Development and Validation of a Risk Stratification Score for Children With Congenital Heart Disease Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery:

Predicting Peri-Operative Cardiorespiratory Adverse Events in Children with Idiopathic Pulmonary Arterial Hypertension Undergoing Cardiac Catheterization Using Echocardiography: A Cohort Study

General anesthesia in children with idiopathic pulmonary arterial hypertension (PAH) carries an increased risk of peri-operative cardiorespiratory complications though risk stratifying individual children pre-operatively remains difficult. We report the incidence and echocardiographic risk factors for adverse events in children with PAH undergoing general anesthesia for cardiac catheterization. Echocardiographic, hemodynamic, and adverse event data from consecutive PAH patients are reported. A multivariable predictive model was developed from echocardiographic variables identified by Bayesian univariable logistic regression. Model performance was reported by area under the curve for receiver operating characteristics (AUCroc) and precision/recall (AUCpr) and a pre-operative scoring system derived (0-100). Ninety-three children underwent 158 cardiac catheterizations with mean age 8.8 ± 4.6 years. Adverse events (n = 42) occurred in 15 patients (16%) during 16 catheterizations (10%) including cardiopulmonary resuscitation (n = 5, 3%), electrocardiographic changes (n = 3, 2%), significant hypotension (n = 2, 1%), stridor (n = 1, 1%), and death (n = 2, 1%). A multivariable model (age, right ventricular dysfunction, and dilatation, pulmonary and tricuspid regurgitation severity, and maximal velocity) was highly predictive of adverse events (AUCroc 0.86, 95% CI 0.75 to 1.00; AUCpr 0.68, 95% CI 0.50 to 0.91; baseline AUCpr 0.10). Pre-operative risk scores were higher in those who had a subsequent adverse event (median 47, IQR 43 to 53) than in those who did not (median 23, IQR 15 to 33). Pre-operative echocardiography informs the risk of peri-operative adverse events and may therefore be useful both for consent and multi-disciplinary care planning.

Derivation and Validation of a General Predictive Model for Long Term Risks for Mortality and Invasive Interventions in Congenital and Acquired Cardiac Conditions Encountered in the Young

Accurate prognostic assessment is a key driver of clinical decision making in heart disease in the young (HDY). This investigation aims to derive, validate, and calibrate multivariable predictive models for time to surgical or catheter-mediated intervention (INT) and for time to death in HDY. 4108 unique subjects were prospectively and consecutively enrolled, and randomized to derivation and validation cohorts. Total follow-up was 26,578 patient-years, with 102 deaths and 868 INTs. Accelerated failure time multivariable predictive models for the outcomes, based on primary and secondary diagnoses, pathophysiologic severity, age, sex, genetic comorbidities, and prior interventional history, were derived using piecewise exponential methodology. Model predictions were validated, calibrated, and evaluated for sensitivity to changes in the independent variables. Model validity was excellent for predicting mortality and INT at 4 months, 1, 5, 10, and 22 years (areas under receiver operating characteristic curves 0.813-0.915). Model calibration was better for INT than for mortality. Age, sex, and genetic comorbidities were significant independent factors, but predicted outcomes were most sensitive to variations in composite predictors incorporating primary diagnosis, pathophysiologic severity, secondary diagnosis, and prior intervention. Despite 22 years of data acquisition, no significant cohort effects were identified in which predicted mortality and intervention varied by study entry date. A piecewise exponential model predicting survival and freedom from INT is derived which demonstrates excellent validity, and performs well on a clinical sample of HDY outpatients. Objective model-based predictions could educate both patient and provider, and inform clinical decision making in HDY.

A machine-learning approach for decision support and risk stratification of pediatric perioperative patients based on the APRICOT dataset

BACKGROUND

Pediatric anesthesia has evolved to a high level of patient safety, yet a small chance remains for serious perioperative complications, even in those traditionally considered at low risk. In practice, prediction of at-risk patients currently relies on the American Society of Anesthesiologists Physical Status (ASA-PS) score, despite reported inconsistencies with this method.

AIMS

The goal of this study was to develop predictive models that can classify children as low risk for anesthesia at the time of surgical booking and after anesthetic assessment on the procedure day.

METHODS

Our dataset was derived from APRICOT, a prospective observational cohort study conducted by 261 European institutions in 2014 and 2015. We included only the first procedure, ASA-PS classification I to III, and perioperative adverse events not classified as drug errors, reducing the total number of records to 30 325 with an adverse event rate of 4.43%. From this dataset, a stratified train:test split of 70:30 was used to develop predictive machine learning algorithms that could identify children in ASA-PS class I to III at low risk for severe perioperative critical events that included respiratory, cardiac, allergic, and neurological complications.

RESULTS

Our selected models achieved accuracies of >0.9, areas under the receiver operating curve of 0.6-0.7, and negative predictive values >95%. Gradient boosting models were the best performing for both the booking phase and the day-of-surgery phase.

CONCLUSIONS

This work demonstrates that prediction of patients at low risk of critical PAEs can be made on an individual, rather than population-based, level by using machine learning. Our approach yielded two models that accommodate wide clinical variability and, with further development, are potentially generalizable to many surgical centers.

Perioperative Risk Assessment in Children With Congenital Heart Disease Undergoing Noncardiac Procedures

OBJECTIVES

To risk-stratify children with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac surgery or diagnostic procedures for perioperative cardiopulmonary complications using the authors' established institutional guidelines.

