The Second Medical Research Council study of prognostic factors in nonseminomatous germ cell tumors. Medical Research Council Testicular Tumour Working Party

Prognostic factors in metastatic germ-cell cancer

Determining stage and anticipating prognosis are the two crucial steps after the diagnosis of a germ-cell cancer that both guide subsequent treatment decisions. This review focuses on metastatic disease, which means germ-cell cancers beyond stage I limited to the testis. In the past, major centers developed separate staging and prognostic classifications for metastatic germ-cell cancer, which heavily impaired communication and comparisons across clinical trials. More recently, the classification system of the International Germ-Cell Cancer Collaborative Group (IGCCCG) has found acceptance worldwide and is currently being updated.

Testicular germ cell tumours

Testicular germ cell tumours are at the crossroads of developmental and neoplastic processes. Their cause has not been fully elucidated but differences in incidences suggest that a combination of genetic and environment factors are involved, with environmental factors predominating early in life. Substantial progress has been made in understanding genetic susceptibility in the past 5 years on the basis of the results of large genome-wide association studies. Testicular germ cell tumours are highly sensitive to radiotherapy and chemotherapy and hence have among the best outcomes of all tumours. Because the tumours occur mainly in young men, preservation of reproductive function, quality of life after treatment, and late effects are crucial concerns. In this Seminar, we provide an overview of advances in the understanding of the epidemiology, genetics, and biology of testicular germ cell tumours. We also summarise the consensus on how to treat testicular germ cell tumours and focus on a few controversies and improvements in the understanding of late effects of treatment and quality of life for survivors.

Management of poor-prognosis testicular germ cell tumors

Currently, the outcome of patients with intermediate-and poor-risk germ cell tumors at diagnosis is optimized by the use of risk-appropriate chemotherapy and post-chemotherapy surgical resection of residual masses. Currently, there is no role for high-dose chemotherapy in the first-line setting. Patients who progress on first-line chemotherapy or who relapse after an initial complete response also have a poor prognosis. In the setting of early relapse, the standard approach at most centers is conventional-dose, ifosfamide-based regimens and post-chemotherapy resection of residual masses. The treatment of patients with late relapse is complete surgical resection whenever feasible. Salvage chemotherapy for late relapse may be used prior to surgery in patients where a complete resection is not feasible. A complete surgical resection of all residual sites of disease after chemotherapy is critical for the prevention of relapse and the long-term survival of patients with advanced germ cell tumors.

American Society of Clinical Oncology Clinical Practice Guideline on Uses of Serum Tumor Markers in Adult Males With Germ Cell Tumors

Purpose

To provide recommendations on appropriate uses for serum markers of germ cell tumors (GCTs).

Methods

Searches of MEDLINE and EMBASE identified relevant studies published in English. Primary outcomes included marker accuracy to predict the impact of decisions on outcomes. Secondary outcomes included proportions of patients with elevated markers and statistical tests of elevations as prognostic factors. An expert panel developed consensus guidelines based on data from 82 reports.

Results

No studies directly compared outcomes of decisions with versus without marker assays. The search identified few prospective studies and no randomized controlled trials; most were retrospective series. Lacking data on primary outcomes, most Panel recommendations are based on secondary outcomes (relapse rates and time to relapse).

Recommendations

The Panel recommended against using markers to screen for GCTs, to decide whether orchiectomy is indicated, or to select treatment for patients with cancer of unknown primary. To stage patients with testicular nonseminomas, the Panel recommended measuring three markers (α-fetoprotein [AFP], human chorionic gonadotropin [hCG], and lactate dehydrogenase [LDH]) before and after orchiectomy and before chemotherapy for those with extragonadal nonseminomas. They also recommended measuring AFP and hCG shortly before retroperitoneal lymph node dissection and at the start of each chemotherapy cycle for nonseminoma, and periodically to monitor for relapse. The Panel recommended measuring postorchiectomy hCG and LDH for patients with seminoma and preorchiectomy elevations. They recommended against using markers to guide or monitor treatment for seminoma or to detect relapse in those treated for stage I. However, they recommended measuring hCG and AFP to monitor for relapse in patients treated for advanced seminoma.

Evidence-based treatment for advanced germ cell tumor of the testis with a case illustration

Testicular germ cell tumor is rare in the Asian population. Nevertheless, it is a prototypic cancer of young adults because it can be highly malignant but is also highly curable, even at an advanced stage. We present a case with far-advanced embryonal carcinoma, treated with bleomycin, etoposide and platinum (BEP) x 4 cycles. This case has shown very good results from the treatment. This is the standard therapy for poor- and intermediate-risk patients with germ cell tumors in the advanced stage, supported by current evidence-based literature. BEP x 3 cycles or EP x 4 cycles is the standard therapy for good-risk patients with advanced germ cell tumors. Using these treatments, we can achieve durable remissions of approximately 90%, 75%, and 45% in good-, intermediate-, and poor-risk patients, respectively. However, the physical and psychological long-term outcomes should be carefully monitored.

Retroperitoneal lymph node dissection after chemotherapy

Retroperitoneal lymph node dissection after chemotherapy (PC-RPLND) plays a crucial role in managing patients with advanced germ cell tumours (GCTs). In the last few years improvements in radiographic staging, a better understanding of the role of serum tumour markers, and the introduction of cisplatin-based chemotherapy have all contributed to this surgical therapy. PC-RPLND is necessary when residual radiographic abnormalities are present after chemotherapy. The need for a PC-RPLND in the face of normal findings from computed tomography (CT) is controversial. CT criteria alone are not sufficiently reliable to distinguish viable tumour or teratoma from necrosis. No combination of variables can predict negative retroperitoneal pathology with sufficient accuracy after induction chemotherapy. Unresected teratoma or viable GCT are at least partly chemorefractory and, if untreated, will progress. So completeness of resection is an independent and consistent predictive variable of clinical outcome. In PC-RPLND surgical margins should not be compromised in an attempt to preserve ejaculation, although nerve-sparing dissections are possible in patients with marker normalization after chemotherapy and necrotic tissue in frozen-section histology. In these patients nerve-sparing techniques and the reduction of surgical field to the left- or right-sided template are applicable to preserve antegrade ejaculation and consecutive fertility. The size and location of residual masses coupled with the retroperitoneal desmoplastic reaction make PC-RPLND a technically demanding procedure that should be performed by experienced surgeons in dedicated referral centres.

