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Mansoor M, de Glanville WA, Alam R, Aslam K, Ahmed M, Isaakidis P, Pasha A. Prevalence and risk factors for hepatitis C virus infection in an informal settlement in Karachi, Pakistan. PLOS GLOBAL PUBLIC HEALTH 2023; 3:e0002076. [PMID: 37729129 PMCID: PMC10511086 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pgph.0002076] [Citation(s) in RCA: 1] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/09/2023] [Accepted: 08/24/2023] [Indexed: 09/22/2023]
Abstract
The burden of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Pakistan is amongst the highest in the world. People living in slums are likely to be at high risk of infection. Here, we describe the results of a cross-sectional survey conducted in March 2022 that aimed to quantify the prevalence of HCV infection in Machar Colony, one of the largest and oldest slum settlements in Karachi. Risk factors for HCV seropositivity were identified using multi-level logistic regression. We recruited 1,303 individuals in a random selection of 441 households from Machar Colony. The survey-adjusted HCV-seroprevalence was 13.5% (95% Confidence Interval (CI) 11.1-15.8) and survey-adjusted viraemic prevalence was 4.1% (95% CI 3.1-5.4) with a viraemic ratio of 32% (95% CI 24.3-40.5). Of 162 seropositive people, 71 (44%) reported receiving previous treatment for chronic hepatitis C. The odds of HCV seropositivity were found to increase with each additional reported therapeutic injection in the past 12 months (OR = 1.07 (95% Credible Interval (CrI) 1.00-1.13)). We found weaker evidence for a positive association between HCV seropositivity and a reported history of receiving a blood transfusion (OR = 1.72 (95% CrI 0.90-3.21)). The seroprevalence was more than double the previously reported seroprevalence in Sindh Province. The overall proportion of seropositive people that were viraemic was lower than expected. This may reflect the long-term impacts of a non-governmental clinic providing free of cost and easily accessible hepatitis C diagnosis and treatment to the population since 2015. Reuse of needles and syringes is likely to be an important driver of HCV transmission in this setting. Future public health interventions should address the expected risks associated with iatrogenic HCV transmission in this community.
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Affiliation(s)
- Munazza Mansoor
- Interactive Research and Development (IRD), Karachi, Pakistan
| | | | - Ridwa Alam
- Interactive Research and Development (IRD), Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Khawar Aslam
- Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF), Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Petros Isaakidis
- Southern Africa Medical Unit, Médecins Sans Frontières, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Aneeta Pasha
- Interactive Research and Development (IRD), Karachi, Pakistan
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Shalimar, Priya S, Gupta H, Bansal B, Elhence A, Krishna Kishore RV, Goel A. A Systematic Review of Risk Factors for Hepatitis C Virus Infection Among Low-Risk Population in India. J Clin Exp Hepatol 2022; 12:1438-1444. [PMID: 36340297 PMCID: PMC9630020 DOI: 10.1016/j.jceh.2022.06.003] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/24/2022] [Accepted: 06/04/2022] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Identification of risk factors for hepatitis C virus (HCV) transmission will help in targeted screening of people who are at risk for HCV. Method Indian studies, published between January 1989 and June 2020, were systematically reviewed to identify the relevant studies. We searched electronic databases including PubMed/Medline, Embase, Scopus, and Google scholar to identify the original data published in English language. The full-text studies, published in any form, which reported data on risk factors for HCV transmission among low-risk population were selected. The studies which exclusively included high-risk groups were excluded. Results Data were extracted from 31,176 participants included in 25 studies (median [range] 40 [7-20,113). The participants were HCV infected patients who visited the hospital (n = 10), community population (n = 6), pregnant women (n = 5), blood donors (n = 2), people with diabetes mellitus (n = 1), army recruits (n = 1), or slum dwellers (n = 1). These studies provided data on blood transfusion, use of unsafe injections, minor or major surgery, unsafe dental procedures, tattooing, body piercing, obstetrical procedures, unsafe shaving, intravenous drug use, and unsafe sexual practices as risk factors for HCV transmission. Conclusion Unsafe injections, body piercing, unsafe dental procedure, unsafe shaving, and tattooing were identified as major risk factors for reported by HCV population participants.More data are needed to identify the risk factors for HCV in Indian population. Risk-factor-targeted screening may increase the yield and reduce the cost of HCV screening in India.
