Long term survival after evidence based treatment of acute myocardial infarction and revascularisation: follow-up of population based Perth MONICA cohort, 1984-2005

Trends in Survival After First Myocardial Infarction in People With Diabetes

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study was to investigate temporal trends in survival and subsequent cardiovascular events in a nationwide myocardial infarction population with and without diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Between 2006 and 2020, we identified 2527 individuals with type 1 diabetes, 48 321 individuals with type 2 diabetes and 243 170 individuals without diabetes with first myocardial infarction in national health care registries. Outcomes were trends in all-cause death after 30 and 365 days, cardiovascular death and major adverse cardiovascular events (ie, nonfatal stroke, nonfatal myocardial infarction, cardiovascular death, and heart failure hospitalization). Pseudo-observations were used to estimate the mortality risk, with 95% CIs, using linear regression, adjusted for age and sex. Individuals with type 1 diabetes were younger (62±12.2 years) and more often women (43.6%) compared with individuals with type 2 diabetes (75±10.8 years; women, 38.1%), and individuals without diabetes (73±13.2 years; women, 38.4%). Early death decreased in people without diabetes from 23.1% to 17.5%, (annual change -0.48% [95% CI, -0.52% to -0.44%]) and in people with type 2 diabetes from 22.6% to 19.3% (annual change, -0.33% [95% CI, -0.43% to -0.24%]), with no such significant trend in people with type 1 diabetes from 23.8% to 21.7% (annual change, -0.18% [95% CI, -0.53% to 0.17%]). Similar trends were observed with regard to 1-year death, cardiovascular death, and major adverse cardiovascular events.

CONCLUSIONS

During the past 15 years, the trend in survival and major adverse cardiovascular events in people with first myocardial infarction without diabetes and with type 2 diabetes have improved significantly. In contrast, a similar improvement was not seen in people with type 1 diabetes.

Clinical and economic impact of ferric carboxymaltose treatment for iron deficiency in patients stabilized following acute heart failure: a multinational study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate clinical events and evaluate the financial implications of introducing ferric carboxymaltose (FCM) to treat iron deficiency (ID) at discharge in patients hospitalized for acute heart failure (AHF) with left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) <50% in the UK, Switzerland and Italy.

METHODS

A decision analytic cost-offset model was developed to evaluate the costs associated with introducing FCM for all eligible patients in three countries compared to a world without FCM, over a five-year time horizon. Data from AFFIRM-AHF clinical trial were used to model clinical outcomes, using an established cohort state-transition Markov model. Country-specific prevalence estimates were derived using data from real-world studies to extrapolate number of events and consequent cost totals to the population at risk on a national scale.

RESULTS

The cost-offset modeling demonstrated that FCM is projected to be a cost-saving intervention in all three country settings over a five-year time horizon. Savings were driven primarily by reduced hospitalizations and avoided cardiovascular deaths, with net cost savings of -£14,008,238, -CHF25,456,455 and -€105,295,146 incurred to the UK, Switzerland and Italy, respectively.

LIMITATIONS

Although AFFIRM-AHF was a multinational trial, efficacy data per country was not sufficiently large to enable country-specific analysis, therefore overall clinical parameters have been assumed to apply to all countries.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides further evidence of the potential cost savings achievable by treating ID with FCM at discharge in patients hospitalized for AHF with LVEF <50%. The value of FCM treatment within the healthcare systems of the UK, Switzerland and Italy was demonstrated even within a limited time frame of one year, with consistent cost savings indicated over a longer term.

Cohort profile: the ESC EURObservational Research Programme Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infraction (NSTEMI) Registry

AIMS

The European Society of Cardiology (ESC) EURObservational Research Programme (EORP) Non-ST-segment elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) Registry aims to identify international patterns in NSTEMI management in clinical practice and outcomes against the 2015 ESC Guidelines for the management of acute coronary syndromes in patients presenting without ST-segment-elevation.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Consecutively hospitalised adult NSTEMI patients (n = 3620) were enrolled between 11 March 2019 and 6 March 2021, and individual patient data prospectively collected at 287 centres in 59 participating countries during a two-week enrolment period per centre. The registry collected data relating to baseline characteristics, major outcomes (in-hospital death, acute heart failure, cardiogenic shock, bleeding, stroke/transient ischaemic attack, and 30-day mortality) and guideline-recommended NSTEMI care interventions: electrocardiogram pre- or in-hospital, pre-hospitalization receipt of aspirin, echocardiography, coronary angiography, referral to cardiac rehabilitation, smoking cessation advice, dietary advice, and prescription on discharge of aspirin, P2Y12 inhibition, angiotensin converting enzyme inhibitor (ACEi)/angiotensin receptor blocker (ARB), beta-blocker, and statin.

CONCLUSION

The EORP NSTEMI Registry is an international, prospective registry of care and outcomes of patients treated for NSTEMI, which will provide unique insights into the contemporary management of hospitalised NSTEMI patients, compliance with ESC 2015 NSTEMI Guidelines, and identify potential barriers to optimal management of this common clinical presentation associated with significant morbidity and mortality.

Risk factors for major adverse cardiovascular events after the first acute coronary syndrome

AIMS

To evaluate risk factors for major adverse cardiac event (MACE) after the first acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and to examine the prevalence of risk factors in post-ACS patients.

METHODS

We used Finnish population-based myocardial infarction register, FINAMI, data from years 1993-2011 to identify survivors of first ACS (n = 12686), who were then followed up for recurrent events and all-cause mortality for three years. Finnish FINRISK risk factor surveys were used to determine the prevalence of risk factors (smoking, hyperlipidaemia, diabetes and blood pressure) in post-ACS patients (n = 199).

RESULTS

Of the first ACS survivors, 48.4% had MACE within three years of their primary event, 17.0% were fatal. Diabetes (p = 4.4 × 10-7), heart failure (HF) during the first ACS attack hospitalization (p = 6.8 × 10-15), higher Charlson index (p = 1.56 × 10-19) and older age (p = .026) were associated with elevated risk for MACE in the three-year follow-up, and revascularization (p = .0036) was associated with reduced risk. Risk factor analyses showed that 23% of ACS survivors continued smoking and cholesterol levels were still high (>5mmol/l) in 24% although 86% of the patients were taking lipid lowering medication.

CONCLUSION

Diabetes, higher Charlson index and HF are the most important risk factors of MACE after the first ACS. Cardiovascular risk factor levels were still high among survivors of first ACS.

Population-Based Multilevel Models to Estimate the Management Strategies for Acute Myocardial Infarction in Older Adults with Dementia

Background

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) management strategies, involving treatment and post-care, are much more difficult for patients with dementia. This study investigated the factors influencing the use of invasive procedures and long-term care in the management strategies for AMI patients with dementia and the factors associated with these patients' survival.

Methods

This multilevel study combined information from two databases, namely later-stage elderly healthcare insurance and long-term care insurance claims, from 2013 to 2019. Of 214,963 individuals with dementia, we identified 13,593 patients with AMI. The primary outcomes were the use of invasive procedures for treatment and long-term care for post-care management. Survival outcomes were also measured over a 6-year period, adjusting for individual- and regional-level characteristics in multilevel models.

Results

A total of 1954 (14.38%) individuals received an invasive procedure during treatment, and 7850 (87.18%) used long-term care for post-care management after AMI. After multivariate adjustment, patients aged ≥ 85 years and women were less likely to receive invasive procedures and more likely to use long-term care. Patients undergoing invasive procedures had a lower use of long-term care. Better survival outcome was significantly associated with invasive management and long-term care, regardless of the type of care.

Conclusion

Age and sex determine the use of invasive procedures and long-term care after AMI among patients with dementia. AMI patients with dementia receiving invasive procedures and long-term care had better survival outcomes.

