The value of virtual molecular tumor boards for informed clinical decision-making

Genomic profiling and other new technologies have increased the volume and complexity of information available for guiding clinical decision-making in precision oncology. Consequently, there is a need for multidisciplinary expert teams, in the form of molecular tumor boards (MTBs), who can translate this information into a therapeutic plan, including matching patients to suitable clinical trials. Virtual MTBs (vMTBs) can help to overcome many of the challenges associated with in-person MTBs, such as limited time availability, access to appropriate experts or datasets, or interactions between institutions. However, real-world experience from vMTBs is lacking. Here, we describe oncologists' vMTB experiences and the value of working with multicenter and/or multinational vMTBs. We also address knowledge gaps and barriers that could affect the implementation of vMTBs in routine clinical practice. Case studies from Argentina, Turkey, and Portugal illustrate the value of informed clinical decision-making by vMTBs, including expansion of therapeutic options for patients, faster time to treatment, and the resulting improvement in patient outcomes or impact of vMTB discussions on patients. With the uptake of comprehensive genomic profiling and the evolution of some cancers now being conceptualized as a collection of rare diseases with small patient populations based on molecular profiling, the importance of MTBs has increased in modern cancer management. However, an adjustment in clinical decision-making by healthcare professionals is required and evidence of the added value of vMTBs is lacking. Existing vMTBs and recommendations from participating oncologists could point toward a structured evaluation and analysis of this new platform.

Analytical validation of a novel comprehensive genomic profiling informed circulating tumor DNA monitoring assay for solid tumors

Emerging technologies focused on the detection and quantification of circulating tumor DNA (ctDNA) in blood show extensive potential for managing patient treatment decisions, informing risk of recurrence, and predicting response to therapy. Currently available tissue-informed approaches are often limited by the need for additional sequencing of normal tissue or peripheral mononuclear cells to identify non-tumor-derived alterations while tissue-naïve approaches are often limited in sensitivity. Here we present the analytical validation for a novel ctDNA monitoring assay, FoundationOne®Tracker. The assay utilizes somatic alterations from comprehensive genomic profiling (CGP) of tumor tissue. A novel algorithm identifies monitorable alterations with a high probability of being somatic and computationally filters non-tumor-derived alterations such as germline or clonal hematopoiesis variants without the need for sequencing of additional samples. Monitorable alterations identified from tissue CGP are then quantified in blood using a multiplex polymerase chain reaction assay based on the validated SignateraTM assay. The analytical specificity of the plasma workflow is shown to be 99.6% at the sample level. Analytical sensitivity is shown to be >97.3% at ≥5 mean tumor molecules per mL of plasma (MTM/mL) when tested with the most conservative configuration using only two monitorable alterations. The assay also demonstrates high analytical accuracy when compared to liquid biopsy-based CGP as well as high qualitative (measured 100% PPA) and quantitative precision (<11.2% coefficient of variation).

Clinicopathological and molecular predictors of [18F]FDG-PET disease detection in HER2-positive early breast cancer: RESPONSE, a substudy of the randomized PHERGain trial

BACKGROUND

The PHERGain study (NCT03161353) is assessing early metabolic responses to neoadjuvant treatment with trastuzumab-pertuzumab and chemotherapy de-escalation using a [18Fluorine]fluorodeoxyglucose-positron emission tomography ([18F]FDG-PET) and a pathological complete response-adapted strategy in HER2-positive (HER2+) early breast cancer (EBC). Herein, we present RESPONSE, a PHERGain substudy, where clinicopathological and molecular predictors of [18F]FDG-PET disease detection were evaluated.

METHODS

A total of 500 patients with HER2 + EBC screened in the PHERGain trial with a tumor size > 1.5 cm by magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) were included in the RESPONSE substudy. PET[-] criteria entailed the absence of  ≥ 1 breast lesion with maximum standardized uptake value (SUVmax) ≥ 1.5 × SUVmean liver + 2 standard deviation. Among 75 PET[-] patients screened, 21 with SUVmax levels < 2.5 were randomly selected and matched with 21 PET[+] patients with SUVmax levels ≥ 2.5 based on patient characteristics associated with [18F]FDG-PET status. The association between baseline SUVmax and [18F]FDG-PET status ([-] or [+]) with clinicopathological characteristics was assessed. In addition, evaluation of stromal tumor-infiltrating lymphocytes (sTILs) and gene expression analysis using PAM50 and Vantage 3D™ Cancer Metabolism Panel were specifically compared in a matched cohort of excluded and enrolled patients based on the [18F]FDG-PET eligibility criteria.

