[Etiological characterization of invasive non-typhoid Salmonella strains in Guangdong Province from 2018 to 2022]

Objective: To understand the serotype distribution, drug resistance and molecular characterization of invasive non-typhoid Salmonella (iNTS) in Guangdong Province from 2018 to 2022 and provide scientific evidence for the prevention and treatment of blood flow infection caused by Salmonella. Methods: Serological identification, antimicrobial susceptibility testing, multilocus sequence typing (MLST), and whole genome sequencing were performed on Salmonella isolated from blood and stool samples in Guangdong from 2018 to 2022. Simultaneously, annotated the sequencing results for drug resistance genes and virulence factors by a microbial gene annotation system. Results: The 136 iNTS strains were divided into 25 serotypes, and Salmonella enteritidis accounted for 38.24% (52/136). The OR of other iNTS serotypes were calculated with Salmonella typhimurium as the control. The OR values of Oreninburg, Rysson, and Pomona serotypes were the highest, which were 423.50, 352.92, and 211.75, respectively. The drug resistance rate of iNTS was 0.74%-66.91%, which was lower than that of non-iNTS (3.90%-77.21%). The main iNTS of drug resistance were ampicillin and tetracycline, with resistance rates of 66.91% (91/136) and 50.00% (68/136), respectively, while the resistance rates to ciprofloxacin (5.88%,8/136), ceftazidime (5.88%,8/136), gentamicin (5.13%,7/136) and cefoxitin (0.74%, 1/136) were relatively low. iNTS carried a variety of drug-resistance genes and virulence factors, but no standard virulence factor distribution has been found. MLST cluster analysis showed that iNTS was divided into 26 sequence types, and ST11 accounted for 38.24% (52/136). Conclusions: The iNTS strains in Guangdong were dominated by Salmonella enteritidis, of which three serotypes, Oreninburg, Rison, and Pomona, may be associated with a higher risk of invasive infection during 2018 to 2022. iNTS was sensitive to clinical first-line therapeutic drugs (cephalosporins and fluoroquinolones), with highly diverse sequences and clear phylogenetic branches. ST11 was the local dominant clone group.

[Establishing and verifying the threshold value of HLA mixed antigen reagent screening test results]

Objective: To establish the threshold value of human leukocyte antigen (HLA) mixed antigen reagent screening test results, and to verify it by HLA single antigen reagent confirmation test results. Methods: The results of 2 255 serum samples tested for HLA antibodies by HLA mixed antigen reagent in the department of HLA Laboratory, the First Affiliated Hospital of Soochow University from October 2017 to December 2021 were retrospectively analyzed. Among them, 1 139 samples were also tested by single antigen HLA Class-Ⅰ reagent and 1 116 samples were also tested by single antigen HLA Class-Ⅱ reagent. Based on the same antigens coated with both reagents, the Mean Fluorescence Intensity (MFI) and Nomalized Background ratio (NBG ratio) of 12 HLA Class-Ⅰ beads and 5 HLA Class-Ⅱ beads in the HLA mixed antigen reagent and the MFI of 77 anti-HLA class-Ⅰ antibodies and 35 anti-HLA class-Ⅱ antibodies detected by HLA single antigen reagent were recorded. The MFI and NBG ratio of HLA mixed antigen reagent beads in 1 139 or 1 116 samples were segmented according to the positive rate of antibodyies detected by the single antigen reagent corresponding to the antigens coated with each HLA mixed antigen reagent bead, and the results of the HLA mixed antigen screening test were verified by the HLA single antigen reagent confirmation test. Results: The threshold values of MFI and NBG ratio of HLA mixed antigen reagent's 17 beads were established. The MFI of No. 1 to No. 17 beads of HLA mixed antigen reagent ranged from 26.86 to 21 925.58, and the NBG ratio ranged from 0 to 434.65. According to the positive detection rate of HLA single antigen reagent corresponding to the coated antigens, the MFI and NBG ratio of the beads of HLA mixed antigen reagent were divided into positive interval, suspicious positive interval, suspicious negative interval and negative interval. The positive rates of anti-HLA class-Ⅰ antibodies by HLA mixed antigen reagent and single antigen HLA Class-Ⅰ reagent were 87.5% (997/1 139) and 66.3% (755/1 139). The positive rates of anti-HLA class-Ⅱ antibodies were 63.4% (707/1 116) and 44.9% (501/1 116). In the samples with suspicious negative, suspicious positive and positive results of HLA class-Ⅰ、Ⅱ antibodies detected by HLA mixed antigen reagent, the positive detection rates of single antigen HLA Class-Ⅰ reagent were 14.9% (17/114), 41.3% (145/351) and 91.3% (590/646), respectively. The positive detection rates of single antigen HLA Class-Ⅱ reagent were 15.5% (58/375), 26.5% (81/306) and 88.8% (356/401), respectively. Conclusions: In this study, the threshold values of MFI and NBG ratio of HLA mixed antigen reagent screening test are established, and the threshold values are verified by the results of HLA single antigen reagent confirmation test. HLA mixed reagent screening test can be used for screening of HLA antibodies, and if necessary, it should be combined with HLA single antigen confirmatory test for clinical detection of HLA antibodies.

Joint Association of Albuminuria and Left Ventricular Hypertrophy With Incident Heart Failure in Adults at High Risk With Hypertension: A Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial Substudy

Albuminuria and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) are independent predictors of heart failure (HF); however, to the best of our knowledge, their combined effect on the risk of HF has not yet been explored. Therefore, we examined the joint associations of albuminuria and electrocardiographic-LVH with incident acute decompensated HF (ADHF), and whether albuminuria/LVH combinations modified the effects of blood pressure control strategy in reducing the risk of ADHF. A total of 8,511 participants from the Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) were included. Electrocardiographic-LVH was present if any of the following criteria were present: Cornell voltage, Cornell voltage product, or Sokolow-Lyon. Albuminuria was defined as urine albumin/creatinine ratio ≥30 mg/g. ADHF was defined as hospitalization or emergency department visit for ADHF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of neither LVH nor albuminuria (reference), either LVH or albuminuria, and both (LVH + albuminuria) with incident ADHF. Over a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 182 cases of ADHF occurred. In adjusted models, concomitant albuminuria and LVH were associated with greater risk of ADHF than either albuminuria or LVH in isolation (hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]: 4.95 [3.22 to 7.62], 2.04 [1.39 to 3.00], and 1.47 [0.93 to 2.32], respectively, additive interaction p = 0.01). The effect of intensive blood pressure in reducing ADHF was attenuated in participants with coexisting albuminuria and LVH without any interaction between treatment group assignment and albuminuria/LVH categories (interaction p = 0.26). In conclusion, albuminuria and LVH are additive predictors of ADHF. The effect of intensive blood pressure control in reducing ADHF risk did not vary significantly across albuminuria/LVH combinations.

Interrelations between albuminuria, electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality, and incident atrial fibrillation in the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort

BACKGROUND

The objective of the study was to examine the joint associations of albuminuria and electrocardiographic left atrial abnormality (ECG-LAA) with incident atrial fibrillation (AF) and whether this relationship varies by race.

METHODS

This analysis included 6670 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), including atrial fibrillation (AF), from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. ECG-LAA was defined as P-wave terminal force in V1 [PTFV1] >5000 μV × ms. Albuminuria was defined as urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30 mg/g. Incident AF events through 2015 were ascertained from hospital discharge records and study-scheduled electrocardiograms. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of "no albuminuria + no ECG-LAA (reference)", "isolated albuminuria", "isolated ECG-LAA" and "albuminuria + ECG-LAA" with incident AF.

RESULTS

Over a median follow-up of 13.8 years, 979 incident cases of AF occurred. In adjusted models, the concomitant presence of ECG-LAA and albuminuria was associated with a higher risk of AF than either ECG-LAA or albuminuria in isolation (HR (95% CI): 2.43 (1.65-3.58), 1.33 (1.05-1.69), and 1.55 (1.27-1.88), respectively (interaction p-value = 0.50). Effect modification by race was observed with a 4-fold greater AF risk in Black participants with albuminuria + ECG-LAA (HR (95%CI): 4.37 (2.38-8.01) but no significant association in White participants (HR (95% CI) 0.60 (0.19-1.92) respectively; (interaction p-value for race x albuminuria-ECG-LAA combination = 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant presence of ECG-LAA and albuminuria confers a higher risk of AF compared to either one in isolation with a stronger association in Blacks than Whites.

Joint Association of Albuminuria and Left Ventricular Hypertrophy with Incident Heart Failure in High-Risk Adults with Hypertension: a SPRINT substudy

Background

Albuminuria and left ventricular hypertrophy (LVH) are independent predictors of heart failure (HF), however their combined effect on risk of HF has not been explored previously.

Objectives

To examine the joint associations of albuminuria and electrocardiographic (ECG) LVH with incident acute decompensated HF (ADHF), and whether albuminuria/LVH combinations modified the effects of blood pressure control strategy in reducing the risk of ADHF.

Methods

8,511 participants from the SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial) were included. ECG-LVH was present if any of the following criteria: Cornell voltage, Cornell voltage product, or Sokolow Lyon were present. Albuminuria was defined as urine albumin-creatinine ratio (UACR) ≥30 mg/g. ADHF was defined as hospitalization or emergency visit for ADHF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the association of neither LVH, nor albuminuria (reference), either LVH or albuminuria, and both (LVH + albuminuria) with incident ADHF.

Results

Over a median follow-up of 3.2 years, 182 cases of ADHF occurred. In adjusted models, concomitant albuminuria and LVH were associated with higher risk of ADHF than either albuminuria or LVH in isolation (HR (95% CI): 4.95 (3.22-7.62), 2.04 (1.39-3.00), and 1.47 (0.93-2.32), respectively (additive interaction p=0.01). The effect of intensive blood pressure in decreasing ADHF attenuated among participants with co-existing albuminuria and LVH without any interaction between treatment group assignment and albuminuria/LVH categories (interaction p-value= 0.26).

Conclusions

Albuminuria and LVH are additive predictors of ADHF. The effect of intensive blood pressure control in decreasing ADHF risk did not vary significantly across albuminuria/LVH combinations.

