Pain in knee osteoarthritis is associated with variation in the neurokinin 1/substance P receptor (TACR1) gene

BACKGROUND

Substance P (SP) is a pain- and inflammation-related neuropeptide which preferentially binds to the neurokinin receptor 1 (NK₁ ). SP and NK₁ receptors have been implicated in joint pain, inflammation and damage in animal models and human studies of osteoarthritis (OA). The aim of this study was to test if genetic variation at the neurokinin 1 receptor gene (TACR1) is associated with pain in individuals with radiographic knee OA.

METHODS

Participants from the Genetics of OA and Lifestyle study were used for the discovery group (n = 1615). Genotype data for six SNPs selected to cover most variation in the TACR1 gene were used to test for an association with symptomatic OA. Replication analysis was performed using data from the Chingford 1000 Women Study, Hertfordshire Cohort Study, Tasmanian Older Adult Cohort Study and the Clearwater OA Study. In total, n = 1715 symptomatic OA and n = 735 asymptomatic OA individuals were analysed.

RESULTS

Out of six SNPs tested in the TACR1 gene, one (rs11688000) showed a nominally significant association with a decreased risk of symptomatic OA in the discovery cohort. This was then replicated in four additional cohorts. After adjusting for age, gender, body mass index and radiographic severity, the G (minor) allele at rs11688000 was associated with a decreased risk of symptomatic OA compared to asymptomatic OA cases (p = 9.90 × 10^-4 , OR = 0.79 95% 0.68-0.90 after meta-analysis).

CONCLUSIONS

This study supports a contribution from the TACR1 gene in human OA pain, supporting further investigation of this gene's function in OA.

SIGNIFICANCE

This study contributes to the knowledge of the genetics of painful osteoarthritis, a condition which affects millions of individuals worldwide. Specifically, a contribution from the TACR1 gene to modulating pain sensitivity in osteoarthritis is suggested.

Cell therapy for type 1 diabetes

Cell therapy in the form of human islet transplantation has been a successful form of treatment for patients with type 1 diabetes for over 10 years, but is significantly limited by lack of suitable donor material. A replenishable supply of insulin-producing cells has the potential to address this problem; however to date success has been limited to a few preclinical studies. Two of the most promising strategies include differentiation of embryonic stem cells and induced pluripotent stem cells towards insulin-producing cells and transdifferentiation of acinar or other closely related cell types towards β-cells. Here, we discuss recent progress and challenges that need to be overcome in taking cell therapy to the clinic.

Changing presentation of prostate cancer in a UK population--10 year trends in prostate cancer risk profiles in the East of England

BACKGROUND

Prostate cancer incidence is rising in the United Kingdom but there is little data on whether the disease profile is changing. To address this, we interrogated a regional cancer registry for temporal changes in presenting disease characteristics.

METHODS

Prostate cancers diagnosed from 2000 to 2010 in the Anglian Cancer Network (n=21,044) were analysed. Risk groups (localised disease) were assigned based on NICE criteria. Age standardised incidence rates (IRs) were compared between 2000-2005 and 2006-2010 and plotted for yearly trends.

RESULTS

Over the decade, overall IR increased significantly (P<0.00001), whereas metastasis rates fell (P<0.0007). For localised disease, IR across all risk groups also increased but at different rates (P<0.00001). The most striking change was a three-fold increase in intermediate-risk cancers. Increased IR was evident across all PSA and stage ranges but with no upward PSA or stage shift. In contrast, IR of histological diagnosis of low-grade cancers fell over the decade, whereas intermediate and high-grade diagnosis increased significantly (P<0.00001).

CONCLUSION

This study suggests evidence of a significant upward migration in intermediate and high-grade histological diagnosis over the decade. This is most likely to be due to a change in histological reporting of diagnostic prostate biopsies. On the basis of this data, increasing proportions of newly diagnosed cancers will be considered eligible for radical treatment, which will have an impact on health resource planning and provision.

Incident knee pain in the Nottingham community: a 12-year retrospective cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To determine the community incidence of knee pain and associated risk factors over a 12-year period in people over the age of 40 years.

METHOD

A cohort study of knee pain was undertaken in 2156 people from four general practices in North Nottinghamshire, UK. Knee pain was defined as 'pain around the knee for most days of at least a month'. Cumulative incidence over 12 years and person-year incidence rate of knee pain were estimated. Survival analysis was undertaken for time to the onset of knee pain. Hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (CI) were estimated for relative risk between exposure and non-exposure. Cox regression model was used to adjust for confounding factors.

RESULTS

The 12-year cumulative incidence of knee pain was 34.4% (32% for men and 35% for women), corresponding to an average incidence rate of 32 (31 for men and 34 for women)/1000 person-years. Incident knee pain was associated with female gender (HR 1.27, 95% CI 1.08, 1.49), obesity (1.80; 95% CI 1.37, 2.38), varus (1.68, 95% CI 1.15, 2.47) and valgus (1.83, 95% CI 1.05, 3.20) mal-alignment, and knee injury (2.37, 95% CI 2.98, 2.85).

CONCLUSIONS

For people over age 40, one in three will develop knee pain within 12 years. On average, the risk of knee pain was 32/1000 person-years. This risk is associated with a variety of constitutional and environmental biomechanical insults to the knee. Some of these could be modified to possibly reduce the incidence of the condition.

Large-scale meta-analysis of interleukin-1 beta and interleukin-1 receptor antagonist polymorphisms on risk of radiographic hip and knee osteoarthritis and severity of knee osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To clarify the role of common genetic variation in the Interleukin-1β (IL1B) and Interleukin-1R antagonist (IL1RN) genes on risk of knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA) and severity of knee OA by means of large-scale meta-analyses.

METHODS

We searched PubMed for articles assessing the role of IL1B and IL1RN polymorphisms/haplotypes on the risk of hip and/or knee OA. Novel data were included from eight unpublished studies. Meta-analyses were performed using fixed- and random-effects models with a total of 3595 hip OA and 5013 knee OA cases, and 6559 and 9132 controls respectively. The role of ILRN haplotypes on radiographic severity of knee OA was tested in 1918 cases with Kellgren-Lawrence (K/L) 1 or 2 compared to 199 cases with K/L 3 or 4.

RESULTS

The meta-analysis of six published studies retrieved from the literature search and eight unpublished studies showed no evidence of association between common genetic variation in the IL1B or IL1RN genes and risk of hip OA or knee OA (P>0.05 for rs16944, rs1143634, rs419598 and haplotype C-G-C (rs1143634, rs16944 and rs419598) previously implicated in risk of hip OA). The C-T-A haplotype formed by rs419598, rs315952 and rs9005, previously implicated in radiographic severity of knee OA, was associated with reduced severity of knee OA (odds ratio (OR)=0.71 95%CI 0.56-0.91; P=0.006, I(2)=74%), and achieved borderline statistical significance in a random-effects model (OR=0.61 95%CI 0.35-1.06 P=0.08).

CONCLUSION

Common genetic variation in the Interleukin-1 region is not associated with prevalence of hip or knee OA but our data suggest that IL1RN might have a role in severity of knee OA.

Lifetime body mass index, other anthropometric measures of obesity and risk of knee or hip osteoarthritis in the GOAL case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the risk of large joint osteoarthritis (OA) in those becoming overweight during early adult life, and to assess the risks associated with high body mass index (BMI) and other anthropometric measures of obesity.

