Oncology: What You May Have Missed in 2023

Advances in oncology treatment methods have improved outcomes and quality of life for patients with cancer. However, care of these patients can be complex, and the contribution of physicians from different specialties is crucial. This article highlights important publications from 2023 on topics across a wide spectrum relating to the management of oncology patients. The literature was screened for significant new evidence that is relevant to internal medicine specialists and subspecialists whose focus is not oncology. Two articles address the importance of social interventions targeting end-of-life care for low-income and minority patients and the well-being of caregivers. Two additional articles address screening considerations in patients at risk for colorectal and lung cancer. Two more articles address safe use of hormone-related therapies to treat symptoms of menopause and prevent disease recurrence or progression in patients diagnosed with noninvasive breast neoplasia. Finally, several articles were included on topics related to COVID-19 vaccination in patients with cancer, use of cannabinoids for cancer pain control, chronic autoimmune adverse effects related to use of immune checkpoint inhibitors, and the incidence of second primary neoplasms.

A population-based model for predicting sentinel lymph node (SLN) status for cutaneous melanoma patients and a clinical decision rule (CDR) for sparing a SLN biopsy (SLNB)

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Background: Generally, a SLNB is offered to the patient whose likelihood of positivity is ≥ 5%. Using population-based cohorts, we sought to [1] develop and validate a predictive model to estimate the individualized risk (IR) of SLNB positivity (SLNBp) and its confidence interval (CI), [2] evaluate an IR-based CDR to identify patients with sufficiently low IRs to avoid SLNB, and [3] compare the performance of the CDR with that of the 2019 NCCN guideline. Methods: The learning cohort (n = 18,214; SLNBp rate = 10.7%; 2010-2014) and validation cohort (n = 3,924; SLNBp rate = 11%; 2015) included SEER patients 18-99 years old who had a SLNB as part of definitive surgery. A multivariable logistic regression model for SLNBp, including 4 AJCC related-factors (thickness, ulceration, level and mitotic rate) and age, was used to estimate the IR of SLNBp and its one-sided 95% CI. The CDR was defined using the IR and CI and then used to classify patients into 3 categories: SLNB not indicated (IR and upper limit of the one-sided CI < 5%), SLNB indicated (IR and lower limit of the one-sided CI ≥ 5%), and borderline. Results: In the learning cohort all 5 factors were significant in the multivariate model, which had a c-statistic of 0.742 (95%CI, 0.731-0.753). In the validation cohort the model c-statistic was 0.728. Based on the CDR, 21.6%, 56.9%, and 21.5% of patients would not be offered SLNB, would be offered SLNB, or would need further shared decision making. Compared to the guideline, the CDR classified more patients as “SLNB not indicated” (21.6% vs. 7.1%) and fewer as “SLNB indicated” (56.9% vs. 68.5%). Of the 16,137 SLNB negative patients, 3815 (23.6%) would not be offered SLNB based on the CDR compared to 1258 (7.8%) who would not be offered SLNB based on the guideline. The false negative rates associated with “not indicated” by the CDR and guideline were 4.6% and 1.2%, respectively. Conclusions: Use of this CDR rather than the NCCN guideline will spare more low-risk patients the expense and harms of SLNB and increase only marginally their likelihood of a false negative test (still < 5%).

A Novel Cross-Disciplinary Multi-Institute Approach to Translational Cancer Research: Lessons Learned from Pennsylvania Cancer Alliance Bioinformatics Consortium (PCABC)

Background

The Pennsylvania Cancer Alliance Bioinformatics Consortium (PCABC, http://www.pcabc.upmc.edu ) is one of the first major project-based initiatives stemming from the Pennsylvania Cancer Alliance that was funded for four years by the Department of Health of the Commonwealth of Pennsylvania. The objective of this was to initiate a prototype biorepository and bioinformatics infrastructure with a robust data warehouse by developing a statewide data model (1) for bioinformatics and a repository of serum and tissue samples; (2) a data model for biomarker data storage; and (3) a public access website for disseminating research results and bioinformatics tools. The members of the Consortium cooperate closely, exploring the opportunity for sharing clinical, genomic and other bioinformatics data on patient samples in oncology, for the purpose of developing collaborative research programs across cancer research institutions in Pennsylvania. The Consortium's intention was to establish a virtual repository of many clinical specimens residing in various centers across the state, in order to make them available for research. One of our primary goals was to facilitate the identification of cancer-specific biomarkers and encourage collaborative research efforts among the participating centers.

Methods

The PCABC has developed unique partnerships so that every region of the state can effectively contribute and participate. It includes over 80 individuals from 14 organizations, and plans to expand to partners outside the State. This has created a network of researchers, clinicians, bioinformaticians, cancer registrars, program directors, and executives from academic and community health systems, as well as external corporate partners - all working together to accomplish a common mission. The various sub-committees have developed a common IRB protocol template, common data elements for standardizing data collections for three organ sites, intellectual property/tech transfer agreements, and material transfer agreements that have been approved by each of the member institutions. This was the foundational work that has led to the development of a centralized data warehouse that has met each of the institutions’ IRB/HIPAA standards.

Results

Currently, this “virtual biorepository” has over 58,000 annotated samples from 11,467 cancer patients available for research purposes. The clinical annotation of tissue samples is either done manually over the internet or semi-automated batch modes through mapping of local data elements with PCABC common data elements. The database currently holds information on 7188 cases (associated with 9278 specimens and 46,666 annotated blocks and blood samples) of prostate cancer, 2736 cases (associated with 3796 specimens and 9336 annotated blocks and blood samples) of breast cancer and 1543 cases (including 1334 specimens and 2671 annotated blocks and blood samples) of melanoma. These numbers continue to grow, and plans to integrate new tumor sites are in progress. Furthermore, the group has also developed a central web-based tool that allows investigators to share their translational (genomics/proteomics) experiment data on research evaluating potential biomarkers via a central location on the Consortium's web site.

Conclusions

The technological achievements and the statewide informatics infrastructure that have been established by the Consortium will enable robust and efficient studies of biomarkers and their relevance to the clinical course of cancer.

