Analysis of Temporal Variability in the Short-term Effects of Ambient Air Pollutants on Nonaccidental Mortality in Rome, Italy (1998-2014)

Temporal variations in the short-term effects of ambient air pollution on cardiovascular and respiratory mortality: a pooled analysis of 380 urban areas over a 22-year period

BACKGROUND

Ambient air pollution, including particulate matter (such as PM10 and PM2·5) and nitrogen dioxide (NO2), has been linked to increases in mortality. Whether populations' vulnerability to these pollutants has changed over time is unclear, and studies on this topic do not include multicountry analysis. We evaluated whether changes in exposure to air pollutants were associated with changes in mortality effect estimates over time.

METHODS

We extracted cause-specific mortality and air pollution data collected between 1995 and 2016 from the Multi-Country Multi-City (MCC) Collaborative Research Network database. We applied a two-stage approach to analyse the short-term effects of NO2, PM10, and PM2·5 on cause-specific mortality using city-specific time series regression analyses and multilevel random-effects meta-analysis. We assessed changes over time using a longitudinal meta-regression with time as a linear fixed term and explored potential sources of heterogeneity and two-pollutant models.

FINDINGS

Over 21·6 million cardiovascular and 7·7 million respiratory deaths in 380 cities across 24 countries over the study period were included in the analysis. All three air pollutants showed decreasing concentrations over time. The pooled results suggested no significant temporal change in the effect estimates per unit exposure of PM10, PM2·5, or NO2 and mortality. However, the risk of cardiovascular mortality increased from 0·37% (95% CI -0·05 to 0·80) in 1998 to 0·85% (0·55 to 1·16) in 2012 with a 10 μg/m3 increase in PM2·5. Two-pollutant models generally showed similar results to single-pollutant models for PM fractions and indicated temporal differences for NO2.

INTERPRETATION

Although air pollution levels decreased during the study period, the effect sizes per unit increase in air pollution concentration have not changed. This observation might be due to the composition, toxicity, and sources of air pollution, as well as other factors, such as socioeconomic determinants or changes in population distribution and susceptibility.

FUNDING

None.

Impacts of daily household activities on indoor particulate and NO2 concentrations; a case study from oxford UK

This study explores indoor air pollutant (PM1, PM2.5 and NO2) concentrations over a 15-week period during the COVID-19 pandemic in a typical suburban household in Oxford, UK. A multi-room intensive monitoring study was conducted in a single dwelling using 10 air quality sensors measuring real-time pollutant concentrations at 10 second intervals to assess temporal and spatial variability in PM1, PM2.5 and NO2 concentrations, identify pollution-prone areas, and investigate the impact of residents' activities on indoor air quality. Significant spatial variations in PM concentrations were observed within the study dwelling, with highest hourly concentrations (769.0 & 300.9 μg m-3 for PM2.5, and PM1, respectively) observed in the upstairs study room, which had poor ventilation. Cooking activities were identified as a major contributor to indoor particulate pollution, with peak concentrations aligning with cooking events. Indoor NO2 levels were typically higher than outdoor levels, particularly in the kitchen where a gas-cooking appliance was used. There was no significant association observed between outdoor and indoor PM concentrations; however, a clear correlation was evident between kitchen PM emissions and indoor levels. Similarly, outdoor NO2 had a limited influence on indoor air quality compared to kitchen activities. Indoor sources were found to dominate for both PM and NO2, with higher Indoor/Outdoor (I/O) ratios observed in the upstairs bedroom and the kitchen. Overall, our findings highlight the contribution of indoor air pollutant sources and domestic activities to indoor air pollution exposure, notably during the COVID-19 pandemic when people were typically spending more time in domestic settings. Our novel findings, which suggest high levels of pollutant concentrations in upstairs (first floor) rooms, underscore the necessity for targeted interventions. These interventions include the implementation of source control measures, effective ventilation strategies and occupant education for behaviour change, all aimed at improving indoor air quality and promoting healthier living environments.

The impact of fine particulate matter on chronic obstructive pulmonary disease deaths in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, during a long period of air quality improvement

Chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (COPD) deaths attributed to fine particulate matter (with an aerodynamic equivalent diameter <2.5 μm, PM2.5) exposure are a common global public health concern. Recent improvements in air quality and the corresponding health benefits have received much attention. Thus, we have explored the trends of PM2.5 pollution improvement on COPD deaths during an important period of air pollution control (2008-2017) in Pudong New Area, Shanghai, China. Data, including daily COPD death counts, meteorological variables, and ambient air pollutants, were collected from 2008 to 2017. Generalized additive models were fitted to evaluate the percent change (%) in pollution-related COPD deaths. The results showed that the number of days with daily PM2.5 concentrations <35 μg/m3 increased from 19 days (5.19%) in 2008 to 166 days (45.48%) in 2017, and PM2.5 concentrations >75 μg/m3 decreased from 222 days (60.66%) in 2008 to 33 days (9.04%) in 2017. The associations in the overall period between 2008 and 2017 was significant. In subperiod analysis, each 10 μg/m3 increment in PM2.5 was associated with a percent change (%) of 0.89 (95% confidence interval [CI], 0.37, 1.42) at lag 5 and 0.78 (95% CI, 0.26, 1.30) at lag 6 during 2008-2013. Significant results were also found at lag 0-5 [percent change (%), 1.12 (95% CI, 0.09, 2.17)], lag 0-6 [percent change (%), 1.52 (95% CI, 0.43, 2.62)] and lag 0-7 [percent change (%), 1.72 (95% CI, 0.57, 2.88)] during 2008-2013. By contrast, no significant association was found between 2014 and 2017. In conclusion, the decreased COPD deaths associated with PM2.5 exposure were found, especially after the air quality improvement turning point in 2014.

The spatial-temporal effect of air pollution on individuals' reported health and its variation by ethnic groups in the United Kingdom: a multilevel longitudinal analysis

BACKGROUND

Air pollution is associated with poor health; though it is unclear whether this association is stronger for ethnic minorities compared to the rest of the population. This study uses longitudinal data to investigate the spatial-temporal effect of air pollution on individuals' reported health and its variation by ethnicity in the United-Kingdom (UK).

