Renal function estimation and Cockroft-Gault formulas for predicting cardiovascular mortality in population-based, cardiovascular risk, heart failure and post-myocardial infarction cohorts: The Heart 'OMics' in AGEing (HOMAGE) and the high-risk myocardial infarction database initiatives

Renal function modifies the association between hemoconcentration and outcomes in hospitalized heart failure patients

Evidence-based management of decongestion is lacking in hospitalized heart failure (HHF) patients, especially in patients with impaired renal function. Hemoconcentration is an objective measure of decongestion that portends a favorable prognosis and guides management in HHF patients with preserved renal function. We aim to investigate whether it remains a prognosticator in patients with renal impairment, and to refine the identification of subpopulations who will benefit from hemoconcentration-guided therapy. HHF patients admitted to Heart Failure Center of Fuwai Hospital were consecutively included from December 2006 to June 2018. Patient characteristics were depicted. Relationships between in-hospital hemoconcentration, worsening renal function (WRF), and one-year all-cause mortality were investigated in the total population and compared between renal function groups using survival analysis and cubic splines, with a special focus on renal function-based interactions. The association was further validated in sensitivity analyses. Clinically relevant cut-offs and subpopulations were identified by subpopulation treatment effect pattern plots (STEPP) and subgroup analysis. 3661 participants (30.4% with impaired renal function) were included. Hemoconcentration, reflected by an in-hospital increase in hemoglobin, hematocrit, or a relative reduction in estimated plasma volume from baseline to discharge, was predictive of decreased one-year mortality in the total cohort despite its correlation with higher WRF incidence. The prognostic value of hemoconcentration differed in patients with impaired and preserved renal function. Hemoconcentration was related to a favorable prognosis in patients with preserved renal function (HR, 0.69; 95% CI, 0.53-0.90; P = 0.007), especially in young male patients with New York Heart Association functional class III-IV, reduced ejection fraction, and baseline eGFR > 75 mL/min/1.73m2. Contrarily, impaired renal function patients experienced a higher incidence of WRF, and hemoconcentration was no longer related to outcome (HR, 0.90; 95% CI, 0.64-1.26; P = 0.545), with findings consistent in all clinically relevant subgroups. In HHF patients, the prognostic value of hemoconcentration differs by renal function, and the clinical utility of hemoconcentration is contingent on preserved renal function.

Impact of New eGFR Equations on Risk Assessment In Patients Undergoing Transcatheter Aortic Valve Implantation

BACKGROUND

Recently, the Chronic Kidney Disease-Epidemiology Collaboration working group has published new formulas for race-independent estimation of glomerular filtration rate (GFR). We investigated the old and new eGFR equations in patients transcatheter aortic valve implantation (TAVI).

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis based on the data from a prospective registry of patients who underwent TAVI from January 2008 to May 2019. The primary endpoint was 30-day mortality after TAVI, and the secondary endpoints included one- and three-year mortality.

RESULTS

In total, 1792 patients undergoing TAVI were included in the present analysis. The thirty-day mortality was 4.6 % (95 % CI 3.8-5.7 %), and the one- and three-year mortality were 17.5 % (95 % CI 15.7-19.4 %) and 34.4 % (95 % CI 32.0-37.0 %). After the application of the new eGFR formula, 12.0 % of patients were reclassified within the GFR category in CKD, while 13.2 % of patients were reclassified within the GFR categories of the EuroSCORE II. Hazard ratios for 30-day, one-year, and three-year mortality increased after introduction of the new creatine-based eq. (1.51, 1.52, 1.49 vs. 1.87, 1.79, 1.74, respectively). Compared to the old equation, the new eGFR <60 ml/min/1.73 m² had a better discrimination ability for the 30-day mortality (Harell's C: 0.563 (95 % CI 0.518-0.608) vs, 0.583 (95 % CI 0.546-0.636); delta Harell's C, 0.031 ± 0.022, p < 0.001). Similar findings were consistently observed in the cystatin creatinine-based equations.

CONCLUSIONS

The application of the new race-independent estimators of GFR results in the reassessment of renal function in a significant proportion of TAVI patients and may influence the risk stratification of this population.

Deep phenotype characterization of hypertensive response to exercise: implications on functional capacity and prognosis across the heart failure spectrum

AIMS

Limited evidence is available regarding the role of hypertensive response to exercise (HRE) in heart failure (HF). We evaluated the systolic blood pressure (SBP) to workload slope during exercise across the HF spectrum, investigating haemodynamic and prognostic correlates of HRE.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We prospectively enrolled 369 patients with HF Stage C (143 had preserved [HFpEF], and 226 reduced [HFrEF] ejection fraction), 201 subjects at risk of developing HF (HF Stages A-B), and 58 healthy controls. We performed a combined cardiopulmonary exercise stress echocardiography testing. We defined HRE as the highest sex-specific SBP/workload slope tertile in each HF stage. Median SBP/workload slope was 0.53 mmHg/W (interquartile range 0.36-0.72); the slope was 39% steeper in women than men (p < 0.0001). After adjusting for age and sex, SBP/workload slope in HFrEF (0.47, 0.30-0.63) was similar to controls (0.43, 0.35-0.57) but significantly lower than Stages A-B (0.61, 0.47-0.75) and HFpEF (0.63, 0.42-0.86). Patients with HRE showed significantly lower peak oxygen consumption and peripheral oxygen extraction. After a median follow-up of 16 months, HRE was independently associated with adverse outcomes (all-cause mortality and hospitalization for cardiovascular reasons: hazard ratio 2.05, 95% confidence interval 1.81-5.18), while rest and peak SBP were not. Kaplan-Meier analysis confirmed a worse survival probability in Stages A-B (p = 0.005) and HFpEF (p < 0.001), but not HFrEF.

CONCLUSION

A steeper SBP/workload slope is associated with impaired functional capacity across the HF spectrum and could be a more sensitive predictor of adverse events than absolute SBP values, mainly in patients in Stages A-B and HFpEF.

Prevalence and risk factors of chronic kidney disease among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus at a tertiary care hospital in Nepal: a cross-sectional study

OBJECTIVE

To estimate the prevalence of chronic kidney disease (CKD) among patients with type 2 diabetes mellitus (T2DM) and determine the sociodemographic and clinical risk factors associated with CKD.

DESIGN AND SETTINGS

Cross-sectional study among diabetic outpatients of a tertiary hospital in Nepal.

PARTICIPANTS

201 patients with T2DM above 18 years of age.

INTERVENTION

Participants completed a questionnaire regarding their socioeconomic information and underwent pertinent physical and haematological examinations.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOMES MEASURE

The prevalence and risk factors of CKD among patients with T2DM.

RESULTS

The prevalence of CKD in T2DM was 86.6%. In univariable analysis, the variables like age (p=0.026), hypertension status (p=0.002), duration of diabetes (p=0.009) and haemoglobin levels (p=0.027) were significantly associated with CKD among the participants with T2DM. Kruskal-Wallis H test showed that age was significantly different between various CKD stages. Multivariate analysis demonstrated a significant relationship between CKD with age (Adjusted odds ratio (AOR) 3, 95% CI 1.1 to 8.8) and literacy status (AOR 5.8, 95% CI 1.4 to 24.6) CONCLUSION: Advancing age, concomitant hypertension, increasing duration of T2DM and presence of anaemia were found to be important risk factors of CKD. Age is the most important predictor of CKD showing increasing prevalence in the elderly population. Periodic screening tests are essential at an early age to identify kidney diseases at incipient stages, thereby preventing progression to end-stage renal disease.

