Association of travel time, patient characteristics, and hospital quality with patient mobility for breast cancer surgery: A national population-based study

BACKGROUND

This national study investigated hospital quality and patient factors associated with treatment location for breast cancer surgery.

METHODS

By using linked administrative data sets from the English National Health Service, the authors identified all women diagnosed between January 2, 2016, and December 31, 2018, who underwent breast-conserving surgery (BCS) or a mastectomy with or without immediate breast reconstruction. The extent to which patients bypassed their nearest hospital was investigated using a geographic information system (ArcGIS). Conditional logistic regressions were used to estimate the impact of travel time, hospital quality, and patient characteristics.

RESULTS

22,622 Of 69,153 patients undergoing BCS, 22,622 (32.7%) bypassed their nearest hospital; and, of 23,536 patients undergoing mastectomy, 7179 (30.5%) bypassed their nearest hospital. Women who were younger, without comorbidities, or from rural areas were more likely to travel to more distant hospitals (p < .05). Patients undergoing BCS (odds ratio [OR], 1.85; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.36-2.50) or mastectomy (OR, 1.52; 95% CI, 1.14-2.02) were more likely to be treated at specialist breast reconstruction centers despite not undergoing the procedure. Patients receiving mastectomy and immediate breast reconstruction were more likely to travel to hospitals employing surgeons who had a media reputation (OR, 2.41; 95% CI, 1.28-4.52). Patients undergoing BCS were less likely to travel to hospitals with shorter surgical waiting times (OR, 0.65; 95% CI, 0.46-0.92). The authors did not observe a significant impact for research activity, hospital quality rating, breast re-excision rates, or the status as a multidisciplinary cancer center.

CONCLUSIONS

Patient choice policies may drive inequalities in the health care system without improving patient outcomes.

Trends in Utilization and Medicare Spending on Shorter vs. Longer Radiotherapy Courses for Breast and Prostate Cancer

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

Evidence based research supports shorter, similarly efficacious, and potentially more cost-effective hypofractionated treatment regimens in many clinical scenarios for breast cancer (BC) and prostate cancer (PC). However, practice patterns of hospital-affiliated and standalone facilities vary considerably. We used the most recent Centers for Medicare and Medicaid Services data to assess trends in radiotherapy (RT) costs and practice patterns among episodes of BC and PC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort analysis of all external beam episodes for BC and PC from 2015-2019. For patients with BC, receipt of shorter-course RT (SCRT) was defined as receiving 11-20 fractions of external beam radiation therapy (including IMRT), and conventional RT as >20 fractions. For patients with PC, SBRT was defined as receipt of <10 fractions and moderate hypofractionation as 10-30 fractions (SCRT defined as SBRT and moderate hypofractionation), and >30 fractions for conventional RT. Total Medicare spending were defined as the sum of winsorized payment for professional and technical services furnished during the episode in 2019 dollars. Multivariable logistic regression defined adjusted odds ratios (ORs) of receipt of SCRT over conventional RT by treatment modality, age, year of diagnosis, type of practice, as well as a time*treatment setting interaction term. Medicare spending was evaluated using multivariable linear regression controlling for duration of RT regimen (SCRT vs conventional) in addition to the covariables above.

RESULTS

Of 47,283 BC episodes and 45,917 PC episodes, 23,705 (50.13%) and 9,125 (19.87%) were SCRT, respectively. Median total spending for SCRT among BC episodes was $9,324 (IQR, $7,916-$10,921) vs. $13,372 (IQR, $11,511-$15,283) for conventional RT. Among PC episodes, median total spending was $12,917 (IQR, $9,551-$15,271) for SBRT, $18,944 (IQR, $16,530-$20,615) for moderate hypofractionation, and $26,935 (IQR, $25,062-$28,959) for conventional RT. For both cancers, total episode spending was reduced with SCRT utilization [(BC adjusted β, -$4,200; p<0.001), (PC adjusted β, -$8,747; p<0.001)], older age, and non-IMRT-based treatment. On logistic regression, receipt of SCRT was associated with older age among both BC and PC episodes (p<0.001), as well as treatment at hospital-affiliated over freestanding sites [(BC OR [95% CI], 1.41 [1.29-1.54], p<0.001), (PC OR, 1.64 [1.39-1.94], p<0.001)].