METHODS

Longitudinal individual-level data from Understanding Society: the UK Household Longitudinal Study including 67,982 adult individuals with 404,264 repeated responses over 11 years (2009-2019) were utilized and were linked to yearly concentrations of NO₂, SO₂, and particulate-matter (PM10, PM2.5) pollution once at the local authority and once at the census Lower Super Output Area (LSOA) of residence for each individual. This allows for analysis at two geographical scales over time. The association between air pollution and individuals' health (Likert scale: 1-5, Excellent to poor) and its variation by ethnicity was assessed using three-level mixed-effects ordered logistic models. Analysis distinguished between spatial (between areas) and temporal (across time within each area) effects of air pollution on health.

RESULTS

Higher concentrations of NO₂, SO₂, PM10, and PM2.5 pollution were associated with poorer health. Decomposing air pollution into between (spatial: across local authorities or LSOAs) and within (temporal: across years within each local authority or LSOA) effects showed a significant between effect for NO₂ and SO₂ pollutants at both geographical scales, while a significant between effect for PM10 and PM2.5 was shown only at the LSOAs level. No significant within effects were detected at an either geographical level. Indian, Pakistani/Bangladeshi, Black/African/Caribbean and other ethnic groups and non-UK-born individuals reported poorer health with increasing concentrations of NO₂, SO₂, PM10, and PM2.5 pollutants in comparison to the British-white and UK-born individuals.

CONCLUSION

Using longitudinal data on individuals' health linked with air pollution data at two geographical scales (local authorities and LSOAs), this study supports the presence of a spatial-temporal association between air pollution and poor self-reported health, which is stronger for ethnic minorities and foreign-born individuals in the UK, partly explained by location-specific differences. Air pollution mitigation is necessary to improve individuals' health, especially for ethnic minorities who are affected the most.

Long-term trends in mortality risk associated with short-term exposure to air pollution in 10 Japanese cities between 1977 and 2015

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Short-term associations between air pollution and mortality have been well reported in Japan, but the historical changes in mortality risk remain unknown. We examined temporal changes in the mortality risks associated with short-term exposure to four criteria air pollutants in selected Japanese cities.

METHODS

We collected daily mortality data for non-accidental causes (n = 5,748,206), cardiovascular (n = 1,938,743) and respiratory diseases (n = 777,266), and air pollutants (sulfur dioxide [SO₂], nitrogen dioxide [NO₂], suspended particulate matter [SPM], and oxidants [Ox]) in 10 cities from 1977 to 2015. We performed two-stage analysis with 5-year stratification to estimate the relative risk (RR) of mortality per 10-unit increase in the 2-day moving average of air pollutant concentrations. In the first stage, city-specific associations were assessed using a quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression model. In the second stage, city-specific estimates were pooled using a random-effects meta-analysis. Linear trend and ratio of relative risks (RRR) were computed to examine temporal changes.

RESULTS

When stratifying the analysis by every 5 years, average concentrations in each sub-period decreased for SO₂, NO₂, and SPM (14.2-2.3 ppb, 29.4-17.5 ppb, 52.1-20.6 μg/m³, respectively) but increased for Ox (29.1-39.1 ppb) over the study period. We found evidence of a negative linear trend in the risk of cardiovascular mortality associated with SPM across sub-periods. However, the risks of non-accidental and respiratory mortality per 10-unit increase in SPM concentration were significantly higher in the most recent period than in the earliest period. Other gaseous pollutants did not show such temporal risk change. The risks posed by these pollutants were slightly to moderately heterogeneous in the different cities.

CONCLUSIONS

The mortality risks associated with short-term exposure to SPM changed, with different trends by cause of death, in 10 cities over 39 years whereas the risks for other gaseous pollutants were relatively stable.

Has the Risk of Outpatient Visits for Allergic Rhinitis, Related to Short-Term Exposure to Air Pollution, Changed over the Past Years in Beijing, China?

A number of studies have found associations between the short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and hospital admissions. However, little is known about the temporal variations in ambient air pollution associated with health exposure, especially in China. We evaluated whether the risks of allergic rhinitis (AR) outpatient visits from short-term exposure to air pollution varied over time (2014-2020) in Beijing, China. A quasi-Poisson generalized additive model was used to evaluate the relative risks (RRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) associated with the pollutant concentrations during the entire study period and three specific periods. We also analyzed the temporal variations of the period-specific associations and tested the trend of change using the Mann-Kendall test. The concentration-response relationships for the specific periods were further investigated. The RRs (95%CI) for an interquartile range (IQR) increased in PM₁₀ (70 μg/m³) and CO (0.5 mg/m³) decreased from period 1 to period 3. However, The RRs (95%CI) of PM_2.5 (55 μg/m³), SO₂ (7 μg/m³) and NO₂ (27 μg/m³) increased from 1.015 (0.978, 1.054), 1.027 (1.009, 1.044) and 1.086 (1.037, 1.137) in period 1 to 1.069 (1.005, 1.135), 1.074 (1.003, 1.149) and 1.214 (1.149, 1.282) in period 3, respectively. A statistically significant temporal change and the stable effects were observed between the NO₂ exposure and AR visits over time. Despite a substantial reduction in ambient air pollution, the short-term effects on AR outpatient visits remained significant. Our findings provide a rationale for continued air pollution control efforts in the future to minimize air pollution and to protect the public.

Temporal Heterogeneity of Short-Term Effects of Particulate Matter on Stroke Outpatients in Seven Major Cities of the Republic of Korea

Although particulate matter (PM) is a major risk factor for stroke, its effects on hospital outpatients admitted for stroke have not been documented in Korea. In addition, recent studies have reported that the effects of PM₁₀ on circulatory mortality changed over time. We aimed to estimate the effects of PM₁₀ on stroke and their temporal heterogeneity in seven major cities of Korea during the period 2002-2015. The study period was divided into five years of moving time windows, and city-specific PM₁₀ effects on ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke outpatients were calculated. We pooled the estimates using meta-analysis and plotted them into a sequence to identify their temporal trends. A 10 µg/m³ increase of PM₁₀ was significantly associated with increments in hospital outpatients admitted for ischemic stroke (0.24%, 95% CI: 0.04%, 0.44%), but not for hemorrhagic stroke (0.33%, 95% CI: -0.06%, 0.73%). Effect estimates for strokes increased during the period 2003-2013 but decreased after. For the first time, we have estimated the effects of PM₁₀ on hospital outpatients admitted for stroke in Korea. The observed temporal trend in PM₁₀ effects was similar to patterns of circulatory mortality, suggesting that the temporal heterogeneity in PM₁₀ effects might be due to systematic causes rather than random fluctuations.

