Patterns and Timing of Initial Relapse in Pathologic Stage II Melanoma Patients

Acral Melanoma in the Caucasian Population: A Comprehensive Cohort Study on Epidemiological, Clinicopathological, and Prognostic Features

BACKGROUND

Acral melanoma is associated with poor prognosis. Studying the characteristics and prognosis of Caucasian patients is crucial to understand the distinct features of this tumor.

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the epidemiological, clinicopathological, and prognostic features of acral melanoma in Caucasian patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, multicenter, cohort study of acral melanoma from a database across 20 hospitals from South Europe from January 2000 to December 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 733 acral melanomas were identified (median age, 67.5 years; 95.2%, Caucasians; 77.5% of which were located on the feet). Overall, 77.5% of cases were invasive melanomas. Foot melanomas had a higher proportion of invasive cases (80.8% vs 69.8%; p=0.003), stages III and IV at diagnosis (24.8% vs 11.7%; p<0.001), thicker Breslow depth (2.8mm vs 2.0mm; p=0.021) and a higher rate of positive sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) (30.7% vs 15.7%; p=0.012). Thicker Breslow depth and later age of onset were risk factors for melanoma-specific survival. Thicker Breslow depth and ulceration were independent prognostic factors of relapse-free survival. Melanoma location and histopathological subtype were not associated with worse prognosis. Recurrences were a common finding (27.7%), with distant metastases appearing earlier than locoregional recurrences (1.32 years [IQR, 1.12-1.87] vs 2.14 years [IQR, 1.68-2.70]; p=0.015).

CONCLUSION

This study, the largest in a predominantly Caucasian population, underscores the unfavorable outcomes of acral melanoma. Foot melanomas exhibited delayed detection, increased invasiveness, thicker Breslow depth, increased SLNB involvement, and higher AJCC stages. The high recurrence rate and early distant metastases emphasize the critical role of intensive follow-up and routine imaging modalities to detect asymptomatic relapses.

Acral Melanoma in the Caucasian Population: A Comprehensive Cohort Study on Epidemiological, Clinicopathological, and Prognostic Features

BACKGROUND

Acral melanoma is associated with poor prognosis. Studying the characteristics and prognosis of Caucasian patients is crucial to understand the distinct features of this tumor.

OBJECTIVES

To analyze the epidemiological, clinicopathological, and prognostic features of acral melanoma in Caucasian patients.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective, multicenter, cohort study of acral melanoma from a database across 20 hospitals from South Europe from January 2000 to December 2019.

RESULTS

A total of 733 acral melanomas were identified (median age, 67.5 years; 95.2%, Caucasians; 77.5% of which were located on the feet). Overall, 77.5% of cases were invasive melanomas. Foot melanomas had a higher proportion of invasive cases (80.8% vs. 69.8%; P=0.003), stages III and IV at diagnosis (24.8% vs. 11.7%; P<0.001), thicker Breslow depth (2.8mm vs. 2.0mm; P=0.021) and a higher rate of positive sentinel lymph node biopsy (30.7% vs. 15.7%; P=0.012). Thicker Breslow depth and later age of onset were risk factors for melanoma-specific survival. Thicker Breslow depth and ulceration were independent prognostic factors of relapse-free survival. Melanoma location and histopathological subtype were not associated with worse prognosis. Recurrences were a common finding (27.7%), with distant metastases appearing earlier than locorregional recurrences (1.32 years [IQR, 1.12-1.87] vs. 2.14 years [IQR, 1.68-2.70]; P=0.015).

CONCLUSION

This study, the largest in a predominantly Caucasian population, underscores the unfavorable outcomes of acral melanoma. Foot melanomas exhibited delayed detection, increased invasiveness, thicker Breslow depth, increased sentinel lymph node biopsy involvement, and higher AJCC stages. The high recurrence rate and early distant metastases emphaise the critical role of intensive follow-up and routine imaging modalities to detect asymptomatic relapses.

Tumor-infiltrating lymphocyte scoring improves progression risk prediction in stage II melanoma: A retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

The American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition substaging might be suboptimal for predicting melanoma progression. Using it to select stage II patients for adjuvant immunotherapy risks overtreating low-risk stage IIB/IIC patients and undertreating high-risk stage IIA patients. Prognostic capability of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs) is unclear in stage II melanoma.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition substaging and TIL scoring as predictors of progression in stage II melanoma.

METHODS

Retrospective cohort study of 366 sentinel lymph node negative stage II melanoma patients from 4 UK hospitals (2004-2017), with long-term follow-up.

RESULTS

Twenty-three percent of melanomas progressed (median 9.5-year follow-up). Among those, 41.5% were stage IIA, 41.5% IIB, and 17.1% IIC. TIL scoring independently predicted progression risk (brisk vs non-brisk: odds ratio: 0.298, P = .009; absent vs non-brisk: odds ratio: 0.436, P = .049) and progression-free survival. Nonbrisk TILs, present in 80% of progressing tumors, denoted high risk. TIL scoring split patients into high and low risk across substages: stage IIA patients with non-brisk TILs had similar 5-year progression-free survival to stage IIB/IIC patients with absent/brisk TILs.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective study design and unknown generalizability.

CONCLUSION

Stage II melanoma progression is poorly predicted by the American Joint Committee on Cancer eighth edition substage. TIL scoring offers improved risk stratification across substages and could serve as a cost-effective method to better identify patients who may benefit from adjuvant immunotherapies.

Hydrogelation of peptides and carnosic acid as regulators of adaptive immunity against postoperative recurrence of cutaneous melanoma

The in-situ activation of adaptive immunity at the surgical site has demonstrated remarkable efficacy in inhibiting various forms of tumour recurrence and even holds the promise of a potential cure. However, extensive research and bioinformatic analysis conducted in this study have unveiled the formidable challenge posed by melanoma-intrinsic β-catenin signaling, which hinders the infiltration of cytotoxic T-lymphocytes (CTLs) and their subsequent anti-tumour action. To overcome this obstacle, a β-catenin antagonist called carnosic acid (CA) was co-assembled with a RADA-rich peptide to create a nanonet-derived hydrogel known as Supra-gelδCA. This injectable hydrogel is designed to be retained at the surgical site while simultaneously promoting hemostasis. Importantly, Supra-gelδCA directly releases CA to the site of residual tumour lesions, thereby enhancing infiltration of CTLs and subsequently activating adaptive immunity. Consequently, it effectively suppresses postoperative recurrence of skin cutaneous melanoma (SKCM) in vivo. Collectively, the presented Supra-gelδCA not only provides an efficacious immunotherapy strategy for regulating adaptive immunity by overcoming the obstacle posed by melanoma-intrinsic β-catenin signaling-induced absence of CTLs but also offers a clinically translatable hydrogel that revolutionizes post-surgical management of SKCM.

