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Li Q, Zhou X, Wang W, Xu Q, Wang Q, Li J. Structural basis of rosmarinic acid inhibitory mechanism on SARS-CoV-2 main protease. Biochem Biophys Res Commun 2024; 724:150230. [PMID: 38865813 DOI: 10.1016/j.bbrc.2024.150230] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/25/2024] [Revised: 06/01/2024] [Accepted: 06/05/2024] [Indexed: 06/14/2024]
Abstract
The SARS-CoV-2 coronavirus is characterized by high mutation rates and significant infectivity, posing ongoing challenges for therapeutic intervention. To address potential challenges in the future, the continued development of effective drugs targeting SARS-CoV-2 remains an important task for the scientific as well as the pharmaceutical community. The main protease (Mpro) of SARS-CoV-2 is an ideal therapeutic target for COVID-19 drug development, leading to the introduction of various inhibitors, both covalent and non-covalent, each characterized by unique mechanisms of action and possessing inherent strengths and limitations. Natural products, being compounds naturally present in the environment, offer advantages such as low toxicity and diverse activities, presenting a viable source for antiviral drug development. Here, we identified a natural compound, rosmarinic acid, which exhibits significant inhibitory effects on the Mpro of the SARS-CoV-2. Through detailed structural biology analysis, we elucidated the precise crystal structure of the complex formed between rosmarinic acid and SARS-CoV-2 Mpro, revealing the molecular basis of its inhibitory mechanism. These findings not only enhance our understanding of the antiviral action of rosmarinic acid, but also provide valuable structural information and mechanistic insights for the further development of therapeutic strategies against SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Qianhui Li
- Shanghai Institute of Applied Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 201800, China; Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100049, China
| | - Xuelan Zhou
- College of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, 341000, China
| | - Weiwei Wang
- Shanghai Advanced Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 201204, China
| | - Qin Xu
- Shanghai Advanced Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 201204, China
| | - Qisheng Wang
- Shanghai Institute of Applied Physics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 201800, China; Shanghai Advanced Research Institute, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 201204, China.
| | - Jian Li
- College of Pharmaceutical Sciences, Gannan Medical University, Ganzhou, 341000, China.
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Wei L, Huang Q. Retrospecting Digital Media Use, Negative Emotions, and Trust Gaps During the COVID-19 Pandemic in China: Cross-Sectional Web-Based Survey. J Med Internet Res 2024; 26:e49422. [PMID: 38986127 PMCID: PMC11269966 DOI: 10.2196/49422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/28/2023] [Revised: 02/01/2024] [Accepted: 05/24/2024] [Indexed: 07/12/2024] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Retrospecting the trust gaps and their dynamics during the pandemic is crucial for understanding the root causes of postpandemic challenges and offers valuable insights into preparing for future public health emergencies. The COVID-19 pandemic eroded people's trust in strangers and acquaintances, while their trust in family members remained relatively stable. This resulted in 2 trust gaps, namely, the family members-strangers trust gap and the family members-acquaintances trust gap. Widening trust gaps impede social integration and undermine the effective management of public health crises. However, little is known about how digital media use shaped trust gaps during a pandemic. OBJECTIVE This study aims to investigate the relationships between digital media use, negative emotions, the family members-strangers trust gap, and the family members-acquaintances trust gap during the COVID-19 pandemic in China. We test the mediating role of negative emotions between digital media use and 2 trust gaps and compare the indirect effect of digital media use on 2 trust gaps through negative emotions. METHODS A cross-sectional web-based survey was conducted in China between January 31, 2020, and February 9, 2020. A total of 1568 adults participated in the survey. Questions related to digital media use, negative emotions, trust in family members, trust in acquaintances, and trust in strangers during the pandemic were asked. Regression analyses were performed to test the associations between the examined variables. We used a 95% bootstrap CI approach to estimate the mediation effects. RESULTS Digital media use was positively associated with negative emotions (B=0.17, SE 0.03; P<.001), which in turn were positively associated with the family members-strangers trust gap (B=0.15, SE 0.03; P<.001). Likewise, digital media use was positively associated with negative emotions (B=0.17, SE 0.03; P<.001), while negative emotions were positively associated with the family members-acquaintances trust gap (B=0.08, SE 0.03; P=.01). Moreover, the indirect effect of digital media use on the family members-strangers trust gap (B=0.03, SE 0.01; 95% CI 0.01-0.04) was stronger than that on the family members-acquaintances trust gap (B=0.01, SE 0.01; 95% CI 0.003-0.027). CONCLUSIONS The results demonstrate that negative emotions resulting from the frequent use of digital media are a key factor that accounts for the widening trust gaps. Considering the increasing reliance on digital media, the findings indicate that the appropriate use of digital media can prevent the overamplification of negative emotions and curb the enlargement of trust gaps. This may help restore social trust and prepare for future public health crises in the postpandemic era.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lu Wei
- School of Journalism and Communication, Communication University of Zhejiang, Hangzhou, China
- International Communication Institute, College of Media and International Culture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
| | - Qing Huang
- International Communication Institute, College of Media and International Culture, Zhejiang University, Hangzhou, China
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3
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Ntchana A, Shrestha S, Pippin M. Cardiovascular Complications of COVID-19: A Scoping Review of Evidence. Cureus 2023; 15:e48275. [PMID: 38054135 PMCID: PMC10695704 DOI: 10.7759/cureus.48275] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/04/2023] [Indexed: 12/07/2023] Open
Abstract
This scoping review sought to identify the nature and extent of clinical evidence regarding the acute and long-term cardiovascular complications associated with COVID-19. Forty-nine studies published between 2020 and 2023 were selected for review. The studies were divided into two groups. The referential group included 22 studies. The second group of 27 studies was used for a detailed review to assess the strength of the evidence. The aggregate evidence indicates that the most common cardiac complications associated with COVID-19 include but are not limited to acute pericarditis, acute myocardial injury, acute myocarditis, various arrhythmias, microvascular angiopathy, left ventricular dysfunction, heart failure, acute cardiac injury, and acute coronary syndrome. Clinical and epidemiological implications of the findings are investigated, and future research recommendations are proposed.
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Affiliation(s)
- Armand Ntchana
- Family Medicine-Alexandria, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, Alexandria, USA
| | - Sanjay Shrestha
- Family Medicine-Alexandria, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, Alexandria, USA
| | - Micah Pippin
- Family Medicine-Alexandria, Louisiana State University Health Sciences Center, Alexandria, USA
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Brogna B, Bignardi E, Megliola A, Laporta A, La Rocca A, Volpe M, Musto LA. A Pictorial Essay Describing the CT Imaging Features of COVID-19 Cases throughout the Pandemic with a Special Focus on Lung Manifestations and Extrapulmonary Vascular Abdominal Complications. Biomedicines 2023; 11:2113. [PMID: 37626610 PMCID: PMC10452395 DOI: 10.3390/biomedicines11082113] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/14/2023] [Revised: 07/20/2023] [Accepted: 07/24/2023] [Indexed: 08/27/2023] Open
Abstract
With the Omicron wave, SARS-CoV-2 infections improved, with less lung involvement and few cases of severe manifestations. In this pictorial review, there is a summary of the pathogenesis with particular focus on the interaction of the immune system and gut and lung axis in both pulmonary and extrapulmonary manifestations of COVID-19 and the computed tomography (CT) imaging features of COVID-19 pneumonia from the beginning of the pandemic, describing the typical features of COVID-19 pneumonia following the Delta variant and the atypical features appearing during the Omicron wave. There is also an outline of the typical features of COVID-19 pneumonia in cases of breakthrough infection, including secondary lung complications such as acute respiratory distress disease (ARDS), pneumomediastinum, pneumothorax, and lung pulmonary thromboembolism, which were more frequent during the first waves of the pandemic. Finally, there is a description of vascular extrapulmonary complications, including both ischemic and hemorrhagic abdominal complications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Barbara Brogna
- Department of Interventional and Emergency Radiology, San Giuseppe Moscati Hospital, 83100 Avellino, Italy; (A.L.); (A.L.R.); (L.A.M.)
| | - Elio Bignardi
- Department of Radiology, Francesco Ferrari Hospital, ASL Lecce, 73042 Casarano, Italy;
| | - Antonia Megliola
- Radiology Unit, “Frangipane” Hospital, ASL Avellino, 83031 Ariano Irpino, Italy; (A.M.); (M.V.)
| | - Antonietta Laporta
- Department of Interventional and Emergency Radiology, San Giuseppe Moscati Hospital, 83100 Avellino, Italy; (A.L.); (A.L.R.); (L.A.M.)
| | - Andrea La Rocca
- Department of Interventional and Emergency Radiology, San Giuseppe Moscati Hospital, 83100 Avellino, Italy; (A.L.); (A.L.R.); (L.A.M.)
| | - Mena Volpe
- Radiology Unit, “Frangipane” Hospital, ASL Avellino, 83031 Ariano Irpino, Italy; (A.M.); (M.V.)
| | - Lanfranco Aquilino Musto
- Department of Interventional and Emergency Radiology, San Giuseppe Moscati Hospital, 83100 Avellino, Italy; (A.L.); (A.L.R.); (L.A.M.)
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Khapre M, Pathania M, Saxena V, Omar BJ, Goyal B, Sinha S, Bahurupi Y, Dhamija P. Effectiveness of Kabasura Kudineer tablets in the management of asymptomatic and mild cases of COVID-19: A pilot double-blinded, randomized controlled trial. J Ayurveda Integr Med 2023; 14:100777. [PMID: 37536025 PMCID: PMC10410514 DOI: 10.1016/j.jaim.2023.100777] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/02/2022] [Revised: 05/11/2023] [Accepted: 07/08/2023] [Indexed: 08/05/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION COVID-19 was declared a pandemic in 2020. It has had a devastating effect on human life and the global economy. To date, there is no proven therapy for COVID-19, even though rigorous research is ongoing to test multiple compounds across all systems of medicine. A need was felt to systematically explore the Indian system of medicine to assess its efficacy against COVID-19. The objective of the present study was to examine the effect of Kabasura Kudineer as a standalone therapy on the following: time required to achieve symptom relief & resolution, virological clearance, and levels of IL6, CRP and IgG, and compare it to the standard therapy available for treatment of COVID-19. METHODOLOGY A double-blinded randomized controlled trial was conducted in 110 participants. 55 participants were enrolled in the Kabasura Kudineer arm and 55 in the control (standard therapy + Kabasura Kudineer placebo) arm. Study participants were randomly allocated into the two study arms. They were assessed for symptoms at baseline, and on Day 5 and Day 10. RT PCR, CRP, IL6 and IgG levels were measured at baseline, Day 5 and Day 10. On day 28, participants were interviewed telephonically for symptom assessment alone. STATISTICAL ANALYSIS A per-protocol approach was used. Significant difference between two groups was assessed at baseline, day 5 and day 10 using the Chi-square and Mann Whitney test. RESULT A total of 110 patients participated in study. Four patients in the Kabasura Kudineer arm and 9 in the Standard therapy arm were lost to follow-up. Baseline characteristics for both the groups were matched at baseline. 83.9% and 93.9% patients were relieved of all symptoms by the 10th day in Kabasura and standard therapy groups respectively. Decrease in CRP level was more pronounced in the Kabasura group compared to standard therapy viz. 3 mg/l and 1.26 mg/l. No significant difference was found in IgG level and IL6 levels in both the study groups. However, it was noticed that among the unvaccinated group, the surge in IgG levels was much higher in Kabasura Kudineer group than the standard therapy group. CONCLUSION Kabasura Kudineer as a standalone therapy was as effective and safe as the standard therapy among patients with asymptomatic to mild COVID-19.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | | | | | - Bela Goyal
- Department of Biochemistry, AIIMS Rishikesh India
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Affiliation(s)
- Lawrence O Gostin
- From the O'Neill Institute for National and Global Health Law, Georgetown University Law Center, Washington, DC (L.O.G.); and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore (G.K.G.)
| | - Gigi K Gronvall
- From the O'Neill Institute for National and Global Health Law, Georgetown University Law Center, Washington, DC (L.O.G.); and the Johns Hopkins Center for Health Security, Baltimore (G.K.G.)
