Associations of Abdominal Obesity and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in the General Population

Association between metabolically healthy obesity and atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of longitudinal studies

INTRODUCTION

Obesity is not a single diagnosis, and the association of 'metabolically unhealthy' obesity with cardiovascular disease is well-described. However, the relationship between metabolically healthy obesity (MHO) and atrial fibrillation (AF) is still debated.

OBJECTIVE

Our objective is to investigate the association between MHO and the risk of AF.

METHODS

A comprehensive search of databases, including PubMed, EMBASE, Web of Science, and the Cochrane Library regarding longitudinal studies of MHO and risk of AF was performed. Random effects were used to pool the effect estimates.

RESULTS

Nine cohort studies comprising 4,250,557 participants were included. The pooled results revealed that individuals with MHO were associated with a greater incidence of AF than those with a metabolically healthy normal weight (HR: 1.34, 95 % CI: 1.26 to 1.42) with moderate certainty according to the Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation assessment. Individuals with MHO were associated with a lower risk of AF compared with participants with metabolically unhealthy obesity (RR: 0.48, 95 % CI: 0.36 to 0.64). Individuals with MHO were not significantly associated with the risk of AF as compared to metabolically unhealthy normal weight (HR: 1.04, 95 % CI: 0.89 to 1.22).

CONCLUSION

MHO is associated with a greater incidence of AF, highlighting the importance of weight reduction in individuals without metabolic disorders in reducing the risk of AF.

REGISTRATION

PROSPERO - registration number CRD42023432195.

Waist circumference and body surface area and the risk of developing new-onset atrial fibrillation: A systematic review and meta-analysis of observational studies

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a prevalent cardiac arrhythmia with significant health consequences. Identifying modifiable risk factors, such as obesity, is crucial. While body mass index (BMI) is linked to increased AF risk, the association between new-onset AF (NOAF) and other anthropometric measures like waist circumference (WC) and body surface area (BSA) warrants further investigation.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to compare mean WC and BSA between individuals who developed NOAF and those who did not.

METHODS

We conducted a comprehensive search up to February 2024 for studies comparing mean WC and BSA in groups with and without incident NOAF. Participants had no prior AF history. We used a random-effects model to calculate standardized mean differences (SMDs) and 95 % confidence intervals (CIs). Subgroup analyses explored NOAF occurrence following coronary artery bypass graft (CABG) surgery, in the absence of any preceding procedure, and after other cardiac procedures.

RESULTS

Our analysis of 34 studies revealed that adults with NOAF had significantly higher WC (SMD = 0.20, 95 % CI 0.01; 0.39) and BSA (SMD = 0.06, 95 % CI 0.01; 0.11) compared to those without NOAF. Subgroup analysis showed a more pronounced association in individuals developing NOAF after CABG (SMD = 0.33, 95 % CI 0.17; 0.48) and in those without any prior procedure before NOAF diagnosis (SMD = 0.23, 95 % CI 0.08; 0.38) versus those without NOAF.

CONCLUSION

Higher WC and BSA appear to be significantly associated with an increased risk of NOAF, with the relations being more pronounced in specific subgroups.

Adequacy of Dialysis and Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation in Patients Undergoing Hemodialysis

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) can lead to stroke, heart failure, and mortality and has a greater prevalence in dialysis patients than in the general population. Several studies have suggested that uremic toxins may contribute to the development of AF. However, the association between dialysis adequacy and incident AF has not been well established.

METHODS

In this retrospective nationwide cohort study, we analyzed data from the Korean National Periodic Hemodialysis Quality Assessment from 2013 to 2015 of patients who received outpatient maintenance hemodialysis 3× a week. The main exposure was single pooled Kt/V (spKt/V), which is the dialysis adequacy index, and the primary outcome was the development of AF. For the primary analysis, patients were categorized into quartiles according to baseline spKt/V. The lowest quartile, representing the lowest adequacy, was used as the reference group. Fine-Gray subdistribution hazard models were used, treating all-cause mortality as a competing risk.

RESULTS

Of 25 173 patients, the mean age was 60 (51-69) years, and 14 772 (58.7%) were men. During a median follow-up of 5.7 years, incident AF occurred in a total of 3883 (15.4%) patients. Participants with a higher spKt/V tended to have lower AF incidence. In survival analysis, a graded association was observed between the risk of incident AF and spKt/V quartiles: subdistribution hazard ratios and 95% CIs for the second, third, and the highest quartile compared with the lowest quartile were 0.90 (95% CI, 0.82-0.98), 0.84 (95% CI, 0.77-0.93), and 0.79 (95% CI, 0.72-0.88), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

This nationwide cohort study showed that a higher spKt/V is associated with a reduced risk of incident AF. These findings suggests that reducing uremic toxin burden through enhanced dialysis clearance may be associated with a lower risk of AF development in patients undergoing maintenance hemodialysis.

Obesity effect on newly diagnosed and recurrent post-ablation atrial fibrillation: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The role of overweight and obesity in the development of atrial fibrillation (AF) is well established; however, the differential effect on the occurrence and recurrence of AF remains uncertain. The aim of this review is to compare the effect of underweight and varying degrees of obesity on onset of AF and in recurrent post-ablation AF, and, when possible, in relation to sex.

METHODS

A systematic literature search was conducted in PubMed, Embase, and Cochrane Library from inception to January 31, 2023. Studies reporting frequency of newly-diagnosed AF and of recurrent post-ablation AF in different BMI categories, were included. 3400 records were screened and 50 met the inclusion criteria. Standardized data search and abstraction were performed following the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) Statement. Data were extracted from the manuscripts and were analyzed using a random effect model. The outcome was the occurrence of AF in population studies and in patients undergoing ablation.

RESULTS

Data from 50 studies were collected, of which 27 for newly-diagnosed AF and 23 for recurrent post-ablation AF, for a total of 15,134,939 patients, of which 15,115,181 in studies on newly-diagnosed AF and 19,758 in studies on recurrent post-ablation AF. Compared to normal weight, the increase in AF was significant (p < 0.01) for overweight, obese, and morbidly obese patients for newly-diagnosed AF, and for obese and morbidly obese patients for recurrent post-ablation AF. Newly-diagnosed AF was more frequent in obese female than obese male patients.

CONCLUSION

The effect of increased BMI was greater on the onset of AF, and obese women were more affected than men.

Associations between waist circumference, central obesity, and the presence of non-valvular atrial fibrillation patients with heart failure

Background

Reportedly, there is a clear correlation between waist circumference (WC) and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, there is no specific discussion about the relationship between WC and non-valvular AF (NVAF) patients with heart failure. Our main purpose was to study the relationship between WC, central obesity (CO), and NVAF patients with heart failure.

Methods

This is a retrospective cohort study. A total of 3,435 patients with NVAF in the First Affiliated Hospital of Xinjiang Medical University from January 2015 to December 2017 were enrolled. The targeted independent variable and the dependent variable were WC and CO and the presence of NVAF with heart failure, respectively. Univariate, multiple regression, and subgroup analyses were used to analyze their relationship. We used the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve to choose the better predictor of NVAF with heart failure between WC and CO and calculated the proposed cut-off value of WC in males and female separately.

Results

The identified risk factors of NVAF with heart failure were sex, height, WC, CO, body mass index (BMI), fasting blood glucose (FBG), homocysteine (HCY), triglyceride (TG), low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDLC), hypertension, diabetes mellitus (DM), stroke, vascular disease, and plaque. Then, a binary logistic regression model indicated that the occurrence of NVAF patients with heart failure increased 10% with WC increasing 1 cm and had a 2.8-fold increased risk with CO compared to those without. The predictive value [area under the ROC curve (AUC)], specificity, sensitivity, and accuracy of WC for the disease risk of NVAF with heart failure were higher than those of CO. The proposed cut-off value of WC was 91.85 cm for males and 93.15 cm for females. The diagnostic value of WC for NVAF with heart failure was higher for females than it was for males.

Conclusions

Our research found that WC is related to the presence of heart failure in the patients with NYAF and can predict the presence of NVAF with heart failure. Our findings may help to improve the treatment and care strategies of NVAF individuals with abdominal obesity.

Genetically predicted waist circumference and risk of atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Observational studies have revealed an association between waist circumference (WC) and atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is difficult to infer a causal relationship from observational studies because the observed associations could be confounded by unknown risk factors. Therefore, the causal role of WC in AF is unclear. This study was designed to investigate the causal association between WC and AF using a two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) analysis.

METHODS

In our two-sample MR analysis, the genetic variation used as an instrumental variable for MR was acquired from a genome-wide association study (GWAS) of WC (42 single nucleotide polymorphisms with a genetic significance of P <5 × 10 -8 ). The data of WC (from the Genetic Investigation of ANthropometric Traits consortium, containing 232,101 participants) and the data of AF (from the European Bioinformatics Institute database, containing 55,114 AF cases and 482,295 controls) were used to assess the causal role of WC on AF. Three different approaches (inverse variance weighted [IVW], MR-Egger, and weighted median regression) were used to ensure that our results more reliable.

