Association of indicators of extensive disease and rifampin-resistant tuberculosis treatment outcomes: an individual participant data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Indicators of extensive disease-acid fast bacilli (AFB) smear positivity and lung cavitation-have been inconsistently associated with clinical rifampin-resistant/multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (RR/MDR-TB) outcomes. We evaluated the association of these indicators with end-of-treatment outcomes.

METHODS

We did an individual participant data meta-analysis of people treated for RR/MDR-TB with longer regimens with documented AFB smear and chest radiography findings. We compared people AFB smear-negative without cavities to people: (1) smear-negative with lung cavities; (2) smear-positive without lung cavities and (3) AFB smear-positive with lung cavities. Using multivariable logistic regression accounting for demographic, treatment and clinical factors, we calculated adjusted ORs (aOR) for any unfavourable outcome (death, lost to follow-up, failure/recurrence), and mortality and treatment failure/recurrence alone.

RESULTS

We included 5596 participants; included participants significantly differed from excluded participants. Overall, 774 (13.8%) were AFB smear-negative without cavities, 647 (11.6%) only had cavities, 1424 (25.4%) were AFB smear-positive alone and 2751 (49.2%) were AFB smear-positive with cavities. The median age was 37 years (IQR: 28-47), 3580 (64%) were male and 686 (12.5%) had HIV. Compared with participants AFB smear-negative without cavities, aOR (95% CI) for any unfavourable outcome was 1.0 (0.8 to 1.4) for participants smear-negative with lung cavities, 1.2 (0.9 to 1.5) if smear-positive without cavities and 1.6 (1.3 to 2.0) if AFB smear-positive with lung cavities. Odds were only significantly increased for mortality (1.5, 95% CI 1.1 to 2.1) and failure/recurrence (2.2, 95% CI 1.5 to 3.3) among participants AFB smear-positive with lung cavities.

CONCLUSION

Only the combination of AFB smear-positivity and lung cavitation was associated with unfavourable outcomes, suggesting they may benefit from stronger regimens.

The prevalence of tuberculosis infection among foreign-born Canadians: a modelling study

BACKGROUND

The prevalence of tuberculosis infection is critical to the design of tuberculosis prevention strategies, yet is unknown in Canada. We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection among Canadian residents born abroad.

METHODS

We estimated the prevalence of tuberculosis infection by age and year of migration to Canada for people from each of 168 countries by constructing country-specific and calendar year-specific trends for annual risk of infection using a previously developed model. We combined country-specific prevalence estimates with Canadian Census data from 2001, 2006, 2011, 2016 and 2021 to estimate the overall prevalence of tuberculosis infection among foreign-born Canadian residents.

RESULTS

The estimated overall prevalence of tuberculosis infection among foreign-born people in Canada was 25% (95% uncertainty interval [UI] 20%-35%) for census year 2001, 24% (95% UI 20%-33%) for 2006, 23% (95% UI 19%-30%) for 2011, 22% (95% UI 19%-28%) for 2016 and 22% (95% UI 19%-27%) for 2021. The prevalence increased with age at migration and incidence of tuberculosis in the country of origin. In 2021, the estimated prevalence of infection among foreign-born residents was lowest in Quebec (19%, 95% UI 16%-24%) and highest in Alberta (24%, 95% UI 21%-28%) and British Columbia (24%, 95% UI 20%-30%). Among all foreign-born Canadian residents with tuberculosis infection in 2021, we estimated that only 1 in 488 (95% UI 185-1039) had become infected within the 2 preceding years.

INTERPRETATION

About 1 in 4 foreign-born Canadian residents has tuberculosis infection, but very few were infected within the 2 preceding years (the highest risk period for progression to tuberculosis disease). These data may inform future tuberculosis infection screening policies.

Identifying patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis who may benefit from shorter durations of treatment

OBJECTIVE

Studying treatment duration for rifampicin-resistant and multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR-TB) using observational data is methodologically challenging. We aim to present a hypothesis generating approach to identify factors associated with shorter duration of treatment.

STUDY DESIGN AND SETTING

We conducted an individual patient data meta-analysis among MDR/RR-TB patients restricted to only those with successful treatment outcomes. Using multivariable linear regression, we estimated associations and their 95% confidence intervals (CI) between the outcome of individual deviation in treatment duration (in months) from the mean duration of their treatment site and patient characteristics, drug resistance, and treatments used.

RESULTS

Overall, 6702 patients with successful treatment outcomes from 84 treatment sites were included. We found that factors commonly associated with poor treatment outcomes were also associated with longer treatment durations, relative to the site mean duration. Use of bedaquiline was associated with a 0.51 (95% CI: 0.15, 0.87) month decrease in duration of treatment, which was consistent across subgroups, while MDR/RR-TB with fluoroquinolone resistance was associated with 0.78 (95% CI: 0.36, 1.21) months increase.

CONCLUSION

We describe a method to assess associations between clinical factors and treatment duration in observational studies of MDR/RR-TB patients, that may help identify patients who can benefit from shorter treatment.

Healthcare Utilization After Respiratory Tuberculosis: A Controlled Interrupted Time Series Analysis

BACKGROUND

Despite data suggesting elevated morbidity and mortality among people who have survived tuberculosis disease, the impact of respiratory tuberculosis on healthcare utilization in the years following diagnosis and treatment remains unclear.

METHODS

Using linked health administrative data from British Columbia, Canada, we identified foreign-born individuals treated for respiratory tuberculosis between 1990 and 2019. We matched each person with up to four people without a tuberculosis diagnosis from the same source cohort using propensity score matching. Then, using a controlled interrupted time series analysis, we measured outpatient physician encounters and inpatient hospital admissions in the 5 years following respiratory tuberculosis diagnosis and treatment.

RESULTS

We matched 1216 individuals treated for respiratory tuberculosis to 4864 non-tuberculosis controls. Immediately following the tuberculosis diagnostic and treatment period, the monthly rate of outpatient encounters in the tuberculosis group was 34.0% (95% confidence interval [CI]: 30.7%, 37.2%) higher than expected, and this trend was sustained for the duration of the post-tuberculosis period. The excess utilization represented an additional 12.2 (95% CI: 10.6, 14.9) outpatient encounters per person over the post-tuberculosis period, with respiratory morbidity a large contributor to the excess healthcare utilization. Results were similar for hospital admissions, with an additional 0.4 (95% CI: .3, .5) hospital admissions per person over the post-tuberculosis period.

CONCLUSIONS

Respiratory tuberculosis appears to have long-term impacts on healthcare utilization beyond treatment. These findings underscore the need for screening, assessment, and treatment of post-tuberculosis sequelae, as it may provide an opportunity to improve health and reduce resource use.

Completion, safety, and efficacy of tuberculosis preventive treatment regimens containing rifampicin or rifapentine: an individual patient data network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

3 months of weekly rifapentine plus isoniazid (3HP) and 4 months of daily rifampicin (4R) are recommended for tuberculosis preventive treatment. As these regimens have not been compared directly, we used individual patient data and network meta-analysis methods to compare completion, safety, and efficacy between 3HP and 4R.

METHODS

We conducted a network meta-analysis of individual patient data by searching PubMed for randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published between Jan 1, 2000, and Mar 1, 2019. Eligible studies compared 3HP or 4R to 6 months or 9 months of isoniazid and reported treatment completion, adverse events, or incidence of tuberculosis disease. Deidentified individual patient data from eligible studies were provided by study investigators and outcomes were harmonised. Methods for network meta-analysis were used to generate indirect adjusted risk ratios (aRRs) and risk differences (aRDs) with their 95% CIs.

FINDINGS

We included 17 572 participants from 14 countries in six trials. In the network meta-analysis, treatment completion was higher for people on 3HP than for those on 4R (aRR 1·06 [95% CI 1·02-1·10]; aRD 0·05 [95% CI 0·02-0·07]). For treatment-related adverse events leading to drug discontinuation, risks were higher for 3HP than for 4R for adverse events of any severity (aRR 2·86 [2·12-4·21]; aRD 0·03 [0·02-0·05]) and for grade 3-4 adverse events (aRR 3·46 [2·09-6·17]; aRD 0·02 [0·01-0·03]). Similar increased risks with 3HP were observed with other definitions of adverse events and were consistent across age groups. No difference in the incidence of tuberculosis disease between 3HP and 4R was found.

INTERPRETATION

In the absence of RCTs, our individual patient data network meta-analysis indicates that 3HP provided an increase in treatment completion over 4R, but was associated with a higher risk of adverse events. Although findings should be confirmed, the trade-off between completion and safety must be considered when selecting a regimen for tuberculosis preventive treatment.

FUNDING

None.

TRANSLATIONS

For the French and Spanish translations of the abstract see Supplementary Materials section.

The state of tuberculosis surveillance in Canada

Tuberculosis incidence in Canada has remained essentially unchanged over the past decade. A strategic plan to reduce the burden of disease, underpinned by high-quality surveillance data, is sorely needed. However, tuberculosis surveillance data are lacking in Canada for multiple reasons. There is no single entity responsible for coordinating a tuberculosis response, including strategies for surveillance, thus inhibiting effective solutions. This in turn affects the timeliness and comprehensiveness of national tuberculosis surveillance reporting: between 2000 and 2020, there was an average 25-month delay to publication of annual surveillance data and the comprehensiveness of reports has precipitously fallen over time. Compounding these issues are case report forms for tuberculosis surveillance data which have not been updated since 2011, failing to keep up with the changing tuberculosis epidemiology and to provide information required for strategic planning. Common-sense steps can be taken to vastly improve the utility of collected tuberculosis surveillance data, and the development of a strategic plan for tuberculosis elimination. These include initiating a country-wide consultation on surveillance needs; allocating resources for data collection and analysis and data sharing; setting precise, measurable goals; and, importantly, establishing an oversight committee with representation from all provincial/territorial tuberculosis program leads who are held to account for performance.