Miscoding of Melanoma Thickness in SEER: Research and Clinical Implications

Melanoma-related deaths and metastases among patients with thin (≤1 mm) and ultrathin (≤0.25 mm) melanomas have been reported. These observations might reflect adverse biology and/or errors in administrative data. Cumulative melanoma-related death rates for thickness groups of patients with thin melanomas were compared among five cohorts including the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) registry. Thickness in one SEER region was reexamined in pathology reports. The 5-year cumulative melanoma-related death rate of patients with ultrathin melanomas was higher in SEER (2.8%) compared with other registries (0.6-0.9%). The rates across the 16 SEER regions were 0.25% to 8.4%. In SEER, 21% of thin melanomas were ultrathin; in other registries, they comprised 5.8-15%. A reexamination of thickness in one SEER site revealed that 114 of 447 ultrathin melanomas had errors; after correction, only 17 of the 114 remained ultrathin. The majority of errors were related to decimal point placement. The 86 thin melanomas reclassified to >1.00 mm included 96% of the original ultrathin-associated deaths and 100% of the original positive lymph nodes. Significant miscoding of thickness that is concentrated in ultrathin lesions is present in SEER and results in mischaracterization of patient outcomes. When using administrative data, validation of results can identify critical data issues.

Identification of Patients with Intermediate Thickness Melanoma at Low Risk for Sentinel Lymph Node Positivity

INTRODUCTION

Sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy is recommended for all patients with intermediate-thickness melanomas. We sought to identify such patients at low risk of SLN positivity.

METHODS

All patients with intermediate-thickness melanomas (1.01-4 mm) undergoing SLN biopsy at a single institution from 1995-2011 were included in this retrospective cohort study. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression determined factors associated with a low risk of SLN positivity. Classification and regression tree (CART) analysis was used to stratify groups based on risk of positivity.

RESULTS

Of the 952 study patients, 157 (16.5 %) had a positive SLN. In the multivariate analysis, thickness <1.5 mm (odds ratio [OR] 0.29), age ≥60 (OR 0.69), present tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (OR 0.60), absent lymphovascular invasion (OR 0.46), and absent satellitosis (OR 0.44) were significantly associated with a low risk of SLN positivity. CART analysis identified thickness of 1.5 mm as the primary cut point for risk of SLN metastasis. Patients with a thickness of <1.5 mm represented 36 % of the total cohort and had a SLN positivity rate of 6.6 % (95 % confidence interval 3.8-9.4 %). In patients with melanomas <1.5 mm in thickness, the presence of additional low risk factors identified 257 patients (75 % of patients with <1.5 mm melanomas) in which the rate of SLN positivity was <5 %.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite a SLN positivity rate of 16.5 % overall, substantial heterogeneity of risk exists among patients with intermediate-thickness melanoma. Most patients with melanoma between 1.01 and 1.5 mm have a risk of SLN positivity similar to that in patients with thin melanomas.

Prognosis of patients with melanoma and microsatellitosis undergoing sentinel lymph node biopsy

INTRODUCTION

Melanoma microsatellitosis is classified as stage IIIB/C disease and is associated with a poor prognosis. Prognostic factors within this group, however, have not been well characterized.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective analysis of 1,621 patients undergoing sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy at our institution (1996-2011) to compare patients with (n = 98) and patients without (n = 1,523) microsatellites. Univariate and multivariate logistic and Cox regression analyses were used to identify factors associated with SLN positivity and melanoma-specific survival (MSS) in patients with microsatellites.

RESULTS

Patients with microsatellites were older and had lesions with higher Clark level and greater thickness that more frequently had mitoses, ulceration, and lymphovascular invasion (LVI) (all p < 0.0001). In microsatellite patients, the SLN positivity rate was 43 %. Lesional ulceration (odds ratio [OR] = 2.9, 95 % confidence interval [CI] 1.5-8.6), absent tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (OR = 2.8, 95 % CI 1.1-7.1), and LVI (OR = 3.3, 95 % CI 1.7-10) were significantly associated with SLN positivity by multivariate analysis. With a median follow-up of 4.5 years in survivors, ulceration (hazards ratio [HR] = 3.4, 95 % CI 1.5-7.8) and >1 metastatic LN (HR = 2.7, 95 % CI 1.1-6.6) were significantly associated with decreased MSS by multivariate analysis. In patients without these prognostic factors, the 5-year MSS was 90 % (n = 49) compared with 50 % (n = 23) among patients with ulceration only, 51 % (n = 12) in those with >1 metastatic LN only, or 25 % in those with both (n = 14, p < 0.01).

DISCUSSION

Microsatellitosis was frequently associated with multiple adverse pathologic features. In the absence of ulceration and >1 metastatic LN; however, the outcome for patients with microsatellites compared favorably to stage IIIB patients overall.

Clark level risk stratifies patients with mitogenic thin melanomas for sentinel lymph node biopsy

BACKGROUND

The role for sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB) in patients with thin melanoma (≤1 mm) remains controversial. We examined a large cohort of patients with thin melanoma to better define predictors of SLN positivity.

METHODS

From 1995 to 2011, 781 patients with thin primary melanoma and evaluable clinicopathologic data underwent SLNB at our institution. Predictors of SLN positivity were determined using univariate and multivariate regression analyses, and patients were risk-stratified using a classification and regression tree (CART) analysis.

RESULTS

In the study cohort (n = 781), 29 patients (3.7%) had nodal metastases. In the univariate analysis, mitotic rate [odds ratio (OR) = 8.11, p = 0.005], Clark level (OR 4.04, p = 0.003), and thickness (OR 3.33, p = 0.011) were significantly associated with SLN positivity. In the multivariate analysis, MR (OR 7.01) and level IV-V (OR 3.45) remained significant predictors of SLN positivity. CART analysis initially stratified lesions by mitotic rate; nonmitogenic lesions (n = 273) had a 0.7% SLN positivity rate versus 5.6% in mitogenic lesions (n = 425). Mitogenic lesions were further stratified by Clark level; patients with level II-III had a 2.9% SLN positivity rate (n = 205) versus 8.2% with level IV-V (n = 220). With median follow-up of 6.3 years, five SLN-negative patients developed nodal recurrence and four SLN-positive patients died of disease.

CONCLUSIONS

SLN positivity is low in patients with thin melanoma (3.7%) and exceedingly so in nonmitogenic lesions (0.7%). Appreciable rates of SLN positivity can be identified in patients with mitogenic lesions, particularly with concurrent level IV-V regardless of thickness. These factors may guide appropriate selection of patients with thin melanoma for SLNB.

