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Castor D, Heck CJ, Quigee D, Telrandhe NV, Kui K, Wu J, Glickson E, Yohannes K, Rueda ST, Bozzani F, Meyers K, Zucker J, Deacon J, Kripke K, Sobieszczyk ME, Terris‐Prestholt F, Malati C, Obermeyer C, Dam A, Schwartz K, Forsythe S. Implementation and resource needs for long-acting PrEP in low- and middle-income countries: a scoping review. J Int AIDS Soc 2023; 26 Suppl 2:e26110. [PMID: 37439063 PMCID: PMC10339010 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.26110] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 11/20/2022] [Accepted: 05/05/2023] [Indexed: 07/14/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Several low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) are preparing to introduce long-acting pre-exposure prophylaxis (LAP). Amid multiple pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) options and constrained funding, decision-makers could benefit from systematic implementation planning and aligned costs. We reviewed national costed implementation plans (CIPs) to describe relevant implementation inputs and activities (domains) for informing the costed rollout of LAP. We assessed how primary costing evidence aligned with those domains. METHODS We conducted a rapid review of CIPs for oral PrEP and family planning (FP) to develop a consensus of implementation domains, and a scoping review across nine electronic databases for publications on PrEP costing in LMICs between January 2010 and June 2022. We extracted cost data and assessed alignment with the implementation domains and the Global Health Costing Consortium principles. RESULTS We identified 15 implementation domains from four national PrEP plans and FP-CIP template; only six were in all sources. We included 66 full-text manuscripts, 10 reported LAP, 13 (20%) were primary cost studies-representing seven countries, and none of the 13 included LAP. The 13 primary cost studies included PrEP commodities (n = 12), human resources (n = 11), indirect costs (n = 11), other commodities (n = 10), demand creation (n = 9) and counselling (n = 9). Few studies costed integration into non-HIV services (n = 5), above site costs (n = 3), supply chains and logistics (n = 3) or policy and planning (n = 2), and none included the costs of target setting, health information system adaptations or implementation research. Cost units and outcomes were variable (e.g. average per person-year). DISCUSSION LAP planning will require updating HIV prevention policies, technical assistance for logistical and clinical support, expanding beyond HIV platforms, setting PrEP achievement targets overall and disaggregated by method, extensive supply chain and logistics planning and support, as well as updating health information systems to monitor multiple PrEP methods with different visit schedules. The 15 implementation domains were variable in reviewed studies. PrEP primary cost and budget data are necessary for new product introduction and should match implementation plans with financing. CONCLUSIONS As PrEP services expand to include LAP, decision-makers need a framework, tools and a process to support countries in planning the systematic rollout and costing for LAP.
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Affiliation(s)
- Delivette Castor
- Division of Infectious DiseasesColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
- Department of EpidemiologyColumbia University Mailman School of Public HealthNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Craig J. Heck
- Division of Infectious DiseasesColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
- Department of EpidemiologyColumbia University Mailman School of Public HealthNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Daniela Quigee
- Division of Infectious DiseasesColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | | | - Kiran Kui
- Department of EpidemiologyColumbia University Mailman School of Public HealthNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Jiaxin Wu
- Department of EpidemiologyColumbia University Mailman School of Public HealthNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | | | - Kibret Yohannes
- University of Virginia School of MedicineCharlottesvilleVirginiaUSA
| | | | | | - Kathrine Meyers
- Division of Infectious DiseasesColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
- The Aaron Diamond AIDS Research CenterColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | - Jason Zucker
- Division of Infectious DiseasesColumbia University Irving Medical CenterNew YorkNew YorkUSA
| | | | | | | | | | - Christine Malati
- United States Agency for International DevelopmentWashingtonDCUSA
| | - Chris Obermeyer
- The Global Fund to Fight AIDS, Tuberculosis and MalariaGenevaSwitzerland
| | - Anita Dam
- United States Agency for International DevelopmentWashingtonDCUSA