The Correlation between Plasma Circulating Tumor DNA and Radiographic Tumor Burden

Conventional blood-based biomarkers and radiographic imaging are excellent for use in monitoring different aspects of malignant disease, but given their specific shortcomings, their integration with other, complementary markers such as plasma circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) will be beneficial toward a precision medicine-driven future. Plasma ctDNA analysis utilizes the measurement of cancer-specific molecular alterations in a variety of bodily fluids released by dying tumor cells to monitor and profile response to therapy, and is being employed in several clinical scenarios. Plasma concentrations of ctDNA have been reported to correlate with tumor burden. However, the strength of this association is generally poor and highly variable, confounding the interpretation of longitudinal plasma ctDNA measurements in conjunction with routine radiographic assessments. Herein is discussed what is currently understood with respect to the fundamental characteristics of tumor growth that dictate plasma ctDNA concentrations, with a perspective on its interpretation in conjunction with radiographically determined tumor burden assessments.

Stage IIA Cutaneous Melanoma: Do Regional Ultrasound and CT scan Improve Detection of Relapses? A Multicenter Retrospective Observational Study

INTRODUCTION

Stage IIA cutaneous melanoma is typified by a Breslow thickness between 1.1 and 2.0 mm with ulceration or between 2.1 and 4.0 mm without ulceration. The role of radiological investigations in staging and follow-up of this intermediate-risk subgroup of patients is still debated.

OBJECTIVES

The aim of this study is to investigate the role of imaging procedures in the follow-up of stage IIA melanoma asymptomatic patients.

METHODS

Data were retrieved from two tertiary referral centers in Italy. Among patients with stage IIA melanoma, those who relapsed were investigated concerning type of detection (by patient or by doctor), and modality of detection (clinical examination, ultrasound, CT scan). In addition, false positive data were collected.

RESULTS

In total, 213 patients were retrieved, with 26 patients showing relapse (recurrence rate, 12.2%). The mean follow-up time was 3 years and the mean time to recurrence was 17.8 months. 21/26 (80.7%) recurrences were identified by the doctor and 5/26 (19.2%) by the patient (P < 0.05). Among those identified by the doctor, 16/21 (76,1%) were identified by radiological examinations. Nine out of 15 (60%) lymph node recurrences were detected by ultrasound and 6/7 (85.7%) distant metastases were detected by CT. The false positive rate was 7% (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

In our study the great majority of metastases were detected using imaging procedures. Given the new therapeutic options offered by targeted therapy and immunotherapy in relapsing patients, the role of radiological investigations in the follow-up of stage IIA patients should be reconsidered.

Adjuvant Immunotherapy in Stage II Melanoma-Further Risk Stratification is Needed

This Viewpoint reviews the evidence for immune checkpoint inhibitor use in the adjuvant setting, discusses the individual and societal risks, benefits, and costs associated with immune checkpoint inhibitors, and highlights the need for more targeted patient selection approaches.

The economic burden of recurrence in elderly patients with completely resected, stage IIB/IIC or III melanoma: an analysis of the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare linked database

AIMS

To compare healthcare resource utilization (HRU) and costs between patients with or without melanoma recurrence and between patients with distant or locoregional melanoma recurrence.

METHODS

Patients aged ≥65 years with completely resected, stage IIB/IIC or III melanoma were identified from Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results-Medicare data and stratified based on whether they experienced a recurrence, and whether it was distant or locoregional (separately for each stage). The index date was the date of recurrence (recurrence group) or a randomly assigned date (non-recurrence group). Patients in the recurrence and non-recurrence groups were propensity score-matched 1:1 based on patient characteristics; HRU and healthcare costs were compared between the 2 groups and between patients with distant or locoregional recurrence during the ≤24 months following index.

RESULTS

After matching, 507 pairs of patients with recurrent or non-recurrent stage IIB/IIC melanoma (236 patients with distant recurrence, 271 with locoregional) and 141 pairs of patients with recurrent or non-recurrent stage III melanoma (50 patients with distant recurrence, 91 with locoregional) were included. During the first year following recurrence, unadjusted HRU was generally higher in patients with versus without recurrence and patients with distant versus locoregional recurrence among both stage IIB/IIC and III cohorts. Patients who experienced recurrence incurred $6,474 (stage IIB/IIC) or $6,112 (stage III) per patient per month (PPPM) more in unadjusted, all-cause, total healthcare costs than patients without recurrence (both p < 0.001). Patients with distant recurrence incurred $7,292 (stage IIB/IIC) or $5,436 (stage III) PPPM more in unadjusted, all-cause, total healthcare costs than patients with locoregional recurrence (both p < 0.05).

LIMITATIONS

Melanoma recurrence was identified using a claims-based algorithm.

CONCLUSIONS

Economic burden is higher in patients with versus without melanoma recurrence and patients with distant versus locoregional recurrence. There is a high unmet need for adjuvant therapies that may help to prevent or delay recurrence.

Temporal Recurrence of Cutaneous Melanoma: Analysis of a Case Series

Introduction

The recurrence of cutaneous melanoma is one of the main reasons for surveillance after primary tumor treatment, and there is still little data on melanoma recurrence related to the Brazilian population.

Objective

We sought to evaluate the profile of patients with cutaneous melanoma recurrence within five years of (early) and five years after (late) initial diagnosis.

Methods

Patients diagnosed between 2006 and 2014 in a private reference service in Belo Horizonte, Brazil, were included. Demographic, clinical, histopathological, and disease evolution variables were collected and analyzed using the R version 4.0.0 program. A p-value less than 0.05 was considered significant.

Results

The sample was composed of 331 patients with melanoma, and the 43 patients with recurrence presented with higher mean age (p=0.049), male predominance (p=0.030), a lower proportion of Breslow thickness under 0.8mm (p<0.001), and a more significant presence of mitosis (p=0.007). The 29 patients (8.8%) with early recurrence presented with tumors with ulceration (p<0.018). Late recurrence occurred in 14 patients (4.2%). Five patients relapsed after 10 years; most of them had tumors up to 1mm thick, without ulceration, regression, or satellitosis, but with the presence of mitosis.

Conclusion

The possibility of cutaneous melanoma recurrence after five, and even 10, years, although rare, might indicate the need for longer medical follow-up. Multicenter studies may better characterize Brazilian patient profiles of those with early and late recurrence of melanoma.

Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) clinical practice guideline on immunotherapy for the treatment of melanoma, version 3.0

Since the first approval for immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs) for the treatment of cutaneous melanoma more than a decade ago, immunotherapy has completely transformed the treatment landscape of this chemotherapy-resistant disease. Combination regimens including ICIs directed against programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) with anti-cytotoxic T lymphocyte antigen-4 (CTLA-4) agents or, more recently, anti-lymphocyte-activation gene 3 (LAG-3) agents, have gained regulatory approvals for the treatment of metastatic cutaneous melanoma, with long-term follow-up data suggesting the possibility of cure for some patients with advanced disease. In the resectable setting, adjuvant ICIs prolong recurrence-free survival, and neoadjuvant strategies are an active area of investigation. Other immunotherapy strategies, such as oncolytic virotherapy for injectable cutaneous melanoma and bispecific T-cell engager therapy for HLA-A*02:01 genotype-positive uveal melanoma, are also available to patients. Despite the remarkable efficacy of these regimens for many patients with cutaneous melanoma, traditional immunotherapy biomarkers (ie, programmed death-ligand 1 expression, tumor mutational burden, T-cell infiltrate and/or microsatellite stability) have failed to reliably predict response. Furthermore, ICIs are associated with unique toxicity profiles, particularly for the highly active combination of anti-PD-1 plus anti-CTLA-4 agents. The Society for Immunotherapy of Cancer (SITC) convened a panel of experts to develop this clinical practice guideline on immunotherapy for the treatment of melanoma, including rare subtypes of the disease (eg, uveal, mucosal), with the goal of improving patient care by providing guidance to the oncology community. Drawing from published data and clinical experience, the Expert Panel developed evidence- and consensus-based recommendations for healthcare professionals using immunotherapy to treat melanoma, with topics including therapy selection in the advanced and perioperative settings, intratumoral immunotherapy, when to use immunotherapy for patients with BRAFV600-mutated disease, management of patients with brain metastases, evaluation of treatment response, special patient populations, patient education, quality of life, and survivorship, among others.

Patterns of Recurrence of Cutaneous Melanoma: A Literature Review

The incidence of melanoma has been dramatically increasing over the last decades. Melanoma is considered to have a high metastatic potential and it can progress via lymphatic vessels or through hematogenous metastasis. Different patterns of recurrence have been described, namely, local, satellite, and in transit metastasis (LCIT), lymphatic metastasis, and systemic metastasis. With a more advanced melanoma stage at diagnosis, there is a higher risk for systemic metastasis in comparison to LCIT; in contrast, early-stage melanoma tends to recur more frequently as LCIT and less commonly as systematic metastasis. The aim of this review was to summarize the patterns of recurrence of cuta-neous melanoma, giving the clinician a practical summary for diagnosis, prognosis, and surveillance. There is a knowledge gap of the common patterns of recurrence that needs to be addressed to better identify patients at high risk of disease recurrence and personalize surveillance strategies as well as patient counseling.

Impact of clinical and histopathological characteristics on the disease-free survival of stage I-II acral melanoma patients

BACKGROUND

Acral melanoma is rare and associated with a worse prognosis compared to cutaneous melanoma in other locations. Despite this, few studies have focused on the prognosis of acral melanoma, particularly in patients with initial clinical stage. The aim of this study was to assess the impact of clinical and histopathological characteristics on the disease-free survival (DFS) of stage I-II patients.

METHODS

We analyzed 154 stage I-II acral melanoma cases, all of whom underwent a review of the histopathological and clinical parameters. Patients were divided into groups based on the presence or absence of disease recurrence within 5 years. We used Cox proportional regression to analyze independent risk factors and computed DFS curves using the Kaplan-Meier method.

RESULTS

Within 5 years, 27.9% of patients experienced disease recurrence, with 90.4% occurring during the first 3 years. Univariate and multivariate analyses did not identify any clinical parameters with a significant influence on DFS. The DFS rate at 5 years was 72.7%. The median duration of disease recurrence after the initial diagnosis was 21 months. However, Breslow thickness, presence of ulceration, >3 mitosis/mm2 , presence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (TIL), and perineural invasion were significantly associated with a decrease in time to first recurrence.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite the favorable prognosis of stage I-II acral melanoma compared with advance stage, clinical and histopathological characteristics can impact prognosis. In addition to Breslow thickness and ulceration, attention should be paid to mitotic rate, presence of TIL, and perineural invasion to optimize follow-up of acral melanoma patients diagnosed in the initial clinical stage.

Surveillance After a Previous Cutaneous Melanoma Diagnosis: A Scoping Review of Melanoma Follow-Up Guidelines

INTRODUCTION

Cutaneous melanoma accounts for more than 70% of all skin cancer deaths. Follow-up surveillance is an integral part of melanoma patient care, to facilitate early detection of recurrences and subsequent primary melanomas. The purpose of this scoping review is to provide an overview of recently published melanoma surveillance guidelines from regional and national melanoma working groups.

METHODS

A systematic search for relevant studies in MEDLINE and Embase was conducted in September 2022 and was limited to publications from 2010 or later.

RESULTS

A total of 1047 articles were retrieved, and after abstract and full text review, 26 articles from 19 different organizations met inclusion criteria. Life-long annual skin surveillance with a physician was recommended by 53% (9/17) of guidelines. Routine laboratory investigations were recommended by 7/19 guidelines. Regional lymph node ultrasound was recommended by 9/16 guidelines, most often in stage IB or higher, and was optional in 7/16 for patients who met specific criteria. Surveillance with PET-CT or CT and MRI was recommended by 15 and 11 guidelines, respectively, most commonly in stage IIC or higher, with a variable frequency and total duration. Five out of 9 guidelines indicated a preference for skin surveillance to be completed with a dermatologist.

CONCLUSION

Guidelines were highly variable for many aspects of melanoma surveillance, which may be partly attributed to regional differences in healthcare workforce distribution and availability of imaging technologies. Further high-level studies are recommended to provide more evidence on the most effective clinical and imaging follow-up surveillance protocols.

COLUMBUS-AD: phase III study of adjuvant encorafenib + binimetinib in resected stage IIB/IIC BRAF V600-mutated melanoma

Stage IIB/IIC melanoma has a high risk of recurrence after surgical resection. While, for decades, surgery was the only option for high-risk stage II disease in most countries, adjuvant therapies now exist. Anti-programmed cell death protein 1 (PD-1) antibodies significantly improve recurrence-free survival versus placebo in patients with fully resected stage IIB/IIC melanoma. Combined BRAF MEK inhibitor therapy showed benefits in high-risk stage III and advanced disease; however, its role in patients with fully resected stage BRAF-mutated IIB/IIC melanoma is still unknown. Here we describe the rationale and design of the ongoing randomized, placebo-controlled COLUMBUS-AD trial, the first study of a BRAF-MEK inhibitor combination therapy (encorafenib + binimetinib) in patients with BRAF V600-mutated stage IIB/IIC melanoma.

Pembrolizumab for the adjuvant treatment of IIB or IIC melanoma

INTRODUCTION

Up to 30% of patients with stage IIB and 50% of stage IIC melanoma experience recurrence within 5 years after radical surgery. Adjuvant treatment is expected to improve this prognosis.

AREAS COVERED

Pembrolizumab (MK-3475) is a humanized monoclonal antibody that acts against the programmed cell death 1 (PD-1) receptor. Pembrolizumab was first approved in monotherapy for the treatment of unresectable/metastatic melanoma based on the results of the prospective KEYNOTE-001, KEYNOTE-002, and KEYNOTE-006 trials. KEYNOTE-716 is the randomized phase III trial of pembrolizumab treatment in resected stage II melanoma. Treatment with pembrolizumab is statistically significant, reducing the risk of recurrence as well as distant metastases risk after primary tumor resection. Pembrolizumab treatment has a 24-month RFS rate of 81.2% (HR 0.64 vs placebo) and a DMFS rate of 88.1%.