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7
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Alyami L, Panda DK, Das S. Bayesian Noise Modelling for State Estimation of the Spread of COVID-19 in Saudi Arabia with Extended Kalman Filters. SENSORS (BASEL, SWITZERLAND) 2023; 23:4734. [PMID: 37430648 DOI: 10.3390/s23104734] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/25/2023] [Revised: 05/09/2023] [Accepted: 05/10/2023] [Indexed: 07/12/2023]
Abstract
The epistemic uncertainty in coronavirus disease (COVID-19) model-based predictions using complex noisy data greatly affects the accuracy of pandemic trend and state estimations. Quantifying the uncertainty of COVID-19 trends caused by different unobserved hidden variables is needed to evaluate the accuracy of the predictions for complex compartmental epidemiological models. A new approach for estimating the measurement noise covariance from real COVID-19 pandemic data has been presented based on the marginal likelihood (Bayesian evidence) for Bayesian model selection of the stochastic part of the Extended Kalman filter (EKF), with a sixth-order nonlinear epidemic model, known as the SEIQRD (Susceptible-Exposed-Infected-Quarantined-Recovered-Dead) compartmental model. This study presents a method for testing the noise covariance in cases of dependence or independence between the infected and death errors, to better understand their impact on the predictive accuracy and reliability of EKF statistical models. The proposed approach is able to reduce the error in the quantity of interest compared to the arbitrarily chosen values in the EKF estimation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Lamia Alyami
- Centre for Environmental Mathematics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK
- Department of Mathematics, College of Science, Najran University, Najran 11001, Saudi Arabia
| | - Deepak Kumar Panda
- Centre for Environmental Mathematics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK
| | - Saptarshi Das
- Centre for Environmental Mathematics, Faculty of Environment, Science and Economy, University of Exeter, Penryn Campus, Penryn TR10 9FE, UK
- Institute for Data Science and Artificial Intelligence, University of Exeter, Exeter EX4 4QE, UK
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8
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Wu F. Updated analysis to reject the laboratory-engineering hypothesis of SARS-CoV-2. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2023; 224:115481. [PMID: 36804316 PMCID: PMC9937728 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2023.115481] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/20/2022] [Revised: 02/08/2023] [Accepted: 02/09/2023] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
A clear understanding of the origin of SARS-CoV-2 is important for future pandemic preparedness. Here, I provided an updated analysis of the type IIS endonuclease maps in genomes of alphacoronavirus, betacoronavirus, and SARS-CoV-2. Scenarios to engineer SARS-CoV-2 in the laboratory and the associated workload was also discussed. The analysis clearly shows that the endonuclease fingerprint does not indicate a synthetic origin of SARS-CoV-2 and engineering a SARS-CoV-2 virus in the laboratory is extremely challenging both scientifically and financially. On the contrary, current scientific evidence does support the animal origin of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fuqing Wu
- Epidemiology, Human Genetics and Environmental Sciences, School of Public Health, The University of Texas Health Science Center at Houston, Texas, USA; Texas Epidemic Public Health Institute, TX, USA.
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Zapatero Gaviria A, Barba Martin R. What do we know about the origin of COVID-19 three years later? Rev Clin Esp 2023; 223:240-243. [PMID: 36933695 PMCID: PMC10019034 DOI: 10.1016/j.rceng.2023.02.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/14/2023] [Accepted: 02/17/2023] [Indexed: 03/18/2023]
Abstract
More than three years have passed since the first case of a new coronavirus infection (SARS-CoV-2) in the city of Wuhan (Hubei, China). The Wuhan Institute of Virology was founded in that city in 1956 and the country's first biosafety level 4 laboratory opened within that center in 2015. The coincidence that the first cases of infection emerged in the city where the virology institute's headquarters is located, the failure to 100% identify the virus' RNA in any of the coronaviruses isolated in bats, and the lack of evidence on a possible intermediate animal host in the contagion's transmission make it so that at present, there are doubts about the real origin of SARS-CoV-2. This article will review two theories: SARS-CoV-2 as a virus of zoonotic origin or as a leak from the high-level biosafety laboratory in Wuhan.
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Affiliation(s)
- A Zapatero Gaviria
- Servicio Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario Fuenlabrada, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos.
| | - R Barba Martin
- Servicio Medicina Interna, Hospital Universitario Rey Juan Carlos, Universidad Rey Juan Carlos
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10
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US COVID-origins hearing renews debate over lab-leak hypothesis. Nature 2023; 615:380-381. [PMID: 36890328 DOI: 10.1038/d41586-023-00701-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 03/10/2023]
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Dwyer DE. The Origins of Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome-Coronavirus-2. Semin Respir Crit Care Med 2023; 44:3-7. [PMID: 36646081 DOI: 10.1055/s-0042-1759564] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/18/2023]
Abstract
An outbreak of severe pneumonia of unknown cause was identified in Wuhan, China in December 2019: the causative agent was a novel betacoronavirus, severe acute respiratory syndrome-cotonavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2), a virus that joins a list of coronaviruses causing severe (e.g., SARS and Middle East respiratory syndrome) or milder (e.g., 229E, OC43, NL63, and HKU1) respiratory tract infection. The World Health Organization (WHO) classified the spreading outbreak as a pandemic on March 11, 2020. Many SARS-related coronaviruses (SARSr-CoVs) have been identified in bats, particularly in Rhinolophus horseshoe bats, animals that are common in southern China and Southeast Asia. Many of the features of SARS-CoV-2 that facilitate human infection-the furin cleavage site, the receptor binding domain that binds to the human ACE2 receptor-can be identified in SARSr-CoVs. Related coronaviruses can be detected in pangolins and other animals, and human SARS-CoV-2 itself can infect various animals, some of which can transmit SARS-CoV-2 back to humans. Investigation by the WHO and others pointed to the initial outbreak being centered on the Huanan wet market in Wuhan where wild and farmed animals were sold, and where environmental testing revealed widespread SARS-CoV-2 contamination. This supports the hypothesis that bats, probably via an intermediate animal, are the origin of SARS-CoV-2. Other possible origins have been postulated, such as an accidental or deliberate laboratory leak, or virus present in frozen foods, but evidence for these ideas has not surfaced. Study of the origins of SARS-CoV-2 have been complicated by intense media and political commentary, features that may slow the studies required to understand the viral origins. Such studies are complex and may be slow: international openness and co-operation is vital. Origins explanations are needed to predict or prevent future pandemics and support the "One Health" approach to disease.
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Affiliation(s)
- Dominic E Dwyer
- Public Health Pathology, New South Wales Health Pathology, Institute of Clinical Pathology and Medical Research, Westmead Hospital, Westmead, New South Wales, Australia
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Guo C, Tsai SJ, Ai Y, Li M, Anaya E, Pekosz A, Cox A, Gould SJ. The D614G mutation redirects SARS-CoV-2 spike to lysosomes and suppresses deleterious traits of the furin cleavage site insertion mutation. SCIENCE ADVANCES 2022; 8:eade5085. [PMID: 36563151 PMCID: PMC9788772 DOI: 10.1126/sciadv.ade5085] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2022] [Accepted: 11/21/2022] [Indexed: 06/16/2023]
Abstract
Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) egress occurs by lysosomal exocytosis. We show that the Spike D614G mutation enhances Spike trafficking to lysosomes, drives Spike-mediated reprogramming of lysosomes, and reduces cell surface Spike expression by ~3-fold. D614G is not a human-specific adaptation. Rather, it is an adaptation to the earlier furin cleavage site insertion (FCSI) mutation that occurred at the genesis of SARS-CoV-2. While advantageous to the virus, furin cleavage of spike has deleterious effects on spike structure and function, inhibiting its trafficking to lysosomes and impairing its infectivity by the transmembrane serine protease 2(TMPRSS2)-independent, endolysosomal pathway. D614G restores spike trafficking to lysosomes and enhances the earliest events in SARS-CoV-2 infectivity, while spike mutations that restore SARS-CoV-2's TMPRSS2-independent infectivity restore spike's trafficking to lysosomes. Together, these and other results show that D614G is an intragenic suppressor of deleterious traits linked to the FCSI and lend additional support to the endolysosomal model of SARS-CoV-2 egress and entry.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chenxu Guo
- Department of Biological Chemistry, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, 725 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
| | - Shang-Jui Tsai
- Department of Biological Chemistry, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, 725 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
| | - Yiwei Ai
- Department of Biological Chemistry, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, 725 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
| | - Maggie Li
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| | - Eduardo Anaya
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| | - Andrew Pekosz
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, School of Public Health, 615 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD 21205, USA
| | - Andrea Cox
- Department of Medicine, Department of Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, 725 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
| | - Stephen J. Gould
- Department of Biological Chemistry, Johns Hopkins University, School of Medicine, 725 North Wolfe Street, Baltimore, MD, 21205, USA
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Boguslavsky DV, Sharova NP, Sharov KS. Evolutionary Challenges to Humanity Caused by Uncontrolled Carbon Emissions: The Stockholm Paradigm. INTERNATIONAL JOURNAL OF ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH AND PUBLIC HEALTH 2022; 19:16920. [PMID: 36554799 PMCID: PMC9778811 DOI: 10.3390/ijerph192416920] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/24/2022] [Revised: 12/13/2022] [Accepted: 12/14/2022] [Indexed: 06/17/2023]
Abstract
This review paper discusses the Stockholm Paradigm (SP) as a theoretical framework and practical computational instrument for studying and assessing the risk of emerging infectious diseases (EIDs) as a result of climate change. The SP resolves the long-standing parasite paradox and explains how carbon emissions in the atmosphere increase parasites' generalization and intensify host switches from animals to humans. The SP argues that the growing rate of novel EID occurrence caused by mutated zoonotic pathogens is related to the following factors brought together as a unified issue of humanity: (a) carbon emissions and consequent climate change; (b) resettlement/migration of people with hyper-urbanization; (c) overpopulation; and (d) human-induced distortion of the biosphere. The SP demonstrates that, in an evolutionary way, humans now play a role migratory birds once played in spreading parasite pathogens between the three Earth megabiotopes (northern coniferous forest belt; tropical/equatorial rainforest areas; and hot/cold deserts), i.e., the role of "super-spreaders" of parasitic viruses, bacteria, fungi and protozoa. This makes humans extremely vulnerable to the EID threat. The SP sees the +1.0-+1.2 °C limit as the optimal target for the slow, yet feasible curbing of the EID hazard to public health (150-200 years). Reaching merely the +2.0 °C level will obviously be an EID catastrophe, as it may cause two or three pandemics each year. We think it useful and advisable to include the SP-based research in the scientific repository of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, since EID appearance and spread are indirect but extremely dangerous consequences of climate change.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Natalia P. Sharova
- Koltzov Institute of Developmental Biology, Russian Academy of Sciences, 26 Vavilov Street, 119334 Moscow, Russia
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Domingo JL. An updated review of the scientific literature on the origin of SARS-CoV-2. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2022; 215:114131. [PMID: 36037920 PMCID: PMC9420317 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.114131] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/02/2022] [Revised: 08/13/2022] [Accepted: 08/15/2022] [Indexed: 05/03/2023]
Abstract
More than two and a half years have already passed since the first case of COVID-19 was officially reported (December 2019), as well as more than two years since the WHO declared the current pandemic (March 2020). During these months, the advances on the knowledge of the COVID-19 and SARS-CoV-2, the coronavirus responsible of the infection, have been very significant. However, there are still some weak points on that knowledge, being the origin of SARS-CoV-2 one of the most notorious. One year ago, I published a review focused on what we knew and what we need to know about the origin of that coronavirus, a key point for the prevention of potential future pandemics of a similar nature. The analysis of the available publications until July 2021 did not allow drawing definitive conclusions on the origin of SARS-CoV-2. Given the great importance of that issue, the present review was aimed at updating the scientific information on that origin. Unfortunately, there have not been significant advances on that topic, remaining basically the same two hypotheses on it. One of them is the zoonotic origin of SARS-CoV-2, while the second one is the possible leak of this coronavirus from a laboratory. Most recent papers do not include observational or experimental studies, being discussions and positions on these two main hypotheses. Based on the information here reviewed, there is not yet a definitive and well demonstrated conclusion on the origin of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Jose L Domingo
- Universitat Rovira i Virgili, Laboratory of Toxicology and Environmental Health, School of Medicine, 43201, Reus, Catalonia, Spain.