CONCLUSION

In this evaluation of all BC and PC RT episodes from 2015-2019, we found that shorter-course RT resulted in increased cost-savings vs. conventional RT. SCRT was also more common in hospital-affiliated sites. Further research is needed to devise payment incentives that encourage SCRT when clinically applicable in the two most common sites treated with RT, and to prospectively study cost-effective hypofractionation in other disease sites.

Health Equity Achievement in Radiation Therapy (HEART) Score: A Social Prognosis

PURPOSE/OBJECTIVE(S)

The aim of this study was to develop a Health Equity Achievement in Radiation Therapy (HEART) score that can help identify patients at risk of experiencing suboptimal quality-of-care (QoC) early on in the patient-provider encounter and prior to initiation of treatment. Such a score may improve shared decision making to improve QoC.

MATERIALS/METHODS

A retrospective analysis was conducted using the National Cancer Database (NCDB) for prostate cancer cases between 2004-2017. Sociodemographic factors, clinical characteristics, and treatment information were collected. A composite HEART score was built to predict suboptimal QoC, defined as treatment refusal, incomplete treatment, or treatment delay. 70% of the data was allocated to training and 30% to validating a logistic regression model through which a nomogram was constructed.

RESULTS

A total of 1,599,785 patients were included in the analysis, of whom 126,917 (7.9%) had at least one suboptimal QoC. The strongest predictors were Black race, uninsured status, lower educational status, geographic location, and nodal disease (Table). The nomogram demonstrated a fair ability to predict quality metrics, with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.57 in the test group. The nomogram facilitated graphic interpretation of systemic factors in contributing to suboptimal QoC.

CONCLUSION

With observed potential for predicting suboptimal QoC outcomes in patients with prostate cancer by considering systemic barriers, this NCDB-based nomogram has potential utility as a tool for identifying patients who may benefit from additional social support, including the financial resources associated with these services, to improve access to care. Further validation in diverse datasets is needed to improve performance and generalizability to broader patient populations and different disease sites.

Storage and export of microbial biomass across the western Greenland Ice Sheet

The Greenland Ice Sheet harbours a wealth of microbial life, yet the total biomass stored or exported from its surface to downstream environments is unconstrained. Here, we quantify microbial abundance and cellular biomass flux within the near-surface weathering crust photic zone of the western sector of the ice sheet. Using groundwater techniques, we demonstrate that interstitial water flow is slow (~10⁻² m d⁻¹), while flow cytometry enumeration reveals this pathway delivers 5 × 10⁸ cells m⁻² d⁻¹ to supraglacial streams, equivalent to a carbon flux up to 250 g km⁻² d⁻¹. We infer that cellular carbon accumulation in the weathering crust exceeds fluvial export, promoting biomass sequestration, enhanced carbon cycling, and biological albedo reduction. We estimate that up to 37 kg km⁻² of cellular carbon is flushed from the weathering crust environment of the western Greenland Ice Sheet each summer, providing an appreciable flux to support heterotrophs and methanogenesis at the bed.

Microbes that colonise ice sheet surfaces are important to the carbon cycle, but their biomass and transport remains unquantified. Here, the authors reveal substantial microbial carbon fluxes across Greenland’s ice surface, in quantities that may sustain subglacial heterotrophs and fuel methanogenesis.

Machine-learned modeling of PM2.5 exposures in rural Lao PDR

This study presents a machine-learning-enhanced method of modeling PM_2.5 personal exposures in a data-scarce, rural, solid fuel use context. Data collected during a cookstove (Africa Clean Energy (ACE)-1 solar-battery-powered stove) intervention program in rural Lao PDR are presented and leveraged to explore advanced techniques for predicting personal exposures to particulate matter with aerodynamic diameter smaller than 2.5 μm (PM_2.5). Mean 48-h PM_2.5 exposure concentrations for female cooks were measured for the pre- and post-intervention periods (the "Before" and "After" periods, respectively) as 123 μg/m³ and 81 μg/m³. Mean 48-h PM_2.5 kitchen air pollution ("KAP") concentrations were measured at 462 μg/m³ Before and 124 μg/m³ After. Application of machine learning and ensemble modeling demonstrated cross-validated personal exposure predictions that were modest at the individual level but reasonably strong at the group level, with the best models producing an observed vs. predicted r² between 0.26 and 0.31 (r² = 0.49 when using a smaller, un-imputed dataset) and mean Before estimates of 119-120 μg/m³ and After estimates of 86-88 μg/m³. This offered improvement over one typical method of predicting exposure - using a kitchen exposure factor (the ratio of exposure to KAP)- which demonstrated an r² ~ 0.03 and poorly estimated group average values. The results of these analyses highlight areas of methodological improvement for future exposure assessments of household air pollution and provide evidence for researchers to explore the advantages of further incorporating machine learning methods into similar research across wider geographic and cultural contexts.

