Changes in Cardiovascular Risk Factors and Cardiovascular Events in the Elderly Population

Development and Validation of a Risk Predictive Model for Adverse Postoperative Health Status of Elderly Patients Undergoing Major Abdominal Surgery Using Lasso-Logistic Regression

Background

The postoperative health status of elderly patients has a substantial impact on both the individuals themselves and their families, and this impact became more pronounced with advancing age. The aim of this study was to identify risk factors that can predict the health status of patients aged 80 and over after major abdominal surgery and to establish a nomogram model.

Methods

We conducted a retrospective study of elderly patients (aged 80+) who underwent major abdominal surgery at the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from January 2017 to June 2023. Least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (lasso) regression analysis was employed to identify potential perioperative factors associated with the patients' health status one year post-surgery. Subsequently, logistic regression was then used to refine these factors for the model. The nomogram's performance was assessed through discriminative ability, calibration, and clinical utility in both training and validation datasets.

Results

In total, 576 and 145 individuals were allocated to the training and validation sets, respectively. Lasso regression first identified 10 variables as candidate risk factors. After further screening through univariate and multivariate logistic regression, it was confirmed that seven variables, including tumor, operative duration, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), blood transfusion, direct bilirubin, erythrocyte, and self-care, were included in the final nomogram model. The Hosmer-Lemeshow test, with a P-value of 0.835, indicates that the model was well-fitted. The area under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve (ROC-AUC) for the model on the training set was 0.81 (95% CI 0.764-0.855), and for the validation set, it was 0.83 (95% CI 0.751-0.91). Additionally, the calibration curves and decision curve analyses in both the training and validation sets demonstrated the accuracy and clinical applicability of the predictive model.

Conclusion

The nomogram has a good predictive ability for the health status of older patients aged 80 years and above after abdominal surgery for one year, which can help clinical doctors develop better treatment plans.

2025 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2025 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2024 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. This year's edition includes a continued focus on health equity across several key domains and enhanced global data that reflect improved methods and incorporation of ≈3000 new data sources since last year's Statistical Update.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Association Between Geriatric Oral Health Assessment Index and Cardiovascular Disease in Korean Older Adults

OBJECTIVES

This study examined the association between oral health-related quality of life (OHRQoL), as assessed by the Geriatric Oral Health Assessment Index (GOHAI), and cardiovascular disease (CVD) outcomes among Korean older adults.

METHODS

Data from 5413 participants in the Korean Longitudinal Study of Aging were analyzed. GOHAI scores were categorized as either "poor" (<40) or "not poor" (≥40). Generalized estimating equation models were used to assess the relationship between GOHAI scores and CVD prevalence, with analyses stratified by sex.

RESULTS

Poor GOHAI score was significantly associated with elevated odds of CVD (odds ratio [OR], 1.13; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.07 to 1.19; p<0.001). This association was stronger in female (OR, 1.36) compared to male (OR, 1.12). Poor oral health is indicative of systemic inflammation and age-related vulnerabilities, underscoring the utility of the GOHAI as an instrument for early identification of CVD risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Poor oral health, as measured by the GOHAI, is associated with an increased risk of CVD among older adults, especially female. These findings support the use of the GOHAI as a cost-effective screening tool for the early assessment of CVD risk. Further research is warranted to explore inflammatory biomarkers and sex-specific mechanisms that could inform targeted interventions.

Development and Worsening of Hypertension with Age in Male Wistar Rats as a Physiological Model of Age-Related Hypertension: Correction of Hypertension with Taxifolin

To preclinically study the effectiveness of new antihypertensive drugs, various animal hypertension models are used. However, most of them do not correspond to primary hypertension, which develops in people with age. We used male Wistar rats of 4, 10, 12 and 18 months old. The animals were divided according to systolic blood pressure (SBP) into normotensive (SBP ≤ 114 mmHg) or hypertensive (SBP ≥ 115 mmHg). Within hypertensive animals, two cohorts were distinguished-with SBP below and above 125 mmHg. The animals received 100 µg/kg of taxifolin intraperitoneally for 7 days. A significant difference was shown between animals with SBP above and below 115 mmHg, as well as between cohorts of hypertensive animals with SBP above and below 125 mmHg within each age. The number of animals with elevated SBP increased with age both for clusters with an SBP above 115 mmHg and for cohorts with an SBP above 125 mmHg. Administration of taxifolin led to a significant decrease in the SBP only in hypertensive animals. A physiological model of age-related hypertension was obtained in male Wistar rats. It has been shown that hypertension develops and worsens with age. In preclinical studies, it should be taken into account that drugs may have different effects depending on the initial SBP of the animals.