RESULTS

All three MR analyses provided evidence of a positive causal association between high WC and AF. High WC was suggested to increase the risk of AF based on the IVW method (odds ratio [OR] = 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.30-1.58, P = 2.51 × 10 -13 ). The results of MR-Egger and weighted median regression exhibited similar trends (MR-Egger OR = 1.40 [95% CI, 1.08-1.81], P = 1.61 × 10 -2 ; weighted median OR = 1.39 [95% CI, 1.21-1.61], P = 1.62 × 10 -6 ). MR-Egger intercepts and funnel plots showed no directional pleiotropic effects between high WC and AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that greater WC is associated with an increased risk of AF. Taking measures to reduce WC may help prevent the occurrence of AF.

Association between Obesity and Heart Failure and Related Atrial Fibrillation: Patient-Level Data Comparisons of Two Cohort Studies

PURPOSE

Heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, with over 50% patients with HF having AF, while one-third of those with AF develop HF. Differences in obesity-mediated association between HF and HF-related AF among Asians and Europeans were evaluated.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Using the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening (K-NHIS-HealS) cohort and the UK Biobank, we included 394801 Korean and 476883 UK adults, respectively aged 40-70 years. The incidence and risk of HF were evaluated based on body mass index (BMI).

RESULTS

The proportion of obese individuals was significantly higher in the UK Biobank cohort than in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (24.2% vs. 2.7%, p<0.001). The incidence of HF and HF-related AF was higher among the obese in the UK than in Korea. The risk of HF was higher among the British than in Koreans, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.82 [95% confidence interval (CI), 1.30-2.55] in K-NHIS-HealS and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.69-2.37) in UK Biobank in obese participants (p for interaction <0.001). A 5-unit increase in BMI was associated with a 44% greater risk of HF-related AF in the UK Biobank cohort (p<0.001) but not in the K-NHIS-HealS cohort (p=0.277).

CONCLUSION

Obesity was associated with an increased risk of HF and HF-related AF in both Korean and UK populations. The higher incidence in the UK population was likely due to the higher proportion of obese individuals.

Metabolic Syndrome and Atrial Fibrillation: Different Entities or Combined Disorders

Obesity, hypertension, insulin resistance, and dyslipidemia are all clusters of an entity called "Metabolic Syndrome". The global trends of this syndrome's incidence/prevalence continue to increase reciprocally, converting it into a massive epidemic problem in the medical community. Observing the risk factors of atrial fibrillation, a medical condition that is also converted to a scourge, almost all parts of the metabolic syndrome are encountered. In addition, several studies demonstrated a robust correlation between metabolic syndrome and the occurrence of atrial fibrillation. For atrial fibrillation to develop, a combination of the appropriate substrate and a trigger point is necessary. The metabolic syndrome affects the left atrium in a multifactorial way, leading to atrial remodeling, thus providing both the substrate and provoking the trigger needed, which possibly plays a substantial role in the progression of atrial fibrillation. Due to the remodeling, treatment of atrial fibrillation may culminate in pernicious sequelae, such as repeated catheter ablation procedures. A holistic approach of the patient, with simultaneous treatment of both entities, is suggested in order to ensure better outcomes for the patients.

Independent and joint associations of general and abdominal obesity with the risk of conventional adenomas and serrated polyps: A large population-based study in East Asia

Evidence regarding associations of general and abdominal obesity with the risk of conventional adenomas (ADs) and serrated polyps (SPs) from Asian population is scarce. Our study aimed to investigate the independent and joint associations of general obesity assessed by body mass index (BMI) and abdominal obesity assessed by waist circumference (WC) or waist-to-hip ratio (WHR) with the risk of ADs and SPs among 25 222 participants recruited by a population-based screening program. Compared to participants with normal BMI, those with a BMI ≥28 kg/m2 had increased risk of ADs (odds ratio [OR] 1.52, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.36-1.70) and SPs (OR 1.69, 95% CI: 1.38-2.07). For participants with a WC ≥102 cm (≥88 cm for females), the risk of ADs (OR 1.37, 95% CI: 1.25-1.51) and SPs (OR 1.81, 95% CI: 1.52-2.16) was higher than that of the reference group. For participants with a WHR ≥0.95 (≥0.90 for females), the risk of ADs (OR 1.26, 95% CI: 1.16-1.36) and SPs (OR 1.46, 95% CI: 1.26-1.69) was higher than that of the reference group. Moreover, participants with both BMI ≥28 kg/m2 and WC ≥102 cm (≥88 cm for females) had 61% and 119% higher risk of ADs (OR 1.61, 95% CI: 1.39-1.85) and SPs (OR 2.19, 95% CI: 1.70-2.82) compared to those with both normal BMI and WC. These findings indicate that both general and abdominal obesity are associated with SPs and ADs, presenting stronger association with SPs than ADs. Moreover, the association is more evident when both obesities exist.

Association of obesity with incident atrial fibrillation in Korea and the United Kingdom

Obesity has been linked to atrial fibrillation (AF) burden and severity, and epidemiological studies suggest that AF is more prevalent in whites than Asian. We aimed to investigate whether obesity mediates associations with AF in Europe and Asia using patient-level data comparisons of two cohort studies. Using Korean National Health Insurance Service's Health Screening (NHIS-HealS) and U.K. Biobank data, we included 401,206 Korean and 477,926 British aged 40-70 years without previous AF who received check-ups. The incidence and risk of AF were evaluated regarding different body mass index (BMI) values. The obese proportion (BMI ≥ 30.0 kg/m², 2.8% vs. 24.3%, P < 0.001) was higher in the U.K. than the Korean. In the Korean and U.K. cohort, the age- and sex-adjusted incidence rates of AF were 4.97 and 6.54 per 1000 person-years among obese individuals. Compared to Koreans, the risk of AF was higher in the British population, with adjusted hazard ratios of 1.41 (Korea, 95% CI 1.26-1.58) and 1.68 (UK, 95% CI 1.54-1.82) in obese participants (P for interaction < 0.05). Obesity was associated with AF in both populations. British subjects had a greater incidence of AF related to the high proportion of obese individuals, especially participants in the obesity category, the risk of AF also increased.

Cost-effectiveness of rhythm control strategy: Ablation versus antiarrhythmic drugs for treating atrial fibrillation in Korea based on real-world data

Background

Ablation-based treatment has emerged as an alternative rhythm control strategy for symptomatic atrial fibrillation (AF). Recent studies have demonstrated the cost-effectiveness of ablation compared with medical therapy in various circumstances. We assessed the economic comparison between ablation and medical therapy based on a nationwide real-world population.

Methods and findings

For 192,345 patients with new-onset AF (age ≥ 18 years) identified between August 2015 and July 2018 from the Korean Health Insurance Review and Assessment Service (HIRA) database, medical resource use data were collected to compare AF patients that underwent ablation (N = 2,131) and those administered antiarrhythmic drugs (N = 8,048). Subsequently, a Markov chain Monte Carlo model was built. The patients had at least one risk factor for stroke, and the base-case used a 20-year time horizon, discounting at 4.5% annually. Transition probabilities and costs were estimated using the present data, and utilities were derived from literature review. The costs were converted to US $ (2019). Sensitivity analyses were performed using probabilistic and deterministic methods. The net costs and quality-adjusted life years (QALY) for antiarrhythmic drugs and ablation treatments were $37,421 and 8.8 QALYs and $39,820 and 9.3 QALYs, respectively. Compared with antiarrhythmic drugs, incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of ablation was $4,739/QALY, which is lower than the willingness-to-pay (WTP) threshold of $32,000/QALY.

Conclusion

In symptomatic AF patients with a stroke risk under the age of 75 years, ablation-based rhythm control is potentially a more economically attractive option compared with antiarrhythmic drug-based rhythm control in Korea.

Artificial intelligence-estimated biological heart age using a 12-lead electrocardiogram predicts mortality and cardiovascular outcomes

Background

There is a paucity of data on artificial intelligence-estimated biological electrocardiography (ECG) heart age (AI ECG-heart age) for predicting cardiovascular outcomes, distinct from the chronological age (CA). We developed a deep learning-based algorithm to estimate the AI ECG-heart age using standard 12-lead ECGs and evaluated whether it predicted mortality and cardiovascular outcomes.

Methods

We trained and validated a deep neural network using the raw ECG digital data from 425,051 12-lead ECGs acquired between January 2006 and December 2021. The network performed a holdout test using a separate set of 97,058 ECGs. The deep neural network was trained to estimate the AI ECG-heart age [mean absolute error, 5.8 ± 3.9 years; R-squared, 0.7 (r = 0.84, p < 0.05)].

