BMI change during puberty and the risk of heart failure

Association between early age body mass index and the risk of adulthood cardiovascular diseases: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Several studies have attempted to demonstrate the associations between body mass index (BMI) in early age and cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). However, their findings were inconsistent and inconclusive, indicating the need for further investigation.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis of studies focusing on BMI in early age (age from 2 to 22) in relation to CVDs in adulthood, including coronary artery disease (CHD), ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke, myocardial infarction and heart failure. Fixed-effects and Random-effects models were used to pool the data. Sex, age, adjustment of socioeconomic status and fatal events specific analysis were conducted to examine their effects on the results.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight studies were eligible for inclusion. BMI in early age was positively related to CVD (HR = 1.18, 95% CI: 1.07-1.30), CHD (HR = 1.13, 95% CI: 1.07-1.19), heart failure (HR = 1.16, 95% CI: 1.11-1.20) but not stroke (HR = 0.99, 95% CI: 0.93-1.05). The results remained consistent after stratified by sex, fatal or non-fatal events and adjustment for socioeconomic status. Further age-specific analysis showed that both childhood and early adulthood group showed positive associations on CHD and HF. While estimates in early adulthood for all CVDs were numerically higher than that for childhood. Category analyses showed a positive association between being overweight or obesity and adulthood CVDs, including stroke.

CONCLUSION

We found a positive association between early-age BMI and adulthood cardiovascular diseases except for stroke.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Systemic review registration https://www.crd.york.ac.uk/Prospero/ , identifier CRD42023403602.

Sex and age differences in atypical chief complaints for acute decompensated heart failure in the emergency department

OBJECTIVE

About one million United States emergency department (ED) visits annually are due to acute decompensated heart failure (ADHF) symptoms. Characterizing the presentation of ED symptoms among ADHF patients may improve clinical care; however, sex and age differences in ED chief complaints have not been thoroughly investigated. In this paper, we describe differences in chief complaints and comorbid conditions for ED patients with ADHF diagnoses, stratified by sex and age.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of adults presenting to North Carolina EDs using the North Carolina Disease Event Tracking and Epidemiologic Collection Tool (NC DETECT), a statewide syndromic surveillance system, between 2010 and 2016, screening for patients with a diagnosis of ADHF. We evaluated frequencies of chief complaint categories for ED visits and comorbid conditions, stratified by sex and age, and computed standardized differences.

RESULTS

The most common chief complaints were dyspnea (19.1%), chest pain (13.5%), and other respiratory complaints (13.4%). In the 18-44 years age group, women were more likely than men to report nausea/vomiting (6.7% vs. 4.1%) and headache (4.2% vs. 2.0%). In those 45-64 and ≥65 years, complaints were similar by sex. When stratified by age group alone, the 18-44 and 45-64 years age groups had more complaints of chest pain, whereas balance issues, weakness, and confusion were more common in the ≥65 years age group.

CONCLUSION

Differences in atypical ADHF symptoms were seen in in ED patients based on sex and age. Understanding the variation in ADHF symptoms among ED patients can facilitate the identification of ED patients with ADHF and improve management of ADHF-related symptoms.

Early-life body mass index and the risk of six cardiovascular diseases: A Mendelian Randomization study

BACKGROUND

Observational studies consistently indicate an association between early-life body mass index (BMI) and several cardiovascular diseases (CVDs). However, the causal relationship remains uncertain. The primary objective of this study was to assess the causal relationship between early-life BMI and six types of CVDs using the Mendelian Randomization (MR) approach.

METHODS

The dataset for this study was derived from large-scale, summary-level Genome-Wide Association Studies. Specifically, the following datasets we used, early-life BMI (n = 61 111, age = 2-10), heart failure (HF) dataset (n = 977 323), atrial fibrillation (AF) dataset (n = 1 030 836), coronary artery disease (CAD) dataset (n = 184 305), peripheral artery disease (PAD) dataset (n = 243 060), deep venous thrombosis (DVT) dataset (n = 1 500 861) and myocardial infarction (MI) dataset (n = 638 000). Multiple MR methods were utilized to evaluate the causal relationship between exposure and outcomes, accompanied by sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