A comprehensive review of plant-derived salt substitutes: Classification, mechanism, and application

The diseases caused by excessive sodium intake derived from NaCl consumption have attracted widespread attention worldwide, and many researchers are committed to finding suitable ways to reduce sodium intake during the dietary process. Salt substitute is considered an effective way to reduce sodium intake by replacing all/part of NaCl in food without reducing the saltiness while minimizing the impact on the taste and acceptability of the food. Plant-derived natural ingredients are generally considered safe and reliable, and extensive research has shown that certain plant extracts or specific components are effective salt substitutes, which can also give food additional health benefits. However, these plant-derived salt substitutes (PSS) have not been systematically recognized by the public and have not been well adopted in the food industry. Therefore, a comprehensive review of PSS, including its material basis, flavor characteristics, and taste mechanism is helpful for a deeper understanding of PSS, accelerating its research and development, and promoting its application.

Racial Differences in Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke: An Ecological Epidemiological Study

BACKGROUND

 This study aimed to evaluate racial differences in the incidence of stroke by conducting an ecological epidemiological study using UK Biobank and Korean nationwide data.

METHODS

 This study used individual data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening and UK Biobank, which included participants who underwent health examinations between 2006 and 2010. We included 112,750 East Asians (50.7% men, mean age: 52.6 years) and 210,995 Caucasians (44.7% men, mean age: 55.0 years) who were not diagnosed with atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or cancer. The primary outcome was defined as a composite of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke.

RESULTS

 East Asians tended to have a lower body mass index (23.7 vs. 26.4 kg/m2, p < 0.001) and a higher proportion of participants who did not engage in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (49.6% vs. 10.7%, p < 0.001) than Caucasians. During the follow-up, East Asians had higher 5-year incidence rates (presented as per 1,000 person-years) for primary outcome (1.73 vs. 0.50; IR ratio [IRR]: 3.48, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.13-3.88), ischemic stroke (1.23 vs. 0.33; IRR: 3.70, 95% CI: 3.25-4.21), hemorrhagic stroke (0.56 vs. 0.18; IRR: 3.20, 95% CI: 2.67-3.84), and atrial fibrillation-related stroke (0.19 vs. 0.09; IRR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.55-2.68).

CONCLUSION

 Based on this ecological epidemiological study, racial differences in stroke incidence were robust to a variety of statistical analyses, regardless of the subtype. This suggests the need for region-specific approaches to stroke prevention.

Aging and Antithrombotic Treatment

Significance: Several aging-related pathophysiological mechanisms have been described to contribute to increased thrombotic risk in the elderly, including oxidative stress, endothelial dysfunction, and platelet and coagulation cascade activation. Antithrombotic treatment in the elderly should be individualized. Recent Advances: Recent studies have clarified some pathophysiological mechanisms of enhanced oxidative stress and thrombotic alterations in older adults. In the last decade, randomized trials have evaluated different antithrombotic strategies to reduce the risk of cardiovascular events in these patients. Critical Issues: The proportion of elderly patients included in clinical trials is generally low, thus not reflecting the daily clinical practice. There is no consensus on the most appropriate antithrombotic treatment in the elderly, also considering that bleeding risk management may be challenging in this high-risk subgroup of patients. Routine antiplatelet treatment is not a valid strategy for the primary prevention of cardiovascular events given the associated high risk of bleeding. In elderly patients with acute coronary syndrome, low-dose prasugrel or clopidogrel, shorter dual antiplatelet therapy, and no pretreatment before stent placement should be considered. Advanced age should not be the only reason for the underuse of oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation, with direct oral anticoagulants preferred over warfarin for stroke prevention. Instead, a case-by-case clinical evaluation is warranted based on patient's bleeding risk also. Future Directions: There is a need for a structured tailored approach to manage thrombotic risk in elderly patients. The choice of the most appropriate antithrombotic treatment should balance efficacy and safety to reduce the risk of bleeding.