Findings

In the Cox proportional hazards models, after adjusting for relevant comorbidity factors, the patients with an AI ECG-heart age of 6 years older than the CA had higher all-cause mortality (hazard ratio (HR) 1.60 [1.42-1.79]) and more major adverse cardiovascular events (MACEs) [HR: 1.91 (1.66-2.21)], whereas those under 6 years had an inverse relationship (HR: 0.82 [0.75-0.91] for all-cause mortality; HR: 0.78 [0.68-0.89] for MACEs). Additionally, the analysis of ECG features showed notable alterations in the PR interval, QRS duration, QT interval and corrected QT Interval (QTc) as the AI ECG-heart age increased.

Conclusion

Biological heart age estimated by AI had a significant impact on mortality and MACEs, suggesting that the AI ECG-heart age facilitates primary prevention and health care for cardiovascular outcomes.

MicroRNA-205-5p plays a suppressive role in the high-fat diet-induced atrial fibrosis through regulation of the EHMT2/IGFBP3 axis

Objective

MicroRNAs (miRNAs) targeting has been revealed to be an appealing strategy for the treatment and management of atrial fibrillation (AF). In this research, we aimed to explore the mechanisms of miR-205-5p in reducing the high-fat diet (HFD)-induced atrial fibrosis through the EHMT2/IGFBP3 axis.

Methods

Expression levels of miR-205-5p, IGFBP3 and EHMT2 were determined in AF patients, cell fibrosis models and mouse atrial fibrosis models. Luciferase activity and RIP assays were performed to detect the binding between miR-205-5p and EHMT2, and ChIP assays were implemented to detect the enrichment of H3K9me2 and H3K4me3 in the promoter region of IGFBP3 in cells. The related experiments focusing on the inflammatory response, atrial fibrosis, mitochondrial damage, and metabolic abnormalities were performed to figure out the roles of miR-205-5p, IGFBP3, and EHMT2 in cell and mouse atrial fibrosis models.

Results

Low expression levels of miR-205-5p and IGFBP3 and a high expression of EHMT2 were found in AF patients, cell fibrosis models and mouse atrial fibrosis models. Upregulation of miR-205-5p reduced the expression of TGF-β1, α-SMA, Col III and other fibrosis-related proteins. miR-205-5p overexpression targeted EHMT2 to regulate the methylation of H3 histones to promote IGFBP3 expression, which in turn affected the fibrosis of atrial muscle cells. In HFD-induced atrial fibrosis mice, upregulated miR-205-5p or elevated IGFBP3 alleviated atrial fibrosis, mitochondrial damage, and metabolic abnormalities.

Conclusion

This study suggests that miR-205-5p attenuates HFD-induced atrial fibrosis via modulating the EHMT2/IGFBP3 axis.

Graphical Abstract

miR-205-5p alleviates high-fat diet-induced atrial fibrosis in mice via EHMT2/IGFBP3.

Elevated levels of body mass index and waist circumference, but not high variability, are associated with an increased risk of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Although obesity has been associated with risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), the associations of variability of obesity measures with AF risk are uncertain, and longitudinal studies among Chinese population are still lacking. We aimed to evaluate the impacts of obesity and variability of body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (WC) on the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) in a large Chinese cohort study.

METHODS

A total of 44,135 participants of the Kailuan Study who were free of cancer and cardiovascular disease and underwent three consecutive surveys from 2006 to 2010 were followed for incident AF until 2020. Average BMI and WC over time and variability were calculated. Cox proportional hazards regression models were used to assess hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the associations of obesity and variability in BMI and WC with AF risk.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 9.68 years, there were 410 cases of incident AF. In multivariable-adjusted models, compared with normal BMI/WC, individuals with general obesity and abdominal obesity had increased risk of AF, with corresponding HRs of 1.73 (95% CI: 1.31-2.30) and 1.38 (95% CI: 1.11-1.60), respectively. The short-term elevation in AF risk persisted for the obese even after adjustment for updated biologic intermediaries and weight. Variability in BMI and WC were not associated with the risk of AF. The restricted cubic spline models indicated significant linear relationships between levels of WC and BMI and risk of AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Elevated levels of BMI and WC were associated with an increased risk of AF, whereas variability in BMI and WC were not. Therefore, achieving optimal levels of BMI and WC could be valuable in AF prevention.

Body Mass Index and New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Acute Myocardial Infarction

Background

The "obesity paradox" has not been elucidated in the long-term outcomes in acute myocardial infarction (AMI) patients. This study sought to characterize the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (NOAF).

Methods

A total of 4282 participants free from AF at baseline were identified at Beijing Friendship Hospital. Baseline body mass index (BMI) was categorized into four groups. Incidence of NOAF was observed at the follow-up visits. The associations between different BMI categories and the incidence of NOAF were assessed by multivariate Cox regression analysis.

Results

Over a median follow-up period of 42.0 months, 4282 participants (age 62.7 ± 6.6 years, 38.7% women) were enrolled, 23.0% were BMI <23.0kg/m², 22.5% were 23.0-24.9 kg/m², 44.3% were 25.0-29.9 kg/m² and 10.2% were ≥30.0 kg/m². Compared with patients with the lowest BMI levels, those with BMI≥30 kg/m² showed a younger, higher inflammatory response and a larger left atrium and were more likely to be combined with traditional cardiovascular risk factors. After adjustment for confounding variables, compared to BMI ≥30 kg/m² group, patients with lower BMI (<23 kg/m²) significantly increased the risk of NOAF in AMI patients (HR 2.884, 95% CI 1.302-6.392). Moreover, the all-cause mortality and cardiac mortality in BMI <23.0kg/m² group was apparently higher than that in BMI≥30 kg/m² group after a long-term follow-up.

Conclusion

In this AMI cohort study, the present finding of an inverse association between BMI and risk of NOAF supports the "obesity paradox". Decreasing BMI was associated with an increased risk of NOAF.

Trial Registration

Prospective registered.

Lower number of modifiable risk factors was associated with reduced atrial fibrillation incidence in an 18-year prospective cohort study

Prevention strategies for atrial fibrillation (AF) are lacking. This study aimed to identify modifiable risk factors (MRFs) and estimate their impact on AF in the midlife general population. We assessed 9049 participants who were free of prevalent AF at baseline from the Korean Genome and Epidemiology Study. Cox models with time-varying assessment of risk factors were used to identify significant MRFs for incident AF. The MRF burden was defined as the proportion of visits with MRFs during follow-up. Over a median follow-up of 13.1 years, 182 (2.01%) participants developed AF. Three MRFs, including systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≥ 140 mmHg, obesity with central obesity, and an inactive lifestyle were significantly associated with incident AF. Among participants with 3, 2, 1, and 0 MRFs at baseline, 16 (3.9%), 51 (2.5%), 90 (1.8%) and 25 (1.5%) had incident AF, respectively. Compared to participants with three MRFs, those with one or no MRFs had a decreased risk of AF (hazard ratio [95% CI] for one MRF, 0.483 [0.256-0.914]; and for no MRF, 0.291 [0.145-0.583]). A decreasing MRF burden was associated with reduced AF risk (hazard ratio [95% CI] per 10% decrease in burden for SBP ≥ 140 mmHg, 0.937 [0.880-0.997]; for obesity with central obesity, 0.942 [0.907-0.978]; for inactivity, 0.926 [0.882-0.973]). Maintaining or achieving MRF ≤ 1 was associated with decreased AF risk, suggesting that minimizing the burden of MRF might help prevent AF.

Glycemic control and atrial fibrillation: an intricate relationship, yet under investigation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and diabetes mellitus (DM) constitute two major closely inter-related chronic cardiovascular disorders whose concurrent prevalence rates are steadily increasing. Although, the pathogenic mechanisms behind the AF and DM comorbidity are still vague, it is now clear that DM precipitates AF occurrence. DM also affects the clinical course of established AF; it is associated with significant increase in the incidence of stroke, AF recurrence, and cardiovascular mortality. The impact of DM on AF management and prognosis has been adequately investigated. However, evidence on the relative impact of glycemic control using glycated hemoglobin levels is scarce. This review assesses up-to-date literature on the association between DM and AF. It also highlights the usefulness of glycated hemoglobin measurement for the prediction of AF and AF-related adverse events. Additionally, this review evaluates current anti-hyperglycemic treatment in the context of AF, and discusses AF-related decision-making in comorbid DM. Finally, it quotes significant remaining questions and sets some future strategies with the potential to effectively deal with this prevalent comorbidity.

