The prevalence, incidence, management and risks of atrial fibrillation in an elderly Chinese population: a prospective study

Establishment and evaluation of a nomogram prediction model for risk of atrial fibrillation recurrence after the cox-maze IV procedure

The Cox-Maze IV (CMIV) procedure is the mainstay in surgical treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF), but the rate of AF recurrence after the CMIV procedure in patients with persistent AF is difficult to accurately evaluate. In this study, we aimed to develop and validate a risk prediction model of AF recurrence within 1 year after undergoing the Cox-Maze IV procedure. We retrospectively enrolled 303 consecutive patients who underwent the Cox-Maze IV procedure for persistent AF concomitant with other cardiac procedures at our institute between 2019 and 2021. A nomogram was developed using multivariate logistic regression analysis, and the concordance statistic (C-statistic) was computed. Differentiation, calibration, clinical suitability, and bootstrapping were performed to verify the model. Among the 303 patients, 71 developed recurrent AF within 1 year of CMIV. Factors predictive of postoperative AF recurrence included age, left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH), early atrial tachyarrhythmias (ATAs), and congenital heart disease surgery (namely, ventricular septal defect repair and atrial septal defect repair). Based on the training dataset, the nomogram had a C-statistic of 0.864 (95% CI 0.811-0.918) for predicting AF recurrence. According to the receiver operating characteristic curve, (ROC curve), the cutoff value of the model was 0.293, and the specificity and sensitivity were 0.841 and 0.789, respectively. This model can predict the risk of AF recurrence after the CMIV procedure. Its discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability are strong, and its clinical application is simple and easy to promote.

Feasibility and findings of electrocardiogram recording in older adults with intellectual disabilities: results of the Healthy Ageing and Intellectual Disabilities study

BACKGROUND

Older adults with intellectual disabilities (ID) have a high risk of cardiovascular diseases (CVD). At the same time, challenging diagnostic work-up increases the likelihood of underdiagnosis of CVD in this population. To limit this underdiagnosis, it would be beneficial to use objective measures such as the electrocardiogram (ECG). However, little is known about the feasibility of ECG recording and the prevalence of ECG abnormalities in this population. Therefore, the aims of this study were to investigate the feasibility of resting ECG recording, to study the prevalence of ECG abnormalities, and to compare the frequency of ECG abnormalities with medical records in older adults with ID.

METHOD

A cross-sectional study was performed within a cohort of older adults (≥60 years) with ID as part of the Healthy Ageing and Intellectual Disabilities (HA-ID) study. A resting 12-lead ECG was attempted, and the ECG recording was considered feasible if the recording could be made and if the ECG could be interpreted by a cardiologist and the Modular ECG Analysis System (MEANS). ECGs were assessed for the presence of ECG abnormalities and medical record review was performed. If the cardiologist or MEANS concluded that there was evidence of myocardial infarction, atrial fibrillation or QTc prolongation on the ECG in the absence of this ECG diagnosis in the participant's medical record, this was classified as a previously undiagnosed ECG diagnosis.

RESULTS

ECG recording was feasible in 134 of the 200 participants (67.0%). Of these 134 participants (70.6 ± 5.8 years; 52.2% female), 103 (76.9%) had one or more ECG abnormality, with the most prevalent being prolonged P-wave duration (27.6%), QTc prolongation (18.7%), minor T-wave abnormalities (17.9%), first degree atrioventricular block (12.7%) and myocardial infarction (6.7%). Eight out of 9 (88.9%) myocardial infarctions and all cases of (significant) QTc prolongation (100%) were previously undiagnosed.

CONCLUSIONS

This study showed that ECG recording is feasible in the majority of older adults with ID and revealed a substantial underdiagnosis of ECG abnormalities. These results stress the importance of ECG recording and warrant further research into the yield of opportunistic ECG screening in older adults with ID.

Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation in Semiurban Nepal: Result From a Community-Based Cross-Sectional Screening

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a common morbid arrhythmia that can cause thromboembolic events such as stroke. Despite advancements in diagnostic technologies, a significant number of AF patients may remain undetected and undiagnosed, and these asymptomatic patients possess sufficient risk of cardioembolic stroke. Identifying such patients through appropriate screening techniques and timely initiation of systemic anticoagulation therapy is essential to prevent such life-threatening complications. Objectives: The objectives of this study encompass screening of AF among residents of the Dhulikhel Municipality and identifying its prevalence, along with evaluation of stroke risk and use of antithrombotic therapy in patients confirmed with AF. Methods: All residents of four wards of Dhulikhel Municipality, aged 50 years and above (n = 2048), underwent one-time electrocardiogram (ECG) screening using a portable 12-lead ECG machine. The cardiologist checked the cardiogram, and suspected AF cases were referred to the hospital for further evaluation and appropriate management. They were followed up to find out information on disease confirmation and management. Results: Out of 2048 participants, AF was detected in 16 participants, resulting in an overall prevalence of 0.78% (CI 0.4%-1.3%). The prevalence of AF was highest (2.98%) in population aged 80 years and above. Among individuals with AF, the median age was 71.5 (66.3-79.5) years, 50.0% were male and 75.0% had high stroke risk as indicated by a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2. Among these patients, only 41.66% were treated with oral anticoagulants (OACs), while 58.34% were treated either with single or dual antiplatelet therapy (DAPT). Conclusion: This study provided important insight into the prevalence of AF at the community level. Many AF patients were at high risk of stroke, but the OAC use was less than 50%. Screening of AF needs to be carried out on a larger scale in Nepal for early detection and timely management of the disease.

Association between baseline glycated hemoglobin level and atrial fibrillation recurrence following cryoballoon ablation among patients with and without diabetes

OBJECTIVES

The study aims to assess the effect of baseline glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels on atrial fibrillation (AF) recurrence following cryoballoon ablation in patients with and without diabetes.

METHODS

Consecutive AF patients receiving first cryoballoon ablation between April 2018 and April 2021 were included. AF recurrence and other clinical outcomes were recorded for a minimum of 12 months post-ablation, with regular assessments at 3, 6, and 12 months, followed by annual check-ups. The primary outcome was AF recurrence after ablation at longest follow-up. Multivariate Cox proportional hazards regression models were utilized to calculate the hazard ratio (HR) and 95% CI per standard deviation (SD) increase of baseline HbA1c level.

RESULTS

335 patients were included in the analysis. The mean age was 61.7 years, 61.8% were male. 12.8% had type 2 diabetes, and 81.7% of patients had paroxysmal AF. The median level of HbA1c was 5.3%, and the mean CHA2DS2-VASc score was 1.8. All cryoballoon ablation procedures, utilizing a 28-mm balloon, achieved successful pulmonary vein isolation. Over a median follow-up of 18 months, 105 patients (31.3%) experienced AF recurrence. In multivariate Cox proportional hazards analysis, a higher HbA1c level, persistent AF (HR 1.91, 95% CI 1.08 to 3.39, P = 0.026), alcohol consumption (HR 2.67, 95% CI 1.33 to 5.37, P = 0.006), and Nadir RSPV (HR 1.04, 95% CI 1.00 to 1.08, P = 0.005) were significant predictors of AF recurrence. Per-SD increase of HbA1c was associated with a 1.75-fold increase risk of AF recurrence (HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.39 to 2.21, P < 0.001). Subgroup analysis revealed that a higher HbA1c level was associated with a higher risk of AF recurrence in patients with and without diabetes, and in patients with paroxysmal and persistent AF.

CONCLUSION

Baseline HbA1c level was an independent predictor of AF recurrence following cryoablation, both in patients with and without diabetes.

Management and Anticoagulation Treatment of Non-Valvular Atrial Fibrillation in Elderly Patients: The Dali Study

Background

Non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is associated with increased stroke in elderly populations, yet anticoagulant therapy is underutilized. We analyzed clinical characteristics and anticoagulation treatment rates of elderly NVAF patients hospitalized in Dali, China, to identify potential contributing factors.