Risk-adapted management for patients with clinical stage I non-seminomatous germ cell tumour of the testis

Testis cancer is the most common cancer in young men and its incidence continues to rise. Even if prognosis is considered as good, a group with bad prognosis still remains. We aimed to evaluate whether two courses of chemotherapy after orchiectomy in patients with clinical stage I, non-seminomatous germ cell testicular tumour at high risk of relapse, will spare patients additional chemotherapy or surgery. High-risk patients had one or more of the following: preorchiectomy alpha-fetoprotein level of 80 ng/dl, 80% embryonal cell carcinoma or greater, vessel invasion in the primary tumour and tumour stage pT2 or greater. Low-risk patients had none of these factors or had 50% teratoma or more without vessel invasion. High-risk patients were offered two 21-day courses of outpatient chemotherapy consisting cisplatin, etoposide and bleomycin (BEP). Low-risk patients were observed. Of the 108 patients, we classified 71 as high risk and 37 as low risk of relapse. All of the high-risk patients received two courses of BEP chemotherapy. Low-risk patients were kept on close-up. The median follow-up was 26 months (range 10-60). Of the 71 patients in high-risk group, 3 relapsed with viable cancer and required additional chemotherapy and 1 patient with normal biomarkers and a late-appearing mass underwent retroperitoneal lympadenectomy for mature teratoma. All 4 relapsed patients were in high-risk group and presently they are free of disease. None of the 37 patients at low risk of recurrences developed relapse. We recommend two courses of adjuvant chemotherapy after postorchiectomy for high-risk patients with stage I non-seminomatous germ cell tumour of the testis. Adjuvant chemotherapy for these patients results in a low relapse and morbidity, wich compares favourably with the results of surveillance or RPLND. This well-tolerated approach may spare patients additional surgery or protracted chemotherapy, reduce the cost and eliminate the compliance problems associated with intensive follow up of high-risk patients.

Evidence-based pragmatic guidelines for the follow-up of testicular cancer: optimising the detection of relapse

Testicular germ cell tumours (TGCTs) are the most common cause of cancer in men between the ages of 15 and 40 years, and, overall, the majority of patients should expect to be cured. The European Germ Cell Cancer Consensus Group has provided clear guidelines for the primary treatment of both seminoma and nonseminomatous germ cell tumours. There is, however, no international consensus on how best to follow patients after their initial management. This must promptly and reliably identify relapses without causing further harm. The standardising of follow-up would result in optimising risk-benefit ratios for individual patients, while ensuring economic use of resources. We have identified the seven common scenarios in managing seminomas and nonseminomas of the various stages and discuss the pertinent issues around relapse and follow-up. We review the available literature and present our comprehensive TGCT follow-up guidelines. Our protocols provide a pragmatic, easily accessible user-friendly basis for other centres to use or to adapt to suit their needs. Furthermore, this should enable future trials to address specific issues around follow-up giving meaningful and useful results.

Germ Cell Tumors With Sarcomatous Components

The clinicopathologic features of 46 patients with germ cell tumors with sarcomatous components (GCTSC) involving either the primary site or their metastases were studied. There were 43 men and 3 women aged 17 to 74 years. Twenty-three tumors arose in the mediastinum, 2 in the retroperitoneum, and 21 in the gonads. The germ cell component consisted of pure mature or immature teratoma (23 cases), teratoma mixed with other seminomatous or nonseminomatous components (17), pure seminoma (2), intratubular germ cell neoplasia (1), and yolk sac tumor (1). The SC included embryonal rhabdomyosarcoma (29), angiosarcoma (6), leiomyosarcoma (4), undifferentiated sarcoma (3), myxoid liposarcoma (1), malignant peripheral nerve sheath tumor (1), malignant "triton" tumor (1), and epithelioid hemangioendothelioma (1). Immunohistochemical studies were carried out in 34 cases with appropriate results supporting the diagnoses. Metastases containing both GCT and SC were observed in 6 cases, metastases of SC alone in 4, and metastases containing only GCT elements in 3. All patients were treated by cisplatinum-based chemotherapy plus other agents followed by surgery. Clinical follow-up was available in 40 patients (1 to 96 mo; mean=24 mo). Thirty-two of 40 patients either died of tumor (25/40; 62.5%) or were alive with advanced, progressive disease (7/40; 17.5%), and only 8/40 (20%) were alive and free of disease between 5 to 40 months (mean=18 mo). Comparison of these patients with an age-matched and stage-matched control group of patients with GCT without SC showed statistically significant differences in survival between the 2 cohorts (P <or=0.001). On the basis of our findings, the presence of SC appears to represent a poor prognostic sign for GCTs of gonadal and extragonadal origin.

The challenge of poor-prognosis germ cell tumors

Patients who have a poor prognosis can be identified at presentation by well-defined prognostic factors. Prognostic groups as defined by the International Germ Cell Consensus Classification should be used in the clinic, in clinical trials, and when reporting results. No systemic treatment has been shown to improve outcome compared with four cycles of chemotherapy composed of bleomycin, etoposide, and cisplatin, which remains the standard of care. Surgery to resect residual masses after chemotherapy and in the salvage setting is a vital component of optimal care. The best outcomes occur with treatment at a center with experience and expertise in their management. Further major improvements are likely to require novel systemic therapies rather than modifications of existing approaches.

Late relapse of metastatic non-seminomatous testicular germ cell tumours

Although the majority of men presenting with non-seminomatous germ cell tumours (NSGCT) are cured, late relapse (occurring more than 2 years after obtaining a complete response to treatment) is increasingly recognized. The typical patterns of disease spread have been well-documented, but the findings at late relapse are more variable and less well-described. We discuss the phenomenon of late relapse, the characteristics of teratoma differentiated (TD), and the issue of long-term imaging surveillance of patients with NSGCT. The potential sites of late relapse of NSGCT and the associated spectrum of imaging appearances are illustrated.

Malignant ovarian germ cell tumors: identification of novel prognostic markers and long-term outcome after multimodality treatment

PURPOSE

Malignant ovarian germ cell tumors are rare and knowledge about prognostic parameters currently is limited. This study was undertaken to evaluate long-term outcome of patients with malignant ovarian germ cell tumors (MOGCTs) after chemotherapy and to assess prognostic parameters.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A total of 113 patients with stage IC to IV MOGCTs were included into this retrospective study. Patients were treated at two large regional cancer centers between 1977 and 2003.

RESULTS

Ten-year recurrence-free and overall survival rates were 82% and 81%, respectively. A total of 20 patients experienced relapse, all within the first 8 years. Outcome after relapse was poor, with only 10% of patients achieving long-term survival. Univariate and multivariate analyses demonstrated that initial stage of disease (relative risk [RR], 5.96; 95% CI, 3.47 to 10.22; P = .03) and elevation of serum markers beta-human chorionic gonadotropin and alpha-fetoprotein (RR, 3.90; 95% CI, 1.40 to 10.9; P = .009) were significant predictors of overall survival, whereas age at diagnosis was of no prognostic value.

CONCLUSION

This is the first study to identify stage and tumor markers as prognostic parameters for patients with MOGCTs. This might help to select patients for risk-adapted treatment. There is need for improvement of therapeutic strategies after relapse.

Epidemiological pattern and time trends in testicular germ-cell tumors: a single institution 20-year experience

INTRODUCTION

Recent studies have suggested a rise in the incidence of testicular germ-cell tumors (TGTs) in the last years, mainly due to an increase of early stage cases. We analysed the time trends in biological features of these patients in order to confirm this tendency in our environment.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The clinical records of 136 consecutive patients with TGTs treated at a single institution over a 20-year period (1984-2003) were retrospectively reviewed. Pathological, clinical, therapeutic and outcome data were collected. Patients were allocated into four consecutive 5- year intervals and their characteristics were compared by means of the chi-squared test. The survival analysis was performed with the method of Kaplan and Meier.

