Artificial neural networks for diagnosis and survival prediction in colon cancer

A software tool for fabricating phantoms mimicking human tissues with designated dielectric properties and frequency

OBJECTIVES

Dielectric materials play a crucial role in assessing and refining the measurement performance of dielectric properties for specific tasks. The availability of viable and standardized dielectric materials could greatly enhance medical applications related to dielectric properties. However, obtaining reliable phantoms with designated dielectric properties across a specified frequency range remains challenging. In this study, we propose software to easily determine the components of dielectric materials in the frequency range of 16 MHz to 3 GHz.

METHODS

A total of 184 phantoms were fabricated and measured using open-ended coaxial probe method. The relationship among dielectric properties, frequency, and the components of dielectric materials was fitted through feedforward neural networks. Software was developed to quickly calculate the composition of dielectric materials.

RESULTS

We performed validation experiments including blood, muscle, skin, and lung tissue phantoms at 128 MHz, 298 MHz, 915 MHz, and 2.45 GHz. Compared with literature values, the relative errors of dielectric properties are less than 15 %.

CONCLUSIONS

This study establishes a reliable method for fabricating dielectric materials with designated dielectric properties and frequency through the development of the software. This research holds significant importance in enhancing medical research and applications that rely on tissue simulation using dielectric phantoms.

Design and predict the potential of imidazole-based organic dyes in dye-sensitized solar cells using fingerprint machine learning and supported by a web application

This scientific paper presents a novel approach to explore and predict the potential of imidazole-based organic dyes for use in Dye-Sensitized Solar Cells (DSSCs) using a machine learning web application. The design of efficient and cost-effective organic dyes is critical to enhance the performance of DSSCs. Traditional experimental methods are time-consuming and resource-intensive, making it challenging to screen a large number of potential dyes. In this study, we propose a machine learning-based approach to accelerate the discovery process by predicting the photovoltaic performance of imidazole-based organic dyes. Machin learning predictions provide valuable insights into the expected PCE% and behaviors of the molecules toward DSSCs. Based on the RDKit library, several fingerprints such as Molecular ACCess System, Avalon, Daylight, Pharmacophore and Morgan with different radius (r2, r3, r4), were studied. In addition, more than 20 ML algorithms using different cross validation (3, 5, 7, 10) were also evaluated. Among of these, Deep Neural Network models of MLPRegressor algorithm based on the daylight fingerprint shows a significant coefficient of determination combined with the lowest errors. Utilize the trained ML models to screen of 50 million SMILE structure for identify promising imidazole and nitrogen-containing derivative as a doner group. By replacing the donor groups in the well-known MK2 dye structure with the top imidazole derivatives proposed by machine learning, significant improvements in PCE were observed, increasing from 7.70% to as high as 11.49%, representing nearly a 50% enhancement over the control. DFT calculations confirm the ML predictions and clarify the significantly higher oscillator strength and charge transfer properties of MK2-DM1, compared to MK2. This result provides a promising pathway for developing new dye materials that can push the efficiency limits of DSSCs, leading to more efficient solar energy conversion technologies in the future. In addition, a developed web application offers a user-friendly interface for researchers to input their molecular structures and obtain PCE% predictions toward DSSCs. This information can guide researchers in designing a new imidazole dye with high photovoltaic performance to validate and refine the predictions without time consuming.

Role of Artificial Intelligence in Diabetes Mellitus Care: A SWOT Analysis

Diabetes mellitus has become one of the major public health problems in India. Chronic nature and the rising epidemic of diabetes have adverse consequences on India's economy and health status. Recently, machine learning (ML) methods are becoming popular in the healthcare sector. Human medicine is a complex field, and it cannot be solely handled by algorithms, especially diabetes, which is a lifelong multisystem disorder. But ML methods have certain attributes which can make a physician's job easier and can also be helpful in health system management. This article covers multiple dimensions of using artificial intelligence (AI) for diabetes care under the headings Strengths, Weaknesses, Opportunities, and Threats (SWOT), specifically for the Indian healthcare system with a few examples of the latest studies in India. We briefly discuss the scope of using AI for diabetes care in rural India, followed by recommendations. Identifying the potential and challenges with respect to AI use in diabetes care is a fundamental step to improve the management of disease with best possible use of technology.

Artificial intelligence in healthcare: a mastery

There is a vast development of artificial intelligence (AI) in recent years. Computational technology, digitized data collection and enormous advancement in this field have allowed AI applications to penetrate the core human area of specialization. In this review article, we describe current progress achieved in the AI field highlighting constraints on smooth development in the field of medical AI sector, with discussion of its implementation in healthcare from a commercial, regulatory and sociological standpoint. Utilizing sizable multidimensional biological datasets that contain individual heterogeneity in genomes, functionality and milieu, precision medicine strives to create and optimize approaches for diagnosis, treatment methods and assessment. With the arise of complexity and expansion of data in the health-care industry, AI can be applied more frequently. The main application categories include indications for diagnosis and therapy, patient involvement and commitment and administrative tasks. There has recently been a sharp rise in interest in medical AI applications due to developments in AI software and technology, particularly in deep learning algorithms and in artificial neural network (ANN). In this overview, we enlisted the major categories of issues that AI systems are ideally equipped to resolve followed by clinical diagnostic tasks. It also includes a discussion of the future potential of AI, particularly for risk prediction in complex diseases, and the difficulties, constraints and biases that must be meticulously addressed for the effective delivery of AI in the health-care sector.

Survival prediction landscape: an in-depth systematic literature review on activities, methods, tools, diseases, and databases

Survival prediction integrates patient-specific molecular information and clinical signatures to forecast the anticipated time of an event, such as recurrence, death, or disease progression. Survival prediction proves valuable in guiding treatment decisions, optimizing resource allocation, and interventions of precision medicine. The wide range of diseases, the existence of various variants within the same disease, and the reliance on available data necessitate disease-specific computational survival predictors. The widespread adoption of artificial intelligence (AI) methods in crafting survival predictors has undoubtedly revolutionized this field. However, the ever-increasing demand for more sophisticated and effective prediction models necessitates the continued creation of innovative advancements. To catalyze these advancements, it is crucial to bring existing survival predictors knowledge and insights into a centralized platform. The paper in hand thoroughly examines 23 existing review studies and provides a concise overview of their scope and limitations. Focusing on a comprehensive set of 90 most recent survival predictors across 44 diverse diseases, it delves into insights of diverse types of methods that are used in the development of disease-specific predictors. This exhaustive analysis encompasses the utilized data modalities along with a detailed analysis of subsets of clinical features, feature engineering methods, and the specific statistical, machine or deep learning approaches that have been employed. It also provides insights about survival prediction data sources, open-source predictors, and survival prediction frameworks.

Predicting Colonic Neoplasia Surgical Complications: A Machine Learning Approach

BACKGROUND

A range of statistical approaches have been used to help predict outcomes associated with colectomy. The multifactorial nature of complications suggests that machine learning algorithms may be more accurate in determining postoperative outcomes by detecting nonlinear associations, which are not readily measured by traditional statistics.

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the utility of machine learning algorithms to predict complications in patients undergoing colectomy for colonic neoplasia.

DESIGN

Retrospective analysis using decision tree, random forest, and artificial neural network classifiers to predict postoperative outcomes.

SETTINGS

National Inpatient Sample database (2003-2017).

PATIENTS

Adult patients who underwent elective colectomy with anastomosis for neoplasia.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Performance was quantified using sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve to predict the incidence of anastomotic leak, prolonged length of stay, and inpatient mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 14,935 patients (4731 laparoscopic, 10,204 open) were included. They had an average age of 67 ± 12.2 years, and 53% of patients were women. The 3 machine learning models successfully identified patients who developed the measured complications. Although differences between model performances were largely insignificant, the neural network scored highest for most outcomes: predicting anastomotic leak, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.88/0.93 (open/laparoscopic, 95% CI, 0.73-0.92/0.80-0.96); prolonged length of stay, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.84/0.88 (open/laparoscopic, 95% CI, 0.82-0.85/0.85-0.91); and inpatient mortality, area under the receiver operating characteristic curve 0.90/0.92 (open/laparoscopic, 95% CI, 0.85-0.96/0.86-0.98).