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Bozzani FM, Terris-Prestholt F, Quaife M, Gafos M, Indravudh PP, Giddings R, Medley GF, Malhotra S, Torres-Rueda S. Costs and Cost-Effectiveness of Biomedical, Non-Surgical HIV Prevention Interventions: A Systematic Literature Review. PHARMACOECONOMICS 2023; 41:467-480. [PMID: 36529838 PMCID: PMC10085926 DOI: 10.1007/s40273-022-01223-w] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Accepted: 11/10/2022] [Indexed: 05/10/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND Considerable evidence on the costs and cost-effectiveness of biomedical, non-surgical interventions to prevent human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) transmission has been generated over the last decade. This study aims to synthesize findings and identify remaining knowledge gaps to suggest future research priorities. METHODS A systematic literature review was carried out in August 2020 using the MEDLINE, Embase, Global Health and EconLit databases to retrieve economic evaluations and costing studies of oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP), injectable long-acting PrEP, vaginal microbicide rings and gels, HIV vaccines and broadly neutralizing antibodies. Studies reporting costs from the provider or societal perspective were included in the analysis. Those reporting on behavioural methods of prevention, condoms and surgical approaches (voluntary medical male circumcision) were excluded. The quality of reporting of the included studies was assessed using published checklists. RESULTS We identified 3007 citations, of which 87 studies were retained. Most were set in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs; n = 53) and focused on the costs and/or cost-effectiveness of oral PrEP regimens (n = 70). Model-based economic evaluations were the most frequent study design; only two trial-based cost-effectiveness analyses and nine costing studies were found. Less than half of the studies provided practical details on how the intervention would be delivered by the health system, and only three of these, all in LMICs, explicitly focused on service integration and its implication for delivery costs. 'Real-world' programme delivery mechanisms and costs of intervention delivery were rarely considered. PrEP technologies were generally found to be cost-effective only when targeting high-risk subpopulations. Single-dose HIV vaccines are expected to be cost-effective for all groups despite substantial uncertainty around pricing. CONCLUSIONS A lack of primary, detailed and updated cost data, including above-service level costs, from a variety of settings makes it difficult to evaluate the cost-effectiveness of specific delivery modes at scale, or to evaluate strategies for services integration. Closing this evidence gap around real-world implementation is vital, not least because the strategies targeting high-risk groups that are recommended by PrEP models may incur substantially higher costs and be of limited practical feasibility in some settings.
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Affiliation(s)
- Fiammetta M Bozzani
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK.
| | | | - Matthew Quaife
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
| | - Mitzy Gafos
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
| | - Pitchaya P Indravudh
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
| | | | - Graham F Medley
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
| | | | - Sergio Torres-Rueda
- Department of Global Health and Development, London School of Hygiene and Tropical Medicine, 15-17 Tavistock Place, London, WC1H 9SH, UK
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Phillips AN, Cambiano V, Johnson L, Nakagawa F, Homan R, Meyer-Rath G, Rehle T, Tanser F, Moyo S, Shahmanesh M, Castor D, Russell E, Jamieson L, Bansi-Matharu L, Shroufi A, Barnabas RV, Parikh UM, Mellors JW, Revill P. Potential Impact and Cost-Effectiveness of Condomless-Sex-Concentrated PrEP in KwaZulu-Natal Accounting for Drug Resistance. J Infect Dis 2021; 223:1345-1355. [PMID: 31851759 PMCID: PMC8064039 DOI: 10.1093/infdis/jiz667] [Citation(s) in RCA: 11] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.7] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/08/2019] [Accepted: 12/17/2019] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Oral preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in the form of tenofovir-disoproxil-fumarate/emtricitabine is being implemented in selected sites in South Africa. Addressing outstanding questions on PrEP cost-effectiveness can inform further implementation. METHODS We calibrated an individual-based model to KwaZulu-Natal to predict the impact and cost-effectiveness of PrEP, with use concentrated in periods of condomless sex, accounting for effects on drug resistance. We consider (1) PrEP availability for adolescent girls and young women aged 15-24 years and female sex workers, and (2) availability for everyone aged 15-64 years. Our primary analysis represents a level of PrEP use hypothesized to be attainable by future PrEP programs. RESULTS In the context of PrEP use in adults aged 15-64 years, there was a predicted 33% reduction in incidence and 36% reduction in women aged 15-24 years. PrEP was cost-effective, including in a range of sensitivity analyses, although with substantially reduced (cost) effectiveness under a policy of ART initiation with efavirenz- rather than dolutegravir-based regimens due to PrEP undermining ART effectiveness by increasing HIV drug resistance. CONCLUSIONS PrEP use concentrated during time periods of condomless sex has the potential to substantively impact HIV incidence and be cost-effective.
