Cost-effectiveness analysis of a multicomponent meningococcal serogroup B vaccine in hypothetic epidemic situation in a middle-income country

Sequelae at Hospital Discharge in 61 Children With Invasive Meningococcal Disease, Chile, 2009-2019

BACKGROUND

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is an unpredictable and severe infection caused by Neisseria meningitidis . Its case fatality rate could vary from 9.7% to 26% and up to 36% of survivors may experience long-term sequelae, representing a challenge for public health.

AIMED

To describe the sequelae at hospital discharge caused by IMD in children between years 2009-2019.

METHODS

Cross-sectional study performed in 2 pediatric hospitals. Patients with microbiologically confirmed diagnosis of IMD from 2009 to 2019 were included. Bivariate and logistic regression analysis were performed.

RESULTS

The records of 61 patients were reviewed and included. Sixty-seven percent were male, median age 9 months (interquartile range 4-27), 72% were admitted to intensive care unit. Thirty-seven (60.5%) had at least 1 sequela (75% and 37% in patients with or without meningitis, respectively). The most frequents sequelae were neurological 72%, hearing loss 32%, and osteoarticular 24%. Significant differences were found comparing patients with and without sequelae: drowsiness 67.6% versus 41.7% ( P = 0.04), irritability 67.6% versus 25% ( P = 0.01), meningeal signs 62.2% versus 29.2% ( P = 0.01). In logistic regression analysis, postdischarge follow-up had OR 21.25 (95% confidence intervals [CI]: 4.93-91.44), irritability had OR 8.53 (95% CI: 1.64-44.12), meningeal signs had OR 8.21 (95% CI: 0.71-94.05), invasive mechanical ventilation had OR 8.23 (95% CI: 0.78-85.95), meningitis plus meningococcemia OR 1.70 (95% CI: 0.18-15.67) to have sequelae, while children with meningococcemia and vomiting had a OR 0.04 (95% CI: 0.00-0.36) and OR 0.27 (95% CI: 0.03-2.14), respectively. N. meningitidis serogroup W (MenW) was isolated in 54.1% (33/61), and N. meningitidis serogroup B (MenB) in 31.1% (19/61) of cases. A significant difference was found in osteoarticular sequelae ( P = 0.05) between MenB and MenW. There was a decrease in cases after the meningococcal conjugate vaccine against serogroups A, C, W and Y was implemented (2015-2019).

CONCLUSIONS

IMD remains as a public health concern. A high rate of sequelae was found in pediatric patients in our series, even in the clinical manifestations other than meningitis. Neurological sequelae were the most prevalent. Multidisciplinary follow-up protocols to reduce long-term impact must be urgently established to assess all children with IMD.

Invasive meningococcal disease in Chile seven years after ACWY conjugate vaccine introduction

BACKGROUND

A serogroup W (MenW) outbreak in Chile prompted a meningococcal vaccination campaign using tetravalent meningococcal-conjugate vaccines (MCV-ACWY) in children since 2012, followed by its introduction into the National Immunization Program (NIP) in toddlers from 2014. Direct protection was observed, but no indirect effects in other age-groups were evidenced. The aim of this study was to describe invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) cases in Chile between 2009 and 2019, and its trend after the introduction of MCV-ACWYs.

METHODS

IMD cases, cumulative incidence per 100,000 inhabitants, CFR, and vaccination uptake were described. Data were obtained from the Public Health Institute and NIP.

RESULTS

Overall-IMD cases increased in 2009-2014 period, followed by a decline in 2015-2019, focused in infants, children <5 years and people ≥60 years. Serogroup B (MenB) and MenW alternate its predominance. Median overall incidence was 0.6/100,000, increasing from 0.6/100,000 in 2009 to 0.8/100,000 in 2014, later decreasing to 0.4/100,000 in 2019. Median incidences for MenB, serogroup C (MenC) and Y (MenY) were 0.25/100,000, <0.01/100,000 and <0.01/100,000, respectively. Median MenW incidence was 0.53/100,000, increasing from 0.01/100,000 in 2009 to 0.56/100,000 in 2014, followed by a constant decline to 0.12 in 2019. Infants, children <5 years and adults ≥60 years were affected the most, with median incidences of 9.7, 0.9 and 0.93, decreasing to 1.3, 0.1 and 0.1/100,000 in 2019, respectively. Median overall-CFR was 19%, 7.5% for MenB and 24.5% for MenW. Median MCV-ACWY uptake was 93% CONCLUSION: Overall-IMD, MenW cases and incidence declined since 2015 after the MCV-ACWY introduction, while MenB, MenC and MenY have been stable. MenW incidence declined in all age groups, including non-immunized infants and people >60 years. Further analysis and a longer period of observation are needed to have a more robust conclusion about this epidemiological trend. By 2019, CFR remains high.