Pattern and Outcome of Acute Non-ST-Segment Elevation Myocardial Infarction Seen in Adult Emergency Department of Al-Shaab Teaching Hospital: A prospective Observational Study in a Tertiary Cardiology Center

Background Despite investments to improve the quality of emergency care for patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI), few studies have described national, real-world trends in non-ST elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) care in the emergency department (ED). We aimed to describe the characteristics, management, and outcomes of NSTEMI. Methods A prospective single-center study enrolled 40 NSTEMI patients in Alshaab Teaching Hospital during the period from May to July 2021. Data regarding demographics, medical history, clinical presentations, laboratory investigation, Killip classifications, electrocardiography (ECG), echocardiogram, diagnostic coronary angiography (CAG), management strategies, medications used, and 30-days outcomes were collected. Results Among 40 patients, NSTEMI was common in the age groups from 56 to 70 years (60%) and males (67.5%; p=0.002). Diabetes (n=24; 60%) and hypertension (n=20; 50%) were the major cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. In most of the cases, 29 (72%) had a late presentation (>6 hours; p=0.0001). In Killip classifications, 36 (90%) patients were Killip class I and four (10%) were Killip class II (p=0.005). No patients underwent risk score assessment during a hospital stay. All patients had sinus rhythm in ECG and 28 (70%) had T-wave inversion. An echocardiogram was performed for 36 (90%) patients, among them six (16.7%) patients had LV systolic dysfunction (p=.003). The median ejection fraction was 52% (ranged from 25-75%). Diagnostic CAG was performed for 38 (95%) patients and a stent was inserted for 23 (58%) of them. The major final management strategy among our study group was PCI in 23 (58%) patients. All patients received aspirin, clopidogrel, parenteral anticoagulant, and ACEi/ARBs, 38 (95%) had statin, 28 (70%) were given PPI, and seven (17.5%) received diuretics. As for 30-day outcomes, all patients survived, but ten (25%) patients were readmitted, and no in-hospital or 30-days mortality occurred. Conclusion NSTEMI predominantly affected male and older patients. Most of them had a delayed presentation to ED. Hypertension and DM were the major risk factors. All patients were in sinus rhythm and the main ECG abnormality was a T-wave inversion. Most of the patients received standard NSTEMI protocol with exception of risk stratification. PCI was the major final management strategy used. Albeit no in-hospital or 30-days mortality occurred, 25% were readmitted.

Cardiovascular event rates increase after each recurrence and associate with poor statin adherence

AIMS

The study evaluated the quality of cardiovascular prevention in real-world clinical practice. The recurrence of up to five cardiovascular events was assessed, as data on recurrence beyond the first event and interindividual variations in event rates past the second event have been sparse. Low-density lipoprotein cholesterol concentrations and lipid-lowering therapy use were investigated.

METHODS

This retrospective register-based study included adult patients with an incident cardiovascular event between 2004 and 2016 treated in the hospital district of southwest Finland. Patients were followed for consecutive cardiovascular events or cardiovascular death, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and statin purchases. The timing of event recurrence was evaluated, and predictive factors were assessed.

RESULTS

A wide interindividual variation in cardiovascular event recurrence was observed, each additional event caused an increased risk, the median time of recurrence decreased from 7 to one year for the second and fifth event. Event rates increased correspondingly from 12 to 43/100 patient-years and were most pronounced in the first years following the previous event. The low-density lipoprotein cholesterol goal (<1.8 mmol/l) was reached by 18% in the year after the event and statin underuse was associated with an increased risk of recurrence. Six months after the index event high intensity statins were used by only 22% of the cohort.

CONCLUSION

The study provides new perspectives on individual risk assessment showing that event rates are not stable for all patients but increase 1.2-1.9-fold per consecutive event. The underuse of statins and poor adherence support the identification of these patients for intensified multifactorial preventive measures.

"Why would you not listen? It is like being given the winning lottery numbers and deciding not to take them": semi-structured interviews with post-acute myocardial infarction patients and their significant others exploring factors that influence participation in cardiac rehabilitation and long-term exercise training

PURPOSE

Despite the clinical benefits, coronary artery disease patient participation rates in cardiac rehabilitation (CR) and long-term exercise are poor. This study explored the factors related to participation in these interventions from the perspectives of post-acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients and their significant others.

METHODS

Semi-structured interviews were performed with post-AMI patients (number (n) = 10) and their significant others (n = 10) following phase-III and phase-IV CR. Reflexive thematic analysis with an inductive orientation was utilised to identify themes within the dataset (ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT03907293).

RESULTS

The overarching theme of the data was a perceived need to improve health, with the participants viewing health benefits as the principal motive for participating in CR and long-term exercise training. Three further themes were identified: motivation, extrinsic influences, and CR experience. These themes captured the underlying elements of the participants' decision to take part in CR and long-term exercise training for the purpose of health improvements.

CONCLUSION

An AMI collectively impacts the attitudes and beliefs of patients and their significant others in relation to CR participation, long-term exercise, and health. The factors identified in this study may inform strategies to promote patient enrollment in CR and adherence to long-term exercise.IMPLICATIONS FOR REHABILITATIONPost-AMI patients and their significant others reported that health benefits were the primary motive for participating in CR and long-term exercise, with aspects related to motivation, extrinsic influences, and CR experience underpinning the decision.Healthcare professionals should supply information about health benefits during the CR referral process, with insights into the experiences of CR graduates potentially improving the strength of recommendation.CR facilitators may promote long-term exercise adherence by assisting patients with the identification of an enjoyable exercise modality.Healthcare professionals should include significant others in the CR referral process, which may enable these individuals to support the patients' decisions.

Chronic polytherapy after myocardial infarction: the trade-off between hospital and community-based providers in determining adherence to medication

Background

The benefits of chronic polytherapy in reducing readmissions and death after myocardial infarction (MI) have been clearly shown. However, real-world evidence shows poor medication adherence and large geographic variation, suggesting critical issues in access to optimal care. Our objectives were to measure adherence to polytherapy, to compare the amount of variation attributable to hospitals of discharge and to community-based providers, and to identify determinants of adherence to medications.

Methods

This is a population-based study. Data were obtained from the information systems of the Lazio and Tuscany Regions, Italy (9.5 million inhabitants). Patients hospitalized with incident MI in 2010–2014 were analyzed. The outcome measure was medication adherence, defined as a Medication Possession Ratio (MPR) ≥ 0.75 for at least 3 of the following drugs: antiplatelets, β-blockers, ACEI/ARBs, statins. A 2-year cohort-study was performed. Cross-classified multilevel models were applied to analyze geographic variation. The variance components attributable to hospitals of discharge and community-based providers were expressed as Median Odds Ratio (MOR).

Results

A total of 32,962 patients were enrolled. About 63% of patients in the Lazio cohort and 59% of the Tuscan cohort were adherent to chronic polytherapy. Women and patients aged 85 years and over were most at risk of non-adherence. In both regions, adherence was higher for patients discharged from cardiology wards (Lazio: OR = 1.58, p < 0.001, Tuscany: OR = 1.59, p < 0.001) and for patients with a percutaneous coronary intervention during the index admission. Relevant variation between community-based providers was observed, though when the hospital of discharge was included as a cross-classified level, in both Lazio and Tuscany regions the variation attributable to hospitals of discharge was the only significant component (Lazio: MOR = 1.30, p = 0.001; Tuscany: MOR = 1.31, p = 0.001).

Conclusion

Adherence to best practice treatments after MI is not consistent with clinical guidelines, and varies between patient groups as well as within and between regions. The variation attributable to providers is affected by the hospital of discharge, up to two years from the acute episode. This variation is likely to be attributable to hospital discharge processes, and could be reduced through appropriate policy levers.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-01969-9.

Sex-Specific Differences in Percutaneous Coronary Intervention Outcomes After a Cardiac Event: A Cohort Study Examining the Role of Depression, Worry and Autonomic Function

BACKGROUND

To determine whether differential all-cause hospital readmission exists for men and women 2 years after percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) treatment for acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and to identify potential autonomic and psychological pathways contributing to this association.

METHODS

Four hundred and sixteen (416) patients admitted with ACS were recruited from coronary care wards. Participants attended the study centre at one (T0) and 12 (T1) months following discharge. Heart rate variability (HRV) was used to assess autonomic functioning measured via a three-lead electrocardiogram. Psychological variables of interest (pathological worry, depression and phobic anxiety) were measured using validated self-report questionnaires. Percutaneous coronary intervention treatment data were collected from hospital records. The primary outcome was 2-year all-cause hospital readmission (yes/no). Logistic regression modelling using both complete case analysis and multiple imputation analysis was applied.

