Overall and Cause-Specific Mortality of Inflammatory Bowel Disease in Olmsted County, Minnesota, From 1970 Through 2016

The association between inflammatory bowel disease and all-cause and cause-specific mortality in the UK Biobank

PURPOSE

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) has a rising global prevalence. However, the understanding of its impact on mortality remains inconsistent so we explored the association between IBD and all-cause and cause-specific mortality.

METHODS

This study included 502,369 participants from the UK Biobank, a large, population-based, prospective cohort study with mortality data through 2022. IBD was defined by baseline self-report or from primary care or hospital admission data. We estimated hazard ratios (HRs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for all-cause and cause-specific mortality in multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression models.

RESULTS

A total of 5799 (1.2%) participants had a history of IBD at baseline. After a median follow-up of 13.7 years, 44,499 deaths occurred. Having IBD was associated with an increased risk of death from all causes (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.07-1.24) and cancer (HR = 1.16, 95% CI = 1.05-1.30), particularly colorectal cancer (CRC) (HR = 1.56, 95% CI = 1.17-2.09). We observed elevated breast cancer mortality rates for individuals with Crohn's disease, and increased CRC mortality rates for individuals with ulcerative colitis. In stratified analyses of IBD and all-cause mortality, mortality risk differed by individuals' duration of IBD, age at IBD diagnosis, body mass index (BMI) (PHeterogeneity = 0.03) and smoking status (PHeterogeneity = 0.01). Positive associations between IBD and all-cause mortality were detected in individuals diagnosed with IBD for 10 years or longer, those diagnosed before the age of 50, all BMI subgroups except obese individuals, and in never or current, but not former smokers.

CONCLUSIONS

We found that having IBD was associated with increased risks of mortality from all causes, all cancers, and CRC. This underscores the importance of enhanced patient management strategies and targeted prevention efforts in individuals with IBD.

Risk of all-cause and cause-specific mortality associated with immune-mediated inflammatory diseases in Korea

Objective

Immune-mediated inflammatory disease (IMID) is associated with an increased risk of mortality. It is unclear whether the higher mortality is attributable to the IMIDs themselves or to the higher prevalence of comorbidities in IMIDs. We aimed to investigate whether IMIDs per se confer a higher risk of mortality.

Methods

From the Korean National Health Insurance Service-National Sample Cohort database, this population-based cohort study included 25,736 patients newly diagnosed with IMIDs between January 2007 and December 2017, and 128,680 individuals without IMIDs who were matched for age, sex, income, hypertension, type 2 diabetes, dyslipidemia, and the Charlson comorbidity index. All individuals were retrospectively observed through December 31, 2019. The outcomes included all-cause and cause-specific mortalities. Adjustments for age, sex, and comorbidities were performed using multivariable Cox proportional hazard regression analyses, and adjusted hazard ratios (aHRs) with 95% confidence intervals (CIs) for the outcomes were estimated.

Results

The adjusted risk of all-cause mortality was significantly lower in patients with IMIDs than that in those without (aHR, 0.890; 95% CI, 0.841-0.942). Regarding cause-specific mortality, cancer-specific (aHR, 0.788; 95% CI, 0.712-0.872) and cardiovascular disease-specific (aHR, 0.798; 95% CI, 0.701-0.908) mortalities were the two causes of death that showed significantly lower risks in patients with IMIDs. A similar trend was observed when organ based IMIDs were analyzed separately (i.e., gut, joint, and skin IMIDs).

Conclusion

After adjusting for comorbidities, IMIDs were associated with a lower risk of all-cause mortality compared to those without IMIDs. This was attributable to the lower risks of cancer-and cardiovascular disease-specific mortalities.

