Disentangling the relationships of body mass index and circulating sex hormone concentrations in mammographic density using Mendelian randomization

PURPOSE

Mammographic density phenotypes, adjusted for age and body mass index (BMI), are strong predictors of breast cancer risk. BMI is associated with mammographic density measures, but the role of circulating sex hormone concentrations is less clear. We investigated the relationship between BMI, circulating sex hormone concentrations, and mammographic density phenotypes using Mendelian randomization (MR).

METHODS

We applied two-sample MR approaches to assess the association between genetically predicted circulating concentrations of sex hormones [estradiol, testosterone, sex hormone-binding globulin (SHBG)], BMI, and mammographic density phenotypes (dense and non-dense area). We created instrumental variables from large European ancestry-based genome-wide association studies and applied estimates to mammographic density phenotypes in up to 14,000 women of European ancestry. We performed analyses overall and by menopausal status.

RESULTS

Genetically predicted BMI was positively associated with non-dense area (IVW: β = 1.79; 95% CI = 1.58, 2.00; p = 9.57 × 10-63) and inversely associated with dense area (IVW: β = - 0.37; 95% CI = - 0.51,- 0.23; p = 4.7 × 10-7). We observed weak evidence for an association of circulating sex hormone concentrations with mammographic density phenotypes, specifically inverse associations between genetically predicted testosterone concentration and dense area (β = - 0.22; 95% CI = - 0.38, - 0.053; p = 0.009) and between genetically predicted estradiol concentration and non-dense area (β =  - 3.32; 95% CI = - 5.83, - 0.82; p = 0.009), although results were not consistent across a range of MR approaches.

CONCLUSION

Our findings support a positive causal association between BMI and mammographic non-dense area and an inverse association between BMI and dense area. Evidence was weaker and inconsistent for a causal effect of circulating sex hormone concentrations on mammographic density phenotypes. Based on our findings, associations between circulating sex hormone concentrations and mammographic density phenotypes are weak at best.

Prevalence and impact of fertility concerns in young women with breast cancer

Survey data from the Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry were used to assess fertility counseling and fertility preservation strategies in a modern cohort of young women with breast cancer. One hundred respondents were identified who were under age 50 at the time of breast cancer diagnosis and who expressed interest in future childbearing near the time of diagnosis and/or 1 year later. Ninety-three percent of the 81 respondents to the year one survey recalled fertility counseling prior to cancer treatment. Most who reported a high level of fertility concern declared that this concern had impacted their treatment decisions, often shortening their planned duration of endocrine therapy. Approximately half had taken steps to preserve future fertility, and a third had used a gonadotropin-releasing hormone agonist either alone or combined with another method (e.g., embryo or oocyte cryopreservation).

Vertical Transmission of SARS-CoV-2-Specific Antibodies and Cytokine Profiles in Pregnancy

Despite intensive characterization of immune responses after COVID-19 infection and vaccination, research examining protective correlates of vertical transmission in pregnancy are limited. Herein, we profiled humoral and cellular characteristics in pregnant women infected or vaccinated at different trimesters and in their corresponding newborns. We noted a significant correlation between spike S1-specific IgG antibody and its RBD-ACE2 blocking activity (receptor-binding domain-human angiotensin-converting enzyme 2) in maternal and cord plasma (P < .001, R > 0.90). Blocking activity of spike S1-specific IgG was significantly higher in pregnant women infected during the third trimester than the first and second trimesters. Elevated levels of 28 cytokines/chemokines, mainly proinflammatory, were noted in maternal plasma with infection at delivery, while cord plasma with maternal infection 2 weeks before delivery exhibited the emergence of anti-inflammatory cytokines. Our data support vertical transmission of protective SARS-CoV-2-specific antibodies. This vertical antibody transmission and the presence of anti-inflammatory cytokines in cord blood may offset adverse outcomes of inflammation in exposed newborns.

High-Dimensional Clustering of 4000 Irritable Bowel Syndrome Patients Reveals Seven Distinct Disease Subsets

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Irritable bowel syndrome (IBS) is a pain disorder classified by bowel habits, disregarding other factors that may influence the clinical course. The aim of this study was to determine if IBS patients can be clustered based on clinical, dietary, lifestyle, and psychosocial factors.

METHODS

Between 2013 and 2020, the Mayo Clinic Biobank surveyed and received 40,291 responses to a questionnaire incorporating Rome III criteria. Factors associated with IBS were determined and latent class analysis, a model-based clustering, was performed on IBS cases.

RESULTS

We identified 4021 IBS patients (mean 64 years; 75% women) and 12,063 controls. Using 26 variables separating cases from controls, the optimal clustering revealed 7 latent clusters. These were characterized by perceived health impairment (moderate or severe), psychoneurological factors, and bowel dysfunction (diarrhea or constipation predominance). Health impairment clusters demonstrated more pain, with the severe cluster also having more psychiatric comorbidities. The next 3 clusters had unique enrichment of psychiatric, neurological, or both comorbidities. The bowel dysfunction clusters demonstrated less abdominal pain, with diarrhea cluster most likely to report pain improvement with defecation. The constipation cluster had the highest exercise score and consumption of fruits, vegetables, and alcohol. The distribution of clusters remained similar when Rome IV criteria were applied. Physiologic tests were available on a limited subset (6%), and there were no significant differences between clusters.

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of older IBS patients, 7 distinct clusters were identified demonstrating varying degrees of gastrointestinal symptoms, comorbidities, dietary, and lifestyle factors. Further research is required to assess whether these unique clusters could be used to direct clinical trials and individualize patient management.

Sexual Dysfunction in Patients With Metastatic Breast Cancer

BACKGROUND

Sexual well-being is a key determinant of quality of life. Sexual dysfunction in patients with metastatic breast cancer (MBC) is understudied.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

Patients were eligible for this study if they participated in the Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry (MCBDR), had a diagnosis of de novo MBC, and responded to a question about sexual dysfunction at the baseline MCBDR survey. Participants reported their sexual dysfunction on a scale of 0 (no dysfunction) to 10 (severe dysfunction) at baseline and then annually for 4 years. Participants answered additional sexual symptom questions in years 2 and 4. Associations between patient attributes and the presence and severity of sexual dysfunction, changes in sexual dysfunction from baseline to subsequent surveys, and associations between specific sexual symptoms and severity of sexual dysfunction were assessed.

RESULTS

One hundred three patients with de novo MBC answered the sexual dysfunction question at baseline. The prevalence of any sexual dysfunction (score of 1-10) was 56.3% at baseline (n = 103), 57.1 % at year 1 (n = 77), 80.4% at year 2 (n = 46), 65.8% at year 3 (n = 38), and 85% at year 4 (n = 20). Vaginal dryness was reported by approximately 49% and 39% of patients in years 2 and 4 respectively. Vaginal dryness was associated with higher severity of sexual dysfunction.

CONCLUSIONS

Self-reported sexual dysfunction is frequent in women with de novo MBC. Vaginal dryness is a frequently reported treatable symptom associated with higher severity of sexual dysfunction. Clinicians should assess patients with MBC for sexual dysfunction and discuss potential treatment strategies.

Biomarkers of cellular senescence and risk of death in humans

A robust and heterogenous secretory phenotype is a core feature of most senescent cells. In addition to mediators of age-related pathology, components of the senescence associated secretory phenotype (SASP) have been studied as biomarkers of senescent cell burden and, in turn, biological age. Therefore, we hypothesized that circulating concentrations of candidate senescence biomarkers, including chemokines, cytokines, matrix remodeling proteins, and growth factors, could predict mortality in older adults. We assessed associations between plasma levels of 28 SASP proteins and risk of mortality over a median follow-up of 6.3 years in 1923 patients 65 years of age or older with zero or one chronic condition at baseline. Overall, the five senescence biomarkers most strongly associated with an increased risk of death were GDF15, RAGE, VEGFA, PARC, and MMP2, after adjusting for age, sex, race, and the presence of one chronic condition. The combination of biomarkers and clinical and demographic covariates exhibited a significantly higher c-statistic for risk of death (0.79, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.76-0.82) than the covariates alone (0.70, CI: 0.67-0.74) (p < 0.001). Collectively, these findings lend further support to biomarkers of cellular senescence as informative predictors of clinically important health outcomes in older adults, including death.

Type 2 Diabetes Remission in Patients with Heterozygous Variants in the Leptin-Melanocortin Pathway after Roux-en-Y Gastric Bypass: A Matched Case-Control Study

BACKGROUND

Roux-en-Y gastric bypass (RYGB) is associated with a high rate of type 2 diabetes (T2D) remission. Carriers of heterozygous variants in the leptin-melanocortin pathway (LMP) are more likely to experience weight recurrence after RYGB. Our aim was to investigate if carrier status and associated weight regain affects the rate of T2D remission after RYGB.

METHODS

Carriers of LMP variants with a diagnosis of T2D prior to RYGB (N = 16) were matched to non-carriers (N = 32) based on sex, age, and BMI. We assessed for post-operative T2D remission status post-surgery on a yearly basis, for up to 15 years. Our primary endpoint was the proportion of patients achieving T2D remission at 1 year. We conducted a survival analysis for all patients that achieved remission at least at one time-point to evaluate for maintenance of T2D remission by using a log-rank test.

RESULTS

Both carriers and non-carriers had similar baseline and procedural characteristics. The proopiomelanocortin gene in the LMP pathway had the most variants (n = 5, 31%). Carriers had a lower total body weight loss percentage at nadir (28.7% ± 6.9) than non-carriers (33.7% ± 8.8, p = 0.04). The proportion of patients achieving T2D remission at 1 year was 68.8% for carriers and 71.9% for non-carriers (p = 1.0). Survival curves for maintenance of first remission were similar for both groups (p = 0.73), with a median survival of 8 years for both carriers and non-carriers.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite inferior weight loss outcomes at nadir, carriers had similar T2D remission rates when compared to non-carriers. Weight-independent metabolic benefits of RYGB might contribute to this observation.

