Short-term and long-term fracture prediction by bone mass measurements: a prospective study

New Challenges: Use and Interpretation of Radius Bone Mineral Density

CONTEXT

It is unknown if isolated low bone mineral density (BMD) "osteoporosis" at the radius is associated with increased fracture risk, not only at the wrist but elsewhere, and whether it reflects more generalized skeletal fragility.

OBJECTIVE

This work aimed to review the association of radius BMD and fracture risk, the epidemiology of wrist fractures, isolated osteoporosis at the radius, and the concordance between radial BMD and femoral neck BMD.

METHODS

We completed a narrative literature review on radius BMD and fracture risk and current recommendations for measurement of radial BMD. We updated results of radial BMD and fracture results from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures over 20 years and examined the concordance of BMD at the distal and proximal radius with femoral neck BMD T scores.

RESULTS

Radius BMD is a robust predictor of all types of fractures including hip and wrist but there is insufficient evidence to suggest that radius BMD predicts wrist fractures better than fractures at other sites. Fractures of the wrist tend to occur in younger, healthier women compared with hip and spine fractures. Nevertheless, wrist fractures are associated with an increased risk of future fractures and represent a missed opportunity for intervention. On a population level, the discordance between radius BMD and femoral neck BMD is small. But women with isolated osteoporosis at the radius had biochemical and microarchitecture deterioration that were similar to women with hip osteoporosis.

CONCLUSION

Future research should address the clinical implications of isolated osteoporosis at the radius and whether treatment is warranted.

Follow-up Bone Mineral Density Testing: 2023 Official Positions of the International Society for Clinical Densitometry

Dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is the gold standard method for measuring bone mineral density (BMD) which is most strongly associated with fracture risk. BMD is therefore the basis for the World Health Organization's densitometric definition of osteoporosis. The International Society for Clinical Densitometry (ISCD) promotes best densitometry practices and its official positions reflect critical review of current evidence by domain experts. This document reports new official positions regarding follow-up DXA examinations based on a systematic review of literature published through December 2022. Adoption of official positions requires consensus agreement from an expert panel following a modified RAND protocol. Unless explicitly altered by the new position statements, prior ISCD official positions remain in force. This update reflects increased consideration of the clinical context prompting repeat examination. Follow-up DXA should be performed with pre-defined objectives when the results would have an impact on patient management. Testing intervals should be individualized according to the patient's age, sex, fracture risk and treatment history. Incident fractures and therapeutic approach are key considerations. Appropriately ordered and interpreted follow-up DXA examinations support diagnostic and therapeutic decision making, thereby contributing to excellent clinical care. Future research should address the complementary roles of clinical findings, imaging and laboratory testing to guide management.

Dual-energy X-ray Absorptiometry

Bone mineral density (BMD) measurement by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA) is the most commonly used method to assess fracture risk. DXA utilizes two different energy X-rays to calculate BMD and, by comparison to a young normative database, the T-score. In 1994, the World Health Organization defined osteoporosis based on T-score, changing the paradigm of the field and forever placing DXA measurements in the center of osteoporosis diagnosis. Since then, many large studies have demonstrated the predictive value of BMD by DXA-for every standard deviation decline in BMD, there is a relative risk of 1.5-2.5 for fracture. This predictive ability is similar to how blood pressure can predict myocardial infarction. Limitations of DXA are also important to consider. While BMD by DXA can identify those at risk, there is a significant overlap in the BMD of patients who will and will not fracture. Special considerations are also needed in men and ethnic minority groups. These groups may have different bone size, thus affecting the normative range of BMD, and/or distinct bone structure that affect the association between BMD and fractures. Finally, BMD can be affected by positioning errors or artifacts, including osteoarthritis, fracture, and jewelry. Of course, DXA has tremendous strengths as well-namely its wide availability, its low radiation exposure, and a large body of evidence that relate DXA measurements to fracture risk. For these reasons, DXA remains the cornerstone of fracture assessment now and for the foreseeable future.

Investigation of Bone Health Subsequent to Vitamin D Supplementation in Children Following Burn Injury

BACKGROUND

The effect of supplemental vitamin D on fracture occurrence following burn injuries is unclear. The objective of this study was to evaluate postintervention incidence of fractures in children during the rehabilitative phase postburn (PB) following participation in a randomized clinical trial of vitamin D supplementation.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Follow-up for fracture evaluation was obtained in 39 of 50 patients randomized to daily enteral vitamin D2, D3, or placebo throughout the acute burn course. Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D, 1,25-dihydroxyvitamin D, D2, D3, calcitonin, and bone alkaline phosphatase (BAP) measurements were obtained PB day 7, midpoint, discharge, and 1-year PB. Urinary calcium was obtained PB day 7 and midpoint. Dual-energy x-ray absorptiometry (DXA) was performed at discharge and 1-year PB.