Renal Assessment in Acute Cardiorenal Syndrome

Cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is a complex, heterogeneous spectrum of symptoms that has kept cardiologists awake for decades. The heart failure (HF) population being burdened with multimorbidity poses diagnostic and therapeutic challenges even for experienced clinicians. Adding deteriorated renal function to the equation, which is one of the strongest predictors of adverse outcome, we measure ourselves against possibly the biggest problem in modern cardiology. With the rapid development of new renal assessment methods, we can treat CRS more effectively than ever. The presented review focuses on explaining the pathophysiology, recent advances and current practices of monitoring renal function in patients with acute CRS. Understanding the dynamic interaction between the heart and the kidney may improve patient care and support the selection of an effective and nephroprotective treatment strategy.

Steroidal MRA Across the Spectrum of Renal Function: A Pooled Analysis of RCTs

BACKGROUND

Mineralocorticoid receptor antagonists (MRAs) are underused in patients with kidney dysfunction, and their efficacy among patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) is uncertain.

OBJECTIVES

The goal of this study was to analyze the efficacy and safety of steroidal MRAs across the spectrum of estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs) in randomized controlled trials. The study included patients with heart failure (HF) or myocardial infarction and advanced CKD who participated in the RALES (Randomized Aldactone Evaluation Study), EMPHASIS-HF (Eplerenone in Mild Patients Hospitalization and Survival Study in Heart Failure), TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure With an Aldosterone Antagonist) in the Americas, and EPHESUS (Eplerenone Post-AMI Heart Failure Efficacy and Survival Study) trials.

METHODS

This study used individual patient data meta-analysis using Cox models stratified by trial with treatment-by-eGFR interaction terms. eGFR was recalculated by using the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration creatinine formula.

RESULTS

A total of 12,700 patients were included, of whom 331 (2.6%) had an eGFR ≤30 mL/min/1.73 m² (mean eGFR: 26.8 ± 3.2 mL/min/1.73 m²). Patients with advanced CKD had higher annualized event rates for all studied outcomes: placebo event rate for the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization was ∼3-fold higher in patients with eGFR ≤30 compared with those with eGFR >90 mL/min/1.73 m²: 41.6 vs 14.6 events per 100 person-years. MRAs (vs placebo) reduced the composite of cardiovascular death or HF hospitalization, but the effect was attenuated as eGFR decreased: the corresponding HRs by eGFR categories were: HR for >90 mL/min/1.73 m²: 0.62 (95% CI: 0.49-0.78); HR for 61-90 mL/min/1.73 m²: 0.69 (95% CI: 0.61-0.77); HR for 46-60 mL/min/1.73 m²: 0.84 (95% CI: 0.74-0.95); HR for 31-45 mL/min/1.73 m²: 0.79 (95% CI: 0.68-0.91); and HR for ≤30 mL/min/1.73 m²: 0.96 (95% CI: 0.70-1.32) (treatment-by-eGFR interaction P for trend = 0.033). Investigator-reported hyperkalemia and worsening renal function were more frequent (2- to 3-fold) among MRA users, and hyperkalemia was more frequent as eGFR decreased (treatment-by-eGFR interaction P for trend = 0.002).

CONCLUSIONS

Steroidal MRAs reduced HF hospitalizations and mortality across a wide range of eGFR. However, declining benefit and worsening safety may limit their use in patients with lower eGFR, particularly those with levels ≤30 mL/min/1.73 m².

Comparing and contrasting risk factors for heart failure in patients with and without history of myocardial infarction: data from HOMAGE and the UK Biobank

AIMS

Myocardial infarction (MI) is among the commonest attributable risk factors for heart failure (HF). We compared clinical characteristics associated with the progression to HF in patients with or without a history of MI in the HOMAGE cohort and validated our results in UK Biobank.

METHODS AND RESULTS

During a follow-up of 5.2 (3.5-5.9) years, 177 (2.4%) patients with prior MI and 370 (1.92%) patients without prior MI experienced HF onset in the HOMAGE cohort (n = 26 478, history of MI: n = 7241). Older age, male sex and higher heart rate were significant risk factors of HF onset in patients with and without prior MI. Lower renal function was more strongly associated with HF onset in patients with prior MI. Higher body mass index (BMI), systolic blood pressure and blood glucose were significantly associated with HF onset only in patients without prior MI (all p for interactions <0.05). In the UK Biobank (n = 500 001, history of MI: n = 4555), higher BMI, glycated haemoglobin, diabetes and hypertension had a stronger association with HF onset in participants without prior MI compared to participants with MI (all p for interactions <0.05).

CONCLUSION

The importance of clinical risk factors associated with HF onset is dependent on whether the patient has had a prior MI. Diabetes and hypertension are associated with new-onset HF only in the absence of MI history. Patients may benefit from targeted risk management based on MI history.

Comparison of four equations for estimation of glomerular filtration rate in predicting cardiovascular events and subclinical vascular disease in patients with type-2 diabetes

AIMS

Chronic kidney disease (CKD), defined by a low glomerular filtration rate (GFR), is a predictor of cardiovascular disease in patients with type-2 diabetes (T2D). We aimed to compare four GFR equations in predicting future cardiovascular events in T2D and the presence of subclinical vascular disease.

METHODS

Four equations were used to estimate GFR in asymptomatic T2D patients consulting our centre for cardiovascular assessment. Follow-up was performed to collect cardiovascular events. Cox proportional hazard ratio (HR) was used to build and compare prediction models, and the incremental value of the addition of GFR with any of the 4 formulas was evaluated. The ability to triage patients with and without CVD events according to GFR were assessed by comparing the receiver operator characteristics (ROC) curves with the 4 models.

RESULTS

Among 829 asymptomatic T2D patients, the CKD prevalence was 20.2% for Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD), 17.3% for Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI), 20.7% for Lund-Malmö Revised (LMR) and 21.4% for Full Age Spectrum (FAS). All the estimated GFRs were well correlated from one formula to another, with stronger agreement to define CKD (GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m²) between MDRD and CKD-EPI, and between LMR and FAS. The 5-year incidence of cardiovascular events was 8% (n = 63). After adjustment on covariables, CKD was significantly associated with cardiovascular events when defined by MDRD (HR = 2.04; 1.15-3.60) and CKD-EPI (HR = 1.90; 1.05-3.41) but missed statistical significance when using LMR (HR = 1.74; 0.97-3.14) or FAS (HR = 1.71; 0.94-3.14). Only the prediction models including MDRD and CKD-EPI provided a significant incremental information to the predictive model without GFR, but the area under the ROC curves were similar with the 4 models: 0.60 [0.54-0.68] for MDRD, 0.61 [0.49-0.65] for CKD-EPI and 0.62 [0.55-0.69] for LMR and FAS, without any significant difference among formulas.

CONCLUSION

In asymptomatic T2D patients, MDRD and CKD-EPI may be preferable when more specificity is desired (stronger association between GFR and CVD events), while LMR and FAS appear more sensitive by including a higher number of patients with GFR <60 mL/min/1.73 m².

Blood and Urine Biomarkers Predicting Worsening Kidney Function in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes Post-Acute Coronary Syndrome: An Analysis from the EXAMINE Trial

INTRODUCTION

Worsening kidney function (WKF) is frequent among patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) and a recent acute coronary syndrome (ACS) and is associated with a poor prognosis. An accurate prediction of WKF is clinically important.

AIMS

Using data from the Cardiovascular Outcomes Study of Alogliptin in Patients with Type 2 Diabetes and Acute Coronary Syndrome trial including patients with T2D and a recent ACS, and a large biomarker panel incorporating proteins measured both in blood and urine, we aim to determine those with best performance for WKF prediction.