Temporal variations of short-term associations between PM10 and NO2 concentrations and emergency department visits in Shanghai, China 2008-2019

Levels and constituents of ambient air pollution have substantially changed in China over the last decade. Such changes may lead to the variations in health effects of air pollution. Very limited studies, however, have investigated the temporal variations in health effects of air pollution on a long-term scale, especially in China. We evaluated the temporal variations in short-term associations between PM₁₀ and NO₂ concentrations and emergency department (ED) visits during a 12-year period from 2008 to 2019 in Shanghai, China. A quasi-Poisson generalized linear regression was performed to assess the associations between PM₁₀ and NO₂ concentrations and ED visits during entire study period and three specific periods. We evaluated the temporal variations of period-specific associations with an interaction variable between pollutant concentrations and period indicators. We further investigated the concentration-response relationships for specific periods. The effects on specific subpopulations (males and females; 18-65 years old and >65 years old) were also examined. A 10 μg/m³ increase of PM₁₀ and NO₂ corresponded to 0.48% (95% CI: 0.36%, 0.59%) and 1.51% (95% CI: 1.25%, 1.78%) increase in ED visits at lag0-7 day for entire study period, respectively. The short-term associations between ED visits and NO₂ remained unchanged over time (P-value > 0.05), while the effects from PM₁₀ were significantly inconsistent (P-value < 0.05), with the highest effect observed during the intermediate period of 2012-2015 and the lowest effect observed during the initial period of 2008-2011. Similar temporal trends were found in subgroups, except for elderly group. Despite substantial reduction in ambient PM₁₀ and NO₂ concentrations, the short-term effects on ED visits for NO₂ remained stable and even increased for PM₁₀. More efforts were needed to reduce harmful components in air pollution mixture to reduce the health hazards of air pollution.

Effects of different heat exposure patterns (accumulated and transient) and schizophrenia hospitalizations: a time-series analysis on hourly temperature basis

Growing studies have shown that high temperature is a potential risk factor of schizophrenia occurrence. Therefore, elaborate analysis of different temperature exposure patterns, such as cumulative heat exposure within a time period and transient exposure at a particular time point, is of important public health significance. This study aims to utilize hourly temperature data to better capture the effects of cumulative and transient heat exposures on schizophrenia during the warm season in Hefei, China. We included the daily mean temperature and daily schizophrenia hospitalizations into the distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to simulate the exposure-response curve and determine the heat threshold (19.4 °C). We calculated and applied a novel indicator-daily excess hourly heat (DEHH)-to examine the effects of cumulative heat exposure over a day on schizophrenia hospitalizations. Temperature measurements at each time point were also incorporated in the DLNM as independent exposure indicators to analyze the impact of transient heat exposure on schizophrenia. Each increment of interquartile range (IQR) in DEHH was associated with elevated risk of schizophrenia hospitalizations from lag 1 (RR = 1.036, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.016, 1.057) to lag 4 (RR = 1.025, 95% CI: 1.005, 1.046). Men and people over 40 years old were more susceptible to DEHH. Besides, we found a greater risk of heat-related schizophrenia hospitalizations between 0 a.m. and 6 a.m. This study revealed the adverse effects of accumulated and transient heat exposures on schizophrenia hospitalizations. Our findings need to be further tested in other regions with distinct regional features.

Short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide and mortality: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Ambient air pollution has been characterized as a leading cause of mortality worldwide and has been associated with cardiovascular and respiratory diseases. There is increasing evidence that short-term exposure to nitrogen dioxide (NO₂), is related to adverse health effects and mortality.

METHODS

We conducted a systematic review of short-term NO₂ and daily mortality, which were indexed in PubMed and Embase up to June 2021. We calculated random-effects estimates by different continents and globally, and tested for heterogeneity and publication bias.

RESULTS

We included 87 articles in our quantitative analysis. NO₂ and all-cause as well as cause-specific mortality were positively associated in the main analysis. For all-cause mortality, a 10 ppb increase in NO₂ was associated with a 1.58% (95%CI 1.28%-1.88%, I² = 96.3%, Eggers' test p < 0.01, N = 57) increase in the risk of death. For cause-specific mortality, a 10 ppb increase in NO₂ was associated with a 1.72% (95%CI 1.41%-2.04%, I² = 87.4%, Eggers' test p < 0.01, N = 42) increase in cardiovascular mortality and a 2.05% (95%CI 1.52%-2.59%, I² = 78.5%, Eggers' test p < 0.01, N = 38) increase in respiratory mortality. In the sensitivity analysis, the meta-estimates for all-cause mortality, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality were nearly identical. The heterogeneity would decline to varying degrees through regional and study-design stratification.

CONCLUSIONS

This study provides evidence of an association between short-term exposure to NO₂, a proxy for traffic-sourced air pollutants, and all-cause, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality.

Associations between air pollutant exposure and renal function: A prospective study of older adults without chronic kidney disease