EXPERT OPINION

1-year adjuvant pembrolizumab treatment of stage IIB/C melanoma patients significantly reduces recurrence or death risk. The safety profile of adjuvant treatment is not different from previously reported and is manageable. Longer follow-up is required to fully understand the efficacy and safety of adjuvant therapy for stage II melanoma, as the number of patients needed to treat is twice as high as for stage III patients.

Cost-Effectiveness Analysis of Pembrolizumab as an Adjuvant Treatment of Resected Stage IIB or IIC Melanoma in the United States

INTRODUCTION

Pembrolizumab was approved in the US as adjuvant treatment of patients with stage IIB or IIC melanoma post-complete resection, based on prolonged recurrence-free survival vs. placebo in the Phase 3 KEYNOTE-716 trial. This study aimed to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of pembrolizumab vs. observation as adjuvant treatment of stage IIB or IIC melanoma from a US health sector perspective.

METHODS

A Markov cohort model was constructed to simulate patient transitions among recurrence-free, locoregional recurrence, distant metastasis, and death. Transition probabilities from recurrence-free and locoregional recurrence were estimated via multistate parametric modeling based on patient-level data from an interim analysis (data cutoff date: 04-Jan-2022). Transition probabilities from distant metastasis were based on KEYNOTE-006 data and network meta-analysis. Costs were estimated in 2022 US dollars. Utilities were based on applying US value set to EQ-5D-5L data collected in trial and literature.

RESULTS

Compared to observation, pembrolizumab increased total costs by $80,423 and provided gains of 1.17 quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) and 1.24 life years (LYs) over lifetime, resulting in incremental cost-effectiveness ratios of $68,736/QALY and $65,059/LY. The higher upfront costs of adjuvant treatment were largely offset by reductions in costs of subsequent treatment, downstream disease management, and terminal care, reflecting the lower risk of recurrence with pembrolizumab. Results were robust in one-way sensitivity and scenario analyses. At a $150,000/QALY threshold, pembrolizumab was cost-effective vs. observation in 73.9% of probabilistic simulations that considered parameter uncertainty.

CONCLUSION

As an adjuvant treatment of stage IIB or IIC melanoma, pembrolizumab was estimated to reduce recurrence, extend patients' life and QALYs, and be cost-effective versus observation at a US willingness-to-pay threshold.

A group of three miRNAs can act as candidate circulating biomarkers in liquid biopsies from melanoma patients

Background

Staging of melanoma and follow up after melanoma diagnosis aims at predicting risk and detecting progression or recurrence at early stage, respectively in order to timely start and/or change treatment. Tumor thickness according to Breslow, status of the sentinel node and value of the lactate dehydrogenase (LDH) are well-established prognostic markers for metastatic risk, but reliable biomarkers identifying early recurrence or candidates who may benefit best from medical treatment are still warranted. Liquid biopsy has emerged to be a suitable method for identifying biomarkers for early cancer diagnosis, prognosis, therapeutic response prediction, and patient follow-up. Liquid biopsy is a blood-based non-invasive procedure that allows analyzing circulating analytes, including extracellular vesicles.

Methods

In this study we have explored the use of 7 miRNAs, namely hsa-miR-149-3p, hsa-miR-150-5p, hsa-miR-21-5p, hsa-miR-200c-3p, hsa-miR-134-5p, hsa-miR-144-3p and hsa-miR-221-3p in plasma exosomes to discriminate melanoma patients from controls without melanoma in a cohort of 92 individuals.

Results and discussion

Our results showed that three out seven miRNAs, namely hsa-miR-200c-3p, hsa-miR-144-3p and hsa-miR-221-3p were differentially expressed in plasma-derived exosomes from melanoma patients and controls. Furthermore, the expression of the three miRNAs may be a promising ancillary tool as a melanoma biomarker, even for discriminating between nevi and melanoma.

The "Great Debate" at Melanoma Bridge 2022, Naples, December 1st-3rd, 2022

The Great Debate session at the 2022 Melanoma Bridge congress (December 1-3) featured counterpoint views from leading experts on five contemporary topics of debate in the management of melanoma. The debates considered the choice of anti-lymphocyte-activation gene (LAG)-3 therapy or ipilimumab in combination with anti-programmed death (PD)-1 therapy, whether anti-PD-1 monotherapy is still acceptable as a comparator arm in clinical trials, whether adjuvant treatment of melanoma is still a useful treatment option, the role of adjuvant therapy in stage II melanoma, what role surgery will continue to have in the treatment of melanoma. As is customary in the Melanoma Bridge Great Debates, the speakers are invited by the meeting Chairs to express one side of the assigned debate and the opinions given may not fully reflect personal views. Audiences voted in favour of either side of the argument both before and after each debate.

Pathway Alterations in Stage II/III Primary Melanoma

PURPOSE

Genomic classification of melanoma has thus far focused on the mutational status of BRAF, NRAS, and NF1. The clinical utility of this classification remains limited, and the landscape of alterations in other oncogenic signaling pathways is underexplored.

METHODS

Using primary samples from the InterMEL study, a retrospective cohort of cases with specimens collected from an international consortium with participating institutions throughout the United States and Australia, with oversampling of cases who ultimately died of melanoma, we examined mutual exclusivity and co-occurrence of genomic alterations in 495 stage II/III primary melanomas across 11 cancer pathways. Somatic mutation and copy number alterations were analyzed from next-generation sequencing using a clinical sequencing panel.

RESULTS

Mutations in the RTK-RAS pathway were observed in 81% of cases. Other frequently occurring pathways were TP53 (31%), Cell Cycle (30%), and PI3K (18%). These frequencies are generally lower than was observed in The Cancer Genome Atlas, where the specimens analyzed were predominantly obtained from metastases. Overall, 81% of the cases had at least one targetable mutation. The RTK-RAS pathway was the only pathway that demonstrated strong and statistically significant mutual exclusivity. However, this strong mutual exclusivity signal was evident only for the three common genes in the pathway (BRAF, NRAS, and NF1). Analysis of co-occurrence of different pathways exhibited no positive significant trends. However, interestingly, a high frequency of cases with none of these pathways represented was observed, 8.4% of cases versus 4.0% expected (P < .001). A higher frequency of RTK-RAS singletons (with no other pathway alteration) was observed compared with The Cancer Genome Atlas. Clonality analyses suggest strongly that both the cell cycle and RTK-RAS pathways represent early events in melanogenesis.

CONCLUSION

Our results confirm the dominance of mutations in the RTK-RAS pathway. The presence of many mutations in several well-known, actionable pathways suggests potential avenues for targeted therapy in these early-stage cases.

Fifty years of progress in surgical oncology: Melanoma

This paper outlines the scientific and clinical advances in the treatment of melanoma over the past 50 years. Among the highlights of progress, the dominant themes include evidence-based reduction in the extent and morbidity of surgical procedures in patients with local or regional melanoma without compromising end results, and the introduction of effective systemic therapy, specifically targeted therapy matched to patients based on specific tumor mutations, and immune checkpoint blockade. Management of advanced disease has also changed dramatically, due to improved understanding of the genomic variability of the disease as well as continuing improvements in imaging.