Conditional survival (CS) in patients with stage II melanoma

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Background: While sentinel lymph node biopsy is recommended for those presenting with clinical stage II melanoma, it is not always performed. Future survival beyond the time already survived is captured by CS and is relevant to patient counseling and guiding follow up. We sought to investigate patterns of CS in patients with clinical (no nodal biopsy) or pathological stage II melanomas controlling for ulceration. Methods: The study included 5,370 patients diagnosed with primary cutaneous melanoma in 2004-2008 from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) data. Three-year CS probabilities were estimated from the Kaplan-Meier survival curves (time to melanoma-specific death) at 6, 12, and 18 months from diagnosis. Newly developed biostatistical methods were used to evaluate the statistical significance of changes in CS as the time survived increased for four groups of patients: those clinically and pathologically staged with and without ulceration. Results: With increasing time survived up to 18 months, there was no significant change in the 3-year CS estimates for the cohort of pathologically-staged patients with non-ulcerated lesions (n=1702). For pathologically-staged patients with ulcerated lesions (n=1915), 3-year CS increased significantly only after having survived 1 year (86% to 87% p=0.001). A similar pattern was seen for the cohort of clinically-staged patients with non-ulcerated lesions (n=801), (85% to 87% p<0.001). For clinically-staged patients with ulcerated lesions (n=952), the 3-year CS estimates for those who had survived 6, 12, or 18 months were 74%, 78%, and 82%. After the initial 6 months of survival, there was a significant change in 3-year CS having survived 6 versus 12 months (p=0.002), as well as having survived 12 versus 18 months (p<0.001). Among patients with ulcerated lesions, CS for those clinically staged begins to change after 6 months whereas for those pathologically staged change occurs only after a year. Conclusions: CS provides up-to-date prognostic information to patients, their physicians and clinical trialists. Formal statistical methods, as illustrated here, identify when clinically meaningful CS estimates change in statistically significant ways.

Lymphatic invasion is independently prognostic of metastasis in primary cutaneous melanoma

PURPOSE

Lymphatic invasion (LI) in primary cutaneous melanomas was recently found to be common. In this study, we evaluated LI as an independent prognostic factor.

EXPERIMENTAL DESIGN

This study included 251 patients with vertical growth phase (VGP) primary cutaneous melanomas who had paraffin-fixed lesional tissue and were in a prospective cohort seen between 1972 and 1991, had no clinical evidence of regional nodal disease at diagnosis, and had at least ten years of follow-up. Dual immunohistochemical staining was used to detect lymphatic endothelium (podoplanin) and melanoma cells (S-100). Multivariate logistic regression for ten-year metastasis was used to define independent prognostic factors, and a prognostic tree was developed to characterize and discriminate risk groups. Kaplan-Meier disease-free survival curves for those with and without LI within current American Joint Committee on Cancer stages were compared using the log-rank statistic.

RESULTS

LI was observed in 43% (108 of 251) of the study melanomas. The multivariate model for ten-year metastasis identified four independent prognostic factors: tumor thickness, mitotic rate, LI, and anatomic site. The prognostic tree identified a group of patients with thin (≤1 mm thick) melanomas and poor prognosis: stage IB melanomas with LI. Survival curves for time to first metastasis showed significantly poorer prognosis for patients with LI compared with those without it for both stages IB and IIA.

CONCLUSIONS

LI is common across the range of tumor thicknesses in primary VGP melanomas. It is an independent prognostic factor and significantly increases the risk of metastasis in patients in clinical stages IB and IIA.

Prognostication in thin cutaneous melanomas

CONTEXT

While most patients diagnosed with thin cutaneous melanoma will have a good prognosis, nearly 5% will die of their disease. Thin melanomas are common and approximately one-quarter of all melanoma-related deaths result from thin primary tumors. Patients with thin melanoma commonly have sentinel lymph node biopsies that are uncommonly positive.

OBJECTIVE

To review the progress that has been made in the translation of prognostic and predictive biomarkers for patients with thin melanomas by focusing on the developments during the last 5 years in using measures of tumor proliferation. Given the paucity of biomarkers for patients with thin melanoma, we review some of the challenges in the development, validation, and translation of new biomarkers into clinical practice.

DATA SOURCES

Surveillance, Epidemiology and End Results registry data, cohort data from a cancer center's program in melanoma, and focused literature review.

CONCLUSIONS

The presence of dermal mitoses improves prognostication and prediction. To optimize patient management, biomarkers reflecting biologic processes underlying tumor progression will need to be included in panels and risk models, validated, generalized, and ratified.

Does MC1R genotype convey information about melanoma risk beyond risk phenotypes?

BACKGROUND

A study was carried out to describe associations of MC1R variants and melanoma in a US population and to investigate whether genetic risk is modified by pigmentation characteristics and sun exposure measures.

METHODS

Melanoma patients (n = 960) and controls (n = 396) self-reported phenotypic characteristics and sun exposure via structured questionnaire and underwent a skin examination. Logistic regression was used to estimate associations of high- and low-risk MC1R variants and melanoma, overall and within phenotypic and sun exposure strata. A meta-analysis of results from published studies was undertaken.

RESULTS

Carriage of 2 low-risk or any high-risk MC1R variants was associated with increased risk of melanoma (odds ratio [OR], 1.7; 95% confidence interval [CI], 1.0-2.8; and OR, 2.2; 95% CI, 1.5-3.0, respectively). However, risk was stronger in or limited to individuals with protective phenotypes and limited sun exposure, such as those who tanned well after repeated sun exposure (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.6-3.6), had dark hair (OR, 2.4; 95% CI, 1.5-3.6), or had dark eyes (OR, 3.2; 95% CI, 1.8-5.9). We noted this same pattern of increased melanoma risk among persons who did not freckle, tanned after exposure to first strong summer sun, reported little or average recreational or occupational sun exposure, or reported no sun burning events. Meta-analysis of published literature supported these findings.

CONCLUSIONS

These data indicate that MC1R genotypes provide information about melanoma risk in those individuals who would not be identified as high risk based on their phenotypes or exposures alone.