Relation of Abdominal Obesity to Risk of Atrial Fibrillation (From the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke [REGARDS] Study)

Our knowledge of the association between abdominal obesity (AO) and the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) after adjusting for body mass index (BMI) is limited. We included 11,617 Black and White participants (mean age 63.0 ± 8.4 years) from the Reasons for Geographic and Racial Differences in Stroke (REGARDS) national cohort study who were free of AF at baseline. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to estimate the odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) of incident AF associated with AO. We also evaluated the association between waist circumference (WC) and incident AF. Over a median follow-up of 9.4 years, 999 participants developed AF. AO was associated with an increased risk of AF in a multivariable model adjusted for sociodemographic, lifestyle, and cardiovascular risk factors (OR 1.43, 95% CI 1.24 to 1.65, p <0.001). The association was attenuated after adjusting for BMI (OR 1.13, 95% CI 0.95 to 1.35, p = 0.16). There was no evidence of interaction between AO and incident AF by age category (age >65 vs age ≤65), gender, race, obesity, or BMI category. Conversely, a 10cm increase in WC was associated with a higher incidence of AF after controlling for BMI (OR 1.18 95% CI 1.09 to 1.29, p <0.001), in both nonobese (OR 1.14, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.28, p = 0.02) and obese (OR 1.26, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.42, p <0.001) people. In conclusion, there was an association between AO and incident AF, but the association was weakened after adjusting for BMI. There was a significant association between WC and incident AF, after taking other AF risk factors and BMI into account. WC is a potentially modifiable risk factor for AF, and further research is warranted to explore the effect of decreasing WC on the population AF burden.

2021 Focused update of the 2017 consensus guidelines of the Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) on stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation

The consensus of the Asia Pacific Heart Rhythm Society (APHRS) on stroke prevention in atrial fibrillation (AF) has been published in 2017 which provided useful clinical guidance for cardiologists, neurologists, geriatricians, and general practitioners in Asia-Pacific region. In these years, many important new data regarding stroke prevention in AF were reported. The Practice Guidelines subcommittee members comprehensively reviewed updated information on stroke prevention in AF, and summarized them in this 2021 focused update of the 2017 consensus guidelines of the APHRS on stroke prevention in AF. We highlighted and focused on several issues, including the importance of AF Better Care (ABC) pathway, the advantages of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOACs) for Asians, the considerations of use of NOACs for Asian patients with AF with single 1 stroke risk factor beyond gender, the role of lifestyle factors on stroke risk, the use of oral anticoagulants during the "coronavirus disease 2019" (COVID-19) pandemic, etc. We fully realize that there are gaps, unaddressed questions, and many areas of uncertainty and debate in the current knowledge of AF, and the physician's decision remains the most important factor in the management of AF.

Underweight is a major risk factor for atrial fibrillation in Asian people with type 2 diabetes mellitus

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is prevalent in patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM). Obesity commonly accompanies T2DM, and increases the risk of AF. However, the dose-relationship between body mass index (BMI) and AF risk has seldom been studied in patients with diabetes.

METHODS

This cohort study utilized a database from National Taiwan University Hospital, a tertiary medical center in Taiwan. Between 2014 and 2019, 64,339 adult patients with T2DM were enrolled for analysis. BMI was measured and categorized as underweight (BMI < 18.5), normal (18.5 ≤ BMI < 24), overweight (24 ≤ BMI < 27), obesity class 1 (27 ≤ BMI < 30), obesity class 2 (30 ≤ BMI < 35), or obesity class 3 (BMI ≥ 35). Multivariate Cox regression and spline regression models were employed to estimate the relationship between BMI and the risk of AF in patients with T2DM.

RESULTS

The incidence of AF was 1.97 per 1000 person-years (median follow-up, 70.7 months). In multivariate Cox regression, using normal BMI as the reference group, underweight (HR 1.52, 95% CI 1.25-1.87, p < 0.001) was associated with a significantly higher risk of AF, while overweight was associated with significantly reduced risk of AF (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.73-0.89, p < 0.001). Kaplan-Meier analysis showed AF risk was highest in the underweight group, followed by obesity class 3, while the overweight group had the lowest incidence of AF (log-rank test, p < 0.001). The cubic restrictive spline model revealed a "J-shaped" or "L-shaped" relationship between BMI and AF risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Underweight status confers the highest AF risk in Asian patients with T2DM.

Comparison of risk profiles for new-onset atrial fibrillation between patients aged <60 and ≥60 years

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has a heterogeneous pathophysiology according to individual patient characteristics. This study aimed to identify the effects of widely known risk factors on AF incidence according to age and to elucidate the clinical implications of these effects.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We analyzed data from 501,668 subjects (≥18years old) without AF and valvular heart disease from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort. The total population was divided into two groups according to age, <60years and ≥60years. AF occurred in 0.7% of the overall population (3,416 of 501,668) during the follow-up period (mean 47.6 months). In Cox regression analysis, age, male sex, previous ischemic stroke, heart failure, and hypertension were related to increased risk of new-onset AF in both age groups. Especially in the <60years age group, risk of new-onset AF was increased by relatively modifiable risk factors: obesity (body mass index ≥25kg/m2; hazard ratio[HR] 1.37 [1.22-1.55], p<0.001, interaction p<0.001), and hypertension (HR 1.93[1.69-2.22], p<0.001, interaction p<0.001). Although interactions were not significant, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (HR 1.41[1.24-1.60], p<0.001) and chronic kidney disease (HR 1.28[1.15-1.41], p<0.001) showed increased trends of the risk of new-onset AF in the ≥60years age group.

CONCLUSION

The risk profile for new-onset AF was somewhat different between the <60years and the ≥60years age groups. Compared to the ≥60years group, relatively modifiable risk factors (such as obesity and hypertension) had a greater impact on AF incidence in the <60years age group. Different management strategies to prevent AF development according to age may be needed.

Malnutrition and Risk of Procedural Complications in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation Undergoing Catheter Ablation

Background: Little is known about the prognostic value of nutritional status among patients undergoing atrial fibrillation (AF) catheter ablation (AFCA). We compared the risk of procedure-related complications and long-term rhythm outcomes of AFCA according to nutritional status.

Methods: We included 3,239 patients undergoing de novo AFCA in 2009-2020. Nutritional status was assessed using the controlling nutritional status (CONUT) score. The association between malnutrition and the risk of AFCA complications or long-term rhythm outcomes was evaluated. We validated the effects of malnutrition using an external cohort of 360 patients undergoing AFCA in 2013-2016.

Results: In the study population (26.8% women, median age: 58 years), 1,005 (31.0%) had malnutrition (CONUT scores ≥ 2); 991 (30.6%) had mild (CONUT 2–4) and 14 (0.4%) had moderate-to-severe (CONUT ≥ 5) malnutrition. The overall complication rates after AFCA were 3.3% for normal nutrition, 4.2% for mild malnutrition, and 21.4% for moderate-to-severe malnutrition. Moderate-to-severe malnutrition [odds ratio (OR) 6.456, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.637-25.463, compared with normal nutrition], older age (OR 1.020 per 1-year increase, 95% CI 1.001-1.039), female sex (OR 1.915, 95% CI 1.302-2.817), and higher systolic blood pressure (OR 1.013 per 1-mmHg increase, 95% CI 1.000-1.026) were independent predictors for the occurrence of complications. In the validation cohort, malnutrition (CONUT ≥ 2) was associated with a 2.87-fold higher risk of AFCA complications (95% CI 1.174-7.033). The association between malnutrition and a higher risk of AFCA complications was consistently observed regardless of body mass index and sex. Malnutrition did not affect rhythm outcomes during the median follow-up of 40 months (clinical recurrence: 37.0% in normal nutrition vs. 36.5% in malnutrition).

Conclusion: Malnutrition, which is common in patients undergoing AFCA, was associated with a substantially higher risk for complications after AFCA.

Impact of abdominal obesity on outcomes of catheter ablation in Korean patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Effects of abdominal obesity on outcomes of atrial fibrillation (AF) ablation remains ill-defined. Here, we evaluated the impact of abdominal obesity on the long-term efficacy and safety of catheter AF ablation among Korean patients.

METHODS

We utilised the Korean National Health Insurance Service database to identify patients who underwent AF ablation. Abdominal obesity was defined as waist circumference ≥90 cm (males) and ≥85 cm (females). The primary endpoint was AF recurrence and secondary endpoints were ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage and death. Additionally, safety endpoints of peri-procedural complications were studied.

RESULTS

Among 5397 patients (median age 58 [IQR 51-65] years; 23.6% females), abdominal obesity was present in 1759 (32.6%). The rate of AF recurrence was not statistically different between the groups at 1-year (10.3 vs 8.7 events/100-PYs, P = .078), though abdominal obesity was associated with significantly higher rates of AF recurrence at 3-year (7.6 vs 6.3 events/100-PYs, P = .008) and 6-year (6.3 vs 5.2 events/100-PYs, P = .004) follow-ups. Kaplan-Meier survival analysis found significantly higher rates of AF recurrence in patients with obesity based on body mass index (BMI) and waist circumference (log-rank for trend P = .006). Using multivariable regression analysis, obesity by both BMI and waist circumference was an independent predictor for AF recurrence (HR 1.21 [95% CI, 1.05-1.40]), after accounting for other risk factors. There was a trend for increased rates of ischaemic stroke at 3-year and 6-year follow-ups in patients with abdominal obesity. Furthermore, this group of patients had a greater rate of intracranial haemorrhage. All-cause death was comparable between both groups. Total peri-procedural complications were not associated with abdominal obesity.

