The Emergence of Candida auris is Not Associated with Changes in Antifungal Prescription at Hospitals

Purpose

This study describes the emergence of Candida auris in Hong Kong, focusing on the incidence and trends of different Candida species over time. Additionally, the study analyzes the relationship between C. auris and antifungal prescription, as well as the impact of outbreaks caused by C. auris.

Patients and Methods

Data were collected from 43 public hospitals across seven healthcare networks (A to G) in Hong Kong, including Candida species culture and antifungal prescription information. Among 150,267 patients with 206,405 hospitalization episodes, 371,653 specimens tested positive for Candida species. Trends in Candida species and antifungal prescription were analyzed before (period 1: 2015 1Q to 2019 1Q) and after (period 2: 2019 2Q to 2023 2Q) the emergence of C. auris in Hong Kong.

Results

Candida albicans was the most prevalent species, accounting for 57.1% (212,163/371,653) of isolations, followed by Candida glabrata (13.1%, 48,666), Candida tropicalis (9.2%, 34,261), and Candida parapsilosis (5.3%, 19,688). C. auris represented 2.0% of all Candida species isolations. Comparing period 2 to period 1, the trend of C. albicans remained stable, while C. glabrata, C. tropicalis, and C. parapsilosis demonstrated a slower increasing trend in period 2 than in period 1. Other species, including C. auris, exhibited a 1.1% faster increase in trend during period 2 compared to period 1. Network A, with the highest antifungal prescription, did not experience any outbreaks, while networks F and G had 40 hospital outbreaks due to C. auris in period 2. Throughout the study period, healthcare networks B to G had significantly lower antifungal prescription compared to network A, ranging from 54% to 78% less than that of network A.

Conclusion

There is no evidence showing correlation between the emergence of C. auris and antifungal prescription in Hong Kong. Proactive infection control measures should be implemented to prevent nosocomial transmission and outbreak of C. auris.

Investigation of air dispersal during a rhinovirus outbreak in a pediatric intensive care unit

BACKGROUND

While airborne transmission of rhinovirus is recognized in indoor settings, its role in hospital transmission remains unclear.

METHODS

We investigated an outbreak of rhinovirus in a pediatric intensive care unit (PICU) to assess air dispersal. We collected clinical, environmental, and air samples, and staff's surgical masks for viral load and phylogenetic analysis. Hand hygiene compliance and the number of air changes per hour in the PICU were measured. A case-control analysis was performed to identify nosocomial rhinovirus risk factors.

RESULTS

Between March 31, 2023, and April 2, 2023, three patients acquired rhinovirus in a cubicle (air changes per hour: 14) of 12-bed PICU. A portable air-cleaning unit was placed promptly. Air samples (72,000 L in 6 hours) from the cohort area, and outer surfaces of staff's masks (n = 8), were rhinovirus RNA-negative. Hand hygiene compliance showed no significant differences (31/34, 91.2% vs 33/37, 89.2%, P = 1) before and during outbreak. Only 1 environmental sample (3.8%) was positive (1.86 × 103 copies/mL). Case-control and next-generation sequencing analysis implicated an infected staff member as the source.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that air dispersal of rhinovirus was not documented in the well-ventilated PICU during the outbreak. Further research is needed to better understand the dynamics of rhinovirus transmission in health care settings.

Reporting of paediatric osteoporotic vertebral fractures in Duchenne muscular dystrophy and potential impact on clinical management: the need for standardised and structured reporting

BACKGROUND

In boys with Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD), initiation of bisphosphonate is recommended upon identification of moderate or severe vertebral fractures, even if asymptomatic. Clear radiological reporting is important for consistency of clinical interpretation and management.

OBJECTIVES

To audit radiology reports of spine imaging for vertebral fracture assessment in DMD, and assess potential impact on diagnosis and management.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Lateral thoracolumbar spine imaging (71 lateral spine radiographs and 13 lateral dual energy absorptiometry spine image) in 84 boys with DMD performed across two centres. Anonymised radiology reports by paediatric radiologists were circulated to two neuromuscular clinicians and two endocrinologists. Clinicians determined if there was vertebral fracture, no vertebral fracture, or unclear interpretation. Endocrinologists also determined if bisphosphonate was indicated. A single observer (a clinician with expertise in vertebral fracture assessment) performed vertebral fracture assessment in 37 images and re-reported using a structured format. Structured reports were re-circulated to the four clinicians to re-evaluate the degree of concordance in clinical diagnosis of vertebral fracture and treatment decisions with bisphosphonate.

RESULTS

The term "fracture" was used in 25/84 (30%) radiology reports and only in 8/43 (19%) with description of vertebral body abnormalities. Fracture grading was included in 7/43 (16%) radiology reports. Diagnostic concordance by the clinicians was noted in 36/84 (43%). Unclear interpretation was noted in 22% to 51% based on radiology reports. No unclear interpretation was noted with structured reports. Complete diagnostic (37/37, 100%) and treatment (37/37, 100%) concordance was noted with the structured reports, whereas complete diagnostic and treatment concordance was noted in only 16/37 (43%) and 17/37 (46%) of the radiology reports, respectively.

CONCLUSION

Only a third of radiology reports of spine imaging in DMD explicitly used the terminology "fracture". Grading was only noted in a small percentage. Variability in diagnostic interpretation by clinicians may lead to differing management plans. As identification of vertebral fracture is a trigger for treatment, developing reporting guidelines for paediatric vertebral fracture assessment will improve care. A structured template should be introduced for radiological reporting of paediatric vertebral fracture assessment.

Air dispersal of severe acute respiratory coronavirus virus 2 (SARS-CoV-2): Implications for hospital infection control during the fifth wave of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) due to the SARS-CoV-2 omicron variant in Hong Kong

We obtained 24 air samples in 8 general wards temporarily converted into negative-pressure wards admitting coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) patients infected with severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) omicron variant BA.2.2 in Hong Kong. SARS-CoV-2 RNA was detected in 19 (79.2%) of 24 samples despite enhanced indoor air dilution. It is difficult to prevent airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 in hospitals.

Epidemiology of multidrug-resistant organisms before and during COVID-19 in Hong Kong

Background

The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) has influenced antimicrobial consumption and incidence of multidrug-resistant organisms (MDROs). We aimed to study the epidemiology of MDROs before and during the COVID-19 pandemic in Hong Kong.

Methods

With the maintenance of infection control measures, we described the trend of MDRO infections, including methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA), carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter species (CRA), and extended-spectrum-beta-lactamase-(ESBL)-producing Enterobacterales, in a healthcare region with 3100-bed before (1 January 2016 to 31 December 2019, period 1) and during COVID-19 (1 January 2020 to 30 September 2022, period 2), together with the antimicrobial consumption using piecewise Poisson regression. The epidemiological characteristics of newly diagnosed COVID-19 patients with or without MDRO infections were analyzed.

Results

Between period 1 and 2, we observed a significant increase in the trend of CRA infections (P<0.001), while there was no significant increase in the trend of MRSA (P=0.742) and ESBL-producing Enterobacterales (P=0.061) infections. Meanwhile, a significant increase in the trend of carbapenems (P<0.001), extended-spectrum beta-lactam-beta-lactamase inhibitor combinations (BLBI) (P=0.045), and fluoroquinolones (P=0.009) consumption was observed. The observed opportunity (23,540 ± 3703 vs 26,145 ± 2838, p=0.359) and compliance (81.6% ± 0.5% vs 80.1% ± 0.8%, P=0.209) of hand hygiene per year was maintained. In a multivariable model, older age, male sex, referral from residential care home for the elderly, presence of indwelling device, presence of endotracheal tube, and use of carbapenems, use of BLBI, use of proton pump inhibitors and history of hospitalization in the past 3 months were associated with higher risks of infections by MDROs among COVID-19 patients.