Association Between Fluctuations in Blood Lipid Levels Over Time With Incident Alzheimer Disease and Alzheimer Disease-Related Dementias

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Prevention strategies for Alzheimer disease and Alzheimer disease-related dementias (AD/ADRDs) are urgently needed. Lipid variability, or fluctuations in blood lipid levels at different points in time, has not been examined extensively and may contribute to the risk of AD/ADRD. Lipid panels are a part of routine screening in clinical practice and routinely available in electronic health records (EHR). Thus, in a large geographically defined population-based cohort, we investigated the variation of multiple lipid types and their association to the development of AD/ADRD.

METHODS

All residents living in Olmsted County, Minnesota on the index date January 1, 2006, aged 60 years or older without an AD/ADRD diagnosis were identified. Persons with ≥3 lipid measurements including total cholesterol, triglycerides, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C), or high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) in the 5 years before index date were included. Lipid variation was defined as any change in individual's lipid levels over time regardless of direction and was measured using variability independent of the mean (VIM). Associations between lipid variation quintiles and incident AD/ADRD were assessed using Cox proportional hazards regression. Participants were followed through 2018 for incident AD/ADRD.

RESULTS

The final analysis included 11,571 participants (mean age 71 years; 54% female). Median follow-up was 12.9 years with 2,473 incident AD/ADRD cases. After adjustment for confounding variables including sex, race, baseline lipid measurements, education, BMI, and lipid-lowering treatment, participants in the highest quintile of total cholesterol variability had a 19% increased risk of incident AD/ADRD, and those in highest quintile of triglycerides, variability had a 23% increased risk.

DISCUSSION

In a large EHR derived cohort, those in the highest quintile of variability for total cholesterol and triglyceride levels had an increased risk of incident AD/ADRD. Further studies to identify the mechanisms behind this association are needed.

Changes in amount and intensity of physical activity over time in breast cancer survivors

BACKGROUND

Physical activity is associated with decreased breast cancer recurrence and mortality, as well as fewer treatment-related symptoms. Nevertheless, most breast cancer survivors do not meet physical activity guidelines. The purpose of this manuscript is to characterize physical activity trends over time in breast cancer survivors.

METHODS

Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry participants received surveys at baseline and at 1 and 4 years after diagnosis; breast cancer recurrence and/or metastatic disease were exclusion criteria. Participants were considered to be meeting guidelines if they self-reported at least 150 minutes of moderate-intensity (eg, fast walking) and/or strenuous (eg, jogging) physical activity per week. Statistical analyses include analysis of covariance methods, paired t tests, conditional logistic regression models, and McNemar tests of homogeneity.

RESULTS

A total of 171 participants were included in the analysis. The amount of total physical activity decreased over time (P = .07). Mild-intensity physical activity (eg, easy walking) decreased most over time (P = .05). Among participants aged 18-49 years, mild-intensity (P = .05) and moderate-intensity (P = .02) physical activity decreased over time. Strenuous-intensity physical activity levels decreased over time among participants with a normal body mass index (P = .002) and with obesity (P = .01).

CONCLUSIONS

We found a trend-level decrease in total physical activity over time, driven mostly by a decrease in mild-intensity physical activity. Young breast cancer survivors are especially likely to reduce their physical activity over time. Further research on implementing physical activity guidelines in clinical practice is warranted.

ENIGMA CHEK2gether Project: A Comprehensive Study Identifies Functionally Impaired CHEK2 Germline Missense Variants Associated with Increased Breast Cancer Risk

PURPOSE

Germline pathogenic variants in CHEK2 confer moderately elevated breast cancer risk (odds ratio, OR ∼ 2.5), qualifying carriers for enhanced breast cancer screening. Besides pathogenic variants, dozens of missense CHEK2 variants of uncertain significance (VUS) have been identified, hampering the clinical utility of germline genetic testing (GGT).

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

We collected 460 CHEK2 missense VUS identified by the ENIGMA consortium in 15 countries. Their functional characterization was performed using CHEK2-complementation assays quantifying KAP1 phosphorylation and CHK2 autophosphorylation in human RPE1-CHEK2-knockout cells. Concordant results in both functional assays were used to categorize CHEK2 VUS from 12 ENIGMA case-control datasets, including 73,048 female patients with breast cancer and 88,658 ethnicity-matched controls.

RESULTS

A total of 430/460 VUS were successfully analyzed, of which 340 (79.1%) were concordant in both functional assays and categorized as functionally impaired (N = 102), functionally intermediate (N = 12), or functionally wild-type (WT)-like (N = 226). We then examined their association with breast cancer risk in the case-control analysis. The OR and 95% CI (confidence intervals) for carriers of functionally impaired, intermediate, and WT-like variants were 2.83 (95% CI, 2.35-3.41), 1.57 (95% CI, 1.41-1.75), and 1.19 (95% CI, 1.08-1.31), respectively. The meta-analysis of population-specific datasets showed similar results.

CONCLUSIONS

We determined the functional consequences for the majority of CHEK2 missense VUS found in patients with breast cancer (3,660/4,436; 82.5%). Carriers of functionally impaired missense variants accounted for 0.5% of patients with breast cancer and were associated with a moderate risk similar to that of truncating CHEK2 variants. In contrast, 2.2% of all patients with breast cancer carried functionally wild-type/intermediate missense variants with no clinically relevant breast cancer risk in heterozygous carriers.

A genome-wide gene-environment interaction study of breast cancer risk for women of European ancestry

BACKGROUND

Genome-wide studies of gene-environment interactions (G×E) may identify variants associated with disease risk in conjunction with lifestyle/environmental exposures. We conducted a genome-wide G×E analysis of ~ 7.6 million common variants and seven lifestyle/environmental risk factors for breast cancer risk overall and for estrogen receptor positive (ER +) breast cancer.

METHODS

Analyses were conducted using 72,285 breast cancer cases and 80,354 controls of European ancestry from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium. Gene-environment interactions were evaluated using standard unconditional logistic regression models and likelihood ratio tests for breast cancer risk overall and for ER + breast cancer. Bayesian False Discovery Probability was employed to assess the noteworthiness of each SNP-risk factor pairs.

RESULTS

Assuming a 1 × 10-5 prior probability of a true association for each SNP-risk factor pairs and a Bayesian False Discovery Probability < 15%, we identified two independent SNP-risk factor pairs: rs80018847(9p13)-LINGO2 and adult height in association with overall breast cancer risk (ORint = 0.94, 95% CI 0.92-0.96), and rs4770552(13q12)-SPATA13 and age at menarche for ER + breast cancer risk (ORint = 0.91, 95% CI 0.88-0.94).

CONCLUSIONS

Overall, the contribution of G×E interactions to the heritability of breast cancer is very small. At the population level, multiplicative G×E interactions do not make an important contribution to risk prediction in breast cancer.

Predictors of Metformin Failure: Repurposing Electronic Health Record Data to Identify High-Risk Patients

CONTEXT

Metformin is the first-line drug for treating diabetes but has a high failure rate.

OBJECTIVE

To identify demographic and clinical factors available in the electronic health record (EHR) that predict metformin failure.

METHODS

A cohort of patients with at least 1 abnormal diabetes screening test that initiated metformin was identified at 3 sites (Arizona, Mississippi, and Minnesota). We identified 22 047 metformin initiators (48% female, mean age of 57 ± 14 years) including 2141 African Americans, 440 Asians, 962 Other/Multiracial, 1539 Hispanics, and 16 764 non-Hispanic White people. We defined metformin failure as either the lack of a target glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) (<7%) within 18 months of index or the start of dual therapy. We used tree-based extreme gradient boosting (XGBoost) models to assess overall risk prediction performance and relative contribution of individual factors when using EHR data for risk of metformin failure.

RESULTS

In this large diverse population, we observed a high rate of metformin failure (43%). The XGBoost model that included baseline HbA1c, age, sex, and race/ethnicity corresponded to high discrimination performance (C-index of 0.731; 95% CI 0.722, 0.740) for risk of metformin failure. Baseline HbA1c corresponded to the largest feature performance with higher levels associated with metformin failure. The addition of other clinical factors improved model performance (0.745; 95% CI 0.737, 0.754, P < .0001).

CONCLUSION

Baseline HbA1c was the strongest predictor of metformin failure and additional factors substantially improved performance suggesting that routinely available clinical data could be used to identify patients at high risk of metformin failure who might benefit from closer monitoring and earlier treatment intensification.

Cohort study examining associations between ceramide levels and risk of multimorbidity among persons participating in the Mayo Clinic Biobank

OBJECTIVE

Ceramides have been associated with several ageing-related conditions but have not been studied as a general biomarker of multimorbidity (MM). Therefore, we determined whether ceramide levels are associated with the rapid development of MM.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING

Mayo Clinic Biobank.

PARTICIPANTS

1809 persons in the Mayo Clinic Biobank ≥65 years without MM at the time of enrolment, and with ceramide levels assayed from stored plasma.

PRIMARY OUTCOME MEASURE

Persons were followed for a median of 5.7 years through their medical records to identify new diagnoses of 20 chronic conditions. The number of new conditions was divided by the person-years of follow-up to calculate the rate of accumulation of new chronic conditions.

RESULTS

Higher levels of C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with a more rapid rate of accumulation of chronic conditions (C18:0 z score RR: 1.30, 95% CI: 1.10 to 1.53; C20:0 z score RR: 1.26, 95% CI: 1.07 to 1.49). Higher C18:0 and C20:0 levels were also associated with an increased risk of hypertension and coronary artery disease.

CONCLUSIONS

C18:0 and C20:0 were associated with an increased risk of cardiometabolic conditions. When combined with biomarkers specific to other diseases of ageing, these ceramides may be a useful component of a biomarker panel for predicting accelerated ageing.

Abstract 748: Accuracy of self reported chemotherapy usage in annual follow up surveys for a breast cancer registry

Introduction: The utilization of self reported chemotherapy treatment data is common in epidemiologic research but there is little understanding of its accuracy and limitations.