The biology and prognostic value of lymphatic vessel density (LD) and lymphatic invasion (LI) in regression in melanoma

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Background: Regression in melanoma is characterized by increased vascularity, lymphocytic infiltrate and fibroplasia in the papillary dermis, accompanied by the absence (complete regression, CoR) or presence (partial regression, PaR) of melanoma cells in the epidermis. The prognostic value of regression is controversial. We noticed that LD and LI were increased in the areas of regression (AR) or areas with brisk lymphocytic infiltration (AB). Our goal was to clarify the prognostic value of regression in melanoma. Methods: Dual immunohistochemical staining was done using antibodies to podoplanin (lymphatic vessels) and S100 (melanoma cells) on paraffin tissues from 321 patients with vertical growth phase (VGP) primary melanomas who had 10 years or more of follow-up. LD in AR (both CoR and PaR) was compared with that of normal dermis adjacent and distant, as well as LD in the AB. LI in these areas was also scored. Unadjusted and adjusted hazard rates were obtained from univariate and multivariate Cox models for time to melanoma-specific death using established melanoma prognostic factors. Results: 116 patients (36%) had regression: 75 CoR (23%) and 41 PaR (13%). LD significantly decreased stepwise from CoR (mean ± se, 23.7 ± 2.7) to PaR (15.5 ± 1.1), adjacent normal dermis (7.3 ± 0.28) and distant normal dermis (5.4±0.31) and it was significantly elevated in the AB (18.5±0.78). Melanomas with CoR had the highest percentage of LI in both AR and AB. In addition, the percentage of LI in AB was highest for men and for those with VGP tumor infiltrating lymphocytes (TILs). Both high LD in AR and more LI in AB were associated with poor prognosis (p=0.004 and p=0.002, respectively). Six factors were significant in the final multivariate model: LI in AB (HR=2.3), LD in AR (HR=1.04), thickness (HR=1.44), axial (HR=7.7), ulceration (HR=2.5) and no VGP TILs (HR=2.8). Conclusions: AR and AB were associated with increased LD and higher incidence of LI in primary melanomas. LD and LI in AR or AB are independent prognostic factors. Our data suggest that the effects of regression on prognosis are mediated at least in part through lymphangiogenesis and LI.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Ki67 as a prognostic biomarker for patients with vertical growth phase (VGP) melanomas

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Background: In VGP melanomas proliferation is reflected in dermal mitotic figures (“mitogenic” VGP) and/or tumor cell nests larger than any epidermal nest. An alternative to mitotic rate (MR) to characterize cell proliferation is the expression of Ki67 protein. Since Ki67 is expressed in all phases of the cell cycle except G0, it is potentially a more robust biomarker for proliferation and prognosis than mitoses. Methods: To test the hypothesis that Ki67 would replace MR as a prognostic factor, we did a retrospective cohort study of 432 patients with Stage I/II primary VGP melanomas who had at least 10 years of follow up. Tissue sections were stained using the monoclonal antibody MIB-1 to Ki67 and the % of positive melanoma cells were evaluated by two readers. ROC curves for Ki67 and MR were computed. Predicted probabilities (PP) of 10-year melanoma-specific death were computed from 3 multivariate logistic regression models, one for each biomarker (Models 1 and 2) and one with both (Model 3), controlling for established melanoma prognostic factors (thickness, gender, anatomic site, ulceration, regression and tumor infiltrating lymphocytes), and compared. Cross-validation was used to assess differences between using Ki67 and using MR including the differences in PP, Brier scores and the misclassification rates. A decision curve analysis was done to assess the clinical net benefit of the two. Results: The areas under the ROC curve (AUCs) for Ki67 and MR, both continuous factors, were 0.69 and 0.79, respectively. In the multivariate analysis, Ki67 expression was significant in Model 1 (OR=1.03, 95% CI: 1.01–1.05), mitotic rate was not significant in Model 2 (1.05, 0.99–1.1), and only Ki67 was significant in Model 3 (1.03, 1.01–1.05). The AUCs for the three models were 0.84, 0.84, and 0.85, respectively. Based on cross-validation, there was no difference between the two biomarkers in PP, Brier scores, or misclassification rates. The decision cost analysis demonstrated the same net benefit for the two. Conclusions: A prospective study needs to be conducted to confirm that Ki67 and MR are equivalent.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

The prognostic significance of lymphatic invasion in primary melanoma

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Background: Lymphatic invasion (LI) is an under-observed phenomenon in primary malignancies that can be better detected by immunostaining and that may associate with prognosis. In this study we sought to test the hypothesis that LI was associated with melanoma-specific survival (MSS) and was an independent prognostic factor. Methods: This study included 277 patients with stage I/II melanomas in vertical growth phase (VGP) who had at least 10 years of follow up. The log-rank test was used to test the study hypothesis - 72 melanoma-specific deaths were needed for 80% power to detect an odds ratio of 2.1. Paraffin sections were stained with antibodies to podoplanin (lymphatic vessels) and S-100 (melanoma cells) to identify LI. Univariate and multivariate Cox models were used to evaluate the prognostic significance of LI. An independent cohort of 106 similar patients was used for validation of the 10-year MSS rates. Results: LI was observed in 44.5% (95% CI: 38.6% - 50.4%) of the melanomas and its presence was significantly associated with thickness, mitotic rate, gender, age, and ulceration (U). The Kaplan-Meier survival curves for those with and without LI were significantly different (log-rank test p=0.022). The final multivariate model for time to MSD identified 4 independent prognostic factors: thickness (HR=1.5, p<0.001), U (HR=2.2 p=0.013), site (HR=3.9, p<0.001) and LI (HR=1.9, p=0.015). These factors were used to define a prognostic tree with 5 risk groups defined by melanomas that were thin (≤1.0mm) with no LI or U; thin with LI but no U; 1–3mm with no U; 1–3mm with U; and >3mm. Respectively, MSS rates were 100%, 88.6%, 77%, 48% and 42%. In the validation set, observed 10-year MSS rates in each risk group were not significantly different from those predicted from the survival curves for the tree-based risk groups. Conclusions: LI is an independent prognostic factor for MSS. Among patients with thin melanomas without U the 10-year MSS was lower for those patients with LI (89%, 95% CI=78% - 99%; n=41) compared to those without (100%, n=78). LI is an important prognostic factor that needs further validation in a population of patients from the sentinel node biopsy era.

No significant financial relationships to disclose.

Shared MHC class II-dependent melanoma ribosomal protein L8 identified by phage display

Antigens recognized by T helper (Th) cells in the context of MHC class II molecules have vaccine potential against cancer and infectious agents. We have described previously a melanoma patient's HLA-DR7-restricted Th cell clone recognizing an antigen, which is shared among melanoma and glioma cells derived from various patients. Here, this antigen was cloned using a novel antigen phage display approach. The antigen was identified as the ribosomal protein L8 (RPL8). A peptide of RPL8 significantly stimulated proliferation and/or cytokine expression of the Th cell clone and lymphocytes in four of nine HLA-DR7(+) melanoma patients but not in healthy volunteers. The RPL8 antigen may represent a relevant vaccine target for patients with melanoma, glioma, and breast carcinoma whose tumors express this protein.