DESIGN

A retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

The study was conducted in an academic, tertiary-care children's hospital.

PARTICIPANTS

A total of 1,005 children, from birth to 19 years of age with a diagnosis of congenital heart disease, who underwent a noncardiac surgery or diagnostic procedure from January 2017 to December 2018, were included in the study.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

The incidence of a severe perioperative complication, defined as a perioperative cardiac arrest or death within 30 days of the procedure, was 1.6%. Age, an emergent surgery/procedure, a preoperative renal abnormality, preoperative mechanical ventilation, and a preoperative pericardial effusion were significant for severe perioperative complications, in the multivariate analysis. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve for severe complications was 0.936. However, the area under the curve for moderate perioperative complications was 0.679, in which moderate complications were defined as (1) an escalation in anticipated postoperative disposition (from planned disposition), (2) an escalation in postoperative disposition (from preoperative location), (3) an escalation of preoperative airway support, (4) an administration of any intraoperative vasoactive medication/infusion, (5) a noncardiac surgery reoperation within 30 days of the procedure (if related to the primary procedure or change in physiology), or (6) unplanned readmission with 24 hours of the procedure.

CONCLUSIONS

A robust model for severe perioperative complications was developed within the authors' institutional clinical guidelines, identifying 5 predictors for perioperative cardiac arrest or death. The usual markers of critical illness were not found to be predictive of a moderate perioperative complication, regardless of the level of anesthesiologist training, suggesting that many of these children with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac procedures can be treated by a general pediatric anesthesiologist rather than a pediatric cardiac anesthesiologist within an institution that has or can establish clinical guidelines for these children.

Perioperative Considerations for Pediatric Patients With Congenital Heart Disease Presenting for Noncardiac Procedures: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Continuous advances in pediatric cardiology, surgery, and critical care have significantly improved survival rates for children and adults with congenital heart disease. Paradoxically, the resulting increase in longevity has expanded the prevalence of both repaired and unrepaired congenital heart disease and has escalated the need for diagnostic and interventional procedures. Because of this expansion in prevalence, anesthesiologists, pediatricians, and other health care professionals increasingly encounter patients with congenital heart disease or other pediatric cardiac diseases who are presenting for surgical treatment of unrelated, noncardiac disease. Patients with congenital heart disease are at high risk for mortality, complications, and reoperation after noncardiac procedures. Rigorous study of risk factors and outcomes has identified subsets of patients with minor, major, and severe congenital heart disease who may have higher-than-baseline risk when undergoing noncardiac procedures, and this has led to the development of risk prediction scores specific to this population. This scientific statement reviews contemporary data on risk from noncardiac procedures, focusing on pediatric patients with congenital heart disease and describing current knowledge on the subject. This scientific statement also addresses preoperative evaluation and testing, perioperative considerations, and postoperative care in this unique patient population and highlights relevant aspects of the pathophysiology of selected conditions that can influence perioperative care and patient management.

Pediatric robotic surgery: issues in management-expert consensus from the Italian Society of Pediatric and Neonatal Anesthesia and Intensive Care (SARNePI) and the Italian Society of Pediatric Surgery (SICP)

BACKGROUND

Pediatric robotic-assisted surgeries have increased in recent years; however, guidance documents are still lacking. This study aimed to develop evidence-based recommendations, or best practice statements when evidence is lacking or inadequate, to assist surgical teams internationally.

METHODS

A joint consensus taskforce of anesthesiologists and surgeons from the Italian Society of Pediatric and Neonatal Anesthesia and Intensive Care (SARNePI) and the Italian Society of Pediatric Surgery (SICP) have identified critical areas and reviewed the available evidence. The taskforce comprised 21 experts representing the fields of anesthesia (n = 11) and surgery (n = 10) from clinical centers performing pediatric robotic surgery in the Italian cities of Ancona, Bologna, Milan, Naples, Padua, Pavia, Perugia, Rome, Siena, and Verona. Between December 2020 and September 2021, three meetings, two Delphi rounds, and a final consensus conference took place.

RESULTS

During the first planning meeting, the panel agreed on the specific objectives, the definitions to apply, and precise methodology. The project was structured into three subtopics: (i) preoperative patient assessment and preparation; (ii) intraoperative management (surgical and anesthesiologic); and (iii) postoperative procedures. Within these phases, the panel agreed to address a total of 18 relevant areas, which spanned preoperative patient assessment and patient selection, anesthesiology, critical care medicine, respiratory care, prevention of postoperative nausea and vomiting, and pain management.

CONCLUSION

Collaboration among surgeons and anesthesiologists will be increasingly important for achieving safe and effective RAS procedures. These recommendations will provide a review for those who already have relevant experience and should be particularly useful for those starting a new program.