RESULTS

Fractures were reported in 6 of 39 respondents. Four fractures occurred in the placebo group, 2 in the D2 group, and none in the D3 group. Serum vitamin D, calcitonin, BAP, and urinary calcium were similar between fracture groups. The group with fracture morbidity had larger burn size (83.8% ± 4.9% vs 53.0% ± 2.9%, P < .0001), greater full-thickness burn (69.7% ± 9.4% vs 39.4% ± 4.1%, P = .02), and increased incidence of inhalation injury (33% vs 6%, P = .04). Decreased bone mineral density z score was noted at discharge in the placebo fracture compared with no-fracture group (P < .05).

CONCLUSION

This preliminary report suggests there may be benefit of vitamin D3 in reducing postdischarge fracture risk. Results reaffirm the importance of monitoring bone health in pediatric patients postburn.

Developmental exposure to xenoestrogens at low doses alters femur length and tensile strength in adult mice

Developmental exposure to high doses of the synthetic xenoestrogen diethylstilbestrol (DES) has been reported to alter femur length and strength in adult mice. However, it is not known if developmental exposure to low, environmentally relevant doses of xenoestrogens alters adult bone geometry and strength. In this study we investigated the effects of developmental exposure to low doses of DES, bisphenol A (BPA), or ethinyl estradiol (EE(2)) on bone geometry and torsional strength. C57BL/6 mice were exposed to DES, 0.1 μg/kg/day, BPA, 10 μg/kg/day, EE(2), 0.01, 0.1, or 1.0 μg/kg/day, or vehicle from Gestation Day 11 to Postnatal Day 12 via a mini-osmotic pump in the dam. Developmental Xenoestrogen exposure altered femoral geometry and strength, assessed in adulthood by micro-computed tomography and torsional strength analysis, respectively. Low-dose EE(2), DES, or BPA increased adult femur length. Exposure to the highest dose of EE(2) did not alter femur length, resulting in a nonmonotonic dose response. Exposure to EE(2) and DES but not BPA decreased tensile strength. The combined effect of increased femur length and decreased tensile strength resulted in a trend toward decreased torsional ultimate strength and energy to failure. Taken together, these results suggest that exposure to developmental exposure to environmentally relevant levels of xenoestrogens may negatively impact bone length and strength in adulthood.

Quantitative ultrasound normative reference data for community-dwelling white and black females in the United States

Quantitative ultrasound (QUS) race-specific normative reference data are not available for accurate calculation of Z-scores. The primary aims of this study were (1) to develop a race-specific QUS reference database for white and black females and to compare estimated fracture risk between these 2 racial groups and (2) to compare stiffness index (SI) values of white females in this study to manufacturer-obtained values. Subjects included 1111 females (31% black), aged 20-85 yr (52 ± 19 yr), with a mean SI score of 93.7 ± 20.1. White females, aged 20-39 yr (n=213), were used to calculate T-scores, whereas Z-scores were age and race specific. Black females had significantly higher SI scores than white females (p<0.001). White females aged 50+ yr in this study had significantly higher SI scores compared with manufacturer-derived values. Results highlight the need for population- and race-specific normative data when using QUS as a screening tool for identifying high fracture risk.

The changes of bone mineral density in relation to body mass index and aging among Polish and different ethnic women in the United States: cross-sectional studies

In the present study, we analyzed the changes of bone mineral density (BMD) among Polish women age 40-79, as a function of biological aging and body mass index (BMI) class, and compared them with the US sample (National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey III). The null hypothesis of this study was that the rate of BMD change is femoral region, age, ethnicity, and BMI dependent. The studied group was divided into 4 age decades: 40-49, 50-59, 60-69, and 70-79 and 2 BMI classes (normal: 18.5</=BMI</=24.99 and obese: BMI>24.99). Analysis of covariance technique, using a generalized linear model with age and BMI as covariates, was used for data analysis. The influence of weight, height, and BMI on BMD loss was analyzed using multivariate regression analysis. The changes in BMD of femoral neck and trochanter are congruent. BMD decrease is not only age dependent but also, for specific ethnic groups, weight, height, and BMI dependent. The obtained results indicate that the analysis of age-dependent BMD changes should be performed by means of regression analysis using a broad age range rather than an age-decade approach.