Identification of high-risk patients among those diagnosed with thin cutaneous melanomas

PURPOSE

Most patients with melanoma have microscopically thin (< or = 1 mm) primary lesions and are cured with excision. However, some develop metastatic disease that is often fatal. We evaluated established prognostic factors to develop classification schemes with better discrimination than current American Joint Committee on Cancer (AJCC) staging.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We studied patients with thin melanomas from the US population-based Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) cancer registry (1988 to 2001; n = 26,291) and those seen by the University of Pennsylvania's Pigmented Lesion Group (PLG; 1972 to 2001; n = 2,389; Philadelphia, PA). AJCC prognostic factors were thickness, anatomic level, ulceration, site, sex, and age; PLG prognostic factors also included a set of biologically based candidate prognostic factors. Recursive partitioning was used to develop a SEER-based classification tree that was validated using PLG data. Next, a new PLG-based classification tree was developed using the expanded set of prognostic factors.

RESULTS

The SEER-based classification tree identified additional criteria to explain survival heterogeneity among patients with thin, nonulcerated lesions; 10-year survival rates ranged from 89.1% to 99%. The new PLG-based tree identified groups using level, tumor cell mitotic rate, and sex. With survival rates from 83.4% to 100%, it had better discrimination.

CONCLUSION

Prognostication and related clinical decision making in the majority of patients with melanoma can be improved now using the validated, SEER-based classification. Tumor cell mitotic rate should be incorporated into the next iteration of AJCC staging.

Regional Nodal Metastatic Disease Is the Strongest Predictor of Survival in Patients with Thin Vertical Growth Phase Melanomas: A Case for SLN Staging Biopsy in These Patients

BACKGROUND

The benefit of sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy for patients with thin (< or =1.0 mm) melanomas, even for prognostic value, is controversial. This may partly result from the relatively small number and short follow-up of SLN-positive patients in this group. Previously, we have shown that clinical regional nodal metastatic disease (RNMD) serves as a good surrogate for SLN positivity. Here, we use RNMD as a validated surrogate for SLN positivity and examine its prognostic value in a large pre-SLN group of patients with thin vertical growth phase (VGP) lesions who would today commonly be offered SLN biopsy in our practice.

METHODS

Between 1972 and 1991, 472 patients with thin VGP melanomas with at least 10 years' follow-up were eligible for the study. Kaplan-Meier survival curves were computed for patients with and without RNMD. A multivariate Cox model and classification tree analysis were used to evaluate clinical and histopathologic predictors of survival.

RESULTS

Sixty-seven patients (14.2%) developed recurrence, 53.7% of whom developed RNMD. Forty-five patients (9.5%) experienced melanoma-related deaths (MRD). The most statistically significant predictor of MRD was RNMD (hazard ratio [HR] 13.5, P < .0001). Thickness (HR 10.5, P = .004), axial location (HR 4.6, P = .001), and age >60 years (HR 2.7, P = .005) additionally were independently associated with an increased risk of MRD. RNMD patients demonstrated a 44.4% 10-year disease-specific mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

RNMD was the most statistically significant factor associated with MRD in patients with thin VGP lesions. This supports the prognostic use of SLN biopsy in this group, recognizing that additional factors, including thickness, axial location, and older age were independently associated with a worse survival outcome.

Identifying Individuals at High Risk of Melanoma: A Practical Predictor of Absolute Risk

Purpose

We developed a model to estimate the 5-year absolute risk of melanoma to efficiently identify individuals at increased risk of melanoma for potential interventions.

Patients and Methods

We used data from a case-control study with 718 non-Hispanic white patients with invasive cutaneous melanoma from melanoma clinics in Philadelphia, PA and San Francisco, CA; matched controls were 945 patients from outpatient clinics with similar catchment areas. All participants underwent extensive interviews and skin examinations. We selected easily obtained clinical characteristics and responses to simple questions for study in order to develop sex-specific relative risk models. These models were combined with incidence and mortality rates by United States geographic areas to develop estimates of the absolute risk of developing melanoma within 5 years.

Results

Relative risk models yielded an attributable risk of 86% for men and 89% for women, using at most seven variables. Attributable risks did not vary by age, ultraviolet B flux or hours outdoors. The absolute individual risks varied widely, depending on age, other host characteristics, and geographic area. Individual absolute risk can be estimated using a program available online.

Conclusion

Our procedures allow for estimating the absolute risk of developing melanoma to assist in the identification of patients at high risk. Such high-risk individuals could undergo interventions including a complete skin examination, counseling to avoid sun exposures, regular self and professional surveillance, or participation in prevention trials. It is important to emphasize that these projections are not intended to identify current melanoma cases.

Human leukocyte antigen-A2-restricted CTL responses to mutated BRAF peptides in melanoma patients

Mutated BRAF (BRAF(V600E)) is a potential immunotherapeutic target for melanoma because of its tumor specificity and expression in the majority of these lesions derived from different patients. BRAF(V600E) is expressed intracellularly and not on the cell surface, therefore providing a target for T cells but not B cells. Demonstration of patients' T cell responses to BRAF(V600E) would suggest the feasibility of active specific immunotherapy targeting the mutation in these patients. In the present study, BRAF(V600E) peptides with putative binding sites for human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-A2 were used to stimulate T lymphocytes of HLA-A2-positive melanoma patients. Four of five patients with BRAF(V600E)-positive lesions showed lymphoproliferative responses to BRAF(V600E) peptide stimulation. These responses were specific for the mutated epitope and HLA-A2 was restricted in three patients. Lymphocytes from these three patients were cytotoxic against HLA-A2-matched BRAF(V600E)-positive melanoma cells. None of the four patients with BRAF(V600E)-negative lesions and none of five healthy donors had lymphoproliferative responses specific for the mutated epitope. The high prevalence (approximately 50%) of HLA-A2 among melanoma patients renders HLA-A2-restricted BRAF(V600E) peptides attractive candidate vaccines for these patients.

Migration of cytotoxic T lymphocytes toward melanoma cells in three-dimensional organotypic culture is dependent on CCL2 and CCR4

Studies in experimental animal models have demonstrated that chemokines produced by tumor cells attract chemokine receptor-positive T lymphocytes into the tumor area. However, in cancer patients, the role of chemokines in T lymphocyte trafficking toward human tumor cells is relatively unexplored. In the present study, the migration of a melanoma patient's CTL toward autologous tumor cells has been studied in a novel three-dimensional organotypic melanoma culture. In this model, CTL migrated toward tumor cells, resulting in tumor cell apoptosis. CTL migration was mediated by the CC chemokine receptor (CCR)4 expressed by the CTL and the CC chemokine ligand (CCL)2 secreted by the tumor cells, as evidenced by blockage of CTL migration by CCL2 or antibodies to CCL2 or CCR4. These results were confirmed in a Transwell migration assay in which the CTL actively migrated toward isolated CCL2 and migration was inhibited by anti-CCR4 antibody. These studies, together with previous studies in mice indicating regression of CCL2-transduced tumor cells, suggest that CCL2 may be useful as an immunotherapeutic agent for cancer patients.