Evidence gaps in economic analyses of hearing healthcare: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Hearing loss is a common and costly medical condition. This systematic review sought to identify evidence gaps in published model-based economic analyses addressing hearing loss to inform model development for an ongoing Lancet Commission.

METHODS

We searched the published literature through 14 June 2020 and our inclusion criteria included decision model-based cost-effectiveness analyses that addressed diagnosis, treatment, or prevention of hearing loss. Two investigators screened articles for inclusion at the title, abstract, and full-text levels. Data were abstracted and the studies were assessed for the qualities of model structure, data assumptions, and reporting using a previously published quality scale.

FINDINGS

Of 1437 articles identified by our search, 117 unique studies met the inclusion criteria. Most of these model-based analyses were set in high-income countries (n = 96, 82%). The evaluated interventions were hearing screening (n = 35, 30%), cochlear implantation (n = 34, 29%), hearing aid use (n = 28, 24%), vaccination (n = 22, 19%), and other interventions (n = 29, 25%); some studies included multiple interventions. Eighty-six studies reported the main outcome in quality-adjusted or disability-adjusted life-years, 24 of which derived their own utility values. The majority of the studies used decision tree (n = 72, 62%) or Markov (n = 41, 35%) models. Forty-one studies (35%) incorporated indirect economic effects. The median quality rating was 92/100 (IQR:72-100).

INTERPRETATION

The review identified a large body of literature exploring the economic efficiency of hearing healthcare interventions. However, gaps in evidence remain in evaluation of hearing healthcare in low- and middle-income countries, as well as in investigating interventions across the lifespan. Additionally, considerable uncertainty remains around productivity benefits of hearing healthcare interventions as well as utility values for hearing-assisted health states. Future economic evaluations could address these limitations.

FUNDING

NCATS 3UL1-TR002553-03S3.

Economic evaluation of meningococcal serogroup B (MenB) vaccines: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Meningococcal serogroup B (MenB) has emerged as the leading cause of invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) in several countries following the release of effective vaccines against serogroups A, C, W, and Y. In 2013, however, the first multicomponent MenB vaccine (Bexsero®) was licensed in Europe.

AIM

To review the evidence on the cost-effectiveness of vaccination against MenB.

METHODS

Searches were performed in MEDLINE, EMBASE, Web of Science, NHS EED, Econlit, Tufts CEA registry, and HTA. Three reviewers independently screened and selected studies. Using a narrative synthesis, studies were categorized by vaccination strategies. The quality of included studies was assessed using the Comparative Health Economics Evaluation Reporting Standards (CHEERS) checklist.

RESULTS

13 studies were included. Ten studies were conducted in the European region and three in the Americas. None of the vaccination strategies were considered cost-effective. Including herd effects improved value for money for MenB vaccines. Routine infant vaccination was the most effective short-term strategy, however, adolescent strategies offered the best value for money. Without herd immunity, routine infant vaccination had the lowest incremental cost-effectiveness ratio estimates.

CONCLUSION

Routine MenB vaccination does not offer substantial value for money, mainly due to high vaccine costs and low disease incidence.

Epidemiological impact and cost-effectiveness of universal meningitis b vaccination among college students prior to college entry

OBJECTIVES

University students are at significantly higher risk of serogroup B meningococcal (MenB) infection, which can result in debilitating sequelae and excessive healthcare usage. This study aimed to elucidate the impact of universal pre-enrollment vaccination on MenB outbreak probability and the cost-effectiveness in outbreak-only scenarios.