The association of SARS-CoV-2 infection and tuberculosis disease with unfavorable treatment outcomes: A systematic review

BACKGROUND

Whether SARS-CoV-2 infection and its management influence tuberculosis (TB) treatment outcomes is uncertain. We synthesized evidence on the association of SARS-CoV-2 coinfection (Coinfection Review) and its management (Clinical Management Review) on treatment outcomes among people with tuberculosis (TB) disease.

METHODS

We systematically searched the literature from 1 January 2020 to 6 February 2022. Primary outcomes included: unfavorable (death, treatment failure, loss-to-follow-up) TB treatment outcomes (Coinfection and Clinical Management Review) and/or severe or critical COVID-19 or death (Clinical Management Review). Study quality was assessed with an adapted Newcastle Ottawa Scale. Data were heterogeneous and a narrative review was performed. An updated search was performed on April 3, 2023.

FINDINGS

From 9,529 records, we included 11 studies and 7305 unique participants. No study reported data relevant to our review in their primary publication and data had to be contributed by study authors after contact. Evidence from all studies was low quality. Eight studies of 5749 persons treated for TB (286 [5%] with SARS-CoV-2) were included in the Coinfection Review. Across five studies reporting our primary outcome, there was no significant association between SARS-CoV-2 coinfection and unfavorable TB treatment outcomes. Four studies of 1572 TB patients-of whom 291 (19%) received corticosteroids or other immunomodulating treatment-were included in the Clinical Management Review, and two addressed a primary outcome. Studies were likely confounded by indication and discordant findings existed among studies. When updating our search, we still did not identify any study reporting data relevant to this review in their primary publication.

INTERPRETATION

No study was designed to answer our research questions of interest. It remains unclear whether TB/SARS-CoV-2 and its therapeutic management are associated with unfavorable outcomes. Research is needed to improve our understanding of risk and optimal management of persons with TB and SARS-CoV-2 infection.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Registration: PROSPERO (CRD42022309818).

Factors Associated With Discontinuation of Tuberculosis Preventive Treatment: Post Hoc Analysis of 2 Randomized, Controlled Trials

BACKGROUND

Adherence to tuberculosis preventive treatment (TPT) is an important determinant of clinical benefit. We assessed the association of participant behaviors early in TPT with subsequent discontinuation.

METHODS

We used data from a phase 3 randomized trial and the preceding phase 2 trial to compare 4 months of rifampin to 9 months of isoniazid for TPT. We excluded participants whose providers discontinued TPT due to adverse events or tuberculosis disease. We analyzed 4 outcomes: discontinuing TPT within the first month of treatment, discontinuing TPT between the first and second month, discontinuing TPT after the second month, and completing treatment but not per protocol. We analyzed the association of outcomes with regimen and participant characteristics and 4 behavioral predictors of discontinuation recorded at the month 1 and month 2 follow-up visits: reporting symptoms of intolerance, missing >20% of doses, rescheduling appointments, and not bringing their medication bottle.

RESULTS

Overall, 6656 participants were included (phase 3, 5848; phase 2, 808), of whom 4318 (64.9%) completed treatment per protocol. Participant characteristics were inconsistently associated with discontinuation. Phase 3 trial participants with 1, 2, or 3-4 behavioral predictors at the month 1 follow-up had 5.0 (95% confidence interval, 3.6-6.7), 18.6 (13.3-26.1), and 79.4 (38.2-165.0), respectively, higher odds of discontinuing before the second month. The corresponding number of predictors at the month 2 follow-up had 1.8 (1.4-2.2), 4.7 (3.6-6.2), and 7.4 (4.6-11.9) higher odds of discontinuing before completing treatment; phase 2 findings were similar.

CONCLUSIONS

Four behavioral predictors recorded early in therapy were more strongly associated with subsequent discontinuation than participant characteristics, particularly when more than 1 behavioral predictor was recorded. Clinical Trials Registration. NCT00170209; NCT00931736.

Low Body Mass Index at Treatment Initiation and Rifampicin-Resistant Tuberculosis Treatment Outcomes: An Individual Participant Data Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

The impact of low body mass index (BMI) at initiation of rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB) treatment on outcomes is uncertain. We evaluated the association between BMI at RR-TB treatment initiation and end-of-treatment outcomes.

METHODS

We performed an individual participant data meta-analysis of adults aged ≥18 years with RR-TB whose BMI was documented at treatment initiation. We compared odds of any unfavorable treatment outcome, mortality, or failure/recurrence between patients who were underweight (BMI <18.5 kg/m2) and not underweight. Adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% confidence intervals (CIs) were estimated using logistic regression, with matching on demographic, clinical, and treatment-related factors. We evaluated effect modification by human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) status and other variables using likelihood ratio tests. We also estimated cumulative incidence of mortality during treatment stratified by HIV.

RESULTS

Overall, 5148 patients were included; 1702 (33%) were underweight at treatment initiation. The median (interquartile range) age was 37 years (29 to 47), and 455 (9%) had HIV. Compared with nonunderweight patients, the aOR among underweight patients was 1.7 (95% CI, 1.4-1.9) for any unfavorable outcome, 3.1 (2.4-3.9) for death, and 1.6 (1.2-2.0) for failure/recurrence. Significant effect modification was found for World Health Organization region of treatment. Among HIV-negative patients, 24-month mortality was 14.8% (95% CI, 12.7%-17.3%) for underweight and 5.6% (4.5%-7.0%) for not underweight patients. Among patients with HIV, corresponding values were 33.0% (25.6%-42.6%) and 20.9% (14.1%-27.6%).

CONCLUSIONS

Low BMI at treatment initiation for RR-TB is associated with increased odds of unfavorable treatment outcome, particularly mortality.

Evaluating the Effectiveness of a Novel Systematic Screening Approach for Tuberculosis among Individuals Suspected or Recovered from COVID-19: Experiences from Niger and Guinea

Evidence suggests that the COVID-19 pandemic negatively impacts tuberculosis (TB) activities. As TB and COVID-19 have similar symptoms, we assessed the effectiveness of integrated TB/COVID-19 screening in Guinea and Niger. From May to December 2020, TB screening was offered to symptomatic patients after a negative COVID-19 PCR test or after recovery from COVID-19 in Guinea. From December 2020 to March 2021, all presumptive COVID-19 patients with respiratory symptoms were tested simultaneously for COVID-19 and TB in Niger. We assessed the TB detection yield and used micro-costing to estimate the costs associated with both screening algorithms. A total of 863 individuals (758 in Guinea, and 105 in Niger), who were mostly male (60%) and with a median age of 34 (IQR: 26–45), were screened for TB. Reported symptoms were cough ≥2 weeks (49%), fever (45%), and weight loss (30%). Overall, 61 patients (7%) tested positive for COVID-19 (13 in Guinea, 48 in Niger) and 43 (4.9%) were diagnosed with TB disease (35 or 4.6% in Guinea, and 8 or 7.6% in Niger). The cost per person initiating TB treatment was USD $367 in Guinea and $566 in Niger. Overall, the yield of both approaches was high, and the cost was modest. Optimizing integrated COVID-19/TB screening may support maintaining TB detection during the ongoing pandemic.

Costs of Tuberculosis at 3 Treatment Centers, Canada, 2010-2016

We estimated costs of managing different forms of tuberculosis (TB) across Canada by conducting a retrospective chart review and cost assessment of patients treated for TB infection, drug-susceptible TB (DS TB), isoniazid-resistant TB, or multidrug-resistant TB (MDR TB) at 3 treatment centers. We included 90 patients each with TB infection and DS TB, 71 with isoniazid-resistant TB, and 62 with MDR TB. Median per-patient costs for TB infection (in 2020 Canadian dollars) were $804 (interquartile range [IQR] $587-$1,205), for DS TB $12,148 (IQR $4,388-$24,842), for isoniazid-resistant TB $19,319 (IQR $7,117-$41,318), and for MDR TB $119,014 (IQR $80,642-$164,015). Compared with costs for managing DS TB, costs were 11.1 (95% CI 9.1-14.3) times lower for TB infection, 1.7 (95% CI 1.3-2.1) times higher for isoniazid-resistant TB, and 8.1 (95% CI 6.1-10.6) times higher for MDR TB. Broadened TB infection treatment could avert high costs associated with managing TB disease.

Occupational stress in industry setting in Benin 2019: A cross-sectional study

Background

Occupational stress is a psychosocial risk in the workplace. Working conditions in industrial settings may lead to occupational stress. In Benin, however, there is little epidemiological data on occupational stress in industrial settings. We aimed to determine the prevalence and factors associated with occupational stress in industrial settings in Benin in 2019.

Methods

This was a prospective, cross-sectional study conducted from January 31 to April 11, 2019, among 15 cotton ginning plants. Sampling was exhaustive for permanent workers and stratified in clusters by shift for occasional cotton gin workers. Data were collected through Karasek and Siegrist questionnaires. Data analysis was performed using R software. Binary multivariable logistic regression was performed. The significance level was p < 0.05.

Results

Of 1883 workers included, 90.8% were male. The median age was 38 years (IQR: 28 years to 49 years). The prevalence of occupational stress was 77.7% (95% CI: 75.8–79.6). Psychological demand was high in 93.0% of workers and 83.9% had low decision latitude. Among the workers, 16.3% had low social support and 89.9% had a low recognition score at work. Factors associated with occupational stress were: being an occasional vs. permanent worker (aOR 6.43, 95% CI 4.18 to 9.88); age less than 38 years (aOR 0.55, 95% CI 0.41 to 0.76); high intensity physical activity at work (aOR 1.33, 95% CI 1.03 to 1.73); working in production vs. administration (aOR 1.59, 95% CI 1.03 to 2.45); spending fewer than 4 years at the current work location (aOR 1.60, 95% CI 1.05 to 2.44); and scoring low for recognition at work (aOR 1.53, 95% CI 1.04 to 2.23). Noise exposure and being a shift worker were significant in univariable analysis, but not multivariable analysis.