Rates of bone loss in young adult males

Osteoporosis-related fractures occur more frequently in women compared with men, but mortality is greater in men compared with women. Peak bone mass is a significant predictor of osteoporosis and fracture risk; therefore, it is important to optimize peak bone mass during young adulthood. Several recent longitudinal studies, which are summarized in this article, have investigated bone changes among young men. Cortical bone loss does not appear to be significant until individuals reach their mid-30s and is associated with decreased sex hormone concentrations. Significant trabecular bone loss in young men aged in their 20s has been reported and is associated with reduced lean mass and activity levels, especially among former athletes. Whether changes in activity levels among nonathletes lead to bone loss among young men requires further investigation.

Measuring bone mass in children: can we really do it?

Bone densitometry is used to assess skeletal health in clinical and research settings, with the goal of achieving reproducible measurements of bone mass that help to identify individuals predisposed to fracture. The search is now on for better methods of capturing additional factors that contribute to bone strength, including bone size, geometry, microarchitecture, and turnover rates. This has proved particularly challenging in growing children, whose bones continually change in size, shape, and mass. Dual energy X-ray absorptiometry is the preferred method for measuring bone mass in children, but the technique has several limitations, and interpreting the findings can be problematic. Peripheral quantitative computed tomography is a promising method for assessing bone mass and other indices correlating with bone strength, but a lack of precision and paediatric norms currently restricts its clinical utility. Although bone mineral density is predictive of future fracture risk in adults, the evidence in children is less conclusive, and a diagnosis of osteoporosis in a child should not be made on densitometric findings alone. Developing a clearer understanding of how measures of bone mass and strength correlate with bone fracture in children will help target preventive strategies for those in greatest need.

Osteoporosis screening of postmenopausal women in the primary care setting: a case-based approach

BACKGROUND

Despite the facts that approximately half of postmenopausal women will sustain an osteoporosis-related fracture and 15% will sustain a hip fracture in their lifetime, 75% of American women between the ages of 45 and 75 years have never discussed osteoporosis with their physician.

OBJECTIVE

This case-based review addresses screening for osteoporosis in the primary care setting. Topics include epidemiology, assessment of fracture risk, bone mineral density testing, primary prevention of osteoporosis, and thresholds for treatment.

METHODS

Relevant articles were identified through a search of MEDLINE (1980-2004) using the terms osteoporosis, fractures, randomized controlled trials (RCTs), and epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of osteoporosis. Clinical guidelines on osteoporosis were also reviewed.

CONCLUSIONS

Osteoporosis is a prevalent disease in postmenopausal women. Osteoporosis-related fractures are a cause of major morbidity and mortality in older adults. Increased awareness of osteoporosis is necessary to stem the mounting number of complications.

Predictive value of BMD for hip and other fractures

The relationship between BMD and fracture risk was estimated in a meta-analysis of data from 12 cohort studies of approximately 39,000 men and women. Low hip BMD was an important predictor of fracture risk. The prediction of hip fracture with hip BMD also depended on age and z score.

INTRODUCTION

The aim of this study was to quantify the relationship between BMD and fracture risk and examine the effect of age, sex, time since measurement, and initial BMD value.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We studied 9891 men and 29,082 women from 12 cohorts comprising EVOS/EPOS, EPIDOS, OFELY, CaMos, Rochester, Sheffield, Rotterdam, Kuopio, DOES, Hiroshima, and 2 cohorts from Gothenburg. Cohorts were followed for up to 16.3 years and a total of 168,366 person-years. The effect of BMD on fracture risk was examined using a Poisson model in each cohort and each sex separately. Results of the different studies were then merged using weighted coefficients.