CONCLUSION

Abdominal obesity as indicated by waist circumference was associated with a greater burden of concomitant diseases and an independent risk factor for long-term redo AF intervention following catheter ablation but had no effects on total peri-procedural complications.

Risk Factors and Lifestyles in the Development of Atrial Fibrillation Among Individuals Aged 20-39 Years

Epidemiological evidence on the relationship of modifiable risk factors and lifestyles with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) in young adults remains insufficient. We aimed to identify the determinants of AF among young adults using a nationwide epidemiological database. Medical records of 286,876 individuals (20-39 years) without prior history of cardiovascular disease were extracted from the JMDC Claims Database. We analyzed the association of modifiable risk factors with the incidence of AF. The median (interquartile range) age was 34 (29-37) years, and 54.4% were men. After a mean follow-up of 1,017 ± 836 days, 267 individuals (0.1%) developed AF. Multivariable Cox regression analysis demonstrated that high waist circumference, hypertension, cigarette smoking, and poor sleep quality as well as age and sex were associated with increased incidence of AF. Kaplan-Meier curves showed that number of modifiable components including high waist circumference, hypertension, cigarette smoking, and poor sleep quality clearly stratified the risk of AF development (Log rank test, p < 0.001). Age- and sex-adjusted Cox regression analyses showed individuals with one (hazard ratio [HR] 1.56, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.13-2.18), two (HR 2.03, 95% CI 1.40-2.95), three (HR 3.48, 95% CI 2.19-5.54), and four (HR 10.78, 95% CI 5.26-22.11) components were associated with an increased incidence of AF compared with individuals with no components. In conclusion, high waist circumference, hypertension, cigarette smoking, and poor sleep quality were associated with the development of AF among young adults, suggesting the importance of maintaining these modifiable factors for the primordial prevention of AF in young adults.

Association of proteinuria and incident atrial fibrillation in patients with diabetes mellitus: a population-based senior cohort study

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is considered an independent risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF). The excess risk in relation to the presence of proteinuria has not been well elucidated. Our aim was to determine the association between the incidence of AF and proteinuria in diabetic population. A total of 240,499 individuals aged ≥ 60 years from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Senior cohort from 2004 to 2014 were included. 4.2% of individuals with DM and 3.7% of controls were diagnosed with AF during a median follow-up period of 7.2 years. Amongst controls (participants without proteinuria and DM), DM only, proteinuria only, and DM with proteinuria groups, the crude incidences of AF were 0.58, 0.70, 0.96, 1.24 per 100 person-years respectively. Compared with controls, the weighted risk of AF was increased by 11% (hazard ratio = 1.11, 95% confidence interval = 1.02-1.20, P = .001), 48% (hazard ratio = 1.48, 95% confidence interval = 1.30-1.69, P < .001), and 66% (hazard ratio = 1.66, 95% confidence interval = 1.26-2.18, P < .001) in the DM only, proteinuria only, and DM with proteinuria groups, respectively (P for trend < .001). Degree of proteinuria in diabetic patients was associated with a significantly higher rate of incident AF in dose dependent manner. Thus, assessing proteinuria by a simple urine dipstick test could provide a useful adjunct to risk assessment for AF in elderly population with DM.

Association Between Change in Metabolic Syndrome Status and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Population-Based Study

Backgroud There is a paucity of information on whether changes in metabolic syndrome (MetS) status affect the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). We aimed to evaluate whether changes in MetS status and components of MetS affect AF risk using data from a nationwide observational cohort. Methods and Results A total of 7 565 531 adults without prevalent AF (mean age, 47±14 years) who underwent 2 serial health examinations by the Korean National Health Insurance Cooperation were identified. The patients were categorized into 4 groups according to the change in MetS status in serial evaluations, as follows: patients with persistent MetS (n=1 388 850), healthy patients newly diagnosed with MetS in the second evaluation (n=608 158), patients with MetS who were healthy in the second evaluation (n=798 555), and persistently healthy individuals (n=4 769 968). During a mean 7.9-year follow-up, incident AF was diagnosed in 139 305 (1.8%) patients. After multivariable adjustment, the AF risk was higher by 31% in the patients with persistent MetS , 26% in the patients with MetS who were healthy in the second evaluation, and 16% in the healthy patients newly diagnosed with MetS in the second evaluation compared with the persistently healthy individuals. Regardless of the MetS component type, the AF risk correlated with changes in the number of components. The risk of AF was strongly correlated with MetS status changes in the young and middle-age groups (20-39 years and 40-64 years, respectively) than in the elderly group (≥65 years). Conclusions Dynamic changes in MetS status and persistent MetS were associated with an increased risk of AF in a large-scale Asian population.

Natural and synthetic antioxidants targeting cardiac oxidative stress and redox signaling in cardiometabolic diseases

Cardiometabolic diseases (CMDs) are metabolic diseases (e.g., obesity, diabetes, atherosclerosis, rare genetic metabolic diseases, etc.) associated with cardiac pathologies. Pathophysiology of most CMDs involves increased production of reactive oxygen species and impaired antioxidant defense systems, resulting in cardiac oxidative stress (OxS). To alleviate OxS, various antioxidants have been investigated in several diseases with conflicting results. Here we review the effect of CMDs on cardiac redox homeostasis, the role of OxS in cardiac pathologies, as well as experimental and clinical data on the therapeutic potential of natural antioxidants (including resveratrol, quercetin, curcumin, vitamins A, C, and E, coenzyme Q10, etc.), synthetic antioxidants (including N-acetylcysteine, SOD mimetics, mitoTEMPO, SkQ1, etc.), and promoters of antioxidant enzymes in CMDs. As no antioxidant indicated for the prevention and/or treatment of CMDs has reached the market despite the large number of preclinical and clinical studies, a sizeable translational gap is evident in this field. Thus, we also highlight potential underlying factors that may contribute to the failure of translation of antioxidant therapies in CMDs.

Sex-specific relationship between abdominal obesity and new-onset atrial fibrillation in the general Japanese population

The incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is expected to increase with increasing obesity and number of geriatric patients in Japan. Although higher body mass index and abdominal obesity are associated with an increased risk of AF, the sex-specific relationship between abdominal obesity and new-onset AF is unclear. This study aimed to investigate the sex-specific relationship between abdominal obesity and new-onset AF. This retrospective study evaluated the annual health checkup data of 67,379 adults (33,562 males; age, 54 ± 10 years) without baseline AF from April 2008 to March 2016. Participants were grouped according to waist circumference (WC): large-WC group (males, ≥ 85 cm; females, ≥ 90 cm) and normal-WC group. Logistic regression analyses were performed to determine the strength of the association between abdominal obesity and new-onset AF, overall and separately for males and females. During a median follow-up of 5 years, 280 (0.4%) new cases of AF were recorded. Univariate analysis revealed a significant increase in new-onset AF in males (odds ratio [OR], 1.97; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.49-2.60; p < 0.001) but not in females (OR, 1.69; 95% CI, 0.96-2.97; p = 0.068) in the large-WC group. After adjusting for clinical variables, multivariate analysis revealed that a large WC was significantly associated with new-onset AF in males (OR, 1.76; 95% CI, 1.31-2.36; p < 0.001) but not in females (OR, 1.22; 95% CI, 0.68-2.18; p = 0.514). Abdominal obesity is associated with an increased risk of new-onset AF in men.

Interplay Between Systemic Metabolic Cues and Autonomic Output: Connecting Cardiometabolic Function and Parasympathetic Circuits

There is consensus that the heart is innervated by both the parasympathetic and sympathetic nervous system. However, the role of the parasympathetic nervous system in controlling cardiac function has received significantly less attention than the sympathetic nervous system. New neuromodulatory strategies have renewed interest in the potential of parasympathetic (or vagal) motor output to treat cardiovascular disease and poor cardiac function. This renewed interest emphasizes a critical need to better understand how vagal motor output is generated and regulated. With clear clinical links between cardiovascular and metabolic diseases, addressing this gap in knowledge is undeniably critical to our understanding of the interaction between metabolic cues and vagal motor output, notwithstanding the classical role of the parasympathetic nervous system in regulating gastrointestinal function and energy homeostasis. For this reason, this review focuses on the central, vagal circuits involved in sensing metabolic state(s) and enacting vagal motor output to influence cardiac function. It will review our current understanding of brainstem vagal circuits and their unique position to integrate metabolic signaling into cardiac activity. This will include an overview of not only how metabolic cues alter vagal brainstem circuits, but also how vagal motor output might influence overall systemic concentrations of metabolic cues known to act on the cardiac tissue. Overall, this review proposes that the vagal brainstem circuits provide an integrative network capable of regulating and responding to metabolic cues to control cardiac function.

