeding sites were identified, with bucket, plant pot, and tire being the most frequent. The breeding sites exhibited similar physicochemical profiles, with significant temperature and salinity differences (p-value < 0.03). The most representative bacterial genera included Ottowia (82%), Xanthobacter (70.59%), and Rhodocyclaceae (92.78%) in breeding site water; Aquabacterium (61.07%), Dechloromonas (82.85%), and Flectobacillus (58.94%) in immature stages; and Elizabethkingia (70.89%) and Cedecea (39.19%) in males and females of Ae. aegypti. Beta diversity analysis revealed distinct clustering between adults and the water and immature communities (p-value < 0.001). Multivariate analysis showed strong correlations among bacterial communities, breeding sites, and physicochemical variables such as tire and drum cover which exhibited high levels of total dissolved solids, conductivity, and salinity associated with Flectobacillus, Leifsonia, Novosphingobium, Ottowia, and Rhodobacter. Bacterial genera such as Mycobacterium, Escherichia, Salmonella, and Clostridium, present in artificial breeding sites, are associated with public health relevance. This study provides insights into bacterial community dynamics across Ae. aegypti's life cycle and underscores the importance of water physicochemical and biological characteristics for developing new vector control strategies.

Prolonged exposure to heat enhances mosquito tolerance to viral infection

How and to what extent mosquito-virus interaction is influenced by climate change is a complex question of ecological and epidemiological relevance. We worked at the intersection between thermal biology and vector immunology and studied shifts in tolerance and resistance to the cell fusing agent virus (CFAV), a prominent component of the mosquito virome known to contribute to shaping mosquito vector competence, in warm-acclimated and warm-evolved Aedes albopictus mosquitoes. We show that the length of the thermal challenge influences the outcome of the infection with warm-evolved mosquitoes being more tolerant to CFAV infection, while warm-acclimated mosquitoes being more resistant and suffering from extensive fitness costs. These results highlight the importance of considering fluctuations in vector immunity in relation to the length of a thermal challenge to understand natural variation in vector response to viruses and frame realistic transmission models.

Elevated developmental temperatures below the lethal limit reduce Aedes aegypti fertility

Aedes aegypti mosquitoes are the principal vectors of dengue and continue to pose a threat to human health, with ongoing urbanization, climate change and trade all impacting the distribution and abundance of this species. Hot periods are becoming increasingly common and their impacts on insect mortality have been well established, but they may have even greater impacts on insect fertility. In this study, we investigated the impacts of high temperatures on Ae. aegypti fertility both within and across generations. Mosquitoes developing under elevated temperatures exhibited higher critical thermal maxima (CTmax), reflecting developmental acclimation, but their fertility declined with increasing developmental temperature. In females, elevated developmental temperatures decreased fecundity while in males it tended to decrease the proportion of eggs that hatched and the proportion of individuals producing viable offspring. Rearing both sexes at 35°C increased fecundity in the subsequent generation but effects of elevated temperatures persisted across gonotrophic cycles within the same generation. Moreover, exposure of adults to 35°C further decreased fertility beyond the effects of developmental temperature alone. These findings highlight sub-lethal impacts of elevated temperatures on Ae. aegypti fertility and plastic responses to thermal stress within and across generations. This has significant implications for predicting the distribution and abundance of mosquito populations thriving in increasingly warmer environments.

Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming

Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, promoting expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm range edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis, a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and its genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in mosquito heat tolerance, and phenotypic trade-offs in tolerance to prolonged versus acute heat exposure. Further, we found genomic variation associated with prolonged heat tolerance was clustered in several regions of the genome, suggesting the presence of larger structural variants such as chromosomal inversions. A simple evolutionary model based on our data estimates that the maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance will exceed the projected rate of climate warming, implying the potential for mosquitoes to track warming via genetic adaptation.

How Much Warming Can Mosquito Vectors Tolerate?

Climate warming is expected to substantially impact the global landscape of mosquito-borne disease, but these impacts will vary across disease systems and regions. Understanding which diseases, and where within their distributions, these impacts are most likely to occur is critical for preparing public health interventions. While research has centered on potential warming-driven expansions in vector transmission, less is known about the potential for vectors to experience warming-driven stress or even local extirpations. In conservation biology, species risk from climate warming is often quantified through vulnerability indices such as thermal safety margins-the difference between an organism's upper thermal limit and its habitat temperature. Here, we estimated thermal safety margins for 8 mosquito species that are the vectors of malaria, dengue, chikungunya, Zika, West Nile and other major arboviruses, across their known ranges to investigate which mosquitoes and regions are most and least vulnerable to climate warming. We find that several of the most medically important mosquito vector species, including Ae. aegypti and An. gambiae, have positive thermal safety margins across the majority of their ranges when realistic assumptions of mosquito behavioral thermoregulation are incorporated. On average, the lowest climate vulnerability, in terms of both the magnitude and duration of thermal safety, was just south of the equator and at northern temperate range edges, and the highest climate vulnerability was in the subtropics. Mosquitoes living in regions including the Middle East, the western Sahara, and southeastern Australia, which are largely comprised of desert and xeric shrubland biomes, have the highest climate vulnerability across vector species.

