Propositive follow-up: Long-term immune responses to the 4CMenB and MenACWY vaccines in people living with HIV

BACKGROUND

People living with HIV have an increased risk of meningococcal disease. The Propositive trial evaluated co-administration of two doses of a four-component recombinant protein-based MenB vaccine (4CMenB) and a quadrivalent conjugate polysaccharide MenACWY vaccine (MenACWY-CRM197) given 1 month apart in people with HIV. The follow-up trial assessed the immunogenicity of these vaccines at 1.5 and 2.5 years after primary vaccination.

METHODS

Participants who completed the parent Propositive trial were invited to the follow-up study. Immunogenicity analysis was performed at 18 and 30 months after primary vaccination. Primary outcome measures were serum bactericidal antibody (SBA) geometric mean titres (GMTs) against three MenB reference strains and the proportion of participants maintaining a protective SBA titre of ≥4 at 18 and 30 months. Secondary outcome measures were SBA GMTs against MenA, C, W, and Y serogroups and the proportion of participants maintaining a protective SBA titre of ≥8 at 18 and 30 months. The trial is registered with Clinicaltrials.gov (NCT042394300).

RESULTS

A total of 40 participants aged 22-47 years were enrolled. Geometric mean titres waned by 18 and 30 months but remained higher than pre-vaccination for all MenB strains and MenA, C, W, and Y. In total, 75%-85% of participants retained protective SBA titres by 30 months against individual MenB strains, whereas 68.8% of patients retained protective antibody titres against all three MenB strains. Antibodies against MenC waned more rapidly than did those against MenA, W, and Y. The proportion of participants with protective titres against MenC at 30 months was also lower (46.9%) than that with protective titres against MenA (87.5%), W (78.1%), and Y (87.5%).

CONCLUSIONS

Immune responses against MenB in our cohort of people living with HIV at 2.5 years of follow-up were reassuring, with 68.8% of participants retaining protection against all three reference strains. However, responses against MenC were lower than those against MenA, W, and Y serogroups.

Impact analysis of rotavirus vaccination in various geographic regions in Western Europe

BACKGROUND

Universal mass vaccination (UMV) against rotavirus has been implemented in many but not all European countries. This study investigated the impact of UMV on rotavirus incidence trends by comparing European countries with UMV: Belgium, England/Wales and Germany versus countries without UMV: Denmark and the Netherlands.

METHODS

For this observational retrospective cohort study, time series data (2001-2016) on rotavirus detections, meteorological factors and population demographics were collected. For each country, several meteorological and population factors were investigated as possible predictors of rotavirus incidence. The final set of predictors were incorporated in negative binomial models accounting for seasonality and serial autocorrelation, and time-varying incidence rate ratios (IRR) were calculated for each age group and country separately. The overall vaccination impact two years after vaccine implementation was estimated by pooling the results using a random effects meta-analyses. Independent t-tests were used to compare annual epidemics in the pre-vaccination and post-vaccination era to explore any changes in the timing of rotavirus epidemics.

RESULTS

The population size and several meteorological factors were predictors for the rotavirus epidemiology. Overall, we estimated a 42% (95%-CI 23;56%) reduction in rotavirus incidence attributable to UMV. Strongest reductions were observed for age-groups 0-, 1- and 2-years (IRR 0.47, 0.48 and 0.63, respectively). No herd effect induced by UMV in neighbouring countries was observed. In all UMV countries, the start and/or stop and corresponding peak of the rotavirus season was delayed by 4-7 weeks.

CONCLUSIONS

The introduction of rotavirus UMV resulted in an overall reduction of 42% in rotavirus incidence in Western European countries two years after vaccine introduction and caused a change in seasonal pattern. No herd effect induced by UMV neighbouring countries was observed for Denmark and the Netherlands.

Assessment of risk of intussusception after pilot rollout of rotavirus vaccine in the Indian public health system

BACKGROUND

Pre-licensure trials of ROTAVAC® were not adequately powered to assess risk of intussusception, a rare adverse event associated with other rotavirus vaccines in some settings. We examined the risk of intussusception after ROTAVAC® vaccination among Indian infants during pilot rollout of the vaccine in the public health system in three states - Himachal Pradesh, Maharashtra and Tamil Nadu.

METHODS

Passive surveillance for intussusception was set up in 35 sentinel health facilities covering 26.3 million population in the three states under monitoring of an Interministerial-Interagency Steering Committee. Clinical and immunization data were collected by independent teams. An expert committee blinded to vaccination status, classified intussusception cases using Brighton criteria. The self-controlled case-series method was used to estimate risk of intussusception (Brighton Level 1) after ROTAVAC® vaccination.

RESULTS

151 intussusception cases were included in the analysis. The relative incidence (incidence during the risk period compared to the control period) 1-21 days after doses 1 and 2 combined was 1.56 (95% CI, 0.0-5.28) and that for three doses combined was 1.88 (95% CI, 0.76-4.30). Attributable risk 1-21 days after doses 1 and 2 combined was 0.11 (95% CI, 0.0-0.25) and that for 3 doses combined was 0.42 (95% CI, 0.0-0.70) per 100,000 doses.

CONCLUSIONS

No increased risk of intussusception within 21 days of receipt of the first two doses combined or all 3 doses combined of ROTAVAC® was detected.

The risk of Kawasaki disease after pneumococcal conjugate & meningococcal B vaccine in England: A self-controlled case-series analysis

Kawasaki disease (KD) is an uncommon condition occasionally reported after childhood vaccination. Admissions with a KD-compatible diagnosis identified from a national database in England were linked to immunisation records to investigate the risk after pneumococcal conjugate (PCV) or meningococcal B (MenB) vaccines. Both are given at 2/4/12 months of age but were introduced sequentially, allowing their effects to be separately assessed. A total of 553 linked admissions in 512 individuals were validated as KD. The relative incidence (RI) within 28 days of PCV doses 1 or 2 measured by the self-controlled case-series method was 0.62 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.38-1.00) with a significantly decreased risk after dose 3 (RI 0.30 (95% CI 0.11-0.77)). For MenB vaccine, the RI after doses 1 or 2 was 1.03 (95% CI 0.51-2.05) and 0.64 (95% CI 0.08-5.26) after dose 3. This study shows no evidence of an increased risk of KD after either vaccine.