RESULTS

Median SUVmax at baseline was 7.2 (range, 1-39.3). Among all analyzed patients, a higher SUVmax was associated with a higher tumor stage, larger tumor size, lymph node involvement, hormone receptor-negative status, higher HER2 protein expression, increased Ki67 proliferation index, and higher histological grade (p < 0.05). [18F]FDG-PET [-] criteria patients had smaller tumor size (p = 0.014) along with the absence of lymph node involvement and lower histological grade than [18F]FDG-PET [+] patients (p < 0.01). Although no difference in the levels of sTILs was found among 42 matched [18F]FDG-PET [-]/[+] criteria patients (p = 0.73), [18F]FDG-PET [-] criteria patients showed a decreased risk of recurrence (ROR) and a lower proportion of PAM50 HER2-enriched subtype than [18F]FDG-PET[+] patients (p < 0.05). Differences in the expression of genes involved in cancer metabolism were observed between [18F]FDG-PET [-] and [18F]FDG-PET[+] criteria patients.

CONCLUSIONS

These results highlight the clinical, biological, and metabolic heterogeneity of HER2+ breast cancer, which may facilitate the selection of HER2+ EBC patients likely to benefit from [18F]FDG-PET imaging as a tool to guide therapy.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

Clinicaltrials.gov; NCT03161353; registration date: May 15, 2017.

Simulation-based evaluation of personalized dosing approaches for anti-FGFR/KLB bispecific antibody fazpilodemab

Personalized dosing approaches play important roles in clinical practices to improve benefit: risk profiles. Whereas this is also important for drug development, especially in the context of drugs with narrow therapeutic windows, such approaches have not been fully evaluated during clinical development. Fazpilodemab (BFKB8488A) is an agonistic bispecific antibody which was being developed for the treatment of nonalcoholic steatohepatitis. The objective of this study was to characterize the exposure-response relationships of fazpilodemab with the purpose of guiding dose selection for a phase II study, as well as to evaluate various personalized dosing strategies to optimize the treatment benefit. Fazpilodemab exhibited clear exposure-response relationships for a pharmacodynamic (PD) biomarker and gastrointestinal adverse events (GIAEs), such as nausea and vomiting. Static exposure-response analysis, as well as longitudinal adverse event (AE) analysis using discrete-time Markov model, were performed to characterize the observations. Clinical trial simulations were performed based on the developed exposure-response models to evaluate probability of achieving target PD response and the frequency of GIAEs to inform phase II dose selection. Dynamic simulation of personalized dosing strategies demonstrated that the AE-based personalized dosing is the most effective approach for optimizing the benefit-risk profiles. The approach presented here can be a useful framework for quantifying the benefit of personalized dosing for drugs with narrow therapeutic windows.

Addition of PEG-interferon to long-term nucleos(t)ide analogue therapy enhances HBsAg decline and clearance in HBeAg-negative chronic hepatitis B: Multicentre Randomized Trial (PAS Study)

We studied whether 48 weeks of PEG-IFN alfa-2a add-on increases HBsAg-decline and clearance in HBeAg-negative patients on long-term nucleo(s)tide analogue (NA) therapy. In this investigator-initiated, randomized, controlled trial conducted in Europe and Canada, HBeAg-negative patients treated with NA > 12 months, with HBVDNA < 200 IU/mL, were enrolled. Patients were randomized 2:1 to 48 weeks of PEG-IFN alfa-2a add-on (180 μg per week) or continued NA-monotherapy with subsequent follow-up to Week 72. Endpoints were HBsAg decline (≥1 log10 IU/mL) and HBsAg clearance at Week 48. Of the 86 patients in the modified-intention-to-treat analysis, 58 patients received PEG-IFN add-on, and 28 continued NA monotherapy. At Week 48, 16(28%) patients achieved HBsAg decline ≥1 log10 in the add-on arm versus none on NA-monotherapy (p < .001), and HBsAg clearance was observed in 6 (10%) PEG-IFN add-on patients versus 0% NA-monotherapy (p = .01). HBVRNA was only detected in 2% after PEG-IFN treatment versus 19% in NA-monotherapy (p = .002) at Week 48. PEG-IFN add-on therapy was well tolerated in majority of patients. Low baseline HBsAg levels (<10 IU/mL) identified patients most likely to achieve HBsAg loss with PEG-IFN add-on, whereas an HBsAg level > 200 IU/mL at on-treatment Week 12 was highly predictive of non-response (NPV = 100%). Addition of PEG-IFN to long-term NA enhanced HBsAg decline and increased the chance of HBsAg clearance in HBeAg-negative patients on long-term NA. On-treatment HBsAg levels >200 IU/mL identify patients unlikely to benefit from PEG-IFN add-on and could be used as a potential stopping-rule for PEG-IFN therapy. Our findings support further exploration of immune modulation add-on to antiviral therapy, preferably using response-guided strategies, to increase functional cure rates in patients with CHB.