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Affiliation(s)
- Andrew N Phillips
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
- Correspondence: Andrew Phillips, PhD, UCL, Royal Free Campus, Rowland Hill Street, London NW3, UK ()
| | | | - Leigh Johnson
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Fumiyo Nakagawa
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
| | | | - Gesine Meyer-Rath
- Departmentof Internal Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Wits Health Consortium, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Department of Global Health, Boston University School of Public Health, Boston, Massachusetts, USA
| | - Thomas Rehle
- Centre for Infectious Disease Epidemiology and Research, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Frank Tanser
- Lincoln Institute for Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, UK
- Africa Health Research Institute, Mtubatuba, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
- School of Nursing and Public Health, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
- Centre for the AIDS Programme of Research in South Africa, University of KwaZulu-Natal, Durban, South Africa
| | - Sizulu Moyo
- Human Sciences Research Council, Pretoria, South Africa
| | - Maryam Shahmanesh
- Institute for Global Health, University College London, London, UK
- Africa Health Research Institute, Mtubatuba, KwaZulu-Natal, South Africa
| | - Delivette Castor
- United States Agency for International Development, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | - Elizabeth Russell
- United States Agency for International Development, Washington, District of Columbia, USA
| | - Lise Jamieson
- Departmentof Internal Medicine, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
- Health Economics and Epidemiology Research Office, Wits Health Consortium, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | | | - Amir Shroufi
- Medécins Sans Frontières, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Urvi M Parikh
- University of Pittsburgh, Pittsburgh, Pennsylvania, USA
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Bekker LG, Brown B, Joseph-Davey D, Gill K, Moorhouse M, Delany-Moretlwe S, Myer L, Orrell C, Rebe K, Venter WF, Wallis CL. Southern African guidelines on the safe, easy and effective use of pre-exposure prophylaxis: 2020. South Afr J HIV Med 2020; 21:1152. [PMID: 33354364 PMCID: PMC7736681 DOI: 10.4102/sajhivmed.v21i1.1152] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 08/14/2020] [Accepted: 08/14/2020] [Indexed: 12/28/2022] Open
Abstract
No abstract available.
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Affiliation(s)
- Linda-Gail Bekker
- Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | | | - Dvora Joseph-Davey
- Department of Epidemiology, University of California, Los Angeles, United States of America
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Kathrine Gill
- Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Michelle Moorhouse
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Sinead Delany-Moretlwe
- Wits Reproductive Health and HIV Research Unit, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Landon Myer
- Division of Epidemiology and Biostatistics, School of Public Health and Family Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Catherine Orrell
- Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, Institute of Infectious Disease and Molecular Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
- Department of Medicine, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - Kevin Rebe
- Life Vincent Pallotti Hospital, Cape Town, South Africa
- Department of Medicine and Infectious Diseases, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
| | - W.D. Francois Venter
- Ezintsha, Faculty of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, Johannesburg, South Africa
| | - Carole L. Wallis
- BARC-SA, Speciality Molecular Division, Lancet Laboratories, Johannesburg, South Africa
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5
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The impact of self-selection based on HIV risk on the cost-effectiveness of preexposure prophylaxis in South Africa. AIDS 2020; 34:883-891. [PMID: 32004205 DOI: 10.1097/qad.0000000000002486] [Citation(s) in RCA: 9] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
OBJECTIVES We explored the impact and cost-effectiveness of preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) provision to different populations in South Africa, with and without effective self-selection by individuals at highest risk of contracting HIV (through concurrent partnerships and/or commercial sex). DESIGN AND METHODS We used a previously developed HIV transmission model to analyse the epidemiological impact of PrEP provision to adolescents, young adults, pregnant women, female sex workers (FSWs) and (MSM), and data from South African PrEP programmes to estimate the cost and cost-effectiveness of PrEP (cost in 2019 USD per HIV infection averted over 20 years, 2019, 38). PrEP uptake followed data from early implementation sites, scaled-up linearly over 3 years, with target coverage set to 18% for adolescents, young adults and pregnant women, 30% for FSW and 54% for MSM. RESULTS The annual cost of PrEP provision ranges between $75 and $134 per person. PrEP provision adolescents and young adults, regardless of risk behaviour, will each avert 3.2--4.8% of HIV infections over 20 years; provision to high-risk individuals only has similar impact at lower total cost. The incremental cost per HIV infection averted is lower in high-risk vs. all-risk sub-populations within female adolescents ($507 vs. $4537), male adolescents ($2108 vs. $5637), young women ($1592 vs. $10 323) and young men ($2605 vs. $7715), becoming cost saving within 20 years for high-risk adolescents, young women, MSM and FSWs. CONCLUSION PrEP is an expensive prevention intervention but uptake by those at the highest risk of HIV infection will make it more cost-effective, and cost-saving after 14-18 years.