Methods

We collected data for 155 elderly patients with NVAF aged ≥60 years, from July 01, 2020, to December 31, 2021. We analyzed the awareness rate, clinical characteristics, and anticoagulant treatment rate of atrial fibrillation (AF), and identified factors influencing treatment. Patients were followed up one year after discharge to assess vital status, cardiovascular events, and anticoagulation therapy status.

Results

Among 155 patients, 52.26% were female, and the average age was 75.77 years. The awareness rate of AF was 47.74% at admission, and only 21.94% received anticoagulant therapy. After discharge, the rate of anticoagulant therapy significantly increased to 70.97%, and 89.09% used new oral anticoagulants. Thromboembolic history and persistent AF predicted anticoagulant therapy at discharge, while male gender, previous bleeding history, and antiplatelet therapy predicted non-anticoagulant therapy. Out of 133 patients who completed a one-year follow-up, 23.31% died, 3.01% had strokes, and 3.01% experienced bleeding. Anticoagulant therapy decreased to 51.96% during the follow-up year.

Conclusion

Our findings highlight the low awareness rate and anticoagulant treatment rate, and high mortality among elderly NVAF patients in Dali. The development of comprehensive intervention strategies is critical to standardize AF management and improve prognosis.

Prevalence and prognosis of atrial fibrillation in a hypertensive population: A prospective cohort study

Identifying risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF) and evaluating their impact are essential to avoid the occurrence of adverse events. However, few studies to date have explored the prevalence, risk factors, and prognosis of AF in hypertensive patients. The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of AF in a hypertensive population and determine the relationship between AF and all-cause mortality. At baseline, a total of 8541 Chinese patients with hypertension were enrolled from the Northeast Rural Cardiovascular Health Study. A logistic regression model was established to assess the relationship between blood pressure and AF, and Kaplan-Meier survival curve analysis and multivariate Cox regression were used to explore the relationship between AF and all-cause mortality. Meanwhile, subgroup analyses illustrated the robustness of results. This study found that the overall prevalence rate of AF was 1.4% in its Chinese hypertensive population. After adjusting for the confounding factors, every standard deviation increase in diastolic blood pressure (DBP) was associated with a 37% increase in the prevalence of AF (95% confidence interval: 1.152-1.627, p < .001). Compared to hypertensive patients without AF, those with AF had an increased risk of all-cause mortality (hazard ratio = 1.866, 95% confidence interval: 1.117-3.115, p = .017) in the adjusted model. The results show that the burden of AF is quite large in rural-dwelling Chinese hypertensive patients. Focusing on the control of DBP to prevent the occurrence of AF can be helpful. Meanwhile, AF increases risk of all-cause mortality in hypertensive patients. Our results indicated a huge burden of AF. Considering that most of the risk factors of AF were unmodifiable in hypertensive individuals and given their high risk of mortality, long-term interventions, including AF education, timely screening, and widespread use of anticoagulant drugs, should be emphasized in hypertensive populations.

A prospective study on the association between atrial fibrillation and blood pressure in an elderly Chinese population

BACKGROUND

Intensive blood pressure (BP) lowering in patients with hypertension has been associated with a lowered risk of atrial fibrillation (AF). It is still uncertain what is the optimal BP levels to prevent AF in the general elderly population. In the present prospective study, we investigated the association between incident AF and BP in an elderly Chinese population.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

Elderly (≥65 years) residents were recruited from 6 communities in Shanghai. 9019 participants who did not have AF at baseline and had at least one ECG recording during follow-up were included in the present analysis. During a median of 3.5 years follow-up, the overall incidence rate of AF was 5.6 per 1000 person-years (n = 178). Systolic BP was associated with increased AF risk (age- and sex-adjusted hazard ratio [HR] per 20-mmHg increase for systolic BP 1.21, 95% CI 1.04-1.39, P = 0.01), but risk estimate was attenuated after adjustment for common AF risk factors. In categorical analyses, statistical significance was achieved for HR relative to optimal BP only in stage 2 or 3 systolic and diastolic hypertension (multivariate-adjusted HR 1.76, 95% CI 1.00-3.08, P = 0.05). The association between AF incidence and BP status tended to be stronger in the absence than presence of a history of cardiovascular disease at baseline (P for interaction = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

In this Chinese population of 65 years and older, linear increases in systolic and diastolic BP were not independently associated with increased risk of AF, and only exposure to stage 2 or 3 hypertension carries a higher risk of AF.

Risk factors and SCN5A-H558R polymorphism for atrial fibrillation in Tibetans living at different altitudes

Several studies have found associations of genes with atrial fibrillation (AF), including SCN5A-H558R. However, there are limited data of these associations among populations living at different altitudes. We investigated the relationship between the SCN5A-H558R polymorphism and AF in Tibetans living at different altitudes in Qinghai, China. General clinical and genotype data were obtained from 72 patients with AF and 109 non-AF (NAF) individuals at middle altitudes, and from 102 patients with AF and 143 NAF individuals at high altitudes. Multifactor logistic regression was performed to determine associations and AF risk factors. SCN5A-H558R genotypes differed significantly between the AF and NAF groups (P < .0125) and the G allele was an independent AF risk factor (P < .05) at both altitudes, with no significant differences according to altitude (P > .0125). At middle altitudes, age, red blood cell distribution width (RDW-SD), left atrial internal diameter (LAD), and G allele were independent AF risk factors. At high altitudes, age, smoking, hypertension, RDW-SD, free triiodothyronine, LAD, and G allele were independent AF risk factors (P < .05). The G allele of SCN5A-H558R might be an independent risk factor of AF both high and middle altitude, but there are some differences in other clinical risk factors of AF.

Cost-Effectiveness of Intensive Versus Standard Blood Pressure Treatment in Older Patients With Hypertension in China

Background:

In the STEP trial (Strategy of Blood Pressure Intervention in older Hypertensive Patients), the risk of cardiovascular events is significantly lower in patients who received intensive systolic blood psressure (BP) treatment than in those who received standard treatment. This study compared the lifetime health benefits and medical costs of intensive BP treatment with those of standard BP treatment.

Methods:

A microsimulation model included 10 000 hypothetical samples of Chinese adults aged 60 to 80 years old with baseline systolic BP higher than 140 mm Hg. Primary outcome was the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio from a payer’s perspective. Secondary outcome was cardiovascular events, including acute coronary syndrome, stroke, acute decompensated heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and death from cardiovascular causes.

Results:

The model simulated that cardiovascular events occurred in 36.88% of the patients in the intensive treatment group, as compared to 41.28% of the patients in the standard treatment group over the lifetime horizon. The mean number of quality-adjusted life-years would be 0.16 higher in patients who received intensive treatment than in those who received standard treatment and would cost Chinese yuan 12 614 (International dollars 3018) more per quality-adjusted life-year gained. Most simulation results indicated that intensive treatment would be cost-effective (82%–95% below the willingness-to-pay threshold of Chinese yuan 72 000 [1× the gross domestic product per capita in China in 2020]). Sensitivity analyses showed that these conclusions were robust.

Conclusions:

In this study, intensive BP treatment prevented cardiovascular events among older patients with hypertension in China and was cost-effective in most scenarios.

Registration:

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov ; Unique identifier: NCT03015311

Real-world treatment patterns and stroke risks among patients with atrial fibrillation in China

Aim: To describe patient characteristics, treatment patterns and stroke risks for patients with newly diagnosed atrial fibrillation (AF) in China. Patients & methods: Patients with AF were identified from an electronic medical record database in China (n = 22,535). Results: Less than half of patients (n = 9971; 44.2%) received antithrombotic medications following AF diagnosis; of these patients, 93.7% received anticoagulants and 71.3% received antiplatelets. Only 27.6% of patients received oral anticoagulants. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard model analysis found that patients treated with antithrombotic medications had a significantly lower risk of stroke compared with patients who were not treated (hazard ratio: 0.4; 95% CI: 0.37-0.43). Conclusion: The results suggest that antithrombotic medications, especially oral anticoagulants, are underused in China.

Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation and risk of CVD mortality among hypertensive population: A prospective cohort study in Northeast China

Background

Determining risk factors of cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related mortality and evaluating their influence are important for effectively reducing corresponding mortality. However, few research findings have estimated the relationship between atrial fibrillation (AF) and CVD-related mortality among hypertension individuals.

Objective

The objective of this study was to investigate the epidemiology of AF in a hypertension population and determine the relationship between AF and CVD-related mortality.

Methods

Using a multistage, stratified, and cluster random sampling method, the prospective cohort study with a median follow-up of 3.51 years enrolled 10,678 hypertensive participants at baseline. The prevalence, awareness, and anticoagulation data of AF in this focal population were carefully assessed. Stepwise logistic regression and Cox regression analysis were respectively performed to evaluate the determinants of AF and the association between AF and CVD-related mortality.

Results

The overall prevalence of AF was 1.3% (95% CI, 1.1%−1.6%) in the hypertensive population, and it was higher in men than in women (1.8% vs. 1.0%, respectively; p=0.001). The awareness of AF was 53.1%, and the rate of oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy was only 4.2%, although all AF participants should have required according to the European Society of Cardiology guidelines. The determinants of AF included elder, male, and history of coronary heart disease in the hypertensive population. Besides, compared with individuals without AF, the risk of CVD-related mortality significantly increased in the hypertensive population with AF (HR 3.37, 95% CI 2.10–5.40).

Conclusion

Our results indicated a huge burden of AF and underuse of OAC therapy for them in a community-based hypertensive population. Considering that most of the risk factors of AF were unmodifiable in hypertensive individuals, as well as its high risk of mortality, long-term interventions including AF education, timely screening, and widespread use of OACs should be emphasized in the focal populations.

Network Pharmacology and Pharmacological Mechanism of CV-3 in Atrial Fibrillation

The high fatality and disability rate of atrial fibrillation (AF) strongly promote the development of pathogenesis and treatment of AF that is of great value. The present research attempted to clarify potential mechanisms of Mujiangzi oil (CV-3) in treating AF by constructing an AF cardiomyocytes model and using a network pharmacology approach. The experiment was divided into 4 groups: control, an AF model, AF + CV-3-treated, and the AF + verapamil group. Flow cytometry and the MTT assay were employed to detect cell apoptosis and cell viability, respectively. The main active components of CV-3 and predicted targets were obtained firstly, and molecular docking was performed. In the AF model, the cell apoptosis was aggravated, but inhibited in the CV-3-treated group. In addition, the cell viability was recovered after CV-3 treatment compared with the model group. Five potential active compounds of CV-3 were collected, including effective ingredients N-decanoic acid, spathulenol, copaene, β-panasinsene, and eucalyptol. Among them, N-decanoic acid and spathulenol was demonstrated to bind to PTGS2 with binding energy of −4.08 and −7.09 kcal/mol, respectively, and hydrogen bonds interaction were found. The present study indicated that CV-3 could alleviate AF cardiomyocytes apoptosis and improve cardiomyocytes viability, and N-decanoic acid and spathulenol may be the key components of CV-3 in treatment of AF by regulating PTGS2. This study provided the possible target PTGS2 and the understanding of molecular mechanisms of CV-3 in treating AF.

The association between the prognostic nutritional index and 28-day mortality among atrial fibrillation patients in China over 80 years of age

BACKGROUNDS AND AIMS

The most prevalent form of cardiac rhythm abnormality among older populations is atrial fibrillation (AF). The prognostic nutritional index (PNI) is a reliable predictor of mortality in various diseases. The association between the PNI and mortality among AF patients over 80 years remains uncleared.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A retrospective assessment of AF cases admitted to a single cardiovascular disease unit in China between January 2015 and June 2020 was performed. The PNI at admission was defined as 10 × serum albumin (g/dL) + 0.005 × total lymphocyte count (per mm³). The association between PNI and cardiovascular disease (CVD)-related or all-cause mortality within 28 days was assessed via multivariable Cox regression. The analysis included 1141 patients. The CVD-related and all-cause mortality rates were 3.3% and 8.7%. Kaplan-Meier analyses revealed that cases with lower PNI tertiles exhibited higher all-cause mortality (T1: 7.6%; T2: 6.1%; T3: 2.4%, P < 0.001) or CVD mortality (T1: 6.3%; T2: 2.9%; T3: 0.8%, P < 0.001). After adjusting for potential confounders, continuous PNI was negatively related to the hazard of all-cause mortality (HR 0.92, 95% CI 0.89, 0.96) and CVD-related mortality (HR 0.90, 95% CI 0.84, 0.95). Compared to the T1 group, patients with a higher PNI exhibited a lower risk of all-cause mortality (P for trend 0.003) and CVD-related mortality (P for trend 0.005). Among most subgroups, CVD-related and all-cause mortality decreased with elevating PNI values.

CONCLUSIONS

PNI is significantly negatively correlated with CVD-related and all-cause mortality among AF cases over 80 years.

Prevalence and risk of atrial fibrillation in China: A national cross-sectional epidemiological study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common persistent cardiac arrhythmia. This study aimed to estimate its prevalence and explore associated factors in adults aged 18 years or older in China.

METHODS

Study data were derived from a national sample from July 2020 to September 2021. Participants were recruited using a multistage stratified sampling method from twenty-two provinces, autonomous regions, and municipalities in China. AF was determined based on a history of diagnosed AF or electrocardiogram results.

FINDINGS

A total of 114,039 respondents were included in the final analysis with a mean age of 55 years (standard deviation 17), 52·1% of whom were women. The crude prevalence of AF was 2·3% (95% confidence interval [CI] 1·7-2·8) and increased with age. The age-standardized AF prevalence was 1·6% (95% CI 1·6-1·7%) overall, and 1·7% (1·6-1·8%), 1·4% (1·3-1·5%), 1·6% (95% CI 1·5-1·7%), and 1·7% (1·6-1·9%) in men, women, urban areas, and rural areas, respectively. The prevalence was higher in the central regions (2·5%, 2·3-2·7%) than in the western regions (1·5%, 1·0-2·0%) and eastern regions (1·1%, 1·0-1·2%) in the overall population, either in the gender or residency subgroups. The associated factors for AF included age (per 10 years; odds ratio 1·41 [95% CI 1·38-1·46]; p < 0·001), men (1·34 [1·24-1·45]; p < 0·001), hypertension (1·22 [1·12-1·33]; p < 0·001), coronary heart disease (1·44 [1·28-1·62]; p < 0·001), chronic heart failure (3·70 [3·22-4·26]; p < 0·001), valvular heart disease (2·13 [1·72-2·63]; p < 0·001), and transient ischaemic attack/stroke (1·22 [1·04-1·43]; p = 0·013).

INTERPRETATION

The prevalence of AF was 1.6% in the Chinese adult population and increased with age, with significant geographic variation. Older age, male sex, and cardiovascular disease were potent factors associated with AF. It is crucial to increase the awareness of AF and disseminate standardized treatment in clinical settings to reduce the disease burden.

FUNDING

This research was supported the Nature Science Foundation of Hubei province (No: 2017CFB204).

Cost-Effectiveness of Mobile Health-Based Integrated Care for Atrial Fibrillation: Model Development and Data Analysis

BACKGROUND

Mobile health (mHealth) technology is increasingly used in disease management. Using mHealth tools to integrate and streamline care has improved clinical outcomes of patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

OBJECTIVE

The aim of this study was to investigate the potential clinical and health economic outcomes of mHealth-based integrated care for AF from the perspective of a public health care provider in China.

METHODS

A Markov model was designed to compare outcomes of mHealth-based care and usual care in a hypothetical cohort of patients with AF in China. The time horizon was 30 years with monthly cycles. Model outcomes measured were direct medical cost, quality-adjusted life years (QALYs), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Sensitivity analyses were performed to examine the robustness of the base-case results.