Predictors of regional nodal disease in patients with thin melanomas

BACKGROUND

Most melanoma patients present with thin (<or=1.0 mm) lesions. Indications for sentinel lymph node (SLN) biopsy are not well defined for this group. Previously, we reported an association between mitotic rate (MR) and SLN positivity in these patients. The study was limited by a relatively small sample size and low statistical power. In this study, we evaluated a large population of patients with thin melanoma from the pre-SLN era to identify predictors of regional nodal disease (RND) that may serve as a surrogate for SLN positivity.

METHODS

Eight hundred eighty-two patients evaluated between 1972 and 1991 were included in the study. Univariate and multivariate regression analyses were performed by using clinical and histological data to identify factors associated with RND. A multivariate logistic regression model was developed and applied to the previously reported group of patients with thin melanomas who underwent SLN biopsy between 1996 and 2004 for validation.

RESULTS

Thirty-eight patients (4.3%) had evidence of RND. In the multivariate analysis, a MR>0, vertical growth phase (VGP), male sex, and ulceration were statistically significant predictors of RND. Patients at the highest risk according to a classification tree analysis (VGP and MR>0) had an RND rate of 11.9%. The regression model developed predicted well the SLN status in the validation sample.

CONCLUSIONS

Investigation of a large pre-SLN population identified MR>0, ulceration, VGP, and male sex as independently predictive of RND in patients with thin melanomas. These factors may help to identify subgroups of these patients that have clinically significant risks of SLN positivity.

CD8+, HLA-unrestricted, cytotoxic T-lymphocyte line against malignant melanoma

A CD8⁺ cytotoxic T lymphocyte (CTL) line was derived from the peripheral blood mononuclear cells of a patient with primary melanoma. The CD8⁺ CTL line specifically lysed the autologous primary melanoma cells and not the natural killer cell-sensitive K562 cells or lymphokine activated killer cell-sensitive DAUDI cells. When a large panel of human leukocyte antigen (HLA)-matched and -unmatched allogeneic melanoma, glioma, breast and colorectal carcinoma cells was tested as targets in cytolysis assays, 4 HLA-matched and two HLA-unmatched allogeneic metastatic melanoma lines were lysed by the CD8⁺ CTL. Lysis of autologous and allogeneic melanoma cells was dependent on the effector-to-target cell ratio. Lysis of autologous melanoma cells was not blocked by anti-HLA class I or class II antibodies, confirming that the cytolytic activity of the CD8⁺ CTL was HLA-unrestricted. CTL lysis of autologous melanoma cells was CD3 (T cell receptor) dependent and FAS-FAS-L, and CD1 independent. Identification of the melanoma-associated antigen recognized by the HLA-unrestricted CTL may provide a vaccine for a broad population of melanoma patients.

Cutaneous melanoma: estimating survival and recurrence risk based on histopathologic features

The prognosis of melanoma is best understood in terms of a model of tumor progression, in which most melanomas may evolve through two major phases of progression: from a lesion that is nontumorigenic and has little or no capacity for metastasis; to a more advanced lesion that is tumorigenic and may have capacity for metastasis. The likelihood of metastasis varies with a number of attributes of the primary melanoma, including the phase of progression, the Breslow tumor thickness, mitotic rate, and host response to the tumorigenic compartment of the lesion, Clark's level of invasion, and other factors. When distant metastasis has occurred, the prognosis for the patient is very poor. In this monograph, the focus will be the discussion of factors related to the prognosis of melanomas that at diagnosis are clinically localized to the primary site.

CXC chemokine ligand 12 (stromal cell-derived factor 1 alpha) and CXCR4-dependent migration of CTLs toward melanoma cells in organotypic culture

Studies in experimental animal models have demonstrated that chemokines produced by tumor cells attract chemokine receptor-positive T lymphocytes into the tumor area, which may lead to tumor growth inhibition in vitro and in vivo. However, in cancer patients, the role of chemokines in T lymphocyte trafficking toward human tumor cells is relatively unexplored. In the present study, the role of chemokines and their receptors in the migration of a melanoma patient's CTL toward autologous tumor cells has been studied in a novel organotypic melanoma culture, consisting of a bottom layer of collagen type I with embedded fibroblasts followed successively by a tumor cell layer, collagen/fibroblast separating layer, and, finally, a top layer of collagen with embedded fibroblasts and T cells. In this model, CTL migrated from the top layer through the separating layer toward tumor cells, resulting in tumor cell apoptosis. CTL migration was mediated by chemokine receptor CXCR4 expressed by the CTL and CXCL12 (stromal cell-derived factor 1alpha) secreted by tumor cells, as evidenced by blockage of CTL migration by Abs to CXCL12 or CXCR4, high concentrations of CXCL12 or small molecule CXCR4 antagonist. These studies, together with studies in mice indicating regression of CXCL12-transduced tumor cells, followed by regression of nontransduced challenge tumor cells, suggest that CXCL12 may be useful as an immunotherapeutic agent for cancer patients, when transduced into tumor cells, or fused to anti-tumor Ag Ab or tumor Ag.

Mitotic rate as a predictor of sentinel lymph node positivity in patients with thin melanomas

BACKGROUND

Lymphatic mapping and sentinel lymphadenectomy (LM/SL) provide important prognostic information for patients with early-stage melanoma. Although the use of this technique in patients with thin melanomas (< or =1.00 mm) is not routine, risk factors that may predict sentinel lymph node (SLN) positivity in this patient population are under investigation. We sought to determine whether mitotic rate (MR) is associated with SLN positivity in thin-melanoma patients and, therefore, whether it may be used to risk-stratify and select patients for LM/SL.

METHODS

Clinical and histopathologic variables were reviewed for 181 patients with thin melanomas who underwent LM/SL from January 1996 through January 2004. Univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were performed to identify factors associated with SLN positivity. Risk groups were defined on the basis of the development of a classification tree.

