Prognostic value of brain natriuretic peptide in acute pulmonary embolism

Predicting Short-Term Mortality in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism With Deep Learning

BACKGROUND

Accurate prediction of short-term mortality in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is critical for optimizing treatment strategies and improving patient outcomes. The Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) is the current reference score used for this purpose, but it has limitations regarding predictive accuracy. Our aim was to develop a new short-term mortality prediction model for PE patients based on deep learning (DL) with multimodal data, including imaging and clinical/demographic data.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We developed a novel multimodal deep learning (mmDL) model using contrast-enhanced multidetector computed tomography scans combined with clinical and demographic data to predict short-term mortality in patients with acute PE. We benchmarked various machine learning architectures, including XGBoost, convolutional neural networks (CNNs), and Transformers. Our cohort included 207 acute PE patients, of whom 53 died during their hospital stay. The mmDL model achieved an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.98 (P<0.001), significantly outperforming the PESI score, which had an AUC of 0.86 (P<0.001). Statistical analysis confirmed that the mmDL model was superior to PESI in predicting short-term mortality (P<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Our proposed mmDL model predicts short-term mortality in patients with acute PE with high accuracy and significantly outperforms the current standard PESI score.

Predictive Value of Wells, Geneva, Bova, and PESI Scores in Elderly Pulmonary Embolism Patients

BACKGROUND This retrospective study aimed to compare the Wells score, Geneva score, Bova score, and Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) in the prediction of 30-day mortality and survival outcomes in 200 geriatric patients with a diagnosis of pulmonary embolism (PE). MATERIAL AND METHODS We reviewed the records of 200 patients (≥65 years old) admitted to the Emergency Department between May 2019 and December 2019 with a diagnosis of PE confirmed by computed tomography pulmonary angiography. Demographic variables, comorbidities, mental status, and laboratory data were collected. The Wells score, Geneva score, Bova score, and PESI were calculated for each patient. Primary outcome was 30-day mortality. RESULTS Among these 200 elderly patients, the presence of malignancy (P<0.05) and altered mental status (P<0.05) were significantly associated with 30-day mortality. When analyzed categorically, only the PESI score showed a significant relationship with mortality (P<0.05). However, when considering numeric values, the Bova (P<0.001), Geneva (P=0.028), and PESI (P<0.001) scores all significantly predicted 30-day mortality. CONCLUSIONS The findings suggest that PESI alone is a strong predictor of short-term mortality when evaluated categorically, while Bova, Geneva, and PESI scores provide significant prognostic information in numeric form. This underscores the importance of detailed scoring in identifying high-risk older patients with PE, which can guide treatment decisions and potentially improve clinical outcomes.

The Prognostic Value of Inflammatory Indices in Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Background: Acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is a condition with increased morbidity and mortality. It is important to identify patients with high mortality risk. Inflammation and thrombosis are interconnected in the pathophysiology of PE. The aim of the study was to investigate the prognostic value of multiple blood cellular indices such as neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR), lymphocyte-to-monocyte ratio (LMR), platelet-to-lymphocyte ratio (PLR), neutrophil-to-lymphocyte platelet ratio (NLPR), systemic immune-inflammation index (SII), systemic inflammation response index (SIRI) and aggregate index of systemic inflammation (AISI) in acute PE. Methods: A total of 157 patients with acute PE confirmed by chest computed tomographic angiography (CTPA) were enrolled. These patients were divided into two categories according to the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI): high risk and low risk. Results: Univariate logistic regression analysis showed that right ventricle dysfunction, NLR, SII and SIRI were significantly associated with high risk of acute PE. NLR of 4.32 was associated with high-risk PE with a sensitivity of 57.4% and specificity of 65.7% (AUC = 0.635). SII of 1086.55 was associated with high-risk PE with a sensitivity of 55.7% and specificity of 71.4% (AUC = 0.614). SIRI of 2.87 was associated with high-risk PE with a sensitivity of 59% and specificity of 62.9% (AUC = 0.624). Multivariate logistic regression analysis demonstrated that right ventricle dysfunction, NLR, PLR and NLPR are independent predictors of high-risk acute PE. Secondly, NLR, NLPR, SII and SIRI were significantly correlated with in-hospital mortality of acute PE. Based on receiver-operating characteristic (ROC) curve values of 7.66 for NLR (AUC 0.911, sensitivity of 85.7% and sensibility of 83%), 0.02 for NLPR (AUC 0.871, sensitivity of 85.7% and sensibility of 70%), 1542.71 for SII (AUC 0.782, sensitivity of 71.4% and sensibility of 72%) and 5.72 for SIRI (AUC 0.788, sensitivity of 71.4% and sensibility of 73%) could predict in-hospital mortality. Conclusions: The blood cellular indices (NLR, NLPR, SII and SIRI) are associated with high-risk acute PE and in-hospital mortality. Right ventricular dysfunction, NLR and NLPR are independent predictors for high-risk acute PE.

The prognostic significance of pro-BNP and heart failure in acute pulmonary embolism: A systematic review

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is the third most common type of cardiovascular disease and carries a high mortality rate of 30% if left untreated. Although it is commonly known that individuals who suffer heart failure (HF) are more likely to experience a pulmonary embolism, little is known concerning the prognostic relationship between acute PE and HF. This study aims to evaluate the prognostic usefulness of heart failure and pro-BNP in pulmonary embolism cases. A scientific literature search, including PubMed, Medline, and Cochrane reviews, was used to assess and evaluate the most pertinent research that has been published. The findings showed that increased N-terminal brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) levels could potentially identify pulmonary embolism patients with worse immediate prognoses and were highly predictive of all-cause death. Important prognostic information can be obtained from NT-proBNP and Heart-type Fatty Acid Binding Proteins (H-FABP) when examining individuals with PE. The heart, distal tubular cells of the renal system, and skeletal muscle are where H-FABP is primarily found, with myocardial cells having the highest concentration. Recent studies have indicated that these biomarkers may also help assess the severity of PE and its long-term risk.

Diagnosis of Pulmonary Embolism: A Review of Evidence-Based Approaches

Venous thromboembolism, commonly presented as pulmonary embolism and deep-vein thrombosis, is a paramount and potentially fatal condition with variable clinical presentation. Diagnosis is key to providing appropriate treatment in a safe and timely fashion. Clinical judgment and assessment using clinical scoring systems should guide diagnostic testing, including laboratory and imaging modalities, for optimal results and to avoid unnecessary testing.

The significance of B-type natriuretic peptide in predicting early mortality among pulmonary embolism patients, alongside troponin: insights from a multicentric registry

BACKGROUND

Early mortality assessment in acute pulmonary embolism (PE) is crucial for treatment decisions. The role of natriuretic peptides in this context is debated. This study explores elevated B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) levels, relative to the upper normal limit (UNL), predicting mortality in PE, comparing with troponin (Tn).

METHODOLOGY

A multicenter PE registry analyzed predictive values for early mortality risk using BNP and Tn, based on proportional elevation to the UNL. Patients followed current PE guidelines.

RESULTS

Among 1677 PE patients, BNP's AUC exceeded Tn for all-cause (0.727 vs. 0.614) and PE-related mortality (0.785 vs. 0.644), though nonsignificant. BNP's cutoff was 3.5 times UNL for both all-cause and PE-related mortalities; Tn cutoffs were 1.38 and 1.23 times UNL, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Elevated BNP relative to UNL significantly predicts all-cause and PE-related mortality. While akin to Tn, BNP merits consideration in assessing acute PE risk, especially in intermediate-high-risk cases.

