Diagnostic Value of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio for Predicting the Severity of Acute Pancreatitis: A Meta-Analysis

A risk nomogram for 30-day mortality in Chinese patients with acute pancreatitis using LASSO-logistic regression

This study proposed to explore the 30-day mortality risk factors in patients with acute pancreatitis (AP) and construct a prognosis nomogram based on the Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) logistic regression. A retrospective study on 965 adult AP patients started from January 2017 and December 2019 was conducted. Feature selection is carried out by using LASSO regression, and the model was established through logistic regression (P < 0.05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration curves, bootstrap and decision curve analysis (DCA) were utilized for evaluating the performance of the nomogram. A sum of 965 eligible patients were participated, of whom 922 were assigned into a survival group and 43 in a non-survival group. Six independent predictors were identified as the most valuable characteristics in AP patients, including age, activated partial thromboplastin time (APTT), direct bilirubin (DBIL), lactate dehydrogenase (LDH), total protein (TP) and blood urea nitrogen (UREA). The AUC of the nomogram was 0.862 (0.806-0.918). The DCA curve indicates that this nomogram possesses good clinical application value. The nomogram we constructed demonstrates a strong capability in predicting the 30-day mortality of AP patients.

Evaluation of Acute Pancreatitis Severity and Prognosis Using the Aggregate Systemic Inflammation Index (AISI) as a New Marker: A Comparison with Other Inflammatory Indices

Background/Objectives: Acute pancreatitis (AP) remains a pressing clinical challenge, largely due to its potential to lead to life-threatening complications and increased mortality. Over the years, numerous tools have been proposed to evaluate the intensity of AP and estimate likely health outcomes. Despite their usefulness, many of these assessment models are complex and rely on a wide array of clinical inputs, making them less practical in everyday healthcare settings. In contrast, the Aggregate Systemic Inflammation Index (AISI), which is calculated using routine blood count parameters, provides a simpler and more inclusive approach to measuring systemic inflammation. This research focuses on examining how effectively AISI can be used to gauge disease severity and project clinical trajectories in individuals affected by pancreatitis. Methods: This retrospective study reviewed the medical records of 412 individuals diagnosed with acute pancreatitis, all of whom received care at the Internal Medicine Clinic of Ankara Bilkent City Hospital between 1 April 2019 and 1 September 2024. The investigation encompassed a thorough analysis of patients' demographic characteristics, lab parameters, and clinical findings, with special attention given to inflammatory markers, including the Aggregate Systemic Inflammation Index (AISI), its revised version, the Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), the Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), and the Systemic Inflammatory Response Index (SIRI). Comparative analyses between groups were performed using independent sample t-tests and one-way ANOVA, complemented by Tukey's post hoc tests where appropriate. Correlations among continuous variables were determined through Pearson's analysis, and the prognostic accuracy of both AISI and its modified form was assessed using Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) curve methodology. Results: The mean age among participants was 63.47 ± 17.92 years, while the average AISI value was calculated as 1183.89 ± 1067.42. Both the original and modified versions of the AISI index showed strong positive correlations with several key clinical measures, including prolonged hospitalization, a Glasgow score of 2 or above, BISAP, Ranson scoring, the revised Atlanta classification, and APACHE II. AISI was also significantly linked to the presence of complications and overall mortality (p < 0.01). Analysis through ROC curves demonstrated that an AISI level above 236.626 effectively predicted hospital stays exceeding 10 days, with a sensitivity of 94.40% and a specificity of 91.00%. Moreover, both AISI and its modified form reliably distinguished patients who had a Ranson score of zero, with high diagnostic accuracy. Conclusions: AISI and its modified version demonstrate a strong association with both the intensity and clinical course of acute pancreatitis. Thanks to their simplicity, low cost, and broad usability in healthcare settings, these indices hold considerable promise as practical and dependable tools for assessing the severity and likely outcomes of this increasingly prevalent disease.

Pancreatitis Independently Induced by Hypertriglyceridaemia Outlines the Immune Profiles of HTGP in Clinic

Hypertriglyceridaemia (HTG) is a common and well-established aetiology of acute pancreatitis (AP). Although the underlying pathophysiology of hypertriglyceridaemic pancreatitis (HTGP) is complex, some animal models of HTAP have been successfully reproduced by repeated caerulein injections based on HTAP. However, most of the current HTGP models are critically dependent on the "two-attack" of cholecystokinin analogue, which may not be consistent with the fact of HTGP aetiologies due to ignored the initial effects of HTG in the development of HTGP. Here, we showed that HTGP could be induced by HTG independently, the HTGP mice with the typical characteristics and typical complications of pancreatitis. We found that the HTGP mice with mild pancreatic oedema, but the necrosis and immune cell infiltration were extensive. In addition, the immune cell infiltration and immune dysregulation that widely observed in HTGP patients were well reproduced in this model, including innate and adaptive immune cells. Our results suggest that the murine HTGP model independently induced by HTG could recapitulate the pathological and immunological profiles of HTGP in the clinic. More importantly, the model generated by this method could sustain a prolonged, non-life-threatening course of the disease and is suitable for research into the underlying mechanisms and for application to the preclinical evaluation of HTGP drugs.

The Relationship Between Preoperative Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio and Postoperative Length of Stay in Carotid Body Tumor Resection

Carotid body tumor (CBT) resection is a complex surgical procedure often resulting in extended postoperative length of stay (PLOS) due to potential nerve injuries, arterial damage, and wound complications. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a known marker of systemic inflammation and has been associated with adverse outcomes in various surgical settings. However, the relationship between preoperative NLR and PLOS in CBT patients has not been explored. This study aims to investigate the association between preoperative NLR and PLOS in CBT resections, particularly examining whether elevated NLR correlates with longer hospital stays and potentially hinders recovery. In this retrospective cohort study, we analyzed data from 231 CBT patients who underwent resection at Changhai Hospital, Shanghai, between 2008 and 2020. Patients were grouped based on their PLOS (short, medium, and long stays), and NLR was calculated from peripheral blood samples taken preoperatively. Univariate and multivariate regression models adjusted for sociodemographic and operative factors, including Shamblin classification, were used to examine the relationship between NLR and PLOS. Elevated preoperative NLR has been found to be significantly correlated with prolonged PLOS, with each incremental increase in NLR corresponding to an approximate extension of 0.12 days in PLOS after adjusting for confounding factors. Stratified analysis revealed that this association was most pronounced in patients with Shamblin II tumors, likely due to the moderate tumor size and adhesion in these cases, which necessitates more extensive dissection and increases vulnerability to nerve injury. Elevated preoperative NLR may serve as a predictor of prolonged recovery in CBT resections, particularly for Shamblin II cases. This finding highlights the potential utility of NLR in preoperative assessment and patient management to optimize surgical timing and reduce hospital stays. Further research with larger cohorts is needed to confirm the predictive value of NLR and explore its clinical application in surgical planning for CBT patients.

Imaging-based biomarkers in acute pancreatitis: the predictive value of adrenal contrast ratios for intensive care unit admission

BACKGROUND

Early risk stratification is crucial in acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) to optimize patient management and guide intensive care unit (ICU) admission decisions. Traditional biomarkers and scoring systems have limitations in early severity assessment. This study aimed to evaluate the predictive value of adrenal contrast ratios on contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) as imaging-based biomarkers for ICU admission and prolonged hospitalization in ABP patients.

METHODS

This retrospective study included 288 ABP patients who underwent CECT within 24 h of admission. Adrenal-to-inferior vena cava (IVC) and adrenal-to-spleen contrast ratios were measured from portal venous phase images. The predictive performance of these ratios for ICU admission was assessed using receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, and their correlation with clinical outcomes was evaluated through regression analysis.

RESULTS

ICU-admitted patients had significantly higher adrenal contrast ratios compared to non-ICU patients (adrenal-to-IVC ratio: 1.15 vs. 0.99, p < 0.001; adrenal-to-spleen ratio: 0.97 vs. 0.75, p < 0.001). ROC analysis demonstrated strong predictive accuracy (AUC = 0.74 for adrenal-to-IVC, AUC = 0.81 for adrenal-to-spleen). Additionally, adrenal contrast ratios correlated significantly with prolonged hospital stay (r = 0.49-0.55, p < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Adrenal contrast ratios serve as promising imaging-based biomarkers for early ICU admission prediction and risk stratification in ABP patients. Their integration into clinical decision-making may enhance early management strategies. Further prospective validation is warranted.

Association between phosphorus-to-calcium ratio at ICU admission and all-cause mortality in acute pancreatitis: Insights from the MIMIC-IV database

BACKGROUND

Serum phosphorus and serum calcium are important electrolytes in the body. The relationship between them and acute pancreatitis (AP) has been previously discussed. However, the results seem to lack credibility due to the neglect of mutual influence between them. Thus, a comprehensive indicator is needed.

METHODS

In this study, AP patients with intensive care unit (ICU) treatment were extracted from Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care (MIMIC) database. The outcomes included in-hospital mortality and ICU mortality. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis, Cox proportional hazard regression model and restricted cubic spline were employed to investigate the association between the phosphorus-to-calcium ratio (PCR) index and clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 719 AP patients (57.2% male) were enrolled. The in-hospital and ICU mortality were 11.4% and 7.5%, respectively. After adjusting for confounders, Cox proportional hazard analysis indicated patients with a higher PCR index had a significant association with in-hospital mortality (adjusted hazard ratio, 2.88; 95% confidence interval, 1.34-6.19; p = .007). Restricted cubic splines revealed that a progressively increasing risk of all-cause mortality was associated with an elevated PCR index.

CONCLUSION

The PCR index has a strong correlation with in-hospital and ICU all-cause mortality in AP, which provides a reference for clinical decision-making.

Diffusion weighted MRI and neutrophil lymphocyte ratio non-invasively predict infection in pancreatic necrosis: a pilot study

BACKGROUND

Infected pancreatic necrosis (IPN) is a major determinant of mortality in acute pancreatitis (AP). Non-invasive diagnosis of IPN could guide the intervention in AP. We aimed to investigate the role of non-invasive methods like diffusion weighted magnetic resonance imaging (DW-MRI) and clinico-laboratory parameters as predictors of IPN.

METHODS

Prospective evaluation for predictors of IPN by diffusion restriction (DR) on DW-MRI and clinico-laboratory parameters was performed.