Evidence of Isotopic Fractionation During Vapor Exchange Between the Atmosphere and the Snow Surface in Greenland

Several recent studies from both Greenland and Antarctica have reported significant changes in the water isotopic composition of near-surface snow between precipitation events. These changes have been linked to isotopic exchange with atmospheric water vapor and sublimation-induced fractionation, but the processes are poorly constrained by observations. Understanding and quantifying these processes are crucial to both the interpretation of ice core climate proxies and the formulation of isotope-enabled general circulation models. Here, we present continuous measurements of the water isotopic composition in surface snow and atmospheric vapor together with near-surface atmospheric turbulence and snow-air latent and sensible heat fluxes, obtained at the East Greenland Ice-Core Project drilling site in summer 2016. For two 4-day-long time periods, significant diurnal variations in atmospheric water isotopologues are observed. A model is developed to explore the impact of this variability on the surface snow isotopic composition. Our model suggests that the snow isotopic composition in the upper subcentimeter of the snow exhibits a diurnal variation with amplitudes in δ18O and δD of ~2.5‰ and ~13‰, respectively. As comparison, such changes correspond to 10-20% of the magnitude of seasonal changes in interior Greenland snow pack isotopes and of the change across a glacial-interglacial transition. Importantly, our observation and model results suggest, that sublimation-induced fractionation needs to be included in simulations of exchanges between the vapor and the snow surface on diurnal timescales during summer cloud-free conditions in northeast Greenland.

Greenland Ice Sheet surface melt amplified by snowline migration and bare ice exposure

Greenland Ice Sheet mass loss has recently increased because of enhanced surface melt and runoff. Since melt is critically modulated by surface albedo, understanding the processes and feedbacks that alter albedo is a prerequisite for accurately forecasting mass loss. Using satellite imagery, we demonstrate the importance of Greenland's seasonally fluctuating snowline, which reduces ice sheet albedo and enhances melt by exposing dark bare ice. From 2001 to 2017, this process drove 53% of net shortwave radiation variability in the ablation zone and amplified ice sheet melt five times more than hydrological and biological processes that darken bare ice itself. In a warmer climate, snowline fluctuations will exert an even greater control on melt due to flatter ice sheet topography at higher elevations. Current climate models, however, inaccurately predict snowline elevations during high melt years, portending an unforeseen uncertainty in forecasts of Greenland's runoff contribution to global sea level rise.

Physical Conditions of Fast Glacier Flow: 3. Seasonally-Evolving Ice Deformation on Store Glacier, West Greenland

Temporal variations in ice sheet flow directly impact the internal structure within ice sheets through englacial deformation. Large-scale changes in the vertical stratigraphy within ice sheets have been previously conducted on centennial to millennial timescales; however, intra-annual changes in the morphology of internal layers have yet to be explored. Over a period of 2 years, we use autonomous phase-sensitive radio-echo sounding to track the daily displacement of internal layers on Store Glacier, West Greenland, to millimeter accuracy. At a site located ∼30 km from the calving terminus, where the ice is ∼600 m thick and flows at ∼700 m/a, we measure distinct seasonal variations in vertical velocities and vertical strain rates over a 2-year period. Prior to the melt season (March-June), we observe increasingly nonlinear englacial deformation with negative vertical strain rates (i.e., strain thinning) in the upper half of the ice column of approximately -0.03 a-1, whereas the ice below thickens under vertical strain reaching up to +0.16 a-1. Early in the melt season (June-July), vertical thinning gradually ceases as the glacier increasingly thickens. During late summer to midwinter (August-February), vertical thickening occurs linearly throughout the entire ice column, with strain rates averaging 0.016 a-1. We show that these complex variations are unrelated to topographic setting and localized basal slip and hypothesize that this seasonality is driven by far-field perturbations in the glacier's force balance, in this case generated by variations in basal hydrology near the glacier's terminus and propagated tens of kilometers upstream through transient basal lubrication longitudinal coupling.