Risk Factors for Colorectal Cancer in Inpatients With Ulcerative Colitis: A Nationwide Cross-Sectional Analysis

Objectives

The objective is to study the demographic and geographical factors that increase the risk of colorectal cancer (CRC) in inpatients with ulcerative colitis (UC) and evaluate the mortality risk and hospitalization outcomes in terms of length of stay (LOS) and cost of care in patients with CRC in UC.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study using the nationwide inpatient sample (NIS, 2019). We included 78,835 inpatients (age 15-65 years) hospitalized on emergency-based admissions with a primary diagnosis of UC. The study sample was divided by the presence of CRC. Categorical and continuous data were analyzed using Pearson’s chi-square test and independent-sample t-test respectively. Independent binomial logistic regression models were used to evaluate the odds ratio (OR) of predictors associated with CRC in patients with UC compared to non-CRC.

Results

The prevalence of CRC in inpatients with UC was 0.2%, and the mean age for admission of patients with UC with CRC was 49.6 years (SD ± 10.29). A directly proportionate relationship exists between increasing age and the risk of CRC in UC inpatients with 10 times higher odds seen in 51-65 years of age (OR 10.0, 95% CI 5.11-19.61). Males (OR 2.15, 95% CI 1.49-3.08) and Hispanics (OR 1.69, 95% CI 1.04-2.74) are at higher odds for CRC compared to their counterparts. Acquired immunodeficiency syndrome (AIDS) was associated with increased odds (OR 6.23, 95% CI 2.48-15.68) for CRC in UC inpatients. There existed an increased association for CRC in UC inpatients with complicated hypertension, and alcohol and drug abuse but was statistically non-significant. As per the adjusted regression model, CRC in UC inpatients increased the risk of in-hospital mortality (OR 41.09, 95% CI 19.49-86.58).

Conclusions

CRC was more prevalent in middle-aged Caucasian males with UC and those with chronic comorbidities including complicated diabetes and hypertension, alcohol abuse, and AIDS. Patients with UC and AIDS were found to have greater odds of developing CRC. A high index of clinical suspicion is needed in the management of these patient groups as the inpatient mortality risk was higher in UC inpatients with CRC.

Latitude and Celiac Disease Prevalence: A Meta-Analysis and Meta-Regression

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The latitudinal gradient effect is described for several autoimmune diseases including celiac disease in the United States. However, the association between latitude and global celiac disease prevalence is unknown. We aimed to explore the association between latitude and serology-based celiac disease prevalence through meta-analysis.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, Cochrane, and Scopus databases from their beginning through June 29, 2018, to identify screening studies that targeted a general population sample, used serology-based screening tests, and provided a clear location from which we could assign a latitude. Studies were excluded if sampling was based on symptoms, risk factors, or referral. Study selection and data extraction were performed by independent reviewers. The association measures between latitude and prevalence of serology-based celiac disease were evaluated with random-effects meta-analyses and meta-regression.

RESULTS

Of the identified 4667 unique citations, 128 studies were included, with 155 prevalence estimates representing 40 countries. Celiac disease was more prevalent at the higher latitudes of 51° to 60° (relative risk [RR], 1.62; 95% CI, 1.09-2.38) and 61° to 70° (RR, 2.30; 95% CI, 1.36-3.89) compared with the 41° to 50° reference level. No statistically significant difference was observed at lower latitudes. When latitude was treated as continuous, we found a statistically significant association between CD prevalence and latitude overall in the world (RR, 1.03, 95% CI, 1.01-1.05) and a subregional analysis of Europe (RR, 1.05; 95% CI, 1.02-1.07) and North America (RR, 1.1; 95% CI, 1.0-1.2).

CONCLUSIONS

In this comprehensive review of screening studies, we found that a higher latitude was associated with greater serology-based celiac disease prevalence.

Major ambulatory surgery among US adults with inflammatory bowel disease, 2017

Background

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have higher health services use than those without IBD. We investigated patient and hospital characteristics of major ambulatory surgery encounters for Crohn’s disease (CD) or ulcerative colitis (UC) vs non-IBD patients.

Methods

We conducted a cross-sectional study using 2017 Nationwide Ambulatory Surgery Sample.

Major ambulatory surgery encounters among patients aged ≥18 years with CD (n = 20,635) or UC (n = 9,894) were compared to 9.4 million encounters among non-IBD patients. Weighted percentages of patient characteristics (age, sex, median household income, primary payers, patient location, selected comorbidities, discharge destination, type of surgeries) and hospital-related characteristics (hospital size, ownership, location and teaching status, region) were compared by IBD status (CD, UC, and no IBD). Linear regression was used to estimate mean total charges, controlling for these characteristics.

