Cost-effectiveness of gallbladder histopathology after cholecystectomy for benign disease

Background

The prevalence of incidental gallbladder cancer is low when performing cholecystectomy for benign disease. The performance of routine or selective histological examination of the gallbladder is still a subject for discussion. The aim of this study was to assess the cost‐effectiveness of these different approaches.

Methods

Four management strategies were evaluated using decision‐analytical modelling: no histology, current selective histology as practised in Sweden, macroscopic selective histology, and routine histology. Healthcare costs and life‐years were estimated for a lifetime perspective and combined into incremental cost‐effectiveness ratios (ICERs) to assess the additional cost of achieving an additional life‐year for each management strategy.

Results

In the analysis of the four strategies, current selective histology was ruled out due to a higher ICER compared with macroscopic selective histology, which showed better health outcomes (extended dominance). Comparison of routine histology with macroscopic selective histology resulted in a gain of 12 life‐years and an incremental healthcare cost of approximately €1 000 000 in a cohort of 10 000 patients, yielding an estimated ICER of €76 508. When comparing a macroscopic selective strategy with no histological assessment, 50 life‐years would be saved and the ICER was estimated to be €20 708 in a cohort of 10 000 patients undergoing cholecystectomy.

Conclusion

A macroscopic selective strategy appears to be the most cost‐effective approach.

Treatment patterns and survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma in the Swedish national registry SweLiv

BACKGROUND

Consistent data on clinical features, treatment modalities and long-term survival in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) using nationwide quality registers are lacking. This study aimed to describe treatment patterns and survival outcomes in patients diagnosed with HCC using a national maintained database.

METHODS

Characteristics and treatment patterns in patients diagnosed with HCC and registered in the national register of liver and bile duct tumours (SweLiv) between 2009 and 2016 were reviewed. Overall survival (OS) was estimated using Kaplan-Meier analysis and the log rank test to compare subgroups for clinical features, treatment modalities and outcomes according to the year of treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 3376 patients with HCC were registered over 8 years, 246 (7·3 per cent) of whom underwent transplantation. Some 501 (14·8 per cent) and 390 patients (11·6 per cent) had resection and ablation as primary treatment. Transarterial chemoembolization and systemic sorafenib treatment were intended in 476 (14·1 per cent) and 426 patients (12·6 per cent) respectively; the remaining 1337 (39·6 per cent) were registered but referred for best supportive care (BSC). The 5-year survival rate was approximately 75 per cent in the transplantation group. Median OS was 4·6 (i.q.r. 2·0 to not reached) years after resection and 3·1 (2·3-6·7) years following ablation. In patients referred for palliative treatment, median survival was 1·4 (0·8-2·9), 0·5 (0·3-1·2) and 0·3 (0·1-1·0) years for the TACE, sorafenib and BSC groups respectively (P < 0·001). Median survival was 0·9 years for the total HCC cohort in 2009-2012, before publication of the Swedish national treatment programme, increasing to 1·4 years in 2013-2016 (P < 0·001).

CONCLUSION

The survival outcomes reported were in line with previous results from smaller cohorts. The introduction of national guidelines may have contributed to improved survival among patients with HCC in Sweden.

Creating national guidelines for assessing functional and work capacity of recently settled persons

Problem

The measurement of functioning in clinical practice should be systematic and comprehensive. However, different versions of the same functioning measure are used e.g. by physicians, psychologists, physiotherapists and occupational therapists. The TOIMIA network of experts aims to harmonize and develop the measuring of functioning in Finland.

Description of the problem

With increasing immigration to Finland, a specific need for guidelines on how to assess functional and work capacity of recently settled persons was identified. Led by the National Institute for Health and Welfare (mobiTARMO-project, 2017-2020), guidelines for assessing functional and work capacity in the integration phase are in preparation.

Results

The guidelines on assessing functional and work capacity in the integration phase include four principles: Functional and work capacity assessment should be done with culturally and linguistically appropriate methods.Assessment should be based on shared expertise of the professional and the client.Assessment should be comprehensive, and take into consideration physical, psychological, social and cognitive functional capacity, activities of daily living, and environmental factors.Assessment should be systematic and lead to further actions and necessary services.The national guidelines will be disseminated as free online access material in the Terveysportti health portal to professionals in clinical practice and research.

Lessons

There are specificities to the cross-cultural assessment of functional and work capacity of recently settled persons. National guidelines can be created through broad collaboration of different organizations, as in the TOIMIA network of experts in Finland.

Key messages

Jointly agreed principles on how to assess functional and work capacity in the integration phase benefit professionals and clients. National guidelines can be created, disseminated and taken into practice through broad collaboration.

3333Contemporary mortality rates in myocardial infarction patients in Sweden: a tale of two registries

Background

Sweden has contributed to the understanding of the long-term prognosis after myocardial infarction (MI) utilising the quality registry SWEDEHEART, including patients admitted to heart intensive care, and the National Patient Registry (PAR), based on administrative records for Swedish hospitals. As registration procedures differ between the registries, and not all MI patients are admitted to heart intensive care, MI patients identified in SWEDEHEART and PAR, respectively, will yield different cohorts of patients. This may result in different epidemiological research findings regarding prognosis after MI.

Purpose

To study MI populations identified in SWEDEHEART and PAR, respectively, and investigate potential differences in mortality outcome.

Methods

Patients hospitalised with an MI primary diagnosis (ICD-10 I21) between 2002 and 2015 were identified using SWEDEHEART and PAR. The analysis time started at the date of hospital admission and survivors were followed for 365 days. Kaplan-Meier analysis was used to estimate survival by cohort category controlling for age and gender.

Results

Excluding cases with invalid data (n=1,905), 225,612 and 282,118 SWEDEHEART and PAR patients, respectively, were identified. We found 213,367 patients in both SWEDEHEART and PAR, whereas 12,245 and 68,751 patients were unique to SWEDEHEART and PAR, respectively. The one-year survival probability after MI in the SWEDEHEART population was 0.841, compared to 0.788 in PAR (Figure). This discrepancy can be explained by high mortality among patients not covered by SWEDEHEART and persists after controlling for age and gender (Table). To what extent differences in registration procedures and other patient characteristics can explain the mortality difference is an area for further research.