Integrating Cardiac Biomarkers and Electrocardiogram in Pulmonary Embolism Prognosis

Pulmonary embolism (PE) represents a significant clinical challenge that substantially impacts healthcare systems. This case report focuses on the nuances of risk stratification in PE, highlighted through the presentation of a 64-year-old female patient. The uniqueness of this case lies in the patient's atypical presentation, where decreased exercise tolerance was the sole symptom leading to the diagnosis of PE. The patient was found to have new-onset atrial fibrillation, elevated levels of N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and signs of right ventricular strain on imaging. This scenario underscores the necessity for a comprehensive assessment in PE cases, particularly when classic symptoms (e.g., tachycardia, shortness of breath, chest pain) are absent. We explore the incidence of PE in patients diagnosed with deep vein thrombosis, examining the critical role of cardiac biomarkers, including B-type natriuretic peptide, NT-proBNP, and troponins, in prognostication and their potential use in risk assessment tools for PE patients. Additionally, the significance of electrocardiogram evaluation in these patients and its role in risk stratification is thoroughly assessed.

Charlson and Elixhauser Comorbidity Indices for Prediction of Mortality and Hospital Readmission in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Several risk stratification systems aid clinicians in classifying pulmonary embolism (PE) severity and prognosis. We compared 2 clinical PE scoring systems, the PESI and sPESI scores, with 2 comorbidity indices, the Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI) and the val Walraven Elixhauser Comorbidity Index (ECI), to determine the utility of each in predicting mortality and hospital readmission. Information was collected from 436 patients presenting with PE via retrospective chart review. The PESI, sPESI, CCI, and ECI scores were calculated for each patient. Multivariate analysis was used to determine each system's ability to predict in-hospital mortality, 90-day mortality, overall mortality, and all-cause hospital readmission. The impact of various demographic and clinical characteristics of each patient on these outcomes was also assessed. The PESI score was found to be an independent predictor of in-hospital mortality and 90-day mortality. The PESI score and the CCI were able to independently predict overall mortality. None of the 4 risk scores independently predicted hospital readmission. Other factors including hypoalbuminemia, serum BNP, coagulopathy, anemia, and diabetes were associated with increased mortality and readmission at various endpoints. The PESI score was the best tool for predicting mortality at any endpoint. The CCI may have utility in predicting long-term outcomes. Further work is needed to better determine the roles of the CCI and ECI in predicting patient outcomes in PE. The potential prognostic implications of low serum albumin and anemia at the time of PE also warrant further investigation.

What is the real incidence of right ventricular affection in patients with acute pulmonary embolism?

BACKGROUND

Echocardiographic markers of right ventricular dysfunction or pressure overload (RVd/PO) have been used in risk assessment of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (APE). Nevertheless, the role of echocardiography in these patients is incompletely determined. We evaluated the right ventricular function using 'non-conventional' markers of RVd/PO in patients with APE.

METHODS

This was a prospective, single-arm, single-centre study. Consecutive adult patients hospitalised for APE were included. The RV free wall longitudinal strain (RV-FWLS), the fractional area change (FAC), the ratio tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE)/pulmonary arterial systolic pressure (PASP), and the pulmonary vascular resistance (PVR) were evaluated.

RESULTS

One hundred patients (mean age 70.0 ± 13.9 years, female 48%) were screened and 73 had adequate RV-FWLS images. The most common abnormal echocardiographic marker was RV-FWLS (44/73; p < 0.001, for all other echocardiographic indices). Thirty-one patients had either PASP ≥ 36 mmHg or PVR > 2 WU (49.2% of the patients with both indices available). There were significant correlations between RV-FWLS, TAPSE/PASP and PVR with both D-Dimers and B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP), and between FAC and BNP. RF-FWLS differed significantly between patients with a simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) score 0 and those with a score ≥1 (p < 0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

RVd/PO coexists with APE in a large proportion of patients. RV-FWLS is the most abnormal echocardiographic sign and is related to clinical and biochemical prognostic indices.

Association of B-Type Natriuretic Peptide Level with Clinical Outcome in Out-of-Hospital Cardiac Arrest in Emergency Department Patients

OBJECTIVES

B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) is used for outcome assessment of various diseases. We designed this study to investigate whether BNP, which has been proven useful in the risk stratification of sudden cardiac arrest (SCA) of cardiac etiology, can also prove to be a valuable prognostic tool for SCA also included with non-cardiac etiology. In this study, we aim to investigate the relationship between measured BNP levels and clinical outcomes in SCA, regardless of the cause of SCA.

METHODS

This retrospective multicenter observational study was performed in two tertiary university hospitals and one general hospital between January 2015 and December 2020. The total number of SCA patients was 1625. The patients with out-of-hospital cardiac arrest over 19 years old and acquired laboratory data, including BNP at emergency department (ED) arrival, were included. BNP was measured during advanced Cardiovascular Life Support (ACLS). The exclusion criteria were age under 18 years, traumatic arrest, and without BNP.

RESULTS

The median BNP was 171.8 (range; 5-5000) pg/mL in the return of Spontaneous Circulation (ROSC), higher than No-ROSC (p = 0.007). The median BNP concentration was 99.7 (range; 5-3040.68) pg/mL in the survival to discharge, which was significantly lower than the death group (p = 0.012). The odds ratio of survival to discharge decreased proportionally to the BNP level. The odds ratio of neurologic outcome was not correlated with the BNP level.

CONCLUSION

In patients with SCA of all origins, low BNP concentration measured during ACLS correlated with an increased ratio of survival to discharge. However, BNP measured during ACLS was not found to be an independent factor.

An update on utilising brain natriuretic peptide for risk stratification, monitoring and guiding therapy in heart failure

INTRODUCTION

Heart failure (HF) is a dominant health problem with an overall poor prognosis. Natriuretic peptides (NPs) are upregulated in HF as a compensatory mechanism. They have extensively been used for diagnosis and risk stratification.

AREAS COVERED

This review addresses the history and physiology of NPs in order to understand their current role in clinical practice. It further provides a detailed and updated narrative review on the utility of those biomarkers for risk stratification, monitoring, and guiding therapy in HF.

EXPERT OPINION

NPs show excellent predictive ability in heart failure patients, both in acute and chronic settings. Understanding their pathophysiology and their modifications in specific situations is key for an adequate interpretation in specific clinical scenarios in which their prognostic value may be weaker or less well evaluated. To better promote risk stratification in HF, NPs should be integrated with other predictive tools to develop multiparametric risk models. Both inequalities of access to NPs and evidence caveats and limitations will need to be addressed by future research in the coming years.

Influence of fasting plasma glucose-lowering rate on BNP levels in type 2 diabetes mellitus patients with coronary microcirculation dysfunction

AIM

The aim was to analyze the influence of fasting plasma glucose-lowering rate (FPGLR) on plasma BNP levels in type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) patients with coronary microcirculation dysfunction (CMD) and to determine the optimal FPGLR for these patients.

METHODS

A total of 170 T2DM patients who received intensive glucose-lowering therapy during hospitalization in the First Affiliated Hospital of Harbin Medical University were enrolled. Ninety-two patients with CMD and 78 patients without CMD were assigned to a study and a control group, respectively. The study group was stratified as S1 (4.1 ~ 6.0 mmol·L^-1·day^-1), S2 (2.1 ~ 4.0 mmol·L^-1·day^-1), and S3 (≤ 2.0 mmol·L^-1·day^-1) by different FPGLR, and the same in the control group (C1, C2, and C3). The plasma BNP levels with the same FPGLR were compared between the study and the control group, and patients with a different FPGLR in the study group were also compared.