RESULTS

Men who received PCI had a significant reduction in the odds of being rehospitalised over the following 2 years, relative to women who did not (OR=0.45, 95% CI=0.20, 0.98). No other group benefited to this extent. Adjustment for age, ACS severity and Very Low Frequency (VLF) Power appeared to strengthen the association in both the complete case analysis and multiple imputation analysis models. The inclusion of depression and worry also marginally explained these associations in the multiple imputation analysis model.

CONCLUSIONS

Men who receive PCI after ACS were less likely to be readmitted to hospital over the following 2 years than their female counterparts. The small sample size of women and observational study design limit interpretation of the findings. However, heart rate variability, specifically VLF power, requires further investigation as a driver of such sex-specific outcomes.

Self-reported sleep quality and depression in post myocardial infarction patients attending cardiology outpatient clinics in Oman

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to examine the sleep quality and prevalence of depression in post myocardial infarction patients attending cardiology outpatient clinics of selected hospitals in Oman.

METHODS

A descriptive cross-sectional design was used to collect data from patients (n = 180) who were at least 4 weeks post myocardial infarction diagnosis and receiving follow-up care in the outpatient clinic. The Arabic version of the Pittsburgh Sleep Quality Index and Patient Health Questionnaire-9 were used to assess sleep quality and depressive symptoms, respectively.

RESULTS

The sample mean age was 62.0 ± 11.3 years. Poor sleep quality affected 61.1% of the participants. The significant predictors of poor sleep quality were gender (P ≤ 0.05), body mass index (P ≤ 0.05), and self-reported regular exercise (P ≤ 0.01). The most impacted domains of sleep quality were sleep latency, sleep duration, and sleep disturbances. The prevalence of major depression was low (5%) and the rate of re-infarction was 27.2%. The prevalence of minimal to mild major depression with a potential of transitioning into major depression overtime was very high. Self-reported regular exercise (P ≤ 0.01) was the only significant predictor of depressive symptoms.

CONCLUSION

The sleep quality of post myocardial infarction patients was poor and the prevalence of depression was low. There was no significant relationship between sleep quality or depression with re-infarction.

One-Year Outcomes of Patients With Established Coronary Artery Disease Presenting With Acute Coronary Syndromes

The risk of major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) remains high in patients with established coronary artery disease (CAD). The aim of this study was to assess the prognostic significance of established CAD in patients who present with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) using a large established multicenter registry. Consecutive patients from the Melbourne Interventional Group registry who presented with ACS and underwent percutaneous coronary intervention from 2005 to 2015 were included. Patients with a history of myocardial infarction, percutaneous coronary intervention, or coronary artery bypass graft surgery were included in the established CAD cohort. The primary end points were 12-month mortality and 12-month MACE. Of the 12,878 ACS patients included in our study, 3,542 (28%) patients had established CAD. Over the 10-year study period, the proportion of patients presenting with established CAD decreased (30.7% to 25.2%; p-for-overall-trend <0.001). Non-ST elevation myocardial infarction was the most prominent presentation in the established CAD cohort (45.1%) whereas ST-elevation myocardial infarction was the most prominent in the de novo CAD cohort (51%; p< 0.001). The patients in the established CAD cohort were older, had more co-morbidities and were more likely to present with high-risk features such as atrial fibrillation, left main disease, multivessel CAD and left ventricular dysfunction (all p < 0.001). Regarding revascularization in ST-elevation myocardial infarction presentations, symptom-to-door time was shorter, whereas door-to-balloon-time was longer in those with established CAD (p < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, established CAD was an independent risk factor for 12-month MACE (odds ratio 1.40, 95% confidence intervals 1.23 to 1.58, p < 0.001), but not for 12-month mortality (odds ratio 1.08, 95% confidence intervals 0.77 to 1.52, p = 0.66). In conclusion, patients with a history of myocardial infarction or previous revascularization have a higher rate of MACE at 12 months. Despite this they do not appear to suffer from higher mortality.

Empowering podiatrists to perform pulse checks for opportunistic atrial fibrillation detection during annual diabetes foot checks

Objective

To determine whether training podiatrists to provide opportunistic screening for atrial fibrillation (AF) during the local diabetes foot check was feasible and whether it detects previously unknown AF.

Method

During the initiative, 45 podiatrists from across North Durham, Darlington and Durham Dales Easington and Sedgefield Clinical Commissioning Groups were trained to recognise heart irregularities when taking pulse readings of feet of patients with diabetes during their annual foot screening reviews.

Results

Over the course of the 3-month pilot, 5000 patients with diabetes had their feet pulse-tested. The project uncovered that for every 500 patients who had their feet checked, one new case of AF could be identified.

Conclusion

A report following the Podiatry and Atrial Fibrillation Case Finding scheme revealed that the National Health Service in the United Kingdom North East and North Cumbria area could benefit from potential cost savings in excess of £500 000. In 2013, the National Diabetes Information Service, Yorkshire and Humber Public Health Observatory estimated 231 777 people in the North East, North Cumbria, Hambleton and Richmondshire area with diabetes. Therefore 463 patients could be found with AF, preventing 23 strokes and saving £539 742 or in excess of £0.5 M.

High quality process of care increases one-year survival after acute myocardial infarction (AMI): A cohort study in Italy

Background

The relationship between guideline adherence and outcomes in patients with acute myocardial infarction (AMI) has been widely investigated considering the emergency, acute, post-acute phases separately, but the effectiveness of the whole care process is not known.

Aim

The study aim was to evaluate the effect of the multicomponent continuum of care on 1-year survival after AMI.

Methods

We conducted a cohort study selecting all incident cases of AMI from health information systems during 2011–2014 in the Lazio region. Patients’ clinical history was defined by retrieving previous hospitalizations and drugs prescriptions. For each subject the probability to reach the hospital and the conditional probabilities to survive to 30 days from admission and to 31–365 days post discharge were estimated through multivariate logistic models. The 1-year survival probability was calculated as the product of the three probabilities. Quality of care indicators were identified in terms of emergency timeliness (time between residence and the nearest hospital), hospital performance in treatment of acute phase (number/timeliness of PCI on STEMI) and drug therapy in post-acute phase (number of drugs among antiplatelet, β-blockers, ACE inhibitors/ARBs, statins). The 1-year survival Probability Ratio (PR) and its Bootstrap Confidence Intervals (BCI) between who were exposed to the highest level of quality of care (timeliness<10', hospitalization in high performance hospital, complete drug therapy) and who exposed to the worst (timeliness≥10', hospitalization in low performance hospital, suboptimal drug therapy) were calculated for a mean-severity patient and varying gender and age. PRs for patients with diabetes and COPD were also evaluated.

Results

We identified 38,517 incident cases of AMI. The out-of-hospital mortality was 27.6%. Among the people arrived in hospital, 42.9% had a hospitalization for STEMI with 11.1% of mortality in acute phase and 5.4% in post-acute phase. For a mean-severity patient the PR was 1.19 (BCI 1.14–1.24). The ratio did not change by gender, while it moved from 1.06 (BCI 1.05–1.08) for age<65 years to 1.62 (BCI 1.45–1.80) for age >85 years. For patients with diabetes and COPD a slight increase in PRs was also observed.

Conclusions

The 1-year survival probability post AMI depends strongly on the quality of the whole multicomponent continuum of care. Improving the performance in the different phases, taking into account the relationship among these, can lead to considerable saving of lives, in particular for the elderly and for subjects with chronic diseases.