Electrocardiographic markers of atrial cardiomyopathy and risk of heart failure in the multi-ethnic study of atherosclerosis (MESA) cohort

Background

The association of electrocardiographic (ECG) markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with heart failure (HF) and its subtypes is unclear.

Methods

This analysis included 6,754 participants free of clinical cardiovascular disease (CVD), including atrial fibrillation (AF), from the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis. Five ECG markers of atrial cardiomyopathy (P-wave terminal force in V1 [PTFV1], deep-terminal negativity in V1 [DTNV1], P-wave duration [PWD], P-wave axis [PWA], advanced intra-atrial block [aIAB]) were derived from digitally recorded electrocardiograms. Incident HF events through 2018 were centrally adjudicated. An ejection fraction (EF) of 50% at the time of HF was used to classify HF as HF with reduced EF (HFrEF), HF with preserved EF (HFpEF), or unclassified HF. Cox proportional hazard models were used to examine the associations of markers of atrial cardiomyopathy with HF. The Lunn-McNeil method was used to compare the associations in HFrEF vs. HFpEF.

Results

413 HF events occurred over a median follow-up of 16 years. In adjusted models, abnormal PTFV1 (HR (95%CI): 1.56(1.15-2.13), abnormal PWA (HR (95%CI):1.60(1.16-2.22), aIAB (HR (95%CI):2.62(1.47-4.69), DTNPV1 (HR (95%CI): 2.99(1.63-7.33), and abnormal PWD (HR (95%CI): 1.33(1.02-1.73), were associated with increased HF risk. These associations persisted after further adjustments for intercurrent AF events. No significant differences in the strength of association of each ECG predictor with HFrEF and HFpEF were noted.

Conclusions

Atrial cardiomyopathy defined by ECG markers is associated with HF, with no differences in the strength of association between HFrEF and HFpEF. Markers of atrial Cardiomyopathy may help identify individuals at risk of developing HF.

Abstract P467: Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion and Risk of Stroke in Medicare Beneficiaries

Background: Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a significant risk factor for stroke, with oral anticoagulants (OACs) recommended for stroke prevention. However, a nonpharmacologic option is needed for patients with contraindications for OACs. Recently, percutaneous left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) has emerged as an alternative treatment option. Although clinical trials have shown that percutaneous LAAO is non-inferior to warfarin and direct OACs, few studies using real-world data have been done.

Methods: Using data from the Medicare 20% sample databases (2015-18), we assessed the association between percutaneous LAAO vs. OAC use and risk of all stroke among patients with AF who had an elevated CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score. Secondary outcomes included death and hospitalized bleeding. Patients undergoing percutaneous LAAO were matched with up to 5 other patients who were taking OACs by sex, age, date of enrollment, index date, and CHA 2 DS 2 -VASc score. A total of 17,514 patients with AF were matched (average [SD] 78 [6] years, 44% female). Cox proportional hazards model was used.

Results: Over a median follow-up of 10.3 months, 293 stroke events, 1,925 deaths and 618 major bleeding events occurred. After multivariable adjustments, no significant difference for risk of stroke or death was noted when patients with percutaneous LAAO was compared to those taking OACs (HRs [95% CIs]: 1.25 [0.95, 1.67] and 0.94 [0.83, 1.06], respectively). However, there was a 3.24-fold (95% CI: 2.75, 3.81) increased risk for hospitalized bleeding after percutaneous LAAO compared to OAC.

Conclusion: Using data from the Medicare 20% sample databases, no significant difference in risk of stroke or death were noted when percutaneous LAAO was compared to OAC users. However, there was an increased risk for bleeding. Our results confirm the results of randomized trials that among older patients with AF and a high-risk for stroke, percutaneous LAAO may be an alternative to OAC use; however, patients should be aware of potential risks associated with the implantation.

Relationship Between High Blood Pressure, Atrial Cardiopathy, and Mortality in the General Population

BACKGROUND

Atrial cardiopathy is associated with an increased risk of mortality. However, it is unclear whether this association is modified by hypertension, a risk factor for both atrial cardiopathy and mortality.

METHODS

This analysis included 8,023 participants from the Third National Health and Nutrition Examination Survey. Electrocardiographic deep terminal negativity of P-wave in V1 ≥100 µV defined atrial cardiopathy. National Death Index was used to identify the date and cause of death. Cox proportional hazard analysis was used to examine the association of atrial cardiopathy with mortality among participants stratified by hypertension status.

RESULTS

In total 2.7% of the participants had atrial cardiopathy. Over a median follow-up of 14 years, 2,922 all-cause deaths occurred, of which 1,058 were CVD. All-cause death rates were almost double among participants with concomitant atrial cardiopathy and elevated blood pressure (BP) (120-129/<80), stage 1 (130-139/80-89), or stage 2 hypertension (≥140/≥90) compared to their counterparts in the same hypertension stages without atrial cardiopathy (47.8, 61.3, and 80.2 vs. 23, 24.7, and 44.8 per 1,000 person-years (PY), respectively). In multivariable-adjusted models, a stronger association between atrial cardiopathy and all-cause mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.59 (1.25-2.01) vs. 0.67 (0.41-1.10), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.009). Similarly, an association between atrial cardiopathy and cardiovascular disease (CVD) mortality was observed in the presence compared to the absence of hypertension (HR (95% CI): 1.64 (1.08-2.47) vs. 0.63 (0.20-2.00), respectively, interaction P-value = 0.20).

CONCLUSIONS

Concomitant presence of high BP and atrial cardiopathy carries a higher risk of mortality, and the risk increases with higher BP levels.

[Comparative analysis of population distribution, severity, emotional, and cognitive characteristics among different side idiopathic tinnitus patients]

To provide basis for prevention and treatment by analyzing the clinical features, emotional and cognitive states and their correlations of idiopathic tinnitus. Cross-sectional study was used. Thirty-six right, 44 left, and 46 bilateral idiopathic tinnitus patients diagnosed in Beijing Tongren Hospital were prospectively enrolled from October, 2020 to February, 2022. The clinical data was recorded and the THI, DBI, STAI, and MoCA were evaluated. The clinical features and the incidence of severe tinnitus, hearing lose, anxiety, and cognitive impairment were compared by one-way ANOVA, Kruskal-Wallis H, and chi-square test. The correlation between tinnitus or hearing and emotional and cognitive states were evaluated by multivariable correlation analysis. There was no significant difference in age, BMI, years of education, tinnitus duration, and the incidence of hearing loss among groups (F=0.730,P=0.484;F=1.535,P=0.219;F=1.506,P=0.226;χ²=4.242,P=0.120;χ²=6.672,P=0.083). In right, left, and bilateral tinnitus patients, the number of severe tinnitus was 12, 7, and 20 cases and the incidence was 33.3%, 15.9%, and 43.5%; the number of depression was 13, 14, and 26 cases and incidence was 36.1%, 31.8%, and 53.5%; the number of trait anxiety was 3, 2, and 10 cases and the incidence was 8.3%, 4.5%, and 21.7%. Compared with left tinnitus patients, the incidence of severe tinnitus, depression, and trait anxiety was higher in bilateral tinnitus patients (χ²=8.139,P=0.004;χ²=5.558,P=0.018;χ²=5.753,P=0.007). The incidence of state anxiety and cognitive impairment were no significant difference among groups (χ²=0.142,P=0.931;χ²=1.338,P=0.512). The overall incidence of state anxiety and cognitive impairment were 16.7%(21/126) and 37.3%(47/126) respectively. There was positive correlation between THI score and BDI, S-AI, and T-AI scores (r=0.529,P=0.001; r=0.649,P<0.001; r=0.483,P=0.003) and negative correlation between THI and MoCA scores (r=-0.364,P=0.029) in right tinnitus group. The positive correlation was found between THI score and BDI, S-AI, and T-AI scores in left tinnitus group (r=0.508,P<0.001; r=0.506,P<0.001; r=0.357,P=0.017). The positive correlation between THI score and BDI, S-AI, and T-AI scores (r=0.753,P<0.001; r=0.527,P<0.001; r=0.536,P<0.001) and the positive correlation between tinnitus duration and MoCA score(r=0.334,P=0.023) were also found in bilateral tinnitus group.

Risk Factors for Dementia in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation

Although dementia and atrial fibrillation (AF) are common in older adults, risk factors for dementia have not been sufficiently characterized in patients with AF. We studied 621,773 patients with AF without dementia at the time of AF diagnosis who were enrolled in the MarketScan Commercial and Medicare Supplemental databases from 2007 to 2015. Dementia incidence and presence of predictors at the time of AF diagnosis (cardiometabolic conditions, mental and neurologic disorders, and other chronic conditions) were based on International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision, Clinical Modification codes in outpatient and inpatient claims, whereas medication usage was based on outpatient pharmacy claims. A frailty score was calculated using a previously established algorithm. The associations between the predictors of interest and dementia were assessed with multivariable Cox models. Patients had a mean age of 68 years (SD 14 years) and 41% were women. During a mean follow-up of 2.0 years, there were 16,073 cases of dementia. The strongest predictors of dementia were frailty (hazard ratio [HR] 1.43, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.40 to 1.45, per 1-SD increase in the score), cognitive impairment (HR 1.50, 95% CI 1.36 to 1.65), mood disorders (HR 1.49, 95% CI 1.32 to 1.70), schizophrenia (HR 1.86, 95% CI 1.75 to 1.98), and substance abuse (HR 1.58, 95% CI 1.39 to 1.80). Among cardiometabolic conditions, only stroke (HR 1.17, 95% CI 1.13 to 1.22) and diabetes mellitus (HR 1.14, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.18) were associated with small increases in dementia risk after adjusting for demographics, frailty, co-morbidities, and medications. We have identified several risk factors for dementia in patients with AF.

Association of physical activity with the incidence of atrial fibrillation in persons > 65 years old: the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

AIMS

To evaluate the association of physical activity (PA) with atrial fibrillation (AF) incidence in an elderly population.