RESULTS

Out of 39 patients included, 31 were analysed after exclusion. Twenty-six (83.8%) patients had moderately severe AP, and the rest had severe disease. They were categorized into Group A: patients with documented infection after intervention (n = 17) and Group B: successfully managed without intervention or negative culture after intervention (n = 14). On univariate analysis, Group A had significantly more incidence of fever (P = 0.020), persistent unwellness (P = 0.003), elevated neutrophil count (P = 0.007), lymphocyte count (P = 0.007), neutrophil lymphocyte ratio (NLR) (P = 0.028), DR on DW-MRI (P = 0.001) and low apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) (P = 0.086). Multivariate analysis revealed DR on DW-MRI (P = 0.004) and NLR (P = 0.035) as significant predictors of IPN, among other factors. The sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) of DW-MRI were 94.1%, 78.6%, 91.66%, and 84.21%, respectively. The area under curve of NLR on the ROC plot was 0.85 and the best cutoff was >3.5, with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, and NPV of 70.6%, 78.6%, 80%, and 68.7% respectively.

CONCLUSION

DW-MRI and NLR are promising non-invasive tools for accurate prediction of IPN and hence can guide the need for intervention in acute pancreatitis.

Association between red cell distribution width to albumin ratio and all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective study based on the MIMIC-IV database

Background

Red blood cell volume distribution width (RDW) and albumin (Alb) have been proved to be predictors of mortality in various diseases, such as acute pancreatitis (AP). However, until now the relationship between RDW to Alb ratio (RAR) and mortality in AP has not been fully elucidated. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate the relationship between RAR and all-cause mortality in AP.

Method

Patients with AP in the Critical Care Medical Information Market (MIMIC-IV) database who met criteria were included in this retrospective study. Associated baseline data was obtained, cleaned and analyzed. Kaplan Meier (K-M) survival curve and Cox proportional hazards regression model were utilized to evaluate the relationship between RAR and all-cause mortality. Restricted Cubic Spline (RCS) was used for exploring how hazard ratio (HR) changes as RAR varied. Additionally, Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) analysis and subgroup analysis were conducted to assess the predictive value and to explore the significance of RAR in different populations.

Results

499 patients were included in this study. Survival curve showed that patients with RAR > 5.14 had higher mortality rate at 7-day (d), 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, 180-d and 1-year (y). The univariate and multivariate Cox models revealed an independent association between high-level RAR and all-cause mortality at 28-d, 90-d and 1-y. RCS showed that RAR became a risk factor when exceeding 5.14. RAR only had linear relationship with mortality at 1-y after adjusting for the potential confounders. Subgroup analysis suggested that increased RAR caused higher risk of death in male, non-white people or those patients without respiratory failure (RF). ROC analysis indicated that compared with other parameters such as SOFA score, RAR exhibited higher efficiency in predicting in-hospital and all-cause mortality at 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d. Combined RAR with BISAP, RAR-modified BISAP showed superiority in predicting short-term mortality (28-d).

Conclusion

For patients with AP in ICU, RAR has a strong association with short- and long-term prognosis. Especially, RAR is a promising indicator for short-term all-cause mortality in patients with AP. For males, non-white patients and those without RF, elevated RAR may be a more dangerous signal of mortality.

C-reactive protein to serum calcium ratio as a novel biomarker for predicting severity in acute pancreatitis: a retrospective cross-sectional study

Background

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a prevalent gastrointestinal emergency with a wide spectrum of clinical outcomes, varying from mild cases to severe forms. The early identification of high-risk patients is essential for improving prognosis. However, the predictive and prognostic potential of the C-reactive protein to serum calcium ratio (CCR) in AP has not been investigated. This study aims to explore the association between CCR and disease severity in patients with AP.

Methods

This retrospective cross-sectional study included 476 AP patients. The CCR was calculated from C-reactive protein and serum calcium levels within the first 24 h of admission. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to evaluate the relationship between CCR and AP severity, with restricted cubic spline analysis and receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis to assess dose-response and predictive performance, respectively.

Results

Of the 476 patients, 176 (37%) had mild acute pancreatitis (MAP) and 300 (63%) had moderate to severe AP. The CCR distribution had a median value of 17.5, with an interquartile range (IQR) of 3.0 to 60.2. Each unit increase in CCR was associated with a 7% increase in the risk of developing moderate to severe AP (OR: 1.07; 95% CI: 1.06-1.09). In fully adjusted models, this association remained statistically significant. The area under the curve (AUC) for CCR in predicting moderate to severe AP was 86.9%, with a sensitivity of 73.7% and specificity of 89.2%.

Conclusion

The CCR measured within the first 24 h of admission shows promise as a valuable biomarker for predicting the severity of AP. However, further multicenter prospective cohort studies are needed to confirm its clinical utility and investigate its role in improving treatment strategies and patient management.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio Differentiates Infections from Sterile Inflammation in First Week of Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Differentiating infections from sterile inflammation is crucial in early AP management.

AIM

This study aimed to assess the capability of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR) and procalcitonin to differentiate between sterile inflammation and infections in the first week of AP and to analyze the source, microbiological profile, and impact of infections in AP.

METHODS

Consecutive patients presenting within 5 days of symptom onset were included. Microbiological profiles and serious adverse events (SAEs: in-hospital mortality or discharge in critical state) were analyzed. Blood count obtained at fever onset was used for calculating the NLR. The ability of NLR and procalcitonin to differentiate infections from sterile inflammation in the first week was assessed.

RESULTS

Of 505 AP patients, 150 developed fevers. 48 (32%) had sterile inflammation, while 102 (68%) had infections. Most patients (n = 98, 65.3%) developed fever during the first week of illness (sterile inflammation (n = 43) and infections (n = 55)). NLR demonstrated good accuracy in differentiating infections from sterile inflammation in the first week (AUROC 0.70, p = 0.001), outperforming procalcitonin (AUROC 0.54, p = 0.58). Within infections (n = 102), 44 (43.1%) had infected pancreatic necrosis, 68 (66.7%) had extra-pancreatic infections, and 10 (9.8%) had both. Lower respiratory tract infection was the most common extra-pancreatic infection. Of 54 patients with culture-positive infections, 36 (66.7%) had grown multidrug-resistant (MDR) organisms. Fungal isolates were identified in 5 patients. Patients with infections had higher SAE incidence (21.6% vs. 4.2%, p = 0.007) than those with inflammation. The SAE incidence was higher with MDR infections than those without MDR (37.5% vs. 9.3%, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Infections in AP occur early in the course of illness. NLR could serve as a reliable biomarker to distinguish infections from sterile inflammation in the early course of AP, aiding timely management. Patients with MDR infections have higher serious adverse outcomes.

Clinical significance of PCT, CRP, IL-6, NLR, and TyG Index in early diagnosis and severity assessment of acute pancreatitis: A retrospective analysis

To evaluate the clinical utility of PCT, CRP, IL-6, NLR, and TyG index in improving the early diagnosis and severity assessment of acute pancreatitis (AP). This retrospective study included 137 AP patients and 30 healthy controls from Hunan Provincial People's Hospital (January 2021-September 2023). Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses assessed the associations between biomarkers and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves, DeLong test, and Bonferroni correction were used to evaluate predictive performance. Model robustness was validated via 5-fold cross-validation. PCT, CRP, IL-6, NLR, and TyG index levels were significantly elevated in AP patients compared to controls (P < 0.001) and correlated with disease severity (P < 0.05). CRP and NLR levels differed significantly among mild, moderate, and severe AP (P < 0.01). Alcohol consumption and hyperlipidemia were significantly linked to AP severity (P for trend < 0.0001). Multivariate analysis identified hyperlipidemia (OR = 3.030, P = 0.040), CRP (OR = 1.011, P < 0.001), and NLR (OR = 1.078, P = 0.020) as independent SAP predictors. The combined model of CRP + NLR + TyG achieved the highest AUC (0.882, sensitivity = 77.2%, specificity = 88.5%), though it was not significantly better than CRP + NLR or CRP + TyG models (P > 0.05). 5-fold cross-validation confirmed consistent performance (mean AUC = 0.817 ± 0.118). PCT, CRP, IL-6, NLR, and TyG index are valuable in diagnosing and assessing AP prognosis. Hyperlipidemia, CRP, and NLR are reliable independent predictors of SAP. Combining multiple biomarkers enhances diagnostic precision and provides guidance for personalized treatment strategies in AP.

Chronic g-CSF increases the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and decreases plasma corticosterone concentrations in Peromyscus maniculatus without impacting compulsive-like stereotypy

Increasing evidence points to brain-immune mechanisms underlying conditions characterized by neurocognitive rigidity. However, causal evidence remains elusive. Thus, the present work first aimed to investigate the naturalistic associations between rigid motor stereotypy and non-specific markers of systemic inflammation, i.e., the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and plasma corticosterone concentrations in deer mice. We then explored causal immune-brain interactions by bolstering the NLR, using the recombinant human granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (g-CSF), i.e., pegfilgrastim (Peg). One-hundred and twenty (120) 3-week-old deer mice (both sexes) were exposed to nine weekly injections with normal water for injection or Peg (n = 60 per group) and then assessed for stereotypical expression. Stereotypical behaviour, the NLR, and plasma corticosterone were then measured. Our findings show that 1) NLR and plasma corticosterone concentrations do not predict stereotypical expression and 2) chronic Peg exposure significantly increased the NLR and decreased the plasma corticosterone concentration in mice of both sexes, without impacting stereotypical expression. While valuable findings related to the relationship between exogenous NLR manipulation and immune system functioning were highlighted, continued investigation will be necessary to further explore whether spontaneous stereotypy in deer mice may be associated with immune-inflammatory involvement.

Predicting severity of inpatient acute cholangitis: combined neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and prognostic nutritional index

The indicators for rapid assessment of the severity of acute cholangitis remain highly debated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the efficacy of various inflammatory and immune-nutritional markers in predicting the severity of acute cholangitis. The prognostic roles of the following markers were investigated: Systemic Immune-Inflammatory Index (SII), Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (NLR), Platelet-to-Lymphocyte Ratio (PLR), Albumin (Alb), and Prognostic Nutritional Index (PNI). A total of 139 patients with acute cholangitis were included in the study. The inflammatory and immune-nutritional markers with better predictive efficacy were selected to construct a combined predictive score. According to the survival ROC curve analysis, the combined NLR and PNI score, termed PNS, demonstrated the best prognostic performance with an AUC of 0.853. Multivariable survival analysis identified the following independent prognostic factors: PNS (p = 0.010) and Prothrombin Time (PT) (p = 0.003). The results indicate that PNS = 2 is associated with a higher incidence of severe cholangitis.