Risk Factors and Trends in Incidence of Heart Failure Following Acute Myocardial Infarction

Patients who develop heart failure (HF) after an acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are at higher risk of adverse fatal and nonfatal outcomes. Published studies on the incidence and associations of HF after infarction have been contradictory, with some reporting increasing and others decreasing incidence. Between 2000 and 2015, 109,717 patients admitted for a first AMI in New Jersey were discharged alive. In the 15 years from 2000 to 2015, the rates of admission for HF in AMI patients who were discharged alive decreased by 60%, from 3.48% to 1.4%, at 1-year follow-up. At 5 years of follow-up, the decline was more pronounced, from 7.21% to 1.4%, an 80% decline. All-cause death, and the combined end point of admission for HF or death, showed decreasing trends. Cox regression indicated a decrease in the risk of admission for HF over time (hazard ratio [HR] 0.955, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.949 to 0.961). Younger age, male gender, and commercial insurance were associated with lower HRs for HF (p <0.001), whereas history of hypertension, diabetes, kidney, or lung disease were associated with higher HRs (p <0.001). There was no significant difference in the rate of HF between subendocardial and transmural AMI (adjusted OR was 0.96, CI 0.90 to 1.03, p = 0.241). Revascularization was associated with a marked decrease in HF admissions (adjusted OR 0.22, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.25, p <0.001 for percutaneous coronary intervention and OR 0.44, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.51, p <0.001 for CABG). In conclusion, the rate of admission for HF after discharge for a first myocardial infarction as well as all-cause death decreased markedly from 2000 to 2015.

Depression and anxiety symptom trajectories in coronary heart disease: Associations with measures of disability and impact on 3-year health care costs

BACKGROUND

As mortality from coronary heart disease (CHD) falls, years lived with disability increase. Depression and anxiety are known indicators of poor outcomes in CHD, but most research has measured distress symptoms at one time point, often following acute events. Here we consider the long-term trajectories of these symptoms in established CHD, and examine their association to distinct measures of disability and impact on costs.

METHODS AND RESULTS

803 patients with diagnosis of CHD were recruited from primary care, and completed detailed assessments every 6months for 3years. Latent class growth analysis (LCGA) was used to identify 5 distinct symptom trajectories based on the Hospital Anxiety and Depression Questionnaire (HADS): 'stable low', 'chronic high', 'improving', 'worsening', and 'fluctuating'. The 'chronic high' group had highest association with reporting of chest pain (RRR 5.8, CI 2.9 to 11.7), smoking (2.9, 1.1 to 6.3), and poorer physical (0.88, 0.83-0.93) and mental (0.78, 0.73-0.84) quality of life. The 'chronic high' and 'worsening' trajectories had significantly higher health-care costs over the 'stable low' trajectory (107.2% and 95.5% increase, respectively). In addition, our trajectories were the only significant variable associated with increased health-care costs across the 3years.

CONCLUSIONS

Symptoms of depression and anxiety are highly prevalent in stable CHD patients, and their long-term trajectories are the single biggest driver of health care costs. Managing morbidity in these patients, in which depression and anxiety play a key role in, should become the primary focus of policy makers and future clinical trials.

Cardiac regeneration: All work and no repair?

Structural changes in the developing heart may influence the limited regenerative capacity of the adult heart. We examine how the workload exerted on the adult mammalian heart may limit regenerative capability and discuss recent therapies that demonstrate beneficial effects through unloading the heart.

The Effect of Monthly Medication on Mortality After a Coronary Event

AIM

The aim of this study was to analyze how the consumption of medication over time affects the survival rate in patients with a coronary event and whether there is a gender difference.

METHODS

The study included 804 patients admitted to 4 hospitals with a coronary event during 2007. Monitoring after coronary event was carried out during 2007 and every 6 months in the subsequent 2 years (2008 and 2009) throughout the review of the clinical history of the patient. The main outcome was the analysis of mortality after the coronary event. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were plotted to calculate the time to death, comparing women versus men for 4 medication groups: aspirin, statins, β-blockers, and angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitors/angiotensin receptor blockers (ACEIs/ARBs). A Cox regression model was used for the final mortality analysis.

RESULTS

During the follow-up time, 172 deaths were assessed. Each month of treatment with aspirin, statins, β-blockers, or ACEI/ARB was associated with a decrease in mortality between 13.0% and 0.5% (univariate analysis). The Kaplan-Meier method revealed a significant reduction in mortality after the coronary event for each month of treatment with aspirin (men), statins (men), and β-blockers (both men and women). No significant effect in survival was observed in either gender with ACEI/ARB treatment. The final multivariable model (Cox regression) showed that the taking of aspirin, statins, β-blockers, or ACEI/ARB is able to reduce mortality rates up to 7.0% (aspirin) throughout each month of treatment after a coronary event without any influence of gender.

CONCLUSION

Aspirin, statins, β-blockers, and ACEI/ARB revealed a protective character with each month of treatment throughout the follow-up period, in terms of risk reduction of death. Aspirin and statins showed the maximum benefit, followed by ACEI/ARB and β-blockers.

Impact of Visit-to-Visit Variability in Systolic Blood Pressure on Cardiovascular Outcomes in Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort

BACKGROUND

Despite an association between visit-to-visit blood pressure (BP) variability (VV-BPV) and cardiovascular (CV) outcomes, many studies performed during the past 4 years have shown conflicting results. This study investigated the impact of VV-BPV on CV outcomes in the Korean National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database-National Sample Cohort.

METHODS

From the 2002 Korean NHIS database (n = 47,851,928), sample subjects with 3 or more BP measurements (n = 51,811) were divided into 2 groups according to a 10 mm Hg cutoff in the SD of systolic BP (SD-SBP). The CV outcomes of these groups were compared by sensitivity analyses using various sampling methods.

RESULTS

Irrespective of sampling method, subjects with SD-SBPs ≥10 mm Hg had higher rates of CV events or death, nonfatal myocardial infarction (MI) or stroke, and total mortality, but were not associated with CV mortality. The hazard ratios for CV events or death, nonfatal MI or stroke, CV mortality, and total mortality were 1.43 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.25-1.63, P < 0.01), 1.45 (95% CI, 1.27-1.65, P < 0.01), 1.32 (95% CI, 0.89-1.94, P = 0.17), and 1.18 (95% CI, 1.01-1.38, P = 0.04), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

Increased VV-BPV was an independent risk factor for future CV outcomes, independent of mean BP status, even in normotensive subjects and in all subgroups, except females. Similar VV-BPV values in the sensitivity analyses suggest VV-BPV is a reproducible phenomenon, reflecting the various types of intrinsic physiologic properties.

Improved oxygen uptake efficiency slope in acute myocardial infarction patients after early phase I cardiac rehabilitation

A predischarge submaximal exercise test is often recommended after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) as part of phase I cardiac rehabilitation. In this study, a submaximal exercise parameter, oxygen uptake efficiency slope (OUES), was used to monitor the benefit of early mobilization within 48 h after AMI. An early mobilization protocol within 48 h after AMI has been initiated since 1 September 2012 in our center. Patients with onset time of AMI within 1 year before and 1 year after initiation of the early mobilization protocol were recruited for comparisons. Sixty patients were analyzed on the basis of this criterion, and were subjected to predischarge submaximal exercise tests. The OUES calculated with 100% exercise duration (OUES100) and calculated with the first 50% of exercise duration (OUES50) were obtained and analyzed. Both OUES100 and OUES50 of the AMI patients with early mobilization were significantly higher than those without early mobilization (P=0.025 and 0.007, respectively). The OUES100 and OUES50 were also highly correlated (r=0.891, P<0.001). The subgroup analysis using patients within 3 months before and 3 months after initiation of the protocol also showed a significant difference. OUES could be used to measure the exercise capacity and monitor the effect of phase I cardiac rehabilitation in patients soon after AMI. Early mobilization within 48 h following AMI significantly enhanced the patient's exercise capacity.

Survival prospects after acute myocardial infarction in the UK: a matched cohort study 1987-2011

OBJECTIVES

Estimate survival after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in the general population aged 60 and over and the effect of recommended treatments.

DESIGN

Cohort study in the UK with routinely collected data between January 1987 and March 2011.

SETTING

310 general practices that contributed to The Health Improvement Network (THIN) database.

PARTICIPANTS

4 cohorts who reached the age of 60, 65, 70, or 75 years between 1987 and 2011 included 16 744, 43 528, 73 728, and 76 392 participants, respectively. Participants with a history of AMI were matched on sex, year of birth, and general practice to 3 controls each.