Rapid increase in non-vaccine serotypes causing invasive pneumococcal disease in England and Wales, 2000-17: a prospective national observational cohort study

BACKGROUND

Pneumococcal conjugate vaccines (PCVs) have substantially reduced the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease caused by vaccine serotypes; however, replacement disease with non-PCV serotypes remains a concern. We describe the population effect of the seven-valent and 13-valent PCVs (PCV7 and PCV13) on invasive pneumococcal disease in England and Wales.

METHODS

Using national invasive pneumococcal disease surveillance data for 2016/17, we compared incidence rate ratios (IRRs) against pre-PCV13 (2008/09-2009/10) and pre-PCV7 (2000/01-2005/06) baselines. We also estimated the number of invasive pneumococcal disease cases prevented since the introduction of PCVs.

FINDINGS

In 2016/17, overall invasive pneumococcal disease incidence (9·87 cases per 100 000; 5450 cases) across all age groups was 37% lower (IRR 0·63, 95% CI 0·60-0·65) than pre-PCV7 incidence (14·79 per 100 000; 8167 cases) and 7% lower (0·93; 0·89-0·97) than pre-PCV13 incidence (10·13 per 100 000; 5595 cases). By 2016/17, PCV7-type invasive pneumococcal disease incidence across all age groups had decreased by 97% (0·24 per 100 000; 0·03, 0·02-0·04) compared with the pre-PCV7 period, whereas additional PCV13-type invasive pneumococcal disease decreased by 64% (1·66 per 100 000; 0·36, 0·32-0·40) since the introduction of PCV13. Invasive pneumococcal disease incidence due to non-PCV13 serotypes doubled (7·97 per 100 000; 1·97, 1·86-2·09) since the introduction of PCV7, and accelerated since 2013/14-especially serotypes 8, 12F, and 9N, which were responsible for more than 40% of invasive pneumococcal disease cases by 2016/17. Invasive pneumococcal disease incidence in children younger than 5 years remained stable since 2013/14, with nearly all replacement disease occurring in adults. We estimated 38 366 invasive pneumococcal disease cases were prevented in the 11 years since the introduction of PCV7.

INTERPRETATION

Both PCV7 and PCV13 have had a major effect in reducing the burden of invasive pneumococcal disease in England and Wales; however, rapid increases in some non-PCV13 serotypes are compromising the benefits of the programme.

FUNDING

Public Health England.

A randomized, controlled trial of an aerosolized vaccine against measles

BACKGROUND

Aerosolized vaccine can be used as a needle-free method of immunization against measles, a disease that remains a major cause of illness and death. Data on the immunogenicity of aerosolized vaccine against measles in children are inconsistent.

METHODS

We conducted an open-label noninferiority trial involving children 9.0 to 11.9 months of age in India who were eligible to receive a first dose of measles vaccine. Children were randomly assigned to receive a single dose of vaccine by means of either aerosol inhalation or a subcutaneous injection. The primary end points were seropositivity for antibodies against measles and adverse events 91 days after vaccination. The noninferiority margin was 5 percentage points.

RESULTS

A total of 1001 children were assigned to receive aerosolized vaccine, and 1003 children were assigned to receive subcutaneous vaccine; 1956 of all the children (97.6%) were followed to day 91, but outcome data were missing for 331 children because of thawed specimens. In the per-protocol population, data on 1560 of 2004 children (77.8%) could be evaluated. At day 91, a total of 662 of 775 children (85.4%; 95% confidence interval [CI], 82.5 to 88.0) in the aerosol group, as compared with 743 of 785 children (94.6%; 95% CI, 92.7 to 96.1) in the subcutaneous group, were seropositive, a difference of -9.2 percentage points (95% CI, -12.2 to -6.3). Findings were similar in the full-analysis set (673 of 788 children in the aerosol group [85.4%] and 754 of 796 children in the subcutaneous group [94.7%] were seropositive at day 91, a difference of -9.3 percentage points [95% CI, -12.3 to -6.4]) and after multiple imputation of missing results. No serious adverse events were attributable to measles vaccination. Adverse-event profiles were similar in the two groups.

CONCLUSIONS

Aerosolized vaccine against measles was immunogenic, but, at the prespecified margin, the aerosolized vaccine was inferior to the subcutaneous vaccine with respect to the rate of seropositivity. (Funded by the Bill and Melinda Gates Foundation; Measles Aerosol Vaccine Project Clinical Trials Registry-India number, CTRI/2009/091/000673.).

Changes in serogroup and genotype prevalence among carried meningococci in the United Kingdom during vaccine implementation

BACKGROUND

Herd immunity is important in the effectiveness of conjugate polysaccharide vaccines against encapsulated bacteria. A large multicenter study investigated the effect of meningococcal serogroup C conjugate vaccine introduction on the meningococcal population.

METHODS

Carried meningococci in individuals aged 15-19 years attending education establishments were investigated before and for 2 years after vaccine introduction. Isolates were characterized by multilocus sequence typing, serogroup, and capsular region genotype and changes in phenotypes and genotypes assessed.

RESULTS

A total of 8462 meningococci were isolated from 47 765 participants (17.7%). Serogroup prevalence was similar over the 3 years, except for decreases of 80% for serogroup C and 40% for serogroup 29E. Clonal complexes were associated with particular serogroups and their relative proportions fluctuated, with 12 statistically significant changes (6 up, 6 down). The reduction of ST-11 complex serogroup C meningococci was probably due to vaccine introduction. Reasons for a decrease in serogroup 29E ST-254 meningococci (from 1.8% to 0.7%) and an increase in serogroup B ST-213 complex meningococci (from 6.7% to 10.6%) were less clear.

CONCLUSIONS

Natural fluctuations in carried meningococcal genotypes and phenotypes a can be affected by the use of conjugate vaccines, and not all of these changes are anticipatable in advance of vaccine introduction.

Assessment of baseline age-specific antibody prevalence and incidence of infection to novel influenza A/H1N1 2009

OBJECTIVES

The objectives of the H1N1 2009 serological surveillance project were twofold: to document (1) the prevalence of cross-reactive antibodies to H1N1 2009 by age group in the population of England prior to arrival of the pandemic strain virus in the UK and (2) the age-specific incidence of infection by month as the pandemic progressed by measuring increases in the proportion of individuals with antibodies to H1N1 2009 by age.