Risk factors for respiratory adverse events after adenoidectomy and tonsillectomy in children with down syndrome: a retrospective cohort study

Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome is a major cause of morbidity in the Down syndrome population and is commonly treated with adenoidectomy and/or tonsillectomy (AT). However, these children are at increased risk for perioperative respiratory adverse events (PRAEs). The objective of this study was to examine risk factors for major PRAEs requiring intervention in children with Down syndrome undergoing AT and to describe their postoperative monitoring environment. This retrospective study included all children with Down syndrome aged 0-18 years who underwent a preoperative polysomnogram followed by AT at a tertiary pediatric institution. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize baseline demographic and clinical characteristics. A multivariable model for prediction of PRAEs was constructed. A priori, it was decided that minimum oxygen saturation, apnea-hypopnea index, and average oxygen saturation asleep would be included, along with medical comorbidities associated with PRAEs at p < 0.2 in univariable analyses. Fifty-eight children were included in this study; twelve had a PRAE. Cardiac disease was associated with PRAEs on univariable analysis (p = 0.03). In multivariable analysis, average oxygen saturation asleep was associated with PRAEs (OR 1.50; 95% confidence interval 1.00, 2.41; p = 0.05). For all of the remaining variables, p > 0.15. Fifty-six children were admitted for monitoring overnight; four were admitted to the intensive care unit and fifty-two were admitted to the ward.

CONCLUSIONS

A multivariable model found evidence that lower average oxygen saturation while asleep was associated with PRAEs requiring intervention in children with Down syndrome. This study highlights the difficulty in predicting complications in this population.

WHAT IS KNOWN

• Obstructive sleep apnea syndrome is a major cause of morbidity in the Down syndrome population and is commonly treated with adenoidectomy and/or tonsillectomy. • However, children with Down syndrome are at increased risk for perioperative respiratory adverse events (PRAEs) following adenoidectomy and/or tonsillectomy.

WHAT IS NEW

• We found that a lower average oxygen saturation asleep is associated with increased odds of PRAEs, adjusting for age, total apnea-hypopnea index, cardiac comorbidity, and minimum oxygen saturation. • This study highlights the difficulty in predicting complications in this population.

The Role of Chronic Conditions in Outcomes following Noncardiac Surgery in Children with Congenital Heart Disease

OBJECTIVES

To compare outcomes in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) undergoing noncardiac surgery by presence of chronic conditions and identify associated risk factors.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective analysis of 14 031 children with CHD who underwent noncardiac surgery in the 2016 Healthcare Cost and Utilization Project Kid's Inpatient Database. Multivariable regression was used to assess patient and hospital factors associated with in-hospital mortality and length of stay (LOS).

RESULTS

Overall, 94% had at least 1 chronic condition. The in-hospital mortality rate was 5.6%. Neonates with CHD only had the highest mortality (15.6%); otherwise, children with CHD and at least 1 chronic condition had higher mortality than patients with CHD only (infant 3.93%, child 1.22%, adolescent 1.04% vs 2.34%, 0%, and 0%). Neonates (OR, 15.5; 95% CI, 7.1-34.1 vs adolescent), number of chronic conditions (OR, 1.34; 95% CI, 1.27-1.42), chronic conditions type (circulatory system; OR 2.46; 95% CI, 2.04-2.98), and low socioeconomic status (OR, 1.36; 95% CI, 1.05-1.77) were associated with increased mortality. The median LOS was 20 days (IQR, 5-66). Those with CHD and at least 1 chronic condition had a greater LOS (21 days; IQR, 5-68) than those with CHD only (9 days; IQR, 3-46). Neonates (adjusted coefficient, 44.3; 95% CI, 40.3-48.3 vs adolescent), Black race (adjusted coefficient, 4.78; 95% CI, 2.27-7.3), chronic condition indicator number (adjusted coefficient, 5.17; 95% CI, 4.56-5.78), and subtype (adjusted coefficient, 23.6; 95% CI, 20.4-26.7) were associated with a prolonged LOS.

CONCLUSIONS

Most children with CHD who undergo noncardiac surgery have at least 1 chronic condition. Age, chronic conditions type and number, low socioeconomic status, and Black race impart increased risks of in-hospital mortality and prolonged LOS. Further research is needed to evaluate the impact of specific chronic conditions and determine barriers to equitable care.

Risk Factors and Consequences of Acute Kidney Injury After Noncardiac Surgery in Children

BACKGROUND

Postoperative acute kidney injury (AKI) is a serious complication that is associated with prolonged hospital stay, high risk of short-term postsurgical mortality, need for dialysis, and possible progression to chronic kidney disease. To date, very little data exist on the risk of postoperative AKI among children undergoing noncardiac surgical procedures. We used data from a large multicenter cohort to determine the factors associated with AKI among children who underwent inpatient noncardiac surgical procedures and its impact on the postoperative course.

METHODS

We utilized the National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Pediatric participant user files to identify a cohort of children who underwent inpatient surgery between 2012 and 2018 (n = 257,439). We randomly divided the study population into a derivation cohort of 193,082 (75%) and a validation cohort of 64,357 (25%), and constructed a multivariable logistic regression model to identify independent risk factors for AKI. We defined AKI as the occurrence of either acute renal failure or progressive renal insufficiency within the 30 days after surgery.

RESULTS

The overall rate of postoperative AKI was 0.10% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.09-0.11). In a multivariable model, operating times longer than 140 minutes, preexisting hematologic disorder, and preoperative sepsis were the strongest independent predictors of AKI. Other independent risk factors for AKI were American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status ≥III, preoperative inotropic support, gastrointestinal disease, ventilator dependency, and corticosteroid use. The 30-day mortality rate was 10.1% in children who developed AKI and 0.19% in their counterparts without AKI (P < .001). Children who developed AKI were more likely to require an extended hospital stay (≥75th percentile of the study cohort) relative to their peers without AKI (77.4% vs 21.0%; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Independent preoperative risk factors for AKI in children undergoing inpatient noncardiac surgery were hematologic disorder, preoperative sepsis, ASA physical status ≥III, inotropic support, gastrointestinal disease, ventilator dependency, and steroid use. Children with AKI were 10 times more likely to die and nearly 3 times more likely to require an extended hospital stay, relative to their peers without AKI.

