Association of body mass index and age with incident diabetes in Chinese adults: a population-based cohort study

The Association between Body Mass Index and Glycohemoglobin (HbA1c) in the US Population's Diabetes Status

Obesity, indicated by Body Mass Index (BMI), is a risk factor for type 2 diabetes. However, its association with glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c), a crucial indicator of blood-sugar control, may vary across different populations and disease statuses. Data from the National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey (NHANES) 2017-2018 were analyzed. Participants aged 18-79 years with complete information on BMI, diabetes status, and HbA1c were included (n = 4003). Linear regression models were used to assess the association between BMI and HbA1c, adjusting for demographic confounders, smoking status, alcohol consumption, and healthcare access. Among participants without diabetes, BMI was positively associated with HbA1c levels (coefficient: 0.015, 95% CI: 0.01, 0.02; p-value < 0.05), after adjusting for potential confounders. However, this association was not significant among those with diabetes (coefficient: -0.005, 95% CI: -0.05, 0.04; p-value > 0.1). Our findings suggest a differential relationship between BMI and HbA1c in individuals with and without diabetes. While BMI remains a significant predictor of HbA1c in non-diabetic individuals, its significance diminishes in those with diabetes.

Relationship between indices of insulin resistance and incident type 2 diabetes mellitus in Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance (IR) is a pivotal pathogenesis characteristic of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). The current study aimed to explore the association between triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (TG/HDL-c), triglyceride-glucose (TyG), and triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI), and T2DM incidence.

METHODS

A total of 116,855 Chinese adults aged over 20 without diabetes were included. Multivariate Cox regression analysis and restricted cubic spine were utilized to investigate the association between IR indicators and T2DM. The T2DM risk across different quartiles of IR parameters was compared using Kaplan-Meier curves. The receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to investigate the predictive potential of each IR indicator for future T2DM.

RESULTS

A total of 2685 participants developed T2DM during a median follow-up of 2.98 years. The adjusted hazard ratios (HR) of incident T2DM were 1.177, 2.766, and 1.1018 for TG/HDL-c, TyG, and TyG-BMI, respectively. There were significant increasing trends of T2DM across the quartiles of TG/HDL-c, TyG, and TyG-BMI. The HRs of new-onset T2DM in the highest quartiles versus the lowest quartile of TG/HDL-c, TyG, and TyG-BMI were 3.298, 8.402, and 8.468. RCS revealed the nonlinear relationship between IR and T2DM risk. The correlations between IR and T2DM were more pronounced in subjects aged <40. TyG-BMI had the highest predictive value for incident T2DM (AUC = 0.774), with a cut-off value of 213.289.

CONCLUSION

TG/HDL-c, TyG, and TyG-BMI index were all significantly positively associated with higher risk for future T2DM. Baseline TyG-BMI level had high predictive value for the identification of T2DM.

Non-linear relationship between pulse pressure and the risk of pre-diabetes: a secondary retrospective Chinese cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Previous research has shown that pulse pressure (PP) has a significant role in the start and development of type 2 diabetes mellitus. However, there is little proof that PP and pre-diabetes mellitus (Pre-DM) are related. Our study aimed to investigate the relationship between PP and incident pre-DM in a substantial cohort of Chinese participants.

DESIGN

The 'DATADRYAD' database (www.Datadryad.org) was used to retrieve the data for this secondary retrospective cohort analysis.

PARTICIPANTS

Data from 182 672 Chinese individuals who participated in the medical examination programme were recorded in this retrospective cohort study between 2010 and 2016 across 32 sites and 11 cities in China.

SETTING

PP assessed at baseline and incident pre-DM during follow-up were the target-independent and dependent variables. The association between PP and pre-DM was investigated using Cox proportional hazards regression.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURES

The outcome was incident pre-DM. Impaired fasting glucose levels (fasting blood glucose between 5.6 and 6.9 mmol/L) were used to define pre-DM.

RESULTS

After controlling for confounding variables, PP was positively correlated with incident pre-DM among Chinese adults (HR 1.009, 95% CI 1.007 to 1.010). Additionally, at a PP inflection point of 29 mm Hg, a non-linear connection between the PP and incident pre-DM was discovered. Increased PP was an independent risk factor for developing pre-DM when PP was greater than 29 mm Hg. However, their association was not significant when PP was less than 29 mm Hg. According to subgroup analyses, females, never-smokers and non-obesity correlated more significantly with PP and pre-DM.

CONCLUSION

We discovered that higher PP independently correlated with pre-DM risk in this study of Chinese participants. The connection between PP and incident pre-DM was also non-linear. High PP levels were related to a higher risk of pre-DM when PP was above 29 mm Hg.

ARTICLE FOCUS

Our study investigated the relationship between PP and incident pre-DM in a secondary retrospective cohort of Chinese participants.

Predictive value of insulin resistance surrogates for the development of diabetes in individuals with baseline normoglycemia: findings from two independent cohort studies in China and Japan

BACKGROUND

Insulin resistance (IR) plays a crucial role in the occurrence and progression of diabetes. This study aimed to evaluate and compare the predictive value of four IR surrogates, including the triglycerides glucose (TyG) index, TyG and body mass index (TyG-BMI), triglycerides/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-C) ratio, and the metabolic score for IR (MetS-IR) for diabetes in two large cohorts.

METHODS

A total of 116,661 adult participants from the China Rich Healthcare Group and 15,464 adult participants from the Japanese NAGALA cohort were included in the study. Multivariable Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the standardized hazard ratio (HR) of the TyG index, TyG-BMI, TG/HDL-C ratio, and MetS-IR directly associated with diabetes. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and time-dependent ROC curve analysis were performed to evaluate and compare the predictive value of the four IR surrogates for diabetes.

RESULTS

In the two independent cohorts, the average follow-up time was 3.1 years in the China cohort, with 2681(2.30%) incident cases of diabetes recorded, and 6.13 years in the Japan cohort, with 373 incident cases (2.41%) of diabetes recorded. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, we found that among the four IR surrogates, TyG-BMI and MetS-IR showed stronger associations with diabetes. The stronger associations persisted even after further stratification by age, sex, hypertension, and obese subgroups. In terms of diabetes prediction, based on ROC analysis, TyG-BMI demonstrated the highest predictive accuracy for diabetes in the Chinese population, while both TyG-BMI and MetS-IR showed the highest predictive accuracy in the Japanese population. The results of further subgroup ROC analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Furthermore, the time-dependent ROC results indicated that among the four IR surrogates, MetS-IR exhibited the highest accuracy in predicting future diabetes at various time intervals in the Japanese population.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that evaluating TyG-BMI and MetS-IR as IR surrogates may be the most useful for predicting diabetes events and assessing the risk of developing diabetes in East Asian populations.

Relative importance of triglyceride glucose index combined with body mass index in predicting recovery from prediabetic state to normal fasting glucose: a cohort analysis based on a Chinese physical examination population

BACKGROUND

Prediabetes is a high-risk state for diabetes, and numerous studies have shown that the body mass index (BMI) and triglyceride-glucose (TyG) index play significant roles in risk prediction for blood glucose metabolism. This study aims to evaluate the relative importance of BMI combination with TyG index (TyG-BMI) in predicting the recovery from prediabetic status to normal blood glucose levels.

METHODS

A total of 25,397 prediabetic subjects recruited from 32 regions across China. Normal fasting glucose (NFG), prediabetes, and diabetes were defined referring to the American Diabetes Association (ADA) criteria. After normalizing the independent variables, the impact of TyG-BMI on the recovery or progression of prediabetes was analyzed through the Cox regression models. Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was utilized to visualize and compare the predictive value of TyG-BMI and its constituent components in prediabetes recovery/progression.

RESULTS

During the average observation period of 2.96 years, 10,305 individuals (40.58%) remained in the prediabetic state, 11,278 individuals (44.41%) recovered to NFG, and 3,814 individuals (15.02%) progressed to diabetes. The results of multivariate Cox regression analysis demonstrated that TyG-BMI was negatively associated with recovery from prediabetes to NFG and positively associated with progression from prediabetes to diabetes. Further ROC analysis revealed that TyG-BMI had higher impact and predictive value in predicting prediabetes recovering to NFG or progressing to diabetes in comparison to the TyG index and BMI. Specifically, the TyG-BMI threshold for predicting prediabetes recovery was 214.68, while the threshold for predicting prediabetes progression was 220.27. Additionally, there were significant differences in the relationship of TyG-BMI with prediabetes recovering to NFG or progressing to diabetes within age subgroups. In summary, TyG-BMI is more suitable for assessing prediabetes recovery or progression in younger populations (< 45 years old).

CONCLUSIONS

This study, for the first time, has revealed the significant impact and predictive value of the TyG index in combination with BMI on the recovery from prediabetic status to normal blood glucose levels. From the perspective of prediabetes intervention, maintaining TyG-BMI within the threshold of 214.68 holds crucial significance.

Association between estimated glomerular filtration rate and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

The present body of evidence regarding the correlation between the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) and the reversal of impaired fasting glucose (IFG) to normoglycemia remains constrained. Consequently, the objective of our study is to examine the relationship between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in individuals with IFG.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study consecutively collected data from 24,541 non-selective participants with IFG at Rich Healthcare Group in China from January 2010 to 2016. We aimed to investigate the association between baseline eGFR and reversion to normoglycemia using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. Through the utilization of a Cox proportional hazards regression model featuring cubical spline smoothing, we were able to ascertain the non-linear correlation between eGFR and the return to normoglycemia. Furthermore, various sensitivity and subgroup analyses were carried out, and a competing risk multivariate Cox regression was employed to examine the progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events.

RESULTS

In our study, comprising 24,541 participants, the average age was 49.25 ± 13.77 years, with 66.28% being male. The baseline eGFR mean was 104.16 ± 15.78 ml/min per 1.73 m2. During a median follow-up period of 2.89 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 45.50%. Upon controlling for covariates, our findings indicated a positive correlation between eGFR and the probability of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 1.008, 95% CI 1.006-1.009). In addition, a non-linear association was observed between eGFR and the likelihood of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. The inflection point of eGFR was found to be 111.962 ml/min per 1.73 m2, with HRs of 1.003 (95% CI 1.001, 1.005) on the left side of the point and 1.019 (95% CI 1.015, 1.022) on the right side. Our robust results were supported by competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and sensitivity analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings of our investigation indicate a favorable and non-linear correlation between eGFR and the restoration of normoglycemia in Chinese individuals with IFG. Specifically, a reduction in renal function at an early stage in these patients may considerably diminish the likelihood of attaining normoglycemia.