RESULTS

A progressive increase in the incidence of new cases, and a more frequent diagnosis of stage I versus stage II-IV disease was confirmed within this time period. It was also observed a greater use of postorchiectomy chemotherapy, mainly due to an increase in the adjuvant indications. A significant decrease in the recurrence rate was noted. Ten-year overall survival was 86.5%. There was a trend for improved outcome, but the differences among the two decades were not statistically significant.

CONCLUSIONS

A real increase in the incidence of TGTs and in the proportion of early stages was confirmed. This may be due to an epidemiological change or to an earlier diagnosis. This new pattern is associated with a more frequent use of adjuvant chemotherapy and with a reduction in the relapse rate.

Late relapse of metastatic testicular nonseminomatous germ cell cancer: surgery is needed for cure

OBJECTIVE

To identify patients with late relapse of metastatic, nonseminomatous germ cell tumour (NSGCT) and to evaluate the patterns of relapse, treatment and outcome, as such relapse at >2 years after complete remission to treatment for metastatic disease (late relapse) is uncommon, but with prolonged follow-up is becoming increasingly recognized.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Between 1980 and 2004, 1405 patients with testicular GCTs were identified who presented to Southampton University Hospital; 742 had NSGCTs or combined testicular GCTs, of whom 405 received primary chemotherapy for metastatic disease. In all, 329 (81%) patients achieved a complete response (CR) to initial treatment, with 101 of them (31%) requiring surgical resection of residual masses after chemotherapy. Any patient relapsing at >2 years after a CR to initial treatment (late relapse) was assessed in detail.

RESULTS

In all, 20 patients had a late relapse, 17 of whom received initial treatment locally and three of whom were initially treated elsewhere. Most (65%) late relapses were asymptomatic and detected by routine cross-sectional imaging or rising levels of tumour markers. Late relapse occurred at a median (range) of 108 (26-217) months (approximately 9 years) after CR. Fifteen (75%) patients underwent only surgery for late relapse, including five who had invasive malignant germ cell cancer within the resected specimens. Fourteen of 15 surgically treated patients remained alive at a median of 44 (9-184) months from initial treatment for late relapse; one had died with progressive recurrent germ cell/epithelial malignancy. Five (25%) patients were initially treated with chemotherapy for late relapse; three of them died from progressive germ cell cancer and the two survivors both had surgical excision of residual abnormalities after salvage chemotherapy. Overall, 15 of 20 (75%) men remain alive with no evidence of disease; one further patient is currently undergoing salvage treatment for his third relapse.

CONCLUSION

Late relapse is uncommon after modern therapy for metastatic GCTs. Surgical treatment for localized disease, where possible, is associated with prolonged disease-free and overall survival. By contrast, chemotherapy is associated with a low response rate and a poor outcome.

Liver metastases in germ cell cancer: defining a role for surgery after chemotherapy

OBJECTIVE

To review the clinical course and outcome of patients with germ cell cancer and liver metastases treated at one centre, as the presence of hepatic metastases, although rare, is a poor prognostic feature in germ cell cancer.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The case records of all patients with germ cell cancer and liver metastases at presentation, and treated with chemotherapy at a medical oncology unit between 1984 and 2001, were reviewed. The treatment regimens, tumour responses and patient outcome were recorded.

RESULTS

Twenty-seven patients with germ cell cancer metastatic to the liver were identified. Complete biochemical and radiological responses were achieved in eight patients after initial chemotherapy and surgery for non-hepatic residual disease. Seven patients had only residual radiological hepatic abnormalities with normal tumour markers at the completion of initial treatment. There were no immediate hepatic resections and no further therapy was given. Serial computed tomography (CT) confirmed a progressive reduction in the size of hepatic lesions in six of seven patients. The persistence of residual hepatic abnormalities was not predictive of relapse, and overall survival of these patients (median survival 49 months, range 15-120) compared well with recent reports of such patients who have undergone hepatic resection.

CONCLUSIONS

Conservative management with regular assessment by CT is an acceptable alternative to immediate hepatic resection for patients with isolated residual radiological hepatic abnormalities on completing first-line therapy for metastatic germ cell cancer, and does not adversely affect their survival.

Risk-adapted treatment for patients with clinical stage I nonseminomatous germ cell tumor of the testis

OBJECTIVES

To evaluate whether two courses of chemotherapy after orchiectomy in patients with clinical Stage I nonseminomatous germ cell testicular tumor at high risk of relapse will spare patients additional chemotherapy or surgery.

METHODS

High-risk patients had one or more of the following: preorchiectomy alpha-fetoprotein level of 80 ng/dL or greater, 80% embryonal cell carcinoma or greater, or vessel invasion in the primary tumor. Low-risk patients had none of these factors or had 50% teratoma or more without vessel invasion. High-risk patients were offered two 21-day courses of outpatient chemotherapy consisting of carboplatin, etoposide, and bleomycin. Low-risk patients and high-risk patients not receiving chemotherapy were observed.

RESULTS

Of 99 patients, we classified 76 as high risk and 23 as low risk of relapse. All but eight of the high-risk patients received chemotherapy. No patient who underwent chemotherapy developed relapse, although 1 patient with normal biomarkers and a late-appearing mass underwent retroperitoneal lymphadenectomy for mature teratoma. Two of the 23 low-risk patients had disease relapse; both successfully underwent chemotherapy. The nonhematologic toxicity was mild in patients receiving chemotherapy, and no patient required hospitalization. The median follow-up was 38 months (range 9 to 69).

CONCLUSIONS

Two courses of postorchiectomy adjuvant chemotherapy were safe and well tolerated and markedly decreased the relapse rate in high-risk patients with clinical Stage I nonseminomatous germ cell testicular tumor without additional surgery or more protracted chemotherapy. This approach may avoid potential problems with compliance and diminish the cost of scrupulous follow-up. Our results support that surveillance for carefully selected patients at a low risk of relapse is appropriate.

Survival of patients with nonseminomatous germ cell cancer: a review of the IGCC classification by Cox regression and recursive partitioning

The International Germ Cell Consensus (IGCC) classification identifies good, intermediate and poor prognosis groups among patients with metastatic nonseminomatous germ cell tumours (NSGCT). It uses the risk factors primary site, presence of nonpulmonary visceral metastases and tumour markers alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) and lactic dehydrogenase (LDH). The IGCC classification is easy to use and remember, but lacks flexibility. We aimed to examine the extent of any loss in discrimination within the IGCC classification in comparison with alternative modelling by formal weighing of the risk factors. We analysed survival of 3048 NSGCT patients with Cox regression and recursive partitioning for alternative classifications. Good, intermediate and poor prognosis groups were based on predicted 5-year survival. Classifications were further refined by subgrouping within the poor prognosis group. Performance was measured primarily by a bootstrap corrected c-statistic to indicate discriminative ability for future patients. The weights of the risk factors in the alternative classifications differed slightly from the implicit weights in the IGCC classification. Discriminative ability, however, did not increase clearly (IGCC classification, c=0.732; Cox classification, c=0.730; Recursive partitioning classification, c=0.709). Three subgroups could be identified within the poor prognosis groups, resulting in classifications with five prognostic groups and slightly better discriminative ability (c=0.740). In conclusion, the IGCC classification in three prognostic groups is largely supported by Cox regression and recursive partitioning. Cox regression was the most promising tool to define a more refined classification. British Journal of Cancer (2004) 90, 1176-1183. doi:10.1038/sj.bjc.6601665 www.bjcancer.com Published online 24 February 2004

Imaging of testicular tumours

This article reviews the diagnosis, pathology and imaging of testicular tumours, predominantly germ cell tumours. It will discuss the imaging techniques used in their diagnosis, staging and surveillance.