Conclusion

Infection control measures may control the surge of MDROs despite an increasing trend of antimicrobial consumption.

Analysis of the injury severity of motor vehicle-pedestrian crashes at urban intersections using spatiotemporal logistic regression models

This paper conducted a comprehensive study on the injury severity of motor vehicle-pedestrian crashes at 489 urban intersections across a dense road network based on high-resolution accident data recorded by the police from 2010 to 2019 in Hong Kong. Given that accounting for the spatial and temporal correlations simultaneously among crash data can contribute to unbiased parameter estimations for exogenous variables and improved model performance, we developed spatiotemporal logistic regression models with various spatial formulations and temporal configurations. The results indicated that the model with the Leroux conditional autoregressive prior and random walk structure outperformed other alternatives in terms of goodness-of-fit and classification accuracy. According to the parameter estimates, pedestrian age, head injury, pedestrian location, pedestrian actions, driver maneuvers, vehicle type, first point of collision, and traffic congestion status significantly affected the severity of pedestrian injuries. On the basis of our analysis, a range of targeted countermeasures integrating safety education, traffic enforcement, road design, and intelligent traffic technologies were proposed to improve the safe mobility of pedestrians at urban intersections. The present study provides a rich and sound toolkit for safety analysts to deal with spatiotemporal correlations when modeling crashes aggregated at contiguous spatial units within multiple years.

Epidemiology and risk factors for Carbapenemase-Producing Enterobacteriaceae carriage in the hospital: a population-based nested case-control study

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to study the epidemiology of Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae (CPE) in Hong Kong.

METHODS

This is a longitudinal population-based study reporting monthly CPE incidence rate and a nested case-control study for identifying risk factors for CPE carriage. The cases were patients with at least one CPE positive genotypic test, while the controls were randomly selected from the cohort with negative tests. Up to four controls per case were matched by sex, age group, and admission year-month. The independent risk factors were identified from a conditional logistic regression with potential covariates.

RESULTS

From 1^st January 2008 to 31^st December 2019, 8,588 patients received CPE genotyping tests, and 2,353 had at least one positive result. Class B carbapenemase was the predominant enzyme in the samples (78.6%). The incidence rate increased from 0.04 in 2015 to 1.62 in 2019 per 10,000 person-year. In the nested case-control study, 1709 cases and 6664 controls were matched. Previous use of any beta-lactam antibiotics [Odds ratio:1.37 (1.22-1.53), p<.001] was found as an independent risk factor for carriage of CPE.

CONCLUSION

The carriage of CPE was found with an increasing trend in Hong Kong. Previous use of any beta-lactam antibiotics is a risk factor for CPE.

SUMMARY

The incidence rate of Carbapenemase-producing Enterobacteriaceae is increasing in Hong Kong, with the predominant enzyme of class B carbapenemase. With multivariable conditional logistic regression, the previous use of any beta-lactam antibiotics was found as an independent risk factor for CPE carriage.

Infection of healthcare workers despite a high vaccination rate during the fifth wave of COVID-19 due to Omicron variant in Hong Kong

Background

No nosocomial infection was recorded in our healthcare workers (HCWs) during the early phase of the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic. With the emergence of the Omicron variant of increased transmissibility, infection in HCWs occurred as expected. We aimed to study the epidemiology of infection in HCWs and to describe the infection control measures during the outbreak of the Omicron variant.

Methods

With daily rapid antigen testing and molecular confirmation test for COVID-19, infected HCWs were interviewed by infection control nurses (ICNs) to investigate the potential source of infection. The epidemiology of COVID-19 in Hong Kong served as reference.

Results

During the fifth wave of COVID-19 (31 December 2021 to 31 May 2022), 1,200,068 cases were reported (incidence 95 times higher than in preceding waves in Hong Kong; 162,103 vs 1,707 per million population respectively, P<0.001). The proportion of infected HCWs was significantly higher than that of the general population (24.9%, 1,607/6,452 vs 16.2%, 1,200,068/7,403,100 respectively; P<0.01). The proportion of infected non-clinical staff was significantly higher than that of clinical staff (31.8%, 536/1,687 vs 22.5%, 1,071/4,765 respectively; P<0.001). Of 82.8% (1,330/1,607) infected HCWs interviewed by ICNs, 99.5% (1,324/1,330) had been fully vaccinated; 49.5% (659/1,330) had no identifiable source; 40.7% (541/1,330) were probably infected from household members; 9.8% (130/1,330) had possible exposure to confirmed patients or HCWs, but no lapse in infection control measures or inappropriate use of personal protective equipment was recalled.

Conclusion

Omicron variant is highly transmissible such that breakthrough infection occurred despite high level of vaccination.

Comparison of adhesive single-lead cardiac ECG patch device with Holter monitoring for detecting atrial fibrillation after an acute cerebral ischemic event: An interim analysis

Funding Acknowledgements

Type of funding sources: Public grant(s) – National budget only. Main funding source(s): Ministry of Health Malaysia

Background

Stroke secondary to atrial fibrillation (AF) is common and often associated with higher risk of stroke recurrence. Detection of AF is challenging due to brief unpredictable episodes of AF runs, especially in patients whose admission electrocardiogram (ECG) demonstrates a sinus rhythm. Probability of AF detection may be higher with early initiation of prolonged ECG monitoring.

Purpose

To compare diagnostic yield of 7-day cardiac ECG patch versus 24-hour Holter monitoring for detecting AF≥30 seconds; to identify predictors of AF in stroke patients; to determine if 7-day cardiac ECG patch results in a change in clinical practice.

Methods

In this investigator-initiated prospective study with pairwise comparison of 24-hour Holter and 7-day cardiac ECG patch monitoring, 150 patients who were admitted to a tertiary referral centre with acute ischemic stroke (AIS) or transient ischemic attack (TIA) within 1 week, without known AF, and had sinus rhythm in the admission 12-lead ECG were enrolled. Each patient underwent simultaneous 24-hour Holter and 7-day cardiac ECG patch monitoring. Routine transthoracic echocardiography was performed on each patient to assess cardiac function and exclude intracardiac thrombus.

Results

There were 102 (68.0%) male patients. 12 (8.0%) patients had underlying history of coronary artery disease; 26 (17.3%) had recurrent stroke or TIA. On admission, median NIH Stroke scale was 4; 18 (12.0%) patients had thrombolysis with alteplase. On transthoracic echocardiography, none had intracardiac thrombus.

Both Holter and cardiac ECG patch monitoring were initiated simultaneously at median 2 days after index stroke event. Of 150 patients, 17 (11.3%) detected AF ≥30 seconds. Of these 17 patients, 7 (4.7%) had AF detected within the first 24 hours on both Holter and cardiac ECG patch; 10 (6.7%) were detected after 24 hours on cardiac ECG patch only. Number needed to screen to detect one AF was 6. Compliance to 7-day cardiac ECG patch monitoring was 81.3%.

There was no significant difference in age among patients with and without AF. Although left atrium (LA) was not found to be dilated in patients with AF, LA volume index was significantly higher (28.3±15.9 vs 21.8±8.5, p=0.018) and LA emptying fraction (LAEF) was significantly lower (38.0%±30.2 vs 52.6%±16.7, p=0.007). The prolonged 7-day cardiac ECG monitoring patch resulted in 1.5-fold increase in prescription of anticoagulation therapy.

Conclusions

A 7-day cardiac ECG patch monitoring detected more patients with AF ≥30 seconds than 24-hour Holter monitoring and resulted in increase in prescription of anticoagulation therapy. Higher LA volume index and lower LA emptying fraction were predictors of AF in patients with a recent stroke.