Association between neutrophil to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio and disease severity in patients with acute biliary pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol ratio (NHR) is independently associated with the severity of various diseases. However, its association with acute biliary pancreatitis (ABP) remains unknown.

METHODS

This study included 1335 eligible patients diagnosed with ABP from April 2016 to December 2022. Patients were divided into low- and high-NHR level groups using an optimal cut-off value determined utilizing Youden's index. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to investigate the correlation between NHR and ABP severity. Multivariate analysis-based limited restricted cubic spline (RCS) method was used to evaluate the nonlinear relationship between NHR and the risk of developing moderate or severe ABP.

RESULTS

In this study, multivariate logistic regression analysis indicated an independent association between NHR and ABP severity (p < .001). The RCS analysis showed a linear correlation between NHR and the risk of developing moderate or severe ABP (P for non-linearity > 0.05), and increased NHR was found to be independently associated with a more severe form of the disease.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study suggests that NHR is a simple and practical independent indicator of disease severity, serving as a potential novel predictor for patients with ABP.

Predicting Severity of Acute Pancreatitis-Evaluation of Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Count Ratio as Emerging Biomarker: A Retrospective Analytical Study

Introduction Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a pancreatic inflammatory disease that can range in severity from mild, self-limiting forms to severe cases with high mortality rates. AP has various etiologies, including lifestyle factors like alcohol consumption and obesity, and its rapid progression makes early and accurate prediction of severity critical for effective management and improved patient outcomes. The traditional AP severity assessment tools, such as Ranson's criteria and APACHE II, require extensive data and time, making them less feasible in emergency settings. In response, simpler biomarkers that can quickly predict AP severity upon patient presentation are needed to enable early risk stratification and targeted interventions. The study aims to address this research gap by evaluating the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a potential biomarker for predicting AP severity, as well as assessing its correlation with the CT Severity Index, a widely used measure of AP severity. Methods The study used a retrospective analytical design, conducted at the R L Jalappa Hospital & Research Centre in Karnataka, India. The researchers included 118 patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis (AP) according to the Revised Atlanta Classification. The dataset collected from the participants' medical records included variables such as age, gender, history of alcohol and tobacco use, duration of abdominal pain, ICU stay, CT Severity Index scores, and the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR). Statistical analysis was performed using SPSS software version 21.0 (IBM Corp., Armonk, NY, USA). A p-value of less than 0.05 was considered statistically significant. This comprehensive methodological approach aimed to provide precise insights into the role of NLR in predicting AP severity while accounting for variability in patient data. Results The study included 118 patients, with 85 classified as having mild to moderate pancreatitis and 33 with severe pancreatitis. There were no significant differences between the two groups in terms of demographic factors such as gender, BMI, alcohol use, smoking, and comorbidities. The study also examined the relationship between the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the CT Severity Index, a measure of pancreatitis severity. The results showed a strong positive correlation between NLR and the CT Severity Index (r = 0.860, p < 0.001). This indicates that higher NLR values are associated with more severe pancreatitis, as measured by the CT Severity Index. These relationships suggest that NLR reflects the inflammatory response in acute pancreatitis, with higher levels of inflammatory markers associated with elevated NLR values. Conclusion This study aimed to evaluate the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) as a biomarker for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP). We conducted a retrospective analysis of 118 AP patients, categorizing them into mild-to-moderate and severe groups. NLR was significantly higher in the severe AP group compared to the mild-to-moderate group, suggesting its potential as an early predictor of AP severity. The study also examined the correlation between NLR and the CT Severity Index, a widely used measure of AP severity, further supporting the utility of NLR as a rapid and accessible tool for risk stratification in AP management.

Diagnostic Value of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Predicting Post-Operative Infection after Orthopedic Surgery: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

Objective: This study aims to evaluate the predictive value of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in determining infection after orthopedic surgery. Methods: A comprehensive search was conducted in PubMed, EBASE, CNKI, and Wanfang databases to identify relevant studies. The quality of the included studies was assessed using QUADAS-2. Data extraction was performed to calculate sensitivity, specificity, and other indicators. Bivariate mixed-effects meta-analysis was conducted using Stata software. The sources of heterogeneity were evaluated, and a summary receiver operating characteristic curve was generated. Results: A total of 16 literatures comprising 18 studies involving 3737 patients were included in this analysis. NLR demonstrated moderate sensitivity (0.77) and specificity (0.69) in diagnosing orthopedic post-operative infection, with an area under the curve of 0.80 and diagnostic odds ratio of 7.76. Significant heterogeneity was observed among the studies, primarily due to variations in surgical type, infection type, blood test timing, and NLR cutoff value. Fagan nomogram indicated that NLR could increase the positive posterior probability to 72% and decrease the negative posterior probability to 25%. The pooled effect of the likelihood ratio dot plot for diagnosis fell in the lower right quadrant. Deek funnel plot suggested no publication bias in this study. Conclusion: NLR holds certain value in diagnosing infection after orthopedic surgery and can provide additional information to assess the risk of infection. However, its predictive performance is influenced by various factors, and it cannot be used as a sole criterion for confirming the diagnosis. Prospective studies should be conducted in the future to optimize the diagnostic threshold and explore its combination with other indicators.

Evaluating the Therapeutic Efficiency and Efficacy of Blood Purification for Treating Severe Acute Pancreatitis: A Single-Center Data Based on Propensity Score Matching

Purpose

To evaluate the long-term efficacy and cost-efficiency of blood purification (BP) in severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) through single-center data.

Patients and Methods

A total of 155 SAP patients were collected and followed up for 6 months. The participants were divided into control (49 cases) and BP group (106 cases) according to whether they received BP treatment or not. The primary outcomes were 6-month mortality, length of hospital stay, and hospitalization costs. Propensity score matching (PSM) analysis was performed based on various factors such as gender, age, etiology, SOFA score, JSS score, and creatinine value on day 1.

Results

There were significant differences in all baseline data between BP and control groups (p<0.05). However, there was a significant difference in the mortality, length of hospital stay, hospital costs and infection aggravation rate the in outcome data for 6-months (all p<0.05). BP was not considered a death factor in any adjusted models, with p-values ranging from 0.81 to 0.93. The results of subgroup analysis after PSM showed that BP mode had no significant impact on prognostic indicators, but the length of ICU stay and total costs were significantly increased (all p<0.001). There was no significant difference in mortality among the cases that did not require early intervention after 6 months (p=0.487). However, the patients in BP group had longer ICU stays (p=0.001) and higher hospitalization costs (p<0.001) compared to the control group.

Conclusion

The utilization of BP therapy did not decrease the 6-month mortality in SAP patients. Additionally, BP therapy has a significant impact on the duration of ICU stay or hospitalization expenses. However, the effectiveness and cost-efficiency of this therapy are unsatisfactory, and early intervention does not enhance survival benefits. Furthermore, there was no substantial variation in survival benefits between continuous veno-venous hemofiltration (CVVH) alone and compound BP.

Assessment of early factors for identification or prediction severe acute pancreatitis in pregnancy

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis in pregnancy (APIP) is a rare and serious condition, and severe APIP (SAPIP) can lead to pancreatic necrosis, abscess, multiple organ dysfunction, and other adverse maternal and infant outcomes. Therefore, early identification or prediction of SAPIP is important.

AIM

To assess factors for early identification or prediction of SAPIP.

METHODS

The clinical data of patients with APIP were retrospectively analyzed. Patients were classified with mild acute pancreatitis or severe acute pancreatitis, and the clinical characteristics and laboratory biochemical indexes were compared between the two groups. Logical regression and receiver operating characteristic curve analyses were performed to assess the efficacy of the factors for identification or prediction of SAPIP.

RESULTS

A total of 45 APIP patients were enrolled. Compared with the mild acute pancreatitis group, the severe acute pancreatitis group had significantly increased (P < 0.01) heart rate (HR), hemoglobin, neutrophil ratio (NEUT%), and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), while lymphocytes were significantly decreased (P < 0.01). Logical regression analysis showed that HR, NEUT%, NLR, and lymphocyte count differed significantly (P < 0.01) between the groups. These may be factors for early identification or prediction of SAPIP. The area under the curve of HR, NEUT%, NLR, and lymphocyte count in the receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was 0.748, 0.732, 0.821, and 0.774, respectively. The combined analysis showed that the area under the curve, sensitivity, and specificity were 0.869, 90.5%, and 70.8%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

HR, NEUT%, NLR, and lymphocyte count can be used for early identification or prediction of SAPIP, and the combination of the four factors is expected to improve identification or prediction of SAPIP.

Differential impact of pegfilgrastim, a recombinant human granulocyte colony stimulating factor, on the neutrophil count of male and female deer mice (Peromyscus maniculatus bairdii)

BACKGROUND

An increasing body of research implicates inflammatory processes, including alterations in the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), in the pathophysiology of psychiatric illness. The deer mouse (Peromyscus maniculatus bairdii) is commonly studied for its naturalistic expression of compulsive-like behaviour. Towards future efforts to gain an understanding of how innate and adaptive immune processes might be involved in this model, we aimed to study the effects of pegfilgrastim, a pegylated recombinant human granulocyte colony-stimulating factor (g-CSF) analogue, on the NLR of both male and female deer mice.

METHODS

Briefly, 54 deer mice (equally distributed between sexes) were exposed to a single injection with either control or pegfilgrastim (0.1 or 1 mg/kg) (n = 18 per group). Six mice of each group (three per sex) were euthanized on days two, four and seven post-administration, their blood collected and the NLR calculated. Data were analysed by means of ordinary three-way ANOVA, followed by Bonferroni post-hoc testing.

RESULTS

Irrespective of dose, pegfilgrastim resulted in higher NLR values in mice of both sexes at days four and seven of testing. However, female mice exposed to the higher dose, presented with significantly higher NLR values irrespective of time, compared to male mice exposed to the same.

CONCLUSION

The data generated from this work highlight important dose- and sex-specific aspects of pegfilgrastim with female mice showing heighted elevation of the NLR in response to high-dose pegfilgrastim administration only. Since the innate immune components of male and female deer mice is differentially sensitive to g-CSF stimulation, our results provide a useful basis for further study of sex-specific immunological processes in deer mice.