Malignant germ cell tumors in childhood: results of the first Italian cooperative study "TCG 91"

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

About 20% of patients with germ cell tumor (GCT) are still resistant to therapy. To investigate which features are present in resistant patients, a multicenter study on GCT in children was undertaken to correlate clinical and laboratory parameters with the outcome.

METHODS

Patients aged less than 16 years, with histologically proven extracranial GCT were included.

RESULTS

Ninety-five patients (median age 33 months, 45 males) were eligible. The site of the primary tumor was gonadal in 59, extragonadal in 36. The stage was I in 39; II in 5; IIIa (microscopic residue) in 7; IIIb (macroscopic residue) in 16; IIIc (unresectable) in 13; IV in 15. The treatment was surgery alone in 31; surgery plus radiotherapy in 1; chemotherapy +/- surgery in 63. Post-chemotherapy resection in 19 (10 complete, 9 partial). The chemotherapy regimen was carboplatin 400 mg/m2/day on days 1, 2; etoposide 150 mg/m2/day on days 1, 2; ifosfamide 1,500 mg/m2/day on days 21, 22; dactinomycin 1.5 mg/m2/day on day 21; vincristine 1.5 mg/m2/day on day 21. Three patients died because of toxicity and two non-responders (to primary chemotherapy), died of progression; among the remaining 90 patients 20 relapsed, 9 are in second remission, 2 are alive with disease, and 9 died of disease progression (one from progression and intracranial hemorrhage). Overall survival was 82.7% and event-free survival: 71.5%. Survival according to: (a) site: testis: 100%; ovary: 88%; sacrococcyx: 69.6%; other sites: 33.3% (P < 0.001); (b) stage: I and II: 100%; IIIa: 83.3%; IIIb: 84.6%; IIIc: 60.6%; IV: 53.2% (P < 0.001); (c) AFP levels: normal: 85.5%; 42-9,470 ng/ml: 84.6%; >/=10,000 ng/ml: 58.7% (P = 0.02). All the pts who had complete resection of the primary tumor at diagnosis or at delayed surgery, remained in remission.

CONCLUSIONS

Multivariate analysis showed that the primary site of tumor was the only independent prognostic factor for survival and EFS.

External validity of a prediction rule for residual mass histology in testicular cancer: an evaluation for good prognosis patients

We assessed the external validity of a prediction rule for nonseminomatous testicular cancer patients. The rule was developed to predict the probability of retroperitoneal metastases being benign (only necrosis/fibrosis) after chemotherapy treatment. Patients with a high probability of benign residual masses might be offered surveillance as opposed to patients with a low probability, who should undergo retroperitoneal lymph node dissection (RPLND). We compared the observed histology with the predicted probability in 105 patients with good prognosis germ cell cancer who underwent RPLND between 1995 and 1998. We found that predicted probabilities higher than 5% were in good agreement with the observed frequencies of benign masses. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve was 0.76, suggesting that the rule could reasonably discriminate between benign masses and tumour. However, nearly all predicted probabilities (n=101) were lower than 70%, which might be considered as the lowest value at which surveillance offers a reasonable alternative to RPLND. Further, 35% of patients currently under surveillance (84 out of 241) had predicted probabilities lower than 70%. In conclusion, the clinical relevance of the prediction rule was limited for the patients who underwent RPLND; use of the rule would change the policy from RPLND to surveillance in only a few. On the other hand, the rule might support selection of patients for RPLND, who currently are under surveillance.

Lung resistance-related protein as a predictor of clinical outcome in advanced testicular germ-cell tumours

This study was undertaken to investigate the expression and predictive value for outcome of multidrug resistance-associated (MDR) proteins P-glycoprotein (Pgp), MRP1, BCRP, and LRP, in advanced testicular germ-cell tumours (TGCT). Paraffin-embedded sections from 56 previously untreated patients with metastatic TGCT were immunostained for Pgp, MRP1, BCRP, and LRP. All patients received platinum-based chemotherapy after orchidectomy. Immunostaining was related to clinicopathological parameters, response to chemotherapy, and outcome. Strong and intermediate expressions of the different MDR-related proteins were: 27 and 41% (Pgp), 54 and 37% (MRP1), 86 and 7% (BCRP), and 14 and 29% (LRP). P-glycoprotein and MRP1 associated, respectively, to low AFP (P=0.026) and high LDH levels (P=0.014), whereas LRP expression associated with high beta-hCG levels (P=0.003) and stage IV tumours (P=0.029). No correlation was found between Pgp, MRP1, and BCRP expression and response to chemotherapy and survival. In contrast, patients with LRP-positive tumours (strong or intermediate expression) had shorter progression-free (P=0.0006) and overall survival (P=0.0116) than LRP-negative patients, even after individual log-rank adjustments by statistically associated variables. Our data suggest that a positive LRP immunostaining at the time of diagnosis in metastatic TGCT is associated with an adverse clinical outcome.

Intensive induction chemotherapy with CBOP/BEP in patients with poor prognosis germ cell tumors

PURPOSE

Despite a high cure rate in patients with testicular cancer, there remain patients in the poor prognosis group who have a less favorable outcome. Intensive induction chemotherapy using a regimen consisting of carboplatin, bleomycin, vincristine, and cisplatin, followed by bleomycin, etoposide, and cisplatin (CBOP/BEP), developed at the Royal Marsden Hospital, is designed to overcome the rapid proliferation seen in germ cell tumors. This study assesses the outcome of patients with poor-prognosis nonseminomatous germ cell tumors (NSGCT) treated with CBOP/BEP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients with NSGCT from three centers, classified as poor prognosis according to International Germ Cell Classification Consensus Group criteria, were treated with CBOP/BEP regimen during the period from 1989 to 2000. Data on treatment toxicity, relapse-free survival (RFS), and overall survival (OS) were collected prospectively on a hospital database.

RESULTS

Fifty-four male patients with poor prognosis NSGCT were treated with CBOP/BEP. The RFS at 3 and 5 years for all patients was 83.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 68.8% to 91.3%). After a median follow-up of 4 years, the OS of the 54 patients was 91.5% (95% CI, 78.6% to 96.8%) at 3 years and 87.6% (95% CI, 71.3% to 94.9%) at 5 years. Three-year OS in patients with a primary mediastinal germ cell tumor was 77.1% (95% CI, 34.5% to 93.9%) compared with 95.4% (95% CI, 82.8% to 98.8%) in patients with a testicular primary tumor (P =.24).