Enteral access and fundoplication in children with congenital heart disease

Congenital heart disease (CHD) is the most frequently occurring congenital disorder and affects approximately 1% of live births.^1,2 Advancements in supportive technology and surgical techniques have allowed many of these children to live into adulthood with reductions in morbidity and mortality.^3,4 During infancy, many children with CHD are plagued with co-existing structural anomalies and/or feeding disorders that make adequate oral intake impossible.⁵ Pediatric surgeons are frequently consulted for enteral access and/or fundoplication to ensure proper growth and development while preventing potential hemodynamic instability caused by significant reflux events. The successful execution of a non-cardiac surgery in a child with significant cardiac risk factors requires the coordination and expertise of multiple providers with a deep understanding of pediatric CHD physiology to ensure a safe outcome. We review critical pre-operative workup, technical operative aspects, and anesthesia considerations in this unique patient population.

Who are at high risk of mortality and morbidity among children with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac surgery?

With advances in the development of surgical and medical treatments for congenital heart disease (CHD), the population of children and adults with CHD is growing. This population requires multiple surgical and diagnostic imaging procedures. Therefore, general anesthesia is inevitable. In many studies, it has been reported that children with CHD have increased anesthesia risks when undergoing noncardiac surgeries compared to children without CHD. The highest risk group included patients with functional single ventricle, suprasystemic pulmonary hypertension, left ventricular outflow obstruction, and cardiomyopathy. In this review, we provide an overview of perioperative risks in children with CHD undergoing noncardiac surgeries and anesthetic considerations in patients classified as having the highest risk.

Incidental Diagnosis After a Car Accident: A Rare Case of Asymptomatic Uncorrected Tetralogy of Fallot

Tetralogy of Fallot (TOF) is a heterogeneous congenital heart disease that is occasionally diagnosed during adulthood. However, although they are often asymptomatic, adult patients with uncorrected TOF often have a poor prognosis. Poor outcomes indicate the importance of the identification and management of these patients, especially in the context of intercurrent disease or noncardiac surgery. We describe a case of clinically silent TOF in a 51-year-old woman. TOF was unmasked during a major noncardiac surgery for a polytrauma and successfully treated with the cooperation of a multidisciplinary team. (Level of Difficulty: Advanced.).

Anaesthesia risks for non-cardiac procedures in cardiac patients

The number of patients with complex congenital heart disease (CHD) presenting for non-cardiac procedures is steadily increasing and more and more anaesthesiologists will be asked to participate in their care. This can be a very challenging task and will require adequate planning and preparation, but also some basic scientific inquiries.

Integration of the Intrinsic Surgical Risk With Patient Comorbidities and Severity of Congenital Cardiac Disease Does Not Improve Risk Stratification in Children Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery

BACKGROUND

The objective of this study is to estimate the surgical risk of noncardiac procedures on the incidence of 30-day mortality in children with congenital heart disease.

METHODS

Children with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac surgery from 2012 to 2016 and included in the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program (ACS NSQIP) Pediatric database were included in the derivation cohort, while the 2017 database was used as a validation cohort. Intrinsic surgical risk quartiles were built utilizing 30-day mortality rates for each Current Procedural Terminology code and relative value units to create 2 groups defined as low surgical risk (quartiles 1-3) and high surgical risk procedures (quartile 4). We used multivariable logistic regression to determine the predictors for 30-day mortality including patient comorbidities and intrinsic surgical risk. A partially external validation of the model was performed using the 2017 version of the database.

RESULTS

We included 37,658 children with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac surgery with an incidence of overall 30-day mortality of 1.7% in the derivation cohort and 1.5% in the validation cohort (n = 13,129). Intrinsic surgical risk of procedures represented by Current Procedural Terminology procedural codes and relative value units risk quartiles was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (unadjusted P < .001). Predicted probability of 30-day mortality ranges from 0.2% (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.2-0.2) with no comorbidities to 39.6% (95% CI, 23.2-56.0) when all comorbidities were present among high surgical risk procedures and from 0.3% (95% CI, 0.3-0.3) to 54.8% (95% CI, 39.4-70.1) among low surgical risk procedures. An excellent discrimination was reported for the multivariable model with area under the curve (AUC) of 0.86 (95% CI, 0.85-0.88). High surgical risk was not associated with increased odds of 30-day mortality after adjustment for all other predictors (adjusted odds ratio [OR]: 0.75, 95% CI, 0.62-0.91). We also estimated the discriminative ability of a model that does not include the surgical risk (0.86 [95% CI, 0.84-0.88], with P value for the direct comparison of the AUC of the 2 models = 0.831). The multivariable model obtained from an external validation cohort reported an optimism corrected AUC of 0.88 (95% CI, 0.85-0.91).

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrates that integration of intrinsic surgical risk to comorbidities and severity of cardiac disease does not improve prediction of 30-day mortality in children undergoing noncardiac surgery. In children with congenital heart disease, patient comorbidities, and severity of the cardiac lesion are the predominant predictors of 30-day mortality.