Predictive Value of C-Reactive Protein/Albumin Ratio for Acute Kidney Injury in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

Purpose

This study aims to evaluate the predictive efficacy of the C-reactive protein/albumin ratio (CAR), a cost-effective, easily accessible, and reproducible biomarker obtained from standard blood tests, in forecasting acute kidney injury (AKI) among patients undergoing acute pancreatitis (AP). Considering that changes in the CAR are associated with AKI incidence in AP cases, this work aims to explore whether CAR can be used as the innovative, inflammation-based diagnostic marker for AKI in AP patients.

Methods

The current retrospective cohort study consecutively enrolled AP patients admitted to First College of Clinical Medical Science of China Three Gorges University during the period from January 2019 to October 2023. Data were extracted systematically in electronic medical records from these hospitalized individuals, including baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. To ascertain the association of the CAR level with the development of AKI, we carried out multivariate logistic regression, adjusting for potential confounders. These confounders were initially identified through univariate regression. Furthermore, the potential effect modifiers in the relationship between CAR and AKI occurrence were explored by stratified logistic regression.

Results

Totally, 1514 AP were recruited, including 257 (16.9%) with AKI. CAR was positively correlated with AKI. When adjusting for potential confounders, the AKI risk in patients in the upper CAR tertile (2.628-22.994) increased by 83% relative to those in lower tertile (0.05-0.289) (OR 1.83, 95% CI 1.13-2.96, P = 0.013). The AKI risk tended to increase according to the increasing CAR tertile (P for trend = 0.013). No significant interactions were observed among subgroups based on age, sex, BMI, admission to ICU, hypertension, DM, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, severity of AP, etiology of AP, demand for CRRT, mechanical ventilation, and blood transfusion (all P > 0.05).

Conclusion

A higher CAR is significantly related to the higher AKI incidence in AP patients in the Chinese population.

Mesenteric adipose tissue B lymphocytes promote intestinal injury in severe acute pancreatitis by mediating enteric pyroptosis

BACKGROUND

Visceral adipose tissue (VAT) has been linked to the severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) prognosis, although the underlying mechanism remains unclear. It has been reported that pyroptosis worsens SAP. The present study aimed to verify whether mesenteric adipose tissue (MAT, a component of VAT) can cause secondary intestinal injury through the pyroptotic pathway.

METHODS

Thirty-six male Sprague Dawley (SD) rats were divided into six different groups. Twelve rats were randomly divided into the SAP and control groups. We monitored the changes of MAT and B lymphocytes infiltration in MAT of SAP rats. Twelve SAP rats were injected with MAT B lymphocytes or phosphate buffer solution (PBS). The remaining twelve SAP rats were first injected with MAT B lymphocytes, and then with MCC950 (NLRP3 inhibitor) or PBS. We collected blood and tissue samples from pancreas, gut and MAT for analysis.

RESULTS

Compared to the control rats, the SAP group showed inflammation in MAT, including higher expression of tumor necrosis factor (TNF-α) and interleukin-6 (IL-6), lower expression of IL-10, and histological changes. Flow cytometry analysis revealed B lymphocytes infiltration in MAT but not T lymphocytes and macrophages. The SAP rats also exhibited intestinal injury, characterized by lower expression of zonula occludens-1 (ZO-1) and occludin, higher levels of lipopolysaccharide and diamine oxidase, and pathological changes. The expression of NLRP3 and n-GSDMD, which are responsible for pyroptosis, was increased in the intestine of SAP rats. The injection of MAT B lymphocytes into SAP rats exacerbated the inflammation in MAT. The upregulation of pyroptosis reduced tight junction in the intestine, which contributed to the SAP progression, including higher inflammatory indicators and worse histological changes. The administration of MCC950 to SAP + MAT B rats downregulated pyroptosis, which subsequently improved the intestinal barrier and ameliorated inflammatory response of SAP.

CONCLUSIONS

In SAP, MAT B lymphocytes aggravated local inflammation, and promoted the injury to the intestine through the enteric pyroptotic pathway.

Analysis of factors influencing onset and survival of patients with severe acute pancreatitis: A clinical study

OBJECTIVES

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease of the pancreas, and the prognosis of severe AP (SAP) is poor. The study aimed to identify promising biomarkers for predicting the occurrence and survival outcome of SAP patients.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Two hundred and forty AP patients were retrospectively recruited, in which 72 cases with SAP. Blood test was done for collection of laboratory indicators. After treatment, the mortality of patients was recorded.

RESULTS

Patients in the SAP group had higher intensive care unit admissions and longer hospital stays (p < .001). Among laboratory parameters, significantly high values of C-reactive protein (CRP), triglycerides and glucose (TyG) index, Von willebrand factor antigen (vWF:Ag) and D-dimer were found in SAP groups relative to non-SAP ones. Receiver operating characteristic curve indicated the good performance of CRP, TyG index, vWF:Ag and D-dimer in SAP diagnosis. Among all SAP cases, 51 survived while 21 died. TyG index (odds ratio [OR] = 6.914, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 1.193-40.068, p = .028), vWF:Ag (OR = 7.441, 95% CI = 1.236-244.815, p = .028), and D-dimer (OR = 7.987, 95% CI = 1.251-50.997, p = .028) were significantly related to survival outcome of SAP patients by multiple logistic regression analysis. Both TyG index and vWF showed favorable efficiency in predicting overall prognosis. The area under the curve for the multivariate model (PRE = -35.908 + 2.764 × TyG + 0.021 × vWF:Ag) was 0.909 which was greater than 0.9, indicating its excellent performance in prognosis prediction.

CONCLUSION

CRP, TyG index, vWF:Ag, and D-dimer values on admission may be potential clinical predictors of the development of SAP. Moreover, TyG index and vWF:Ag may be helpful to predict survival outcome.

Factors affecting the time interval of endoscopic ultrasound-guided endoscopic necrosectomy of walled-off pancreatic necrosis: A retrospective single-center study in China

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Endoscopic ultrasound (EUS)-guided endoscopic necrosectomy is an effective and minimally invasive treatment for walled-off pancreatic necrosis (WON). This study investigated the factors affecting the time interval of EUS-guided WON necrosectomy.

METHODS

Patients who received EUS-guided necrosectomy in the Endoscopy Center of the First Affiliated Hospital of Chongqing Medical University in the past 5 years were retrospectively analyzed. Data including general information, etiology, blood biochemical indexes, physical signs, CT severity grade, location, size, solid necrotic ratio, type and number of stents, and immediate necrosectomy were collected to explore the relationships between these factors and the interval of endoscopic necrosectomy.

RESULTS

A total of 51 WON patients were included. No significant correlation has been noted between the endoscopic debridement interval and the following indexes, including the patients' general information, the etiology of pancreatitis, blood biochemical indexes (leukocyte count, neutrophil percentage, C-reactive protein), preoperative fever, and WON's location and size, type and number of stents, and whether immediate necrosectomy. However, there were significant differences between the debridement interval and the modified CT Severity Index (MCTSI) (p < 0.001), the solid necrotic ratio of WON (p < 0.001) before the intervention, postoperative fever (p = 0.038), C-reactive protein increasing (p = 0.012) and fever before reintervention (p = 0.024).

CONCLUSIONS

The EUS-measured solid necrotic ratio, the MCTSI, postoperative fever, C-reactive protein increase, and fever before reintervention in patients affect the time interval of EUS-guided endoscopic necrosectomy in WON patients. These five indicators may be promisingly effective in predicting and managing endoscopic necrosectomy intervals.

Association between serum creatinine to albumin ratio and short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the intensive care unit: a retrospective analysis based on the MIMIC-IV database

Background

Serum creatinine (Cr) and albumin (Alb) are important predictors of mortality in individuals with various diseases, including acute pancreatitis (AP). However, most previous studies have only examined the relationship between single Cr or Alb levels and the prognosis of patients with AP. To our knowledge, the association between short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with AP and the blood creatinine to albumin ratio (CAR) has not been investigated. Therefore, this study aimed to evaluate the short- and long-term relationships between CAR and all-cause mortality in patients with AP.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study utilizing data from the Medical Information Market for Intensive Care (MIMIC-IV) database. The study involved analyzing various mortality variables and obtaining CAR values at the time of admission. The X-tile software was used to determine the optimal threshold for the CAR. Kaplan-Meier (K-M) survival curves and multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess the relationship between CAR and both short- and long-term all-cause mortality. The predictive power, sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve (AUC) of CAR for short- and long-term mortality in patients with AP after hospital admission were investigated using Receiver Operating Characteristic analysis. Additionally, subgroup analyses were conducted.

Results

A total of 520 participants were included in this study. The CAR ideal threshold, determined by X-tile software, was 0.446. The Cox proportional hazards model revealed an independent association between CAR≥0.446 and all-cause mortality at 7-day (d), 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-year (y) before and after adjustment for confounders. K-M survival curves showed that patients with CAR≥0.446 had lower survival rates at 7-d, 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-y. Additionally, CAR demonstrated superior performance, with higher AUC values than Cr, Alb, serum total calcium, Glasgow Coma Scale, Systemic Inflammatory Response Syndrome score, and Sepsis-related Organ Failure Assessment score at 7-d, 14-d, 21-d, 28-d, 90-d, and 1-y intervals. Subgroup analyses showed that CAR did not interact with a majority of subgroups.

Conclusion

The CAR can serve as an independent predictor for short- and long-term all-cause mortality in patients with AP. This study enhances our understanding of the association between serum-based biomarkers and the prognosis of patients with AP.