CONCLUSION

The results reported here compare favorably with the historical results of alternative regimens used in the management of poor-prognosis NSGCT. We suggest a phase III trial to confirm our findings.

A rare association between malignant mediastinal seminoma and other malignant neoplasms

Primary malignant mediastinal seminomas (PMMS) are rare tumors accounting for 1-6% of all mediastinal tumors. PMMS mostly affect young men, arising from primordial germ cells that abnormally migrate from the ectoderm of the yolk sac to the gonadal region. They are clinically and biologically distinct from primary testicular tumors and seem to have a worse prognosis. Due to the rarity of the disease, the choice of treatment is a matter of debate. Literature data do not show any association between this kind of tumor and malignant Schwannoma or thyroid carcinoma. In this report we describe the case of a patient affected by PMMS and 12 yr later by a malignant brachial plexus Schwannoma and papillary thyroid carcinoma (PTC). Since both mediastinal seminoma and Schwannoma were treated with surgery followed by local radiotherapy, we were not able to ascertain if either PTC or Schwannoma had been induced by radiotherapy or represented a casual neoplastic association.

Residual mass histology in testicular cancer: development and validation of a clinical prediction rule

After chemotherapy for metastatic non-seminomatous testicular cancer, surgical resection is a generally accepted treatment to remove remnants of the initial metastases, since residual tumour may still be present (mature teratoma or viable cancer cells). In this paper, we review the development and external validation of a logistic regression model to predict the absence of residual tumour. Three sources of information were used. A quantitative review identified six relevant predictors from 19 published studies (996 resections). Second, a development data set included individual data of 544 patients from six centres. This data set was used to assess the predictive relationships of five continuous predictors, which resulted in dichotomization for two, and a log, square root, and linear transformation for three other predictors. The multiple logistic regression coefficients were reduced with a shrinkage factor (0.95) to improve calibration, based on a bootstrapping procedure. Third, a validation data set included 172 more recently treated patients. The model showed adequate calibration and good discrimination in the development and in the validation sample (areas under the ROC curve 0.83 and 0.82). This study illustrates that a careful modelling strategy may result in an adequate predictive model. Further study of model validity may stimulate application in clinical practice.

Viable Malignant Cells After Primary Chemotherapy for Disseminated Nonseminomatous Germ Cell Tumors: Prognostic Factors and Role of Postsurgery Chemotherapy—Results From an International Study Group

PURPOSE: To assess the value of postsurgery chemotherapy in patients with disseminated nonseminomatous germ-cell tumors (NSGCTs) and viable residual disease after first-line cisplatin-based chemotherapy.

PATIENTS AND METHODS: The outcome of 238 patients was reviewed. Tumor markers had normalized in all patients before resection. A multivariate analysis of survival was performed on 146 patients.

RESULTS: The 5-year progression-free survival (PFS) rate was 64% and the 5-year overall survival (OS) rate was 73%. Three factors were independently associated with both PFS and OS: complete resection (P < .001), < 10% of viable malignant cells (P = .001), and a good International Germ Cell Consensus Classification (IGCCC) group (P = .01). Patients were assigned to one of three risk groups: those with no risk factors (favorable group), those with one risk factor (intermediate group), and those with two or three risk factors (poor-risk group). The 5-year OS rate was 100%, 83%, and 51%, respectively (P < .001). The 5-year PFS rate was 69% (95% confidence interval [CI], 62% to 76%) and 52% (95% CI, 40% to 64%) in postoperative chemotherapy recipients and nonrecipients, respectively (P < .001). No significant difference was detected in 5-year OS rates. After adjustment on the three prognostic factors, postoperative chemotherapy was associated with a significantly better PFS (P < .001) but not with better OS. Patients in the favorable risk group had a 100% 5-year OS, with or without postoperative chemotherapy. Postoperative chemotherapy appeared beneficial in both PFS (P < .001) and OS (P = .02) in the intermediate-risk group but was not statistically beneficial in the poor-risk group.

CONCLUSION: A complete resection may be more critical than recourse to postoperative chemotherapy in the setting of postchemotherapy viable malignant NSGCT. Immediate postoperative chemotherapy or surveillance alone with chemotherapy at relapse may be reasonable options depending on the completeness of resection, IGCCC group, and percent of viable cells. Validation is necessary.

Predicting outcome to chemotherapy in patients with germ cell tumors: the value of the rate of decline of human chorionic gonadotrophin and alpha-fetoprotein during therapy

PURPOSE

The prognostic significance of the rate of decline of the serum tumor marker alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) during the first two cycles of chemotherapy in germ cell tumor (GCT) patients was initially reported by us, but its value has been debated. We re-examined this issue in the context of the International Germ Cell Cancer Collaborative Group (IGCCCG) risk classification system and investigated the role of including in the analysis patients whose markers normalized early.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

One hundred eighty-nine GCT patients with elevated AFP/HCG marker values treated with platinum-based chemotherapy between 1986 and 1998 were included in this analysis. Patients were classified as good, intermediate, or poor risk by the IGCCCG criteria and as having satisfactory or unsatisfactory marker decline. Risk and marker decline were correlated with response, event-free survival, and overall survival.

RESULTS

Satisfactory marker decline predicted improved complete response (CR) proportion and event-free and overall survival (P <.0001). The CR proportion, 2-year event-free, and 2-year overall survival rates for patients with a satisfactory and unsatisfactory marker decline were 92% versus 62%, 91% versus 69%, and 95% versus 72%, respectively. Marker decline remained a significant variable for all three end points when adjusted for risk (P <.01) with the outcome differences most pronounced in the poor-risk group.

CONCLUSION

The rate of marker decline during chemotherapy has prognostic value independent of risk and may play a significant role in the management of poor-risk patients. It is appropriate to include patients whose markers normalized early.

Double dose-intensive chemotherapy with autologous stem cell support for relapsed and refractory testicular cancer: the University of Michigan experience and literature review

Testicular cancer patients refractory or in relapse after primary chemotherapy have < or =25% 5-year progression-free survival with salvage. To improve prognosis, patients entered a phase I/II tandem dose-escalation trial of carboplatin (1500-2100 mg/m(2)) and etoposide (1200-2250 mg/m(2)) with ABMT. Patients were eligible for a second cycle if disease progression was absent and performance status allowed. From August 1990 to June 1998, 29 males (25 NSGCT) were treated. At the time of ABMT, 10 were chemosensitive, four were chemoresistant, and 10 were absolutely refractory to platinum. Disease status (no. patients) at transplant: primary refractory disease (six), first relapse (10), second relapse (eight), third relapse (five). Fifteen (52%) received both transplants. Treatment-related mortality was 10%. Best response after ABMT included: two CR, one CR surgically NED, five PR, three PR surgically NED, seven SD, and eight PD. Eight (28%) patients are continuously progression-free a median 60 months (range, 31-93) from first ABMT. Three seminoma patients remain progression-free. Of five long-term NSGCT survivors, four were treated in first relapse with platinum-sensitive disease. Eighteen relapses occurred a median of 4 months after ABMT I (two late relapses at 28 and 44 months). The median PFS and OS for the whole group are 4 and 14 months, respectively. Patients with relapsed/ refractory testicular cancer benefit most from ABMT if they have platinum-sensitive disease in first relapse. Patients who do poorly despite ABMT have a mediastinal primary site, true cisplatin-refractory disease, disease progression prior to ABMT, and/or markedly elevated betaHCG at ABMT. New treatment modalities are needed for the latter group.