Perioperative Considerations for the Fontan Patient Requiring Noncardiac Surgery

Children and adults with congenital heart disease undergoing noncardiac surgery are at higher risk of perioperative adverse events. Patients have significant comorbidities and syndromic associations that increase perioperative risk further. The complexity of congenital heart disease requires a thorough understanding of lesion-specific pathophysiology in order to provide safe care. Comprehensive multidisciplinary planning and the use of skilled and experienced teams achieve the best outcomes. The anesthesiologist is a perioperative physician charged with providing safe anesthesia care, instituting appropriate hemodynamic monitoring, and determining appropriate postoperative disposition on an individual basis.

Comparison of aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage grading scores in patients with aneurysm clipping and coiling

Past studies revealed the prognosis differed between aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH) patients with surgical clipping and endovascular coiling. We retrospectively reviewed aSAH patients in our institution to investigate the effectiveness of grading scores between two groups. In the surgical clipping group (n = 349), VASOGRADE had a favorable performance for predicting delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) (area under curve (AUC) > 0.750), and had better results than clinical (World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies (WFNS), Hunt & Hess (HH) and radiological scores (modified Fisher Scale (mFS), Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Early Brain Edema Score) (P < 0.05). Clinical and combined scores (VASOGRADE, HAIR) had favorable performance for predicting poor outcome (AUC > 0.750), and had better results than radiological scores (P < 0.05). In the coiling group (n = 320), none of the grading scores demonstrated favorable predictive accuracy for DCI (AUC < 0.750). Only WFNS and VASOGRADE had AUC > 0.700, with better performance than mFS (P < 0.05). The clinical and combined scores showed favorable performance for predicting a poor outcome (AUC > 0.750), and were better than the radiological scores (P < 0.05). Radiological scores appeared inferior to the clinical and combined scores in clipping and coiling groups. VASOGRADE can be an effective grading score in patients with clipping or coiling for predicting DCI and poor outcome.

Modified paediatric preoperative risk prediction score to predict postoperative ICU admission in children: a retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVE

To integrate intrinsic surgical risk into the paediatric preoperative risk prediction score (PRPS) model to construct a more comprehensive risk scoring system (modified PRPS) and improve the prediction accuracy of postoperative intensive care unit (ICU) admission in paediatric patients.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective study conducted between 1 January and 30 December 2016. Data on age, American Society of Anaesthesiology physical status (ASA-PS), oxygen saturation, prematurity, non-fasted status, severity of surgery and immediate transfer to the ICU after surgery were collected. The modified PRPS was developed by logistic regression in the derivation cohort; it was tested and compared with the paediatric PRPS and ASA-PS by the Hosmer-Lemeshow test, the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve and Kappa analysis in the validation cohort.

SETTING

Hospital-based study in China.

PARTICIPANTS

Paediatric patients (≤14 years) who underwent surgery under general anaesthesia were included, and those who needed reoperation due to surgical complications or stayed in the ICU preoperatively were excluded.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURE

ICU admission rate, defined as any patients' direct disposition from the operating room to the ICU immediately after the surgery.

RESULTS

A total of 9261 paediatric patients were included in this study, with 418 patients admitted to the ICU. In the validation cohort, the modified PRPS model fit the test data well (deciles of risk goodness-of-fit χ²=6.84, p=0.077). The area under the ROC curve of the modified PRPS, paediatric PRPS and ASA-PS were 0.963, 0.941 and 0.870, respectively (p<0.05), and the Kappa values were 0.620, 0.286 and 0.267. Analyses in the cohort indicated that the modified PRPS was superior to the paediatric PRPS and ASA-PS.

CONCLUSIONS

The modified PRPS integrating intrinsic surgical risk shows better prediction accuracy than the previous PRPS.

Paediatric pre-operative anaesthetic clinic: A survey of consultant-led caseload and outcomes

AIM

The role of pre-operative anaesthetic clinics (POAC) in adult practice is well-established and is developing in paediatric hospitals in the UK.

METHODS

We carried out a retrospective survey of all patients assessed in our POAC by a consultant, determining the pre-operative problems and the perioperative anaesthetic interventions and outcomes.

RESULTS

In 2016, 537 patients were seen by a consultant: the median age was 5.5 years (interquartile range 2.2-10.2) and median weight was 18.7 kg (interquartile range 12-28.7). 77% were ASA3 and 4% were ASA4. Seventy-five percent of patients referred for consultant assessment had a problem with at least one of the following four major body systems: cardiac (37%), respiratory (26%), airway (18%) and neurodevelopment (14%), Fifteen percent of these patients had two of these systems affected, and 3% had three or more. The rate of cancellation due to significant risk was 2.6% (n = 14): nine had significant cardiac risk and five had respiratory reasons. The rate of serious perioperative problems was 2.8% (n = 15): six were cardiac, six were respiratory, two neurological and one coagulation. Cardiac and airway problems occurred during anaesthesia, whereas problems relating to respiratory and neurological disease were post-operative. Of the 15 patients with three or more body system problems, 5 were cancelled or had a perioperative complication causing deterioration, 5 had a major complication but recovered fully and 5 proceeded to general anaesthesia (GA) without serious event. There were no deaths during GA or within 30 days.

CONCLUSION

In the POAC, consultants identified a wide range of GA-related potential problems enabling patients to be investigated, informed and prepared (or cancelled because of excess risk), and for appropriate resources to be allocated to achieve efficient and safe perioperative care.