We used real-world exposure scenarios to evaluate the effect of six ambient air pollutant (PM_2.5, PM₁₀, NO₂, SO₂, CO, and O₃) exposure on renal function among older adults without chronic kidney disease (CKD). We recruited 169 older adults without CKD in Beijing, China, for a longitudinal study from 2016 to 2018. The Modification of Diet in Renal Disease (MDRD) and the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology Collaboration (EPI) equations were employed to derive the estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR). A linear mixed-effects model with random intercepts for participants was employed to determine the effects of air pollutants on renal function evaluated on the basis of eGFR and urinary albumin/creatinine ratio at different exposure windows (1-, 2-, 3-, 5-, 7-, 14-, 28-, 45-, and 60-days moving averages). An interquartile range (IQR) increase in NO₂ for was associated with significant decreases of in eGFR (MDRD equation) [percentage changes: -4.49 (95% confidence interval: -8.44, -0.37), -5.51 (-10.43, -0.33), -2.26 (-4.38, -0.08), -3.71 (-6.67, -0.65), -5.44 (-9.58, -1.11), -5.50 (-10.24, -0.51), -6.15 (-10.73, -1.33), and -6.34 (-11.17, -1.25) for 1-, 2-, 5-, 7-, 14-, 28-, 45-, and 60-days moving averages, respectively] and in eGFR (EPI equation) [percentage changes: -5.04 (-7.09, -2.94), -6.25 (-8.81, -3.62), -5.16 (-7.34, -2.92), -5.10 (-7.85, -2.28), -5.83 (-8.23, -3.36), -6.04 (-8.55, -3.47) for 1-, 2-, 14-, 28-, 45-, and 60-days moving averages, respectively]. In two-pollutant model, only the association of NO₂ exposure with eGFR remained robust after adjustment for any other pollutant. This association was stronger for individuals with hypertension for the EPI equation or BMI <25 kg/m² for the MDRD equation at lags 1 and 1-2. Our findings suggest that NO₂ exposure is associated with eGFR reduction among older adults without CKD for short (1-, 2-days) and medium (14-, 28-, 45-, 60-days) term exposure periods; thus, NO₂ exposure may contribute to renal impairment.

Short-Term Exposure to Ambient Air Pollution and Increased Emergency Room Visits for Skin Diseases in Beijing, China

Skin diseases have become a global concern. This study aims to evaluate the associations between ambient air pollution and emergency room visits for skin diseases under the background of improving air quality in China. Based on 45,094 cases from a general hospital and fixed-site monitoring environmental data from 2014–2019 in Beijing, China, this study used generalized additive models with quasi-Poisson regression to estimate the exposure–health associations at lag 0–1 to lag 0–7. PM_2.5 and NO₂ exposure were associated with increased emergency room visits for total skin diseases (ICD10: L00-L99). Positive associations of PM_2.5, PM₁₀, O₃ and NO₂ with dermatitis/eczema (ICD-10: L20–30), as well as SO₂ and NO₂ with urticaria (ICD-10: L50) visits were also found. For instance, a 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 was associated with increases of 0.7% (95%CI: 0.2%, 1.2%) in total skin diseases visits at lag 0–5 and 1.1% (95%CI: 0.6%, 1.7%) in dermatitis/eczema visits at lag 0–1, respectively. For PM_2.5, PM₁₀ and CO, stronger annual associations were typically observed in the high-pollution (2014) and low-pollution (2018/2019) years. For instance, a 10 μg/m³ increase in PM_2.5 at lag 0–5 was associated with increases of 1.8% (95%CI: 1.0%, 2.6%) and 2.3% (95%CI: 0.4%, 4.3%) in total skin disease visits in 2014 and 2018, respectively. Our study emphasizes the necessity of controlling the potential health hazard of air pollutants on skin, although significant achievements in air quality control have been made in China.

Temporal trends of the association between extreme temperatures and hospitalisations for schizophrenia in Hefei, China from 2005 to 2014

OBJECTIVE

We aimed to examine the temporal trends of the association between extreme temperature and schizophrenia (SCZ) hospitalisations in Hefei, China.

METHODS

We collected time-series data on SCZ hospitalisations for 10 years (2005-2014), with a total of 36 607 cases registered. We used quasi-Poisson regression and distributed lag non-linear model (DLNM) to assess the association between extreme temperature (cold and heat) and SCZ hospitalisations. A time-varying DLNM was then used to explore the temporal trends of the association between extreme temperature and SCZ hospitalisations in different periods. Subgroup analyses were conducted by age (0-39 and 40+ years) and gender, respectively.

RESULTS

We found that extreme cold and heat significantly increased the risk of SCZ hospitalisations (cold: 1st percentile of temperature 1.19 (95% CI 1.04 to 1.37) and 2.5th percentile of temperature 1.16 (95% CI 1.03 to 1.31); heat: 97.5th percentile of temperature 1.37 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.66) and 99th percentile of temperature 1.38 (95% CI 1.13 to 1.69)). We found a slightly decreasing trend in heat-related SCZ hospitalisations and a sharp increasing trend in cold effects from 2005 to 2014. However, the risk of heat-related hospitalisation has been rising since 2008. Stratified analyses showed that age and gender had different modification effects on temporal trends.

CONCLUSIONS

The findings highlight that as temperatures rise the body's adaptability to high temperatures may be accompanied by more threats from extreme cold. The burden of cold-related SCZ hospitalisations may increase in the future.

Temporal variations of short-term effects of particulate matter on hospital admissions in the most densely populated city in Thailand

Short-term effects of ambient particulate matter (PM) on daily hospital admissions have been comprehensively elucidated, but very few studies evaluated the temporal variations of ambient PM associated with hospital admissions, especially in developing countries. This study aimed to explore the temporal changes of the short-term effects of PM₁₀ on hospital admissions in Bangkok, Thailand from 2006 to 2014. The overdispersed Poisson regression model was applied to related daily PM₁₀ concentrations to daily cardiovascular and respiratory hospital admissions by adjusting for temperature, humidity, long-term trend and seasonality, day of the week, public holiday, and population dynamics. The temporal variations of the effects of PM₁₀ on hospital admissions were assessed by adding an interaction term between PM₁₀ concentration and predefined time periods into the model. The relative risks per 10 μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ were 1.0092 (95% CI: 1.0046, 1.0138) for cardiovascular admissions at lag 0-3 day and 1.0209 (95% CI: 1.0145, 1.0273) for respiratory admissions at lag 0-7 day over the entire study period. Despite non-homogenous decreasing trends in annual PM₁₀ concentrations during the study period, the effects of PM₁₀ on cardiovascular and respiratory admissions remained significant and even showed an increasing trend for cardiovascular admissions. Specifically, the relative risks of cardiovascular admission per 10 μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ were 1.0050 (95% CI: 0.9965, 1.0135), 1.0086 (95% CI: 1.0000, 1.0174), and 1.0103 (95% CI: 1.0041, 1.0165) for the period of 2006-2008, 2009-2011, and 2012-2014, respectively (p-value for interaction <0.01). This finding indicated that estimated effects of PM₁₀ on cardiovascular admissions significantly changed over time, speculating that the composition of PM₁₀ might have changed and introduced the alterations of overall toxicity of PM₁₀. Therefore, the efforts on air pollution control need to be continued to reduce health effects of PM₁₀ in the future.