The role of the histopathologist in the management of testicular germ cell tumour in adults

In the last 20--30 years the availability of effective chemotherapy and more accurate clinical staging has greatly improved the prognosis for patients with testicular germ cell tumours. Initially, such treatment appeared to diminish the role of histopathology to the distinction between seminoma and nonseminomatous germ cell tumour (NSGCT) in the primary specimen. However, histopathology has evolved as a prognostic tool indicating the risk of relapse in various defined clinical contexts thereby facilitating therapeutic decisions. The clinical emphasis has been on quality of life and reduction of therapy both in terms of the number of patients treated and the number of chemotherapy courses given to each patient. The treatment of adult testicular germ cell tumours may differ between countries but protocols are established. Therefore it is appropriate to discuss the role of histopathology during this era of relative therapeutic stability.

Validation of a prediction model and its predictors for the histology of residual masses in nonseminomatous testicular cancer

PURPOSE

We validated a prediction model for histology of residual retroperitoneal masses, either benign or tumor, in patients treated with chemotherapy for metastatic nonseminomatous testicular cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied 276 patients treated with chemotherapy before retroperitoneal lymph node dissection at Indiana University Medical Center between 1985 and 1999. A previously developed prediction model was modified to provide predictions for the Indiana population based on 5 predictors. For these predictors, including teratomatous elements in the primary tumor, pre-chemotherapy tumor markers (alpha-fetoprotein and human chorionic gonadotropin), size of the residual mass and reduction in mass size, univariate and multivariate odds ratios were determined. The modified model was evaluated by calculating the concordance statistic and studying model reliability.

RESULTS

All odds ratios from univariate and multivariate analyses were in the expected directions. The modified model had good discriminative ability (concordance statistic 0.79). However, the predicted probabilities for benign tissue were generally too high due to the low prevalence of benign tissue (76 of 276 cases or 28%).

CONCLUSIONS

This study confirms the predictive ability of formerly identified predictors for the histology of residual retroperitoneal masses in testicular cancer. However, the previously developed prognostic model must be adjusted for the local overall ratio of benign versus tumor histology to provide reliable predictions in the Indiana population.

Retroperitoneal metastases in testicular cancer: role of CT measurements of residual masses in decision making for resection after chemotherapy

PURPOSE

To determine the relative importance of computed tomographic (CT) measurements for the prediction of histologic findings in residual masses in patients with nonseminomatous testicular cancer.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Measurements of the maximum transverse size of retroperitoneal metastases before and after chemotherapy were available in 641 patients who underwent resection after chemotherapy while their levels of tumor markers were normal. Radiologic measurements of mass size and clinical characteristics (histologic findings in primary tumor and levels of alpha-fetoprotein, human chorionic gonadotropin, and lactate dehydrogenase before chemotherapy) were related to histologic findings in the residual mass with logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

At resection, 302 patients had benign tissue, and 339 had residual tumor (mature teratomas or cancer). Tumor was more frequent in larger masses after chemotherapy but was unrelated to mass size before chemotherapy. Inclusion of the reduction in size significantly improved the logistic regression model, which included mass size after chemotherapy. This model was further improved with the addition of clinical characteristics. Areas under the receiver operating characteristic curves increased from 0.74 to 0.77 and 0.83 with these models.

CONCLUSION

A small retroperitoneal mass after chemotherapy is an important predictor of benign histologic findings in residual masses in patients with nonseminomatous testicular cancer. However, better predictions can be made when the reduction in size and clinical characteristics are considered as well. Decisions regarding resection should be based on the combination of these characteristics rather than on only mass size after chemotherapy.

High-dose chemotherapy and autologous haematopoietic support in poor risk non-seminomatous germ-cell tumours: an effective first-line therapy with minimal toxicity

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of patients with high-risk germ-cell cancer is poor. The toxicity and efficacy of first-line high-dose chemotherapy (HDCT) with stem-cell support was evaluated, following induction chemotherapy with BEP.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Twenty patients with poor prognosis non seminomatous germ-cell tumour by the International Consensus prognostic criteria received induction with BEP followed by one cycle of HDCT (CEC) given with carboplatin (1800 mg/m2), etoposide (1800 mg/m2), and cyclophosphamide (140 mg/kg). Of the above 20 patients only 3 received a second cycle of HDCT. Peripheral blood stem cells were infused on day 0.

RESULTS

Twenty patients were assessable for toxicity and response. After a median follow-up of 27 months 15 patients (75%) are alive, 12 (60%) are disease free and 3 (15%) are alive with disease. Median survival has not been reached and overall survival at four years is 66% with a durable complete response rate of 50%. There were no deaths or cases of severe toxicity. Median time to a granulocyte count > 500/microl and platelets > 20,000/microl was 10 and 12 days respectively. Five patients have died from progressive disease 5-35 months after HDCT.

CONCLUSIONS

These results support the case of first-line HDCT. The excellent toxicity profile of BEP/CEC and the two-year overall survival of 78% are encouraging and support further the ongoing randomised US intergroup study evaluating high-dose CEC after BEP.

Experience of discordant beta hCG results by different assays in the management of non-seminomatous germ cell tumours of the testis

Fifty-five patients with non-seminomatous germ cell tumours (NSGCT) who were referred to a regional clinical oncology centre over a 3-year period were assessed prospectively with assays of the serum tumour markers alpha-feto protein (AFP) and beta-human chorionic gonadotropin (beta hCG). Paired baseline beta hCG assays were undertaken using a polyclonal radioimmunoassay (RIA) and a monoclonal fluoroimmunoassay (FIA). Serial paired measurements were undertaken in patients showing discordance on baseline assays. Four patients (7%; 95% confidence interval 0-14) showed discordance between the paired beta hCG assays. Of these, two showed elevated beta hCG on RIA, with normal levels on FIA; two showed elevated beta hCG on FIA, with normal levels on RIA. No discordance was noted with AFP assays. Discordance persisted in two of the patients (50%) and disappeared on treatment in one (25%); one patient died during treatment. Discordant beta hCG assays present difficulties in interpretation and have therapeutic implications in patients with NSGCT. No single currently available assay is conclusive in all patients and commercial assay kits should be chosen with care.