METHODS

Residual aliquots of samples submitted to 16 microbiology laboratories in eight regions in England in defined age groups in 2008 and stored by the Health Protection Agency serological surveillance programme were used to document age-stratified prevalence of antibodies to H1N1 2009 prior to the arrival of the pandemic in the UK. Functional antibodies to the H1N1 2009 virus were measured by haemagglutination inhibition (HI) and microneutralisation (MN) assays. For timely measurement of monthly incidence of infection with H1N1 2009 between August 2009 and April 2010, the microbiology serum collections were supplemented by collection of residual sera from chemical pathology laboratories in England. Monthly seroincidence samples were tested by HI only, apart from the final sera collected post pandemic in 2010, which were also tested by MN. Incidence during the pandemic was estimated from changes in prevalence between time points and also by a likelihood-based method.

SETTING

Eight regions of England.

PARTICIPANTS

Serum samples from patients accessing health care in England from whom blood samples were taken for unrelated microbiological or chemical pathology testing.

INTERVENTIONS

None.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Baseline age-specific prevalence of functional antibodies to the H1NI 2009 virus prior to the arrival of the pandemic; changes in antibody prevalence during the period August 2009 to April 2010.

RESULTS

Pre-existing cross-reactive antibodies to H1N1 2009 were detected in the baseline sera and increased with age, particularly in those born before 1950. The prediction of immunological protection derived from the baseline serological analysis was consistent with the lower clinical attack rates in older age groups. The high levels of susceptibility in children < 15 years, together with their mixing within school, resulted in the highest attack rates in this age group. Serological analysis by region confirms that there were geographical differences in timing of major pandemic waves. London had a big first wave among the 5- to 14-year age group, with the rest of the country reducing the gap after the second wave. Cumulative incidence in London remained higher throughout the pandemic in each age group. By the end of the second wave it is estimated that as many as 70% of school-aged children in London had been infected. Taken together, these observations are consistent with observations from previous pandemics in 1918, 1957 and 1968 - that the major impact of influenza pandemics is on younger age groups, with a pattern of morbidity and mortality distinct from seasonal influenza epidemics.

CONCLUSIONS

Serological analysis of appropriately structured, age-stratified and geographically representative samples can provide an immense amount of information to set in context other measures of pandemic impact in a population, and provide the most accurate measures of population exposure. National scale seroepidemiology studies require cross-agency coordination, multidisciplinary working, and considerable scientific resource.

FUNDING

The National Institute for Health Research Health Technology Assessment programme and the Health Protection Agency.

Risk factors for recurrent tuberculosis in England and Wales, 1998-2005

BACKGROUND

Information on recurrent tuberculosis can provide an indication of the effectiveness of tuberculosis services and identify patients who are most vulnerable. The objective of this study was to estimate the incidence of, and investigate risk factors for, recurrent episodes of tuberculosis in England and Wales.

METHODS

Episodes of recurrent tuberculosis were identified among prospectively collected records of tuberculosis cases reported to the Health Protection Agency between 1998 and 2005. An episode of recurrent tuberculosis was defined as a re-notified case in the same patient after at least 12 months from the date of the initial notification. To estimate incidence, follow-up time was calculated for all cases until re-notification or censure. Multivariable Cox proportionate hazard models were used to determine hazard ratios (HR) for recurrence of tuberculosis and investigate the risk associated with clinical, demographic and microbiological factors.

RESULTS

Five hundred and eighty-eight recurrent tuberculosis events were identified among 53 214 cases reported between 1998 and 2005, a rate of 4.1 (95% CI 3.8 to 4.5) episodes per 1000 person years of follow-up. Factors independently associated with a greater risk of recurrent tuberculosis were HIV co-infection (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.13 to 2.38) and belonging to a South Asian ethnic group (HR 1.54, 95% CI 1.23 to 1.93).

CONCLUSION

Tuberculosis recurrence is uncommon in England and Wales despite the absence of a universal directly observed treatment policy. The identification of HIV co-infection as a risk factor for recurrent tuberculosis is consistent with findings elsewhere. The higher risk among South Asians, however, requires further investigation.

Estimating influenza vaccine effectiveness using routinely collected laboratory data

BACKGROUND

Estimation of influenza vaccine effectiveness (V/E) is needed early during influenza outbreaks in order to optimise management of influenza--a need which will be even greater in a pandemic situation.

OBJECTIVE

Examine the potential of routinely collected virological surveillance data to generate estimates of V/E in real-time during winter seasons.

METHODS

Integrated clinical and virological community influenza surveillance data collected over three winters 2004/5-2006/7 were used. We calculated the odds of vaccination in persons that were influenza-virus-positive and the odds in those that were negative and provided a crude estimate of V/E. Logistic regression was used to obtain V/E estimates adjusted for confounding variables such as age.

RESULTS

Multivariable analysis suggested that adjustments to the crude V/E estimate were necessary for patient age and month of sampling. The annual adjusted V/E was 2005/6, 67% (95% CI 41% to 82%); 2006/7 55% (26% to 73%) and 2007/8 67% (41% to 82%). The adjusted V/E in persons <65 years was 70% (57% to 78%) and 65 years and over 46% (-17% to 75%). Estimates differed by small insignificant amounts when calculated separately for influenza A and B; by interval between illness onset and swab sample; by analysis for the period November to January in each year compared with February to April and according to viral load.

CONCLUSION

We have demonstrated the potential of using routine virological and clinical surveillance data to provide estimates of V/E early in season and conclude that it is feasible to introduce this approach to V/E measurement into evaluation of national influenza vaccination programs.