RESULTS

In the study and the control group, the BNP level in S1 was significantly higher than that in C1 (87 vs. 12 pg/ml, P < 0.001), although there was no significant difference between S2 and C2, S3 and C3. In the study group, the BNP level in S1 was significantly higher than that in S2 (87 vs. 22 pg/ml, P < 0.001) and S3 (87 vs. 15 pg/ml, P < 0.001), but there was no significant difference between S2 and S3.

CONCLUSION

Rapid intensive glucose-lowering may lead to increased plasma BNP levels in T2DM patients with CMD. Optimal FPGLR for these patients was determined to be no more than 4.0 mmol·L^-1·day^-1.

The Relevance of Anti-PF4 Antibody Isotypes and Endogenous Glycosaminoglycans and their Relationship with Inflammatory Biomarkers in Pulmonary Embolism Patients

Introduction

Previous studies have shown that inflammation may contribute to the interplay of endogenous glycosaminoglycans (GAGs) and anti-PF4 antibodies. In this study, we quantified the levels of anti-PF4 antibody isotypes and endogenous GAGs together with inflammatory biomarkers in pulmonary embolism (PE) patients to determine whether there is a relationship in between. Identification of this relationship may provide insight to the complex pathophysiology of PE and HIT and may also be useful for development of potential prognostic, diagnostic and therapeutic interventions.

Materials and Methods

Plasma samples from PE patients (n: 210) were analyzed for anti-PF4 antibody isotypes and various thrombo-inflammatory cytokines utilizing commercially available biochip array and ELISA methods. The endogenous GAG levels in PE patients’ plasma were quantified using a fluorescence quenching method. The collected data analyzed to demonstrate the relationship between various parameters.

Results

The endogenous GAG levels were increased in the PE group (P < .05). The levels of anti-PF4 antibody isotypes were higher in varying levels in comparison to the normal group (P < .05). Inflammatory cytokines have shown varying levels of increase with IL-6, IL-8 and IL-10 showing the most pronounced values. Mortality outcome was related to increased GAGs and some of the cytokines.

Conclusion

In this study, we demonstrated increased levels of anti-PF4 antibody isotypes, endogenous GAGs, and inflammatory biomarkers in a large patient cohort in PE. The levels of the endogenous GAGs and inflammatory biomarkers were associated with PE severity and mortality. More studies are needed to understand this complex pathophysiology.

Clinical and radiological characteristics of acute pulmonary embolus in relation to 28-day and 6-month mortality

Background

Patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE) exhibit a wide spectrum of clinical and laboratory features when presenting to hospital and pathophysiologic mechanisms differentiating low-risk and high-risk PE are poorly understood.

Objectives

To investigate the prognostic value of clinical, laboratory and radiological information that is available within routine tests undertaken for patients with acute PE.

Methods

Electronic patient records (EPR) of patients who underwent Computed Tomography Pulmonary Angiogram (CTPA) scan for the investigation of acute PE during 6-month period (01.01.2016–30.06.2016) were examined. Data was gathered from EPR for patients that met inclusion criteria and all CTPA scans were re-evaluated. Biochemical thresholds of low-grade and high-grade inflammation, serum CRP >10mg/L and >150mg/L and serum albumin concentrations <35g/L and <25 g/L, were combined in the Glasgow Prognostic Score (GPS) and peri-operative Glasgow Prognostic Score (poGPS) respectively. Neutrophil Lymphocyte ratio (NLR) was also calculated. Pulmonary Embolus Severity Index score was calculated.

Results

Of the total CTPA reports (n = 2129) examined, 245 patients were eligible for inclusion. Of these, 20 (8%) patients had died at 28-days and 43 (18%) at 6-months. Of the 197 non-cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 3% and 8% respectively. Of the 48 cancer related presentations, 28-day and 6-month mortality were 29% and 58% respectively. On univariate analysis, age ≥65 years (p<0.01), PESI score ≥100(p = <0.001), NLR ≥3(p<0.001) and Coronary Artery Calcification (CAC) score ≥ 6 (p<0.001) were associated with higher 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100 (OR 5.2, 95% CI: 1.1, 24.2, P <0.05), poGPS ≥1 (OR 2.5, 95% CI: 1.2–5.0, P = 0.01) and NLR ≥3 (OR 3.7, 95% CI: 1.0–3.4, P <0.05) remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. On multivariate binary logistic regression analysis of factors associated with 6-month mortality, PESI score ≥100 (OR 6.2, 95% CI: 2.3–17.0, p<0.001) and coronary artery calcification score ≥6 (OR 2.3, 95% CI: 1.1–4.8, p = 0.030) remained independently associated with death at 6-months. When patients who had an underlying cancer diagnosis were excluded from the analysis only GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality (OR 5.0, 95% CI 1.2–22.0, p<0.05).

Conclusion

PESI score >100, poGPS≥1, NLR ≥3 and CAC score ≥6 were associated with 28-day and 6-month mortality. PESI score ≥100, poGPS≥1 and NLR ≥3 remained independently associated with 28-day mortality. PESI score ≥100 and CAC score ≥6 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. When patients with underlying cancer were excluded from the analysis, GPS≥1 remained independently associated with 6-month mortality. The role of the systemic inflammatory response (SIR) in determining treatment and prognosis requires further study. Routine reporting of CAC scores in CTPA scans for acute PE may have a role in aiding clinical decision-making regarding treatment and prognosis.

Utility of Blood Cellular Indices in the Risk Stratification of Patients Presenting with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) clinical manifestations vary widely, and that scope is not fully captured by current all-cause mortality risk models. PE is associated with inflammatory, coagulation, and hemostatic imbalances so blood cellular indices may be prognostically useful. Complete blood count (CBC) data may improve current risk models like the simplified pulmonary embolism severity index (sPESI) for all-cause mortality, offering greater accuracy and analytic ability. Acute PE patients (n = 228) with confirmatory diagnostic imaging were followed for all-cause mortality. Blood cellular indices were assessed for association to all-cause mortality and were supplemented into sPESI using multivariate logistic regression. Multiple blood cellular indices were found to be significantly associated with all-cause mortality in acute PE. sPESI including red cell distribution width, hematocrit and neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio had better predictive ability as compared to sPESI alone (AUC: 0.852 vs 0.754). Blood cellular indices contribute an inflammatory and hemodynamic perspective not currently included in sPESI. CBC with differential is a widely used, low-cost test that can augment current risk stratification tools for all-cause mortality in acute PE patients.

Blood Urea Nitrogen to Serum Albumin Ratio Independently Predicts Mortality in Critically Ill Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is one of the prominent causes of death in patients with cardiovascular disease. Currently, reliable biomarkers to predict the prognosis of patients with APE are limited. The present study aimed to investigate the association of blood urea nitrogen to serum albumin (B/A) ratio and intensive care unit (ICU) mortality in critically ill patients with APE. A retrospective cohort study was performed using data extracted from a freely accessible critical care database (MIMIC-III). Adult (≥18 years) patients of first ICU admission with a primary diagnosis of APE in the database were enrolled in the study. The primary endpoint was the ICU mortality rate while the 28-day mortality after ICU admission was the secondary endpoint. The data of survivors and non-survivors were compared. A total of 1048 patients with APE were enrolled in this study, of which 131 patients died in ICU and 169 patients died within 28 days after ICU admission. The B/A ratio in the non-survivors group was significantly higher compared to the survivors group (P < 0.001). The multivariate analysis revealed that the B/A ratio was an independent predictor of ICU mortality (odds ratio [OR] 1.10, 95% CI 1.07-1.14, P < 0.001) and all-cause mortality within 28 days after ICU admission (hazard ratio [HR] 1.07, 95% CI 1.05-1.09, P < 0.001) in APE patients. The B/A ratio showed a greater area under the curve (AUC) of ICU mortality prediction (0.80; P < 0.001) than simplified acute physiology score II (SAPSII) (0.79), systemic inflammatory response syndrome score (SIRS) (0.62), acute physiology score III (APSIII) (0.76) and sequential organ failure assessment (SOFA) score (0.71). The B/A ratio could be a simple and useful prognostic tool to predict mortality in critically ill patients with APE.