An assessment of the effect of green signal countdown timers on drivers' behavior and on road safety at intersections, based on driving simulator experiments and naturalistic observation studies

INTRODUCTION

Motor-vehicle crashes at signalized intersections are a significant traffic safety problem. To address this problem, many Asian cities have installed signal countdown displays at signalized intersections, aiming to assist drivers to make correct decisions in response to traffic signals.

METHOD

In this study, we assessed the short-term and long-term effects of green signal countdown timers (GSCTs) on road safety, using a combination of driving simulator experiments and naturalistic observations.

RESULTS

In our driving simulator experiments, 80 participants drove at 50 km/h in scenarios in which a car either approached a signalized intersection alone or following another car. In naturalistic observations, short-term (1-week) and long-term (1-year) intersection safety in the presence and absence of GSCTs were compared. These observations revealed that GSCTs reduced the number of red-light-running violations over the short term, but not over the long term. In fact, GSCTs appeared to lead to an overall increase in rear-end crash risk at intersections, as their presence resulted in drivers exhibiting more sudden acceleration and braking, and altered intersection-crossing speeds and patterns.

CONCLUSIONS

The results suggest that GSCTs worsen safety at signalized intersections, and thus their removal should be considered.

Control of Healthcare-Associated Carbapenem-Resistant Acinetobacter baumannii by Enhancement of Infection Control Measures

Antimicrobial stewardship and infection control measures are equally important in the control of antimicrobial-resistant organisms. We conducted a retrospective analysis of the incidence rate of hospital-onset carbapenem-resistant Acinetobacter baumannii (CRAB) infection (per 1000 patient days) in the Queen Mary Hospital, a 1700-bed, university-affiliated teaching hospital, from period 1 (1 January 2007 to 31 December 2013) to period 2 (1 January 2014 to 31 December 2019), where enhanced infection control measures, including directly observed hand hygiene before meal and medication rounds to conscious patients, and the priority use of single room isolation, were implemented during period 2. This study aimed to investigate the association between enhanced infection control measures and changes in the trend in the incidence rate of hospital-onset CRAB infection. Antimicrobial consumption (defined daily dose per 1000 patient days) was monitored. Interrupted time series, in particular segmented Poisson regression, was used. The hospital-onset CRAB infection increased by 21.3% per year [relative risk (RR): 1.213, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.162−1.266, p < 0.001], whereas the consumption of the extended spectrum betalactam-betalactamase inhibitor (BLBI) combination and cephalosporins increased by 11.2% per year (RR: 1.112, 95% CI: 1.102−1.122, p < 0.001) and 4.2% per year (RR: 1.042, 95% CI: 1.028−1.056, p < 0.001), respectively, in period 1. With enhanced infection control measures, the hospital-onset CRAB infection decreased by 9.8% per year (RR: 0.902, 95% CI: 0.854−0.953, p < 0.001), whereas the consumption of the extended spectrum BLBI combination and cephalosporins increased by 3.8% per year (RR: 1.038, 95% CI: 1.033−1.044, p < 0.001) and 7.6% per year (RR: 1.076, 95% CI: 1.056−1.097, p < 0.001), respectively, in period 2. The consumption of carbapenems increased by 8.4% per year (RR: 1.84, 95% CI: 1.073−1.094, p < 0.001) in both period 1 and period 2. The control of healthcare-associated CRAB could be achieved by infection control measures with an emphasis on directly observed hand hygiene, despite an increasing trend of antimicrobial consumption.

Explosive outbreak of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant is associated with vertical transmission in high-rise residential buildings in Hong Kong

The phenomenon of vertical transmission of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) in high-rise residential buildings (HRRBs) is unique in our densely populated cosmopolitan city. The compulsory testing of a whole building under the scheme of restriction-testing declaration (RTD) during the fourth wave (non-Omicron variant) and fifth wave (mostly Omicron variant) of COVID-19 outbreak in Hong Kong allowed us to study the prevalence of this phenomenon, which may represent a form of airborne transmission. From 23 January 2021 to 24 March 2022, 25,450 (5.8%) of 436,397 residents from 223 (63.0%) of 354 HRRBs under RTD were test-positive for SARS-CoV-2. Using the clustering of cases among vertically aligned flats with shared drainage stack and lightwell as a surrogate marker of vertical transmission, the number of vertically aligned flats with positive COVID-19 cases was significantly higher in the fifth wave compared with the fourth wave (14.2%, 6471/45,531 vs 0.24%, 3/1272; p < 0.001; or 2212 vs 1 per-million-flats; p < 0.001). Excluding 22,801 residents from 38 HRRBs who were tested negative outside the 12-week periods selected in fourth and fifth waves, the positive rate among residents was significantly higher among residents during the fifth wave than the fourth wave (6.5%, 25,434/389,700 vs 0.07%, 16/23,896; p < 0.001). Within the flats with COVID-19 cases, the proportion of vertically aligned flats was also significantly higher in the fifth wave than in the fourth wave (95.6%, 6471/6766 vs 30.0%, 3/10, p < 0.001). The proportion of HRRBs with COVID-19 cases was significantly higher during the corresponding 12-week period chosen for comparison (78.2%, 219/280 vs 11.1%, 4/36; p < 0.001). Whole-genome phylogenetic analysis of 332 viral genomes showed that Omicron BA.2 was the predominant strain, supporting the high transmissibility of BA.2 by airborne excreta-aerosol route in HRRBs of Hong Kong.

Outbreak investigation of airborne transmission of Omicron (B.1.1.529) - SARS-CoV-2 variant of concern in a restaurant: Implication for enhancement of indoor air dilution

Airborne transmission of SARS-CoV-2 has been increasingly recognized in the outbreak of COVID-19, especially with the Omicron variant. We investigated an outbreak due to Omicron variant in a restaurant. Besides epidemiological and phylogenetic analyses, the secondary attack rates of customers of restaurant-related COVID-19 outbreak before (Outbreak R1) and after enhancement of indoor air dilution (Outbreak R2) were compared. On 27th December 2021, an index case stayed in restaurant R2 for 98 min. Except for 1 sitting in the same table, six other secondary cases sat in 3 corners at 3 different zones, which were served by different staff. The median exposure time was 34 min (range: 19-98 min). All 7 secondary cases were phylogenetically related to the index. Smoke test demonstrated that the airflow direction may explain the distribution of secondary cases. Compared with an earlier COVID-19 outbreak in another restaurant R1 (19th February 2021), which occurred prior to the mandatory enhancement of indoor air dilution, the secondary attack rate among customers in R2 was significantly lower than that in R1 (3.4%, 7/207 vs 28.9%, 22/76, p<0.001). Enhancement of indoor air dilution through ventilation and installation of air purifier could minimize the risk of SARS-CoV-2 transmission in the restaurants.

Rapid spread of SARS-CoV-2 Omicron subvariant BA.2 in a single-source community outbreak

Background

The SARS-CoV-2 Omicron variant BA.2 sublineage has increased rapidly in Europe and Asia since January 2022. Here, we report the epidemiological and genomic analysis of a large single source BA.2 outbreak in a housing estate.

Methods

We analyzed the epidemiological information of a community outbreak of BA.2 (STY outbreak). We performed whole viral genome sequencing using the Oxford Nanopore MinION device. We calculated the doubling time of the outbreak within a housing estate.

Results

The STY outbreak involved a total of 768 individuals as of 5 ^th February 2022, including 432 residents, visitors or staff (56.3%) from a single housing estate (KC Estate). The outbreak at the KC Estate has a short doubling time of 1.28 days (95% confidence interval: 0.560-1.935). The outbreak was promptly controlled with the lockdown of 3 buildings within the housing estate. Whole genome sequencing was performed for 133 patients in the STY outbreak, including 106 residents of the KC Estate. All 133 sequences from the STY outbreak belonged to the BA.2 sublineage, and phylogenetic analysis showed that these sequences cluster together. All individuals in the STY cluster had the unique mutation C12525T.