RESULTS

In the base-case analysis, mHealth-based care gained higher QALYs of 0.0730 with an incurred cost of US $1090. Using US $33,438 per QALY (three times the gross domestic product) as the willingness-to-pay threshold, mHealth-based care was cost-effective, with an ICER of US $14,936 per QALY. In one-way sensitivity analysis, no influential factor with a threshold value was identified. In probabilistic sensitivity analysis, mHealth-based care was accepted as cost-effective in 92.33% of 10,000 iterations.

CONCLUSIONS

This study assessed the expected cost-effectiveness of applying mHealth-based integrated care for AF according to a model-based health economic evaluation. The exploration suggested the potential cost-effective use of mHealth apps in streamlining and integrating care via the Atrial fibrillation Better Care (ABC) pathway for AF in China. Future economic evaluation alongside randomized clinical trials is highly warranted to verify the suggestion and investigate affecting factors such as geographical variations in patient characteristics, identification of subgroups, and constraints on local implementation.

Alcohol consumption in relation to the incidence of atrial fibrillation in an elderly Chinese population

BACKGROUND

Alcohol consumption is a known modifiable risk factor for atrial fibrillation. The association, however, might differ according to gender. We investigated gender-specific associations between alcohol consumption and incident atrial fibrillation in an elderly Chinese population.

METHODS

Our study participants were elderly residents (≥ 65 years) recruited from five community health centers in the urban area of Shanghai (n = 6,618). Alcohol intake was classified as never drinkers and current light-to-moderate (< 40 g/day) and heavy drinkers (≥ 40 g/day). Atrial fibrillation was detected by a 30-s single-lead electrocardiography (ECG, AliveCor^® Heart Monitor) and further evaluated with a regular 12-lead ECG.

RESULTS

During a median of 2.1 years (interquartile range: 2.0-2.2) follow-up, the incidence rate of atrial fibrillation was 1.10% in all study participants. It was slightly but non-significantly higher in men (n = 2849) than women (n = 3769, 1.30% vs. 0.96%, P = 0.19) and in current drinkers (n = 793) than never drinkers (n = 5825, 1.64% vs. 1.03%,P = 0.12). In both unadjusted and adjusted analyses, there was interaction between sex and current alcohol intake in relation to the incidence of atrial fibrillation (P < 0.0001). After adjustment for confounding factors, current drinkers had a significantly higher incidence rate of atrial fibrillation than never drinkers in women (12.96% [7/54] vs. 0.78% [29/3715], adjusted odds ratio [OR] = 10.25, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.54-29.67,P < 0.0001), but not in men (0.81% [6/739] vs. 1.47% [31/2110], OR = 0.62, 95% CI: 0.25-1.51,P = 0.29).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study showed a significant association between alcohol intake and the incidence of atrial fibrillation in elderly Chinese women, but not men.

Atrial fibrillation and the risk of cardiovascular disease and mortality in the Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prognostic value of electrocardiographic atrial fibrillation in older hypertensive people in the randomized, placebo-controlled Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial.

METHODS

Hypertension in the Very Elderly Trial randomized 3845 hypertensive people aged 80 years and over, 3273 with electrographic data on the presence or absence of atrial fibrillation at baseline and without established cardiovascular disease. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were used to estimate hazard ratios with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause mortality, incident fatal and nonfatal major cardiovascular events, all-stroke and all-heart failure. The mean follow-up time was 2.1 years.

RESULTS

Baseline prevalence of atrial fibrillation was 5.8%. Compared with people without atrial fibrillation at baseline, after adjustments the presence of atrial fibrillation was associated with increased risk of mortality (hazard ratio = 2.49, 95% CI = 1.80-3.44, P < 0.001), of nonfatal and fatal cardiovascular events (hazard ratio = 2.47, 95% CI = 1.71-3.55, P < 0.001), all-stroke (hazard ratio = 2.47, 95% CI = 1.34-4.56, P = 0.004) and all-heart failure (hazard ratio 2.33, 95% CI = 1.10-4.93, P = 0.027).

CONCLUSION

Atrial fibrillation is an important risk factor to consider when assessing older hypertensive adults as it is associated with increased risk of mortality, nonfatal and fatal cardiovascular events, stroke and heart failure.

Correlation between the elevated uric acid levels and circulating renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system activation in patients with atrial fibrillation

Background

The aim of the present study was to investigate the correlation between the elevated uric acid (UA) levels and activation of the circulating renin-angiotensin-aldosterone system (RAAS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

A total of 233 outpatients and inpatients of the Cardiology Department from January 1, 2019, to December 31, 2019, were selected and divided into the sinus rhythm group (SR) with 84 cases, the paroxysmal AF group (pAF) with 76 cases, and the persistent AF group (PAF) with 73 patients. The general clinical data and the serum levels of UA of the enrolled patients were collected, and the radioimmunoassay was adopted to detect the levels of renin (Renin), angiotensin II (Ang II), and aldosterone (Ald).

Results

Renin, AngII, Ald, and UA in the PAF group were significantly higher than those in the pAF group, and the levels of the above indicators in the pAF group were significantly higher than those in the SR group (P<0.001). The left atrium anteroposterior diameter (LAD) and the left ventricular end-diastolic diameter (LVEDD) were significantly increased in the PAF group (P<0.001). The Pearson correlation analysis showed that the levels of the high sensitivity C-reactive protein (hsCRP), AngII Renin, Ald, LVEDD, and LAD were positively correlated with the serum levels of UA (r=0.174, 0.273, 0.34, 0.385, 0.138, respectively, P<0.05 in all). The left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) was negatively correlated with the UA level (r=-0.177, P<0.05). Multiple linear regression analysis showed that UA (β=0.103) and LAD (β=2.162) were independent risk factors for Renin. The independent risk factor for Ang II was UA (β=0.167). The independent risk factor for Ald was UA (β=0.283) and LAD (β=8.721) (P<0.05).

Conclusions

Elevated UA might cause excessive activation of the RAAS, aggravate the oxidative stress, and participate in the atrial remodeling, thereby promoting the occurrence and persistence of AF.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: Geographic/Ecological Risk Factors, Age, Sex, Genetics

Atrial fibrillation is the most common arrhythmia globally. The global prevalence of atrial fibrillation is positively correlated with the sociodemographic index of different regions. Advancing age, male sex, and Caucasian race are risk factors; female sex is correlated with higher atrial fibrillation mortality worldwide likely owing to thromboembolic risk. African American ethnicity is associated with lower atrial fibrillation risk, same as Asian and Hispanic/Latino ethnicities compared with Caucasians. Atrial fibrillation may be heritable, and more than 100 genetic loci have been identified. A polygenic risk score and clinical risk factors are feasible and effective in risk stratification of incident disease.

Metabolic syndrome, high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels and the risk of new-onset atrial fibrillation: Results from the Kailuan Study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Some studies have reported that metabolic syndrome (MS) and a high inflammatory state are risk factors for atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the combined effect of MS and a high inflammatory state on AF is still unknown. We aimed to investigate the association of MS and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (hs-CRP) levels with the risk of AF in a large community-based population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 81,092 subjects from the Kailuan Study with electrocardiogram examination and hs-CRP data at baseline (1st examination, 2006-2007) were included in this study. The enrolled population was divided into 4 groups according to the presence or absence of metabolic syndrome and high hs-CRP (>3 mg/L). The follow-up examinations were performed every two years (2nd examination, 2008-2009; 3rd examination, 2010-2011; 4th examination, 2012-2013; 5th examination, 2014-2015). All participants were followed until the occurrence of AF or the date of the last examination. After a mean time of 7.2 ± 2.0 years, a total of 271 individuals developed incident AF. MS or high hs-CRP alone was not associated with incident AF after multivariable adjustment. However, multiple Cox regression analysis showed that subjects with MS and hs-CRP > 3 mg/L had a greater risk for AF than those without MS and with hs-CRP ≤ 3 mg/L (hazard ratio, 1.61; 95% confidence interval 1.08-2.41; P = 0.019).

CONCLUSION

MS combined with a high hs-CRP level is associated with an increased risk for AF in the Chinese population. However, the mechanism is unknown and awaits further study. TRIAL REGISTRATION SITE: http://www.chictr.org.cn/index.aspx.