Early-life BMI positively correlates with the risk of developing the six distinct CVDs included in this study. Specifically, elevated BMI during childhood is associated with a 31.9% risk for HF (Odds ratio [OR] = 1.319, 95% CI [1.160 to 1.499], p = 2.33 × 10-5), an 18.3% risk for AF (R = 1.183, 95% CI [1.088 to 1.287], p = 8.22 × 10-5), an 14.8% risk for CAD (OR = 1.148, 95% CI [1.028 to 1.283], p = 1.47 × 10-2), a 40.5% risk for PAD (OR = 1.405, 95% CI [1.233 to 1.600], p = 3.10 × 10-7) and 12.0% risk for MI (OR = 1.120, 95% CI [1.017 to 1.234], p = 2.18 × 10-2). Interestingly, the risk for deep venous thrombosis only increased by 0.5% (OR = 1.005, 95% CI [1.001 to 1.008], p = 2.13 × 10-3).

CONCLUSION

Genetically inferred early-life BMI is significantly associated with six distinct CVDs. This indicates that elevated early-life BMI is a significant risk factor for multiple cardiovascular disorders.

Causal relationship between green tea intake and gastrointestinal disorders: a two-sample Mendelian randomization study

Background

The precise association between green tea intake and gastrointestinal disorders remains controversial. This study aimed to investigate the potential causal association between green tea intake and gastrointestinal disorders through a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) study.

Methods

Utilizing publicly accessible data from genome-wide association studies (GWAS), we identified SNPs strongly linked with the study variables from multiple large databases to serve as instrumental variables (IVs). MR analyses were executed utilizing the inverse variance weighting (IVW) method, with the resultant effect estimates serving as the primary outcome measure. In addition, a multivariate MR design was performed to adjust for smoking and alcohol consumption. To ensure the robustness of our findings, a series of sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess reliability.

Results

Univariable MR analysis revealed suggestive associations between green tea intake and gastroesophageal reflux (OR = 0.9950, 95% CI 0.9900-1.0000, p IVW = 0.047), diverticulosis (OR = 0.9998, 95% CI 0.9996-1.0000, p IVW = 0.030), Crohn's disease (OR = 1.0001, 95% CI 1.0000-1.0002, p IVW = 0.019), and cholangitis was observed (OR = 1.0440, 95% CI 1.0100-1.0790, p IVW = 0.011). Multivariate MR analysis indicated after controlling for potential confounders, greater green tea consumption was suggestively associated with the decreased risk of oesophagitis (OR = 0.9667, 95% CI: 0.9405-0.9936, p IVW = 0.016) and gastric cancer (OR = 0.9810, 95% CI: 0.9628-0.9996, p IVW = 0.046). Nevertheless, multivariate MR analysis also showed that greater green tea consumption was suggestively associated with the increased risk of Crohn's disease (OR = 1.0001, 95% CI: 1.0000-1.0002, p IVW = 0.007). Sensitivity analyses confirmed that these results were reliable.

Conclusion

Our study provides suggestive evidence that genetically predicted green tea intake is causally associated with the risk of oesophagitis, gastric cancer and Crohn's disease, but a larger GWAS database is needed for validation.

Childhood Adiposity and Risk of Major Clinical Heart Diseases in Adulthood: A Mendelian Randomization Study

BACKGROUND

The causal relationship between childhood adiposity and adult risk of heart diseases has not been clearly demonstrated. This study aims to ascertain whether genetically predicted childhood body mass index (BMI) and childhood obesity are causally associated with adult coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, heart failure, atrial fibrillation, hypertrophic cardiomyopathy, and pulmonary heart disease.

METHODS AND RESULTS

To investigate the causative relationships and underlying mechanisms between childhood adiposity and adult heart diseases, 3 main methods of Mendelian randomization were used: 2-sample Mendelian randomization, multivariable Mendelian randomization with controlling for several cardiometabolic risk variables, and mediation analysis. Every 1-SD rise in genetically predicted childhood body mass index was associated with 24% (odds ratio [OR], 1.24 [95% CI, 1.12-1.37]), 28% (OR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.14-1.42]), 28% (OR, 1.28 [95% CI, 1.14-1.42]), and 27% (OR, 1.27 [95% CI, 1.04-1.49]) higher risk of coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation, respectively. Every 1-unit increase in log-odds in childhood obesity was associated with 11% (OR, 1.11 [95% CI, 1.06-1.16]), 14% (OR, 1.14 [95% CI, 1.04-1.23]), 10% (OR, 1.10 [95% CI, 1.03-1.18]), and 20% (OR, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.08-1.32]) higher risk of coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation, respectively. The link between childhood adiposity and adult heart diseases was found to be mediated by high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, triglyceride, hypertension, and type 2 diabetes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings support the causal relationships between childhood adiposity and risk of adult coronary heart disease, myocardial infarction, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Blood lipids, hypertension, and type 2 diabetes are factors that mediate the aforementioned associations.