Short-Term Associations of Nitrogen Dioxide (NO2) on Mortality in 18 French Cities, 2010–2014

We present an analysis of short-term associations between ambient NO2 and mortality according to cause, age-group, and period (cold and warm) in 18 areas in metropolitan France for the 2010–2014 period. Associations were estimated in each area using a generalized additive Poisson regression model, and effects were summarized in a meta-analysis. The percentage increase in mortality rate was estimated for a 10 µg m−3 increase in the NO2 level in each area for each complete calendar year and for cold (November to April) and warm periods (May to October) in each year. We found that the NO2 increase (lag of 0–1 days) was associated with a 0.75% increase of non-accidental mortality for all age-groups (95% confidence interval (CI): (0.4; 1.10)). During the warm period, this NO2 increase was associated with a 3.07% increase in non-accidental mortality in the ≥75 years old group (95% CI: 1.97; 4.18). This study supports the short-term effects of NO2 as a proxy of urban traffic pollution on mortality, even for concentrations below the maximum guideline of 40 µg m−3 set down by the European Air Quality Standards and the World Health Organization (WHO).

The effect of air-pollution and weather exposure on mortality and hospital admission and implications for further research: A systematic scoping review

BACKGROUND

Air-pollution and weather exposure beyond certain thresholds have serious effects on public health. Yet, there is lack of information on wider aspects including the role of some effect modifiers and the interaction between air-pollution and weather. This article aims at a comprehensive review and narrative summary of literature on the association of air-pollution and weather with mortality and hospital admissions; and to highlight literature gaps that require further research.

METHODS

We conducted a scoping literature review. The search on two databases (PubMed and Web-of-Science) from 2012 to 2020 using three conceptual categories of "environmental factors", "health outcomes", and "Geographical region" revealed a total of 951 records. The narrative synthesis included all original studies with time-series, cohort, or case cross-over design; with ambient air-pollution and/or weather exposure; and mortality and/or hospital admission outcomes.

RESULTS

The final review included 112 articles from which 70 involved mortality, 30 hospital admission, and 12 studies included both outcomes. Air-pollution was shown to act consistently as risk factor for all-causes, cardiovascular, respiratory, cerebrovascular and cancer mortality and hospital admissions. Hot and cold temperature was a risk factor for wide range of cardiovascular, respiratory, and psychiatric illness; yet, in few studies, the increase in temperature reduced the risk of hospital admissions for pulmonary embolism, angina pectoris, chest, and ischemic heart diseases. The role of effect modification in the included studies was investigated in terms of gender, age, and season but not in terms of ethnicity.

CONCLUSION

Air-pollution and weather exposure beyond certain thresholds affect human health negatively. Effect modification of important socio-demographics such as ethnicity and the interaction between air-pollution and weather is often missed in the literature. Our findings highlight the need of further research in the area of health behaviour and mortality in relation to air-pollution and weather, to guide effective environmental health precautionary measures planning.

Association between long-term exposure to Sulfur dioxide pollution and hypertension incidence in northern China: a 12-year cohort study

Several studies have researched the short-term effect of sulfur dioxide (SO₂) exposure on hypertension. However, no evidence has provided the relationship between long-term high pollution exposure of SO₂ and morbidity of hypertension in cohort studies in China. This retrospective cohort study aimed to evaluate this association. We used Cox proportional hazards regression models to examine the hazard ratios (HR) for hypertension risks from 1998 to 2009 associated with accumulative exposure of air SO₂ among adults in northern China. Annual average concentrations of sulfur dioxide (SO₂) were obtained from 15 local environmental monitoring centers. Hypertension was identified according to self-reported diagnostic time and treatment for hypertension with anti-hypertensive medication. Among 37,386 participants, 2619 new cases of hypertension were identified during 426,334 person-years. In the fully adjusted model, HR and 95% confidence interval (CI) of hypertension incidence for each 10 μg/m³ increase in SO₂ were 1.176 (1.163 and 1.189). Results from stratified analyses suggested that effects of SO₂ on hypertension morbidity were more pronounced in participants < 60 years old, tea drinkers, and those with high education, high poultry consumption, and active (occasional and frequent) exercise. We found that long-term exposure to high levels of SO₂ increased the risk of incidence of hypertension in China.

Short-term exposure to PM2.5 and risk of venous thromboembolism: A case-crossover study

BACKGROUND

Short-term exposure to air pollution increases the risk of cardiovascular mortality and morbidity but little evidence is available on pollution effects on venous thromboembolism (VTE), a common vascular disease.

METHODS

We conducted a case-crossover analysis of all urgent hospitalizations for deep vein thrombosis (DVT) or pulmonary embolism (PE) among patients >35 years during the period 2006 to 2017 in Rome (Italy). We examined whether 1) short-term exposure to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter <2.5 μg (PM_2.5) increases the risk of hospitalization for DVT or PE, and 2) if the associations are modified by the period of the year (warm and cold seasons), sex, age and comorbidity.

RESULTS

We found that short-term exposure to PM_2.5 was associated with an increase of PE hospitalization risk of during the warm season (April to September) of 19.6% (95% confidence intervals: 8.3, 31%) per 10 μg/m³, while no statistically significant effects were displayed during the cold season or the whole year or for DVT hospitalizations. The effect of PM_2.5 remained significant (%change: 21.3; 95%CI: 5.4, 39.5) after adjustment for nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) co-exposure (a marker of traffic sources) and when limiting to primary diagnosis of PE (%change: 19.1; 95%CI: 4.2, 36.1). Age, sex and comorbid conditions did not modify the association.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggested a positive association between short-term exposure to PM_2.5 and pulmonary embolism during the warm period of the year while no evidence emerged for deep vein thrombosis.

Has the mortality risk declined after the improvement of air quality in an ex-heavily polluted Chinese city-Lanzhou?

