Liver cancer mortality over six decades in an epidemic area: what we have learned

Profound primary prevention of liver cancer following a natural experiment in China: A 50-year perspective and public health implications

Liver cancer causes upwards of 1 million cancer deaths annually and is projected to rise by at least 55% over the next 15 years. Two of the major risk factors contributing to liver cancer have been well documented by multiple epidemiologic studies and the hepatitis B virus (HBV) and aflatoxin show a synergy that increases by more than 8-fold the risk of liver cancer relative to HBV alone. Using the population-based cancer registry established by the Qidong Liver Cancer Institute in 1972 and aflatoxin-specific biomarkers, we document that reduction of aflatoxin exposure has likely contributed to a nearly 70% decline in age-standardized liver cancer incidence over the past 30 years despite an unchanging prevalence of HBV infection in cases. A natural experiment of economic reform in the 1980s drove a rapid switch from consumption of heavily contaminated corn to minimally, if any, contaminated rice and subsequent dietary diversity. Aflatoxin consumption appears to accelerate the time to liver cancer diagnosis; lowering exposure to this carcinogen adds years of life before a cancer diagnosis. Thus, in 1990 the median age of diagnosis was 48 years, while increasing to 67 years by 2021. These findings have important translational public health implications since up to 5 billion people worldwide might be routinely exposed to dietary aflatoxin, especially in societies using corn as the staple food. Interventions against aflatoxin are an achievable outcome leading to a reduction in liver cancer incidence and years of delay of its nearly always fatal diagnosis.

Fifty Years of Aflatoxin Research in Qidong, China: A Celebration of Team Science to Improve Public Health

The Qidong Liver Cancer Institute (QDLCI) and the Qidong Cancer Registry were established in 1972 with input from doctors, other medical practitioners, and non-medical investigators arriving from urban centers such as Shanghai and Nanjing. Medical teams were established to quantify the extent of primary liver cancer in Qidong, a corn-growing peninsula on the north side of the Yangtze River. High rates of liver cancer were documented and linked to several etiologic agents, including aflatoxins. Local corn, the primary dietary staple, was found to be consistently contaminated with high levels of aflatoxins, and bioassays using this corn established its carcinogenicity in ducks and rats. Observational studies noted a positive association between levels of aflatoxin in corn and incidence of liver cancer across townships. Biomarker studies measuring aflatoxin B1 and its metabolite aflatoxin M1 in biofluids reflected the exposures. Approaches to decontamination of corn from aflatoxins were also studied. In 1993, investigators from Johns Hopkins University were invited to visit the QDLCI to discuss chemoprevention studies in some townships. A series of placebo-controlled clinical trials were conducted using oltipraz (a repurposed drug), chlorophyllin (an over-the-counter drug), and beverages prepared from 3-day-old broccoli sprouts (rich in the precursor phytochemical for sulforaphane). Modulation of biomarkers of aflatoxin DNA and albumin adducts established proof of principle for the efficacy of these agents in enhancing aflatoxin detoxication. Serendipitously, by 2012, aflatoxin exposures quantified using biomarker measurements documented a many hundred-fold reduction. In turn, the Cancer Registry documents that the age-standardized incidence rate of liver cancer is now 75% lower than that seen in the 1970s. This reduction is seen in Qidongese who have never received the hepatitis B vaccination. Aflatoxin mitigation driven by economic changes switched the dietary staple of contaminated corn to rice coupled with subsequent dietary diversity leading to lower aflatoxin exposures. This 50-year effort to understand the etiology of liver cancer in Qidong provides the strongest evidence for aflatoxin mitigation as a public health strategy for reducing liver cancer burden in exposed, high-risk populations. Also highlighted are the challenges and successes of international team science to solve pressing public health issues.

Hepatitis B Virus Knowledge and HBV-Related Surveillance Status Among HBsAg-Positive Patients in Qidong City: A Rural-Based Cross-Sectional Survey

OBJECTIVE

This study aimed to investigate hepatitis B knowledge and hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related surveillance status among HBsAg-positive patients, as well as to further explore the relevant influencing factors.