Methods: The Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry (MCBDR) has over 9,600 participants enrolled within one year of a first breast cancer diagnosis. Participants receive annual follow up surveys through the mail to capture data on breast cancer treatments and outcomes. We compared nurse abstracted medical record chemotherapy data to self reported chemotherapy data from women diagnosed with stage 0 to 3 breast cancer that completed five consecutive annual follow up surveys. Sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value (PPV), and negative predictive value (NPV) statistics were assessed for the report of broad chemotherapy receipt (yes, no, DK) within each yearly survey compared to the gold standard medical record data. To assess the accuracy of the self reported use of specific chemotherapy regimens, a sub cohort known as the “congruent sub cohort” was created for each survey year that included subjects that agreed with the nurse abstractors report of their broad chemotherapy usage. Sensitivity, specificity, PPV, NPV, and concordance statistics were calculated for the congruent sub cohorts followed by an assessment of the proportion of subjects providing correct responses for all chemotherapy regimens queried compared to those that had at least one discrepancy with the nurse abstracted data and the proportion of subjects with 0, 1, 2 and 3 or more discrepancies within each survey year.

Results: For the 430 survey respondents, the average age was 59.5 years (SD 11.7) with a range of 29 to 94. The mean time between diagnosis and the year 1 follow up survey was 13.5 months, with an average of 61.2 months between diagnosis and the year 5 survey. The respondents were 97% white, 100% female, and 53.5% had a bachelor’s degree or higher. The self-reported receipt of chemotherapy had substantial agreement across all 5 follow up surveys with the nurse abstracted treatment data from the medical record with kappa values ranging from 0.70 (0.63 to 0.76) to 0.64 (0.57 to 0.71). For subjects in the congruent sub cohort (N=125, 120, 122, 121, and 121 subjects across the 5 survey years, respectively), self reported use of specific chemotherapy regimens were reported with an average concordance of 90% across the 5 annual surveys, however only 23% had perfect agreement with nurse abstracted data. The average number of discrepant responses provided by subjects was 1.2, with at least 12% of subjects reporting 3 or more erroneous responses for the specific chemotherapy regimens each survey year.

Discussion: This study supports previous findings that self-reported chemotherapy usage may be utilized when resources are unavailable for medical record abstraction, but may have less utility when analyzing specific chemotherapy regimens.

Citation Format: Nicole L. Larson, Kathryn J. Ruddy, Feven Abraha, Denise M. Herman, Fergus J. Couch, Janet E. Olson. Accuracy of self reported chemotherapy usage in annual follow up surveys for a breast cancer registry [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2023; Part 1 (Regular and Invited Abstracts); 2023 Apr 14-19; Orlando, FL. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(7_Suppl):Abstract nr 748.

Contralateral Breast Cancer Risk Among Carriers of Germline Pathogenic Variants in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, and PALB2

PURPOSE

To estimate the risk of contralateral breast cancer (CBC) among women with germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, and PALB2.

METHODS

The study population included 15,104 prospectively followed women within the CARRIERS study treated with ipsilateral surgery for invasive breast cancer. The risk of CBC was estimated for PV carriers in each gene compared with women without PVs in a multivariate proportional hazard regression analysis accounting for the competing risk of death and adjusting for patient and tumor characteristics. The primary analyses focused on the overall cohort and on women from the general population. Secondary analyses examined associations by race/ethnicity, age at primary breast cancer diagnosis, menopausal status, and tumor estrogen receptor (ER) status.

RESULTS

Germline BRCA1, BRCA2, and CHEK2 PV carriers with breast cancer were at significantly elevated risk (hazard ratio > 1.9) of CBC, whereas only the PALB2 PV carriers with ER-negative breast cancer had elevated risks (hazard ratio, 2.9). By contrast, ATM PV carriers did not have significantly increased CBC risks. African American PV carriers had similarly elevated risks of CBC as non-Hispanic White PV carriers. Among premenopausal women, the 10-year cumulative incidence of CBC was estimated to be 33% for BRCA1, 27% for BRCA2, and 13% for CHEK2 PV carriers with breast cancer and 35% for PALB2 PV carriers with ER-negative breast cancer. The 10-year cumulative incidence of CBC among postmenopausal PV carriers was 12% for BRCA1, 9% for BRCA2, and 4% for CHEK2.

CONCLUSION

Women diagnosed with breast cancer and known to carry germline PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, or PALB2 are at substantially increased risk of CBC and may benefit from enhanced surveillance and risk reduction strategies.

Variability in Lipid Levels and Risk for Cardiovascular Disease: An Electronic Health Record-Based Population Cohort Study

Background Larger within-patient variability of lipid levels has been associated with increased risk of cardiovascular disease (CVD); however, measures of lipid variability require ≥3 measurements and are not currently used clinically. We investigated the feasibility of calculating lipid variability within a large electronic health record-based population cohort and assessed associations with incident CVD. Methods and Results We identified all individuals ≥40 years of age who resided in Olmsted County, MN, on January 1, 2006 (index date), without prior CVD, defined as myocardial infarction, coronary artery bypass graft surgery, percutaneous coronary intervention, or CVD death. Patients with ≥3 measurements of total cholesterol, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, or triglycerides during the 5 years before the index date were retained. Lipid variability was calculated using variability independent of the mean. Patients were followed through December 31, 2020 for incident CVD. We identified 19 652 individuals (mean age 61 years; 55% female), who were CVD-free and had variability independent of the mean calculated for at least 1 lipid type. After adjustment, those with highest total cholesterol variability had a 20% increased risk of CVD (Q5 versus Q1 hazard ratio, 1.20 [95% CI, 1.06-1.37]). Results were similar for low-density lipoprotein cholesterol and high-density lipoprotein cholesterol. Conclusions In a large electronic health record-based population cohort, high variability in total cholesterol, high-density lipoprotein cholesterol, and low-density lipoprotein cholesterol was associated with an increased risk of CVD, independent of traditional risk factors, suggesting it may be a possible risk marker and target for intervention. Lipid variability can be calculated in the electronic health record environment, but more research is needed to determine its clinical utility.

Breast Cancer Mode of Detection in a Population-Based Cohort

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate how breast cancers come to clinical attention (mode of detection [MOD]) in a population-based cohort, determine the relative frequency of different MODs, and characterize patient and tumor characteristics associated with MOD.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We used the Rochester Epidemiology Project to identify women ages 40 to 75 years with a first-time diagnosis of breast cancer from May 9, 2017, to May 9, 2019 (n=500) in a 9-county region in Minnesota. We conducted a retrospective medical record review to ascertain the relative frequency of MODs, evaluating differences between screening mammography vs all other MODs by breast density and cancer characteristics. Multiple logistic regression was conducted to examine the likelihood of MOD for breast density and stage of disease.

RESULTS

In our population-based cohort, 162 of 500 breast cancers (32.4%) were detected by MODs other than screening mammography, including 124 (24.8%) self-detected cancers. Compared with women with mammography-detected cancers, those with MODs other than screening mammography were more frequently younger than 50 years of age (P=.004) and had higher-grade tumors (P=.007), higher number of positive lymph nodes (P<.001), and larger tumor size (P<.001). Relative to women with mammography-detected cancers, those with MODs other than screening mammography were more likely to have dense breasts (odds ratio, 1.87; 95% CI, 1.20 to 2.92; P=.006) and advanced cancer at diagnosis (odds ratio, 3.58; 95% CI, 2.29 to 5.58; P<.001).

CONCLUSION

One-third of all breast cancers in this population were detected by MODs other than screening mammography. Increased likelihood of nonmammographic MODs was observed among women with dense breasts and advanced cancer.

Abstract A003: Risks of ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast associated with pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes

Introduction: The relationship between germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in cancer predisposition genes and ductal carcinoma in situ (DCIS) is not well established. The objective of this study is to determine the risks of DCIS and contralateral breast cancer among women with DCIS associated with germline PVs in cancer predisposition genes. Methods: Associations between pathogenic variants in 11 cancer predisposition genes (ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, BRIP1, CDH1, CHEK2, MSH6, PALB2, RAD51C, and RAD51D) and DCIS were determined in case control analyses of a population-based cohort of 3876 women with DCIS and age-matched unaffected women, and in a clinical cohort of 9887 DCIS cases undergoing clinical genetic testing at Ambry Genetics and unaffected reference controls. The incidence of contralateral breast cancer risk in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 PV carriers with DCIS was also evaluated in a time-to-event analysis. Results: The mean age at diagnosis of DCIS was 50 years in the clinical testing cohort and 59 years in the population-based cohort. The frequency of PVs in 11 predisposition genes among DCIS cases was 6.9% in the clinical testing cohort and 4.9% in the population-based cohort. PVs in ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2, MSH6, PALB2, and RAD51D were associated with significantly increased risks (Odds Ratio (OR) &gt;2) of DCIS in the clinical testing cohort whereas only PVs in BRCA1, CHEK2, PALB2, and ATM were associated with significantly increased risks of DCIS in the population-based cohort. The cumulative incidence of contralateral breast cancer among BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 PV carriers with DCIS was 11% in 5-years and 20% in 15-years. Conclusions: This study provides new insights into PVs that predispose to DCIS. In addition, it establishes an increased risk of contralateral breast cancer risk among women with DCIS who are carriers of PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, or PALB2. These findings will guide surveillance and risk reducing strategies in germline PV carriers with DCIS.

Citation Format: Huaizhi Huang, Ronan E. Couch, Holly LaDuca, Siddhartha Yadav, Eric C. Polley, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Jie Na, Rohan D. Gnanaolivu, David E. Goldgar, Tina Pesaran, Steven N. Hart, Jill S. Dolinsky, Julie R. Palmer, Lauren Teras, Alpa V. Patel, Kathryn J. Ruddy, Janet E. Olson, Celine M. Vachon, Peter Kraft, Song Yao, Amy Trentham-Dietz, Katherine L. Nathanson, Jeffrey N. Weitzel, Susan M. Domchek, Fergus J. Couch, Chunling Hu. Risks of ductal carcinoma in situ of the breast associated with pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference on Rethinking DCIS: An Opportunity for Prevention?; 2022 Sep 8-11; Philadelphia, PA. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Can Prev Res 2022;15(12 Suppl_1): Abstract nr A003.