LIMITATIONS

The patients from the National Inpatient Sample database may not be an accurate sample of the population of all patients undergoing colectomy for colonic neoplasia and does not account for specific institutional and patient factors.

CONCLUSIONS

Machine learning predicted postoperative complications in patients with colonic neoplasia undergoing colectomy with good performance. Although validation using external data and optimization of data quality will be required, these machine learning tools show great promise in assisting surgeons with risk-stratification of perioperative care to improve postoperative outcomes. See Video Abstract .

PREDICCIN DE LAS COMPLICACIONES QUIRRGICAS DE LA NEOPLASIA DE COLON UN ENFOQUE DE MODELO DE APRENDIZAJE AUTOMTICO

ANTECEDENTES:Se han utilizado una variedad de enfoques estadísticos para ayudar a predecir los resultados asociados con la colectomía. La naturaleza multifactorial de las complicaciones sugiere que los algoritmos de aprendizaje automático pueden ser más precisos en determinar los resultados posoperatorios al detectar asociaciones no lineales, que generalmente no se miden en las estadísticas tradicionales.OBJETIVO:El objetivo de este estudio fue investigar la utilidad de los algoritmos de aprendizaje automático para predecir complicaciones en pacientes sometidos a colectomía por neoplasia de colon.DISEÑO:Análisis retrospectivo utilizando clasificadores de árboles de decisión, bosques aleatorios y redes neuronales artificiales para predecir los resultados posoperatorios.AJUSTE:Base de datos de la Muestra Nacional de Pacientes Hospitalizados (2003-2017).PACIENTES:Pacientes adultos sometidos a colectomía electiva con anastomosis por neoplasia.INTERVENCIONES:N/A.PRINCIPALES MEDIDAS DE RESULTADO:El rendimiento se cuantificó utilizando la sensibilidad, especificidad, precisión y la característica operativa del receptor del área bajo la curva para predecir la incidencia de fuga anastomótica, duración prolongada de la estancia hospitalaria y mortalidad de los pacientes hospitalizados.RESULTADOS:Se incluyeron un total de 14.935 pacientes (4.731 laparoscópicos, 10.204 abiertos). Presentaron una edad promedio de 67 ± 12,2 años y el 53% eran mujeres. Los tres modelos de aprendizaje automático identificaron con éxito a los pacientes que desarrollaron las complicaciones medidas. Aunque las diferencias entre el rendimiento del modelo fueron en gran medida insignificantes, la red neuronal obtuvo la puntuación más alta para la mayoría de los resultados: predicción de fuga anastomótica, característica operativa del receptor del área bajo la curva 0,88/0,93 (abierta/laparoscópica, IC del 95%: 0,73-0,92/0,80-0,96); duración prolongada de la estancia hospitalaria, característica operativa del receptor del área bajo la curva 0,84/0,88 (abierta/laparoscópica, IC del 95%: 0,82-0,85/0,85-0,91); y mortalidad de pacientes hospitalizados, característica operativa del receptor del área bajo la curva 0,90/0,92 (abierto/laparoscópico, IC del 95%: 0,85-0,96/0,86-0,98).LIMITACIONES:Los pacientes de la base de datos de la Muestra Nacional de Pacientes Hospitalizados pueden no ser una muestra precisa de la población de todos los pacientes sometidos a colectomía por neoplasia de colon y no tienen en cuenta factores institucionales y específicos del paciente.CONCLUSIONES:El aprendizaje automático predijo con buen rendimiento las complicaciones postoperatorias en pacientes con neoplasia de colon sometidos a colectomía. Aunque será necesaria la validación mediante datos externos y la optimización de la calidad de los datos, estas herramientas de aprendizaje automático son muy prometedoras para ayudar a los cirujanos con la estratificación de riesgos de la atención perioperatoria para mejorar los resultados posoperatorios. (Traducción-Dr. Fidel Ruiz Healy ).

Machine-Learning Classification of Bacteria Using Two-Dimensional Tandem Mass Spectrometry

Biothreat detection has continued to gain attention. Samples suspected to fall into any of the CDC's biothreat categories require identification by processes that require specialized expertise and facilities. Recent developments in analytical instrumentation and machine learning algorithms offer rapid and accurate classification of Gram-positive and Gram-negative bacterial species. This is achieved by analyzing the negative ions generated from bacterial cell extracts with a modified linear quadrupole ion-trap mass spectrometer fitted with two-dimensional tandem mass spectrometry capabilities (2D MS/MS). The 2D MS/MS data domain of a bacterial cell extract is recorded within five s using a five-scan average after sample preparation by a simple extraction. Bacteria were classified at the species level by their lipid profiles using the random forest, k-nearest neighbor, and multilayer perceptron machine learning models. 2D MS/MS data can also be treated as image data for use with image recognition algorithms such as convolutional neural networks. The classification accuracy of all models tested was greater than 99%. Adding to previously published work on the 2D MS/MS analysis of bacterial growth and the profiling of sporulating bacteria, this study demonstrates the utility and information-rich nature of 2D MS/MS in the identification of bacterial pathogens at the species level when coupled with machine learning.

GNN-surv: Discrete-Time Survival Prediction Using Graph Neural Networks

Survival prediction models play a key role in patient prognosis and personalized treatment. However, their accuracy can be improved by incorporating patient similarity networks, which uncover complex data patterns. Our study uses Graph Neural Networks (GNNs) to enhance discrete-time survival predictions (GNN-surv) by leveraging relationships in these networks. We build these networks using cancer patients' genomic and clinical data and train various GNN models on them, integrating Logistic Hazard and PMF survival models. GNN-surv models exhibit superior performance in survival prediction across two urologic cancer datasets, outperforming traditional MLP models. They maintain robustness and effectiveness under varying graph construction hyperparameter μ values, with performance boosts of up to 14.6% and 7.9% in the time-dependent concordance index and reductions in the integrated brier score of 26.7% and 24.1% in the BLCA and KIRC datasets, respectively. Notably, these models also maintain their effectiveness across three different types of GNN models, suggesting potential adaptability to other cancer datasets. The superior performance of our GNN-surv models underscores their wide applicability in the fields of oncology and personalized medicine, providing clinicians with a more accurate tool for patient prognosis and personalized treatment planning. Future studies can further optimize these models by incorporating other survival models or additional data modalities.

Artificial neural network approach for predicting the sesame (Sesamum indicum L.) leaf area: A non-destructive and accurate method

The estimative of the leaf area using a nondestructive method is paramount for successive evaluations in the same plant with precision and speed, not requiring high-cost equipment. Thus, the objective of this work was to construct models to estimate leaf area using artificial neural network models (ANN) and regression and to compare which model is the most effective model for predicting leaf area in sesame culture. A total of 11,000 leaves of four sesame cultivars were collected. Then, the length (L) and leaf width (W), and the actual leaf area (LA) were quantified. For the ANN model, the parameters of the length and width of the leaf were used as input variables of the network, with hidden layers and leaf area as the desired output parameter. For the linear regression models, leaf dimensions were considered independent variables, and the actual leaf area was the dependent variable. The criteria for choosing the best models were: the lowest root of the mean squared error (RMSE), mean absolute error (MAE), and absolute mean percentage error (MAPE), and higher coefficients of determination (R²). Among the linear regression models, the equation yˆ=0.515+0.584*LW was considered the most indicated to estimate the leaf area of the sesame. In modeling with ANNs, the best results were found for model 2-3-1, with two input variables (L and W), three hidden variables, and an output variable (LA). The ANN model was more accurate than the regression models, recording the lowest errors and higher R² in the training phase (RMSE: 0.0040; MAE: 0.0027; MAPE: 0.0587; and R²: 0.9834) and in the test phase (RMSE: 0.0106; MAE: 0.0029; MAPE: 0.0611; and R²: 0.9828). Thus, the ANN method is the most indicated and accurate for predicting the leaf area of the sesame.