Autologous blood collection in abdominal vascular surgery. Assessment of a low pressure blood salvage system with particular reference to the preservation of cellular elements, triglyceride, complement and bacterial content in the collected blood

A simple, low pressure, blood scavenging system has been assessed in major abdominal vascular operations. The aim of this study was to assess the quality of blood obtained with this device and its suitability for reinfusion. Three areas of special interest, which have not been reported so far, are the fate of plasma complement, the load of fat aspirated after tissue dissection and the degree of bacterial contamination in the scavenged blood. The development of autologous blood scavenging systems is reviewed. The features which most affect the quality of scavenged blood are identified and their importance discussed by comparison with our experience. Key features of our system were: simplicity of the apparatus, controlled low-pressure aspiration, the use of systemic heparin and the avoidance of mechanical pumps. The blood obtained was of excellent quality with good preservation of cellular elements, platelets and fibrinogen. Plasma total haemolytic complement, C3 and C4 fractions were preserved in normal, though slightly reduced, quantities. Lipid (triglyceride) content was minimally increased after filtration. Bacterial contamination was present in all cases, but at a very low level provided that aspiration was limited to the peritoneal cavity. This low-level of contamination is not thought to be of great significance; its origin and importance are discussed.

Impact of meningococcal serogroup C conjugate vaccines on carriage and herd immunity

BACKGROUND

In 1999, meningococcal serogroup C conjugate (MCC) vaccines were introduced in the United Kingdom for those under 19 years of age. The impact of this intervention on asymptomatic carriage of meningococci was investigated to establish whether serogroup replacement or protection by herd immunity occurred.

METHODS

Multicenter surveys of carriage were conducted during vaccine introduction and on 2 successive years, resulting in a total of 48,309 samples, from which 8599 meningococci were isolated and characterized by genotyping and phenotyping.

RESULTS

A reduction in serogroup C carriage (rate ratio, 0.19) was observed that lasted at least 2 years with no evidence of serogroup replacement. Vaccine efficacy against carriage was 75%, and vaccination had a disproportionate impact on the carriage of sequence type (ST)-11 complex serogroup C meningococci that (rate ratio, 0.06); these meningococci also exhibited high rates of capsule expression.

CONCLUSIONS

The impact of vaccination with MCC vaccine on the prevalence of carriage of group C meningococci was consistent with herd immunity. The high impact on the carriage of ST-11 complex serogroup C could be attributed to high levels of capsule expression. High vaccine efficacy against disease in young children, who were not protected long-term by the schedule initially used, is attributed to the high vaccine efficacy against carriage in older age groups.

The burden of parvovirus B19 infection in women of childbearing age in England and Wales

A serological survey has been used to investigate the epidemiology of parvovirus B19 infection in England and Wales. A total of 2835 sera representing the complete age range were selected from a convenience collection obtained in 1996 that reflects the general population and screened for parvovirus B19-specific IgG. Antibody prevalence rose nonlinearly with age from 21% in those aged 1-4 years to >75% in adults aged > or = 45 years. Force-of-infection estimates were similar to those previously made in 1991, being highest in those aged <15 years. There was no association between evidence of previous infection and sex or region. Quantitatively strongest antibody responses were found in those aged 15-34 years and IgG levels in females were 28.5% higher than those found in males (P=0.004, 95% CI 8.2-52.6). Applying the upper 95% confidence interval for the force of infection to maternity estimates for England and Wales in 1996, parvovirus infection in pregnancy was estimated to occur on average in up to 1 in every 512 pregnancies each year. This represents 1257 maternal infections, causing up to an estimated 59 fetal deaths and 11 cases of hydrops fetalis annually. An analysis of all available laboratory-confirmed parvovirus infections found a mean of 944 infections per year in women aged 15-44 years highlighting a need for enhanced surveillance of maternal parvovirus B19 infection in England and Wales, including information on both pregnancy and outcome of pregnancy.

Modelling the hepatitis B vaccination programme in prisons

A vaccination programme offering hepatitis B (HBV) vaccine at reception into prison has been introduced into selected prisons in England and Wales. Over the coming years it is anticipated this vaccination programme will be extended. A model has been developed to assess the potential impact of the programme on the vaccination coverage of prisoners, ex-prisoners, and injecting drug users (IDUs). Under a range of coverage scenarios, the model predicts the change over time in the vaccination status of new entrants to prison, current prisoners and IDUs in the community. The model predicts that at baseline in 2012 57% of the IDU population will be vaccinated with up to 72% being vaccinated depending on the vaccination scenario implemented. These results are sensitive to the size of the IDU population in England and Wales and the average time served by an IDU during each prison visit. IDUs that do not receive HBV vaccine in the community are at increased risk from HBV infection. The HBV vaccination programme in prisons is an effective way of vaccinating this hard-to-reach population although vaccination coverage on prison reception must be increased to achieve this.

Variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in the United Kingdom and elsewhere: situation at the end of 2005

By the end of December 2005, a total of 159 cases of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) had been reported in the United Kingdom, of which 153 have so far resulted in death.

Human herpesviruses-6 and -7 each cause significant neurological morbidity in Britain and Ireland

BACKGROUND

Primary human herpesvirus-6 and -7 (HHV-6/-7) infections cause febrile illness sometimes complicated by convulsions and rarely encephalopathy.

AIMS

To explore the extent of such HHV-6 and -7 induced disease in young children.

METHODS

In a three year prospective study in Britain and Ireland, 205 children (2-35 months old) hospitalised with suspected encephalitis and/or severe illness with fever and convulsions were reported via the British Paediatric Surveillance Unit network. Blood samples were tested for primary HHV-6 and -7 infections.

RESULTS

26/156 (17%) of children aged 2-23 months had primary infection (11 HHV-6; 13 HHV-7; two with both viruses) coinciding with the acute illness; this was much higher than the about three cases expected by chance. All 26 were pyrexial; 25 had convulsions (18 status epilepticus), 11 requiring ventilation. Median hospital stay was 7.5 days. For HHV-6 primary infection the median age was 53 weeks (range 42-94) and the distribution differed from that of uninfected children; for HHV-7, the median was 60 weeks (range 17-102) and the distribution did not differ for the uninfected. Fewer (5/15) children with primary HHV-7 infection had previously been infected with HHV-6 than expected.

CONCLUSIONS

Primary HHV-6 and HHV-7 infections accounted for a significant proportion of cases in those <2 years old of severe illness with fever and convulsions requiring hospital admission; each virus contributed equally. Predisposing factors are age for HHV-6 and no previous infection with HHV-6 for HHV-7. Children with such neurological disease should be investigated for primary HHV-6/-7 infections, especially in rare cases coinciding by chance with immunisation to exclude misdiagnosis as vaccine reactions.