Adverse Perioperative Events in Children with Complex Congenital Heart Disease Undergoing Operative Scoliosis Repair in the Contemporary Era

Scoliosis is common in children with congenital heart disease (CHD) and may have deleterious effects on quality of life and hemodynamics. Relatively little is known about the outcomes of spinal fusion for scoliosis repair in children with complex CHD. We reviewed all cases of children with CHD undergoing first time spinal fusion excluding those with minor CHD between 1995 and 2015. Seventy-eight patients were identified and included in the study. 97.4% of patients included had undergone prior cardiac surgery and sixteen patients had single ventricle circulations. 17.9% of patients experienced a significant perioperative event defined as an aggregate of the presence of any of the following: need for early unanticipated reoperation, neurologic deficit, postoperative bleeding requiring intervention, end organ dysfunction, or death. There were no deaths in our cohort. 38.5% of patients experienced any adverse event, the majority of which were related to perioperative fluid shifts. Larger preoperative Cobb angle and longer length of spinal fusion were associated with increased risk of significant perioperative event while larger preoperative Cobb angle and longer length of spinal fusion, older age at time of surgery, single ventricle circulation, cyanosis and patients taking cardiac medications at the time of surgery were more likely to experience any adverse event. Operative repair of scoliosis in children with complex CHD has been performed without mortality over a 20-year period in a single institution, albeit with a higher rate of perioperative complication than is seen in the general pediatric population. Patients with large preoperative Cobb angles and cyanotic single ventricle circulations appear to be at the highest risk for perioperative complications.

New risk score of the early period after spontaneous subarachnoid hemorrhage: For the prediction of delayed cerebral ischemia

Background and Purpose

The aim of this study is to identify the early predictors for delayed cerebral ischemia (DCI) and develop a risk stratification score by focusing on the early change after aneurysmal subarachnoid hemorrhage (aSAH).

Methods

The study retrospectively reviewed aSAH patients between 2014 and 2015. Risk factors within 72 hours after aSAH were included into univariable and multivariable logistic regression analysis to screen the independent predictors for DCI and to design a risk stratification score.

Results

We analyzed 702 aSAH patients; four predictors were retained from the final multivariable analysis: World Federation of Neurosurgical Societies scale (WFNS; OR = 4.057, P < .001), modified Fisher Scale (mFS; OR = 2.623, P < .001), Subarachnoid Hemorrhage Early Brain Edema Score (SEBES; OR = 1.539, P = .036), and intraventricular hemorrhage (IVH; OR = 1.932, P = .002). According to the regression coefficient, we created a risk stratification score ranging from 0 to 7 (WFNS = 3, mFS = 2, SEBES = 1, and IVH = 1). The new score showed a significantly higher area under curve (0.785) compared with other scores (P < .001).

Conclusion

The early DCI score provides a practical method at the early 72 hours after aSAH to predict DCI.

Anesthesia in Pediatric Patients With Congenital Heart Disease Undergoing Noncardiac Surgery: Defining the Risk

The incidence of moderate to severe congenital heart disease (CHD) in the United States is estimated to be 6 per 1,000 live-born, full-term infants. Recent advances in pediatric cardiology, surgery, and critical care have improved significantly the survival rates of patients with CHD leading to an increase in prevalence in both children and adults. Children with CHD significant enough to require cardiac surgery frequently also undergo noncardiac surgical procedures. With this increased demand for procedures that require anesthesia, all anesthesiologists, and more specifically, pediatric anesthesiologists will encounter patients with repaired or unrepaired CHD and other cardiac diseases in their practice. They often are faced with the question, "Is this patient too high risk for anesthesia?" The objective of this literature review is to provide a greater understanding of patients at high risk and to quantify the risk for patients, their families, and clinicians. In addition, specific high-risk lesions (single ventricle, Williams-Beuren syndrome, pulmonary hypertension, cardiomyopathies, and ventricular assist devices) are described.

Pediatric Risk Stratification Is Improved by Integrating Both Patient Comorbidities and Intrinsic Surgical Risk

Editor’s Perspective

What We Already Know about This Topic

What This Article Tells Us That Is New

Background

Recently developed risk stratification models for perioperative mortality incorporate patient comorbidities as predictors but fail to consider the intrinsic risk of surgical procedures. In this study, the authors used the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Pediatric database to demonstrate the relationship between the intrinsic surgical risk and 30-day mortality and develop and validate an accessible risk stratification model that includes the surgical procedures in addition to the patient comorbidities and physical status.

Methods

A retrospective analysis of the American College of Surgeons National Surgical Quality Improvement Program Pediatric database was performed. The incidence of 30-day mortality was the primary outcome. Surgical Current Procedural Terminology codes with at least 25 occurrences were included. Multivariable logistic regression model was used to determine the predictors for mortality including patient comorbidities and intrinsic surgical risk. An internal validation using bootstrap resampling, and an external validation of the model were performed.

Results

The authors analyzed 367,065 surgical cases encompassing 659 unique Current Procedural Terminology codes with an incidence of overall 30-day mortality of 0.34%. Intrinsic risk of surgical procedures represented by Current Procedural Terminology risk quartiles instead of broad categorization was significantly associated with 30-day mortality (P &lt; 0.001). Predicted risk of 30-day mortality ranges from 0% with no comorbidities to 4.7% when all comorbidities are present among low-risk surgical procedures and from 0.07 to 46.7% among high-risk surgical procedures. Using an external validation cohort of 110,474 observations, the multivariable predictive risk model displayed good calibration and excellent discrimination with area under curve (c-index) equals 0.95 (95% CI, 0.94 to 0.96; P &lt; 0.001).