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15
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Beauvais C. Pourquoi croyons-nous aux fake news ? ☆. REVUE DU RHUMATISME (ED. FRANCAISE : 1993) 2022; 89:555-561. [PMID: 36267475 PMCID: PMC9558089 DOI: 10.1016/j.rhum.2022.09.013] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/22/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022]
Abstract
Ces dernières années, les fake news ont connu une propagation exponentielle, en particulier depuis l’élection américaine de Donald Trump et la pandémie de la COVID-19. La recherche s’est intéressée à la création, à l’utilisation, au partage et à l’identification des fake news et cherche à mettre en œuvre des moyens visant à enrayer le flux de fausses informations et empêcher que l’on y croie. Cette mise à jour aborde une partie seulement de la problématique des fake news et met l’accent sur les déterminants qui favorisent la croyance aux fausses nouvelles ; à noter que la rhumatologie est peu représentée. Certains facteurs sont directement liés à l’écosystème des médias et des réseaux sociaux comme la disponibilité et la propagation rapide des fake news , la non-sélection des informations relayées sur ces plateformes et le fait que les individus peuvent être à la fois consommateurs et créateurs de fake news . Les facteurs cognitifs occupent une place importante comme le biais de confirmation, l’appartenance politique, l’exposition répétée aux fausses nouvelles et le raisonnement intuitif. L’absence de connaissances scientifiques et un faible niveau d’études contribuent également à croire aux fake news . Les facteurs psychologiques regroupent l’attrait de la nouveauté, l’état émotionnel des individus et le contenu émotionnel des fake news . Un niveau élevé de littéracie numérique réduit la vulnérabilité aux fake news . Des facteurs sociologiques, tels que les communautés en ligne (ou chambres d’écho) et le rôle des groupes de pression, ont été identifiés. Des implications pratiques peuvent être déduites pour limiter les fake news : l’éducation aux médias et l’utilisation de mises en garde contre les fake news , le journalisme fondé sur des données probantes et la vérification des faits, la régulation des réseaux sociaux, la collaboration des plateformes médiatiques avec des organismes de fact-checking , les messages d’alerte sur les réseaux et les solutions de détection digitale. Les professionnels de santé doivent mieux comprendre les facteurs qui alimentent la croyance aux fake news . L’identification de ces déterminants pourrait ainsi faciliter leur rôle de conseil auprès des patients concernant le phénomène de désinformation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Catherine Beauvais
- Service de rhumatologie, Sorbonne université, hôpital Saint-Antoine, AP-HP, 184, rue du Faubourg Saint-Antoine, 75012 Paris. France
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16
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Pappas G, Vokou D, Sainis I, Halley JM. SARS-CoV-2 as a Zooanthroponotic Infection: Spillbacks, Secondary Spillovers, and Their Importance. Microorganisms 2022; 10:2166. [PMID: 36363758 PMCID: PMC9696655 DOI: 10.3390/microorganisms10112166] [Citation(s) in RCA: 10] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/05/2022] [Revised: 10/26/2022] [Accepted: 10/28/2022] [Indexed: 10/06/2023] Open
Abstract
In the midst of a persistent pandemic of a probable zoonotic origin, one needs to constantly evaluate the interplay of SARS-CoV-2 (severe acute respiratory syndrome-related coronavirus-2) with animal populations. Animals can get infected from humans, and certain species, including mink and white-tailed deer, exhibit considerable animal-to-animal transmission resulting in potential endemicity, mutation pressure, and possible secondary spillover to humans. We attempt a comprehensive review of the available data on animal species infected by SARS-CoV-2, as presented in the scientific literature and official reports of relevant organizations. We further evaluate the lessons humans should learn from mink outbreaks, white-tailed deer endemicity, zoo outbreaks, the threat for certain species conservation, the possible implication of rodents in the evolution of novel variants such as Omicron, and the potential role of pets as animal reservoirs of the virus. Finally, we outline the need for a broader approach to the pandemic and epidemics, in general, incorporating the principles of One Health and Planetary Health.
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Affiliation(s)
- Georgios Pappas
- Institute of Continuing Medical Education of Ioannina, 45333 Ioannina, Greece
| | - Despoina Vokou
- Department of Ecology, School of Biology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, 54124 Thessaloniki, Greece
| | - Ioannis Sainis
- Medical School, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45110 Ioannina, Greece
| | - John M. Halley
- Laboratory of Ecology, Department of Biological Applications and Technology, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of Ioannina, 45110 Ioannina, Greece
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17
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Quiroga BF, Vásquez C, Vicuña MI. Nonlinear time-series forecasts for decision support: short-term demand for ICU beds in Santiago, Chile, during the 2021 COVID-19 pandemic. INTERNATIONAL TRANSACTIONS IN OPERATIONAL RESEARCH : A JOURNAL OF THE INTERNATIONAL FEDERATION OF OPERATIONAL RESEARCH SOCIETIES 2022; 30:ITOR13222. [PMID: 36712286 PMCID: PMC9874731 DOI: 10.1111/itor.13222] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/13/2021] [Revised: 04/22/2022] [Accepted: 09/22/2022] [Indexed: 06/18/2023]
Abstract
In Chile, due to the explosive increase of new Coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) cases during the first part of 2021, the ability of health services to accommodate new incoming cases was jeopardized. It has become necessary to be able to manage intensive care unit (ICU) capacity, and for this purpose, monitoring both the evolution of new cases and the demand for ICU beds has become urgent. This paper presents short-term forecast models for the number of new cases and the number of COVID-19 patients admitted to ICUs in the Metropolitan Region in Chile.
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Affiliation(s)
- Bernardo F. Quiroga
- School of ManagementPontificia Universidad Católica de ChileAv. Vicuña Mackenna 4860MaculSantiagoRM 7820436Chile
| | - Cristián Vásquez
- School of ManagementPontificia Universidad Católica de ChileAv. Vicuña Mackenna 4860MaculSantiagoRM 7820436Chile
| | - M. Ignacia Vicuña
- School of ManagementPontificia Universidad Católica de ChileAv. Vicuña Mackenna 4860MaculSantiagoRM 7820436Chile
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18
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Sachs JD, Karim SSA, Aknin L, Allen J, Brosbøl K, Colombo F, Barron GC, Espinosa MF, Gaspar V, Gaviria A, Haines A, Hotez PJ, Koundouri P, Bascuñán FL, Lee JK, Pate MA, Ramos G, Reddy KS, Serageldin I, Thwaites J, Vike-Freiberga V, Wang C, Were MK, Xue L, Bahadur C, Bottazzi ME, Bullen C, Laryea-Adjei G, Ben Amor Y, Karadag O, Lafortune G, Torres E, Barredo L, Bartels JGE, Joshi N, Hellard M, Huynh UK, Khandelwal S, Lazarus JV, Michie S. The Lancet Commission on lessons for the future from the COVID-19 pandemic. Lancet 2022; 400:1224-1280. [PMID: 36115368 PMCID: PMC9539542 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(22)01585-9] [Citation(s) in RCA: 262] [Impact Index Per Article: 131.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/04/2022] [Revised: 07/01/2022] [Accepted: 08/11/2022] [Indexed: 02/03/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Jeffrey D Sachs
- Center for Sustainable Development, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States.
| | - Salim S Abdool Karim
- Mailman School of Public Health, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
| | - Lara Aknin
- Department of Psychology, Simon Fraser University, Burnaby, BC, Canada
| | - Joseph Allen
- Department of Environmental Health, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | | | - Francesca Colombo
- Health Division, Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development, Paris, France
| | | | | | - Vitor Gaspar
- Fiscal Affairs Department, International Monetary Fund, Washington, DC, United States
| | | | - Andy Haines
- Department of Public Health, Environments and Society, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK; Department of Population Health, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Peter J Hotez
- National School of Tropical Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States
| | - Phoebe Koundouri
- Department of International and European Economic Studies, Athens University of Economics and Business, Athens, Greece; Department of Technology, Management and Economics, Technical University of Denmark, Kongens Lyngby, Denmark; European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, Athens, Greece
| | - Felipe Larraín Bascuñán
- Department of Economics and Administration, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Chile, Santiago, Chile
| | - Jong-Koo Lee
- National Academy of Medicine of Korea, Seoul, Republic of Korea
| | - Muhammad Ali Pate
- Department of Global Health and Population, Harvard T H Chan School of Public Health, Boston, MA, United States
| | | | | | | | - John Thwaites
- Monash Sustainable Development Institute, Monash University, Clayton, VIC, Australia
| | | | - Chen Wang
- National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences, Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, China; National Clinical Research Center for Respiratory Diseases, China-Japan Friendship Hospital, Beijing, China
| | | | - Lan Xue
- Schwarzman College, Tsinghua University, Beijing, China
| | - Chandrika Bahadur
- The Lancet COVID-19 Commission Regional Task Force: India, New Delhi, India
| | - Maria Elena Bottazzi
- National School of Tropical Medicine, Baylor College of Medicine, Houston, TX, United States
| | - Chris Bullen
- National Institute for Health Innovation, University of Auckland, Auckland, New Zealand
| | | | - Yanis Ben Amor
- Center for Sustainable Development, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
| | - Ozge Karadag
- Center for Sustainable Development, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
| | | | - Emma Torres
- United Nations Sustainable Development Solutions Network, New York, NY, United States
| | - Lauren Barredo
- United Nations Sustainable Development Solutions Network, New York, NY, United States
| | - Juliana G E Bartels
- Center for Sustainable Development, Columbia University, New York, NY, United States
| | - Neena Joshi
- United Nations Sustainable Development Solutions Network, New York, NY, United States
| | | | | | | | - Jeffrey V Lazarus
- Barcelona Institute for Global Health (ISGlobal), Hospital Clinic, University of Barcelona, Barcelona, Spain
| | - Susan Michie
- Centre for Behaviour Change, University College London, London, UK
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19
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Aligne CA. Lost Lessons of the 1918 Influenza: The 1920s Working Hypothesis, the Public Health Paradigm, and the Prevention of Deadly Pandemics. Am J Public Health 2022; 112:1454-1464. [PMID: 36007204 PMCID: PMC9480479 DOI: 10.2105/ajph.2022.306976] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 06/08/2022] [Indexed: 11/04/2022]
Abstract
In standard historical accounts, the hyperlethal 1918 flu pandemic was inevitable once a novel influenza virus appeared. However, in the years following the pandemic, it was obvious to distinguished flu experts from around the world that social and environmental conditions interacted with infectious agents and could enhance the virulence of flu germs. On the basis of the timing and geographic pattern of the pandemic, they hypothesized that an "essential cause" of the pandemic's extraordinary lethality was the extreme, prolonged, and industrial-scale overcrowding of US soldiers in World War I, particularly on troopships. This literature synthesis considers research from history, public health, military medicine, veterinary science, molecular genetics, virology, immunology, and epidemiology. Arguments against the hypothesis do not provide disconfirming evidence. Overall, the findings are consistent with an immunologically similar virus varying in virulence in response to war-related conditions. The enhancement-of-virulence hypothesis deserves to be included in the history of the pandemic and the war. These lost lessons of 1918 point to possibilities for blocking the transformation of innocuous infections into deadly disasters and are relevant beyond influenza for diseases like COVID-19. (Am J Public Health. 2022;112(10):1454-1464. https://doi.org/10.2105/AJPH.2022.306976).