Non-linear relationship between pulse pressure and the risk of prediabetes: a 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

Previous research has established a strong link between pulse pressure (PP) and diabetes, but there is limited investigation into the connection between PP and prediabetes. This study aims to explore the potential association between PP and prediabetes. A retrospective cohort study encompassed 202,320 Chinese adults who underwent health check-ups between 2010 and 2016. Prediabetes was defined in accordance with the World Health Organization criteria, indicating impaired fasting glucose, with fasting blood glucose levels ranging from 6.1 to 6.9 mmol/L. To assess the PP-prediabetes relationship, we employed Cox regression analysis, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis. Cox proportional hazards regression, coupled with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting, helped elucidate the non-linear PP-prediabetes relationship. Upon adjusting for confounding factors, we observed a positive association between PP and prediabetes (HR 1.15, 95% CI 1.11-1.18, P < 0.0001). Participants in the fourth quartile (PP ≥ 51 mmHg) had a 73% higher likelihood of developing prediabetes compared to those in the first quartile (PP < 36 mmHg) (HR 1.73, 95% CI 1.52-1.97, P < 0.0001). Moreover, the relationship between PP and prediabetes was non-linear. A two-piece Cox proportional hazards regression model identified an inflection point at 40 mmHg for PP (P for log-likelihood ratio test = 0.047). Sensitivity and subgroup analyses corroborated the robustness of our findings. Our study reveals a non-linear correlation between PP and prediabetes, signifying an increased risk of prediabetes when PP levels exceed 40 mmHg. This discovery has significant clinical implications for early prediabetes prevention and intervention, ultimately contributing to improved patient outcomes and quality of life.

Elevated triglyceride-glucose-body mass index associated with lower probability of future regression to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes: a 5-year cohort study

Objective

Despite the clear association of TyG-BMI with prediabetes and the progression of diabetes, no study to date has examined the relationship between TyG-BMI and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia.

Methods

25,279 participants with prediabetes who had physical examinations between 2010 and 2016 were enrolled in this retrospective cohort study. The relationship between baseline TyG-BMI and regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes was examined using the Cox proportional hazards regression model in this study. Additionally, the nonlinear association between TyG-BMI and the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia was investigated using the Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function. Competing risk multivariate Cox regression analysis was conducted, with progression to diabetes as a competing risk for prediabetes reversal to normoglycemia. Furthermore, subgroup analyses and a series of sensitivity analyses were performed.

Results

After adjusting for covariates, the results showed that TyG-BMI was negatively associated with the probability of returning to normoglycemia (per 10 units, HR=0.970, 95% CI: 0.965, 0.976). They were also nonlinearly related, with an inflection point for TyG-BMI of 196.46. The effect size (HR) for TyG-BMI to the right of the inflection point (TyG-BMI ≥ 196.46) and the probability of return of normoglycemia was 0.962 (95% CI: 0.954, 0.970, per 10 units). In addition, the competing risks model found a negative correlation between TyG-BMI and return to normoglycemia (SHR=0.97, 95% CI: 0.96-0.98). Sensitivity analyses demonstrated the robustness of our results.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated a negative and nonlinear relationship between TyG-BMI and return to normoglycemia in Chinese adults with prediabetes. Through active intervention, the combined reduction of BMI and TG levels to bring TyG-BMI down to 196.46 could significantly increase the probability of returning to normoglycemia.

Normal triglyceride concentration and the risk of diabetes mellitus type 2 in the general population of China

Introduction

Hypertriglyceridemia and its derivatives are independent predictors of diabetes mellitus type 2 (T2DM). However, the relationship between triglyceride concentrations within the normal range and the incidence of T2DM remains to be clarified. This study investigated the potential relationship between variations in plasma triglyceride levels within the normal range and T2DM onset using data from a longitudinal study of health and retirement in China.

Methods

Between, 2010 and, 2016, we conducted a retrospective cohort study involving 36,441 individuals with normal triglyceride levels. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression model, we examined the connection between normal triglyceride levels and T2DM incidence. We employed this method with smooth curve fitting to investigate potential nonlinear associations. Subgroup analyses were performed based on age, sex, body mass index, smoking and drinking status, hypertension, and family history of diabetes.

Results

A significant linear relationship was observed between normal triglyceride levels and the incidence of T2DM. The hazard ratio for T2DM in individuals with normal triglycerides was 1.81 (95% confidence interval: 1.39, 2.36); P<0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis further demonstrated a prospective association between the higher tertiles of normal triglyceride levels and the development of T2DM (P<0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed a stronger positive correlation between normal triglyceride levels in females and the risk of T2DM.

Discussion

An increase in triglyceride levels within the normal range is related to a continuous increase in the incidence of T2DM in the general population. These findings show that almost everyone can benefit from reducing triglyceride levels, further emphasizing the importance of lifestyle changes in the general population.

Association between blood urea nitrogen levels and the risk of diabetes mellitus in Chinese adults: secondary analysis based on a multicenter, retrospective cohort study

Background

As one of the recognized indicators of kidney function, blood urea nitrogen (BUN) is a key marker of metabolic diseases and other diseases. Currently, data on the relationship of BUN levels with the risk of diabetes mellitus (DM) in Chinese adults are sparse. This study aimed to investigate the correlation between BUN levels and DM risk in Chinese adults.

Data and methods

This study is a secondary analysis of a multicenter, retrospective cohort study with data from the Chinese health screening program in the DATADRYAD database. From 2010 to 2016, health screening was conducted on 211833 Chinese adults over the age of 20 in 32 locations and 11 cities in China, and there was no DM at baseline. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis assessed an independent correlation between baseline BUN levels and the risk of developing DM. The Generalized Sum Model (GAM) and smoothed curve fitting methods were used to explore the nonlinear relationship. In addition, subgroup analyses were performed to assess the consistency of correlations between different subgroups and further validate the reliability of the results.

Results

After adjusting for potential confounding factors (age, sex, etc.), BUN levels were positively correlated with the occurrence of DM (HR=1.11, 95% CI (1.00~1.23)). BUN level had a nonlinear relationship with DM risk, and its inflection point was 4.2mmol/L. When BUN was greater than 4.2mmol/L, BUN was positively correlated with DM, and the risk of DM increased by 7% for every 1 mmol/L increase in BUN (P<0.05). Subgroup analysis showed that a more significant correlation between BUN levels and DM was observed in terms of sex, BMI, systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), total cholesterol (TC), triglycerides (TG), low-density lipoprotein (LDL), alaninetransaminase (ALT), aspartate transaminase (AST), creatinine (Cr) and smoking status (interaction P<0.05).

Conclusion

High levels of BUN are associated with an increased risk of DM in Chinese adults, suggesting that active control of BUN levels may play an important role in reducing the risk of DM in Chinese adults.

The Potential of the Adzuki Bean (Vigna angularis) and Its Bioactive Compounds in Managing Type 2 Diabetes and Glucose Metabolism: A Narrative Review

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) is a common noncommunicable disease. In the United States alone, 37 million Americans had diabetes in 2017. The adzuki bean (Vigna angularis), a legume, has been reported to possess antidiabetic benefits. However, the extent and specific mechanisms through which adzuki bean consumption may contribute to T2D prevention and management remain unclear. Therefore, the aim of this narrative review is to analyze current evidence supporting the utilization of adzuki beans in the diet as a strategy for preventing and managing T2D. Animal studies have demonstrated a positive impact of adzuki beans on managing T2D. However, supporting data from humans are limited. Conversely, the potential of adzuki bean consumption in preventing T2D via modulating two T2D risk factors (obesity and dyslipidemia) also lacks conclusive evidence. Animal studies have suggested an inconsistent and even contradictory relationship between adzuki bean consumption and the management of obesity and dyslipidemia, in which both positive and negative relationships are reported. In sum, based on the existing scientific literature, this review found that the effects of adzuki bean consumption on preventing and managing T2D in humans remain undetermined. Consequently, human randomized controlled trials are needed to elucidate the potential benefits of the adzuki bean and its bioactive components in the prevention and management of T2D.

Nonlinear relationship between untraditional lipid parameters and the risk of prediabetes: a large retrospective study based on Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

Abnormal lipid metabolism poses a risk for prediabetes. However, research on lipid parameters used to predict the risk of prediabetes is scarce, and the significance of traditional and untraditional lipid parameters remains unexplored in prediabetes. This study aimed to comprehensively evaluate the association between 12 lipid parameters and prediabetes and their diagnostic value.

METHODS

This cross-sectional study included data from 100,309 Chinese adults with normal baseline blood glucose levels. New onset of prediabetes was the outcome of concern. Untraditional lipid parameters were derived from traditional lipid parameters. Multivariate logistic regression and smooth curve fitting were used to examine the nonlinear relationship between lipid parameters and prediabetes. A two-piecewise linear regression model was used to identify the critical points of lipid parameters influencing the risk of prediabetes. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic curve estimated the predictive value of the lipid parameters.

RESULTS

A total of 12,352 participants (12.31%) were newly diagnosed with prediabetes. Following adjustments for confounding covariables, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol were negatively correlated with prediabetes risk. Conversely, total cholesterol, triglyceride (TG), lipoprotein combine index (LCI), atherogenic index of plasma (AIP), non-HDL-C, atherogenic coefficient, Castelli's index-I, remnant cholesterol (RC), and RC/HDL-C ratio displayed positive correlations. In younger adults, females, individuals with a family history of diabetes, and non-obese individuals, LCI, TG, and AIP exhibited higher predictive values for the onset of prediabetes compared to other lipid profiles.

CONCLUSION

Nonlinear associations were observed between untraditional lipid parameters and the risk of prediabetes. The predictive value of untraditional lipid parameters for prediabetes surpassed that of traditional lipid parameters, with LCI emerging as the most effective predictor for prediabetes.

Evaluation of the role of atherogenic index of plasma in the reversion from Prediabetes to normoglycemia or progression to Diabetes: a multi-center retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Atherosclerosis is closely linked with glucose metabolism. We aimed to investigate the role of the atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) in the reversal of prediabetes to normal blood glucose levels or its progression to diabetes.