Prepuberty is a window period for curcumin to prevent obesity in postnatal overfed rats

BACKGROUND

Overnutrition in early life increases the risk of obesity and metabolic diseases. We investigated the effects and the window period of a curcumin (CUR) diet on postnatal overfed rats.

METHODS

Male rats aged 3 days were randomly divided into normal litters (NL, 10 pups/litter) and small litters (SL, 3 pups/litter). After weaning (Week 3, W3), NL rats were fed a normal diet (NL) and SL rats were fed a normal diet (SL) or 2% CUR diet from weaning (W3) (SL-CURW13), beginning of puberty (W6) (SL-CURW16), or end of puberty (W8) (SL-CURW18) for 10 weeks.

RESULTS

Body weight, glucose intolerance and hyperlipidemia in the SL rats were higher than in the NL rats, especially after puberty. After the CUR intervention, SL-CURW13 and SL-CURW16 rats showed lower body weight gain, adipose tissue weight and mRNA level of C/EBPα in SAT, along with higher mRNA levels of β-catenin. There was no difference between SL and SL-CURW18 rats. Glucose tolerance, serum lipids and hepatic lipids recovered to normal in the SL-CURW13 rats, but only partially in the SL-CURW16 and SL-CURW18 rats.

CONCLUSION

Prepuberty is a window period for CUR intervention to improve programmed outcomes in postnatal overfed rats.

IMPACT

Overnutrition during the first 1000 days of life has persistent negative effects on metabolism. Strategies should be taken to prevent overnutrition in early life to reduce the risk of obesity and metabolic disease in later life. A small-litter rat model was utilized to simulate early-life overnutrition in humans. We investigated the different effects and critical period for curcumin intervention on postnatal overfed rats. Dietary curcumin intervention before puberty could effectively transform nutritional programming to reduce obesity and metabolic disorders caused by early-life overnutrition, and an earlier intervention might predict a better outcome.

Genetic associations of childhood and adult BMI on chronic heart failure and ischemic stroke: A Mendelian randomization

Background

Obesity has been confirmed to be associated with cardiovascular disease, but previous studies have focused on adults, and whether childhood obesity is associated with cardiovascular disease in adulthood needs further research.

Objective

This Mendelian randomization (MR) study aimed to investigate the associations of childhood and adult body mass index (BMI) with the risk of chronic heart failure (CHF) and ischemic stroke (IS).

Methods

Independent genetic instruments, demonstrating a strong association with exposure at the genome-wide significance level (P < 5 × 10-8), were carefully selected from comprehensive genome-wide association studies conducted within relevant European populations. Summary-level data for CHF and IS were obtained from the EBI database and large consortia of European population. To enhance robustness and generalizability, the analysis was replicated in an East Asian population cohort.

Results

According to a MR analysis based on a European population, a higher adult BMI was associated with an increased risk of CHF [(odds ratio (OR) 1.594, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.483-1.713)] and IS (OR 1.163, 95%CI 1.096-1.233). In addition, higher childhood BMI level was associated with a higher risk of CHF (OR 1.323, 95%CI 1.153-1.524).and the effect was mainly driven by adult BMI. Replication analyses of adult BMI in East Asian populations showed consistent findings that adult BMI was associated with the risk of CHF (OR 2.167, 95%CI 1.786-2.630) and IS (OR 1.259, 95%CI 1.128-1.406).

Conclusions

Our study findings provide compelling evidence for the significant influence of adult BMI on the occurrence of CHF and IS. Furthermore, our observations suggest that the positive association between childhood BMI and the risk of CHF in adulthood can largely be attributed to individuals who maintain obesity into later life.

Metabolomics reveals sex-specific pathways associated with changes in adiposity and muscle mass in a cohort of Mexican adolescents

BACKGROUND

Alterations in body composition (BC) during adolescence relates to future metabolic risk, yet underlying mechanisms remain unclear.

OBJECTIVES

To assess the association between the metabolome with changes in adiposity (body mass index [BMI], waist circumference [WC], triceps skinfold [TS], fat percentage [BF%]) and muscle mass (MM).