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Affiliation(s)
- C Andrew Aligne
- C. Andrew Aligne is with the Hoekelman Center, Department of Pediatrics, Golisano Children's Hospital, University of Rochester School of Medicine & Dentistry, Rochester, NY
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20
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Covid-19: Early Cases and Disease Spread. Ann Glob Health 2022; 88:83. [PMID: 36247198 PMCID: PMC9524236 DOI: 10.5334/aogh.3776] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/11/2022] [Accepted: 08/31/2022] [Indexed: 11/24/2022] Open
Abstract
The emergence and global spread of the Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus-2 (SARS-CoV-2) is critical to understanding how to prevent or control a future viral pandemic. We review the tools used for this retrospective search, their limits, and results obtained from China, France, Italy and the USA. We examine possible scenarios for the emergence of SARS-CoV-2 in the human population. We consider the Chinese city of Wuhan where the first cases of atypical pneumonia were attributed to SARS-CoV-2 and from where the disease spread worldwide. Possible superspreading events include the Wuhan-based 7th Military World Games on October 18–27, 2019 and the Chinese New Year holidays from January 25 to February 2, 2020. Several clues point to an early regional circulation of SARS-CoV-2 in northern Italy (Lombardi) as soon as September/October 2019 and in France in November/December 2019, if not before. With the goal of preventing future pandemics, we call for additional retrospective studies designed to trace the origin of SARS-CoV-2.
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21
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Konozy EHE, Osman MEFM, Ghartey-Kwansah G, Abushama HM. The striking mimics between COVID-19 and malaria: A review. Front Immunol 2022; 13:957913. [PMID: 36081516 PMCID: PMC9445119 DOI: 10.3389/fimmu.2022.957913] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2022] [Accepted: 08/04/2022] [Indexed: 11/25/2022] Open
Abstract
Objectives COVID-19 is a transmissible illness triggered by severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). Since its onset in late 2019 in Wuhan city of China, it continues to spread universally, leading to an ongoing pandemic that shattered all efforts to restrain it. On the other hand, in Africa, the COVID-19 infection may be influenced by malaria coinfection. Hence, in this review article, we aimed to give a comprehensive account of the similarities between COVID-19 and malaria in terms of symptoms, clinical, immunological, and molecular perspectives. Methodology In this article, we reviewed over 50 research papers to highlight the multilayered similarities between COVID-19 and malaria infections that might influence the ontology of COVID-19. Results Despite the poor health and fragile medical system of many sub-Saharan African countries, they persisted with a statistically significantly low number of COVID-19 cases. This was attributed to many factors such as the young population age, the warm weather, the lack of proper diagnosis, previous infection with malaria, the use of antimalarial drugs, etc. Additionally, population genetics appears to play a significant role in shaping the COVID-19 dynamics. This is evident as recent genomic screening analyses of the angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 (ACE2) and malaria-associated-variants identified 6 candidate genes that might play a role in malaria and COVID-19 incidence and severity. Moreover, the clinical and pathological resemblances between the two diseases have made considerable confusion in the diagnosis and thereafter curb the disease in Africa. Therefore, possible similarities between the diseases in regards to the clinical, pathological, immunological, and genetical ascription were discussed. Conclusion Understanding the dynamics of COVID-19 infection in Sub-Saharan Africa and how it is shaped by another endemic disease like malaria can provide insights into how to tailor a successful diagnostic, intervention, and control plans that lower both disease morbidity and mortality.
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Affiliation(s)
| | | | - George Ghartey-Kwansah
- Department of Biomedical Sciences, School of Allied Health Sciences, College of Health and Allied Sciences, University of Cape Coast, Cape Coast, Ghana
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22
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Bhattacharya J, Booy R, Casadevall A, Dela Cruz C, Fedson D, Garcia JGN, Grohmann G, Hung IFN, Jacobson J, Jennings LC, Kobzik L, Leligdowicz A, Liao JK, Martin JH, Musher DM, Serhan CN, Tashiro M. A practical treatment for COVID-19 and the next pandemic. Pharmacol Res Perspect 2022; 10:e00988. [PMID: 35837790 PMCID: PMC9284194 DOI: 10.1002/prp2.988] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 04/14/2022] [Accepted: 06/01/2022] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Jahar Bhattacharya
- Department of Physiology & Cellular BiophysicsVagelos Columbia College of Physicians & SurgeonsNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Robert Booy
- Department of Child and Adolescent HealthUniversity of Sydney Medical SchoolCamperdownNew South WalesAustralia
| | - Arturo Casadevall
- Department of Molecular Biology & ImmunologyJohns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public HealthBaltimoreMarylandUSA
| | - Charles Dela Cruz
- Department of MedicineYale School of MedicineNew HavenConnecticutUSA
| | | | - Joe G. N. Garcia
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Arizona College of MedicineTucsonArizonaUSA
| | - Gary Grohmann
- Director of ImmunobiologyTherapeutic Goods AdministrationCanberraAustralia
| | - Ivan F. N. Hung
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Hong KongPokfulamHong Kong
| | - Jeffrey R. Jacobson
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Illinois College of Medicine‐ChicagoChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Lance C. Jennings
- Department of Pathology & Biomedical ScienceUniversity of OtagoDunedinNew Zealand
| | - Lester Kobzik
- Department of Environmental HealthHarvard T.H. Chan School of Public HealthBostonMassachusettsUSA
| | | | - James K. Liao
- Department of MedicineUniversity of Chicago Pritzker School of MedicineChicagoIllinoisUSA
| | - Jennifer H. Martin
- Discipline of Clinical PharmacologyUniversity of Newcastle School of Medicine and Public HealthCallaghanNew South WalesAustralia
| | | | - Charles N. Serhan
- Department of Anesthesiology, Perioperative & Pain MedicineMass General Brigham‐Harvard Medical SchoolBostonMassachusettsUSA
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23
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Coccia M. Meta-analysis to explain unknown causes of the origins of SARS-COV-2. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2022; 211:113062. [PMID: 35259407 PMCID: PMC8897286 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2022.113062] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/31/2021] [Revised: 02/07/2022] [Accepted: 02/28/2022] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
New Severe Acute Respiratory Syndrome Coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) causes the Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19), an infectious illness that has generated a pandemic crisis worldwide. One of the fundamental questions in science and society is how SARS-CoV-2 has been originated to design best practices directed to prevent and/or to cope with future hazardous pathogens. The study confronts this question here developing a meta-analysis, which endeavors to explain, whenever possible, unknown sources of the SARS-CoV-2. Findings suggest that the natural spillover of novel viral agents that generate more than 6.00 M deaths worldwide in about two years (such as, SARS-CoV-2 from February 2020 to March 2022) has a remote probability of occurrence (using an analogy with the probability of natural disasters generating a lot of fatalities), whereas science advances on hazardous viral agents and consequential lab accident have a (higher) probability of occurrence (about 13-20% like in manifold lab accidents). The findings of this meta-analysis suggest the vital role of improving the technical guidelines of biosafety at all levels in laboratories during the development of scientific research of experimental virology on hazardous pathogens to minimize risks of pandemic threats in environment and human society.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mario Coccia
- CNR -- National Research Council of Italy, Collegio Carlo Alberto, Via Real Collegio, N. 30, 10024, Moncalieri, TO, Italy.
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24
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Abstract
Fake news dissemination has increased greatly in recent years, with peaks during the US presidential elections and the COVID-19 pandemic. Research has addressed fake news creation, consumption, sharing, and detection as well as approaches to counteract it and prevent people from believing it. This update addresses only a part of the fake news-related issues and focuses on determinants leading individuals to believe fake news, noting that rheumatology is scarcely represented. Some determinants relate to the ecosystem of media and social networks, such as the availability and rapid spread of fake news, the unselected information on platforms and the fact that consumers can become creators of fake news. Cognitive factors are important, such as confirmation bias, political partisanship, prior exposure and intuitive thinking. Low science knowledge and low educational level are also involved. Psychological factors include attraction to novelty, high emotional state, and the emotionally evocative content of fake news. High digital literacy protects against believing fake news. Sociological factors such as online communities, or echo chambers, and the role of pressure groups have been identified. The implication for practice can be deduced, including education in media literacy and warning tips, reliable journalism and fact-checking, social media regulation, partnership of media platforms' with fact-checkers, warning messages on networks, and digital detection solutions. Health professionals need to better understand the factors that cause individuals to believe fake news. Identifying these determinants may help them in their counseling role when talking to patients about misinformation.
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Affiliation(s)
- Catherine Beauvais
- Service de rhumatologie, hôpital Saint-Antoine. AP-HP. Sorbonne université, Paris, France.
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25
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Strydhorst NA, Landrum AR. Charting cognition: Mapping public understanding of COVID-19. PUBLIC UNDERSTANDING OF SCIENCE (BRISTOL, ENGLAND) 2022; 31:534-552. [PMID: 35274566 PMCID: PMC9131401 DOI: 10.1177/09636625221078462] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/14/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic of the last 2 years (and counting) disrupted commerce, travel, workplaces, habits, and-of course-health, the world over. This study aimed to capture snapshots of the perceptions and misperceptions of COVID-19 among 27 participants from three US municipalities. These perspectives are analyzed through thematic analyses and concept maps. Such snapshots, particularly as viewed through the lens of narrative sense-making theory, capture a sample of cognitions at this unique moment in history: a little over 1 year into the COVID-19 pandemic. Findings suggest that the (mis)perceptions captured are predominantly conveyed via narratives of participants' personal experiences, and that the themes of attitudes toward precautionary measures, uncertainty, and the muddied science communication environment are prevalent. These themes suggest several salient targets for future research and current science communication, such as a focus on basic explainers, vaccinations' safety and effectiveness and the necessity of uncertainty in the practice of science.
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26
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Barker H, Chen C. Pandemic Outbreaks and the Language of Violence. Chest 2022; 162:196-201. [PMID: 35305972 PMCID: PMC8925085 DOI: 10.1016/j.chest.2022.03.010] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/21/2021] [Revised: 02/11/2022] [Accepted: 03/07/2022] [Indexed: 12/04/2022] Open
Abstract
The outbreak of COVID-19 has brought renewed attention to past narratives of disease outbreaks. What do the Black Death and COVID-19 have in common? How we tell outbreak stories is shaped by political, cultural, social, and historical contexts. It is deeply rhetorical. The general public relies on experts (scientists, historians, and government officials) to provide credible information, but uncertainties during an outbreak can make it difficult to provide definitive answers quickly. Experts need to be conscious about the contexts in which their statements would be received. Regarding the Black Death, historians of medicine have relied heavily on a single medieval account of the outbreak, which confirmed their preconceptions about Mongol violence, allowing them to present the Black Death as an instance of biological warfare. Looking at other medieval accounts, however, makes clear that this narrative of Mongol biological warfare is false. Similarly, modern outbreak narratives also tend to use militarized language, which results in othering peoples and cultures where a disease might have originated. Given the contemporary political tensions between China and the United States, narratives about the origin of the SARS-CoV-2 virus and its transmission have led to a transnational infodemic of misinformation as well as discrimination and violence against people of Asian descent. In light of this long-running pattern, we argue for more interdisciplinary collaborations between the experts whose work is used to build outbreak narratives to adopt more critical rhetorical approaches in communicating with the public.