Neutrophil-Creatinine Index: A New Prognostic Factor for Severity of Acute Pancreatitis

Background and Objectives: Determining the severity of acute pancreatitis (AP) is the main goal in the early stage of AP. The aim of this study was to compare laboratory parameters and indices, including the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and the neutrophil-creatinine index (NCI), at admission in order to predict the severity of AP. Materials and Methods: Data from 421 patients who were admitted with a diagnosis of AP were collected retrospectively. Disease severity was assessed using the Bedside Index of Severity in Acute Pancreatitis (BISAP) and the revised Atlanta classification (RAC). BISAP was graded as mild and severe, and RAC was graded as mild (MAP), moderately severe (MSAP), and severe (SAP). The laboratory parameters and indices, including the NLR and NCI, were compared. Results: Of the patients, 70 (16.6%) had severe AP according to BISAP; the AP subgroups according to the RAC were as follows: MAP (n = 213), MSAP (n = 158), and SAP (n = 50). The NCI had the highest area under the receiver operator characteristic (AUROC) curve value (0.862), demonstrating severe disease according to BISAP, with a sensitivity of 78.6% and a specificity of 79.8%. Age (OR:1.046), white blood cell count (WBC) (OR:1.141), hematocrit (OR:1.081), blood urea nitrogen (BUN) (OR:1.040), and NCI (OR:1.076) were independently associated with severe disease, according to the multivariate analysis results, and were determined as components of the newly developed nomogram. The AUROC of the nomogram (0.891) was superior to the AUROCs of all the components of the nomogram except the NCI. Moreover, the NCI was the only parameter to distinguish MSAP from MAP (OR:1.119, 95% CI: 1.015-1.235, p = 0.023) and SAP from MSAP (OR:1.095, 95% CI: 1.031-1.162, p = 0.003). Conclusions: The present study enabled the identification of the neutrophil-creatinine index as a new prognostic tool for the assessment of AP severity at hospital admission.

Predictive Significance of the Preoperative Neutrophil-lymphocyte Ratio for Recurrence in Idiopathic Granulomatous Mastitis Patients

BACKGROUND

To investigate and assess the correlation between inflammatory markers, such as the preoperative neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and the recurrence of idiopathic granulomatous mastitis (IGM).

METHODS

All patients with IGM who were free of malignancy or inflammatory diseases were included in this retrospective analysis between January 2013 and December 2019. On the basis of the presence or absence of recurrence, the patients were split into two groups. After collecting retrospective data, the relationship between patient characteristics, hematological markers such as C-reactive protein (CRP), erythrocyte sedimentation rate (ESR), NLR, platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), and white blood cell count (WBC), and their connection with postoperative recurrence were assessed utilizing univariate and multivariate analyses, receiver operating characteristic curves (ROC curves), and logistic regression.

RESULTS

Recurrences occurred in 40.0% (32/80) of the 80 patients over a median follow-up duration of 35.5 months (22.0-47.8 months). The recurrent group showed higher NLR and CRP than the non-recurrent group (PNLR = .003, PCRP = .02). Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio and postoperative recurrence were associated (correlation coefficient r = .436, P = .01). The ROC curve's ideal threshold, which had predictive value for IGM recurrence, was 2.18 (sensitivity: 46.9%; specificity: 14.6%).

CONCLUSION

The preoperative NLR is a simple and affordable way to predict IGM relapse, which is important for directing clinical work.

Clinical value of BISAP score combined with CRP and NLR in evaluating the severity of acute pancreatitis

To investigate the clinical value of bedside index for severity in acute pancreatitis (BISAP) score combined with serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting the severity of early acute pancreatitis. A total of 113 patients with acute pancreatitis admitted to the Department of Gastroenterology, Second Affiliated Hospital of Nantong University from September 2019 to September 2022 were retrospectively collected and divided into mild acute pancreatitis group (51 cases), moderately severe acute pancreatitis group (32 cases) and severe acute pancreatitis group (30 cases) according to the severity of the disease. The general clinical data, laboratory test indicators, and imaging data within 72 hours were collected and compared among the 3 groups. The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of BISAP score, BISAP combined with CRP, BISAP combined with NLR, and BISAP combined with CRP and NLR in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis were analyzed by receiver operating characteristic curve. 1. BISAP score (0.9608 ± 0.1119, 1.688 ± 0.1225, 2.6 ± 0.1135), CRP (74.77 ± 8.336, 142.9 ± 11.44, 187.6 ± 13.04), and NLR (8.063 ± 0.7781, 13.69 ± 1.023, 18.06 ± 1.685) increased sequentially in mild acute pancreatitis group, moderately severe acute pancreatitis group, and severe acute pancreatitis group, and the differences in BISAP score, CRP and NLR among the 3 groups were statistically significant (P < .05). BISAP score was positively correlated with CRP and NLR (R = 0.5062, 0.5247, P < .05). The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of BISAP score, CRP, NLR, BISAP combined with NLR, and BISAP combined with CRP in predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis were 0.885, 0.814, 0.714, 0.953, respectively. The specificity and sensitivity of combined diagnosis were higher than those of BISAP score or CRP and NLR alone. BISAP score combined with CRP and NLR can effectively evaluate the severity of acute pancreatitis, and their combination has a higher predictive value for early severity assessment.

Prognostic potential of inflammatory markers, oxidative status, thrombocyte indices, and renal biochemical markers in neonatal calf diarrhoea-induced systemic inflammatory response syndrome

The study aimed to assess the prognostic value of inflammatory markers, indicators of oxidative stress, thrombocyte indices, and renal biochemical markers in neonatal calf diarrhoea (NCD) induced by systemic inflammatory response syndrome (SIRS) upon admission. A prospective, observational, and case-control study was conducted on 56 calves diagnosed with NCD. Mean concentrations of interleukin-6 (IL-6), malondialdehyde (MDA), glutathione (GSH), mean platelet volume (MPV), platelet distribution width (PDW), blood urea nitrogen (BUN), and creatinine (Crea) were measured. Furthermore, the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were also calculated for SIRS survivors [SIRS (survivor)] and non-survivors [SIRS (non-survivor)] induced by NCD. A prognostic cut-off value for predicting the prognosis of the SIRS's induced by NCD was obtained via receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis. Upon admission, the SIRS (non-survivor) calves had significantly higher (P < .001) average levels of IL-6, MDA, BUN, Crea, MPV, and PDW compared to the SIRS (survivor) calves and significantly lower (P < .001) average levels of GSH. Despite an apparent increase in the NLR and PLR values of calves diagnosed with SIRS, no significant difference was found between the survival and non-survivor SIRS cases. Positive predictive values (PPVs) for survival were determined as 100 %, 100 %, 80 %, 100 %, 80 %, and 80 %, respectively, using cut-off values of IL-6 (≤259.67 ng/L), MDA (≤2.87 nmol/mL), MPV (≤12.5 fL), PDW (≤34.25 %), BUN (≤168.3 mg/dL), and Crea (≤2.11 mg/dL). The determined threshold values are those obtained upon admission to the hospital. Based on the sensitivity, specificity, and PPVs derived from the ROC analysis, it has been concluded that IL-6, MDA, MPV, PDW, BUN, and Crea are the most relevant biomarkers used for predicting the prognosis of NCD-induced SIRS in calves. Furthermore, it is also noteworthy that IL-6 exhibited the highest effectiveness among all biomarkers.

NLR48 is Better Than CRP, and mCTSI, and Similar to BISAP and SOFA Scores for Mortality Prediction in Acute Pancreatitis: A Comparison of 6 Scores

Introduction

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been suggested as a reliable marker for predicting inflammation progression and severity of acute pancreatitis, although the role of the NLR stratified by etiology is still insufficiently studied. However, the NLR's role in mortality prediction was poorly evaluated in the literature.

Patients and Methods

We performed a retrospective, cross-sectional study to analyze the role of NLR0 (at admission) and NLR48 (at 48 hours) in acute pancreatitis as compared with CRP, BISAP, SOFA, and modified CTSI (mCTSI) for the prediction of mortality and severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) in patients admitted into the Emergency Clinical County Hospital of Craiova during 48 months. The primary assessed outcomes were the rate of in-hospital mortality, the rate of persistent organ failure, and ICU admissions. We analyzed mortality prediction for all acute pancreatitis, for biliary, alcoholic, and hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis, for severe forms, and for patients admitted to the ICU.

Results

A total of 725 patients were selected; 42.4% had biliary acute pancreatitis, 27.7% had alcoholic acute pancreatitis, and 8.7% had hypertriglyceridemia-induced acute pancreatitis. A total of 13.6% had POF during admission. The AUC for NLR48 in predicting mortality risk and SAP was 0.81 and 0.785, superior to NLR0, CRP48, and mCTSI but inferior to BISAP and SOFA scores. The NLR48/NLR0 ratio did not add significantly to the accuracy. NLR0 and NLR48 performed poorly for mortality prediction in severe forms and in patients admitted to the ICU. NLR48 has good accuracy in our study for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

Conclusion

NLR48 was a good indicator in predicting mortality risk and severe forms in all patients with acute pancreatitis, but not of death in SAP and in patients admitted to ICU, with good accuracy for predicting death risk in biliary and alcoholic acute pancreatitis but not in hypertriglyceridemic acute pancreatitis.

The Predictive Value of Different Laboratory Indicators Based on the 2018 Tokyo Guidelines for the Severity of Acute Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the predictive value of different laboratory indicators for the severity of acute cholangitis (AC) according to the 2018 Tokyo Guidelines.

OBJECTIVES

We enrolled consecutive patients with a diagnosis of AC from June 2016 to May 2021. Serum procalcitonin (PCT) and C-reactive protein (CRP) levels, white blood cell counts, the neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio, and the platelet-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) were compared according to the severity of AC.

RESULTS

In total, 293 patients were enrolled in this study (mild, n = 172; moderate, n = 68; severe, n = 53). In receiver operating characteristic analyses, CRP was the best biomarker for differentiating mild and moderate AC (area under the curve [AUC] 0.66, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.58-0.74). PCT was the best biomarker for differentiating mild and severe AC (AUC 0.80, 95% CI 0.74-0.86). Blood culture was performed in 117 patients (39.93%), 53 of whom (45.30%) had positive results. Regarding blood culture positivity, PLR was most predictive (AUC 0.85, 95% CI 0.78-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

PCT can be used as a reliable predictor of severe AC. CRP was most predictive of moderate AC, whereas PLR was most predictive of blood culture positivity.

Association of lactate/albumin ratio with in-hospital mortality in ICU patients with acute respiratory failure: A retrospective analysis based on MIMIC-IV database

We aimed to investigate the association between the lactate/albumin ratio (LAR), and in-hospital mortality in critically ill patients with acute respiratory failure. This retrospective cohort study was conducted based on the medical information mart for intensive care-IV database, which included critically ill adult patients with acute respiratory failure whose primary endpoint was in-hospital death. The analyses included curve fitting, a logistic multivariate regression model, and subgroup analysis. In this study, 6028 intensive care unit patients with acute respiratory failure were analyzed. Of these, 1843 (30.57%) died. After adjusting for confounding factors, a nonlinear relationship between LAR and in-hospital mortality was observed, and the risk of death was found to decrease by 81% with a reduction of 1 unit of LAR when it was < 4.46. The association between LAR and in-hospital mortality was not statistically significant when LAR was > 4.46. Hence, the relationship between LAR and in-hospital mortality could only be observed when the LAR was < 4.46. There is a nonlinear relationship between LAR and the risk of in-hospital death in intensive care unit patients with acute respiratory failure, and there is a saturation effect.