Applying rigorous eligibility criteria to studies evaluating prognostic utility of serum biomarkers in pulmonary embolism: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To evaluate the value of biomarkers to prognosticate outcomes in patients with pulmonary embolism among studies of sound methodical quality.

METHODS

Ovid MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, and non-indexed citations were searched from inception to March 2019. Biomarkers of interest included troponin I (TnI), troponin T (TnT), high-sensitive TnT (HS-TnT), brain natriuretic peptide (BNP), N-terminal pro-BNP (NT-proBNP), heart fatty acid binding protein (H-FABP), and D-dimer (DD). Included studies utilized key features of the Reporting Recommendations for Tumour Marker Prognostic Studies (REMARK) checklist and satisfied requirements of the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool. The primary outcome was 30-day all-cause mortality (ACM). Secondary outcomes included PE-related mortality, or complicated clinical course (CCC). Pooled relative risk ratios (RR) were calculated using inverse-variance-weighted random-effects method.

RESULTS

Seventeen studies were analyzed. TnT ≥ 0.1 ng/mL and HS-TnT ≥ 14 pg/mL were associated with an increased 30-day ACM with RRs of 6.24 (95% CI, 1.86-20.96, I2 = 35%) and 6.81 (95% CI, 2.46-18.88, I2 = 0%), respectively. In the short-term (≤30 days): (1) TnI can prognosticate PE-related mortality; (2) both TnT and HS-TnT can prognosticate a CCC; (3) H-FABP can prognosticate a CCC; and (4) NT-proBNP can prognosticate a CCC. In the long-term (>30 days): (1) HS-TnT can prognosticate ACM; and (2) NT-proBNP can prognosticate ACM and PE-related mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

Several methodically sound studies allow for data pooling, and suggest that TnT, HS-TnT, TnI, NT-proBNP and H-FABP have prognostic value in patients with PE but confidence intervals are wide and relatively few patients constitute the analyses. The value of such markers on influencing clinical management remains to be determined.

SYSTEMATIC REVIEW REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42019129889.

Brain Natriuretic Peptide and Troponin T in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism and Grade 3 Obesity: A Retrospective Analysis

Introduction The interpretation of brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) and Troponin T (TnT) in patients with obesity is very challenging. The applicability of these biomarkers as prognostic indicators of increased mortality in pulmonary embolism (PE) in patients with Grade 3 obesity has yet to be determined. Methods To investigate whether the combination of BNP and TnT may help to identify patients at low risk for short-term mortality, we assessed 92 patients admitted with the diagnosis of PE and Grade 3 obesity. The study endpoint was all-cause mortality at 30 days. Results The negative predictive value (NPV) of these tests combined is 98.8%; however, we were not able to detect a statistically significant difference between the patients who had a BNP < 100 pg/mL and TnT < 0.03 ng/mL and the other individuals who had either BNP ≥ 100 pg/mL or TnT ≥ 0.03 or both. The mortality rate was 5.43% within 30 days of the diagnosis. The logistic regression analysis using BNP and troponin as continuous variables identified BNP (p < 0.005) as an independent predictor for 30 days mortality. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis determined that a BNP level of 684 pg/mL was the cutoff level to predict mortality in the population studied. Conclusions Our results support that BNP and TnT levels retain an excellent NPV among patients with PE and Grade 3 obesity. BNP testing could be an independent predictor of high-risk patients in this population. The low incidence of all-cause mortality in this study (5.43%) is primarily explained by the more frequent use (9.75%) of systemic or catheter-based thrombolysis associated with a lower rate of major bleeding compared to the general population.

Diagnosis of Acute Heart Failure Using Inferior Vena Cava Ultrasound: Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

The utility of bedside inferior vena cava (IVC) ultrasound (US) in the diagnosis of heart failure (HF) is unclear. The aim of this study was to determine whether IVC parameters in patients with acute heart failure (AHF) are statistically different from those without HF.

METHODS

The MEDLINE database of English-language publications from 1966 to August 2018 was searched. Retrospective and prospective studies that included either IVC expiratory diameter (IVC_exp ) or IVC collapsibility index (IVC-CI) values were collected in patients with and without HF. to determine whether there was a statistical difference in the IVC parameters between these groups.

RESULTS

A total of 27 articles with a total of 1472 patients with AHF were included. The standard mean differences for the IVC_exp and IVC-CI for the control group versus the AHF group were found to be statistically significant (P < .0001). The combined mean IVC_exp values were 15.11 mm (95% confidence interval [CI], 14.19-16.02 mm) for the control group and 20.26 mm (95% CI, 14.82-25.71 mm) for the AHF group. The combined mean IVC-CI values were 61.6% (95% CI, 48.4%-74.7%) for the control group and 30.5% (95% CI, 26.4%-34.6%) for the AHF group.

CONCLUSIONS

Bedside IVC US showed that a statistically significant difference existed in the IVC parameters between patients with and without AHF. Based on mean calculations, an IVC_exp of greater than 2.0 cm and an IVC-CI of less than 30% are reasonable cutoffs to suggest that a patient with acute dyspnea is more likely to have AHF than a non-AHF condition. Given the high degree of heterogeneity across the studies and the high risk of bias, larger randomized studies are warranted to explore the use of IVC US in patients with HF.

Plasma catestatin level predicts sPESI score and mortality in acute pulmonary embolism

INTRODUCTION

Acute pulmonary embolism (APE) is an emergent cardiothoracic disorder. The PESI score is used to estimate 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with non-high-risk APE. Also, there are biomarkers for predicting prognosis and mortality in APE. Catestatin (CST) is accepted as a marker ofsympathetic nervous system activity which has been shown that the sympathetic nervous system activation can contribute pathogenesis in APE. So, we attempt herein to investigate the correlation of PE diagnosis and prognostic determination with plasma CST levels in PE patients.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Blood samples were drawn at admission for laboratory assays and CST measurements. Plasma levels of CST were measured by ELISA according to the manufacturer's instruction. Transthoracic echocardiography was performed for the assessment of RV dysfunction using a Toshiba Applio 500 echocardiographic system within 24 h of the admission.

RESULTS

Plasma CST levels were higher in patients with APE than in the control group (17.5 ±6.1 ng/ml vs. 27.3 ±5.7 ng/ml, p < 0.001). Plasma CST levels were higher in the sPESI ≥ 1 (n = 72) than in the patients with sPESI < 1 (37.3 ±6.1 vs. 24.2 ±5.3 ng/ml, p < 0.001). There was a positive correlation between CST level and sPESI score (±0.581, p < 0.001). Mortality occurred in 20 patients with sPESI ≥ 1 (27.7%) and in 9 patients with sPESI < 1 (10.2%) (p = 0.010). Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis using a cut-off level of 31.2 ng/ml, and the CST level predicted mortality with a sensitivity of 100% and specificity of 52.6% (AUC = 0.883, 95% CI: 0.689-0.921). Furthermore, the CST level was correlated with right ventricular dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

CST can predict sPESI score and mortality in patients with APE.