METHODS

A cross-sectional study was conducted on the HBsAg-positive patients from 8 October 2023 to 10 November 2023 in Qidong City. A self-report questionnaire was developed based on a literature review of similar studies. Univariate analysis of variance, multivariate logistic regression, and t-test analysis were conducted to analyze the collected data.

RESULTS

Of the 982 respondents who completed the on-site questionnaire, all participants were HBsAg-positive patients. Moreover, 51.32% had "good" knowledge of HBV. Multivariate logistic regression analysis showed that participants with a doctor in the family, those with an average monthly income above CNY 3000, and those with an average monthly income of CNY 1500-3000 were more likely to obtain a "good" cognitive evaluation (p < 0.001). The scores of the populations using HBV-related surveillance methods were low (2.02 ± 0.87); 64.87% (637/982) of the populations monitored had a score of no more than 2.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that the awareness of HBV prevention and treatment among participants, especially those of low-income classes and individuals lacking physician clinical management, should be promoted to increase the dissemination of HBV knowledge.

ADH4-a potential prognostic marker for hepatocellular carcinoma with possible immune-related implications

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to explore ADH4 expression in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), its prognostic impact, and its immune correlation to provide novel insights into HCC prognostication and treatment.

METHODS

HCC prognostic marker genes were rigorously selected using GEO database, Lasso regression, GEPIA, Kaplan-Meier and pROC analyses. The expression of interested markers (ADH4, DNASE1L3, RDH16, LCAT, HGFAC) in HCC and adjacent tissues was assessed by Immunohistochemistry (IHC). We observed that ADH4 exhibited low expression levels in liver cancer tissues and high expression levels in normal liver tissues. However, the remaining four genes did not manifest any statistically significant differences between hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) tissue and adjacent non-cancerous tissue. Consequently, ADH4 became the primary focus of our research. ADH4 expression was validated by signed-rank tests and unpaired Wilcoxon rank sum tests across pan-cancer and HCC datasets. Clinical significance and associations with clinicopathological variables were determined using Kaplan-Meier, logistic regression and Cox analyses on TCGA data. The ADH4-related immune responses were explored by Spearman correlation analysis using TIMER2 data. CD68, CD4, and CD19 protein levels were confirmed by IHC in HCC and non-cancerous tissues.

RESULTS

ADH4 showed significant downregulation in various cancers, particularly in HCC. Moreover, low ADH4 expression was associated with clinicopathological variables and served as an independent prognostic marker for HCC patients. Additionally, ADH4 affects a variety of biochemical functions and may influence cancer development, prognosis, and treatment by binding to immune cells. Furthermore, at the immune level, the low expression pattern of ADH4 is TME-specific, indicating that ADH4 has the potential to be used as a target for cancer immunotherapy.

CONCLUSION

This study highlights the diagnostic, prognostic and immunomodulatory roles of ADH4 in HCC. ADH4 could serve as a valuable biomarker for HCC diagnosis and prognosis, as well as a potential target for immunotherapeutic interventions.

Time trends in liver cancer mortality rates in Montenegro from 1990 to 2018

OBJECTIVE

Liver cancer is the third most common cause of cancer-related deaths worldwide. Hepatitis B and C infections are the main factors affecting mortality. During recent years, Montenegro conducted activities on eradication of viral hepatitis according to the global strategy for the primary prevention of liver cancer mortality. The objective of this study was to assess the liver cancer mortality trend in Montenegro for the period of 1990-2018 using regression techniques.

METHODS

liver cancer mortality data in Montenegro from 1990 to 2018 were collected. Mortality rates were age standardized to the World Standard Population. The joinpoint, linear and Poisson regressions were used to assess liver cancer mortality trends both overall and gender specific.

RESULTS

The mortality trend was constant, with no significant increase or decrease in mortality rates both at the overall level and by gender. The number of cases, however, increases significantly at the overall level by an average of 1.4% per year [average annual percentage change (AAPC) (95% confidence interval, CI): 1.4 (0.5-2.3); P  = 0.004] and in women by 1.9% per year [AAPC (95% CI): 1.9 (0.8-3.1); P  = 0.002]. In men, there was no change in the number of cases. The three age groups most burdened by mortality from liver cancer were 65-74 (34.9%), 75-84 (26.6%) and 55-64 (25.8%).