Establishment and Validation of a Nomogram Prediction Model for the Severe Acute Pancreatitis

Background

Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) can progress to lung and kidney dysfunction, and blood clotting within 48 hours of its onset, and is associated with a high mortality rate. The aim of this study was to establish a reliable diagnostic prediction model for the early stage of severe pancreatitis.

Methods

The clinical data of patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis from October 2017 to June 2022 at the Shangluo Central Hospital were collected. The risk factors were screened by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) regression analysis. A novel nomogram model was then established by multivariable logistic regression analysis.

Results

The data of 436 patients with acute pancreatitis, 45 (10.3%) patients had progressed to SAP. Through univariate and LASSO regression analyses, the neutrophils (P <0.001), albumin (P < 0.001), blood glucose (P < 0.001), serum calcium (P < 0.001), serum creatinine (P < 0.001), blood urea nitrogen (P < 0.001) and procalcitonin (P = 0.005) were identified as independent predictive factors for SAP. The nomogram built on the basis of these factors predicted SAP with sensitivity of 0.733, specificity of 0.9, positive predictive value of 0.458 and negative predictive value of 0.967. Furthermore, the concordance index of the nomogram reached 0.889 (95% CI, 0.837-0.941), and the area under the curve (AUC) in receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) analysis was significantly higher than that of the APACHEII and ABISAP scoring systems. The established model was validated by plotting the clinical decision curve analysis (DCA) and clinical impact curve (CIC).

Conclusion

We established a nomogram to predict the progression of early acute pancreatitis to SAP with high discrimination and accuracy.

Prediction of Prognosis Acute Pancreatitis with Inflammatory Markers and Patient Characteristics Compared to the Scoring System: Real-Life Data

Objectives

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is an inflammatory disease with a high morbidity and mortality rate. It is one of the most common causes of hospitalization among gastrointestinal system diseases. Inflammatory and other factors that predict the severity of AP are very important for patient management. This study will analyze the factors associated with the severity of AP.

Methods

The sample consisted of 514 patients. Demographic characteristics, comorbid diseases, causes of AP, body mass index (BMI), tobacco use, blood at admission, amylase, lipase, leukocyte, neutrophil, lymphocyte, C-reactive protein (CRP), mean platelet volume, red cell distribution width, albumin, calcium, and CRP values at 48th h were recorded. The bedside index of severity in AP (BISAP), Ranson score, neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), and platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR) values was calculated and recorded. The relationship between these parameters and the severity of AP was analyzed according to the Atlanta classification.

Results

Participants had a mean age of 55±17.8 years. More than half the participants were women (n=272, 52.9%). Biliary causes were the most common etiological causes (n=299, 58.2%). Most participants had mild pancreatitis (n=416, 80.9%). The severity of AP was associated with tobacco use, high BMI, thrombocytosis, high NLR, high PLR, high 48th h CRP, hypoalbuminemia, hypocalcemia, aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (AST/ALT ratio), and high Ranson and BISAP scores.

Conclusion

Biochemical markers that give rapid results in the early period can provide information about the severity of AP. We may develop new scores by combining these parameters.

Neutrophil-lymphocyte Ratio Predicts Clinical Response to Percutaneous Transhepatic Biliary Drainage in Acute Cholangitis

BACKGROUND

Predicting response to biliary drainage is critical to stratify patients with acute cholangitis. Total leucocyte count (TLC) is one of the criteria for predicting the severity of cholangitis and is routinely performed. We aim to investigate the performance of neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in predicting clinical response to percutaneous transhepatic biliary drainage (PTBD) in acute cholangitis.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This retrospective study comprised consecutive patients with acute cholangitis who underwent PTBD and had serial (baseline, day 1, and day 3) TLC and NLR measurements. Technical success, complications of PTBD, and clinical response to PTBD (based on multiple outcomes) were recorded. Univariate and multivariate analysis was performed to identify factors significantly associated with clinical response to PTBD. The sensitivity, specificity, and area under the curve of serial TLC and NLR for predicting clinical response to PTBD were calculated.

RESULTS

Forty-five patients (mean age 51.5 years, range 22-84) met the inclusion criteria. PTBD was technically successful in all the patients. Eleven (24.4%) minor complications were recorded. Clinical response to PTBD was recorded in 22 (48.9%) patients. At univariate analysis, the clinical response to PTBD was significantly associated with baseline TLC (P = 0.035), baseline NLR (P = 0.028), and NLR at day 1 (P=0.011). There was no association with age, the presence of comorbidities, prior endoscopic retrograde cholangiopancreatography, admission to PTBD interval, diagnosis (benign vs. malignant), severity of cholangitis, organ failure at baseline, and blood culture positivity. At multivariate analysis, NLR-1 independently predicted the clinical response. Area under the curve of NLR at day 1 for predicting clinical response was 0.901. NLR-1 cut-off value of 3.95 was associated with sensitivity and specificity of 87% and 78%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

TLC and NLR are simple tests that can predict clinical response to PTBD in acute cholangitis. NLR-1 cut-off value of 3.95 can be used in clinical practice to predict response.

High Triglyceride-Glucose Index Is Associated with Poor Prognosis in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a common gastrointestinal disease worldwide. Severe acute pancreatitis (SAP) is characterized as persistent organ failure with a mortality rate as high as 20-30%. Early assessment of the severity and screening out possible SAP is of great significance. Given that there is still a lack of both convenient and practical tools for evaluating SAP, we conducted this study to explore the association between TyG index and acute pancreatitis prognosis.

METHODS

A total of 353 in-patients diagnosed with acute pancreatitis in the Second Hospital of Shandong University were retrospectively enrolled from January 2018 to November 2021 in this study. According to the Atlanta Classification, they were divided into two groups based on the AP severity. Demographic information and clinical materials were retrospectively collected. The TyG index calculation formula is as follows: ln [fasting triglycerides (mg/dL) × fasting plasma glucose (mg/dL)/2]. Statistical analyses were performed using SPSS software (IBM version 22.0) and Medcalc software. Multivariable logistic regression analyses were used to investigate independent predictors for SAP. ROC curve was plotted to assess the predictive ability and cutoffs of TyG index.

RESULTS

A total of 353 AP patients were respectively enrolled in this study, of which 47 suffered from SAP. Compared with the non-SAP group, TyG index was significantly higher in the SAP group (10.44 ± 1.55 vs 9.33 ± 1.44, P < 0.001). Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that TyG index was an independent risk factor for SAP (OR 1.835, 95% CI 1.380-2.442 P < 0.001), with a cutoff of 8.76 for non-HTG/AAP and 11.81 for HTG/AAP by ROC curve. TyG index of patients who suffered from SIRS, OF, APFC, and ANC was higher than those without (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

The triglyceride-glucose index is an independent risk factor for SAP. High TyG index is closely related to SAP and AP-related complications.

Association between lactate-to-albumin ratio and 28-days all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis: A retrospective analysis of the MIMIC-IV database

Objective

The Lactate-to-Albumin Ratio (LAR) has been applied as a new predictor in sepsis, heart failure, and acute respiratory failure. However, the role of LAR in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with acute pancreatitis has not been evaluated. Therefore, this study aimed to elucidate the correlation between LAR and 28-d all-cause mortality in patients with Acute Pancreatitis (AP).

Methods

This study is a retrospective cohort study with the data from the MIMIC-IV (v1.0) database. We included adult patients with acute pancreatitis who were admitted to the intensive care unit in the study. The primary outcome was to evaluate the ability of LAR to predict death at 28-d of hospital admission in patients with AP.

Results

A total of 539 patients with acute pancreatitis were included in this study. They were divided into a survival group (486 patients) and a death group (53 patients) according to whether they survived within 28-d of admission, and the mortality rate of patients within 28-d of admission was 9.8%. LAR was shown to be an independent predictor of all-cause mortality within 28-d of admission in patients with AP by multivariate COX regression analysis (HR, 1.59; 95% CI, 1.23 - 2.05; P < 0.001). the Area Under the Curve (AUC) value for LAR was 74.26% (95% CI: 67.02% - 81.50%), which was higher than that for arterial blood lactate (AUC = 71.25%) and serum albumin (AUC = 65.92%) alone. It was not inferior even when compared to SOFA (AUC = 75.15%). The optimal cutoff value for separating the survival and death groups according to Receiver Operating Characteristic (ROC) was found to be 1.1124. plotting Kaplan-Meier analysis with this cutoff value showed that patients with LAR ≥ 1.1124 had significantly higher all-cause mortality within 28-d of admission than those with LAR < 1.1124 (P < 0.001). The final subgroup analysis showed no significant interaction of LAR with each subgroup (P for interaction: 0.06 - 0.974).

Conclusion

LAR can be used as an independent predictor of all-cause mortality in AP patients within 28-d of admission, with superior prognostic performance than arterial blood lactate or serum albumin alone.

Progression of lipase activity and pancreatic lipase immunoreactivity in dogs hospitalized for acute pancreatitis and correlation with clinical features

BACKGROUND

Lipase activity and pancreatic lipase immunoreactivity (PLI) have not been compared in dogs hospitalized for acute pancreatitis (AP).

OBJECTIVES

To describe the progression of lipase activity and PLI, and correlations with clinicopathologic features in dogs with AP.

ANIMALS

Thirty-nine dogs with AP based on clinical signs and lipase activity >350 U/L (reference interval [RI], 24-108 U/L).

METHODS

Retrospective study. Lipase activity (LIPC Roche), PLI (SpecPL), and clinical signs were recorded daily. Admission (d1) data (clinical, laboratory, and ultrasound [US] findings), and clinical signs during hospitalization (d2-d3) were assessed for correlation with lipases.