METHODS

This multi-center retrospective cohort study included 15,421 prediabetic participants from 32 regions across 11 cities in China, under the aegis of the Rich Healthcare Group's affiliated medical examination institutions. Throughout the follow-up period, we monitored changes in the glycemic status of these participants, including reversal to normal fasting glucose (NFG), persistence in the prediabetic state, or progression to diabetes. Segmented regression, stratified analysis, and restricted cubic spline (RCS) were performed based on the multivariable Cox regression model to evaluate the association between AIP and the reversal of prediabetes to NFG or progression to diabetes.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up period of 2.9 years, we recorded 6,481 individuals (42.03%) reverting from prediabetes to NFG, and 2,424 individuals (15.72%) progressing to diabetes. After adjusting for confounders, AIP showed a positive correlation with the progression from prediabetes to diabetes [(Hazard ratio (HR) 1.42, 95% confidence interval (CI):1.24-1.64)] and a negative correlation with the reversion from prediabetes to NFG (HR 0.89, 95%CI:0.81-0.98); further RCS demonstrated a nonlinear relationship between AIP and the reversion from prediabetes to NFG/progression to diabetes, identifying a turning point of 0.04 for reversion to NFG and 0.17 for progression to diabetes. In addition, we observed significant differences in the association between AIP and reversion from prediabetes to NFG/progression to diabetes across age subgroups, specifically indicating that the risk associated with AIP for progression from prediabetes to diabetes was relatively higher in younger populations; likewise, a younger age within the adult group favored the reversion from prediabetes to NFG in relation to AIP.

CONCLUSION

Our study, for the first time, reveals a negative correlation between AIP and the reversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia and validates the crucial role of AIP in the risk assessment of prediabetes progression. Based on threshold analysis, therapeutically, keeping the AIP below 0.04 was of paramount importance for individuals with prediabetes aiming for reversion to NFG; preventatively, maintaining AIP below 0.17 was vital to reduce the risk of diabetes onset for those with prediabetes.

Association between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes: an analysis based on data from a retrospective cohort study

The available evidence on the connection between high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) levels and the reversion from prediabetes (Pre-DM) to normoglycemia is currently limited. The present research sought to examine the connection between HDL-C levels and the regression from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in a population of Chinese adults. This historical cohort study collected 15,420 Pre-DM patients in China who underwent health screening between 2010 and 2016. The present research used the Cox proportional hazards regression model to investigate the connection between HDL-C levels and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. The Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was employed to ascertain the nonlinear association between HDL-C and reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. Furthermore, a set of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were employed. Following the adjustment of covariates, the findings revealed a positive connection between HDL-C levels and the likelihood of reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia (HR 1.898, 95% CI 1.758-2.048, P < 0.001). Furthermore, there was a non-linear relationship between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in both genders, and the inflection point of HDL-C was 1.540 mmol/L in males and 1.620 mmol/L in females. We found a strong positive correlation between HDL-C and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia on the left of the inflection point (Male: HR 2.783, 95% CI 2.373-3.263; Female: HR 2.217, 95% CI 1.802-2.727). Our sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these findings. Subgroup analyses indicated that patients with SBP < 140 mmHg and ever smoker exhibited a more pronounced correlation between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia. In contrast, a less robust correlation was observed among patients with SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, current and never smokers. This study provides evidence of a positive and nonlinear association between HDL-C levels and the reversion from Pre-DM to normoglycemia in Chinese patients. Implementing intensified intervention measures to control the HDL-C levels of patients with Pre-DM around the inflection point may substantially enhance the likelihood of regression to normoglycemia.

Association of Obesity With Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Hospital-Based Unmatched Case-Control Study

Background The prevalence of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and obesity is alarmingly increasing with the accessibility of the modern lifestyle. This study aimed to assess the association of obesity with T2DM among the patients visiting the Medicine Department of Ayub Teaching Hospital, Abbottabad, Pakistan. Method This hospital-based, unmatched case-control study was conducted from March 2022 to September 2022. A total of 200 patients (age ≥ 18) (100 cases and 100 controls) were recruited. Those patients with a history of T2DM were selected as cases, and those without diabetes were selected as controls after taking informed written consent. Patients with BMI ≥ 25 were considered obese. Data were collected through a non-probability convenience sampling technique using a self-structured non-validated questionnaire. Data were organized and analyzed through IBM SPSS Statistics for Windows, version 26.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY). Results We found a significant positive association of obesity with T2DM with a crude odds ratio of 3.6 (95% CI: 2.0-6.6), a p-value of 0.000, and an adjusted odd ratio of 3.7 (95% CI: 1.9 - 7.1), with a p-value of 0.004 (adjusted for potential confounders, including gender, age group, stress, and status of physical activeness) using a logistic regression model. Conclusion It is concluded that obesity is strongly associated with developing T2DM and lack of physical activity, people over 45 years, and males with obesity have a higher chance of developing T2DM.

Predictive model for early detection of type 2 diabetes using patients' clinical symptoms, demographic features, and knowledge of diabetes

Background and Aims

With the global rise in type 2 diabetes, predictive modeling has become crucial for early detection, particularly in populations with low routine medical checkup profiles. This study aimed to develop a predictive model for type 2 diabetes using health check-up data focusing on clinical details, demographic features, biochemical markers, and diabetes knowledge.

Methods

Data from 444 Nigerian patients were collected and analysed. We used 80% of this data set for training, and the remaining 20% for testing. Multivariable penalized logistic regression was employed to predict the disease onset, incorporating waist-hip ratio (WHR), triglycerides (TG), catalase, and atherogenic indices of plasma (AIP).

Results

The predictive model demonstrated high accuracy, with an area under the curve of 99% (95% CI = 97%-100%) for the training set and 94% (95% CI = 89%-99%) for the test set. Notably, an increase in WHR (adjusted odds ratio [AOR] = 70.35; 95% CI = 10.04-493.1, p-value < 0.001) and elevated AIP (AOR = 4.55; 95% CI = 1.48-13.95, p-value = 0.008) levels were significantly associated with a higher risk of type 2 diabetes, while higher catalase levels (AOR = 0.33; 95% CI = 0.22-0.49, p < 0.001) correlated with a decreased risk. In contrast, TG levels (AOR = 1.04; 95% CI = 0.40-2.71, p-value = 0.94) were not associated with the disease.

Conclusion

This study emphasizes the importance of using distinct clinical and biochemical markers for early type 2 diabetes detection in Nigeria, reflecting global trends in diabetes modeling, and highlighting the need for context-specific methods. The development of a web application based on these results aims to facilitate the early identification of individuals at risk, potentially reducing health complications, and improving diabetes management strategies in diverse settings.

A nomogram model for predicting 5-year risk of prediabetes in Chinese adults

Early identification is crucial to effectively intervene in individuals at high risk of developing pre-diabetes. This study aimed to create a personalized nomogram to determine the 5-year risk of pre-diabetes among Chinese adults. This retrospective cohort study included 184,188 participants without prediabetes at baseline. Training cohorts (92,177) and validation cohorts (92,011) were randomly assigned (92,011). We compared five prediction models on the training cohorts: full cox proportional hazards model, stepwise cox proportional hazards model, multivariable fractional polynomials (MFP), machine learning, and least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) models. At the same time, we validated the above five models on the validation set. And we chose the LASSO model as the final risk prediction model for prediabetes. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's performance was evaluated in terms of its discriminative ability, clinical utility, and calibration using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve analysis, and calibration analysis on the training cohorts. Simultaneously, we also evaluated the above nomogram on the validation set. The 5-year incidence of prediabetes was 10.70% and 10.69% in the training and validation cohort, respectively. We developed a simple nomogram that predicted the risk of prediabetes by using the parameters of age, body mass index (BMI), fasting plasma glucose (FBG), triglycerides (TG), systolic blood pressure (SBP), and serum creatinine (Scr). The nomogram's area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.7341 (95% CI 0.7290-0.7392) for the training cohort and 0.7336 (95% CI 0.7285-0.7387) for the validation cohort, indicating good discriminative ability. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between the predicted prediabetes risk and the observed prediabetes risk. An analysis of the decision curve presented the clinical application of the nomogram, with alternative threshold probability spectrums being presented as well. A personalized prediabetes prediction nomogram was developed and validated among Chinese adults, identifying high-risk individuals. Doctors and others can easily and efficiently use our prediabetes prediction model when assessing prediabetes risk.

Association between non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in people with impaired fasting glucose: a 5-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

The relationship between the non-high-density lipoprotein to high-density lipoprotein ratio (non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio) and changes in glycemic status as well as the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) has been well established. However, there is a lack of evidence concerning the association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the reversal of normoglycemia in individuals with impaired fasting glucose (IFG). Therefore, this study aimed to examine the connection between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia among people with IFG.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study examined data collected from 15,524 non-selective participants with IFG at the Rich Healthcare Group in China between January 2010 and 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model was used to investigate the connection between the baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of reverting to normoglycemia. We were able to discover the non-linear association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia using a Cox proportional hazards regression model with cubical spline smoothing. We also performed several sensitivity and subgroup analyses. A competing risk multivariate Cox regression was utilized as well to examine the development to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of normoglycemic events.

RESULTS

In our study, a total of 15,524 individuals participated, with a mean age of 50.9 ± 13.5 years, and 64.7% were male. The average baseline non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was 2.9 ± 0.9. Over a median follow-up period of 2.9 years, we observed a reversion rate to normoglycemia of 41.8%. After adjusting for covariates, our findings revealed a negative association between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the likelihood of reverting to normoglycemia (HR = 0.71, 95% CI 0.69-0.74). Notably, we identified a non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and the probability of transitioning from IFG to normoglycemia. We found an inflection point at a non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio of 3.1, with HRs of 0.63 (95% CI 0.69, 0.74) on the left side and 0.78 (95% CI 0.74, 0.83) on the right side of the point. Competing risks multivariate Cox's regression, sensitivity analysis, and subgroup analysis consistently supported our robust results.

CONCLUSION

Our study has revealed a negative and non-linear relationship between the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio and reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese people with IFG. Specifically, when the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio was below 3.1, a significant and negative association with reversion to normoglycemia was observed. Furthermore, keeping the non-HDL-c/HDL-c ratio below 3.1 significantly elevated the probability of returning to normoglycemia.

Plasma microRNA Profiling in Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus: A Pilot Study

Type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2D) is a chronic metabolic disease characterized by insulin resistance and β-cell dysfunction and leading to many micro- and macrovascular complications. In this study we analyzed the circulating miRNA expression profiles in plasma samples from 44 patients with T2D and 22 healthy individuals using next generation sequencing and detected 229 differentially expressed miRNAs. An increased level of miR-5588-5p, miR-125b-2-3p, miR-1284, and a reduced level of miR-496 in T2D patients was verified. We also compared the expression landscapes in the same group of patients depending on body mass index and identified differential expression of miR-144-3p and miR-99a-5p in obese individuals. Identification and functional analysis of putative target genes was performed for miR-5588-5p, miR-125b-2-3p, miR-1284, and miR-496, showing chromatin modifying enzymes and apoptotic genes being among the significantly enriched pathways.