Results

Compared with non-IBD patients, IBD patients were more likely to have private insurance, reside in urban areas and higher income zip codes, and undergo surgeries in hospitals that were private not-for-profit, urban teaching, and in the Northeast. Gastrointestinal surgeries were more common among IBD patients. Some comorbidities associated with increased risk of surgical complications were more prevalent among IBD patients. Total charges were 9% lower for CD patients aged <65 years (Median: $16,462 vs $18,106) and 6% higher for UC patients aged ≥65 years (Median: $16,909 vs $15,218) compared to their non-IBD patient counterparts.

Conclusions

Differences in characteristics of major ambulatory surgery encounters by IBD status may identify opportunities for efficient resource allocation and positive surgical outcomes among IBD patients.

Aging and IBD: A New Challenge for Clinicians and Researchers

Evidence from recent epidemiological data suggests that the patient population with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is chronologically aging. As these individuals become older, cellular senescence leads to a state of chronic inflammation. This process, known as inflammaging, is thought to be closely linked with biological aging and may be upregulated within IBD. As a consequence, we see an increased risk of aging-related disorders within IBD. In addition, we see that frailty, which results from physiologic decline, is increasing in prevalence and is associated with adverse clinical outcomes in IBD. As such, in this review we explore the potential overlapping biology of IBD and aging, discuss the risk of aging-related disorders in IBD, and describe frailty and its relation to clinical outcomes within IBD. Finally, we discuss current considerations for clinical care and potential research avenues for further investigation.

Trends and Outcomes of Hip Fracture Hospitalization Among Medicare Beneficiaries with Inflammatory Bowel Disease, 2000-2017

BACKGROUND

Patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) have a higher risk of hip fracture, but lower likelihood of having arthroplasties than non-IBD patients in Nationwide Inpatient Sample. Little is known about hip fracture-associated hospitalization outcomes.

AIMS

We assessed the trends in hip fracture hospitalization rates from 2000 to 2017 and estimated 30-day readmission, 30-day mortality, and length of stay in 2016 and 2017.

METHODS

We estimated trends of age-adjusted hospitalization rates using a piecewise linear regression. Medicare beneficiaries aged ≥ 66 years with Crohn's disease (CD, n = 2014) or ulcerative colitis (UC, n = 2971) hospitalized for hip fracture were identified. We performed propensity score matching to create 1:3 matched samples on age, race/ethnicity, sex, and chronic conditions and compared hospitalization outcomes between matched samples.

RESULTS

In 2017, the age-adjusted hospitalization rates (per 100) were 1.15 [95% CI = (1.07-1.24)] for CD, 0.86 [95% CI = (0.82-0.89)] for UC, and 0.59 [95% CI = (0.59-0.59)] for no IBD. The hospitalization rates for CD and UC decreased from 2000 to 2012 and then increased from 2012 to 2017. Compared to matched cohorts, CD patients had longer hospital stays (5.55 days vs. 5.30 days, p = 0.01); UC patients were more likely to have 30-day readmissions (17.27% vs. 13.71%, p < 0.001), longer hospital stays (5.59 days vs. 5.40 days, p = 0.02), and less likely to have 30-day mortality (3.77% vs. 5.15%, p = 0.003).

CONCLUSIONS

Prevention of hip fracture is important for older adults with IBD, especially CD. Strategies that improve quality of inpatient care for IBD patients hospitalized for hip fracture should be considered.

Association of Anti-Tumor Necrosis Factor Therapy With Mortality Among Veterans With Inflammatory Bowel Disease

IMPORTANCE

Inflammatory bowel disease (IBD) is commonly treated with corticosteroids and anti-tumor necrosis factor (TNF) drugs; however, medications have well-described adverse effects. Prior work suggests that anti-TNF therapy may reduce all-cause mortality compared with prolonged corticosteroid use among Medicare and Medicaid beneficiaries with IBD.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the association between use of anti-TNF or corticosteroids and all-cause mortality in a national cohort of veterans with IBD.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This cohort study used a well-established Veteran's Health Administration cohort of 2997 patients with IBD treated with prolonged corticosteroids (≥3000-mg prednisone equivalent and/or ≥600 mg of budesonide within a 12-month period) and/or new anti-TNF therapy from January 1, 2006, to October 1, 2015. Data were analyzed between July 1, 2019, and December 31, 2020.