The impact of malnutrition on atrial fibrillation recurrence post ablation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Both malnutrition and atrial fibrillation (AF) are the major health problems in modern society. Only a few studies focused on the relationship between malnutrition and recurrence of atrial arrhythmias post AF ablation (AF recurrence), which used body mass index (BMI) as nutrition assessment tool. However, BMI can't credibly reflect body composition and has limitation in patients with water-sodium retention. In this study, we used controlling nutritional status score (CONUT score) and geriatric nutritional risk index (GNRI) to identify the malnutrition patients and explored the effect of malnutrition on AF recurrence.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This retrospective study included 246 patients who underwent AF ablation. During a median 11-month follow-up, 77 patients (31.3%) experienced AF recurrence. The recurrence group had higher CONUT score (2.3 ± 1.5 vs. 0.9 ± 1.0, P < 0.001) and lower GNRI (99.9 ± 7.6 vs. 103.9 ± 5.6, P < 0.001). After balancing the traditional risk factors, both CONUT score (OR: 2.614, 95%CI: 1.831-3.731, P < 0.001) and GNRI (OR: 0.884, 95%CI: 0.828-0.944, P < 0.001) were the independent predictors for AF recurrence. Pre-ablation CONUT score ≥1 and GNRI≥95.66 are indicative of AF recurrence. Adding CONUT score or GNRI to the base prediction model for AF recurrence significantly improved the discrimination and calibration. However, adding BMI to the base prediction model did not improve the model performance.

CONCLUSIONS

CONUT score and GNRI are ideal tools to evaluate the nutrition status of AF patients. Undernourished patients are more likely to suffer from AF recurrence. Improving nutrition status may be a potential target for reducing the postoperative recurrence rate.

Implications of Inflammation and Fibrosis in Atrial Fibrillation Pathophysiology

Inflammation and fibrosis have been implicated in the pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation. Atrial fibrosis causes conduction disturbances and is a central component of atrial remodeling in atrial fibrillation. Cardiac fibroblasts, the cells responsible for fibrosis formation, are activated by inflammatory mediators and growth factors associated with systemic inflammatory conditions. Thus, inflammation contributes to atrial fibrosis; the complex interplay of these maladaptive components creates a vicious cycle of atrial remodeling progression, maintaining atrial fibrillation and increasing thrombogenicity. This review provides up-to-date knowledge regarding inflammation and fibrosis in atrial fibrillation pathophysiology and their potential as therapeutic targets.

Prevention of Dementia in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has been associated with an increased risk of dementia. Although there does not appear to be solid evidence that any specific treatment prevents or delays AF-associated cognitive decline, evidence is accumulating regarding the possible treatment strategies for preventing dementia. In this review, we summarize the evidence linking AF to dementia and critically appraise the proposed treatment strategies.

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common form of arrhythmia in the elderly population and increases stroke risk by a factor of 4- to 5-fold. There is increasing evidence to suggest that incident AF may contribute to the development of dementia, independent of overt stroke. In particular, relatively younger patients with AF are more prone to dementia development than older patients with AF. Evidence is accumulating regarding the possible treatment strategies for preventing dementia in patients with AF. Oral anticoagulation may be effective for reducing the risk of dementia, even in patients with low stroke risks. Among oral anticoagulants, the use of non-vitamin K antagonists have been associated with a considerably decreased risk of dementia than warfarin. Moreover, successful catheter ablation for AF has also been associated with decreased dementia risk compared to medical therapy, suggesting that restoration of sinus rhythm, and not the ablation procedure itself, as the important mechanism in the prevention of AF-associated dementia. Among midlife patients with AF, there appeared to be a U-shaped association of blood pressure (BP) and a linear association of hypertension with dementia risk. A BP of 120 to 129/80 to 84 mmHg has been identified as the optimal range. Finally, integrated management of AF was associated with a reduced risk of dementia in AF patients.

Race, Body Mass Index, and the Risk of Atrial Fibrillation: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background

Higher body mass index (BMI) is associated with increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF), but it is not known whether this relationship varies by race/ethnicity.

Methods and Results

Eligible participants (6739) from MESA (Multi‐Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis) were surveilled for incident AF using MESA hospital surveillance, scheduled MESA study ECG, and Medicare claims data. After a median 13.8 years of follow‐up, 970 participants (14.4%) had incident AF. With BMI modeled categorically in a Cox proportional hazards model, only those with grade II and grade III obesity had increased risks of AF (hazard ratio [HR], 1.50; 95% CI, 1.14–1.98, P=0.004 for grade II obesity and HR, 2.13; 95% CI, 1.48–3.05, P<0.0001 for grade III obesity). The relationship between BMI and AF risk was J‐shaped. However, the risk of AF as a function of BMI varied substantially by race/ethnicity (P value for interaction=0.02), with Chinese‐American participants having a much higher risk of AF with higher BMI and Black participants having minimal increased risk of AF with higher BMI.

Conclusions

Obesity is associated with an increased risk of incident AF, but the relationship between BMI and the risk of AF is J‐shaped and this relationship differs by race/ethnicity, such that Chinese‐American participants have a more pronounced increased risk of AF with higher BMI, while Black participants have minimal increased risk. Further exploration of the differential effects of BMI by race/ethnicity on cardiovascular outcomes is needed.

What Is the Ideal Blood Pressure Threshold for the Prevention of Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly General Population?

Intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering in patients with hypertension at increased risk of cardiovascular disease has been associated with a lowered risk of incident atrial fibrillation (AF). It is uncertain whether maintaining the optimal BP levels can prevent AF in the general elderly population. We included 115,866 participants without AF in the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Senior (≥60 years) cohort from 2002 to 2013. We compared the influence of BP on the occurrence of new-onset AF between octogenarians (≥80 years) and non-octogenarians (<80 years) subjects. With up to 6.7 ± 1.7 years of follow-up, 4393 incident AF cases occurred. After multivariable adjustment for potentially confounding clinical covariates, the risk of AF in non-octogenarians was significantly higher in subjects with BP levels of <120/<80 and ≥140/90 mm Hg, with hazard ratios of 1.15 (95% confidence interval (CI), 1.03-1.28; p < 0.001) and 1.14 (95% CI, 1.04-1.26; p < 0.001), compared to the optimal BP levels (120-129/<80 mm Hg). In octogenarians, the optimal BP range was 130-139/80-89 mm Hg, higher than in non-octogenarians. A U-shaped relationship for the development of incident AF was evident in non-octogenarians, and BP levels of 120-129/<80 mm Hg were associated the lowest risk of incident AF. Compared to non-octogenarians, the lowest risk of AF was associated with higher BP levels of 130-139/80-89 mm Hg amongst octogenarians.

Effect of hypertension duration and blood pressure level on ischaemic stroke risk in atrial fibrillation: nationwide data covering the entire Korean population

AIMS

There are a paucity of data on the association of duration of hypertension and blood pressure (BP) level with risk of ischaemic stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). Our objective was to investigate the association between duration of hypertension and secondly, BP levels with risk of ischaemic stroke among patients with AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 246 459 oral anticoagulant-naïve non-valvular AF patients were enrolled from Korea National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) database (2005-2015). The risk of ischaemic stroke according to the duration of hypertension and systolic BP (SBP) levels were assessed. One-year increase of hypertension duration continuously increased the adjusted risk of ischaemic stroke (95% confidence interval 1.07-1.09) until 7 years, and reached a plateau with adjusted hazard ratio of 1.6. Risk of ischaemic stroke increased linearly with the increase of hypertension duration in patients younger than 65 years of age, whereas the risk reached a plateau in patients aged 65 years or older. In all baseline and pre-AF average SBP subgroups, longer duration of hypertension before AF was associated with higher ischaemic stroke risk than shorter duration of hypertension (all P-values for trends <0.01). However, the effect of long-term hypertension was not observed in patients with strictly well-controlled pre-AF average SBP of less than 120 mmHg.

CONCLUSION

The increase of hypertension duration was associated with the increased risk of ischaemic stroke. However, this long-term effect of hypertension duration can be attenuated by long-term strict SBP control throughout the entire duration of hypertension.

BMI differences among in-hospital management and outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation: findings from the Care for Cardiovascular Disease project in China

BACKGROUND

Underweight or obese status influences the prognosis of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the association between stratification of body mass index (BMI) and in-hospital outcomes in patients with AF, remains lacking in China.

METHODS

Using data from the Improving Care for Cardiovascular Disease in China-AF project, which was launched in February 2015 and recruited 150 hospitals in China, we compared characteristics, in-hospital treatments and clinical outcomes among the stratifications of BMI for Asians.