REGISTRATION NUMBER

ChiCTR-TNRC-11001489.

Atrial fibrillation in low- and middle-income countries: a narrative review

Preventing premature non-communicable disease mortality necessitates a thorough review of one of the most important risk factors for stroke, which is atrial fibrillation (AF). The latter and AF-related stroke are still considered to be problems of high-income countries and are frequently overlooked in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs). In this narrative review, we provide an overview of studies that evaluated at least one of the following determinants of AF burden in LMICs: current epidemiology and trends, stroke prevention, health outcomes, and economic burden. Studies focusing on samples close to the general population (including community- and primary care-based samples) indicate sex-specific prevalence rates up to 7.4% in LMICs. Although AF prevalence is still higher in high-income countries than LMICs, the gap in AF burden between these two groups has been reducing in the past three decades. Oral anticoagulant (OAC) therapy for stroke prevention is underused in LMICs, and there are little data on OAC therapy in relation to stroke risk scores, such as CHA2DS2-VASc. Available data also points to higher morbidity and mortality for patient with AF in LMICs than their counterparts in high-income countries. Data on the consequent economic burden in LMICs is scarce, but it is reasonable to consider it will follow the same trend as that observed for health outcomes. Raising the visibility of AF as a public health problem in LMICs is necessary as a first step to providing adequate care for patients with this condition.

A research agenda for ageing in China in the 21st century (2nd edition): Focusing on basic and translational research, long-term care, policy and social networks

One of the key issues facing public healthcare is the global trend of an increasingly ageing society which continues to present policy makers and caregivers with formidable healthcare and socio-economic challenges. Ageing is the primary contributor to a broad spectrum of chronic disorders all associated with a lower quality of life in the elderly. In 2019, the Chinese population constituted 18 % of the world population, with 164.5 million Chinese citizens aged 65 and above (65+), and 26 million aged 80 or above (80+). China has become an ageing society, and as it continues to age it will continue to exacerbate the burden borne by current family and public healthcare systems. Major healthcare challenges involved with caring for the elderly in China include the management of chronic non-communicable diseases (CNCDs), physical frailty, neurodegenerative diseases, cardiovascular diseases, with emerging challenges such as providing sufficient dental care, combating the rising prevalence of sexually transmitted diseases among nursing home communities, providing support for increased incidences of immune diseases, and the growing necessity to provide palliative care for the elderly. At the governmental level, it is necessary to make long-term strategic plans to respond to the pressures of an ageing society, especially to establish a nationwide, affordable, annual health check system to facilitate early diagnosis and provide access to affordable treatments. China has begun work on several activities to address these issues including the recent completion of the of the Ten-year Health-Care Reform project, the implementation of the Healthy China 2030 Action Plan, and the opening of the National Clinical Research Center for Geriatric Disorders. There are also societal challenges, namely the shift from an extended family system in which the younger provide home care for their elderly family members, to the current trend in which young people are increasingly migrating towards major cities for work, increasing reliance on nursing homes to compensate, especially following the outcomes of the 'one child policy' and the 'empty-nest elderly' phenomenon. At the individual level, it is important to provide avenues for people to seek and improve their own knowledge of health and disease, to encourage them to seek medical check-ups to prevent/manage illness, and to find ways to promote modifiable health-related behaviors (social activity, exercise, healthy diets, reasonable diet supplements) to enable healthier, happier, longer, and more productive lives in the elderly. Finally, at the technological or treatment level, there is a focus on modern technologies to counteract the negative effects of ageing. Researchers are striving to produce drugs that can mimic the effects of 'exercising more, eating less', while other anti-ageing molecules from molecular gerontologists could help to improve 'healthspan' in the elderly. Machine learning, 'Big Data', and other novel technologies can also be used to monitor disease patterns at the population level and may be used to inform policy design in the future. Collectively, synergies across disciplines on policies, geriatric care, drug development, personal awareness, the use of big data, machine learning and personalized medicine will transform China into a country that enables the most for its elderly, maximizing and celebrating their longevity in the coming decades. This is the 2nd edition of the review paper (Fang EF et al., Ageing Re. Rev. 2015).

Detection rate and treatment gap for atrial fibrillation identified through screening in community health centers in China (AF-CATCH): A prospective multicenter study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is underdiagnosed and especially undertreated in China. We aimed to investigate the prevalence of unknown and untreated AF in community residents (≥65 years old) and to determine whether an education intervention could improve oral anticoagulant (OAC) prescription.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We performed a single-time point screening for AF with a handheld single-lead electrocardiography (ECG) in Chinese residents (≥65 years old) in 5 community health centers in Shanghai from April to September 2017. Disease education and advice on referral to specialist clinics for OAC treatment were provided to all patients with actionable AF (newly detected or undertreated known AF) at the time of screening, and education was reinforced at 1 month. Follow-up occurred at 12 months. In total, 4,531 participants were screened (response rate 94.7%, mean age 71.6 ± 6.3 years, 44% male). Overall AF prevalence was 4.0% (known AF 3.5% [n = 161], new AF 0.5% [n = 22]). The 183 patients with AF were older (p < 0.001), taller (p = 0.02), and more likely to be male (p = 0.01), and they had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular disease than those without AF (p < 0.001). In total, 85% (155/183) of patients were recommended for OAC treatment by the established guidelines (CHA2DS2-VASc ≥ 2 for men; ≥ 3 for women). OAC prescription rate for known AF was 20% (28/138), and actionable AF constituted 2.8% of all those screened. At the 12-month follow-up in 103 patients (81% complete), despite disease education and advice on specialist referral, only 17 attended specialist clinics, and 4 were prescribed OAC. Of those not attending specialist clinics, 71 chose instead to attend community health centers or secondary hospital clinics, with none prescribed OAC, and 15 had no review. Of the 17 patients with new AF and a class 1 recommendation for OAC, only 3 attended a specialist clinic, and none were prescribed OAC. Of the 28 AF patients taking OAC at baseline, OAC was no longer taken in 4. Ischemic stroke (n = 2) or death (n = 3) occurred in 5/126 (4%), with none receiving OAC. As screening was performed at a single time point, some paroxysmal AF cases may have been missed; thus, the rate of new AF may be underestimated.

CONCLUSIONS

We demonstrated a noticeable gap in AF detection and treatment in community-based elderly Chinese: actionable AF constituted a high proportion of those screened. Disease education and advice on specialist referral are insufficient to close the gap. Before more frequent or intensive screening for unknown AF could be recommended in China, greater efforts must be made to increase appropriate OAC therapy in known AF to prevent AF-related stroke.

Current status and factors influencing oral anticoagulant therapy among patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation in Jiangsu province, China: a multi-center, cross-sectional study

Background

It has been reported that oral anticoagulation (OAC) is underused among Chinese patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). Non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants (NOAC) have been recommended by recent guidelines and have been covered since 2017 by the Chinese medical insurance; thus, the overall situation of anticoagulant therapy may change. The aim of this study was to explore the current status of anticoagulant therapy among Chinese patients with NVAF in Jiangsu province.

Methods

This was a multi-center, cross-sectional study that was conducted in seven hospitals from January to September in 2017. The demographic characteristics and medical history of the patients were collected by questionnaire and from the medical records. Multivariate logistic regression was used to identify factors associated with anticoagulant therapy.

Results

A total of 593 patients were included in the analysis. A total of 35.6% of the participants received OAC (11.1% NOAC and 24.5% warfarin). Of those patients with a high risk of stroke, 11.1% were on NOAC, 24.8% on warfarin, 30.6% on aspirin, and 33.6% were not on medication. Self-paying, duration of AF ≥5 years were negatively associated with anticoagulant therapy in all patients (OR 1.724, 95% CI 1.086~2.794; OR 1.471, 95% CI 1.006~2.149, respectively), whereas, permanent AF was positively associated with anticoagulant therapy (OR 0.424, 95% CI 0.215~0.839). Among patients with high risk of stroke, self-paying and increasing age were negatively associated with anticoagulant therapy (OR 2.305, 95% CI 1.186~4.478; OR 1.087, 95% CI 1.041~1.135, respectively).