METHODS

BMI, waist and hip circumference were measured in the GOAL case-control study comprising hip OA cases (n=1007), knee OA cases (n=1042) and asymptomatic controls (n=1121). Retrospective estimates of lifetime weight, body shape and other risk factors were collected using an interview-lead questionnaire. Odds ratios (ORs), adjusted OR (aOR), 95% confidence intervals (CIs) and P values were calculated using logistic regression analysis.

RESULTS

BMI was associated with knee OA (aOR 2.68, 95% CI 2.33-3.09, P-trend<0.001) and hip OA (aOR 1.65, 95% CI 1.46-1.87, P-trend<0.001). Those who became overweight earlier in adulthood showed higher risks of lower limb OA (P-trend<0.001 for knee OA and hip OA). Self-reported body shape was also associated with knee OA and hip OA, following a similar pattern to current and life-course BMI measures. Waist:hip ratio (WHR) at time of examination did not associate with OA independently of BMI, except in women-only analysis. Waist circumference was associated with lower limb OA risk.

CONCLUSIONS

Becoming overweight earlier in adult life increased the risks of knee OA and hip OA. Different distribution patterns of adiposity may be related to OA risk in women.

A meta-analysis of interleukin-6 promoter polymorphisms on risk of hip and knee osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

Interleukin-6 is a pro-inflammatory cytokine involved in the pathogenesis of osteoarthritis (OA). We investigated the role of two single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) mapping to the promoter of the IL-6 gene on genetic susceptibility to hip and knee OA.

METHODS

The -174G/C (rs1800795) and -597G/A (rs1800797) SNPs, implicated in the literature in risk of hip and hand OA, were genotyped in 2511 controls, 1101 hip OA cases and 1904 knee OA cases from four cohorts from the UK and Estonia. Data were analysed in conjuntion with published data on rs1800797 from the Genetics of OA and Lifestyle study (UK) on 791 controls, 1034 knee and 997 hip OA cases and rs1800795 data on 75 hip OA cases and 96 controls from Italy. Cases included both radiographic OA only and radiographic and symptomatic OA. Fixed and random-effects meta-analysis models were tested.

RESULTS

No significant association was found with hip OA or knee OA with either SNP nor with the haplotypes formed by them. For individual SNPs the smallest P-value for hip OA was observed using a random-effects model for rs1800795 OR(Gallele)=1.066 (95% CI 0.89-1.28) P<0.49, and significant heterogeneity between cohorts (I(2)=65%, P<0.034) was detected. For knee OA the smallest P-value was seen for rs1800797 OR(Aallele)=1.055 (95%CI 0.98-1.12) P<0.18, no significant heterogeneity was observed (I(2)=0%, P<0.68).

CONCLUSIONS

Our data do not support a role for the -174 and -597 IL-6 promoter polymorphisms in genetic susceptibility to knee or hip OA in Caucasian populations.

Attempt to replicate published genetic associations in a large, well-defined osteoarthritis case-control population (the GOAL study)

OBJECTIVE

Published studies have tested over 90 genes for association with osteoarthritis (OA), but few positives reported have been independently replicated. Using a new case-control study, our aim was to attempt the replication of findings from 12 genes reported to have significant genetic association with OA and to further examine the role of genetic variation in six of these genes.

METHODS

A case-control study was undertaken in Nottingham, UK. Hospital-referred index cases with symptomatic, radiographic OA (ROA) of the knee (n=1040) or hip (n=1004) were recruited. Asymptomatic controls (n=1123) were recruited from intravenous urography waiting lists and screened for radiographic hip and knee OA. Sixty-eight polymorphisms were genotyped in IL1A, IL1B, IL1RN, IL4R, IL6, COL2A1, ADAM12, ASPN, IGF1, TGFB1, ESR1 and VDR. Statistical analysis compared allele or genotype frequencies of these polymorphisms in all asymptomatic controls and the subset of controls without ROA vs all OA, knee OA and hip OA. The analyses were adjusted for age, gender and body mass index.

RESULTS

We were unable to replicate any of the published genetic associations investigated. Our extended exploratory analyses identified some associations between polymorphisms in TGFB1, IGF1 and IL1RN and OA; but the strength of evidence varied with the control group used.

CONCLUSION

Lack of replication is common and could be due to differences in study design, phenotype, populations examined or the occurrence of false positives in the initial study. Variants within TGFB1, IGF1 and IL1RN could have a role in OA susceptibility; however, replication of these findings is required in an independent study.

Index to ring finger length ratio and the risk of osteoarthritis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the relationship between the index to ring finger (2D:4D) length ratio and the risk of knee and hip osteoarthritis (OA).

METHODS

We conducted a case-control study, in which cases with persistent symptoms and radiographic evidence of knee or hip OA were compared with controls with no symptoms and no radiographic evidence of knee or hip OA. Hand radiographs were visually classified as type 1 (index finger longer than the ring finger), type 2 (index finger equal to the ring finger), or type 3 (index finger shorter than the ring finger). The 2D:4D phalangeal and metacarpal length ratios were measured separately. The odds ratio (OR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI) were calculated and adjusted for possible confounding factors using a logistic regression model.

RESULTS

Of 2,049 cases, 1,013 had radiographic evidence of knee OA and 995 had hip OA. Of 1,123 controls, 836 had no knee OA and 1,050 had no hip OA. The type 3 finger pattern was associated with knee OA (OR 1.94, 95% CI 1.54-2.44), and the risk was greater in women (OR 3.05, 95% CI 2.08-4.47) than in men (OR 1.45, 95% CI 1.08-1.95). There was a dose-response relationship between both 2D:4D phalangeal and metacarpal length ratios and the risk of knee OA. The risk of hip OA was inconsistent.

CONCLUSION

Compared with types 1 and 2, the type 3 "male" pattern 2D:4D length ratio is associated with OA, especially knee OA. The risk is independent of other major OA risk factors.

Dietary zinc intake and brain cancer in adults: a case–control study

Little is known about the aetiology of brain tumours. One putative factor suggested from animal models is a protective effect of dietary Zn. We tested the hypothesis that increased compared with low dietary Zn intake is protective against brain tumour development. We conducted a population-based case–control study in the UK, of adults aged 18–69 years, between 2001 and 2004 aiming to identify possible risk factors. Dietary information was collected from 637 cases diagnosed with a glioma or meningioma, and 876 controls. Data were obtained from a self-completed FFQ. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted, adjusting for socio-demographic factors, season of questionnaire return, multivitamin supplementation and energy intake. Although a weak protective effect was observed for the third quartile of intake (normal compared with low intake) in the meningioma group, this was limited to the specific brain tumour subtype and quartile, and was not significant after also adjusting for intake of other elements. Overall there was no significant effect of Zn intake. No association or dose–response relationship was observed between increased compared with low Zn intake and risk of glioma or meningioma.