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Basbug G, Cavicchi A, Silbey SS. Rank Has Its Privileges: Explaining Why Laboratory Safety Is a Persistent Challenge. JOURNAL OF BUSINESS ETHICS : JBE 2022; 184:571-587. [PMID: 35757574 PMCID: PMC9206856 DOI: 10.1007/s10551-022-05169-z] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/03/2020] [Accepted: 05/27/2022] [Indexed: 06/15/2023]
Abstract
Environmental, health, and safety management systems have become common in research settings to improve laboratory safety through systematic observation and self-regulation. However, there is scant empirical evidence assessing whether these surveillance and inspection systems meet their intended objectives. Using data from safety inspections in research laboratories at a large university, we investigate whether conducting inspections, and recording and reporting findings back to the formally responsible actors (i.e., principal investigator scientists) lead to the improvement of regulatory compliance. Our analyses identify a population of well-funded, high-status, tenured researchers whose non-compliant practices persist. Our interviews with environmental, health, and safety personnel suggest that higher-status actors disengage from the regulatory system, the compliance officers, and the system's feedback process by their variable recognition and acknowledgment of relevant regulations, attention to the inspection reports, and responses to the feedback concerning repair of the unsafe situation. This study extends previous literature on regulatory compliance by providing evidence for the role of power and status in explaining actor-level non-compliant behavior.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gokce Basbug
- Sungkyunkwan University, 25-2 Sungkyunkwan-ro, Jongro-gu, Seoul, 03063 Korea
| | - Ayn Cavicchi
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
| | - Susan S. Silbey
- Massachusetts Institute of Technology, 77 Massachusetts Avenue, Cambridge, MA 02139 USA
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28
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Wang W, Tian JH, Chen X, Hu RX, Lin XD, Pei YY, Lv JX, Zheng JJ, Dai FH, Song ZG, Chen YM, Zhang YZ. Coronaviruses in Wild Animals Sampled in and Around Wuhan in the Beginning of COVID-19 Emergence. Virus Evol 2022; 8:veac046. [PMID: 35769892 PMCID: PMC9214087 DOI: 10.1093/ve/veac046] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/19/2022] [Revised: 05/31/2022] [Accepted: 06/03/2022] [Indexed: 11/22/2022] Open
Abstract
Over the last several decades, no emerging virus has had a profound impact on the world as the SARS-CoV-2 that emerged at the end of 2019 has done. To know where severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) originated from and how it jumped into human population, we immediately started a surveillance investigation in wild mammals in and around Wuhan when we determined the agent. Herein, coronaviruses were screened in the lung, liver, and intestinal tissue samples from fifteen raccoon dogs, seven Siberian weasels, three hog badgers, and three Reeves’s muntjacs collected in Wuhan and 334 bats collected around Wuhan. Consequently, eight alphacoronaviruses were identified in raccoon dogs, while nine betacoronaviruses were found in bats. Notably, the newly discovered alphacoronaviruses shared a high whole-genome sequence similarity (97.9 per cent) with the canine coronavirus (CCoV) strain 2020/7 sampled from domestic dog in the UK. Some betacoronaviruses identified here were closely related to previously known bat SARS-CoV-related viruses sampled from Hubei province and its neighbors, while the remaining betacoronaviruses exhibited a close evolutionary relationship with SARS-CoV-related bat viruses in the RdRp gene tree and clustered together with SARS-CoV-2-related bat coronaviruses in the M, N and S gene trees, but with relatively low similarity. Additionally, these newly discovered betacoronaviruses seem unlikely to bind angiotensin-converting enzyme 2 because of the deletions in the two key regions of their receptor-binding motifs. Finally, we did not find SARS-CoV-2 or its progenitor virus in these animal samples. Due to the high circulation of CCoVs in raccoon dogs in Wuhan, more scientific efforts are warranted to better understand their diversity and evolution in China and the possibility of a potential human agent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Wen Wang
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
- Department of Zoonosis, National Institute for Communicable Disease Control and Prevention, Chinese Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Beijing, 102206, China
| | - Jun-Hua Tian
- Hubei Key Laboratory of Resources Utilization and Sustainable Pest Management, College of Plant Science and Technology, Huazhong Agricultural University , Wuhan, 430070, Hubei Province, China
- Wuhan Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Wuhan, Hubei Province, China
| | - Xiao Chen
- College of Marine Sciences, South China Agricultural University , Guangzhou, Guangdong Province, China
| | - Rui-Xue Hu
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Xian-Dan Lin
- Wenzhou Center for Disease Control and Prevention , Wenzhou, Zhejiang Province, China
| | - Yuan-Yuan Pei
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Jia-Xin Lv
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Jiao-Jiao Zheng
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Fa-Hui Dai
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Zhi-Gang Song
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Yan-Mei Chen
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
| | - Yong-Zhen Zhang
- Shanghai Public Health Clinical Center, Shanghai key laboratory of organ transplantation of Zhongshan Hospital, State Key Laboratory of Genetic Engineering, School of Life Sciences and Human Phenome Institute, Fudan University , Shanghai, China
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Genomic determinants of Furin cleavage in diverse European SARS-related bat coronaviruses. Commun Biol 2022; 5:491. [PMID: 35637279 PMCID: PMC9151638 DOI: 10.1038/s42003-022-03421-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/20/2021] [Accepted: 04/27/2022] [Indexed: 12/11/2022] Open
Abstract
The furin cleavage site (FCS) in SARS-CoV-2 is unique within the Severe acute respiratory syndrome–related coronavirus (SrC) species. We re-assessed diverse SrC from European horseshoe bats and analyzed the spike-encoding genomic region harboring the FCS in SARS-CoV-2. We reveal molecular features in SrC such as purine richness and RNA secondary structures that resemble those required for FCS acquisition in avian influenza viruses. We discuss the potential acquisition of FCS through molecular mechanisms such as nucleotide substitution, insertion, or recombination, and show that a single nucleotide exchange in two European bat-associated SrC may suffice to enable furin cleavage. Furthermore, we show that FCS occurrence is variable in bat- and rodent-borne counterparts of human coronaviruses. Our results suggest that furin cleavage sites can be acquired in SrC via conserved molecular mechanisms known in other reservoir-bound RNA viruses and thus support a natural origin of SARS-CoV-2. Genomic analyses of spike glycoprotein genes of European bat SARS-related coronaviruses suggest that furin cleavage sites can be acquired in the bat reservoir via conserved molecular mechanisms, supporting a natural origin of SARS-CoV-2.
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Velardo F, Prudhomme J, Temime L, Jean K. [Dual-use research on modified pathogens in the laboratory: What framework for what issue?]. Med Sci (Paris) 2022; 38:303-308. [PMID: 35333169 DOI: 10.1051/medsci/2022026] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/14/2022] Open
Abstract
Technological advances in synthetic biology have made in vitro modification, or even creation, of viruses easier and more affordable. Several research studies using synthesis of potential pandemic pathogens led to controversies in the 2010's. More recently, the hypothesis that Covid-19 pandemics could originate from a lab escape is still under debate. In France, a legislative vacuum remains concerning the synthesis of modified pathogens. Initiating a collective reflection process towards setting of a legal framework on this type of work is timely so that research continues to provide profit to society rather than hazard.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fanny Velardo
- École Pasteur, Conservatoire national des Arts et Métiers (Cnam) de Santé publique, 292 rue Saint-Martin, 75141 Paris Cedex 03, France
| | - Julie Prudhomme
- École Pasteur, Conservatoire national des Arts et Métiers (Cnam) de Santé publique, 292 rue Saint-Martin, 75141 Paris Cedex 03, France
| | - Laura Temime
- Laboratoire MESuRS, Conservatoire national des Arts et Métiers (Cnam), Paris, France
| | - Kévin Jean
- Laboratoire MESuRS, Conservatoire national des Arts et Métiers (Cnam), Paris, France
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31
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Frutos R, Javelle E, Barberot C, Gavotte L, Tissot-Dupont H, Devaux CA. Origin of COVID-19: Dismissing the Mojiang mine theory and the laboratory accident narrative. ENVIRONMENTAL RESEARCH 2022; 204:112141. [PMID: 34597664 PMCID: PMC8490156 DOI: 10.1016/j.envres.2021.112141] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/26/2021] [Revised: 09/17/2021] [Accepted: 09/25/2021] [Indexed: 05/05/2023]
Abstract
The origin of SARS-CoV-2 is still the subject of a controversial debate. The natural origin theory is confronted to the laboratory leak theory. The latter is composite and comprises contradictory theories, one being the leak of a naturally occurring virus and the other the leak of a genetically engineered virus. The laboratory leak theory is essentially based on a publication by Rahalkar and Bahulikar in 2020 linking SARS-CoV-2 to the Mojiang mine incident in 2012 during which six miners fell sick and three died. We analyzed the clinical reports. The diagnosis is not that of COVID-19 or SARS. SARS-CoV-2 was not present in the Mojiang mine. We also bring arguments against the laboratory leak narrative.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Emilie Javelle
- Laveran Military Teaching Hospital, Marseille, France; IHU-Méditerranée Infection, Marseille, France; Aix Marseille Univ, IRD, AP-HM, SSA, Vitrome, Marseille, France
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Xi B, Meng Y, Jiang D, Bai Y, Chen Z, Qu Y, Li S, Wei J, Huang L, Du H. Analyses of Long-Term Epidemic Trends and Evolution Characteristics of Haplotype Subtypes Reveal the Dynamic Selection on SARS-CoV-2. Viruses 2022; 14:v14030454. [PMID: 35336862 PMCID: PMC8954678 DOI: 10.3390/v14030454] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/22/2022] [Revised: 02/13/2022] [Accepted: 02/18/2022] [Indexed: 11/16/2022] Open
Abstract
The scale of SARS-CoV-2 infection and death is so enormous that further study of the molecular and evolutionary characteristics of SARS-CoV-2 will help us better understand and respond to SARS-CoV-2 outbreaks. The present study analyzed the epidemic and evolutionary characteristics of haplotype subtypes or regions based on 1.8 million high-quality SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. The estimated ratio of the rates of non-synonymous to synonymous changes (Ka/Ks) in North America and the United States were always more than 1.0, while the Ka/Ks in other continents and countries showed a sharp decline, then a slow increase to 1.0, and a dramatic increase over time. H1 (B.1) with the highest substitution rate has become the most dominant haplotype subtype since March 2020 and has evolved into multiple haplotype subtypes with smaller substitution rates. Many evolutionary characteristics of early SARS-CoV-2, such as H3 being the only early haplotype subtype that existed for the shortest time, the global prevalence of H1 and H1-5 (B.1.1) within a month after being detected, and many high divergent genome sequences early in February 2020, indicate the missing of early SARS-CoV-2 genomic data. SARS-CoV-2 experienced dynamic selection from December 2019 to August 2021 and has been under strong positive selection since May 2021. Its transmissibility and the ability of immune escape may be greatly enhanced over time. This will bring greater challenges to the control of the pandemic.