Progression and survival of MBL: a screening study of 10 139 individuals

Monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) is a common hematological premalignant condition that is understudied in screening cohorts. MBL can be classified into low-count (LC) and high-count (HC) types based on the size of the B-cell clone. Using the Mayo Clinic Biobank, we screened for MBL and evaluated its association with future hematologic malignancy and overall survival (OS). We had a two-stage study design including discovery and validation cohorts. We screened for MBL using an eight-color flow-cytometry assay. Medical records were abstracted for hematological cancers and death. We used Cox regression to evaluate associations and estimate hazard ratios and 95% confidence intervals (CIs), adjusting for age and sex. We identified 1712 (17%) individuals with MBL (95% LC-MBL), and the median follow-up time for OS was 34.4 months with 621 individuals who died. We did not observe an association with OS among individuals with LC-MBL (P = .78) but did among HC-MBL (hazard ratio, 1.8; 95% CI, 1.1-3.1; P = .03). Among the discovery cohort with a median of 10.0 years follow-up, 31 individuals developed hematological cancers with two-thirds being lymphoid malignancies. MBL was associated with 3.6-fold risk of hematological cancer compared to controls (95% CI, 1.7-7.7; P < .001) and 7.7-fold increased risk for lymphoid malignancies (95% CI:3.1-19.2; P < .001). LC-MBL was associated with 4.3-fold risk of lymphoid malignancies (95% CI, 1.4-12.7; P = .009); HC-MBL had a 74-fold increased risk (95% CI, 22-246; P < .001). In this large screening cohort, we observed similar survival among individuals with and without LC-MBL, yet individuals with LC-MBL have a fourfold increased risk of lymphoid malignancies. Accumulating evidence indicates that there are clinical consequences to LC-MBL, a condition that affects 8 to 10 million adults in the United States.

Factors Associated With Physical Activity Levels in Patients With Breast Cancer

Physical activity (PA) is associated with improvement in breast cancer treatment-related symptoms and survival, yet most breast cancer survivors do not meet national PA guidelines. This study aimed to identify characteristics of participants that were associated with an increased likelihood of meeting PA guidelines. Adults with breast cancer seen at Mayo Clinic (Rochester, MN) were surveyed regarding their PA participation, and those who self-reported at least 150 minutes of moderate and/or strenuous aerobic PA weekly on average were considered to be "meeting guidelines". Three thousand participants returned PA data. Younger age, completion of the survey 7-12 years after diagnosis, absence of recurrence, no bilateral mastectomy, absence of metastatic disease, and lower BMI at the time of survey completion were associated with PA participation (P < .05 in univariate and multivariate analyses). Findings were similar when a threshold of 90 minutes was applied. These results may inform the development of targeted PA-facilitating interventions.

Association of raloxifene and tamoxifen therapy with cognitive performance, odds of mild cognitive impairment, and brain MRI markers of neurodegeneration

The aim of this cross-sectional study was to examine whether a history of selective estrogen receptor modifiers (SERMs), tamoxifen and raloxifene, use was associated with cognitive performance, odds of mild cognitive impairment (MCI), or magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) markers of neurodegeneration associated with Alzheimer's disease. We included women with prior history of breast cancer or no prior history of any cancer at enrollment in the Mayo Clinic Study of Aging (MCSA). This information was abstracted using the Rochester Epidemiology Project medical-linkage system. Logistic regression was used to examine associations of SERMs with odds of MCI. Linear regression models were used to examine associations of SERMs with cognitive z-scores (Memory, Executive Function, Language, Visuospatial Skills, Global Cognition), and MRI markers. Among 2840 women aged 50 and older in the MCSA, 151 had a history of breast cancer, and 42 (28%) of these had a history of tamoxifen treatment. A total of 2235 women had no prior history of any cancer, and 76 (3%) of these had a history of raloxifene use. No significant associations between tamoxifen use and cognition, or odds of MCI were observed among women with a history of breast cancer after adjusting for confounders. Similarly, raloxifene use was not significantly associated with cognition, or odds of MCI in women without a history of cancer after adjusting for confounders. We did not find significant associations between the use of either SERM and MRI markers. Use of tamoxifen or raloxifene was not significantly associated with cognition in postmenopausal women.

Surveillance mammography in older breast cancer survivors: Current practice patterns and patient perceptions

INTRODUCTION

Although the benefits of surveillance mammography for older breast cancer survivors have not been quantified prospectively, it is unlikely that mammography provides substantial benefit (and possible that mammography is harmful) to women with limited life expectancy and a low risk for in-breast cancer events.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We identified 1268 women aged 77 and older with a history of Stage I-III breast cancer, who did not undergo bilateral mastectomy, were diagnosed with cancer at least three years prior to study entry, and who had consented to be surveyed as part of the Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry. We mailed them a one-time survey asking about their experiences with surveillance mammography. Women with metastatic disease were excluded. The primary endpoint was whether or not women reported at least one mammogram since breast cancer surgery.

RESULTS

Eight hundred forty-six of 1268 (67%) returned the survey, 734 of whom were eligible for analysis. The median age at the time of survey was 82, and the median time since cancer diagnosis was 12 years. Ninety-three percent reported having had at least one mammogram since their initial breast cancer surgery. Seventy-nine percent reported that they had surveillance mammography annually over the prior three years, including 76% of the 491 aged 80+ and 64% of the 189 aged 85 + .

DISCUSSION

Most older breast cancer survivors who have residual breast tissue are undergoing annual mammograms. Additional educational materials may be beneficial for patients and clinicians to better individualize plans for surveillance mammography in older breast cancer survivors.

Abstract 1012: Financial hardship in breast cancer survivors

Background: Medical financial hardship, encompassing material, behavioral, and psychologic domains, is becoming an increasingly common consequence of illness in cancer patients. Identifying at-risk patients is the first step to develop proactive approaches to mitigate this problem. To try and address this need, Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry (MCBDR) is prospectively collecting data about financial concerns in addition to the usual sociodemographic and clinical information.

Methods: We used data from Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry, a prospective cohort of consenting patients seen at Mayo Clinic Rochester within one year of initial breast cancer diagnosis. Participants completed baseline and annual follow-up surveys rating their financial concerns on a linear analogue scale from 0 (“none”) to 10 (“constant concerns”). We compared patient-reported financial concern at baseline to that on each patient’s most recent survey, with worsening concerns defined as a 1+-point increase. Logistic regression evaluated for predictors of worsening financial concerns.

Results: 1,957 participants responded to financial concern questions on a baseline and at least one follow-up survey between 2015 and 2020. Mean age was 58.5 years (SD 12.5), and mean time between diagnosis and the most recent follow-up was 25.6 months (SD 16.2). 357 (18.2%) reported worsening financial concerns. Only lower baseline financial status was associated with a greater likelihood of worsening financial concerns (see Table). Conclusions: More than one in seven breast cancer survivors develop worsening financial concerns within 5-years of diagnosis, and those with less financial security at baseline appear to be most vulnerable.

Funding: Breast Cancer Research Foundation (CLL) and NR015259 (KJR).

Patient and tumor characteristics, compared by whether financial status worsened over time Full Cohort (n=1957) Worsening, ≥ 1-point change (n=357) Stable/Improved (n=1600) p value Full Cohort (n=1957) Worsening, ≥ 1-point change (n=357) Stable/Improved (n=1600) p value Age at diagnosis II or III 502 (25.7%) 98 (27.5%) 404 (25.3%) 0.239 ≤ 50 546 (27.9%) 105 (29.4%) 441 (27.6%) IV 67 (3.4%) 17 (4.8%) 50 (3.1%) 0.086 51-64 757 (38.7%) 136 (38.1%) 621 (38.8%) 0.562 Unknown 351 (17.9%) 65 (18.2%) 286 (17.9%) 0.536 ≥65 654 (33.4%) 116 (32.5%) 538 (33.6%) 0.506 ER and/or PR positive Race No/Unknown 482 (24.6%) 92 (25.8%) 390 (24.4%) White 1863 (95.2%) 337 (94.4%) 1526 (95.4%) Yes 1475 (75.4%) 265 (74.2%) 1210 (75.6%) 0.580 Non-white 24 (1.2%) 5 (1.4%) 19 (1.2%) 0.729 Her2 positive Other/Unknown/Choose not to respond 70 (3.6%) 15 (4.2%) 55 (3.4%) 0.478 No/Unknown 1746 (89.2%) 314 (88.0%) 1432 (89.5%) Educational status Yes 176 (9.0%) 37 (10.4%) 139 (8.7%) 0.321 Less than bachelor’s degree 880 (45.0%) 168 (47.1%) 712 (44.5%) Borderline 35 (1.8%) 6 (1.7%) 29 (1.8%) 0.898 Bachelor's degree or higher 1065 (54.4%) 187 (52.4%) 878 (54.9%) 0.384 Radiation Unknown 12 (0.6%) 2 (0.6%) 10 (0.6%) 0.832 No/Unknown 781 (39.9%) 140 (39.2%) 641 (40.1%) Financial status near time of diagnosis Yes 1176 (60.1%) 217 (60.8%) 959 (59.9%) 0.768 Pay bills, money for special things 1412 (72.2%) 244 (68.3%) 1168 (73.0%) Chemotherapy/targeted therapy Pay bills, no money for special things 367 (18.8%) 80 (22.4%) 287 (17.9%) 0.046 No/Unknown 1264 (64.6%) 221 (61.9%) 1043 (65.2%) Pay bills by making cuts 102 (5.2%) 19 (5.3%) 83 (5.2%) 0.729 Yes 693 (35.4%) 136 (38.1%) 557 (34.8%) 0.241 Unable to pay bills 56 (2.9%) 10 (2.8%) 46 (2.9%) 0.911 Hormone/endocrine therapy Unknown 20 (1.0%) 4 (1.1%) 16 (1.0%) 0.750 No/Unknown 710 (36.3%) 141 (39.5%) 569 (35.6%) Employment status at time of diagnosis Yes 1247 (63.7%) 216 (60.5%) 1031 (64.4%) 0.163 Employed full-time 462 (23.6%) 83 (23.2%) 379 (23.7%) Surgery type Employed part-time/unemployed/retired 525 (26.8%) 92 (25.8%) 433 (27.1%) 0.856 Lumpectomy 846 (43.2%) 145 (40.6%) 701 (43.8%) Not available 970 (49.6%) 182 (51.0%) 788 (49.3%) 0.716 Mastectomy 903 (46.1%) 165 (46.2%) 738 (46.1%) 0.535 Stage at time of diagnosis None/Unknown 208 (10.6%) 47 (13.2%) 161 (10.1%) 0.069 0 or I 1037 (53.0%) 177 (49.6%) 860 (53.8%)

Citation Format: Michael H. Storandt, Urshila Durani, Daniela Stan, Nicole Larson, Charles Loprinzi, Fergus Couch, Janet E. Olson, Nandita Khera, Kathryn J. Ruddy. Financial hardship in breast cancer survivors [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 1012.