Lanzhou, an ex-heavily polluted city, was awarded "The Award for Today's Transformative Step" in 2015 World Climate Conference at Paris for its great efforts on air quality improvement since 2012. However, the health benefits from this improvement remain unclear. Therefore, we collected time-series data covering deaths, weather variables and air pollutants during the two periods (2004-2009, 2014-2017) and fitted single-pollutant models using the generalized additive models to evaluate the change of mortality risks associated with air pollutants in Lanzhou. Results showed that the annual average concentrations of respirable particulate matter (PM₁₀) and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) dropped by 19.28% and 66.29%, while the nitrogen dioxide (NO₂) increased by 16.61% in 2014-2017 compared to 2004-2009. During the period 2004-2009, we found a 10-μg/m³ increase in PM₁₀ (lag 2), SO₂ (lag 0-5) and NO₂ (lag 0-5) were associated with mortality increments of 0.12% (95% CI: 0.01, 0.22), 0.86% (95% CI: 0.42, 1.31) and 1.29% (95% CI: 0.70, 1.90), respectively. During the period 2014-2017, the association between PM₁₀ and daily deaths was not significant, but we observed a 10-μg/m³ increase in SO₂ (lag 0-5) and NO₂ (lag 4) were related to mortality increments of 4.23% (95% CI: 1.82, 6.70) and 0.85% (95% CI: 0.19, 1.52), respectively. From 2004-2009 to 2014-2017, we observed markedly decline of mortality risk due to PM₁₀, but not SO₂ or NO₂. In conclusion, the mortality risk of PM₁₀ in Lanzhou has declined obviously after the substantially improved air quality due to the enforcement of air pollution controlling policies.

Air pollution and health: Evidence from epidemiological studies and population impact

Outdoor air pollution —in particular particulate matter, nitrogen dioxide and ozone— can exert its effects on health after acute (short-term) and chronic (long-term) exposures. Short-term exposures increase the probability of the onset of acute diseases within a few days, such as myocardial infarction or stroke, or even death in the case of susceptible individuals. Long-term exposures are associated with decreased survival and incidence of several non-communicable diseases, including cardiorespiratory conditions and lung cancer. In Europe, the large ESCAPE project (European Study of Cohorts for Air Pollution Effects — www.escapeproject.eu) evaluated the chronic effects of air pollution in the cohorts of adult subjects. The results of ESCAPE show an association between chronic exposure to air pollutants and natural mortality, cardiovascular events, lung, brain, breast and digestive tract cancer. The recent joint statement of the European Respiratory Society and the American Respiratory Society clarifies the wide spectrum of adverse effects of pollution, including “new” diseases such as neurological and metabolic syndrome previously not studied. The estimates by the Global Burden of Disease provide nowadays indications that air pollution causes illness and mortality, just after diet, smoking, hypertension and diabetes: 4.2 million premature deaths a year worldwide. Ischemic heart disease, stroke, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, acute lower respiratory infections are the main conditions associated with air-pollution–related mortality.

Short-term exposure to ambient air pollution and daily atherosclerotic heart disease mortality in a cool climate

The associations between exposure to short-term ambient air pollution and daily atherosclerotic heart disease (ASHD) mortality in cool climate have not been established. We performed a time-series analysis in Shenyang, the largest city of Northeastern China. We identified 7659 ASHD deaths and obtained deaths, ambient air pollution levels, and meteorological data for Shenyang during 2014-2017. The impact of ambient air pollution on daily ASHD deaths was analyzed using generalized additive models (GAMs). Cumulative lag effects were investigated using distributed lag non-linear models (DLNM). We found ASHD deaths significantly increased during days with higher air pollution. Particulate matter with diameter < 2.5 μm (PM_2.5), PM₁₀, and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) were positively associated with ASHD deaths among the total population. Both single- and multi-pollutants models indicated that PM_2.5, PM₁₀, and sulfur dioxide (SO₂) were positively associated with the deaths of women with AHSD, whereas only SO₂ was significant in men. This suggests significant gender-based differences in the fatal effects of ambient air pollution. Up to 28 days of single-day lag effects were observed for PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ in women. The cumulative lag effects of PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ showed increasing trends in both men and women; however, exposure to higher pollutant concentrations did not necessarily translate to greater risks. The ERRs differences between women and men were larger in cold days than in hot days, suggesting that lower temperature may exacerbate the adverse effects of air pollution on vulnerable women.

Impacts of heat, cold, and temperature variability on mortality in Australia, 2000-2009

OBJECTIVES

Evidence is limited on the relative contribution of different temperature exposures (i.e., heat, cold and significant temperature variability) to mortality. This study aims to examine mortality risk and associated mortality burden from heat, cold, and temperature variability in Australia.

METHODS

We collected daily time-series data on all-cause deaths and weather variables for the five most populous Australian cities (Sydney, Melbourne, Brisbane, Adelaide, and Perth), from 2000 to 2009. Temperature variability was calculated from the standard deviation of hourly temperatures between two adjacent days. Three-stage analysis was used. We firstly used quasi-Poisson regression models to model the associations of mortality with heat (mean temperature) during the warm season, with cold (mean temperature) during the cold season, and with temperature variability all year round, while controlling for long-term trend and seasonality, day of week, and population change over time. We then estimated the effects of different non-optimum temperatures using the simplified log-linear regression model. Finally, we computed and compared the fraction (%) of deaths attributable to different non-optimum temperatures.

RESULTS

The greatest percentage increase in mortality was for cold (2.0%, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.4%, 2.6%), followed by heat (1.2%, 95% CI: 0.7%, 1.7%), and temperature variability (0.5%, 95% CI: 0.3%, 0.7%). There was no clear temporal pattern in mortality risk associated with any temperature exposure in Australia. Heat, cold and temperature variability together resulted in 42,414 deaths during the study period, accounting for about 6.0% of all deaths. Most of attributable deaths were due to cold (61.4%), and noticeably, contribution from temperature variability (28.0%) was greater than that from heat (10.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Exposure to either cold or heat or a large variation in temperature was associated with increased mortality risk in Australia, but population adaptation appeared to have not occurred in most cities studied. Most of the temperature-induced deaths were attributable to cold, and contributions from temperature variability were greater than that from heat. Our findings highlight that, in addition to heat and cold, temperature variability needs to be considered in assessing and projecting the health impacts of climate change.