RESULTS

The overall SLN positivity rate was 5%. All patients with positive SLNs had an MR of >0. By univariate analysis, MR and thickness were significant predictors of SLN positivity. The association between MR and SLN positivity remained significant controlling for each of the other variables evaluated. On the basis of a classification tree, patients with an MR >0 and tumor thickness > or =.76 mm were identified as a higher-risk group, with an SLN positivity rate of 12.3%.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with thin melanomas, MR >0 seems to be a significant predictor of SLN positivity that may be used to risk-stratify and select patients for LM/SL. To confirm these results, the predictive value of MR for SLN positivity needs to be validated in other populations of thin-melanoma patients.

Thin primary cutaneous malignant melanoma: a prognostic tree for 10-year metastasis is more accurate than American Joint Committee on Cancer staging

PURPOSE

The majority of invasive primary melanomas are thin (< or = 1.00 mm). Since the current staging system imperfectly predicts outcome in patients with such lesions, we sought to develop a more effective classification scheme to better identify both patients at high risk of metastasis who are candidates for further staging and therapy and those with little risk.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This prospective cohort study included 884 patients who had thin invasive melanomas. A tree-structured analysis of 10-year metastasis was used to develop a new classification scheme.

RESULTS

The overall 10-year metastasis rate was 6.5% (95% CI, 4.8% to 8.1%). The prognostic tree defined four risk groups: high-risk: men with vertical growth phase (VGP) lesions that had mitotic rates (MRs) greater than 0, and for whom the 10-year metastasis rate was 31% (22% to 42%; n = 90); moderate-risk: women with VGP lesions that had MRs greater than 0 and for whom the rate was 13% (9% to 18%; n = 136); low-risk: patients with VGP lesions that had MR of 0 for whom the rate was 4% (2% to 7%; n = 247); and minimal-risk: patients with invasive lesions without VGP for whom the rate was 0.5% (0% to 1.2%; n = 411). Survival curves differed significantly among the four groups (P <.001).

CONCLUSION

Growth phase, mitotic rate, and sex are important prognostic factors for patients with thin melanomas, and they identify subgroups at substantial risk for metastasis. After validation in other populations, the proposed prognostic tree will be useful in the design of clinical trials and clinical management.

Diet and melanoma in a case-control study

BACKGROUND

Malignant melanoma has been one of the most rapidly increasing cancers within the United States with few modifiable risk factors. This study investigates risk related to dietary factors, which are potentially modifiable.

METHODS

Newly diagnosed patients with melanoma (n = 502) were recruited from pigment lesion clinics and controls (n = 565) were recruited from outpatient clinics. To investigate the relationship between melanoma and dietary factors in this case-control study, study subjects were requested to complete a food frequency questionnaire, which assessed diet over the previous year. Using logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) for melanoma were computed for nutrient and alcohol intake.

RESULTS

Persons in high versus low quintiles of energy-adjusted vitamin D, alpha-carotene, beta-carotene, cryptoxanthin, lutein, and lycopene had significantly reduced risk for melanoma (ORs < or = 0.67), which remained after adjustment for presence of dysplastic nevi, education, and skin response to repeated sun exposure. Addition of micronutrients from supplements did not add an additional reduction in risk. High alcohol consumption was associated with an increased risk for melanoma, which remained after adjustment for confounders [OR (95% confidence interval) in highest versus lowest quintiles, 1.65 (1.09-2.49)].

CONCLUSIONS

Diets consisting of foods rich in vitamin D and carotenoids and low in alcohol may be associated with a reduction in risk for melanoma. These analyses should be repeated in large, prospective studies.

Diet and Melanoma in a Case-Control Study

Background: Malignant melanoma has been one of the most rapidly increasing cancers within the United States with few modifiable risk factors. This study investigates risk related to dietary factors, which are potentially modifiable. Methods: Newly diagnosed patients with melanoma (n = 502) were recruited from pigment lesion clinics and controls (n = 565) were recruited from outpatient clinics. To investigate the relationship between melanoma and dietary factors in this case-control study, study subjects were requested to complete a food frequency questionnaire, which assessed diet over the previous year. Using logistic regression, odds ratios (ORs) for melanoma were computed for nutrient and alcohol intake. Results: Persons in high versus low quintiles of energy-adjusted vitamin D, α-carotene, β-carotene, cryptoxanthin, lutein, and lycopene had significantly reduced risk for melanoma (ORs ≤ 0.67), which remained after adjustment for presence of dysplastic nevi, education, and skin response to repeated sun exposure. Addition of micronutrients from supplements did not add an additional reduction in risk. High alcohol consumption was associated with an increased risk for melanoma, which remained after adjustment for confounders [OR (95% confidence interval) in highest versus lowest quintiles, 1.65 (1.09-2.49)]. Conclusions: Diets consisting of foods rich in vitamin D and carotenoids and low in alcohol may be associated with a reduction in risk for melanoma. These analyses should be repeated in large, prospective studies.

Assessment of Polymorphic Variants in the Melanocortin-1 Receptor Gene with Cutaneous Pigmentation Using an Evolutionary Approach

The melanocortin-1 receptor gene (MC1R) encodes a membrane-bound receptor protein that is central to melanin synthesis. The coding region of MC1R is highly polymorphic and associations of variants with pigmentation phenotypes and risk for cutaneous neoplasms have been reported. We sought to determine the distribution and frequency of MC1R variants and their relationship to pigmentation characteristics in 179 Caucasian controls from the United States. One hundred thirty-five (75.4%) subjects carried one or more variants, and we determined that carriage of the previously designated “red hair color” (RHC) alleles, R151C, R160W, and D294H was strongly associated with fair pigmentation phenotypes including light hair and eye color, tendency to burn, decreased tendency to tan, and freckling. We used SIFT software to define MC1R protein positions that were predicted intolerant to amino acid substitutions; detected variants that corresponded to intolerant substitutions were D84E, R142H, R151C, I155T, R160W, and D294H. Carriage of one or more of these putative functionally important variants or the frameshift variant ins86A was significantly associated with fair pigmentation phenotypes. Analyses limited to carriage of ins86A and the three non-RHC alleles identified by SIFT were attenuated and no longer reached statistical significance. This is the first study to describe MC1R variants among control subjects from the U.S. Our results indicate that the frequency of variants is similar to that previously observed among non-U.S. Caucasians. Risk variants defined by either the published literature or by evolutionary criteria are strongly and significantly associated with all fair pigmentation phenotypes that were measured.