The association between creatinine to body weight ratio and the risk of progression to diabetes from pre-diabetes: a 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

OBJECTIVE

Evidence on the association between the creatinine to body weight (Cre/BW) ratio and the risk of pre-diabetes to diabetes development remains limited. Our study aimed to examine the association between the Cre/BW ratio and incident diabetes in pre-diabetic patients.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 24,506 pre-diabetic participants who underwent health checks from 2010 to 2016 in China. We used the Cox proportional-hazards regression model to explore the relationship between baseline Cre/BW ratio and diabetes risk in pre-diabetes patients. Using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline function and smooth curve fitting (cubical spline smoothing), we were able to determine the non-linear relationship between them. We also carried out a number of subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

The age range of the participants included in this study was 20-99 years, with a majority of 16,232 individuals (66.24%) being men. The mean baseline Cre/BW ratio was 1.06 (SD 0.22) umol/L/kg. 2512 (10.25%) participants received a diabetes final diagnosis over a median follow-up period of 2.89 years. After adjusting for covariates, the Cre/BW ratio had a negative association with incident diabetes in participants with pre-diabetes, per umol/L/kg increase in Cre/BM ratio was accompanied by a 55.5% decrease in diabetes risk (HR = 0.445, 95%CI 0.361 to 0.548). The Cre/BW ratio and risk of diabetes had a non-linear connection, with 1.072 umol/L/kg serving as the ratio's inflection point. The HR were 0.294 (95%CI:0.208-0.414) and 0.712 (95%CI:0.492-1.029), respectively, on the left and right sides of the inflection point. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results. Subgroup analyses indicated that the Cre/BW ratio was strongly associated with the risk of diabetes among participants who were younger than 50 years, as well as among those with diastolic blood pressure (DBP) < 90 mmHg and triglyceride (TG) < 1.7 mmol/L. In contrast, among participants 50 years of age or older, those with DBP ≥ 90 mmHg, and those with TG ≥ 1.7 mmol/L, the relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes was attenuated.

CONCLUSION

This study demonstrates a negative, non-linear relationship between the Cre/BW ratio and the risk of diabetes among the Chinese population with pre-diabetes. From a therapeutic standpoint, it is clinically meaningful to maintain the Cre/BW ratio levels above the inflection point of 1.072 umol/L/kg.

Triglyceride to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is associated with regression to normoglycemia from prediabetes in adults: a 5-year cohort study in China

OBJECTIVE

The current body of evidence on the association between the ratio of triglycerides to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (TG/HDL-c) and the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemia remains limited. The aim of this study is to investigate the association between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia in patients with prediabetes.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 15,107 individuals with prediabetes from 32 Chinese districts and 11 cities who completed health checks from 2010 to 2016. The Cox proportional-hazards regression model examined baseline TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting determined the non-linear connection between TG/HDL-c and reversion to normoglycemia. We also ran sensitivity and subgroup analysis. By characterizing progression to diabetes as a competing risk for the reversal of prediabetes to normoglycemic event, a multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression model with competing risks was created.

RESULTS

Upon adjusting for covariates, the findings indicate a negative association between TG/HDL-c and the likelihood of returning to normoglycemia (HR = 0.869, 95%CI:0.842-0.897). Additionally, a non-linear relationship between TG/HDL-c and the probability of reversion to normoglycemia was observed, with an inflection point of 1.675. The HR on the left side of the inflection point was 0.748 (95%CI:0.699, 0.801). The robustness of our results was confirmed through competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and a series of sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSION

The present study reveals a negative and non-linear correlation between TG/HDL-c and the reversion to normoglycemia among Chinese individuals with prediabetes. The findings of this study are anticipated to serve as a valuable resource for clinicians in managing dyslipidemia in prediabetic patients. Interventions aimed at reducing the TG/HDL-c ratio through the reduction of TG or elevation of HDL-c levels may substantially enhance the likelihood of achieving normoglycemia in individuals with prediabetes.

Alanine aminotransferase to high- density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio is positively correlated with the occurrence of diabetes in the Chinese population: a population-based cohort study

Objective

Both alanine aminotransferase (ALT) and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) are closely related to glucose homeostasis in the body, and the main objective of this study was to investigate the association between ALT to HDL-C ratio (ALT/HDL-C ratio) and the risk of diabetes in a Chinese population.

Methods

The current study included 116,251 participants who underwent a healthy physical examination, and the study endpoint was defined as a diagnosis of new-onset diabetes. Multivariate Cox regression models and receiver operator characteristic curves were used to assess the association of the ALT/HDL-C ratio with diabetes onset.

Results

During the average observation period of 3.10 years, a total of 2,674 (2.3%) participants were diagnosed with new-onset diabetes, including 1,883 (1.62%) males and 791 (0.68%) females. After fully adjusting for confounding factors, we found a significant positive association between the ALT/HDL-C ratio and the risk of diabetes [Hazard ratios 1.06, 95% confidence intervals: 1.05, 1.06], and this association was significantly higher in males, obese individuals [body mass index ≥ 28 kg/m2] and individuals aged < 60 years (All P interaction < 0.05). In addition, the ALT/HDL-C ratio was significantly better than its components ALT and HDL-C in predicting diabetes in the Chinese population.

Conclusion

There was a positive relationship between ALT/HDL-C ratio and diabetes risk in the Chinese population, and this relationship was significantly stronger in males, obese individuals, and individuals younger than 60 years old.

Inverse association between adult height and diabetes risk in a cohort study of Chinese population

Recent studies linking adult height to diabetes risk remain controversial and few were from Asia. This study, therefore, aimed to explore the association of adult height with diabetes risk in a Chinese population. This retrospective cohort study was a secondary analysis of data from the DATADRYAD website, involving 211,172 non-diabetic individuals aged ≥ 20 years from the health screening program in China. Cox regression models were employed to evaluate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of diabetes related to height. During an average 3.12-year follow-up, 4156 (1.97%) subjects reported developing diabetes. After adjusting for potential confounding factors, an inverse association of height with diabetes risk was observed among men and women [HR per 10 cm (95% CI), 0.78 (0.73-0.83) and 0.76 (0.68-0.86), respectively]. Moreover, subgroup analyses indicated the inverse association was only detected in individuals with aged < 70 years, fasting plasma glucose (FPG) < 6.1 mmol/L, and men with body mass index (BMI) < 28 kg/m2. In brief, height is inversely associated with diabetes risk in Chinese adults. Specifically, this association appears to be more pronounced in individuals with aged < 70 years, FPG < 6.1 mmol/L, and men with BMI < 28 kg/m2.

Differential Impact of Obesity on the Risk of Diabetes Development in Two Age Groups: Analysis from the National Health Screening Program

BACKGRUOUND

The effect of obesity on the development of type 2 diabetes mellitus (DM) in different age groups remains unclear. We assessed the impact of obesity on the development of DM for two age groups (40-year-old, middle age; 66-year-old, older adults) in the Korean population.

METHODS

We analyzed Korean National Health Insurance Service data of 4,145,321 Korean adults with 40- and 66-year-old age without DM, between 2009 and 2014. Participants were followed up until 2017 or until the diagnosis of DM. We assessed the risk of DM based on the body mass index and waist circumference of the participants. Multiple confounding factors were adjusted.

RESULTS

The median follow-up duration was 5.6 years. The association of general and abdominal obesity with the risk of DM development was stronger in the 40-year-old group (general obesity: hazard ratio [HR], 3.566, 95% confidence interval [CI], 3.512 to 3.622; abdominal obesity: HR, 3.231; 95% CI, 3.184 to 3.278) than in the 66-year-old group (general obesity: HR, 1.739; 95% CI, 1.719 to 1.759; abdominal obesity: HR, 1.799; 95% CI, 1.778 to 1.820). In the 66-year-old group, abdominal obesity had a stronger association with the development of DM as compared to general obesity. In the 40-year-old group, general obesity had a stronger association with the risk of DM development than abdominal obesity.

CONCLUSION

The influence of general and abdominal obesity on the development of DM differed according to age. In older adults, abdominal obesity had a stronger association with DM development than general obesity.

Body Mass Index is Associated with blood pressure and vital capacity in medical students

BACKGROUND

The widely reported associations between body mass index (BMI) and various chronic diseases, such as hypertension and asthma, have garnered significant attention. Nonetheless, there remains a dearth of research dedicated to understanding the health impacts of medical school on the students, who experience considerable academic pressure. In that context, this study was driven by the goal of investigating the intricate interplay between BMI, blood pressure (BP), and vital capacity among medical students.

METHODS

This study included a cohort of 843 medical students enrolled at Southern Medical University who were selected through random cluster sampling. Within this cohort, measurements of height, weight, BP, and vital capacity were taken. Subsequently, both BMI and vital capacity index (VCI) were calculated for each participant. By categorizing the subjects into four groups according to BMI classifications, a comprehensive analysis that included correlation assessments and binomial logistic regression was conducted.

RESULTS

Within the participant pool, 9.4% and 3.8% of participants were classified as overweight and obese, respectively. Additionally, the prevalence of prehypertension, hypertension, and poor VCI was 18.1%, 2.7%, and 13.5%, respectively. Notably, male students exhibited a higher prevalence of the aforementioned health issues than their female counterparts. Correlation analysis revealed that BMI displayed positive associations with systolic blood pressure (SBP), diastolic blood pressure (DBP), and vital capacity (r = 0.372, 0.257, 0.428; P < 0.001). However, an inverse correlation emerged between BMI and VCI (r = -0.284, P < 0.001). Further analysis revealed that overweight and obese individuals faced an elevated risk of high blood pressure ([OR 2.05, 95% CI 1.15-3.67] and [OR 5.44, 95% CI 2.28-13.02], respectively) compared to their normal-weight counterparts. Moreover, these groups also exhibited a higher risk of poor VCI ([OR 5.25, 95% CI 3.04-9.06] and [OR 15.61, 95% CI 6.81-35.81], respectively), while underweight subjects experienced a reduced risk ([OR 0.19, 95% CI 0.07-0.52]).

CONCLUSIONS

BMI demonstrated a notably strong positive correlation with both BP and vital capacity and a negative correlation with VCI. Therefore, for medical students as well as the daily health care of patients, weight control is recommended to better combat obesity-related diseases, for example, cardiopulmonary diseases, gout and diabetes.

Ethnicity, Age, and Gender Differences in Glycated Hemoglobin (HbA1c) Levels among Adults in Northern and Eastern Sudan: A Community-Based Cross-Sectional Study

BACKGROUND

The level of association between glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) level and ethnicity, age, and gender is not yet settled. This study aimed to investigate the association between ethnicity, age, and gender and HbA1c level among adults who were known not to have diabetes mellitus in northern and eastern Sudan.

METHODS

A comparative community-based cross-sectional study was conducted. Sociodemographic and clinical characteristics data were collected. HbA1c levels were measured, and multiple linear regression analysis was performed.