Clinical Implications of Polypharmacy for Patients with New-Onset Atrial Fibrillation Based on Real-World Data: Observations from the Korea National Health Insurance Service Data

Background

Polypharmacy is commonly observed in atrial fibrillation (AF) and is associated with poorer clinical outcomes. Our study aimed to elucidate the polypharmacy prevalence, its associated risk factors, and its relationship with adverse clinical outcomes using a 'real-world' database.

Methods

This study included 451,368 subjects without prior history of AF (median age, 54 [interquartile range, 48.0-63.0] years; 207,748 [46.0%] female) from the Korea National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening (NHIS-HealS) database between 2002 and 2013. All concomitant medications prescribed were collected, and the intake of five or more concomitant drugs was defined as polypharmacy. During the follow-up, all-cause death, major bleeding events, transient ischemic attack (TIA) or ischemic stroke, and admission due to worsened heart failure were recorded.

Results

Based on up to 7.7 (6.8-8.3) years of follow-up and 768,306 person-years, there were 12,241 cases of new-onset AF identified. Among patients with new-onset AF (40.0% females, median age 63.0 [54.0-70.0] years), the polypharmacy prevalence was 30.9% (3784). For newly diagnosed AF, factors, such as advanced age (with each increase of 10 years, odds ratios (OR) 1.32, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.26-1.40), hypertension (OR 4.00, 95% CI 3.62-4.43), diabetes mellitus (OR 3.25, 95% CI 2.86-3.70), chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) (OR 3.00, 95% CI 2.51-3.57), TIA/ischemic stroke (OR 2.36, 95% CI 2.03-2.73), dementia history (OR 2.30, 95% CI 1.06-4.98), end-stage renal disease (ESRD) or chronic kidney disease (CKD) (OR 1.97, 95% CI 1.38-2.82), and heart failure (OR 1.95, 95% CI 1.69-2.26), were found to be independently correlated with the incidence of polypharmacy. Polypharmacy significantly increased the incidence and risk of major bleeding (adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) 1.26, 95% CI 1.12-1.41). The study observed a statistically significant increase in the incidence of all-cause mortality, however, the risk for all-cause mortality elevated but did not show significance (aHR 1.11, 95% CI 0.99-1.24). The risk of stroke and admission for heart failure did not change with polypharmacy.

Conclusions

In our investigation using data from a nationwide database, polypharmacy was widespread in new-onset AF population and was related to major bleeding events. However, polypharmacy does not serve as an independent risk factor for adverse outcomes, with exception of major bleeding event. For AF patients, ensuring tailored medication for comorbidities as well as reducing polypharmacy are essential considerations.

Leisure-time and occupational physical activity and risk of cardiovascular disease incidence: a systematic-review and dose-response meta-analysis of prospective cohort studies

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Physical activity has benefits for the cardiovascular system, however, what levels and types of activity provide optimal cardiovascular health is unclear. We aimed to determine the level of physical activity that has the most benefits against cardiovascular diseases (CVD).

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, and Web of Science were searched for prospective cohort studies on leisure-time (LTPA) or occupational physical activity (OPA) as the exposure and major types of CVD (total CVD, coronary heart disease [CHD], stroke, and atrial fibrillation [AF]) incidence as the outcome. Risk of bias of studies was evaluated using the ROBINS-I tool. Summary hazard ratios (HR) were calculated using random-effects pairwise model.

RESULTS

A total of 103 studies were included in the analysis. The highest versus the lowest LTPA was associated with a lower risk of overall CVD (HR = 0.81; 95% CI: 0.77-0.86), CHD (HR = 0.83; 0.79-0.88), and stroke (HR = 0.83; 0.79-0.88), but not AF (HR = 0.98; 0.92-1.05). Linear dose-response analyses showed a 10%, 12%, 9%, and 8% risk reduction in CVD, CHD, stroke, and AF incidence, respectively, for every 20 MET-hours/week increase in LTPA. In nonlinear dose-response analyses, there were inverse associations up to 20 MET-hours/week with 19% and 20% reduction in CVD and CHD risk, and up to 25 MET-hours/week with 22% reduction in stroke, with no further risk reduction at higher LTPA levels. For AF, there was a U-shaped nonlinear association with the maximum 8% risk reduction at 10 MET-hours/week of LTPA. Higher levels of OPA were not associated with risk of CVD, CHD, stroke, or AF.