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Affiliation(s)
- Shalimar
- Department of Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Sai Priya
- Department of General Medicine, Kalyan Singh Super Specialty Cancer Institute, Lucknow, India
| | - Hardik Gupta
- Department of Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Bhavik Bansal
- Department of Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Anshuman Elhence
- Department of Gastroenterology, All India Institute of Medical Sciences, New Delhi, India
| | - Ravi V. Krishna Kishore
- Department of Gastroenterology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India
| | - Amit Goel
- Department of Gastroenterology, Sanjay Gandhi Post Graduate Institute of Medical Sciences, Lucknow, India
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Baliashvili D, Averhoff F, Kasradze A, Salyer SJ, Kuchukhidze G, Gamkrelidze A, Imnadze P, Alkhazashvili M, Chanturia G, Chitadze N, Sukhiashvili R, Blanton C, Drobeniuc J, Morgan J, Hagan LM. Risk factors and genotype distribution of hepatitis C virus in Georgia: A nationwide population-based survey. PLoS One 2022; 17:e0262935. [PMID: 35061841 PMCID: PMC8782338 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pone.0262935] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/23/2021] [Accepted: 01/08/2022] [Indexed: 12/02/2022] Open
Abstract
In preparation for the National Hepatitis C Elimination Program in the country of Georgia, a nationwide household-based hepatitis C virus (HCV) seroprevalence survey was conducted in 2015. Data were used to estimate HCV genotype distribution and better understand potential sex-specific risk factors that contribute to HCV transmission. HCV genotype distribution by sex and reported risk factors were calculated. We used explanatory logistic regression models stratified by sex to identify behavioral and healthcare-related risk factors for HCV seropositivity, and predictive logistic regression models to identify additional variables that could help predict the presence of infection. Factors associated with HCV seropositivity in explanatory models included, among males, history of injection drug use (IDU) (aOR = 22.4, 95% CI = 12.7, 39.8) and receiving a blood transfusion (aOR = 3.6, 95% CI = 1.4, 8.8), and among females, history of receiving a blood transfusion (aOR = 4.0, 95% CI 2.1, 7.7), kidney dialysis (aOR = 7.3 95% CI 1.5, 35.3) and surgery (aOR = 1.9, 95% CI 1.1, 3.2). The male-specific predictive model additionally identified age, urban residence, and history of incarceration as factors predictive of seropositivity and were used to create a male-specific exposure index (Area under the curve [AUC] = 0.84). The female-specific predictive model had insufficient discriminatory performance to support creating an exposure index (AUC = 0.61). The most prevalent HCV genotype (GT) nationally was GT1b (40.5%), followed by GT3 (34.7%) and GT2 (23.6%). Risk factors for HCV seropositivity and distribution of HCV genotypes in Georgia vary substantially by sex. The HCV exposure index developed for males could be used to inform targeted testing programs.
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Affiliation(s)
- Davit Baliashvili
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
- Department of Epidemiology, Emory University Rollins School of Public Health, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
- * E-mail: ,
| | - Francisco Averhoff
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Ana Kasradze
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | - Stephanie J. Salyer
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | | | | | - Paata Imnadze
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | - Gvantsa Chanturia
- National Center for Disease Control and Public Health, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | | | | | - Curtis Blanton
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Jan Drobeniuc
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
| | - Juliette Morgan
- Division of Global Health Protection, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
- Global Disease Detection – South Caucasus Regional Center, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Tbilisi, Georgia
| | - Liesl M. Hagan
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, Georgia, United States of America
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Lim AG, Scott N, Walker JG, Hamid S, Hellard M, Vickerman P. Health and economic benefits of achieving hepatitis C virus elimination in Pakistan: A modelling study and economic analysis. PLoS Med 2021; 18:e1003818. [PMID: 34665815 PMCID: PMC8525773 DOI: 10.1371/journal.pmed.1003818] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/14/2021] [Accepted: 09/16/2021] [Indexed: 12/16/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Modelling suggests that achieving the WHO incidence target for hepatitis C virus (HCV) elimination in Pakistan could cost US$3.87 billion over 2018 to 2030. However, the economic benefits from integrating services or improving productivity were not included. METHODS AND FINDINGS We adapt a HCV transmission model for Pakistan to estimate the impact, costs, and cost-effectiveness of achieving HCV elimination (reducing annual HCV incidence by 80% by 2030) with stand-alone service delivery, or partially integrating one-third of initial HCV testing into existing healthcare services. We estimate the net economic benefits by comparing the required investment in screening, treatment, and healthcare management to the economic productivity gains from reduced HCV-attributable absenteeism, presenteeism, and premature deaths. We also calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted for HCV elimination versus maintaining current levels of HCV treatment. This is compared to an opportunity cost-based willingness-to-pay