RESULTS

Median (range) duration of clinical signs before presentation was 2 days (1-7 days). Median (range) lipase activity and PLI at d1 were 1070 U/L (range, 357-1500 U/L) and 1111 μg/L (range, 292-1500 μg/L). Strong correlation between assays at d1 (r_s 0.96; P < .0001; n = 39), remained equally strong on d2 (r_s 0.964; P < .0001; n = 39), and d3 (r_s 0.966; P < .0001; n = 22). On d2, lipase activity and PLI were within RI in 13/39 (33%) and 18/39 (46%) of cases. Lipase activities were minimally increased (median, 124 U/L) in 5 dogs with d2 PLI <200 μg/L. On d3, 4 more dogs had normal lipase activity and PLI, and the nature and magnitude of change were always the same for both assays. Clinical signs were not associated with lipases. Only a hyperechoic mesentery, but not an US diagnosis of AP, correlated significantly with lipase activity and PLI.

CONCLUSIONS AND CLINICAL IMPORTANCE

Lipase decreases rapidly to near or within RI within 2 days of treatment in the majority of dogs with AP. Both lipase assays yielded virtually identical results. Mesenteric echogenicity may be an early marker of AP in dogs.

Limited value of neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and serum creatinine as point-of-care biomarkers of disease severity and infection mortality in patients hospitalized with COVID-19

INTRODUCTION

In hospitalized COVID-19, neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and serum creatinine is sometimes measured under assumption they predict disease severity and mortality. We determined the potential value of NLR and serum creatinine as predictors of disease severity and mortality in COVID-19.

METHODS

Prospective cohort study of COVID-19 patients admitted to premier COVID-19 treatment hospitals in Ethiopia. Predictive capability of biomarkers in progression and prognosis of COVID-19 was analyzed using receiver operating characteristics. Survival of COVID-19 patients with different biomarker levels was computed. Logistic regression assessed associations between disease severity and mortality on NLR and serum creatinine adjusted for odds ratio (AOR).

RESULTS

The study enrolled 126 adults with severe (n = 68) or mild/moderate (n = 58) COVID-19, with median age 50 [interquartile range (IQR 20-86)]; 57.1% males. The NLR value was significantly higher in severe cases [6.68 (IQR 3.03-12.21)] compared to the mild/moderate [3.23 (IQR 2.09-5.39)], with the NLR value markedly associated with disease severity (p<0.001). Mortality was higher in severe cases [13 (19.1%)] compared to mild/moderate cases [2 (3.4%)] (p = 0.007). The NLR value was significantly higher in non-survivors [15.17 (IQR 5.13-22.5)] compared to survivors [4.26 (IQR 2.40-7.90)] (p = 0.002). Serum creatinine was significantly elevated in severe cases [34 (50%)] compared with mild/moderate [11 (19%)] (p<0.001). Disease severity [AOR 6.58, 95%CI (1.29-33.56), p = 0.023] and NLR [AOR 1.07, 95%CI (1.02-1.12), p = 0.004)] might be associated with death. NLR had a sensitivity and specificity of 69.1% and 60.3% as predictor of disease severity (cut-off >4.08), and 86.7% and 55.9% as prognostic marker of mortality (cut-off >4.63).

CONCLUSION

In COVID-19, NLR is a biomarker with only modest accuracy for predicting disease severity and mortality. Still, patients with NLR >4.63 are more likely to die. Monitoring of this biomarker at the earliest stage of the disease may predict outcome. Additionally, high creatinine seems related to disease severity and mortality.

Neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio and in-hospital mortality among patients with SARS-CoV-2: A retrospective study

The goal of this study was to investigate in-hospital mortality in patients suffering from acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) relative to the neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and to determine if there are gender disparities in outcome. Between February 26 and September 8, 2020, patients having SARS-CoV-2 infection were enrolled in this retrospective cohort research, which was categorized by NLR levels ≥9 and < 9. In total, 6893 patients were involved included of whom6591 had NLR <9, and 302 had NLR ≥9. The age of most of the patients in the NLR<9 group was 50 years, on the other hand, the age of most of the NLR ≥9 group patients was between 50 and 70 years. The majority of patients in both groups were male 2211 (66.1%). The ICU admission time and mortality rate for the patients with NLR ≥9 was significantly higher compared to patients with NLR <9. Logistic regression's outcome indicated that NLR ≥9 (odds ratio (OR), 24.9; 95% confidence interval (CI): 15.5–40.0; p < 0.001), male sex (OR, 3.5; 95% CI: 2.0–5.9; p < 0.001) and haemoglobin (HB) (OR, 0.95; 95% CI; 0.94–0.96; p < 0.001) predicted in-hospital mortality significantly. Additionally, Cox proportional hazards analysis (B = 4.04, SE = 0.18, HR = 56.89, p < 0.001) and Kaplan–Meier survival probability plots also indicated that NLR>9 had a significant effect on mortality. NLR ≥9 is an independent predictor of mortality(in-hospital) among SARS-CoV-2 patients.

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The main finding of this study is that NLR is an autonomous predictor of in-hospital mortality in patients with SARS-CoV-2.

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Fatality in SARS-CoV-2 patients with NLR >9 was 25 times higher than that in patients with NLR <9.

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Patients with NLR >9, the average length of ICU stay was higher.

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Mortality rate in males was high compared to females with NLR>9.

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict postoperative delirium in type B aortic dissection patients underwent thoracic endovascular aortic repair

Objective

Postoperative delirium (POD) is a common postoperative complication after cardiovascular surgery with adverse outcomes. No prediction tools are currently available for assessing POD in the type B aortic dissection (TBAD) population. The purposes of this study were to develop and validate a nomogram for predicting POD among TBAD patients who underwent thoracic endovascular aortic repair (TEVAR).

Methods

The retrospective cohort included 631 eligible TBAD patients who underwent TEVAR from January 2019 to July 2021. 434 patients included before 2021 were in the develop set; 197 others were in the independent validation set. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) and logistic regression were applied to identify the most useful predictive variables for constructing the nomogram. Discrimination and the agreement of the model was assessed with the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), Brier score and the Hosmer-Lemeshow goodness-of-fit test. The results were validated using a bootstrap resampling and the validation set.

Results

The incidence rate of POD observed in the development and validation cohort were 15.0% and 14.2%, respectively. Seven independent risk factors, including age ≥60 years, syncope or coma, postoperative blood transfusion, atelectasis, estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) &lt;80 ml/min/1.73 m2, albumin &lt;30 g/L, and neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio, were included in the nomogram. The model showed a good discrimination with an AUC of 0.819 (95% CI, 0.762–0.876) in the developed set, and adjusted to 0.797 (95% CI, 0.735–0.849) and 0.791 (95% CI, 0.700–0.881) in the internal validation set and the external validation, respectively. Favorable calibration of the nomogram was confirmed in both the development and validation cohorts.

Conclusion

The nomogram based on seven readily available predictors has sufficient validity to identify POD risk in this population. This tool may facilitate targeted initiation of POD preventive intervention for healthcare providers.

The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio: A potential predictor of poor prognosis in adult patients with trauma and traumatic brain injury

Purpose

This study aimed to determine the prognostic impact of the neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) in critically ill trauma patients.

Methods

This retrospective study involved adult trauma patients from 335 intensive care units (ICUs) at 208 hospitals stored in the eICU database. The primary outcome was ICU mortality. The lengths of ICU and hospital stay were calculated as the secondary outcomes. The multivariable logistic regression model was used to identify independent predictors of mortality. To identify the effect of the NLR on survival, a 15-day survival curve was used.

Results

A total of 3,865 eligible subjects were enrolled in the study. Univariate analysis showed that patients in the group with a higher NLR were more likely to receive aggressive methods of care delivery: mechanical ventilation, vasopressor, and antibiotics ( P < 0.001 for all). The ICU, in-hospital, and 15-day mortality rates of the four groups increased in turn (P < 0.001 for all). The multivariable logistic Cox regression model indicated that a higher NLR was an independent risk factor of ICU mortality in trauma patients. ROC analysis showed that the NLR had better predictive capacity on the mortality of patients with traumatic brain injury (TBI) than those with trauma (AUC 0.725 vs. 0.681). An NLR > 7.44 was an independent risk factor for ICU death in patients with TBI (OR: 1.837, 95% CI: 1.045–3.229) and TBI victims whose NLR > 7.44 had a 15-day survival disadvantage (P = 0.005).

Conclusion

A high NLR is associated with a poor prognosis in trauma patients, even worse in patients with TBI. An NLR > 7.44 is an independent risk factor for death in patients with TBI.

Identification of Early Derangements of Coagulation, Hematological and Biochemical Profiles in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis (AP) is a severe disease involving various pathological processes. We aimed to use rapid -thromboelastography (r-TEG) combined with conventional coagulation assays (CCAs) and other laboratory tests, to identify early derangements in coagulation, hematological, and biochemical profiles in patients with AP.

METHODS

We enrolled 177 patients diagnosed with AP and 121 controls. Blood samples were analyzed using r-TEG, CCAs, and hematological and biochemical tests within 2 h of patient admission. All testing parameters were compared between the patients and the controls. Pearson's correlation coefficient was used to determine the correlation between the parameters among the patients. Logistic regression analysis was performed to evaluate the effects of the variables (demographic, coagulation, hematological and biochemical) on AP.

RESULTS

Using r-TEG and CCAs, we observed differences in coagulation parameters between the patients with AP and the controls. The r-TEG results showed a pro-coagulant state and increased platelet activation in AP patients. Pearson's correlation analysis showed that inflammatory indicators were strongly correlated with coagulation/platelets in the pathological process of AP. Logistic regression analysis revealed that age, K, neutrophil (NEUT), triglyceride (TG) and blood amylase (AMY) were significantly associated with the development of AP.

CONCLUSION

Coagulation profile and platelet play essential roles in the pathogenesis of AP. Pro-coagulant state and increased platelet activation in patients with AP were demonstrated using r-TEG. The r-TEG parameter K, age, NEUT, TG, and AMY may be used as potential indicators of AP.

Systemic Inflammation Response Index and Systemic Immune Inflammation Index Are Associated with Clinical Outcomes in Patients with Acute Pancreatitis?

OBJECTIVES

The inflammatory response is critically important in acute pancreatitis (AP). Systemic immune-inflammation (SII) index and systemic inflammation response index (SIRI), which are novel inflammatory markers, have been linked to determining outcomes in various diseases. The goal of the current study was to examine the relation of the SII index and SIRI with disease severity and acute kidney injury (AKI) in subjects with AP.