Personalized prediction of incident hospitalization for cardiovascular disease in patients with hypertension using machine learning

BACKGROUND

Prognostic information for patients with hypertension is largely based on population averages. The purpose of this study was to compare the performance of four machine learning approaches for personalized prediction of incident hospitalization for cardiovascular disease among newly diagnosed hypertensive patients.

METHODS

Using province-wide linked administrative health data in Alberta, we analyzed a cohort of 259,873 newly-diagnosed hypertensive patients from 2009 to 2015 who collectively had 11,863 incident hospitalizations for heart failure, myocardial infarction, and stroke. Linear multi-task logistic regression, neural multi-task logistic regression, random survival forest and Cox proportional hazard models were used to determine the number of event-free survivors at each time-point and to construct individual event-free survival probability curves. The predictive performance was evaluated by root mean squared error, mean absolute error, concordance index, and the Brier score.

RESULTS

The random survival forest model has the lowest root mean squared error value at 33.94 and lowest mean absolute error value at 28.37. Machine learning methods provide similar discrimination and calibration in the personalized survival prediction of hospitalizations for cardiovascular events in patients with hypertension. Neural multi-task logistic regression model has the highest concordance index at 0.8149 and lowest Brier score at 0.0242 for the personalized survival prediction.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first personalized survival prediction for cardiovascular diseases among hypertensive patients using administrative data. The four models tested in this analysis exhibited a similar discrimination and calibration ability in predicting personalized survival prediction of hypertension patients.

Immune landscape-based machine-learning-assisted subclassification, prognosis, and immunotherapy prediction for glioblastoma

Introduction

As a malignant brain tumor, glioblastoma (GBM) is characterized by intratumor heterogeneity, a worse prognosis, and highly invasive, lethal, and refractory natures. Immunotherapy has been becoming a promising strategy to treat diverse cancers. It has been known that there are highly heterogeneous immunosuppressive microenvironments among different GBM molecular subtypes that mainly include classical (CL), mesenchymal (MES), and proneural (PN), respectively. Therefore, an in-depth understanding of immune landscapes among them is essential for identifying novel immune markers of GBM.

Methods and results

In the present study, based on collecting the largest number of 109 immune signatures, we aim to achieve a precise diagnosis, prognosis, and immunotherapy prediction for GBM by performing a comprehensive immunogenomic analysis. Firstly, machine-learning (ML) methods were proposed to evaluate the diagnostic values of these immune signatures, and the optimal classifier was constructed for accurate recognition of three GBM subtypes with robust and promising performance. The prognostic values of these signatures were then confirmed, and a risk score was established to divide all GBM patients into high-, medium-, and low-risk groups with a high predictive accuracy for overall survival (OS). Therefore, complete differential analysis across GBM subtypes was performed in terms of the immune characteristics along with clinicopathological and molecular features, which indicates that MES shows much higher immune heterogeneity compared to CL and PN but has significantly better immunotherapy responses, although MES patients may have an immunosuppressive microenvironment and be more proinflammatory and invasive. Finally, the MES subtype is proved to be more sensitive to 17-AAG, docetaxel, and erlotinib using drug sensitivity analysis and three compounds of AS-703026, PD-0325901, and MEK1-2-inhibitor might be potential therapeutic agents.

Conclusion

Overall, the findings of this research could help enhance our understanding of the tumor immune microenvironment and provide new insights for improving the prognosis and immunotherapy of GBM patients.

Predicting the risk of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners based on different machine learning models

Background

Nodular thyroid disease is by far the most common thyroid disease and is closely associated with the development of thyroid cancer. Coal miners with chronic coal dust exposure are at higher risk of developing nodular thyroid disease. There are few studies that use machine learning models to predict the occurrence of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners. The aim of this study was to predict the high risk of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners based on five different Machine learning (ML) models.

Methods

This is a retrospective clinical study in which 1,708 coal miners who were examined at the Huaihe Energy Occupational Disease Control Hospital in Anhui Province in April 2021 were selected and their clinical physical examination data, including general information, laboratory tests and imaging findings, were collected. A synthetic minority oversampling technique (SMOTE) was used for sample balancing, and the data set was randomly split into a training and Test dataset in a ratio of 8:2. Lasso regression and correlation heat map were used to screen the predictors of the models, and five ML models, including Extreme Gradient Augmentation (XGBoost), Logistic Classification (LR), Gaussian Parsimonious Bayesian Classification (GNB), Neural Network Classification (MLP), and Complementary Parsimonious Bayesian Classification (CNB) for their predictive efficacy, and the model with the highest AUC was selected as the optimal model for predicting the occurrence of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners.

Result

Lasso regression analysis showed Age, H-DLC, HCT, MCH, PLT, and GGT as predictor variables for the ML models; in addition, heat maps showed no significant correlation between the six variables. In the prediction of nodular thyroid disease, the AUC results of the five ML models, XGBoost (0.892), LR (0.577), GNB (0.603), MLP (0.601), and CNB (0.543), with the XGBoost model having the largest AUC, the model can be applied in clinical practice.

Conclusion

In this research, all five ML models were found to predict the risk of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners, with the XGBoost model having the best overall predictive performance. The model can assist clinicians in quickly and accurately predicting the occurrence of nodular thyroid disease in coal miners, and in adopting individualized clinical prevention and treatment strategies.

Climate change and groundwater overdraft impacts on agricultural drought in India: Vulnerability assessment, food security measures and policy recommendation

The problem of drought in India is a major issue in terms of various adverse impacts on livelihood of society. Drought Early Warning System (DEWS), a real-time drought-monitoring tool, has reported that over a fifth of India's geographical area (21.06 %) is suffering drought-like situations. This is 62 % larger than the drought-affected area during the same period last year, which was 7.86 %. Drought affects 21.06 %, with conditions ranging from unusually dry to extremely dry. While 1.63 % and 1.73 % of the area are experiencing 'extreme' or 'exceptional' dry conditions, 2.17 % is experiencing 'severe' dry conditions. Under 'moderate' dry circumstances, up to 8.15 % is possible. In this perspective groundwater vulnerability assessment in the overall country is needed for implementing the sustainable and long-term strategies for escaping from this type of hazardous situation. The main objective of this study is to estimate the drought vulnerability in changing climate which eventually influences the food security of India. The groundwater overdraft is one of the crucial elements in agricultural drought vulnerability. Various related parameters have been selected for estimating the drought vulnerability and its impact to food security in India. Here, MaxEnt (maximum entropy) and ANN (analytical neural network) has been considered in this perspective. The AUC values for the training datasets in the ANN and MaxEnt model are 0.891 and 0.921, respectively. The AUC values in ANN and MaxEnt model for the validation datasets are 0.876 and 0.904, respectively. Here MaxEnt model is most optimal than ANN considering predictive accuracy. From this study analysis it is established that western, south and middle portion of country is very much prone to drought vulnerability. So, special emphases in terms of the regional planning have to be taken into consideration for sustainable planning.

Volume prediction for large brain metastases after hypofractionated gamma knife radiosurgery through artificial neural network

The effectiveness of single-session gamma knife radiosurgery (GKRS) for small metastatic brain tumors has been proven, but hypofractionated GKRS (hfGKRS) for large brain metastases (BM) from the linear quadratic (LQ) model is uncertain. The purpose of this study was to investigate volume changes large BM after hfGKRS from the LQ model and predict volume changes using artificial neural network (ANN). We retrospectively investigated the clinical findings of 28 patients who underwent hfGKRS with large BM (diameter >3 cm or volume >10 cc). A total of 44 tumors were extracted from 28 patients with features. We randomly divided 30 large brain tumors as training set and 14 large brain tumors as test set. To predict the volume changes after hfGKRS, we used ANN models (single-layer perceptron (SLP) and multi-layer perceptron (MLP)). The volume reduction was 96% after hfGKRS for large BM from the LQ model. ANN model predicted volume changes with 70% and 80% accuracy for SLP and MLP, respectively. Even in large BM, hfGKRS from the LQ model could be a good treatment option. Additionally, the MLP model could predict volume changes with 80% accuracy after hfGKRS for large BM.