RESULTS

A total of 15,867 AF patients with AF were enrolled, including 830 (5.23%) underweight, 4965 (31.29%) with normal weight, 3716 (23.42%) overweight, 5263 (33.17%) obese class I and 1093 (6.89%) obese class II participants. Compared with normal weight patients, underweight, overweight, and obese patients showed increased percentages of CHADS₂ scores (3-6) and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores (5-9). During hospitalization, overweight or obese patients showed greater use of rhythm control medications, anticoagulant drugs, and intervention therapies than underweight-normal weight patients. In adjusted logistic models, BMI was a strong predictor of in-hospital mortality. Especially, underweight BMI was associated with higher incidence of in-hospital mortality, with an adjusted odds ratio of 2.08 (95% confidence interval, 1.56-4.46; p = 0.04) than overweight and obese BMI.

CONCLUSIONS

Asian patients with AF and high BMI received more medical treatments and presented less adverse in-hospital outcomes compared with those with underweight-normal weight. Although low BMI may be associated with other comorbidities and advanced age, underweight BMI retained a negative correlation with all-cause mortality in the patients with AF during hospitalization.

Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Relation to the Time Course of Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus and Fasting Blood Glucose

The relation of progression of type 2 diabetes and detailed fasting glucose level with risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is not well known. A total of 6,199,629 subjects not diagnosed with AF who underwent health check-up in 2009 were included from the Korean National Health Insurance Service database. Risk of AF was compared among subjects with normal fasting glucose (NFG), subjects with impaired fasting glucose (IFG), patients with diabetes duration <5 years (early diabetes mellitus [DM]), and patients with diabetes duration ≥5 years (late DM). Next, risk of AF stratified by fasting glucose level per 10 mg/dL was assessed. During a mean follow-up of 7.2 years, the risk of AF significantly increased across the time course of type 2 diabetes (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.04, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02 to 1.05 for IFG; aHR 1.06, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.08 for early DM; aHR 1.09, 95% CI 1.07 to 1.11 for late DM). The risk of AF was significantly higher in subjects who progressed to type 2 diabetes in the IFG group. Risk of AF increased with a 10 mg/dL increment of fasting blood glucose (p-for-trend <0.0001). However, there was a U-shape relationship between fasting blood glucose and risk of AF in those who received antidiabetic medication. In conclusion, the risk of AF increased with the time course of type 2 diabetes. However, low blood glucose in antidiabetic medication user was associated with an increased risk of AF.

Impact of the Duration and Degree of Hypertension and Body Weight on New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation

Hypertension and obesity are known risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is unclear whether uncontrolled, long-standing hypertension has a particularly profound effect on AF. Because they have a similar underlying pathophysiology, hypertension and obesity could act synergistically in the context of AF. We evaluated how various stages of hypertension and body weight status affect new-onset AF. We analyzed a total of 9 797 418 participants who underwent a national health checkup. Hypertension was classified into 5 stages: nonhypertension, prehypertension, hypertension without medication, hypertension with medication <5 years, and hypertension with medication ≥5 years. The participants were also stratified based on body mass index and waist circumference. During the 80 130 161 person×years follow-up, a total of 196 136 new-onset AF cases occurred. The incidence of new-onset AF gradually increased among the 5 stages of hypertension: the adjusted hazard ratio for each group was 1 (reference), 1.145, 1.390, 1.853, and 2.344 for each stage of hypertension. A graded escalation in the risk of new-onset AF was also observed in response to increased systolic and diastolic blood pressure. The incidence of new-onset AF correlated with body mass index and waist circumference, with obese people having a higher risk than others. Hypertension and obesity acted synergistically: obese people with hypertension on medication ≥5 years had the highest risk of AF. In conclusion, the degree and duration of hypertension, as well as the presence of hypertension, were important factors for new-onset AF. Body weight status was significantly associated with new-onset AF and acted synergistically with hypertension.

The impact of body weight and diabetes on new-onset atrial fibrillation: a nationwide population based study

Background

Being obese or underweight, and having diabetes are important risk factors for new-onset atrial fibrillation (AF). However, it is unclear whether there is any interaction between body weight and diabetes in regard to development of new-onset AF. We aimed to evaluate the role of body weight status and various stage of diabetes on new-onset AF.

Methods

This was a nationwide population based study using National Health Insurance Service (NHIS) data. A total of 9,797,418 patients who underwent national health check-ups were analyzed. Patients were classified as underweight [body mass index (BMI) < 18.5], normal reference group (18.5 ≤ BMI < 23.0), upper normal (23.0 ≤ BMI < 25.0), overweight (25.0 ≤ BMI < 30.0), or obese (BMI ≥ 30.0) based on BMI. Diabetes were categorized as non-diabetic, impaired fasting glucose (IFG), new-onset diabetes, diabetes < 5 years, and diabetes ≥ 5 years. Primary outcome end point was new-onset AF. New-onset AF was defined as one inpatient or two outpatient records of International Classification of Disease, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) codes in patients without prior AF diagnosis.

Results

During 80,130,161 patient*years follow-up, a total of 196,136 new-onset AF occurred. Obese [hazard ration (HR) = 1.327], overweight (HR = 1.123), upper normal (HR = 1.040), and underweight (HR = 1.055) patients showed significantly increased risk of new-onset AF compared to the normal reference group. Gradual escalation in the risk of new-onset AF was observed along with advancing diabetic stage. Body weight status and diabetes were independently associated with new-onset AF and at the same time, had synergistic effects on the risk of new-onset AF with obese diabetic patients having the highest risk (HR = 1.823).

Conclusions

Patients with obesity, overweight, underweight, and diabetes had significantly increased risk of new-onset AF. Body weight status and diabetes had synergistic effects on the risk of new-onset AF. The risk of new-onset AF increased gradually with advancing diabetic stage. This study suggests that maintaining optimal body weight and glucose homeostasis might prevent new-onset AF.

The relationship between red blood cell distribution width and atrial fibrillation in Asian population: A cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

Red blood cell distribution width (RDW) was related with increased risk of mortality and adverse cardiovascular outcomes. However, it is uncertain whether RDW is related to the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Asian population. The aim of this study was to assess the relationship between RDW and AF in a large Chinese population.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study to examine the relationship between RDW and AF among 106 998 subjects who were from the Tianjin Chronic Low-grade Systemic Inflammation and Health Cohort Study. AF was diagnosed using electrocardiography, and RDW was measured using an automated hematology analyzer. Multiple logistic regression models were conducted to examine the relation between tertiles of RDW and AF.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of AF was 0.1% (129/106 998). After adjustments for potential confounding factors, the odds ratios (95% confidence intervals) of AF across increasing tertiles of RDW were 1.00 (reference), 1.08 (0.69, 1.67), and 2.65 (1.75, 4.07) (P for trend < .0001), respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The study demonstrated that elevated RDW is significantly related to higher prevalence of AF in a general Chinese population. Large prospective studies are needed to confirm this finding.

Age Threshold for Ischemic Stroke Risk in Atrial Fibrillation

Background and Purpose- Although older age is one of the most important risk factor for stroke in atrial fibrillation (AF), the appropriate age threshold (eg, CHA₂DS₂-VASc score [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (doubled), diabetes mellitus, prior stroke or transient ischemic attack (doubled), vascular disease, age 65-74 years, female], 1 point for age 65-74 years, 2 points for age ≥75 years) for increased risk is controversial because actual age thresholds may differ between countries and ethnic groups. We investigated the age threshold for ischemic stroke risk among Asian AF patients. Methods- Using National Health Insurance Service database, including 426 650 oral anticoagulant-naive nonvalvular AF patients from 2005 to 2015, with ≤2 nongender-related CHA₂DS₂-VASc risk scores (CHA₂DS₂-VASc score 0-2 in males, 1-3 in females), we assessed the risk of ischemic stroke in AF patients according to the age. Results- Patients who fulfill the age risk criterion (age, 65-74 years) without other risk factors showed a significantly higher risk of stroke (4.76 per 100 person-years [100PY]; adjusted hazard ratio, 2.25; 95% confidence interval [CI], 2.17-2.36) compared with patients with 1 risk score other than age (1.87/100PY). Patients aged 55 to 59 years with no risk factors showed similar risk of stroke (1.94/100PY; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.95; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-1.00) than patients with 1 risk score (2.06/100PY). Patients aged 65 to 69 years and no other risk factors had similar stroke risk (4.08/100PY; adjusted hazard ratio, 0.93; 95% confidence interval, 0.90-0.97) than patients with 2 nongender-related risk scores (4.42/100PY). Conclusions- Older age is the most important predictor of ischemic stroke in AF, particularly for patients with low to intermediate risk of stroke. These nationwide data suggest lowering the current age threshold (age, ≥65 years) in the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score to age ≥55 years might be appropriate among Asian patients with AF.