Conclusions

Understanding and accurately estimating perioperative risk by accounting for the intrinsic risk of surgical procedures and patient comorbidities will lead to a more comprehensive discussion between patients, families, and providers and could potentially be used to conduct cost analysis and allocate resources.

Risk associated with anesthesia for noncardiac surgery in children with congenital heart disease

Database analysis has indicated that perioperative cardiac arrest occurs with increased frequency in children with congenital heart disease. Several case series and large datasets from ACS NSQIP have identified subgroups at the highest risk. Consistently, patients with single ventricle physiology (especially prior to cavopulmonary anastomosis), severe/supra-systemic pulmonary hypertension, complex lesions, and cardiomyopathy with significantly reduced ventricular function have been shown to be at increased risk for adverse events. Based on these results, algorithms for assessing risk have been proposed. How hospitals and health care systems apply these guidelines to provide safe care for these challenging patient groups requires the application of modern quality improvement techniques. Each institution should develop a system which reflects local expertise and resources.

Population-based study of congenital heart disease and revisits after pediatric tonsillectomy

Objective

Accurate assessment of risk factors such as congenital heart disease (CHD) can aid in risk stratification of children presenting for surgery. Risk stratification is especially important in tonsillectomy ± adenoidectomy (T/A), a common pediatric procedure that is usually performed electively, but that has a high rate of adverse events. In this study, we examined the association of CHD with revisits after T/A.

Methods

We identified children who underwent T/A at hospitals and hospital‐owned facilities during 2010 to 2014 using the State Inpatient Databases and State Ambulatory Surgery and Services Databases of Florida, Georgia, Iowa, New York, and Utah. We evaluated the association between CHD severity and the occurrence of an unplanned hospital readmission or ED visit within 30 days following discharge using multivariable logistic regression.

Results

The analysis included 244,598 patients, of whom 858 had minor or major CHD. In multivariable analysis, CHD was not associated with an increased risk of 30‐day revisits (minor OR = 1.1; 95% CI: 0.8, 1.5; P = .65; major OR = 1.2; 95% CI: 0.9, 1.6; P = .34). Other comorbidities, including chromosomal anomalies (OR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.2, 1.6; P < .001), congenital airway anomalies (OR = 1.3; 95% CI: 1.03, 1.7; P = .03), and neuromuscular impairment (OR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.2, 1.7; P < .001) predicted an increased likelihood of revisits.

Conclusion

Neither minor nor major CHD was independently associated with an increased risk of 30‐day revisits among children undergoing T/A. Other characteristics, particularly non‐cardiac comorbidities, socioeconomic status, and geographic region may be of greater utility for predicting revisit risk following pediatric T/A.

Level of Evidence

2b

Predictors of extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support after surgery for adult congenital heart disease in children's hospitals

OBJECTIVE

Adult congenital heart disease (ACHD) patients who undergo cardiac surgery are at risk for poor outcomes, including extracorporeal membrane oxygenation support (ECMO) and death. Prior studies have demonstrated risk factors for mortality, but have not fully examined risk factors for ECMO or death without ECMO (DWE). We sought to identify risk factors for ECMO and DWE in adults undergoing congenital heart surgery in tertiary care children's hospitals.

DESIGN

All adults (≥18 years) undergoing congenital heart surgery in the Pediatric Health Information System (PHIS) database between 2003 and 2014 were included. Patients were classified into three groups: ECMO-free survival, requiring ECMO, and DWE. Univariate analyses were performed, and multinomial logistic regression models were constructed examining ECMO and DWE as independent outcomes.

SETTING

Tertiary care children's hospitals.

RESULTS

A total of 4665 adult patients underwent ACHD surgery in 39 children's hospitals with 51 (1.1%) patients requiring ECMO and 64 (1.4%) patients experiencing DWE. Of the 51 ECMO patients, 34 (67%) died. Increasing patient age, surgical complexity, diagnosis of single ventricle heart disease, preoperative hospitalization, and the presence of noncardiac complex chronic conditions (CCC) were risk factors for both outcomes. Additionally, low and medium hospital ACHD surgical volume was associated with an increased risk of DWE in comparison with ECMO.

CONCLUSIONS

There are overlapping but separate risk factors for ECMO support and DWE among adults undergoing congenital heart surgery in pediatric hospitals.

Neuromotor performance in infants before and after early open-heart surgery and risk factors for delayed development at 6 months of age

BACKGROUND

Early identification of infants with CHD at heightened risk of developmental delays can inform surveillance priorities. This study investigated pre-operative and post-operative neuromotor performance in infants undergoing open-heart surgery, and their developmental status at 6 months of age, to identify risk factors and inform care pathways.

METHODS

Infants undergoing open-heart surgery before 4 months of age were recruited into a prospective cohort study. Neuromotor performance was assessed pre-operatively and post-operatively using the Test of Infant Motor Performance and Prechtl's Assessment of General Movements. Development was assessed at 6 months of age using the Ages and Stages Questionnaire third edition. Pre-operative and post-operative General Movements performance was compared using McNemar's test and test of infant motor performance z-scores using Wilcoxon's signed rank test. Risk factors for delayed development at 6 months were explored using logistic regression.