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, results showed an inverse dose-response relationship between LTPA and risk of CVD, CHD, stroke, and AF. Running was the most beneficial LTPA but the risk was similar among various LTPA intensities. OPA showed no benefits in total or any type of CVD.

Stressful life events and heart disease and stroke: A study among Portuguese older adults

The link between stressful life events (SLE) and cardiovascular diseases (CVD) remains underexplored. This study aimed to examine the association between SLE and the diagnosis of heart disease or stroke, among older adults. Data from 678 participants from the population-based cohort EPIPorto, with ≥60 years and complete information regarding SLE and heart disease or stroke, were analysed. Stressful life events were measured through the 'Stressful Life Events Screening Questionnaire'. A previous diagnosis of heart disease or stroke was self-reported. Adjusted odds ratios (OR) with the respective 95% confidence intervals were computed through logistic regression. Almost a fourth of the participants never experienced any SLE throughout life, 30.0% experienced at least one event, 17.5% experienced two and 27.7% had experienced three or more SLE. A dose-effect association between SLE and the diagnosis of heart disease or stroke was observed, statistically significant for those who had at least 3 types of SLE, independently of confounders (≥3SLE vs. 0SLE: OR = 2.00; 95% CI: 1.12-3.57). This cross-sectional study suggests that cumulative exposure to different types of SLE during the life course was associated with a higher likelihood of having a diagnosis of heart disease or a stroke at a later age. Future longitudinal studies should better deepen this association, particularly by evaluating which type of SLE is more related to a higher prevalence of heart disease and stroke, and how the timing of the SLE influence this relation.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Life's Essential 8 and Risk of Stroke: A Prospective Community-Based Study

BACKGROUND

Data are lacking regarding cardiovascular health (CVH) with Life's Essential 8 approach and future stroke risk. We sought to elucidate whether the CVH score constructed by the Life's Essential 8 metrics predicted stroke risk in 2 Chinese ongoing cohorts.

METHODS

This included 41 043 participants of the Kailuan I study and 27 842 participants of the Kailuan II study who were free of cardiovascular disease or cancer in 2014. CVH score (ranged from 0 to 100) was assessed using the Life's Essential 8 metrics (body mass index, cigarette smoking, diet quality, physical activity, sleep health, lipid, blood glucose, and blood pressure). A composite of incident stroke events (ischemic stroke and hemorrhagic stroke) was identified via review of medical records. The follow-up period was calculated from the finishing date of the 2014 survey to either the date of stroke occurrence, death, loss to follow-up, or the end of follow-up (December 31, 2020). We also examined the longitudinal association between the CVH score and arterial stiffness status, as assessed by brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity, in 25 922 participants free of cardiovascular disease during the follow-up. We performed a meta-analysis to assess the association between CVH, based on the 2010 American Heart Association recommendation, and stroke integrating the results of current study and previous studies.

RESULTS

During a median follow-up of 5.65 years (interquartile range, 5.20-6.09), a total of 1750 incident stroke events were identified in the pooled Kailuan study. The pooled hazard ratios were 0.33 (95% CI, 0.20-0.54) for ideal versus poor health category of CVH (Ptrend<0.0001). Higher CVH scores were also associated with lower brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity values at baseline and slower increments of brachial-ankle pulse wave velocity during follow-up (Ptrend≤0.001 for both). Arterial stiffness mediated 9.07% (95% CI, 5.83%-15.0%) of the total association between CVH and incident stroke. The pooled hazard ratio comparing 2 extreme CVH categories for stroke was 0.45 (95% CI, 0.35-0.59) when including 10 published studies and the current study.

CONCLUSIONS

The CVH score as assessed by the Life's Essential 8 metrics significantly predicted future stroke risk and arterial stiffness status.