METHODS

We developed an infectious disease transmission model to determine the number of outbreaks averted under universal vaccination and a Markov model to simulate the costs accrued and QALYs lost associated with infection. The analysis was done on a hypothetical population of 40,000 college students over a four-year time frame. We used the outputs of these two models to calculate the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) of universal MenB vaccination from a societal perspective.

RESULTS

We find that the vaccination strategy was estimated to reduce MenB incidence by 63% and outbreak frequency rate by 90%. Under base case assumptions, the ICER of universal vaccination was $748,129 per QALY and in outbreak-only scenarios, it was cost-saving.

CONCLUSIONS

Universal vaccination is not cost-effective at the current low MenB incidence levels and vaccine price in the U.S., but it is cost-saving if outbreak is imminent.

Declining Incidence of Invasive Meningococcal Disease in South Africa: 2003-2016

BACKGROUND

Invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) is endemic to South Africa, where vaccine use is negligible. We describe the epidemiology of IMD in South Africa.

METHODS

IMD cases were identified through a national, laboratory-based surveillance program, GERMS-SA, from 2003-2016. Clinical data on outcomes and human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) statuses were available from 26 sentinel hospital sites. We conducted space-time analyses to detect clusters of serogroup-specific IMD cases.

RESULTS

Over 14 years, 5249 IMD cases were identified. The incidence was 0.97 cases per 100 000 persons in 2003, peaked at 1.4 cases per 100 000 persons in 2006, and declined to 0.23 cases per 100 000 persons in 2016. Serogroups were confirmed in 3917 (75%) cases: serogroup A was present in 4.7% of cases, B in 23.3%, C in 9.4%; W in 49.5%; Y in 12.3%, X in 0.3%; Z in 0.1% and 0.4% of cases were non-groupable. We identified 8 serogroup-specific, geo-temporal clusters of disease. Isolate susceptibility was 100% to ceftriaxone, 95% to penicillin, and 99.9% to ciprofloxacin. The in-hospital case-fatality rate was 17% (247/1479). Of those tested, 36% (337/947) of IMD cases were HIV-coinfected. The IMD incidence in HIV-infected persons was higher for all age categories, with an age-adjusted relative risk ratio (aRRR) of 2.5 (95% confidence interval [CI] 2.2-2.8; P < .001) from 2012-2016. No patients reported previous meningococcal vaccine exposure. Patients with serogroup W were 3 times more likely to present with severe disease than those with serogroup B (aRRR 2.7, 95% CI 1.1-6.3); HIV coinfection was twice as common with W and Y diseases (aRRR W = 1.8, 95% CI 1.1-2.9; aRRR Y = 1.9, 95% CI 1.0-3.4).

CONCLUSIONS

In the absence of significant vaccine use, IMD in South Africa decreased by 76% from 2003-2016. HIV was associated with an increased risk of IMD, especially for serogroup W and Y diseases.

Meningococcal invasive disease by serogroup W and use of ACWY conjugate vaccines as control strategy in Chile

BACKGROUND

Serogroup causing invasive meningococcal disease (IMD) can change abruptly, as it occurred in Chile when serogroup predominance switched from MenB to MenW in 2012. As a response, a national vaccination strategy was implemented since 2012 using tetravalent meningococcal-conjugate vaccines (MCV-ACWY) in children 9 months through 4 years of age. The aim of this study was to describe IMD cases by MenW in Chile 2009-2016, and to analyse its trend after the introduction of MCV-ACWY.

METHODS

Descriptive study of IMD cases in Chile, period 2009-2016. Cumulative incidence and mortality rate per 100,000 inhabitants, and case fatality rate (CRF) were used for descriptive analysis. Linear regression was used for post-intervention trend analysis.

RESULTS

In 2012, MenW, mainly ST-11 cc, became predominant. MenW incidence rose from 0.01/100,000 inhabitants in 2009 to a maximum of 0.6/100,000 in 2015. Infants and adults 80 years of age and older were mostly affected, with an incidence peak of 9.7/100,000 and 1.6/100,000, respectively, in 2015. In the group of children from 1 to 4 years of age MenW incidence declined from 1.3/100,000 in 2012 to 0.1/100,000 in 2016, a 92.3% reduction after vaccination implementation. In the same period and age-cohort, CFR decreased from 23% to 0%. High mortality rates concentrated in infants and adults 80 years of age and over.