threshold for Pakistan (US$148 to US$198/DALY). Compared to existing levels of treatment, scaling up screening and treatment to achieve HCV elimination in Pakistan averts 5.57 (95% uncertainty interval (UI) 3.80 to 8.22) million DALYs and 333,000 (219,000 to 509,000) HCV-related deaths over 2018 to 2030. If HCV testing is partially integrated, this scale-up requires an investment of US$1.45 (1.32 to 1.60) billion but will result in US$1.30 (0.94 to 1.72) billion in improved economic productivity over 2018 to 2030. This elimination strategy is highly cost-effective (ICER = US$29 per DALY averted) by 2030, with it becoming cost-saving by 2031 and having a net economic benefit of US$9.10 (95% UI 6.54 to 11.99) billion by 2050. Limitations include uncertainty around what level of integration is possible within existing primary healthcare services as well as a lack of Pakistan-specific data on disease-related healthcare management costs or productivity losses due to HCV. CONCLUSIONS Investment in HCV elimination can bring about substantial societal health and economic benefits for Pakistan.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron G. Lim
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | | | - Josephine G. Walker
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
| | | | | | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, United Kingdom
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Mafirakureva N, Lim AG, Khalid GG, Aslam K, Campbell L, Zahid H, Van den Bergh R, Falq G, Fortas C, Wailly Y, Auat R, Donchuk D, Loarec A, Coast J, Vickerman P, Walker JG. Cost-effectiveness of screening and treatment using direct-acting antivirals for chronic Hepatitis C virus in a primary care setting in Karachi, Pakistan. J Viral Hepat 2021; 28:268-278. [PMID: 33051950 PMCID: PMC7821258 DOI: 10.1111/jvh.13422] [Citation(s) in RCA: 3] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/30/2020] [Revised: 09/07/2020] [Accepted: 09/28/2020] [Indexed: 12/13/2022]
Abstract
Despite the availability of effective direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatments for Hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, many people remain undiagnosed and untreated. We assessed the cost-effectiveness of a Médecins Sans Frontières (MSF) HCV screening and treatment programme within a primary health clinic in Karachi, Pakistan. A health state transition Markov model was developed to estimate the cost-effectiveness of the MSF programme. Programme cost and outcome data were analysed retrospectively. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) was calculated in terms of incremental cost (2016 US$) per disability-adjusted life year (DALY) averted from the provider's perspective over a lifetime horizon. The robustness of the model was evaluated using deterministic and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA). The ICER for implementing testing and treatment compared to no programme was US$450/DALY averted, with 100% of PSA runs falling below the per capita Gross Domestic Product threshold for cost-effective interventions for Pakistan (US$1,422). The ICER increased to US$532/DALY averted assuming national HCV seroprevalence (5.5% versus 33% observed in the intervention). If the cost of liver disease care was included (adapted from resource use data from Cambodia which has similar GDP to Pakistan), the ICER dropped to US$148/DALY, while it became cost-saving if a recently negotiated reduced drug cost of $75/treatment course was assumed (versus $282 in base-case) in addition to cost of liver disease care. In conclusion, screening and DAA treatment for HCV infection are expected to be highly cost-effective in Pakistan, supporting the expansion of similar screening and treatment programmes across Pakistan.
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Affiliation(s)
| | - Aaron G. Lim
- Population Health SciencesBristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK
| | | | - Khawar Aslam
- Operational Center BrusselsMédecins Sans FrontièresIslamabadPakistan
| | - Linda Campbell
- Population Health SciencesBristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK
| | - Hassaan Zahid
- Operational Center BrusselsMédecins Sans FrontièresIslamabadPakistan
| | | | | | | | - Yves Wailly
- Operational Center BrusselsMédecins Sans FrontièresBrusselsBelgium
| | - Rosa Auat
- Operational Center BrusselsMédecins Sans FrontièresBrusselsBelgium
| | - Dmytro Donchuk
- Operational Center BrusselsMédecins Sans FrontièresBrusselsBelgium
| | | | - Joanna Coast
- Population Health SciencesBristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health SciencesBristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK,NIHR Health Protection Research Unit in Behavioural Science and EvaluationUniversity of BristolBristolUK
| | - Josephine G. Walker
- Population Health SciencesBristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUK
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Mushtaq S, Mansoor A, Umar M, Khan A, Siddiqi S, Manzoor S. Direct-acting antiviral agents in the treatment of chronic hepatitis C-Real-life experience from clinical practices in Pakistan. J Med Virol 2020; 92:3475-3487. [PMID: 32129507 DOI: 10.1002/jmv.25745] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/30/2019] [Accepted: 03/01/2020] [Indexed: 02/05/2023]
Abstract