Massive blow-out craters formed by hydrate-controlled methane expulsion from the Arctic seafloor

Widespread methane release from thawing Arctic gas hydrates is a major concern, yet the processes, sources, and fluxes involved remain unconstrained. We present geophysical data documenting a cluster of kilometer-wide craters and mounds from the Barents Sea floor associated with large-scale methane expulsion. Combined with ice sheet/gas hydrate modeling, our results indicate that during glaciation, natural gas migrated from underlying hydrocarbon reservoirs and was sequestered extensively as subglacial gas hydrates. Upon ice sheet retreat, methane from this hydrate reservoir concentrated in massive mounds before being abruptly released to form craters. We propose that these processes were likely widespread across past glaciated petroleum provinces and that they also provide an analog for the potential future destabilization of subglacial gas hydrate reservoirs beneath contemporary ice sheets.

Gas hydrate dissociation off Svalbard induced by isostatic rebound rather than global warming

Methane seepage from the upper continental slopes of Western Svalbard has previously been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic warming of ambient bottom waters. Here we show that sediment cores drilled off Prins Karls Foreland contain freshwater from dissociating hydrates. However, our modeling indicates that the observed pore water freshening began around 8 ka BP when the rate of isostatic uplift outpaced eustatic sea-level rise. The resultant local shallowing and lowering of hydrostatic pressure forced gas hydrate dissociation and dissolved chloride depletions consistent with our geochemical analysis. Hence, we propose that hydrate dissociation was triggered by postglacial isostatic rebound rather than anthropogenic warming. Furthermore, we show that methane fluxes from dissociating hydrates were considerably smaller than present methane seepage rates implying that gas hydrates were not a major source of methane to the oceans, but rather acted as a dynamic seal, regulating methane release from deep geological reservoirs.

Methane seepage from continental slopes has been attributed to gas hydrate dissociation induced by anthropogenic bottom water warming. Here, the authors show that hydrates dissociated before the Anthropocene when the isostatic rebound induced by deglaciation of the Arctic ice sheet outpaced eustatic sea-level rise.

BedMachine v3: Complete Bed Topography and Ocean Bathymetry Mapping of Greenland From Multibeam Echo Sounding Combined With Mass Conservation

Greenland's bed topography is a primary control on ice flow, grounding line migration, calving dynamics, and subglacial drainage. Moreover, fjord bathymetry regulates the penetration of warm Atlantic water (AW) that rapidly melts and undercuts Greenland's marine-terminating glaciers. Here we present a new compilation of Greenland bed topography that assimilates seafloor bathymetry and ice thickness data through a mass conservation approach. A new 150 m horizontal resolution bed topography/bathymetric map of Greenland is constructed with seamless transitions at the ice/ocean interface, yielding major improvements over previous data sets, particularly in the marine-terminating sectors of northwest and southeast Greenland. Our map reveals that the total sea level potential of the Greenland ice sheet is 7.42 ± 0.05 m, which is 7 cm greater than previous estimates. Furthermore, it explains recent calving front response of numerous outlet glaciers and reveals new pathways by which AW can access glaciers with marine-based basins, thereby highlighting sectors of Greenland that are most vulnerable to future oceanic forcing.

Multi-energy SXR cameras for magnetically confined fusion plasmas (invited)

A compact multi-energy soft x-ray camera has been developed for time, energy and space-resolved measurements of the soft-x-ray emissivity in magnetically confined fusion plasmas. Multi-energy soft x-ray imaging provides a unique opportunity for measuring, simultaneously, a variety of important plasma properties (T_e, n_Z, ΔZ_eff, and n_e,fast). The electron temperature can be obtained by modeling the slope of the continuum radiation from ratios of the available brightness and inverted radial emissivity profiles over multiple energy ranges. Impurity density measurements are also possible using the line-emission from medium- to high-Z impurities to separate the background as well as transient levels of metal contributions. This technique should be explored also as a burning plasma diagnostic in-view of its simplicity and robustness.

Modeling of subglacial hydrological development following rapid supraglacial lake drainage

The rapid drainage of supraglacial lakes injects substantial volumes of water to the bed of the Greenland ice sheet over short timescales. The effect of these water pulses on the development of basal hydrological systems is largely unknown. To address this, we develop a lake drainage model incorporating both (1) a subglacial radial flux element driven by elastic hydraulic jacking and (2) downstream drainage through a linked channelized and distributed system. Here we present the model and examine whether substantial, efficient subglacial channels can form during or following lake drainage events and their effect on the water pressure in the surrounding distributed system. We force the model with field data from a lake drainage site, 70 km from the terminus of Russell Glacier in West Greenland. The model outputs suggest that efficient subglacial channels do not readily form in the vicinity of the lake during rapid drainage and instead water is evacuated primarily by a transient turbulent sheet and the distributed system. Following lake drainage, channels grow but are not large enough to reduce the water pressure in the surrounding distributed system, unless preexisting channels are present throughout the domain. Our results have implications for the analysis of subglacial hydrological systems in regions where rapid lake drainage provides the primary mechanism for surface-to-bed connections.