Conclusion

Occupational stress is very common among workers in industrial settings. The implementation and evaluation of preventive measures against these risk factors is necessary.

Scaling up target regimens for tuberculosis preventive treatment in Brazil and South Africa: An analysis of costs and cost-effectiveness

BACKGROUND

Shorter, safer, and cheaper tuberculosis (TB) preventive treatment (TPT) regimens will enhance uptake and effectiveness. WHO developed target product profiles describing minimum requirements and optimal targets for key attributes of novel TPT regimens. We performed a cost-effectiveness analysis addressing the scale-up of regimens meeting these criteria in Brazil, a setting with relatively low transmission and low HIV and rifampicin-resistant TB (RR-TB) prevalence, and South Africa, a setting with higher transmission and higher HIV and RR-TB prevalence.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We used outputs from a model simulating scale-up of TPT regimens meeting minimal and optimal criteria. We assumed that drug costs for minimal and optimal regimens were identical to 6 months of daily isoniazid (6H). The minimal regimen lasted 3 months, with 70% completion and 80% efficacy; the optimal regimen lasted 1 month, with 90% completion and 100% efficacy. Target groups were people living with HIV (PLHIV) on antiretroviral treatment and household contacts (HHCs) of identified TB patients. The status quo was 6H at 2019 coverage levels for PLHIV and HHCs. We projected TB cases and deaths, TB-associated disability-adjusted life years (DALYs), and costs (in 2020 US dollars) associated with TB from a TB services perspective from 2020 to 2035, with 3% annual discounting. We estimated the expected costs and outcomes of scaling up 6H, the minimal TPT regimen, or the optimal TPT regimen to reach all eligible PLHIV and HHCs by 2023, compared to the status quo. Maintaining current 6H coverage in Brazil (0% of HHCs and 30% of PLHIV treated) would be associated with 1.1 (95% uncertainty range [UR] 1.1-1.2) million TB cases, 123,000 (115,000-132,000) deaths, and 2.5 (2.1-3.1) million DALYs and would cost $1.1 ($1.0-$1.3) billion during 2020-2035. Expanding the 6H, minimal, or optimal regimen to 100% coverage among eligible groups would reduce DALYs by 0.5% (95% UR 1.2% reduction, 0.4% increase), 2.5% (1.8%-3.0%), and 9.0% (6.5%-11.0%), respectively, with additional costs of $107 ($95-$117) million and $51 ($41-$60) million and savings of $36 ($14-$58) million, respectively. Compared to the status quo, costs per DALY averted were $7,608 and $808 for scaling up the 6H and minimal regimens, respectively, while the optimal regimen was dominant (cost savings, reduced DALYs). In South Africa, maintaining current 6H coverage (0% of HHCs and 69% of PLHIV treated) would be associated with 3.6 (95% UR 3.0-4.3) million TB cases, 843,000 (598,000-1,201,000) deaths, and 36.7 (19.5-58.0) million DALYs and would cost $2.5 ($1.8-$3.6) billion. Expanding coverage with the 6H, minimal, or optimal regimen would reduce DALYs by 6.9% (95% UR 4.3%-95%), 15.5% (11.8%-18.9%), and 38.0% (32.7%-43.0%), respectively, with additional costs of $79 (-$7, $151) million and $40 (-$52, $140) million and savings of $608 ($443-$832) million, respectively. Compared to the status quo, estimated costs per DALY averted were $31 and $7 for scaling up the 6H and minimal regimens, while the optimal regimen was dominant. Study limitations included the focus on 2 countries, and no explicit consideration of costs incurred before the decision to prescribe TPT.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that scale-up of TPT regimens meeting minimum or optimal requirements would likely have important impacts on TB-associated outcomes and would likely be cost-effective or cost saving.

Prioritising attributes for tuberculosis preventive treatment regimens: a modelling analysis

BACKGROUND

Recent years have seen important improvements in available preventive treatment regimens for tuberculosis (TB), and research is ongoing to develop these further. To assist with the formulation of target product profiles for future regimens, we examined which regimen properties would be most influential in the epidemiological impact of preventive treatment.

METHODS

Following expert consultation, we identified 5 regimen properties relevant to the incidence-reducing impact of a future preventive treatment regimen: regimen duration, efficacy, ease-of-adherence (treatment completion rates in programmatic conditions), forgiveness to non-completion and the barrier to developing rifampicin resistance during treatment. For each regimen property, we elicited expert input for minimally acceptable and optimal (ideal-but-feasible) performance scenarios for future regimens. Using mathematical modelling, we then examined how each regimen property would influence the TB incidence reduction arising from full uptake of future regimens according to current WHO guidelines, in four countries: South Africa, Kenya, India and Brazil.

RESULTS

Of all regimen properties, efficacy is the single most important predictor of epidemiological impact, while ease-of-adherence plays an important secondary role. These results are qualitatively consistent across country settings; sensitivity analyses show that these results are also qualitatively robust to a range of model assumptions, including the mechanism of action of future preventive regimens.

CONCLUSIONS

As preventive treatment regimens against TB continue to improve, understanding the key drivers of epidemiological impact can assist in guiding further development. By meeting these key targets, future preventive treatment regimens could play a critical role in global efforts to end TB.

Adequacy of Serial Self-performed SARS-CoV-2 Rapid Antigen Detection Testing for Longitudinal Mass Screening in the Workplace

IMPORTANCE

Longitudinal mass testing using rapid antigen detection tests (RADT) for serial screening of asymptomatic persons has been proposed for preventing SARS-CoV-2 community transmission. The feasibility of this strategy relies on accurate self-testing.

OBJECTIVE

To quantify the adequacy of serial self-performed SARS-CoV-2 RADT testing in the workplace, in terms of the frequency of correct execution of procedural steps and accurate interpretation of the range of possible RADT results.

DESIGN, SETTING, AND PARTICIPANTS

This prospective repeated cross-sectional study was performed from July to October 2021 at businesses with at least 2 active cases of SARS-CoV-2 infection in Montreal, Canada. Participants included untrained persons in their workplace, not meeting Public Health quarantine criteria (ie, required quarantine for 10 days after a moderate-risk contact with someone infected with SARS-CoV-2). Interpretation and performance were compared between participants who received instructions provided by the manufacturer vs those who received modified instructions that were informed by the most frequent or most critical errors we observed. Data were analyzed from October to November 2021.

EXPOSURES

RADT testing using a modified quick reference guide compared with the original manufacturer's instructions.

MAIN OUTCOMES AND MEASURES

The main outcome was the difference in correctly interpreted RADT results. Secondary outcomes included difference in proportions of correctly performed procedural steps. Additional analyses, assessed among participants with 2 self-testing visits, compared the second self-test visit with the first self-test visit using the same measures.

RESULTS

Overall, 1892 tests were performed among 647 participants, of whom 278 participants (median [IQR] age, 43 [31-55] years; 156 [56.1%] men) had at least 1 self-testing visit. For self-test visit 1, significantly better accuracy in test interpretation was observed among participants using the modified quick reference guide than those using the manufacturer's instructions for reading results that were weak positive (64 of 115 participants [55.6%] vs 20 of 163 participants [12.3%]; difference, 43.3 [95% CI, 33.0-53.8] percentage points), positive (103 of 115 participants [89.6%] vs 84 of 163 participants [51.5%]; difference, 38.1 [95% CI, 28.5-47.5] percentage points), strong positive (219 of 229 participants [95.6%] vs 274 of 326 participants [84.0%]; difference, 11.6 [95% CI, 6.8-16.3] percentage points), and invalid (200 of 229 participants [87.3%] vs 252 of 326 participants [77.3%]; difference, 10.0 [95% CI, 3.8-16.3] percentage points). Use of the modified guide was associated with improvements on self-test visit 2 for results that were weak positive (difference, 15.4 [95% CI, 0.7-30.1] percentage points), positive (difference, 19.0 [95% CI, 7.2-30.9] percentage points), and invalid (difference, 8.0 [95% CI, 0.8-15.4] percentage points). For procedural steps identified as critical for test validity, adherence to procedural testing steps did not differ meaningfully according to instructions provided or reader experience.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In this cross-sectional study of self-performed SARS-CoV-2 RADT in an intended-use setting, a modified quick reference guide was associated with significantly improved accuracy in RADT interpretations.

Safety of prolonged treatment with bedaquiline in programmatic conditions

Bedaquiline is now considered a first-line medicine for treatment of rifampicin-resistant tuberculosis (RR-TB). We evaluated the safety of treatment with bedaquiline for longer than 190 days in individuals with RR-TB under programmatic conditions.

In a prospective cohort study enrolling pulmonary RR-TB patients, we initiated bedaquiline-based treatment at a tertiary hospital in Belarus. We defined standard bedaquiline use as <190 days and prolonged as ≥190 days. We recorded adverse events (AEs) and classified their seriousness and relation to bedaquiline. Our primary outcome in regression analyses was the incidence of serious AEs occurring within 5 months of bedaquiline cessation. We used generalised estimating equations to estimate the adjusted incidence rate ratio (aIRR) of serious AEs between the prolonged and standard bedaquiline groups.

We enrolled 113 patients, 83 (73%) of whom received standard and 30 (27%) received prolonged treatment. A total of 2030 AEs occurred during treatment. Of these, 63 (3.1%) were serious AEs occurring within 5 months of bedaquiline cessation; QTcF prolongation was the most common bedaquiline-related serious AE. The incidence of serious AEs per 100 person-months was 5.4 (3.9 to 7.2) in the standard group and 4.4 (2.6 to 7.0) in the prolonged group. In adjusted analyses, serious AEs were no different (aIRR: 0.82, 95% CI 0.42–1.61) in the prolonged group. One patient in the standard bedaquiline group died of acute cardiopulmonary failure deemed possibly related to bedaquiline.