This study aims to evaluate the clinical effectiveness in terms of sustained virological response (SVR), predictors of SVR and safety of available second-generation generic direct-acting antivirals in Pakistani chronic hepatitis C patients. This is a retrospective study conducted in multiple centers of Pakistan from January 2015 to January 2019. The samples include patients infected with chronic hepatitis C virus, regardless of virus genotype, cirrhosis, or prior treatment. A total of 993 patients were included in the present study, with the majority receiving sofosbuvir with daclatasvir (95%), sofosbuvir with daclatasvir and ribavirin (4%), and sofosbuvir with ribavirin (1%). There were 96% cases of chronic hepatitis, 3% cases compensated cirrhosis, and 1% cases of decompensated cirrhosis. Genotype 3 (99.6%) was the most common genotype. Overall SVR after 12 weeks was 98% for all treatment regimens. High SVR12 was observed with sofosbuvir in combination with daclatasvir (98.5%), then sofosbuvir in combination with daclatasvir and ribavirin (90.2%) and sofosbuvir in combination with ribavirin (75%). SVR rates were high in chronic hepatitis C patients (98.2%) as compared with cirrhotic patients (92.1%) and it was high in treatment-naive (98.8%) then interferon experienced patients (90.1%). In multivariate binary logistic regression analysis, patients' education status, treatment strategy, viral load, and alanine aminotransferase had a statistically significant association with SVR at 12 weeks. No major adverse events occurred which required treatment discontinuation. Generic oral direct acting antiviralss (sofosbuvir with daclatasvir) achieved higher SVR12 rates and were well tolerated in this large real-world cohort of genotype 3 infected patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saima Mushtaq
- Department of Healthcare Biotechnology, Atta-ur-Rahman School of Applied Biosciences, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Atika Mansoor
- Institute of Biomedical and Genetic Engineering, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Muhammad Umar
- Centre for Liver and Digestive Diseases, Holy Family Hospital, Rawalpindi Medical College and Allied Hospitals, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Amjad Khan
- Department of Pharmacy, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Saima Siddiqi
- Institute of Biomedical and Genetic Engineering, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Sobia Manzoor
- Department of Healthcare Biotechnology, Atta-ur-Rahman School of Applied Biosciences, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
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Mushtaq S, Akhter TS, Khan A, Sohail A, Khan A, Manzoor S. Efficacy and Safety of Generic Sofosbuvir Plus Daclatasvir and Sofosbuvir/Velpatasvir in HCV Genotype 3-Infected Patients: Real-World Outcomes From Pakistan. Front Pharmacol 2020; 11:550205. [PMID: 32982753 PMCID: PMC7493013 DOI: 10.3389/fphar.2020.550205] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/15/2020] [Accepted: 08/17/2020] [Indexed: 12/12/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) therapeutic regimens are highly effective against chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. However, HCV patients with genotype 3 (GT3) respond in a suboptimal way. This study aims to identify which of the DAAs-based therapeutic regimens are the best option for GT3. METHODS Multiple governments and private tertiary care hospitals were involved in this real-life study of HCV-GT3 patients treated with DAAs. The efficacy and safety of generic sofosbuvir+daclatasvir±ribavirin (SOF+DCV±RBV) and sofosbuvir/velpatasvir±ribavirin (SOF/VEL±RBV) were assessed under the National Hepatitis C Program of Pakistan. RESULTS Out of 1,388 participants, 70% of patients received SOF+DCV in government tertiary care hospitals and 30% received SOF/VEL in private tertiary care hospitals. The overall sustained virological responses (SVR) was 95.5%. The SVR rates at 12 weeks were comparable between SOF+DCV (94.4%) and SOF/VEL (94.7%) in chronic HCV patients. However, The SVR rates at 24 weeks were high in cirrhotic patients treated with SOF/VEL+RBV (88%) then SOF+DCV+RBV (83%). Non-responders were high in SOF-DCV than SOF-VEL (4.1 vs 3.8%, P = 0.05) regimen. In multivariate models, the significant predictors of non-SVR were age >60 years (odds ratio [OR] 4.46; 95% CI, 2.35-8.46, P = <0.001) and cirrhosis (OR 53.91; 95% CI, 26.49-109.6, P = <0.001). Skin rash (51 vs 44%) and oral ulcers (45 vs 40%) were high in patients receiving SOF-DCV then SOF-VEL. CONCLUSIONS Overall, the generic SOF+DCV ±RBV and SOF/VEL ± RBV achieved equally high SVR12 rates. However, SOF/VEL+RBV achieved a high SVR rate in cirrhotic patients then SOF+DCV+RBV. Old age and cirrhosis were significant predictors of reduced odds of SVR regardless of the regimen. Furthermore, the regimens were well tolerated in chronic HCV patients.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saima Mushtaq
- Department of Healthcare Biotechnology, Atta-ur-Rahman School of Applied Biosciences, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Tayyab Saeed Akhter
- Centre for Liver and Digestive Diseases, Holy Family Hospital, Rawalpindi Medical College and Allied Hospitals, Rawalpindi, Pakistan
| | - Amjad Khan
- Department of Pharmacy, Quaid-i-Azam University, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Aamir Sohail
- Department of Medicine, Karachi Institute of Medical Sciences, Combined Military Hospital, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Arshad Khan
- Department of Neurosurgery, Medical Teaching Institution, Lady Reading Hospital, Peshawar, Pakistan
| | - Sobia Manzoor
- Department of Healthcare Biotechnology, Atta-ur-Rahman School of Applied Biosciences, National University of Sciences and Technology, Islamabad, Pakistan
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Abbas Z, Abbas M. The cost of eliminating hepatitis C in Pakistan. LANCET GLOBAL HEALTH 2020; 8:e323-e324. [PMID: 32087161 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30036-x] [Citation(s) in RCA: 5] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/21/2020] [Accepted: 01/24/2020] [Indexed: 01/17/2023]
Affiliation(s)
- Zaigham Abbas
- Department of Hepato-Gastroenterology, Dr Ziauddin University Hospital, Clifton Karachi 75600, Pakistan.