Real-world clinical outcomes of patients with stage IIB or IIC cutaneous melanoma treated at US community oncology clinics

Aim: To describe clinical outcomes after complete surgical resection of stage IIB and IIC melanoma. Methods: Adult patients (n = 567) with stage IIB or IIC cutaneous melanoma initially diagnosed and completely resected from 2008-2017 were identified using data from a US community-based oncology network. Results: Median patient follow-up was 38.8 months from melanoma resection to death, last visit or data cut-off (31 December 2020). For stage IIB (n = 375; 66%), Kaplan-Meier median real-world recurrence-free survival (rwRFS) was 58.6 months (95% CI, 48.6-69.5). For stage IIC (n = 192; 34%), median rwRFS was 29.9 months (24.9-45.5). Overall, 44% of patients had melanoma recurrence or died; 30% developed distant metastases. Conclusion: Melanoma recurrence was common, highlighting the need for effective adjuvant therapy for stage IIB and IIC melanoma.

Clinically Significant Risk Thresholds in the Management of Primary Cutaneous Melanoma: A Survey of Melanoma Experts

BACKGROUND

Risk-based thresholds to guide management are undefined in the treatment of primary cutaneous melanoma but are essential to advance the field from traditional stage-based treatment to more individualized care.

METHODS

To estimate treatment risk thresholds, hypothetical clinical melanoma scenarios were developed and a stratified random sample was distributed to expert melanoma clinicians via an anonymous web-based survey. Scenarios provided a defined 5-year risk of recurrence and asked for recommendations regarding clinical follow-up, imaging, and adjuvant therapy. Marginal probability of response across the spectrum of 5-year recurrence risk was estimated. The risk at which 50% of respondents recommended a treatment was defined as the risk threshold.

RESULTS

The overall response rate was 56% (89/159). Three separate multivariable models were constructed to estimate the recommendations for clinical follow-up more than twice/year, for surveillance cross-sectional imaging at least once/year, and for adjuvant therapy. A 36% 5-year risk of recurrence was identified as the threshold for recommending clinical follow-up more than twice/year. The thresholds for recommending cross-sectional imaging and adjuvant therapy were 30 and 59%, respectively. Thresholds varied with the age of the hypothetical patient: at younger ages they were constant but increased rapidly at ages 60 years and above.

CONCLUSIONS

To our knowledge, these data provide the first estimates of clinically significant treatment thresholds for patients with cutaneous melanoma based on risk of recurrence. Future refinement and adoption of thresholds would permit assessment of the clinical utility of novel prognostic tools and represents an early step toward individualizing treatment recommendations.

Risk and tropism of central nervous system (CNS) metastases in patients with stage II and III cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

Recent data suggest that patients with stage III melanoma are at high risk for developing central nervous system (CNS) metastases. Because a subset of patients with stage II melanoma experiences worse survival outcomes than some patients with stage III disease, the authors investigated the risk of CNS metastasis in stage II melanoma to inform surveillance guidelines for this population.

METHODS

The authors examined clinicopathologic data prospectively collected from 1054 patients who had cutaneous melanoma. The χ² test, the cumulative incidence, and Cox multivariable regression analyses were performed to evaluate the association between baseline characteristics and the development of CNS metastases.

RESULTS

Patients with stage III melanoma had a higher rate of developing brain metastases than those with stage II melanoma (100 of 468 patients [21.4%] vs. 82 of 586 patients [14.0%], respectively; p = .002). However, patients who had stage IIC melanoma had a significantly higher rate of isolated first recurrences in the CNS compared with those who had stage III disease (12.1% vs. 3.6%; p = .002). The risk of ever developing brain metastases was similarly elevated for patients who had stage IIC disease (hazard ratio [HR], 3.16; 95% CI, 1.77-5.66), stage IIIB disease (HR, 2.83; 95% CI, 1.63-4.91), and stage IIIC disease (HR, 2.93; 95% CI, 1.81-4.74), and the risk was highest in patients who had stage IIID disease (HR, 8.59; 95% CI: 4.11-17.97).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with stage IIC melanoma are at elevated risk for first recurrence in the CNS. Surveillance strategies that incorporate serial neuroimaging should be considered for these individuals until more accurate predictive markers can be identified.

Expanded evidence that the 31-gene expression profile test provides clinical utility for melanoma management in a multicenter study

OBJECTIVE

National Comprehensive Cancer Network (NCCN) guidelines for cutaneous melanoma (CM) recommend physicians consider increased surveillance for patients who typically have lower melanoma survival rates (stages IIB-IV as determined by the American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC), 8th edition). However, up to 15% of patients identified as having a low recurrence risk (stages I-IIA) experience disease recurrence, and some patients identified as having a high recurrence risk will not experience any recurrence. The 31-gene expression profile test (31-GEP) stratifies patient recurrence risk into low (Class 1) and high (Class 2) and has demonstrated risk-appropriate impact on disease management and clinical decisions.

METHODS

Five-year plans for lab work, frequency of clinical visits, and imaging pre- and post-31-GEP test results were assessed for a cohort of 509 stage I-III patients following an interim subset analysis of 247 patients.

RESULTS

After receiving 31-GEP results, 50.6% of patients had a change in management plans in at least one of the following categories-clinical visits, lab work, or surveillance imaging. The changes aligned with the risk predicted by the 31-GEP for 76.1% of patients with a Class 1 result and 78.7% of patients with a Class 2 result. A Class 1 31-GEP result was associated with changes toward low-intensity management recommendations, while a Class 2 result was associated with changes toward high-intensity management recommendations.

CONCLUSION

The 31-GEP can stratify patient recurrence risk in patients with CM, and clinicians understand and apply the prognostic ability of the 31-GEP test to alter patient management in risk-appropriate directions.

Follow-up of primary melanoma patients with high risk of recurrence: recommendations based on evidence and consensus

In spite of the good prognosis of patients with early-stage melanoma, there is a substantial proportion of them that develop local or distant relapses. With the introduction of targeted and immune therapies for advanced melanoma, including at the adjuvant setting, early detection of recurrent melanoma and/or second primary lesions is crucial to improve clinical outcomes. However, there is a lack of universal guidelines regarding both frequency of surveillance visits and diagnostic imaging and/or laboratory evaluations. In this article, a multidisciplinary expert panel recommends, after careful review of relevant data in the field, a consensus- and experience-based follow-up strategy for melanoma patients, taking into account prognostic factors and biomarkers and the high-risk periods and patterns of recurrence in each (sub) stage of the disease. Apart from the surveillance intensity, healthcare professionals should focus on patients' education to perform regular self-examinations of the skin and palpation of lymph nodes.