One-year survival by age and gender Age ± 1 year Male Female PAR S.H. Diff. PAR S.H. Diff. 65 0.922 0.936 0.015 0.919 0.936 0.017 70 0.893 0.909 0.016 0.889 0.908 0.019 75 0.829 0.858 0.029 0.834 0.860 0.026 80 0.743 0.783 0.040 0.768 0.800 0.033 85 0.625 0.677 0.052 0.662 0.705 0.042

One-year survival after MI

Conclusion

Estimated one-year survival for MI patients differs by up to 5 percentage points depending on the registry used. Although further research is needed to fully understand these differences, epidemiological findings regarding MI prognosis should be interpreted in light of registry type used and population represented.

Acknowledgement/Funding

Region Östergötland

P4635Long term risk and costs of bleeding in men and women treated with triple antithrombotic therapy

Background

Triple antithrombotic therapy (TAT) is known to increase bleeds and its relevance is questioned. No study has observed the long-term risk of bleeding and health care costs from a sex perspective, in a total TAT population. We investigated the rate of all bleeds in patients receiving TAT at index hospitalization and within one year. We explored early discontinuation of TAT and potential sex disparities. We also assessed health care costs related to bleeding complications.

Methods

All patients discharged with TAT registered in SWEDEHEART in the County of Östergötland 2009–2015 were included. Information about bleeds during one-year follow-up were retrieved from the medical records. All bleeds receiving medical attention were included. Resource use associated with bleeds were assigned unit cost to estimate the health care costs associated with bleeding episodes.

Results

Among 272 identified patients, 156 bleeds occurred post-discharge, of which 28.8% were gastrointestinal. In total 54.4% had at least one bleed during or after the index event and 40.1% bled post discharge of whom 28.7% experienced a TIMI major or minor bleeding. Women discontinued TAT prematurely more often than men (52.9 vs 36.1%, p=0.01) and bled more (48.6 vs. 37.1%, p=0.09). One-year mean health care costs were EUR 575 and EUR 5787 in non-bleeding and bleeding patients, respectively.

Conclusion

The very high bleeding incidence in patients with TAT is a cause of concern, especially in women. There is a need for an adequately sized randomized, controlled trial to determine a safe but still effective treatment for these patients.

Association between breastfeeding and better preserved cognitive ability in an elderly cohort of Finnish men

BACKGROUND

Being breastfed in infancy has been shown to benefit neurodevelopment. However, whether the benefits persist to old age remains unclear.

METHODS

We examined the associations between breastfeeding and its duration on cognitive ability in young adulthood and old age, and on aging-related cognitive change over five decades. In total, 931 men from the Helsinki Birth Cohort Study born in 1934-1944 in Finland took the Finnish Defence Forces Basic Intellectual Ability Test (total and verbal, arithmetic and visuospatial subtest scores) twice, at ages 20.2 and 67.9 years, and had data on breastfeeding (yes v. no) and its duration ('never breastfed', 'up to 3', '3 to 6' and '6 or more months'). Linear and mixed model regressions tested the associations.

RESULTS

At 20.2 years, breastfed men had higher cognitive ability total and visuospatial subtest scores [mean differences (MDs) ranged between 3.0-3.9, p values < 0.013], and its longer duration predicted higher cognitive ability total and arithmetic and visuospatial subtest scores (MDs ranged between 3.0 and 4.8, p values < 0.039). At 67.9 years, breastfed men had higher total cognitive ability and all subtest scores (MDs ranged between 2.6 and 3.4, p values < 0.044) and its longer duration predicted all cognitive ability scores (MDs ranged between 3.1 and 4.7, p values < 0.050). Verbal subtest scores decreased over five decades in men who were never breastfed or were breastfed for 3 months or less, and increased in those breastfed for longer than 3 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Neurodevelopmental advantages of breastfeeding and its longer duration persist into old age, and longer duration of breastfeeding may benefit aging-related change, particularly in verbal reasoning ability.

Cardiovascular fitness in late adolescent males and later risk of serious non-affective mental disorders: a prospective, population-based study

BACKGROUND

Cardiovascular fitness in late adolescence is associated with future risk of depression. Relationships with other mental disorders need elucidation. This study investigated whether fitness in late adolescence is associated with future risk of serious non-affective mental disorders. Further, we examined how having an affected brother might impact the relationship.

METHOD

Prospective, population-based cohort study of 1 109 786 Swedish male conscripts with no history of mental illness, who underwent conscription examinations at age 18 between 1968 and 2005. Cardiovascular fitness was objectively measured at conscription using a bicycle ergometer test. During the follow-up (3-42 years), incident cases of serious non-affective mental disorders (schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like disorders, other psychotic disorders and neurotic, stress-related and somatoform disorders) were identified through the Swedish National Hospital Discharge Register. Cox proportional hazards models were used to assess the influence of cardiovascular fitness at conscription and risk of serious non-affective mental disorders later in life.

RESULTS

Low fitness was associated with increased risk for schizophrenia and schizophrenia-like disorders [hazard ratio (HR) 1.44, 95% confidence interval (CI) 1.29-1.61], other psychotic disorders (HR 1.41, 95% CI 1.27-1.56), and neurotic or stress-related and somatoform disorders (HR 1.45, 95% CI 1.37-1.54). Relationships persisted in models that included illness in brothers.

CONCLUSIONS

Lower fitness in late adolescent males is associated with increased risk of serious non-affective mental disorders in adulthood.