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Ginsberg GM, Chemtob D. Cost utility analysis of HIV pre exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men in Israel. BMC Public Health 2020; 20:271. [PMID: 32103750 PMCID: PMC7045377 DOI: 10.1186/s12889-020-8334-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 6] [Impact Index Per Article: 1.5] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/15/2019] [Accepted: 02/06/2020] [Indexed: 12/15/2022] Open
Abstract
Background Between 2011 and 2015, Men who have sex with men (MSM) accounted for nearly half of new HIV cases among men in Israel. This study carries out a cost-utility analysis of PrEP (HIV Pre Exposure Prophylaxis), an antiretroviral medication that can protect against the acquisition of HIV infection, whose incidence rate in Israel is around 1.74 per 1000 MSM. Method Epidemiological, demographic, health service utilisation and economic data were integrated into a spread-sheet model in order to calculate the cost per averted disability-adjusted life year (DALY) of the intervention from a societal perspective, in mid-2018 US$ using a 3% discount rate. Cost utility analyses were performed for both types of PrEP delivery (continuous regimen and on-demand), together with sensitivity analyses on numbers of condom users who take up PrEP (baseline 25%) and subsequently abandon condom use (baseline 75%), PrEP efficacy (baseline 86%), PrEP prices and monitoring costs. Results Around 21.3% of MSM are high risk (as defined by having unprotected anal intercourse). Offering PrEP to this group would have a ten year net cost of around 1563 million USD, preventing 493 persons from becoming HIV-positive, averting around 1616 DALYs at a cost per averted DALY of around 967,744 USD. This will render the intervention to be not cost-effective. PrEP drug prices would have to fall dramatically (by 90.7%) for the intervention to become cost-effective (i.e. having a cost per averted DALY less than thrice GNP per capita) in Israel. PrEP remains not cost-effective (at 475,673 USD per averted DALY) even if intervention costs were reduced by using an “on demand” instead of a daily schedule. Even if there were no changes in condom use, the resultant 411,694 USD cost-utility ratio is still not cost-effective. Conclusions Despite PrEPs high effectiveness against HIV, PrEP was found not to be cost-effective in the Israeli context because of a combination of relatively low HIV incidence, high PrEP costs, with a likelyhood that some low-risk MSM (ie: who use condoms) may well begin taking PrEP and as a consequence many of these will abandon condom use. Therefore, ways of minimizing these last two phenomena need to be found.
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Affiliation(s)
- G M Ginsberg
- Health Economics Consultant, Derech Hebron 79/3, 9339006, Jerusalem, Israel. .,Braun School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University-Hadassah, Jerusalem, Israel.