METHODS

We studied 5166 participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort examined in 2011-2013 free of AF. Self-reported PA was evaluated with a validated questionnaire. Weekly minutes of leisure-time moderate to vigorous physical activity (MVPA) were calculated and categorized using the 2018 Physical Activity Guidelines for Americans (no activity [0 min/week], low [> 0- < 150 min/week], adequate [150- < 300 min/week], high [≥ 300 min/week]). Incident AF through 2019 was ascertained from hospital discharges and death certificates. Cox models were used to calculate hazard ratios (HR) and 95% confidence intervals (CI) for AF by levels of physical activity adjusting for potential confounders.

RESULTS

The mean (SD) age for the sample was 75 (5) years (59% female, 22% Black). During a mean (SD) follow-up time of 6.3 (2.0) years, 703 AF events were identified. The association of MVPA with AF incidence showed a U-shaped relationship. Compared to those not engaging in MVPA, individuals with low MVPA had a 23% lower hazard of AF (HR = 0.77; 95% CI 0.61, 0.96), while those with adequate MVPA had a 14% lower hazard (HR 0.86; 95% CI 0.69, 1.06). High levels of MVPA were not associated with AF risk (HR 0.97; 95% CI 0.78, 1.20).

CONCLUSION

This study suggests that being involved in low to moderate levels of MVPA is associated with lower AF risk, with no evidence of increased risk of AF in those with higher levels of MVPA.

Association of Brain Volumes and White Matter Injury With Race, Ethnicity, and Cardiovascular Risk Factors: The Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis

Background Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with cognitive decline and dementia. Magnetic resonance imaging provides sensitive measurement of brain morphology and vascular brain injury. However, associations of risk factors with brain magnetic resonance imaging findings have largely been studied in White participants. We investigated associations of race, ethnicity, and cardiovascular risk factors with brain morphology and white matter (WM) injury in a diverse population. Methods and Results In the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, measures were made in 2018 to 2019 of total brain volume, gray matter and WM volume, and WM injury, including WM hyperintensity volume and WM fractional anisotropy. We assessed cross-sectional associations of race and ethnicity and of cardiovascular risk factors with magnetic resonance imaging measures. Magnetic resonance imaging data were complete in 1036 participants; 25% Black, 15% Chinese-American, 19% Hispanic, and 41% White. Mean (SD) age was 72 (8) years and 53% were women. Although WM injury was greater in Black than in White participants in a minimally adjusted model, additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and socioeconomic status each attenuated this association, rendering it nonsignificant. Overall, greater average WM hyperintensity volume was associated with older age and current smoking (69% greater vs never smoking); lower fractional anisotropy was additionally associated with higher diastolic blood pressure, use of antihypertensive medication, and diabetes. Conclusions We found no statistically significant difference in measures of WM injury by race and ethnicity after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and socioeconomic status. In all racial and ethnic groups, older age, current smoking, hypertension, and diabetes were strongly associated with WM injury.

Identification of Incident Atrial Fibrillation From Electronic Medical Records

Background Electronic medical records are increasingly used to identify disease cohorts; however, computable phenotypes using electronic medical record data are often unable to distinguish between prevalent and incident cases. Methods and Results We identified all Olmsted County, Minnesota residents aged ≥18 with a first-ever International Classification of Diseases, Ninth Revision (ICD-9) diagnostic code for atrial fibrillation or atrial flutter from 2000 to 2014 (N=6177), and a random sample with an International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision (ICD-10) code from 2016 to 2018 (N=200). Trained nurse abstractors reviewed all medical records to validate the events and ascertain the date of onset (incidence date). Various algorithms based on number and types of codes (inpatient/outpatient), medications, and procedures were evaluated. Positive predictive value (PPV) and sensitivity of the algorithms were calculated. The lowest PPV was observed for 1 code (64.4%), and the highest PPV was observed for 2 codes (any type) >7 days apart but within 1 year (71.6%). Requiring either 1 inpatient or 2 outpatient codes separated by >7 days but within 1 year had the best balance between PPV (69.9%) and sensitivity (95.5%). PPVs were slightly higher using ICD-10 codes. Requiring an anticoagulant or antiarrhythmic prescription or electrical cardioversion in addition to diagnostic code(s) modestly improved the PPVs at the expense of large reductions in sensitivity. Conclusions We developed simple, exportable, computable phenotypes for atrial fibrillation using structured electronic medical record data. However, use of diagnostic codes to identify incident atrial fibrillation is prone to some misclassification. Further study is warranted to determine whether more complex phenotypes, including unstructured data sources or using machine learning techniques, may improve the accuracy of identifying incident atrial fibrillation.

Reliability and Validity of the Composite Activity-Related Fall Risk Scale

Introduction

The newly developed Composite Activity-related Risk of Falls Scale (CARFS) is designed to measure composite activity-related risk of falls (CARF) in relation to the activity-specific fear of falling and physical behavior. This study tested the reliability and validity of the CARFS in older people with various health statuses and persons with stroke or spinal cord injury.

Methods

Participants included 70 older adults, 38 persons with stroke, and 18 with spinal cord injury. They were first surveyed using a combined questionnaire including the CARFS and activity-specific balance confidence (ABC) scale in addition to items asking for personal and disease-related information, fall history, walking independence levels for examining internal consistency, ceiling and floor effects, and convergent validity in each participant group. One week after the initial survey, 33 older participants were reexamined using the CARFS to analyze test-retest reliability, where a minimal detectable change was found. Significance was set at α = 0.05 for all analyses.

Results

The CARFS showed excellent test-retest reliability in the dimensions of fear of falling, physical behavior, and CARF [ICC (3,1) = 0.972, 0.994, and 0.994, respectively for their overall score], with a minimal detectable change of 3.944 in the older population. The internal consistency of CARFS items was excellent in the older participants, good in participants with stroke or spinal cord injury (Cronbach's alpha = 0.945, 0.843, 0.831 in each participant group, respectively). No ceiling and floor effects were demonstrated in the wide range of people. For the convergent validity, overall CARF score was significantly correlated with the average ABC score in each participant group (rho = −0.824, −0.761, and −0.601, respectively; p < 0.01), and was significantly correlated with walking independence levels in each participant group (rho = −0.636, −0.423, and −0.522, respectively; p < 0.01). It showed weak correlation with the number of previous falls only in participants with stroke (rho = 0.291, p = 0.076).

Conclusion

The CARFS is a reliable and valid tool for measuring fall risk in older people and persons with stroke or spinal cord injury.

Activities-specific performance frequency can accurately detect fallers in elderly populations: an alternative method for quantifying activity restrictions

Background

The high prevalence of falling among older adults constitutes a major public and clinical health concern. Many elderly persons may develop activities-specific restriction due to the risk of falling. This highlights the need for relevant evaluative tools.

Methods

This cross-sectional study used activities-specific performance frequency indicators to quantify activity restrictions in elderly participants, with all measures based on items from the Activities-Specific Balance Confidence (ABC) scale. Specifically, we tested for correlations between activities-specific performance frequency and balance confidence, functional balance/mobility, and fall history. There were 88 elderly participants, including 28 with stroke, 30 with Parkinson’s disease, and 30 with no neurological diseases. In addition to their activities-specific performance frequency measures, we collected a series of demographic and health-related characteristics from each participant. We analyzed between-group differences in activities-specific performance frequency and other demographic and health-related characteristics via the one-way analysis of variance and Kruskal-Wallis test. Next, we used the Spearman’s rank correlation test and binary logistic regression to investigate the correlations between activities-specific performance frequency and demographic/other health-related characteristics.

Results

There were significant group differences in performance frequency for all ABC activity items except for walking around the house, average ABC scores, and functional balance/mobility among normal older adults, participants with strokes and those with Parkinson's disease. Activities-specific performance frequency showed stronger correlations with activities-relevant functional mobility (r=0.250-0.713 for 15 items with significant correlations, 13 activity items with r≧0.4) than with balance confidence (r=0.279-0.668 for 13 items with significant correlations, 10 activity items with r≧0.4). The performance frequency of walking in crowds/bumped was the most sensitive measure for predicting fallers (odd ratio=3.310, p<0.05).

Conclusions

This study proposed and validated the usage of activities-specific performance frequency as an alternative method for quantifying activity restrictions among older adults.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-022-02912-z.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Warfarin for Atrial Fibrillation Treatment: Rural and Urban Trends in Medicare Beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Data are needed on the use of oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) in rural versus urban areas, including the initiation of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs).

OBJECTIVE

We used Medicare data to examine rural/urban differences in anticoagulation use in patients with AF.

METHODS

We identified incident AF in a 20% sample of fee-for-service Medicare beneficiaries (aged ≥ 65 years) from 2011 to 2016 and collected ZIP code and covariates at the time of AF. We identified the first anticoagulant prescription filled, if any, following AF diagnosis. We categorized beneficiaries into four rural/urban areas using rural-urban commuting area codes and used Poisson regression models to compare anticoagulant use.

RESULTS

We included 447,252 patients with AF (mean age 79 ± 8 years), of which 82% were urban, 9% large rural, 5% small rural, and 4% isolated. The percentage who initiated an anticoagulant rose from 34% in 2011 to 53% in 2016, paralleling the uptake of DOACs. In a multivariable-adjusted analysis, those in rural areas (vs. urban) were more likely to initiate an anticoagulant. However, rural beneficiaries (vs. urban) were less likely to initiate a DOAC; those in isolated areas were 17% less likely (95% confidence interval [CI] 13-20), those in small rural areas were 12% less likely (95% CI 9-15), and those in large rural areas were 10% less likely (95% CI 8-12).

CONCLUSION

Among Medicare beneficiaries with AF, anticoagulation use was low but increased over time with the introduction of DOACs. Rural beneficiaries were less likely to receive a DOAC.