Prolonged use of bedaquiline under programmatic conditions appears safe. Clinicians should carefully monitor QTcF interval since its prolongation was commonly observed.

This study demonstrated that prolonged use of bedaquiline under programmatic conditions appears to be safe. However, clinicians should carefully monitor QTcF interval throughout treatment with bedaquiline due to proven risk of QTcF prolongation.https://bit.ly/36UHHc3

Systematic on-site testing for SARS-CoV-2 infection among asymptomatic essential workers in Montréal, Canada: a prospective observational and cost-assessment study

BACKGROUND

Essential workers are at increased risk for SARS-CoV-2 infection. We aimed to estimate the yield, acceptability and cost of systematic workplace-based testing of asymptomatic essential workers for SARS-CoV-2 infection.

METHODS

From Jan. 27 to Mar. 12, 2021, we prospectively recruited non-health care essential businesses in Montréal, Canada, through email or telephone contact. Two trained mobile teams, each composed of 2 non-health care professionals, visited businesses. Consenting asymptomatic employees provided saline gargle samples under supervision. Samples were analyzed by means of reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR). At businesses with outbreaks (≥ 2 participants with a positive result), we retested all participants with a negative result on initial testing. Our primary outcomes were yield (proportion of test results that were positive), acceptability (proportion of participants estimated to be present at the business who agreed to participate) and costs (including training, sample collection and analysis, and communicating results). Our secondary outcome was identification of factors associated with a positive test result on multivariable logistic regression.

RESULTS

Of the 366 businesses contacted, 69 (18.8%) agreed to participate. Nineteen businesses (28%) were manufacturers or suppliers, 12 (17%) were in auto sales or repair, and 11 (16%) were in childcare; the corresponding number of employees was 1225, 242 and 113. The median number of participants per business was 13 (interquartile range [IQR] 8-22). Of an estimated 2348 employees on site, 2128 (90.6%) participated (808 [38.0%] female, median age 48 [IQR 37-57] yr). Of the 2626 tests performed, 53 (2.0%) gave a positive result. Self-reported nonwhite ethnicity (adjusted odds ratio [OR] 3.7, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.4-9.9) and a negative SARS-CoV-2 test result before the study (adjusted OR 0.4, 95% CI 0.2-0.8) were associated with a positive test result. Five businesses were experiencing an outbreak; at these businesses, 40/917 participants (4.4%) had a positive result on the initial test. We repeated testing for employees with initially negative results at 3 of these businesses over 2-3 weeks: 8/350 participants (2.3%) had a positive result on the second test, and none had a positive result on the third and fourth tests; no employer reported new positive results after our final visit (up to Mar. 26, 2021). At the remaining 64 businesses, 1211 participants were tested once, of whom 5 (0.4%) had a positive result. The per-person RT-PCR cost was $34, and all other costs, $8.67.

INTERPRETATION

On-site saline gargle sampling of essential workers for SARS-CoV-2 testing was acceptable and of modest cost, and appears most useful in the context of outbreaks. This sampling strategy should be evaluated further as a component of efforts to prevent SARS-CoV-2 transmission. PREPRINT: medRxiv - doi:10.1101/2021.05.12.21256956.

Prevalence, acceptability, and cost of routine screening for pulmonary tuberculosis among pregnant women in Cotonou, Benin

OBJECTIVES

We sought to evaluate the yield, cost, feasibility, and acceptability of routine tuberculosis (TB) screening of pregnant women in Cotonou, Benin.

DESIGN

Mixed-methods, cross-sectional study with a cost assessment.

SETTING

Eight participating health facilities in Cotonou, Benin.

PARTICIPANTS

Consecutive pregnant women presenting for antenatal care at any participating site who were not in labor or currently being treated for TB from April 2017 to April 2018.

INTERVENTIONS

Screening for the presence of TB symptoms by midwives and Xpert MTB/RIF for those with cough for at least two weeks. Semi-structured interviews with 14 midwives and 16 pregnant women about experiences with TB screening.

PRIMARY AND SECONDARY OUTCOME MEASURES

Proportion of pregnant women with cough of at least two weeks and/or microbiologically confirmed TB. The cost per pregnant woman screened and per TB case diagnosed in 2019 USD from the health system perspective.

RESULTS

Out of 4,070 pregnant women enrolled in the study, 94 (2.3%) had a cough for at least two weeks at the time of screening. The average (standard deviation) age of symptomatic women was 26 ± 5 years and 5 (5.3%) had HIV. Among the 94 symptomatic women, 2 (2.3%) had microbiologically confirmed TB for a TB prevalence of 49 per 100,000 (95% CI: 6 to 177 per 100,000) among pregnant women enrolled in the study. The average cost to screen one pregnant woman for TB was $1.12 USD and the cost per TB case diagnosed was $2271 USD. Thematic analysis suggested knowledge of TB complications in pregnancy was low, but that routine TB screening was acceptable to both midwives and pregnant women.

CONCLUSION

Enhanced screening for TB among pregnant women is feasible, acceptable, and inexpensive per woman screened, however in this setting has suboptimal yield even if it can contribute to enhance TB case finding.

Invited Commentary: The Role of Tuberculosis Screening Among Migrants to Low-Incidence Settings in (Not) Achieving Elimination

The cost-effectiveness of migrant tuberculosis prevention programs is highly relevant to many countries with low tuberculosis incidence as they attempt to eliminate the disease. Dale et al. (Am J Epidemiol. 2022;191(2):255-270) evaluated strategies for tuberculosis infection screening and treatment among new migrants to Australia. Screening for infection before migration, and then administering preventive treatment after arrival, was more cost-effective than performing both screening and treatment after arrival. From the Australian health payer perspective, the improved cost-effectiveness of premigration screening partly reflected the shift of screening costs to migrants, which may raise ethical concerns. Key sensitivity analyses highlighted the influence of health disutility associated with tuberculosis preventive treatment, and of posttreatment sequelae of tuberculosis disease. Both considerations warrant greater attention in future research. For all strategies, the impact on tuberculosis incidence among migrants was modest (<15%), suggesting enhanced migrant screening will not achieve tuberculosis elimination in low-incidence settings. This emphasizes the need to increase investment and effort in global tuberculosis prevention and care, which will ultimately reduce the prevalence of tuberculosis infection and therefore the risk of tuberculosis disease among migrants. Such efforts will benefit high and low tuberculosis incidence countries alike, and advance all countries further toward tuberculosis elimination.

Scaling up investigation and treatment of household contacts of tuberculosis patients in Brazil: a cost-effectiveness and budget impact analysis

Background

In Brazil, investigation and treatment of tuberculosis infection (TBI) in households contacts (HHC) of TB patients is not a priority. We estimated the cost-effectiveness and budget-impact of scaling-up an enhanced HHC management in Brazil.

Methods

We conceptualized a cascade-of-care that captures how HHC of tuberculosis patients are investigated in Brazil (status quo) and two enhanced strategies for management of HHC focusing on: (1) only tuberculosis disease (TBD) detection and, (2) TBD and TBI detection and treatment. Effectiveness was the number of HHC diagnosed with TBD and completing TBI treatment. Proportions in the cascades-of-care were derived from a meta-analysis. Health-system costs (2019 US$) were based on literature and official data from Brazil. The impact of enhanced strategies was extrapolated using reported data from 2019.

Findings

With the status quo, 0 (95% uncertainty interval: 0-1) HHC are diagnosed with TBD and 2 (0-16) complete TBI treatment. With strategy(1), an additional 15 (3-45) HHC would be diagnosed with TBD at a cost of US$346 each. With strategy(2), 81 (19-226) additional HHC would complete TBI treatment at a cost of US$84 each. A combined strategy, implemented nationally to enhance TBD detection and TBI treatment would result in an additional 9,711 (845-28,693) TBD being detected, and 51,277 (12,028-143,495) more HHC completing TBI treatment each year, utilizing 10.9% and 11.6% of the annual national tuberculosis program budget, respectively.

Interpretation

Enhanced detection and treatment of TBD and TBI among HHC in Brazil can be achieved at a national level using current tools at reasonable cost.

Funding

None.

High-dose rifamycins in the treatment of TB: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

There is growing interest in using high-dose rifamycin (HDR) regimens in TB treatment, but the safety and efficacy of HDR regimens remain uncertain. We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis comparing HDR to standard-dose rifamycin (SDR) regimens.

METHODS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, CENTRAL, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews and clinicaltrials.gov for prospective studies comparing daily therapy with HDRs to SDRs. Rifamycins included rifampicin, rifapentine and rifabutin. Our primary outcome was the rate of severe adverse events (SAEs), with secondary outcomes of death, all adverse events, SAE by organ and efficacy outcomes of 2-month culture conversion and relapse. This study was prospectively registered in the International Prospective Register of Systematic Reviews (CRD42020142519).

RESULTS

We identified 9057 articles and included 13 studies with 6168 participants contributing 7930 person-years (PY) of follow-up (HDR: 3535 participants, 4387 PY; SDR: 2633 participants, 3543 PY). We found no significant difference in the pooled incidence rate ratio (IRR) of SAE between HDR and SDR (IRR 1.00, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.23, I ²=41%). There was no significant difference when analysis was limited to SAE possibly, probably or likely medication-related (IRR 1.07, 95% CI 0.82 to 1.41, I ²=0%); studies with low risk of bias (IRR 0.98, 95% CI 0.79 to 1.20, I ²=44%); or studies using rifampicin (IRR 1.00, 95% CI 0. 0.75-1.32, I ²=38%). No significant differences were noted in pooled outcomes of death, 2-month culture conversion and relapse.