Abstract 5868: Factors associated with exercise participation in patients with breast cancer

BACKGROUND: The American Cancer Society recommends at least 150 minutes of moderate and/or strenuous exercise and muscle-strengthening activities each week for adults. Exercise has been associated with decreased breast cancer mortality and adverse symptoms. This study’s purpose is to understand prevalence and predictors of inadequate aerobic exercise in patients recently diagnosed with breast cancer to inform interventions to increase exercise participation.

METHODS: Patients seen at least once at Mayo Clinic Rochester were prospectively enrolled within one year of an initial breast cancer diagnosis in the Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry after providing informed consent. This analysis includes those who completed a baseline survey with self-reported exercise data using the Godin Leisure-Time Exercise Questionnaire. This longitudinal cohort study was approved by the Mayo Clinic institutional review board.

RESULTS: 1,738 participants reported their usual weekly quantity of moderate and strenuous exercise an average of 95 days (SD 71 days, range 0-365) after diagnosis. Table 1 displays participant characteristics overall and by whether participants reported at least 150 minutes of moderate and/or strenuous activity weekly (“met guidelines”) or not (“did not meet guidelines”). Overall, 39% of participants met guidelines, including 56% of those aged 18-39 years, 40% of those aged 40-69 years, and 27% of those aged 70+ years.

CONCLUSION: Older age was associated with less likelihood of meeting exercise guidelines (all age groups vs 70+, p &lt; 0.05). A more diverse cohort will be needed to evaluate differences by gender and race/ethnicity. There did not appear to be any obvious impact on exercise level by time since diagnosis (during the first year after diagnosis) or educational status, though substantial missing data limit conclusions related to the latter. Additional research is needed to assess exercise levels later in survivorship and the impact of various treatment modalities on exercise habits

Table 1. Patient and tumor characteristics

Citation Format: Paulina S. Marell, Janet E. Olson, Joerg Herrmann, Nicole L. Larson, Nathan K. LeBrasseur, Stacy D. D'Andre, Andrea L. Cheville, Toure Barksdale, Charles L. Loprinzi, Fergus J. Couch, Kathryn J. Ruddy. Factors associated with exercise participation in patients with breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5868.

Abstract 5256: Incidence of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) in a large screening cohort of monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL)

MBL is a common pre-malignant condition characterized by circulating clonal B-cells with an absolute B-cell count &lt;5x109/L and no lymphadenopathy, organomegaly, or cytopenias. MBL is the precursor to CLL. The incidence of cutaneous SCC in CLL is significantly higher compared to controls. The incidence of SCC in MBLs has not yet been determined. Study participants from the Mayo Clinic Biobank who had no prior history of hematologic malignancy, were 40 years or older, and were Olmsted County residents completed a health questionnaire and provided blood samples between 7/2009 and 12/2020. Stored peripheral blood mononuclear cells were screened for MBL using flow cytometry. We defined three MBL immunophenotypes: CLL-like MBL (CD5+, CD20dim), atypical MBL (CD5+, CD20+), and non-CLL-like MBL (CD5-, CD20+). MBL individuals were also classified by cell count into low-count MBL (LC-MBL) and high-count MBL (HC-MBL), with HC-MBL having a percent clonal B-cell count ≥85%. Data on newly diagnosed SCC was abstracted from the medical records, and prior history of skin cancer before sample collection was ascertained from patient questionnaires. Individuals were followed from sample date to the earliest of SCC, death, loss to follow-up, progression, or 12/31/2020. Cumulative SCC incidence was adjusted for competing risk of death. Cox regression was used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) adjusted for age and sex. A total of 5,470 participants were screened for MBL and included 949 (17%) with LC-MBL, 63 (1%) with HC-MBL, and 4,458 (81%) controls (negative for MBL). Individuals with HC-MBL (median age 75 years) or LC-MBL (median age 73 years) were significantly older (P&lt;0.001) than controls (median age 66 years). There were 41 (65%) males among HC-MBL, 447 (47%) among LC-MBL, and 1,551 (35%) among controls. Prior skin cancer history was highest among HC-MBLs (N=17, 27%) or LC-MBLs (N=236, 25%) compared to controls (N=767, 17%). After a median follow-up of 18 months (range 0-138), 154 of the 5,470 individuals were identified to have incident SCC following MBL screening. At least one SCC was observed in 3 individuals with HC-MBL, 33 individuals with LC-MBL, and 118 controls. The 5- and 10-year cumulative incidence of SCC in individuals with MBLs was 7% and 16%, respectively; control estimates were 4% and 8%, respectively. However, after adjusting for age and sex, we observed no evidence of an association between MBL and risk of incident SCC (HR=0.95, CI=0.65-1.40, P=0.80), nor when we stratified individuals by age or by sex (all P&gt;0.05). In the largest MBL screening cohort to date, individuals with MBL do not have an increased risk of incident SCC compared to controls. In contrast to individuals with CLL, these individuals with screening MBL do not need increased dermatologic examination for skin cancer, which is important given the high prevalence of MBL (18% of the population above age 40).

Citation Format: Ahmed Nadeem Ansari, Sara J. Achenbach, Sameer A. Parikh, Geffen Kleinstern, Aaron D. Norman, Kari G. Rabe, Connie E. Lesnick, Timothy G. Call, Janet E. Olson, James R. Cerhan, Neil E. Kay, Celine M. Vachon, Esteban Braggio, Curtis A. Hanson, Tait D. Shanafelt, Christian L. Baum, Susan L. Slager. Incidence of squamous cell carcinoma (SCC) in a large screening cohort of monoclonal B-cell lymphocytosis (MBL) [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the American Association for Cancer Research Annual Meeting 2022; 2022 Apr 8-13. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(12_Suppl):Abstract nr 5256.

Implementation of preemptive DNA sequence-based pharmacogenomics testing across a large academic medical center: The Mayo-Baylor RIGHT 10K Study

PURPOSE

The Mayo-Baylor RIGHT 10K Study enabled preemptive, sequence-based pharmacogenomics (PGx)-driven drug prescribing practices in routine clinical care within a large cohort. We also generated the tools and resources necessary for clinical PGx implementation and identified challenges that need to be overcome. Furthermore, we measured the frequency of both common genetic variation for which clinical guidelines already exist and rare variation that could be detected by DNA sequencing, rather than genotyping.

METHODS

Targeted oligonucleotide-capture sequencing of 77 pharmacogenes was performed using DNA from 10,077 consented Mayo Clinic Biobank volunteers. The resulting predicted drug response-related phenotypes for 13 genes, including CYP2D6 and HLA, affecting 21 drug-gene pairs, were deposited preemptively in the Mayo electronic health record.

RESULTS

For the 13 pharmacogenes of interest, the genomes of 79% of participants carried clinically actionable variants in 3 or more genes, and DNA sequencing identified an average of 3.3 additional conservatively predicted deleterious variants that would not have been evident using genotyping.

CONCLUSION

Implementation of preemptive rather than reactive and sequence-based rather than genotype-based PGx prescribing revealed nearly universal patient applicability and required integrated institution-wide resources to fully realize individualized drug therapy and to show more efficient use of health care resources.

Genome-wide interaction analysis of menopausal hormone therapy use and breast cancer risk among 62,370 women

Use of menopausal hormone therapy (MHT) is associated with increased risk for breast cancer. However, the relevant mechanisms and its interaction with genetic variants are not fully understood. We conducted a genome-wide interaction analysis between MHT use and genetic variants for breast cancer risk in 27,585 cases and 34,785 controls from 26 observational studies. All women were post-menopausal and of European ancestry. Multivariable logistic regression models were used to test for multiplicative interactions between genetic variants and current MHT use. We considered interaction p-values < 5 × 10-8 as genome-wide significant, and p-values < 1 × 10-5 as suggestive. Linkage disequilibrium (LD)-based clumping was performed to identify independent candidate variants. None of the 9.7 million genetic variants tested for interactions with MHT use reached genome-wide significance. Only 213 variants, representing 18 independent loci, had p-values < 1 × 105. The strongest evidence was found for rs4674019 (p-value = 2.27 × 10-7), which showed genome-wide significant interaction (p-value = 3.8 × 10-8) with current MHT use when analysis was restricted to population-based studies only. Limiting the analyses to combined estrogen-progesterone MHT use only or to estrogen receptor (ER) positive cases did not identify any genome-wide significant evidence of interactions. In this large genome-wide SNP-MHT interaction study of breast cancer, we found no strong support for common genetic variants modifying the effect of MHT on breast cancer risk. These results suggest that common genetic variation has limited impact on the observed MHT-breast cancer risk association.

A hybrid model to identify fall occurrence from electronic health records

INTRODUCTION

Falls are a leading cause of unintentional injury in the elderly. Electronic health records (EHRs) offer the unique opportunity to develop models that can identify fall events. However, identifying fall events in clinical notes requires advanced natural language processing (NLP) to simultaneously address multiple issues because the word "fall" is a typical homonym.

METHODS

We implemented a context-aware language model, Bidirectional Encoder Representations from Transformers (BERT) to identify falls from the EHR text and further fused the BERT model into a hybrid architecture coupled with post-hoc heuristic rules to enhance the performance. The models were evaluated on real world EHR data and were compared to conventional rule-based and deep learning models (CNN and Bi-LSTM). To better understand the ability of each approach to identify falls, we further categorize fall-related concepts (i.e., risk of fall, prevention of fall, homonym) and performed a detailed error analysis.