CONCLUSION

The consistent implementation of prevention measures and hepatitis virus infection treatment has played a role in partially favorable liver cancer mortality trends in Montenegro. It is crucial to closely monitor guidelines for this cancer and give particular attention to the elderly population as the most affected.

Frequencies and spectra of aflatoxin B1-induced mutations in liver genomes of NEIL1-deficient mice as revealed by duplex sequencing

Increased risk for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is driven by a number of etiological factors including hepatitis viral infection and dietary exposures to foods contaminated with aflatoxin-producing molds. Intracellular metabolic activation of aflatoxin B1 (AFB1) to a reactive epoxide generates highly mutagenic AFB1-Fapy-dG adducts. Previously, we demonstrated that repair of AFB1-Fapy-dG adducts can be initiated by the DNA glycosylase NEIL1 and that male Neil1-/- mice were significantly more susceptible to AFB1-induced HCC relative to wild-type mice. To investigate the mechanisms underlying this enhanced carcinogenesis, WT and Neil1-/- mice were challenged with a single, 4 mg/kg dose of AFB1 and frequencies and spectra of mutations were analyzed in liver DNAs 2.5 months post-injection using duplex sequencing. The analyses of DNAs from AFB1-challenged mice revealed highly elevated mutation frequencies in the nuclear genomes of both males and females, but not the mitochondrial genomes. In both WT and Neil1-/- mice, mutation spectra were highly similar to the AFB1-specific COSMIC signature SBS24. Relative to wild-type, the NEIL1 deficiency increased AFB1-induced mutagenesis with concomitant elevated HCCs in male Neil1-/- mice. Our data establish a critical role of NEIL1 in limiting AFB1-induced mutagenesis and ultimately carcinogenesis.

Dual-branch hybrid encoding embedded network for histopathology image classification

Objective.Learning-based histopathology image (HI) classification methods serve as important tools for auxiliary diagnosis in the prognosis stage. However, most existing methods are focus on a single target cancer due to inter-domain differences among different cancer types, limiting their applicability to different cancer types. To overcome these limitations, this paper presents a high-performance HI classification method that aims to address inter-domain differences and provide an improved solution for reliable and practical HI classification.Approach.Firstly, we collect a high-quality hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) dataset with enough data to verify the stability and practicability of the method. Secondly, a novel dual-branch hybrid encoding embedded network is proposed, which integrates the feature extraction capabilities of convolutional neural network and Transformer. This well-designed structure enables the network to extract diverse features while minimizing redundancy from a single complex network. Lastly, we develop a salient area constraint loss function tailored to the unique characteristics of HIs to address inter-domain differences and enhance the robustness and universality of the methods.Main results.Extensive experiments have conducted on the proposed HCC dataset and two other publicly available datasets. The proposed method demonstrates outstanding performance with an impressive accuracy of 99.09% on the HCC dataset and achieves state-of-the-art results on the other two public datasets. These remarkable outcomes underscore the superior performance and versatility of our approach in multiple HI classification.Significance.The advancements presented in this study contribute to the field of HI analysis by providing a reliable and practical solution for multiple cancer classification, potentially improving diagnostic accuracy and patient outcomes. Our code is available athttps://github.com/lms-design/DHEE-net.

Survival of 48866 cancer patients: results from Nantong area, China

Objective

This study aimed to provide a realistic observation of survival by major site for 48,866 cancer patients treated at a tertiary cancer hospital in a rural area of China.

Methods

Patients with cancer registered between 2007 and 2017 in the Nantong rural area were followed up. The starting date for survival calculation was the date of the first diagnosis of cancer at the Nantong Tumor Hospital, and the closing date was December 31, 2020. Observed survival (OS) was analyzed according to ICD-10 site, sex, age, region, and hospitalization period using the life table method and compared using the Wilcoxon (Gehan) statistic.