[Clinicopathological features of NTRK3 gene rearrangement papillary thyroid carcinoma]

Objective: To investigate the clinicopathological features and differential diagnosis of NTRK3 gene rearrangement thyroid papillary carcinoma (PTC). Methods: The PTC cases without BRAF V600E mutation were collected at Fujian Provincial Hospital South Branch from January 2015 to January 2020. The cases of NTRK3 gene rearrangement PTC were examined using immunohistochemistry and fluorescence in situ hybridization (FISH). The clinical data, histopathological characteristics, immunohistochemical features and molecular pathological changes were retrospectively analyzed. Data from the TCGA PTC dataset and the literature were also studied. Results: A total of 3 PTC cases harboring NTRK3 gene rearrangement were confirmed. All the patients were female, aged from 26,49,34 years. Histologically, two of them demonstrated a multinodular growth pattern. Only one case showed prominent follicular growth pattern; the other two tumors showed a mixture of follicular, papillary and solid growth patterns. All tumors showed a typical PTC nuclear manifestation, with some nuclear pleomorphism, vacuolated foci and oncocytic features. The characteristic formation of glomeruloid follicular foci was present in two cases which also showed psammoma bodies, and tumoral capsular or angiolymphatic invasion. The background thyroid parenchyma showed chronic lymphocytic thyroiditis. Mitotic rates were low, and no cases had any tumor necrosis. The pan-TRK and TTF1 testing was both positive in 3 cases, while S-100 and mammaglobin were both negative in them. FISH studies confirmed the NTRK3 gene rearrangement in all 3 cases. Studies on the TCGA datasets and literature revealed similar findings. Conclusions: NTRK3 gene rearrangement PTC is rare. It may be easily misdiagnosed due to the lack of histological and clinicopathological characteristics. Molecular studies such as pan-TRK immunostaining, FISH and even next-generation sequencing are needed to confirm the diagnosis. Immunohistochemistry of pan-TRK performed in the PTC cases without BRAF V600E mutation can be used as a good rapid-screening tool. With the emergence of pan-cancer tyrosine receptor kinase inhibitors, proper diagnosis of these tumors can help determine appropriate treatments and improve their outcomes.

Associations Between Atrial Arrhythmias and Brain Amyloid Deposition: The ARIC-PET Study

The aim of this study is to determine if there is an association between atrial arrhythmias and brain amyloid-β (Aβ), measured on florbetapir (FBP) PET. 346 nondemented participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study underwent FBP-PET, 185 also wore Zio® XT Patch. The associations between global cortical Aβ (> 1.2 standardized uptake value ratio) and history of atrial fibrillation, zio-defined atrial tachycardia and premature atrial contractions, each, were evaluated. Among nondemented community-dwelling older adults, we did not find an association between atrial arrhythmias and Aβ. Other brain pathology may underlie the association described between atrial arrhythmias and cognition.

Development and Application of a Reverse-transcription Recombinase-Aided Amplification Assay for Subgroup J Avian Leukosis Virus

Subgroup J Avian leukosis virus (ALV-J) is an important pathogen of poultry tumor diseases. Since its discovery, it has caused significant economic losses to the poultry industry. Thus, the rapid detection of molecular level with strong specificity is particularly important whether poultry are infected with ALV-J. In this study, we designed primers and probe for real-time fluorescent reverse-transcription recombinase-aided amplification assay (RT-RAA) based on the ALV-J gp85 sequence. We had established a real-time fluorescent RT-RAA method and confirmed this system by verifying the specificity and sensitivity of the primers and probe. In addition, repeatability tests and clinical sample regression tests were used for preliminary evaluation of this detection method. The sensitivity of established method was about 10¹ copies/μL, and the repeatability of the CV of the C_T value is 4%, indicating repeatability is good. Moreover, there was no cross-reactivity with NDV, IBV, IBDV, H9N2, MDV, and REV, and other avian leukosis virus subgroups, such as subgroups A, B, C, D, K and E. Importantly, the real-time fluorescent RT-RAA completed the test within 30 min at a constant temperature of 41°C. Forty-two clinical samples with known background were tested, and the test results were coincided with 100%. Overall, these results suggested that the real-time fluorescent RT-RAA developed in this study had strong specificity, high sensitivity, and good feasibility. The method is simple, easy, and portable, that is suitable for clinical and laboratory diagnosis, and provides technical support for the prevention and control of ALV-J.

Effect of Intensive Blood Pressure Lowering on Incident Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review and Meta-Analysis

The effect of intensive versus standard blood pressure (BP) lowering on the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) is uncertain. Intensive BP lowering is associated with a lower risk of AF among patients with hypertension. We searched PubMed, EMBASE, and CENTRAL (inception to June 5, 2020) for randomized controlled trials evaluating the effect of intensive versus standard (target systolic BP < 140 mmHg) BP lowering on incident AF. We assessed heterogeneity using the I2 statistic then used fixed-effects meta-analysis models to report pooled treatment effects and 95% confidence intervals. We also tested for publication bias by three funnel plot-based methods. The quality of each study was assessed with the Cochrane Risk of Bias tool. We assessed 16 candidate studies for eligibility from 2,312 published articles, but only three randomized clinical trials were eligible for inclusion and included a combined 12,219 participants with hypertension: Cardio-Sis (Studio Italiano Sugli Effetti Cardiovascolari del Controllo della Pressione Arteriosa Sistolica), ACCORD-BP (Action to Control Cardiovascular Risk in Diabetes Blood Pressure trial), and SPRINT (Systolic Blood Pressure Intervention Trial). The target systolic BP in the intensive BP arm was <120 mmHg for participants in SPRINT and ACCORD-BP, but <130 mmHg for participants in Cardio-Sis. Participants randomized to intensive BP lowering had significantly lower risk of incident AF compared with those randomized to standard BP lowering (AF incidence 2.2% vs. 3.0%, respectively; pooled hazard ratio (95% confidence interval): 0.74 (0.59 - 0.93)). Intensive BP lowering is associated with a significantly lower risk of incident AF in patients with hypertension. These findings add to the current evidence supporting the benefits of intensive BP control.

Sex differences in treatment strategy and adverse outcomes among patients 75 and older with atrial fibrillation in the MarketScan database

BACKGROUND

Women with atrial fibrillation (AF) experience greater symptomatology, worse quality of life, and have a higher risk of stroke as compared to men, but are less likely to receive rhythm control treatment. Whether these differences exist in elderly patients with AF, and whether sex modifies the effectiveness of rhythm versus rate control therapy has not been assessed.

METHODS

We studied 135,850 men and 139,767 women aged ≥ 75 years diagnosed with AF in the MarketScan Medicare database between 2007 and 2015. Anticoagulant use was defined as use of warfarin or a direct oral anticoagulant. Rate control was defined as use of rate control medication or atrioventricular node ablation. Rhythm control was defined by use of anti-arrhythmic medication, catheter ablation or cardioversion. We used multivariable Poisson and Cox regression models to estimate the association of sex with treatment strategy and to determine whether the association of treatment strategy with adverse outcomes (bleeding, heart failure and stroke) differed by sex.

RESULTS

At the time of AF, women were on average (SD) 83.8 (5.6) years old and men 82.5 (5.2) years, respectively. Compared to men, women were less likely to receive an anticoagulant or rhythm control treatment. Rhythm control (vs. rate) was associated with a greater risk for heart failure with a significantly stronger association in women (HR women = 1.41, 95% CI 1.34-1.49; HR men = 1.21, 95% CI 1.15-1.28, p < 0.0001 for interaction). No sex differences were observed for the association of treatment strategy with the risk of bleeding or stroke.

CONCLUSION

Sex differences exist in the treatment of AF among patients aged 75 years and older. Women are less likely to receive an anticoagulant and rhythm control treatment. Women were also at a greater risk of experiencing heart failure as compared to men, when treated with rhythm control strategies for AF. Efforts are needed to enhance use AF therapies among women. Future studies will need to delve into the mechanisms underlying these differences.

Proteomics and Risk of Atrial Fibrillation in Older Adults (From the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC] Study)

Plasma proteomic profiling may aid in the discovery of novel biomarkers upstream of the development of atrial fibrillation (AF). We used data from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study to examine the relation between large-scale proteomics and incident AF in a cohort of older-aged adults in the United States. We quantified 4,877 plasma proteins in Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities participants at visit 5 (2011-2013) using an aptamer-based proteomic profiling platform. We used Cox proportional hazards models to assess the association between protein levels and incident AF, and explored relation of selected protein biomarkers using annotated pathway analysis. Our study included 4,668 AF-free participants (mean age 75 ± 5 years; 59% female; 20% Black race) with proteomic measures. A total of 585 participants developed AF over a mean follow-up of 5.7 ± 1.7 years. After adjustment for clinical factors associated with AF, N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) was associated with the risk of incident AF (hazard ratio, 1.82; 95% CI, 1.68 to 1.98; p, 2.91 × 10-45 per doubling of NT-proBNP). In addition, 36 other proteins were also significantly associated with incident AF after Bonferroni correction. We further adjusted for medication use and estimated glomerular filtration rate and found 17 proteins, including angiopoietin-2 and transgelin, that remained significantly associated with incident AF. Pathway analyses implicated the inhibition of matrix metalloproteases as the top canonical pathway in AF pathogenesis. In conclusion, using a large-scale proteomic platform, we identified both novel and established proteins associated with incident AF and explored mechanistic pathways of AF development.

ECG-AI: electrocardiographic artificial intelligence model for prediction of heart failure

AIMS

Heart failure (HF) is a leading cause of death. Early intervention is the key to reduce HF-related morbidity and mortality. This study assesses the utility of electrocardiograms (ECGs) in HF risk prediction.

METHODS AND RESULTS

Data from the baseline visits (1987-89) of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study was used. Incident hospitalized HF events were ascertained by ICD codes. Participants with good quality baseline ECGs were included. Participants with prevalent HF were excluded. ECG-artificial intelligence (AI) model to predict HF was created as a deep residual convolutional neural network (CNN) utilizing standard 12-lead ECG. The area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was used to evaluate prediction models including (CNN), light gradient boosting machines (LGBM), and Cox proportional hazards regression. A total of 14 613 (45% male, 73% of white, mean age ± standard deviation of 54 ± 5) participants were eligible. A total of 803 (5.5%) participants developed HF within 10 years from baseline. Convolutional neural network utilizing solely ECG achieved an AUC of 0.756 (0.717-0.795) on the hold-out test data. ARIC and Framingham Heart Study (FHS) HF risk calculators yielded AUC of 0.802 (0.750-0.850) and 0.780 (0.740-0.830). The highest AUC of 0.818 (0.778-0.859) was obtained when ECG-AI model output, age, gender, race, body mass index, smoking status, prevalent coronary heart disease, diabetes mellitus, systolic blood pressure, and heart rate were used as predictors of HF within LGBM. The ECG-AI model output was the most important predictor of HF.