RESULTS

BMD measurement at the femoral neck with DXA was a strong predictor of hip fractures both in men and women with a similar predictive ability. At the age of 65 years, risk ratio increased by 2.94 (95% CI = 2.02-4.27) in men and by 2.88 (95% CI = 2.31-3.59) in women for each SD decrease in BMD. However, the effect was dependent on age, with a significantly higher gradient of risk at age 50 years than at age 80 years. Although the gradient of hip fracture risk decreased with age, the absolute risk still rose markedly with age. For any fracture and for any osteoporotic fracture, the gradient of risk was lower than for hip fractures. At the age of 65 years, the risk of osteoporotic fractures increased in men by 1.41 per SD decrease in BMD (95% CI = 1.33-1.51) and in women by 1.38 per SD (95% CI = 1.28-1.48). In contrast with hip fracture risk, the gradient of risk increased with age. For the prediction of any osteoporotic fracture (and any fracture), there was a higher gradient of risk the lower the BMD. At a z score of -4 SD, the risk gradient was 2.10 per SD (95% CI = 1.63-2.71) and at a z score of -1 SD, the risk was 1.73 per SD (95% CI = 1.59-1.89) in men and women combined. A similar but less pronounced and nonsignificant effect was observed for hip fractures. Data for ultrasound and peripheral measurements were available from three cohorts. The predictive ability of these devices was somewhat less than that of DXA measurements at the femoral neck by age, sex, and BMD value.

CONCLUSIONS

We conclude that BMD is a risk factor for fracture of substantial importance and is similar in both sexes. Its validation on an international basis permits its use in case finding strategies. Its use should, however, take account of the variations in predictive value with age and BMD.

Osteoporosis assessment strategies for male nursing home residents

OBJECTIVES

Twenty-five to thirty percent of hip fractures occur in men, and nursing home residents have a 5-10-fold greater fracture risk than community-dwellers. Osteoporosis prevalence in men in long-term care, however, is poorly defined. Our objectives were to determine the prevalence of osteoporosis, as assessed by peripheral bone mineral density (BMD), in a group of institutionalized veterans, and to determine how many men with low BMD had received a prior diagnosis of osteoporosis.

METHODS

Subjects were residents in a 740-bed skilled nursing facility (78% men). Male residents (n = 103) competent to give informed consent underwent bilateral calcaneal and forearm BMD by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry (DXA). Prior osteoporosis documentation was sought in medical records.

RESULTS

Twenty percent of veterans (95% confidence interval (CI) 12-28%) exhibited calcaneal osteoporosis (T-score < -2.5), and 62% (CI 52-72%) were osteoporotic at the forearm. Forearm and calcaneal BMD were correlated (r = 0.678, P < 0.001). BMD of the left and right forearm, and of left and right calcaneus, were highly correlated (r = 0.880, P < 0.001 and r = 0.931, P < 0.001, respectively). Documentation of osteoporosis existed for one of 20 men with calcaneal osteoporosis and four of 59 men with forearm osteoporosis.

CONCLUSIONS

Osteoporosis was prevalent but poorly documented in institutionalized veterans. Discordance in T-scores between forearm and heel was similar to that reported in other studies. The broad range of T-scores among subjects suggests that peripheral BMD measurement may be useful for clinical fracture risk stratification. Correlation among skeletal sites indicates that measuring a single site may be practical.

Follow-up treatment for osteoporosis after fracture

Studies of the management of osteoporosis in older women who have had hip or wrist fractures have found underdiagnosis and undertreatment of the disease. Few such studies have been conducted in the United States, however, and most studies have been confined to a subset of the treatments currently available to treat osteoporosis. Mail surveys were sent to 381 women between 50 and 84 years of age who had been treated for a hip or wrist fracture at a large northeast US teaching hospital between October 1, 1998, and September 30, 2000. These surveys included questions about osteoporosis risk factors and physician treatment both before and after the index fracture. Of 381 surveys mailed, 70 were returned because of an invalid address or by a relative because a patient was deceased. Of the remaining 311 surveys, 147 completed responses were received. Fifty-two percent of respondents reported having received either a prescription or a recommendation for a nonprescription medication used to treat osteoporosis before the fracture. After fracture, 60% of subjects were advised to take any osteoporosis medication, and 42% of were advised to take a prescription medication. Of women reporting no treatment advice before fracture, 33% reported treatment after. Twenty-four percent of patients reported a change in treatment after fracture versus before. No significant differences in treatment were found according to fracture history, maternal history of fracture, or maternal history of osteoporosis. Both prescription and nonprescription treatment prevalence after fracture were lower than expected, and there was only a small change in reported treatment prevalence after fracture versus before. There was also little difference in treatment prevalence based on risk factors for osteoporosis or osteoporotic fractures. A sizeable opportunity exists for intervention to reduce the risk of osteoporotic fractures for patients who have a history of fracture.