CONCLUSIONS

HDRs were not associated with a significant difference in SAEs, 2-month culture conversion or death. Further studies are required to identify specific groups who may benefit from HDR.

How Well Does TSTin3D Predict Risk of Active Tuberculosis in the Canadian Immigrant Population? An External Validation Study

BACKGROUND

The online Tuberculin Skin Test/Interferon Gamma Release Assay (TST/IGRA) Interpreter V3.0 (TSTin3D), a tool for estimating the risk of active tuberculosis (TB) in individuals with latent TB infection (LTBI), has been in use for more than a decade, but its predictive performance has never been evaluated.

METHODS

People with a positive TST or IGRA result from 1985 to 2015 were identified using a health data linkage that involved migrants to British Columbia, Canada. Comorbid conditions at the time of LTBI testing were identified from physician claims, hospitalizations, vital statistics, outpatient prescriptions, and kidney and HIV databases. The risk of developing active TB within 2 and 5 years was estimated using TSTin3D. The discrimination and calibration of these estimates were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 37 163 individuals met study inclusion criteria; 10.4% were tested by IGRA. Generally, the TSTin3D algorithm assigned higher risks to demographic and clinical groups known to have higher active TB risks. Concordance estimates ranged from 0.66 to 0.68 in 2- and 5-year time frames. Comparing predicted to observed counts suggests that TSTin3D overestimates active TB risks and that overestimation increases over time (with relative bias of 3% and 12% in 2- and 5-year periods, respectively). Calibration plots also suggest that overestimation increases toward the upper end of the risk spectrum.

CONCLUSIONS

TSTin3D can discriminate adequately between people who developed and did not develop active TB in this linked database of migrants with predominately positive skin tests. Further work is needed to improve TSTin3D's calibration.

Safety and Efficacy of Rifampin or Isoniazid Among People With Mycobacterium tuberculosis Infection and Living With Human Immunodeficiency Virus or Other Health Conditions: Post Hoc Analysis of 2 Randomized Trials

BACKGROUND

The safety and efficacy of rifampin among people living with human immunodeficiency virus (PLHIV) or other health conditions is uncertain. We assessed completion, safety, and efficacy of 4 months of rifampin vs 9 months of isoniazid among PLHIV or other health conditions.

METHODS

We conducted post hoc analysis of 2 randomized trials that included 6859 adult participants with Mycobacterium tuberculosis infection. Participants were randomized 1:1 to 10 mg/kg/d rifampin or 5 mg/kg/d isoniazid. We report completion, drug-related adverse events (AE), and active tuberculosis incidence among people living with HIV; with renal failure or receiving immunosuppressants; using drugs or with hepatitis; with diabetes mellitus; consuming >1 alcoholic drink per week or current/former smokers; and with no health condition.

RESULTS

Overall, 270 (3.9%) people were living with HIV (135 receiving antiretroviral therapy), 2012 (29.3%) had another health condition, and 4577 (66.8%) had no condition. Rifampin was more often or similarly completed to isoniazid in all populations. AEs were less common with rifampin than isoniazid among PLHIV (risk difference, -2.1%; 95% confidence interval [CI], -5.9 to 1.6). This was consistent for others except people with renal failure or on immunosuppressants (2.1%; 95% CI, -7.2 to 11.3). Tuberculosis incidence was similar among people receiving rifampin or isoniazid. Among participants receiving rifampin living with HIV, incidence was comparable to those with no health condition (rate difference, 4.1 per 1000 person-years; 95% CI, -6.4 to 14.7).

CONCLUSIONS

Rifampin appears to be safe and as effective as isoniazid across many populations with health conditions, including HIV.

CLINICAL TRIALS REGISTRATION

NCT00170209; NCT00931736.

Tuberculosis preventive therapy for people living with HIV: A systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis (TB) preventive therapy (TPT) is an essential component of care for people living with HIV (PLHIV). We compared efficacy, safety, completion, and drug-resistant TB risk for currently recommended TPT regimens through a systematic review and network meta-analysis (NMA) of randomized trials.

METHODS AND FINDINGS

We searched MEDLINE, Embase, and the Cochrane Library from inception through June 9, 2020 for randomized controlled trials (RCTs) comparing 2 or more TPT regimens (or placebo/no treatment) in PLHIV. Two independent reviewers evaluated eligibility, extracted data, and assessed the risk of bias. We grouped TPT strategies as follows: placebo/no treatment, 6 to 12 months of isoniazid, 24 to 72 months of isoniazid, and rifamycin-containing regimens. A frequentist NMA (using graph theory) was carried out for the outcomes of development of TB disease, all-cause mortality, and grade 3 or worse hepatotoxicity. For other outcomes, graphical descriptions or traditional pairwise meta-analyses were carried out as appropriate. The potential role of confounding variables for TB disease and all-cause mortality was assessed through stratified analyses. A total of 6,466 unique studies were screened, and 157 full texts were assessed for eligibility. Of these, 20 studies (reporting 16 randomized trials) were included. The median sample size was 616 (interquartile range [IQR], 317 to 1,892). Eight were conducted in Africa, 3 in Europe, 3 in the Americas, and 2 included sites in multiple continents. According to the NMA, 6 to 12 months of isoniazid were no more efficacious in preventing microbiologically confirmed TB than rifamycin-containing regimens (incidence rate ratio [IRR] 1.0, 95% CI 0.8 to 1.4, p = 0.8); however, 6 to 12 months of isoniazid were associated with a higher incidence of all-cause mortality (IRR 1.6, 95% CI 1.2 to 2.0, p = 0.02) and a higher risk of grade 3 or higher hepatotoxicity (risk difference [RD] 8.9, 95% CI 2.8 to 14.9, p = 0.004). Finally, shorter regimens were associated with higher completion rates relative to longer regimens, and we did not find statistically significant differences in the risk of drug-resistant TB between regimens. Study limitations include potential confounding due to differences in posttreatment follow-up time and TB incidence in the study setting on the estimates of incidence of TB or all-cause mortality, as well as an underrepresentation of pregnant women and children.

CONCLUSIONS

Rifamycin-containing regimens appear safer and at least as effective as isoniazid regimens in preventing TB and death and should be considered part of routine care in PLHIV. Knowledge gaps remain as to which specific rifamycin-containing regimen provides the optimal balance of efficacy, completion, and safety.

Tuberculosis preventive treatment in people living with HIV-Is the glass half empty or half full?

Olivia Oxlade and co-authors introduce a Collection on tuberculosis preventive therapy in people with HIV infection.

Chest X-ray analysis with deep learning-based software as a triage test for pulmonary tuberculosis: an individual patient data meta-analysis of diagnostic accuracy

BACKGROUND

Automated radiologic analysis using computer-aided detection software (CAD) could facilitate chest X-ray (CXR) use in tuberculosis diagnosis. There is little to no evidence on the accuracy of commercially-available deep learning-based CAD in different populations, including patients with smear-negative tuberculosis and people living with HIV (PLWH).

METHODS

We collected CXRs and individual patient data (IPD) from studies evaluating CAD in patients self-referring for tuberculosis symptoms with culture or nucleic acid amplification testing as the reference. We re-analyzed CXRs with three CAD (CAD4TB version (v) 6, Lunit v3.1.0.0, and qXR v2). We estimated sensitivity and specificity within each study and pooled using IPD meta-analysis. We used multivariable meta-regression to identify characteristics modifying accuracy.

RESULTS

We included CXRs and IPD of 3727/3967 participants from 4/7 eligible studies. 17% (621/3727) were PLWH. 17% (645/3727) had microbiologically-confirmed tuberculosis. Despite using the same threshold score for classifying CXR in every study, sensitivity and specificity varied from study to study. The software had similar unadjusted accuracy (at 90% pooled sensitivity, pooled specificities were: CAD4TBv6, 56.9% [95%CI:51.7-61.9]; Lunit, 54.1% [44.6-63.3]; qXRv2, 60.5% [51.7-68.6]). Adjusted absolute differences in pooled sensitivity between PLWH and HIV-uninfected participants was: CAD4TBv6, -13.4% [-21.1, -6.9]; Lunit, +2.2% [-3.6, +6.3]; qXRv2: -13.4% [-21.5, -6.6]); between smear-negative and smear-positive tuberculosis was: CAD4TBv6, -12.3% [-19.5, -6.1]; Lunit, -17.2% [-24.6, -10.5]; qXRv2, -16.6% [-24.4, -9.9]. Accuracy was similar to human readers.

CONCLUSIONS

For CAD CXR analysis to be implemented as a high-sensitivity tuberculosis rule-out test, users will need threshold scores identified from their own patient populations, and stratified by HIV- and smear-status.

Evidence-based Definition for Extensively Drug-resistant Tuberculosis

RATIONALE

Until 2020, extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis (XDR-TB) was defined as resistance to rifampicin and isoniazid (multidrug-resistant tuberculosis, MDR-TB), any fluoroquinolone (FQ) and any second-line injectable drug (SLID). In 2019 the World Health Organization issued new recommendations for managing patients with drug-resistant tuberculosis, substantially limiting the role of SLID in MDR-TB treatment and thus putting that XDR-TB definition into question.

OBJECTIVE

To propose an up-to-date definition for XDR-TB.

METHODS

We used a large dataset to assess treatment outcomes for MDR-TB patients exposed to any type of longer regimen. We included patients with bacteriologically confirmed MDR-TB and known FQ and SLID resistance results. We did logistic regression to estimate adjusted odds ratios (aORs) for unfavourable treatment outcome (failure, relapse, death, loss-to-follow-up) by resistance pattern (FQ, SLID) and Group A drug use (moxifloxacin/levofloxacin, linezolid, bedaquiline).