Sensitivity of projected PM2.5- and O3-related health impacts to model inputs: A case study in mainland China

In China, fine particulate matter (PM_2.5) and ground-level ozone (O₃) are anticipated to continuously affect large populations in the coming decades. Simulations of the levels of these pollutants largely depend on emissions inputs, which are highly uncertain both in magnitude and spatial distribution. Our goal was to explore sensitivities of projected changes in PM_2.5- and O₃-related short-term health impacts in mainland China to emissions and other model inputs. We simulated winter PM_2.5 and summer O₃ concentrations using the Weather Research and Forecasting model coupled with Chemistry (WRF-Chem) for both 2008 and 2050. We used three emission inventories in 2008 and four emissions scenarios in 2050. The resulting air pollutant concentrations were combined with eight population projections and three concentration-response functions (CRFs) to estimate future PM_2.5- and O₃-related health impacts including total, cardiovascular, and respiratory mortalities in mainland China. Multivariate analysis of variance was used to apportion the uncertainty due to different model parameters. Combinations of different parameters produced a wide range of national PM_2.5- and O₃-related mortalities. CRFs and present emissions each contribute 38%-56% and 20%-28% of the total sum of squares for PM_2.5-related mortalities. Future emissions are the largest source of uncertainty in O₃-related mortality estimates, contributing 24%-48% of total sum of squares. Our results suggest that conducting more epidemiological studies and constraining the present day emissions are essential for projecting future air pollutant-related health impacts in mainland China.

Temporal variations in ambient particulate matter reduction associated short-term mortality risks in Guangzhou, China: A time-series analysis (2006-2016)

Numerous studies have reported associations between ambient particulate matter (PM) and daily mortality; however, little is known about temporal variations in ambient air pollution associated mortality risks, particularly in developing countries with limited long time-series air monitoring data. In present study, we assessed the associations and temporal relationships between ambient PM and daily mortality in Guangzhou, China, during 2006-2016. With this unique 11-year dataset, we related daily concentrations of PM with aerodynamic diameter < 2.5 μm (PM_2.5), between 2.5 and 10 μm (PM_10-2.5) and <10 μm (PM₁₀) to daily mortality in Guangzhou. We applied overdispersed Poisson regression with adjustment for time trend and potential confounding factors. Multiple level sensitivity analyses were conducted to examine the robustness of main results. Between 2006 and 2016, annual concentrations of PM_2.5 decreased by 50.8% to 27.0 μg/m³, of PM_10-2.5 by 27.6% to 16.2 μg/m³, and of PM₁₀ by 44.1% to 43.3 μg/m³ in Guangzhou. In this study, per 10 μg/m³ increases in mean concentrations at current day and 6 prior days of death (lag06), we observed increases in total mortality risks of 0.55% (95% Confidence Interval (CI): 0.24%, 0.86%) for PM_2.5, 0.99% (95%CI: 0.48%, 1.50%) for PM_10-2.5, and 0.44% (95%CI: 0.22%, 0.65%) for PM₁₀. Stronger associations were observed for ambient PM on cardio-respiratory mortality and people at age ≥ 65 years. Despite drastic reductions in annual PM levels, PM_2.5 associated cardiovascular and respiratory mortality risks remained significant at 1.26% (95%CI: 0.19%, 2.35%) and 1.91% (95%CI: 0.25%, 3.60%) during 2014-2016. Further, PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ associated respiratory mortality risks showed increasing trend over time (p-value = 0.03 for PM_2.5). In summary, though ambient PM levels decreased substantially in Guangzhou in recent years, PM_2.5 and PM₁₀ associated cardio-respiratory mortality risks remained significant and respiratory mortality risks even increased. Our findings provide strong rationale for continuation of ambient air pollution control effort for public health protection in the future.

Air pollution and kidney disease: review of current evidence

Along with amazing technological advances, the industrial revolution of the mid-19th century introduced new sources of pollution. By the mid-20th century, the effects of these changes were beginning to be felt around the world. Among these changes, health problems due to environmental air pollution are increasingly recognized. At the beginning, respiratory and cardiovascular diseases were emphasized. However, accumulated data indicate that every organ system in the body may be involved, and the kidney is no exception. Although research on air pollution and kidney damage is recent, there is now scientific evidence that air pollution harms the kidney. In this holistic review, we have summarized the epidemiology, disease states and mechanisms of air pollution and kidney damage.

Mortality and morbidity for cardiopulmonary diseases attributed to PM2.5 exposure in the metropolis of Rome, Italy

The aim of the study was to evaluate the health effects associated with the exposure to ground-level of particulate matters with aerodynamic diameter ≤ 2.5 μm (PM_2.5) on citizens in Rome (Italy) in 2015 and 2016. Based on the new version of the World Health Organization's AirQ+ model, we have estimated the short- and long-term effects of PM_2.5 on hospital admissions due to cardiovascular (HA-CVD) and respiratory diseases (HA-RD) as well as on mortality for ischemic heart disease (M-IHD) and chronic obstructive pulmonary disease (M-COPD). In this study, city-specific relative risk values and baseline incidence rates were used to calculate the association between PM_2.5 and daily counts of emergency hospitalizations and mortality. The annual mean PM_2.5 concentrations were 18 μg m^-3 and 14 μg m^-3 in 2015 and 2016, respectively. In Rome, the citizens are mostly exposed to daily mean PM_2.5 concentrations of 10-20 μg m^-3 during the study period. In 2015-2016, 0.4-0.6% for HA-CVD, 1.1-1.5% for HA-RD, 16.5-18.1% for M-IHD and 8.5-9.2% for M-COPD are attributed to PM_2.5. In 2015-2016, 134-186 HA-CVD, 126-175 HA-RD, 947-1037 M-IHD and 244-279 M-COPD, caused by PM_2.5 exposure, could be "avoided" if PM_2.5 concentrations would not exceed 10 μg m^-3, i.e. the threshold recommended by the World Health Organization. Thus, a consistent air quality management and sustainable city planning are needed, urgently, to mitigate the adverse effects of PM_2.5 exposure in Rome.

Using rush hour and daytime exposure indicators to estimate the short-term mortality effects of air pollution: A case study in the Sichuan Basin, China

BACKGROUND

Daily mean concentrations of air pollutants have been widely used as exposure indicators to estimate the short-term mortality effects of outdoor air pollution. However, daily mean concentrations might insufficiently represent the true exposure level because of the diurnal variations of air pollutants and various human activity patterns. Daytime or rush-hour concentrations may lead to better estimations.