Validation and development of MTH1 inhibitors for treatment of cancer

BACKGROUND

Previously, we showed cancer cells rely on the MTH1 protein to prevent incorporation of otherwise deadly oxidised nucleotides into DNA and we developed MTH1 inhibitors which selectively kill cancer cells. Recently, several new and potent inhibitors of MTH1 were demonstrated to be non-toxic to cancer cells, challenging the utility of MTH1 inhibition as a target for cancer treatment.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Human cancer cell lines were exposed in vitro to MTH1 inhibitors or depleted of MTH1 by siRNA or shRNA. 8-oxodG was measured by immunostaining and modified comet assay. Thermal Proteome profiling, proteomics, cellular thermal shift assays, kinase and CEREP panel were used for target engagement, mode of action and selectivity investigations of MTH1 inhibitors. Effect of MTH1 inhibition on tumour growth was explored in BRAF V600E-mutated malignant melanoma patient derived xenograft and human colon cancer SW480 and HCT116 xenograft models.

RESULTS

Here, we demonstrate that recently described MTH1 inhibitors, which fail to kill cancer cells, also fail to introduce the toxic oxidized nucleotides into DNA. We also describe a new MTH1 inhibitor TH1579, (Karonudib), an analogue of TH588, which is a potent, selective MTH1 inhibitor with good oral availability and demonstrates excellent pharmacokinetic and anti-cancer properties in vivo.

CONCLUSION

We demonstrate that in order to kill cancer cells MTH1 inhibitors must also introduce oxidized nucleotides into DNA. Furthermore, we describe TH1579 as a best-in-class MTH1 inhibitor, which we expect to be useful in order to further validate the MTH1 inhibitor concept.

Total and cause-specific mortality of Finnish military personnel following service in international peacekeeping operations 1990-2010: a comprehensive register-based cohort study

OBJECTIVES

To estimate total and cause-specific mortality after international peacekeeping deployments among the Finnish military peacekeeping personnel in comparison to the general population of similar age and sex.

DESIGN

A register-based study of a cohort of military peacekeeping personnel in 1990-2010 followed for mortality until the end of 2013. Causes of death were obtained from the national Causes of Death Register. The standardised mortality ratio (SMR) for total and cause-specific mortality was calculated as the ratio of observed and expected number of deaths.

SETTING

Finland (peacekeeping operations in different countries in Africa, Asia and in an area of former Yugoslavia in Europe).

PARTICIPANTS

14 584 men and 418 women who had participated in international military peacekeeping operations ending between 1990 and 2010.

INTERVENTIONS

Participation in military peacekeeping operations.

MAIN OUTCOME

Total and cause-specific mortality.

RESULTS

209 men and 3 women died after their peacekeeping service. The SMR for all-cause mortality was 0.55 (95% CI 0.48 to 0.62). For the male peacekeeping personnel, the SMR for all diseases was 0.44 (95% CI 0.35 to 0.53) and for accidental and violent deaths 0.69 (95% CI 0.57 to 0.82). The SMR for suicides was 0.71 (95% CI 0.53 to 0.92).

CONCLUSIONS

Even though military peacekeeping personnel are working in unique and often stressful conditions, their mortality after their service is lower compared with the general population. Military peacekeeping personnel appear to be a selected population group with low general mortality and no excess risk of any cause of death after peacekeeping service.

Evaluating equality in psoriasis healthcare: a cohort study of the impact of age on prescription of biologics

BACKGROUND

Inequality in healthcare has been identified in many contexts. To the best of our knowledge, this is the first study investigating age inequality in the form of prescription patterns of biologics in psoriasis care.

OBJECTIVES

To determine whether patients with psoriasis have equal opportunities to receive biological medications as they age. If patients did not receive equal treatment, a subsequent objective was to determine the magnitude of the disparity.

METHODS

A cohort of biologic-naive patients with psoriasis was analysed using Cox proportional hazards models to measure the impact of each additional year of life on the likelihood of initiating biological treatment, after controlling for sex, body mass index, comorbidities, disease activity and educational level. A supporting analysis used a nonparametric graphical method to study the proportion of patients initiating biological treatment as age increased, after controlling for the same covariates.

RESULTS

The Cox proportional hazards model resulted in hazard ratios of a 1-year increase in age of 0·96-0·97 depending on calendar-year stratification, which implies that an increase in age of 30 years corresponds to a reduced likelihood of initiating biological treatment by 61·3-67·6%. The estimated proportion of patients initiating biological medication always decreased as age increased, at a statistically significant level.

CONCLUSIONS

Patients with psoriasis have fewer opportunities to access biological medications as they age. This result was shown to be applicable at all stages in a patient's life course and was not only restricted to the elderly, although it implies greater disparities as the age difference between patients increases. These results show that inequality in access to biological treatments due to age is prevalent in clinical practice today. Further research is needed to investigate the extent to which this result is influenced by patient preferences.

Health economic analysis of ticagrelor in patients with acute coronary syndromes intended for non-invasive therapy

Objective

To investigate the cost effectiveness of ticagrelor versus clopidogrel in patients with acute coronary syndromes (ACS) in the Platelet Inhibition and Patient Outcomes (PLATO) study who were scheduled for non-invasive management.

Methods

A previously developed cost effectiveness model was used to estimate long-term costs and outcomes for patients scheduled for non-invasive management. Healthcare costs, event rates and health-related quality of life under treatment with either ticagrelor or clopidogrel over 12 months were estimated from the PLATO study. Long-term costs and health outcomes were estimated based on data from PLATO and published literature sources. To investigate the importance of different healthcare cost structures and life expectancy for the results, the analysis was carried out from the perspectives of the Swedish, UK, German and Brazilian public healthcare systems.

Results

Ticagrelor was associated with lifetime quality-adjusted life-year (QALY) gains of 0.17 in Sweden, 0.16 in the UK, 0.17 in Germany and 0.13 in Brazil compared with generic clopidogrel, with increased healthcare costs of €467, €551, €739 and €574, respectively. The cost per QALY gained with ticagrelor was €2747, €3395, €4419 and €4471 from a Swedish, UK, German and Brazilian public healthcare system perspective, respectively. Probabilistic sensitivity analyses indicated that the cost per QALY gained with ticagrelor was below conventional threshold values of cost effectiveness with a high probability.