| | - D Chemtob
- Braun School of Public Health and Community Medicine, Faculty of Medicine, Hebrew University-Hadassah, Jerusalem, Israel.,Department of Tuberculosis and AIDS, Ministry of Health, Jerusalem, Israel
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Suraratdecha C, Stuart RM, Manopaiboon C, Green D, Lertpiriyasuwat C, Wilson DP, Pavaputanon P, Visavakum P, Monkongdee P, Khawcharoenporn T, Tharee P, Kittinunvorakoon C, Martin M. Cost and cost-effectiveness analysis of pre-exposure prophylaxis among men who have sex with men in two hospitals in Thailand. J Int AIDS Soc 2018; 21 Suppl 5:e25129. [PMID: 30033559 PMCID: PMC6055129 DOI: 10.1002/jia2.25129] [Citation(s) in RCA: 20] [Impact Index Per Article: 3.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 12/18/2017] [Accepted: 05/17/2018] [Indexed: 11/11/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION In 2014, the Government of Thailand recommended pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) as an additional HIV prevention programme within Thailand's National Guidelines on HIV/AIDS Treatment Prevention. However, to date implementation and uptake of PrEP programmes have been limited, and evidence on the costs and the epidemiological and economic impact is not available. METHODS We estimated the costs associated with PrEP provision among men having sex with men (MSM) participating in a facility-based, prospective observational cohort study: the Test, Treat and Prevent HIV Programme in Thailand. We created a suite of scenarios to estimate the cost-effectiveness of PrEP and sensitivity of the results to the model input parameters, including PrEP programme effectiveness, PrEP uptake among high-risk and low-risk MSM, baseline and future antiretroviral therapy (ART) coverage, condom use, unit cost of delivering PrEP, and the discount rate. RESULTS Drug costs accounted for 82.5% of the total cost of providing PrEP, followed by lab testing (8.2%) and personnel costs (7.8%). The estimated costs of providing the PrEP package in accordance with the national recommendation ranges from US$223 to US$311 per person per year. Based on our modelling results, we estimate that PrEP would be cost-effective when provided to either high-risk or all MSM. However, we found that the programme would be approximately 32% more cost-effective if offered to high-risk MSM than it would be if offered to all MSM, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of US$4,836 per disability-adjusted life years (DALY) averted and US$7,089 per DALY averted respectively. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves demonstrate that 80% of scenarios would be cost-effective when PrEP is provided solely to higher-risk MSM. CONCLUSION We provide the first estimates on cost and cost-effectiveness of PrEP in the Asia-Pacific region, and offer insights on how to deliver PrEP in combination with ART. While the high drug cost poses a budgeting challenge, incorporating PrEP delivery into an existing ART programme could be a cost-effective strategy to prevent HIV infections among MSM in Thailand.
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Affiliation(s)
- Chutima Suraratdecha
- Division of Global HIV and TBCenters for Disease Control and PreventionAtlantaGAUSA
| | - Robyn M Stuart
- Burnet InstituteMelbourneVictoriaAustralia
- Department of Mathematical SciencesUniversity of CopenhagenCopenhagenDenmark
| | - Chomnad Manopaiboon
- Division of Global HV and TBThailand Ministry of Public Health‐U.S. CDC CollaborationNonthaburiThailand
| | - Dylan Green
- Division of Global HIV and TBCenters for Disease Control and PreventionAtlantaGAUSA
| | | | | | | | - Prin Visavakum
- Division of Global HV and TBThailand Ministry of Public Health‐U.S. CDC CollaborationNonthaburiThailand
| | - Patama Monkongdee
- Division of Global HV and TBThailand Ministry of Public Health‐U.S. CDC CollaborationNonthaburiThailand
| | - Thana Khawcharoenporn
- Division of Infectious DiseasesFaculty of MedicineThammasat UniversityPathumthaniThailand
| | | | | | - Michael Martin
- Division of Global HIV and TBCenters for Disease Control and PreventionAtlantaGAUSA
- Division of Global HV and TBThailand Ministry of Public Health‐U.S. CDC CollaborationNonthaburiThailand
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8
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de Montigny S, Adamson BJS, Mâsse BR, Garrison LP, Kublin JG, Gilbert PB, Dimitrov DT. Projected effectiveness and added value of HIV vaccination campaigns in South Africa: A modeling study. Sci Rep 2018; 8:6066. [PMID: 29666455 PMCID: PMC5904131 DOI: 10.1038/s41598-018-24268-4] [Citation(s) in RCA: 14] [Impact Index Per Article: 2.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [MESH Headings] [Grants] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 10/04/2017] [Accepted: 03/26/2018] [Indexed: 01/14/2023] Open
Abstract
Promising multi-dose HIV vaccine regimens are being tested in trials in South Africa. We estimated the potential epidemiological and economic impact of HIV vaccine campaigns compared to continuous vaccination, assuming that vaccine efficacy is transient and dependent on immune response. We used a dynamic economic mathematical model of HIV transmission calibrated to 2012 epidemiological data to simulate vaccination with anticipated antiretroviral treatment scale-up in South Africa. We estimate that biennial vaccination with a 70% efficacious vaccine reaching 20% of the sexually active population could prevent 480,000-650,000 HIV infections (13.8-15.3% of all infections) over 10 years. Assuming a launch price of $15 per dose, vaccination was found to be cost-effective, with an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $13,746 per quality-adjusted life-year as compared to no vaccination. Increasing vaccination coverage to 50% will prevent more infections but is less likely to achieve cost-effectiveness. Campaign vaccination is consistently more effective and costs less than continuous vaccination across scenarios. Results suggest that a partially effective HIV vaccine will have substantial impact on the HIV epidemic in South Africa and offer good value if priced less than $105 for a five-dose series. Vaccination campaigns every two years may offer greater value for money than continuous vaccination reaching the same coverage level.