CONCLUSION

MenW became predominant in Chile since 2012. IMD cases increased steadily from 2009 to 2016, with higher incidence, CFR and mortality concentrating in infants and people 80 years of age and older. MCV-ACWY provided direct protection against MenW, reducing its incidence after mass meningococcal vaccine implementation. Indirect effects of vaccination are not yet observed.

Global epidemiology of serogroup B meningococcal disease and opportunities for prevention with novel recombinant protein vaccines

BACKGROUND

Meningococcal disease (MD) is a major cause of meningitis and sepsis worldwide, with a high case fatality rate and frequent sequelae. Neisseria meningitidis serogroups A, B, C, W, X and Y are responsible for most of these life-threatening infections, and its unpredictable epidemiology can cause outbreaks in communities, with significant health, social and economic impact. Currently, serogroup B is the main cause of MD in Europe and North America and one of the most prevalent serogroups in Latin America. Mass vaccination strategies using polysaccharide vaccines have been deployed since the 1970s and the use of conjugate vaccines has controlled endemic and epidemic disease caused by serogroups A, C, W and Y and more recently serogroup B using geographically-specific outer membrane vesicle based vaccines. Two novel protein-based vaccines are a significant addition to our armamentarium against N. meningitidis as they provide broad coverage against highly diverse strains in serogroup B and other groups. Early safety, effectiveness and impact data of these vaccines are encouraging. These novel serogroup B vaccines should be actively considered for individuals at increased risk of disease and to control serogroup B outbreaks occurring in institutions or specific regions, as they are likely to save lives and prevent severe sequelae. Incorporation into national programs will require thorough country-specific analysis.

A comparison of average wages with age-specific wages for assessing indirect productivity losses: analytic simplicity versus analytic precision

OBJECTIVES

Numerous approaches are used to estimate indirect productivity losses using various wage estimates applied to poor health in working aged adults. Considering the different wage estimation approaches observed in the published literature, we sought to assess variation in productivity loss estimates when using average wages compared with age-specific wages.

METHODS

Published estimates for average and age-specific wages for combined male/female wages were obtained from the UK Office of National Statistics. A polynomial interpolation was used to convert 5-year age-banded wage data into annual age-specific wages estimates. To compare indirect cost estimates, average wages and age-specific wages were used to project productivity losses at various stages of life based on the human capital approach. Discount rates of 0, 3, and 6 % were applied to projected age-specific and average wage losses.

RESULTS

Using average wages was found to overestimate lifetime wages in conditions afflicting those aged 1-27 and 57-67, while underestimating lifetime wages in those aged 27-57. The difference was most significant for children where average wage overestimated wages by 15 % and for 40-year-olds where it underestimated wages by 14 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Large differences in projecting productivity losses exist when using the average wage applied over a lifetime. Specifically, use of average wages overestimates productivity losses between 8 and 15 % for childhood illnesses. Furthermore, during prime working years, use of average wages will underestimate productivity losses by 14 %. We suggest that to achieve more precise estimates of productivity losses, age-specific wages should become the standard analytic approach.

Cost-utility analysis of a nationwide vaccination programme against serogroup B meningococcal disease in Israel

OBJECTIVES

Using cost-utility analysis, to evaluate whether or not to adopt a Neisseria meningitidis serogroup B vaccination programme for Israeli children.

METHODS

Epidemiological, demographic, health service utilisation and economic data were integrated into a spreadsheet model to calculate the cost per averted disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of the intervention.

RESULTS

Assuming 78 % vaccine efficacy with no herd immunity, vaccination will prevent 223 cases and 22 deaths over a 100-year period. Based on vaccine price of $60 per dose, total intervention costs ($315,400,000) are partially offset by a $22,700,000 reduction in treatment and sequelae costs as a result of decreased morbidity. The intervention was not cost-effective since the net cost ($292,700,000) per averted DALY gained (1249 mostly due to decreased mortality) was $234,394. Additional two dose catch-up programmes vaccinating children in cohorts aged 1-2 to 1-13 were also not cost-effective.

CONCLUSIONS

The vaccination will become cost-effective if vaccine costs fall below $19.44 per dose. However, in identified high risk areas, the vaccine would be cost-effective and could be recommended for use both with and without catch-up campaigns.