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Affiliation(s)
- Binbin Xi
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Yuhuan Meng
- Guangzhou KingMed Transformative Medicine Institute Co., Ltd., Guangzhou KingMed Center for Clinical Laboratory Co., Ltd. & Guangzhou KingMed Diagnostics Group Co., Ltd., Guangzhou 510220, China;
| | - Dawei Jiang
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Yunmeng Bai
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Zixi Chen
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Yimo Qu
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Shuhua Li
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Jinfen Wei
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Lizhen Huang
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
| | - Hongli Du
- School of Biology and Biological Engineering, South China University of Technology, Guangzhou 510006, China; (B.X.); (D.J.); (Y.B.); (Z.C.); (Y.Q.); (S.L.); (J.W.); (L.H.)
- Correspondence: ; Tel.: +86-20-3938-0667; Fax: +86-20-3938-0667
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Koltai M, Warsame A, Bashiir F, Freemantle T, Reeve C, Williams C, Jit M, Flasche S, Davies NG, Aweis A, Ahmed M, Dalmar A, Checchi F. Date of introduction and epidemiologic patterns of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Mogadishu, Somalia: estimates from transmission modelling of satellite-based excess mortality data in 2020. Wellcome Open Res 2022; 6:255. [PMID: 35299709 PMCID: PMC8902262 DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17247.2] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 02/15/2022] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: In countries with weak surveillance systems, confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths are likely to underestimate the pandemic's death toll. Many countries also have incomplete vital registration systems, hampering excess mortality estimation. Here, we fitted a dynamic transmission model to satellite imagery data of cemeteries in Mogadishu, Somalia during 2020 to estimate the date of introduction and other epidemiologic parameters of the early spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in this low-income, crisis-affected setting. Methods: We performed Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) fitting with an age-structured compartmental COVID-19 model to provide median estimates and credible intervals for the date of introduction, the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) and the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) up to August 2020. Results: Under the assumption that excess deaths in Mogadishu March-August 2020 were attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infections, we arrived at median estimates of November-December 2019 for the date of introduction and low R 0 estimates (1.4-1.7) reflecting the slow and early rise and long plateau of excess deaths. The date of introduction, the amount of external seeding, the infection fatality rate (IFR) and the effectiveness of NPIs are correlated parameters and not separately identifiable in a narrow range from deaths data. Nevertheless, to obtain introduction dates no earlier than November 2019 a higher population-wide IFR (≥0.7%) had to be assumed than obtained by applying age-specific IFRs from high-income countries to Somalia's age structure. Conclusions: Model fitting of excess mortality data across a range of plausible values of the IFR and the amount of external seeding suggests an early SARS-CoV-2 introduction event may have occurred in Somalia in November-December 2019. Transmissibility in the first epidemic wave was estimated to be lower than in European settings. Alternatively, there was another, unidentified source of sustained excess mortality in Mogadishu from March to August 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mihaly Koltai
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | - Farah Bashiir
- Somali Disaster Resilience Institute, Mogadishu, Somalia
| | | | | | | | - Mark Jit
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Stefan Flasche
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | - CMMID COVID-19 working group
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Somali Disaster Resilience Institute, Mogadishu, Somalia
- Satellite Applications Catapult, Didcot, UK
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Capturing a Crucial ‘Disorder-to-Order Transition’ at the Heart of the Coronavirus Molecular Pathology—Triggered by Highly Persistent, Interchangeable Salt-Bridges. Vaccines (Basel) 2022; 10:vaccines10020301. [PMID: 35214759 PMCID: PMC8875383 DOI: 10.3390/vaccines10020301] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/29/2021] [Revised: 01/27/2022] [Accepted: 02/05/2022] [Indexed: 02/05/2023] Open
Abstract
The COVID-19 origin debate has greatly been influenced by genome comparison studies of late, revealing the emergence of the Furin-like cleavage site at the S1/S2 junction of the SARS-CoV-2 Spike (FLCSSpike) containing its 681PRRAR685 motif, absent in other related respiratory viruses. Being the rate-limiting (i.e., the slowest) step, the host Furin cleavage is instrumental in the abrupt increase in transmissibility in COVID-19, compared to earlier onsets of respiratory viral diseases. In such a context, the current paper entraps a ‘disorder-to-order transition’ of the FLCSSpike (concomitant to an entropy arrest) upon binding to Furin. The interaction clearly seems to be optimized for a more efficient proteolytic cleavage in SARS-CoV-2. The study further shows the formation of dynamically interchangeable and persistent networks of salt-bridges at the Spike–Furin interface in SARS-CoV-2 involving the three arginines (R682, R683, R685) of the FLCSSpike with several anionic residues (E230, E236, D259, D264, D306) coming from Furin, strategically distributed around its catalytic triad. Multiplicity and structural degeneracy of plausible salt-bridge network archetypes seem to be the other key characteristic features of the Spike–Furin binding in SARS-CoV-2, allowing the system to breathe—a trademark of protein disorder transitions. Interestingly, with respect to the homologous interaction in SARS-CoV (2002/2003) taken as a baseline, the Spike–Furin binding events, generally, in the coronavirus lineage, seems to have preference for ionic bond formation, even with a lesser number of cationic residues at their potentially polybasic FLCSSpike patches. The interaction energies are suggestive of characteristic metastabilities attributed to Spike–Furin interactions, generally to the coronavirus lineage, which appears to be favorable for proteolytic cleavages targeted at flexible protein loops. The current findings not only offer novel mechanistic insights into the coronavirus molecular pathology and evolution, but also add substantially to the existing theories of proteolytic cleavages.
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36
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Himmel M, Frey S. SARS-CoV-2: International Investigation Under the WHO or BWC. Front Public Health 2022; 9:636679. [PMID: 35186855 PMCID: PMC8850392 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.636679] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/03/2020] [Accepted: 12/30/2021] [Indexed: 12/17/2022] Open
Abstract
In late 2019, the novel and highly infectious coronavirus SARS-CoV-2 caused a worldwide outbreak of a severe respiratory infectious disease, known as COVID-19. The disease has started in China and turned into one of the worst pandemics in human history. Due to the very fast global spread of the pathogen, COVID-19 is a great challenge for the Public Health Systems. It had led to a variety of severe limitations in private and public life worldwide. There is a lively public debate about possible sources of SARS-CoV-2. This article aims at providing a better understanding of controversial biological and political issues regarding COVID-19. Recommendations are made for possible actions under the umbrella of the World Health Organization and in respect to the Biological Weapons Convention.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mirko Himmel
- Department for Microbiology and Biotechnology, Institute for Plant Sciences and Microbiology, University of Hamburg, Hamburg, Germany
| | - Stefan Frey
- Bundeswehr Research Institute for Protective Technologies and CBRN Protection, Munster, Germany
- *Correspondence: Stefan Frey
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37
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Garcia-Herrera N, Cornils A, Laudien J, Niehoff B, Höfer J, Försterra G, González HE, Richter C. Seasonal and diel variations in the vertical distribution, composition, abundance and biomass of zooplankton in a deep Chilean Patagonian Fjord. PeerJ 2022; 10:e12823. [PMID: 35127292 PMCID: PMC8796712 DOI: 10.7717/peerj.12823] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/20/2021] [Accepted: 12/31/2021] [Indexed: 01/10/2023] Open
Abstract
Comau Fjord is a stratified Chilean Patagonian Fjord characterized by a shallow brackish surface layer and a >400 m layer of aragonite-depleted subsurface waters. Despite the energetic burden of low aragonite saturation levels to calcification, Comau Fjord harbours dense populations of cold-water corals (CWC). While this paradox has been attributed to a rich supply of zooplankton, supporting abundance and biomass data are so far lacking. In this study, we investigated the seasonal and diel changes of the zooplankton community over the entire water column. We used a Nansen net (100 µm mesh) to take stratified vertical hauls between the surface and the bottom (0-50-100-200-300-400-450 m). Samples were scanned with a ZooScan, and abundance, biovolume and biomass were determined for 41 taxa identified on the web-based platform EcoTaxa 2.0. Zooplankton biomass was the highest in summer (209 g dry mass m-2) and the lowest in winter (61 g dry mass m-2). Abundance, however, peaked in spring, suggesting a close correspondence between reproduction and phytoplankton spring blooms (Chl a max. 50.86 mg m-3, 3 m depth). Overall, copepods were the most important group of the total zooplankton community, both in abundance (64-81%) and biovolume (20-70%) followed by mysids and chaetognaths (in terms of biovolume and biomass), and nauplii and Appendicularia (in terms of abundance). Throughout the year, diel changes in the vertical distribution of biomass were found with a daytime maximum in the 100-200 m depth layer and a nighttime maximum in surface waters (0-50 m), associated with the diel vertical migration of the calanoid copepod family Metridinidae. Diel differences in integrated zooplankton abundance, biovolume and biomass were probably due to a high zooplankton patchiness driven by biological processes (e.g., diel vertical migration or predation avoidance), and oceanographic processes (estuarine circulation, tidal mixing or water column stratification). Those factors are considered to be the main drivers of the zooplankton vertical distribution in Comau Fjord.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nur Garcia-Herrera
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany,University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
| | - Astrid Cornils
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
| | - Jürgen Laudien
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
| | - Barbara Niehoff
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany
| | - Juan Höfer
- Escuela de Ciencias del Mar, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile,Research Center: Dynamics of High Latitude Marine Ecosystems (IDEAL), Punta Arenas, Chile,Fundación San Ignacio de Huinay, Huinay, Chile
| | - Günter Försterra
- Escuela de Ciencias del Mar, Pontificia Universidad Católica de Valparaíso, Valparaíso, Chile
| | - Humberto E. González
- Research Center: Dynamics of High Latitude Marine Ecosystems (IDEAL), Punta Arenas, Chile,Institute of Marine and Limnological Sciences, Universidad Austral de Chile, Valdivia, Chile
| | - Claudio Richter
- Alfred Wegener Institute, Helmholtz Centre for Polar and Marine Research, Bremerhaven, Germany,University of Bremen, Bremen, Germany
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Shan KJ, Wei C, Wang Y, Huan Q, Qian W. Host-specific asymmetric accumulation of mutation types reveals that the origin of SARS-CoV-2 is consistent with a natural process. Innovation (N Y) 2021; 2:100159. [PMID: 34485968 PMCID: PMC8405235 DOI: 10.1016/j.xinn.2021.100159] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/19/2021] [Accepted: 08/26/2021] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
The capacity of RNA viruses to adapt to new hosts and rapidly escape the host immune system is largely attributable to de novo genetic diversity that emerges through mutations in RNA. Although the molecular spectrum of de novo mutations-the relative rates at which various base substitutions occur-are widely recognized as informative toward understanding the evolution of a viral genome, little attention has been paid to the possibility of using molecular spectra to infer the host origins of a virus. Here, we characterize the molecular spectrum of de novo mutations for SARS-CoV-2 from transcriptomic data obtained from virus-infected cell lines, enabled by the use of sporadic junctions formed during discontinuous transcription as molecular barcodes. We find that de novo mutations are generated in a replication-independent manner, typically on the genomic strand, and highly dependent on mutagenic mechanisms specific to the host cellular environment. De novo mutations will then strongly influence the types of base substitutions accumulated during SARS-CoV-2 evolution, in an asymmetric manner favoring specific mutation types. Consequently, similarities between the mutation spectra of SARS-CoV-2 and the bat coronavirus RaTG13, which have accumulated since their divergence strongly suggest that SARS-CoV-2 evolved in a host cellular environment highly similar to that of bats before its zoonotic transfer into humans. Collectively, our findings provide data-driven support for the natural origin of SARS-CoV-2.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ke-Jia Shan
- State Key Laboratory of Plant Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Innovation Academy for Seed Design, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
| | - Changshuo Wei
- State Key Laboratory of Plant Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Innovation Academy for Seed Design, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
| | - Yu Wang
- State Key Laboratory of Plant Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Innovation Academy for Seed Design, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
| | - Qing Huan
- State Key Laboratory of Plant Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Innovation Academy for Seed Design, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
| | - Wenfeng Qian
- State Key Laboratory of Plant Genomics, Institute of Genetics and Developmental Biology, Innovation Academy for Seed Design, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100101, China
- University of Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing 100049, China
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van Helden J, Butler CD, Achaz G, Canard B, Casane D, Claverie JM, Colombo F, Courtier V, Ebright RH, Graner F, Leitenberg M, Morand S, Petrovsky N, Segreto R, Decroly E, Halloy J. An appeal for an objective, open, and transparent scientific debate about the origin of SARS-CoV-2. Lancet 2021; 398:1402-1404. [PMID: 34543608 PMCID: PMC8448488 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)02019-5] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/14/2021] [Accepted: 08/31/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Jacques van Helden
- Lab Theory and Approaches of Genome Complexity, INSERM, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France.