The seroepidemiology of Bordetella pertussis infection in Western Europe

High titres of pertussis toxin (PT) antibody have been shown to be predictive of recent infection with Bordetella pertussis. The seroprevalence of standardized anti-PT antibody was determined in six Western European countries between 1994 and 1998 and related to historical surveillance and vaccine programme data. Standardized anti-PT titres were calculated for a series of whole-cell and acellular pertussis vaccine trials. For the serological surveys, high-titre sera (> 125 units/ml) were distributed throughout all age groups in both high- (> 90%) and low-coverage (< 90%) countries. High-titre sera were more likely in infants in countries using high-titre-producing vaccines in their primary programme (Italy, 11.5%; Western Germany, 13.3%; France, 4.3%; Eastern Germany, 4.0%) compared to other countries (The Netherlands, 0.5%; Finland, 0%). Recent infection was significantly more likely in adolescents (10-19 years old) and adults in high-coverage countries (Finland, The Netherlands, France, East Germany), whereas infection was more likely in children (3-9 years old) than adolescents in low-coverage (< 90%; Italy, West Germany, United Kingdom) countries. The impact and role of programmatic changes introduced after these surveys aimed at protecting infants from severe disease by accelerating the primary schedule or vaccinating older children and adolescents with booster doses can be evaluated with this approach.

A national survey of genitourinary medicine clinic attenders provides little evidence of sexual transmission of hepatitis C virus infection

OBJECTIVE

To determine the prevalence and genetic diversity of hepatitis C virus in genitourinary medicine clinic attenders and to assess the extent of sexual transmission of the virus.

METHODS

A cross sectional, unlinked, anonymous survey in 14 genitourinary medicine clinics situated in England, Wales, and Northern Ireland. Serum specimens from genitourinary medicine clinic attenders, retained as part of the Unlinked Anonymous Prevalence Monitoring Programme (UAPMP) serum archive, were tested in small pools, for the presence of antibody to hepatitis C virus (anti-HCV). The main outcome measures were prevalence of antibodies to hepatitis C virus and identification of hepatitis C virus genotypes.

RESULTS

Testing of 17,586 specimens from 1995 showed an adjusted prevalence of anti-HCV in genitourinary medicine clinic attenders of 1.03% (95% CI: 0.89 to 1.16) overall and 0.65% (95% CI: 0.51 to 0.78) among those who did not report injecting drug use. Prevalence in injecting drug users attending genitourinary medicine clinics was 36.9% in both 1995 and 1996. Heterosexual injecting drug users had a higher prevalence of anti-HCV than homosexual/bisexual injectors. The most common hepatitis C genotypes were types 3a and 1a. There was a high degree of concordance between genotype and serotype.

CONCLUSIONS

The low prevalence of anti-HCV in genitourinary medicine clinic attenders who deny injecting drugs suggests that the majority of hepatitis C infections have been acquired in adult life, mostly by injecting drug use, and that the hepatitis C virus is rarely transmitted sexually. The use of needle exchanges may explain the relatively low prevalence observed in the injecting drug users.

Measurement of IgG antibodies to Chlamydia trachomatis by commercial enzyme immunoassays and immunofluorescence in sera from pregnant women and patients with infertility, pelvic inflammatory disease, ectopic pregnancy, and laboratory diagnosed Chlamydia psittaci/Chlamydia pneumoniae infection

BACKGROUND

Screening for Chlamydia trachomatis specific antibodies is valuable in diagnosing asymptomatic pelvic inflammatory disease (PID) and tubal damage following repeated episodes of PID. The assays in current use are unsuitable for screening large numbers of samples so there is a need to develop more suitable assays.

AIMS

To compare the performance of several commercial C trachomatis enzyme immunoassays (EIAs) (SeroCT, C tracho(pep), Medac p-EIA, Vircell and Labsystems C trachomatis IgG EIAs) using major outer membrane protein (MOMP), an inactivated organism EIA (Genzyme Virotech EIA), and a genus specific EIA (Platelia Chlamydia IgG) with the whole cell inclusion immunofluorescence (WIF) assay. In addition, to adapt, using time resolved fluorescence technology, the assay showing the highest correlation with WIF.

METHODS

Ninety sera from patients presenting with ectopic pregnancies, 187 sera from those with a variety of types of infertility, 33 sera from cases of PID where a fourfold rise in WIF titre occurred, and 90 sera from antenatal clinic attenders were tested. A panel of 36 sera from laboratory diagnosed cases of Chlamydia psittaci/Chlamydia pneumoniae infection was also tested.

RESULTS

The Genzyme Virotech EIA showed the highest rank correlation coefficient (0.82) with WIF, particularly at high WIF titres. The MOMP specific assays varied in their correlation with WIF, with rank correlation coefficients ranging from 0.70 (Medac p-EIA) to 0.80 (Vircell EIA). The Genzyme Virotech assay showed poor specificity (5.6%; 95% confidence interval (CI), 0.68% to 18.7%)--it was reactive with 34 of the panel of 36 C psittaci/C pneumoniae positive sera. The MOMP based EIAs showed high specificity, particularly the Medac p-ELISA (97.2%; 95% CI, 85.5% to 99.9%)--only one serum was reactive. In view of the good correlation between WIF and the Genzyme Virotech EIA, a time resolved fluorescence immunoassay (TRFIA) was developed using the Genzyme Virotech antigen. Using an appropriate cut off the TRFIA assay showed excellent correlation with WIF.

CONCLUSIONS

The TRFIA assay may be useful as a screening assay, possibly in conjunction with one of the highly specific EIAs studied (for example, Medac p-EIA) to confirm the antibody specificity of sera selected by the screening assay.

Deaths from variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in the UK

In 2002, 17 people died from variant CJD (vCJD) in the UK, compared with 20 in 2001 and 28 in 2000. We analysed data for deaths from vCJD since 1995 and estimated the underlying trend in mortality. The trend had a quadratic component (p=0.005), suggesting that the increase was not exponential, and that the previously increasing trend is slowing down. The death rate peaked in 2000. These findings are encouraging, but mortality might increase again in the future.