BMD at multiple sites and risk of fracture of multiple types: long-term results from the Study of Osteoporotic Fractures

In a large cohort of U.S. women aged 65 and older, we report the relationships of BMD measured at several sites, and subsequent fracture risk at multiple sites over > 8 years of follow-up. Although we found almost all fracture types to be related to low BMD, the overall proportion of fractures attributable to low BMD is modest.

INTRODUCTION

Although several studies have reported the relationship between bone mineral density (BMD) and subsequent fracture risk, most have been limited by short follow-up time, BMD measures at only one or two sites, or availability of data for only select fracture types.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

In the multicenter Study of Osteoporotic Fractures (SOF), we studied the relationship of several different BMD measures to fracture risk of multiple types in 9704 non-black women aged 65 and older. We previously reported on the relationship of peripheral BMD measures to risk of several types of fracture during an average 2.2-year follow-up period. In this expanded analysis, we present results of the relationship of both peripheral and central BMD measures and fractures of multiple types during 10.4 and 8.5 years of follow-up, respectively. We also report population attributable risk (PAR) estimates for osteoporosis and risk of several types of fracture.

RESULTS

Our results show that almost all types of fractures have an increased incidence in women with low BMD. However, hip BMD is somewhat more strongly related to most of the fracture types studied than spine or peripheral BMD measures. Nonetheless, the proportion of fractures attributable to osteoporosis (based on a standard definition of osteoporosis) is modest, ranging from < 10% to 44% based on the most commonly used definition of osteoporosis (BMD T-score < -2.5).

CONCLUSION

Finding effective prevention strategies for fractures in older women will require additional interventions beside preventions for bone loss, such as prevention of falls and other fracture risk factors.

Bone mass measurements

The clinical application of bone densitometry is one of the advances in the field of osteoporosis that has led to the increased patient awareness of this increasingly prevalent disease. Bone densitometry has made it possible for clinicians to diagnose osteoporosis before the first fracture has occurred; predict risk for fracture in postmenopausal women, men, and in patients who are receiving glucocorticoids; and can be used as a surrogate marker to follow the efficacy of therapies and to examine those patients that might be osteoporosis-specific therapeutic nonresponders.

Randomized trial of physical activity and calcium supplementation on bone mineral content in 3- to 5-year-old children

A meta-analysis of adult exercise studies and an infant activity trial show a possible interaction between physical activity and calcium intake on bone. This randomized trial of activity and calcium supplementation was conducted in 239 children aged 3-5 years (178 completed). Children were randomized to participate in either gross motor or fine motor activities for 30 minutes/day, 5 days per week for 12 months. Within each group, children received either calcium (1000 mg/day) or placebo. Total body and regional bone mineral content by DXA and 20% distal tibia measurements by peripheral quantitative computed tomography (pQCT) were obtained at 0 and 12 months. Three-day diet records and 48-h accelerometer readings were obtained at 0, 6, and 12 months. Higher activity levels were observed in gross motor versus fine motor activity groups, and calcium intake was greater in calcium versus placebo (1354 +/- 301 vs. 940 +/- 258 mg/day, p < 0.001). Main effects of activity and calcium group were not significant for total body bone mineral content or leg bone mineral content by DXA. However, the difference in leg bone mineral content gain between gross motor and fine motor was more pronounced in children receiving calcium versus placebo (interaction, p = 0.05). Children in the gross motor group had greater tibia periosteal and endosteal circumferences by pQCT compared with children in the fine motor group at study completion (p < 0.05). There was a significant interaction (both p < or = 0.02) between supplement and activity groups in both cortical thickness and cortical area: among children receiving placebo, thickness and area were smaller with gross motor activity compared with fine motor activity, but among children receiving calcium, thickness and area were larger with gross motor activity. These findings indicate that calcium intake modifies the bone response to activity in young children.

Sport and home physical activity are independently associated with bone density

PURPOSE

To study the relations between four domains of physical activity-sport, home, work, and active living-and bone mineral density (BMD).

METHODS

Baseline data from African-American (N = 544), Caucasian (N= 1044), Chinese (N= 230), and Japanese (N= 239) participants, aged 42-52 yr, from the study of Women's Health Across the Nation were analyzed. BMD was measured with Hologic 2000 or 4500A densitometers. Physical activity was assessed with the Kaiser Physical Activity Scale, which rates each domain of activity between 1 (low) and 5 (high). Multiply adjusted linear regression models were used to estimate the relations between each activity domain and BMD.