The prognostic value of machine learning techniques versus cox regression model for head and neck cancer

BACKGROUND

Accurate prognostic prediction for head and neck cancer (HNC) is important for the improvement of clinical management. We aimed to compare the prognostic value of various machine learning techniques (MLTs) and statistical Cox regression model for different types of HNC.

METHODS

Clinical data of HNC patients were extracted from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database from 1974 to 2016. The prediction performance of five ML models, including random forest (RF), gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT), support vector machine (SVM), neural network (NN) and deep learning (DL), were compared with the statistical Cox regression model by estimating the concordance index (C-index), integrated Brier score (IBS), time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and the area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Our results showed that the RF model outperformed all other models in prognostic prediction for all tumor sites of HNC, particularly for major salivary gland cancer (MSGC, C-index: 88.730 ± 0.8700, IBS: 7.680 ± 0.4800), oral cavity cancer (OCC, C-index: 84.250 ± 0.6700, IBS: 11.480 ± 0.3300) and oropharyngeal cancer (OPC, C-index: 82.510 ± 0.5400, IBS: 10.120 ± 0.1400). Meanwhile, we analyzed the importance of each clinical variable in the RF model, in which age and tumor size presented the strongest positive prognostic effects. Additionally, similar results can be observed in the internal (6th edition of the AJCC TNM staging system cohort) and external validations (the TCGA HNC cohort).

CONCLUSIONS

The RF model is a promising prognostic prediction tool for HNC patients, regardless of the anatomic subsites.

The Prediction of Peritoneal Carcinomatosis in Patients with Colorectal Cancer Using Machine Learning

The incidence of colon, rectal, and colorectal cancer is very high, and diagnosis is often made in the advanced stages of the disease. In cases where peritoneal carcinomatosis is limited, patients can benefit from newer treatment options if the disease is promptly identified, and they are referred to specialized centers. Therefore, an essential diagnostic benefit would be identifying those factors that could lead to early diagnosis. A retrospective study was performed using patient data gathered from 2010 to 2020. The collected data were represented by routine blood tests subjected to stringent inclusion and exclusion criteria. In order to determine the presence or absence of peritoneal carcinomatosis in colorectal cancer patients, three types of machine learning approaches were applied: a neuro-evolutive methodology based on artificial neural network (ANN), support vector machines (SVM), and random forests (RF), all combined with differential evolution (DE). The optimizer (DE in our case) determined the internal and structural parameters that defined the ANN, SVM, and RF in their optimal form. The RF strategy obtained the best accuracy in the testing phase (0.75). Using this RF model, a sensitivity analysis was applied to determine the influence of each parameter on the presence or absence of peritoneal carcinomatosis.

Using Artificial Neural Networks to Predict Intra-Abdominal Abscess Risk Post-Appendectomy

Objective

To determine if artificial neural networks (ANN) could predict the risk of intra-abdominal abscess (IAA) development post-appendectomy.

Background

IAA formation occurs in 13.6% to 14.6% of appendicitis cases with "complicated" appendicitis as the most common cause of IAA. There remains inconsistency in describing the severity of appendicitis with variation in treatment with respect to perforated appendicitis.

Methods

Two "reproducible" ANN with different architectures were developed on demographic, clinical, and surgical information from a retrospective surgical dataset of 1574 patients less than 19 years old classified as either negative (n = 1,328) or positive (n = 246) for IAA post-appendectomy for appendicitis. Of 34 independent variables initially, 12 variables with the highest influence on the outcome selected for the final dataset for ANN model training and testing.

Results

A total of 1574 patients were used for training and test sets (80%/20% split). Model 1 achieved accuracy of 89.84%, sensitivity of 70%, and specificity of 93.61% on the test set. Model 2 achieved accuracy of 84.13%, sensitivity of 81.63%, and specificity of 84.6%.

Conclusions

ANN applied to selected variables can accurately predict patients who will have IAA post-appendectomy. Our reproducible and explainable ANNs potentially represent a state-of-the-art method for optimizing post-appendectomy care.

Predicting Colorectal Cancer Using Residual Deep Learning with Nursing Care

Presently, colorectal cancer is the second most dangerous cancer; around 13% of people have been affected; and it requires an effective image analysis and earlier cancer prediction (IAECP) system for reducing the mortality rate. Here, the IAECP system uses MRI radio imaging for predicting colorectal cancer. During this process, high- and low-level features are required to examine cancer in an earlier stage. Due to the limitation of the conventional feature extraction process, both features are difficult to extract from cancer suffered locations. Hence, a deep learning system (DLS) is used to examine the entire bowel MRI image to identify the cancer-affected location, feature extraction, and feature training process. Furthermore, the DLS-based IAECP system helps improve the overall colorectal cancer identification accuracy for further process. The derived bowel features are trained by applying the residual convolution network, which minimizes the error between predicted and actual values. Finally, the test query images are compared with the trained image by applying the sum, which is more absolute to the cross-correlation template feature matching (SACC) algorithm. The experimental process is performed using 100,000 histological data sets, which is considered a publicly available data set. Moreover, the introduced method does not use generic features, whereas the deep learning features help improve the overall IAECP prediction rate (99.8%) ratio as predicted at lab-scale analysis.

Modeling of Land Use and Land Cover (LULC) Change Based on Artificial Neural Networks for the Chapecó River Ecological Corridor, Santa Catarina/Brazil

The simulation and analysis of future land use and land cover—LULC scenarios using artificial neural networks (ANN)—has been applied in the last 25 years, producing information for environmental and territorial policy making and implementation. LULC changes have impacts on many levels, e.g., climate change, biodiversity and ecosystem services, soil quality, which, in turn, have implications for the landscape. Therefore, it is fundamental that planning is informed by scientific evidence. The objective of this work was to develop a geographic model to identify the main patterns of LULC transitions between the years 2000 and 2018, to simulate a baseline scenario for the year 2036, and to assess the effectiveness of the Chapecó River ecological corridor (an area created by State Decree No. 2.957/2010), regarding the recovery and conservation of forest remnants and natural fields. The results indicate that the forest remnants have tended to recover their area, systematically replacing silviculture areas. However, natural fields (grassland) are expected to disappear in the near future if proper measures are not taken to protect this ecosystem. If the current agricultural advance pattern is maintained, only 0.5% of natural fields will remain in the ecological corridor by 2036. This LULC trend exposes the low effectiveness of the ecological corridor (EC) in protecting and restoring this vital ecosystem.

Machine Learning Based Lens-Free Shadow Imaging Technique for Field-Portable Cytometry

The lens-free shadow imaging technique (LSIT) is a well-established technique for the characterization of microparticles and biological cells. Due to its simplicity and cost-effectiveness, various low-cost solutions have been developed, such as automatic analysis of complete blood count (CBC), cell viability, 2D cell morphology, 3D cell tomography, etc. The developed auto characterization algorithm so far for this custom-developed LSIT cytometer was based on the handcrafted features of the cell diffraction patterns from the LSIT cytometer, that were determined from our empirical findings on thousands of samples of individual cell types, which limit the system in terms of induction of a new cell type for auto classification or characterization. Further, its performance suffers from poor image (cell diffraction pattern) signatures due to their small signal or background noise. In this work, we address these issues by leveraging the artificial intelligence-powered auto signal enhancing scheme such as denoising autoencoder and adaptive cell characterization technique based on the transfer of learning in deep neural networks. The performance of our proposed method shows an increase in accuracy >98% along with the signal enhancement of >5 dB for most of the cell types, such as red blood cell (RBC) and white blood cell (WBC). Furthermore, the model is adaptive to learn new type of samples within a few learning iterations and able to successfully classify the newly introduced sample along with the existing other sample types.