KEY POINTS

Model for subglacial hydrological analysis of rapid lake drainage eventsLimited subglacial channel growth during and following rapid lake drainagePersistence of distributed drainage in inland areas where channel growth is limited.

Determinants of manganese levels in house dust samples from the CHAMACOS cohort

INTRODUCTION

Manganese (Mn) is an essential nutrient, but at high exposure levels Mn is a neurotoxicant. The fungicides maneb and mancozeb are approximately 21% Mn by weight and more than 150,000 kg are applied each year to crops in the Salinas Valley, California. It is not clear, however, whether agricultural use of these fungicides increases Mn levels in homes.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We collected house dust samples from 378 residences enrolled in the Center for the Health Assessment of Mothers and Children of Salinas (CHAMACOS) study with a second sample collected approximately nine months later from 90 of the residences. House dust samples were analyzed for Mn using inductively coupled plasma optical emission spectroscopy. Information from interviews, home inspections, and pesticide use reports was used to identify potential predictors of Mn dust concentrations and loadings.

RESULTS

Mn was detectable in all dust samples. The median Mn concentration was 171 μg/g and median Mn loading was 1,910 μg/m(2) at first visit. In multivariable models, Mn dust concentrations and loadings increased with the number of farmworkers in the home and the amount of agricultural Mn fungicides applied within three kilometers of the residence during the month prior to dust sample collection. Dust concentrations of Mn and other metals (lead, cadmium and chromium) were higher in residences located in the southern Salinas Valley compared those located in other areas of the Salinas Valley. Dust loadings of Mn and other metals were also higher in residences located on Antioch Loam soil than other soil types, and in homes with poor or average housekeeping practices.

CONCLUSIONS

Agricultural use of Mn containing fungicides was associated with Mn dust concentrations and loadings in nearby residences and farmworker homes. Housekeeping practices and soil type at residence were also important factors related to dust metal concentrations and loadings.

Observation of edge instability limiting the pedestal growth in tokamak plasmas

With fusion device performance hinging on the edge pedestal pressure, it is imperative to experimentally understand the physical mechanism dictating the pedestal characteristics and to validate and improve pedestal predictive models. This Letter reports direct evidence of density and magnetic fluctuations showing the stiff onset of an edge instability leading to the saturation of the pedestal on the Alcator C-Mod tokamak. Edge stability analyses indicate that the pedestal is unstable to both ballooning mode and kinetic ballooning mode in agreement with observations.

Formation and stability of impurity "snakes" in tokamak plasmas

New observations of the formation and dynamics of long-lived impurity-induced helical "snake" modes in tokamak plasmas have recently been carried out on Alcator C-Mod. The snakes form as an asymmetry in the impurity ion density that undergoes a seamless transition from a small helically displaced density to a large crescent-shaped helical structure inside q<1, with a regularly sawtoothing core. The observations show that the conditions for the formation and persistence of a snake cannot be explained by plasma pressure alone. Instead, many features arise naturally from nonlinear interactions in a 3D MHD model that separately evolves the plasma density and temperature.

Parameter estimation and site-specific calibration of disease transmission models

The use of mathematical models for developing management options for controlling infectious diseases at alocal scale requires that the structure and parameters of the model reflect the realities of transmission at that scale. Data available to inform local models are generally sparse and come from diverse sources and in diverse formats. These characteristics of the data and the complex structure of transmission models, result in many different parameter sets which mimic the local behavior of the system to within the resolution of field data, even for a model of fixed structure. A Bayesian approach is described, at both a practical and a theoretical level, which involves the assignment of prior parameter distributions and the definition of a semi-quantitative goodness of fit criteria which are essentially priors on the observable outputs. Monte Carlo simulations are used to generate samples from the posterior parameter space. This space is generally much more constrained than the prior space, but with a highly complex multivariate structure induced by the mathematical model. In applying the approach to a model of schistosomiasis transmission in a village in southwestern China, calibration of the model was found to be sensitive to the effective reproductive number, R(eff). This finding has implications both for computation time for the Monte Carlo analysis and for the specification of field data to efficiently calibrate the model for transmission control.