RESULTS

A total of 898 adults (363 in northern Sudan and 535 in eastern Sudan) were included; 349 (38.9%) were males. The HbA1c level was significantly higher in eastern Sudan, and there was no significant difference in HbA1c levels between genders. In multiple linear regression, for adults with HbA1c <6.5%, ethnicity and BMI were associated with HbA1c, but age and gender were not associated with HbA1c. In northern Sudan, age was positively associated with HbA1c, and there was no association between gender, BMI, and HbA1c in adults with HbA1c <6.5%. In eastern Sudan, BMI was positively associated with HbA1c, and there was no significant association between age and gender and HbA1c level in adults with HbA1c <6.5%.

CONCLUSION

HbA1c levels are influenced by ethnicity and age but not by gender.

The Use of Digital Telehealth for the Self-Management of Type 2 Diabetes Patients in Hinds County, Mississippi: A Pilot Study

Self-management is crucial for the management of type 2 diabetes. Remote patient monitoring via telehealth may enhance self-management and control of diabetes. A three-arm randomized controlled trial involving 90 participants randomized into two intervention groups and one control group was conducted. The purpose of this study is to test whether the use of a mobile phone-based app, with or without telehealth counseling, could improve HbA1c level, self-management, and health-related quality of life compared with usual care. The two intervention groups received a mobile phone with a self-management app. One intervention group additionally received telehealth counseling delivered by a diabetes specialist nurse for 6 months. All three groups continued to receive the usual care from their provider. The primary outcome is a reduction in HbA1c level. Secondary outcomes are self-management, health-related quality of life, depressive symptoms, and lifestyle changes. Data were analyzed using univariate and multivariate (descriptive, t-test, MANOVA) methods. There was a significant reduction in the HbA1c levels of participants after 3 and 6 months. There was also a significant difference in HbA1c levels between the control and two intervention groups. Pre- and posteducation surveys for intervention group 2 showed an improvement in the understanding of type 2 diabetes risk factors, diabetes, and self-management. Digital telehealth demonstrated considerable potential for reducing blood sugar levels, enhancing self-management, and improving the quality of life of type 2 diabetic patients. The addition of telehealth education and counseling further improved the positive outcomes.

Predictive performance of triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) to identify glucose status conversion: a 5-year longitudinal cohort study in Chinese pre-diabetes people

OBJECTIVE

Triglyceride glucose index (TyG index) has been recommended as an alternative indicator of insulin resistance. However, the association between TyG and regression from prediabetes to normoglycemia remains to be elucidated.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study involved 25,248 subjects with prediabetes at baseline conducted from 2010 to 2016. A Cox proportional hazard regression model was designed to evaluate the role of TyG in identifying people at converting from prediabetes to normoglycemia. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was used to dig out the nonlinear relationship between them. Detailed evaluations for TyG were also performed using sensitivity and subgroup analyse.

RESULTS

Among the included prediabetes subjects (n = 25,248), the mean age was 49.27 ± 13.84 years old, and 16,701 (66.15%) were male. The mean TyG was 8.83 ± 0.60. The median follow-up time was 2.96 ± 0.90 years. 11,499 (45.54%) individuals had a final diagnosis of normoglycemia. After adjusting for covariates, TyG was negatively affecting the results of glucose status conversion in prediabetes people (HR 0.895, 95% CI 0.863, 0.928). There was a nonlinear connection between TyG and normoglycemia in prediabetes people, and the inflection point was 8.88. The effect sizes (HR) on the left and right sides of the inflection point were 0.99 (0.93, 1.05) and 0.79 (0.74, 0.85), respectively. Sensitivity analysis confirmed the robustness of these results. Subgroup analysis showed that TyG was more strongly associated with incident glucose status conversion in male, BMI ≥ 25. In contrast, there was a weaker relationship in those with female, BMI < 25.

CONCLUSION

Based on sample of subjects evaluated between 2010 and 2016, TyG index appears to be a promising marker for predicting normoglycemic conversion among prediabetes people in China. This study demonstrates a negative and non-linear association between TyG and glucose status conversion from prediabetes to normoglycemia. TyG is strongly related to glucose status conversion when TyG is above 8.88. From a therapeutic point of view, it is meaningful to maintain TyG levels within the inflection point to 8.88.

Association between estimated pulse wave velocity and risk of diabetes: A large sample size cohort study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Estimated pulse wave velocity (ePWV) measurements have good agreement with PWV measurements. However, the relationship between ePWV and the risk of new-onset diabetes remains unclear. Therefore, this study aimed to investigate whether ePWV was associated with new-onset diabetes.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Based on a secondary analysis of the Chinese Rich Health Care Group's cohort study, 211,809 participants who met the criteria were enrolled and divided into four groups based on the ePWV quartiles. Diabetes events are of interest as a result of the study. Over a mean follow-up of 3.12 years, 3000 male (1.41%) and 1173 female (0.55%) patients were diagnosed with new-onset diabetes. The cumulative incidence curves based on quartile subgroups showed that the Q4 group had a significantly higher overall incidence of diabetes than the other subgroups. A multivariate Cox regression analysis showed that ePWV was an independent predictor of new-onset diabetes (hazard ratio, 1.233; 95% confidence interval, 1.198-1.269; P < 0.001). The receiver operating characteristic curve showed that the predictive value was higher than for age and blood pressure. The ePWV was treated as a continuous variable using MaxStat, which identified that the best cut-off point for diabetes risk was 8.47 m/s. A stratified analysis showed that the association between ePWV and the risk of diabetes remained significant in multiple strata.

CONCLUSIONS

An elevated ePWV was independently associated with an increased risk of developing diabetes in Chinese adults. Thus, ePWV may be a reliable indicator of the risk of early diabetes.

The Prevalence of Metabolically Unhealthy Normal Weight and Its Influence on the Risk of Diabetes

CONTEXT

Diabetes is a major health problem and metabolically unhealthy is an important risk factor.

OBJECTIVE

To conduct the first nationally representative study on epidemiological data of metabolically unhealthy normal weight (MUNW) focused only on nondiabetic subjects and determine the predictive effect on diabetes in China.

METHODS

A longitudinal study was conducted using data from the Rich Healthcare Group in China. Metabolic status was determined by the revised National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria, and individuals with 2 or more criteria were categorized as MUNW and diagnosed with metabolic syndrome (MetS) if they met 3 or more.

RESULTS

Of a total of 63 830 nondiabetic normal-weight individuals, 8935 (14.0%) were classified as MUNW and 1916 (3.00%) were diagnosed with MetS. After adjusting for potential confounders, individuals with MUNW had a greater diabetes risk (4.234, 95% CI 3.089-5.803) than those without MUNW during an average of 3.10 years of follow-up. Also, the multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios for developing diabetes were 3.069 (95% CI 1.790-5.263), 7.990 (95% CI 4.668-13.677), and 11.950 (95% CI 6.618-21.579) for participants with 1, 2, and 3 or more components, respectively, compared with those without any components. Further analyses suggested that the number of MetS components present is associated with the risk of diabetes, especially in metabolically unhealthy normal-weight young male adults. Multivariable-adjusted hazard ratios (95% CI) for incident diabetes among individuals with 1, 2, and at least 3 components were 4.45 (1.45-13.72), 9.82 (3.05-31.64), and 15.13 (3.70-61.84) for participants aged ≤44 years, and 3.55 (1.81-6.97), 8.52 (4.34-16.73), and 13.69 (6.51-28.77) for male participants, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of MUNW is 14% in Chinese normal-weight nondiabetic individuals, and active intervention is necessary for this category of people. The presence of MUNW significantly increases the risk of diabetes, and the risk of diabetes is associated with the number of MetS components present in the patient.

Temporal trends in obesity defined by the relative fat mass (RFM) index among adults in the United States from 1999 to 2020: a population-based study

OBJECTIVES

The body mass index (BMI) largely underestimates excess body fat, suggesting that the prevalence of obesity could be underestimated. Biologically, women are known to have higher body fat than men. This study aimed to compare the temporal trends in general obesity by sex, ethnicity and age among adults in the USA using the relative fat mass (RFM), a validated surrogate for whole-body fat percentage and BMI.

DESIGN

Population-based study.

SETTING

US National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey, from 1999-2000 to 2017-March 2020.

PARTICIPANTS

A representative sample of adults 20-79 years in the USA.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Age-adjusted prevalence of general obesity. RFM-defined obesity was diagnosed using validated cut-offs to predict all-cause mortality: RFM≥40% for women and ≥30% for men. BMI-defined obesity was diagnosed using a cut-off of 30 kg/m2.

RESULTS

Analysis included data from 47 667 adults. Among women, RFM-defined obesity prevalence was 64.7% (95% CI 62.1% to 67.3%) in 2017-2020, a linear increase of 13.9 percentage points (95% CI 9.0% to 18.9%; p<0.001) relative to 1999-2000. In contrast, the prevalence of BMI-defined obesity was 42.2% (95% CI 39.4% to 45.0%) in 2017-2020. Among men, the corresponding RFM-defined obesity prevalence was 45.8% (95% CI 42.0% to 49.7%), a linear increase of 12.0 percentage points (95% CI 6.6% to 17.3%; p<0.001). In contrast, the prevalence of BMI-defined obesity was 42.0 (95% CI 37.8% to 46.3%). The highest prevalence of RFM-defined obesity across years was observed in older adults (60-79 years) and Mexican Americans, in women and men. Conversely, the highest prevalence of BMI-defined obesity across years was observed in middle-age (40-59 years) and older adults, and in African American women.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of a surrogate for whole-body fat percentage revealed a much higher prevalence of general obesity in the USA from 1999 to 2020, particularly among women, than that estimated using BMI, and detected a disproportionate higher prevalence of general obesity in older adults and Mexican Americans.

Nonlinear relationship between atherogenic index of plasma and the risk of prediabetes: a retrospective study based on Chinese adults

BACKGROUND

The atherogenic index of plasma (AIP) can reflect the burden of atherosclerosis. Hyperglycemia is one of the leading causes of atherosclerosis. However, the relationship between AIP and prediabetes is rarely studied. Therefore, we aimed to explore the relationship between AIP and prediabetes.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study recruited 100,069 Chinese adults at the Rich Healthcare Group from 2010 to 2016. AIP was calculated according to Log10 (triglyceride/high-density lipoprotein cholesterol) formula. Cox regression method, sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses were used to examine the relationship between AIP and prediabetes. Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting was performed to explore the non-linearity between AIP and prediabetes. The two-piece Cox proportional hazards regression model was used to determine the inflection point of AIP on the risk of prediabetes.