METHODS

WKF was defined as a ≥40% estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) drop from baseline, eGFR <15 mL/min, or dialysis. Mixed-effects and time-updated Cox models were used.

RESULTS

5,131 patients were included from whom 222 (4.3%) developed at least one WKF episode over a median follow-up of 18 months. Patients who developed WKF were more frequently women, had longer diabetes duration, a more frequent heart failure history, higher anemia prevalence, and impaired kidney function. In multivariable models including all variables (clinical and biomarkers) independently associated with WKF with a p value ≤0.0001, blood kidney injury molecule 1 (KIM-1) was (by far) the variable with strongest WKF association, followed by anemia. KIM-1 alone provided good discrimination for WKF prediction (area under the curve = 0.73). Patients in the high KIM-1-derived risk tertile had a 6.7-fold higher risk of any WKF than patients classified as low risk. In time-updated Cox models, the occurrence of WKF was independently associated with a higher risk of death: adjusted hazard ratio = 4.93 (3.06-7.96), p value <0.0001.

CONCLUSION

Blood KIM-1 was the biomarker with the strongest association with WKF. The occurrence of WKF was independently associated with a higher risk of subsequent cardiovascular events and mortality.

The Prognostic Impact of Estimated Creatinine Clearance by Bioelectrical Impedance Analysis in Heart Failure: Comparison of Different eGFR Formulas

The estimation of glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) provides prognostic information in patients with heart failure (HF). Bioelectrical impedance analysis may calculate eGFR (Donadio formula). The aim of this study was to evaluate the impact of the Donadio formula in predicting all-cause mortality in patients with HF as compared to Cockroft-Gault, MDRD-4 (Modification of Diet in renal Disease Study), and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) formulas. Four-hundred thirty-six subjects with HF (52% men; mean age 75 ± 11 years; 42% acute HF) were enrolled. Ninety-two patients (21%) died during the follow-up (median 463 days, IQR 287-669). The area under the receiver operator characteristic curve for eGFR, as estimated by Cockroft-Gault formula (AUC = 0.75), was significantly higher than those derived from Donadio (AUC = 0.72), MDRD-4 (AUC = 0.68), and CKD-EPI (AUC = 0.71) formulas. At multivariate analysis, all eGFR formulas were independent predictors of death; 1 mL/min/1.73 m² increase in eGFR-as measured by Cockroft-Gault, Donadio, MDRD-4, and CKD-EPI formulas-provided a 2.6%, 1.5%, 1.2%, and 1.6% increase, respectively, in mortality rate. Conclusions. eGFR, as calculated with the Donadio formula, was an independent predictor of mortality in patients with HF as well as the measurements derived from MDRD4 and CKD-EPI formulas, but less accurate than Cockroft-Gault.

Prognostic value of glomerular function estimated by Cockcroft-Gault creatinine clearance, MDRD-4, CKD-EPI and European Kidney Function Consortium equations in patients with acute coronary syndromes

BACKGROUND

It remains unknown which equation used to assess the glomerular function is better for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome (ACS).

METHODS

This study included 3985 patients with ACS. Glomerular function was assessed using 4 equations: the Cockcroft-Gault creatinine clearance (C-G_CrCl), Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 (MDRD-4), Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) and European Kidney Function Consortium (EKFC) equations. The primary outcome was one-year all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

For each 30 ml/min decrement, the adjusted hazard ratio [HR] with 95% confidence interval [CI] for one-year mortality was 1.67 [1.27-2.25] for C-G_CrCl, 1.45 [1.16-1.81] for MDRD-4, 1.76 [1.35-2.30] for CKD-EPI and 1.94 [1.44-2.63] for EKFC equation. Area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) for one-year mortality was 0.748 [0.709-0.788] for C-G_CrCl, 0.670 [0.621-0.718] for estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) calculated by MDRD-4 equation, 0.725 [0.684-0.765] for eGFR calculated by CKD-EPI equation and 0.741 [0.703-0.779] for eGFR calculated by EKFC equation (P = 0.342 for C-G_CrCl, vs. EKFC equation and P ≤ 0.009 for all other AUC comparisons).

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with ACS, C-G_CrCl and EKFC equations showed a similar discriminatory power regarding prediction of one-year mortality. Both equations were better than MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI equations for risk discrimination for mortality.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT01944800.

Red cell distribution width in patients with diabetes and myocardial infarction: An analysis from the EXAMINE trial

AIM

To determine the clinical correlates of increased red blood cell distribution width (RDW), its potential mechanistic association with multiple circulating biomarkers, and its prognostic value in patients with type 2 diabetes (T2D) who had a recent acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS

We used time-updated Cox models applied to patients enrolled in the Examination of Cardiovascular Outcomes with Alogliptin versus Standard of Care (EXAMINE) trial.

RESULTS

A total of 5380 patients were included, the median age was 61 years and 32% were women. Patients with higher RDW were older, more frequently women, with a longer diabetes duration and increased co-morbidities. An RDW of more than 16.1% (both baseline and time-updated) was independently associated with the study primary composite outcome of non-fatal myocardial infarction, non-fatal stroke or cardiovascular death (time-updated adjusted HR = 1.36, 95% CI = 1.16-1.61, p < .001), all-cause death (time-updated adjusted HR = 2.01, 95% CI = 1.60-2.53, p < .001), as well as mortality from non-cardiovascular causes (time-updated adjusted HR = 2.67, 95% CI = 1.72-4.15, p < .001). RDW had a weak-to-moderate correlation with haemoglobin and circulating markers that reflected inflammation, apoptosis, fibrosis and congestion. Alogliptin did not alter RDW values.

CONCLUSIONS

RDW is a marker of disease severity associated with a multitude of poor outcomes, including both cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular death. RDW correlated modestly with inflammatory, pro-apoptotic, pro-fibrotic and congestion markers, and its levels were not affected by alogliptin during the course of the trial.

Predictive Value of Creatinine-based Equations of Kidney Function in the Long-term Prognosis in United Arab Emirates Patients

Objectives

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is an independent predictor of mortality. Several creatinine-based equations are used to assess the estimated glomerular filtration rate or creatinine clearance and mortality prediction in various ethnic populations. Similarly, renal insufficiency is associated with poor prognosis of UAE nationals with cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk factors. However, the equation that best assesses prognosis among these patients is unknown. This study aimed to compare the prognostic abilities of different creatinine-based kidney function equations for predicting all-cause mortality in UAE nationals with vascular comorbidities.

Methods

This retrospective observational study analyzed 1186 patients (54.0% men) with CVD risk factors. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was used to evaluate the associations of categorical renal function stages with all-cause mortality. Measures of performance in each equation assessed with respect to all-cause mortality were evaluated and compared to the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equation by calculating the C-index, net reclassification index (NRI), and integrated discrimination index.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 8.9 years, the cumulative incidence of all-cause mortality was 9.4% (n = 112). After multivariable adjustment, the discriminative ability for all-cause mortality was significantly higher in the body surface area-adjusted Cockcroft-Gault (BSA-CG) formula than in the CKD-EPI equation (C-indices: 0.869 vs. 0.861, respectively, p = 0.037). NRI was significantly positive and favored the BSA-CG formula (0.54; 95% confidence interval: 0.35–0.64) compared to the CKD-EPI equation.

Conclusions

Our findings suggest that the BSA-CG equation may have the potential to slightly improve mortality prediction compared to the CKD-EPI equation in UAE nationals with vascular risk. Further large multicenter studies are warranted to confirm our findings.