Assessment of polymorphic variants in the melanocortin-1 receptor gene with cutaneous pigmentation using an evolutionary approach

The melanocortin-1 receptor gene (MC1R) encodes a membrane-bound receptor protein that is central to melanin synthesis. The coding region of MC1R is highly polymorphic and associations of variants with pigmentation phenotypes and risk for cutaneous neoplasms have been reported. We sought to determine the distribution and frequency of MC1R variants and their relationship to pigmentation characteristics in 179 Caucasian controls from the United States. One hundred thirty-five (75.4%) subjects carried one or more variants, and we determined that carriage of the previously designated "red hair color" (RHC) alleles, R151C, R160W, and D294H was strongly associated with fair pigmentation phenotypes including light hair and eye color, tendency to burn, decreased tendency to tan, and freckling. We used SIFT software to define MC1R protein positions that were predicted intolerant to amino acid substitutions; detected variants that corresponded to intolerant substitutions were D84E, R142H, R151C, I155T, R160W, and D294H. Carriage of one or more of these putative functionally important variants or the frameshift variant ins86A was significantly associated with fair pigmentation phenotypes. Analyses limited to carriage of ins86A and the three non-RHC alleles identified by SIFT were attenuated and no longer reached statistical significance. This is the first study to describe MC1R variants among control subjects from the U.S. Our results indicate that the frequency of variants is similar to that previously observed among non-U.S. Caucasians. Risk variants defined by either the published literature or by evolutionary criteria are strongly and significantly associated with all fair pigmentation phenotypes that were measured.

Recombinant CD63/ME491/neuroglandular/NKI/C-3 antigen inhibits growth of established tumors in transgenic mice

Attempts to vaccinate against tumors can be hindered by the induction of immunological tolerance to the target Ag as a result of Ag expression on normal tissues. In this study, we find that transgenic mice expressing the melanoma-associated Ag CD63/ME491/neuroglandular/NKI/C-3 on their normal tissues do, in fact, exhibit immunological tolerance to the Ag, recapitulating the conditions in cancer patients. In these mice, growth of murine melanoma cells expressing the Ag after gene transfer was inhibited by immunization with Ag-expressing recombinant vaccinia virus combined with IL-2, but not by immunization with the protein alone, anti-idiotypic Abs, or irradiated tumor cells. The effect of the recombinant virus was demonstrated both for nonestablished and established tumors. Infiltration with both CD4(+) and CD8(+) T lymphocytes was significantly more extensive in tumors from experimental mice than in tumors from control mice. MHC class I-positive, but not class I-negative, tumors were inhibited by the vaccine, suggesting that MHC class I-restricted T lymphocytes play a role in the antitumor effects. Abs did not appear to be involved in the vaccine effects. CD63 was immunogenic in 2 of 13 melanoma patients, pointing to the potential of this Ag, combined with IL-2, as a vaccine for melanoma patients.

A CD4+, HLA-DR7-restricted T-helper lymphocyte clone recognizes an antigen shared by human malignant melanoma and glioma

CD4(+) Th cells that are restricted by MHC class II molecules play an important role in the induction of antitumor immune responses. We have established a stable CD4(+) Th cell clone (Th35-1A) from the PBMCs of a patient with primary cutaneous melanoma. The Th cell clone is noncytolytic and proliferates specifically in the presence of irradiated autologous melanoma cells or autologous EBV-transformed B cells pulsed with melanoma tumor cell lysates. Th35-1A produces IFN-gamma (a Th1-type cytokine) after autologous tumor cell stimulation, and its proliferative reactivity is HLA class II-restricted. Th cells showed helper activity for PWM responses of PBMCs. Using a panel of HLA class II-matched and unmatched EBV-B cells as APCs and allogeneic melanoma tumor cell lysate as stimulant, DR7 was delineated as the HLA class II restriction element used by the Th cell clone. In agreement with these results, transfection of an allogeneic melanoma cell line with HLA-DR7 isolated from autologous EBV-B cells rendered the cell line stimulatory for Th35-1A cells. Specificity studies using autologous EBV-B cells (EBV-B35) pulsed with a panel of allogeneic tumor cell lysates of various tissue origins indicated that the Th cell clone recognizes an antigen shared by melanoma and glioma cells. The availability of the Th cell clone may lead to the development of new therapies against melanoma, using adoptive Th cell transfer and/or active immunization with a shared Th cell antigen.

P gene as an inherited biomarker of human eye color

Human pigmentation, including eye color, has been associated with skin cancer risk. The P gene is the human homologue to the mouse pink-eye dilution locus and is responsible for oculocutaneous albinism type 2 and other phenotypes that confer eye hypopigmentation. The P gene is located on chromosome 15q11.2-q12, which is also the location of a putative eye pigmentation gene (EYCL3) inferred to exist by linkage analysis. Therefore, the P gene is a strong candidate for determination of human eye color. Using a sample of 629 normally pigmented individuals, we found that individuals were less likely to have blue or gray eyes if they had P gene variants Arg305Trp (P = 0.002), Arg419Gln (P = 0.001), or the combination of both variants (P = 0.003). These results suggest that P gene, in part, determines normal phenotypic variation in human eye color and may therefore represent an inherited biomarker of cutaneous cancer risk.

Average midrange ultraviolet radiation flux and time outdoors predict melanoma risk

Sunlight is the major environmental risk factor for melanoma. Descriptive studies have shown latitudinal variation in population incidence and mortality rates [D. C. Whiteman and A. C. Green, Int. J. Dermatol., 38: 481-489, 1999, and B. K. Armstrong, Australian J. Dermatol., 38 (Suppl. 1): 51-56, 1997]. In analytic studies, individual exposure has been particularly difficult to quantify. Lifetime residential history was coupled with levels of midrange UV radiation (UVB flux) to provide a measure of individual exposure to sunlight thought to be less subject to misclassification and recall bias. Data were analyzed from 718 non-Hispanic white patients with invasive cutaneous melanoma from melanoma clinics in Philadelphia and San Francisco. Matched controls were 945 patients from outpatient clinics with similar catchment areas. The association of melanoma risk and history of UVB flux along with the usual outdoor exposure risk factors were studied. A 10% increase in the average annual UVB flux was associated with a 19% [95% confidence interval (CI), 5-35%] increase in individual odds for melanoma for men and 16% (95% CI, 2-32%) for women. In men, a 10% increase in hours outdoors was associated with a 2.8% (95% CI, 1.2-4.5%) increase in odds. Even in women who could develop a deep tan, a 10% increase in hours outdoors was associated with a 5.8% increase in odds (95% CI, 1.4-10.4%). The association between melanoma risk and average annual UVB flux was strong and consistent for men and for women. The association with total adult hours outdoors was notable for men of all skin types and women who develop a suntan.