MEASUREMENTS AND MAIN RESULTS

We included 11,666 patients with MDR-TB; 4653 (39.9%) had an unfavourable treatment outcome. Resistance to FQs increased the odds of an unfavourable treatment outcome (aOR 1.91; 95% confidence interval [95%CI] 1.63-2.23). Administration of bedaquiline and/or linezolid improved treatment outcomes regardless of resistance to FQ and/or SLID. Among XDR-TB patients, compared to persons receiving no Group A drug, aORs for unfavourable outcome were 0.37 (95%CI 0.20-0.69) with linezolid only, 0.40 (95%CI 0.21-0.77) with bedaquiline only, and 0.21 (95%CI 0.12-0.38) with both.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study supports a new definition of XDR-TB as MDR plus additional resistance to FQ plus bedaquiline and/or linezolid, and helps assess the adequacy of this definition for surveillance and treatment choice.NOTE: This article has been updated on July 16, 2021. When it was initially posted on June 9, 2021, the name of one of the coauthors, Dr. Christian Lienhardt, was inadvertently omitted. This version includes Dr. Lienhardt's affilations and contributions; the affiliations have therefore been renumbered.

Interventions to reduce losses in the cascade of care for latent tuberculosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Losses can occur throughout the latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) cascade of care. This can result in suboptimal rates of effective treatment for LTBI. We conducted a systematic review and meta-analysis to estimate the effect of different interventions to reduce losses in the LTBI cascade before treatment completion.METHODS: We searched several databases for articles reporting outcomes for interventions designed to strengthen the LTBI cascade. We included papers published in English from January 1990 until February 2018. Where possible, estimates were pooled using random-effects meta-analysis.RESULTS: We identified 30 studies that evaluated 32 different interventions aimed at reducing losses in the LTBI cascade. In pooled analysis, interventions that improved completion of cascade steps included patient incentives (respectively 42 [95% CI 34-51] and 48 [95% CI 15-81] additional patients completing initial assessment and medical evaluation per 100 starting); health care worker education (28 [95% CI 4-52] additional patients initiating initial assessment per 100 identified; home visits (additional 13 [95% CI 4-21] patients completing initial assessment per 100 starting); digital solutions (additional 11 [95% CI 4-21] patients initiating initial assessment per 100 identified); and patient reminders (additional 7 [95% CI 0.3-13] patients completing initial assessment per 100 starting). Several other interventions reduced losses at specific cascade steps, but evidence for these interventions came from single studies and could not be pooled.CONCLUSIONS: Although there is limited evidence that any single intervention significantly improves the LTBI cascade, many studies provide information about effective ways to strengthen it.

The Sensitivity and Costs of Testing for SARS-CoV-2 Infection With Saliva Versus Nasopharyngeal Swabs : A Systematic Review and Meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Nasopharyngeal swabs are the primary sampling method used for detection of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2), but they require a trained health care professional and extensive personal protective equipment.

PURPOSE

To determine the difference in sensitivity for SARS-CoV-2 detection between nasopharyngeal swabs and saliva and estimate the incremental cost per additional SARS-CoV-2 infection detected with nasopharyngeal swabs.

DATA SOURCES

Embase, Medline, medRxiv, and bioRxiv were searched from 1 January to 1 November 2020. Cost inputs were from nationally representative sources in Canada and were converted to 2020 U.S. dollars.

STUDY SELECTION

Studies including at least 5 paired nasopharyngeal swab and saliva samples and reporting diagnostic accuracy for SARS-CoV-2 detection.

DATA EXTRACTION

Data were independently extracted using standardized forms, and study quality was assessed using QUADAS-2 (Quality Assessment of Diagnostic Accuracy Studies 2).

DATA SYNTHESIS

Thirty-seven studies with 7332 paired samples were included. Against a reference standard of a positive result on either sample, the sensitivity of saliva was 3.4 percentage points lower (95% CI, 9.9 percentage points lower to 3.1 percentage points higher) than that of nasopharyngeal swabs. Among persons with previously confirmed SARS-CoV-2 infection, saliva's sensitivity was 1.5 percentage points higher (CI, 7.3 percentage points lower to 10.3 percentage points higher) than that of nasopharyngeal swabs. Among persons without a previous SARS-CoV-2 diagnosis, saliva was 7.9 percentage points less (CI, 14.7 percentage points less to 0.8 percentage point more) sensitive. In this subgroup, if testing 100 000 persons with a SARS-CoV-2 prevalence of 1%, nasopharyngeal swabs would detect 79 more (95% uncertainty interval, 5 fewer to 166 more) persons with SARS-CoV-2 than saliva, but with an incremental cost per additional infection detected of $8093.

LIMITATION

The reference standard was imperfect, and saliva collection procedures varied.

CONCLUSION

Saliva sampling seems to be a similarly sensitive and less costly alternative that could replace nasopharyngeal swabs for collection of clinical samples for SARS-CoV-2 testing.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

McGill Interdisciplinary Initiative in Infection and Immunity. (PROSPERO: CRD42020203415).

Changes in treatment for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis according to national income

The aim of this study was to analyse temporal changes in treatments for and outcomes of multidrug-resistant (MDR)/rifampin-resistant (RR)-tuberculosis (TB) in the context of national economic status.We analysed data collected by the Collaborative Group for the Meta-Analysis of Individual Patient Data in MDR-TB Treatment on MDR/RR-TB patients from 37 countries. The data were stratified by three national income levels (low-/lower-middle, upper-middle and high) and grouped by time of treatment initiation (2001-2003, 2004-2006, 2007-2009, 2010-2012 and 2013-2015). Temporal trends over the study period were analysed. The probability of treatment success in different income groups over time was calculated using generalised linear mixed models with random effects.In total, 9036 patients were included in the analysis. Over the study period, use of group A drugs (levofloxacin/moxifloxacin, bedaquiline and linezolid) recommended by the World Health Organization increased and treatment outcomes improved in all income groups. Between 2001-2003 and 2013-2015, treatment success rates increased from 60% to 78% in low-/lower-middle-income countries, from 40% to 67% in upper-middle-income countries, and from 73% to 81% in high-income countries. In earlier years, the probability of treatment success in upper-middle-income countries was lower than that in low-/lower-middle-income countries, but no difference was observed after 2010. However, high-income countries had persistently higher probability of treatment success compared to upper-middle income countries.Improved treatment outcomes and greater uptake of group A drugs were observed over time for patients with MDR/RR-TB at all income levels. However, treatment outcomes are still unsatisfactory, especially in upper-middle-income countries.

Proportion of asymptomatic infection among COVID-19 positive persons and their transmission potential: A systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

The study objective was to conduct a systematic review and meta-analysis on the proportion of asymptomatic infection among coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) positive persons and their transmission potential.

METHODS

We searched Embase, Medline, bioRxiv, and medRxiv up to 22 June 2020. We included cohorts or cross-sectional studies which systematically tested populations regardless of symptoms for COVID-19, or case series of any size reporting contact investigations of asymptomatic index patients. Two reviewers independently extracted data and assessed quality using pre-specified criteria. Only moderate/high quality studies were included. The main outcomes were proportion of asymptomatic infection among COVID-19 positive persons at testing and through follow-up, and secondary attack rate among close contacts of asymptomatic index patients. A qualitative synthesis was performed. Where appropriate, data were pooled using random effects meta-analysis to estimate proportions and 95% confidence intervals (95% CI).

RESULTS

Of 6,137 identified studies, 71 underwent quality assessment after full text review, and 28 were high/moderate quality and were included. In two general population studies, the proportion of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection at time of testing was 20% and 75%, respectively; among three studies in contacts it was 8.2% to 50%. In meta-analysis, the proportion (95% CI) of asymptomatic COVID-19 infection in obstetric patients was 95% (45% to 100%) of which 59% (49% to 68%) remained asymptomatic through follow-up; among nursing home residents, the proportion was 54% (42% to 65%) of which 28% (13% to 50%) remained asymptomatic through follow-up. Transmission studies were too heterogenous to meta-analyse. Among five transmission studies, 18 of 96 (18.8%) close contacts exposed to asymptomatic index patients were COVID-19 positive.

CONCLUSIONS

Despite study heterogeneity, the proportion of asymptomatic infection among COVID-19 positive persons appears high and transmission potential seems substantial. To further our understanding, high quality studies in representative general population samples are required.

Estimated Impact of World Health Organization Latent Tuberculosis Screening Guidelines in a Region With a Low Tuberculosis Incidence: Retrospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

Latent tuberculosis infection (LTBI) screening and treatment is a key component of the World Health Organization (WHO) EndTB Strategy, but the impact of LTBI screening and treatment at a population level is unclear. We aimed to estimate the impact of LTBI screening and treatment in a population of migrants to British Columbia (BC), Canada.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort included all individuals (N = 1 080 908) who immigrated to Canada as permanent residents between 1985 and 2012 and were residents in BC at any time up to 2013. Multiple administrative databases were linked to identify people with risk factors who met the WHO strong recommendations for screening: people with tuberculosis (TB) contact, with human immunodeficiency virus, on dialysis, with tumor necrosis factor-alpha inhibitors, who had an organ/haematological transplant, or with silicosis. Additional TB risk factors included immunosuppressive medications, cancer, diabetes, and migration from a country with a high TB burden. We defined active TB as preventable if diagnosed ≥6 months after a risk factor diagnosis. We estimated the number of preventable TB cases, given optimal LTBI screening and treatment, based on these risk factors.