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Affiliation(s)
- Simon de Montigny
- CHU Sainte-Justine Research Centre, Montreal, Canada
- School of Public Health, University of Montreal, Montreal, Canada
| | - Blythe J S Adamson
- The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy, and Economics (CHOICE) Institute, School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA
| | - Benoît R Mâsse
- CHU Sainte-Justine Research Centre, Montreal, Canada
- School of Public Health, University of Montreal, Montreal, Canada
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA
| | - Louis P Garrison
- The Comparative Health Outcomes, Policy, and Economics (CHOICE) Institute, School of Pharmacy, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - James G Kublin
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA
| | - Peter B Gilbert
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA
| | - Dobromir T Dimitrov
- Vaccine and Infectious Disease Division, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, Seattle, USA.
- Department of Applied Mathematics, University of Washington, Seattle, Washington, USA.
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Özdener AE, Park TE, Kalabalik J, Gupta R. The future of pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) for human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) infection. Expert Rev Anti Infect Ther 2017; 15:467-481. [PMID: 28322067 DOI: 10.1080/14787210.2017.1309292] [Citation(s) in RCA: 2] [Impact Index Per Article: 0.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 10/19/2022]
Abstract
INTRODUCTION People at high risk for HIV acquisition should be offered pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP). Tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF)/emtricitabine (FTC) is currently the only medication recommended for pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) by the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) in people at high risk for HIV acquisition. This article will review medications currently under investigation and the future landscape of PrEP therapy. Areas covered: This article will review clinical trials that have investigated nontraditional regimens of TDF/FTC, antiretroviral agents from different drug classes such as integrase strand transfer inhibitors (INSTI), nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NRTI), and non-nucleoside reverse transcriptase inhibitors (NNRTI) as potential PrEP therapies. Expert commentary: Currently, there are several investigational drugs in the pipeline for PrEP against HIV infection. Increased utilization of PrEP therapy depends on provider identification of people at high risk for HIV transmission. Advances in PrEP development will expand options and access for people and reduce the risk of HIV acquisition.
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Affiliation(s)
- Ayşe Elif Özdener
- a School of Pharmacy and Health Sciences , Fairleigh Dickinson University , Florham Park , USA
| | - Tae Eun Park
- b Touro College of Pharmacy , New York , NY , USA.,c Department of Pharmacy , State University of New York (SUNY) Downstate Medical Center , Brooklyn , NY , USA
| | - Julie Kalabalik
- a School of Pharmacy and Health Sciences , Fairleigh Dickinson University , Florham Park , USA
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Abstract
With HIV funding plateauing and the number of people living with HIV increasing due to the rollout of life-saving antiretroviral therapy, policy makers are faced with increasingly tighter budgets to manage the ongoing HIV epidemic. Cost-effectiveness and modeling analyses can help determine which HIV interventions may be of best value. Incidence remains remarkably high in certain populations and countries, making prevention key to controlling the spread of HIV. This paper briefly reviews concepts in modeling and cost-effectiveness methodology and then examines results of recently published cost-effectiveness analyses on the following HIV prevention strategies: condoms and circumcision, behavioral- or community-based interventions, prevention of mother-to-child transmission, HIV testing, pre-exposure prophylaxis, and treatment as prevention. We find that the majority of published studies demonstrate cost-effectiveness; however, not all interventions are affordable. We urge continued research on combination strategies and methodologies that take into account willingness to pay and budgetary impact.