Association of cardiovascular health at old age with all-cause mortality: a prospective cohort study in China

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular disease has become the leading cause of death worldwide, but there is a lack of data on whether cardiovascular health (CVH) is associated with elderly mortality in China. We investigated the relationship between the ideal CVH score of Chinese elderly and the all-cause mortality.

METHODS

The Beijing Elderly Comprehensive Health Cohort Study included a total of 4,499 participants aged 60 years and above. The CVH metric was calculated at baseline and had a score ranging from 0 to 12. The relationship of CVH metrics with all-cause mortality was investigated using Cox proportional hazard regression analysis. The robustness of results was tested using subgroup and sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

The median CVH score among participants was 8.00 (2.00), with only 8.0% scoring 11-12 points. 667 deaths were observed during an average follow-up time of 8.2 years. Participants with a CVH score of 11-12 had a decreased risk of all-cause mortality when compared to those with a CVH score of 0-4(HR = 0.584, 95% CI: 0.373-0.913). Participants had a 7.5% lower risk of all-cause death with each unit higher CVH score (HR = 0.925, 95%CI: 0.885-0.967) with a linearly decreasing trend (P nonlinear = 0.575). The relationships were greater in younger elderly people and stroke patients (P interaction = 0.011 and 0.037. respectively). The consistency of significant trends in sensitivity analysis shows the robustness of association (P trend < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Among the Chinese elderly, there was a linear relationship between improving CVH scores and a lower risk of all-cause mortality. Because of the enormous benefits brought by one point, strategies are essential for improving cardiovascular health attainment.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

This study was registered at China Clinical Trial Registration Center (ChiCTR2100049866).

Age-specific association of stage of hypertension at diagnosis with cardiovascular and all-cause mortality among elderly patients with hypertension: a cohort study

BACKGROUND

Hypertension affects 31.1% of adults worldwide, with higher prevalence of great than 60% in elderly. Advanced hypertension stage was associated with the higher risk of mortality. However, little is known about the age-specific association of stage of hypertension at diagnosis on cardiovascular mortality or all-cause mortality. Therefore, we aim to explore this age-specific association among the hypertensive elderly through stratified and interaction analyses.

METHODS

This cohort study included 125,978 elderly hypertensive patients aged 60+ years from Shanghai of China. Cox regression was used to estimate the independent and joint effect of hypertension stage and age at diagnosis on cardiovascular and all-cause mortality. Interactions were evaluated both additively and multiplicatively. Multiplicative interaction was examined by the Wald test of the interaction term. Additive interaction was assessed by relative excess risk due to interaction (RERI). All analyses were performed stratified by sex.

RESULTS

28,250 patients died during the follow-up up to 8.85 years, and 13,164 died of cardiovascular events. Older age and advanced hypertension stage were risk factors of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality. Besides, smoking, rarely exercise, BMI < 18.5 and diabetes were also the risk factors. When we compared stage 3 hypertension with stage 1 hypertension, hazard ratios (95% confidence interval) of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality were 1.56(1.41-1.72) and 1.29(1.21-1.37) for males aged 60-69 years, 1.25(1.14-1.36) and 1.13(1.06-1.20) for males aged 70-85 years, 1.48(1.32-1.67) and 1.29(1.19-1.40) for females aged 60-69 years, and 1.19(1.10-1.29) and 1.08(1.01-1.15) for females aged 70-85 years, respectively. Negative multiplicative interaction and positive additive interaction between age at diagnosis and stage of hypertension at diagnosis on cardiovascular mortality were observed in males (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.71-0.93 RERI: 0.59, 95% CI: 0.09-1.07) and females (HR: 0.81, 95% CI: 0.70-0.93 RERI: 0.66, 95% CI: 0.10-1.23).

CONCLUSIONS

Diagnosed with stage 3 hypertension was associated with higher risks of cardiovascular mortality and all-cause mortality, which were stronger among patients with age at diagnosis of 60-69 years compared with those with age at diagnosis of 70-85 years. Therefore, for the younger part of the elderly, the Department of Health should pay more attention to treating patients with stage 3 hypertension.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Association between exercise habit changes and mortality following a cardiovascular event

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the associations between exercise habit changes following an incident cardiovascular event and mortality in older adults.