RESULTS

After adjusting for confounding covariates, AIP was positively associated with prediabetes (HR: 1.41, 95%CI: 1.31-1.52, P < 0.0001). The two-piecewise Cox proportional hazards regression model discovered that the AIP's inflection point was 0.03 (P for log-likelihood ratio test < 0.001). AIP was positively associated with the risk of prediabetes when AIP ≤ 0.03 (HR: 1.90, 95%CI: 1.66-2.16, P < 0.0001). In contrast, When AIP > 0.03, their association was not significant (HR: 1.04, 95%CI: 0.91-1.19, P = 0.5528).

CONCLUSION

This study shows that AIP was positively and non-linearly associated with the risk of prediabetes after adjusting for other confounding factors. When AIP ≤ 0.03, AIP was positively associated with the risk of prediabetes.

G, Voise S, Soumya S, Vijayakumar K. Type 2 Diabetes and Precursors in Community Dwelling Asian Indian Adult Youth

Background

Recent studies have shown a high prevalence of Type-2-diabetes (T2DM) (24%) and prediabetes (18.1%) in Kerala. There is no community based study from South Asia regarding the prevalence of type 2 diabetes and its precursors in the young adult population. This community based study was done to find the prevalence of type 2 diabetes and its precursors in South Indian adult youth (18-30 years age) of Thiruvananthapuram district.

Research Design and Methods

Cross sectional design was used for this study. Multistage cluster sampling was used to enrol community dwelling youth of 18 to 30 years, residing in Thiruvananthapuram district. Six panchayath wards from rural and urban regions and 4 from coastal area were randomly selected as the primary sampling units. Trained staff nurses conducted the survey with the help of accredited-social-health-activists (ASHA). Socio-demographic data, anthropometry, clinical features of insulin resistance, and random capillary glucose (CG) and blood pressure were assessed and recorded. Oral Glucose tolerance test or HbA1c was done for participants with a CG ≥130 mg/dl for diagnosis of diabetes and prediabetes.

Results

A total of 1031 participants were included from the rural (n = 394), coastal (n = 269) and urban (n = 368) areas. Prevalence of hyperglycaemia i.e., T2DM and pre-diabetes was 0.48% (n = 5) and 2.4% (n = 25) respectively. Family-history of T2DM was present in 35.1% subjects. Prevalence of overweight, obesity and abdominal-obesity was 28.2%, 16.1% and 28.4% respectively. Clinical-features of insulin resistance (CFIR) were present in 27.1% subjects (acanthosis [17.7%], skin tags [1.7%] and PCOS phenotype [10.7%]). Among various anthropometric measurements and their derivatives, CFIR correlated best (r = 0.24, P < 0.01) with the product of BMI and the sum of abdominal circumference and hip circumference (Trivandrum Medical College [TMC] -adiposity-index), which is a newly proposed parameter. Hyperglycaemia was more common in males, did not correlate with waist hip ratio, and correlated best again with TMC-adiposity-index ((r = 0.13, P < 0.01).

Conclusions

The burden of insulin resistance in the young South Indian population, hitherto unknown in any community based study, has been studied for the first time. The prevalence of precursors of T2DM is high in this population. Early identification of 'at risk' individuals could provide a window of opportunity for preventing or delaying future diabetes and its long term complications. TMC adiposity index could become a valuable tool in the anthropometric assessment for predicting future T2DM.

Association between MetS-IR and prediabetes risk and sex differences: a cohort study based on the Chinese population

Objective

The metabolic score for insulin resistance (MetS-IR) is an emerging surrogate marker for insulin resistance (IR). This study aimed to investigate the association and sex differences between MetS-IR and prediabetes risk in a Chinese population.

Methods

This cohort study included 100,309 adults with normoglycemia at baseline and had followed longitudinally for 5 years, and with prediabetes, defined according to the 2018 American Diabetes Association (ADA) recommended diagnostic criteria, as the outcome of interest. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression and restricted cubic spline (RCS) regression models were used to assess the association between MetS-IR and prediabetes risk.

Results

During an observation period of 312,843 person-years, 7,735 (14.84%) men and 4,617 (9.57%) women with pre-diabetes onset were recorded. After fully adjusting for confounders, we found an independent and positive correlation between MetS-IR and the risk of prediabetes in the Chinese population, and the degree of correlation was stronger in women than in men (HR: 1.24 vs 1.16, P-interaction<0.05). Furthermore, using RCS nested in the Cox regression model, we found that there was a nonlinear correlation between MetS-IR and prediabetes risk in both sexes with an obvious saturation effect point, and when the MetS-IR was greater than the value of the saturation effect point, the risk of prediabetes was gradually leveling off. We further calculated the saturation effect points of MetS-IR used to evaluate the risk of prediabetes which in men was 42.82, and in women was 41.78.

Conclusion

In this large cohort study, our results supported that MetS-IR was independently and positively associated with the risk of prediabetes in the Chinese population, with the association being stronger in women than in men.

Association between serum creatinine and type 2 diabetes in the Chinese population: a retrospective cohort study

The relationship between serum creatinine and type 2 diabetes is limited. We aimed to investigate the association of baseline serum creatinine and new-onset type 2 diabetes in Chinese population. This retrospective cohort study was conducted using data from the health screening program in China. The population were divided into four groups based on serum creatinine levels, and the outcome of interest was the occurrence of a diabetic event. Cox proportional risk model was used to assess the independent effect of baseline serum creatinine level on future diabetes risk. Sensitivity and subgroup analysis were used to verify the reliability of the results. After an average follow-up of 3.12 years, among 201,298 individuals aged ≥ 20 years, 3389 patients developed diabetes. Compared with participants in quartile 2-4 (> 51.6umol/L for female, > 71.8umol/L for male,), a significantly higher risk of new-onset Type 2 Diabetes (OR, 1.15; 95%CI: 1.07-1.23) was found in those in quartile 1 (< 51.6umol/L for female, < 71.8umol/L for male). Moreover, Similar results were found in various subgroups stratified by age, BMI, TG, TC, FPG and family history group. Low serum creatinine is independently associated with increased risk of type 2 diabetes in Chinese adults. It was also stable in various subgroups stratified.

High triglyceride glucose-body mass index correlates with prehypertension and hypertension in east Asian populations: A population-based retrospective study

Background

There is compelling evidence for an association between triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and cardiovascular disease (CVD). However, data on the relationship between TyG-BMI and prehypertension (pre-HTN) or hypertension (HTN) remains scant. The aim of this study was to characterize the association between TyG-BMI and pre-HTN or HTN risk, and to assess the ability of TyG-BMI in predicting pre-HTN and HTN in Chinese and Japanese populations.

Methods

A total of 214,493 participants were included in this study. The participants were divided into 5 groups based on quintiles of TyG-BMI index at baseline (Q1, Q2, Q3 Q4 and Q5). Logistic regression analysis was then employed to assess the relationship between TyG-BMI quintiles and pre-HTN or HTN. Results were presented as odds ratios (ORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

Results

Our restricted cubic spline analysis showed that TyG-BMI was linearly correlated with both pre-HTN and HTN. Multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated that TyG-BMI was independently correlated with pre-HTN [ORs and 95% CIs were 1.011 (1.011-1.012), 1.021 (1.02-1.023), 1.012 (1.012-1.012), respectively] and HTN [ORs and 95% CIs were 1.021 (1.02-1.021), 1.031 (1.028-1.033), 1.021 (1.02-1.021), respectively] in Chinese or Japanese individuals or both groups after adjusting for all variates. In addition, subgroup analyses showed that the relationship between TyG-BMI and pre-HTN or HTN was independent of age, sex, BMI, country, smoking and drinking status. Across all study populations, the areas under the TyG-BMI curve predicting pre-HTN and HTN were 0.667 and 0.762, respectively, resulting in cut-off values of 189.7 and 193.7, respectively.

Conclusion

Our analyses showed that TyG-BMI was independently correlated with both pre-HTN and HTN. Besides, TyG-BMI showed superior predictive power in predicting pre-HTN and HTN compared to TyG or BMI alone.

Screening for Diabetes Mellitus in Patients with Hidradenitis Suppurativa—A Monocentric Study in Germany

Hidradenitis suppurativa (HS) is a chronic skin disease that is often associated with metabolic disorders. Diabetes mellitus (DM) is a frequent comorbidity in HS. There is currently no established screening for DM in HS patients. The aim of our study was to identify high-risk groups of HS patients that develop DM and to assess the frequency of different types of DM present in HS patients. To do so, we conducted a monocentric study in 99 patients with HS. All patients underwent detailed clinical and laboratory assessments, including the determination of glycated hemoglobin. Among the 20.2% of patients that presented with DM, type 2 was by far the most prevalent (19 out of 20 patients). Moreover, male gender, age, BMI, Hurley stage, modified Hidradenitis Suppurativa Score (mHSS), DLQI and hypertension all correlated with the glycated hemoglobin levels in the HS patients. In the multivariable analysis, Hurley stage III, older age, and higher BMI were significantly associated with DM. Specifically, patients at Hurley stage III were at a 5.3-fold increased risk of having DM type II compared to patients at earlier Hurley stages. Since many of the HS patients had not been diagnosed, our study reveals shortcomings in the screening for DM and suggest that this should be routinely performed in HS patients at high risk to avoid secondary complications.

Development and validation of a nomogram to estimate future risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus in adults with metabolic syndrome: prospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To develop and validate the 4-year risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus among adults with metabolic syndrome.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study of a large multicenter cohort with broad validation.

SETTINGS

The derivation cohort was from 32 sites in China and the geographic validation cohort was from Henan population-based cohort study.

RESULTS

568 (17.63) and 53 (18.67%) participants diagnosed diabetes during 4-year follow-up in the developing and validation cohort, separately. Age, gender, body mass index, diastolic blood pressure, fasting plasma glucose and alanine aminotransferase were included in the final model. The area under curve for the training and external validation cohort was 0.824 (95% CI, 0.759-0.889) and 0.732 (95% CI, 0.594-0.871), respectively. Both the internal and external validation have good calibration plot. A nomogram was constructed to predict the probability of diabetes during 4-year follow-up, and on online calculator is also available for a more convenient usage ( https://lucky0708.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/ ).

CONCLUSION

We developed a simple diagnostic model to predict 4-year risk of type 2 diabetes mellitus among adults with metabolic syndrome, which is also available as web-based tools ( https://lucky0708.shinyapps.io/dynnomapp/ ).

J-shape relationship between normal fasting plasma glucose and risk of type 2 diabetes in the general population: results from two cohort studies

BACKGROUND

Previous studies have reported that high fasting plasma glucose (FPG), even that within the normal range, is associated with the risk of type 2 diabetes (T2D). Nevertheless, these findings are limited to specific populations. Thus, studies in the general population are imperative.