Results

The overall 5-year OS rate was 40.48% for all 48,866 patients, 30.19% for males, and 51.90% for females. The top five cancer sites, accounting for 60.51% of the total cases, were the esophagus, lung, stomach, liver, and cervix, with 5-year OS rates of 33.72%, 18.64%, 32.10%, 19.04%, and 71.51%, respectively. The highest 5-year OS was observed in the thyroid (87.52%) and the lowest was in the pancreas (6.37%). Survival was significantly higher in younger patients than in older patients, with 5-year OSs of 69.26% and 19.84% in those aged 20-29 and 90-99 years, respectively. Five-year OSs improved significantly from 39.35% in 2007-2011 to 41.26% in 2012-2017.

Conclusion

Overall survival improved over the years, although the improvement at some sites was not significant. The observed survival varies from region to region, reflecting differences in the patterns of major sites, disparities in proportions of hospitalization, and demographic characteristics.

A Bibliometric Analysis of the Role of 3D Technology in Liver Cancer Resection

BACKGROUND

Liver cancer resection is an effective but complex way to treat liver cancer, and complex anatomy is one of the reasons for the difficulty of surgery. The use of 3D technology can help surgeons cope with this dilemma. This article intends to conduct a bibliometric analysis of the role of 3D technology in liver cancer resection.

METHODS

(TS = (3D) OR TS = (three-dimensional)) AND (TS = (((hepatic) OR (liver)) AND ((cancer) OR (tumor) OR (neoplasm)))) AND (TS = (excision) OR TS = (resection)) was used as a search strategy for data collection in the Web of Science (WoS) Core Collection. CiteSpace, Carrot2 and Microsoft Office Excel were used for data analysis.

RESULTS

Three hundred and eighty-eight relevant articles were obtained. Their annual and journal distribution maps were produced. Countries/regions and institutions collaboration, author collaboration, references co-citations and their clusters and keywords co-occurrences and their clusters were constructed. Carrot2 cluster analysis was performed.

CONCLUSIONS

There was an overall upward trend in the number of publications. China's contribution was greater, and the USA had greater influence. Southern Med Univ was the most influential institution. However, the cooperation between institutions still needs to be further strengthened. Surgical Endoscopy and Other Interventional Techniques was the most published journal. Couinaud C and Soyer P were the authors with the highest citations and centrality, respectively. "Liver planning software accurately predicts postoperative liver volume and measures early regeneration" was the most influential article. 3D printing, 3D CT and 3D reconstruction may be the mainstream of current research, and augmented reality (AR) may be a future hot spot.

An Analysis of Microwave Ablation Parameters for Treatment of Liver Tumors from the 3D-IRCADb-01 Database

Simulation techniques are powerful tools for determining the optimal conditions necessary for microwave ablation to be efficient and safe for treating liver tumors. Owing to the complexity and computational resource consumption, most of the existing numerical models are two-dimensional axisymmetric models that emulate actual three-dimensional cancers and the surrounding tissue, which is often far from reality. Different tumor shapes and sizes require different input powers and ablation times to ensure the preservation of healthy tissues that can be determined only by the full three-dimensional simulations. This study aimed to tailor microwave ablation therapeutic conditions for complete tumor ablation with an adequate safety margin, while avoiding injury to the surrounding healthy tissue. Three-dimensional simulations were performed for a multi-slot microwave antenna immersed in two tumors obtained from the 3D-IRCADb-01 liver tumors database. The temperature dependence of the dielectric and thermal properties of healthy and tumoral liver tissues, blood perfusion, and water content are crucial for calculating the correct ablation time and, thereby, the correct ablation process. The developed three-dimensional simulation model may help practitioners in planning patient-individual procedures by determining the optimal input power and duration of the ablation process for the actual shape of the tumor. With proper input power, necrotic tissue is placed mainly in the tumor, and only a small amount of surrounding tissue is damaged.

Targeted delivery of maytansine to liver cancer cells via galactose-modified supramolecular two-dimensional glycomaterial

A two-dimensional (2D) glycomaterial for targeted delivery of maytansine to liver cancer cells was developed. Host-guest interaction between a galactosyl dye and human serum albumin (HSA) produces supramolecular galactoside-HSA conjugates, which are then used to coat 2D MoS₂. The 2D glycomaterial was shown to be capable of the targeted delivery of maytansine to a liver cancer cell line that highly expresses a galactose receptor, resulting in greater cytotoxicity than maytansine alone.