Conclusions

Treatment of patients with ACS scheduled for 12 months’ non-invasive management with ticagrelor is associated with a cost per QALY gained below conventional threshold values of cost effectiveness compared with generic clopidogrel.

Trial registration number

NCT000391872.

Hypermobility among school children aged five to eight years: the Hospital del Mar Criteria gives higher prevalence for hypermobility than the Beighton score

OBJECTIVES

The purpose was to investigate the distribution of hypermobility among school children aged five to eight years.

METHODS

One hundred and twenty-eight participants were assessed using the Beighton score and the Hospital del Mar criteria.

RESULTS

With the Beighton score using the cut-off ≥4, the prevalence was 12%, and with the Hospital del Mar criteria the prevalence was 34%. There were significantly higher scores for females on both the Beighton (p=0.01) and Hospital del Mar criteria (p<0.0001). The youngest children aged five to six years scored higher compared with the seven- and eight-year-olds (p=0.016). The knee flexion was most likely to be hypermobile (97%), followed by shoulder rotation (80%), thumb (31%), elbow (27%), metatarsal-phalangeal (16%), hip (15.5%), fingers (10%) or knee (10%), ankle (6%), trunk (4%) and patella (2%).

CONCLUSIONS

Gender and probably age must be taken into account when children are assessed for hypermobility. The Hospital del Mar criteria need to be modified for some of the motions.

Long-term skeletal consequences of childhood acute lymphoblastic leukemia in adult males: a cohort study

OBJECTIVE

Long-term health sequelae of childhood-onset acute lymphoblastic leukemia (ALL) remain largely unknown. Low bone mineral content (BMC) and bone mineral density (BMD) are recognized complications, but it is unknown whether these persist until adulthood. We evaluated skeletal characteristics and their association with ALL therapy in long-term male ALL survivors.

DESIGN

This cross-sectional cohort study included 49 long-term male ALL survivors and 55 age-matched healthy males.

METHODS

BMD and compression fractures were assessed by dual-energy X-ray absorptiometry; blood biochemistry was obtained for parameters of calcium homeostasis.

RESULTS

The ALL survivors (median age 29 years, range 25-38 years), assessed 10-38 years after ALL diagnosis, had lower lumbar spine (P<0.001), femoral neck (P<0.001), and whole-body (P=0.017) BMD than expected based on normative values. When compared with the controls (median age 30 years, range 24-36 years), the ALL survivors had lower lumbar spine BMC (P=0.014), lower whole-body BMC (P<0.001), and lower whole-body BMD (P<0.001), but the differences were partly explained by differences in height. Altogether, 20% of the ALL survivors had spinal compression fractures, but these were equally prevalent in the controls. Males diagnosed with ALL before age 5 years had significantly lower BMD values. Other recognized risk factors included untreated hypogonadism, vitamin D deficiency, hypophosphatemia, low IGF-binding protein-3, and low physical activity.

CONCLUSIONS

At young adulthood, long-term male ALL survivors have significantly reduced BMC and BMD and a high prevalence of spinal compression fractures. Careful follow-up and active treatment of the recognized risk factors are warranted.

Cytokines and growth factors modify the upregulation of contractile endothelin ET(A) and ET(B) receptors in rat cerebral arteries after organ culture

AIM

Experimental cerebral ischaemia and organ culture of cerebral arteries induce an increased endothelin ET(B) receptor-mediated contraction. The aim of this study was to examine whether cytokines and growth factors, known to be activated in ischaemia, can influence the expression and function of endothelin receptors after organ culture.

METHODS

Rat middle cerebral arteries were cultured for 24 h at 37 °C in humidified 5% CO(2) and air in culture medium alone, or with tumour necrosis factor-α (TNF-α), interleukin-1β (IL-1β), platelet-derived growth factor (PDGF), epidermal growth factor (EGF) or basic fibroblast growth factor (bFGF). Concentration-response curves were obtained for sarafotoxin 6c (ET(B) receptor agonist) and endothelin-1 (here ET(A) receptor agonist, because of ET(B) receptor desensitization). The receptor mRNA expression was examined by real-time PCR and the protein expression by immunohistochemistry and Western blot.

RESULTS

Tumour necrosis factor-α (100 ng mL(-1) ) and EGF (20 ng mL(-1) ) potentiated the ET(B) receptor-mediated contraction (increase in pEC(50) without change in E(max) ). bFGF (10 ng mL(-1) ) and IL-1β (10 ng mL(-1) ) induced an enhanced ET(A) receptor-mediated contraction. bFGF (10 ng mL(-1) ) significantly increased the ET(B) mRNA level, and EGF (20 ng mL(-1) ) increased the ET(A) receptor protein. Increased ET(B) receptor mRNA and protein level also were observed after treatment with IL-1β (10 ng mL(-1) ).

CONCLUSION

This study shows that TNF-α, IL-1β, EGF and bFGF can modify the expression and function of endothelin receptors during organ culture. Because there is similar receptor upregulation in experimental stroke, the effect of cytokines and growth factors on endothelin receptor upregulation is an interesting aspect to study in vivo.

Remote THz generation from two-color filamentation: long distance dependence

Remote terahertz (THz) generation from two-color filamentation is investigated as a function of the onset position of filaments. THz signals emitted by filaments produced at distances up to 55 m from the laser source were measured. However, from 9 m to 55 m, the THz signal decayed monotonically for increasing onset positions. With a simple calculation, the dominant factors associated to this decay were identified as group velocity mismatch of the two-color pulses and linear diffraction induced by focusing and propagating the second harmonic pulse.