CONCLUSIONS

ECG-AI model based solely on information extracted from ECG independently predicts HF with accuracy comparable to existing FHS and ARIC risk calculators.

Shared Decision Making in Cardiac Electrophysiology Procedures and Arrhythmia Management

Shared decision making (SDM) has been advocated to improve patient care, patient decision acceptance, patient-provider communication, patient motivation, adherence, and patient reported outcomes. Documentation of SDM is endorsed in several society guidelines and is a condition of reimbursement for selected cardiovascular and cardiac arrhythmia procedures. However, many clinicians argue that SDM already occurs with clinical encounter discussions or the process of obtaining informed consent and note the additional imposed workload of using and documenting decision aids without validated tools or evidence that they improve clinical outcomes. In reality, SDM is a process and can be done without decision tools, although the process may be variable. Also, SDM advocates counter that the low-risk process of SDM need not be held to the high bar of demonstrating clinical benefit and that increasing the quality of decision making should be sufficient. Our review leverages a multidisciplinary group of experts in cardiology, cardiac electrophysiology, epidemiology, and SDM, as well as a patient advocate. Our goal is to examine and assess SDM methodology, tools, and available evidence on outcomes in patients with heart rhythm disorders to help determine the value of SDM, assess its possible impact on electrophysiological procedures and cardiac arrhythmia management, better inform regulatory requirements, and identify gaps in knowledge and future needs.

Differences in Left Atrial Size and Function and Supraventricular Ectopy Between Black and White Participants in the ARIC Study

Background Black Americans have more atrial fibrillation risk factors but lower atrial fibrillation risk than White Americans. Left atrial (LA) enlargement and/or dysfunction, frequent atrial tachycardia (AT), and premature atrial contractions (PAC) are associated with increased atrial fibrillation risk. Racial differences in these factors may exist that could explain the difference in atrial fibrillation risk. Methods and Results We included 2133 ARIC (Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities) study participants (aged 74±4.5 years[mean±SD], 59% women, 27% Black participants) who had echocardiograms in 2011 to 2013 and wore the Zio XT Patch (a 2-week continuous heart monitor) in 2016 to 2017. Linear regression was used to analyze (1) differences in AT/day or PAC/hour between Black and White participants, (2) differences in LA measures between Black and White participants, and (3) racial differences in the association of LA measures with AT or PAC frequency. Compared with White participants, Black participants had a higher prevalence of cardiovascular risk factors and disease, lower AT frequency, greater LA size, and lower LA function. After multivariable adjustments, Black participants had 37% (95% CI, 24%-47%) fewer AT runs/day than White participants. No difference in PAC between races was noted. Greater LA size and reduced LA function are associated with more AT and PAC runs; however, no race interaction was present. Conclusions Differences in LA measures are unlikely to explain the difference in atrial fibrillation risk between Black and White individuals. Despite more cardiovascular risk factors and greater atrial remodeling, Black participants have lower AT frequency than White participants. Future research is needed to elucidate the protective mechanisms that confer resilience to atrial arrhythmias in Black individuals.

Association of Longitudinal Changes in Cardiac Biomarkers With Atrial and Ventricular Arrhythmias (from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities [ARIC] Study)

We evaluated the association of longitudinal changes in circulating levels of N-terminal pro B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP) and high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) with the burden of arrhythmias as captured by 2-week ambulatory ECG monitoring. This study included 1,930 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants who wore a leadless, ambulatory ECG monitor (Zio XT Patch) at visit 6 (2016 to 2017) and had cardiac biomarkers measured at visit 6 and visit 4 (median of 19 years earlier). The mean age of participants at V6 was 79 ± 5 years, 41% were men, and 22% were black. Adjusting for demographics, body mass index, smoking, diabetes, hypertension, stroke, left ventricular mass, cardiac medications, patch wear time, visit 4 levels of NT-proBNP and hs-cTnT, and relative change in hs-cTnT, each log-transformed unit relative increase in NT-proBNP was associated with a higher likelihood of nonsustained ventricular tachycardia (odds ratio 1.29, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.12 to 1.48), a higher number of daily atrial tachycardia episodes (geometric mean ratio [GMR] 1.16, 95% CI 1.10 to 1.21), and a higher daily ectopic burden (premature ventricular contractions -GMR 1.42, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.62; premature atrial contractions -GMR 1.40, 95% CI 1.25 to 1.57). In fully adjusted analyses, each log-transformed unit relative increase in hs-cTnT was only found to be weakly associated with a higher daily premature ventricular contraction burden (GMR 1.31, 95% CI 1.01 to 1.70). In conclusion, longitudinal change in NT-proBNP was associated with an increased atrial and ventricular arrhythmia burden.

6-year change in high sensitivity cardiac troponin T and the risk of atrial fibrillation in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities cohort

BACKGROUND

Circulating high sensitivity cardiac troponin T (hs-cTnT) is associated with incidence of atrial fibrillation (AF), but the association of changes in hs-cTnT over time on incident AF has not been explored.

HYPOTHESIS

Six-year increase in circulating hs-cTnT will be associated with increased risk of AF and will contribute to improved prediction of incident AF.

METHODS

We conducted a prospective cohort analysis of 8431 participants from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study. hs-cTnT change was categorized at visit 2 and 4 as undetectable (<5 ng/L), detectable (≥5 ng/L, <14 ng/L), or elevated (≥14 ng/L). We used Cox regression to examine the association between the combination of hs-cTnT categories at two visits and incident AF. We also assessed the impact of adding absolute hs-cTnT change on risk discrimination for AF by C-statistics and net reclassification improvement (NRI).

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 16.5 years, 1629 incident AF cases were diagnosed. Among participants with undetectable hs-cTnT at visit 2, the multivariable HR of AF was 1.28 (95% CI 1.12-1.48) among those with detectable or elevated hs-cTnT at visit 4 compared to those in which hs-cTnT remained undetectable. Among those with detectable hs-cTnT at visit 2, compared to those who remained in the detectable hs-cTnT group, reduction to undetectable at visit 4 was associated with lower risk of AF (HR 0.74, 95% CI 0.59-0.94), while increment to elevated was associated with higher AF risk (HR 1.30, 95% CI 1.01-1.68). Adding hs-cTnT change to our main model with baseline hs-cTnT did not result in significant improvement in the C-statistic or substantial NRI.

CONCLUSION

Six-year increase in circulating hs-cTnT was associated with elevated risk of incident AF.

Association of Proton Pump Inhibitors With Higher Risk of Cardiovascular Disease and Heart Failure

OBJECTIVE

To examine associations of cumulative exposure to proton pump inhibitors (PPIs) with total cardiovascular disease (CVD; composed of stroke, coronary heart disease, and heart failure [HF]) and HF alone in a cohort study of White and African American participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

METHODS

Use of PPIs was assessed by pill bottle inspection at visit 1 (January 1, 1987 to 1989) and up to 10 additional times before baseline (visit 5; 2011 to 2013). We calculated cumulative exposure to PPIs as days of use from visit 1 to baseline. Participants (n=4346 free of total CVD at visit 5; mean age, 75 years) were observed for incident total CVD and HF events through December 31, 2016. We used Cox regression to measure associations of PPIs with total CVD and HF.

RESULTS

After adjustment for potential confounding variables, participants with a cumulative exposure to PPIs of more than 5.1 years had a 2.02-fold higher risk of total CVD (95% CI, 1.50 to 2.72) and a 2.21-fold higher risk of HF (95% CI, 1.51 to 3.23) than nonusers.

CONCLUSION

Long-term PPI use was associated with twice the risk of total CVD and HF compared with nonusers. Our findings are in concordance with other research and suggest another reason to be cautious of PPI overuse.

Large ultrafast-modulated Voigt effect in noncollinear antiferromagnet Mn3Sn

The time-resolved magneto-optical (MO) Voigt effect can be utilized to study the Néel order dynamics in antiferromagnetic (AFM) materials, but it has been limited for collinear AFM spin configuration. Here, we have demonstrated that in Mn₃Sn with an inverse triangular spin structure, the quench of AFM order by ultrafast laser pulses can result in a large Voigt effect modulation. The modulated Voigt angle is significantly larger than the polarization rotation due to the crystal-structure related linear dichroism effect and the modulated MO Kerr angle arising from the ferroic ordering of cluster magnetic octupole. The AFM order quench time shows negligible change with increasing temperature approaching the Néel temperature (T_N), in markedly contrast with the pronounced slowing-down demagnetization typically observed in conventional magnetic materials. This atypical behavior can be explained by the influence of weakened Dzyaloshinskii–Moriya interaction rather than the smaller exchange splitting on the diminished AFM order near T_N. The temperature-insensitive ultrafast spin manipulation can pave the way for high-speed spintronic devices either working at a wide range of temperature or demanding spin switching near T_N.

Mn3Sn is an anti-ferromagnetic material which displays a large magneto-optical Kerr effect, despite lacking a ferromagnetic moment. Here, the authors show that likewise, Mn3Sn, also presents a particularly large magneto-optical Voigt signal, with a negligible change in the quench time over a wide temperature range.

Proton Pump Inhibitor Use, Hypomagnesemia and Risk of Cardiovascular Diseases: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

GOALS

The goal of this study was to evaluate whether proton pump inhibitor (PPI) use is cross-sectionally associated with hypomagnesemia and whether hypomagnesemia mediates the prospective association between PPIs and cardiovascular disease (CVD) risk.

BACKGROUND

Use of PPIs has been associated with hypomagnesemia, primarily in case reports or within insurance databases. Both PPI use and low serum magnesium (Mg) have been associated with modestly higher CVD risk. Yet, the interrelation between PPI use and Mg in relation to CVD risk is unclear.

STUDY

The 4436 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities participants without prevalent CVD at visit 5 (baseline, 2011-2013) were included. Multivariable relative risk regression was used for cross-sectional analyses between PPI and hypomagnesemia prevalence (≤0.75 mmol/L). Incident CVD (defined by atrial fibrillation, coronary heart disease, CVD mortality, heart failure, stroke) was identified through 2017. Multivariable Cox regression was used to examine the PPI-CVD association.