Global pattern of trends in incidence, mortality, and mortality-to-incidence ratio rates related to liver cancer, 1990-2019: a longitudinal analysis based on the global burden of disease study

BACKGROUND

Liver cancer (LC) is considered as one of the most dominant malignant tumors which ranked 4th and in terms of global mortality and incidence, respectively. This work aimed to investigate the global temporal trends in LC mortality-to-incidence ratio (MIR) and its components, with a particular focus on examining long-term effect of human development index (HDI) on these metrics in a 30-year follow-up.

METHODS

The age-standardized LC incidence and mortality data were derived from the global burden of disease (GBD) study 2019. We first leveraged joinpoint piecewise linear regression analysis to ascertain time trends in LC incidence, mortality, and MIR complement [1-MIR] and the average annual percentage change (AAPC) of the rates over the period 1990-2019. Then, the association between the metrics and HDI was explored through longitudinal multilevel models (LMMs).

RESULTS

The incidence rates paralleled the mortality rates worldwide and they had similar significant monotonic decrementing trends with AAPC values of - 1.10% (95% confidence interval (CI): - 1.40, - 0.90%) and - 1.40% (- 1.50, - 1.30%), respectively from 1990 to 2019. The [1-MIR] rates were around 0 and showed an increasing pattern from 1.70 to 8.10 per 100,000 people (AAPC, 4.90%) at the same period of time. Results from the LMMs displayed that the majority of the variation lies at the country level accounted for about 88% of the total variance. Moreover, our analysis supported that the HDI was negatively associated with either incidence or mortality over time (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings highlighted that the global long-term temporal trends of LC incidence and mortality decreased slightly during 1990-2019 which may reflect improved therapeutic strategies and public health interventions. Besides, the low rates of [1-MIR] revealed the five-year relative survival rate was poor implying LC is diagnosed late in its development. Thereby, the policymakers' focus must be on early screening and detection of liver cancer.

Analysis of the Curative Effect of Continuous Nursing Based on Data Mining on Patients with Liver Tumors

Studies have shown that the physical, psychological, and social problems of liver cancer patients are more serious than those of other cancer patients and their quality of life is significantly reduced. This may be related to the poor treatment effect of patients with advanced liver cancer. Patients often have adverse symptoms such as cancer pain, pleural effusion, and ascites, etc., which have a great impact on patients' psychology and recovery from illness. With the change of the medical model, it has become history to rely solely on drugs to care for patients with advanced liver cancer and comprehensive nursing intervention has become very important. Continuous nursing intervention focuses on individualized and full-hearted care, effectively alleviating patients' anxiety and fear and improving patients' environmental adaptability and psychological defense mechanisms. However, in the field of liver cancer, there is no detailed comparison between the efficacy of continuous nursing and traditional conventional nursing. This article applies the hidden Markov model, starts with medical data mining, and describes the process achieved by the application of this article and the analysis of the results obtained by the two nursing methods, which reflect the difference in curative effect evaluation, and it proves that continuous nursing has more advantages in the curative effect of patients with liver tumors.

International comparison of trends in cancer mortality: Japan has fallen behind in screening-related cancers

While the age-standardized mortality rate in Japan is decreasing for all cancers as a whole, this is not the case for some major site-specific cancers. We descriptively compared trends in all-cancer and site-specific cancer mortality in Japan and selected countries. Data on age-standardized cancer mortality rates in six countries (Japan, the USA, the UK, Canada, Australia and the Republic of Korea) in 1980-2016 were obtained from the World Health Organization mortality database. While stomach and liver cancer mortality rates in Japan and Korea were initially much higher than those in non-Asian countries, they have rapidly decreased over the long term. By contrast, colorectal, pancreatic and cervical cancer mortality rates in Japan, which were initially lower than those in other countries, have increased such that they are now similar or higher than the rates in non-Asian countries. For male lung cancer, Japan's initially lower mortality rate is now comparable to that in non-Asian countries as a result of slower decline. Meanwhile, the mortality rate of female breast cancer in Japan and Korea has increased and is nearing the rates observed in non-Asian countries, which by contrast have shown a steady decrease. Thus, while Japan has been successful in reducing the burden of stomach and liver cancers, it is falling behind in reducing the mortality rate of screening-related cancers such as colorectal, female breast and cervical cancers. Control measures for these cancers need to be strengthened.