METHODS

We analysed the relationship between exercise habit change and all-cause, cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular deaths in adults aged ≥60 years between 2003 and 2012 who underwent two consecutive health examinations within 2 years before and after diagnosis of cardiovascular disease (CVD). They were categorised into four groups according to exercise habit changes: persistent non-exercisers, exercise dropouts, new exercisers and exercise maintainers. Differences in baseline characteristics were adjusted using inverse probability of treatment weighting.

RESULTS

Of 6076 participants, the median age was 72 (IQR 69-76) years and men accounted for 50.6%. Compared with persistent non-exercisers (incidence rate (IR) 4.8 per 100 person-years), new exercisers (IR 3.5, HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.58 to 0.91) and exercise maintainers (IR 2.9, HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.38 to 0.73) were associated with reduced risk of all-cause death. The rate of non-cardiovascular death was significantly lower in new exercisers (IR 2.3, HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.56 to 0.95) and exercise maintainers (IR 2.3, HR 0.61, 95% CI 0.42 to 0.90) than in persistent non-exercisers (IR 3.2). Also, trends towards reduced cardiovascular death in new exercisers and exercise maintainers were observed (p value for trend <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

More virtuous exercise trajectories in older adults with CVD are associated with lower mortality rates. Our results support public health recommendations for older adults with CVD to perform physical activity.

Regional Cerebral Small Vessel Disease (rCSVD) Score: A clinical MRI grading system validated in a stroke cohort

BACKGROUND

Current methods for quantitative assessment of cerebral small vessel disease (CSVD) ignore critical aspects of the disease, namely lesion type and regionality. We developed and tested a new scoring system for CSVD, "regional Cerebral Small Vessel Disease" (rCSVD) based on regional assessment of magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) features.

METHODS

141 patients were retrospectively included with a derivation cohort of 46 consecutive brain MRI exams and a validation cohort of 95 patients with known cerebrovascular disease. We compared the predictive value of rCSVD against existing scoring methods. We determined the predictive value of rCSVD score for all-cause mortality and recurrent strokes.

RESULTS

46 (44 male) veteran patients (age: 66-93 years), were included for derivation of the rCSVD score. A non-overlapping validation cohort consisted of 95 patients (89 male; age: 34-91 years) with known cerebrovascular disease were enrolled. Based on ROC analysis with comparison of AUC (Area Under the Curve), "rCSVD" score performed better compared to "total SVD score" and Fazekas score for predicting all-cause mortality (0.75 vs 0.68 vs 0.69; p = 0.046). "rCSVD" and total SVD scores were predictive of recurrent strokes in our validation cohort (p-values 0.004 and 0.001). At a median of 5.1 years (range 2-17 years) follow-up, Kaplan-Meier survival analysis demonstrated an rCSVD score of 2 to be a significant predictor of all-cause-mortality.

CONCLUSION

"rCSVD" score can be derived from routine brain MRI, has value in risk stratification of patients at risk of CSVD, and has potential in clinical trials once fully validated in a larger patient cohort.

Ideal cardiovascular health status and risk of cardiovascular disease and all-cause mortality: over a decade of follow-up in the Tehran lipid and glucose study

Objective

To quantify the association between ideal cardiovascular health (CVH) metrics and incident cardiovascular disease (CVD) including different subtypes [coronary heart disease (CHD), stroke, and sudden death], and all-cause mortality in an Iranian population.

Methods

The study population included 6,388 participants (2,726 men) aged 48.0 ± 12.4 years free of CVD at baseline. We utilized the American Heart Association’s 2020 impact target criteria of ideal, intermediate, and poor CVH. The multivariate Cox proportional Hazard model, adjusted for age, sex, educational level, marital status, and family history of CVD, was applied to estimate the hazard ratio (HR) of outcomes per one additional metric of ideal CVH metrics. Furthermore, the risk was also calculated for ideal and intermediate categories considering poor category as a reference.