The Impact of Metabolic Syndrome on the Incidence of Atrial Fibrillation: A Nationwide Longitudinal Cohort Study in South Korea

Aims: To evaluate the impact of metabolic syndrome (MetS) status on the incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Koreans. Methods and results: Data obtained from the Korean National Health Insurance Service from 2009 to 2016 were analyzed. In total, 7,830,602 men and women (between 30 and 69 years of age) without baseline AF who underwent a national health examination between January 2009 and December 2009 were enrolled. Patients were evaluated to determine the impact of MetS status on their risk of developing AF until December 2016. Using the National Cholesterol Education Program Adult Treatment Panel III criteria, patients were placed into one of three groups depending on MetS component numbers: 0 (normal), 1–2 (Pre-MetS) or 3–5 (MetS). During a mean follow-up of 7.3 years, 20,708 subjects (0.26%) were diagnosed with AF. After multivariable adjustment, the risk of AF was significantly and positively correlated with MetS status (hazard ratios (HR) 1.391, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.322–1.464 in Pre-MetS and HR 1.722, 95% CI 1.621–1.829 in MetS). When subgroup analyses were conducted according to MetS components, abdominal obesity (HR 1.316, p < 0.001), elevated blood pressure (HR 1.451, p < 0.001), and elevated fasting glucose (HR 1.163, p < 0.001) were associated with an increased risk of AF. Conclusion: MetS and pre-MetS are significantly associated with an increased risk of AF in Korean adults. Of the MetS components, abdominal obesity, elevated blood pressure, and elevated fasting glucose are potent risk factors for the risk of AF in this population.

Body composition and bone mineral density in childhood

BACKGROUND

Body mass compartments may have different directions of influence on bone accrual. Studies of children are limited by relatively small sample sizes and typically make strong assumptions of linear regression.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate associations of overall body mass, components of overall body mass (fat-free and total fat), and components of total fat mass (truncal and non-truncal fat), measured via dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) and anthropometry, with total body less head areal bone mineral density (aBMD) Z-score in mid-childhood.

METHODS

We performed a cross-sectional study among 876 Boston-area children who had DXA measures. We evaluated linearity of associations using generalized additive models.

RESULTS

Children were median 7.7 (range 6-10) years of age, and 61% were white. After adjustment for sociodemographics and other compartments of body mass, overall body mass, particularly the fat-free mass component, appeared to have a positive relationship with aBMD Z-score [e.g., 0.25 (95% CI: 0.23, 0.28) per 1-kg fat-free mass]. The relationship between truncal fat and aBMD Z-score appeared non-linear, with a negative association only in children with levels of fat mass in the upper 15th percentile [-0.17 (95% CI: -0.26, -0.07) aBMD Z-score per 1-kg truncal fat mass], while non-truncal fat mass was not associated with aBMD Z-score.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analyses suggest that central adiposity is associated with lower aBMD Z-score only in children with the highest levels of abdominal fat. This finding raises the possibility of a threshold above which central adipose tissue becomes more metabolically active and thereby adversely impacts bone.

Cost-Effectiveness of Rivaroxaban Compared to Warfarin for Stroke Prevention in Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Rivaroxaban is noninferior to warfarin for preventing stroke or systemic embolism in patients with high-risk atrial fibrillation (AF) and is associated with a lower rate of intracranial hemorrhage (ICH). We assessed the cost-effectiveness of rivaroxaban compared to adjusted-dose warfarin for the prevention of stroke in patients with nonvalvular AF.

METHODS

We built a Markov model using the Korean Health Insurance Review & Assessment Service database. The base-case analysis assumed a cohort of patients with prevalent AF who were aged 18 years or older without contraindications to anticoagulation.

RESULTS

Number of patients with CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores 0, 1 and ≥2 were 56 (0.2%), 1,944 (6.3%) and 28,650 (93.5%), respectively. In patients with CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores ≥2, the incidence rate of ischemic stroke was 3.11% and 3.76% in warfarin and rivaroxaban groups, respectively. The incidence rates of ICH were 0.42% and 0.15%, and those of gastrointestinal bleeding were 0.32% and 0.15% in warfarin and rivaroxaban, respectively. Patients with AF treated with rivaroxaban lived an average of 11.8 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) at a lifetime treatment cost of $20,886. Those receiving warfarin lived an average of 11.4 QALYs and incurred costs of $17,151. Patients with rivaroxaban gained an additional 0.4 QALYs over a lifetime with an additional cost of $3,735, resulting in an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $9,707 per QALY.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients who had been treated with rivaroxaban may be a cost-effective alternative to warfarin for stroke prevention in Korean patients with AF.

Risk Factor Management for Atrial Fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia in the general population. Many cardiovascular diseases and concomitant conditions increase the risk of the development of AF, recurrent AF, and AF-associated complications. Knowledge of these factors and their management is hence important for the optimal management of patients with AF. Recent studies have suggested that lowering the blood pressure threshold can improve the patients' outcome. Moreover, adverse events associated with a longer duration of hypertension can be prevented through strict blood pressure control. Pre-hypertension, impaired fasting glucose, abdominal obesity, weight fluctuation, and exposure to air pollution are related to the development of AF. Finally, female sex is not a risk factor of stroke, and the age threshold for stroke prevention should be lowered in Asian populations. The management of diseases related to AF should be provided continuously, whereas lifestyle factors should be monitored in an integrated manner.

Antithrombotic Medication and the Risk of Vitreous Hemorrhage in Atrial Fibrillation: Korean National Health Insurance Service National Cohort

PURPOSE

Antithrombotic therapy could be related with nuisance bleeding. This study investigated whether vitreous hemorrhage (VH) is associated with specific types of antithrombotic medication in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the Korean National Health Insurance Service National Sample Cohort, we identified 9352 antiplatelet/anticoagulant-treated AF patients. The occurrence of VH was compared between warfarin (n=1493) and a propensity score (PS)-matched antiplatelet group (n=1493) and between warfarin (n=1493) and a PS-matched warfarin+antiplatelet group (n=1493).

RESULTS

The outcomes of VH were lower in the warfarin than in the matched antiplatelet (1.45 vs. 3.72 events/1000 patient-years) and matched warfarin+antiplatelet groups (1.45 vs. 6.87 events/1000 patient-years). Compared with warfarin, the risk of VH increased with antiplatelet [adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 3.90; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.22-12.4, p=0.022] and warfarin+antiplatelet agents (aHR 4.39, 95% CI 1.74-11.2, p=0.002). Compared with warfarin only, warfarin+antiplatelet agents increased the risk of VH in patients ≥65 years, regardless of gender and hypertension. The risk of VH was significantly higher with dual antiplatelet therapy (aHR: 5.02, 95% CI: 1.56-16.2, p=0.007) or in dual (aHR: 5.02, 95% CI: 1.74-14.5, p=0.003) or triple therapy using warfarin and antiplatelet agents than with warfarin monotherapy (aHR: 6.12, 95% CI: 1.76-21.3, p=0.004).

CONCLUSION

Dual antiplatelet or triple therapy increased the risk of VH significantly, compared to warfarin monotherapy. Considering the low efficacy of preventing ischemic stroke and high risk of bleeding, dual or triple therapy using warfarin and antiplatelet agents should be avoided to prevent VH in AF patients.

Body Mass Index and Risks of Incident Ischemic Stroke Subtypes: The Japan Public Health Center-Based Prospective (JPHC) Study

BACKGROUND

The association of body mass index (BMI) with risks of ischemic stroke subtypes have not been established.

METHODS

Cumulative average BMI was calculated using self-reported body weight and height obtained from baseline (Cohort I in 1990, and Cohort II from 1993-1994) and 5- and 10-year questionnaire surveys of Japan Public Health Center-based prospective (JPHC) study. A total of 42,343 men and 46,413 women aged 40-69 years were followed-up for the incidence of lacunar, large-artery occlusive, and cardioembolic strokes. A sub-distribution hazard model was used to estimate sub-distribution hazard ratios (SHRs) and the 95% confidence intervals (CIs).

RESULTS

During a median of 20.0 years of follow-up, we documented 809 and 481 lacunar, 395 and 218 large-artery occlusive, and 568 and 298 cardioembolic strokes in men and women, respectively. After adjustment for baseline age, updated smoking, alcohol consumption, leisure-time physical activity, and histories of hypertension, dyslipidemia, and diabetes mellitus, cumulative average BMI was positively linearly associated with lacunar (trend P = 0.007), large-artery occlusive (trend P = 0.002), and cardioembolic (trend P < 0.001) strokes in men, and with lacunar (trend P < 0.001) and large-artery occlusive (trend P = 0.003) strokes in women. There were approximately two-fold excess risk of cardioembolic stroke in both sexes and of lacunar and large-artery occlusive strokes in women for cumulative average BMI ≥30 kg/m² compared to BMI 23-<25 kg/m².

CONCLUSION

Cumulative average BMI showed a positive linear effect on sub-distribution hazards of lacunar, large-artery occlusive, and cardioembolic strokes in both sexes, except for cardioembolic stroke in women.