RESULTS

Sixty infants were included in this study. In the 23 (38%) infants. A total of 60 infants were recruited. In the 23 (38%) infants assessed pre-operatively, there was no significant difference between pre- and post-operative performance on the GMs (p=0.63) or TIMP (p=0.28). At discharge, 15 (26%) infants presented with abnormal GMs, and the median TIMP z-score was -0.93 (IQR: -1.4 to -0.69). At 6 months, 28 (52.8%) infants presented with gross motor delay on the ASQ-3, significantly negatively associated with gestational age (p=0.03), length of hospital stay (p=0.04) and discharge TIMP score (p=0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Post-operative assessment using the GMs and TIMP may be useful to identify infants requiring individualised care and targeted developmental follow-up. Long-term developmental surveillance beyond 6 months of age is recommended.

Unanticipated hospital admission in pediatric patients with congenital heart disease undergoing ambulatory noncardiac surgical procedures

BACKGROUND

An increasing number of surgical and nonsurgical procedures are being performed on an ambulatory basis in children. Analysis of a large group of pediatric patients with congenital heart disease undergoing ambulatory procedures has not been undertaken.

AIMS

The objective of this study was to characterize the profile of children with congenital heart disease who underwent noncardiac procedures on an ambulatory basis at our institution, to determine the incidence of adverse cardiovascular and respiratory adverse events, and to determine the risk factors for unscheduled hospital admission.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of children with congenital heart disease who underwent noncardiac procedures on an ambulatory basis in a single center. Using the electronic preoperative anesthesia evaluation form, we identified 3010 patients with congenital heart disease who underwent noncardiac procedures of which 1028 (34.1%) were scheduled to occur on an ambulatory basis. Demographic, echocardiographic and functional status data, cardiovascular and respiratory adverse events, and reasons for postprocedure admission were recorded. Univariable analysis was conducted.

RESULTS

The unplanned hospital admission was 2.7% and univariable analysis demonstrated that performance of an echocardiogram within 6 mo of the procedure and procedures performed in radiology were associated with postoperative admission. Cardiovascular adverse event incidence was 3.9%. Respiratory adverse event incidence was 1.8%.

CONCLUSION

Ambulatory, noncomplex procedures can be performed in pediatric patients with congenital heart disease and good functional status with a relatively low unanticipated hospital admission rate.

Interrater variability in ASA physical status assignment: an analysis in the pediatric cancer setting

BACKGROUND

The American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) physical status is a universal classification system that helps clinicians to categorize their patients preoperatively. However, there is a lack of both inter-rater and intra-rater reliability among clinicians for the ASA physical status classification. Our study focuses on testing these reliabilities within pediatric anesthesia providers in the cancer setting.

METHODS

In our retrospective observational study, a total of 1177 anesthesia records were reviewed. The cohort included all pediatric patients (≤ 18 years old) diagnosed with either retinoblastoma or neuroblastoma who had two or more anesthesia procedure within a 14-day time period.

RESULTS

Overall, the ASA physical status score among two different anesthesia providers for the same patient treated at different times had very little inter-rater reliability, κ = - 0.042 (95% CI - 0.17; 0.09). Of the 1177-patient anesthesia records, only 25% had two or more ASA physical status score assigned by the same anesthesiologist within a 14-day time period. There was moderate intra-rater reliability κ = 0.48 (95% CI 0.29; 0.68) for patients who were assigned an ASA physical status score by the identical anesthesia provider at different times points within a 14 day period.

CONCLUSION

In contrast to observations in earlier studies, findings indicate poor agreement in inter-rater reliability. Although there was moderate agreement in intra-rater reliability, one would expect to find stronger, even perfect, intra-rater reliability. These findings suggest the need to develop a specific physical status classification system directed toward patients with a systemic illness such as cancer in both young and adult patients.

Mortality and Morbidity after Laparoscopic Surgery in Children with and without Congenital Heart Disease

OBJECTIVES

To determine the risk of morbidity and mortality after laparoscopic surgery among children with congenital heart disease (CHD).

STUDY DESIGN

Cohort study using the 2013-2014 National Surgical Quality Improvement Program-Pediatrics, which prospectively collected data at 56 and 64 hospitals in 2013 and 2014, respectively. Primary exposure was CHD. Primary outcome was overall in-hospital postoperative mortality. Secondary outcomes included 30-day mortality and 30-day morbidity (any nondeath adverse event). Among 34?543 children who underwent laparoscopic surgery, 1349, 1106, and 266 had minor, major, and severe CHD, respectively. After propensity score matching within each stratum of CHD severity, morbidity and mortality were compared between children with and without CHD.

RESULTS

Children with severe CHD had higher overall mortality and 30-day morbidity (OR 12.31, 95% CI 1.59-95.01; OR 2.51, 95% CI 1.57-4.01, respectively), compared with matched controls. Overall mortality and 30-day morbidity were also higher among children with major CHD compared with children without CHD (OR 3.46, 95% CI 1.49-8.06; OR 2.07, 95% CI 1.65-2.61, respectively). Children with minor CHD had similar mortality outcomes, but had higher 30-day morbidity compared with children without CHD (OR 1.71, 95% CI 1.37-2.13).

CONCLUSIONS

Children with major or severe CHD have higher morbidity and mortality after laparoscopic surgery. Clinicians should consider the increased risks of laparoscopic surgery for these children during medical decision making.