Effect of platelet inhibitors on thrombus burden in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

Venous thromboembolism (VTE) whether provoked or not can be life-threatening due to an acute increase in load on the right ventricle (RV) from obstruction of the pulmonary artery (PA). Treatment for and prevention of VTE involves anti-thrombotic agents; more specifically, medications targeting the anticoagulation cascade. In spite of the widespread acceptance of anticoagulants in the treatment of VTE, there appears to be an ongoing belief that platelet reactivity contributes to thrombus burden in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). This investigation of 398 patients presenting with acute PE evaluated whether anti-platelet medication use, which consisted mostly of aspirin therapy, at the time of presentation, affects PA thrombus burden, RV load, or short-term patient outcomes. We conclude that platelets may have been erroneously incriminated as direct thrombotic mediators in patients with acute PE since aspirin neither decreased PA thrombus burden, nor did aspirin improve short-term mortality following acute PE.

High-sensitive cardiac troponin T as a marker of hemorrhagic complications in elderly patients anticoagulated for non-massive pulmonary embolism

BACKGROUND

Recent data have raised concerns about the risk/benefit ratio of thrombolysis in non-high risk pulmonary embolism patients due to increased serious bleeding events. Whether cardiac biomarkers could be of help for bleeding risk stratification in this setting remains elusive.

OBJECTIVES

To determine the prognostic accuracy of hs-cTnT, NT-proBNP, RIETE and PESI score for the occurrence of clinically relevant bleeding (CRB) in elderly patients under conventional anticoagulation therapy for non-massive pulmonary embolism (NMPE).

METHODS

We evaluated 230 elderly patients with available blood sample taken within one day from diagnosis. The primary study endpoint was CRB at 1, 3 and 24 months. Prognostic accuracies and associations were determined using C-statistics and subhazard ratios (SHR), respectively.

RESULTS

hs-cTnT displayed the highest discriminatory power at 1 month (C-statistics: 0.77, 95% CI: 0.68-0.88) which remained stable over time. Although C-statistics comparison indicated that hs-cTnT was not statistically superior to RIETE score (0.77 vs 0.67, p = 0.11), adding hs-cTnT to RIETE score significantly improved the C-statistics from 0.67 to 0.78 (p = 0.02). SHRs indicated that for each hs-cTnT log-unit increase, there was a 58% increase in the risk of CRB independently of the RIETE score (adjusted SHR: 1.58, 95% CI: 1.31-1.92). At the pre-specified cut-off of 14 ng/l, the negative predictive value of hs-cTnT was 96.9% (95% CI: 91.4-99.0) and 94.9 (95%CI: 88.6-97.8) at 1 and 3 months, respectively.

CONCLUSION

In elderly, hs-cTnT provides incremental prognostic information over the RIETE score and could represent a valuable tool to identify NMPE patients at low risk of bleeding.

Elevated serum cardiac troponin and mortality in acute pulmonary embolism: Systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether elevated levels of cardiac troponin increases the risk of mortality in patients with acute PE.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis with rigorous statistical evaluation using publications (2000-2018) from Cochrane Library, MEDLINE, PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL), WHO International Clinical Trials Registry Platform, and Google Scholar databases. We searched for retrospective, prospective, and randomized controlled trials (RCT) or quasi-RCT studies that assessed the effect of elevated troponin versus normal levels on the outcomes of PE. The main outcome of interest was all-cause mortality. Extracted data included authors, the origin of studies, source population, study settings and duration, inclusion/exclusion criteria, data sources and measurement, sample size, and mortality. Data heterogeneity was assessed using the Cochrane Q homogeneity test with a significance set at p < 0.10. If the studies were statistically homogeneous, a fixed effect model was selected.

RESULTS

Out of 1825 references, 46 analytical studies were included with a total of 10842 patients with PE. The effect of elevated troponin on mortality had a pooled odd ratio (OR) of 4.33 for all studies, 3.7for HsTnT, 14.81 for HsTnI, 7.85 for cTnT, 2.81 for cTnI, 9.02 for low-risk PE and 4.80 for 90-day mortality. The pooled negative likelihood ratios for all-cause mortality using HsTnI, cTnI and cTnT assay were 0.21, 0.33 and 0.65, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Regardless of the troponin assay, pooled analysis indicates that elevated troponin is significantly associated with higher mortality in patients with PE.

A retrospective analysis of outcomes in low- and intermediate-high-risk pulmonary embolism patients managed on an ambulatory medical unit in the UK

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is common and guidelines recommend outpatient care only for PE patients with low predicted mortality. Outcomes for patients with intermediate-to-high predicted mortality managed as outpatients are unknown. Electronic records were analysed for adults with PE managed on our ambulatory care unit over 2 years. Patients were stratified into low or intermediate-to-high mortality risk groups using the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI). Primary outcomes were the proportion of patients ambulated, 30-day all-cause mortality, 30-day PE-specific mortality and 30-day re-admission rate. Of 199 PE patients, 74% were ambulated and at 30 days, all-cause mortality was 2% (four out of 199) and PE-specific mortality was 1% (two out of 199). Ambulated patients had lower PESI scores, better vital signs and lower troponin levels (morning attendance favoured ambulation). Over a third of ambulated patients had an intermediate-to-high risk PESI score but their all-cause mortality rate was low at 1.9% (one out of 52). In patients with intermediate-to-high risk, oxygen saturation was higher and pulse rate lower in those who were ambulated. Re-admission rate did not differ between ambulated and admitted patients. Two-thirds of patients with intermediate-to-high risk PE were ambulated and their mortality rate remained low. It is possible for selected patients with intermediate-to-high risk PESI scores to be safely ambulated.

Positive fluid balance is associated with increased in-hospital mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage

Objective: This study aimed to investigate the association between fluid balance (FB) and in-hospital mortality in patients with intracerebral hemorrhage (ICH).Methods: Data were extracted from the online database Multi-parameter Intelligent Monitoring in Intensive Care III. Patients were divided into two groups according to the FB status at 48 hours after intensive care unit (ICU) admission: negative and positive 48-hour FB groups. The primary outcome was in-hospital mortality.Results: Data of 1407 patients were analyzed. Linear spline function in logistic models showed significant association between the volume of positive FB and in-hospital mortality (odds ratio (OR) 1.006; 95% CI: 1.002-1.010), while the association between the volume of negative FB and in-hospital mortality was non-significant. For interpretation, FB was further divided into four quartiles. Referred to Q1, the OR of in-hospital mortality stepwise increased from Q2 (OR, 1.11; 95% CI: 0.72-1.68) to Q4 (OR, 1.68; 95% CI: 1.13-2.48). A similar association was also found between FB and Glasgow coma scale at ICU discharge.Conclusions: In patients with ICH, increased volume of positive FB was associated with higher in-hospital mortality while the volume of negative FB was not. Whether maintaining a zero FB status is a beneficial strategy needs further investigation.

The new bedside ROCky score to predict the complications in patients with intermediate-risk pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

Pulmonary embolism (PE) remains one of the leading causes of mortality among cardiovascular diseases. We aimed at investigating risk factors of PE complications in patients with intermediate risk and integrate them into a simple model for its' bedside prediction.

METHODS

Among 173 patients with PE, 136 were classified as high or intermediate risk. Patients were retrospectively divided into groups of complicated (n = 44) or uncomplicated (n = 92) course. Study endpoints: obstructive shock, recurrent PE, needs for resuscitation/thrombolysis/hemodynamic support and death during 30 days.