OBJECTIVE

Our study aimed to imitate the true exposure level under assumptions about human activity patterns and to examine the short-term mortality effects of the exposure to air pollution during a) the morning-evening rush hours (ME), b) the morning-lunch-evening rush hours (MLE), and c) the whole daytime (WDT) in Chengdu, Sichuan Basin, China.

METHODS

We investigated the diurnal variations of PM_2.5, SO₂, and O₃ and examined the associations between the three pollutants and nonaccidental mortality, cardiovascular mortality, respiratory mortality using generalized additive model. Three novel exposure indicators (ME, MLE, and WDT) were employed to imitate the most probable exposure levels. Relative change of excess risk (ER) was used to compare effects estimated from models with different exposure indicators.

RESULTS

In the relationship of PM_2.5 and mortality, ERs estimated from the novel-indicator models decreased by 4.88%-11.89% in comparison with ERs from the daily-indicator models. All the three novel indicators of SO₂ offered lower ERs of respiratory mortality than the daily indicator did. Significant associations were observed in O₃-nonaccidental mortality at lag0 in both winter and spring, and O₃-cardiovascular mortality at lag0 in winter. Overall, majority of effect estimates based on rush-hour or daytime indicators were lower than the estimates based on daily mean concentrations.

CONCLUSION

The use of daily mean concentrations may bias exposure assessment and thus inflating effect estimates. This study highlights the importance of rush-hour and daytime exposure and provides alternative indicators for estimating acute effects of air pollution.

Cardiovascular benefits of reducing personal exposure to traffic-related noise and particulate air pollution: A randomized crossover study in the Beijing subway system

To assess the cardiovascular benefits of protecting against particulate air pollution and noise, we conducted a randomized crossover study with 40 young healthy college students from March to May 2017 in the underground subway, Beijing. Participants each received 4 treatments (no intervention phase [NIP], respirator intervention phase [RIP], headphone intervention phase [HIP], respirator plus headphone intervention phase [RHIP]) in a randomized order during 4 different study periods with 2-week washout intervals. We measured personal exposure to particulate matter (PM), noise and electrocardiogram (ECG) parameters (heart rate variability (HRV), heart rate (HR) and ST segment changes), ambulatory blood pressure (BP) continuously for 4 hours to investigate the cardiovascular effects. Compared with NIP, most of the HRV parameters increased, especially high frequency (HF) [21.1% (95% CI: 15.7%, 26.9%), 18.2% (95% CI: 12.8%, 23.9%), and 35.5% (95% CI: 29.3%, 42.0%) in RIP, HIP, and RHIP, respectively], whereas ST segment elevation and HR decreased for all 3 modes of interventions. However, no significant differences were observed in BP among the 4 treatments. In summary, short-term wearing of a respirator and/or headphone may be an effective way to minimize cardiovascular risk induced by air pollution in the subway by improving autonomic nervous function.

Has the risk of mortality related to short-term exposure to particles changed over the past years in Athens, Greece?

Although the health effects of short-term exposure to ambient particles have been well documented, there is a need to update scientific knowledge due to the continuously changing profile of the air pollution mixture. Furthermore the effect of the severe economic crisis in Greece that started in 2008 on previously reported associations has not been studied. We assessed the change in mortality risk associated with short-term exposure to PM₁₀ in Athens, Greece during 2001-12. Time-series data on the daily concentrations of regulated particles and all cause, cardiovascular and respiratory mortality were analyzed using overdispersed Poisson regression models, controlling for time-varying confounders such as seasonality, meteorology, influenza outbreaks, summer holidays and day of the week. We assessed changes in risk over time by inclusion of an interaction term between particles' levels and time or predefined periods, i.e. 2001-07 and 2008-12. While the related mortality risks increased over the analyzed period, the difference before and after 2008 was significant only for total mortality (p-value for interaction .03) and driven by the difference observed among those ≥75 years. An interquartile increase in PM₁₀ before 2008 was associated with 1.51% increase in deaths among ≥75 years (95% Confidence interval (CI): 0.62%, 2.40%), while after 2008 with a 2.61% increase (95%CI: 1.72%, 3.51%) (p-value for interaction .01). Our results indicate that despite the decline in particles' concentration in Athens, Greece during 2001-12 the associated mortality risk has possibly increased, suggesting that the economic crisis initiated in 2008 may have led to changes in the particles' composition due to the ageing of the vehicular fleet and the increase in the use of biomass fuel for heating.

Air pollution and occurrence of type 2 diabetes in a large cohort study

The few cohort studies that have investigated the association between exposure to air pollution and occurrence of diabetes have reported conflicting results. We aimed to evaluate the association of long-term exposure to particulate matter (PM), nitrogen oxides (NO_x) and ozone (O₃), with baseline prevalence and incidence of type 2 diabetes in a large administrative cohort in Rome, Italy. A total of 1,425,580 subjects aged 35+years (January 1st, 2008) were assessed and followed for six years. We estimated PM₁₀, PM_2.5-10, PM_2.5, NO₂, and NO_x exposures at residence using land use regression models, and summer O₃ exposure using dispersion modeling. To estimate the association between air pollutant exposures and prevalence and incidence of diabetes, we used logistic and Cox regression models, considering individual, environmental (noise and green areas), and contextual characteristics. We identified 106,387 prevalent cases at baseline and 65,955 incident cases during the follow-up period. We found positive associations between nitrogen oxides exposures and prevalence of diabetes with odds ratios (ORs) up to 1.010 (95% CI: 1.002, 1.017) and 1.015 (1.009, 1.021) for NO₂ and NOx, respectively, per fixed increases (per 10μg/m³ and 20μg/m³, respectively). We also found some evidence of an association between NOx and O₃ and incidence of diabetes, with hazard ratios (HRs) of 1.011 (95%CI: 1.003-1.019) and 1.015 (1.002-1.027) per 20 and 10μg/m³ increases, respectively. The association with O₃ with incident diabetes was stronger in women than in men and among those aged <50years. In sum, long-term exposure to nitrogen oxides was associated with prevalent diabetes while NOx and O₃ exposures were associated with incident diabetes.