RESULTS

Participants were mean±SD aged 75±5 years; 63% were women, 23% Black, and 24% were PPI users. PPI users had 1.24-fold (95% confidence interval: 1.08-1.44) higher prevalence of hypomagnesemia than nonusers. Over a median 5 years of follow-up, 684 incident CVD events occurred. PPI users had higher CVD risk [hazard ratio (95% confidence interval) 1.31 (1.10-1.57)] than nonusers. The effect estimate was largely unchanged when hypomagnesemia was added to the model as a potential mediator.

CONCLUSIONS

In this elderly community-based study, PPI users had a higher prevalence of hypomagnesemia than in nonusers. PPI users also had higher CVD risk than nonusers; however, it appears unlikely that hypomagnesemia explains associations of PPIs with CVD risk.

[Development and outlook on human challenge trial of vaccine]

Human challenge trial (HCT) is a test in which human volunteers are intentionally infected with pathogens in order to evaluate the efficacy of candidate preventive or therapeutic drugs. During the COVID-19 pandemic, the HCT of vaccines has aroused people's attention due to its significant advantages over clinical trial. This paper introduces the concept, development and application of HCT, the advantages and limitations of HCT for vaccine evaluation, and the consideration of future HCT of COVID-19 vaccine in China.

P–522 Cervical secretion methylation profile is associated with the success of frozen-thawed embryo transfer - a proof-of-concept study

Study question

Is cervical secretion gene methylation profile different between receptive and non-receptive endometrium and associated with implantation outcome in frozen-embryo transfer (FET) cycle?

Summary answer

The combination of candidate genes methylation profiles obtained from cervical secretion showed significant associations with pregnancy outcomes.

What is known already

Implantation failure remains a black box in reproductive medicine, and the exact mechanism of how endometrial receptivity is regulated is still unknown. Epigenetic modifications play a role in the gene expression pattern and may alter the endometrial receptivity in the human endometrium. Cervical secretion containing various implantation-related cytokines, and the gene methylation change can be used as a non-invasive molecular source that reflects the endometrium condition.

Study design, size, duration

In this retrospective case-control study, sixty-two women who entered the FET cycle (30 pregnant and 32 non-pregnant women) were enrolled.

Participants/materials, setting, methods

Cervical secretion was collected before embryo transfer from women enrolled in multicenter university-affiliated reproductive units. The DNA methylation status of six candidate genes was measured using quantitative methylation-specific PCR (qMSP). The correlation between methylation change and the pregnancy outcome was analyzed.

Main results and the role of chance

The candidate genes were selected from that associated with implantation with literature review and the original genome-wide DNA methylation data from NCBI GEO DataSets (GSE90060) which processed using bioinformatics analysis. Six candidate genes whose CpG-level methylation analysis with β-value statistically higher in receptive endometrium than in a pre-receptive endometrium were selected. All six candidate genes showed different degrees of correlation with the pregnancy outcomes. Among them, PRKAG2 methylation changes showed the highest correlation with the pregnancy outcome. A logistic regression model was used to evaluate the performance of a single gene or a combination of genes for implantation prediction. The results showed a statistically significant association between the methylation status of a combination of genes (PRKAG2, KRS1, HAND2) and the pregnancy outcome (p = 0.008), resulting in an optimal AUC of 0.7 (95% CI: 0.57 - 0.81) for implantation prediction.

Limitations, reasons for caution

The results obtained from a relatively small cohort size. A larger study and further comprehensive methylome investigations are warranted.

Wider implications of the findings: This study is the first proof-of-concept study that cervical secretion methylation profile is associated with implantation outcome in a FET cycle, and showed potential as a non-invasive method for implantation prediction.

Trial registration number

non applicable

Association of Differential Leukocyte Count With Incident Abdominal Aortic Aneurysm Over 22.5 Years: The ARIC Study

OBJECTIVE: Leukocytes contribute to the development of abdominal aortic aneurysm (AAA). We evaluated whether associations of differential leukocyte counts with AAA persist after accounting for traditional risk factors of AAA. APPROACH AND RESULTS: Among 11 217 adults from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study, we evaluated associations of differential leukocyte counts at baseline (1987–1989) with incident AAAs over a median follow-up of 22.5 years, using Cox proportional hazards regression. Each differential leukocyte count was categorized into 5 groups—below normal, tertiles within the normal range, and above normal, with the first tertile serving as the referent. We identified 377 incident AAAs through 2011, using hospital discharge diagnoses, linked Medicare records, or death certificates. At baseline, higher neutrophil, monocyte, and eosinophil counts were associated with higher risk of AAA, independent of smoking, other differential leukocyte counts, and other traditional risk factors. The association with incident AAA was the strongest for above normal neutrophil count, with an adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) of 2.17 (1.29–3.64). Below normal neutrophil, lymphocyte, eosinophil and basophil counts were associated with higher risk of AAA with adjusted hazard ratio (95% CI) between 1.86 (1.04–3.35) and 1.62 (1.10–2.39). CONCLUSIONS: Higher neutrophil, monocyte, and eosinophil counts in midlife are associated with higher risk of AAA, even after accounting for traditional risk factors such as smoking, obesity, and atherosclerosis. This suggests the need to identify nontraditional risk factors and treatment strategies to mitigate the residual risk of AAA conferred by midlife inflammation. Whether immunosuppression is associated with higher risk of AAA needs further investigation.

[Historical changes of a missionary hospital - Shanghai General Hospital (1864-1953)]

The Christian missionaries preached through medicine by combining religious preaching with secularisation and social adaptiveness of medicine in the 19th century. They attempted to avoid the negative influence of culture differences between the West and China. Desjacques Marin, one of the missionaries in China, was entrusted by Benoit Edan, a French consul in Shanghai to establish a hospital in 1864, named the "General Hospital". This hospital was moved to the north bank of Suzhou Creek in 1877 and renamed as the Gongji Hospital. The hospital was designated by the Japanese Army in 1940 as a hospital for sick foreign prisoners in the war. It was taken over as an enemy property by the government of the Republic of China in 1945 and became a public hospital opened formally to Chinese patients. It was renamed as "Shanghai First People's Hospital" in 1953. Review of the historical changes of the missionary hospital is of significance for the study on Chinese medical history and medical communication between China and the West.

Association of Longitudinal Changes in NT-proBNP With Changes in Left Atrial Volume and Function: MESA

BACKGROUND

The mechanism of left atrial (LA) remodeling is poorly understood. The aim of this longitudinal study was to investigate whether changes in NT-proBNP levels relate to alterations of LA structure and function over time in a multiethnic population.

METHODS

From the prospective cohort study, the Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis, our analysis included 1,838 participants who underwent cardiac magnetic resonance imaging at the baseline and 10-year examinations, had NT-proBNP levels available at both time points, and did not develop heart failure, myocardial infarction, and/or atrial fibrillation. Multivariable linear regression was used to analyze the association between NT-proBNP level (log-transformed) at the 2 time points and change in LA volumes, LA emptying fractions (total, active, and passive), and LA longitudinal strain. Log NT-proBNP was categorized into Low-Low (N = 681), Low-High (N = 238), High-Low (N = 237), and High-High (N = 682) based on the median value at both time points.

RESULTS

With the Low-Low group as the reference group, the High-High group experienced a greater increase in LA maximum and minimum indexed volumes: 3.1 ml/m2 (95% confidence interval 1.98, 4.20) and 2.7 ml/m2 (1.89, 3.51), respectively. The High-High group also experienced a greater decrease in LA total, passive, active emptying fraction, and longitudinal strain: -3.3% (-4.46, -2.11), -0.9% (-1.80, -0.02), -4.2% (-5.55, -2.76), and -2.3% (-3.80, -0.72), respectively. The Low-High group had similar associations, but the effect sizes were not as high.

CONCLUSIONS

Adverse LA remodeling over 10 years of follow-up strongly correlates with prolonged elevated levels of intracardiac stress, as assessed by NT-proBNP levels.

Managing Atrial Fibrillation in Patients With Heart Failure and Reduced Ejection Fraction: A Scientific Statement From the American Heart Association

Atrial fibrillation and heart failure with reduced ejection fraction are increasing in prevalence worldwide. Atrial fibrillation can precipitate and can be a consequence of heart failure with reduced ejection fraction and cardiomyopathy. Atrial fibrillation and heart failure, when present together, are associated with worse outcomes. Together, these 2 conditions increase the risk of stroke, requiring oral anticoagulation in many or left atrial appendage closure in some. Medical management for rate and rhythm control of atrial fibrillation in heart failure remain hampered by variable success, intolerance, and adverse effects. In multiple randomized clinical trials in recent years, catheter ablation for atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction has shown superiority in improving survival, quality of life, and ventricular function and reducing heart failure hospitalizations compared with antiarrhythmic drugs and rate control therapies. This has resulted in a paradigm shift in management toward nonpharmacological rhythm control of atrial fibrillation in heart failure with reduced ejection fraction. The primary objective of this American Heart Association scientific statement is to review the available evidence on the epidemiology and pathophysiology of atrial fibrillation in relation to heart failure and to provide guidance on the latest advances in pharmacological and nonpharmacological management of atrial fibrillation in patients with heart failure and reduced ejection fraction. The writing committee's consensus on the implications for clinical practice, gaps in knowledge, and directions for future research are highlighted.