| | - Minaam Abbas
- School of Clinical Medicine and The Gurdon Institute, University of Cambridge, Cambridge, UK
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Khalid GG, Kyaw KWY, Bousquet C, Auat R, Donchuk D, Trickey A, Hamid S, Qureshi H, Mazzeo V, Aslam K, Khowaja S, Van den Bergh R. From risk to care: the hepatitis C screening and diagnostic cascade in a primary health care clinic in Karachi, Pakistan-a cohort study. Int Health 2020; 12:19-27. [PMID: 30597008 PMCID: PMC6964233 DOI: 10.1093/inthealth/ihy096] [Citation(s) in RCA: 13] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/11/2018] [Revised: 10/25/2018] [Accepted: 11/30/2018] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
BACKGROUND In the high-prevalence setting of Pakistan, screening, diagnosis and treatment services for chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients are commonly offered in specialized facilities. We aimed to describe the cascade of care in a Médecins Sans Frontières primary health care clinic offering CHC care in an informal settlement in Karachi, Pakistan. METHODS This was a retrospective cohort analysis using routinely collected data. Three different screening algorithms were assessed among patients with one or more CHC risk factors. RESULTS Among the 87 348 patients attending the outpatient clinic, 5003 (6%) presented with one or more risk factors. Rapid diagnostic test (RDT) positivity was 38% overall. Approximately 60% of the CHC patients across all risk categories were in the early stage of the disease, with an aspartate aminotransferase:platelet ratio index score <1. The sequential delays in the cascade differed between the three groups, with the interval between screening and treatment initiation being the shortest in the cohort tested with GeneXpert onsite. CONCLUSIONS Delays between screening and treatment can be reduced by putting in place more patient-centric testing algorithms. New strategies, to better identify and treat the hidden at-risk populations, should be developed and implemented.
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Affiliation(s)
- Gul Ghuttai Khalid
- Operational Center Brussels, Médecins Sans Frontières, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Khine Wut Yee Kyaw
- Department of Operational Research, International Union Against Tuberculosis and Lung Disease, Mandalay, Myanmar
| | - Christine Bousquet
- Operational Center Brussels, Médecins Sans Frontières, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Rosa Auat
- Operational Center Brussels, Brussels, Belgium
| | | | - Adam Trickey
- School of Social and Population Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Saeed Hamid
- Department of Medicine, Agha Khan Medical University, Karachi, Pakistan
| | - Huma Qureshi
- Pakistan Health Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Valentina Mazzeo
- Operational Center Brussels, Médecins Sans Frontières, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Khawar Aslam
- Operational Center Brussels, Médecins Sans Frontières, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Salima Khowaja
- Operational Center Brussels, Médecins Sans Frontières, Islamabad, Pakistan
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10
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Lim AG, Walker JG, Mafirakureva N, Khalid GG, Qureshi H, Mahmood H, Trickey A, Fraser H, Aslam K, Falq G, Fortas C, Zahid H, Naveed A, Auat R, Saeed Q, Davies CF, Mukandavire C, Glass N, Maman D, Martin NK, Hickman M, May MT, Hamid S, Loarec A, Averhoff F, Vickerman P. Effects and cost of different strategies to eliminate hepatitis C virus transmission in Pakistan: a modelling analysis. Lancet Glob Health 2020; 8:e440-e450. [PMID: 32087176 PMCID: PMC7295205 DOI: 10.1016/s2214-109x(20)30003-6] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 5.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 05/31/2019] [Revised: 10/07/2019] [Accepted: 01/06/2020] [Indexed: 02/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND The WHO elimination strategy for hepatitis C virus advocates scaling up screening and treatment to reduce global hepatitis C incidence by 80% by 2030, but little is known about how this reduction could be achieved and the costs of doing so. We aimed to evaluate the effects and cost of different strategies to scale up screening and treatment of hepatitis C in Pakistan and determine what is required to meet WHO elimination targets for incidence. METHODS We adapted a previous model of hepatitis C virus transmission, treatment, and disease progression for Pakistan, calibrating using available data to incorporate a detailed cascade of care for hepatitis C with cost data on diagnostics and hepatitis C treatment. We modelled the effect on various outcomes and costs of alternative scenarios for scaling up screening and hepatitis C treatment in 2018-30. We calibrated the model to country-level demographic data for 1960-2015 (including population growth) and to hepatitis C seroprevalence data from a national survey in 2007-08, surveys among people who inject drugs (PWID), and hepatitis C seroprevalence trends among blood donors. The cascade of care in our model begins with diagnosis of hepatitis C infection through antibody screening and RNA confirmation. Diagnosed individuals are then referred to care and started on treatment, which can result in a sustained virological response (effective cure). We report the median and 95% uncertainty interval (UI) from 1151 modelled runs. FINDINGS One-time screening of 90% of the 2018 population by 2030, with 80% referral to treatment, was projected to lead to 13·8 million (95% UI 13·4-14·1) individuals being screened and 350 000 (315 000-385 000) treatments started annually, decreasing hepatitis C incidence by 26·5% (22·5-30·7) over 2018-30. Prioritised screening of high prevalence groups (PWID and adults aged ≥30 years) and rescreening (annually for PWID, otherwise every 10 years) are likely to increase the number screened and treated by 46·8% and decrease incidence by 50·8% (95% UI 46·1-55·0). Decreasing hepatitis C incidence by 80% is estimated to require a doubling of the primary screening rate, increasing referral to 90%, rescreening the general population every 5 years, and re-engaging those lost to follow-up every 5 years. This approach could cost US$8·1 billion, reducing to $3·9 billion with lowest costs for diagnostic tests and drugs, including health-care savings, and implementing a simplified treatment algorithm. INTERPRETATION Pakistan will need to invest about 9·0% of its yearly health expenditure to enable sufficient scale up in screening and treatment to achieve the WHO hepatitis C elimination target of an 80% reduction in incidence by 2030. FUNDING UNITAID.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron G Lim
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.