Observation of self-generated flows in tokamak plasmas with lower-hybrid-driven current

In Alcator C-Mod discharges lower hybrid waves have been shown to induce a countercurrent change in toroidal rotation of up to 60 km/s in the central region of the plasma (r/a approximately <0.4). This modification of the toroidal rotation profile develops on a time scale comparable to the current redistribution time (approximately 100 ms) but longer than the energy and momentum confinement times (approximately 20 ms). A comparison of the co- and countercurrent injected waves indicates that current drive (as opposed to heating) is responsible for the rotation profile modifications. Furthermore, the changes in central rotation velocity induced by lower hybrid current drive (LHCD) are well correlated with changes in normalized internal inductance. The application of LHCD has been shown to generate sheared rotation profiles and a negative increment in the radial electric field profile consistent with a fast electron pinch.

Defective jejunal and colonic salt absorption and alteredNa(+)/H (+) exchanger 3 (NHE3) activity in NHE regulatory factor 1 (NHERF1) adaptor protein-deficient mice

We investigated the role of the Na(+)/H(+) exchanger regulatory factor 1 (NHERF1) on intestinal salt and water absorption, brush border membrane (BBM) morphology, and on the NHE3 mRNA expression, protein abundance, and transport activity in the murine intestine. NHERF1-deficient mice displayed reduced jejunal fluid absorption in vivo, as well as an attenuated in vitro Na(+) absorption in isolated jejunal and colonic, but not of ileal, mucosa. However, cAMP-mediated inhibition of both parameters remained intact. Acid-activated NHE3 transport rate was reduced in surface colonocytes, while its inhibition by cAMP and cGMP was normal. Immunodetection of NHE3 revealed normal NHE3 localization in the BBM of NHERF1 null mice, but NHE3 abundance, as measured by Western blot, was significantly reduced in isolated BBM from the small and large intestines. Furthermore, the microvilli in the proximal colon, but not in the small intestine, were significantly shorter in NHERF1 null mice. Additional knockout of PDZK1 (NHERF3), another member of the NHERF family of adaptor proteins, which binds to both NHE3 and NHERF1, further reduced basal NHE3 activity and caused complete loss of cAMP-mediated NHE3 inhibition. An activator of the exchange protein activated by cAMP (EPAC) had no effect on jejunal fluid absorption in vivo, but slightly inhibited NHE3 activity in surface colonocytes in vitro. In conclusion, NHERF1 has segment-specific effects on intestinal salt absorption, NHE3 transport rates, and NHE3 membrane abundance without affecting mRNA levels. However, unlike PDZK1, NHERF1 is not required for NHE3 regulation by cyclic nucleotides.

Efficacy studies of malaria treatments in Africa: efficient estimation with missing indicators of failure

The effect of missing data in causal inference problems is widely recognized. In malaria drug efficacy studies, it is often difficult to distinguish between new and old infections after treatment, resulting in indeterminate outcomes. Methods that adjust for possible bias from missing data include a variety of imputation procedures (extreme case analysis, hot-deck, single and multiple imputation), weighting methods, and likelihood based methods (data augmentation, EM procedures and their extensions). In this article, we focus our discussion on multiple imputation and two weighting procedures (the inverse probability weighted and the doubly robust (DR) extension), comparing the methods' applicability to the efficient estimation of malaria treatment effects. Simulation studies indicate that DR estimators are generally preferable because they offer protection to misspecification of either the outcome model or the missingness model. We apply the methods to analyze malaria efficacy studies from Uganda.

Dynamics of endogenous ATP7A (Menkes protein) in intestinal epithelial cells: copper-dependent redistribution between two intracellular sites

We report for the first time on the copper-dependent behavior of endogenous ATP7A in two types of polarized intestinal epithelia, rat enterocytes in vivo and filter-grown Caco-2 cells, an accepted in vitro model of human small intestine. We used high-resolution, confocal immunofluorescence combined with quantitative cell surface biotinylation and found that the vast majority of endogenous ATP7A was localized intracellularly under all copper conditions. In copper-depleted cells, virtually all of the ATP7A localized to a post-TGN compartment, with <3% of the total protein detectable at the basolateral cell surface. When copper levels were elevated, ATP7A dispersed to the cell periphery in punctae whose pattern did not overlap with the steady-state distributions of post-Golgi, endosomal, or basolateral membrane markers; only approximately 8-10% of the recovered ATP7A was detected at the basolateral cell surface. These results raise several questions regarding prevailing models of ATP7A dynamics and the mechanism of copper efflux.