RESULTS

The mean and median values of sport, home, work, and active living each approximated the midpoint of the scale and did not differ substantially among ethnic groups. Scores for each domain of activity were not highly correlated, with r values ranging between -0.03 and 0.33. Independent of age, body mass index, ethnic group, alcohol use, dietary calcium, smoking, menopause status, SWAN site, and other domains of physical activity, higher sport activity was statistically significantly associated with greater BMD at the lumbar spine (P= 0.008), femoral neck (P= 0.0002), and total hip (P< 0.0001). More home physical activity was associated with higher BMD at the spine (P= 0.049) and femoral neck (P= 0.008). Neither work physical activity nor active living was related to BMD at any bone site.

CONCLUSIONS

These results highlight the need to consider domain-specific physical activity in relation to health outcomes in women.

Radius bone strength in bending, compression, and falling and its correlation with clinical densitometry at multiple sites

This study comprehensively analyzes the ability of site-specific and nonsite-specific clinical densitometric techniques for predicting mechanical strength of the distal radius in different loading configurations. DXA of the distal forearm, spine, femur, and total body and peripheral quantitative computed tomography (pQCT) measurements of the distal radius (4, 20, and 33%) were obtained in situ (with soft tissues) in 129 cadavers, aged 80.16 +/- 9.8 years. Spinal QCT and calcaneal quantitative ultrasound (QUS) were performed ex situ in degassed specimens. The left radius was tested in three-point bending and axial compression, and the right forearm was tested in a fall configuration, respectively. Correlation coefficients with radius DXA were r = 0.89, 0.84, and 0.70 for failure in three-point bending, axial compression, and the fall simulation, respectively. The correlation with pQCT (r = 0.75 for multiple regression models with the fall) was not significantly higher than for DXA. Nonsite-specific measurements and calcaneal QUS displayed significantly (p < 0.01) lower correlation coefficients, and QUS did only contribute to the prediction of axial failure stress but not of failure load. We conclude that a combination of pQCT parameters involves only marginal improvement in predicting mechanical strength of the distal radius, nonsite-specific measurements are less accurate for this purpose, and QUS adds only little independent information to site-specific bone mass. Therefore, the noninvasive diagnosis of loss of strength at the distal radius should rely on site-specific measurements with DXA or pQCT and may be the earliest chance to detect individuals at risk of osteoporotic fracture.

Relationship between phalangeal bone density and risk of vertebral fracture

The aims of our study were to determine the relationship between bone mineral density (BMD) measurements of the phalanges obtained with the accuDEXA and recent vertebral fractures. To determine whether osteoarthritis of the hands affects phalangeal BMD measurements, and to illustrate the conversion of phalangeal BMD measurements to absolute fracture risk estimates for clinical application. The prospective Hawaii Osteoporosis Study began in 1981, and incident vertebral fractures were identified from serial radiographs obtained at approx 2-yr intervals. Vertebral fractures occurring between 1993 and 1994 and 1997 and 1998 were compared to phalangeal BMD measurements obtained in 1997-1998. A total of 199 women participated in this case-control study. The association of the phalangeal BMD measurements with vertebral fractures was examined in age-adjusted, logistic regression models. Results are expressed as odds ratios (ORs) per SD difference in the phalangeal BMD measurements. Osteoarthritis of the hands was graded according to the Kellgren-Lawrence scale. There were 34 incident fractures since the eighth examination in 1993-1994. For vertebral fractures, the OR per SD of phalangeal BMD was 1.5 (1.0-2.1). Phalangeal BMD was not influenced significantly by established osteoarthritis (p = 0.68). Phalangeal BMD measurements obtained with the accuDEXA device relate to recent vertebral fractures and can be used to identify women at high risk of fractures. The phalangeal BMD measurements obtained with this device are not significantly influenced by the presence of osteoarthritis of the hands.