OUTCOME MEASURES

The hazard of all-cause mortality associated with AMI was calculated by a multilevel Cox's proportional hazards regression, adjusted for sex, year of birth, socioeconomic status, angina, heart failure, other cardiovascular conditions, chronic kidney disease, diabetes, hypertension, hypercholesterolaemia, alcohol consumption, body mass index, smoking status, coronary revascularisation, prescription of β-blockers, ACE inhibitors, calcium-channel blockers, aspirin, or statins, and general practice.

RESULTS

Compared with no history of AMI by age 60, 65, 70, or 75, having had 1 AMI was associated with an adjusted hazard of mortality of 1.80 (95% CI 1.60 to 2.02), 1.71 (1.59 to 1.84), 1.50 (1.42 to 1.59), or 1.45 (1.38 to 1.53), respectively, and having had multiple AMIs with a hazard of 1.92 (1.60 to 2.29), 1.87 (1.68 to 2.07), 1.66 (1.53 to 1.80), or 1.63 (1.51 to 1.76), respectively. Survival was better after statins (HR range across the 4 cohorts 0.74-0.81), β-blockers (0.79-0.85), or coronary revascularisation (in first 5 years) (0.72-0.80); unchanged after calcium-channel blockers (1.00-1.07); and worse after aspirin (1.05-1.10) or ACE inhibitors (1.10-1.25).

CONCLUSIONS

The hazard of death after AMI is less than reported by previous studies, and standard treatments of aspirin or ACE inhibitors prescription may be of little benefit or even cause harm.

Decline in Cardiovascular Mortality: Possible Causes and Implications

If the control of infectious diseases was the public health success story of the first half of the 20th century, then the decline in mortality from coronary heart disease and stroke has been the success story of the century's past 4 decades. The early phase of this decline in coronary heart disease and stroke was unexpected and controversial when first reported in the mid-1970s, having followed 60 years of gradual increase as the US population aged. However, in 1978, the participants in a conference convened by the National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute concluded that a significant recent downtick in coronary heart disease and stroke mortality rates had definitely occurred, at least in the US Since 1978, a sharp decline in mortality rates from coronary heart disease and stroke has become unmistakable throughout the industrialized world, with age-adjusted mortality rates having declined to about one third of their 1960s baseline by 2000. Models have shown that this remarkable decline has been fueled by rapid progress in both prevention and treatment, including precipitous declines in cigarette smoking, improvements in hypertension treatment and control, widespread use of statins to lower circulating cholesterol levels, and the development and timely use of thrombolysis and stents in acute coronary syndrome to limit or prevent infarction. However, despite the huge growth in knowledge and advances in prevention and treatment, there remain many questions about this decline. In fact, there is evidence that the rate of decline may have abated and may even be showing early signs of reversal in some population groups. The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute, through a request for information, is soliciting input that could inform a follow-up conference on or near the 40th anniversary of the original landmark conference to further explore these trends in cardiovascular mortality in the context of what has come before and what may lie ahead.

Cardiac regeneration: epicardial mediated repair

The hearts of lower vertebrates such as fish and salamanders display scarless regeneration following injury, although this feature is lost in adult mammals. The remarkable capacity of the neonatal mammalian heart to regenerate suggests that the underlying machinery required for the regenerative process is evolutionarily retained. Recent studies highlight the epicardial covering of the heart as an important source of the signalling factors required for the repair process. The developing epicardium is also a major source of cardiac fibroblasts, smooth muscle, endothelial cells and stem cells. Here, we examine animal models that are capable of scarless regeneration, the role of the epicardium as a source of cells, signalling mechanisms implicated in the regenerative process and how these mechanisms influence cardiomyocyte proliferation. We also discuss recent advances in cardiac stem cell research and potential therapeutic targets arising from these studies.

Patient outcomes up to 15 years after stroke: survival, disability, quality of life, cognition and mental health

BACKGROUND

The global epidemiological shift of disease burden towards long-term conditions means understanding long-term outcomes of cardiovascular disease is increasingly important. More people are surviving stroke to experience its long-term consequences, but outcomes in people living more >10 years after stroke have not been described in detail.

METHODS

Data were collected for the population-based South London Stroke Register, with participants followed up annually until death. Outcomes were survival, disability, activity, cognitive impairment, quality of life, depression and anxiety.

FINDINGS

Of 2625 people having first-ever stroke, 262 (21%) survived to 15 years. By 15 years, 61% (95% CI 55% to 67%) of the survivors were male, with a median age of stroke onset of 58 years (IQR 48-66). 87% of the 15-year survivors were living at home and 33.8% (26.2% to 42.4%) had mild disability, 14.3% (9.2% to 21.4%) moderate disability and 15.0% (9.9% to 22.3%) severe disability. The prevalence of disability increased with time but 1 in 10 of the 15-year survivors had lived with moderate-severe disability since their stroke. At 15 years, the prevalence of cognitive impairment was 30.0% (19.5% to 43.1%), depression 39.1% (30.9% to 47.9%) and anxiety 34.9% (27.0% to 43.8%), and survivors reported greater loss of physical than mental quality of life.

CONCLUSIONS

One in five people live at least 15 years after a stroke and poor functional, cognitive and psychological outcomes affect a substantial proportion of these long-term survivors. As the global population of individuals with cardiovascular long-term conditions grows, research and health services will need to increasingly focus on preventing and managing the long-term consequences of stroke.

Therapeutic use of stem cells for cardiovascular disease

Stem cell treatments are a desirable therapeutic option to regenerate myocardium and improve cardiac function after myocardial infarction. Several different types of cells have been explored, each with their own benefits and limitations. Induced pluripotent stem cells possess an embryonic-like state and therefore have a high proliferative capacity, but they also pose a risk of teratoma formation. Mesenchymal stem cells have been investigated from both bone marrow and adipose tissue. Their immunomodulatory characteristics may permit the use of allogeneic cells as universal donor cells in the future. Lastly, studies have consistently shown that cardiac stem cells are better able to express markers of cardiogenesis compared to other cell types, as well improve cardiac function. The ideal source of stem cells depends on multiple factors such as the ease of extraction/isolation, effectiveness of engraftment, ability to differentiate into cardiac lineages and effect on cardiac function. Although multiple studies highlight the benefits and limitations of each cell type and reinforce the successful potential use of these cells to regenerate damaged myocardium, more studies are needed to directly compare cells from various sources. It is interesting to note that research using stem cell therapies is also expanding to treat other cardiovascular diseases including non-ischemic cardiomyopathies.

Pharmacological treatments of cardiovascular diseases: Evidence from real-life studies

The management of chronic cardiovascular diseases has evolved greatly in the last decades. Over the last thirty years, the management of acute coronary syndrome has improved, leading to an important lowering of the mortality in the acute phase of the event. Consequently, the optimal management of the secondary prevention of acute coronary syndrome has greatly evolved. Moreover, the increased number of pharmacological alternatives for patients affected by chronic heart failure and by non-valvular atrial fibrillation reserves a number of challenges for their correct management. Moreover, these diseases are without any reasonable doubt the largest contributor to global mortality in the present and will continue to be it in the future. The aim of this study was to provide the most updated information of the real-life drug use and their effectiveness. This review was performed to assess the potential knowledge gaps in the treatments of these diseases and to indicate potential perspective of pharmaco-epidemiological research in this area.

Excess mortality and guideline-indicated care following non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction

BACKGROUND

Adherence to guideline-indicated care for the treatment of non-ST-elevation myocardial infarction (NSTEMI) is associated with improved outcomes. We investigated the extent and consequences of non-adherence to guideline-indicated care across a national health system.

METHODS

A cohort study ( ClinicalTrials.gov identifier: NCT02436187) was conducted using data from the Myocardial Ischaemia National Audit Project ( n = 389,057 NSTEMI, n = 247 hospitals, England and Wales, 2003-2013). Accelerated failure time models were used to quantify the impact of non-adherence on survival according to dates of guideline publication.