Exposure to varicella boosts immunity to herpes-zoster: implications for mass vaccination against chickenpox

We present data to confirm that exposure to varicella boosts immunity to herpes-zoster. We show that exposure to varicella is greater in adults living with children and that this exposure is highly protective against zoster (Incidence ratio=0.75, 95% CI, 0.63-0.89). The data is used to parameterise a mathematical model of varicella zoster virus (VZV) transmission that captures differences in exposure to varicella in adults living with and without children. Under the 'best-fit' model, exposure to varicella is estimated to boost cell-mediated immunity for an average of 20 years (95% CI, 7-41years). Mass varicella vaccination is expected to cause a major epidemic of herpes-zoster, affecting more than 50% of those aged 10-44 years at the introduction of vaccination.

The burden of Helicobacter pylori infection in England and Wales

The prevalence of active infection with Helicobacter pylori in the general population of England and Wales was estimated using high reactivity for specific IgG in serum ELISA as a marker. A total of 10,118 anonymized residues of serum samples collected in 1986 and 1996 from persons aged 1-84 years were used. Estimated prevalence of active infection varied by region and was highest in London. Prevalence was related to decade of birth and increased from 4-3% in those born during the 1980s to 30% in those born before 1940. An estimated total of 7.5 million people living in England and Wales have an active infection and analysis by decade of birth showed no significant difference between samples collected in 1986 and 1996. These data suggest H. pylori infection is becoming less common, is acquired at an early age and is unlikely to be resolved unless suitable antimicrobial treatment is sought.

Incidence trends and short term predictions for variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in the United Kingdom

By the beginning of November 2001, the total number of cases of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease (vCJD) reported in the United Kingdom had reached 111 (www.doh.gov.uk/cjd/stats/nov01.htm). To monitor the underlying trend in vCJD incidence and identify any differences in this trend by factors such as birth cohort and sex, quarterly analyses are performed which estimate the underlying trend.

Statistical assessment of the association between vaccination and rare adverse events post-licensure

Once a new vaccine has been licensed and is in widespread use, it is important to be able to detect and investigate adverse events which may be associated with the vaccine. This is particularly important for rare events which may have been missed in pre-licensure studies. Recent studies investigating adverse events following vaccination have used either a population or a sample of the population (cohort studies), cases matched to controls (case-control studies), or just information on the cases themselves (self-controlled case-series studies). In this paper, the three methods are reviewed and compared and examples are given of recent applications. The effects of potential sources of bias are demonstrated using a data set on MMR vaccine and convulsions.

Time resolved fluorometric immunoassay, using europium labelled antihuman IgG, for the detection of human tetanus antitoxin in serum

A time resolved fluorometric immunoassay (TRFIA) has been developed and compared with an in house enzyme linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) and commercial ELISA (Bindazyme) for the detection of tetanus antitoxin in human sera. A panel of 132 sera submitted for routine testing was used. Scatterplots showed a high degree of correlation between all three assays, although some divergence of results was apparent for low titre sera when comparing in house ELISA results with Bindazyme ELISA and TRFIA results. The TRFIA appeared to be more sensitive than the in house ELISA, and the Bindazyme assay compared well with the TRFIA. The intra-assay precision of all three assays, in terms of percentage coefficient of variation (%CV), was between 2.0% and 4.0%. The interassay precision ranged from 5% to 8% for the in house ELISA, 13% to 19% for the Bindazyme assay, and 11% to 13% for TRFIA. Both Bindazyme and TRFIA assays were simple to perform, accurate, reproducible, and amenable to automation. A particular benefit of the TRFIA was its large dynamic range, enabling tetanus antitoxin values of 0.01 IU/ml to 50 IU/ml to be measured with just one dilution of serum. TRFIA appears to be a useful serological technique worthy of further development.

A model to assess the infection potential of jet injectors used in mass immunisation

Jet injectors are needleless injectors that penetrate skin with high-pressure fluid. They have potential advantages over needles and syringes in mass immunisation programs, but concerns over their capacity to transfer blood-borne viruses have been a barrier to acceptance. Hepatitis B infection can transmit in 10 pl of blood; detection of such low volumes presents severe difficulties to such assessments. A model to assess jet injector safety was developed using injection of an inert buffer into calves and assaying the next injector discharge, representing the next dose of vaccine, for blood using a highly sensitive ELISA. Four injectors were tested: two with reusable heads and direct skin contact, one with single-use injector heads and one where the injector head discharged at a distance from the skin. All injectors tested transmitted significant (over 10 pl) volumes of blood; the volumes and frequency of contamination varied with injector. The source of the contamination was consistent with contamination by efflux of injected fluid and blood from the pressurised pocket in tissue that is formed during injection. This insight should inform the design of safe jet injectors.

The prevalence and genetic diversity of hepatitis C infection in antenatal clinic attenders in two regions of England

The prevalence and genetic diversity of hepatitis C infection in women attending antenatal clinics in two regions of England was investigated to inform future surveillance and control measures. Women booking into antenatal care are routinely offered a test for immunity to rubella. Serum residues from these tests were unlinked, anonymized and archived as part of the Unlinked Anonymous Prevalence Monitoring Programme (UAPMP). The serum specimens were tested for anti-HCV using a cost-effective pooling strategy. After taking into account differential sampling from the UAPMP serum archive, the adjusted overall prevalence of anti-HCV was 0.43% (95% CI: 0.32-0.53) in London and 0.21% (95% CI: 0.14-0.28) in the Northern and Yorkshire region. Restriction fragment length polymorphism of amplified HCV RNA identified type 3a as the most common HCV genotype in these antenatal women. The prevalence of anti-HCV in antenatal women in the UK is low and consistent with that expected from injecting drug use.