Functional and muscle morphometric effects of ACL reconstruction. A prospective CT study with 1 year follow-up

Computed tomography (CT) was used to explore if changes in muscle cross-sectional area and quality after anterior cruciate ligament (ACL) injury and reconstruction would be related to knee function. Fourteen females and 23 males (16-54 years) underwent clinical tests, subjective questionnaires, and CT 1 week before and 1 year after ACL surgery with semitendinosus-gracilis (STG) graft and rehabilitation. Postoperatively, knee laxity was decreased and functional knee measures and subjective patient scores improved. The most obvious remaining deficit was the quadriceps atrophy, which was significantly larger if the right leg was injured. Right-leg injury also tended to cause larger compensatory hypertrophy of the combined knee flexor and tibial internal rotator muscles (preoperatively). The quadriceps atrophy was significantly correlated with the scores and functional tests, the latter also being related to the remaining size of the gracilis muscle. Biceps femoris hypertrophy and, in males only, semimembranosus hypertrophy was observed following the ACL reconstruction. The lack of semimembranosus hypertrophy in the women could, via tibial internal rotation torque deficit, contribute to the less favorable functional and subjective outcome recorded for the women. The results indicate that the quadriceps, the combined knee flexor/tibial internal rotator muscles, side of ACL injury, and sex are important to consider in rehabilitation after STG graft.

The effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of biomarkers for the prioritisation of patients awaiting coronary revascularisation: a systematic review and decision model

OBJECTIVE

To determine the effectiveness and cost-effectiveness of a range of strategies based on conventional clinical information and novel circulating biomarkers for prioritising patients with stable angina awaiting coronary artery bypass grafting (CABG).

DATA SOURCES

MEDLINE and EMBASE were searched from 1966 until 30 November 2008.

REVIEW METHODS

We carried out systematic reviews and meta-analyses of literature-based estimates of the prognostic effects of circulating biomarkers in stable coronary disease. We assessed five routinely measured biomarkers and the eight emerging (i.e. not currently routinely measured) biomarkers recommended by the European Society of Cardiology Angina guidelines. The cost-effectiveness of prioritising patients on the waiting list for CABG using circulating biomarkers was compared against a range of alternative formal approaches to prioritisation as well as no formal prioritisation. A decision-analytic model was developed to synthesise data on a range of effectiveness, resource use and value parameters necessary to determine cost-effectiveness. A total of seven strategies was evaluated in the final model.

RESULTS

We included 390 reports of biomarker effects in our review. The quality of individual study reports was variable, with evidence of small study (publication) bias and incomplete adjustment for simple clinical information such as age, sex, smoking, diabetes and obesity. The risk of cardiovascular events while on the waiting list for CABG was 3 per 10,000 patients per day within the first 90 days (184 events in 9935 patients with a mean of 59 days at risk). Risk factors associated with an increased risk, and included in the basic risk equation, were age, diabetes, heart failure, previous myocardial infarction and involvement of the left main coronary artery or three-vessel disease. The optimal strategy in terms of cost-effectiveness considerations was a prioritisation strategy employing biomarker information. Evaluating shorter maximum waiting times did not alter the conclusion that a prioritisation strategy with a risk score using estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was cost-effective. These results were robust to most alternative scenarios investigating other sources of uncertainty. However, the cost-effectiveness of the strategy using a risk score with both eGFR and C-reactive protein (CRP) was potentially sensitive to the cost of the CRP test itself (assumed to be 6 pounds in the base-case scenario).

CONCLUSIONS

Formally employing more information in the prioritisation of patients awaiting CABG appears to be a cost-effective approach and may result in improved health outcomes. The most robust results relate to a strategy employing a risk score using conventional clinical information together with a single biomarker (eGFR). The additional prognostic information conferred by collecting the more costly novel circulating biomarker CRP, singly or in combination with other biomarkers, in terms of waiting list prioritisation is unlikely to be cost-effective.

Health-care costs of losartan and candesartan in the primary treatment of hypertension

A recent study of two widely used angiotensin receptor blockers reported a reduced risk of cardiovascular events (−14.4%) when using candesartan compared with losartan in the primary treatment of hypertension. In addition to clinical benefits, costs associated with treatment strategies must be considered when allocating scarce health-care resources. The aim of this study was to assess resource use and costs of losartan and candesartan in hypertensive patients. Resource use (drugs, outpatient contacts, hospitalizations and laboratory tests) associated with losartan and candesartan treatment was estimated in 14 100 patients in a real-life clinical setting. We electronically extracted patient data from primary care records and mandatory Swedish national registers for death and hospitalization. Patients treated with losartan had more outpatient contacts (+15.6%), laboratory tests (+13.8%) and hospitalizations (+13.8%) compared with the candesartan group. During a maximum observation time of 9 years, the mean total costs per patient were 10 369 Swedish kronor (95% confidence interval: 3109–17 629) higher in the losartan group. In conclusion, prescribing candesartan for the primary treatment of hypertension results in lower long-term health-care costs compared with losartan.

Young men exempted from compulsory military or civil service in Finland--a group of men in need of psychosocial support?

AIMS

The aim of this study was to find out whether young men exempted from compulsory military or civil service constitute a group of young men in need of psychosocial support from the social and health services.

METHODS

The study involved a total of 356 men exempted from military or civil service and 440 young men conscripted into service. The research data were collected using questionnaires and register data.

RESULTS

Men exempted from military or civil service differed from conscripts in terms of psychosocial well-being. Compared with conscripts, they had already been in a more disadvantaged position with regard to their childhood living conditions. As young adults, they had met with a greater number of mental and social problems than conscripts: alcohol-related problems, unemployment, financial problems, homelessness, lack of social support and psychological distress. Young men exempted from service typically suffered from an accumulation of problems. Diverse problems were common particularly among men who had interrupted their service. There was a moderate correlation between current and childhood adversities.

CONCLUSIONS

Men exempted from military or civil service comprise a group with a wide range of psychosocial problems and are a target group for supportive interventions. Special attention should be paid to the prevention of problems and promotion of well-being of men who interrupt their service. The accumulation of problems poses a challenge for the development of such interventions.