METHODS

A total of 332 subjects with AP were analyzed retrospectively. SII index was calculated using the formula; platelet (P)×neutrophil (N)/lymphocyte (L), while SIRI was calculated as N × monocyte (M)/L count. Multivariate regression (MR) was done to determine the independent risk factors for AKI and severe AP (SAP).

RESULTS

Statistical analyses showed that both median SII index and median SIRI increased gradually with higher AP severity (p < 0.001). Both SII index and SIRI were higher in subjects with AKI compared to controls (p < 0.001). Using MR analysis, the SII index was found to independently predict both SAP (OR = 1.004, 95% CI: 1.001-1.008, p = 0.018) and AKI (OR = 1.005, 95% CI: 1.003-1.008, p < 0.001). ROC analysis showed that the SII index could accurately differentiate SAP (AUC = 0.809, p < 0.001) and AKI (AUC = 0.820, p = 0.001) in patients with acute pancreatitis. ROC analysis also showed that SIRI could also accurately differentiate SAP (0.782, p < 0.001) and AKI (AUC = 0.776, p = 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

SIRI and the SII indexes can be used as potential biomarkers in predicting both disease severity and AKI development in subjects with AP.

Development and validation of a nomogram for early assessment the severity of acute pancreatitis

BACKGROUND

Acute pancreatitis is an acute inflammatory disorder of the pancreas, and severe acute pancreatitis is associated with high mortality. Early assessment the severity of AP has an important significance for improving clinical outcomes. Our object aimed to develop a nomogram with high simplicity and rapidity for predicting the severity of acute pancreatitis.

METHODS

Patients admitted to the Hunan Provincial People's Hospital within 72 h from onset of AP from January 2010 and December 2020 were enrolled to establish a nomogram. Independent predictors were determined using univariate and multivariate analysis and then assembled to construct a predicting nomogram. The performance of proposed nomogram was evaluated by Brier score and Harrell's concordance index (C-index). Meanwhile, clinical data of AP patients from January 2021 to January 2022 were collected for external validation.

RESULTS

Album (OR 0.891, 95%CI 0.867-0.917), calcium (OR 0.151, 95%CI 0.084-0.273), neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (OR 1.055, 95%CI 1.023-1.088) and systemic inflammatory response syndrome (OR 6.292, 95%CI 4.459-8.879) were identified as independent factors of SAP after univariate and multivariate analysis (p < .05). A predictive nomogram was accordingly established using these four independent variables. The internally verified C-index was 0.796 (95% CI 0.773-0.818), Brier score was 0.138. The externally verified C index was 0.820 (95% CI 0.754-0.887).

CONCLUSION

A nomogram for predicting the severity of AP was well developed, it may be of great significance for clinicians to quickly assess the progress of AP and choose more-targeted strategies.

Predictive Value of Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Marker in Antiresorptive Agent-Related Osteonecrosis of the Jaw: A Retrospective Analysis

Antiresorptive agent-related osteonecrosis of the jaw (ARONJ), a multifactorial disease, can drastically affect a patient’s quality of life. Moreover, disease progression to severe acute inflammation can hinder treatment. Therefore, we aimed to investigate the diagnostic value of the neutrophil−lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and platelet−lymphocyte ratio (PLR) in predicting the risk of acute inflammation in patients with ARONJ. In total, 147 patients with ARONJ were enrolled between 1 January 2011 and 31 December 2019. They were divided into two groups according to their baseline NLR (high NLR vs. low NLR) or PLR (high PLR vs. low PLR) to analyze the relationship between NLR and PLR and the outcomes of acute inflammatory events. An optimal NLR cut-off value of 2.83 was identified for hospitalization for an inflammatory event. Logistic regression analysis showed that NLR > 2.83 was associated with an increased risk of hospitalization for an inflammatory event. A PLR cut-off value of 165.2 was identified for hospitalization for an inflammatory event. However, logistic regression analysis showed that PLR > 165.2 was not significantly associated with hospitalization for an inflammatory event. Our study findings suggest that the NLR has diagnostic value in predicting the risk of hospitalization for inflammatory events among patients with ARONJ.

Association Between the Neutrophil-To-Lymphocyte Ratio and Diabetes Secondary to Exocrine Pancreatic Disorders

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus among patients with exocrine pancreatic disorders is commonly known to be associated with chronic inflammation, including chronic pancreatitis and pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC). The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) is a novel marker that indicates the presence of various chronic inflammatory diseases, including type 2 diabetes (T2DM). However, no studies have examined the relationship between the NLR value and diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders.

AIM

To determine whether the NLR value is associated with diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders.

METHODS

The medical data of subjects with confirmed pancreatic disease who were admitted to the Department of Pancreatic Surgery of our institution from August 2017 to October 2021 were obtained from the database and retrospectively analyzed. Anthropometric measures, laboratory data, including HbA1c, fasting insulin, and fasting C-peptide levels and the inflammatory index (white blood cell count, NLR, platelet-to-lymphocyte ration, monocyte-to-lymphocyte ratio) were recorded. The NLR is the ratio of neutrophils to lymphocytes. A homeostasis model (HOMA-B and HOMA-IR) was used to measure beta-cell dysfunction and insulin resistance.

RESULTS

The NLR values of the diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders group were significantly higher than those of the nondiabetic group (P=0.001). In multivariate logistic regression, after adjusting for covariates, high NLR values were found to be an independent risk factor for diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders (OR: 1.37, 95% CI: 1.138-1.649, P=0.001). According to Spearman correlation analysis, the NLR was significantly correlated with fasting plasma glucose levels (P<0.0001) and HOMA2-IR values (P=0.02).

CONCLUSION

The NLR inflammation marker was significantly higher in subjects with diabetes secondary to exocrine pancreatic disorders and was associated with insulin resistance. NLR values may be reliable predictive markers for diabetes among patients with exocrine pancreatic disorders.

Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio as a Predictor of Disease Severity and Mortality in Coronavirus Disease 2019: Prospective Study From Central India

Background: Clinical presentation of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) varies from an asymptomatic state to severe disease characterized by acute respiratory distress syndrome, respiratory failure, thrombosis, and multi-organ dysfunction syndrome. The neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been reviewed as one of the laboratory factors that have been proposed to predict the severity of disease and mortality in COVID-19 pandemic.

Aim and objectives: To evaluate the association between NLR and the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19.

Materials and methods: After approval from Institutional Ethics Committee, this prospective cohort study was carried out in a tertiary-care teaching medical institute of Central India. COVID-19 patients of the age group 18 years and above admitted during the study period were included. Cases were categorized into four groups as asymptomatic (Group A), mild (Group B), moderate (Group C), and severe (Group D) based on clinical symptoms, respiratory rate, oxygen saturation, and chest imaging. NLR was calculated by doing a complete blood count at the time of hospitalization by the Mindray BC-6000 auto hematology analyzer. The outcome of the disease was classified as recovery and death during hospitalization. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was used to assess the ability of NLR at admission to predict severe COVID-19 or mortality. Ordinal regression analysis was used to assess the impact of NLR on disease severity and mortality.

Results: Mean NLR was significantly higher in the severe COVID-19 group as compared to the mild/moderate group and in deceased as compared to discharged cases. ROC curve analysis revealed NLR to be an excellent predictor of disease severity as well as a prognostic parameter for risk of death. NLR was found to be a significant independent positive predictor for contracting the severe disease (Odd’s ratio 1.396, 95% CI=1.112-1.753, p=0.004) and mortality (Odd’s ratio 1.276, 95% CI=1.085-1.499, p=0.003).

Conclusion: High NLR was significantly associated with the disease severity and mortality in COVID-19.

Neutrophil-Lymphocyte Ratio in Patients with Hypertriglyceridemic Pancreatitis Predicts Persistent Organ Failure

BACKGROUND

The neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) has been proposed as a surrogate marker of inflammation with prognostic value in various diseases. Our objective was to investigate the predictive value of the NLR as an indicator of persistent organ failure (POF) in patients with hypertriglyceridemic pancreatitis (HTGP).

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed the data from patients with HTGP between 2016 and 2019. The NLR was obtained at admission. The diagnostic performance of the NLR for POF was evaluated by the area under the receiver operator characteristics curve (AUROC). Multivariate logistic regression determined whether elevated NLR was independently associated with POF.

RESULTS

Of the 446 patients enrolled, 89 (20.0%) developed POF. Patients with POF showed a significantly higher NLR than those without POF (P < 0.001). A positive trend for the association across increasing NLR quartiles and the incidence of POF was observed (P trend < 0.001). The AUROC of NLR to predict POF was 0.673 (95% confidence interval, 0.627-0.716). With a cut-off of NLR > 6.56, the sensitivity and specificity were 73.0% and 55.7%, respectively. Multivariate analysis suggested that high NLR (>6.56) was independently associated with POF (odds ratio, 2.580; 95% confidence interval, 1.439-4.626; P = 0.001). Patients with a high NLR (>6.56) had a worse overall clinical course in HTGP.

CONCLUSION

Elevated NLR was significantly associated with an increased risk of developing POF and could be an early independent predictor of POF in patients with HTGP.

Role of Platelet to Lymphocyte Ratio and Red Cell Distribution Width in Predicting Postoperative Complications in Patients with Acute Mesenteric Ischemia

BACKGROUND

The predictive values of the platelet to lymphocyte ratio (PLR) and red cell distribution width (RDW) have been demonstrated in different types of abdominal surgery. The aim of this study was to investigate the interest of the preoperative PLR and RDW as predictors of 30-day postoperative complications in patients with acute mesenteric ischemia (AMI).

METHODS

Clinical data of 105 AMI patients were retrospectively reviewed. Postoperative complications were evaluated by the Clavien-Dindo classification. The cutoff values for neutrophil to lymphocyte ratio (NLR), PLR, and RDW were determined by receiver operating characteristic curves. Univariate and multivariate analyses evaluating the risk factors for postoperative complications were performed.

RESULTS

In the univariate analyses, advanced age, female, anemia, high white blood cell (WBC), high PLR, high NLR, high RDW, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI) score ≥2, and bowel resection were associated with the postoperative complications. A multivariable analysis revealed that advanced age, high PLR, high RDW, and bowel resection were independent predictors of postoperative complications.

CONCLUSIONS

The PLR and RDW might play important roles in evaluation of the risk of postoperative complications in AMI patients. The preoperative PLR and RDW are simple and useful predictors of postoperative complications in AMI patients.