Radiographic assessment of the index to ring finger ratio (2D:4D) in adults

The smaller index to ring finger (2D:4D) ratio has been considered as a 'male finger pattern' and is associated with sporting ability and a number of conditions. However, the ratio may vary according to what is measured, the hand selected and the method used. This study aimed to determine: (1) which bones (phalanges, metacarpals or both) account for variation in the 2D:4D ratio; (2) whether the ratio shows right-left symmetry or relates to hand dominance; and (3) the correlation between visual classification and measured determinations of the ratio based on radiographs. Hand radiographs obtained as part of a large osteoarthritis genetic study were examined. Each hand was classified visually into three types according to the relative length of the index and ring finger: Type 1 (index longer than ring), Type 2 (index = ring) and Type 3 (index shorter than ring). For both index and ring fingers we measured (1) from base of proximal to tip of distal phalanx and (2) metacarpal length. Reproducibility of the classification and measurements were examined using kappa and intraclass correlation coefficient; symmetry between left and right hands was examined using Bland and Altman's agreement analysis; and correlation between visual classification and 2D:4D ratio data was analysed using the anova linearity test. Data were obtained from 3172 radiographs (1636 men, 1536 women; mean age 67 +/- 7.9 years, range 45-86 years). Prevalence of Type 3 hand was 61% in men and 37% in women (P < 0.001). Men had smaller 2D:4D ratios than women for phalanges (0.908 versus 0.922, P < 0.01), metacarpals (1.152 versus 1.157, P < 0.01) and the sum of phalanges plus metacarpals (1.005 versus 1.015, P < 0.01). The mean difference between right and left was -0.001 (95% limit of agreement -0.035, 0.032) for the phalangeal ratio and 0.003 (95% limit of agreement -0.051 to 0.057) for the metacarpal ratio. The 2D:4D ratio did not associate with handedness or age. There was a linear trend between the visual classification of hand type and the 2D:4D ratio data (P < 0.001). More technical difficulties (due to positioning, finger trauma, osteoarthritis) were encountered with the phalangeal ratio and visual categorization than with the metacarpal ratio: the latter could be measured in 98.7% of the study population. We concluded that measured 2D:4D ratios and visual categorization can be derived from hand radiographs. The phalanges and metacarpals both contribute to the variation in 2D:4D ratio with smaller ratios observed in men than in women. The ratio is symmetrical with only very small differences between right and left hands. Visual classification may be a useful simple tool for future epidemiological studies but is more prone to bias from positioning than direct measurement. If radiographs are used for this purpose, we recommend the metacarpal ratio with measurement of a single index hand or an average of both as it is least affected by bias from malpositioning, trauma or common joint disease.

History of allergic disease and risk of meningioma

Epidemiologic studies have consistently shown inverse associations of allergic disease with risk of glioma, but it is unclear whether this association also applies to meningioma. The authors conducted a pooled analysis of meningioma risk in relation to a history of allergic disease based on data from two population-based, case-control studies with 475 cases and 1,716 controls in the United Kingdom (2001-2004). Meningioma risk was significantly reduced in relation to self-reported, physician-diagnosed allergic disease (odds ratio = 0.76, 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.61, 0.96) but was nonsignificantly reduced for individual conditions: asthma (odds ratio = 0.85, 95% CI: 0.61, 1.18), hay fever (odds ratio = 0.81, 95% CI: 0.62, 1.06), and eczema (odds ratio = 0.72, 95% CI: 0.51, 1.02). Risk reductions were greatest for asthma (odds ratio = 0.43, 95% CI: 0.21, 0.89) and hay fever (odds ratio = 0.50, 95% CI: 0.25, 1.00) with an early age at onset (<10 years) and for eczema (odds ratio = 0.46, 95% CI: 0.21, 1.07) with an onset at ages 10-19 years; they were near unity for onset in adulthood. This study suggests an inverse association between a history of allergies and meningioma risk, but with smaller risk reductions than for glioma. The reasons for this association need clarification, as well as an etiologic explanation. Consideration also needs to be given to confounding or bias.

Assigning exposure to pesticides and solvents from self-reports collected by a computer assisted personal interview and expert assessment of job codes: the UK Adult Brain Tumour Study

OBJECTIVES

To compare assignment of occupational pesticide and solvent exposure using self-reported data collected by a computer assisted personal interview (CAPI) with exposure based on expert assessment of job codes. To discuss the advantages and disadvantages of using a CAPI to collect individual occupational exposure data.

METHODS

Between 2001 and 2004, 1495 participants were interviewed using a CAPI for a case-control study of adult brain tumours and acoustic neuromas. Two types of occupational data were collected: (1) a full history, including job title from which a job code was assigned from the Standard Occupational Classification; and (2) specific details on pesticide and solvent exposure reported by participants. Study members' experiences of using the CAPI were recorded and advantages and disadvantages summarised.

RESULTS

Of 7192 jobs recorded, the prevalence of self-reported exposure was 1.3% for pesticides and 11.5% for solvents. Comparing this with exposure expertly assessed from job titles showed 53.6% and 45.8% concordance for pesticides and solvents respectively. Advantages of the CAPI include no data entry stage, automatic input validation, and a reduction in interviewer bias. Disadvantages include an adverse effect on study implementation as a consequence of resources required for programming and difficulties encountered with data management prior to analysis.

CONCLUSIONS

Different methods of exposure assessment derive different exposure levels for pesticide and solvent exposure at work. Agreement between self-reported and expert assessment of exposure was greater for pesticides compared to solvents. The advantages of using a CAPI for the collection of complex data outweigh the disadvantages for interviewers and data quality but using such a method requires extra resources at the study outset.

The relationship between body mass index and health-related quality of life: comparing the EQ-5D, EuroQol VAS and SF-6D

BACKGROUND

No other studies have compared the relationship between body mass index (BMI) and health-related quality of life (HRQL) on more than one utility measure. Estimating the HRQL effects of obesity on a (common) utility scale enables the relative cost-effectiveness of interventions designed to alleviate obesity to be estimated.

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationship between BMI and HRQL according to the EQ-5D, EuroQol visual analogue scale (EQ-VAS) and SF-6D.

METHODS

Patients aged >/=45 years at one UK general practice were asked to complete the EQ-5D, EQ-VAS, SF-36 questionnaire (used to derive the SF-6D), and information on their characteristics and co-morbidity. Body mass index was categorized according to the World Health Organization (WHO) recommendations. Regression analysis was used to compare the HRQL of normal BMI patients to the HRQL of patients in other BMI categories, while controlling for patient characteristics and co-morbidity.

RESULTS

A total of 1865 patients responded (67%), mean BMI 26.0 kg/m(2), 16% obese (BMI>/=30). Patients with back pain, hip pain, knee pain, asthma, diabetes or osteoarthritis were also significantly more likely to be obese. After controlling for other factors, compared to normal BMI patients, obese patients had a lower HRQL according to the EQ-5D (P<0.01), EQ-VAS (P<0.001) and SF-6D (P<0.001). Pre-obese patients were not estimated to have a significantly lower HRQL, and underweight patients were only estimated to have a significantly lower HRQL according to the SF-6D. These results arose because, on the EQ-5D, obese patients were found to have significantly more problems with mobility and pain, compared to physical functioning, social functioning and role limitations on the SF-6D. Whereas, according to the SF-6D, underweight patients had significantly more problems on the dimension of role limitation.

CONCLUSION

The EQ-5D, EQ-VAS and SF-6D were in agreement that, relative to a normal BMI, obesity is associated with a lower HRQL, even after controlling for patient characteristics and co-morbidity. These three measures are thereby sensitive to the HRQL effects of obesity and can be used to estimate the cost-effectiveness of interventions designed to alleviate obesity.