18 F-FDG positron emission tomography-computed tomography has a low positive predictive value for detecting occult recurrence in asymptomatic patients with high-risk Stages IIB, IIC, and IIIA melanoma

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

High recurrence rates of Stages II and IIIA melanoma make close follow-up essential, especially with new adjuvant therapies for metastatic disease. However, there are currently no consensus guidelines for routine imaging for Stages IIB, IIC, and IIIA melanoma. The study's aim is to determine the utility of 18 F-fluorodeoxyglucose (18 F-FDG) positron emission tomography/computed tomography (PET/CT) for detecting asymptomatic recurrence of melanoma after primary surgical resection.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included 158 patients with the American Joint Committee on Cancer 8th edition Stages IIB, IIC, or IIIA cutaneous melanoma who underwent an 18 F-FDG PET/CT from 2010 to 2020. We retrospectively analyzed clinical data after a median follow-up time of 39 months.

RESULTS

We calculated a positive predictive value (PPV) of 32% (95% confidence interval: 11%-53%) for 154 routine PET/CTs, including six true positives and 13 false positives (FPs). PPV was 33% for Stage IIB, 50% for Stage IIC, and 14% for Stage IIIA. FPs were mostly benign or inflammatory foci (75%), and some other malignancies were found (21%).

CONCLUSIONS

This cohort of patients imaged for high-risk melanoma demonstrated a high FP rate and low PPV. These findings suggest that routine surveillance with 18 F-FDG PET/CT may not be indicated for monitoring recurrence in this population.

Acral Lentiginous Melanoma: A United States Multi-Center Substage Survival Analysis

Background

Acral lentiginous melanoma is associated with worse survival than other subtypes of melanoma. Understanding prognostic factors for survival and recurrence can help better inform follow-up care.

Objectives

To analyze the clinicopathologic features, melanoma-specific survival, and recurrence-free survival by substage in a large, multi-institutional cohort of primary acral lentiginous melanoma patients.

Methods

Retrospective review of the United States Melanoma Consortium database, a multi-center prospectively collected database of acral lentiginous melanoma patients treated between January 2000 and December 2017.

Results

Of the 433 primary acral lentiginous melanoma patients identified (median [range] age: 66 [8–97] years; 53% female, 83% white), 66% presented with stage 0–2 disease and the median time of follow-up for the 392 patients included in the survival analysis was 32.5 months (range: 0–259). The 5-year melanoma-specific survivals by stage were 0 = 100%, I = 93.8%, II = 76.2%, III = 63.4%, IIIA = 80.8%, and IV = 0%. Thicker Breslow depth ((HR) = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.05–1.21; P < .001)) and positive nodal status ((HR) = 1.79; 95% CI = 1.00–3.22; P = .050)) were independent prognostic factors for melanoma-specific survival. Breslow depth ((HR = 1.13; 95% CI = 1.07–1.20; P < .001), and positive nodal status (HR = 2.12; 95% CI = 1.38–3.80; P = .001) were also prognostic factors for recurrence-free survival.

Conclusion

In this cohort of patients, acral lentiginous melanoma was associated with poor outcomes even in early stage disease, consistent with prior reports. Stage IIB and IIC disease were associated with particularly low melanoma-specific and recurrence-free survival. This suggests that studies investigating adjuvant therapies in stage II patients may be especially valuable in acral lentiginous melanoma patients.

Canadian Melanoma Conference Recommendations on High-Risk Melanoma Surveillance: A Report from the 14th Annual Canadian Melanoma Conference; Banff, Alberta; 20-22 February 2020

Introduction: There are a lack of established guidelines for the surveillance of high-risk cutaneous melanoma patients following initial therapy. We describe a novel approach to the development of a national expert recommendation statement on high-risk melanoma surveillance (HRS). Methods: A consensus-based, live, online voting process was undertaken at the 13th and 14th annual Canadian Melanoma Conferences (CMC) to collect expert opinions relating to “who, what, where, and when” HRS should be conducted. Initial opinions were gathered via audience participation software and used as the basis for a second iterative questionnaire distributed online to attendees from the 13th CMC and to identified melanoma specialists from across Canada. A third questionnaire was disseminated in a similar fashion to conduct a final vote on HRS that could be implemented. Results: The majority of respondents from the first two iterative surveys agreed on stages IIB to IV as high risk. Surveillance should be conducted by an appropriate specialist, irrespective of association to a cancer centre. Frequency and modality of surveillance favoured biannual visits and Positron Emission Tomography Computed Tomography (PET/CT) with brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) among the systemic imaging modalities available. No consensus was initially reached regarding the frequency of systemic imaging and ultrasound of nodal basins (US). The third iterative survey resolved major areas of disagreement. A 5-year surveillance schedule was voted on with 92% of conference members in agreement. Conclusion: This final recommendation was established following 92% overall agreement among the 2020 CMC attendees.

The Proportion Cured of Patients with Resected Stage II-III Cutaneous Melanoma in Sweden

Simple summary

Patients diagnosed with stage II–III cutaneous melanoma (CM) are at high risk of recurrences, but the CM-specific survival ranges from approximately 40–70%. Here, the cure proportions and survival among uncured stage II–III CM patients were estimated. The 1- and 5-year relative survival ratios, cure proportions and the median survival times of uncured stage II–III CM patients in Sweden (n = 6466) were calculated based on data from the nationwide population-based Swedish Melanoma Register 2005–2013 with a follow-up through 2018. Proportions cured by surgery are low for sub-groups of stage II–III cutaneous melanoma showing that cure analyses can serve as a complement to established survival analyses.

Abstract

Background: Cure proportion represents the proportion of patients who experience the same mortality rate as the general population and can be estimated together with the survival of the proportion experiencing excess mortality (the uncured). The aim was to estimate the cure proportions and survival among uncured stage II–III cutaneous melanoma (CM) patients. Methods: 1- and 5-year relative survival ratios, cure proportions and the median survival times of uncured stage II–III CM patients in Sweden (n = 6466) were calculated based on data from the nationwide population-based Swedish Melanoma Register 2005–2013 with a follow-up through 2018. Results: Stages IIB and IIC showed significant differences in standardized cure proportions vs. stage IIA CM (0.80 (95% CI 0.77–0.83) stage IIA; 0.62 (95% CI 0.59–0.66) stage IIB; 0.42 (95% CI 0.37–0.46) for stage IIC). Significant differences in standardized cure proportions were found for stages IIIB and IIIC-D CM vs. stage IIIA (0.76 (95% CI 0.68–0.84) stage IIIA; 0.52 (95% CI 0.45–0.59) stage IIIB; 0.35 (95% CI 0.30–0.39) for stage IIIC–D). Conclusions: The results are emphasizing the poor prognosis with low proportions cured by surgery only for sub-groups of stage II–III CM, specifically within stages IIB–C CM.