Immunity to diphtheria and tetanus in England and Wales

The immunity profile of the English and Welsh population to diphtheria and tetanus has been determined by measuring diphtheria and tetanus antitoxin levels for 3088 and 3142 sera, respectively. Time-resolved fluorimetric immunoassay - DELFIA was used to measure diphtheria antitoxin levels and an in-house, indirect ELISA to measure tetanus antitoxin levels. More than 80% of those aged between 2 and 20-24 years had protective diphtheria antitoxin levels of 0.01 IU/ml, or greater, and more than 80% of those aged between 4 and 35-39 years had protective tetanus antitoxin levels of 0.1 IU/ml, or greater. Only 29% and 53% of those aged 60 and over were protected against diphtheria and tetanus. Two increases of diphtheria antitoxin levels greater than 0.1 IU/ml and tetanus antitoxin levels greater than 1.0 IU/ml were apparent, starting at 4 and 14 years of age, which correspond with the policy of giving a diphtheria and tetanus toxoid booster on school entry and a tetanus plus low-dose diphtheria toxoid (recently introduced) booster to school leavers. This is the first comprehensive study of diphtheria and tetanus immunity in the English and Welsh population and shows that the accelerated schedule of immunisation, introduced in 1990, has effectively primed immunological memory against both these antigens and that boosting at school entry and at school leaving is effective in increasing levels of immunity.

Incidence of variant Creutzfeldt-Jakob disease in the UK

The number of deaths from variant CJD (vCJD) in the UK increased in the last quarter of 1998, although numbers were lower in subsequent quarters. We analysed the numbers of definite and probable (living and dead) vCJD cases since 1994 to assess trends in incidence. We estimated that the number of onsets increased by 23% per year for 1994-2000 (p=0.004), and that deaths increased by 33% for 1995-2000 (p=0.005). The absolute number of cases in the UK is still low, but such an increase should be a matter of concern.

Bordetella pertussis surveillance in England and Wales: 1995-7

Available data sources on disease due to Bordetella pertussis, including notifications, hospital admissions, deaths, and an enhanced laboratory-based surveillance system commenced in January 1994, were reviewed for the period 1995-7. Pertussis notifications continued their approximately 3-year cycle although at historically reduced levels. A slight seasonal increase in late summer/early autumn existed over and above a relatively constant background rate. Over time, the proportion of pertussis cases in younger, unvaccinated children, and to a lesser extent, adolescents and young adults, is increasing. There is a continuing significant and underreported mortality associated with pertussis in the very young age group. Disease due to serotype 1,2 is on the increase despite persistent high vaccination levels and this serotype causes more severe disease. The provision of preventative antibiotics prior to disease onset reduced the severity of the disease but its use remains uncommon in England and Wales. While overall levels of pertussis notifications have declined in recent times, vaccination efficacy wanes with increasing age, and pertussis remains a significant cause of mortality and severe morbidity in the very young. This could be reduced by timely booster vaccination and increased recognition of mild disease in older cases followed by early antibiotic therapy for the very young household contacts.

Modification of the standard method used in the United Kingdom for counting Escherichia coli in live bivalve molluscs

The standard method for counting Escherichia coli in live bivalve molluscs is labour intensive and takes three days to obtain a result. Modifications to the standard method were investigated in a collaborative trial conducted in five centres. No significant difference was found between results based on the presence of acid at 24 hours (h) in first stage tests and those based on the presence of acid and gas after 48 h (standard method). The use of the chromogenic medium BCIG (5-bromo-4-chloro-3-indolyl-beta-D glucuronide) agar incubated at 44 degrees C to confirm first stage tests was also found to give equivalent results to conventional confirmation tests. The preferred, modified method removes the presence of gas as a criterion of detection, uses a chromogenic agar medium to confirm the presence of E. coli, and gives results within 48 h. A distribution of simulated samples and selected strains of E. coli to other laboratories using the PHLS external quality assurance scheme for shellfish found no significant difference between results obtained by the standard and modified methods.

Failed postnatal immunoprophylaxis for hepatitis B: characteristics of maternal hepatitis B virus as risk factors

A retrospective case-control study was conducted to determine why some infants born full-term without obstetric intervention to hepatitis B e antigen (HBeAg)-seropositive mothers become infected by hepatitis B virus (HBV) despite having received passive-active immunoprophylaxis. Cases and controls comprised 12 hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg)-seropositive infants and 22 HBsAg-seronegative infants, respectively. Infants infected by putative vaccine-escape mutants were excluded. Risk factors, after adjustment for the level of maternal viremia, were the following allelic base changes in maternal HBV:C158, A328, G365, and A479 (P = .017, .005, .003, and .005, respectively). High-level maternal viremia (i.e., > or = 10(8) genome equivalents/mL) was a significant factor only after adjustment for G365 (P = .027). HBV DNA sequences recovered from one of the cases, the case's mother, and three infected contacts all had the high-risk mutations. Specific allelic mutations in maternal HBV and level of maternal viremia are potential predictors of vertical breakthrough infection.

Routine antenatal screening for hepatitis B using pooled sera: validation and review of 10 years experience

AIMS

To validate the sensitivity of universal antenatal screening for hepatitis B surface antigen (HBsAg) by testing pools of 10 sera, and to review 10 years' experience using this method.

METHODS

66,945 antenatal patients were tested between 1986 and 1996 using the pooled method. All sera from 1996 (n = 6050) were retrieved and retrospectively tested individually. An in vitro determination of the effect of pooling on sensitivity was performed by checkerboard neutralisation assay.

RESULTS

26 HBsAg positive women were detected by universal screening over 10 years; 12 had non-European surnames and five had known risk factors for hepatitis B infection. High titre anti-HBs sera in the pool reduced the sensitivity of the HBsAg assay, though the effect was only significant at low levels of HBsAg carriage.

CONCLUSIONS

The prevalence of hepatitis B is extremely low in the antenatal population served by Plymouth PHL. Pooling is unlikely to reduce sensitivity enough to lead to significant preventable vertical transmission, and is a cost-effective and valid strategy in areas of low seroprevalence.

Invasive pneumococcal infection in South and West England

Variation in the incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease across South and West England, in 1995, was measured through a survey of microbiology laboratories. A 100% response rate was achieved. The incidence by laboratory varied between 5.2 and 20.4 per 100,000 catchment population (P < 0.001). Adjusting for pneumococcal vaccine uptake rate in over 65 year olds, hospital admission rates, blood culture system used and for the age and sex structure of the population, did not account for this variation. When blood culture sampling rates were included in a logistic regression model, the variation between laboratories was much less and of lower statistical significance (P = 0.019). Higher rates of blood culture sampling were associated with a higher incidence of invasive pneumococcal disease. Consistently high sampling should be encouraged because a higher diagnostic rate should result in more selective prescribing of antibiotics, and secondly because improved ascertainment of severe pneumococcal infections is a prerequisite for the evaluation of new pneumococcal conjugate vaccines.