METHODS

This study included two cohorts comprising 204 640 individuals who underwent physical examinations at the Rich Healthcare Group present at 32 locations in 11 cities of China from 2010 to 2016 and 15 464 individuals who underwent physical tests at the Murakami Memorial Hospital in Japan. Cox regression, restricted cubic spline (RCS), Kaplan-Meier (KM) curves, and subgroup analysis were used to determine the relationship between FPG and T2D. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves were used to evaluate the predictive power of FPG for T2D.

RESULTS

The mean age of the 220 104 participants (204 640 Chinese and 15 464 Japanese participants) was 41.8 years (41.7 years for the Chinese and 43.7 years for the Japanese participants). During follow-up, 2611 individuals developed T2D (2238 Chinese and 373 Japanese participants). The RCS demonstrated a J-shaped relationship between FPG and T2D risk, with inflexion points of 4.5 and 5.2 for the Chinese and Japanese populations, respectively. Multivariate-adjusted hazard ratio (HR) was 7.75 for FPG and T2D risk after the inflexion point (7.3 for Chinese and 21.13 for Japanese participants).

CONCLUSIONS

In general Chinese and Japanese populations, the normal baseline FPG range showed a J-shaped relationship with the risk of T2D. Baseline FPG levels help identify individuals at high risk of T2D and may enable early primary prevention to improve their outcomes.

Nomogram model and risk score to predict 5-year risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes in Chinese adults: Development and validation of a novel model

AIM

To develop a personalized nomogram and risk score to predict the 5-year risk of diabetes among Chinese adults with prediabetes.

METHODS

There were 26 018 participants with prediabetes at baseline in this retrospective cohort study. We randomly stratified participants into two cohorts for training (n = 12 947) and validation (n = 13 071). The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) model was applied to select the most significant variables among candidate variables. And we further established a stepwise Cox proportional hazards model to screen out the risk factors based on the predictors chosen by the LASSO model. We presented the model with a nomogram. The model's discrimination, clinical use and calibration were assessed using the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve, decision curve and calibration analysis. The associated risk factors were also categorized according to clinical cut-points or tertials to create the diabetes risk score model. Based on the total score, we divided it into four risk categories: low, middle, high and extremely high. We also evaluated our diabetes risk score model's performance.

RESULTS

We developed a simple nomogram and risk score that predicts the risk of prediabetes by using the variables age, triglyceride, fasting blood glucose, body mass index, alanine aminotransferase, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol and family history of diabetes. The area under the ROC curve of the nomogram was 0.8146 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8258) and 0.8147 (95% CI 0.8035-0.8259) for the training and validation cohort, respectively. The calibration curve showed a perfect fit between predicted and observed diabetes risks at 5 years. Decision curve analysis presented the clinical use of the nomogram, and there was a wide range of alternative threshold probability spectrums. A total risk score of 0 to 2.5, 3 to 4.5, 5 to 7.5 and 8 to 13.5 is associated with low, middle, high and extremely high diabetes risk status, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed and validated a personalized prediction nomogram and risk score for 5-year diabetes risk among Chinese adults with prediabetes, identifying individuals at a high risk of developing diabetes. Doctors and other healthcare professionals can easily and quickly use our diabetes score model to assess the diabetes risk status in patients with prediabetes. In addition, the nomogram model and risk score we developed need to be validated in a prospective cohort study.

Association of four lipid-derived indicators with the risk of developing type 2 diabetes: a Chinese population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Studies have reported that lipid-derived indicators are associated with type 2 diabetes (T2D) in various populations; however, it is unclear which lipid-derived indicators could effectively predict T2D risk. Therefore, this study aimed to explore the association between four lipid-derived indicators and T2D risk.

METHODS

This was a post-hoc analysis from a large cohort that included data from 114,700 Chinese individuals aged 20 years and older from 11 cities and 32 sites. The association between four lipid-derived indicators and T2D risk was determined using Kaplan-Meier (KM) survival curves, Cox regression, and restricted cubic spline analyses. This study used receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves for assessing the ability of four lipid-derived indicators to accurately predict the development of T2D during follow-up.

RESULTS

This study included a total of 114,700 participants, with a mean age of 44.15. These individuals were followed up for 3.1 years, of which 2668 participants developed T2D. ROC curve analysis showed that TyG was the most robust predictor of 3-year [aera under the ROC (AUC) = 0.77, 95% CI: 0.768, 0.772] and 5-year T2D risk (AUC = 0.763, 95% CI: 0.760, 0.765). In addition, sensitivity analysis showed an association between TyG and an increased incidence of T2D.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that TyG was a superior for predicting the risk of developing T2D in the general Chinese population.

Triglyceride glucose-body mass index and the risk of progression to diabetes from prediabetes: A 5-year cohort study in Chinese adults

Objective

Evidence regarding the relationship between the triglyceride glucose-body mass index (TyG-BMI) and the risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes remains limited. Our study aimed to investigate the relationship between them in patients with prediabetes.

Methods

In this retrospective cohort study, data were collected from 25,279 patients with prediabetes who received health checks between 2010 and 2016. We used a Cox proportional-hazards regression model to examine the relationship between TyG-BMI and diabetes risk. We used Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting to identify the nonlinear relationship between them. In addition, A series of sensitivity and subgroup analyses were also conducted.

Results

The mean age of the included participants was 49.29 ± 13.82 years old, and 1,6734 (66.2%) were male. The mean TyG-BMI was 219.47. The median follow-up time was 2.89 years, and 2,687 (10.63%) individuals had a final diagnosis of diabetes. After adjusting for covariates, TyG-BMI was positively linked with incident diabetes in patients with prediabetes (HR = 1.011, 95%CI 1.010-1.012). TyG-BMI had a non-linear connection with diabetes risk, and its inflection point was 231.66. Right and left effects sizes (HR) at the inflection point were 1.017 (95%CI:1.014-1.019) and 1.007 (95%CI:1.005-1.009), respectively. The sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of these results.

Conclusion

This study demonstrated a positive, non-linear relationship between the TyG-BMI and diabetes risk in Chinese patients with prediabetes. When the TyG-BMI was <231.66, there was a significant positive association between TyG-BMI and the risk of progression from prediabetes to diabetes. This study serves as a reference to promote clinical consultation and optimize diabetes prevention decisions for patients with prediabetes.

A nonlinear associations of metabolic score for insulin resistance index with incident diabetes: A retrospective Chinese cohort study

Background

The Metabolic score of insulin resistance (METS-IR) has recently been accepted as a reliable alternative to insulin resistance (IR), which was demonstrated to be consistent with the hyperinsulinemic-euglycemic clamp. Few pieces of research have focused on the relationship between METS-IR and diabetes in Chinese. The purpose of this research was to explore the effect of METS-IR on new-onset diabetes in a large multicenter Chinese study.

Methods

At the baseline of this retrospective longitudinal research, 116855 participators were included in the Chinese cohort study administered from 2010 to 2016. The subjects were stratified by quartiles of METS-IR. To assess the effect of METS-IR on incident diabetes, the Cox regression model was constructed in this study. Stratification analysis and interaction tests were applied to detect the potential effect of METS-IR and incident diabetes among multiple subgroups. To verify whether there was a dose-response relationship between METS-IR and diabetes, a smooth curve fitting was performed. In addition, to further determine the performance of METS -IR in predicting incident diabetes, the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was conducted.

Results

The average age of the research participators was 44.08 ± 12.93 years, and 62868 (53.8%) were men. METS-IR were significant relationship with new-onset diabetes after adjusting for possible variables (Hazard ratio [HR]: 1.077; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.073-1.082, P &lt; 0.0001), the onset risk for diabetes in Quartile 4 group was 6.261-fold higher than those in Quartile 1 group. Moreover, stratified analyses and interaction tests showed that interaction was detected in the subgroup of age, body mass index, systolic blood pressure, diastolic blood pressure, and fasting plasma glucose, there was no significant interaction between males and females. Furthermore, a dose-response correlation was detected between METS-IR and incident diabetes, the nonlinear relationship was revealed and the inflection point of METS-IR was calculated to be 44.43. When METS-IR≥44.43, compared with METS-IR &lt; 44.43, the trend was gradually saturated, with log-likelihood ratio test P &lt; 0.001. Additionally, the area under receiver operating characteristic of the METS-IR in predicting incident diabetes was 0.729, 0.718, and 0.720 at 3, 4, and 5 years, respectively.

Conclusions

METS-IR was correlated with incident diabetes significantly, and showed a nonlinear relationship. This study also found that METS-IR had good discrimination of diabetes.

Association between aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase ratio and the risk of diabetes in Chinese prediabetic population: A retrospective cohort study

Background

Accumulating evidence has revealed that the aspartate aminotransferase to alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT) ratio is a promising novel biomarker for insulin resistance (IR) and metabolic diseases. However, research on the association between the AST/ALT ratio and the incidence of diabetes progressing from prediabetes remains lacking. Herein, this study aimed to evaluate the relationship between the baseline AST/ALT ratio and risks of diabetes in patients with prediabetes.

Methods

This was a retrospective cohort study involving a total of 82,683 participants across 32 regions and 11 cities in China from 2010 to 2016. Data was obtained based on the DATADRYAD database from the health check screening program. Participants were stratified according to the interquartile range of the AST/ALT ratio (groups Q1 to Q4). The Cox proportional hazard model and smooth curve fitting were used to explore the relationship between the baseline AST/ALT ratio and the risk of diabetes in prediabetic patients. In addition, subgroup analysis was used to further validate the stability of the results.

Results

The mean age of the selected participants was 49.9 ± 14.0 years, with 66.8% of them being male. During the follow-up period 1,273 participants (11.3%) developed diabetes progressing from prediabetes during the follow-up period. Participants who developed diabetes were older and were more likely to be male. The fully-adjusted Cox proportional hazard model revealed that the AST/ALT ratio was negatively associated with the risk of diabetes in prediabetic patients (HR = 0.40, 95% CI: 0.33 to 0.48, P < 0.001). Higher AST/ALT ratio groups (Q4) also presented with a lower risk of progressing into diabetes (HR = 0.35, 95% CI: 0.29 to 0.43, P < 0.001, respectively) compared with the lowest quintile group (Q1). Through subgroup analysis and interaction tests, it was found that the association stably existed in all subgroup variables, and there were a stronger interactive effects in people with age < 45 years, and TG ≤ 1.7 mmol/L in the association between AST/ALT ratio and diabetes incidences in patients with prediabetes (P for interaction < 0.05).

Conclusion

According to our study, a higher AST/ALT ratio is associated with a lower risk of progressing into diabetes from prediabetes. Regular monitoring of AST/ALT ratio dynamics and corresponding interventions can help prevent or slow prediabetes progression for diabetes.