Identification of stage I/IIA melanoma patients at high risk for disease relapse using a clinicopathologic and gene expression model

PURPOSE

Patients with stage I/IIA cutaneous melanoma (CM) are currently not eligible for adjuvant therapies despite uncertainty in relapse risk. Here, we studied the ability of a recently developed model which combines clinicopathologic and gene expression variables (CP-GEP) to identify stage I/IIA melanoma patients who have a high risk for disease relapse.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Archival specimens from a cohort of 837 consecutive primary CMs were used for assessing the prognostic performance of CP-GEP. The CP-GEP model combines Breslow thickness and patient age, with the expression of eight genes in the primary tumour. Our specific patient group, represented by 580 stage I/IIA patients, was stratified based on their risk of relapse: CP-GEP High Risk and CP-GEP Low Risk. The main clinical end-point of this study was five-year relapse-free survival (RFS).

RESULTS

Within the stage I/IIA melanoma group, CP-GEP identified a high-risk patient group (47% of total stage I/IIA patients) which had a considerably worse five-year RFS than the low-risk patient group; 74% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 67%-80%) versus 89% (95% CI: 84%-93%); hazard ratio [HR] = 2.98 (95% CI: 1.78-4.98); P < 0.0001. Of patients in the high-risk group, those who relapsed were most likely to do so within the first 3 years.

CONCLUSION

The CP-GEP model can be used to identify stage I/IIA patients who have a high risk for disease relapse. These patients may benefit from adjuvant therapy.

Recurrence patterns in patients with Stage II melanoma: The evolving role of routine imaging for surveillance

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

The relatively recent availability of effective systemic therapies for metastatic melanoma necessitates reconsideration of current surveillance patterns. Evidence supporting surveillance guidelines for resected Stage II melanoma is lacking. Prior reports note routine imaging detects only 21% of recurrent disease. This study aims to define recurrence patterns for Stage II melanoma to inform future surveillance guidelines.

METHODS

This is a retrospective study of patients with Stage II melanoma. We analyzed risk factors for recurrence and methods of recurrence detection. We also assessed survival. Yearly hazards of recurrence were visualized.

RESULTS

With a median follow-up of 4.9 years, 158 per 580 patients (27.2%) recurred. Overall, most recurrences were patient-detected (60.7%) or imaging-detected (27.3%). Routine imaging was important in detecting recurrence in patients with distant recurrences (adjusted rate 43.1% vs. 9.4% for local/in-transit; p = .04) and with Stage IIC melanoma (42.5% vs. 18.5% for IIA; p = .01). Male patients also self-detected recurrent disease less than females (52.1% vs. 76.8%; p < .01).

CONCLUSIONS

Routine imaging surveillance played a larger role in detecting recurrent disease for select groups in this cohort than noted in prior studies. In an era of effective systemic therapy, routine imaging should be considered for detection of asymptomatic relapse for select, high-risk patient groups.

Correlation of tumor-infiltrating immune cells of melanoma with overall survival by immunogenomic analysis

AIMS

Different types of tumor-infiltrating immune cells not only augment but also dampen antitumor immunity in the microenvironment of melanoma. Therefore, it is critical to provide an overview of tumor-infiltrating immune cells in melanoma and explore a novel strategy for immunotherapies.

METHODS

We analyzed the immune states of different stages in melanoma patients by the immune, stromal, and estimation of stromal and immune cells in malignant tumor tissues using expression data (ESTIMATE) scores. Immune cell types were identified by the estimating relative subsets of RNA transcripts (CIBERSORTx) algorithm in 471 melanoma and 324 healthy tissues. Moreover, we performed a gene set variation analysis (GSVA) to determine the differentially regulated pathways in the tumor microenvironment.

RESULTS

In melanoma cohorts, we found that ESTIMATE and immune scores were involved in survival or tumor clinical stage. Among the 22 immune cells, CD8⁺ T cells, M2 macrophages, and regulatory T cells (Tregs) showed significant differences using the CIBERSORTx algorithm. Furthermore, GSVA identified the immune cell-related pathways; the primary immunodeficiency pathway, intestinal immune network for IgA, and TGF-β pathways were identified as participants of the crosstalk in CD8⁺ T cells, Tregs, and M2 macrophages in the melanoma microenvironment.

CONCLUSION

These results reveal the cellular and molecular characteristics of immune cells in melanoma, providing a method for selecting targets of immunotherapies and promoting the efficacy of therapies for the treatment of melanoma.

Epidemiology and survival outcomes in stages II and III cutaneous melanoma: a systematic review

Aim

Management of cutaneous melanoma (CM) is continually evolving with adjuvant treatment of earlier stage disease. The aim of this review was to identify published epidemiological data for stages II-III CM.

Materials & methods

Systematic searches of Medline and Embase were conducted to identify literature reporting country/region-specific incidence, prevalence, survival or mortality outcomes in stage II and/or III CM. Screening was carried out by two independent reviewers.

Results & conclusion

Of 41 publications, 14 described incidence outcomes (incidence rates per stage were only reported for US and Swedish studies), 33 reported survival or mortality outcomes and none reported prevalence data. This review summarizes relevant data from published literature and highlights an overall paucity of epidemiological data in stages II and III CM.

The course of stage III melanoma in accordance with the severity of node involvement

Objectives: Pathological stage III melanoma patients have variable clinical presentation and outcome when divided by substages, and the number of metastatic lymph nodes is the most significant independent factor. We aimed to determine the clinical features and natural course of node positive melanoma, such as first relapse and final outcome, and other factors influencing them. Methods: A total of 362 node positive melanoma patients were included in the study and reviewed retrospectively. Results: Cases were as follows: N1 (56.6%); N2 (27.1%); and N3 (16.3%). Lymphovascular invasion was found significant among node positive subtypes; it was predominant in patients with involvement of two or more nodes (p < .05). The majority of the relapses were locoregional alone (43.4%) and distant alone (31.3%). The lung/pleura was the most frequently metastasized site (32.1%). Time to relapse was the longest for N1 (20.8 months) (p < .05). Five and 10 year relapse-free survival (RFS) rates were 40% and 38%, respectively. Nodular histopathology, ulcerated lesion and higher mitotic rates carried worse RFS for all patients and also for N1. Five- and 10 year overall survival (OS) rates were 49% and 40%, respectively. Older age, nodular histopathology, higher mitotic rates and relapse of disease (p = .001) were the independent variables that were inversely correlated with OS for all patients. Conclusion: Comparative analyses of node positive melanoma suggested that there was not only a remarkable heterogeneity in the recurrence and survival rates but also a distinctive pattern among independent prognostic indicators in accordance with the severity of nodal involvement.

Surveillance imaging for metastasis in high-risk melanoma: importance in individualized patient care and survivorship

Most patients newly diagnosed with melanoma have early-stage disease considered of good prognosis. However, with a risk of recurrence, appropriate follow-up may include surveillance imaging for early relapse detection. Previously, surveillance imaging to detect recurrences was considered unjustified, given the lack of effective treatments. Now, systemic therapies have improved, and patients with low tumor burden may derive benefit from surveillance imaging. Despite this, controversy exists regarding the role of surveillance imaging in early-stage melanoma survivorship, in part reflected by the lack of consensus on specific imaging protocols and broad guidelines. This review discusses published evidence on surveillance imaging to detect metastasis in high-risk melanoma, the need for early recurrence detection and implications for value-based clinical decision-making, survivorship care and multidisciplinary patient management.