METHODS

In Mexican adolescents (n = 352), untargeted serum metabolomics was profiled at baseline. and data were reduced by pairing hierarchical clustering with confirmatory factor analysis, yielding 30 clusters with 51 singleton metabolites. At the baseline and follow-up visits (1.6-3.5 years apart), anthropometry was collected to identify associations between baseline metabolite clusters and change in BC (∆) using seemingly unrelated and linear regression.

RESULTS

Between visits, MM increased in boys and adiposity increased in girls. Sex differences were observed between metabolite clusters and changes in BC. In boys, aromatic amino acids (AAA), branched chain amino acids (BCAA) and fatty acid oxidation metabolites were associated with increases in ∆BMI, and ∆BF%. Phospholipids were associated with decreases in ∆TS and ∆MM. Negative associations were observed for ∆MM in boys with a cluster including AAA and BCAA, whereas positive associations were found for a cluster containing tryptophan metabolites. Few associations were observed between metabolites and BC change in girls, with one cluster comprising methionine, proline and lipids associated with decreases in ∆BMI, ∆WC and ∆MM.

CONCLUSION

Sex-specific associations between the metabolome and change in BC were observed, highlighting metabolic pathways underlying adolescent physical growth.

Novel type of references for BMI aligned for onset of puberty - using the QEPS growth model

OBJECTIVES

Despite inter-individual variations in pubertal timing, growth references are conventionally constructed relative to chronological age (C-age). Thus, they are based on reference populations containing a mix of prepubertal and pubertal individuals, making them of limited use for detecting abnormal growth during adolescence. Recently we developed new types of height and weight references, with growth aligned to age at onset of the pubertal growth spurt (P-age). Here, we aim to develop a corresponding reference for pubertal BMI.

METHODS

The QEPS-height and weight models were used to define a corresponding QEPS-BMI model. QEPS-BMI was modified by the same individual, constitutional weight-height-factor (WHF) as computed for QEPS-weight. QEPS-BMI functions were computed with QEPS weight and height functions fitted on longitudinal measurements from 1418 individuals (698 girls) from GrowUp₁₉₉₀Gothenburg cohort. These individual BMI functions were used to develop BMI references aligned for height at AgeP5; when 5% of specific puberty-related (P-function) height had been attained. Pubertal timing, stature at pubertal onset, and childhood BMI, were investigated in subgroups of children from the cohort GrowUp₁₉₇₄Gothenburg using the new references.

RESULTS

References (median, standard deviation score (SDS)) were generated for total BMI (QEPS-functions), for ongoing prepubertal growth (QE-function) vs C-age, and for total BMI and separated into BMI specific to puberty (P-function) and BMI gain from ongoing basic growth (QES-functions), allowing individual growth to be aligned based on P-age. Growth in basic BMI was greater than average for children categorized as tall and/or with high-BMI at puberty-start. In children categorized as short at puberty-start, P-function-related-BMI was greater than average.

CONCLUSIONS

Use of these new pubertal BMI references will make it possible for the first time to consider individual variations owing to pubertal timing when evaluating BMI. This will improve the detection of abnormal changes in body composition when used in combination with pubertal height and weight references also abnormal growth. Other benefits in the clinic will include improved growth monitoring during treatment for children who are overweight/obese or underweight. Furthermore, in research settings these new references represent a novel tool for exploring human growth.

Birth weight and young adult body mass index for predicting the risk of developing adult heart failure in men

AIMS

Hospitalizations for heart failure among young adults and middle-aged individuals have increased. The aims of the present study were to evaluate the association between birth weight and risk of adult heart failure and the importance of change from low birth weight to overweight/obesity at young adulthood.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We used the population-based body mass index (BMI) Epidemiology Study cohort Gothenburg (n = 35 659) with birth weight and young adult BMI (20 years) available from child healthcare records, school health records, and military conscription register for men born 1945-1961. The cohort includes all children who finished school, which was mandatory, in Gothenburg, Sweden. Information on heart failure diagnosis was retrieved from the National Patient Register and the Cause of Death Register (n = 415). In cox regression analyses, there was an inverse association between birth weight and risk of heart failure [hazard ratio (HR) 0.83 per standard deviation (SD), 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.76-0.90], and a direct association for young adult BMI (HR 1.48 per SD, 95% CI 1.36-1.61). Of note, individuals with birth weight in the lowest tertile, who were overweight/obese in young adulthood had a five-fold risk of heart failure (HR 4.95, 95% CI 3.36-7.31) compared with individuals in the middle birth weight tertile who were normal weight at 20 years.