Association between body mass index and reversion to normoglycemia from impaired fasting glucose among Chinese adults: a 5-year cohort study

Objective

Evidence regarding the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and reversion to normoglycemia from prediabetes is still limited. The purpose of our study is to survey the link of BMI on reversion to normoglycemia among patients with impaired fasting glucose (IFG).

Methods

This study, a retrospective cohort, covered 32 regions and 11 cities in China and collected 258,74 IFG patients who underwent a health check from 2010 to 2016. We investigated the association between baseline BMI and reversion to normoglycemia in patients with IFG using the Cox proportional-hazards regression model. The nonlinear relationship between BMI and reversion to normoglycemia was determined using a Cox proportional hazards regression with cubic spline functions and smooth curve fitting. In addition, we also performed a series of sensitivity analyses and subgroup analyses. A competing risk multivariate Cox regression was performed using progression to diabetes as a competing risk for reversal of normoglycemic events.

Results

After adjusting covariates, the results showed that BMI was negatively related to the probability of reversion to normoglycemia (HR=0.977, 95%CI:0.971-0.984). Compared with participants with normal BMI(<24kg/m²), overweight (BMI:24-28kg/m²) participants with IFG had a 9.9% lower probability of returning to normoglycemia (HR=0.901,95%CI:0.863-0.939), while obese patients (BMI ≥ 28kg/m²) had a 16.9% decreased probability of reverting from IFG to normoglycemia (HR=0.831,95%CI:0.780-0.886). There was also a nonlinear relationship between them, and the inflection point of BMI was 21.7kg/m². The effect sizes (HR) on the left sides of the inflection point were 0.972(95%CI:0.964-0.980). The competing risks multivariate Cox's regression and sensitivity analysis demonstrated the robustness of our results.

Conclusion

This study demonstrates a negative and nonlinear relationship between BMI and reversion to normoglycemia in Chinese patients with IFG. Minimizing BMI to 21.7 kg/m² in patients with IFG through aggressive intervention may significantly increase the probability of returning to normoglycemia.

High pulse pressure is associated with an increased risk of diabetes in females but not in males: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Accumulating evidence suggests a close relationship between metabolic disturbance and increased arterial stiffness. However, whether there is an association between pulse pressure (PP) and diabetes and how this association might be impacted by sex is not clear.

METHODS

A total of 209,635 adult Chinese individuals > 20 years old across 32 sites and 11 cities in China (Shanghai, Beijing, Nanjing, Suzhou, Shenzhen, Changzhou, Chengdu, Guangzhou, Hefei, Wuhan, Nantong) were included in the study; participants were free of diabetes at baseline. In the present study, we analyzed the relationship between PP at baseline and incident diabetes using the Cox proportional hazard model.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 2.99 years, a total of 3971 participants (2885 men and 1086 women) developed diabetes, and the incidence was 6.3 per 1000 person-years. With each 10 mmHg increase in PP, the multivariable adjusted hazard ratio (HR) (95% confidence interval) for incident diabetes was 1.117 (1.061, 1.176) in females and 0.981 (0.951, 1.012) in males. Using the lowest quartile of PP as the reference category, the hazard ratio (HR) (95% CI) of the highest quartile of PP for incident diabetes was 1.494 (1.225, 1.822) in females and 0.939 (0.843, 1.045) in males. Smooth plots revealed a significant difference between males and females in the HRs for new-onset diabetes according to PP.

CONCLUSION

Higher PP was related to future diabetes development in females but not in males and further research is needed to explore the mechanism.

Maternal hemoglobin and risk of low birth weight: A hospital-based cross-sectional study in Nepal

Background

Maternal hemoglobin during pregnancy is an important predictor of neonatal outcomes such as birth weight. The newborn weight of an infant is considered a crucial factor for morbidity and mortality. This study aimed to assess the association between maternal hemoglobin concentration and newborn weight at term pregnancy.

Methods

A hospital-based cross-sectional study was conducted at Tribhuvan University Teaching Hospital (TUTH), Kathmandu, Nepal from 14^th April 2018 to 13^th April 2019. Term singleton pregnant women who were admitted for delivery in the labor room of TUTH were included in this study. Maternal characteristics such as age, parity, birth space, ethnicity, education level, dietary habit, body mass index (BMI), and hemoglobin level were recorded. The newborn weight was taken immediately after delivery. The main outcome of this study was the birth weight. The association between hemoglobin level and newborn weight was analyzed using bivariate and multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

Of 2,418 term pregnant women, the prevalence of low hemoglobin and high hemoglobin levels were 24% (95% CI: 22-25.4), and 17% (95% CI: 15.7-18.7), respectively. The prevalence of low birth weight (LBW) was 12.9% (95% CI: 11.7-14.4). Multivariable logistic regression analysis showed that those mothers who had low hemoglobin concentration (adjusted Odds Ratio/aOR = 3.77, 95% CI: 2.84-5.01), and high hemoglobin concentration (aOR = 3.07, 95% CI: 2.23-4.24) had higher odds of having LBW compared to mothers having normal hemoglobin level. Mothers with both young age pregnancy (aged 16-20 years) and older pregnancy (aged ≥31 years) (aOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.01-2.52) and (aOR = 1.60, 95% CI: 1.06-2.41), respectively had higher odds of LBW compared to mothers aged 21-25 years. Those mothers who attended a primary level of education had higher odds of (aOR = 1.93, 95% CI: 1.05-3.55) LBW compared to those mothers with a higher level of education. Moreover, mothers who belonged to Janajati ethnic group (aOR = 0.47, 95% CI: 0.34-0.65) compared to the Brahmin/Chhetri ethnic group, and mothers with a birth space of more than three years (aOR = 0.63, 95% CI: 0.41-0.97) compared to those who had less than three years of birth spacing and mothers who were overweight/obese (aOR = 0.74, 95% CI: 0.55-0.99) compared to normal nutritional status had lower odds of having LBW.

Conclusions

Our study concludes that both low and high hemoglobin had an increased risk of having low birth weight. Policies and programs can benefit by adopting the findings of this study. More empirical research is critical to understanding the impact of hemoglobin levels on birth weight.

Multi-level analysis reveals the association between diabetes, body mass index, and HbA1c in an Iraqi population

Type 2 diabetes (T2D) known as a complex metabolic disorder may cause health problems and changes in blood biochemical markers. A growing number of studies have looked into several biomarkers and their connections with T2D risk. However, few have explored the interconnection of these biomarkers, as well as the prospective alterations in the diabetes biomarker correlation network. We conducted a secondary analysis in order to introduce a multi-level approach to establish a relationship between diabetes, pre-diabetes, blood biochemical markers, age, and body mass index (BMI). The dataset was obtained from the Mendeley Data (available at https://data.mendeley.com/datasets/wj9rwkp9c2/1 . In this study, three groups were established: non-diabetic (n = 103), pre-diabetic (n = 53), and diabetic (n = 844). According to the Heatmap analysis, non-diabetic and pre-diabetic individuals had the lowest BMI, age, and HbA1c. Diabetes and pre-diabetes were correlated with BMI (r = 0.58 and - 0.27, respectively), age (r = 0.47 and - 0.28, respectively), and HbA1c (r = 0.55 and - 0.21, respectively) using Pearson analysis. Using multivariate analysis, we found that diabetes, BMI, age, HbA1c, cholesterol, triglyceride, LDL, VLDL, and HDL were all associated. Network analysis revealed a connection between BMI and diabetes at the highest cut-off point. Moreover, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis validated the network findings, revealing that BMI (area under the ROC curve, AUC = 0.95), HbA1c (AUC = 0.94), and age (AUC = 0.84) were the best predictors of diabetes. In conclusion, our multi-step study revealed that identifying significant T2D predictors, such as BMI and HbA1c, required a series of mathematical analyses.

Low aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (DeRitis) ratio assists in predicting diabetes in Chinese population

Background

Few studies discussed the predictive ability of aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase (AST/ALT, DeRitis) ratio for diabetes risk. The aim of this study was to characterize the role of AST/ALT ratio in the prediction of Chinese diabetes.

Methods

This retrospective cohort study analyzed a Chinese population comprising 87,883 participants without diabetes at baseline between 2010 and 2016. Cox proportional hazards regression was used to identify independent risk factors. Restricted cubic spline (RCS) was performed to investigate the non-linear correlation between AST/ALT ratio and diabetes risk.

Results

During a median follow-up period of 3.01 years, 1,877 participants developed diabetes. Comparing the baseline characteristics, diabetes group exhibited lower AST/ALT ratio. The Kaplan-Meier curve showed that participants with low AST/ALT ratio had higher cumulative incidence, and Cox regression also demonstrated that the lower AST/ALT ratio, the higher diabetes risk (HR: 0.56, 95% CI: 0.37-0.85, P = 0.006). The RCS model revealed a non-linear correlation between AST/ALT ratio and diabetes risk. In the condition of AST/ALT ratio ≤1.18, diabetes risk increased as it decreased (HR: 0.42, 95% CI: 0.19-0.91, P = 0.028). In contrast, AST/ALT ratio did not independently affect diabetes when beyond 1.18.

Conclusion

AST/ALT ratio is a valuable predictor of diabetes. Diabetes risk increases rapidly in the condition of AST/ALT ratio ≤1.18.

Association between Ultra-Processed Food Consumption and Diabetes in Chinese Adults-Results from the China Health and Nutrition Survey

Aims: We aimed to assess the association between ultra-processed food (UPF) consumption with diabetes in Chinese adults. Methods: This study included 12,849 eligible adults aged 20 years and over attending at least two surveys in the China Nutrition and Health Survey during 1997−2011. Food intake at each survey was assessed by a 3-day 24-h dietary recall method. UPF was defined based on the NOVA classification. Diabetes was obtained from questionnaires and/or ascertained by fasting blood tests. The association of diabetes with UPF was examined using mix effect logistic regression adjusting for potential confounding factors. Results: The mean age of the participants was 43.3 (SD 14.8) years. The age and gender adjusted mean UPF intake increased four times and the prevalence of diabetes increased eight times in 1997−2011. Compared with non-consumers, the odds ratios (95% CI) of diabetes for those with mean UPF consumption of 1−19 g/day, 20−49 g/day, and ≥50 g/day were 1.21 (0.98, 1.48), 1.49 (1.19, 1.86), and 1.40 (1.08, 1.80), respectively (p trend < 0.001) after adjusted for the measured covariates including lifestyle factors (smoking, alcohol drinking, and physical activity), BMI and hypertension. Conclusions: both UPF consumption and prevalence of diabetes increased among adults in China during 1997−2011. Higher UPF consumption was positively associated with diabetes.