Chromosomal rearrangements after ex vivo Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) infection of human B cells

The Epstein-Barr virus (EBV) is carried by more than 90% of the adult world population and has been implicated in several human malignancies. Its ability to induce unlimited in vitro proliferation of B cells is frequently used to generate lymphoblastoid cell lines (LCLs). In this study, we have investigated the evolution of two LCLs up to 25 weeks after EBV infection. LCLs were karyotyped once a month by spectral karyotyping (SKY). LCLs but not mitogen-activated B cells showed evidence of DNA damage and DNA damage response within the first 2 weeks. After 4 weeks, the former, but not the latter, showed a high level of non-clonal structural aberrations, mainly deletions, fragments, dicentric chromosomes and unbalanced translocations. Genomic instability decreased thereafter over time. Nonrandom aneuploidy 12 weeks after infection showed clonal evolution in culture. After 25 weeks post-infection, most cells exhibited karyotypic stability. Chromosomal aberrations were compatible with telomere dysfunction, although in the absence of telomere shortening. The telomere capping protein TRF2 was partially displaced from telomeres in EBV-infected cells, suggesting an EBV-mediated uncapping problem. In conclusion, this study suggests that DNA damage and telomere dysfunction contribute to EBV-related chromosomal instability in early LCLs.

Childhood socioeconomic status modifies the association between intellectual abilities at age 20 and mortality in later life

Background

People who score poorly in intellectual ability tests have shorter life expectancy. A study was undertaken to determine whether this association is different in people from different socioeconomic backgrounds.

Methods

The mortality of 2786 men born in Helsinki, Finland during 1934–1944 who, as military conscripts, underwent a standardised intellectual ability test comprising verbal, visuospatial and arithmetic reasoning subtests was studied. Mortality data came from the Finnish Death Register.

Results

Comparing men in the lowest and highest test score quartiles, HRs for all-cause mortality were 1.9 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.5) for verbal reasoning, 2.2 (95% CI 1.6 to 3.0) for visuospatial reasoning and 1.9 (95% CI 1.4 to 2.5) for arithmetic reasoning, corresponding to 2.6, 3.4 and 2.6 excess years of life lost, respectively. Associations were similar for cardiovascular and non-cardiovascular mortality. Intellectual ability scores were stronger predictors in men who grew up in middle-class families. Compared with middle-class men in the highest quartile of the visuospatial reasoning score, middle-class men in the lowest quartile lost 6.5 years of life while men from families of manual workers in the highest quartile lost 2.8 years and men in the lowest quartile lost 5.6 years.

Conclusions

High intellectual ability in men aged 20 protects them from mortality in later life. This effect is stronger in men who grew up in middle-class families than in those who grew up in manual worker families. This finding suggests that early life conditions that are unfavourable to the development of cognitive abilities negate the life expectancy benefits of being born into a more affluent family.

Identification of recognition sites for myc/max/mxd network proteins by a whole human chromosome 19 selection strategy

In this study, we have identified 20 human sequences containing Myc network binding sites in a library from the whole human chromosome 19. We demonstrated binding of the Max protein to these sequences both in vitro and in vivo. The majority of the identified sequences contained one or several CACGTG or CATGTG E-boxes. Several of these sites were located within introns or in their vicinity and the corresponding genes were found to be up- or down-regulated in differentiating HL-60 cells. Our data show the proof of principle for using this strategy in identification of Max target genes, and this method can also be applied for other transcription factors.

Cost-effectiveness of endarterectomy in patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis

Background

Long-term health outcomes and costs are important when deciding whether a strategy of carotid endarterectomy in addition to best medical management should be recommended for patients with asymptomatic carotid artery stenosis. This study investigated the cost-effectiveness of such a strategy compared with a strategy of best medical management alone.

Methods

Based on data from the randomized Asymptomatic Carotid Surgery Trial (ACST), a national vascular database and other published sources, expected costs and health outcomes in terms of quality-adjusted life years (QALYs) of both treatment strategies were estimated using decision-analytical modelling. Cost-effectiveness was established for a Swedish setting from a societal perspective.

Results

Base-case analysis showed that the incremental cost per QALY of a strategy with carotid endarterectomy for 65- and 75-year-old men (women) was €34 557 (€311 133) and €58 930 (€779 776) respectively. Sensitivity analyses indicated that the duration of the treatment effect after 5 years of follow-up in the ACST was important for the cost-effectiveness results.

Conclusion

Carotid endarterectomy in addition to best medical management can be considered cost-effective in men aged 73 years or less but is less likely to be cost-effective in older men or in women.

Depressive symptoms, suicidal ideation and acne: a study of male Finnish conscripts

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the association among acne, depressive symptoms and suicidal ideation in Finnish male military conscripts.

METHODS

Consecutive 165 acne patients and 150 patients with mild knee symptoms for comparison were enrolled in the study conducted in the Central Military Hospital, Helsinki, Finland. They filled out the following questionnaires: General Health Questionnaire (GHQ-12), Beck Depression Inventory (BDI), Alcohol Use Disorders Identification Test and Rosenberg Self-Esteem Scale. The Leeds acne grading scale was used to estimate the severity of acne.

RESULTS

Sixteen (9.7%) acne patients and 20 (13.3%) comparison patients had at least moderate level of depressive symptoms (BDI score 10; P > 0.05, between groups). Suicidal ideation (BDI suicidal item score 1) was reported by 24 (14.5%) acne patients and 16 (10.7%) comparison patients (P > 0.05, between groups). When comparing the mild facial acne patients (Leeds score 0-3) with those with moderate-severe facial acne (Leeds score 4), there were no statistical differences in depressive symptoms (9.5% vs. 10.0%) or suicidal ideation (13.7% vs. 15.7%). No linear relationship was observed between the BDI and facial Leeds scores (P > 0.05). Risk factors for suicidal ideation among the acne patients were depression and alcohol risk use.

CONCLUSION

Young male patients with acne do not suffer more depressive symptoms or suicidal ideation than patients with mild knee symptoms, and the severity of acne is not associated with the presence of depressive symptoms. The risk factors for suicidal ideation among acne patients seem to be similar to those found in the general population.

Increase of serum C-reactive protein is an early indicator of subsequent symptomatic anastomotic leakage after anterior resection

OBJECTIVE

This prospective study investigated the factors which might indicate anastomotic leakage after low anterior resection.