Conclusions

Our study highlights the exceptionally high transmissibility of the Omicron variant BA.2 sublineage in Hong Kong where stringent measures are implemented as part of the elimination strategy. Continual genomic surveillance is crucial in monitoring the emergence of epidemiologically important Omicron sub-variants.

Cocirculation of two SARS-CoV-2 variant strains within imported pet hamsters in Hong Kong

During the investigation of a pet shop outbreak of severe acute respiratory coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) with probable hamster-to-human transmission, the environmental and hamster samples in epidemiologically linked pet shops were found positive for SARS-CoV-2 Delta variant AY.127 strains which are phylogenetically closely related to patient and reported European strains. This interspecies spill-over has triggered transmission chains involving 58 patients epidemiologically linked to three pet shops. Incidentally, three dwarf hamsters imported from Netherlands and centralized in a warehouse distributing animals to pet shops were positive for SARS-CoV-2 spike variant phylogenetically related to European B.1.258 strains since March 2020. This B.1.258 strain has almost disappeared since July 2021. While no hamster-to-human transmission of B.1.258-like strain was found in this outbreak, molecular docking showed that its spike receptor binding domain (RBD) has similar binding energy to human ACE2 when compared with that of Delta variant AY.127. Therefore, the potential of this B.1.258-related spike variant for interspecies jumping cannot be ignored. The co-circulation of both B.1.258-related spike variants with Delta AY.127 which originated in Europe and was not previously found in Hong Kong suggested that hamsters in our wholesale warehouse and retail pet shops more likely have acquired these viruses in Netherlands or stopovers during delivery by aviation than locally. The risk of human-to-hamster reverse zoonosis by multiple SARS-CoV-2 variants leading to further adaptive spike mutations with subsequent transmission back to human cannot be underestimated as outbreak source of COVID-19. Testing of imported pet animals susceptible to SARS-CoV-2 is warranted to prevent future outbreaks.

Uncertainty matters: Bayesian modeling of bicycle crashes with incomplete exposure data

BACKGROUND

One major challenge faced by neighborhood-level bicycle safety analysis is the lack of complete and reliable exposure data for the entire area under investigation. Although the conventional travel-diary surveys, together with the emerging smartphone fitness applications and bike-sharing systems, provide straightforward and valuable opportunities to estimate territory-wide bicycle activities, the obtained ridership suffers inherently from underreporting.

METHODS

We introduced the Bayesian simultaneous-equation model as a sound methodological alternative here to address the uncertainty arising from incomplete exposure data when modeling bicycle crashes. The proposed method was successfully fitted to a crowdsourced dataset of 792 bicycle-motor vehicle (BMV) crashes aggregated from 209 neighborhoods over a 3-year period in Hong Kong.

RESULTS

Our analysis empirically demonstrated the bias due to omission of activity-based exposure measures or to the direct use of cycling distance extracted from the travel-diary survey without correcting for incompleteness. By modeling bicycle activities and the frequency of BMV crashes simultaneously, we also provided new evidence that an expansion of bicycle infrastructure was likely associated with a significant increase in cycling levels and a substantial reduction in the risk of BMV crashes, despite a slight increase in the absolute number of BMV crashes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our approach is promising in adjusting for the uncertainty in raw exposure data, extrapolating the missing exposure values, and untangling the linkage among built environment, bicycle activities, and the frequency of BMV crashes within a unified framework. To promote safer cycling, designated facilities should be provided to consecutively separate cyclists from motor vehicles.

Gastrointestinal colonization of methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus: an unrecognized burden in the hospital infection control

The incidence, risk factors, outcomes, and genomic relatedness of patients with newly diagnosed gastrointestinal colonization of meticillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (MRSA) were analyzed epidemiologically and genetically by whole genome sequencing (WGS) in a hospital network in Hong Kong. Between 1 October 2015 and 31 December 2018, 919 (2.7%) of 34,667 patients had newly diagnosed gastrointestinal MRSA colonization by admission screening. The incidence was 0.67±0.32 per 1,000-patient-days-per-quarter. Including patients with gastrointestinal MRSA colonization, the overall burden of MRSA increased by 59.2% (from 1.13±0.13 to 1.80±0.36 case per 1,000-patient-days-per-quarter), with an addition of MRSA 4,727 patient-days during the study period. Patients referred from residential care home for the elderly [odds ratio (95% confidential interval): 4.18 (3.50-4.99), p<0.001], with history of hospitalization in the past 6 months [1.90 (1.56-2.30), p<0.001], and consumption of fluoroquinolones [1.76 (1.34-2.30), p<0.001], cephalosporins [1.61 (1.11-2.31), p=0.011], and proton pump inhibitors [1.31 (1.10-1.56), p=0.002] in the preceding 6 months were found to be independent risk factors by multivariable analysis in the case-control analysis. The median survival of case was significantly shorter than control (860 vs 1507 days, p<0.001). 127 (13.8%) of 919 patients developed symptomatic MRSA infection in 112 days (median, range: 2-712 days). Of 19 patients with paired MRSA faecal and blood culture isolates subjected to WGS, clonality was found in 16 (84.2%) pairs of MRSA isolates. MRSA ST45 constituted 44.7% (17/38) of MRSA isolates. Gastrointestinal MRSA colonization may contribute to adverse clinical outcomes and pose an unrecognized burden to the hospital infection control.

Complementation of contact tracing by mass testing for successful containment of beta COVID-19 variant (SARS-CoV-2 VOC B.1.351) epidemic in Hong Kong

BACKGROUND

Global dissemination of SARS-CoV-2 Variants of Concern (VOCs) remains a concern. The aim of this study is to describe how mass testing and phylogenetic analysis successfully prevented local transmission of SARS-CoV-2 VOC in a densely populated city with low herd immunity for COVID-19.

METHODS

In this descriptive study, we conducted contact tracing, quarantine, and mass testing of the potentially exposed contacts with the index case. Epidemiological investigation and phylogeographic analysis were performed.

FINDINGS

Among 11,818 laboratory confirmed cases of COVID-19 diagnosed till 13th May 2021 in Hong Kong, SARS-CoV-2 VOCs were found in 271 (2.3%) cases. Except for 10 locally acquired secondary cases, all SARS-CoV-2 VOCs were imported or acquired in quarantine hotels. The index case of this SARS-CoV-2 VOC B.1.351 epidemic, an inbound traveler with asymptomatic infection, was diagnosed 9 days after completing 21 days of quarantine. Contact tracing of 163 contacts in household, hotel, and residential building only revealed 1 (0.6%) secondary case. A symptomatic foreign domestic helper (FDH) without apparent epidemiological link but infected by virus with identical genome sequence was subsequently confirmed. Mass testing of 0.34 million FDHs identified two more cases which were phylogenetically linked. A total of 10 secondary cases were identified that were related to two household gatherings. The clinical attack rate of household close contact was significantly higher than non-household exposure during quarantine (7/25, 28% vs 0/2051, 0%; p<0.001).

INTERPRETATION

The rising epidemic of SARS-CoV-2 VOC transmission could be successfully controlled by contact tracing, quarantine, and rapid genome sequencing complemented by mass testing.

FUNDING

Health and Medical Research Fund Commissioned Research on Control of Infectious Disease (see acknowledgments for full list).