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Affiliation(s)
- Margo M Jacobsen
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center (RPW, MMJ), Divisions of Infectious Diseases and General Internal Medicine (RPW), Massachusetts General Hospital, 50 Staniford Street, 9th Floor, Boston, MA, 02114, USA
| | - Rochelle P Walensky
- Medical Practice Evaluation Center (RPW, MMJ), Divisions of Infectious Diseases and General Internal Medicine (RPW), Massachusetts General Hospital, 50 Staniford Street, 9th Floor, Boston, MA, 02114, USA. .,Division of Infectious Diseases, Brigham and Women's Hospital (RPW), Boston, MA, USA. .,Harvard University Center for AIDS Research (RPW), Harvard Medical School, Boston, MA, USA.
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11
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Moodley N, Gray G, Bertram M. The Price of Prevention: Cost Effectiveness of Biomedical HIV Prevention Strategies in South Africa. CLINICAL RESEARCH IN HIV/AIDS 2016; 3:1031. [PMID: 28824960 PMCID: PMC5562157] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [Grants] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 06/07/2023]
Abstract
BACKGROUND South Africa has the highest global burden of human immunodefciency virus [HIV]. The study compared the cost-effectiveness of individual and combination HIV preventive strategies against the current rollout of ART and possible ART scale-up. METHODS Adolescents attending South African schools in 2012 were included in the semi-Markov running annual cycles. The ART and HIV counseling and testing program [comparator] was weighed against the interventions [viz. HIV vaccine, a dual vaccine strategy [HIV and HPV vaccines], oral pre-exposure prophylaxis [PrEP] and voluntary medical male circumcision [VMMC]; and various combinations thereof. Quality-adjusted life years [QALY] determined changes in HIV associated mortality and infections averted. One-way and probabilistic sensitivity analysis determined parameter uncertainty. Discount rates of 3% with a lifetime horizon [70 years] were applied. RESULTS Dual vaccination was highly cost-effective strategy [US$ 7 per QALY gained] and averted 29% of new HIV infections. VMMC [US$ 30 per QALY gained] proved more cost-effective than HIV vaccination alone [US$ 93 per QALY gained], though VMMC averted 6% more new infections than the HIV vaccine when considered among male participants. PrEP interventions were the least cost-effective with pharmaceutical and human resource spending driving the costs. Combined dual vaccination and VMMC strategies were a dominant intervention. Strategies involving PrEP were the least cost-effective. CONCLUSION VMMC, HIV vaccination and dual vaccination strategies were more cost-effective than any PrEP strategies. A multi-intervention biomedical approach could avert considerable new HIV infections and present a cost-effective use of resources; particularly where large scale multi-interventional randomized controlled trials are absent.
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Affiliation(s)
- Nishila Moodley
- Department of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa
- South African HVTN AIDS Vaccine Early Stage Investigator Program [SHAPe]
- Department of Science and Technology, University of Stellenbosch, South Africa
| | - Glenda Gray
- Department of Health Sciences, University of the Witwatersrand, South Africa
- South African HVTN AIDS Vaccine Early Stage Investigator Program [SHAPe]
- Department Medical Research Council, Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Centre, South Africa
| | - Melanie Bertram
- Department of Health Systems Governance and Finance, World Health Organization, Geneva
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Hosek S, Celum C, Wilson CM, Kapogiannis B, Delany-Moretlwe S, Bekker LG. Preventing HIV among adolescents with oral PrEP: observations and challenges in the United States and South Africa. J Int AIDS Soc 2016; 19:21107. [PMID: 27760684 PMCID: PMC5071778 DOI: 10.7448/ias.19.7.21107] [Citation(s) in RCA: 88] [Impact Index Per Article: 11.0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Key Words] [MESH Headings] [Track Full Text] [Download PDF] [Figures] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Received: 03/21/2016] [Revised: 06/27/2016] [Accepted: 07/12/2016] [Indexed: 12/21/2022] Open
Abstract