A systematic review of Aedes aegypti population dynamics models based on differential equations

The global spread of Aedes aegypti and the associated public health risk have stimulated the development of several mathematical models to predict population dynamics in response to biological or environmental changes in real, future, or simulated scenarios. The aim of this study is to identify published articles on differential equation-based population dynamics models of Aedes aegypti, highlight their differences and commonalities, and examine their application in surveillance and control programs. Following the PRISMA guidelines, a systematic review was conducted in seven electronic databases (Scopus, PUBMED, IEEE Xplore, Science Direct, DOAJ, Scielo, and Google Scholar), with the last update on 8 February 2023. The initial search yielded 513 studies, of which 31 were finally selected. The articles analyzed showed great variability in the equations, processes, and variables included, with temperature being the most common environmental factor. Only a few models incorporated spatial heterogeneity or validation methods. Our findings suggest that improving the generation of temporal and spatially explicit forecasts through interdisciplinary collaboration, the use of new technologies, and validation with field data is essential for these models to effectively support public health efforts. Differential equation-based population dynamics models offer valuable insights and could greatly benefit mosquito surveillance programs if standardized and tailored to relevant scales.

Morphological changes in eggs and embryos of Aedes aegypti (Diptera: Culicidae) exposed to predicted climatic scenarios for the year 2100 in the Central Amazon

According to the IPCC, by the year 2100, rises in global temperature could reach up to 5 °C above current averages. On a planet-wide scale, this is one of the effects of climate changes that could have repercussions on the biological cycle of Aedes aegypti, the main arbovirus vector in urban environments and a transmitter of the arboviruses that cause dengue, Zika, chikungunya and urban yellow fever. The objective of this study was to evaluate morphological changes in Ae. aegypti eggs and embryos maintained in a climate change simulator. For this, specimens obtained from an insectarium were kept in four chambers that simulated the range of environmental scenarios predicted by the IPCC for the year 2100. The eggs obtained from each room were collected and transported to the laboratory for morphometric and morphological analysis, using confocal and scanning microscopy. Aedes aegypti eggs (n=20) were used to obtain the following variables: total width, total length, length-width ratio and diameter of the micropylar disc. Additionally, 20 embryos were used to obtain the data on head capsule length, width and length-width ratio. The data were subjected to a normality test and the means of each variable were compared using ANOVA and Tukey's post-hoc test, considering (p ≤ 0.05). A significant reduction (p < 0.05) was observed mainly in the mean lengths under the current-extreme scenario (587.5 and 553.6 μm, respectively), as well as in the widths under the current-mild scenario (171 and 158.4 μm, respectively). The length of the cephalic capsule was also affected, showing significant differences in the means under the current-intermediate scenario (189.5 and 208.5 μm, respectively), as well as in the widths between the current-intermediate scenarios (173.7 and 194.9 μm, respectively). The results suggest significant changes in the morphometry of Ae. aegypti eggs and embryos as a result of the climatic influences to which the adults were subjected, which may have an impact on vector population density and, consequently, on arbovirus dynamics in urban environments.

The greatest Dengue epidemic in Brazil: Surveillance, Prevention, and Control

In this review, we discuss dengue surveillance, prevention, and control measures in Brazil. Data on dengue epidemics between 2000 and 2024 indicates an increase in the number of dengue cases and deaths. Global climate change is a key driver of this growth. Over the past 25 years, nearly 18 million Brazilians have been infected with the dengue virus, and the highest number of dengue cases in Brazil's history is projected to reach 2024. Dengue mortality in Brazil increased geographically over time. As of June, there were approximately 6 million probable cases and 4,000 confirmed deaths in Brazil, which represents the greatest dengue epidemic to date. Several technologies have been developed to control Aedes aegypti, including the deployment of Wolbachia-infected mosquitoes, indoor residual spraying, sterile insect techniques, and mosquito-disseminated insecticides. The Ministry of Health recommends integrating these technologies into health services. Brazil is the first country to incorporate the Takeda vaccine into its public health system, and the Butantan vaccine is currently undergoing Phase 3 clinical trials. Increasing the vaccination coverage and implementing novel Ae. aegypti control technologies could reduce the number of dengue cases in Brazil in the coming years. Community activities such as home cleaning and elimination of potential mosquito breeding sites, facilitated by social media and health education initiatives, must continue to achieve this reduction. Ultimately, a multisectoral approach encompassing sanitary improvements, mosquito control, vaccination, and community mobilization is crucial in the fight against dengue epidemics.