| | - Colin D Butler
- National Centre for Epidemiology and Population Health, Australian National University, Canberra, ACT, Australia
| | - Guillaume Achaz
- Université de Paris, Muséum National d'Histoire Naturelle, Collège de France, Paris, France
| | - Bruno Canard
- Architecture et Fonction des Macromolécules Biologiques, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France
| | - Didier Casane
- Université de Paris, CNRS, Laboratoire Evolution, Génomes, Comportement, Ecologie, Gif-sur-Yvette, France
| | | | | | - Virginie Courtier
- Ecole Polytechnique, Université de Paris, CNRS, Institut Jacques Monod, Paris, France
| | - Richard H Ebright
- Department of Chemistry and Chemical Biology and Waksman Institute, Rutgers University, Piscataway, NJ, USA
| | | | - Milton Leitenberg
- School of Public Affairs, University of Maryland, College Park, MD, USA
| | - Serge Morand
- Institut des Sciences de l'Evolution, CNRS, Montpellier University, Montpellier, France
| | - Nikolai Petrovsky
- College of Medicine and Public Health, Flinders University, Adelaide, SA, Australia
| | | | - Etienne Decroly
- Architecture et Fonction des Macromolécules Biologiques, Centre National de la Recherche Scientifique, Aix-Marseille University, Marseille, France
| | - José Halloy
- LIED, CNRS UMR 8236, Université de Paris, Paris, France
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40
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Koltai M, Warsame A, Bashiir F, Freemantle T, Reeve C, Williams C, Jit M, Flasche S, Davies NG, Aweis A, Ahmed M, Dalmar A, Checchi F. Date of introduction and epidemiologic patterns of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in Mogadishu, Somalia: estimates from transmission modelling of satellite-based excess mortality data in 2020. Wellcome Open Res 2021; 6:255. [PMID: 35299709 PMCID: PMC8902262 DOI: 10.12688/wellcomeopenres.17247.1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 09/29/2021] [Indexed: 11/20/2022] Open
Abstract
Background: In countries with weak surveillance systems, confirmed coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) deaths are likely to underestimate the pandemic's death toll. Many countries also have incomplete vital registration systems, hampering excess mortality estimation. Here, we fitted a dynamic transmission model to satellite imagery data of cemeteries in Mogadishu, Somalia during 2020 to estimate the date of introduction and other epidemiologic parameters of the early spread of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in this low-income, crisis-affected setting. Methods: We performed Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) fitting with an age-structured compartmental COVID-19 model to provide median estimates and credible intervals for the date of introduction, the basic reproduction number ( R 0 ) and the effect of non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) up to August 2020. Results: Under the assumption that excess deaths in Mogadishu March-August 2020 were attributable to SARS-CoV-2 infections, we arrived at median estimates of November-December 2019 for the date of introduction and low R 0 estimates (1.4-1.7) reflecting the slow and early rise and long plateau of excess deaths. The date of introduction, the amount of external seeding, the infection fatality rate (IFR) and the effectiveness of NPIs are correlated parameters and not separately identifiable in a narrow range from deaths data. Nevertheless, to obtain introduction dates no earlier than November 2019 a higher population-wide IFR (≥0.7%) had to be assumed than obtained by applying age-specific IFRs from high-income countries to Somalia's age structure. Conclusions: Model fitting of excess mortality data across a range of plausible values of the IFR and the amount of external seeding suggests an early SARS-CoV-2 introduction event may have occurred in Somalia in November-December 2019. Transmissibility in the first epidemic wave was estimated to be lower than in European settings. Alternatively, there was another, unidentified source of sustained excess mortality in Mogadishu from March to August 2020.
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Affiliation(s)
- Mihaly Koltai
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | - Farah Bashiir
- Somali Disaster Resilience Institute, Mogadishu, Somalia
| | | | | | | | - Mark Jit
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | - Stefan Flasche
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
| | | | - CMMID COVID-19 working group
- London School of Hygiene & Tropical Medicine, London, UK
- Somali Disaster Resilience Institute, Mogadishu, Somalia
- Satellite Applications Catapult, Didcot, UK
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41
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Brugère-Picoux J, Leroy E, Rosolen S, Angot JL, Buisson Y. [Covid-19 and the animal world, from a still mysterious origin towards an always unpredictable future]. BULLETIN DE L'ACADEMIE NATIONALE DE MEDECINE 2021; 205:879-890. [PMID: 34305142 PMCID: PMC8278875 DOI: 10.1016/j.banm.2021.07.011] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/31/2022]
Abstract
Although the emergence of Covid-19 in China has not been clearly elucidated, the hypothesis of an animal origin remains the most likely. It is supported by the presence of the horseshoe bat suspected to be the progenitor of SARS-CoV-2 and by the scarcity of pork, due to African swine fever, diverting consumers to exotic animals of breeding sold in the markets. During this pandemic, several animal species were affected by SARS-CoV-2. Sporadic cases were first reported in pets (dogs and cats) infected by their owners, then in large feline species and apes infected in zoos by their nurses. The most significant human-to-animal transmission has occurred in mink farms, especially in the Netherlands and Denmark, requiring the euthanasia of several million animals, with mink in turn having contaminated men and stray or nomadic cats. The study of natural or experimental transmissions of SARS-CoV-2 has made it possible to identify the most receptive animal species: American minks and raccoon dogs, and to a lesser extent stray or nomadic cats, which could become an animal reservoir due to their sensitivity to this virus and their extending prolificacy. The European Commission decided on May 17, 2021 to strengthen the surveillance of SARS-CoV-2 infections in minks and other mustelids, as well as in raccoon dogs, highlighting stressing that the epidemiological assessment of the risk presented by the he appearance of SARS-CoV-2 in these susceptible species was a public health priority.
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Affiliation(s)
- J Brugère-Picoux
- Académie nationale de médecine, 16, rue Bonaparte, 75006 Paris, France
- Académie vétérinaire de France, 34, rue Bréguet, 75011 Paris, France
| | - E Leroy
- Académie nationale de médecine, 16, rue Bonaparte, 75006 Paris, France
- Académie vétérinaire de France, 34, rue Bréguet, 75011 Paris, France
| | - S Rosolen
- Académie nationale de médecine, 16, rue Bonaparte, 75006 Paris, France
- Académie vétérinaire de France, 34, rue Bréguet, 75011 Paris, France
| | - J-L Angot
- Académie nationale de médecine, 16, rue Bonaparte, 75006 Paris, France
- Académie vétérinaire de France, 34, rue Bréguet, 75011 Paris, France
| | - Y Buisson
- Académie nationale de médecine, 16, rue Bonaparte, 75006 Paris, France
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42
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Mohanty F, Dora C. An optimized KELM approach for the diagnosis of COVID-19 from 2D-SSA reconstructed CXR Images. OPTIK 2021; 244:167572. [PMID: 34248209 PMCID: PMC8260491 DOI: 10.1016/j.ijleo.2021.167572] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/04/2021] [Accepted: 06/30/2021] [Indexed: 05/17/2023]
Abstract
The COVID-19 is proved to be the most infectious disease of the current century with a high mortality rate world-wide. The current RT-PCR test standard for the diagnosis of COVID-19 is an invasive and time-consuming procedure, whereas the chest X-ray (CXR) images provide a non-invasive and time/cost-effective method for COVID-19 diagnosis. The current existing deep learning methods for the detection and diagnosis of CXR images provide biased results for the small size dataset available. Hence, in the present work, a conventional yet efficient method is proposed classifying the CXR images into COVID-19, Pneumonia, and Normal. The proposed approach pre-processes the CXR images using 2D singular spectrum analysis (SSA) for image reconstruction which enhances the feature inputs to the classifier. The features are extracted from the reconstructed images using a block-based GLCM approach. Then, a grasshopper-based Kernel extreme learning machine (KELM) is proposed which finds the optimal features and kernel parameters of KELM at the same instance. From the experimental analysis, it is seen that the present work outperforms that of other competent schemes in terms of classification accuracy with a minimal set of features extracted from the first 2 eigen components of the 2D-SSA reconstructed image with 5 × 5 decomposition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Figlu Mohanty
- School of Engineering & Technology, Centurion University of Technology & Management, Odisha, India
| | - Chinmayee Dora
- School of Engineering & Technology, Centurion University of Technology & Management, Odisha, India
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43
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Vineis P, Salmaso S. The Origin of Sars-CoV-2: Why It Matters. Front Public Health 2021; 9:719914. [PMID: 34568261 PMCID: PMC8456020 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.719914] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/03/2021] [Accepted: 08/11/2021] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Paolo Vineis
- Department of Epidemiology and Biostastistics, Imperial College London, London, United Kingdom
| | - Stefania Salmaso
- Istituto Superiore di Sanità, Rome, Italy.,Italian Society of Epidemiology, Rome, Italy
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44
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Novossiolova TA, Whitby S, Dando M, Pearson GS. The vital importance of a web of prevention for effective biosafety and biosecurity in the twenty-first century. ONE HEALTH OUTLOOK 2021; 3:17. [PMID: 34538281 PMCID: PMC8450040 DOI: 10.1186/s42522-021-00049-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 4] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/03/2021] [Accepted: 07/11/2021] [Indexed: 06/13/2023]
Abstract
Biological threats are complex and multifaceted, as evidenced by the ongoing COVID-19 pandemic. Their effective prevention and countering require multiple lines of collaborative action and sustained cross-sectorial coordination. This paper reviews the conclusions of Graham Pearson's 1997 JAMA article titled 'The Complementary Role of Environmental and Security Biological Control Regimes in the 21st Century', taking into account the international policy developments that have occurred over the past two decades. The paper underscores the utility of the concept of a 'web of prevention' for elucidating the need for continuous interaction between the international biosafety and international biosecurity regimes, in order to ensure that the life sciences are used only for peaceful purposes. The terms 'biosafety' and 'biosecurity' are used to denote the primary purpose of the two regimes: the international biosafety regime seeks to prevent the unintentional (accidental) release of pathogens and toxins, including naturally occurring disease, whereas the biosecurity regime seeks to prevent the deliberate release and misuse of pathogens and toxins. The paper concludes by recommending practical steps for strengthening the implementation of all elements of the web of prevention and upholding the norms against the hostile misuse of life sciences.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Simon Whitby
- Senior Lecturer, Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK
| | - Malcolm Dando
- Professor, Leverhulme Emeritus Fellow, Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK
| | - Graham S Pearson
- Visiting Professor (ret.) in International Security, Peace Studies and International Development, University of Bradford, Bradford, UK
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45
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Casadevall A, Weiss SR, Imperiale MJ. Can Science Help Resolve the Controversy on the Origins of the SARS-CoV-2 Pandemic? mBio 2021; 12:e0194821. [PMID: 34334001 PMCID: PMC8406229 DOI: 10.1128/mbio.01948-21] [Citation(s) in RCA: 8] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 01/02/2023] Open
Abstract
The origins of the calamitous SARS-CoV-2 pandemic are now the subject of vigorous discussion and debate between two competing hypotheses for how it entered the human population: (i) direct infection from a feral source, likely a bat and possibly with an intermediate mammalian host, and (ii) a lab accident whereby bat isolates infected a researcher, who then passed it to others. Here, we ask whether the tools of science can help resolve the origins question and conclude that while such studies can provide important information, these are unlikely to provide a definitive answer. Currently available data combined with historical precedent from other outbreaks and viewed through the prism of Occam's razor favor the feral source hypothesis, but science can provide only probabilities, not certainty.