EXPOSURES

Use of corticosteroids or anti-TNF.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The primary end point was all-cause mortality as defined by the Veterans Health Administration vital status file. Marginal structural modeling was used to compare associations between anti-TNF therapy or corticosteroid use and all-cause mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 2997 patients (2725 men [90.9%]; mean [SD] age, 50.0 [17.4] years) were included in the final analysis, 1734 (57.9%) with Crohn disease (CD) and 1263 (42.1%) with ulcerative colitis (UC). All-cause mortality was 8.5% (n = 256) over a mean (SD) of 3.9 (2.3) years' follow-up. At cohort entry, 1836 patients were new anti-TNF therapy users, and 1161 were prolonged corticosteroid users. Anti-TNF therapy use was associated with a lower likelihood of mortality for CD (odds ratio [OR], 0.54; 95% CI, 0.31-0.93) but not for UC (OR, 0.33; 95% CI, 0.10-1.10). In a sensitivity analysis adjusting prolonged corticosteroid users to include patients receiving corticosteroids within 90 to 270 days after initiation of anti-TNF therapy, the OR for UC was statistically significant, at 0.33 (95% CI, 0.13-0.84), and the OR for CD was 0.55 (95% CI, 0.33-0.92).

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

This study suggests that anti-TNF therapy may be associated with reduced mortality compared with long-term corticosteroid use among veterans with CD, and potentially among those with UC.

Real-world cost-effectiveness associated with infliximab maintenance therapy for moderate to severe Crohn’s disease in China

BACKGROUND

Infliximab was the first approved biologic treatment for moderate to severe Crohn’s disease (MS-CD) in China. However, the cost-effectiveness of infliximab maintenance therapy (IMT) for MS-CD relative to conventional maintenance therapy remained unclarified. 

AIM

To assess the cost-effectiveness of IMT for MS-CD in Chinese patients from the perspective of Chinese public insurance payer.

METHODS

A cohort of MS-CD patients managed in a Chinese tertiary care hospital was created to compare IMT with conventional maintenance therapy (CMT) for clinical outcomes and direct medical costs over a 1-year observation time using conventional regression analyses. A decision-analytic model with the generated evidence was constructed to assess the cost-effectiveness of IMT relative to CMT using reimbursed medical costs. 

RESULTS

Based on the included 389 patients, IMT was associated with significantly higher disease remission chance [odds ratio: 4.060, P = 0.003], lower risk of developing new complications (odds ratio: 0.527, P = 0.010), higher utility value for quality of life (coefficient 0.822, P = 0.008), and lower total hospital costs related to disease management (coefficient -0.378, P = 0.008) than CMT. Base-case cost-effectiveness analysis estimated that IMT could cost Chinese health insurance payers ¥55260 to gain one quality-adjusted life year (QALY). The cost-effectiveness of IMT was mainly driven by the estimate of quality of life, treatment efficacy of maintenance therapy, mortality risk associated with active disease, and unit price of infliximab. The probability that IMT was cost-effective at a willingness-to-pay threshold of three times gross domestic product [2018 Chinese gross domestic product per capita (GDPPC)] was 86.4%. 

CONCLUSION

IMT significantly improved real-world health outcomes and cost the Chinese public health insurance payers less than one GDPPC to gain one QALY in Chinese MS-CD patients. 

Inflammatory Bowel Disease: A Nationwide Study of Hip Fracture and Mortality Risk After Hip Fracture

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

With rising rates of inflammatory bowel diseases [IBD] in older adults, management of comorbidities such as osteoporosis is becoming increasingly important. Hip fracture [HF] is the most serious consequence of low bone mineral quality and is associated with excess risk of mortality. For older IBD patients, there are only limited data available. Therefore, we aimed to assess the association of IBD with HF, and all-cause mortality risk after HF, among IBD patients older than 50 years.