The pathology of late recurrence of testicular germ cell tumors

A total of 91 men had histologically documented late recurrences of testicular germ cell tumors characterized by a complete response to treatment with a subsequent disease-free interval of at least 2 years and no evidence of a second primary lesion. Ninety percent of the patients for whom information was available received chemotherapy shortly after their initial diagnosis of testicular germ cell tumors; most of the other patients were known to have stage I disease initially. Overall, 60% of patients had teratoma in their late recurrences, including 20 patients (22%) in whom teratoma was the only element. Thus, teratoma was the most common type of neoplasm in late recurrences. Excluding teratoma coexisting with other types of neoplasms, yolk sac tumor was the most frequent type of tumor in patients with late recurrence. It occurred in 47% of patients, either alone or with teratoma, another nonteratomatous germ cell tumor type, or a "nongerm cell malignant tumor." Unusual types of yolk sac tumor, including glandular, parietal, clear cell, and pleomorphic patterns, were seen frequently in late recurrences and often raised differential diagnostic problems with "nongerm cell" carcinomas. A smaller number of late recurrences consisted of other types of neoplasms. Twenty percent of patients with late recurrence had a nonteratomatous germ cell tumor other than yolk sac tumor, either alone, with yolk sac tumor, or with a "nongerm cell malignant tumor." Most of these nonteratomatous germ cell tumors other than yolk sac tumor were embryonal carcinoma, although rarely seminoma and choriocarcinoma were encountered. "Nongerm cell malignant tumors," including both sarcomas and carcinomas of various types, occurred in 23% of late-recurrence patients, either alone or with a nonteratomatous germ cell tumor. Late recurrences were seen in many different sites in these patients, including the retroperitoneum, abdomen, pelvis, liver, mediastinum, lung, bone (femur, vertebra, and rib), lymph nodes outside the retroperitoneum and mediastinum (supraclavicular, neck, and axillary regions), scrotum and inguinal regions, adrenal gland, chest wall, and buttocks. Follow-up data were available for 79 of the 91 patients studied. Duration of follow-up ranged from 2 months to 13 years after the patient's first late recurrences; the mean length of follow-up was 4.8 years. Patients whose late recurrences consisted of teratoma only had the most favorable outcomes, with 79% having no evidence of disease at last follow-up. Patients whose late recurrences consisted of pure "nongerm cell malignant tumor" or pure germ cell tumor (yolk sac tumor or other types) had a much worse prognosis: Only 36% to 37% were alive with no evidence of disease. Patients with two different types of nonteratomatous malignancies in their late recurrences had a dismal clinical course: Only 17% with both yolk sac tumor and other nonteratomatous germ cell tumor had no evidence of disease, whereas no patient with both nonteratomatous germ cell tumor and "nongerm cell malignant tumor" was disease free. Late recurrences consisting of teratoma alone often have a favorable outcome, but the prognosis in all other patients is poor. Furthermore, late recurrence is not likely to respond to chemotherapy and is best treated by surgical excision when possible.

Staging and prognostic factors in testicular cancer

Germ cell cancers of the testis are rare malignancies that occur most commonly in young adult male life. These malignancies are highly curable, and adoption of sophisticated treatment strategies, related to known prognostic-based variables, has resulted in overall cure rates of approximately 95% with acceptable morbidity. These treatment approaches require a thorough knowledge of the underlying pathology and patterns of tumour spread. In recent years a number of prognostic factor-based staging classifications have evolved, each of which can accurately predict prognosis. However, in 1997, an internationally agreed-upon consensus classification applicable to both seminoma and non-seminoma was published. This classification was well validated and has now been incorporated into the TNM and American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging systems.

Treatment of disseminated non-seminomatous testicular cancer: the European experience

The majority of patients with disseminated germ cell cancer can be cured with cisplatin-based combination chemotherapy. For more than a decade the gold standard regimen is cisplatin, etoposide, and bleomycin (BEP). On both sides of the Atlantic, a number of studies have been carried out to either modify the toxicity of therapy in good prognosis patients or to improve the treatment outcome by intensifying the regimen or incorporating new agents in patients with intermediate or poor prognosis disease. This review discusses the trials that have been conducted in Europe, mainly through the European Organization of Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC) and Medical Research Council (MRC) in the United Kingdom, as well as the studies that are currently being conducted by the collaborative groups in Europe.

The changing distribution of stage in nonseminomatous testicular germ cell tumours, from 1977 to 1996

OBJECTIVE

To determine the changes between 1977 and 1996 in the distribution of stages of testicular cancer (TC).

PATIENTS AND METHODS

The stage distribution was assessed, using various classifications, i.e. the Royal Marsden (RM), Indiana, European Organization for Research and Treatment of Cancer (EORTC), International Germ Cell Cancer Collaborative Group (IGCCCG) and the Medical Research Council (MRC), in 517 patients with nonseminomatous testicular germ cell tumours (NSTGCTs) diagnosed at a single institution between 1977 and 1996.

RESULTS

The number of patients in four consecutive 5-year periods (1977-81, 1982-86, 1987-91, 1992-96) was 119, 141, 141, and 116, respectively. Frequency analyses showed a significant increase of RM stage I, in proportion to stage II-IV, in 1982-86 (55%, odds ratio, OR, 2.54), 1987-91 (53%, OR 2.33) and 1992-96 (61%, OR 3.24) compared to the period 1977-81 (33%). A separate analysis of patients with disseminated disease showed a proportionate significant decrease of RM stage II in 1992-96 (29%, OR 0.43) compared with 1977-81 (49%). There was also a relative decrease of good-prognosis patients with disseminated disease in 1992-96 compared with 1977-81, using analyses of the Indiana (from 56% to 33%, OR 0.39) and EORTC classification (from 78% to 56%, OR 0.36). Analyses of the IGCCCG and MRC classification showed a significant decrease of good-prognosis patients in the 1982-86 compared with the first 5-year period (for IGCCCG, from 54% to 35%, OR 0.46, and for MRC, from 43% to 24%, OR 0.42).

CONCLUSION

The stage distribution of NSTGCT over the past two decades has changed. The proportion of stage I patients has increased since the early 1980s, apparently resulting from a shift of low-extent disseminated disease to stage I disease. This finding is relevant in reducing the treatment required in a higher proportion of patients and the subsequent reduction of long-term risk from treatment.