RESULTS

Predictors of PE complications were: chronic heart failure, diabetes mellitus (DM), atrial fibrillation, permanent risk factor of venous thromboembolism, syncope, positive heart-type fatty acid binding protein (hFABP), positive troponin I, heart rate (HR) ≥ 110 bpm, systolic blood pressure (SBP) ≤ 100 mmHg, creatinine clearance ≤ 70 ml/min. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was used to model a simple predictive score named ROCky (Risk of Complications): HR ≥ 110 bpm (1.5 points), SBP ≤ 100 mmHg (2.5 points), positive hFABP (2 points) and presence of DM (2.5 points). The AUROC of this model was 0.89 to predict any complication, 0.83 for obstructive shock and 0.92 for death from any cause; the optimal cut-off scores for any complication was ≥2.5 points, ≥3.5 for obstructive shock and ≥4.5 points for death within 30 days.

CONCLUSION

hFABP, tachycardia, hypotension and DM were identified as the major independent determinants of complications development in patients with pulmonary embolism and may be used in combination as the bedside simple predictive ROCky score for early risk stratification in intermediate-risk group.

Longitudinal increases in blood biomarkers of inflammation or cardiovascular disease and the incidence of venous thromboembolism

Essentials Inflammatory and cardiac diseases are associated with increased venous thromboembolism (VTE) risk. Our prospective study assessed rise in inflammatory or cardiac biomarkers and VTE risk. A greater 6-year rise in N-terminal natriuretic peptide is associated with increased VTE incidence. Volume overload or impending cardiac disease may contribute to VTE occurrence.

SUMMARY

Background We previously showed that participants in the population-based Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) cohort with elevated levels of blood biomarkers of inflammation or cardiac disease were at increased risk of venous thromboembolism (VTE). Objective We hypothesized that ARIC participants with larger 6-year increases in the levels of three biomarkers - C-reactive protein (CRP), N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and troponin T - would also have an increased subsequent risk of VTE. Methods We measured changes in the levels of these biomarkers in 9844 participants from 1990-1992 to 1996-1998, and then identified VTEs through 2015. Results A greater 6-year rise in the level of NT-proBNP, but not in that of CRP or troponin T, was significantly associated with increased VTE incidence over a median of 17.6 years of follow-up. After adjustment for other VTE risk factors, those whose NT-proBNP level rose from < 100 pg mL-1 to ≥ 100 pg mL-1 had a hazard ratio for VTE of 1.44 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.15-1.80), as compared with the reference group with an NT-proBNP level of < 100 pg mL-1 at both times. This hazard ratio was slightly higher (1.66, 95% CI 1.19-2.31) during the first 10 years of follow-up, but was attenuated (1.24, 95% CI 0.99-1.56) after adjustment for prevalent and incident coronary heart disease, heart failure, and atrial fibrillation. Conclusions The two most likely explanations for our results are that: (i) an increasing NT-proBNP level reflects increasing subclinical volume overload and potentially increased venous stasis or subclinical PE that had gone unrecognized over time; or (ii) an increasing NT-proBNP level is a risk marker for impending cardiac disease that places patients at risk of VTE.

Determinants of in-hospital clinical outcome in patients with sub-massive pulmonary embolism

Introduction

There is limited data regarding in hospital determinants of clinical deterioration and outcome in sub massive pulmonary embolism (PE). We aimed to evaluate these determinants by comparing biomarkers, CT pulmonary angiogram echocardiography, electrocardiography variables.

Methods

57 patients of sub massive PE diagnosed on CT pulmonary angiogram were included. All patients received UFH on admission and were divided into two groups based on their clinical course. Group 1 comprised of patients who remained stable, group 2 of patients who showed signs of clinical deterioration.

Results

There were 34(59.6%) patients in group 1 and 23(40.4%) patients in group 2. No significant difference in age, gender, BMI. 59.37% had sub massive PE, 5.26% had mortality and 40.4% had clinical deterioration. Intravenous UFH infusion given to 59.6%, systemic thrombolysis 22.8%, catheter directed mechanical breakdown 14%, surgical embolectomy in 3.5% patients. S1Q3T3, new onset RBBB, T wave inversion > 1.63 mm, Basal RV size > 40 mm, RV: LV ratio > 1.2, Global RV longitudinal strain <−10.75% and RVSP > 39 mmHg profiled high risk group. Serum BNP and CT pulmonary angiogram derived scores didn’t differ significantly although CT findings helped to exclude low risk patients (specificity 88%, sensitivity 95%).

Conclusions

Physicians should be aware that patients who have ECG and Echocardiography changes suggestive of right ventricular strain and dysfunction above the cut off values and have documented thrombus in Proximal branches (RPA/LPA) or in distal portion of main pulmonary artery may require aggressive management with systemic/catheter based thrombolysis besides routine anticoagulation with heparin to prevent clinical deterioration.

Diagnostic Accuracy of Point-of-Care Ultrasound Performed by Pulmonary Critical Care Physicians for Right Ventricle Assessment in Patients With Acute Pulmonary Embolism

OBJECTIVES

Risk stratification for acute pulmonary embolism using imaging presence of right ventricular dysfunction is essential for triage; however, comprehensive transthoracic echocardiography has limited availability. We assessed the accuracy and timeliness of Pulmonary Critical Care Medicine Fellow's performance of goal-directed echocardiograms and intensivists' interpretations for evaluating right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism.

DESIGN

Prospective observational study and retrospective chart review.

SETTING

Four hundred fifty bed urban teaching hospital.

PATIENTS

Adult in/outpatients diagnosed with acute pulmonary embolism.

INTERVENTIONS

Pulmonary critical care fellows performed and documented their goal-directed echocardiogram as normal or abnormal for right ventricular size and function in patients with acute pulmonary embolism. Gold standard transthoracic echocardiography was performed on schedule unless the goal-directed echocardiogram showed critical findings. Attending intensivists blinded to the clinical scenario reviewed these exams at a later date.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

Two hundred eighty-seven consecutive patients were evaluated for acute PE. Pulmonary Critical Care Medicine Fellows performed 154 goal-directed echocardiograms, 110 with complete cardiology-reviewed transthoracic echocardiography within 48 hours for comparison. Pulmonary Critical Care Medicine Fellow's area under the curve for size and function was 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.90) and 0.83 (95% CI, 0.75-0.90), respectively. Intensivists' 1/2 area under the curve for size and function was (1) 0.87 (95% CI, 0.82-0.94), (1) 0.87 (95% CI, 0.80-0.93) and (2) 0.88 (95% CI, 0.82-0.95), (2) 0.88 (95% CI, 0.82-0.95). Median time difference between goal-directed echocardiogram and transthoracic echocardiography was 21 hours 18 minutes.

CONCLUSIONS

This is the first study to evaluate pulmonary critical care fellows' and intensivists' use of goal-directed echocardiography in diagnosing right ventricular dysfunction in acute pulmonary embolism. Pulmonary Critical Care Medicine Fellows and intensivists made a timely and accurate assessment. Screening for right ventricular dysfunction using goal-directed echocardiography can and should be performed by pulmonary critical care physicians in patients with acute pulmonary embolism.

Saddle Pulmonary Embolism: Laboratory and Computed Tomographic Pulmonary Angiographic Findings to Predict Short-term Mortality

BACKGROUND

Saddle pulmonary embolism (SPE) is rare type of acute pulmonary embolism and there is debate about its treatment and prognosis. Our aim is to assess laboratory and computed tomographic pulmonary angiographic (CTPA) findings to predict short-term mortality in patients with SPE.