A polyphenol-rich dietary pattern improves intestinal permeability, evaluated as serum zonulin levels, in older subjects: The MaPLE randomised controlled trial

BACKGROUND & AIM

Increased intestinal permeability (IP) can occur in older people and contribute to the activation of the immune system and inflammation. Dietary interventions may represent a potential strategy to reduce IP. In this regard, specific food bioactives such as polyphenols have been proposed as potential IP modulator due to their ability to affect several critical targets and pathways that control IP. The trial aimed to test the hypothesis that a polyphenol-rich dietary pattern can decrease serum zonulin levels, an IP surrogate marker involved in tight junction modulation, and can beneficially alter the intestinal microbiota, and IP-associated biochemical and clinical markers in older subjects.

METHODS

A randomised, controlled, cross-over intervention trial was performed. Sixty-six subjects (aged ≥ 60 y) with increased IP based on serum zonulin levels, were randomly allocated to one of the two arms of the intervention consisting of a control diet (C-diet) vs. a polyphenol-rich diet (PR-diet). Each intervention was 8-week long and separated by an 8-week wash out period. At the beginning and at the end of each intervention period, serum samples were collected for the quantification of zonulin and other biological markers. Faecal samples were also collected to investigate the intestinal microbial ecosystem. In addition, anthropometrical/physical/biochemical parameters and food intake were evaluated.

RESULTS

Fifty-one subjects successfully completed the intervention and a high compliance to the dietary protocols was demonstrated. Overall, polyphenol intake significantly increased from a mean of 812 mg/day in the C diet to 1391 mg/day in the PR-diet. Two-way analysis of variance showed a significant effect of treatment (p = 0.008) and treatment × time interaction (p = 0.025) on serum zonulin levels, which decreased after the 8-week PR-diet. In addition, a treatment × time interaction was observed showing a reduction of diastolic blood pressure (p = 0.028) following the PR-diet, which was strongest in those not using antihypertensive drugs. A decrease in both diastolic (p = 0.043) and systolic blood pressure (p = 0.042) was observed in women. Interestingly, a significant increase in fibre-fermenting and butyrate-producing bacteria such as the family Ruminococcaceae and members of the genus Faecalibacterium was observed following the PR intervention. The efficacy of this dietary intervention was greater in subjects with higher serum zonulin at baseline, who showed more pronounced alterations in the markers under study. Furthermore, zonulin reduction was also stronger among subjects with higher body mass index and with insulin resistance at baseline, thus demonstrating the close interplay between IP and metabolic features.

CONCLUSIONS

These data show, for the first time, that a PR-diet can reduce serum zonulin levels, an indirect marker of IP. In addition, PR-diet reduced blood pressure and increased fibre-fermenting and butyrate-producing bacteria. These findings may represent an initial breakthrough for further intervention studies evaluating possible dietary treatments for the management of IP, inflammation and gut function in different target populations. THIS STUDY WAS REGISTERED AT WWW.ISRCTN.

ORG AS

ISRCTN10214981.

Reassessment of kidney function equations in predicting long-term survival in cardiac surgery

BACKGROUND/OBJECTIVES

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a risk factor for long-term survival in cardiac surgery. The Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) study, CKD Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI), revised Lund-Malmö (LM), and full age spectrum equations are used to estimate glomerular filtration rates (eGFR), but each have advantages and disadvantages. Our objective was to determine which equation better predicts long-term survival.

METHODS

Data on 1492 consecutive patients who underwent isolated off-pump coronary artery bypass surgery between September 1996 and December 2008 were prospectively collected. Preoperative and postoperative eGFR were calculated using the five equations and compared using Cox regression analyses and time-dependent receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curves at 10 years.

RESULTS

In a Cox regression model after correction for significant predictors of long-term mortality, adjusted hazard ratios (HR) for one standard deviation increase in preoperative eGFR were 0.661 (P < .0001), 0.844 (P = .0166), 0.787 (P = .0002), 0.746 (P < .0001), and 0.717 (P < .0001) for the CG, MDRD, CKD-EPI, LM, and FAS equations, respectively. The areas under the time-dependent ROC curve at 10 years also showed that the CG formula has a better predictive value. Postoperative eGFR at discharge were also significant predictors of long-term mortality (HR = 0.603, P < .0001; HR = 0.725, P < .0001; HR = 0.688, P < .0001; HR = 0.673, P < .0001; HR = 0.632, P < .0001 for the CG, MDRD, CKD-EPI, LM, and FAS equations, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The CG formula was shown to better predict survival in cardiac surgery, though the FAS equation has a comparable prognostic value. Additionally, postoperative eGFR at discharge also predicted long-term survival.

Prognostic of different glomerular filtration rate formulas in patients receiving percutaneous coronary intervention: insights from a multicenter observational cohort

Background

The relationships of renal dysfunction (RD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD) with prognosis have been well established among non-ST elevation acute coronary syndrome (NSTE-ACS) patients who receive percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI), but the efficacy of different estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) formulas for predicting the prognosis is unknown.

Methods

The cohort originated from a retrospective data, which consecutively enrolled 8197 patients. The eGFR was calculated by the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD), CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-creatinine, CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-Cys-C, CKD Epidemiology Collaboration-Cys-C-creatinine and a modified abbreviated MDRD (c-aGFR) equations in Chinese CKD patients. Patients were excluded if the eGFR could not be obtained by one of the formulas. Patients were categorized as having normal renal function, mild RD, moderate RD, severe RD, or kidney failure to compare prognosis. The primary outcome was the in-hospital net adverse clinical events (NACE). The secondary outcomes were NACE and all-cause death during follow-up.

Results

In total, 2159 NSTE-ACS patients (age: 64.23 ± 10.25 years; males: 73.7%) were enrolled. 39 (1.8%) patients with in-hospital NACE were observed. During the 3.23 ± 1.55-year follow-up, 1.7% death and 4.2% NACE were observed in 1 year. The percentage of severe RD patients ranged from 15.4 to 39.2% according to different calculation formulas. A high prevalence of in-hospital NACE was observed in the severe RD groups (ranging from 8 to 14.3% for different formulas). Multiple regression analysis showed that a high eGFR is a protect factor against NACE and all-cause death regardless of the formula use. Receiver operating characteristic curves showed similar predictive performance of the c-aGFR when compared to other formulas (in-hospital NACE: AUC = 0.612, follow-up NACE: AUC = 0.622, and follow-up death: AUC = 0.711).

Conclusions

Severe RD results in a high prevalence of in-hospital NACE in NSTE-ACS patients after PCI regardless of the formulas use. Different formulas have a similar ability to predict in-hospital and long-term prognosis in NSTE-ACS patients. The c-aGFR formula is the simplest and a more convenient formula for use in practice.

Associations of Reservoir-Excess Pressure Parameters Derived From Central and Peripheral Arteries With Kidney Function

BACKGROUND

Central artery reservoir-excess pressure parameters are clinically important but impractical to record directly. However, diastolic waveform morphology is consistent across central and peripheral arteries. Therefore, peripheral artery reservoir-excess pressure parameters related to diastolic waveform morphology may be representative of central parameters and share clinically important associations with end-organ damage. This has never been determined and was the aim of this study.

METHODS

Intra-arterial blood pressure (BP) waveforms were measured sequentially at the aorta, brachial, and radial arteries among 220 individuals (aged 61 ± 10 years, 68% male). Customized software was used to derive reservoir-excess pressure parameters at each arterial site (reservoir and excess pressure, systolic and diastolic rate constants) and clinical relevance was determined by association with estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR).