Prognostic factors in patients progressing after cisplatin-based chemotherapy for malignant non-seminomatous germ cell tumours

The aim of this study was to define prognostic parameters for survival in patients with malignant germ cell tumours progressing after platinum-based induction chemotherapy with or without surgery. A total of 164 progressing patients (testicular: 83%, extragonadal: 17%) were identified out of 795 patients treated with platinum-based induction chemotherapy for metastatic germ cell malignancy with or without surgery. 'Progressive disease' included patients who had progressed after a previous partial or complete remission as well as patients who failed primary therapy. Salvage chemotherapy consisted of 'conventional' platinum-based chemotherapy. Prognostic factors for survival were assessed by uni- and multivariate analyses. The resulting prognostic model was validated in an independent data set of 66 similar patients. For all 164 patients the median time from start of induction chemotherapy to progression was 10 months (range: 0-99). Thirty-eight (23%) patients relapsed after 2 years. The 5-year survival rate for all progressing patients was 30% (95% confidence interval 23-38%). In the univariate analysis the following factors most importantly predicted a poor prognosis: progression-free interval < 2 years: initial poor prognosis category (MRC criteria), < CR to induction chemotherapy, initial treatment early in the 1980s and treatment given at a 'small' centre. Three prognostic factors remained in the multivariate analysis: progression-free interval, response to induction treatment and the level of serum human chronic gonadotrophin (hCG) and alpha fetoprotein (AFP) at relapse. One hundred and twenty-four patients could be classified on the basis of these characteristics, Those patients with progression-free interval < 2 years, < CR to induction chemotherapy and high markers at relapse (AFP >100 kU l(-1) or hCG >100 IU l(-1)) formed a poor prognosis group of 30 patients, none of whom survived after 3 years. Patients with at most two of these three risk factors formed a good prognosis group of 94 patients (76%) with a 47% (37-56%) 5-year survival. Thirty-eight patients from the good prognosis group with a progression-free interval of >2 years had a 2-year survival of 74% (60-88%) and 5-year survival of 61%. These prognostic groups were validated in the independent data set, in which 5-year survival rates in the good and poor risk groups were 51% and 0% respectively. One-third of patients progressing during or after platinum-based induction chemotherapy for metastatic germ cell malignancy may be cured by repeated 'conventional' platinum-based chemotherapy. Good prognosis parameters are: progression-free interval of > 2 years, CR to induction treatment and normal or low serum markers at relapse (hCG < 100 IU l(-1) and AFP < 100 kU l(-1)). The results of high-dose salvage chemotherapy should be interpreted on the background of these prognostic factors.

The significance of resections for residual masses after chemotherapy in metastatic testicular tumors

BACKGROUND

After chemotherapy for metastatic testicular tumors, masses may remain, often in the metastatic sites. This study analyses the role of resections for the residual masses.

METHODS

Seventy-seven patients with advanced (stage II, III) testicular tumors were treated. Of these, 38 patients, including eight with seminoma and 30 patients with non-seminomatous germ cell tumors, underwent resection of residual masses after chemotherapy and have been followed for a median of 41.5 months (range 2-138) after the resection.

RESULTS

Residual masses were necrosis/fibrosis in 19 patients, mature teratoma in 11 and cancer in eight. The ratio of cancer in stage III (41.2%) was significantly higher than that in stage II (4.8%). Ten of 38 (26.3%) patients experienced recurrences in sites other than the resected sites, and five of 10 patients have died of cancer. Most recurrences (80%) occurred within two years. Recurrences after resection were detected in 4.8% of stage II patients, 52.9% of stage III, 16.7% of necrosis/fibrosis and mature teratoma, and 62.5% of cancer. The survival rate of patients with cancer was significantly lower in spite of adjuvant chemotherapy after surgery.

CONCLUSIONS

Resection for residual masses after chemotherapy in metastatic testicular tumors was useful in confirming the tissue and in controlling the metastatic sites. Recurrences were often found in patients with cancer in the residual mass and the prognosis of patients with cancer was poor, therefore the development of more effective therapy for patients with cancer is required to improve the prognosis.

Prognostic factors in children with localized malignant nonseminomatous germ cell tumors

PURPOSE

Prognostic factors were studied in children older than 1 year who were treated with chemotherapy for extracranial localized malignant non seminomatous germ cell tumors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Data from two consecutive protocols were pooled. The TGM 85 (1985-1989) protocol consisted of alternating courses of cyclophosphamide, dactinomycin and vinblastine, bleomycin, and cisplatin at a dose of 100 mg/m(2) per course. The TGM 90 (1990-1994) protocol was initiated with carboplatin 400 mg/m(2) substituted for cisplatin as the only modification to the previous protocol.

RESULTS

We examined alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels, disease stage, and primary site and identified three prognostic groups. Patients with a poor prognosis had either an AFP level >/= 10,000 ng/mL or stage III disease and a sacrococcygeal or mediastinal primary site; such patients represented 46% of the patient population and experienced a 43% 3-year failure-free survival rate and a 77% overall survival rate. Patients with a good prognosis had an AFP level less than 10,000 ng/mL, stage I or II disease, and a testicular, ovarian, perineal, or retroperitoneal primary site; such patients represented 22% of the patient population and experienced no treatment failures. The other patients were classified in the intermediate prognosis group and represented 37% of the patient population, with an 81% 3-year failure-free survival rate and a 92% overall survival rate.

CONCLUSION

Initial AFP level, disease stage, and primary site are the most important prognostic factors in this analysis. Prognostic models for pediatric germ cell tumors should allow the stratification of patients for a risk-adapted approach to treatment.

Thoracic metastasectomy for germ cell tumours: long term survival and prognostic factors

BACKGROUND

This study evaluated the results of thoracic metastasectomy for germ cell tumours to assess long term survival and identify prognostic factors.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

A series of 141 consecutive patients who underwent resection of thoracic metastases at Royal Brompton Hospital were retrospectively reviewed. Kaplan-Meier estimates of survival were calculated for clinical variables related to primary tumour and thoracic metastases, using the Cox model for multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

Complete resection was achieved in 123 cases (87%); pathology showed viable malignant elements in 46 (32%), necrosis or fibrosis in 32, differentiated teratoma in 63. The overall survival was 77% at five years and 65% at 15 years, being significantly shorter in patients with malignant teratomatous elements (51% at five years, P = 0.0001) or incomplete resection (64% at five years, P = 0.019). At multivariate analysis these factors retained their prognostic value, with a relative risk of death of 5.7 for malignant teratomatous elements and 4.0 for incomplete resection. In addition, the Cox model revealed a 3.2 times higher risk of relapse in patients with malignant teratomatuos elements at the time of thoracic metastasectomy.

CONCLUSIONS

These data confirm the value of thoracic metastasectomy to asses pathological response and achieve permanent cure of chemoresistant disease.

Serum alpha-fetoprotein surge after the initiation of chemotherapy for non-seminomatous testicular cancer has an adverse prognostic significance

It has been recognized that the tumour markers alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) and human chorionic gonadotrophin (HCG) may show a transient elevation after the initiation of chemotherapy in non-seminomatous testicular cancer. We investigated the prognostic importance of these so-called marker surges in a cohort of patients treated with cisplatin combination chemotherapy between 1983 and 1991. A total of 669 patients were studied. Of 352 patients who had an elevated AFP at the start of treatment and for whom we had data at both day 1 and day 8, 101 (29%) had a surge. Of 317 patients for whom we had data for HCG, 80 patients (25%) had a surge. It was found that an AFP surge was a strong adverse prognostic factor for progression [hazard ratio (HR) 2.28, P=0.005]. There was no statistically significant difference in survival (HR 1.65, P=0.13). There was no prognostic significance of a HCG surge, either for progression or for survival. To investigate whether a surge was an independent prognostic factor for progression and survival, multivariate Cox regression models were fitted using the independent prognostic factors for progression and survival and the surge/decline variable. An AFP surge was retained in the final model for progression. A HCG surge was of no prognostic importance for progression or survival. We conclude that an AFP surge has an adverse prognostic significance, independent of pretreatment characteristics.