Machine Learning Approaches in Traditional Chinese Medicine: A Systematic Review

Machine learning (ML), as a branch of artificial intelligence, acquires the potential and meaningful rules from the mass of data via diverse algorithms. Owing to all research of traditional Chinese medicine (TCM) belonging to the digitalization of clinical records or experimental works, a massive and complex amount of data has become an inextricable part of the related studies. It is thus not surprising that ML approaches, as novel and efficient tools to mine the useful knowledge from data, have created inroads in a diversity of scopes of TCM over the past decade of years. However, by browsing lots of literature, we find that not all of the ML approaches perform well in the same field. Upon further consideration, we infer that the specificity may inhere between the ML approaches and their applied fields. This systematic review focuses its attention on the four categories of ML approaches and their eight application scopes in TCM. According to the function, ML approaches are classified into four categories, including classification, regression, clustering, and dimensionality reduction, and into 14 models as follows in more detail: support vector machine, least square-support vector machine, logistic regression, partial least squares regression, k-means clustering, hierarchical cluster analysis, artificial neural network, back propagation neural network, convolutional neural network, decision tree, random forest, principal component analysis, partial least squares-discriminant analysis, and orthogonal partial least squares-discriminant analysis. The eight common applied fields are divided into two parts: one for TCM, such as the diagnosis of diseases, the determination of syndromes, and the analysis of prescription, and the other for the related researches of Chinese herbal medicine, such as the quality control, the identification of geographic origins, the pharmacodynamic material basis, the medicinal properties, and the pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics. Additionally, this paper discusses the function and feature difference among ML approaches when they are applied to the corresponding fields via comparing their principles. The specificity of each approach to its applied fields has also been affirmed, whereby laying a foundation for subsequent studies applying ML approaches to TCM.

Deep Learning Neural Modelling as a Precise Method in the Assessment of the Chronological Age of Children and Adolescents Using Tooth and Bone Parameters

Dental age is one of the most reliable methods for determining a patient’s age. The timing of teething, the period of tooth replacement, or the degree of tooth attrition is an important diagnostic factor in the assessment of an individual’s developmental age. It is used in orthodontics, pediatric dentistry, endocrinology, forensic medicine, and pathomorphology, but also in scenarios regarding international adoptions and illegal immigrants. The methods used to date are time-consuming and not very precise. For this reason, artificial intelligence methods are increasingly used to estimate the age of a patient. The present work is a continuation of the work of Zaborowicz et al. In the presented research, a set of 21 original indicators was used to create deep neural network models. The aim of this study was to verify the ability to generate a more accurate deep neural network model compared to models produced previously. The quality parameters of the produced models were as follows. The MAE error of the produced models, depending on the learning set used, was between 2.34 and 4.61 months, while the RMSE error was between 5.58 and 7.49 months. The correlation coefficient R² ranged from 0.92 to 0.96.

Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Cancer Research: A Systematic and Thematic Analysis of the Top 100 Cited Articles Indexed in Scopus Database

INTRODUCTION

Cancer is a major public health problem and a global leading cause of death where the screening, diagnosis, prediction, survival estimation, and treatment of cancer and control measures are still a major challenge. The rise of Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Machine Learning (ML) techniques and their applications in various fields have brought immense value in providing insights into advancement in support of cancer control.

METHODS

A systematic and thematic analysis was performed on the Scopus database to identify the top 100 cited articles in cancer research. Data were analyzed using RStudio and VOSviewer.Var1.6.6.

RESULTS

The top 100 articles in AI and ML in cancer received a 33 920 citation score with a range of 108 to 5758 times. Doi Kunio from the USA was the most cited author with total number of citations (TNC = 663). Out of 43 contributed countries, 30% of the top 100 cited articles originated from the USA, and 10% originated from China. Among the 57 peer-reviewed journals, the "Expert Systems with Application" published 8% of the total articles. The results were presented in highlight technological advancement through AI and ML via the widespread use of Artificial Neural Network (ANNs), Deep Learning or machine learning techniques, Mammography-based Model, Convolutional Neural Networks (SC-CNN), and text mining techniques in the prediction, diagnosis, and prevention of various types of cancers towards cancer control.

CONCLUSIONS

This bibliometric study provides detailed overview of the most cited empirical evidence in AI and ML adoption in cancer research that could efficiently help in designing future research. The innovations guarantee greater speed by using AI and ML in the detection and control of cancer to improve patient experience.

Predicting outcomes of phase III oncology trials with Bayesian mediation modeling of tumor response

Pivotal cancer trials often fail to yield evidence in support of new therapies thought to offer promising alternatives to standards-of-care. Conducting randomized controlled trials in oncology tends to be considerably more expensive than studies of other diseases with comparable sample size. Moreover, phase III trial design often takes place with a paucity of survival data for experimental therapies. Experts have explained the failures on the basis of design flaws which produce studies with unrealistic expectations. This article presents a framework for predicting outcomes of phase III oncology trials using Bayesian mediation models. Predictions, which arise from interim analyses, derive from multivariate modeling of the relationships among treatment, tumor response, and their conjoint effects on survival. Acting as a safeguard against inaccurate pre-trial design assumptions, the methodology may better facilitate rapid closure of negative studies. Additionally the models can be used to inform re-estimations of sample size for under-powered trials that demonstrate survival benefit via tumor response mediation. The methods are applied to predict the outcomes of two colorectal cancer studies. Simulation is used to evaluate and compare models in the absence versus presence of reliable surrogate markers of survival.

A Scoping Review of Artificial Intelligence and Machine Learning in Bariatric and Metabolic Surgery: Current Status and Future Perspectives

Artificial intelligence (AI) is a revolution in data analysis with emerging roles in various specialties and with various applications. The objective of this scoping review was to retrieve current literature on the fields of AI that have been applied to metabolic bariatric surgery (MBS) and to investigate potential applications of AI as a decision-making tool of the bariatric surgeon. Initial search yielded 3260 studies published from January 2000 until March 2021. After screening, 49 unique articles were included in the final analysis. Studies were grouped into categories, and the frequency of appearing algorithms, dataset types, and metrics were documented. The heterogeneity of current studies showed that meticulous validation, strict reporting systems, and reliable benchmarking are mandatory for ensuring the clinical validity of future research.

Pancreatic Cancer Survival Prediction: A Survey of the State-of-the-Art

Cancer early detection increases the chances of survival. Some cancer types, like pancreatic cancer, are challenging to diagnose or detect early, and the stages have a fast progression rate. This paper presents the state-of-the-art techniques used in cancer survival prediction, suggesting how these techniques can be implemented in predicting the overall survival of pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cancer (pdac) patients. Because of bewildering and high volumes of data, the recent studies highlight the importance of machine learning (ML) algorithms like support vector machines and convolutional neural networks. Studies predict pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma cancer (pdac) survival is within the limits of 41.7% at one year, 8.7% at three years, and 1.9% at five years. There is no significant correlation found between the disease stages and the overall survival rate. The implementation of ML algorithms can improve our understanding of cancer progression. ML methods need an appropriate level of validation to be considered in everyday clinical practice. The objective of these techniques is to perform classification, prediction, and estimation. Accurate predictions give pathologists information on the patient's state, surgical treatment to be done, optimal use of resources, individualized therapy, drugs to prescribe, and better patient management.

Tooth and Bone Parameters in the Assessment of the Chronological Age of Children and Adolescents Using Neural Modelling Methods

The analog methods used in the clinical assessment of the patient's chronological age are subjective and characterized by low accuracy. When using those methods, there is a noticeable discrepancy between the chronological age and the age estimated based on relevant scientific studies. Innovations in the field of information technology are increasingly used in medicine, with particular emphasis on artificial intelligence methods. The paper presents research aimed at developing a new, effective methodology for the assessment of the chronological age using modern IT methods. In this paper, a study was conducted to determine the features of pantomographic images that support the determination of metric age, and neural models were produced to support the process of identifying the age of children and adolescents. The whole conducted work was a new methodology of metric age assessment. The result of the conducted study is a set of 21 original indicators necessary for the assessment of the chronological age with the use of computer image analysis and neural modelling, as well as three non-linear models of radial basis function networks (RBF), whose accuracy ranges from 96 to 99%. The result of the research are three neural models that determine the chronological age.