| | - Josephine G Walker
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | | | | | - Hassan Mahmood
- Pakistan Health Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan; WHO, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Adam Trickey
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Hannah Fraser
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | | | | | | | - Ammara Naveed
- Department of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Pakistan Kidney and Liver Institute and Research Center, Lahore, Pakistan
| | - Rosa Auat
- Médecins Sans Frontières, Brussels, Belgium
| | - Quaid Saeed
- National AIDS Control Programme, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Charlotte F Davies
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - Nancy Glass
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - David Maman
- Epicentre, Médecins Sans Frontières, Paris, France
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK; Division of Infectious Diseases and Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Matthew Hickman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Margaret T May
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - Anne Loarec
- Epicentre, Médecins Sans Frontières, Paris, France
| | - Francisco Averhoff
- Division of Viral Hepatitis, National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
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11
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Clustering of hepatitis C virus antibody positivity within households and communities in Punjab, India. Epidemiol Infect 2019; 147:e283. [PMID: 31587676 PMCID: PMC6805795 DOI: 10.1017/s0950268819001705] [Citation(s) in RCA: 7] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.4] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 12/13/2022] Open
Abstract
To better understand hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemiology in Punjab state, India, we estimated the distribution of HCV antibody positivity (anti-HCV+) using a 2013-2014 HCV household seroprevalence survey. Household anti-HCV+ clustering was investigated (a) by individual-level multivariable logistic regression, and (b) comparing the observed frequency of households with multiple anti-HCV+ persons against the expected, simulated frequency assuming anti-HCV+ persons are randomly distributed. Village/ward-level clustering was investigated similarly. We estimated household-level associations between exposures and the number of anti-HCV+ members in a household (N = 1593 households) using multivariable ordered logistic regression. Anti-HCV+ prevalence was 3.6% (95% confidence interval 3.0-4.2%). Individual-level regression (N = 5543 participants) found an odds ratio of 3.19 (2.25-4.50) for someone being anti-HCV+ if another household member was anti-HCV+. Thirty households surveyed had ⩾2 anti-HCV+ members, whereas 0/1000 (P < 0.001) simulations had ⩾30 such households. Excess village-level clustering was evident: 10 villages had ⩾6 anti-HCV+ members, occurring in 31/1000 simulations (P = 0.031). The household-level model indicated the number of household members, living in southern Punjab, lower socio-economic score, and a higher proportion having ever used opium/bhuki were associated with a household's number of anti-HCV+ members. Anti-HCV+ clusters within households and villages in Punjab, India. These data should be used to inform screening efforts.
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12
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Abstract
OBJECTIVE Direct-acting antivirals have opened an opportunity for controlling hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection in Pakistan, where 10% of the global infection burden is found. We aimed to evaluate the implications of five treatment programme scenarios for HCV treatment as prevention (HCV-TasP) in Pakistan. DESIGN An age-structured mathematical model was used to evaluate programme impact using epidemiological and programme indicators. SETTING Total Pakistan population. PARTICIPANTS Total Pakistan HCV-infected population. INTERVENTIONS HCV treatment programme scenarios from 2018 up to 2030. RESULTS By 2030 across the five HCV-TasP scenarios, 0.6-7.3 million treatments were administered, treatment coverage reached between 3.7% and 98.7%, prevalence of chronic infection reached 2.4%-0.03%, incidence reduction ranged between 41% and 99%, program-attributed reduction in incidence rate ranged between 7.2% and 98.5% and number of averted infections ranged between 126 221 and 750 547. Annual incidence rate reduction in the first decade of the programme was around 6%-18%. Number of treatments needed to prevent one new infection ranged between 4.7-9.8, at a drug cost of about US$900. Cost of the programme by 2030, in the most ambitious elimination scenario, reached US$708 million. Stipulated WHO target for 2030 cannot be accomplished without scaling up treatment to 490 000 per year, and maintaining it for a decade. CONCLUSION HCV-TasP is a highly impactful and potent approach to control Pakistan's HCV epidemic and achieve elimination by 2030.