Cost effectiveness of a two-year home exercise program for the treatment of knee pain

OBJECTIVE

To assess the cost effectiveness of a 2-year home exercise program for the treatment of knee pain.

METHODS

A total of 759 adults aged > or = 45 years were randomized to receive exercise therapy, monthly telephone contact, exercise therapy and telephone contact, or no intervention. Efficacy was measured using self-reported knee pain at 2 years. Costs to both the National Health Service and to the patient were included.

RESULTS

Exercise therapy was associated with higher costs and better effectiveness. Direct costs for the interventions were pound 112 for the exercise program and pound 61 for the monthly telephone support. Participants allocated to receive exercise therapy were significantly more likely to incur higher medical costs than those in the no-exercise groups (mean difference pound 225; 95% confidence interval pound 218, pound 232; P < 0.001).

CONCLUSION

Exercise therapy is associated with improvements in knee pain, but the cost of delivering the exercise program is unlikely to be offset by any reduction in medical resource use.

Aspirin, NSAIDs and colorectal cancer--what do the epidemiological studies show and what do they tell us about the modus operandi?

A large number of observational epidemiological studies show that regular use of aspirin and other NSAID's is associated with a reduction in the risk of developing both colorectal adenomas and cancer. Furthermore, the prodrug sulindac appears clinically to be able to reduce and reverse the growth of existing polyps in familial adenomatous polyposis (FAP). For aspirin and NSAID's the dose, duration of effect and length of protection seen after cessation remain to be fully established. The available data for aspirin suggest that doses higher than those needed for heart disease prevention are required. It is also likely that the drug needs to be taken continuously for a number of years. With regards to randomised controlled trials to evaluate chemopreventive strategies there are so far only limited data available. The only trial reported to date found no effect but employed a relatively low dose of 325 mg of aspirin every other day and the randomised intervention period was relatively short (5 years). Further trials of intermediate endpoints (adenomas) are currently underway in the UK and USA and are employing higher doses of aspirin. Randomised clinical studies of sulindac have been more encouraging demonstrating that it is a useful drug for therapeutic applications in FAP patients. Its relatively greater side effects, however, prevent its consideration for primary chemoprevention. The mechanisms by which NSAID's act are still sought. Strategies for possible primary and secondary chemoprevention in humans also require evaluation.

The role of occupational and environmental exposures in the aetiology of acquired severe aplastic anaemia: a case control investigation

Aplastic anaemia is a rare but serious disorder with a high morbidity and mortality rate. The causes of aplastic anaemia are, for the most part, unknown. We report on the hypothesis that aplastic anaemia may be caused by occupational and/or environmental exposures to certain chemicals. The UK Aplastic Anaemia Study was an interview-based case-control study covering the whole of Great Britain. Those patients diagnosed between 1 July 1993 and 20 October 1997, aged < or =75 years and born and diagnosed in the UK were eligible for the study. Two hundred eligible cases of aplastic anaemia were compared with 387 age- and sex-matched controls. A number of occupational exposures showed increases in risk. In a multivariate model of these exposures the odds ratios (ORs) for solvents/degreasing agents, pesticides and radiation were >2 and statistically significant. Reported chemical treatment of houses within 5 years of diagnosis had a significantly raised risk for adults [OR = 2.51, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.02-12.01], particularly for woodworm treatment (OR = 5.1, 95% CI 1.5-17.4). This study identified significant risks associated with self-reported exposure to solvents, radiation and pesticides in the workplace. Self-reported chemical treatment of houses was also associated with an increased risk of developing aplastic anaemia, in keeping with previous literature.

Home based exercise programme for knee pain and knee osteoarthritis: randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether a home based exercise programme can improve outcomes in patients with knee pain.

DESIGN

Pragmatic, factorial randomised controlled trial of two years' duration.

SETTING

Two general practices in Nottingham.

PARTICIPANTS

786 men and women aged >/=45 years with self reported knee pain.

INTERVENTIONS

Participants were randomised to four groups to receive exercise therapy, monthly telephone contact, exercise therapy plus telephone contact, or no intervention. Patients in the no intervention and combined exercise and telephone groups were randomised to receive or not receive a placebo health food tablet.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Primary outcome was self reported score for knee pain on the Western Ontario and McMaster universities (WOMAC) osteoarthritis index at two years. Secondary outcomes included knee specific physical function and stiffness (scored on WOMAC index), general physical function (scored on SF-36 questionnaire), psychological outlook (scored on hospital anxiety and depression scale), and isometric muscle strength.

RESULTS

600 (76.3%) participants completed the study. At 24 months, highly significant reductions in knee pain were apparent for the pooled exercise groups compared with the non-exercise groups (mean difference -0.82, 95% confidence interval -1.3 to -0.3). Similar improvements were observed at 6, 12, and 18 months. Regular telephone contact alone did not reduce pain. The reduction in pain was greater the closer patients adhered to the exercise plan.

CONCLUSIONS

A simple home based exercise programme can significantly reduce knee pain. The lack of improvement in patients who received only telephone contact suggests that improvements are not just due to psychosocial effects because of contact with the therapist.

Long-term outcome after tibial shaft fracture: is malunion important?

BACKGROUND

Fractures of the shaft of the tibia often heal with some angulation. Although there is biomechanical evidence that such angulation alters load transmission through the joints of the lower limb, it is not clear whether it can eventually lead to osteoarthritis.

METHODS

One hundred and sixty-four individuals who had sustained a tibial shaft fracture were assessed in a research clinic thirty to forty-three years after the injury. The subjects were evaluated with regard to self-reported lower limb joint pain, stiffness, and disability (assessed with the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities [WOMAC] osteoarthritis questionnaire); clinical signs of osteoarthritis; and radiographic evidence of osteophytes and joint-space narrowing in the knees, ankles, and subtalar joints.

RESULTS

Twenty-two (15%) of the 151 subjects who reported no other knee injury reported at least moderate knee pain, and eight (6%) of the 145 subjects who reported no other ankle injury reported at least moderate ankle pain. Seventeen (13%) of the 135 subjects who reported no other knee or ankle injury reported at least moderate disability. The ipsilateral side demonstrated a higher prevalence than the contralateral side in terms of pain with passive ankle movement (nineteen versus nine subjects, p = 0.02), pain with passive subtalar movement (fifteen versus four subjects, p = 0.01), and radiographic signs of ankle joint space narrowing (twelve subjects versus one subject, p = 0.0055). Knee osteoarthritis was frequently bilateral. Forty-seven fractures (29%) healed with coronal angulation of > or = 5 degrees. Apart from an association between shortening of > or = 10 mm and self-reported knee pain (p = 0.016), there were no significant univariate associations between these malunions and the development of osteoarthritis. Seventeen (15%) of 114 eligible subjects had overall malalignment of the lower limb, defined as a hip-knee-ankle angle outside the normal range of 6.25 degrees of varus to 4.75 degrees of valgus. This malalignment was due to the fracture malunion in nine subjects and predated the fracture in eight. In limbs with varus or valgus malalignment, there was an excess of subtalar stiffness (p = 0.04) and a nonsignificant trend toward more frequent knee pain. In limbs with varus malalignment, there was a nonsignificant trend toward more frequent radiographic evidence of osteoarthritis in the medial compartment of the knee joint. Most of the subjects in whom osteoarthritis was observed had normal overall alignment of the lower limb.