Left atrial structure and function of the amyloidogenic V122I transthyretin variant in elderly African Americans

AIMS

African-American carriers of the transthyretin (TTR) valine-to-isoleucine substitution (V122I) are at increased risk of heart failure, yet many have relatively subtle abnormalities of left ventricular (LV) function. We sought to explore the influence of this mutation on left atrial (LA) structure and function in this population.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We assessed 1225 genotyped African-Americans (age range, 67-89 years) participating in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study who underwent echocardiography and were in sinus rhythm at study Visit 5 (2011 to 2013). Six LA parameters [LA maximum/minimum volume index, ejection fraction, and LA reservoir, conduit, and contractile longitudinal strains (LS)] were compared between V122I TTR variant carriers (n = 46) and non-carriers (n = 1179). LA minimum volume index was significantly greater and LA contractile LS was worse in carriers than non-carriers (19.5 ± 10.6 mL/m² vs. 16.3 ± 8.4 mL/m² ; 15.0 ± 5.8% vs. 16.8 ± 5.7%, respectively, both P < 0.05). Carriers had a significantly higher number of LA abnormalities than non-carriers (1.8 ± 2.2 vs. 1.1 ± 1.6, P = 0.009). The number of subjects with at least four LA abnormalities was significantly increased among carriers compared with non-carriers (27% vs. 12%; odds ratio 2.43; 95% confidence interval 1.06-5.58 after adjusting for age, sex, body mass index, and LV wall thickness and global LS).

CONCLUSIONS

Left atrial enlargement and dysfunction were common in V122I TTR carriers with sinus rhythm than non-carriers, suggesting that abnormalities of LA function may represent early markers of subclinical disease in these individuals.

Abstract MP25: Brain Atrophy And White Matter Injury In Relation To Cardiovascular Risk Factors And Race/ethnicity: The Multi-ethnic Study Of Atherosclerosis

Introduction: Cardiovascular risk factors are associated with cognitive decline and dementia. Brain magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) provides sensitive measurement of cerebral atrophy and small vessel disease, reflecting multiple pathologies leading to dementia. However, large brain MRI studies include primarily white participants. We investigated associations in the diverse Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA).

Hypothesis: Cardiovascular and sociodemographic risk factors are associated with brain morphology and white matter injury in a racially and ethnically diverse population.

Methods: In MESA, brain MRI was performed in 2018-2019 with automated measurement of total brain volume, gray and white matter (GM, WM) volume, and measures of WM injury including WM lesion volume, WM fractional anisotropy, and WM apparent diffusion coefficient. In cross-sectional analyses, we assessed the association of race/ethnicity with MRI measures, with and without adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors, education, and socioeconomic status. In a multivariable model, we assessed the association of cardiovascular risk factors with brain MRI measures. All analyses of volumes, including WM lesion volume, were adjusted for total intracranial volume.

Results: MRI data were complete in 1,051 participants; 40% were white, 15% Chinese-American, 25% African-American, and 20% Hispanic. Mean (standard deviation, SD) age was 73 (8) years and 53% of participants were women. Adjusted for age and sex, African-American participants had slightly greater total brain and WM volume than white participants. Adjusted for age and sex, African-American participants had on average more WM injury than whites as measured by higher WM lesion volume (46.7% higher, 95% CI: 19.9, 79.4%) and lower fractional anisotropy (-0.20 SD, 95% CI: -0.34, -0.05); these associations were attenuated after additional adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and socioeconomic status (24.3% higher WM lesion volume, 95% CI: 0.0, 54.3; -0.06 SD fractional anisotropy, 95% CI: -0.22, 0.09). Conversely, all non-white race/ethnic groups had slightly less WM injury than white participants as estimated by apparent diffusion coefficient. Overall, greater age, diabetes, current smoking, high systolic blood pressure, and treated hypertension were strongly associated with more WM injury; in addition, age and diabetes were strongly associated with lower brain volumes.

Conclusions: We found little evidence of differences in measures of brain atrophy and WM injury by race/ethnicity after adjustment for cardiovascular risk factors and socioeconomic status. Findings of differences by race/ethnicity in apparent diffusion coefficient are intriguing and need further investigation. Consistent with previous studies, age, diabetes, current smoking and hypertension were strongly and consistently associated with WM injury.

Abstract MP62: Longitudinal Measures Of Blood Pressure And Subclinical Atrial Arrhythmias: The Multi-ethnic Study Of Atherosclerosis And The Atherosclerosis Risk In Communities Study

Purpose: High blood pressure (BP) is a well-known risk factor for atrial fibrillation (AF), but a single BP measurement may provide limited information about AF risk in older adults. We evaluated whether longitudinal measures of BP were associated with subclinical arrhythmias after adjustment for more conventional BP measures such as a single cross-sectional BP value.

Methods: This study included 1,256 Multi-Ethnic Study of Atherosclerosis (MESA) and 1,948 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study (ARIC) participants who underwent extended ambulatory electrocardiographic monitoring and who were free of clinically-detected cardiovascular disease, including AF. Using BP measurements from six exams (2000-2018 in MESA, 1987-2017 in ARIC), we examined cross-sectional BP at the most recent exam, individual long-term mean BP from exams 1-5, BP trend during exams 1-5, and visit-to-visit variability during exams 1-5 in systolic BP (SBP) and pulse pressure (PP) for each participant. Logistic regression models were used to examine BP exposures in relation to subclinical AF and linear regression models were used to examine BP exposures in relation to frequency of supraventricular ectopy. Models adjusted for participant demographics, height, weight, diabetes, antihypertensive medication use and cross-sectional BP. Results from each study were combined with inverse variance-weighted meta-analysis.

Results: At Exam 6, the mean age was 73 years in MESA and 79 years in ARIC, and 4% had subclinical AF. A 10 mmHg higher cross-sectional SBP and a 10 mmHg higher cross-sectional PP were associated with less AF (odds ratio [OR] SBP 0.86, 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.76, 0.96 and OR PP 0.73, 95% CI 0.63, 0.84). In contrast, a 4 mmHg higher visit-to-visit variability in SBP was associated with a greater prevalence of subclinical AF (OR 1.20, 95% CI 1.02, 1.38) and with a greater frequency of premature atrial contractions/hour (8%, 95% CI 1%, 15%). For PP as well, a 4 mmHg higher visit-to-visit variability was associated with a greater prevalence of AF (OR 1.18, 95% CI 1.00-1.37). In addition, a 10 mmHg higher long-term mean PP was associated with a greater prevalence of subclinical AF (OR 1.36, 95% CI 1.08-1.70).

Conclusion: Our results indicate that information on BP assessed longitudinally for several years, especially visit-to-visit BP variability, is associated with a greater prevalence of subclinical atrial arrhythmias, while cross-sectional BP values alone were not associated with a greater prevalence of subclinical atrial arrhythmias. Prior longitudinal BP assessment, rather than current BP, may be more helpful in identifying older adults who are at higher risk of atrial arrhythmias.

Associations of anger, vital exhaustion, anti-depressant use, and poor social ties with incident atrial fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

We examined the relationships of anger, vital exhaustion, anti-depressant use, and poor social ties with incident atrial fibrillation in a biracial cohort of middle and older-aged adults.

METHODS

This analysis included 11,445 Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study participants who were free of atrial fibrillation at baseline in 1990-1992. Vital exhaustion was assessed at baseline and defined as a score in the highest quartile on the 21-item Vital Exhaustion Questionnaire. Baseline anti-depressant use was self-reported. The Spielberger Trait Anger Scale to assess anger and both the Interpersonal Support Evaluation List and the Lubben Social Network Scale to assess social ties were also administered at baseline. The primary outcome was incident atrial fibrillation throughout 2016, identified by electrocardiogram, hospital discharge coding of atrial fibrillation, and death certificates.

RESULTS

A total of 2220 incident atrial fibrillation cases were detected over a median follow-up of 23.4 years. After adjusting for age, race-center, sex, education, and height, participants in the 4th Vital Exhaustion Questionnaire quartile (referent = 1st Vital Exhaustion Questionnaire quartile) and those reporting anti-depressant use were at increased risk for atrial fibrillation (hazard ratio = 1.45, 95% confidence interval 1.29-1.64 for Vital Exhaustion Questionnaire; hazard ratio = 1.37, 95% confidence interval 1.11-1.69 for anti-depressant use). The increased atrial fibrillation risk observed for 4th Vital Exhaustion Questionnaire quartile participants remained significant after additional adjustment for relevant comorbidities (hazard ratio = 1.20; confidence interval 1.06-1.35). No significant associations were observed for anger or poor social ties with development of atrial fibrillation.

CONCLUSIONS

Vital exhaustion is associated with an increased risk of incident atrial fibrillation.

Association of arterial stiffness with incident atrial fibrillation: a cohort study

Background

Stiff arteries increase left ventricular (LV) end-systolic workload, leading over time to left atrial and ventricular remodeling, and providing the substrate for atrial fibrillation (AF) development. We investigated if carotid femoral pulse wave velocity (cfPWV), a measure of central arterial stiffness, is associated with incident AF.

Methods

In 20112013, cfPWV was measured in 3882 participants of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Cohort Study (ARIC) without prevalent AF. Participants were followed through 2017 for the incidence of AF. Individuals were categorized in cfPWV quartiles based on visit measurements. Multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the association of cfPWV with incident AF.

Results

Mean age was 75years (SD 5), 60% were female and 20% were African American. Over a median follow-up of 5.5years we identified 331 incident cases of AF. cfPWV demonstrated U-shaped associations with AF risk. In models adjusted for age, race, center, sex, education levels, and hemodynamic and clinical factors, hazard ratios (HR) of AF for participants in the first, third and fourth quartiles were 1.49 (95% CI 1.06, 2.10), 1.59 (1.14, 2.10), and 1.56(1.10, 2.19), respectively, compared to those in the second quartile.

Conclusion

Among community-dwelling older adults, low and high central arterial stiffness is associated with AF risk.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12872-021-02057-8.

Frequent Premature Atrial Contractions Are Associated With Poorer Cognitive Function in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the association of premature atrial contraction (PAC) frequency with cognitive test scores and prevalence of dementia or mild cognitive impairment (MCI).

MATERIALS AND METHODS

We conducted a cross-sectional analysis using Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study visit 6 (January 1, 2016, through December 31, 2017) data. We included 2163 participants without atrial fibrillation (AF) (age mean ± SD, 79±4 years; 1273 (58.9%) female; and 604 (27.97.0% Black) who underwent cognitive testing and wore a leadless, ambulatory electrocardiogram monitor for 14 days. We categorized PAC frequency based on the percent of beats: less than 1%, minimal; 1% to <5%, occasional; greater than or equal to 5%, frequent. We derived cognitive domain-specific factor scores (memory, executive function, language, and global z-score). Dementia and MCI were adjudicated.