METHODS

This was a five-centre, retrospective study. The clinical information, laboratory and CTPA findings of 88 consecutive patients with SPE were collected. One-month mortality after diagnosis of SPE was the primary end-point. The correlation of laboratory and CTPA findings with one-month mortality was analysed with area under curve (AUC) of receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves and logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients with SPE died within one month. Receiver operating characteristic curves revealed that the cutoff values for the right and left atrial diameter ratio, the right ventricular area and left ventricular area ratio (RVa/LVa ratio), Mastora score, septal angle, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide and cardiac troponin I (cTnI) for detecting early mortality were 2.15, 2.13, 69%, 57°, 3036 pg/mL and 0.18ng/mL, respectively. Using logistic regression analysis of laboratory and CTPA findings with regard to one-month mortality of SPE, RVa/LVa ratio and cTnI were shown to be independently associated with early death. A combination of cTnI and RVa/LVa ratio revealed an increase in the AUC value, but the difference did not reach significance compared with RVa/LVa or cTnI, alone (P>0.05).

CONCLUSION

In patients with SPE, both the RVa/LVa ratio on CTPA and cTnI appear valuable for the prediction of short-term mortality.

Diagnosing Pulmonary Embolism in Pregnancy: Are Biomarkers and Clinical Predictive Models Useful?

Objective The objective of this study was to evaluate whether trimester-specific D-dimer levels or the modified Wells score (MWS) is a useful risk stratification tool to exclude pregnant women at low risk of pulmonary embolism (PE) from diagnostic imaging. Study Design This is a prospective and retrospective cohort study. Pregnant women who underwent diagnostic imaging for suspected PE were prospectively enrolled. D-dimer serum levels were drawn, and a MWS was assigned. Pregnant women diagnosed with a PE before study launch who underwent diagnostic imaging and had a D-dimer level drawn were also evaluated. Results In this study, 17 patients were diagnosed with a PE and 42 patients had no PE on diagnostic imaging. Sixteen out of 17 patients with a PE versus 11 out of 42 without PE had an abnormal D-dimer level (p = 0.001). Four patients with a PE versus zero without a PE had an abnormal MWS (p = 0.005). The combination of a trimester-specific D-dimer level along with the MWS was abnormal in all 17 patients with a documented PE versus 11/42 (26.2%) patients without a documented PE (p = 0.001). Conclusion A combination of trimester-specific D-dimer levels along with a MWS can be used in pregnancy to triage women into a low-risk category for PE and thereby avoid radiation exposure in a majority of pregnant patients.

Submassive pulmonary embolism

Pulmonary embolism (PE) is a common diagnosis in critical care. Depending on the severity of clot burden, the clinical picture ranges from nearly asymptomatic to cardiovascular collapse. The signs and symptoms of PE are nonspecific. The clinician must have a high index of suspicion to make the diagnosis. PE is risk stratified into 3 categories: low-risk, submassive, and massive. Submassive PE remains the most challenging with regard to initial and long-term management. Little consensus exists as to the appropriate tests for risk stratification and therapy. This article reviews the current literature and a suggested approach to these patients.

Cardiac biomarkers and clinical scores for risk stratification in elderly patients with non-high-risk pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prognostic accuracy of cardiac biomarkers alone and in combination with clinical scores in elderly patients with non-high-risk pulmonary embolism (PE).

DESIGN

Ancillary analysis of a Swiss multicentre prospective cohort study.

SUBJECTS

A total of 230 patients aged ≥65 years with non-high-risk PE.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The study end-point was a composite of PE-related complications, defined as PE-related death, recurrent venous thromboembolism or major bleeding during a follow-up of 30 days. The prognostic accuracy of the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI), the Geneva Prognostic Score (GPS), the precursor of brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high-sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) was determined using sensitivity, specificity, predictive values, receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis, logistic regression and reclassification statistics.

RESULTS

The overall complication rate during follow-up was 8.7%. hs-cTnT achieved the highest prognostic accuracy [area under the ROC curve: 0.75, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.63-0.86, P < 0.001). At the predefined cut-off values, the negative predictive values of the biomarkers were above 95%. For levels above the cut-off, the risk of complications increased fivefold for hs-cTnT [odds ratio (OR): 5.22, 95% CI: 1.49-18.25] and 14-fold for NT-proBNP (OR: 14.21, 95% CI: 1.73-116.93) after adjustment for both clinical scores and renal function. Reclassification statistics indicated that adding hs-cTnT to the GPS or the PESI significantly improved the prognostic accuracy of both clinical scores.

CONCLUSION

In elderly patients with nonmassive PE, NT-proBNP or hs-cTnT could be an adequate alternative to clinical scores for identifying low-risk individuals suitable for outpatient management.

Evaluation of cardiac biomarkers and right ventricular dysfunction in patients with acute pulmonary embolism

OBJECTIVE

Right ventricular dysfunction (RVD) with myocardial damage may lead to fatal complications in patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). Cytoplasmic heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (HFABP) and the N-terminal fragment of its prohormone (NT-proBNP) are sensitive and specific biomarkers of myocardial damage. We evaluated RVD and cardiac biomarkers for myocardial damage and short-term mortality in patients with acute PE.

METHODS

We analyzed 41 patients (24 females, 17 males) with confirmed acute PE prospective. Three groups (massive, submassive, and non-massive) of patients were defined, based on systemic systolic blood pressure measured on admission and RVD by transthoracic echocardiography (TTE). Also, systolic (s) and mean (m) pulmonary artery pressures (PAPs) were recorded by TTE, and plasma concentrations of cardiac troponin T (cTn-T), NT-proBNP, and HFABP were evaluated 6 month follow-up.

RESULTS

Seventeen (41.5%) patients experienced a complicated clinical course in the 6-month follow-up for the combined end-point, including at least one of the following: death (n=12, 29.3%; 3 PE-related), chronic PE (n=4, 9.8%), pulmonary hypertension (n=2, 4.9%), and recurrent PE (n=1, 2.4%). Multivariate hazard ratio analysis revealed HFABP, NT-proBNP, and PAPs as the 6-month mortality predictors (HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.01-1.05; HR 1.01, 95% CI 1.01-1.04; and HR 1.02, 95% CI 1.02-1.05, respectively).

CONCLUSION

HFABP, NT-proBNP, and PAPs measured on admission may be useful for short-term risk stratification and in the prediction of 6-month PE-related mortality in patients with acute PE.

[Usefulness of cystatin C as a prognostic marker in venous thromboembolism]

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Cystatin C (cysC) is a prognostic marker in patients with hypertension, coronary heart disease and heart failure. The aim of this study was to determine the prognostic value of cysC levels obtained at the time of diagnosis in patients with venous thromboembolism (VTE).

MATERIAL AND METHOD

Retrospective study of a cohort of 226 consecutive patients with VTE, followed for 6 months. Serum samples were obtained for the determination of cysC, creatinine, and the N-terminal fraction of the brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) at the time of diagnosis.

RESULTS

The highest discriminating power value of dying at 6 months for cysC was 1,175mg/dl (sensitivity 76%, specificity 65%, positive predictive value 26%, negative predictive value 94%). Above the cut-off, 17/48 patients died, versus 9/152 that had lower levels (odds ratio: 5.98, 95% confidence interval [95% CI]: 2.50-14.29, P<.001). The adjusted hazard ratio in a multivariate model was 3.76 (95% CI 1.46-9.66). The accuracy of this parameter was similar to that for creatinine (1.24mg/dl) but lower than the NT-proBNP (435pg/ml). Patients who exceeded the limit values of cysC and NT-proBNP together had no greater risk of death than those above NT-proBNP only (odds ratio: 9.43, 95% CI 3.90-22.81, P<.001). There was no value, which was significantly associated with bleeding episodes or recurrent thromboembolism.

CONCLUSION

CysC concentration at the time of diagnosis in VTE patients has prognostic value, which is similar to that of serum creatinine and lower than that of NT-proBNP.