CONCLUSIONS

Birth weight was inversely associated with the risk of hospitalization due to heart failure. The combination of low birth weight and overweight/obesity in young adulthood results in excess risk of heart failure beyond that of low birth weight or young adult overweight/obesity separately. These findings indicate the need of a life course perspective in heart failure prevention and risk assessment.

Causative Mechanisms of Childhood and Adolescent Obesity Leading to Adult Cardiometabolic Disease: A Literature Review

The past few decades have shown a worrisome increase in the prevalence of obesity and its related illnesses. This increasing burden has a noteworthy impact on overall worldwide mortality and morbidity, with significant economic implications as well. The same trend is apparent regarding pediatric obesity. This is a particularly concerning aspect when considering the well-established link between cardiovascular disease and obesity, and the fact that childhood obesity frequently leads to adult obesity. Moreover, most obese adults have a history of excess weight starting in childhood. In addition, given the cumulative character of both time and severity of exposure to obesity as a risk factor for associated diseases, the repercussions of obesity prevalence and related morbidity could be exponential in time. The purpose of this review is to outline key aspects regarding the current knowledge on childhood and adolescent obesity as a cardiometabolic risk factor, as well as the most common etiological pathways involved in the development of weight excess and associated cardiovascular and metabolic diseases.

A secular trend of increasing pubertal BMI change among Swedish adolescents

Pubertal BMI change is an independent risk marker of cardiovascular mortality/morbidity. Previous studies demonstrated a secular trend of increased childhood BMI but it is unknown if there is a concomitant secular trend regarding pubertal BMI change. The aim of this study was to describe the trend in pubertal BMI change. We collected heights and weights before and after puberty from school health records and military conscript records for boys born every five years during 1946–1991 (n = 3650, total cohort) and calculated pubertal BMI change (young adult BMI at 20 years of age minus childhood BMI at 8 years of age) for all study participants. A secular trend of increasing pubertal BMI change during the study period was observed. The increase in pubertal BMI change (0.27 kg/m² per decade [0.22; 0.32]) explained 54% of the secular trend of increasing young adult BMI (0.50 kg/m² per decade [0.43; 0.57]). We made the novel observation that there is a secular trend of increasing pubertal BMI change. We propose that the secular trend of increasing pubertal BMI change might contribute more than the secular trend of increasing childhood BMI to the adverse cardiovascular health consequences associated with the ongoing obesity epidemic.

Pubertal Body Mass Index Change Is Associated With Adult Coronary Atherosclerosis and Acute Coronary Events in Men

[Figure: see text].

Weight change from childhood to adulthood and cardiovascular risk factors and outcomes in adulthood: A systematic review of the literature

The magnitude of the associations between life-course change in weight status and health outcomes in adulthood has been inconsistent. This study aims to examine the associations between weight change from childhood to adulthood and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors and outcomes in adulthood. PubMed, Embase and ISI Web of Science between 1 August 1953 and 13 July 2020 were searched, and a total of 52 eligible articles were included. The systematic review supported significant associations between the life-course increase in BMI and high odds of markers in adulthood. In the meta-analyses, normal weight in childhood but excess weight in adulthood or persistent excess weight was associated with increased odds of adult markers. However, those who had excess weight in childhood but were normal weight in adulthood did not have increased odds of nearly all adult markers. This systematic review and meta-analysis suggest that individuals who developed excess weight in adulthood or had excess weight in both periods had higher odds of developing CVD risk factors and outcomes in adulthood. In contrast, the probability of these adult markers could be limited or eliminated for children with excess weight who are able to become adults with normal weight.

Childhood body mass index is associated with the risk of adult hematologic malignancies in men-The best Gothenburg cohort