RESULTS

Between the aorta and brachial artery, the mean difference in the diastolic rate constant and reservoir pressure integral was -0.162 S-1 (P = 0.08) and -0.772 mm Hg s (P = 0.23), respectively. The diastolic rate constant had the strongest and most consistent associations with eGFR across aortic and brachial sites (β = -0.20, P = 0.02; β = -0.20, P = 0.03, respectively; adjusted for traditional cardiovascular risk factors). Aortic, but not brachial peak reservoir pressure was associated with eGFR in adjusted models (aortic β = -0.48, P = 0.02).

CONCLUSIONS

The diastolic rate constant is the most consistent reservoir-excess pressure parameter, in both its absolute values and associations with kidney dysfunction, when derived from the aorta and brachial artery. Thus, the diastolic rate constant could be utilized in the clinical setting to improve BP risk stratification.

Safety and Efficacy of Direct Oral Anticoagulants for Atrial Fibrillation in Patients with Renal Impairment

Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) are gaining popularity for patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF) for stroke prevention. Less bleeding risk with comparable stroke prevention compared to warfarin was shown. DOACs have predictable anticoagulant effects, infrequent monitoring requirements and less drug-food interactions compared to warfarin. However, safety and efficacy data of DOACs in patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) are limited. This is a retrospective study to evaluate thromboembolic and bleeding events in patients with AF (with/without CKD) in October 2010 and July 2017. A total of 495 patients were included and only 150 patients had CKD. Our study found that patients with renal impairment on a DOAC do not have a higher incidence of bleeding events. It showed significant increase in thromboembolic events in CKD patients with dabigatran compared to CKD patients with apixaban with odds ratio of 6.58 (95%CI 1.35-32.02, p = 0.02).

Cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular death distinction: the utility of troponin beyond N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide. Findings from the BIOSTAT-CHF study

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) patients are at high-risk of cardiovascular (CV) events, including CV death. Nonetheless, a substantial proportion of these patients die from non-CV causes. Identifying patients at higher risk for each individual event may help selecting patients for clinical trials and tailoring cardiovascular therapies. The aims of the present study are to: (i) characterize patients according to CV vs. non-CV death; (ii) develop models for the prediction of the respective events; (iii) assess the models' performance to differentiate CV from non-CV death.

METHODS AND RESULTS

This study included 2309 patients with HF from the BIOSTAT-CHF (a systems BIOlogy Study to TAilored Treatment in Chronic Heart Failure) study. Competing-risk models were used to assess the best combination of variables associated with each cause-specific death. Results were validated in an independent cohort of 1738 HF patients. The best model to predict CV death included low blood pressure, estimated glomerular filtration rate ≤ 60 mL/min, peripheral oedema, previous HF hospitalization, ischaemic HF, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, elevated N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP), and troponin (c-index = 0.73). The non-CV death model incorporated age > 75 years, anaemia and elevated NT-proBNP (c-index = 0.71). Both CV and non-CV death rose by quintiles of the risk scores; yet these models allowed the identification of patients in whom absolute CV death rates clearly outweigh non-CV death ones. These findings were externally replicated, but performed worse in a less severely diseased population.

CONCLUSIONS

Risk models for predicting CV and non-CV death allowed the identification of patients at higher absolute risk of dying from CV causes (vs. non-CV ones). Troponin helped in predicting CV death only, whereas NT-proBNP helped in the prediction of both CV and non-CV death. These findings can be useful both for tailoring therapies and for patient selection in HF trials in order to attain CV event enrichment.

P2Y12 inhibitors in acute coronary syndrome patients with renal dysfunction: an analysis from the RENAMI and BleeMACS projects

Aims

The aim of the present study was to establish the safety and efficacy profile of prasugrel and ticagrelor in real-life acute coronary syndrome (ACS) patients with renal dysfunction.

Methods and results

All consecutive patients from RENAMI (REgistry of New Antiplatelets in patients with Myocardial Infarction) and BLEEMACS (Bleeding complications in a Multicenter registry of patients discharged with diagnosis of Acute Coronary Syndrome) registries were stratified according to estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) lower or greater than 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Death and myocardial infarction (MI) were the primary efficacy endpoints. Major bleedings (MBs), defined as Bleeding Academic Research Consortium bleeding types 3 to 5, constituted the safety endpoint. A total of 19 255 patients were enrolled. Mean age was 63 ± 12; 14 892 (77.3%) were males. A total of 2490 (12.9%) patients had chronic kidney disease (CKD), defined as eGFR &lt;60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Mean follow-up was 13 ± 5 months. Mortality was significantly higher in CKD patients (9.4% vs. 2.6%, P &lt; 0.0001), as well as the incidence of reinfarction (5.8% vs. 2.9%, P &lt; 0.0001) and MB (5.7% vs. 3%, P &lt; 0.0001). At Cox multivariable analysis, potent P2Y12 inhibitors significantly reduced the mortality rate [hazard ratio (HR) 0.82, 95% confidence interval (CI) 0.54–0.96; P = 0.006] and the risk of reinfarction (HR 0.53, 95% CI 0.30–0.95; P = 0.033) in CKD patients as compared to clopidogrel. The reduction of risk of reinfarction was confirmed in patients with preserved renal function. Potent P2Y12 inhibitors did not increase the risk of MB in CKD patients (HR 1.00, 95% CI 0.59–1.68; P = 0.985).

Conclusion

In ACS patients with CKD, prasugrel and ticagrelor are associated with lower risk of death and recurrent MI without increasing the risk of MB.

Association of diabetes and kidney function according to age and systolic function with the incidence of sudden cardiac death and non-sudden cardiac death in myocardial infarction survivors with heart failure

AIMS

An implantable cardioverter-defibrillator (ICD) is recommended for reducing the risk of sudden cardiac death (SCD) in myocardial infarction (MI) patients with a left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF) ≤ 30%, as well as patients with a LVEF ≤ 35% and heart failure symptoms. Diabetes and/or impaired kidney function may confer additional SCD risk. We assessed the association between these two risk factors with SCD and non-SCD among MI survivors taking account of age and LVEF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

A total of 17 773 patients from the High-Risk MI Database were evaluated. Overall, diabetes and estimated glomerular filtration rate < 60 mL/min/1.73 m² , individually and together, conferred a higher risk of SCD [adjusted competing risk: hazard ratio (HR) 1.23, 1.23, and 1.32, respectively; all P < 0.03] and non-SCD (HR 1.34, 1.52, and 2.13, respectively; all P < 0.0001). Annual SCD rates in patients with LVEF > 35% and with diabetes, impaired kidney function, or both (2.0%, 2.5% and 2.7%, respectively) were comparable to rates observed in patients with LVEF 30-35% but no such risk factors (1.7%). However, these patients had also similarly higher non-SCD rates, such that the ratio of SCD to non-SCD was not increased. Importantly, this ratio was mostly dependent on age, with higher overall ratios in youngest subgroups (0.89 in patients < 55 years vs. 0.38 in patients ≥ 75 years), regardless of risk factors.

CONCLUSION

Although MI survivors with LVEF > 35% with diabetes, impaired kidney function, or both are at increased risk of SCD, the risk of non-SCD risk is even higher, suggesting an extension of the current indication for an ICD to them is unlikely to be worthwhile. MI survivors with low LVEF and aged < 55 years are likely to have the greatest potential benefit from ICD implantation.