Two-year plaque level outcomes involving the left anterior descending artery: insights from the Lipid-Rich Plaque study

Background

Coronary artery disease (CAD) is more frequently seen in the left anterior descending artery (LAD). LAD disease resulting in an acute anterior wall myocardial infarction (MI) is associated with a low left ventricular ejection fraction and invariably a worsened prognosis. The Lipid Rich Plaque (LRP) Study reported the strong association between NIRS-IVUS derived max4mmLCBI and future plaque events in non-culprit vessels.

Objective

To report the events involving the LAD versus the other major coronary vessels in the Lipid-Rich Plaque study.

Methods

The LRP Study was an international, multicenter, prospective cohort study conducted in patients with suspected CAD who underwent cardiac catheterization with possible ad hoc percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI) for an index event. Plaque level events within the subsequent 2 years were adjudicated. Plaque level events were defined as the composite of cardiac death, cardiac arrest, non-fatal MI, acute coronary syndrome (ACS), revascularization by coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG) or PCI, and rehospitalization for angina with &gt;20% stenosis progression related and unrelated to the treatment at index procedure. All together these events were reported as Non-Culprit Lesion-related Major Adverse Cardiac Events (NC-MACE). Prespecified subgroups of segments were defined according to LAD (vs. non-LAD) with maxLCBI4mm ≤400 or &gt;400.

Results

A total of 57 plaque events occurred through 2 years of follow-up. More than half occurred in the LAD, followed by the LCX and the RCA. There were more, albeit non-statistically significant, lipid-rich plaques in the LAD, compared to the LCX and RCA: 12.5% vs 10.4% and 11.3%, respectively, p=0.097. A minimum lumen area (MLA) ≤4mm2 within the maxLCBI4mm was observed more in the LAD and the LCX, compared to the RCA: 34.1% vs 25.9% vs 13.7%, respectively, p&lt;0.001. Lipid rich plaque (maxLCBI4mm&gt;400) was present in 20/57 (35.1%) of the plaque level events, a large PB (≥70%) was present in 6/57 (10.5%), and a small MLA (≤4mm2) was present in 26/57 (45.6%). Out of the 57 plaque level events, 4 (7%) had all three high risk plaque characteristics.

Presence of an elevated maxLCBI4mm (&gt;400) was predictive of NC-MACE in all subgroups (for LAD &gt;400 HR 4.32; 95% CI (1.93, 9.69; p 0.0004) and for the non-LAD &gt;400 HR 2.56; 95% CI (1.06, 6.17; p 0.0354).

Conclusion

Non-culprit segments in the LAD with maxLCBI4mm values &gt;400 were more frequently associated with plaque level events than in the lipid -rich segments in the other epicardial vessels. This sub-study results point to the unequivocal value of maxLCBI4mm&gt;400 in predicting future plaque level events especially in the LAD.

Funding Acknowledgement

Type of funding sources: Private company. Main funding source(s): Infraredx Plaque Events-Ware Segment Locations

On random-parameter count models for out-of-sample crash prediction: Accounting for the variances of random-parameter distributions

One challenge faced by the random-parameter count models for crash prediction is the unavailability of unique coefficients for out-of-sample observations. The means of the random-parameter distributions are typically used without explicit consideration of the variances. In this study, by virtue of the Taylor series expansion, we proposed a straightforward yet analytic solution to include both the means and variances of random parameters for unbiased prediction. We then theoretically quantified the systematic bias arising from the omission of the variances of random parameters. Our numerical experiment further demonstrated that simply using the means of random parameters to predict the number of crashes for out-of-sample observations is fundamentally incorrect, which necessarily results in the underprediction of crash counts. Given the widespread use and ongoing prevalence of the random-parameter approach in crash analysis, special caution should be taken to avoid this silent pitfall when applying it for predictive purposes.

Nosocomial outbreak of COVID-19 by possible airborne transmission leading to a superspreading event

Background

Nosocomial outbreaks with superspreading of COVID-19 due to a possible airborne transmission has not been reported.

Methods

Epidemiological analysis, environmental samplings, and whole genome sequencing (WGS) were performed for a hospital outbreak.

Results

A superspreading event involving 12 patients and 9 healthcare workers (HCWs) occurred within 4 days in 3 of 6 cubicles at an old-fashioned general ward with no air exhaust built within the cubicles. The environmental contamination by SARS-CoV-2 RNA was significantly higher in air grilles (>2m from patients’ head and not reachable by hands) than high-touch clinical surfaces (36.4%, 8/22 vs 3.4%, 1/29, p=0.003). Six (66.7%) of 9 contaminated air exhaust grilles were located outside patient cubicle. The clinical attack rate of patients was significantly higher than HCWs (15.4%, 12/78 exposed-patients vs 4.6%, 9/195 exposed-HCWs, p=0.005). Moreover, clinical attack rate of ward-based HCWs was significantly higher than non-ward-based HCWs (8.1%, 7/68 vs 1.8%, 2/109, p=0.045). The episodes (mean ± S.D) of patient-care duty assignment in the cubicles was significantly higher among infected ward-based HCWs than non-infected ward-based HCWs (6.0±2.4 vs 3.0±2.9, p=0.012) during the outbreak period. The outbreak strains belong to SARS-CoV-2 lineage, B.1.36.27 (GISAID Clade GH) with the unique S-T470N mutation on WGS.

Conclusion

This nosocomial point source superspreading due to possible airborne transmission demonstrated the need for stringent SARS-CoV-2 screening at admission to healthcare facilities and better architectural design of the ventilation system to prevent such outbreaks. Portable high-efficiency particulate filters were installed in each cubicle to improve ventilation before resumption of clinical service.

Findings from the first public COVID-19 temporary test centre in Hong Kong

INTRODUCTION

The Hospital Authority of Hong Kong Special Administrative Region established a coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) temporary test centre at the AsiaWorld-Expo from March 2020 to April 2020, which allowed high-risk individuals to undergo early assessment of potential severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infection. This study reviewed the characteristics and outcomes of individuals who attended the centre for COVID-19 testing.

METHODS

This retrospective cross-sectional study collected epidemiological and clinical data. The primary outcome was a positive or negative SARS-CoV-2 test result, according to reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction analyses of pooled nasopharyngeal and throat swabs collected at the centre. The relationships of clinical characteristics with SARS-CoV-2 positive test results were assessed by multivariable binary logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of 1258 attendees included in the analysis, 86 individuals tested positive for SARS-CoV-2 infection (positivity rate=6.84%; 95% confidence interval [CI]=5.57%-8.37%). Of these 86 individuals, 40 (46.5%) were aged 15 to 24 years and 81 (94.2%) had a history of recent travel. Symptoms were reported by 86.0% and 96.3% of individuals with positive and negative test results, respectively. The clinical characteristics most strongly associated with a positive test result were anosmia (adjusted odds ratio [OR_adj]=8.30; 95% CI=1.12-127.09) and fever OR_adj=1.32; 95% CI=1.02-3.28).

CONCLUSION

The temporary test centre successfully helped identify individuals with COVID-19 who exhibited mild disease symptoms. Healthcare providers should carefully consider the epidemiological and clinical characteristics of COVID-19 to arrange early testing to reduce community spread.

Absence of nosocomial influenza and respiratory syncytial virus infection in the coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) era: Implication of universal masking in hospitals

Universal masking for healthcare workers and patients in hospitals was adopted to combat coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19), with compliance rates of 100% and 75.9%, respectively. Zero rates of nosocomial influenza A, influenza B, and respiratory syncytial virus infection were achieved from February to April 2020, which was significantly lower than the corresponding months in 2017-2019.