RESULTS

During a mean analyzable time of 12.6±2.6 days, 339 (15.7%) had occasional PACs and 107 (4.9%) had frequent PACs. Individuals with frequent PACs (vs minimal) had lower executive function factor scores by 0.30 (95% CI, -0.46 to -0.14) and lower global factor scores by 0.20 (95% CI, -0.33 to -0.07) after multivariable adjustment. Individuals with frequent PACs (vs minimal) had higher odds of prevalent dementia or MCI after multivariable adjustment (odds ratio, 1.74; 95% CI, 1.09 to 2.79). These associations were unchanged with additional adjustment for stroke.

CONCLUSION

In community-dwelling older adults without AF, frequent PACs were cross-sectionally associated with lower executive and global cognitive function and greater prevalence of dementia or MCI, independently of stroke. Our findings lend support to the notion that atrial cardiomyopathy may be a driver of AF-related outcomes. Further research to confirm these associations prospectively and to elucidate underlying mechanisms is warranted.

Periodontal Disease, Atrial Fibrillation and Stroke

BACKGROUND

We recently described the association between periodontal disease (PD) and stroke risk.

PURPOSE

The purpose of this study was to test the association between PD, dental care utilization and incident atrial fibrillation (AF), as well as AF as a mediator to PD- stroke association.

METHODS

In dental cohort of the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study (ARIC), participants without prior AF underwent full-mouth periodontal measurements. PD was defined on an ordinal scale as healthy (referent), mild, moderate and severe. In ARIC main cohort, participants were classified as regular or episodic dental care users. These patients were followed for AF, over 17 years. Cox proportional hazards models adjusted for AF risk factors were used to study relationships between PD severity, dental care utilization and AF. Mediation analysis was used to test if AF mediated the PD- stroke association.

RESULTS

In dental ARIC cohort, 5,958 were assessed without prior AF, 754 were found to have AF. Severe PD was associated with AF on both univariable (crude HR, 1.54; 95% CI, 1.26-1.87) and multivariable (adjusted HR, 1.31, 95% CI, 1.06-1.62) analyses. Mediation analysis suggested AF mediates the association between PD and stroke. In the main ARIC cohort, 9,666 participants without prior AF were assessed for dental care use, 1558 were found to have AF. Compared with episodic users, regular users had a lower risk for AF on univariable (crude HR, 0.82, 95% CI, 0.74-0.90) and multivariable (adjusted HR, 0.88, 95% CI, 0.78-0.99) analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

PD is associated with AF. The association may explain the PD-stroke risk. Regular users had a lower risk of incident AF compared with episodic users.

Establishing content validity for a composite activities-specific risk of falls scale:linkage between fear of falling and physical activity

Background

Fear of falling (FoF) and physical activity (PA) are important psychological and behavioral factors associated with falls. No instrument quantifies the link between these two factors to evaluate the risk of falls. We aimed to design a scale linking FoF with PA (Composite Activities-specific Risk of Falls Scale, CARFS) for people with various disability levels.

Methods

First, we designed a questionnaire comprising 40 balance-related activities from the International Classification of Functioning, Disability, and Health (ICF) for a pilot survey. Second, participants were interviewed about their activities-specific FoF degree and PA frequency. The participants comprised 30 community-dwelling older adults, hospitalized patients with strokes, and those with spinal cord injuries, each with different disability levels. Third, the content validity of the items was evaluated twice by 12 experienced rehabilitation professionals: one based on experience and the other on the survey responses. Items with a higher than moderate relevance in both evaluations were included in the CARFS. The panel of professionals discussed and voted on the contribution of FoF and PA on the CARF score. Finally, the scale sensitivity in distinguishing disability levels was analyzed to evaluate the population suitability to the CARFS.

Results

The CARFS included 14 activities. A five-point Likert scale was used to quantify degree of FoF (A) and frequency of PA (B). The CARF score (C), which was determined using the eq. C = A+(4-B) + A × B/2, reflected sensitivity to disability levels in most items.

Conclusions

The CARFS has strong content validity for measuring risk of falls in relation to the FoF and PA of people with various disability levels. It has a potential to provide a guide for designing individualized exercise- and behavior-focused fall prevention programs and enable the precise trtrun 0acking of program effectiveness as a multidimensional outcome measure.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12877-021-02211-z.

[Application of pulse contour cardiac output monitoring technology in fluid resuscitation of severe burn patients in shock period]

Objective: To investigate the application of pulse contour cardiac output (PiCCO) monitoring technology in fluid resuscitation of severe burn patients in shock period. Methods: From January 2015 to December 2019, 33 patients with severe burns who were hospitalized in Guangzhou Red Cross Hospital, meeting the inclusion criteria, were recruited into a retrospective cohort study with their clinical information collected. The patients were divided into PiCCO monitoring group with 15 cases (13 males and 2 females, aged (43±13) years) and routine monitoring group with 18 cases (14 males and 4 females, aged (39±9) years) according to the monitoring method used. After admission, all the patients were rehydrated following the rehydration formula of the Third Military Medical University for shock period. In routine monitoring group, the fluid resuscitation of patients was performed by monitoring indicators such as urine volume and blood pressure, while PiCCO monitoring was performed among patients in PiCCO monitoring group, and their fluid resuscitation was guided by the patient's condition and the hemodynamic parameters (without pursuing normal levels of the parameters) of PiCCO monitoring on the basis of normal monitoring indicators in routine monitoring group. The colloids coefficients, the electrolyte coefficients (compared with the corresponding rehydration formula value of 0.75 mL·kg(-1)·% total body surface area (TBSA)(-1) of the Third Military Medical University for shock period during the first 24 h post injury), the total rehydration coefficients, and the urine volumes during the first and second 24 h post injury, the lactic acid level, the base excess level, and the oxygenation index at admission and 24, 48 h after admission, and the mechanical ventilation time, the wound healing time, and the death ratio of patients in the two groups were recorded. The cardiac index, the global end-diastolic volume index (GEDVI), the intrathoracic blood volume index (ITBVI), the extravascular lung water index (EVLWI), and the systemic vascular resistance index (SVRI) of patients in PiCCO monitoring group at post injury hour 24, 48, and 72 and the abnormal cases were recorded. Data were statistically analyzed with Fisher's exact probability test, independent-sample or one-sample t test, analysis of variance for repeated measurement, and Bonferroni correction. Results: During the first 24 h post injury, the colloids coefficients of patients in PiCCO monitoring group was (0.69±0.15) mL·kg(-1)·%TBSA(-1), which was significantly less than (0.85±0.16) mL·kg(-1)·%TBSA(-1) in routine monitoring group (t=-2.612, P<0.05). Compared with the rehydration formula value of the Third Military Medical University for shock period, only the colloids coefficient of patients in routine monitoring group during the first 24 h post injury was significantly increased (t=2.847, P<0.05). There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in the colloids coefficients of patients during the second 24 h post injury, or the electrolyte coefficients, the total rehydration coefficients, the urine volumes of patients during the first and the second 24 h post injury (t=0.579, -0.011, 0.417, -1.321, -0.137, 0.031, 1.348, P>0.05). The lactic acid level, the base excess level, the oxygenation index of patients at admission and 48 h after admission, and the oxygenation index of patients at 24 h after admission between the two groups were similar (t=-1.837, 0.620, 0.292, -1.792, 1.912, -0.167, 1.695, P>0.05). The levels of lactic acid and base excess of patients in PiCCO monitoring group were (4.8±1.4) and (1.2±5.5)mmol/L, respectively, which were significantly better than (7.0±1.5) and (-2.8±3.0) mmol/L in routine monitoring group at 24 h after admission (t=-3.904, 2.562, P<0.05 or P<0.01). There were no statistically significant differences between the two groups in the mechanical ventilation time or the wound healing time of patients (t=-0.699, -0.697, P>0.05), or the death ratio of patients (P>0.05). In PiCCO monitoring group, the GEDVI, and the ITBVI of patients were lower than the normal low values at post injury hour 24 and 48, which were in the normal range at post injury hour 72; the cardiac index of patients increased gradually and recovered to normal at post injury hour 48; the SVRI of patients increased significantly at post injury hour 24 and then gradually decreased to normal; the EVLWI average of patients at all time points post injury were less than 10 mL/kg. At post injury hour 24, most of the hemodynamic parameters of more than or equal to 8/15 patients in PiCCO monitoring group were abnormal, and the abnormal proportion decreased later. Conclusions: On the basis of traditional monitoring indicators, the use of PiCCO monitoring technology combined with the patient's condition (without pursuing normal levels of the parameters) in guiding the fluid resuscitation in severe burn patients can reduce the usage of colloid and better improve tissue perfusion, with the resuscitation effect being better than conventional monitoring.

Alcohol intake and the risk of chronic kidney disease: results from a systematic review and dose-response meta-analysis

Many prospective cohort studies have investigated the association between the consumption of alcohol and CKD risk and have revealed inconsistent results. In the present study, we aimed to perform a meta-analysis of these studies to assess this association.We searched the PubMed and Embase databases up to 2020 and reviewed the reference lists of relevant articles to identify appropriate studies. We calculated the pooled relative risks with 95% CIs using random effects models, and then performed subgroup and meta-regression analyses. Dose-response meta-analyses were performed by sex separately. We identified 25 eligible prospective cohort studies, including 514,148 participants and 35,585 incident CKD cases. Compared with the category of minimal alcohol intake, light (RR = 0.90, I2 = 49%), moderate (RR = 0.86, I2 = 40%), and heavy (RR = 0.85, I2 = 51%) alcohol intake were associated with a lower risk of CKD. Subgroup meta-analysis by sex indicated that light (RR = 0.92, I2 = 0%), moderate (RR = 0.83, I2 = 39%) and heavy (RR = 0.76, I2 = 40%), alcohol consumption were inversely associated with CKD risk in male. Dose-response meta-analyses detected a nonlinear inverse association between alcohol consumption and the risk of CKD in all participants and linear inverse association in female participants. This meta-analysis shows that light (<12 g/day), moderate (12-24 g/day), and heavy (>24 g/day) alcohol consumption are protective against chronic kidney disease in adult participants especially in males.