RESULTS

Over a period of 1,079,044 person-years (median 2.2 years of follow-up), 113,586 (29.2%) NSTEMI patients died. Of those eligible to receive care, 337,881 (86.9%) did not receive one or more guideline-indicated intervention; the most frequently missed were dietary advice ( n = 254,869, 68.1%), smoking cessation advice ( n = 245,357, 87.9%), P2Y12 inhibitors ( n = 192,906, 66.3%) and coronary angiography ( n = 161,853, 43.4%). Missed interventions with the strongest impact on reduced survival were coronary angiography (time ratio: 0.18, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.17-0.18), cardiac rehabilitation (time ratio: 0.49, 95% CI: 0.48-0.50), smoking cessation advice (time ratio: 0.53, 95% CI: 0.51-0.57) and statins (time ratio: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.55-0.58). If all eligible patients in the study had received optimal care at the time of guideline publication, then 32,765 (28.9%) deaths (95% CI: 30,531-33,509) may have been prevented.

CONCLUSION

The majority of patients hospitalised with NSTEMI missed at least one guideline-indicated intervention for which they were eligible. This was significantly associated with excess mortality. Greater attention to the provision of guideline-indicated care for the management of NSTEMI will reduce premature cardiovascular deaths.

Adherence to evidence-based drug therapies after myocardial infarction: is geographic variation related to hospital of discharge or primary care providers? A cross-classified multilevel design

OBJECTIVES

To measure the adherence to polytherapy after myocardial infarction (MI), to compare the proportions of variation attributable to hospitals of discharge and to primary care providers, and to identify determinants of adherence to medications.

SETTING

This is a population-based study. Data were obtained from the Information Systems of the Lazio Region, Italy (5 million inhabitants).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients hospitalised with incident MI in 2007-2010.

OUTCOME MEASURE

The outcome was chronic polytherapy after MI. Adherence was defined as a medication possession ratio ≥0.75 for at least three of the following drugs: antiplatelets, β-blockers, ACEI angiotensin receptor blockers, statins.

DESIGN AND ANALYSIS

A 2-year cohort study was performed. Cross-classified multilevel models were applied to analyse geographic variation and compare proportions of variability attributable to hospitals of discharge and primary care providers. The variance components were expressed as median ORs MORs. If the MOR is 1.00, there is no variation between clusters. If there is considerable between-cluster variation, the MOR will be large.

RESULTS

A total of 9606 patients were enrolled. About 63% were adherent to chronic polytherapy. Adherence was higher for patients discharged from cardiology wards (OR=1.56 vs other wards, p<0.001) and for patients with general practitioners working in group practice (OR=1.14 vs single-handed, p=0.042). A relevant variation in adherence was detected between local health districts (MOR=1.24, p<0.001). When introducing the hospital of discharge as a cross-classified level, the variation between local health districts decreased (MOR=1.13, p=0.020) and the variability attributable to hospitals of discharge was significantly higher (MOR=1.37, p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Secondary prevention pharmacotherapy after MI is not consistent with clinical guidelines. The relevant geographic variation raises equity issues in access to optimal care. Adherence was influenced more by the hospital that discharged the patient than by the primary care providers. Cross-classified models proved to be a useful tool for defining priority areas for more targeted interventions.

Cardiac troponin testing for diagnosis of acute coronary syndromes in primary care

OBJECTIVE

To examine the use of cardiac troponin (cTn) testing for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) diagnosis in primary care.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Prospective cohort study; general practitioner-initiated cTn tests conducted from 24 September 2009 to 3 September 2010 in Perth, Western Australia. Patient outcomes were obtained from linked data sources for up to 12 months after the final test. Clinical information and outcomes were compared with data from emergency department patients with ACS symptoms.

PARTICIPANTS

369 patients with samples collected at community laboratories. Requesting GPs provided the clinical context for testing.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Cardiovascular risk status, symptoms prompting cTn testing; estimated ACS likelihood and referral decision before and after testing; result turnaround time; hospital presentations, procedures and mortality.

RESULTS

Of the 328 GPs who received a survey request, 124 (37.8%) responded. 122 of 124 test results (98.4%) were negative. Based on clinical risk factors, 71 of 104 patients (68.2%) were at high or intermediate risk of ACS. 69 of 124 patients (55.6%) had typical ischaemic pain and 62 of 124 patients (50.0%) were tested within 48 hours of symptom onset (23.4% within 12 hours, with no serial testing). Test results affected GPs' estimation of ACS likelihood (P < 0.01) but not their referral decisions (P = 0.23). 94 of 355 patients (26.5%) presented to hospital with cardiovascular symptoms or diagnoses during follow-up; 27 of 355 patients (7.6%) had at least one ACS, 13 of 255 (3.7%) within 30 days of testing.

CONCLUSIONS

GP-initiated cTn testing involves patients at high risk of ACS. ACS and associated adverse outcomes can occur in patients undergoing testing, even when the cTn test result is negative. Potential gaps exist in physicians' understanding of the limitations of cTn testing, and cTn test results have minimal influence on their management of patients. GPs may benefit from guidance about ordering cTn testing.

Incidence and outcome of first myocardial infarction according to gender and age in Denmark over a 35-year period (1978-2012)

Aims

To examine temporal changes in incidence and 1-year mortality of first myocardial infarction (MI) in different age groups for both genders in Denmark over a 35-year period (1978-2012).

Methods and results

Patients aged 30 years or older admitted with first MI in Denmark from 1978 to 2012 were included (n = 316 790). Overall, first MI incidence per 100 000 person-years (/105 p.y.) decreased significantly from 500 to 297/105 p.y. for males and from 229 to 156/105 p.y. for females. The decline was greatest among men aged 70-79 from 1460 to 643/105 p.y. (-56%). The majority of age groups also experienced declining incidence. However, men aged 30-39 and ≥90 years as well as females aged 30-49 and ≥90 years had increasing incidence during the study period. Moreover, the incidence decreased from 1978 to 1996 among males aged 40-49 and females aged 50-59 years, but increased in the remainder of the study period. One-year case-fatality declined significantly from 50 to 9% of MI male patients, and from 53 to 15% of MI female patients when comparing 1978 to 2012. Statistical analysis with Poisson models demonstrated that the mortality rate increased with age and decreased with time and indicated no significant difference between genders.

Conclusions

During the period from 1978 to 2012, there was a significant decline in MI incidence among most age groups for both genders; however, an incidence increase was observed in men under 50 and women under 60 years, and ≥90 years for both genders. One-year case-fatality decreased constantly during the study period.

A 35-Year Perspective (1975 to 2009) into the Long-Term Prognosis and Hospital Management of Patients Discharged from the Hospital After a First Acute Myocardial Infarction

There are limited population-based data available describing trends in the long-term prognosis of patients discharged from the hospital after an initial acute myocardial infarction (AMI). Our objectives were to describe multidecade trends in post-discharge mortality and their association with hospital management practices in patients discharged from all medical centers in Central Massachusetts after a first AMI. Residents of the Worcester, Massachusetts, metropolitan area discharged from all hospitals in Central Massachusetts after a first AMI from 1975 to 2009 comprised the study population (n = 8,728). Multivariable-adjusted logistic regression analyses were used to examine the association between year of hospitalization and 1-year post-discharge mortality. The average age of this population was 66 years, and 40% were women. Patients hospitalized in 1999 to 2009, compared with those discharged in 1975 to 1984, were older, more likely to be women, and have multiple previously diagnosed co-morbidities. Hospital use of invasive cardiac interventions and medications increased markedly over time. Unadjusted 1-year mortality rates were 12.9%, 12.5%, and 15.8% for patients discharged during 1975 to 1984, 1986 to 1997, and 1999 to 2009, respectively. After adjusting for several demographic characteristics, clinical factors, and inhospital complications, there were no significant differences in the odds of dying at 1-year post-discharge during the years under study. After further adjustment for hospital treatment practices, the odds of dying at 1 year post-discharge was 2.43 (95% confidence interval = 1.83 to 3.23) times higher in patients hospitalized in 1999 to 2009 than in 1975 to 1984. In conclusion, the increased use of invasive cardiac interventions and pharmacotherapies was associated with enhanced long-term survival in patients hospitalized for a first AMI.

Trends of 28 days case fatality rate after first acute myocardial infarction in Isfahan, Iran, from 2000 to 2009

BACKGROUND

The purpose of the present study was the analysis of the trends in case fatality rate of acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in Isfahan, Iran. This analysis was performed based on gender, age groups, and type of AMI according to the International Classification of Diseases, version 10, during 2000-2009.