CONCLUSIONS

The thirty-year outcome after a tibial shaft fracture is usually good, although mild osteoarthritis is common. Fracture malunion is not the cause of the higher prevalence of symptomatic ankle and subtalar osteoarthritis on the side of the fracture. Although varus malalignment of the lower limb occurs occasionally and may cause osteoarthritis in the medial compartment of the knee, other factors are more important in causing osteoarthritis after a tibial shaft fracture.

A case-control study to investigate the relation between low and moderate levels of physical activity and osteoarthritis of the knee using data collected as part of the Allied Dunbar National Fitness Survey

BACKGROUND

Physical activity is being recommended as an intervention for seemingly almost universal improvements to health. A potential concern with this recommendation for increased exercise is that some believe increased levels of activity may lead to increased incidence of osteoarthritis of the knee (knee OA), as a result of accelerated "wear and tear" of the major joints.

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the hypothesis that the occurrence of knee OA may be related to the duration of participation in some forms of sport and active recreation.

METHODS

The relation between habitual exercise, reported by a cross section of people surveyed in England, and self reported knee OA was investigated. Data were derived from the Allied Dunbar National Fitness Survey (1990-91). A matched retrospective case-control design was used and a new exposure classification system which categorised different grades of activities for different time periods for each subject's lifetime participation in regular physical activities was developed. Additional data on knee injuries sustained and bodily composition were also included in a multivariate analysis.

RESULTS

From 4316 people originally interviewed, 216 eligible cases (66 men, 150 women) were identified (mean age 57.1). Each case was matched to four controls. When habitual sport/exercise participation were examined during a subject's life, only exposure to regular long walks and being physically active between the ages of 20 and 24 suggested any association with developing knee OA later in life. The only strong association found was a greatly increased risk of knee OA having previously sustained a knee injury (p<0.01, odds ratio 8.0 (95% confidence interval 2.0 to 32.0)).

CONCLUSIONS

There was little evidence to suggest that increased levels of regular physical activity throughout life lead to an increased risk of knee OA later in life. Previous knee injury was associated with an increased risk of knee OA. Additionally, most injuries were caused through participation in physical activities. Hence, when deciding on participation in activities, it is worth taking the likelihood of joint injury into consideration, as the chance of injury is greater in some activities than others.

Occupation and knee pain: a community study

OBJECTIVE

To examine the relationship between knee pain and occupation in a community setting.

DESIGN

A postal survey was sent to 4057 men and women aged 40-80. Subjects were asked about chronic knee pain. A question concerning job title and industry was included in addition to demographic details. Prevalence of knee pain and odds ratios for pain were calculated for the most common occupational groups.

RESULTS

Response was 82% and overall prevalence of knee pain was 28%. Highest prevalence of pain was seen in carpenters and miners. Increased odds for pain (adjusted for age, gender, body mass index, social class, smoking history and psychological distress) were apparent in carpenters (4.6, 95% confidence intervals 1.9-11.1), miners (1.9, 95%CI 1.3-2.8) and construction workers (2.4, 95%CI 1.4-4.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Increased risk of knee pain is apparent in miners, construction workers and carpenters; occupations which are likely to involve knee bending and possibly heavy lifting.

Racial group, socioeconomic status, and the development of persistent proteinuria in systemic lupus erythematosus

OBJECTIVES

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients of Afro-Caribbean and Asian origin living in the United Kingdom have a more severe spectrum of disease compared with the white population but whether this is attributable to genetic host factors or environmental factors is unclear. This study examines time from first symptom to onset of persistent proteinuria, as a marker of renal disease, to assess which factors are important.

METHODS

The 189 patients studied were ascertained using multiple methods and included 161 white, 22 Afro-Caribbean and six Asian patients. Time of first observation of persistent proteinuria (>/=0.5 g/day) was taken as onset of renal SLE. Initial univariate analysis to determine which factors are associated with onset of renal disease was followed by using a Cox's proportional hazards regression model enabling analysis of several prognostic factors at the same time. Variables included three measures of socioeconomic status, ethnic group and the presence or absence of different autoantibodies.

RESULTS

There was no effect from any socioeconomic variable. Using forwards stepwise selection, the following had independent effects (p<0.05) on the development of renal SLE: Afro-Caribbean race (hazard rate ratio 4.4 (1.9-10.2), compared with white population); and the presence of IgG anti-cardiolipin antibodies (hazard rate ratio 2.6 (1.2-5.7)).

CONCLUSION

Differing socioeconomic factors do not explain the increased frequency of lupus nephritis in Afro-Caribbean patients with SLE, but rather there are important genetic or other host differences. The independent effect of IgG anti-cardiolipin antibodies warrants further investigation.

Systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) and hair treatment: a large community based case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association of hair treatment, including permanent and non-permanent dyes, bleach, highlights and lowlights on the development of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE).

METHODS

150 SLE patients and 300 controls from Nottingham, UK were interviewed in a case-control study. Controls were matched to cases for gender and year of birth. All patients met at least four of the American Rheumatology Association criteria for SLE. Controls were randomly selected from the Nottingham Family Health Services Authority register. Information was collected via an interview-administered questionnaire concerning demographic variables and hair treatment.

RESULTS

For hair treatment no significant associations were observed between ever using permanent colouring, non-permanent colouring, bleach or lowlights, and disease. Nevertheless a significant association (OR 0.55, 95% CI 0.31-0.95) was observed between 'ever having' used highlights and disease with cases having used highlights less frequently than their healthy counterparts. No significant differences were observed in duration of usage of hair bleach, permanent colouring, non-permanent colouring, highlights and lowlights between cases and controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Hair treatment or duration of hair treatment usage is not significant in the aetiology of SLE. Although patients with SLE were less likely in this study to have highlights than controls, for all other hair treatments no differences were observed.

Pregnancy outcome and family size in systemic lupus erythematosus: a case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To establish pregnancy outcomes and family size in a geographically defined population of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) patients.

METHODS

One hundred and thirty-eight SLE patients (all women satisfying at least four American Rheumatism Association criteria) and 276 age-matched female controls, from the Nottingham area, were interviewed by a single investigator. Demographic details and maternity histories were obtained, and the data collected were analysed statistically to calculate odds ratios (ORs) for risk of fetal loss (through miscarriage, stillbirth and abortion). Family size was also determined in White and non-White cases and controls.

RESULTS

Women with SLE are at greater risk of spontaneous fetal loss than their healthy counterparts (OR = 2.21, 95% CI 1.46-3.35, P < 0.01) and they are more likely than controls to have a surgical abortion (OR 2.44, 95%, CI 1.22-4.87, P = 0.01). The excess risk of both of these outcomes exists both before and after diagnosis of SLE. The median number of children in White and non-White families of cases and controls is the same, i.e. two. White women with SLE, however, appear less likely than controls to have more than two children, whereas non-White lupus women tend to retain their propensity to have larger families, i.e. more than two children.

CONCLUSIONS

We confirm that lupus women who have, or later develop, SLE are at greater risk of pregnancy loss by spontaneous or surgical means. We have also shown that race, and the inherent differences in social and cultural influences, appears to be an important determinant of ultimate family size; White women with SLE have fewer children than controls, whilst non-White lupus women tend to have larger families.