Magnetic resonance imaging-based artificial intelligence model in rectal cancer

Rectal magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is the preferred method for the diagnosis of rectal cancer as recommended by the guidelines. Rectal MRI can accurately evaluate the tumor location, tumor stage, invasion depth, extramural vascular invasion, and circumferential resection margin. We summarize the progress of research on the use of artificial intelligence (AI) in rectal cancer in recent years. AI, represented by machine learning, is being increasingly used in the medical field. The application of AI models based on high-resolution MRI in rectal cancer has been increasingly reported. In addition to staging the diagnosis and localizing radiotherapy, an increasing number of studies have reported that AI models based on high-resolution MRI can be used to predict the response to chemotherapy and prognosis of patients.

Predicting women with depressive symptoms postpartum with machine learning methods

Postpartum depression (PPD) is a detrimental health condition that affects 12% of new mothers. Despite negative effects on mothers’ and children’s health, many women do not receive adequate care. Preventive interventions are cost-efficient among high-risk women, but our ability to identify these is poor. We leveraged the power of clinical, demographic, and psychometric data to assess if machine learning methods can make accurate predictions of postpartum depression. Data were obtained from a population-based prospective cohort study in Uppsala, Sweden, collected between 2009 and 2018 (BASIC study, n = 4313). Sub-analyses among women without previous depression were performed. The extremely randomized trees method provided robust performance with highest accuracy and well-balanced sensitivity and specificity (accuracy 73%, sensitivity 72%, specificity 75%, positive predictive value 33%, negative predictive value 94%, area under the curve 81%). Among women without earlier mental health issues, the accuracy was 64%. The variables setting women at most risk for PPD were depression and anxiety during pregnancy, as well as variables related to resilience and personality. Future clinical models that could be implemented directly after delivery might consider including these variables in order to identify women at high risk for postpartum depression to facilitate individualized follow-up and cost-effectiveness.

An artificial neural network approach to detect presence and severity of Parkinson's disease via gait parameters

Introduction

Gait deficits are debilitating in people with Parkinson’s disease (PwPD), which inevitably deteriorate over time. Gait analysis is a valuable method to assess disease-specific gait patterns and their relationship with the clinical features and progression of the disease.

Objectives

Our study aimed to i) develop an automated diagnostic algorithm based on machine-learning techniques (artificial neural networks [ANNs]) to classify the gait deficits of PwPD according to disease progression in the Hoehn and Yahr (H-Y) staging system, and ii) identify a minimum set of gait classifiers.

Methods

We evaluated 76 PwPD (H-Y stage 1–4) and 67 healthy controls (HCs) by computerized gait analysis. We computed the time-distance parameters and the ranges of angular motion (RoMs) of the hip, knee, ankle, trunk, and pelvis. Principal component analysis was used to define a subset of features including all gait variables. An ANN approach was used to identify gait deficits according to the H-Y stage.

Results

We identified a combination of a small number of features that distinguished PwPDs from HCs (one combination of two features: knee and trunk rotation RoMs) and identified the gait patterns between different H-Y stages (two combinations of four features: walking speed and hip, knee, and ankle RoMs; walking speed and hip, knee, and trunk rotation RoMs).

Conclusion

The ANN approach enabled automated diagnosis of gait deficits in several symptomatic stages of Parkinson’s disease. These results will inspire future studies to test the utility of gait classifiers for the evaluation of treatments that could modify disease progression.

Deep learning enabled prediction of 5-year survival in pediatric genitourinary rhabdomyosarcoma

BACKGROUND

Genitourinary rhabdomyosarcoma (GU-RMS) is a rare, pediatric malignancy originating from embryonic mesenchyme. Current approaches to prognostication rely upon conventional statistical methods such as Cox proportional hazards (CPH) models and have suboptimal predictive ability. Given the success of deep learning approaches in other specialties, we sought to develop and compare deep learning models with CPH models for the prediction of 5-year survival in pediatric GU-RMS patients.

METHODS

Patients less than 20 years of age with GU-RMS were identified within the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) database (1998-2011). Deep neural networks (DNN) were trained and tested on an 80/20 split of the dataset in a 5-fold cross-validated fashion. Multivariable CPH models were developed in parallel. The primary outcomes were 5-year overall survival (OS) and disease-specific survival (DSS). Variables used for prediction were age, sex, race, primary site, histology, degree of tumor extension, tumor size, receipt of surgery, and receipt of radiation. Receiver operating characteristic curve analysis was conducted, and DNN models were tested for calibration.

RESULTS

277 patients were included. The area under the curve (AUC) for the DNN models was 0.93 for OS and 0.91 for DSS. AUC for the CPH models was 0.82 for OS and 0.84 for DSS. The DNN models were well-calibrated: OS model (slope = 1.02, intercept = -0.06) and DSS model (slope = 0.79, intercept = 0.21).

CONCLUSIONS

A deep learning-based model demonstrated excellent performance, superior to that of CPH models, in the prediction of pediatric GU-RMS survival. Deep learning approaches may enable improved prognostication for patients with rare cancers.

An Amalgamated Approach to Bilevel Feature Selection Techniques Utilizing Soft Computing Methods for Classifying Colon Cancer

One of the deadliest diseases which affects the large intestine is colon cancer. Older adults are typically affected by colon cancer though it can happen at any age. It generally starts as small benign growth of cells that forms on the inside of the colon, and later, it develops into cancer. Due to the propagation of somatic alterations that affects the gene expression, colon cancer is caused. A standardized format for assessing the expression levels of thousands of genes is provided by the DNA microarray technology. The tumors of various anatomical regions can be distinguished by the patterns of gene expression in microarray technology. As the microarray data is too huge to process due to the curse of dimensionality problem, an amalgamated approach of utilizing bilevel feature selection techniques is proposed in this paper. In the first level, the genes or the features are dimensionally reduced with the help of Multivariate Minimum Redundancy–Maximum Relevance (MRMR) technique. Then, in the second level, six optimization techniques are utilized in this work for selecting the best genes or features before proceeding to classification process. The optimization techniques considered in this work are Invasive Weed Optimization (IWO), Teaching Learning-Based Optimization (TLBO), League Championship Optimization (LCO), Beetle Antennae Search Optimization (BASO), Crow Search Optimization (CSO), and Fruit Fly Optimization (FFO). Finally, it is classified with five suitable classifiers, and the best results show when IWO is utilized with MRMR, and then classified with Quadratic Discriminant Analysis (QDA), a classification accuracy of 99.16% is obtained.

Application of artificial neural networks in detection and diagnosis of gastrointestinal and liver tumors

As a form of artificial intelligence, artificial neural networks (ANNs) have the advantages of adaptability, parallel processing capabilities, and non-linear processing. They have been widely used in the early detection and diagnosis of tumors. In this article, we introduce the development, working principle, and characteristics of ANNs and review the research progress on the application of ANNs in the detection and diagnosis of gastrointestinal and liver tumors.

KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF mutation prevalence, clinicopathological association, and their application in a predictive model in Mexican patients with metastatic colorectal cancer: A retrospective cohort study

Mutations in KRAS, NRAS, and BRAF (RAS/BRAF) genes are the main predictive biomarkers for the response to anti-EGFR monoclonal antibodies (MAbs) targeted therapy in metastatic colorectal cancer (mCRC). This retrospective study aimed to report the mutational status prevalence of these genes, explore their possible associations with clinicopathological features, and build and validate a predictive model. To achieve these objectives, 500 mCRC Mexican patients were screened for clinically relevant mutations in RAS/BRAF genes. Fifty-two percent of these specimens harbored clinically relevant mutations in at least one screened gene. Among these, 86% had a mutation in KRAS, 7% in NRAS, 6% in BRAF, and 2% in both NRAS and BRAF. Only tumor location in the proximal colon exhibited a significant correlation with KRAS and BRAF mutational status (p-value = 0.0414 and 0.0065, respectively). Further t-SNE analyses were made to 191 specimens to reveal patterns among patients with clinical parameters and KRAS mutational status. Then, directed by the results from classical statistical tests and t-SNE analysis, neural network models utilized entity embeddings to learn patterns and build predictive models using a minimal number of trainable parameters. This study could be the first step in the prediction for RAS/BRAF mutational status from tumoral features and could lead the way to a more detailed and more diverse dataset that could benefit from machine learning methods.