METHODS

Disregarding the Multinational Monitoring of Trends and Determinants in Cardiovascular Disease (MONICA), this cohort study considered all AMI events registered between 2000 and 2009 in 13 hospitals in Isfahan. All patients were followed for 28 days. In order to assess the case fatality rate, the Kaplan-Meier analysis, and to compare survival rate, log-rank test were used. Using the Cox regression model, 28 days case fatality hazard ratio (HR) was calculated.

RESULTS

In total, 12,900 patients with first AMI were entered into the study. Among them, 9307 (72.10%) were men and 3593 (27.90%) women. The mean age in all patients increased from 61.36 ± 12.19 in 2000-2001 to 62.15 ± 12.74 in 2008-2009, (P = 0.0070); in women, from 65.38 ± 10.95 to 67.15 ± 11.72 (P = 0.0200), and in men, from 59.75 ± 12.29 to 59.84 ± 12.54 (P = 0.0170),. In addition, the 28 days case fatality rate in 2000-2009 had a steady descending trend. Thus, it decreased from 11.20% in 2000-2001 to 07.90% in 2008-2009; in men, from 09.20% to 06.70%, and in women, from 16.10% to 10.90%. During the study, HR of case fatality rate in 2000-2001 declined; therefore, in 2002-2003, it was 0.93 [95% confidence interval (CI) = 0.77-1.11], in 2004-2005, 0.88 (95% CI = 0.73-1.04), in 2006-2007, 0.67 (95% CI = 0.56-0.82), and in 2008-2009, 0.69 (95% CI = 0.56-0.82).

CONCLUSION

In Isfahan, a reduction was observable in the trend of case fatality rate in both genders and all age groups. Thus, there was a 29.46% reduction in case fatality rate (27.17% in men, 32.29% in women) during the study period.

Does treatment impact health outcomes for patients after acute coronary syndrome?

Background: Mortality rates for acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients are still very high all over the world. Our study aimed to investigate the impact of ACS treatment on cardiovascular (CV) mortality eight years following ACS. Methods: A retrospective cohort study with a total of 613 patients was used. The data was collected from databases and medical records. An evidence-based treatment (EBT) algorithm was used based on the ESC guidelines. Logistic regression analysis and standardized odds ratios with 95% confidence interval (CI) were used for the risk assessment, with a p level < 0.05 considered as significant. Results: The median follow-up time in this study was 7.6 years. During follow-up 48.9% of the patients (n = 300) died from CV and 207 (69%) for a relevant reason. For monotherapy ACE inhibitors and β-blockers, and for fixed dose combined drugs ACE inhibitors and diuretics, were most frequently used. EBT was provided to 37.8% of patients. The EBT use (HR 0.541, CI 0.394–0.742, p < 0.001) during follow-up period was important for reducing CV mortality in ACS patients. Conclusions: The combined use of EBT significantly improved outcomes. The recurrent myocardial infarction and percutaneous coronary intervention patients were more frequent in EBT and it was beneficial for reducing CV mortality.

Evaluation as evolution: a Darwinian proposal for health policy and systems research

Background

Health systems are complex and health policies are political. While grand policies are set by politicians, the detailed implementation strategies which influence the shape and impact of these policies are delegated to technical personnel. This is an underappreciated opportunity for optimising health systems. We propose that selective ‘breeding’ through successive evaluations of and selection among implementation strategies is a metaphor that health system thinkers can use to improve health care.

Discussion

Similar to Darwinian evolution, the acceptance and accumulation of successful choices and the detection and discarding of unsuccessful ones would improve health systems in small and uncontroversial ways, over time. The effects of better implementation choices would be synergistic and cumulative, accumulating large impact (and lessons) from small changes. Just as with evolution of species, this means that even slight improvements over usual outcomes makes these numerous small choices as important a focus for system improvement as the overarching policy itself. Several alternative implementation approaches can be compared under real-world conditions in prospective head-to-head experimental and non-experimental explorations to understand whether and to what extent a strategy works and what works for whom, how, and under what circumstances in different locations. As in breeding or evolution, the best variants would spread to become the new, proven superior, implementation strategies for that policy in those settings.

Conclusions

Evolution does not produce a new species whole, in a single transaction. Instead it gathers new parts and powers over time as different combinations are tested through competition with one another, to survive and spread or become extinct. Without necessarily changing or challenging grand policies, extending this idea to health systems innovation can facilitate thinking around how local, small – but cumulative – improvements in implementation potentially contribute to a pattern of successive adaptation spreading within its viable niche and ultimately providing locally-derived, long-term improvements in health systems.

Age-specific gender differences in long-term recurrence and mortality following incident myocardial infarction: a population-based study

BACKGROUND

Higher mortality following myocardial infarction (MI) is reported in women compared with men with short-term follow-up. Our study aim was to compare long-term gender- and age-specific outcomes following incident MI.

METHODS

30-day survivors of incident MI from 2003-2009 were identified from linked administrative data in Western Australia. Outcomes identified were recurrent MI, and cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Follow-up data was available until 30(th) June 2011. Unadjusted risk out to eight-years was estimated from Kaplan-Meier survival curves, and multivariate Cox regression models were used to estimate relative risk in women compared with men by age group.

RESULTS

There were 12,420 30-day survivors of incident MI from 2003-2009 (males 71.2%). Women had higher levels of comorbidities across all age groups compared with men. Unadjusted event risks were higher in women than men overall, underpinned by higher risk of recurrent MI in 55-69 year-old women and of cardiovascular mortality across all age groups in women. Gender differences were generally attenuated after adjustment for demographic factors and comorbidities.

CONCLUSIONS

This study highlights the elevated risk of cardiovascular events in women compared with men with long-term follow-up, and demonstrates the need for improved long-term secondary prevention in this patient group.

Long-term use and cost-effectiveness of secondary prevention drugs for heart disease in Western Australian seniors (WAMACH): a study protocol

INTRODUCTION

Secondary prevention drugs for cardiac disease have been demonstrated by clinical trials to be effective in reducing future cardiovascular and mortality events (WAMACH is the Western Australian Medication Adherence and Costs in Heart disease study). Hence, most countries have adopted health policies and guidelines for the use of these drugs, and included them in government subsidised drug lists to encourage their use. However, suboptimal prescribing and non-adherence to these drugs remains a universal problem. Our study will investigate trends in dispensing patterns of drugs for secondary prevention of cardiovascular events and will also identify factors influencing these patterns. It will also assess the clinical and economic consequences of non-adherence and the cost-effectiveness of using these drugs.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

This population-based cohort study will use longitudinal data on almost 40,000 people aged 65 years or older who were hospitalised in Western Australia between 2003 and 2008 for coronary heart disease, heart failure or atrial fibrillation. Linking of several State and Federal government administrative data sets will provide person-based information on drugs dispensed precardiac and postcardiac event, reasons for hospital admission, emergency department visits, mortality and medical visits. Dispensed drug trends will be described, drug adherence measured and their association with future all-cause/cardiovascular events will be estimated. The cost-effectiveness of these long-term therapies for cardiac disease and the impact of adherence will be evaluated.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Human Research Ethics Committee (HREC) approvals have been obtained from the Department of Health (Western Australian #2011/62 and Federal) and the University of Western Australia (RA/4/1/1130), in addition to HREC approvals from all participating hospitals. Findings will be published in peer-reviewed medical journals and presented at local, national and international conferences. Results will also be disseminated to consumer groups.

Risk of malignancy associated with head and neck CT in children: a systematic review

OBJECTIVE

To perform a systematic review to evaluate the risk of malignancy associated with computed tomography (CT) of the head and/or neck in infants, children, and adolescents.

DATA SOURCES

Pubmed, EMBASE, and the Cochrane Library were assessed from the date of their inception to January 2014. Additionally, manual searches of bibliographies were performed and topic experts were contacted.

REVIEW METHODS

Data were obtained from studies measuring or estimating the risks of malignancy associated with radiation from head and/or neck CT in pediatric populations according to an a priori protocol. Two independent evaluators corroborated the extracted data.