Comparison of five glomerular filtration rate estimating equations as predictors of acute kidney injury after cardiovascular surgery

We aimed to compare the ability of preoperative estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR), calculated using five different equations, to predict adverse renal outcomes after cardiovascular surgery. Cohorts of 4,125 adult patients undergoing elective cardiovascular surgery were evaluated. Preoperative eGFR was calculated using the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) II, re-expressed MDRD II, Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration, and Mayo quadratic (Mayo) equations. The primary outcome was postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI), defined by Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Definition and Staging criteria based on changes in serum creatinine concentrations within 7 days. The MDRD II and Cockcroft-Gault equations yielded the highest (88.1 ± 26.7 ml/min/1.73 m²) and lowest (79.6 ± 25.5 ml/min/1.73 m²) mean eGFR values, respectively. Multivariable analysis showed that a preoperative decrease in renal function according to all five equations was independently associated with an increased risk of postoperative AKI. The area under the receiver operating characteristics curve for predicting postoperative AKI was highest for the Mayo equation (0.713). Net improvements in reclassification and integrated discrimination were higher for the Mayo equation than for the other equations. The Mayo equation was the most accurate in predicting postoperative AKI in patients undergoing cardiovascular surgery.

Data-Driven Approach to Identify Subgroups of Heart Failure With Reduced Ejection Fraction Patients With Different Prognoses and Aldosterone Antagonist Response Patterns

BACKGROUND

Patients with heart failure with reduced ejection fraction have a poor prognosis. The identification of subgroups with different outcomes and treatment response patterns may help to tailor strategies to each individual patient. We present an exploratory study of patients enrolled in the EMPHASIS-HF trial (Eplerenone in Patients With Systolic Heart Failure and Mild Symptoms) using latent class analysis with validation using the EPHESUS trial (Eplerenone, a Selective Aldosterone Blocker, in Patients With Left Ventricular Dysfunction After Myocardial Infarction) to identify subgroups of patients with different prognosis and response to eplerenone therapy.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Latent class analysis identifies mutually exclusive groups of individuals maximizing within-group similarities and between-group differences. In the EMPHASIS-HF trial, 2279 heart failure with reduced ejection fraction patients were randomized to eplerenone or placebo and were characterized according to 18 clinical features. Subgroup definitions were applied to 6472 patients enrolled in the EPHESUS trial to validate observations. Event-free survival and effect of eplerenone on the composite of cardiovascular death and heart failure hospitalization were determined for each subgroup. Four subgroups were identified with significant differences in event-free survival (P=0.002). The subgroup C had the worst event-free survival in both studies and was characterized by older age, lower body mass index, worse renal function, higher baseline potassium levels, high prevalence of anemia, diabetes mellitus, previous revascularization and higher rates of eplerenone discontinuation, and hyperkalemia during follow-up. Two subgroups (B and C) showed a poorer response to eplerenone in both studies and these groups shared common features such as lower body mass index and high prevalence of anemia. Clinical profiles, prognosis, and treatment response patterns of the 4 subgroups applied in EPHESUS trial presented similarities to those observed in EMPHASIS.

CONCLUSIONS

Using a data-driven approach, we identified heart failure with reduced ejection fraction subgroups with significantly different prognoses and potentially different responses to eplerenone. However, these data should be regarded as hypothesis-generating and prospective validation is warranted, to assess the potential clinical implications of these subgroups.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier: NCT00232180.

Medication decision-making for patients with renal insufficiency in inpatient and outpatient care at a US Veterans Affairs Medical Centre: a qualitative, cognitive task analysis

BACKGROUND

Many studies identify factors that contribute to renal prescribing errors, but few examine how healthcare professionals (HCPs) detect and recover from an error or potential patient safety concern. Knowledge of this information could inform advanced error detection systems and decision support tools that help prevent prescribing errors.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the cognitive strategies that HCPs used to recognise and manage medication-related problems for patients with renal insufficiency.

DESIGN

HCPs submitted documentation about medication-related incidents. We then conducted cognitive task analysis interviews. Qualitative data were analysed inductively.

SETTING

Inpatient and outpatient facilities at a major US Veterans Affairs Medical Centre.

PARTICIPANTS

Physicians, nurses and pharmacists who took action to prevent or resolve a renal-drug problem in patients with renal insufficiency.

OUTCOMES

Emergent themes from interviews, as related to recognition of renal-drug problems and decision-making processes.

RESULTS

We interviewed 20 HCPs. Results yielded a descriptive model of the decision-making process, comprised of three main stages: detect, gather information and act. These stages often followed a cyclical path due largely to the gradual decline of patients' renal function. Most HCPs relied on being vigilant to detect patients' renal-drug problems rather than relying on systems to detect unanticipated cues. At each stage, HCPs relied on different cognitive cues depending on medication type: for renally eliminated medications, HCPs focused on gathering renal dosing guidelines, while for nephrotoxic medications, HCPs investigated the need for particular medication therapy, and if warranted, safer alternatives.

CONCLUSIONS

Our model is useful for trainees so they can gain familiarity with managing renal-drug problems. Based on findings, improvements are warranted for three aspects of healthcare systems: (1) supporting the cyclical nature of renal-drug problem management via longitudinal tracking mechanisms, (2) providing tools to alleviate HCPs' heavy reliance on vigilance and (3) supporting HCPs' different decision-making needs for renally eliminated versus nephrotoxic medications.

Single kidney transplantation from donors with acute kidney injury: A single-center experience

INTRODUCTION

Despite a severe shortage of organ supply, patients are reluctant to accept organs from deceased donors with AKI, let alone from pediatric AKI donors.

METHODS

We assessed 70 patients who received kidneys from donors with AKI (10 with pediatric and 60 with adult donors) and 176 contemporaneous patients who received kidneys from non-AKI donors (41 with pediatric and 135 with adult donors) between March 2012 and February 2017 for retrospectively evaluating the clinical outcomes.

RESULTS

AKI was defined and staging by the RIFLE criteria and pediatric-modified RIFLE criteria. Median age was 11.00 years IQR (4.50-14.00 years), and median weight was 25.00 kg (IQR, 17.00-45.00 kg) for all pediatric donors. Median follow-up was 8 months (range, 1-49 months). Adult AKI group had the highest incidence of DGF (35.0% vs 10%, 9.8%, and 19.3%, P = 0.011). There was a significant increase in DGF in higher AKI stages (Risk: 20.7%, Injury: 46.7%, Failure: 50.0%; P = 0.014) among patients with adult donors. No significant differences were noted in 1-year (100.0%, 95.1%, 98.3%, and 97.8%; P = 0.751) and 3-year (100.0%, 95.1%, 98.3%, and 97.8%; P = 0.751) patient survival, and 1-year (90.0%, 97.6%, 98.3%, and 95.6%; P = 0.535) and 3-year (90.0%, 97.6%, 98.3%, and 95.6%; P = 0.535) graft survival.

CONCLUSION

Transplants procured from donors with AKI, particularly pediatric ones, could achieve excellent intermediate-term clinical outcomes and thus potentially expand the donor pool.

Impact of renal dysfunction on the management and outcome of acute heart failure: results from the French prospective, multicentre, DeFSSICA survey

OBJECTIVES

Cardiorenal syndrome (CRS) is the combination of acute heart failure syndrome (AHF) and renal dysfunction (creatinine clearance (CrCl) ≤60 mL/min). Real-life data were used to compare the management and outcome of AHF with and without renal dysfunction.

DESIGN

Prospective, multicentre.

SETTING

Twenty-six academic, community and regional hospitals in France.

PARTICIPANTS

507 patients with AHF were assessed in two groups according to renal function: group 1 (patients with CRS (CrCl ≤60 mL/min): n=335) and group 2 (patients with AHF with normal renal function (CrCl >60 mL/min): n=172).