Artificial neural networks can predict trauma volume and acuity regardless of center size and geography: A multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Trauma has long been considered unpredictable. Artificial neural networks (ANN) have recently shown the ability to predict admission volume, acuity, and operative needs at a single trauma center with very high reliability. This model has not been tested in a multicenter model with differing climate and geography. We hypothesize that an ANN can accurately predict trauma admission volume, penetrating trauma admissions, and mean Injury Severity Score (ISS) with a high degree of reliability across multiple trauma centers.

METHODS

Three years of admission data were collected from five geographically distinct US Level I trauma centers. Patients with incomplete data, pediatric patients, and primary thermal injuries were excluded. Daily number of traumas, number of penetrating cases, and mean ISS were tabulated from each center along with National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration data from local airports. We trained a single two-layer feed-forward ANN on a random majority (70%) partitioning of data from all centers using Bayesian Regularization and minimizing mean squared error. Pearson's product-moment correlation coefficient was calculated for each partition, each trauma center, and for high- and low-volume days (>1 standard deviation above or below mean total number of traumas).

RESULTS

There were 5,410 days included. There were 43,380 traumas, including 4,982 penetrating traumas. The mean ISS was 11.78 (SD = 6.12). On the training partition, we achieved R = 0.8733. On the testing partition (new data to the model), we achieved R = 0.8732, with a combined R = 0.8732. For high- and low-volume days, we achieved R = 0.8934 and R = 0.7963, respectively.

CONCLUSION

An ANN successfully predicted trauma volumes and acuity across multiple trauma centers with very high levels of reliability. The correlation was highest during periods of peak volume. This can potentially provide a framework for determining resource allocation at both the trauma system level and the individual hospital level.

LEVEL OF EVIDENCE

Care Management, level IV.

The Performance of Different Artificial Intelligence Models in Predicting Breast Cancer among Individuals Having Type 2 Diabetes Mellitus

Objective: Early reports indicate that individuals with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) may have a greater incidence of breast malignancy than patients without T2DM. The aim of this study was to investigate the effectiveness of three different models for predicting risk of breast cancer in patients with T2DM of different characteristics. Study design and methodology: From 2000 to 2012, data on 636,111 newly diagnosed female T2DM patients were available in the Taiwan’s National Health Insurance Research Database. By applying their data, a risk prediction model of breast cancer in patients with T2DM was created. We also collected data on potential predictors of breast cancer so that adjustments for their effect could be made in the analysis. Synthetic Minority Oversampling Technology (SMOTE) was utilized to increase data for small population samples. Each datum was randomly assigned based on a ratio of about 39:1 into the training and test sets. Logistic Regression (LR), Artificial Neural Network (ANN) and Random Forest (RF) models were determined using recall, accuracy, F₁ score and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC). Results: The AUC of the LR (0.834), ANN (0.865), and RF (0.959) models were found. The largest AUC among the three models was seen in the RF model. Conclusions: Although the LR, ANN, and RF models all showed high accuracy predicting the risk of breast cancer in Taiwanese with T2DM, the RF model performed best.

Machine learning analyses can differentiate meningioma grade by features on magnetic resonance imaging

OBJECTIVEPrognostication and surgical planning for WHO grade I versus grade II meningioma requires thoughtful decision-making based on radiographic evidence, among other factors. Although conventional statistical models such as logistic regression are useful, machine learning (ML) algorithms are often more predictive, have higher discriminative ability, and can learn from new data. The authors used conventional statistical models and an array of ML algorithms to predict atypical meningioma based on radiologist-interpreted preoperative MRI findings. The goal of this study was to compare the performance of ML algorithms to standard statistical methods when predicting meningioma grade.METHODSThe cohort included patients aged 18-65 years with WHO grade I (n = 94) and II (n = 34) meningioma in whom preoperative MRI was obtained between 1998 and 2010. A board-certified neuroradiologist, blinded to histological grade, interpreted all MR images for tumor volume, degree of peritumoral edema, presence of necrosis, tumor location, presence of a draining vein, and patient sex. The authors trained and validated several binary classifiers: k-nearest neighbors models, support vector machines, naïve Bayes classifiers, and artificial neural networks as well as logistic regression models to predict tumor grade. The area under the curve-receiver operating characteristic curve was used for comparison across and within model classes. All analyses were performed in MATLAB using a MacBook Pro.RESULTSThe authors included 6 preoperative imaging and demographic variables: tumor volume, degree of peritumoral edema, presence of necrosis, tumor location, patient sex, and presence of a draining vein to construct the models. The artificial neural networks outperformed all other ML models across the true-positive versus false-positive (receiver operating characteristic) space (area under curve = 0.8895).CONCLUSIONSML algorithms are powerful computational tools that can predict meningioma grade with great accuracy.

Prediction of Cleaning Loss of Combine Harvester Based on Neural Network

This paper explores the performance and obtains a reasonable cleaning effect of the cleaning system of combine harvester and studies the relationship between the cleaning effect of the combine harvester cleaning system and its influencing factors. We established a neural network model between the cleaning loss rate and the clean system parameters. First, we tested the results of the cleaning performance of each group under different combinations of conditions, and analyzed the direct or indirect relationship between the cleaning loss rate and the parameters in the experiment under each working condition. Then, according to the experimental data obtained in the experiment, we predict the clearance loss rate for several sets of conditions by this model. The experimental results show that the prediction results of the model can meet the experimental requirements under the condition that the accuracy is not very high.

Scoring colorectal cancer risk with an artificial neural network based on self-reportable personal health data

Colorectal cancer (CRC) is third in prevalence and mortality among all cancers in the US. Currently, the United States Preventative Services Task Force (USPSTF) recommends anyone ages 50-75 and/or with a family history to be screened for CRC. To improve screening specificity and sensitivity, we have built an artificial neural network (ANN) trained on 12 to 14 categories of personal health data from the National Health Interview Survey (NHIS). Years 1997-2016 of the NHIS contain 583,770 respondents who had never received a diagnosis of any cancer and 1409 who had received a diagnosis of CRC within 4 years of taking the survey. The trained ANN has sensitivity of 0.57 ± 0.03, specificity of 0.89 ± 0.02, positive predictive value of 0.0075 ± 0.0003, negative predictive value of 0.999 ± 0.001, and concordance of 0.80 ± 0.05 per the guidelines of Transparent Reporting of Multivariable Prediction Model for Individual Prognosis or Diagnosis (TRIPOD) level 2a, comparable to current risk-scoring methods. To demonstrate clinical applicability, both USPSTF guidelines and the trained ANN are used to stratify respondents to the 2017 NHIS into low-, medium- and high-risk categories (TRIPOD levels 4 and 2b, respectively). The number of CRC respondents misclassified as low risk is decreased from 35% by screening guidelines to 5% by ANN (in 60 cases). The number of non-CRC respondents misclassified as high risk is decreased from 53% by screening guidelines to 6% by ANN (in 25,457 cases). Our results demonstrate a robustly-tested method of stratifying CRC risk that is non-invasive, cost-effective, and easy to implement publicly.

Application of Artificial Neural Network in miRNA Biomarker Selection and Precise Diagnosis of Colorectal Cancer

BACKGROUND

The early diagnosis of colorectal cancer (CRC) is associated with improved survival rates, and development of novel non-invasive, sensitive, and specific diagnostic tests is highly demanded. The objective of this paper was to identify commonly circulating microRNA (miRNA) biomarkers for use in CRC diagnosis.