INTRODUCTION Adolescents and young adults aged <25 are a key population in the HIV epidemic, with very high HIV incidence rates in many geographic settings and a large number who have limited access to prevention services. Thus, any biomedical HIV prevention approach should prepare licensure and implementation strategies for young populations. Oral pre-exposure prophylaxis (PrEP) is the first antiretroviral-based prevention intervention with proven efficacy across many settings and populations, and regulatory and policy approvals at global and national levels are occurring rapidly. We discuss available data from studies in the United States and South Africa on the use of oral PrEP for HIV prevention in adolescent minors, along with some of the implementation challenges. DISCUSSION Ongoing studies in the United States and South Africa among youth under the age of 18 should provide the safety data needed by the end of 2016 to contribute to licensure of Truvada as daily PrEP in adolescents. The challenges of completing these studies as well as foreseeable broader challenges highlighted by this work are presented. Adherence to daily PrEP is a greater challenge for younger populations, and poor adherence was associated with decreased efficacy in all PrEP trials. Individual-level barriers include limited familiarity with antiretroviral-based prevention, stigma, product storage, and social support. Structural challenges include healthcare financing for PrEP, clinician acceptability and comfort with PrEP delivery, and the limited youth-friendly health services available. These challenges are discussed in the context of the work done to date in the United States and South Africa, but will likely be magnified in the setting of limited resources in many other countries that are heavily impacted by HIV. CONCLUSIONS Adolescent populations are particularly vulnerable to HIV, and oral PrEP in these populations is likely to have an impact on population-level HIV incidence. The challenges of disseminating an HIV biomedical prevention tool requiring daily usage in adolescents are formidable, but addressing these issues and starting dialogues will lay the groundwork for the many other HIV prevention tools now being developed and tested.
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Affiliation(s)
- Sybil Hosek
- Department of Psychiatry, Stroger Hospital of Cook County, Chicago, IL, USA;
| | - Connie Celum
- Department of Global Health, University of Washington, Seattle, WA, USA
| | - Craig M Wilson
- Department of Epidemiology, University of Alabama at Birmingham, Birmingham, AL, USA
| | - Bill Kapogiannis
- Maternal and Pediatric Infectious Diseases Branch, Eunice Kennedy Shriver National Institutes of Child Health and Human Development, Washington, DC, USA
| | | | - Linda-Gail Bekker
- The Desmond Tutu HIV Centre, University of Cape Town, Cape Town, South Africa
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Global implementation of PrEP as part of combination HIV prevention - Unsolved challenges. J Int AIDS Soc 2016. [DOI: 10.7448/ias.19.7.21479] [Citation(s) in RCA: 0] [Impact Index Per Article: 0] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/08/2022] Open
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What do we know about the cost-effectiveness of HIV preexposure prophylaxis, and is it affordable? Curr Opin HIV AIDS 2016; 11:56-66. [PMID: 26569182 DOI: 10.1097/coh.0000000000000217] [Citation(s) in RCA: 34] [Impact Index Per Article: 4.3] [Reference Citation Analysis] [Abstract] [Track Full Text] [Journal Information] [Subscribe] [Scholar Register] [Indexed: 11/26/2022]
Abstract
PURPOSE OF REVIEW The WHO recommends preexposure prophylaxis (PrEP) in populations at substantial risk of HIV. Despite a number of randomized controlled trials demonstrating its efficacy, and several ongoing implementation projects, PrEP is currently only available in a few countries. Modelling studies can provide useful insights into the long-term impact of introducing PrEP in different subgroups of the population. The review summarizes studies that either evaluated the cost-effectiveness or the cost of introducing PrEP, focusing on seven published in the last year. RECENT FINDINGS These studies used a number of different types of models and investigated the introduction of PrEP in different settings. Among men having sex with men (MSM) in North America, PrEP ranged from being cost-saving (while benefiting population health) to costing US $160,000/quality-adjusted life-year gained. Among heterosexual sero-different couples, it varied from around US $5000 to US $10,000/disability-adjusted life-year averted, when PrEP was used until 6 or 12 months after the HIV-positive partner had initiated antiretroviral therapy (ART) in, respectively, Uganda and South Africa. SUMMARY Future cost-effectiveness studies of PrEP should consider the HIV incidence, the level of uptake, the effect of its introduction on alternative prevention approaches, and the budget impact of rolling it out.
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