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Affiliation(s)
- Arturo Casadevall
- Department of Molecular Microbiology and Immunology, Johns Hopkins School of Public Health, Baltimore, Maryland, USA
| | - Susan R. Weiss
- Department of Microbiology, Perelman School of Medicine, University of Pennsylvania, Philadelphia, Pennsylvania, USA
| | - Michael J. Imperiale
- Department of Microbiology and Immunology, University of Michigan, Ann Arbor, Michigan, USA
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46
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47
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Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has been one of the most disruptive and painful phenomena of the last few decades. As of July 2021, the origins of the SARS-CoV-2 virus that caused the outbreak remain a mystery. This work analyzes the prevalence in news media articles of two popular hypotheses about SARS-CoV-2 virus origins: the natural emergence and the lab-leak hypotheses. Our results show that for most of 2020, the natural emergence hypothesis was favored in news media content while the lab-leak hypothesis was largely absent. However, something changed around May 2021 that caused the prevalence of the lab-leak hypothesis to substantially increase in news media discourse. This shift has not been uniformed across media organizations but instead has manifested itself more acutely in some outlets than others. Our structural break analysis of daily news media usage of terms related to the laboratory escape hypothesis provides hints about potential sources for this sudden shift in the prevalence of the lab-leak hypothesis in prestigious news media.
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48
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Gruel G, Diouf MB, Abadie C, Chilin-Charles Y, Etter EMC, Geffroy M, Herrmann Storck C, Meyer DF, Pagès N, Pressat G, Teycheney PY, Umber M, Vega-Rúa A, Pradel J. Critical Evaluation of Cross-Sectoral Collaborations to Inform the Implementation of the "One Health" Approach in Guadeloupe. Front Public Health 2021; 9:652079. [PMID: 34409004 PMCID: PMC8366749 DOI: 10.3389/fpubh.2021.652079] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/11/2021] [Accepted: 07/02/2021] [Indexed: 11/17/2022] Open
Abstract
In Guadeloupe, a French overseas territory located in the Eastern Caribbean, infectious and non-infectious diseases, loss of biodiversity, natural disasters and global change threaten the health and well-being of animals, plants, and people. Implementing the “One Health” (OH) approach is crucial to reduce the archipelago's vulnerability to these health threats. However, OH remains underdeveloped in Guadeloupe, hampering efficient and effective intersectoral and transdisciplinary collaborations for disease surveillance and control. A multidisciplinary research group of volunteer researchers working in Guadeloupe, with collective expertise in infectious diseases, undertook a study to identify key attributes for OH operationalization by reviewing past and current local collaborative health initiatives and analyzing how much they mobilized the OH framework. The research group developed and applied an operational OH framework to assess critically collaborative initiatives addressing local health issues. Based on a literature review, a set of 13 opinion-based key criteria was defined. The criteria and associated scoring were measured through semi-directed interviews guided by a questionnaire to critically evaluate four initiatives in animal, human, plant, and environmental health research and epidemiological surveillance. Gaps, levers, and prospects were identified that will help health communities in Guadeloupe envision how to implement the OH approach to better address local health challenges. The methodology is simple, generic, and pragmatic and relies on existing resources. It can be transposed and adapted to other contexts to improve effectiveness and efficiency of OH initiatives, based on lessons-learned of local past or current multi-interdisciplinary and intersectoral initiatives.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gaëlle Gruel
- Laboratory for the Study of Microbial Ecosystem Interactions, Institut Pasteur of Guadeloupe, Unit Transmission Reservoir and Pathogens Diversity, Les Abymes, France
| | - Mame Boucar Diouf
- INRAE, UR ASTRO, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,CIRAD, UMR AGAP Institut, F-97130, Capesterre Belle-Eau, France.,AGAP Institut, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
| | - Catherine Abadie
- BGPI, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
| | - Yolande Chilin-Charles
- BGPI, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France.,CIRAD, UMR BGPI, F-97130, Capesterre Belle-Eau, France
| | - Eric Marcel Charles Etter
- CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD INRAE, Montpellier, France
| | - Mariana Geffroy
- CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD INRAE, Montpellier, France
| | - Cécile Herrmann Storck
- Centre Hospitalier Universitaire CHU de Guadeloupe, Laboratoire de Microbiologie Humaine et Environnementale, Les Abymes, France
| | - Damien F Meyer
- CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD INRAE, Montpellier, France
| | - Nonito Pagès
- CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD INRAE, Montpellier, France
| | - Gersende Pressat
- CIRAD, UMR AGAP Institut, F-97130, Capesterre Belle-Eau, France.,AGAP Institut, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
| | - Pierre-Yves Teycheney
- CIRAD, UMR AGAP Institut, F-97130, Capesterre Belle-Eau, France.,AGAP Institut, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD, INRAE, Institut Agro, Montpellier, France
| | - Marie Umber
- INRAE, UR ASTRO, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France
| | - Anubis Vega-Rúa
- Laboratory of Vector Control Research, Institut Pasteur of Guadeloupe, Unit Transmission Reservoir and Pathogens Diversity, Les Abymes, France
| | - Jennifer Pradel
- CIRAD, UMR ASTRE, F-97170, Petit-Bourg, France.,ASTRE, Univ Montpellier, CIRAD INRAE, Montpellier, France
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49
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Calisher CH, Carroll D, Colwell R, Corley RB, Daszak P, Drosten C, Enjuanes L, Farrar J, Field H, Golding J, Gorbalenya AE, Haagmans B, Hughes JM, Keusch GT, Lam SK, Lubroth J, Mackenzie JS, Madoff L, Mazet JK, Perlman SM, Poon L, Saif L, Subbarao K, Turner M. Science, not speculation, is essential to determine how SARS-CoV-2 reached humans. Lancet 2021; 398:209-211. [PMID: 34237296 PMCID: PMC8257054 DOI: 10.1016/s0140-6736(21)01419-7] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/17/2021] [Accepted: 06/18/2021] [Indexed: 01/05/2023]
Affiliation(s)
| | - Dennis Carroll
- Scowcroft Institute of International Affairs, Texas A&M, College Station, TX, USA
| | | | - Ronald B Corley
- National Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratory Institute, Boston University, Boston, MA 02118, USA
| | | | - Christian Drosten
- Institute of Virology, Charité-Universitätsmedizin Berlin, Berlin, Germany
| | - Luis Enjuanes
- Centro Nacional de Biotecnología, Consejo Superior de Investigaciones Científicas, Madrid, Spain
| | | | - Hume Field
- School of Veterinary Science, The University of Queensland, Brisbane, QLD, Australia
| | | | | | | | | | - Gerald T Keusch
- National Emerging Infectious Diseases Laboratory Institute, Boston University, Boston, MA 02118, USA.
| | - Sai Kit Lam
- University of Malaya, Kuala Lumpur, Malaysia
| | - Juan Lubroth
- Lubroth One Health Consultancies, Casaprota, Italy
| | - John S Mackenzie
- Faculty of Health Sciences, Curtin University, Perth, WA, Australia
| | - Larry Madoff
- University of Massachusetts Medical School, Worcester, MA, USA
| | | | - Stanley M Perlman
- Roy J and Lucille A Carver College of Medicine, University of Iowa, Iowa City, IA, USA
| | - Leo Poon
- The University of Hong Kong, Hong Kong, China
| | - Linda Saif
- The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH, USA
| | | | - Michael Turner
- Institute of Infection Immunity & Inflammation, University of Glasgow, Glasgow, UK
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50
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Wu CI, Wen H, Lu J, Su XD, Hughes AC, Zhai W, Chen C, Chen H, Li M, Song S, Qian Z, Wang Q, Chen B, Guo Z, Ruan Y, Lu X, Wei F, Jin L, Kang L, Xue Y, Zhao G, Zhang YP. On the origin of SARS-CoV-2-The blind watchmaker argument. SCIENCE CHINA-LIFE SCIENCES 2021; 64:1560-1563. [PMID: 34269976 PMCID: PMC8284035 DOI: 10.1007/s11427-021-1972-1] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 06/20/2021] [Accepted: 06/29/2021] [Indexed: 12/20/2022]
Affiliation(s)
- Chung-I Wu
- State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China.
| | - Haijun Wen
- State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China
| | - Jian Lu
- State Key Laboratory of Protein and Plant Gene Research, Center for Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
| | - Xiao-Dong Su
- State Key Laboratory of Protein and Plant Gene Research, Center for Bioinformatics, School of Life Sciences, Peking University, Beijing, 100871, China
| | - Alice C Hughes
- Landscape Ecology Group, Center for Integrative Conservation, Xishuangbanna Tropical Botanical Garden, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Mengla, 666303, China
| | - Weiwei Zhai
- Key Laboratory of Zoological Systematics and Evolution, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Chen Chen
- Biomedical Innovation Center, Beijing Shijitan Hospital, Capital Medical University, Beijing, 100038, China
| | - Hua Chen
- Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China National Centre for Bioinformation, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Mingkun Li
- Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China National Centre for Bioinformation, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Shuhui Song
- Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China National Centre for Bioinformation, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Zhaohui Qian
- Institute of Pathogen Biology, Chinese Academy of Medical Sciences and Peking Union Medical College, Beijing, 100176, China
| | - Qihui Wang
- CAS Key Laboratory of Pathogen Microbiology and Immunology, Institute of Microbiology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Bingjie Chen
- State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China
| | - Zixiao Guo
- State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China
| | - Yongsen Ruan
- State Key Laboratory of Biocontrol, School of Life Sciences, Sun Yat-sen University, Guangzhou, 510275, China
| | - Xuemei Lu
- State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, 650223, China
| | - Fuwen Wei
- CAS Key Laboratory of Animal Ecology and Conservation Biology, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Li Jin
- MOE Key Laboratory of Contemporary Anthropology, Department of Anthropology and Human Genetics, School of Life Sciences, Fudan University, Shanghai, 200433, China
| | - Le Kang
- State Key Laboratory of Integrated Management of Pest Insects and Rodents, Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Yongbiao Xue
- Beijing Institute of Genomics, Chinese Academy of Sciences, and China National Centre for Bioinformation, Beijing, 100101, China
| | - Guoping Zhao
- Key Laboratory of Synthetic Biology, Institute of Plant Physiology and Ecology, Shanghai Institutes for Biological Sciences, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Shanghai, 200032, China
| | - Ya-Ping Zhang
- State Key Laboratory of Genetic Resources and Evolution, Kunming Institute of Zoology, Chinese Academy of Sciences, Kunming, 650223, China
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