Right-looking habit and maladaptation of pedestrians in areas with unfamiliar driving rules

Both left-driving (LD) and right-driving (RD) rules are used around the world. When traveling to places with different driving rules, pedestrians are likely to make mistakes. To investigate the frequency of such mistakes, a case study was conducted with pedestrians in Hong Kong, which follows LD rules, i.e., traffic drives on the left. The study aimed to probe the effects of hometown driving rules and length of stay on pedestrians' right-looking habit and maladaptation to the Hong Kong LD system and determine the mediating effect of the right-looking habit. A face-to-face survey was conducted with 581 respondents at seven locations in Hong Kong. A structural equation model was applied to determine the relationship among hometown driving rules, length of stay, right-looking habit, and maladaptation. The model exhibited good fitness (χ²/degrees of freedom=2.154; comparative fit index=0.989; Tucker-Lewis Index=0.980; and root mean square error of approximation=0.045). The results revealed that hometown driving rules and length of stay had positive effects on the right-looking habit, and hometown driving rules had a direct negative effect on maladaptation. The right-looking habit partially mediated the effect of hometown driving rules and fully mediated the effect of length of stay on maladaptation to the Hong Kong LD system. It was found that when foreign pedestrians were in areas with unfamiliar driving rules, they tended to practice their hometown looking habits, especially foreign pedestrians who had stayed only for a short time; this behavior differed significantly from that of local pedestrians, and it led to more severe maladaptation. The findings of this study provide empirical evidence of pedestrians' looking habits and maladaptation in areas with unfamiliar driving systems and have significant implications for improving the safety of foreign pedestrians.

Towards activity-based exposure measures in spatial analysis of pedestrian-motor vehicle crashes

BACKGROUND

Although numerous efforts have been devoted to exploring the effects of area-wide factors on the frequency of pedestrian crashes in neighborhoods over the past two decades, existing studies have largely failed to provide a full picture of the factors that contribute to the incidence of zonal pedestrian crashes, due to the unavailability of reliable exposure data and use of less sound analytical methods.

METHODS

Based on a crowdsourced dataset in Hong Kong, we first proposed a procedure to extract pedestrian trajectories from travel-diary survey data. We then aggregated these data to 209 neighborhoods and developed a Bayesian spatially varying coefficients model to investigate the spatially non-stationary relationships between the number of pedestrian-motor vehicle (PMV) crashes and related risk factors. To dissect the role of pedestrian exposure, the estimated coefficients of models with population, walking trips, walking time, and walking distance as the measure of pedestrian exposure were presented and compared.

RESULTS

Our results indicated substantial inconsistencies in the effects of several risk factors between the models of population and activity-based exposure measures. The model using walking trips as the measure of pedestrian exposure had the best goodness-of-fit. We also provided new insights that in addition to the unstructured variability, heterogeneity in the effects of explanatory variables on the frequency of PMV crashes could also arise from the spatially correlated effects. After adjusting for vehicle volume and pedestrian activity, road density, intersection density, bus stop density, and the number of parking lots were found to be positively associated with PMV crash frequency, whereas the percentage of motorways and median monthly income had negative associations with the risk of PMV crashes.

CONCLUSIONS

The use of population or population density as a surrogate for pedestrian exposure when modeling the frequency of zonal pedestrian crashes is expected to produce biased estimations and invalid inferences. Spatial heterogeneity should also not be negligible when modeling pedestrian crashes involving contiguous spatial units.

Severity of passenger injuries on public buses: A comparative analysis of collision injuries and non-collision injuries

INTRODUCTION

Although public buses have been demonstrated as a relatively safe mode of transport, the number of injuries to public bus passengers is far from negligible. Existing studies of public bus safety have focused primarily on injuries caused by collisions. Surprisingly, limited effort has been devoted to identifying factors that increase the severity of passenger injuries in non-collision incidents.

METHOD

Our study therefore investigated the injury risk of public bus passengers involved in collision incidents and non-collision incidents comparatively, based on a police-reported dataset of 17,383 passengers injured on franchised public buses over a 10-year period in Hong Kong. A random parameters logistic model was established to estimate the likelihood of fatal and severe injuries to passengers as a function of various factors.

RESULTS

Our results indicated substantial inconsistences in the effects of risk factors between models of non-collision injuries and collision injuries. The severity of passenger injuries tended to increase significantly when non-collision incidents occurred due to excessive speed of bus drivers, on double-decker buses, in less urbanized areas, in winter, in heavy rains, during daytime, and at night without street lighting. Elderly female passengers were also found more likely to be fatally or severely injured in non-collision incidents if they lost their balance while boarding, alighting from, or standing on a bus. In comparison, the following factors were associated with a greater likelihood of fatal or severe injuries in collision incidents: elderly female passengers, standing passengers who lost balance, buses out of driver control, double-decker buses, collisions with vehicles or objects, and less urbanized areas. Practical Applications: Based on our comparative analysis, more targeted countermeasures, namely "4E" (engineering, enforcement, emergency, and education) and "3A" (awareness, appreciation, and assistance), were recommended to mitigate collision injuries and non-collision injuries to public bus passengers, respectively.

Polyclonal Burkholderia cepacia Complex Outbreak in Peritoneal Dialysis Patients Caused by Contaminated Aqueous Chlorhexidine

Whether Burkholderia cepacia complex should be an objectionable organism in antiseptic solutions with acceptable total bacterial counts is controversial. By using next-generation sequencing, we documented a polyclonal B. cepacia complex outbreak affecting peritoneal dialysis patients in Hong Kong that was caused by contaminated chlorhexidine solutions. Epidemiologic investigations at a manufacturing site identified a semiautomated packaging machine as the probable source of contamination in some of the brands. Use of whole-genome sequencing differentiated the isolates into 3 brand-specific clonal types. Changes in exit site care recommendations, rapid recall of affected products, and tightening of regulatory control for chlorhexidine-containing skin antiseptics could prevent future similar outbreaks. Environmental opportunistic pathogens, including B. cepacia complex, might be included in regular surveillance as indicator organisms for monitoring environmental contamination.

Risks to pedestrians in traffic systems with unfamiliar driving rules: a virtual reality approach

In this study, a virtual-reality (VR) pedestrian simulation method was used to evaluate the risks to pedestrians crossing streets in a traffic system with driving rules that were unfamiliar to them. Pedestrians from mainland China (which has a right-side driving (RD) system) and Hong Kong (which has a left-side driving (LD) system) were studied. Significant differences were observed between pedestrians from the different locations in terms of the direction in which the pedestrians habitually first looked before crossing. When exposed to an unfamiliar driving rule (i.e., traffic coming from an inconsistent direction in terms of participants' habitual driving system), the odds of participants from mainland China making an error in their looking behavior were 2.93 times those when exposed to a familiar driving rule. Road markings and traffic sound did not improve these participants' looking behavior. The results also show a negative correlation between inattentive looking behavior and time to collision (significant at the 1% level), as these errors lead to a shorter time to collision and increased the risk to pedestrians. The results of this study confirmed the risks for pedestrians traveling to places with unfamiliar driving rules and confirmed the existence of habitual looking behavior, and therefore provide evidence of the need for future studies to improve this problem. These may help decision makers take the risks of pedestrians from different driving rules into consideration in future traffic policymaking or traffic-facility improvements. The use of a VR simulation-based approach in this study provided a safe and controllable way to trial interventions and potential improvements without risking injury to participants, and thus may also be used for similar future studies.

Feasibility of Dual Energy X-Ray Absorptiometry Based Images for Measurement of Height, Sitting Height, and Leg Length in Children

BACKGROUND

Interpretation of pediatric bone mineral density by dual energy absorptiometry (DXA) requires adjustment for height (Ht). This is often not easily obtainable in nonambulant subjects.

AIMS

To investigate the feasibility of using DXA images to evaluate measurements of Ht, sitting height (SH), and leg length (LL).