METHOD

Thirty-three patients who underwent anterior resection for rectal carcinoma (n = 32) and severe dysplasia (n = 1), were monitored daily by serum C-reactive protein (CRP) and white blood cell count (WBC) estimations until discharge from hospital. Computed tomography (CT) scans were performed on postoperative days 2 and 7 and the amount of presacral fluid collection was assessed. All patients had a pelvic drain and the volume of drainage was measured daily.

RESULTS

The level of the anastomosis was at a median 5 cm (3-12 cm) above the anal verge. There was no 30-day mortality. Nine (27.2%) of the 33 patients developed a symptomatic anastomotic leakage which was diagnosed at a median of 8 days (range 4-14) postoperatively. The serum CRP was increased in patients who leaked from postoperative day 2 onwards (P = 0.004 on day 2; P < 0.001 on day 3-8). The WBC was decreased in preoperatively irradiated patients on days 1-5 (P </= 0.021), with no difference seen between patients with or without leakage. Patients with leakage had a larger presacral fluid collection on CT on day 7 (median 76 ml vs 52 ml; P = 0.016) and a larger increase in the fluid collection between the first and the second CT examinations (28 ml vs 3 ml; P = 0.046). CONCLUSION; An early rise in serum CRP was a strong indicator of leakage. Monitoring of CRP for possible early detection of symptomatic anastomotic leakage is recommended.

The effect of eight weeks of exercise on knee adduction moment in early knee osteoarthritis--a pilot study

OBJECTIVE

Reduced muscle function, causing greater knee joint load, is a potentially modifiable risk factor of knee osteoarthritis (OA). Exercise is an important treatment of knee OA, but the effect on joint load has not been determined. The aim of this study was to investigate the effect of exercise on knee adduction moment during one-leg rise and gait.

DESIGN

Patients below age 65 with early signs of radiographic knee OA, from a population-based cohort on OA development, were invited to participate in the study. They defined their most symptomatic knee as the index knee. Knee adduction moment during one-leg rise from a stool (48cm), and during gait was assessed using a three-dimensional motion analysis system, before and after eight weeks of supervised exercise.

RESULTS

Thirteen patients, seven women, mean age 54.5, 12/13 with Kellgren and Lawrence grade I or II, took part in the study. Peak knee adduction moment during one-leg rise was reduced by 0.08 (95% CI 0.01;0.16) Nm/kg, or 14%, for the index knee, and 0.05 (95% CI -0.04;0.14), or 8% for the opposite knee after eight weeks. The reductions in peak adduction moment during gait were smaller and not significant.

CONCLUSIONS

This study indicates that peak knee adduction moment could be reduced by supervised, individualized exercise in middle-aged patients presenting early signs of knee osteoarthritis, suggesting further investigation of this area. Peak adduction moment during one-leg rise seems to be more sensitive to deviations and change than peak adduction moment during gait in this population.

The cost-effectiveness of oral triptan therapy in Sweden

The literature suggests that triptans are cost effective compared with older types of migraine treatment. However, which of the triptans that is most cost effective has not been established. We compared the costs and effects of triptan treatment from a Swedish societal perspective, using evidence from the literature. A probabilistic cost-effectiveness model was constructed to investigate the costs and effects of treating a single attack in a typical migraine patient. The end-point used in the base-case analysis was sustained pain free without any adverse events (SNAE). We searched the scientific literature for meta-analyses reporting the efficacy of oral triptans. All treatments except rizatriptan 10 mg and eletriptan 40 mg were dominated. The incremental cost per SNAE of rizatriptan 10 mg compared with eletriptan 40 mg was approximately 100 euro. There was substantial uncertainty concerning the results, but probabilistic analysis showed that rizatriptan 10 mg and eletriptan 40 mg had the highest probability of being cost-effective.

Proinsulin C-peptide and insulin: Limited pattern similarities of interest in inter-peptide interactions but no C-peptide effect on insulin and IGF-1 receptor signaling

The recently reported influence of proinsulin C-peptide on insulin prompted us to examine structural features of the C-peptide. Four sets of limited pattern similarities towards inter-chain end regions of insulin were noticed, involving secondary structure elements, binding residues and intra- as well as inter-peptide residue similarities. Using surface plasmon resonance, we examined insulin binding to truncated, soluble insulin receptor A and IGF-1 receptor, but C-peptide effects on these bindings were not detectable. Two forms of the insulin receptor, differing in activation of gene transcription with regards to (pre)proinsulin and glucokinase, respectively, were also uninfluenced by C-peptide. We conclude that the pattern similarities, if functional, reflect C-peptide interactions with molecules other than both insulin A and B receptors and IGF-1 receptors. Any such effects are of interest in relation to reported binding interactions between insulin and C-peptide.

Proinsulin C-peptide elicits disaggregation of insulin resulting in enhanced physiological insulin effects

Using surface plasmon resonance (SPR) and electrospray mass spectrometry (ESI-MS), proinsulin C-peptide was found to influence insulin-insulin interactions. In SPR with chip-bound insulin, C-peptide mixed with analyte insulin increased the binding, while alone C-peptide did not. A control peptide with the same residues in random sequence had little effect. In ESI-MS, C-peptide lowered the presence of insulin hexamer. The data suggest that C-peptide promotes insulin disaggregation. Insulin/insulin oligomer muM dissociation constants were determined. Compatible with these findings, type 1 diabetic patients receiving insulin and C-peptide developed 66% more stimulation of glucose metabolism than when given insulin alone. A role of C-peptide in promoting insulin disaggregation may be important physiologically during exocytosis of pancreatic beta-cell secretory granulae and pharmacologically at insulin injection sites. It is compatible with the normal co-release of C-peptide and insulin and may contribute to the beneficial effect of C-peptide and insulin replacement in type 1 diabetics.