RESULTS

There were 16 085 people (1.5%) identified with WHO strong risk factors. Of the 2814 people with active TB, 118 (4.2%) were considered preventable through screening with WHO risk factors. Less than half (49.4%) were considered preventable with expanded screening to include people migrating from countries with high TB burdens, people who had been prescribed immunosuppressive medications, or people with diabetes or cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

The application of WHO LTBI strong recommendations for screening would have minimally impacted the TB incidence in this population. Further high-risk groups must be identified to develop an effective LTBI screening and treatment strategy for low-incidence regions.

Active testing of groups at increased risk of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 in Canada: costs and human resource needs

BACKGROUND

Testing for severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is largely passive, which impedes epidemic control. We defined active testing strategies for SARS-CoV-2 using reverse transcription polymerase chain reaction (RT-PCR) for groups at increased risk of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 in all Canadian provinces.

METHODS

We identified 5 groups who should be prioritized for active RT-PCR testing: contacts of people who are positive for SARS-CoV-2, and 4 at-risk populations - hospital employees, community health care workers and people in long-term care facilities, essential business employees, and schoolchildren and staff. We estimated costs, human resources and laboratory capacity required to test people in each group or to perform surveillance testing in random samples.

RESULTS

During July 8-17, 2020, across all provinces in Canada, an average of 41 751 RT-PCR tests were performed daily; we estimated this required 5122 personnel and cost $2.4 million per day ($67.8 million per month). Systematic contact tracing and testing would increase personnel needs 1.2-fold and monthly costs to $78.9 million. Conducted over a month, testing all hospital employees would require 1823 additional personnel, costing $29.0 million; testing all community health care workers and persons in long-term care facilities would require 11 074 additional personnel and cost $124.8 million; and testing all essential employees would cost $321.7 million, requiring 25 965 added personnel. Testing the larger population within schools over 6 weeks would require 46 368 added personnel and cost $816.0 million. Interventions addressing inefficiencies, including saliva-based sampling and pooling samples, could reduce costs by 40% and personnel by 20%. Surveillance testing in population samples other than contacts would cost 5% of the cost of a universal approach to testing at-risk populations.

INTERPRETATION

Active testing of groups at increased risk of acquiring SARS-CoV-2 appears feasible and would support the safe reopening of the economy and schools more broadly. This strategy also appears affordable compared with the $169.2 billion committed by the federal government as a response to the pandemic as of June 2020.

Latent Tuberculosis Therapy Outcomes in Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVES

Maintenance dialysis patients are at an increased risk for active tuberculosis (TB). In 2012, British Columbia, Canada, began systematically screening maintenance dialysis patients for latent TB infection (LTBI) and treating people with evidence of LTBI when appropriate. We examined LTBI treatment outcomes and compared treatment outcomes before and after rollout of the systematic screening program.

STUDY DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

SETTING & PARTICIPANTS

The study comprised 365 people in British Columbia, Canada, initiating at least 90 days of dialysis from January 1, 2001, to May 31, 2017, and starting LTBI therapy: 290 (79.5%) people in the recent cohort and 75 (20.5%) in the historical cohort. People starting LTBI therapy from January 1, 2012, onward were classified as the recent cohort, whereas people starting LTBI therapy before January 1, 2012, were classified as the historical cohort.

EXPOSURE

Systematic LTBI screening and therapy.

OUTCOMES

Proportion of people who experience grade 3 to 5 adverse events (AEs) or any grade rash and end-of-treatment outcomes.

ANALYTICAL APPROACH

Outcomes were reported using descriptive statistics. 2-sample test of proportions using χ² distribution was used to test for statistical significance between the recent and historical cohorts.

RESULTS

298 (81.6%) people successfully completed LTBI therapy. The proportion of people experiencing a grade 3 to 4 AE or any grade rash was 21.1%. Most AEs were related to gastrointestinal events, general malaise, or pruritus that resulted in regimen changes. 2 (0.5%) people were hospitalized for AEs related to LTBI therapy. No significant difference was found between the recent and historical cohorts in all outcomes of interest. No grade 5 AEs (deaths) were attributed to LTBI therapy.

LIMITATIONS

Retrospective data and generalizability outside low-TB-burden settings.

CONCLUSIONS

Our findings suggest that a high proportion of people receiving maintenance dialysis can complete LTBI therapy. The rate of grade 3 to 4 AEs was high and associated with frequent medication changes during therapy. LTBI therapy in maintenance dialysis may be safe but requires close monitoring.

Mortality in adults with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis and HIV by antiretroviral therapy and tuberculosis drug use: an individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

HIV-infection is associated with increased mortality during multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment, but the extent to which the use of antiretroviral therapy (ART) and anti-tuberculosis medications modify this risk are unclear. Our objective was to evaluate how use of these treatments altered mortality risk in HIV-positive adults with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

METHODS

We did an individual patient data meta-analysis of adults 18 years or older with confirmed or presumed multidrug-resistant tuberculosis initiating tuberculosis treatment between 1993 and 2016. Data included ART use and anti-tuberculosis medications grouped according to WHO effectiveness categories. The primary analysis compared HIV-positive with HIV-negative patients in terms of death during multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment, excluding those lost to follow up, and was stratified by ART use. Analyses used logistic regression after exact matching on country World Bank income classification and drug resistance and propensity-score matching on age, sex, geographic site, year of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment initiation, previous tuberculosis treatment, directly observed therapy, and acid-fast-bacilli smear-positivity to obtain adjusted odds ratios (aORs) and 95% CIs. Secondary analyses were conducted among those with HIV-infection.

FINDINGS

We included 11 920 multidrug-resistant tuberculosis patients. 2997 (25%) were HIV-positive and on ART, 886 (7%) were HIV-positive and not on ART, and 1749 (15%) had extensively drug-resistant tuberculosis. By use of HIV-negative patients as reference, the aOR of death was 2·4 (95% CI 2·0-2·9) for all patients with HIV-infection, 1·8 (1·5-2·2) for HIV-positive patients on ART, and 4·2 (3·0-5·9) for HIV-positive patients with no or unknown ART. Among patients with HIV, use of at least one WHO Group A drug and specific use of moxifloxacin, levofloxacin, bedaquiline, or linezolid were associated with significantly decreased odds of death.

INTERPRETATION

Use of ART and more effective anti-tuberculosis drugs is associated with lower odds of death among HIV-positive patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. Access to these therapies should be urgently pursued.

FUNDING

American Thoracic Society, Canadian Institutes of Health Research, US Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, European Respiratory Society, Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Health System Costs of Treating Latent Tuberculosis Infection With Four Months of Rifampin Versus Nine Months of Isoniazid in Different Settings

BACKGROUND

Four months of rifampin treatment for latent tuberculosis infection is safer, has superior treatment completion rates, and is as effective as 9 months of isoniazid. However, daily medication costs are higher for a 4-month rifampin regimen than a 9-month isoniazid regimen.

OBJECTIVE

To compare health care use and associated costs of 4 months of rifampin and 9 months of isoniazid.

DESIGN

Health system cost comparison using all health care activities recorded during 2 randomized clinical trials. (ClinicalTrials.gov: NCT00931736 and NCT00170209).

SETTING

High-income countries (Australia, Canada, Saudi Arabia, and South Korea), middle-income countries (Brazil and Indonesia), and African countries (Benin, Ghana, and Guinea).

PARTICIPANTS

Adults and children with clinical or epidemiologic factors associated with increased risk for developing tuberculosis that warranted treatment for latent tuberculosis infection.

MEASUREMENTS

Health system costs per participant.

RESULTS

A total of 6012 adults and 829 children were included. In both adults and children, greater health system use and higher costs were observed with 9 months of isoniazid than with 4 months of rifampin. In adults, the ratios of costs of 4 months of rifampin versus 9 months of isoniazid were 0.76 (95% CI, 0.70 to 0.82) in high-income countries, 0.90 (CI, 0.85 to 0.96) in middle-income countries, and 0.80 (CI, 0.78 to 0.81) in African countries. Similar findings were observed in the pediatric population.

LIMITATION

Costs may have been overestimated because the trial protocol required a minimum number of follow-up visits, although fewer than recommended by many authoritative guidelines.

CONCLUSION

A 4-month rifampin regimen was safer and less expensive than 9 months of isoniazid in all settings. This regimen could be adopted by tuberculosis programs in many countries as first-line therapy for latent tuberculosis infection.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

Canadian Institutes of Health Research.

Diagnostic accuracy of serological tests for covid-19: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the diagnostic accuracy of serological tests for coronavirus disease-2019 (covid-19).

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Medline, bioRxiv, and medRxiv from 1 January to 30 April 2020, using subject headings or subheadings combined with text words for the concepts of covid-19 and serological tests for covid-19.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA AND DATA ANALYSIS

Eligible studies measured sensitivity or specificity, or both of a covid-19 serological test compared with a reference standard of viral culture or reverse transcriptase polymerase chain reaction. Studies were excluded with fewer than five participants or samples. Risk of bias was assessed using quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies 2 (QUADAS-2). Pooled sensitivity and specificity were estimated using random effects bivariate meta-analyses.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was overall sensitivity and specificity, stratified by method of serological testing (enzyme linked immunosorbent assays (ELISAs), lateral flow immunoassays (LFIAs), or chemiluminescent immunoassays (CLIAs)) and immunoglobulin class (IgG, IgM, or both). Secondary outcomes were stratum specific sensitivity and specificity within subgroups defined by study or participant characteristics, including time since symptom onset.