Microarray analysis of variation in individual aging C. elegans: approaches and challenges

Aging is generally defined and studied as a population phenomenon. However, there is great interest, especially when discussing human aging, in the identification of factors that influence the life span of an individual organism. The nematode Caenorhabditis elegans provides an excellent model system for the study of aging at the level of the individual, since young nematodes are essentially clonal yet experience a large range of individual life spans. We are conducting gene expression profiling of individual nematodes, with the aim of discovering genes that vary stochastically in expression between individuals of the same age. Such genes are candidates to modulate the ultimate life span achieved by each individual. We here present statistical analysis of gene expression profiles of individual nematodes from two different microarray platforms, examining the issue of technical vs. biological variance as it pertains to uncovering genes of interest in this paradigm of individual aging.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in breast cancer: early response prediction with quantitative MR imaging and spectroscopy

A prospective study was undertaken in women undergoing neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced breast cancer in order to determine the ability of quantitative magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) and proton spectroscopy (MRS) to predict ultimate tumour response (percentage decrease in volume) or to detect early response. Magnetic resonance imaging and MRS were carried out before treatment and after the second of six treatment cycles. Pharmacokinetic parameters were derived from T₁-weighted dynamic contrast-enhanced MRI, water apparent diffusion coefficient (ADC) was measured, and tissue water : fat peak area ratios and water T₂ were measured using unsuppressed one-dimensional proton spectroscopic imaging (30 and 135 ms echo times). Pharmacokinetic parameters and ADC did not detect early response; however, early changes in water : fat ratios and water T₂ (after cycle two) demonstrated substantial prognostic efficacy. Larger decreases in water T₂ accurately predicted final volume response in 69% of cases (11/16) while maintaining 100% specificity and positive predictive value. Small/absent decreases in water : fat ratios accurately predicted final volume non-response in 50% of cases (3/6) while maintaining 100% sensitivity and negative predictive value. This level of accuracy might permit clinical application where early, accurate prediction of non-response would permit an early change to second-line treatment, thus sparing patients unnecessary toxicity, psychological morbidity and delay of initiation of effective treatment.

Differentiation of benign from malignant breast disease associated with screening detected microcalcifications using dynamic contrast enhanced magnetic resonance imaging

Dynamic Contrast Enhanced Magnetic Resonance Imaging (DCE-MRI) is an effective diagnostic modality for symptomatic breast disease. However, its role in evaluating clinically occult disease associated with mammographically detected microcalcification remains unclear. Women recalled following screening mammography with microcalcification had DCE-MRI examination of the breast. The data were evaluated subjectively and objectively using both empirical and 2-compartment pharmacokinetic modelling techniques to evaluate signal intensity parameters. Eighty-eight patients aged 50-75 years (median 58) were recruited. Comparing malignant and benign lesions, the mean values in arbitrary units for the enhancement index at 1 min in the most enhancing 9-pixel square +/-1 standard deviation were 0.61+/-0.40 vs. 0.22+/-0.26 p=<0.001 with sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV and accuracy of 80.0%, 82.4%, 57.1%, 93.3% and 81.8%, respectively. The corresponding values attained by the radiologist were 75.0%, 89.7%, 68.2%, 92.4% and 86.4%. DCE-MRI is able to differentiate malignant from benign clinically occult lesions associated with microcalcification and may therefore offer an alternative to open surgical biopsy for women with equivocal findings following initial triple assessment for microcalcification in the breast.

von Willebrand disease: laboratory aspects of diagnosis and treatment

von Willebrand disease is the most common inherited bleeding disorder in humans. VWD can be classified into three major types, designated Types 1, 2 and 3; Type 2 can be further separated into subtypes 2A, 2B, 2M and 2N. The diagnosis of VWD requires a personal and family history of bleeding and confirmation by laboratory analysis. Although Types 2 and 3 are relatively straightforward to diagnose, there may be a risk of overdiagnosis of Type 1 because of an overlap within the normal range. We also report on the clinical profile and diagnosis of VWD in a South American cohort of patients and on the in vitro characteristics of some factor concentrates available for treatment of VWD.