RESULTS

Differences were observed (group 1 vs group 2) at admission for the incidence of chronic heart failure (56.42% vs 47.67%), use of furosemide (60.9% vs 52.91%), insulin (15.52% vs 9.3%) and amiodarone (14.33% vs 4.65%); additionally, more patients in group 1 carried a defibrillator (4.78% vs 0%), had ≥2 hospitalisations in the last year (15.52% vs 5.81%) and were under the care of a cardiologist (72.24% vs 61.63%). Clinical signs were broadly similar in each group. Brain-type natriuretic peptide (BNP) and BNP prohormone were higher in group 1 than group 2 (1157.5 vs 534 ng/L and 5120 vs 2513 ng/mL), and more patients in group 1 were positive for troponin (58.2% vs 44.19%), had cardiomegaly (51.04% vs 37.21%) and interstitial opacities (60.3% vs 47.67%). The only difference in emergency treatment was the use of nitrates, (higher in group 1 (21.9% vs 12.21%)). In-hospital mortality and the percentage of patients still hospitalised after 30 days were similar between groups, but the median stay was longer in group 1 (8 days vs 6 days).

CONCLUSIONS

Renal impairment in AHF should not limit the use of loop diuretics and/or vasodilators, but early assessment of pulmonary congestion and close monitoring of the efficacy of conventional therapies is encouraged to allow rapid and appropriate implementation of alternative therapies if necessary.

Clinical correlates and outcome associated with changes in 6-minute walking distance in patients with heart failure: findings from the BIOSTAT-CHF study

BACKGROUND

The 6-minute walk test (6MWT) is a simple and inexpensive way of measuring exercise capacity in patients with heart failure (HF) that predicts morbidity and mortality. However, there are few reports from large multicentre cohorts assessing the predictive value of baseline and changing walk distance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In BIOSTAT-CHF, a 6MWT was performed at baseline (n = 1714) and 9 months (n = 1520). Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the associations between 6MWT distance and the composite of HF hospitalization and/or death. Median follow-up was 21 months. The median (pct_25-75 ) of the 6MWT distance at baseline was 300 m (200-388 m). Independent predictors of a shorter 6MWT distance included older age, female sex, higher heart rate, New York Heart Association class III/IV, orthopnoea, ischaemic heart disease, a previous stroke, current malignancy, and higher N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (all P < 0.05). Patients in the lowest baseline 6MWT tertile (≤ 240 m) were less likely to receive guideline-recommended doses of disease-modifying therapies (P < 0.05). Compared to patients in the highest baseline 6MWT tertile (> 360 m), those in the lowest and middle tertiles had a worse prognosis [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 1.73, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.38-2.18]. Patients with a decrease in the distance walked had a worse prognosis (adjusted HR for each 50 m decrease 1.09, 95% CI 1.06-1.12). 6MWT distance was not modified by treatment up-titration nor the 6MWT improved the BIOSTAT-CHF prognostic models.

CONCLUSIONS

The 6-minute walk test distance at baseline and a decline in walking distance were both associated with worse prognosis but did not improve the prognostic models. 6MWT distance was not modified by treatment up-titration and its use for assessing the benefits of pharmacologic treatment up-titration may be limited.

Association Between Renal Dysfunction and Major Adverse Cardiac Events After Liver Transplantation: Evidence from an International Randomized Trial of Everolimus-Based Immunosuppression

Background

Prospective evidence is lacking regarding the association between renal dysfunction and cardiovascular events after liver transplantation.

Material/Methods

Data were analyzed post hoc regarding renal function and major adverse cardiac events in a two-year prospective trial of de novo liver transplant recipients randomized at 30 days post-transplant to (i) everolimus [EVR]/reduced tacrolimus [EVR/rTAC] (ii) EVR with tacrolimus discontinued [TAC Elimination] or (iii) standard tacrolimus [TAC Control].

Results

By month 24 post-transplant, 32/716 patients had experienced a first major cardiac event (4.5%): 4.1% (10/245), 2.2% (5/229) and 7.0% (17/242) of patients in the EVR/rTAC, TAC Elimination and TAC Control groups, respectively (p=0.043). The cumulative eGFR area under the curve (AUC) from randomization to month 24 was 119 706, 123 082, and 105 946 mL in the EVR/rTAC, TAC Elimination, and TAC Control groups, respectively, corresponding to a mean eGFR AUC of 82.4, 83.0, and 71.9 mL/min/1.73 m². Cox regression modeling showed that mean eGFR AUC was inversely associated with time to first major cardiac event: the hazard ratio per mL/min/1.73 m² was −0.0000015 [95% CI −0.00000078; −0.0000024] (p<0.001).

Conclusions

These findings confirm retrospective evidence that the risk of major cardiac events increases with deteriorating renal function after liver transplantation and demonstrate the need for careful cardiovascular risk management in patients with renal impairment. Immunosuppression based on everolimus with tacrolimus withdrawal, or to a lesser extent tacrolimus reduction, improves both renal function and the risk of major cardiac events compared to standard tacrolimus therapy in liver transplant recipients.

Impact of Chronic Renal Failure on Ischemic and Bleeding Events at 1 Year in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome (from the Multicenter START ANTIPLATELET Registry)

Chronic renal failure (CRF) impairs prognosis in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS); the differential impact of CRF on ischemic and bleeding events in the setting of ACS is unclear. We explored the predictive role of CRF, identified by different equations for the glomerular filtration rate estimation, on the occurrence of the composite end point, including both ischemic cardiovascular and major bleeding (major adverse cardiovascular and bleeding events [MACBE]) at 1 year, and its components. We accessed each patients data from 718 participants in the prospective, multicenter, and START ANTIPLATELET registry, performed on patients with ACS. The ability to predict the risk of MACBE was modest and similar for Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD, and CKD-EPI equations (area under the curves: 0.55, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.47 to 0.63; 0.53, 95% CI 0.45 to 0.61; 0.54, 95% CI 0.46 to 0.62; respectively, overall p = 0.63). The incidence of MACBE in patients with CRF was 12.6 versus 7.4 per 100 patients/year in those with preserved renal function (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 1.80, 1.02 to 3.20, p = 0.045); the absolute excess in events rate due to CRF was higher for ischemic events (3.5%) than for major bleeding (2.6%). The increased occurrence of MACBE was even greater in patients with CRF and concomitant anemia (OR 2.16) and in patients with severe CRF (OR 2.78). In conclusion, our study indicates that, in patients with ACS, CRF impairs the clinical outcome at 1 year, especially when severe and when is concomitant with anemia. CRF is associated with greater absolute increase of ischemic events than major bleeding.

One-year mortality of patients with ST-Elevation myocardial infarction: Prognostic impact of creatinine-based equations to estimate glomerular filtration rate

BACKGROUND

Renal dysfunction is associated with worse outcomes after primary percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI). However, whether glomerular filtration rate (GFR) estimated with various equations can equally predict outcomes after ST-Elevation Myocardial Infarction (STEMI) is still debated.

METHODS

We compared the clinical impact of 3 different creatinine-based equations (Cockcroft and Gault (CG), CKD-epidemiology (CKD-EPI) and Full Age Spectrum (FAS)) to predict 1-year mortality in STEMI patients.