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Affiliation(s)
- Houssein H Ayoub
- Department of Mathematics, Statistics, and Physics, Qatar University, Doha, Qatar
| | - Laith J Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, USA
- College of Health and Life Sciences, Hamad bin Khalifa University, Doha, Qatar
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13
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Lim AG, Qureshi H, Mahmood H, Hamid S, Davies CF, Trickey A, Glass N, Saeed Q, Fraser H, Walker JG, Mukandavire C, Hickman M, Martin NK, May MT, Averhoff F, Vickerman P. Curbing the hepatitis C virus epidemic in Pakistan: the impact of scaling up treatment and prevention for achieving elimination. Int J Epidemiol 2019; 47:550-560. [PMID: 29309592 PMCID: PMC5913612 DOI: 10.1093/ije/dyx270] [Citation(s) in RCA: 49] [Impact Index Per Article: 9.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 12/13/2017] [Indexed: 02/07/2023] Open
Abstract
Background The World Health Organization (WHO) has developed a global health strategy to eliminate viral hepatitis. We project the treatment and prevention requirements to achieve the WHO HCV elimination target of reducing HCV incidence by 80% and HCV-related mortality by 65% by 2030 in Pakistan, which has the second largest HCV burden worldwide. Methods We developed an HCV transmission model for Pakistan, and calibrated it to epidemiological data from a national survey (2007), surveys among people who inject drugs (PWID), and blood donor data. Current treatment coverage data came from expert opinion and published reports. The model projected the HCV burden, including incidence, prevalence and deaths through 2030, and estimated the impact of varying prevention and direct-acting antiviral (DAA) treatment interventions necessary for achieving the WHO HCV elimination targets. Results With no further treatment (currently ∼150 000 treated annually) during 2016–30, chronic HCV prevalence will increase from 3.9% to 5.1%, estimated annual incident infections will increase from 700 000 to 1 100 000, and 1 400 000 HCV-associated deaths will occur. To reach the WHO HCV elimination targets by 2030, 880 000 annual DAA treatments are required if prevention is not scaled up and no treatment prioritization occurs. By targeting treatment toward persons with cirrhosis (80% treated annually) and PWIDs (double the treatment rate of non-PWIDs), the required annual treatment number decreases to 750 000. If prevention activities also halve transmission risk, this treatment number reduces to 525 000 annually. Conclusions Substantial HCV prevention and treatment interventions are required to reach the WHO HCV elimination targets in Pakistan, without which Pakistan’s HCV burden will increase markedly.
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Affiliation(s)
- Aaron G Lim
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Huma Qureshi
- Pakistan Health Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Hassan Mahmood
- Pakistan Health Research Council, Islamabad, Pakistan.,TEPHINET, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | | | - Charlotte F Davies
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Adam Trickey
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Nancy Glass
- National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Quaid Saeed
- National AIDS Control Programme, Islamabad, Pakistan
| | - Hannah Fraser
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Josephine G Walker
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | | | - Matthew Hickman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Natasha K Martin
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK.,Division of Global Public Health, Department of Medicine, University of California San Diego, CA, USA
| | - Margaret T May
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
| | - Francisco Averhoff
- National Center for HIV/AIDS, Viral Hepatitis, STD, and TB Prevention, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, Atlanta, GA, USA
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol, Bristol, UK
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14
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Lim AG, Trickey A, Vickerman P. Screening Strategies for Hepatitis C Virus. Hepatol Commun 2019; 3:321-324. [PMID: 30859145 PMCID: PMC6396359 DOI: 10.1002/hep4.1330] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Submit a Manuscript] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 01/28/2019] [Accepted: 02/07/2019] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Affiliation(s)
- Aaron G. Lim
- Department of Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUnited Kingdom
| | - Adam Trickey
- Department of Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUnited Kingdom
| | - Peter Vickerman
- Department of Population Health Sciences Bristol Medical SchoolUniversity of BristolBristolUnited Kingdom
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15
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Khaliq S, Raza SM. Current Status of Direct Acting Antiviral Agents against Hepatitis C Virus Infection in Pakistan. MEDICINA (KAUNAS, LITHUANIA) 2018; 54:E80. [PMID: 30400604 PMCID: PMC6262417 DOI: 10.3390/medicina54050080] [Citation(s) in RCA: 16] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 09/05/2018] [Revised: 10/20/2018] [Accepted: 10/31/2018] [Indexed: 02/06/2023]
Abstract
In Pakistan, the burden of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the second highest in the world with the development of chronic hepatitis. Interferon-based combination therapy with ribavirin was the only available treatment until a few years back, with severe side-effects and high failure rates against different genotypes of HCV. Interferon-free all-oral direct-acting antiviral agents (DAAs) approved by the FDA have revolutionized the HCV therapeutic landscape due to their efficiency in targeting different genotypes in different categories of patients, including treatment naïve, treatment failure and relapsing patients, as well as patients with compensated and decompensated cirrhosis. The availability and use of these DAAs is limited in the developing world. Sofosbuvir (SOF), a uridine nucleotide analogue and inhibitor of HCV encoded NS5B polymerase, is now a widely available and in-use DAA in Pakistan; whereas daclatasvir was recently added in the list. According to the documented results, there is hope that this disease can be effectively cured in Pakistan, although a few concerns still remain. The aim of this article is to review the effectiveness of DAAs and the current status of this treatment against HCV genotype 3 infection in Pakistan; various factors associated with SVR; its limitations as an effective treatment regime; and future implications.
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Affiliation(s)
- Saba Khaliq
- Department of Physiology and Cell Biology, University of Health Sciences, Lahore 54600, Pakistan.
| | - Syed Mohsin Raza
- Institute of Biomedical and Allied Health Sciences, University of Health Sciences, Lahore 54600, Pakistan.