METHODS

In a national database-registered case-control study, 56 821 HF cases aged ≥50 years, and 113 718 age-, sex- and region-matched non-hip-fracture controls, were analysed between 2012 and 2016. A history of IBD was assessed from data from Austrian social health insurance funds. Logistic regression and Cox proportional multivariate models were used to test the association of IBD with HF and post-hip fracture mortality risk.

RESULTS

A total of 531 patients were identified with IBD (25.0% men, mean age 81.2 years, standard deviation [SD] 9.7). Analysis, adjusted for anti-osteoporotic treatment, use of glucocorticoids, and selected medications, showed that IBD patients had an increased odds of HF (odds ratio [[OR] 2.22, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.86-2.64). Patients with Crohn's disease [CD] revealed a higher HF odds in contrast to patients with ulcerative colitis [OR 2.91, 95% CI 2.17-3.89 and OR 1.89, 95% CI 1.52-2.35, respectively]. Overall mortality risk after HF was higher among female CD patients [HR 1.75, 95% CI 1.28-2.41] than in the general population.

CONCLUSIONS

IBD was strongly associated with HF in older patients. Post-hip fracture mortality risk was elevated particularly in women with CD.

Temporal trend in the natural history of ulcerative colitis in a country with a low incidence of ulcerative colitis from 2000 through 2018

Background/Aims

The incidence of ulcerative colitis (UC) in Thailand (crude incidence rate of 0.28 per 100,000 persons) is much lower than in the West. The burden of UC varies in different populations. The aim of this study was to evaluate the natural history of UC over the two decades in Bangkok, Thailand.

Methods

This retrospective study included patients who were diagnosed with UC between 2000 and 2018 in 2 university hospitals. To evaluate changes in the disease course, we stratified patients into 2000–2009 cohort and 2010–2018 cohort. The cumulative probability of endoscopic healing, UC-related hospitalization and colectomy was estimated using the Kaplan-Meier method.

Results

A total of 291 UC patients were followed for total of 2,228 person-years. Comparison between 2 cohorts, there were no differences in disease pattern and severity whereas an increase in the combination use of oral and topical mesalamine and the early use of thiopurine was observed. Only 1% of patients for each cohort required biologic agent at 5 years. The rate of achieving mucosal healing increased from 15% to 46% at 3 years (P<0.01). The rate of UC-related hospitalization decreased from 30% to 21% at 5 years (P<0.05). The rate of colectomy decreased from 6% to 2% at 5 years (P<0.05).

Conclusions

The natural history of UC in a low incidence country was less aggressive than the West. Over the past two decades, the rates of UC-related hospitalization and colectomy have been decreasing which were similar to the West.

Changing patterns in the epidemiology and outcomes of inflammatory bowel disease in the United Kingdom: 2000-2018

BACKGROUND

Data regarding incidence, prevalence and long-term outcomes of inflammatory bowel diseases in the UK are limited or outdated.

AIMS

To investigate incidence and prevalence of Crohn's disease and ulcerative colitis and risk of colorectal cancer and all-cause mortality in these diseases.

METHODS

Inflammatory bowel disease cases between 2000 and 2018 were identified from a national primary care database. Inflammatory bowel disease prevalence was forecast until 2025. The association between inflammatory bowel disease and colorectal cancer and all-cause mortality was investigated using age/sex-matched retrospective cohort studies. Hazard ratios were adjusted for age, sex, deprivation, comorbidity, smoking status and body mass index.