Study of the association between cytochromes P450 2D6 and 2E1 genotypes and the risk of drug and chemical induced idiosyncratic aplastic anaemia

A genetic susceptibility to drug or chemical toxicity may provide a basis for an increased risk of idiosyncratic aplastic anaemia (AA). The cytochrome P450 enzymes are responsible for the metabolism of many drugs, some of which have been linked to AA. Mutations in the cytochrome P450 CYP2D6 gene result in absent or impaired enzyme activity in about 7% of Caucasians, whereas a specific mutation in the 5'-regulatory region of the CYP2E1 gene causes overexpression of the gene. We evaluated the frequency of allelic variants of CYP2D6 and CYP2E1 using allele-specific PCR amplification and restriction enzyme analysis of blood mononuclear cell DNA among 54 Caucasian AA patients. CYP2D6 and CYP2E1 were chosen because of the link between AA and the antipsychotic drug remoxipride (CYP2D6 substrate) and benzene (CYP2E1 substrate), respectively. Results were compared with 53 controls matched for age, sex and ethnicity. The percentage of AA patients homozygous for the CYP2D6*3, CYP2D6*4 alleles (poor metabolizer phenotype) and the CYP2E1 mutant allele (overexpression) was 0%, 4% and 0%, respectively, and the percentage of heterozygotes was 2%, 28% and 15%, respectively. For normal controls the corresponding results for homozygous mutants were 0%, 4% and 0% and for heterozygotes 4%, 25% and 6%, respectively. We concluded that there were no major differences in the frequencies of the genetic polymorphisms between this series of AA patients and controls, but due to the low number of cases with the poor metabolizer phenotype and those with a history of drug exposure, the power of the study was too low to disprove an interaction.

Effectiveness of home exercise on pain and disability from osteoarthritis of the knee: a randomised controlled trial

OBJECTIVE

To assess the effect of a home based exercise programme, designed to improve quadriceps strength, on knee pain and disability.

METHODS

191 men and women with knee pain aged 40-80 were recruited from the community and randomised to exercise (n = 113) or no intervention (n = 78). The exercise group performed strengthening exercises daily for six months. The primary outcome measure was change in knee pain (Western Ontario McMaster Osteoarthritis index (WOMAC)). Secondary measures included visual analogue scales (VAS) for pain on stairs and walking and WOMAC physical function scores.

RESULTS

WOMAC pain score reduced by 22.5% in the exercise group and by 6.2% in the control group (between group difference p < 0.05, unpaired t test). VAS scores for pain also reduced in the exercise group compared with the control group (p < 0.05). Physical function scores reduced by 17.4% in the exercise group and were unchanged in controls (p < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

A simple programme of home quadriceps exercises can significantly improve self reported knee pain and function.

The geographical assignment of cancer units: patient accessibility as an optimal allocation problem

The seminal report A Policy Framework for Commissioning Cancer Services provides the foundation for a major reorganisation of cancer service provision in England and Wales. One central recommendation of the report, the establishment of a tier of specialised cancer units in each Health Authority Region has raised the fundamental question of where those units are to be located. In particular, a declared objective of the report is for services to be planned to maximise their accessibility to patients. This paper demonstrates a classical method (location-allocation modelling) by which the accessibility criterion can be used to determine the optimal number, location and capacity of units for a given cancer site. The method is illustrated with reference to cervical cancer in Trent Health Authority Region. The implications of the method for the guidance of access-related decisions on the placement of cancer services are considered, and the wider relevance of the method to the organisation of service provision in other branches of medicine is suggested.

Quadriceps weakness in knee osteoarthritis: the effect on pain and disability

OBJECTIVES

(1) To determine the importance of quadriceps strength, structural change, and psychological status in terms of knee pain in the community. (2) To determine the relative importance of quadriceps function, structural change, and psychological status with respect to disability in subjects with knee pain.

METHODS

300 men and women with pain and 300 controls without pain (aged 40-79) were seen. Isometric quadriceps strength (MVC) was measured and muscle activation was assessed by twitch superimposition. Disability (Western Ontario McMaster Osteoarthritis Index (WOMAC)) and anxiety and depression were assessed (Hospital Anxiety and Depression Index (HAD)). Radiographs were obtained of the tibiofemoral and patellofemoral joints and total score for osteophyte, narrowing, and sclerosis calculated for each knee.

RESULTS

Subjects with knee pain had lower voluntary quadriceps strength than those without pain (p < 0.005). Quadriceps activation was also lower (p < 0.005), but did not fully explain the reduction in strength. When analysed by multiple logistic regression: quadriceps strength (odds ratio 18.8, CI 4.8, 74.1 for MVC < or = 10 kgF); depression (odds ratio 2.4, CI 1.0, 5.5 for HAD score > or = 8); and radiographic change (odds ratio 4.1, CI 1.9, 8.6 for radiographic score > or = 4) were independently associated with pain. In those with knee pain, disability was independently associated with quadriceps strength (odds ratio 8.2, CI 1.5, 44.4 for MVC < or = 10 kgF) and depression (odds ratio 6.2, CI 2.1, 18.0 for HAD score > or = 8); but not with radiographic score.

CONCLUSIONS

Quadriceps strength is strongly associated with knee pain and disability in the community, even when activation and psychological factors are taken into account. This has important therapeutic implications.

Binomial cokriging for estimating and mapping the risk of childhood cancer

The incidences of human diseases vary from place to place, and this is also likely to be so for the risk of people developing many of them. We have analysed the spatial distribution of childhood cancer in the West Midland Health Authority Region of England from 1980 to 1984. This is a rare disease which is considered to be noncontagious. The observed frequencies of the disease in the electoral wards have been converted to proportions that estimate the risk of a child's developing it. The spatial autocorrelation of the risk, expressed in the variogram, was determined in a novel way from the proportions within electoral wards by treating them as binomial variables dependent on the risk and the numbers of children in the wards. The observed variogram was modelled by Whittle's elementary two-dimensional correlation. Covariances of the proportion and cross covariances between the proportion and the risk were derived, and from the latter and the proportions the risk was estimated in two ways by a form of cokriging: ordinary and conditional unbiased cokriging. The variogram of the risk shows strong autocorrelation, and the kriged estimates, when mapped, have a distribution that is far from even. There are patches where the estimated risk is large, especially in the rural south west and the suburban north east; and there are other patches, notably the more densely populated areas, where it is small.

Smoking history, alcohol consumption, and systemic lupus erythematosus: a case-control study

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the effect of smoking on the development of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE), and the association between alcohol consumption and the disease.

METHODS

450 subjects (150 SLE patients and 300 controls) from Nottingham, UK were interviewed in a case-control study. Controls were matched to cases for age and sex. All patients met at least four of the American Rheumatology Association criteria for SLE. Controls were randomly selected from the Nottingham Family Health Services Authority register. Information was collected by interview administered questionnaire concerning demographic variables, smoking histories, and drinking habits.

RESULTS

Analysis of the data by conditional logistic regression revealed current smokers to have a significantly increased risk of development of SLE compared with never smokers (odds ratio (OR) 1.95, 95% confidence intervals (CI) 1.14, 3.31), although ex-smokers were not at increased risk. There was also suggestion of a marked, highly significant negative association between SLE and alcohol consumption, the magnitude of which increased with units consumed.