RESULTS

Among 1755 consecutive STEMI patients who had undergone primary PCI included between 2006 and 2011, median estimated GFR was 79 (61;96) with the CG, 81 (65;95) with CKD-EPI and 75 (60;91) mL/min/1.73 m2 with FAS equation. Reduced GFR values were independently associated with 1-year mortality risk with the 3 equations. Receiver operating curves (ROC) of CG and FAS equations were significantly superior to the CKD-EPI equation, p = 0.03 and p = 0.01, respectively. Better prediction with FAS and CG equations was confirmed by net reclassification index.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that in STEMI patients who have undergone primary PCI, 1-year mortality is better predicted by CG or FAS equations compared to CKD-EPI.

Disparities in the Estimation of Glomerular Filtration Rate According to Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4, and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration Equations and Relation With Outcomes in Patients With Acute Coronary Syndrome

BACKGROUND

A simple method to assess renal function is the estimated glomerular filtration rate, and it shows prognostic implications. However, it remains unknown which equation should be used in patients with acute coronary syndrome. We compared the ability and correlation of the Cockcroft-Gault, Modification of Diet in Renal Disease-4 (MDRD-4), and Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (CKD-EPI) equations and their predictive performance for major adverse cardiovascular events, all-cause mortality, and major bleeding in a cohort of patients with acute coronary syndrome.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Multicenter prospective registry involving 1699 consecutive patients with acute coronary syndrome from 3 tertiary institutions. At entry, renal function was assessed using the Cockcroft-Gault, MDRD-4, and CKD-EPI-creatinine equations. During 12 months of follow-up, we recorded all major adverse cardiovascular events (composite of cardiovascular death, nonfatal myocardial infarction, and nonfatal ischemic stroke), bleeding events (Bleeding Academic Research Consortium classification), and all-cause mortality. Receiver operating characteristic curve comparisons demonstrated that Cockcroft-Gault equation had higher predictive ability compared with MDRD-4 equation for major adverse cardiovascular events (0.651 versus 0.616; P=0.023), major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.551; P=0.005), and all-cause mortality (0.754 versus 0.717; P=0.033), as well as higher predictive ability compared with CKD-EPI equation for major bleeding (0.600 versus 0.564; P=0.018). Integrated discrimination improvement and net reclassification improvement analyses showed superior discrimination and reclassification of Cockcroft-Gault equation. Decision curve analyses graphically demonstrated higher net benefit and clinical usefulness of the Cockcroft-Gault equation in comparison with MDRD-4 and CKD-EPI equations.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with acute coronary syndrome, the Cockcroft-Gault equation presented superior predictive ability for major adverse cardiovascular events, major bleeding, and all-cause mortality compared with MDRD-4 equation, and superior predictive ability for major bleeding compared with CKD-EPI equation. The Cockcroft-Gault equation also showed higher net benefit and clinical usefulness.

The impact of renal function on the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide in patients with coronary artery disease

BACKGROUND

The impact of renal function on the prognostic value of N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) remains unclear in coronary artery disease (CAD). This study sought to investigate the value of using NT-proBNP level to predict prognoses of CAD patients with different estimated glomerular filtration rates (eGFRs).

METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted from a single registered database. 2087 consecutive patients with CAD confirmed by coronary angiography were enrolled. The primary endpoint was allcause mortality.

RESULTS

The mean follow-up time was 26.4 ± 11.9 months and death events occurred in 197 cases. The NT-proBNP levels increased with the deterioration of renal function, as well as the optimal cutoff values based on eGFR stratification to predict endpoint outcome (179.4 pg/mL, 1443.0 pg/mL, 3478.0 pg/mL, for eGFR ≥ 90, 60-90 and < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively). Compared with the routine cut-off value or overall optimal one, stratified optimal ones had superior predictive ability for endpoint in each eGFR group (all with the highest Youden's J statistics). And the prognostic value became weaker as eGFR level decreased (eGFR ≥ 90 vs. 60-90 vs. < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, odds ratio [OR] 7.7; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.7-33.9 vs. OR 4.8; 95% CI 2.7-8.5 vs. OR 3.0; 95% CI 1.5-6.2).

CONCLUSIONS

This study demonstrated that NT-proBNP exhibits different predictive values for prognosis for CAD patients with different levels of renal function. Among the assessed values, the NT-proBNP cut-off value determined using renal function improve the accuracy of the prognosis prediction of CAD. Moreover, lower eGFR is associated with a higher NT-proBNP cut-off value for prognostic prediction.

Association between mean systolic and diastolic blood pressure throughout the follow-up and cardiovascular events in acute myocardial infarction patients with systolic dysfunction and/or heart failure: an analysis from the High-Risk Myocardial Infarction Database Initiative

BACKGROUND

Observational data have described the association of blood pressure (BP) with mortality as 'J-shaped', meaning that mortality rates increase below a certain BP threshold. We aimed to analyse the associations between BP and prognosis in a population of acute myocardial infarction (MI) patients with heart failure (HF) and/or systolic dysfunction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

The datasets included in this pooling initiative are derived from four trials: CAPRICORN, EPHESUS, OPTIMAAL, and VALIANT. A total of 28 771 patients were included in this analysis. Arithmetic means of all office BP values measured throughout follow-up were used. The primary outcome was cardiovascular death. The mean age was 65 ± 11.5 years and 30% were female. Patients in the lower systolic BP (SBP) quintiles had higher rates of cardiovascular death (reference: SBP 121-128 mmHg) [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) 2.49, 95% confidence interval (CI) 2.26-2.74 for SBP ≤112 mmHg, and HR 1.29, 95% CI 1.16-1.43 for SBP 113-120 mmHg]. The findings for HF hospitalization and MI were similar. However, stroke rates were higher in patients within the highest SBP quintile (reference: SBP 121-128 mmHg) (HR 1.38, 95% CI 1.11-1.72). Patients who died had a much shorter follow-up (0.7 vs. 2.1 years), less BP measurements (4.6 vs. 9.8) and lower mean BP (-8 mmHg in the last SBP measurement compared with patients who remained alive during the follow-up), suggesting that the associations of low BP and increased cardiovascular death represent a reverse causality phenomenon.

CONCLUSION

Systolic BP values <125 mmHg were associated with increased cardiovascular death, but these findings likely represent a reverse causality phenomenon.

Evaluation of Resting Cardiac Power Output as a Prognostic Factor in Patients with Advanced Heart Failure

If the heart is represented by a hydraulic pump, cardiac power represents the hydraulic function of the heart. Cardiac pump function is frequently determined through left ventricular ejection fraction using imaging. This study aims to validate resting cardiac power output (CPO) as a predictive biomarker in patients with advanced heart failure (HF). One hundred and seventy-two patients with HF severe enough to warrant cardiac transplantation were retrospectively reviewed at a single tertiary care institution between September 2010 and July 2013. Patients were initially evaluated with simultaneous right-sided and left-sided cardiac catheter-based hemodynamic measurements, followed by longitudinal follow-up (median of 52 months) for adverse events (cardiac mortality, cardiac transplantation, or ventricular assist device placement). Median resting CPO was 0.54 W (long rank chi-square = 33.6; p < 0.0001). Decreased resting CPO (<0.54 W) predicted increased risk for adverse outcomes. Fifty cardiac deaths, 10 cardiac transplants, and 12 ventricular assist device placements were documented. The prognostic relevance of resting CPO remained significant after adjustment for age, gender, left ventricular ejection fraction, mean arterial pressure, pulmonary vascular resistance, right atrial pressure, and estimated glomerular filtration rate (HR, 3.53; 95% confidence interval, 1.66 to 6.77; p = 0.0007). In conclusion, lower resting CPO supplies independent prediction of adverse outcomes. Thus, it could be effectively used for risk stratification in patients with advanced HF.