METHODOLOGY

A total of 2 observers performed measurements of Ht, SH, and LL on 3 separate occasion using DXA digital images in 125 children. Intraclass correlation and relative technical error of measurement (rTEM) were performed to assess reliability of repeated measurements. In 25 children, Ht and SH were measured in clinic on the same day and Bland-Altman analysis was performed to compare DXA measured Ht, SH, LL with clinic measurements for these 25 children.

RESULTS

Intraclass correlation for DXA based Ht, SH, and LL measurements ranged from 0.996 to 0.998 (p < 0.0001). rTEM of Ht, SH, and LL for observer 1 was 0.0016%, 0.002%, and 0.0034%, respectively. rTEM of Ht, SH, and LL between observer 1 and 2 was 0.0047%, 0.0049%, and 0.0087%, respectively. Mean difference between clinic and DXA measurements from Bland-Altman plots were +0.57 cm (95% confidence interval [CI] -0.54 to +1.68) for Ht, +1.33cm (-1.60 to +4.24) for SH, and -0.76cm (-3.88 to +2.37) for LL.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study demonstrated for the first time that Ht, SH, and LL in children can be measured very precisely using DXA images. Ht can be measured accurately. We believe this may be a convenient method to obtain Ht measurements to allow size adjustment of DXA bone mineral density in immobile children with chronic conditions.

SARS-CoV-2 shedding and seroconversion among passengers quarantined after disembarking a cruise ship: a case series

Background

A cruise ship is a closed-off environment that simulates the basic functioning of a city in terms of living conditions and interpersonal interactions. Thus, the Diamond Princess cruise ship, which was quarantined because of an onboard outbreak of COVID-19 in February, 2020, provides an opportunity to define the shedding pattern of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) and patient antibody responses before and after the onset of symptoms.

Methods

We recruited adult (≥18 years) passengers from Hong Kong who had been on board the Diamond Princess cruise ship docked in Yokohama, Japan in February, 2020. All participants had been found to be negative for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-PCR 4 days before disembarking and were transferred to further quarantine in a public estate in Hong Kong, where they were recruited. Participants were prospectively screened by quantitative RT-PCR (RT-qPCR) of nasopharyngeal and throat swabs, and serum IgG and IgM against internal nucleoprotein and the surface spike receptor-binding protein (RBD) of SARS-CoV-2 at baseline (upon entering quarantine) and on days 4, 8, and 12 of quarantine.

Findings

On Feb 22, 2020, 215 adults were recruited, of whom nine (4%; 95% CI 2–8) were positive for SARS-CoV-2 by RT-qPCR or serology and were hospitalised. Of these nine patients, nasopharyngeal swab RT-qPCR was positive in eight patients (89%; 57–99) at baseline. All nine patients were positive for anti-RBD IgG by day 8. Eight (89%; 57–99) were simultaneously positive for nasopharyngeal swab RT-PCR and anti-RBD IgG. One patient who was positive for anti-RBD IgG and had a negative viral load had multifocal peripheral ground-glass changes on high-resolution CT that were typical of COVID-19. Five patients (56%; 27–81) with ground-glass changes on high-resolution CT were found to have higher anti-nucleoprotein-IgG OD values on day 8 and 12 and anti-RBD IgG OD value on day 12 than patients without ground-glass changes. Six (67%; 35–88) patients remained asymptomatic throughout the 14-day quarantine period.

Interpretation

Patients with COVID-19 can develop asymptomatic lung infection with viral shedding and those with evidence of pneumonia on imaging tend to have an increased antibody response. Positive IgG or IgM confirmed infection of COVID-19 in both symptomatic and asymptomatic patients. A combination of RT-PCR and serology should be implemented for case finding and contact tracing to facilitate early diagnosis, prompt isolation, and treatment.

Funding

Shaw Foundation Hong Kong; Sanming-Project of Medicine (Shenzhen); High Level-Hospital Program (Guangdong Health Commission).

Seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Hong Kong and in residents evacuated from Hubei province, China: a multicohort study

Background

The role of subclinical severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) infections in perpetuating the COVID-19 pandemic is unknown because population seroprevalence data are absent. We aimed to establish the sensitivity and specificity of our enzyme immunoassay and microneutralisation assay, and the seroprevalence of SARS-CoV-2 in Hong Kong before and after the pandemic, as well as in Hong Kong residents evacuated from Hubei province, China.

Methods

We did a multicohort study in a hospital and university in Hong Kong. We evaluated the sensitivity of our enzyme immunoassay and microneutralisation assay with RT-PCR data from patients positive for SARS-CoV-2 and the specificity of our enzyme immunoassay and microneutralisation assay with archived serum samples collected before 2019. We compared the seropositivity of the general population of Hong Kong before and after the pandemic had begun, and determined the seropositivity of Hong Kong residents evacuated from Hubei province, China, in March, 2020.

Findings

Between Feb 26 and March 18, 2020, we assessed RT-PCR samples from 45 patients who had recovered from COVID-19 to establish the sensitivity of our enzyme immunoassay and microneutralisation assay. To establish the specificity of these assays, we retrieved archived serum. The sensitivity was 91·1% (41 of 45 [95% CI 78·8–97·5]) for the microneutralisation assay, 57·8% (26 of 45 [42·2–72·3]) for anti-nucleoprotein IgG, 66·7% (30 of 45 [51·1–80·0]) for anti-spike protein receptor binding domain (RBD) IgG, and 73·3% (33 of 45 [58·1–85·4]) for enzyme immunoassay (either positive for anti-nucleoprotein or anti-RBD IgG). The specificity was 100% (152 of 152 [95% CI 97·6–100·0]) for both the enzyme immunoassay and microneutralisation assay. Among the Hong Kong general population, 53 (2·7%) of 1938 were enzyme immunoassay positive, but of those who were positive, all 53 were microneutralisation negative, and no significant increase was seen in the seroprevalence between April 12, 2018, and Feb 13, 2020. Among asymptomatic Hubei returnees, 17 (4%) of 452 were seropositive with the enzyme immunoassay or the microneutralisation assay, with 15 (88%) of 17 seropositive with the microneutralisation assay, and two familial clusters were identified.

Interpretation

Our serological data suggest that SARS-CoV-2 is a new emerging virus. The seropositivity rate in Hubei returnees indicates that RT-PCR-confirmed patients only represent a small proportion of the total number of cases. The low seroprevalence suggests that most of the Hong Kong and Hubei population remain susceptible to COVID-19. Future waves of the outbreak are inevitable without a vaccine or antiviral prophylaxis. The role of age-related cross reactive non-neutralising antibodies in the pathogenesis of COVID-19 warrants further investigation.

Funding

Richard and Carol Yu, May Tam Mak Mei Yin, Shaw Foundation (Hong Kong), Michael Tong, Marina Lee, and the Government Consultancy Service (see acknowledgments for full list).

The role of community-wide wearing of face mask for control of coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) epidemic due to SARS-CoV-2

BACKGROUND

Face mask usage by the healthy population in the community to reduce risk of transmission of respiratory viruses remains controversial. We assessed the effect of community-wide mask usage to control coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) in Hong Kong Special Administrative Region (HKSAR).

METHODS

Patients presenting with respiratory symptoms at outpatient clinics or hospital wards were screened for COVID-19 per protocol. Epidemiological analysis was performed for confirmed cases, especially persons acquiring COVID-19 during mask-off and mask-on settings. The incidence of COVID-19 per million population in HKSAR with community-wide masking was compared to that of non-mask-wearing countries which are comparable with HKSAR in terms of population density, healthcare system, BCG vaccination and social distancing measures but not community-wide masking. Compliance of face mask usage in the HKSAR community was monitored.