RESULTS

5016 references were identified and 40 studies included. 49 risk of bias assessments were carried out (one for each population and method evaluated). High risk of patient selection bias was found in 98% (48/49) of assessments and high or unclear risk of bias from performance or interpretation of the serological test in 73% (36/49). Only 10% (4/40) of studies included outpatients. Only two studies evaluated tests at the point of care. For each method of testing, pooled sensitivity and specificity were not associated with the immunoglobulin class measured. The pooled sensitivity of ELISAs measuring IgG or IgM was 84.3% (95% confidence interval 75.6% to 90.9%), of LFIAs was 66.0% (49.3% to 79.3%), and of CLIAs was 97.8% (46.2% to 100%). In all analyses, pooled sensitivity was lower for LFIAs, the potential point-of-care method. Pooled specificities ranged from 96.6% to 99.7%. Of the samples used for estimating specificity, 83% (10 465/12 547) were from populations tested before the epidemic or not suspected of having covid-19. Among LFIAs, pooled sensitivity of commercial kits (65.0%, 49.0% to 78.2%) was lower than that of non-commercial tests (88.2%, 83.6% to 91.3%). Heterogeneity was seen in all analyses. Sensitivity was higher at least three weeks after symptom onset (ranging from 69.9% to 98.9%) compared with within the first week (from 13.4% to 50.3%).

CONCLUSION

Higher quality clinical studies assessing the diagnostic accuracy of serological tests for covid-19 are urgently needed. Currently, available evidence does not support the continued use of existing point-of-care serological tests.

STUDY REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42020179452.

Drug-associated adverse events in the treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis: an individual patient data meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Treatment of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis requires long-term therapy with a combination of multiple second-line drugs. These drugs are associated with numerous adverse events that can cause severe morbidity, such as deafness, and in some instances can lead to death. Our aim was to estimate the absolute and relative frequency of adverse events associated with different tuberculosis drugs to provide useful information for clinicians and tuberculosis programmes in selecting optimal treatment regimens.

METHODS

We did a meta-analysis using individual-level patient data that were obtained from studies that reported adverse events that resulted in permanent discontinuation of anti-tuberculosis medications. We used a database created for our previous meta-analysis of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment and outcomes, for which we did a systematic review of literature published between Jan 1, 2009, and Aug 31, 2015 (updated April 15, 2016), and requested individual patient-level information from authors. We also considered for this analysis studies contributing patient-level data in response to a public call made by WHO in 2018. Meta-analysis for proportions and arm-based network meta-analysis were done to estimate the incidence of adverse events for each tuberculosis drug.

FINDINGS

58 studies were identified, including 50 studies from the updated individual patient data meta-analysis for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis treatment. 35 of these studies, with 9178 patients, were included in our analysis. Using meta-analysis of proportions, drugs with low risks of adverse event occurrence leading to permanent discontinuation included levofloxacin (1·3% [95% CI 0·3-5·0]), moxifloxacin (2·9% [1·6-5·0]), bedaquiline (1·7% [0·7-4·2]), and clofazimine (1·6% [0·5-5·3]). Relatively high incidence of adverse events leading to permanent discontinuation was seen with three second-line injectable drugs (amikacin: 10·2% [6·3-16·0]; kanamycin: 7·5% [4·6-11·9]; capreomycin: 8·2% [6·3-10·7]), aminosalicylic acid (11·6% [7·1-18·3]), and linezolid (14·1% [9·9-19·6]). Risk of bias in selection of studies was judged to be low because there were no important differences between included and excluded studies. Variability between studies was significant for most outcomes analysed.

INTERPRETATION

Fluoroquinolones, clofazimine, and bedaquiline had the lowest incidence of adverse events leading to permanent drug discontinuation, whereas second-line injectable drugs, aminosalicylic acid, and linezolid had the highest incidence. These results suggest that close monitoring of adverse events is important for patients being treated for multidrug-resistant tuberculosis. Our results also underscore the urgent need for safer and better-tolerated drugs to reduce morbidity from treatment itself for patients with multidrug-resistant tuberculosis.

FUNDING

Canadian Institutes of Health Research, Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (USA), American Thoracic Society, European Respiratory Society, and Infectious Diseases Society of America.

Standardised shorter regimens versus individualised longer regimens for rifampin- or multidrug-resistant tuberculosis

We sought to compare the effectiveness of two World Health Organization (WHO)-recommended regimens for the treatment of rifampin- or multidrug-resistant (RR/MDR) tuberculosis (TB): a standardised regimen of 9-12 months (the "shorter regimen") and individualised regimens of ≥20 months ("longer regimens").We collected individual patient data from observational studies identified through systematic reviews and a public call for data. We included patients meeting WHO eligibility criteria for the shorter regimen: not previously treated with second-line drugs, and with fluoroquinolone- and second-line injectable agent-susceptible RR/MDR-TB. We used propensity score matched, mixed effects meta-regression to calculate adjusted odds ratios and adjusted risk differences (aRDs) for failure or relapse, death within 12 months of treatment initiation and loss to follow-up.We included 2625 out of 3378 (77.7%) individuals from nine studies of shorter regimens and 2717 out of 13 104 (20.7%) individuals from 53 studies of longer regimens. Treatment success was higher with the shorter regimen than with longer regimens (pooled proportions 80.0% versus 75.3%), due to less loss to follow-up with the former (aRD -0.15, 95% CI -0.17- -0.12). The risk difference for failure or relapse was slightly higher with the shorter regimen overall (aRD 0.02, 95% CI 0-0.05) and greater in magnitude with baseline resistance to pyrazinamide (aRD 0.12, 95% CI 0.07-0.16), prothionamide/ethionamide (aRD 0.07, 95% CI -0.01-0.16) or ethambutol (aRD 0.09, 95% CI 0.04-0.13).In patients meeting WHO criteria for its use, the standardised shorter regimen was associated with substantially less loss to follow-up during treatment compared with individualised longer regimens and with more failure or relapse in the presence of resistance to component medications. Our findings support the need to improve access to reliable drug susceptibility testing.

Improving Quality of Patient Data for Treatment of Multidrug- or Rifampin-Resistant Tuberculosis

International policy for treatment of multidrug- and rifampin-resistant tuberculosis (MDR/RR TB) relies largely on individual patient data (IPD) from observational studies of patients treated under routine conditions. We prepared guidance on which data to collect and what measures could improve consistency and utility for future evidence-based recommendations. We highlight critical stages in data collection at which improvements to uniformity, accuracy, and completeness could add value to IPD quality. Through a repetitive development process, we suggest essential patient- and treatment-related characteristics that should be collected by prospective contributors of observational IPD in MDR/RR TB.

Absolute risk of tuberculosis among untreated populations with a positive tuberculin skin test or interferon-gamma release assay result: systematic review and meta-analysis

OBJECTIVE

To determine the annual rate of tuberculosis development after a positive tuberculin skin test (TST) or interferon-gamma release assay result (IGRA), or both, among untreated populations with characteristics believed to increase the risk of tuberculosis (at risk populations).

DESIGN

Systematic review and meta-analysis.

DATA SOURCES

Embase, Medline, and Cochrane Controlled Register of Trials from 1 January 1990 to 17 May 2019, for studies in humans published in English or French. Reference lists were reviewed.

ELIGIBILITY CRITERIA AND DATA ANALYSIS

Retrospective or prospective cohorts and randomised trials that included at least 10 untreated participants who tested positive to tuberculosis antigens (contained in TST or IGRA, or both) followed for at least 12 months. Following the preferred reporting items for systematic reviews and meta-analyses (PRISMA) and meta-analyses of observational studies in epidemiology (MOOSE) guidelines, two reviewers independently extracted study data and assessed quality using a modified quality assessment of diagnostic accuracy studies (QUADAS-2) tool. Data were pooled using random effects generalised linear mixed models.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The primary outcome was tuberculosis incidence per 1000 person years among untreated participants who tested positive (TST or IGRA, or both) in different at risk subgroups. Secondary outcomes were the cumulative incidence of tuberculosis and incidence rate ratios among participants with a positive test result for latent tuberculosis infection compared with those with a negative test result in at risk subgroups.

RESULTS

122 of 5166 identified studies were included. In three general population studies, the incidence of tuberculosis among 33 811 participants with a TST induration of ≥10 mm was 0.3 (95% confidence interval 0.1 to 1.1) per 1000 person years. Among 116 197 positive test results for latent tuberculosis infection in 19 different at risk populations, incidence rates were consistently higher than those in the general population. Among all types of tuberculosis contacts, the incidence of tuberculosis was 17.0 (95% confidence interval 12.9 to 22.4) per 1000 person years for participants with a positive IGRA result and 8.4 (5.6 to 12.6) per 1000 person years for participants with a positive TST result of ≥5 mm. Among people living with HIV, the incidence of tuberculosis was 16.9 (10.5 to 27.3) for participants with a positive IGRA result and 27.1 (15.0 to 49.0) for participants with a positive TST result of ≥5 mm. Rates were also high for immigrants, people with silicosis or requiring dialysis, transplant recipients, and prisoners. Incidence rate ratios among test positive versus test negative participants were significantly greater than 1.0 in almost all risk groups, for all tests.

CONCLUSIONS

The incidence of tuberculosis is substantial in numerous at risk populations after a positive TST or IGRA result. The information from this review should help inform clinical decisions to test and treat for latent tuberculosis infection.

STUDY REGISTRATION

PROSPERO CRD42019136608.

Cost-effectiveness of Latent Tuberculosis Infection Screening before Immigration to Low-Incidence Countries

Prospective migrants to countries where the incidence of tuberculosis (TB) is low (low-incidence countries) receive TB screening; however, screening for latent TB infection (LTBI) before immigration is rare. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of mandated and sponsored preimmigration LTBI screening for migrants to low-incidence countries. We used discrete event simulation to model preimmigration LTBI screening coupled with postarrival follow-up and treatment for those who test positive. Preimmigration interferon-gamma release assay screening and postarrival rifampin treatment was preferred in deterministic analysis. We calculated cost per quality-adjusted life-year gained for migrants from countries with different TB incidences. Our analysis provides evidence of the cost-effectiveness of preimmigration LTBI screening for migrants to low-incidence countries. Coupled with research on sustainability, acceptability, and program implementation, these results can inform policy decisions.