RESULTS

The hybrid model achieved the highest f1-score on sentence (0.971), document (0.985), and patient (0.954) level. At the sentence level (basic data unit in the model), the hybrid model had 0.954, 1.000, 0.988, and 0.999 in sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, and negative predictive value, respectively. The error analysis showed that that machine learning-based approaches demonstrated higher performance than a rule-based approach in challenging cases that required contextual understanding. The context-aware language model (BERT) slightly outperformed the word embedding approach trained on Bi-LSTM. No single model yielded the best performance for all fall-related semantic categories.

CONCLUSION

A context-aware language model (BERT) was able to identify challenging fall events that requires context understanding in EHR free text. The hybrid model combined with post-hoc rules allowed a custom fix on the BERT outcomes and further improved the performance of fall detection.

Ascertainment of Delirium Status Using Natural Language Processing From Electronic Health Records

BACKGROUND

Delirium is underdiagnosed in clinical practice and is not routinely coded for billing. Manual chart review can be used to identify the occurrence of delirium; however, it is labor-intensive and impractical for large-scale studies. Natural language processing (NLP) has the capability to process raw text in electronic health records (EHRs) and determine the meaning of the information. We developed and validated NLP algorithms to automatically identify the occurrence of delirium from EHRs.

METHODS

This study used a randomly selected cohort from the population-based Mayo Clinic Biobank (N = 300, age ≥65). We adopted the standardized evidence-based framework confusion assessment method (CAM) to develop and evaluate NLP algorithms to identify the occurrence of delirium using clinical notes in EHRs. Two NLP algorithms were developed based on CAM criteria: one based on the original CAM (NLP-CAM; delirium vs no delirium) and another based on our modified CAM (NLP-mCAM; definite, possible, and no delirium). The sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy were used for concordance in delirium status between NLP algorithms and manual chart review as the gold standard. The prevalence of delirium cases was examined using International Classification of Diseases, 9th Revision (ICD-9), NLP-CAM, and NLP-mCAM.

RESULTS

NLP-CAM demonstrated a sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.919, 1.000, and 0.967, respectively. NLP-mCAM demonstrated sensitivity, specificity, and accuracy of 0.827, 0.913, and 0.827, respectively. The prevalence analysis of delirium showed that the NLP-CAM algorithm identified 12 651 (9.4%) delirium patients, the NLP-mCAM algorithm identified 20 611 (15.3%) definite delirium cases, and 10 762 (8.0%) possible cases.

CONCLUSIONS

NLP algorithms based on the standardized evidence-based CAM framework demonstrated high performance in delineating delirium status in an expeditious and cost-effective manner.

Abstract P4-10-17: Alopecia among breast cancer survivors

Funding Source: Institutional funds at Mayo Clinic. Background: While alopecia is a common and distressing acute side effect of chemotherapy, chronic hair thinning is also reported by some survivors during endocrine therapy. The purpose of the current study was to evaluate real world experiences of late/long-term alopecia among breast cancer survivors. Methods: Breast cancer survivors participating in the ongoing prospective Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry (MCBDR) were mailed a survey six years after diagnosis, between June and November 2020. Respondents were asked to report how bothered they are by hair thinning and hair loss over the last year on a scale from 0 “not at all” to 4 “extremely”. They were also asked whether they used any hair thickening or regrowth products. Results: 552/899 survivors responded (response rate 61%); 403 survivors’ responses were available for analysis. Respondents’ median age was 66 years, and median time since diagnosis was 78 months. Seventy patients (17%) were diagnosed with stage 0 breast cancer, 195 (48%) were diagnosed with stage 1 cancer, 104 (26%) with stage 2, 25 (6%) with stage 3; 6 (1%) had been diagnosed with metastatic or recurrent disease at the time of this survey. 139 (34%) patients had received chemotherapy. Of the patients who received chemotherapy, 82 (59%) had received doxorubicin and cyclophosphamide, 41 (29%) received docetaxel and cyclophosphamide, 77 (55%) received paclitaxel, and 27 (19%) received carboplatin. 258 (64%) received endocrine therapy. Of these patients who received endocrine therapy, 131 (51%) received Tamoxifen and 186 (72%) received aromatase inhibitors. 309 survivors (77%) were 55 years or older. 189 (47%) of all patients reported that they were bothered by chronic hair loss, and 225 (56%) reported that they were bothered by hair thinning; 71 (18%) reported use of thickening/regrowth products. There did not appear to be differences in chronic hair loss or thinning by receipt of chemotherapy: 64 patients (46%) who received chemotherapy reported hair loss and 79 (56%) reported hair thinning, compared with 123 patients (46%) who did not receive chemotherapy and reported hair loss and 142 (54%) who reported hair thinning. Hair thinning or loss did not appear to differ based upon age (Table 1). Symptoms did not appear to be more common amongst current or previous endocrine therapy recipients, with 113 (44%) of that subset bothered by hair loss and 128 (50%) by hair thinning. Conclusion: Hair loss and thinning are frequently reported as bothersome symptoms by long-term breast cancer survivors. Future investigations into treatments for chronic hair thinning during and after cancer therapy are needed.

Table 1.&lt; 5555+Bothered by hair loss (n)%Bothered by hair thinning (n)%Bothered by hair loss (n)%Bothered by hair thinning (n)%Not at all5761%4649%15751%13142%Slightly1920%2426%8728%9731%Moderately77%910%3110%4113%BOTHERED BY HAIR LOSS (N)%BOTHERED BY HAIR THINNING (N)%BOTHERED BY HAIR LOSS (N)%BOTHERED BY HAIR THINNING (N)%Quite a bit77%1112%227%268%Extremely44%33%93%103%Missing00%11%31%41%

Citation Format: Elizabeth Cathcart-Rake, Charles L Loprinzi, Janet E Olson, Fergus Couch, Brittany Dulmage, Maryam Lustberg, Nicole Larson, Kathryn J Ruddy. Alopecia among breast cancer survivors [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-10-17.

Abstract P4-11-02: Prevalence and impact of fertility concerns in young women with breast cancer

Introduction: Breast cancer treatments can impair fertility via direct gonadotoxicity (chemotherapy) as well as by introducing delays in childbearing that allow natural ovarian aging. Guidelines strongly recommend fertility counseling and consideration of fertility preservation techniques for premenopausal women who have not completed their desired childbearing at the time of cancer diagnosis. Prior studies have identified high rates of fertility concern but relatively low rates of fertility counseling and use of fertility preservation techniques. We sought to investigate rates of fertility counseling, use of fertility preservation techniques, and how fertility concerns impact cancer treatment decisions in a modern cohort of patients with breast cancer at a large academic medical center in the United States. Methods: All patients seen at Mayo Clinic Rochester with a new diagnosis (within the year prior) of stage 0-4 breast cancer were invited (by mail or in person) to participate in the Mayo Clinic Breast Registry. After informed consent, participants were asked to complete a baseline survey and annual follow-up surveys. On baseline and one-year surveys, patients were queried about desire for future children and fertility concerns. Nurse chart abstraction was used to collect information about tumor subtype, stage, and treatments received. We examined survey data from women diagnosed under the age of 50 who expressed an interest in having future biological children on either the baseline or year 1 survey between February 2015 and October 2020. Descriptive statistics were used to summarize the degree of fertility concern in this population, the impact of that concern on cancer treatment decisions, and steps taken to preserve fertility. Results: Between February 2015 and October 2020, 865 women under age 50 at diagnosis consented to the registry. Of these women, 627 completed a baseline and/or 1-year survey and 100 answered either “yes” or “unsure” to the question: “At the present time, do you wish to have any more biological children in the future?” on one or both surveys. Among the 100 women expressing interest in future child-bearing, 92% were white, 27% had node-positive and one had distant metastatic disease at diagnosis. The age at diagnosis ranged from 19 to 49 years, with a mean age of 33.8 years. Of the 75 who reported a desire for future children at baseline, 28% felt “somewhat concerned” about their future fertility and 40% felt “very concerned.” Of the 70 who reported a desire for future children on the year 1 survey, 17% felt “somewhat concerned” and 59% felt “very concerned.” For those “very concerned” about future fertility at year 1, 65% reported that this concern had a major impact on their treatment decisions. Often, that treatment modification entailed using endocrine therapy for less than 5 years; 52% of those who specified the type of treatment modification they had made indicated this option. Of note, six women who reported no desire for future biological children at baseline were “unsure” at year 1. At year 1, 93% of women recalled a discussion about fertility with their doctor prior to starting treatment, and 49% had taken steps to preserve fertility (32.5% with embryo cryopreservation, 20% with oocyte cryopreservation and 65% with a GnRH agonist; some selected multiple options). Conclusion: We found a reassuringly high rate of patient-reported fertility counseling and use of reproductive endocrinology technologies to preserve fertility in women who reported a desire for additional children at or soon after diagnosis with breast cancer. Consistent with prior studies, fertility concerns frequently impacted breast cancer treatment decisions. It is important to err on the side of inclusivity when providing fertility counseling because desire for fertility can change over time.

Citation Format: Samantha Mannion, Alexandra Higgins, Elizabeth A Stewart, Zaraq Khan, Chandra Shenoy, Nicole Larson, Hazel B Nichols, H Irene Su, Ann H Partridge, Fergus J Couch, Janet E Olson, Kathryn Ruddy. Prevalence and impact of fertility concerns in young women with breast cancer [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P4-11-02.