RESULTS

There were 16 criterion-meeting studies that included data from n = 858,815 patients. The radiation-related risk of malignancy was estimated using primary patient data for both the exposure and outcome in a minority of studies, with most analyses utilizing mathematical modeling techniques. The data regarding otolaryngology-specific studies were limited and suggested a borderline significant increase in the risk of all combined cancers after facial CT (incidence rate ratio [IRR] = 1.14; 95% CI, 1.01-1.28) and neck/spine CT (IRR = 1.13; 95% CI, 1.00-1.28). Cohort data suggest that 1 excess brain malignancy occurred after 4000 brain CTs (40 mSv per scan) and that the estimated risk in the 10 years following CT exposure was 1 brain tumor per 10,000 patients exposed to a 10 mGy scan at less than 10 years of age.

CONCLUSION

Detailed understanding of any potential malignancy risk associated with pediatric imaging of the head and neck furthers our ability to engage in rational, shared, informed decision making with families considering CT scan.

Effect of evidence-based drug therapy on long-term outcomes in patients discharged after myocardial infarction: a nested case–control study in Italy

Purpose

There are some methodological concerns regarding results from observational studies about the effectiveness of evidence-based (EB) drug therapy in secondary prevention after myocardial infarction. The present study used a nested case–control approach to address these major methodological limitations.

Methods

A cohort of 6880 patients discharged from hospital after acute myocardial infarction (AMI) in 2006–2007 was enrolled and followed-up throughout 2009. Exposure was defined as adherence to each drug in terms of the proportion of days covered (cutoff ≥ 75%). Composite treatment groups, that is, groups with no EB therapy or therapy with one, two, three, or four EB drugs), were analyzed. Outcomes were overall mortality and reinfarction. Nested case–control studies were performed for both outcomes, matching four controls to every case (841 deaths, 778 reinfarctions) by gender, age, and individual follow-up. The association between exposure to EB drug therapy and outcomes was analyzed using conditional logistic regression, adjusting for revascularization procedures, comorbidities, duration of index admission, and use of the study drugs prior to admission.

Results

Mortality and reinfarction risk decreased with the use of an increasing number of EB drugs. Combinations of two or more EB drugs were associated with a significant protective effect (p < 0.001) versus no EB drugs (mortality: 4 EB drugs: OR_adj = 0.35; 95%CI: 0.21–0.59; reinfarction: 4 EB drugs: OR_adj = 0.23; 95%CI: 0.15–0.37).

Conclusions

These findings of the beneficial effects of EB polytherapy on mortality and morbidity in a population-based setting using a nested case–control approach strengthen existing evidence from observational studies. Copyright © 2013 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.

Lifestyle factors, medication use and risk for ischaemic heart disease hospitalisation: a longitudinal population-based study

Background

Lifestyle factors have been implicated in ischaemic heart disease (IHD) development however a limited number of longitudinal studies report results stratified by cardio-protective medication use.

Purpose

This study investigated the influence of self-reported lifestyle factors on hospitalisation for IHD, stratified by blood pressure and/or lipid-lowering therapy.

Methods

A population-based cohort of 14,890 participants aged 45+ years and IHD-free was identified from the Western Australian Health and wellbeing Surveillance System (2004 to 2010 inclusive), and linked with hospital administrative data. Adjusted hazard ratios for future IHD-hospitalisation were estimated using Cox regression.

Results

Current smokers remained at higher risk for IHD-hospitalisation (adjusted HR=1.57; 95% CI: 1.22-2.03) after adjustment for medication use, as did those considered overweight (BMI=25-29 kg/m²; adjusted HR=1.28; 95% CI: 1.04-1.57) or obese (BMI of ≥30kg/m²; adjusted HR=1.31; 95% CI: 1.03-1.66). Weekly leisure-time physical activity (LTPA) of 150 minutes or more and daily intake of 3 or more fruit/vegetable servings reduced risk by 21% (95% CI: 0.64-0.97) and 26% (95% CI: 0.58-0.96) respectively. Benefits of LTPA appeared greatest in those on blood pressure lowering medication (adjusted HR=0.50; 95% CI: 0.31-0.82 [for LTPA<150 mins], adjusted HR=0.64; 95% CI: 0.42-0.96 [for LTPA>=150 mins]). IHD risk in smokers was most pronounced in those taking neither medication (adjusted HR=2.00; 95% CI: 1.41-2.83).

Conclusion

This study confirms the contribution of previously reported lifestyle factors towards IHD hospitalisation, even after adjustment for antihypertensive and lipid-lowering medication use. Medication stratified results suggest that IHD risks related to LTPA and smoking may differ according to medication use.

Trends from 1996 to 2007 in incidence and mortality outcomes of heart failure after acute myocardial infarction: a population-based study of 20,812 patients with first acute myocardial infarction in Western Australia

Background

Advances in treatment for acute myocardial infarction (AMI) are likely to have had a beneficial impact on the incidence of and deaths attributable to heart failure (HF) complicating AMI, although limited data are available to support this contention.

Methods and Results

Western Australian linked administrative health data were used to identify 20 812 consecutive patients, aged 40 to 84 years, without prior HF hospitalized with an index (first) AMI between 1996 and 2007. We assessed the temporal incidence of and adjusted odds ratio/hazard ratio for death associated with HF concurrent with AMI admission and within 1 year after discharge. Concurrent HF comprised 75% of incident HF cases. Between the periods 1996–1998 and 2005–2007, the prevalence of HF after AMI declined from 28.1% to 16.5%, with an adjusted odds ratio of 0.50 (95% CI, 0.44 to 0.55). The crude 28‐day case‐fatality rate for patients with concurrent HF declined marginally from 20.5% to 15.9% (P<0.05) compared with those without concurrent HF, in whom the case‐fatality rate declined from 11.0% to 4.8% (P<0.001). Concurrent HF was associated with a multivariate‐adjusted odds ratio of 2.2 for 28‐day mortality and a hazard ratio of 2.2 for 1‐year mortality in 28‐day survivors. Occurrence of HF within 90 days of the index AMI was associated with an adjusted hazard ratio of 2.7 for 1‐year mortality in 90‐day survivors.

Conclusions

Despite encouraging declines in the incidence of HF complicating AMI, it remains a common problem with high mortality. Increased attention to these high‐risk patients is needed given the lack of improvement in their long‐term prognosis.

Myocardial infarction incidence and survival by ethnic group: Scottish Health and Ethnicity Linkage retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Inequalities in coronary heart disease mortality by country of birth are large and poorly understood. However, these data misclassify UK-born minority ethnic groups and provide little detail on whether excess risk is due to increased incidence, poorer survival or both.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

General resident population of Scotland.

PARTICIPANTS

All those residing in Scotland during the 2001 Census were eligible for inclusion: 2 972 120 people were included in the analysis. The number still residing in Scotland at the end of the study in 2008 is not known.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

As specified in the analysis plan, the primary outcome measures were first occurrence of admission or death due to myocardial infarction and time to event. There were no secondary outcome measures.

RESULTS

Acute myocardial infarction (AMI) incidence risk ratios (95% CIs) relative to white Scottish populations (100) were highest among Pakistani men (164.1 (142.2 to 189.2)) and women (153.7 (120.5, 196.1)) and lowest for men and women of Chinese (39.5 (27.1 to 57.6) and 59.1 (38.6 to 90.7)), other white British (77 (74.2 to 79.8) and 72.2 (69.0 to 75.5)) and other white (83.1 (75.9 to 91.0) and 79.9 (71.5 to 89.3)) ethnic groups. Adjustment for educational qualification did not eliminate these differences. Cardiac intervention uptake was similar across most ethnic groups. Compared to white Scottish, 28-day survival did not differ by ethnicity, except in Pakistanis where it was better, particularly in women (0.44 (0.25 to 0.78)), a difference not removed by adjustment for education, travel time to hospital or cardiac intervention uptake.

CONCLUSIONS

Pakistanis have the highest incidence of AMI in Scotland, a country renowned for internationally high cardiovascular disease rates. In contrast, survival is similar or better in minority ethnic groups. Clinical care and policy should focus on reducing incidence among Pakistanis through more aggressive prevention.