Hematologic malignancies are common and the incidence is increasing. Adult obesity has been associated with hematologic malignancies (HM), but the importance of body mass index (BMI) in childhood and during puberty has not been evaluated. The aim of the present study was to evaluate the relative contribution of BMI and height in childhood and during puberty for the risk of adult HM. 37 669 men born in 1946 to 1961 who had weight and height measured at 8 (childhood) and 20 (young adult age) years of age available from the BMI Epidemiology Study were included in the study. Pubertal BMI change was calculated as BMI at 20 years of age minus BMI at 8 years of age. Information on HM was retrieved from Swedish registers (459 cases of HM). Hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) were estimated by Cox regressions. Childhood BMI (HR 1.11 per SD increase [95% CI 1.02-1.23]), but not pubertal BMI change, was associated with hematologic malignancies in a linear manner. Childhood BMI was, independent of childhood height, associated with the diagnostic entities Non-Hodgkin lymphoma (HR 1.14 [95% CI 1.00-1.30]) and its largest subgroup diffuse large B-cell lymphoma (HR 1.31 [95% CI 1.03-1.67]). Childhood height was associated with multiple myeloma (HR 1.30 [95% CI 1.04-1.64]) independent of childhood BMI. We conclude that childhood but not puberty is the critical developmental period regarding future risk of HM and we suggest that elevated childhood BMI is a determinant of Non-Hodgkin lymphoma and diffuse large B-cell lymphoma.

Cardiovascular morbidity, diabetes and cancer risk among children and adolescents with severe obesity

Severe obesity among children and adolescents is a significant global public health concern. The prevalence has markedly increased over the last decades, becoming common in many countries. Overwhelming rates of obesity among youth have prompted efforts to identify an evidence-based immediate- and long-term cardiometabolic risk factor profile in childhood-onset severe obesity, and to highlight gaps that require further investigation. The PubMed database was systematically searched in accordance with PRISMA guidelines. The search yielded 831 results, of which 60 fulfilled stringent criteria and were summarized in this review. The definition of severe obesity was variable, with only one half the publications using the definition BMI > 120% of the 95th percentile. Point estimates of the prevalence of at least one cardiometabolic risk factor in children with severe obesity reportedly range from 67 to 86%. Cross-sectional studies indicate that children and adolescents with severe obesity are at greater risk than those with mild obesity for type 2 diabetes, hypertension, fatty liver disease and dyslipidemia, already at childhood and adolescence. Robust epidemiological data on the long-term risk and actual point estimates in adulthood are lacking for these diseases as well as for other diseases (coronary heart disease, stroke, chronic kidney disease and cancer). Recent longitudinal studies indicate an increased risk for cardiomyopathy, heart failure, cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality in adulthood for adolescents with severe obesity compared to those with mild obesity. Given the alarming increase in the prevalence of severe obesity, the persistence of adiposity from childhood to adulthood and the precarious course of young adults with chronic comorbidities, the economic and clinical services burden on the healthcare system is expected to rise.

Gamma-glutamyl transferase variability and the risk of hospitalisation for heart failure

Objective

Gamma-glutamyl transferase (GGT) is associated with oxidative stress, inflammation, cardiovascular disease and mortality. Variability in metabolic parameters has recently emerged as an indicator of adverse health outcomes, including heart failure (HF).

Methods

We investigated whether GGT variability was associated with the incidence of hospitalisation for heart failure (HHF) in a Korean population without previous HF, ischaemic heart disease or liver disease. This longitudinal cohort study analysed 119 201 individuals from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Health Screening Cohort. GGT variability was calculated as the coefficient of variation (CV), SD and variability independent of the mean (VIM).

Results

During the 8.4 years of follow-up, 1387 cases of HHF (1.16%) developed. In the multivariable-adjusted model, the HR of HHF was 1.22 (95% CI 1.05 to 1.42) in the highest quartile of GGT variability compared with the lowest quartile, as assessed by CV after adjusting for confounding factors, including alcohol consumption and mean GGT levels. Consistent results were obtained using other indices of GGT variability such as SD (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.16 to 1.62) and VIM (HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.50). In a subgroup analysis stratified by risk factor variables, although a similar relationship was observed, it was more prominent in individuals with dyslipidaemia.

Conclusions

The results of the present study demonstrated that variability in GGT was independently associated with the incidence of HHF. These findings suggest that higher GGT variability may be useful as an indicator of future risk of HF.

Pubertal BMI change and adult-onset asthma in men: Population-based cohort study in Sweden

BACKGROUND

The role of pubertal BMI change in adult-onset concomitant asthma and allergic rhinitis is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

We investigated the association of childhood and young adult BMI, and pubertal BMI changes with adult-onset asthma, allergic rhinitis, and concomitant asthma and rhinitis in Swedish men.

METHODS

The BMI Epidemiology Study in Gothenburg, Sweden, comprised of height and weight measures taken from school health records (6.5-9.5 years) and during military conscription (17.5-22 years) for all men born 1945-1961 (n = 37 652). Age-adjusted childhood BMI centred at 8 years and young adult BMI at 20 years were linked to high quality data on asthma and allergic rhinitis diagnoses from the Swedish National Patient Register.