Results

During the median follow-up of 11.26 years, 692 CVD, 589 CHD, 130 stroke, 111 sudden death, and 519 all-cause mortality events were reported. All of the individual ideal CVH metrics were independent predictors except intermediate physical activity level for CVD, BMI &lt; 25 kg/m2, and intermediate physical activity for all-cause mortality. Each additional metrics of ideal CVH decreased the risk by 31 (0.69, 0.65–0.73) for CVD, 32 (0.68, 0.64–0.73) for CHD, 31 (0.69, 0.60–0.80) for stroke, 25 (0.75, 0.64–0.88) for sudden death, and 13% (0.87, 0.81–0.93) for all-cause mortality events. Moreover, intermediate and ideal categories of CVH metrics were associated with lower risk for different CVD outcomes, i.e., 44 (0.56, 0.48–0.65) and 76% (0.24, 0.17–0.35) for CVD; 43 (0.57, 0.47–0.67) and 75% (0.25, 0.16–0.37) for CHD, 58 (0.42, 0.29–0.61) and 86% (0.14, 0.04–0.44) for stroke; 56 (0.44, 0.29–0.66) and 55% (0.45, 0.21–0.99) for sudden death; and 25 (0.75, 0.62–0.90) and 46% (0.54, 0.37–0.80) for all-cause mortality events, respectively. We also assessed the impact of changes in ideal CVH status from phase III to phase IV (2008–2011) on CVD events among 5,666 participants. Accordingly, compared to those remaining in the poor category, all of the changes in ideal CVH categories showed a lower risk for CVD events.

Conclusion

Among the Iranian population, meeting higher ideal CVH metrics is associated with a lower risk of different CVD events and mortality outcomes.

Association of changes in cardiovascular health levels with incident cardiovascular events and mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Risk factor management is crucial in the management of atrial fibrillation (AF). We investigated the association of changes in cardiovascular health (CVH) levels after AF diagnosis with incident cardiovascular events and mortality.

METHODS

From the Korea National Health Insurance Service database, 76,628 patients newly diagnosed with AF (2005-2015) with information on health examinations before and after AF diagnosis were assessed. According to the change in the 12-point CVH score before and after AF diagnosis, patients were stratified into four groups: consistently low (score 0-7 to 0-7), high-to-low (8-12 to 0-7), low-to-high (0-7 to 8-12), and consistently high (8-12 to 8-12) CVH levels. Risks of cardiovascular events and death were analyzed using weighted Cox regression models with inverse probability of treatment weighting (IPTW) for balance across study groups.

RESULTS

The mean age of study participants was 58.3 years, 50,285 were men (63.1%), and the mean follow-up was 5.5 years. After IPTW, low-to-high (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval], 0.83 [0.76-0.92]) and consistently high (0.80 [0.74-0.87]) CVH levels were associated with a lower risk of ischemic stroke than consistently low CVH. Low-to-high (0.66 [0.52-0.84]) and consistently high (0.52 [0.42-0.64]) CVH levels were associated with a lower risk of acute myocardial infarction. Maintaining high CVH was associated with reduced risks of heart failure hospitalization (0.85 [0.75-0.95]) and all-cause death (0.82 [0.77-0.88]), respectively, compared with consistently low CVH.

CONCLUSIONS

Improving CVH levels and maintaining high CVH levels after AF diagnosis is associated with lower risks of subsequent cardiovascular events and mortality.

Association between Physical Activity and the Risk of Mortality and Hospitalization in Older Korean Adults with Heart Failure

Background

Regular exercise improves the functional ability and quality of life of patients with heart failure (HF). However, studies on the results of intensity of exercise in the older population are scarce, especially in the Asian population.

Method and Results

A total of 8982 older people (age ≥ 65 years) with HF were selected from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Senior database (2005-2012). Participants were stratified according to the levels of physical activity per week as follows: (1) inactive group; (2) insufficiently active group: 1-499 metabolic equivalent task minutes (MET-min)/week; (3) active group: 500-999 MET-min/week; and (4) highly active group: ≥ 1000 MET-min/week. During a median follow-up period of 3.2 years, the incidence and risk of mortality were reduced in the insufficiently active (6.7 vs. 4.2 per 100 person-years, adjusted hazard ratio [HR], 0.82; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.71-0.94; p < 0.001), active (3.8 per 100 person-years; HR, 0.81; 95% CI, 0.70-0.95; p = 0.010), and highly active (2.4 per 100 person-years; HR, 0.52; 95% CI, 0.41-0.67; p < 0.001) groups compared to inactive patients.