Current controversies in early-stage melanoma: Questions on management and surveillance

There are a number of controversies and uncertainties relating to the management and surveillance of patients with early-stage, localized (ie, stage 0, I, and II) cutaneous melanoma. While tumor stage is a critical predictor of clinical outcome and guides treatment, accurate determination of stage may be affected by the biopsy technique used and the method of sectioning before histologic review. A new molecular prognostic test is available but has not been formally incorporated into staging or treatment guidelines. There are no randomized controlled clinical trials to support guidelines for surveillance following the treatment of early-stage melanoma. In the second article in this continuing medical education series, we review the controversies and uncertainties relating to these issues. The questions we address are controversial because they speak to clinical scenarios for which there are no evidence-based guidelines or randomized clinical trials with the consequence of considerable variability in clinical practice. Our goal is to provide the clinician with up-to-date contextual knowledge to appreciate the multiple sides of each controversy and to suggest pathways to resolution.

Development and validation of a nomogram to predict recurrence and melanoma-specific mortality in patients with negative sentinel lymph nodes

Background

Patients with melanoma and negative sentinel nodes (SNs) have varying outcomes, dependent on several prognostic factors. Considering all these factors in a prediction model might aid in identifying patients who could benefit from a personalized treatment strategy. The objective was to construct and validate a nomogram for recurrence and melanoma‐specific mortality (MSM) in patients with melanoma and negative SNs.

Methods

A total of 3220 patients with negative SNs were identified from a cohort of 4124 patients from four EORTC Melanoma Group centres who underwent sentinel lymph node biopsy. Prognostic factors for recurrence and MSM were studied with Cox regression analysis. Significant factors were incorporated in the models. Performance was assessed by discrimination (c‐index) and calibration in cross‐validation across the four centres. A nomogram was developed for graphical presentation.

Results

There were 3180 eligible patients. The final prediction model for recurrence and the calibrated model for MSM included three independent prognostic factors: ulceration, anatomical location and Breslow thickness. The c‐index was 0·74 for recurrence and 0·76 for the calibrated MSM model. Cross‐validation across the four centres showed reasonable model performance. A nomogram was developed based on these models. One‐third of the patients had a 5‐year recurrence probability of 8·2 per cent or less, and one‐third had a recurrence probability of 23·0 per cent or more.

Conclusion

A nomogram for predicting recurrence and MSM in patients with melanoma and negative SNs was constructed and validated. It could provide personalized estimates useful for tailoring surveillance strategies (reduce or increase intensity), and selection of patients for adjuvant therapy or clinical trials.

Could personalize care

Relapse patterns in patients with local and regional cutaneous melanoma

BACKGROUND

The differences in features and risk factors for recurrence after definitive surgical excision are yet to be determined. The aim of this study was to understand these factors influencing recurrence patterns with local and regional disease in these patients.

METHODS

A total of 365 relapsed patients, of whom 196 presented with local disease (stage I-II) and 169 with regional disease (stage III), were investigated in this retrospective study.

RESULTS

The median time to initial recurrence for stage I-II and stage III patients was 22.3 and 13.4 months, respectively. Stage III patients were found to have higher Clark levels (p = 0.0001) and thicker lesions (p = 0.0001), and they were more significantly associated with the absence of tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (p = 0.02) than stage I-II patients. Stage III patients were more significantly associated with recurrences compared to the stage I-II patients (p = 0.0001). Locoregional relapses were significantly associated with stage I-II melanomas, whereas majority of the distant metastases occurred in stage III patients (p = 0.01). Pulmonary metastasis was most frequently observed and the distribution of the sites for distant metastases was similar in both groups of the patients. On univariate analysis, male sex, increased tumor depth, presence of ulceration, nodular histopathology, higher Clark level, higher mitotic rate, and presence of lymphovascular invasions were found to predict shorter time to relapse for stage I-II patients; whereas only nodular pathology, presence of ulceration, and high mitotic rate were found to be associated with poor relapse-free survival in stage III patients. However, on multivariate analysis, only mitotic rate maintained its significance for both clinical staging groups.

CONCLUSION

Potential differences among early-stage melanoma patients, who developed recurrence, were noted and mitotic rate was found as the single significant prognostic factor for recurrence in both stage I-II and III patients.

Surveillance strategies in the follow-up of melanoma patients: too much or not enough?

BACKGROUND

After appropriate initial therapy for patients with stage II-III melanoma, there is no consensus regarding surveillance. Thus, follow-up is highly variable among institutions and individual providers. The National Comprehensive Cancer Network recommends routine clinical examination and consideration of imaging for stage IIB-IIIC every 3-12 mo with no distinction between stages. Detection of recurrence is important as novel systemic therapies and surgical resection of recurrence may provide survival benefits.

METHODS

We retrospectively reviewed 369 patients with stage II and III melanoma treated at Ohio State University from 2009-2015, who underwent surgery as primary therapy. Two hundred forty-seven patients who were followed for a minimum of 6 mo after surgical resection to achieve no evidence of disease status (NED) were included in this analysis. One hundred twenty-two were lost to follow-up after surgery and were excluded.

RESULTS

The rate of recurrence for stage IIA/IIB patients was 11% (14/125). Eleven of the 14 (79%) recurrences were detected by clinical symptoms or physical examination. Thirty-nine percent (49/125) of stage IIA or IIB patients were followed by clinical examination only, whereas 61% (76/125) were followed with at least two serial chest x-rays. The median time to first chest x-ray after NED status was 4.7 mo (n = 76), median time to second chest x-ray after NED status was 12.7 mo (n = 76), and 66% (50/76) continued to have additional serial chest x-rays. At median follow-up of 35 mo for the 125 patients with stage IIA/IIB, there was no difference in survival between those followed clinically (95% [95% CI: 0.88-0.99]) versus those followed with at least two serial x-rays (96% [95% CI: 0.89-0.98]). For stage IIC/IIIA-C patients, recurrence was detected in 23% (28/122) at median follow-up 31.2 mo. Fifty percent of recurrences were detected by imaging in asymptomatic patients, whereas 50% (14/28) had recurrence detected on imaging associated clinical findings. Eighty-seven percent (106/122) of stage IIC/IIIA-C patients were followed with at least two serial whole body positron emission tomography/computed tomography (CT) scans or whole body CT scans plus brain magnetic resonance imaging; median time between NED status and second scan was 10.3 mo. Of stage IIC/IIIA-C patients with recurrence, 57% (16/28) went on to surgical resection of the recurrence, whereas 11 (39%) patients received B-RAF inhibitor therapy, immune blockade therapy, or combination therapy.

CONCLUSIONS

For stage IIA and IIB melanoma, surveillance chest x-rays did not improve survival compared to physical examination alone. However, for stage IIC and IIIA-C melanoma, where the recurrence rates are higher, routine whole body imaging detected 50% of recurrences leading to additional surgery and/or treatment with novel systemic therapies for the majority of patients. Detection of melanoma recurrence is important and specific substage should be used to stratify risk and define appropriate follow-up.