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16
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Al Kanaani Z, Mahmud S, Kouyoumjian SP, Abu-Raddad LJ. The epidemiology of hepatitis C virus in Pakistan: systematic review and meta-analyses. ROYAL SOCIETY OPEN SCIENCE 2018; 5:180257. [PMID: 29765698 PMCID: PMC5936963 DOI: 10.1098/rsos.180257] [Citation(s) in RCA: 61] [Impact Index Per Article: 10.2] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 02/15/2018] [Accepted: 03/13/2018] [Indexed: 05/06/2023]
Abstract
To characterize hepatitis C virus (HCV) epidemiology in Pakistan and estimate the pooled mean HCV antibody prevalence in different risk populations, we systematically reviewed all available records of HCV incidence and/or prevalence from 1989 to 2016, as informed by the Cochrane Collaboration Handbook. This systematic review was reported following the PRISMA guidelines. Populations were classified into six categories based on the risk of exposure to HCV infection. Meta-analyses were performed using DerSimonian and Laird random-effects models with inverse variance weighting. The search identified one HCV incidence study and 341 prevalence measures/strata. Meta-analyses estimated the pooled mean HCV prevalence at 6.2% among the general population, 34.5% among high-risk clinical populations, 12.8% among populations at intermediate risk, 16.9% among special clinical populations, 55.9% among populations with liver-related conditions and 53.6% among people who inject drugs. Most reported risk factors in analytical epidemiologic studies related to healthcare procedures. Pakistan is enduring an HCV epidemic of historical proportions-one in every 20 Pakistanis is infected. HCV plays a major role in liver disease burden in this country, and HCV prevalence is high in all-risk populations. Most transmission appears to be driven by healthcare procedures. HCV treatment and prevention must become a national priority.
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Affiliation(s)
- Zaina Al Kanaani
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Qatar Foundation - Education City, PO Box 24144, Doha, Qatar
| | - Sarwat Mahmud
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Qatar Foundation - Education City, PO Box 24144, Doha, Qatar
| | - Silva P. Kouyoumjian
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Qatar Foundation - Education City, PO Box 24144, Doha, Qatar
| | - Laith J. Abu-Raddad
- Infectious Disease Epidemiology Group, Weill Cornell Medicine-Qatar, Qatar Foundation - Education City, PO Box 24144, Doha, Qatar
- Department of Healthcare Policy and Research, Weill Cornell Medicine, Cornell University, New York, NY, USA
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17
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Hutin YJ, Bulterys M, Hirnschall GO. How far are we from viral hepatitis elimination service coverage targets? J Int AIDS Soc 2018; 21 Suppl 2:e25050. [PMID: 29633520 PMCID: PMC5978704 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.25050] [Citation(s) in RCA: 47] [Impact Index Per Article: 7.8] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 07/07/2017] [Accepted: 12/19/2017] [Indexed: 12/14/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In 2016, the Global Health Sector Strategy (GHSS) on viral hepatitis called for elimination of viral hepatitis as a major public health threat by 2030 (i.e. 90% reduction in incidence and 65% in mortality). In 2017, WHO's first-ever Global Hepatitis Report presented the baseline values for each of the core indicators of the strategy. We review the challenges and opportunities that lie ahead in order to reach the 2030 service coverage targets. DISCUSSION Three-dose coverage of hepatitis B vaccine in infancy reached 84% in 2015 (2030 target: 90%); however, only 39% received the timely birth dose (2030 target: 90%). Blood safety (97% of blood units screened with quality assurance, 2030 target: 100%) and injection safety (5% unsafe injections, 2030 target: 0%) had made substantial progress while harm reduction fell short (27 syringe and needle sets distributed per person who injects drugs per year, 2030 target: 300). Worldwide, 9% and 20% of the HBV- and HCV-infected population respectively, were aware of their status (2030 targets: 90%). In the short term, to reach the 2020 target of diagnosing 50% of those infected, 107 million HBV infected persons and 15 million HCV infected persons should be urgently diagnosed. Overall, in 2015, less than 10% of known infected persons were on HBV treatment or had started HCV treatment (2030 targets: 80%). CONCLUSIONS The prevention component of elimination is on track with respect to hepatitis B vaccination, blood safety, and injection safety. However, coverage of the hepatitis B vaccine timely birth dose requires a substantial increase, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa, and harm reduction needs to be taken to scale as injecting drug use accounts for a third of mortality from HCV infection. A promising but limited start in hepatitis testing and treatment needs to be followed by immediate and sustained action so that we reach the service coverage targets required to achieve elimination by 2030. Treating persons coinfected with HIV and hepatitis viruses is particularly urgent and needs to be promoted in the context of the HIV response.
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Affiliation(s)
- Yvan J‐F Hutin
- Department of HIV and HepatitisWorld Health OrganizationGenevaSwitzerland
| | - Marc Bulterys
- Department of HIV and HepatitisWorld Health OrganizationGenevaSwitzerland
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