RESULTS

Ulcerative colitis prevalence increased from 390 to 570 per 100 000 population from 2000 to 2017. Prevalence of Crohn's disease increased from 220 to 400 per 100 000. In 2017 male Crohn's disease prevalence was 0.35% (95% confidence interval 0.34-0.36); female prevalence was 0.44% (0.43-0.45). Prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease is predicted to be 1.1% by 2025. Incidence of ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease was 23.2 (22.8-23.6) and 14.3 (14.0-14.7) per 100 000 person-years respectively. Subjects with ulcerative colitis were more likely to develop colorectal cancer than controls (adjusted Hazard Ratio 1.40 [1.23-1.59]). Colorectal cancer rates remained stable in inflammatory bowel diseases over time. Ulcerative colitis and Crohn's disease were associated with increased risk of all-cause mortality (1.17 [1.14-1.21] and 1.42 [1.36-1.48] respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

The UK prevalence of inflammatory bowel disease is greater than previous reports suggest and we predict an 11% increase in prevalence by the year 2025. Mortality risk in inflammatory bowel disease and colorectal cancer risk in ulcerative colitis are increased compared to matched controls.

Cost-Effectiveness of Reimbursing Infliximab for Moderate to Severe Crohn's Disease in China

OBJECTIVES

To assess the cost-effectiveness of reimbursing infliximab for moderate-to-severe Crohn's disease (MS-CD) in China from the perspective of public insurance payers.

METHODS

A decision-analytic model with a lifetime time horizon was constructed to simulate the disease progression and direct medical costs in Chinese MS-CD patients under two scenarios: reimbursing infliximab vs. not reimbursing infliximab. A cross-sectional study and literature review were conducted to estimate model variables. The constructed decision-analytic model ran the base case, one-way sensitivity, and probabilistic sensitivity analyses (PSA) to assess the cost-effectiveness of reimbursing infliximab using reimbursed medical costs.

RESULTS

Base case analysis discounting health benefits and costs estimated that reimbursing infliximab could increase overall survival by 0.604 years, increase total quality-adjusted life years (QALY) by 0.697 QALY, reduce absolute lifetime surgery risk by 13.1%, and increase reimbursed costs by ¥29,409. The incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per gained additional QALY (ICER) based on discounted health benefits and reimbursed medical costs (3% per year) was ¥42,198. The one-way sensitivity analyses identified that the cost-effectiveness of reimbursing infliximab for MS-CD was mainly driven by the treatment efficacies of maintenance therapy, quality of life, and unit price of infliximab. PSA estimated that reimbursing infliximab was associated with a 63.8% chance to be cost-effective under the willingness-to-pay of the 2018 Chinese gross domestic product per capita (GDPPC).

CONCLUSION

Reimbursing infliximab for MS-CD in Chinese patients was highly attractive, costing Chinese public insurance payers less than the 2018 Chinese GDPPC to gain 1 QALY.

Increased end-stage renal disease risk in patients with inflammatory bowel disease: A nationwide population-based study

AIM

To estimate the risk of end-stage renal disease (ESRD) in patients with inflammatory bowel disease (IBD).

METHODS

From January 2010 to December 2013, patients with Crohn’s disease (CD) and ulcerative colitis (UC) were identified, based on both the International Classification of Diseases, 10^th revision (ICD-10) and the rare, intractable disease registration program codes from the National Health Insurance (NHI) database in South Korea. We compared 38812 patients with IBD to age- and sex-matched non-IBD controls with a ratio of 1:3. Patients newly diagnosed with ESRD were identified with the ICD-10 code.

RESULTS

During a mean follow-up of 4.9 years, ESRD was detected in 79 (0.2%) patients with IBD and 166 (0.1%) controls. The incidence of ESRD in patients with IBD was 0.42 per 1000 person-years. Patients with IBD had a significantly higher risk of ESRD than controls [adjusted hazard ratio (HR) = 3.03; 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.77-5.20; P < 0.001]. The incidences (per 1000 person-years) of ESRD were 0.51 in patients with CD and 0.13 in controls, respectively (adjusted HR = 6.33; 95%CI: 2.75-14.56; P < 0.001). In contrast, the incidence of ESRD was similar between the UC and control groups (0.37 vs 0.37 per 1000 person-years; adjusted HR = 2.01; 95%CI: 0.90-4.51; P = 0.089).

CONCLUSION

The risk of ESRD was elevated in patients with CD, but not UC. Patients with CD should be monitored carefully for signs of renal insufficiency.