Conclusions

Anticoagulant therapy is positively associated with permanent AF and negatively associated with self-paying, duration of AF > 5 years. Furthermore, the current status of anticoagulant therapy among Chinese patients with NVAF in Jiangsu province does not appear optimistic. Therefore, further studies should focus on how to improve the rate of OAC use among NVAF patients. In addition, policy makers should pay attention to the economic situation of the patients with NVAF using NOAC.

Trial registration

2,017,029. Registered 20 March 2017 (retrospectively registered).

Estimated stroke risk, yield, and number needed to screen for atrial fibrillation detected through single time screening: a multicountry patient-level meta-analysis of 141,220 screened individuals

BACKGROUND

The precise age distribution and calculated stroke risk of screen-detected atrial fibrillation (AF) is not known. Therefore, it is not possible to determine the number needed to screen (NNS) to identify one treatable new AF case (NNS-Rx) (i.e., Class-1 oral anticoagulation [OAC] treatment recommendation) in each age stratum. If the NNS-Rx is known for each age stratum, precise cost-effectiveness and sensitivity simulations can be performed based on the age distribution of the population/region to be screened. Such calculations are required by national authorities and organisations responsible for health system budgets to determine the best age cutoffs for screening programs and decide whether programs of screening should be funded. Therefore, we aimed to determine the exact yield and calculated stroke-risk profile of screen-detected AF and NNS-Rx in 5-year age strata.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

A systematic review of Medline, Pubmed, and Embase was performed (January 2007 to February 2018), and AF-SCREEN international collaboration members were contacted to identify additional studies. Twenty-four eligible studies were identified that performed a single time point screen for AF in a general ambulant population, including people ≥65 years. Authors from eligible studies were invited to collaborate and share patient-level data. Statistical analysis was performed using random effects logistic regression for AF detection rate, and Poisson regression modelling for CHA2DS2-VASc scores. Nineteen studies (14 countries from a mix of low- to middle- and high-income countries) collaborated, with 141,220 participants screened and 1,539 new AF cases. Pooled yield of screening was greater in males across all age strata. The age/sex-adjusted detection rate for screen-detected AF in ≥65-year-olds was 1.44% (95% CI, 1.13%-1.82%) and 0.41% (95% CI, 0.31%-0.53%) for <65-year-olds. New AF detection rate increased progressively with age from 0.34% (<60 years) to 2.73% (≥85 years). Neither the choice of screening methodology or device, the geographical region, nor the screening setting influenced the detection rate of AF. Mean CHA2DS2-VASc scores (n = 1,369) increased with age from 1.1 (<60 years) to 3.9 (≥85 years); 72% of ≥65 years had ≥1 additional stroke risk factor other than age/sex. All new AF ≥75 years and 66% between 65 and 74 years had a Class-1 OAC recommendation. The NNS-Rx is 83 for ≥65 years, 926 for 60-64 years; and 1,089 for <60 years. The main limitation of this study is there are insufficient data on sociodemographic variables of the populations and possible ascertainment biases to explain the variance in the samples.

CONCLUSIONS

People with screen-detected AF are at elevated calculated stroke risk: above age 65, the majority have a Class-1 OAC recommendation for stroke prevention, and >70% have ≥1 additional stroke risk factor other than age/sex. Our data, based on the largest number of screen-detected AF collected to date, show the precise relationship between yield and estimated stroke risk profile with age, and strong dependence for NNS-RX on the age distribution of the population to be screened: essential information for precise cost-effectiveness calculations.

Cross-sectional Association Between Blood Pressure Status and Atrial Fibrillation in an Elderly Chinese Population

OBJECTIVE

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and hypertension are prevalent chronic disease conditions in the elderly population. In the present cross-sectional study, we investigated the association between blood pressure (BP) and AF in an elderly Chinese population.

METHOD

Our elderly (≥65 years) subjects were residents recruited from 6 communities in Shanghai from 2006 to 2017. Atrial fibrillation was systematically screened by rest 12-lead electrocardiogram (ECG) or by a handheld single-lead ECG. BP status was defined according to the European hypertension guidelines as optimal, normal, or high-normal BP, and stage 1, 2, or 3 hypertension.

RESULT

In the 6,966 participants (women 56.0%, mean age: 72.3 years), the prevalence of AF was 3.3%, and the prevalence of hypertension was 58.7% (83.7% treated). In all participants, the association with prevalent AF was negative for systolic BP (odds ratio [OR] per 10-mm Hg increase 0.79, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 0.71-0.88, P < 0.0001) but positive for diastolic BP (OR per 5-mm Hg increase 1.11, 95% CI: 1.02-1.22, P = 0.02). In untreated participants (n = 3,544), the association with prevalent AF was U-shaped for both systolic and diastolic BP, with the nadir at high-normal BP and a significantly higher risk of prevalent AF in optimal systolic BP (OR: 3.11, 95% CI: 1.65-5.85, P = 0.004) and stage 2 or 3 diastolic hypertension relative to the nadir (OR: 8.04, 95% CI: 2.28-28.3, P = 0.001).

CONCLUSION

In the elderly population, BP shows a complicated relationship with prevalent AF, with high-normal BP at the lowest risk and optimal systolic BP and stage 2 or 3 diastolic hypertension at increased risks.

Cohort Study of Repeated Measurements of Serum Urate and Risk of Incident Atrial Fibrillation

Background Current evidence on the association between serum urate and risk of atrial fibrillation ( AF ) is limited by cross-sectional designs and 1-time measurement of serum urate. The roles of serum urate, gout-related inflammation, and systemic inflammation in the etiology of AF are currently unknown. This gap is important, given that systemic inflammation is a recognized risk factor for AF . Methods and Results We conducted a prospective cohort study of 123 238 Chinese patients from 2006 to 2014. Serum urate concentrations were measured in 2006, 2008, 2010, and 2012. Incident AF cases were identified via biennial 12-lead ECG assessment. We used a Cox proportional hazards model to examine the sex-specific associations of cumulative average serum urate and changes in serum urate accounting for baseline level with risk of incident AF . We also assessed the joint associations of serum urate and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein levels. Comparing extreme categories, participants with the highest quintile of serum urate had 1.91-fold higher risk of AF (adjusted hazard ratio: 1.91; 95% CI, 1.32-2.76; P=0.001 for trend). Participants with both high serum urate and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein had 2.6-fold elevated risk of incident AF compared with those with normal levels of serum urate and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein (adjusted hazard ratio: 2.63; 95% CI, 1.63-4.23). Conclusions High serum urate levels and increases in serum urate over time were associated with increased risk of incident AF . Patients with high levels of both serum urate and high-sensitivity C-reactive protein had substantially higher risk of AF .

Total cholesterol variability and risk of atrial fibrillation: A nationwide population-based cohort study

Background

Long-term variability of cardiometabolic risk factors have been suggested as the risk factors for cardiovascular disease and mortality. However, the effect of long-term variability of total cholesterol (TC) on incident atrial fibrillation (AF) has not been examined.

Methods and findings

We explored whether visit-to-visit TC variability are associated with the risk of incident AF in 160,165 Korean adults, using the population-based Korean National Health Insurance Service–Health Screening Cohort (NHIS-HEALS) database, over a median duration of 8.4 years. TC variability was measured as coefficients of variance (TC-CV), standard deviation (TC-SD), and variability independent of the mean (TC-VIM). Kaplan–Meier analysis demonstrated a decreased disease-free probability in the highest quartile group of TC variability compared to that in the other groups. In the multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, the risk of AF increased significantly in the highest quartile group of TC variability. After multivariate adjustment for confounding variables including mean TC levels, the hazard ratio for incident AF was 1.15 (95% confidence interval 1.05–1.25; P = 0.0035) when comparing the highest with the lowest TC variability quartile (TC-CV). These relationships were consistent with TC variability defined using TC-SD or TC-VIM. Subgroup analyses, including age, sex, body mass index, and cardiometabolic disorders, showed similar results.