Utility of point-of-care testing of natriuretic peptides (brain natriuretic peptide and n-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide) in the emergency department

Rapid and accurate diagnosis of a patient with an acute disease is a challenge for emergency physicians. Natriuretic peptides have emerged as important tools for diagnosis, risk stratification and therapeutic decision making for some categories of emergency patients. Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) is a member of a four natriuretic peptides family that shares a common 17-peptide ring structure. Atrial natriuretic peptide, C-natriuretic peptide (CNP), and D-type natriuretic peptide are the other natriuretic peptide, which share the same common 17-peptide ring structure. The N-terminal fragment of pro-BNP, N-terminal pro-brain natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) consists of 76 amino acids, which is biologically inert, while the active component BNP contains 32 amino acids. BNP and NT-proBNP are secreted in the plasma in equimolar quantities and are frequently used in the diagnosis of congestive heart failure, and distinguishing between patients with dyspnea of cardiac or pulmonary origin. Both natriuretic peptides have also been evaluated for use in the assessment and management of several other conditions including sepsis, cirrhosis of liver and renal failure. However, one should remember that the values of natriuretic peptides are affected by age and weight of the patients, and presence of several comorbidities such as chronic renal failure, type 2 diabetes mellitus, anemia, pulmonary embolism, and acute coronary syndrome. Values of these peptides also vary depending on the type of test used. The performance characteristics of these natriuretic peptides vary depending on the patients on whom they are used. Therefore determination of reference values for these peptides represents a challenge.

Predictive value of the heart-type fatty acid-binding protein and the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index in patients with acute pulmonary embolism in the emergency department

OBJECTIVES

Heart-type fatty acid-binding protein (h-FABP), sensitive troponins, natriuretic peptides, and clinical scores such as the Pulmonary Embolism Severity Index (PESI) are candidates for risk stratification of patients with acute pulmonary embolism (PE). The aim was to compare their respective prognostic values to predict an adverse outcome at 1 month.

METHODS

The authors prospectively included 132 consecutive patients with confirmed acute PE. On admission to the emergency department (ED), plasma concentrations of h-FABP, sensitive cardiac troponin I-Ultra (cTnI-Ultra), and brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) were measured and the PESI calculated in all patients. The combined 30-day outcomes of interest were death, cardiac arrest, mechanical ventilation, use of catecholamines, and recurrence of acute PE.

RESULTS

During the first 30 days, 14 (10.6%) patients suffered complications. Among the biomarkers, h-FABP above 6 μg/L was a stronger predictor of an unfavorable outcome (odds ratio [OR] = 17.5, 95% confidence interval [CI] = 4.2 to 73.3) than BNP > 100 pg/mL (OR = 5.7, 95% CI = 1.6 to 20.4) or cTnI-Ultra > 0.05 μg/L (OR = 3.4, 95% CI = 1.1 to 10.9). The PESI classified 83 of 118 patients (70.3%) with favorable outcomes and only one of 14 (7%) with adverse outcomes in low class I or II (OR = 30.8, 95% CI = 3.2 to 299.7). The areas under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves (AUCs) were 0.90 (95% CI = 0.81 to 0.98) for h-FABP, 0.89 (95% CI = 0.82 to 0.96) for PESI, 0.79 (95% CI = 0.67 to 0.90) for BNP, and 0.76 (95% CI = 0.64 to 0.87) for cTnI-Ultra. The combination of h-FABP with PESI was a particularly useful prognostic indicator because none of the 79 patients (59.8%) with h-FABP < 6 ng/mL and PESI class < III had an adverse outcome.

CONCLUSIONS

h-FABP and the PESI are superior to BNP and cTnI-Ultra as markers for risk stratification of patients with acute PE. The high sensitivity of their combination identified a large number of low-risk patients in the ED.

Protective effect of rhBNP on intestinal injury in the canine models of sepsis

Sepsis is the leading cause of death in the intensive care units worldwide. Proinflammatory cytokines such as TNF (tumor necrosis factor)-α and IL (interleukin)-6 mediate the pathogenesis of septic shock characterized by hemodynamic instability and end-stage multi-organ functional failure. Brain natriuretic peptide (BNP) has been used as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker in the cardiovascular disorders. Most recently, plasma level of BNP has also been used to predict outcomes of critical illnesses including sepsis. We have recently reported that human recombinant BNP (rhBNP) could protect lungs from acute proinflammatory injury in response to LPS-injection. In the current study, using LPS (lipopolysaccharide)-induced canine sepsis models, we further investigated the effect of rhBNP on intestinal injury and its potential mechanisms. We have found that rhBNP (5μg or 10μg/kg weight) could significantly reduce intestinal tissue damage in response to LPS-injection in the dog sepsis models through down-regulating proinflammatory cytokines TNF-α and IL-6 (5-10 fold decrease compared to LPS-injection only group) by a mechanism of suppressing IκB phosphorylation and NF-κB expression. These findings suggest that BNP protect intestinal tissues from endotoxin-induced hyper-inflammatory injury and thus, may be used as therapeutic agents for sepsis.

B-type natriuretic peptides and mortality after stroke: a systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To measure the association of B-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and N-terminal fragment of BNP (NT-proBNP) with all-cause mortality after stroke, and to evaluate the additional predictive value of BNP/NT-proBNP over clinical information.

METHODS

Suitable studies for meta-analysis were found by searching MEDLINE and EMBASE databases until October 26, 2012. Weighted mean differences measured effect size; meta-regression and publication bias were assessed. Individual participant data were used to estimate effects by logistic regression and to evaluate BNP/NT-proBNP additional predictive value by area under the receiver operating characteristic curves, and integrated discrimination improvement and categorical net reclassification improvement indexes.

RESULTS

Literature-based meta-analysis included 3,498 stroke patients from 16 studies and revealed that BNP/NT-proBNP levels were 255.78 pg/mL (95% confidence interval [CI] 105.10-406.47, p = 0.001) higher in patients who died; publication bias entailed the loss of this association. Individual participant data analysis comprised 2,258 stroke patients. After normalization of the data, patients in the highest quartile had double the risk of death after adjustment for clinical variables (NIH Stroke Scale score, age, sex) (odds ratio 2.30, 95% CI 1.32-4.01 for BNP; and odds ratio 2.63, 95% CI 1.75-3.94 for NT-proBNP). Only NT-proBNP showed a slight added value to clinical prognostic variables, increasing discrimination by 0.028 points (integrated discrimination improvement index; p < 0.001) and reclassifying 8.1% of patients into correct risk mortality categories (net reclassification improvement index; p = 0.003). Neither etiology nor time from onset to death affected the association of BNP/NT-proBNP with mortality.

CONCLUSION

BNPs are associated with poststroke mortality independent of NIH Stroke Scale score, age, and sex. However, their translation to clinical practice seems difficult because BNP/NT-proBNP add only minor predictive value to clinical information.

Evaluation factors of pulmonary embolism severity and prognosis

Management of pulmonary embolism (PE) is still unclear. We summarized 16 kinds of evaluation factors of PE severity and prognosis, and we analyzed the single and joint value for short-term and long-term prognosis. Among them, biomarkers such as brain natriuretic peptide or N-terminal probrain natriuretic peptide, troponin, and heart-type fatty acid-binding protein are the best indicators of PE severity and short-term prognosis. They might replace imaging detections in evaluating PE severity. But the positive predictive value of all the biomarkers is low, and we need to improve each value through joint detection. The PE severity index and simplified PE severity index are more suitable for evaluating the overall risk and long-term prognosis. They could be used as complements of indicators of the PE severity, especially in identifying low-risk group. Integrated risk stratification and strategies of management should be established based on the 2 aspects mentioned previously.