Can metacarpal cortical area predict the occurrence of hip fracture in women and men over 3 decades of follow-up? Results from the Framingham Osteoporosis Study

The purpose of this study was to determine if a single measurement of metacarpal cortical area could predict the subsequent risk of hip fracture over a long-term follow-up period. Thirteen hundred eighty-six women and 1014 men (mean age [+/- SD] 61 +/- 8 years) underwent posteroanterior hand radiography between 1966 and 1970 as part of the Framingham Study. Measurements of cortical bone width (external width and medullary width) were made at the midpoint of the second metacarpal with a digital caliper to the nearest 0.1 mm. Hip fracture occurrence was ascertained on all survivors through December 1995. Surprisingly, in women, there was no significant increase in hip fracture according to metacarpal cortical area measurements (per SD decrease) in either age-adjusted (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.13; 95% CI, 0.94-1.35) or multivariate-adjusted models (HR = 1.06; 95% CI, 0.88-1.27). The same results were seen when considering only those women who were > or = 65 years of age at the time of their X-ray or when considering only the first 10 years of follow-up. When the type of hip fracture was considered in women, after adjustment for other risk factors, there appeared to be an association between metacarpal cortical area and intertrochanteric fracture risk (HR = 1.24; 95% CI, 0.91-1.71) but not femoral neck fracture risk (HR = 0.93; 95% CI, 0.71-1.22). In men, the age-adjusted risk of hip fracture was increased modestly per SD decrease in metacarpal cortical area (HR = 1.38; 95% CI, 1.02-1.87), and this remained true after adjustment for potential confounders. In this prospective cohort study with up to 30 years of follow-up, metacarpal cortical area in men predicted hip fracture risk. In women, the only association between metacarpal cortical area and fracture risk was observed for intertrochanteric fractures and was not significant when adjusting for multiple potential confounders. We conclude that this peripheral measure of bone status is not a potent predictor of hip fracture over a long period of follow-up.

Prediction of fracture from low bone mineral density measurements overestimates risk

There is a well-established relationship between bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture risk. Estimates of the relative risk of fracture from BMD have been derived mainly from short-term studies in which the correlation between BMD at assessment and BMD in later life ranged from 0.8 to 0.9. Because individuals lose bone mineral at different rates throughout later life, the long-term predictive value of low BMD is likely to decrease progressively with time. This article examines and formalizes the relationship between current BMD, correlation coefficients, and long-term risk. The loss of predictive value has important implications for early assessment and supports the view that measurements should be optimally targeted at the time interventions are contemplated and, when necessary, repeated in later life.

A new X-ray based osteoporosis screening tool provides accurate and precise assessment of phalanx bone mineral content

Many devices currently available for the assessment of osteoporosis require a significant capital investment, are not portable, and require specially trained operators. The objective of this study was to assess the accuracy and precision of a new tabletop dual-energy computed digital absorptiometry (CDA) device (accuDEXA, Schick Technologies, Long Island City, NY) designed to automatically and instantaneously assess bone mineral content (BMC) and bone mineral density (BMD) of the middle finger. BMC and BMD of 26 cadaveric forearms were measured by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry, radiographic absorptiometry (RA), and CDA. accuDEXA measurements were repeated five times with and without repositioning on 10 forearms. The portion of the finger evaluated by accuDEXA was then excised, measurements of the specimen were again obtained using the accuDEXA device, and the specimen was incinerated to determine ash weight. BMC assessed by accuDEXA and by RA were strongly correlated with ash weight of the excised phalanx specimens (r2 = 0.94 and r2 = 0.96, respectively). Short-term precision for BMD assessed by the accuDEXA device was 0.9% without repositioning, and 1.8% with repositioning. BMD determined by the accuDEXA device was strongly correlated with BMD of the hand and forearm (r2 = 0.56-0.69). Dual-energy CDA is a new bone densitometry technique that provides rapid, precise, and accurate measurements of the middle phalanx of the third finger. The technique may be useful for widespread testing of osteoporotic patients.

The challenges of peripheral bone density testing: which patients need additional central density skeletal measurements?

Lower cost, portable, peripheral bone mass measurement devices are being increasingly utilized for widespread bone mass testing. These devices are being placed in traditional medical settings as well as nontraditional settings, such as pharmacies and grocery stores. Increased bone mass testing is appropriate at menopause in women who are undecided whether to begin systemic estrogen replacement. Women may decide to begin estrogen replacement if they are aware they have low bone mass and understand that bone mass will predictably decline after the menopause (1). With the approval of alendronate and raloxifene for the prevention of osteoporosis, even women who cannot or will not utilize estrogen replacement may be offered preventive interventions if they are identified as having low bone mass. More accessible bone mass measurements and more approved pharmacologic interventions will shift the focus of osteoporosis management to strategies that emphasize the reduction of lifetime fracture risk as well as current fracture risk. It will also be an impetus to focus on earlier identification and intervention (2-4).