Knee kinematics and kinetics during gait, step and hop in males with a 16 years old ACL injury compared with matched controls

The objective of this study was to compare subjects who sustained an ACL injury during soccer 16 years ago with a control group with regard to knee kinematics and kinetics of gait, step activity and cross over hop. Secondly, in the injured subjects, the purpose was to study the impact on kinematics and kinetics of characteristics such as operative status, meniscal resection, being symptomatic, having knee extensor weakness and of having radiographic knee OA. Data from a 3-dimensional gait analysis system (VICON) were used to calculate kinetics and kinematics during gait, step activity and cross over hop of 12 male subjects who had an anterior cruciate ligament injury 16 years earlier. Twelve uninjured subjects matched for age, sex, BMI and activity level served as controls. No significant differences in knee kinematics and kinetics between the ACL group and the control group were found. The variability of some parameters of step and all parameters of hop activity was generally larger in the ACL injured subjects compared with the controls. The ACL injured subjects had a significantly worse clinical status compared with the controls. Reduced knee extension strength was associated with joint moment reductions especially during step activity and cross over hop. Despite a significantly worse clinical status, as determined by self-report and isokinetic strength testing, no significant differences were seen in knee joint kinetics and kinematics in an ACL injured group 16 years after injury compared with a matched control group. The variation was larger among the ACL injured subjects indicating the need for larger study groups in gait and movement analysis in long-term follow-up of ACL injury.

The cost-effectiveness of screening for oral cancer in primary care

OBJECTIVES

To use a decision-analytic model to determine the incremental costs and outcomes of alternative oral cancer screening programmes conducted in a primary care environment.

DESIGN

The cost-effectiveness of oral cancer screening programmes in a number of primary care environments was simulated using a decision analysis model. Primary data on actual resource use and costs were collected by case note review in two hospitals. Additional data needed to inform the model were obtained from published costs, from systematic reviews and by expert opinion using the Trial Roulette approach. The value of future research was determined using expected value of perfect information (EVPI) for the decision to screen and for each of the model inputs.

SETTING

Hypothetical screening programmes conducted in a number of primary care settings. Eight strategies were compared: (A) no screen; (B) invitational screen--general medical practice; (C) invitational screen--general dental practice; (D) opportunistic screen--general medical practice; (E) opportunistic screen--general dental practice; (F) opportunistic high-risk screen--general medical practice; (G) opportunistic high-risk screen--general dental practice; and (H) invitational screen--specialist.

PARTICIPANTS

A hypothetical population over the age of 40 years was studied.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

The main measures were mean lifetime costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) of each alternative screening scenario and incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs) to determine the additional costs and benefits of each strategy over another.

RESULTS

No screening (strategy A) was always the cheapest option. Strategies B, C, E and H were never cost-effective and were ruled out by dominance or extended dominance. Of the remaining strategies, the ICER for the whole population (age 49-79 years) ranged from pound 15,790 to pound 25,961 per QALY. Modelling a 20% reduction in disease progression always gave the lowest ICERs. Cost-effectiveness acceptability curves showed that there is considerable uncertainty in the optimal decision identified by the ICER, depending on both the maximum amount that the NHS may be prepared to pay and the impact that treatment has on the annual malignancy transformation rate. Overall, however, high-risk opportunistic screening by a general dental or medical practitioner (strategies F and G) may be cost-effective. EVPIs were high for all parameters with population values ranging from pound 8 million to pound 462 million. However, the values were significantly higher in males than females but also varied depending on malignant transformation rate, effects of treatment and willingness to pay. Partial EVPIs showed the highest values for malignant transformation rate, disease progression, self-referral and costs of cancer treatment.

CONCLUSIONS

Opportunistic high-risk screening, particularly in general dental practice, may be cost-effective. This screening may more effectively be targeted to younger age groups, particularly 40-60 year olds. However, there is considerable uncertainty in the parameters used in the model, particularly malignant transformation rate, disease progression, patterns of self-referral and costs. Further study is needed on malignant transformation rates of oral potentially malignant lesions and to determine the outcome of treatment of oral potentially malignant lesions. Evidence has been published to suggest that intervention has no greater benefit than 'watch and wait'. Hence a properly planned randomised controlled trial may be justified. Research is also needed into the rates of progression of oral cancer and on referral pathways from primary to secondary care and their effects on delay and stage of presentation.

Psychological risk factors of incidence of breast cancer: a prospective cohort study in Finland

BACKGROUND

Belief that depression and other psychological factors predict breast cancer is common, but there have been few prospective epidemiological studies on this relationship.

METHOD

The relationship between depression, personality traits, illness attitudes, life events and health history, and breast cancer risk was studied in a prospective, 6-9 year follow-up of a cohort study of 10892 Finnish women of 48-50 years of age at the baseline. Cancer cases were obtained from the Cancer Registry of Finland. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was performed controlling for socioeconomic factors, family history of cancer, parity, and health behaviours.

RESULTS

Breast cancer incidence in the cohort was 1.15 times the average in age group 50-59. There was no evidence of depression, trait anxiety, cynical distrust, or coping being significant predictors of breast cancer incidence.

CONCLUSION

In this cohort study with the 6-9 year follow-up, psychological factors such as depression, trait anxiety, cynical distrust, or coping did not increase breast cancer risk.

Separate functional features of proinsulin C-peptide

Proinsulin C-peptide influences a number of physiological parameters in addition to its well-established role in the parent proinsulin molecule. It is of interest as a candidate for future co-replacement therapy with insulin for patients with diabetes mellitus type 1, but specific receptors have not been identified and additional correlation with functional effects is desirable. Based on comparisons of 22 mammalian proinsulin variants, we have constructed analogues for activity studies, choosing phosphorylation of mitogen-activated protein kinases (MAPKs) in Swiss 3T3 fibroblasts for functional measurements. In this manner, we find that effective phosphorylation of MAPKs is promoted by the presence of conserved glutamic acid residues at positions 3, 11 and 27 of C-peptide and by the presence of helix-promoting residues in the N-terminal segment. Previous findings have ascribed functional roles to the C-terminal pentapeptide segment, and all results combined therefore now show the importance of different segments, suggesting that C-peptide interactions are complex or multiple.