Conclusions

The present study is the first to demonstrate that high TC variability was associated with an increased risk of AF.

Prevalence and risk factors for atrial fibrillation and its anticoagulant requirement in adults aged ≥40 in Jimma Town, Southwest Ethiopia: A community based cross-sectional study

BACKGROUND

There is no information on the prevalence and incidence of atrial fibrillation in Ethiopia. We aimed to investigate the prevalence, risk factors and anticoagulant requirements of atrial fibrillation in an elderly Jimma population.

METHODS

In a community-based cross-sectional study in 634 adult (≥40 years) Jimma population, we performed cardiovascular health examinations including a 12-lead electrocardiogram to estimate AF prevalence. A standardized questionnaire was used to collect information on medical history, lifestyle and use of medications. Stroke risk stratification was done using CHA2DS2-VASc score. We used logistic regressions to determine the potential risk factors of AF.

RESULTS

The overall prevalence of AF was 4.3%. AF was associated with sex, current smoking, hypertension and BMI. Nineteen out of twenty seven participants with AF were in need of anticoagulation to prevent risk of stroke.

CONCLUSION

The prevalence of AF is high and common risk factors were sex, current smoking, hypertension, and higher BMI in this cohort. More than two-third of study participants with AF were at higher need of oral anticoagulants.

The Disease Burden of Atrial Fibrillation in China from a National Cross-sectional Survey

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common type of arrhythmia, which is a significant public health issue. We aimed to determine the disease burden of AF in China. We used a recent national survey with stratified multistage random sampling from general Chinese population to estimate the AF disease burden, which enrolled 34,994 people aged 35 years or older all over China. The AF patients were detected by electrocardiogram during the survey or medical history taking. The quality of life in AF patients was assessed by a questionnaire similar to EQ-5D to estimate the weight of disability. Disability-adjusted life years was then calculated by adding years of life lost to years lived with disability. Overall, 31,230 samples were included in the final analysis, the weighted prevalence of AF in the Chinese population aged 35 years or older was 0.71%. Thirty-four percent of AF patients were newly diagnosed in the survey and unaware of their pathological condition beforehand. The prevalence of AF significantly increased with age. The health-related quality of life was impaired in Chinese AF patients with an overall utility value of 0.53. The total disability-adjusted life years of Chinese AF patient is estimated to be 665,400. In conclusion, the disease burden of AF in the general Chinese population was a significant public health issue in China.

Hyperuricemia is associated with atrial fibrillation prevalence in very elderly - a community based study in Chengdu, China

Hyperuricemia is a risk factor for cardiovascular diseases. However, in very elderly, the relationship between hyperuricemia and the prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) is not clear. This study aimed to investigate hyperuricemia and the risk of AF in community very elderly. In this cross-sectional study, 1056 very elderly in community were enrolled. Serum uric acid (SUA) were measured and rest 12-lead electrocardiogram was performed. Multiple logistic regression models were used to explore risk factors for AF in very elderly. Finally, 1038 participants were included in analysis and the mean age of the study participants were 83.6 ± 3.4 years (age range 80–100 years). The mean SUA level was 350.1 ± 84.5 µmol/L. The estimated prevalence of AF was 5.3%, and there was no significant sex difference (5.8% for men and 4.8% for women, p = 0.401). Multiple logistic regression found that participants with hyperuricemia (SUA >416 µmol/L in men and >357 µmol/L in women) had a higher risk (odds ratio: 2.080, 95% confidence interval: 1.103–4.202, P = 0.007) of suffering AF in very elderly Chinese. In conclusion, AF is relatively frequent in this community very elderly Chinese in Chengdu. Hyperuricemia is associated with the prevalence of AF in general very elderly.

Data on prevalence of atrial fibrillation and its association with stroke in low-, middle-, and high-income regions of China

Data presented in this article are supplementary material to our research article entitled " Prevalence of Atrial Fibrillation in Different Socioeconomic Regions of China and Its Association with Stroke: Results from a National Stroke Screening Survey" (Wang et al., 2018) [1]. This data article summarizes previous studies of Atrial Fibrillation (AF) prevalence in China, and estimates the association between AF and stroke in different socioeconomic regions of China through a national survey.

Optimal Thromboprophylaxis in Elderly Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (ChiOTEAF) registry: protocol for a prospective, observational nationwide cohort study

INTRODUCTION

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a worldwide healthcare burden that is associated with the ageing population. Elderly patients with AF with multiple comorbidities usually present with a high risk of thromboembolism and bleeding. Limited prospective data are available from Asian cohorts on the epidemiology and complications of AF. The present prospective cohort study aims to explore contemporary antithrombotic strategies among the elderly Chinese population in the new era of non-vitamin K antagonist oral anticoagulants and to compare the clinical characteristics and outcomes between Chinese and European AF populations.

METHODS AND ANALYSIS

The Optimal Thromboprophylaxis in Elderly Chinese Patients with Atrial Fibrillation (ChiOTEAF) registry will recruit 5000 patients with AF over 65 years of age in China. AF-related risks, including stroke/systemic thromboembolism and bleeding outcomes, will be assessed. Medical history, risk factors, demographic information and management will be collected at baseline, and clinical events during 1 year follow-up will be recorded. Follow-up will be conducted for at least 1 year and then annually thereafter. As our registry has a common protocol to the European Society of Cardiology EURObservational Research Programme AF general registry programme, preplanned analyses comparing the clinical profiles and outcomes will be performed. The ChiOTEAF registry offers an opportunity to provide a better understanding of the clinical profiles and adverse outcomes of patients with AF in China and allow for comparisons with a contemporary European population.

ETHICS AND DISSEMINATION

Ethics approval was granted by the Central Medical Ethic Committee of Chinese PLA General Hospital (approval no S2014-065-01). The (inter)national research presentations, peer-reviewed publications and media coverage of the research will be sued for dissemination of the results.

Survey of Antithrombotic Treatment in Rural Patients (>60 years) with Atrial Fibrillation in East China

The prevalence and antithrombotic treatment of atrial fibrillation (AF) in Chinese rural population is not well known. The aim of this study was to investigate the extent to which antithrombotic treatment was prescribed for rural AF patients >60 years. We identified 828 AF patients from 36734 rural residents >60 years in Shanghai China. Our data indicated the overall prevalence rate of AF was 2.3% in rural population >60 years in East China and 38.9% of AF patients underwent antithrombotic therapy, including warfarin (5.9%), aspirin (29.6%), clopidogrel (2.9%) and aspirin combined with clopidogrel (0.5%). Of enrolled subjects, 98.4% had CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥1, 72.0% had HAS-BLED score <3 and 59.2% had CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥2 with HAS-BLED score <3. Missing early detection (34.9%), delay in seeking treatment for asymptomatic AF (25.5%) and doctors’s incomplete inform of AF-related risk of stroke to patients (21.7%) were three dominant causes for failing anticoagulant usage. In conclusion, most AF patients were with a high risk of thrombosis and a low risk of bleeding in China, but a large majority of them failed to take anticoagulants mainly for missing an early screening of AF and lack of awareness on AF for both patients and primary care physicians.

CHA2DS2-VASc score as a predictor of long-term cardiac outcomes in elderly patients with or without atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The CHA2DS2-VASc score is often used for stroke risk stratification in atrial fibrillation (AF) patients. However, its usefulness in patients ≥75 years of age with or without AF is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to investigate whether the CHA2DS2-VASc score can predict ischemic stroke (IS), transient ischemic attack, thromboembolism (TE), and mortality in elderly patients with and without AF.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

During 2013-2014, 1,071 patients (36.3% with concomitant AF) at least 75 years old were enrolled, and the follow-up ended on July 15, 2017. Variables included sociodemographic characteristics, complications, drugs taken, laboratory results, and echocardiographic parameters. The primary end points were IS, transient ischemic attack, and TE, expressed as IS/TE. All-cause mortality was a secondary end point. Survival curves and mortality risks were assessed via Kaplan-Meier survival analysis and compared by log-rank tests.