FINDINGS

High BMI (4th quartile vs the two median quartiles) at 8 years was associated with increased risk of concomitant asthma and allergic rhinitis (HR 1.45; 95% CI 1.00-2.11). Overweight (HR 1.45; 95% CI 1.12-1.89) and obesity (HR 1.95; 95% CI 1.08-3.54) at 20 years were associated with increased risk of asthma without concomitant allergic rhinitis as main or auxiliary diagnosis. Pubertal BMI change showed a non-linear association, so that both low (1st quartile vs the two median quartiles) and high pubertal BMI changes were associated with increased risk of asthma (low: HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.11-1.68; high: HR 1.32; 95% CI 1.07-1.63) and asthma without concomitant allergic rhinitis (low: HR 1.33; 95% CI 1.04-1.69; high: HR 1.36; 95% CI 1.07-1.74) as a main diagnosis.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL RELEVANCE

Both low and high pubertal BMI changes are predictors of adult-onset asthma in men, particularly asthma without concomitant allergic rhinitis. Primary prevention of adult-onset asthma requires monitoring of changes in BMI during puberty.

Visit-to-visit variability of metabolic parameters and risk of heart failure: A nationwide population-based study

BACKGROUND

This study examined the effects of variability of four metabolic parameters, namely systolic blood pressure (BP), body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose (FBG), and total cholesterol level (TC) on the risk of HF. The effects of metabolic parameter variability on the risk of heart failure (HF) remain unclear.

METHODS

We studied individuals aged ≥40 years who had undergone ≥3 health check-ups under the Korean National Health Insurance Corporation during 2009 and 2012, and those who did not have hypertension, diabetes, or dyslipidemia. BP, BMI, FBG, and TC were measured at every visit. We defined the variability of each parameter using the variability independent of the mean (VIM) method. VIMs were categorized into four groups according to quartiles. The metabolic variability (MV) score for each subject was defined as the number of VIMs in the highest quartile.

RESULTS

Among the 3,820,191 subjects, 17,253 (0.45%) had incident HF during a mean 5.3 ± 1.1 years of follow-up. High variability of each parameter was associated with increased HF risk, which increased according to the MV score. After multivariable adjustment, compared to subjects with MV score = 0, subjects with MV score = 1-4 had an increased risk of HF (adjusted HR [95% CI], 1.15 [1.10-1.19] for MV score = 1, 1.33 [1.28-1.39] for MV score = 2, 1.48 [1.40-1.57] for MV score = 3, 1.74 [1.55-1.96] for MV score = 4 [p-for-trend ≪0.0001]).

CONCLUSIONS

High variability of BP, BMI, FBG, and TC was synergistically associated with a higher incidence of new-onset HF.

BMI Change During Puberty Is an Important Determinant of Adult Type 2 Diabetes Risk in Men

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to determine the role of change in body mass index (BMI) during puberty, independent of childhood overweight, for risk of adult type 2 diabetes in men.

STUDY DESIGN, POPULATION, AND OUTCOME

We included 36,176 men who had weight and height measured at age 8 and 20 years available from the BMI Epidemiology Study and the Conscription register. Information on type 2 diabetes (n = 1,777) was retrieved from the Swedish National Patient Register. Hazard ratios and 95% CIs were estimated by Cox regressions including birth year and country of birth as covariates. Because the assumption of proportional hazards was violated for the association between BMI change during puberty and type 2 diabetes, we split the follow-up time into early (≤55.7 years) and late (>55.7 years).

RESULTS

Both childhood overweight and high BMI increase during puberty associated with risk of adult type 2 diabetes. Men with childhood overweight that normalized during puberty did not have significantly increased risk of type 2 diabetes [early type 2 diabetes 1.28 (0.89; 1.82); late type 2 diabetes 1.35 (0.97; 1.87)]. Men who developed overweight during puberty [early 4.67 (3.90; 5.58); late 2.85 (2.25; 3.61)] and men overweight throughout childhood and puberty [early 4.82 (3.84; 6.05); late 3.04 (2.27; 4.06)] had substantially increased risk of type 2 diabetes compared with men who were never overweight.

CONCLUSION

BMI change during puberty is an important and childhood BMI a modest independent determinant of adult type 2 diabetes risk in men.