CONCLUSIONS

This study suggests that current smokers are at increased risk of developing SLE compared with non-smokers and ex-smokers. In contrast, alcohol consumption seems to be negatively associated with the disease.

Knee pain and disability in the Nottingham community: association with poor health status and psychological distress

OBJECTIVE

To assess the prevalence of knee pain, disability and health status in the community, and to examine the association of pain with psychological distress.

METHODS

A postal survey was sent to 4057 men and women aged 40-79 yr in Nottingham. Health status was assessed using the SF-36 instrument, with the specific dimensions of physical function and mental health used to measure disability and psychological distress.

RESULTS

The overall response rate was 81.9%. The prevalence of knee pain was 28.7%, rising with age. Disability was more common in those with knee pain compared to those without pain (P < 0.001). Subjects with knee pain had lower scores for all dimensions of health. When adjusted for potential confounders, low mental health scores associated with increased odds for pain and disability (2.1, 95% CI 1.7-2.6; and 4.7, 95% CI 3.7-6.1).

CONCLUSIONS

Knee pain is common in this population and is associated with poor perceived health and significant disability. Psychological distress strongly associates with both pain and disability.

Conservatively managed tibial shaft fractures in Nottingham, UK: are pain, osteoarthritis, and disability long-term complications?

OBJECTIVES

To investigate longterm pain and disability subsequent to a tibial shaft fracture treated conservatively.

DESIGN AND SETTING

Subjects who had sustained a tibial shaft fracture more than 27 years ago were compared with those who had not.

SUBJECTS

572 fracture patients (identified from the records of the plaster room) aged over 16 at the time of injury were contracted and were compared with 2285 randomly selected subjects matched for age, sex, and general practice.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Self reported knee pain; self reported GP's diagnosis of osteoarthritis; ability to climb stairs, walk 100 yards, to bend, kneel, or stoop; and SF-36 physical functioning score.

RESULTS

Subjects were reviewed between 27 and 41 years after tibial shaft fracture (mean 35 years). Fracture patients were more likely to suffer chronic knee pain (odds ratio 1.23; 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.00, 1.51) and report being given a diagnosis of osteoarthritis by their GP (odds ratio 1.46; 95% CI 1.08, 1.97). The ability to climb stairs, walk 100 yards, and bend, kneel, or stoop was less in the fracture group than the other subjects. The SF-36 physical function score was significantly lower in the fracture group.

CONCLUSIONS

More than 27 years after a tibial shaft fracture, subjects have more knee pain than the rest of the population. They also have greater difficulty performing everyday physical activities. The excess morbidity may be due to injury factors or treatment factors, and further research is needed to investigate this important association further.

Analysis of ploidy and proliferative activity in childhood non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) and Hodgkin's disease (HD)

We have performed DNA analysis by means of fluorescence-activated cell cytometry on paraffin-embedded tissue from the diagnostic biopsy specimens in 40 cases of non-Hodgkin's lymphoma (NHL) and 25 of Hodgkin's disease (HD) and from 50 normal tonsils as controls. For HD cases, aneuploidy was found in 7 of 25 (28%), a higher proportion than in two previous studies of mainly adult patients. Diploid tumors showed S-phase fractions (SPFs) similar to those of controls. In the NHL cases aneuploidy was found in 12 of 40 (30%) with no significant association with site, stage, histopathology, immunophenotype, or prognosis. SPFs were highest in abdominal and chest primary sites but were not related to stage. Burkitt's lymphomas had the highest SPFs relative to lymphoblastic (P < .01) and centroblastic lymphomas (P < .05). Significantly higher SPFs were found in B cell than in T cell tumors (P < .001). There was considerable heterogeneity for SPFs within each NHL subgroup. Survival was worse at 5 years for those with high SPFs compared with those with normal SPFs (P = .04). These results suggest that tumor DNA analysis may be useful in the evaluation of children with NHL. Larger studies are needed to define its role as an independent prognostic variable.

Continued inadequacies in data sources for the evaluation of cancer services

There is a need to evaluate cancer services and provide a baseline on current treatment success and organization. This study shows that this process may be severely hindered by case note destruction or inaccessibility and incomplete information. This is an ongoing problem that needs to be addressed now.

The need for specialist review of pathology in paediatric cancer

A retrospective histopathological review of 2104 cases of solid tumour was carried out to assess the variability in diagnosis of childhood cancer. Cases were subject to three independent, concurrent opinions from a national panel of specialist pathologists. The conformity between them was analysed using the percentage of agreement and the kappa statistic (kappa), a measure of the level of agreement beyond that which could occur by chance alone, and weighted kappa (w kappa), which demonstrates the degree of variation between opinions. The major groupings of the Birch-Marsden classification were used within which tumours were assigned for kappa analysis according to the clinical significance of the differential diagnoses. The mean agreement for all tumours together was 90%; kappa = 0.82, w kappa = 0.82. Retinoblastoma achieved the highest kappa value (1.0) and lymphoma the lowest (0.66). Of the cases, 16.5% had their original diagnoses amended and the panel confirmed the original diagnosis of paediatric pathologists in 89% of cases compared with 78% for general pathologists. The varying levels of agreement between experts confirm the difficulty of diagnosis in some tumour types, suggesting justification for specialist review in most diagnoses. Specialist training in paediatric pathology is also recommended.

Screening for pain in knee osteoarthritis: which question?

OBJECTIVE

To compare three questions on knee pain with respect to determined prevalence and associations with disability and structural change.

METHODS

Postal survey to 4057 men and women aged 40-79 years. Knee pain was defined by three questions: (A) "Have you ever had pain in or around the knee on most days for at least a month? If so, have you experienced any pain during the last year?" (B) "Have you had pain within the last year in or around the knee that occurred on most days for at least a month?" (C) "Have you had knee pain on most days of the last month?" [American College of Rheumatology (ACR) criteria for knee osteoarthritis]. Disability was assessed with the SF-36 health status questionnaire. Radiographs (AP weight bearing and skyline) were obtained on a proportion (n = 459) and graded for maximum osteophyte in any compartment.

RESULTS

Prevalence of knee pain for questions A, B, and C were 28.3%, 25.3%, and 19.3% respectively. Highest rates of disability were observed for question C (71.3% compared with 60.9% for question A). There was no major difference between questions in terms of percentage with > or = grade 1 osteophyte or > or = grade 2 osteophyte. Sensitivity and specificity of each question for > or = grade 1 osteophyte did vary, with question A being most sensitive but least specific (58.7% and 59.1%) and question C most specific (72.7%) but least sensitive (45.4%).

CONCLUSIONS

Estimates of knee pain and disability are influenced by even minor changes in question content. The ACR criteria question may be a better predictor of disability but is relatively insensitive for use in the community.

Coronary heart disease: a review of the role of psychosocial stress and social support

BACKGROUND

The role of psychosocial factors in the aetiology of coronary heart disease continues to be debated. Despite public perception of a major role for their effect, scientific opinion on their relevance remains divided. This paper reviews the literature on the influence of social support and life stress on coronary heart disease incidence and mortality.

METHODS

Observational studies published in English, based on over 100 human subjects from the general population, investigating life stress or social support were considered. Fourteen studies derived from MEDLINE searches on MeSH headings: coronary disease; stress, psychological; social support; social isolation; life change events. An equivalent search of BIDS and studies referenced by papers identified using these sources was carried out.