Evolutionary adaptation under climate change: Aedes sp. demonstrates potential to adapt to warming

Climate warming is expected to shift the distributions of mosquitoes and mosquito-borne diseases, facilitating expansions at cool range edges and contractions at warm range edges. However, whether mosquito populations could maintain their warm edges through evolutionary adaptation remains unknown. Here, we investigate the potential for thermal adaptation in Aedes sierrensis, a congener of the major disease vector species that experiences large thermal gradients in its native range, by assaying tolerance to prolonged and acute heat exposure, and its genetic basis in a diverse, field-derived population. We found pervasive evidence of heritable genetic variation in acute heat tolerance, which phenotypically trades off with tolerance to prolonged heat exposure. A simple evolutionary model based on our data shows that the estimated maximum rate of evolutionary adaptation in mosquito heat tolerance typically exceeds that of projected climate warming under idealized conditions. Our findings indicate that natural mosquito populations may have the potential to track projected warming via genetic adaptation. Prior climate-based projections may thus underestimate the range of mosquito and mosquito-borne disease distributions under future climate conditions.

Infectious disease responses to human climate change adaptations

Many recent studies have examined the impact of predicted changes in temperature and precipitation patterns on infectious diseases under different greenhouse gas emissions scenarios. But these emissions scenarios symbolize more than altered temperature and precipitation regimes; they also represent differing levels of change in energy, transportation, and food production at a global scale to reduce the effects of climate change. The ways humans respond to climate change, either through adaptation or mitigation, have underappreciated, yet hugely impactful effects on infectious disease transmission, often in complex and sometimes nonintuitive ways. Thus, in addition to investigating the direct effects of climate changes on infectious diseases, it is critical to consider how human preventative measures and adaptations to climate change will alter the environments and hosts that support pathogens. Here, we consider the ways that human responses to climate change will likely impact disease risk in both positive and negative ways. We evaluate the evidence for these impacts based on the available data, and identify research directions needed to address climate change while minimizing externalities associated with infectious disease, especially for vulnerable communities. We identify several different human adaptations to climate change that are likely to affect infectious disease risk independently of the effects of climate change itself. We categorize these changes into adaptation strategies to secure access to water, food, and shelter, and mitigation strategies to decrease greenhouse gas emissions. We recognize that adaptation strategies are more likely to have infectious disease consequences for under-resourced communities, and call attention to the need for socio-ecological studies to connect human behavioral responses to climate change and their impacts on infectious disease. Understanding these effects is crucial as climate change intensifies and the global community builds momentum to slow these changes and reduce their impacts on human health, economic productivity, and political stability.

Population-specific responses to developmental temperature in the arboviral vector Aedes albopictus: Implications for climate change

The increase of environmental temperature due to current global warming is not only favouring the expansion of the distribution range of many insect species, but it is also changing their phenology. Insect phenology is tightly linked to developmental timing, which is regulated by environmental temperatures. However, the degree to which the effects of developmental temperatures extend across developmental stages and their inter-stage relationships have not been thoroughly quantified in mosquitoes. Here, we used the mosquito Aedes albopictus, which is an aggressive invasive species and an arboviral vector, to study how developmental temperature influences fitness across developmental stages, thermal traits, energy reserves, transcriptome and Wolbachia prevalence in laboratory-reared populations originally collected from either temperate or tropical regions. We show that hatchability, larval and pupal viability and developmental speed are strongly influenced by temperature, and these effects extend to wing length, body mass, longevity and content of water, protein and lipids in adults in a population-specific manner. On the contrary, neither adult thermal preference nor heat resistance significantly change with temperature. Wolbachia density was generally lower in adult mosquitoes reared at 18°C than at other tested temperatures, and transcriptome analysis showed enrichment for functions linked to stress responses (i.e. cuticle proteins and chitin, cytochrome p450 and heat shock proteins) in mosquitoes reared at both 18 and 32°C. Our data showed an overall reduced vector fitness performance when mosquitoes were reared at 32°C, and the absence of isomorphy in the relationship between developmental stages and temperature in the laboratory population deriving from larvae collected in northern Italy. Altogether, these results have important implications for reliable model projections of the invasion potentials of Ae. albopictus and its epidemiological impact.

Phenotypic adaptation to temperature in the mosquito vector, Aedes aegypti

Most models exploring the effects of climate change on mosquito-borne disease ignore thermal adaptation. However, if local adaptation leads to changes in mosquito thermal responses, "one size fits all" models could fail to capture current variation between populations and future adaptive responses to changes in temperature. Here, we assess phenotypic adaptation to temperature in Aedes aegypti, the primary vector of dengue, Zika, and chikungunya viruses. First, to explore whether there is any difference in existing thermal response of mosquitoes between populations, we used a thermal knockdown assay to examine five populations of Ae. aegypti collected from climatically diverse locations in Mexico, together with a long-standing laboratory strain. We identified significant phenotypic variation in thermal tolerance between populations. Next, to explore whether such variation can be generated by differences in temperature, we conducted an experimental passage study by establishing six replicate lines from a single field-derived population of Ae. aegypti from Mexico, maintaining half at 27°C and the other half at 31°C. After 10 generations, we found a significant difference in mosquito performance, with the lines maintained under elevated temperatures showing greater thermal tolerance. Moreover, these differences in thermal tolerance translated to shifts in the thermal performance curves for multiple life-history traits, leading to differences in overall fitness. Together, these novel findings provide compelling evidence that Ae. aegypti populations can and do differ in thermal response, suggesting that simplified thermal performance models might be insufficient for predicting the effects of climate on vector-borne disease transmission.