METHODS

An artificial neural network (ANN) model was proposed in this work. Among miRNAs retrieved from the Gene Expression Omnibus dataset, four miRNAs with the best miRNA score were selected by ANN units.

RESULTS

The simulation results showed that the designed ANN model could accurately classify the sample data into cancerous or non-cancerous. Furthermore, based on the results of evaluated ANN model, the area under the ROC curve (AUC) of the designed ANN model as well as the regression coefficient between the output of the ANN and the expected output was one. The confusion matrix of the ANN model indicated that all non-cancerous patients were predicted as normal, and the cancerous patients as cancerous.

CONCLUSION

Our findings suggest that the improved model can be used as a robust prediction toolbox for cancer diagnosis. In conclusion, by using ANN, circulatory miRNAs can be used as a non-invasive, sensitive and specific diagnostic marker.

Application of an artificial neural network model for early outcome prediction of gamma knife radiosurgery in patients with trigeminal neuralgia and determining the relative importance of risk factors

OBJECTIVES

Stereotactic radiosurgery (SRS) is a minimally invasive modality for the treatment of trigeminal neuralgia (TN). Outcome prediction of this modality is very important for proper case selection. The aim of this study was to create artificial neural networks (ANN) to predict the clinical outcomes after gamma knife radiosurgery (GKRS) in patients with TN, based on preoperative clinical factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We used the clinical findings of 155 patients who were underwent GKRS (from March 2000 to march 2015) at Iran Gamma Knife center, Teheran, Iran. Univariate analysis was performed for a long list of risk factors, and those with P-Value < 0.2 were used to create back-propagation ANN models to predict pain reduction and hypoesthesia after GKRS. Pain reduction was defined as BNI score 3a or lower and hypoesthesia was defined as BNI score 3 or 4.

RESULTS

Typical trigeminal neuralgia (TTN) (P-Value = 0.018) and age>65 (P-Value = 0.040) were significantly associated with successful pain reduction and three other variables including radiation dosage >85 (P-Value = 0.098), negative history of diabetes mellitus (P-Value = 0.133) and depression (P-Value = 0.190). On the other hand, radio dosage>85 (P-Value = 0.008) was significantly associated with hypoesthesia, other related risk factors (with p-Value<0.2), were history of multiple sclerosis (P-Value = 0.106), pain duration more than 10 years before GKRS (P-Value = 0.115), history of depression (P-Value = 0.139), history of percutaneous ablative procedures (P-Value = 0.148) and history of diabetes mellitus (P-Value = 0.169).ANN models could predict pain reduction and hypoesthesia with the accuracy of 84.5% and 91.5% respectively. By mutual elimination of each factor in this model we could also evaluate the contribution of each factor in the predictive performance of ANN.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings show that artificial neural networks can predict post operative outcomes in patients who underwent GKRS with a high level of accuracy. Also the contribution of each factor in the prediction of outcomes can be determined using the trained network.

Predicting the function of transplanted kidney in long-term care processes: Application of a hybrid model

BACKGROUND

A tool that can predict the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) in routine daily care can help clinicians to make better decisions for kidney transplant patients and to improve transplantation outcome. In this paper, we proposed a hybrid prediction model for predicting a future value for eGFR during long-term care processes.

METHODS

Longitudinal, historical data of 942 transplant patients who received a kidney between 2001 and 2016 at Urmia kidney transplant center was used to develop a hybrid model. The model was based on three primary models: multi-layer perceptron (MLP), linear regression (LR), and a model that predicted a smoothed value of eGFR. The hybrid model used at-hand, longitudinal data of physical examinations and laboratory test values available at each visit. Two different datasets, a generalized dataset (GData) and a personalized dataset (PData), were created. Then, in both datasets, two data subsets of development and validation were created. For prediction, all records related to the fourth to tenth previous visits of patients in time order from the target date, i.e., window size (WS) = 4-10, were used. The performance of the models was evaluated using Mean Square Error (MSE) and Mean Absolute Error (MAE). The differences between the models were evaluated with the F-test and the Akaike Information Criterion (AIC).

RESULTS

The datasets contained 35,066 records, totally. The GData contained 26,210 and 8856 records and the PData had 24,079 and 9103 records in the development and validation datasets, respectively. In the hybrid model, the MSE and MAE were 153 and 8.9 in the GData, and 113 and 7.5 in the PData, respectively. The model performance improved using a wider WS of historical records (from 4 to 10). When the WS of ten was used the MSE and MAE declined to 141 and 8.5 in the GData and to 91 and 6.9 in the PData, respectively. In both datasets, the F-test showed that the hybrid model was significantly different from other models. The AIC showed that the hybrid model had a better performance than that of others.

CONCLUSIONS

The hybrid model can predict a reliable future value for eGFR. Our results showed that longitudinal covariates help the models to produce better results. Smoothing eGFR values and using a personalized dataset to develop the models also improved the models' performances. They can be considered as a step forward towards personalized medicine.

Using an artificial neural network to predict traumatic brain injury

In BriefPediatric traumatic brain injury (TBI) is common, but not all injuries require hospitalization. A computational tool for ruling-in patients who will have clinically relevant TBI (CRTBI) would be valuable, providing an evidence-based mechanism for safe discharge. Here, using data from 12,902 patients from the Pediatric Emergency Care Applied Research Network (PECARN) TBI data set, the authors utilize artificial intelligence to predict CRTBI using radiologist-interpreted CT information with > 99% sensitivity and an AUC of 0.99.

Comparison of artificial neural network and logistic regression models for prediction of outcomes in trauma patients: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Currently, two models of artificial neural network (ANN) and logistic regression (LR) are known as models that extensively used in medical sciences. The aim of this study was to compare the ANN and LR models in prediction of Health-related outcomes in traumatic patients using a systematic review.

METHODS

The study was planned and conducted based on the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis (PRISMA) checklist. A literature search of published studies was conducted using PubMed, Embase, Web of knowledge, Scopus, and Google Scholar in May 2018. Joanna Briggs Institute (JBI) checklists was used for assessing the quality of the included articles.

RESULTS

The literature searches yielded 326 potentially relevant studies from the primary searches. Overall, the review included 10 unique studies. The results of this study showed that the area under curve (AUC) for the ANN was 0.91, (95% CI 0.89-0.83) and 0.89, (95% CI 0.87-90) for the LR in random effect model. The accuracy rate for ANN and LR in random effect models were 90.5, (95% CI, 87.6-94.2) and 83.2, (95% CI 75.1-91.2), respectively.

CONCLUSION

The results of our study showed that ANN has better performance than LR in predicting the terminal outcomes of traumatic patients in both the AUC and accuracy rate. Using an ANN to predict the final implications of trauma patients can provide more accurate clinical decisions.

Development of a prediction model for pancreatic cancer in patients with type 2 diabetes using logistic regression and artificial neural network models

Objectives

Patients with type 2 diabetes (T2DM) are suggested to have a higher risk of developing pancreatic cancer. We used two models to predict pancreatic cancer risk among patients with T2DM.

Methods

The original data used for this investigation were retrieved from the National Health Insurance Research Database of Taiwan. The prediction models included the available possible risk factors for pancreatic cancer. The data were split into training and test sets: 97.5% of the data were used as the training set and 2.5% of the data were used as the test set. Logistic regression (LR) and artificial neural network (ANN) models were implemented using Python (Version 3.7.0). The F₁, precision, and recall were compared between the LR and the ANN models. The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves of the prediction models were also compared.

Results

The metrics used in this study indicated that the LR model more accurately predicted pancreatic cancer than the ANN model. For the LR model, the area under the ROC curve in the prediction of pancreatic cancer was 0.727, indicating a good fit.

Conclusion

Using this LR model, our results suggested that we could appropriately predict pancreatic cancer risk in patients with T2DM in Taiwan.