Respiratory syncytial virus infection and meningococcal disease

Although viral respiratory tract infections may predispose to meningococcal disease, strong evidence that they do so exists only for influenza. Data on laboratory reported cases of respiratory syncytial virus (RSV) infections and meningococcal disease in England and Wales from mid-1989 to mid-1994 were analysed. Although the rise in RSV cases preceded the rise in meningococcal disease cases each winter, the interval between the rise and fall of the two diseases was inconsistent, no association was found between time series after removal of the seasonal component, and there was no evidence that more cases of meningococcal disease occurred in winters with more RSV disease. RSV may have less effect on the two most likely mechanisms whereby influenza predisposes to meningococcal disease, namely lowered immunity and impaired pharyngeal defences.

Factors affecting results obtained with European Community tests for pasteurized milk sampled at the heat treatment establishment

A total of 3000 samples of pasteurized milk taken at the heat treatment establishment over a 1-year period were examined for the presence of phosphatase and by a plate count at 30 degrees C, a coliform count at 30 degrees C, and a plate count at 21 degrees C after pre-incubation of the sample for 5 days at 6 degrees C, performed as prescribed in EC Directive 85/397/EEC. Samples were also examined for presence of Listeria species. Of 2690 samples (1713 from small dairies and 977 from large commercial premises) received at 4 degrees C or less, 96 (3.6%) has a plate count at 30 degrees C exceeding 30,000 organisms per ml, 608 (22.6%) contained 1 or more coliforms per ml, and in 1327 (49.3%) the pre-incubated count exceeded 100,000 organisms per ml. Thirty two samples from 23 dairies contained phosphatase. Listeria species were detected in 25 samples; only three of these strains were identified as Listeria monocytogenes. Results were analysed to determine relationships between factors which might affect test results. Samples from small dairies showed significantly higher coliform counts and pre-incubated plate counts than did those from large commercial premises. They were also more likely to contain phosphatase or Listeria species. Samples were significantly more likely to contain coliforms when taken in the July-September quarter or if received in glass containers.

Diphtheria immunity in UK blood donors

Immunity to diphtheria was determined in serum samples from 1000 UK-born blood donors at the North London Blood Transfusion Centre during a three-month period in 1993; 125 women and 125 men were stratified in 10-year age groups, from 20 to 59. A tissue (vero cell)-culture toxin-neutralisation assay was used to measure serum diphtheria antitoxin concentrations. According to internationally accepted definitions (antitoxin < 0.01 IU/mL = susceptibility, 0.01-0.09 IU/mL = basic protection, and > or = 0.1 IU/mL = full protection), 37.6% of donors were susceptible to diphtheria, 31.5% had basic protection, and 30.9% were fully protected. Log-linear modelling of the influence of age and sex on population immunity showed a significant trend (p < 0.001) of decreasing immunity with increasing age: 25.2% of donors aged 20-29 were susceptible compared with 52.8% of those aged 50-59. There was a small sex effect (p = 0.052); similar proportions of men and women were susceptible, but fewer women had full protection. There was no age-sex interaction on immunity (p = 0.454). Our results suggest that booster immunisation of adults is necessary to increase herd immunity of the adult population.

ABC of colorectal diseases. Rectal prolapse and associated conditions

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Human gut hormone profiles in patients with short bowel syndrome

We have studied gut hormone profiles in a small number of patients on treatment with home parenteral nutrition following near-total enterectomy who had no evidence of inflammatory bowel disease and who were otherwise healthy. These and age- and sex-matched controls had gut hormone profiles measured after an overnight fast and a standard test meal. Circulating pancreatic glucagon concentrations and profiles were the same in both groups as were the neurotensin and VIP. Peptide YY (PYY) concentrations and profiles were markedly raised in the short bowel group. It is suggested that the normal glucagon responses reflect the integrity of the remaining duodenum and pancreas. Circulating neurotensin and VIP originate largely from outside the bowel and so the removal of the gut source does not significantly affect their profiles. Enteroglucagon and PYY are secreted from terminal ileum and colon in response to unabsorbed food residues. The elevated circulating levels and profiles are consistent with those observed by others in patients with jejunoileal bypass or major resections in whom unabsorbed nutrients reach the colon.

Effects of gastric fundic stimulation on glucose absorption and water and electrolyte fluxes from rabbit small bowel

A single-pass perfusion model was developed to measure net fluxes of glucose, water, sodium, and potassium across upper jejunal and duodenal mucosa in vivo in the anaesthetised rabbit. Irrigation of the gastric fundic mucosa with Michaelis' buffer (pH 8) reduced jejunal mean glucose absorption by 21.3% (P less than 0.04) and duodenal glucose absorption by 27.2%. Irrigation of gastric fundic mucosa with 0.1 M glycine at pH 2 increased mean jejunal glucose absorption by 25%. Jejunal net secretion of water and sodium were reduced by gastric fundic alkali. Potassium net fluxes in jejunum and duodenum were not significantly affected. These results support the hypothesis that the gastric fundic mucosa is sensitive to chemical stimulation, responding by a humoral mechanism that modified the rate of glucose absorption from the small bowel mucosa.

Effects of porcine gastric fundic factor, somatostatin, substance P, glucagon, neurotensin, bombesin, VIP, motilin, and pentagastrin on jejunal glucose absorption in the rat

The effects of a porcine gastric fundic mucosal extract (molecular weight less than 10 000) has been compared with the effects of eight candidate gastrointestinal peptides on glucose absorption from the jejunum in a rat model. Bolus injection of the extract produced immediate and marked depression of glucose absorption. None of the candidate peptides tested produced this response, although somatostatin and substance P depressed absorption as a late phenomenon after 30 minutes. We conclude that the effects of the fundic extract are not reproduced by any of these candidate peptides. This strengthens the evidence for a novel gastrointestinal peptide, resident in fundic mucosa, which affects absorption from upper small bowel.