Conclusions

In older Asians with HF, increased physical activity reduced the risk of all-cause mortality. The mortality-reducing benefit started at a lower physical activity compared to the World Health Organization guideline (500-999 MET-min/week), and the risk decreased with more physical activity.

Association of Light-Intensity Physical Activity With Mortality in the Older Population: A Nationwide Cohort Study

Background

There is a paucity of information about mortality related to light-intensity physical activity (LPA) in the older population. We examine the associations between physical activity and mortality, focusing on the effect of light-intensity physical activity and the dose-response relationship between physical activity and mortality.

Methods

We analyzed a total of 58,537 participants aged ≥ 65 years (mean age, 73.9 ± 5.8 years; male, 36.0%) in the Korean National Health Insurance Service database between 2009 and 2012. The Date of the end of follow-up was December 31, 2013. Individuals were divided into four categories according to physical activity intensity: totally sedentary (43.3%), LPA only (35.8%), LPA and moderate- to vigorous-intensity physical activity (MVPA) (16.3%), MVPA only (4.5%). Physical activity was quantified using standardized self-reported questionnaires which composed of the duration and frequency of physical activity.

Results

During a mean follow-up of 39.6 ± 14.0 months, 5,651 (9.7%) deaths occurred. Compared with totally sedentary individuals, those in the LPA only, LPA and MVPA, and MVPA only groups showed 26% [hazard ratio (HR) 0.74, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.68–0.82], 27% (HR 0.73, 95% CI 0.63–0.84), and 34% (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.54–0.79) lower all-cause mortality risk, showing an inverse relationship between physical activity intensity and mortality risk. In contrast, the LPA only, LPA and MVPA, and MVPA only groups represented a stronger inverse association with CV mortality (LPA: HR 0.76, 95% CI 0.62–0.92; LPA with MVPA: HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.55–0.999; MVPA, HR 0.57, 95% CI 0.37–0.87). Among participants performing LPA alone, participants performing less than the recommended dose of physical activity had lower all-cause mortality than those with sedentary activity (1–249 MET-min/week: HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.67–0.82, 250–499 MET-min/week: HR 0.65, 95% CI 0.59–0.72).

Conclusion

Physical activity, even low doses of LPA, was associated with reduced mortality risk in the elderly population. This study may motivate sedentary individuals to engage in any physical activity for mortality benefits.

Impact of Physical Activity on All-Cause Mortality According to Specific Cardiovascular Disease

Background

Patients with cardiovascular disease (CVD) tend to have higher mortality rates and reduced physical activity (PA). We aimed to evaluate the effect of PA on mortality in older adults with specific CVD.

Methods

We enrolled 68,223 participants (n = 23,871 with CVD, n = 44,352 without CVD) aged ≥65 years with available physical activity data between 2005 and 2012 from the Korean National Health Insurance Service of Korea-Senior database. CVD was defined as a history of ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack, heart failure, myocardial infarction, and peripheral artery disease.

Results

Patients with CVD were older than those without CVD. Compared with the sedentary group, the physically active groups with and without CVD had a lower incidence and risk of all-cause death during a median follow up period of 42 (interquartile range 30–51) months. A 500 metabolic equivalent task-min/week increase in PA resulted in an 11% and 16% reduction in the risk of mortality in the non-CVD and CVD groups, respectively. With regard to specific CVDs, the risk of mortality progressively reduced with increasing PA in patients with heart failure or myocardial infarction. However, the reduction reached a plateau in patients with stroke or peripheral artery disease, but was significantly greater in patients with stroke (20% vs. without stoke, 11%, P_int = 0.006) or heart failure (13% vs. without heart failure, 11%; P_int = 0.045)

Conclusions

PA was associated with a reduced risk of all-cause mortality in older adults with and without CVD. The benefits of PA in patients with CVD, especially patients with stroke or heart failure, were greater than those without.