RESULTS

The average follow-up duration was 2.57±1.37 years. Overall, 167 patients (5.6%) died and 77 (7.2%) developed IS/TE. The CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with IS/TE in patients 75 years or older with and without AF, and patients with a CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥5 had a higher risk of stroke. However, the CHA2DS2-VASc score was not related to all-cause mortality.

CONCLUSION

The CHA2DS2-VASc score can predict IS/TE, but not mortality, in elderly patients (≥75 years) with or without AF.

Epidemiology of atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The most common type of arrhythmia in the USA and in European countries is atrial fibrillation (AF). The prevalence of AF is increasing worldwide with advances in technology, better prediction methods and increased awareness among healthcare professionals and patients.

METHODS

This article summarises the literature on the epidemiology of AF worldwide according to continents, age and ethnicity/race, and also includes the prevalence of AF in stroke patients.

RESULTS

In Australia, Europe and the USA, the current estimated prevalence of AF is about between 1% and 4%, with lower prevalence evident in Asia (0.49%-1.9%). AF prevalence is highest among Whites. In Western Europe, Australia and North America 70% of people with AF are aged >65 years, whereas the average age of AF patients in other geographical regions is often lower.

CONCLUSIONS

Although the prevalence of AF worldwide is increasing steadily, large variation can be seen between studies and countries. Further epidemiological studies should be undertaken globally, especially in Asian and African countries so that a better and more accurate picture of the incidence and prevalence of AF can be captured, to enable stroke prevention strategies to be appropriately implemented to prevent or reduce the risk of stroke, the most severe consequence of AF.

Association between modifiable lifestyle and the prevalence of atrial fibrillation in a Chinese population: Based on the cardiovascular health score

Background

The Cardiovascular Health (CVH) Score was comprised of a series of modifiable lifestyle and health factors, which was published by American Heart Association in 2010. Its relationship with atrial fibrillation (AF) remains unclear.

Hypothesis

Individuals with a higher CVH Score had a lower risk of AF.

Methods

Participants ≥40 years of age were recruited from the Jidong community. Information regarding the following 7 CVH metrics, including smoking, body mass index, diet, physical activity, total cholesterol, and fasting blood glucose, were collected. AF was confirmed with a standard 12‐lead electrocardiography or based on the patients' medical histories. A multivariable logistic regression model was used to evaluate the relationship between ideal CVH and AF prevalence.

Results

This study included 4477 individuals, among whom 48 had AF (1.07%). Overall, participants with higher ideal components scores had a lower risk of AF (odds ratio [OR]: 0.78; 95% confidence intervals [CI]: 0.62‐0.97; P trend = 0.024). Subgroup analyses showed that the trend was consistent in the male participants ages 40 to 60 years. Moreover, patients with 5 to 7 ideal components or 3 to 4 ideal components were associated with 57% and 59% reduced risks for AF, respectively. We also detected a significant association between ideal health factors and the prevalence of AF (OR: 0.79; 95% CI: 0.68‐0.93; P = 0.004).

Conclusions

Ideal health behavior and factors are associated with lower prevalence of AF in a community‐based population. Improving healthy behavior and these factors may be beneficial to decrease the prevalence of AF.

Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation: The Australian and Asia-Pacific Perspective

The epidemic of atrial fibrillation (AF) is increasingly recognised as a growing health problem worldwide. Although epidemiological studies on AF in the Asia-Pacific region are scarce, given the increasing age and size of populations in this region, the burden of AF is expected to be far greater than in North America and Europe. This is not only due to the growing, ageing population but also an increased incidence of risk factors for AF, such as hypertension, obesity, metabolic syndrome and diabetes, in the Asia-Pacific region. While further, high quality data on such aspects as risk factors, racial disparities and clinical implications is urgently required, there is an immediate need for increased focus on appropriate stroke prophylaxis and risk factor management to minimise the clinical complications and societal burden of AF.

The Global Burden of Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke: A Systematic Review of the Clinical Epidemiology of Atrial Fibrillation in Asia

BACKGROUND

Our previous review reported great variability in the incidence and prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) in non-Western cohorts, especially from Asian countries; in recent years, epidemiologic studies on AF have been increasingly reported from Asia.

METHODS

The goal of this updated systematic review was to present the current knowledge base of AF epidemiology in Asian countries since our previous review. We also explored AF incidence and the risk of stroke in AF by using a meta-analysis, with I² testing the heterogeneity. Third, "real-world" antithrombotic drug use for ischemic stroke (IS) prevention associated with AF was studied.

RESULTS

A total of 58 articles from eight countries in Asia were included in the analysis. The summary annual incidence of AF was 5.38 (95% CI, 4.53-6.24; I² = 99.5%; n = 10) per 1,000 person-years, and the IS annual risk in AF was 3.0% (1.60%-4.95%; I² = 99.8%; n = 8) when meta-analysis was performed on hospital- and community-based studies. Hospital- and community-based AF prevalence ranged from 0.37% to 3.56% and 2.8% to 15.8%, respectively. IS prevalence in AF ranged from 1.9% to 6.0% and 0.36% to 28.3% in community- and hospital-based studies. Warfarin use in Chinese subjects is relatively low (1.0%-4.1%) compared with Japanese subjects (49.1%-70.0%) in community-based studies. The rate of warfarin use was < 50% in hospital-based studies.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence and prevalence of AF have increased in recent years, although great variability still exists in Asian countries. Variability in annual IS risk in patients with AF was apparent between hospital- and community-based studies. However, the rate of warfarin use was < 50% in hospital studies from Asian countries.

Primary and Secondary Stroke Prevention Using Left Atrial Appendage Closure with Watchman Devices in Atrial Fibrillation Patients: A Single Center Experience from Mainland China

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with increased stroke risk resulting from cardiac embolism of the left atrial appendage (LAA). Stroke tends to recur in NVAF patients. Yet safety and feasibility of secondary stroke preventions with LAA closure (LAAC) have not been assessed in detail. This retrospective study was designed to compare the feasibility and safety of LAAC in primary and secondary stroke preventions, in a real-world setting of Chinese patients.

METHODS

From 2014 to 2015, non-valvular AF patients with CHA2DS2-VASc ≥1 were selected for percutaneous LAAC operations. Outcome observations of primary and secondary stroke preventions with Watchman devices were analyzed and compared.

RESULTS

Overall, 122 patients were included. LAAC with Watchman devices were attempted in 115 patients, of whom 68 were for primary stroke prevention and 47 were for secondary prevention. Both the CHA2DS2-VASc score and the HASBLED score were significantly higher in the secondary prevention group (4.09 ± 1.06 vs. 1.93 ± 1.09 for CHA2DS2-VASc and 1.83 ± 1.03 vs. 1.26 ± 0.87 for HASBLED, P < 0.01). In both groups LAAC were achieved with high successful rate (98.53% in the primary prevention group and 100% in the secondary prevention group, P > 0.05) and low complication rates. The stroke rates were at a low level in both groups (1.47% in primary prevention group vs. 2.13% in secondary prevention group, P > 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In our initial single-center experience, percutaneous LAA closure was a feasible and safe procedure for both primary and secondary stroke preventions in Chinese patients with nonvalvular AF.

The effect of SIRT1 gene polymorphisms on ambulatory blood pressure of hypertensive patients in the Kazakh population

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of silent information regulator 1 (SIRT1) gene polymorphisms on ambulatory blood pressure in hypertensive patients.

METHODS

Three hundred forty hypertensive patients were recruited from January 2013 to January 2015. SIRT1 Tag single-nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs; rs2273773, rs4746720, and rs7896005) were genotyped using a PCR-direct sequencing method, and the association between the SIRT1 gene SNPs and ambulatory blood pressure was analyzed.

RESULTS

After adjusting for confounding factors, patients with the rs2273773/CT+CC genotypes had lower 24-h systolic and diastolic blood pressures; there were no associations between rs4746720 and rs7896005 genotypes and blood pressure.

CONCLUSION

The SIRT1 gene polymorphism (rs2273773) is significantly associated with ambulatory blood pressure level in Han Chinese patients with hypertension.