Abstract P2-09-01: Population-based risk estimates of clinical subtypes of breast cancer among carriers of germline pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes

Introduction: The risk of specific clinical subtype of breast cancer (defined by ER and HER2 status) among women in the general population who are carriers of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in cancer predisposition genes is not well-defined. Methods: A total of 13,153 women with breast cancer (ER+/HER2-: 9381; ER+/HER2+: 1462; ER-/HER2+: 690; and ER-/HER2-: 1620) and 25,005 unaffected women (controls) from nine studies within the CAnceR RIsk Estimates Related to Susceptibility (CARRIERS) consortium that were not enriched for family history or early onset disease were included in the present analysis. A multiplex amplicon-based panel was used to perform germline sequencing for cancer predisposition genes. Case-control associations for each of the four clinical subtype of breast cancer was performed for PVs in 5 common breast cancer predisposition genes (ATM, BRCA1, BRCA2, CHEK2 and PALB2) utilizing a logistic regression model adjusting for study, age at diagnosis, race/ethnicity and family history of breast cancer. Results: The frequency of PVs in 5 genes was 3.8% for ER+/HER2-, 6.2% for ER+/HER2+, 4.2% for ER-/HER2+ and 9.3% for ER-/HER2- subtypes. PVs in BRCA1 and BRCA2 were associated with high risk (Odds Ratio (OR) &gt;4) for all clinical subtypes of breast cancer, but the risk was highest (OR&gt;8) for ER-/HER2- breast cancer. PVs in PALB2 were associated with high risk (OR&gt;4) of ER-/HER2- and ER+/HER2+ subtypes and moderate risk (OR: 2-4) of ER+/HER2- breast cancer. Irrespective of the HER2 status, PVs in ATM were associated with a moderately increased risk (OR: 2-4) of ER+ breast cancer but the risk of ER- breast cancer was not elevated. In contrast, PVs in CHEK2 were associated with high risk (OR&gt;4) of ER+/HER2+ breast cancer and moderate risk (OR: 2-4) of ER+/HER2- and ER-/HER2+ breast cancer, but the risk of ER-/HER2- breast cancer was not elevated. Conclusions: This study provides population-based estimates of risk of specific clinical subtypes of breast cancer which will be useful for genetic counseling and targeting appropriate screening strategies in PV carriers based on subtype specific risks of breast cancer.

Citation Format: Siddhartha Yadav, Chunling Hu, Nicholas J. Boddicker, Eric Polley, Steven Hart, Rohan Gnanaolivu, Jie Na, Hongyan Huang, Song Yao, Celine M. Vachon, Lauren Teras, Jack A. Taylor, Dale P. Sandler, Julie R. Palmer, Janet E. Olson, Susan Neuhausen, Elena Martinez, Sara Lindstroem, Loic Le Marchand, Charles Kooperberg, Christopher Haiman, Mia M. Gaudet, James V. Lacey, Kimberly A. Bertrand, Leslie Bernstein, Paul W. Auer, Christine Ambrosone, Jeffrey N. Weitzel, Peter Kraft, David E. Goldgar, Katherine L. Nathanson, Susan M. Domchek, Fergus J. Couch, CARRIERS Consortium. Population-based risk estimates of clinical subtypes of breast cancer among carriers of germline pathogenic variants in cancer predisposition genes [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the 2021 San Antonio Breast Cancer Symposium; 2021 Dec 7-10; San Antonio, TX. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2022;82(4 Suppl):Abstract nr P2-09-01.

Rare germline copy number variants (CNVs) and breast cancer risk

Germline copy number variants (CNVs) are pervasive in the human genome but potential disease associations with rare CNVs have not been comprehensively assessed in large datasets. We analysed rare CNVs in genes and non-coding regions for 86,788 breast cancer cases and 76,122 controls of European ancestry with genome-wide array data. Gene burden tests detected the strongest association for deletions in BRCA1 (P = 3.7E-18). Nine other genes were associated with a p-value < 0.01 including known susceptibility genes CHEK2 (P = 0.0008), ATM (P = 0.002) and BRCA2 (P = 0.008). Outside the known genes we detected associations with p-values < 0.001 for either overall or subtype-specific breast cancer at nine deletion regions and four duplication regions. Three of the deletion regions were in established common susceptibility loci. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first genome-wide analysis of rare CNVs in a large breast cancer case-control dataset. We detected associations with exonic deletions in established breast cancer susceptibility genes. We also detected suggestive associations with non-coding CNVs in known and novel loci with large effects sizes. Larger sample sizes will be required to reach robust levels of statistical significance.

Germline Pathogenic Variants in Cancer Predisposition Genes Among Women With Invasive Lobular Carcinoma of the Breast

PURPOSE

To determine the contribution of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in hereditary cancer testing panel genes to invasive lobular carcinoma (ILC) of the breast.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

The study included 2,999 women with ILC from a population-based cohort and 3,796 women with ILC undergoing clinical multigene panel testing (clinical cohort). Frequencies of germline PVs in breast cancer predisposition genes (ATM, BARD1, BRCA1, BRCA2, BRIP1, CDH1, CHEK2, PALB2, PTEN, RAD51C, RAD51D, and TP53) were compared between women with ILC and unaffected female controls and between women with ILC and infiltrating ductal carcinoma (IDC).

RESULTS

The frequency of PVs in breast cancer predisposition genes among women with ILC was 6.5% in the clinical cohort and 5.2% in the population-based cohort. In case-control analysis, CDH1 and BRCA2 PVs were associated with high risks of ILC (odds ratio [OR] > 4) and CHEK2, ATM, and PALB2 PVs were associated with moderate (OR = 2-4) risks. BRCA1 PVs and CHEK2 p.Ile157Thr were not associated with clinically relevant risks (OR < 2) of ILC. Compared with IDC, CDH1 PVs were > 10-fold enriched, whereas PVs in BRCA1 were substantially reduced in ILC.

CONCLUSION

The study establishes that PVs in ATM, BRCA2, CDH1, CHEK2, and PALB2 are associated with an increased risk of ILC, whereas BRCA1 PVs are not. The similar overall PV frequencies for ILC and IDC suggest that cancer histology should not influence the decision to proceed with genetic testing. Similar to IDC, multigene panel testing may be appropriate for women with ILC, but CDH1 should be specifically discussed because of low prevalence and gastric cancer risk.

QT prolongation in patients with index evaluation for seizure or epilepsy is predictive of all-cause mortality

BACKGROUND

Refractory epilepsy confers a considerable lifetime risk of sudden unexplained death in epilepsy (SUDEP). Mechanisms may overlap with sudden cardiac death (SCD), particularly regarding QTc prolongation. Guidelines in the United States do not mandate the use of electrocardiography (ECG) in diagnostic evaluation of seizures or epilepsy.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to determine the frequency of ECG use and of QT prolongation, and whether QT prolongation predicts mortality in patients with seizures.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study including all patients seen at Mayo Clinic in Rochester, Minnesota, from January 1, 2000, to July 31, 2015, with index evaluation for seizure or epilepsy. Patients with an ECG were categorized by the presence of a prolonged QT interval with a primary endpoint of all-cause mortality after the 15-year observation period.

RESULTS

Optimal cutoff QT intervals most predictive of mortality were identified. Median age was 40.0 years. An ECG was obtained in 18,222 patients (57.4%). After patients with confounding ECG findings were excluded, primary prolonged QT intervals were seen in 223 cases (1.4%), similar to the general population. Kaplan-Meier analysis demonstrated a significant increase in mortality (Cox hazard ratio [HR] 1.90; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.76-2.05) for prolonged optimal cutoff QT, maintained after adjustments for age, Charlson comorbidity index, and sex (HR 1.48; 95% CI 1.37-1.59).

CONCLUSION

Use of ECG in diagnostic workup of patients with seizures is poor. A prolonged optimal cutoff QTc interval predicts all-cause mortality in patients evaluated for seizure and those diagnosed with epilepsy. We advocate the routine use of a 12-lead ECG at index evaluation in patients with seizure or epilepsy.

Risk of Late-Onset Breast Cancer in Genetically Predisposed Women

PURPOSE

The prevalence of germline pathogenic variants (PVs) in established breast cancer predisposition genes in women in the general population over age 65 years is not well-defined. However, testing guidelines suggest that women diagnosed with breast cancer over age 65 years might have < 2.5% likelihood of a PV in a high-penetrance gene. This study aimed to establish the frequency of PVs and remaining risks of breast cancer for each gene in women over age 65 years.

METHODS

A total of 26,707 women over age 65 years from population-based studies (51.5% with breast cancer and 48.5% unaffected) were tested for PVs in germline predisposition gene. Frequencies of PVs and associations between PVs in each gene and breast cancer were assessed, and remaining lifetime breast cancer risks were estimated for non-Hispanic White women with PVs.

RESULTS

The frequency of PVs in predisposition genes was 3.18% for women with breast cancer and 1.48% for unaffected women over age 65 years. PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 were found in 3.42% of women diagnosed with estrogen receptor (ER)-negative, 1.0% with ER-positive, and 3.01% with triple-negative breast cancer. Frequencies of PVs were lower among women with no first-degree relatives with breast cancer. PVs in CHEK2, PALB2, BRCA2, and BRCA1 were associated with increased risks (odds ratio = 2.9-4.0) of breast cancer. Remaining lifetime risks of breast cancer were ≥ 15% for those with PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2.

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that all women diagnosed with triple-negative breast cancer or ER-negative breast cancer should receive genetic testing and that women over age 65 years with BRCA1 and BRCA2 PVs and perhaps with PALB2 and CHEK2 PVs should be considered for magnetic resonance imaging screening.

Risk of Breast Cancer Among Carriers of Pathogenic Variants in Breast Cancer Predisposition Genes Varies by Polygenic Risk Score

PURPOSE

This study assessed the joint association of pathogenic variants (PVs) in breast cancer (BC) predisposition genes and polygenic risk scores (PRS) with BC in the general population.

METHODS

A total of 26,798 non-Hispanic white BC cases and 26,127 controls from predominately population-based studies in the Cancer Risk Estimates Related to Susceptibility consortium were evaluated for PVs in BRCA1, BRCA2, ATM, CHEK2, PALB2, BARD1, BRIP1, CDH1, and NF1. PRS based on 105 common variants were created using effect estimates from BC genome-wide association studies; the performance of an overall BC PRS and estrogen receptor-specific PRS were evaluated. The odds of BC based on the PVs and PRS were estimated using penalized logistic regression. The results were combined with age-specific incidence rates to estimate 5-year and lifetime absolute risks of BC across percentiles of PRS by PV status and first-degree family history of BC.

RESULTS

The estimated lifetime risks of BC among general-population noncarriers, based on 10th and 90th percentiles of PRS, were 9.1%-23.9% and 6.7%-18.2% for women with or without first-degree relatives with BC, respectively. Taking PRS into account, more than 95% of BRCA1, BRCA2, and PALB2 carriers had > 20% lifetime risks of BC, whereas, respectively, 52.5% and 69.7% of ATM and CHEK2 carriers without first-degree relatives with BC, and 78.8% and 89.9% of those with a first-degree relative with BC had > 20% risk.