Childhood Body Mass Index Is Associated with Risk of Adult Colon Cancer in Men: An Association Modulated by Pubertal Change in Body Mass Index

BACKGROUND

The relative contribution of childhood and pubertal body mass index (BMI) for the risk of adult colorectal cancer is not known. The aim of this study was to evaluate the independent associations for childhood BMI and pubertal BMI change with risk of colorectal cancer in men.

METHODS

We included 37,663 men born in 1946 to 1961 who had weight and height measured at 8 (childhood) and 20 (young adult age) years of age available from the BMI Epidemiology Study. Information on colorectal cancer was retrieved from the Swedish National Patient Register (257 cases of colon cancer and 159 cases of rectal cancer).

RESULTS

Childhood BMI at 8 years of age [HR, 1.19 per SD increase; 95% confidence interval (CI), 1.06-1.33], but not pubertal BMI change (HR, 1.02; 95% CI, 0.90-1.15), was associated with increased risk of colon cancer. Due to a significant interaction between childhood BMI and pubertal BMI change (P < 0.001), we stratified the analyses according to the median of pubertal BMI change. Childhood BMI was associated with risk of colon cancer in individuals with a pubertal BMI change above, but not below, the median (above: HR = 1.48, 95% CI, 1.26-1.74; below: HR = 0.95, 95% CI, 0.80-1.12). Neither childhood BMI nor pubertal BMI change was associated with rectal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

High childhood BMI was associated with increased risk of colon cancer only if it was followed by a pubertal BMI increase above the median.

IMPACT

Further studies should evaluate prepubertal childhood BMI in relation to pubertal BMI change and BMI in middle age for the risk of colon cancer.

Change in body mass index from childhood onwards and risk of adult cardiovascular disease

Childhood obesity adversely affects the structure and function of the cardiovascular system, but the relationship between excessive weight gain during childhood and adult cardiovascular disease (CVD) is not fully understood. This review summarizes evidence for associations of change in body mass index (BMI) from childhood onwards with CVD outcomes. We found that excessive gain in BMI from childhood onwards was consistently associated with the presence of CVD risk factors, with increased risks of coronary heart disease, and there were suggestions of associations with stroke, atrial fibrillation and heart failure, but a lack of evidence precludes firm conclusions. These results indicate that the risk of CVD can be traced back to child ages and highlights the importance of primordial prevention of CVD by preventing excessive weight gain in childhood.

Childhood BMI is inversely associated with pubertal timing in normal-weight but not overweight boys

Background

An inverse association between childhood body mass index (BMI; in kg/m2) and pubertal timing is well established for girls. Among boys, studies are scarce and the results inconclusive.

Objective

We aimed to determine the association between childhood BMI and age at peak height velocity (PHV) in boys.

Design

We collected height and weight measurements between 6.5 and 22 y of age for boys born 1945-1961 (original cohort; n = 31,971; mean ± SD childhood BMI: 15.74 ± 1.41; age at PHV: 14.06 ± 1.11 y) and 1981-1996 (replication cohort; n = 1465; childhood BMI: 16.47 ± 2.06; age at PHV: 13.71 ± 1.08 y) attending schools in Gothenburg, Sweden, and examined at mandatory military conscription. Age at PHV was obtained from curve-fitting of measured heights with the use of a modified Infancy-Childhood-Puberty model.

Results

In the original cohort, childhood BMI was inversely associated with age at PHV (P < 0.001) and a significant quadratic term for childhood BMI (P < 0.001) indicated the nonlinearity of this association. Via piecewise linear regression, we identified a threshold for the association at a childhood BMI of 18.42. A significant inverse association was observed below (β: -0.17 y/BMI unit; 95% CI: -0.18, -0.16 y/BMI unit) but not above (β: 0.02 y/BMI unit; 95% CI: -0.03, 0.06 y/BMI unit) this childhood BMI threshold. For every unit increase in childhood BMI, age at PHV was ∼2 mo earlier up to the childhood BMI threshold. Similar results were observed in the replication cohort, demonstrating a significant inverse association below (β: -0.16; 95% CI: -0.21, -0.11) but not above (β: -0.03; 95% CI: -0.11, 0.05) the childhood BMI threshold. The identified threshold was close to the cutoffs for overweight at 8 y of age, and childhood BMI was inversely associated with age at PHV below but not above the overweight cutoffs.

Conclusions

The present findings establish an inverse association between childhood BMI and pubertal timing in normal-weight but not overweight boys.