RESULTS AND CONCLUSIONS

The review concludes that both life stress and social support were found to have an influence on coronary heart disease, social support more so than stress. Both have a stronger influence on coronary heart disease mortality than on initial incidence of clinical disease. Measures of the quality of support, in particular emotion support, show the largest effects. The review highlights problems in drawing conclusions from the available literature; in particular, the inconsistency in measures used to define the psychosocial factors. Further studies are needed to investigate interrelationships between stress and social support, and a recommendation is made to adopt pragmatic measures in future studies, which if proven to have an effect, may be open to modification.

Stress, social support, and stopping smoking after myocardial infarction in England

STUDY OBJECTIVE

To examine the effect on mortality of stopping smoking after myocardial infarction and the psychosocial factors that influence the decision to stop.

DESIGN

Analysis of smokers in a large prospective study. Self completed questionnaires provided information on psychosocial factors.

SETTING

Coronary care units at six English hospitals participating in a multicentre clinical trial.

SUBJECTS

These comprised consenting myocardial infarction survivors who had been identified as smokers and who completed questionnaires within seven days of infarct at six hospitals participating in the Anglo-Scandinavian study of early thrombolysis. The 532 patients identified have been followed for over five and a half years. The main outcome measure was five year all cause mortality.

MAIN RESULTS

Smokers who stopped within one month showed significantly reduced mortality compared with those who persisted, adjusting for other prognostic indicators (odds ratio 0.56, 95% confidence interval 0.33, 0.98). Overall, 74% stopped smoking. Being married, low life stress levels before infarct, and higher social class were associated with stopping smoking but the differentials were small. Of the clinical variables, a final diagnosis of definite myocardial infarction was associated with stopping smoking. All associations remained after multiple logistic regression.

CONCLUSION

Smoking cessation can halve the smokers' odds of dying after myocardial infarction and psychosocial factors play a small but important role in the important decision to stop smoking. Health professionals should continue to stress the importance of stopping smoking to all patients as there is little evidence to support specific directing of advice to relatively "stress or "socially isolated" groups.

Distribution of cases of systemic lupus erythematosus at time of first symptom in an urban area

OBJECTIVES

To determine the geographical distribution of cases of systemic lupus erythematosus (SLE) in a defined geographical area in the East Midlands, UK, and, in particular, to search for spatial variation in cases that may implicate the role of environmental factors in SLE aetiology.

METHODS

Six methods of case ascertainment were used. The postcode of the patient's domicile at time of first definite symptom of SLE was used for analysis which included case mapping, probability mapping by electoral ward, and variogram analysis.

RESULTS

The study area population of 613,700 contained 200 SLE patients, 188 of whom experienced their first symptom whilst residing in the area. Case mapping revealed 12 SLE patients residing within an area of one square mile, including four men and six patients with RNP antibodies. The use of probability mapping showed five wards in close proximity to each other to have a greater number of SLE cases than would be expected by chance (p < 0.1). The 'cluster' of patients seen on the case map fell into two wards which showed a significant excess of cases only when combined (p = 0.006). The variogram of the incidence rates for each ward did not confirm any structure or pattern to the distribution of cases for the whole area.

CONCLUSIONS

Some areas have a greater than expected prevalence of SLE. The normal result from variogram analysis suggests that the cause(s) for these excess number of cases does not have an effect across the whole study area.

Changing incidence and geographical distribution of malignant paediatric germ cell tumours in the West Midlands Health Authority region, 1957-92

The West Midlands Regional Children's Tumour Research Group holds high-quality data from 1957 on all childhood cancers in the West Midlands Health Authority region. Since it has been reported that malignant germ cell tumours are increasing in incidence in the north-west of England, we undertook to examine rates in this region and to map the distribution of cases in order to assess any geographical changes in incidence rates. We identified a total of 102 malignant germ cell tumours (MGCTs) between 1957 and 1992. The average age-standardised rate was 1.6 per million per year in the period 1957-74 and 3.6 per million per year during 1975-92, a significant increase (P = 0.0004). Particular increases were noted in older children (10-14 years); P = 0.0002) and in yolk sac (endodermal sinus) tumours (P = 0.004). A small excess was also observed in Asian children when compared with other diagnoses. Geographical analysis showed particularly higher rates at health district level in the West Midlands conurbation as compared with the other areas in the period 1975-92. These factors suggest the possibility that industrial/urban or population effects may be implicated in the observed increase in childhood MGCT and we recommend these areas for further studies.

Immunophenotypic analysis of childhood Burkitt's lymphoma in the West Midlands 1957-1986

AIMS

To analyse the immunophenotype of a large number of non-endemic Burkitt's lymphomas to determine whether a B cell phenotype is consistently recognisable using formalin fixed, paraffin wax embedded archival material and a standard panel of commercially available antibodies.

METHODS

Archival material was obtained from 30 cases of childhood Burkitt's lymphoma registered with the West Midlands Regional Children's Tumour Research Group. These were analysed by a standard avidin biotin complex immunoperoxidase method using antibodies to CD45, CD43, CD30, CD20, CD15, and immunoglobulin heavy and light chains.

RESULTS

There was a high incidence of the CD45RB and CD20 immunophenotypes, with a clearly recognisable B cell lineage even in archival material. IgM was identifiable in 13 of the 23 (56.5%) cases tested. Only three of 17 (18%) cases expressed CD30. Positive membrane staining with CD45RO was observed in two (6.7%) cases.

CONCLUSIONS

A B cell lineage can be identified in Burkitt's lymphoma in formalin fixed, paraffin wax embedded material, even in archival tissue. There was a low incidence of membrane staining with CD45RO which is a potential source of diagnostic confusion.

Hodgkin's disease in children in the West Midlands, 1957-1986: a large population-based study

One hundred forty-one children were diagnosed with Hodgkin's disease between 1957 and 1986 in the West Midlands Health Authority Region (1991 population, 1.1 million children). Eighty-seven were boys and 54 were girls, representing a significant male:female ratio of 1.5:1 (P < 0.01). The average age-standardized incidence rate was 3.6 per million per year with a significant increase in the older age group (> or = 10 years) in the second half of the period (P = 0.02). The mixed cellularity subtype was more common in those younger than 10 years, with nodular sclerosing disease being seen more in those < or = 10 years. Overall survival at 5 years was 76% (65% at 10 years) with a significant difference (P < 0.001) in survival between the first and last decades. There was six second malignancies, five of which could have been treatment related. A positive history of cancer in close relatives was found in 11 patients, and higher social class was found in more older than younger children. These findings support the hypothesis that Hodgkin's disease may have a viral etiology and may be linked with socioeconomic conditions.

Thirty years of retinoblastoma (1960-89): changing patterns of incidence

This study of a 30-year population-based dataset investigates further an earlier observation that the incidence of sporadic bilateral retinoblastoma appeared to be increasing in recent years in the West Midlands Health Authority Region (WMHAR). Stringent measures were applied to ensure complete ascertainment of all cases of retinoblastoma in children in the region, resulting in a total of 117 cases diagnosed during the period 1960-89 in the WMHAR. Hospital case notes were abstracted and follow-up data obtained. Incidence rates were calculated. The overall incidence remained constant over the 30-year period, but that of sporadic bilateral tumours increased, with a corresponding decline in familial cases. There was a statistically significant excess seen in Asian children.