CONCLUSION

PRS facilitates personalization of BC risk among carriers of PVs in predisposition genes. Incorporating PRS into BC risk estimation may help identify > 30% of CHEK2 and nearly half of ATM carriers below the 20% lifetime risk threshold, suggesting the addition of PRS may prevent overscreening and enable more personalized risk management approaches.

N-Terminal Pro Brain Natriuretic Peptide, sST2, and Galectin-3 Levels in Breast Cancer Survivors

NT-proBNP, soluble ST2 (sST2), and galectin-3 are biomarkers of cardiac dysfunction that have been proposed as identifiers of patients experiencing asymptomatic cardiac dysfunction after anthracycline-based chemotherapy. This study aimed to compare the proportion of breast cancer (BC) survivors with elevated serum levels of these three putative biomarkers by prior receipt of anthracycline (yes vs. no). Five-hundred-eighty survivors of BC who had received anthracycline-based chemotherapy were matched by age and time between diagnosis and serum storage to 580 who had not. Cardiac biomarker levels were analyzed using immunoassays. Analyses were carried out using linear and logistic regression models. Anthracycline recipients had higher values of NT-proBNP than non-recipients (mean 116.0 ng/L vs. 97.0 ng/L, respectively; p < 0.001). Values for ST2 and galectin-3 did not significantly differ by receipt of anthracycline. After further adjustment for age at breast cancer diagnosis, ethnicity, and receipt of trastuzumab, associations between receipt of anthracycline and higher NT-proBNP persisted (p < 0.001), showing that NT-proBNP may be a biomarker of cardiovascular toxicity after receipt of anthracycline-based chemotherapy. Further research to assess the clinical utility of NT-proBNP testing after receipt of anthracycline is recommended. sST2 and galectin-3 do not appear to differentiate between anthracycline recipients and non-recipients amongst breast cancer survivors.

Functional annotation of the 2q35 breast cancer risk locus implicates a structural variant in influencing activity of a long-range enhancer element

A combination of genetic and functional approaches has identified three independent breast cancer risk loci at 2q35. A recent fine-scale mapping analysis to refine these associations resulted in 1 (signal 1), 5 (signal 2), and 42 (signal 3) credible causal variants at these loci. We used publicly available in silico DNase I and ChIP-seq data with in vitro reporter gene and CRISPR assays to annotate signals 2 and 3. We identified putative regulatory elements that enhanced cell-type-specific transcription from the IGFBP5 promoter at both signals (30- to 40-fold increased expression by the putative regulatory element at signal 2, 2- to 3-fold by the putative regulatory element at signal 3). We further identified one of the five credible causal variants at signal 2, a 1.4 kb deletion (esv3594306), as the likely causal variant; the deletion allele of this variant was associated with an average additional increase in IGFBP5 expression of 1.3-fold (MCF-7) and 2.2-fold (T-47D). We propose a model in which the deletion allele of esv3594306 juxtaposes two transcription factor binding regions (annotated by estrogen receptor alpha ChIP-seq peaks) to generate a single extended regulatory element. This regulatory element increases cell-type-specific expression of the tumor suppressor gene IGFBP5 and, thereby, reduces risk of estrogen receptor-positive breast cancer (odds ratio = 0.77, 95% CI 0.74-0.81, p = 3.1 × 10-31).

Longitudinal cohorts for harnessing the electronic health record for disease prediction in a US population

PURPOSE

The depth and breadth of clinical data within electronic health record (EHR) systems paired with innovative machine learning methods can be leveraged to identify novel risk factors for complex diseases. However, analysing the EHR is challenging due to complexity and quality of the data. Therefore, we developed large electronic population-based cohorts with comprehensive harmonised and processed EHR data.

PARTICIPANTS

All individuals 30 years of age or older who resided in Olmsted County, Minnesota on 1 January 2006 were identified for the discovery cohort. Algorithms to define a variety of patient characteristics were developed and validated, thus building a comprehensive risk profile for each patient. Patients are followed for incident diseases and ageing-related outcomes. Using the same methods, an independent validation cohort was assembled by identifying all individuals 30 years of age or older who resided in the largely rural 26-county area of southern Minnesota and western Wisconsin on 1 January 2013.

FINDINGS TO DATE

For the discovery cohort, 76 255 individuals (median age 49; 53% women) were identified from which a total of 9 644 221 laboratory results; 9 513 840 diagnosis codes; 10 924 291 procedure codes; 1 277 231 outpatient drug prescriptions; 966 136 heart rate measurements and 1 159 836 blood pressure (BP) measurements were retrieved during the baseline time period. The most prevalent conditions in this cohort were hyperlipidaemia, hypertension and arthritis. For the validation cohort, 333 460 individuals (median age 54; 52% women) were identified and to date, a total of 19 926 750 diagnosis codes, 10 527 444 heart rate measurements and 7 356 344 BP measurements were retrieved during baseline.

FUTURE PLANS

Using advanced machine learning approaches, these electronic cohorts will be used to identify novel sex-specific risk factors for complex diseases. These approaches will allow us to address several challenges with the use of EHR.

Author Correction: A case-only study to identify genetic modifiers of breast cancer risk for BRCA1/BRCA2 mutation carriers

A Correction to this paper has been published: https://doi.org/10.1038/s41467-021-23162-4

Gene-Environment Interactions Relevant to Estrogen and Risk of Breast Cancer: Can Gene-Environment Interactions Be Detected Only among Candidate SNPs from Genome-Wide Association Studies?

In this study we aim to examine gene-environment interactions (GxEs) between genes involved with estrogen metabolism and environmental factors related to estrogen exposure. GxE analyses were conducted with 1970 Korean breast cancer cases and 2052 controls in the case-control study, the Seoul Breast Cancer Study (SEBCS). A total of 11,555 SNPs from the 137 candidate genes were included in the GxE analyses with eight established environmental factors. A replication test was conducted by using an independent population from the Breast Cancer Association Consortium (BCAC), with 62,485 Europeans and 9047 Asians. The GxE tests were performed by using two-step methods in GxEScan software. Two interactions were found in the SEBCS. The first interaction was shown between rs13035764 of NCOA1 and age at menarche in the GE|2df model (p-2df = 1.2 × 10-3). The age at menarche before 14 years old was associated with the high risk of breast cancer, and the risk was higher when subjects had homozygous minor allele G. The second GxE was shown between rs851998 near ESR1 and height in the GE|2df model (p-2df = 1.1 × 10-4). Height taller than 160 cm was associated with a high risk of breast cancer, and the risk increased when the minor allele was added. The findings were not replicated in the BCAC. These results would suggest specificity in Koreans for breast cancer risk.

Genetic basis of hypercholesterolemia in adults

We investigated monogenic and polygenic causes of hypercholesterolemia in a population-based cohort, excluding secondary hypercholesterolemia, and using an established framework to identify pathogenic variants. We studied 1682 individuals (50.2 ± 8.6 years, 41.3% males) from southeast Minnesota with primary hypercholesterolemia (low-density lipoprotein cholesterol (LDL-C) ≥155 mg/dl in the absence of identifiable secondary causes). Familial hypercholesterolemia (FH) phenotype was defined as a Dutch Lipid Clinic Network (DLCN) score ≥6. Participants underwent sequencing of LDLR, APOB, and PCSK9, and genotyping of 12 LDL-C-associated single-nucleotide variants to construct a polygenic score (PGS) for LDL-C. The presence of a pathogenic/likely pathogenic variant was considered monogenic etiology and a PGS ≥90th percentile was considered polygenic etiology. The mean LDL-C level was 187.3 ± 32.3 mg/dl and phenotypic FH was present in 8.4% of the cohort. An identifiable genetic etiology was present in 17.1% individuals (monogenic in 1.5% and polygenic in 15.6%). Phenotypic and genetic FH showed poor overlap. Only 26% of those who met the clinical criteria of FH had an identifiable genetic etiology and of those with an identifiable genetic etiology only 12.9% met clinical criteria for FH. Genetic factors explained 7.4% of the variance in LDL-C. In conclusion, in adults with primary hypercholesterolemia, 17.1% had an identifiable genetic etiology and the overlap between phenotypic and genetic FH was modest.

Genetic Predictors of Chemotherapy-Induced Peripheral Neuropathy from Paclitaxel, Carboplatin and Oxaliplatin: NCCTG/Alliance N08C1, N08CA and N08CB Study

Chemotherapy-induced peripheral neuropathy (CIPN) is a common and potentially permanent adverse effect of chemotherapeutic agents including taxanes such as paclitaxel and platinum-based compounds such as oxaliplatin and carboplatin. Previous studies have suggested that genetics may impact the risk of CIPN. We conducted genome-wide association studies (GWASs) for CIPN in two independent populations who had completed European Organisation for Research and Treatment of Cancer Quality of Life Questionnaire (EORTC QLQ)-CIPN20 assessments (a CIPN-specific 20-item questionnaire which includes three scales that evaluate sensory, autonomic, and motor symptoms). The study population N08Cx included 692 participants from three clinical trials (North Central Cancer Treatment Group (NCCTG) N08C1, N08CA, and N08CB) who had been treated with paclitaxel, paclitaxel plus carboplatin, or oxaliplatin. The primary endpoint for the GWAS was the change from pre-chemotherapy CIPN20 sensory score to the worse score over the following 18 weeks. Study population The Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry (MCBDR) consisted of 381 Mayo Clinic Breast Disease Registry enrollees who had been treated with taxane or platinum-based chemotherapy. The primary endpoint for the GWAS assessed was the earliest CIPN20 sensory score available after the completion of chemotherapy. In multivariate model analyses, chemotherapy regimen (p = 3.0 × 10-8) and genetic ancestry (p = 0.007) were significantly associated with CIPN in the N08Cx population. Only age (p = 0.0004) was significantly associated with CIPN in the MCBDR population. The SNP most associated with CIPN was rs56360211 near PDE6C (p =7.92 × 10-8) in N08Cx and rs113807868 near TMEM150C in the MCBDR (p = 1.27 × 10-8). Due to a lack of replication, we cannot conclude that we identified any genetic predictors of CIPN.