Liver Cancer Survival: A Real World Observation of 45 Years with 32,556 Cases

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

To explore the long-term trend of liver cancer survival, based on the real-world data (RWD) in the past 45 years from a population-based cancer registry, in Qidong, China.

METHODS

A number of 32,556 patients with liver cancer were registered during the period of 1972 to 2016. Mixed methods by active and passive follow-up were performed. Life table method was employed for survival analysis by SPSS22 software. Wilcoxon (Gehan) statistics was considered as a significant test. Relative survival was calculated by using SURV software, and its annual percent change (APC) was estimated by the Joinpoint Regression Program.

RESULTS

The overall observed survival (OS) rates of 1-, 5-, 10-, and 20-year rates from the data series were 18.51%, 6.28%, 4.03%, and 2.84%, and their relative survival (RS) rates were 18.88%, 6.95%, 4.96%, and 4.49%, respectively. For 24,338 male cases, the 5-year OS and RS rates were 5.93% and 6.54%, and for 8218 female cases, 7.34% and 8.15%, respectively, with P values less than 0.01. Survival rates of liver cancer from three 15-year periods of 1972-1986, 1987-2001, and 2002-2016 have increased significantly, with 5-year OS rates of 2.02%, 4.40%, and 10.76%, 5-year RS rates of 2.18%, 4.83%, and 12.18%; 10-year OS and RS rates of 0.95%, 3.00%, and 7.02%, vs 1.13%, 3.65%, and 8.96%, respectively, showing a very significant upward trend (P<0.01). There are significant differences among age groups (P<0.01): those aged 55-64 demonstrated the best OS and RS rates of 5-year, being 8.44% and 9.09%, respectively.

CONCLUSION

There are significant gender and age differences in the survival rate of liver cancer in Qidong. RWD indicates the relative lower survival rate of liver cancer in this area, but great improvement has been achieved over the past decades.

Disease burden of liver cancer attributable to specific etiologies in China from 1990 to 2019: An age-period-cohort analysis

Temporal trends of total liver cancer have been well reported in China, especially the trends caused by hepatitis B (HBV); however, the trends of liver cancer attributable to specific etiologies have rarely been reported in China. Thus, this study aims to describe the temporal trends in the incidence, mortality and DALYs of total and etiology-specific liver cancer in China from 1990 to 2019. We extracted the incidence, mortality and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) of total and etiology-specific liver cancer in China from 1990 to 2019 from global disease burden (GBD) 2019. We plotted the trends in the age-standardized rates for incidence, mortality, and DALYs using locally weighted regression (LOESS)-smoothed data from 1990 to 2019. The age-standardized rate for the incidence of liver cancer was analyzed with an age-period-cohort method. The age-standardized rates for incidence, death, and DALYs decreased by -58.8%, -63.8%, and -65.6%, respectively, between 1990 and 2019. The age-standardized rates of incidence, mortality, and DALYs of total liver cancer showed similar temporal patterns, presenting an overall decline, with the average annual percentage change (AAPC) ranging from -3.3% to -3.8%. People in the period before 2007 had a higher risk, and people after 2007 had a lower risk. The cohort risk ratios (RRs) showed decreasing patterns, with the most rapid decline observed in the 1910 to 1960 cohorts. Our study generally revealed favorable decreasing trends for total and etiology-specific liver cancer in China from 1990 to 2019. Despite the overall decline in liver cancer due to heavy alcohol use and obesity from 1990 to 2019, there have been apparent upward trends since 2006. Planned population-wide interventions targeting heavy alcohol use and obesity may mitigate the increasing trends in liver cancer attributable to alcohol use and NASH.