FINDINGS

Within first 100 days (31 December 2019 to 8 April 2020), 961 COVID-19 patients were diagnosed in HKSAR. The COVID-19 incidence in HKSAR (129.0 per million population) was significantly lower (p<0.001) than that of Spain (2983.2), Italy (2250.8), Germany (1241.5), France (1151.6), U.S. (1102.8), U.K. (831.5), Singapore (259.8), and South Korea (200.5). The compliance of face mask usage by HKSAR general public was 96.6% (range: 95.7% to 97.2%). We observed 11 COVID-19 clusters in recreational 'mask-off' settings compared to only 3 in workplace 'mask-on' settings (p = 0.036 by Chi square test of goodness-of-fit).

CONCLUSION

Community-wide mask wearing may contribute to the control of COVID-19 by reducing the amount of emission of infected saliva and respiratory droplets from individuals with subclinical or mild COVID-19.

Systematic review of the effects of bisphosphonates on bone density and fracture incidence in childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia

Skeletal fragility is a common complication of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukaemia (ALL) but the impact of bisphosphonate therapy on bone mass and fracture is unclear. We aim to conduct a systematic review to evaluate the effects of bisphosphonates on bone mineral density (BMD) and fracture incidence in children with ALL.

METHODS

EMBASE, Medline and the Cochrane Library were thoroughly searched by two researchers. Inclusion criteria was any child under the age of 18 years with a diagnosis of ALL, who had received any bisphosphonate treatment and had serial measurements of bone density performed thereafter. All primary research studies of any study design, excluding case reports, were included.

RESULTS

Ten full text papers were identified with two exclusively meeting the inclusion criteria. Both studies administered bisphosphonates to children receiving maintenance chemotherapy for varying durations. Bone density was assessed at regular intervals by dual x-ray absorptiometry (DXA). The majority of participants had an improvement in bone density at the end of each study. However, no size adjustment of DXA data was performed. Limited information on fracture occurrence was provided by one study but did not include routine screening for vertebral fractures.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review identified that there is insufficient evidence to support routine use of prophylactic bisphosphonate therapy in childhood ALL for prevention of fracture and improvement of bone mass. Future well-designed clinical trials in those at highest risk of fractures in ALL are now needed.

Donor-Derived Genotype 4 Hepatitis E Virus Infection, Hong Kong, China, 2018

Hepatitis E virus (HEV) genotype 4 (HEV-4) is an emerging cause of acute hepatitis in China. Less is known about the clinical characteristics and natural history of HEV-4 than HEV genotype 3 infections in immunocompromised patients. We report transmission of HEV-4 from a deceased organ donor to 5 transplant recipients. The donor had been viremic but HEV IgM and IgG seronegative, and liver function test results were within reference ranges. After a mean of 52 days after transplantation, hepatitis developed in all 5 recipients; in the liver graft recipient, disease was severe and with progressive portal hypertension. Despite reduced immunosuppression, all HEV-4 infections progressed to persistent hepatitis. Four patients received ribavirin and showed evidence of response after 2 months. This study highlights the role of organ donation in HEV transmission, provides additional data on the natural history of HEV-4 infection, and points out differences between genotype 3 and 4 infections in immunocompromised patients.

Pubertal abnormalities in adolescents with chronic disease

Pubertal disorders in the context of chronic disease especially in those with chronic inflammatory disorders or those requiring prolonged periods of treatment with glucocorticoid are common reasons for referral to the paediatric endocrine clinic. Disorders of puberty are also common in adolescents with disability requiring management by paediatric endocrinologists. In these adolescents, impaired skeletal development is also observed and this can be associated with fragility fractures. Chronic inflammation, glucocorticoid and sub-optimal nutrition all impact on the hypothalamic-pituitary gonadal axis, and can also impact on skeletal development locally by their effects on the growth plate and bone. Addressing pubertal disorders is important to ensure adolescents with chronic disease are matched with their peers, promote adequate bone mass accrual and linear growth. Careful discussion with primary clinicians, the young person and the family is needed when instituting endocrine therapies to address puberty and manage bone health.

Temporal patterns of driving fatigue and driving performance among male taxi drivers in Hong Kong: A driving simulator approach

This study uses a questionnaire survey and a driving simulator test to investigate the temporal patterns of variations in driving fatigue and driving performance in 50 male taxi drivers in Hong Kong. Each driver visited the laboratory three times: before, during, and after a working shift. The survey contained a demographic questionnaire and the Brief Fatigue Inventory. A following-braking simulator test session was conducted at two speeds (50 and 80 km/h) by each driver at each of his three visits, and the driver's performance in brake reaction, lane control, speed control, and steering control were recorded. A random-effects modeling approach was incorporated to address the unobserved heterogeneity caused by the repeated measures. In the results, a recovery effect and a lagging effect were defined for the driving fatigue and performance measures because their temporal patterns were concavely quadratic and had a 1-hour delay compared to the temporal patterns of occupied taxi trips and taxi crash risk in Hong Kong. Demographic variables, such as net income and driver age, also had significant effects on the measured driving fatigue and performance. Policies regarding taxi management and operation based on the modeling results are proposed to alleviate the taxi safety situation in Hong Kong and worldwide.

Associations of dietary protein intake with bone mineral density: An observational study in 70,215 UK Biobank participants

PURPOSE

Adequate dietary protein intake is important for the maintenance of bone health; however, data in this area is ambiguous with some suggestion that high protein intake can have deleterious effects on bone health. The aim of the current study was to explore the associations of protein intake with bone mineral density (BMD).

METHODS

We used baseline data from the UK Biobank (participants aged 40-69 years) to examine the association of protein intake with BMD (measured by ultrasound). These associations were examined, in women (n = 39,066) and men (n = 31,149), after adjustment for socio-demographic and lifestyle confounders and co-morbidities.

RESULTS

Protein intake was positively and linearly associated with BMD in women (β-coefficient 0.010 [95% CI 0.005; 0.015, p < 0.0001]) and men (β-coefficient 0.008 [95% CI 0.000; 0.015, p = 0.044]); per 1.0 g/kg/day increment in protein intake, independently of socio-demographics, dietary factors and physical activity.

CONCLUSIONS

The current data have demonstrated that higher protein intakes are positively associated with BMD in both men and women. This indicates that higher protein intakes may be beneficial for both men and women.

Whole-genome sequencing data-based modeling for the investigation of an outbreak of community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus in a neonatal intensive care unit in Hong Kong

We describe a nosocomial outbreak of community-associated methicillin-resistant Staphylococcus aureus (CA-MRSA) ST59-SCCmec type V in a neonatal intensive care unit (NICU) in Hong Kong. In-depth epidemiological analysis was performed by whole-genome sequencing (WGS) of the CA-MRSA isolates collected from patients and environment during weekly surveillance and healthcare workers from the later phase of the outbreak. Case-control analysis was performed to analyze potential risk factors for the outbreak. The outbreak occurred from September 2017 to February 2018 involving 15 neonates and one healthcare worker. WGS analysis revealed complicated transmission dynamics between patients, healthcare worker, and environment, from an unrecognized source introduced into the NICU within 6 months before the outbreak. In addition to enforcement of directly observed hand hygiene, environmental disinfection, cohort nursing of colonized and infected patients, together with contact tracing for secondary patients, medical, nursing, and supporting staff were segregated where one team would care for CA-MRSA-confirmed/CA-MRSA-exposed patients and the other for newly admitted patients in the NICU only. Case-control analysis revealed use of cephalosporins [odds ratio 49.84 (3.10-801.46), p = 0.006] and length of hospitalization [odds ratio 1.02 (1.00-1.04), p = 0.013] as significant risk factors for nosocomial acquisition of CA-MRSA in NICU using multivariate analysis. WGS facilitates the understanding of transmission dynamics of an outbreak, providing insights for outbreak prevention.