Inter-reviewer reliability of human literature reviewing and implications for the introduction of machine-assisted systematic reviews: a mixed-methods review

OBJECTIVES

Our main objective is to assess the inter-reviewer reliability (IRR) reported in published systematic literature reviews (SLRs). Our secondary objective is to determine the expected IRR by authors of SLRs for both human and machine-assisted reviews.

METHODS

We performed a review of SLRs of randomised controlled trials using the PubMed and Embase databases. Data were extracted on IRR by means of Cohen's kappa score of abstract/title screening, full-text screening and data extraction in combination with review team size, items screened and the quality of the review was assessed with the A MeaSurement Tool to Assess systematic Reviews 2. In addition, we performed a survey of authors of SLRs on their expectations of machine learning automation and human performed IRR in SLRs.

RESULTS

After removal of duplicates, 836 articles were screened for abstract, and 413 were screened full text. In total, 45 eligible articles were included. The average Cohen's kappa score reported was 0.82 (SD=0.11, n=12) for abstract screening, 0.77 (SD=0.18, n=14) for full-text screening, 0.86 (SD=0.07, n=15) for the whole screening process and 0.88 (SD=0.08, n=16) for data extraction. No association was observed between the IRR reported and review team size, items screened and quality of the SLR. The survey (n=37) showed overlapping expected Cohen's kappa values ranging between approximately 0.6-0.9 for either human or machine learning-assisted SLRs. No trend was observed between reviewer experience and expected IRR. Authors expect a higher-than-average IRR for machine learning-assisted SLR compared with human based SLR in both screening and data extraction.

CONCLUSION

Currently, it is not common to report on IRR in the scientific literature for either human and machine learning-assisted SLRs. This mixed-methods review gives first guidance on the human IRR benchmark, which could be used as a minimal threshold for IRR in machine learning-assisted SLRs.

PROSPERO REGISTRATION NUMBER

CRD42023386706.

Precision Culture Scaling to Establish High-Throughput Vasculogenesis Models

Hydrogel-based 3D cell cultures can recapitulate (patho)physiological phenomena ex vivo. However, due to their complex multifactorial regulation, adapting these tissue and disease models for high-throughput screening workflows remains challenging. In this study, a new precision culture scaling (PCS-X) methodology combines statistical techniques (design of experiment and multiple linear regression) with automated, parallelized experiments and analyses to customize hydrogel-based vasculogenesis cultures using human umbilical vein endothelial cells and retinal microvascular endothelial cells. Variations of cell density, growth factor supplementation, and media composition are systematically explored to induce vasculogenesis in endothelial mono- and cocultures with mesenchymal stromal cells or retinal microvascular pericytes in 384-well plate formats. The developed cultures are shown to respond to vasculogenesis inhibitors in a compound- and dose-dependent manner, demonstrating the scope and power of PCS-X in creating parallelized tissue and disease models for drug discovery and individualized therapies.

Clinical Value of Timely Targeted Therapy for Patients With Advanced Non-Small Cell Lung Cancer With Actionable Driver Oncogenes

BACKGROUND

A recent real-world study observed that 24% of patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) with actionable driver oncogenes (ADOs) initiated nontargeted therapies before biomarker test results became available. This study assessed the clinical impact of the timing of first-line (1L) targeted therapies (TTs) in aNSCLC.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

This retrospective analysis of a nationwide electronic health record-derived deidentified database included patients aged ≥18 years diagnosed with aNSCLC with ADOs (ALK, BRAF, EGFR, RET, MET, ROS-1, and NTRK) from January 1, 2015, to October 18, 2022, by biomarker testing within 90 days after advanced diagnosis and received 1L treatment. Cohorts were defined by treatment patterns ≤42 days after test results: "Upfront TT" received 1L TT ≤42 days; "Switchers" initiated 1L non-TT before or after testing but switched to TT ≤42 days; and "Non-switchers" initiated non-TT before or after testing and did not switch at any time. Adjusted multivariate Cox regression evaluated real-world progression-free survival, real-world time to next treatment or death, and real-world overall survival.

RESULTS

A total of 3540 patients met the study criteria; 78% were treated in a community setting, and 50% underwent next-generation sequencing (NGS). There was no significant difference in outcomes between Switchers and Upfront TT; inferior outcomes were observed in Non-switchers versus Upfront TT.

CONCLUSION

Our findings demonstrated improved outcomes with upfront 1L TT versus non-TT in patients with aNSCLC with ADOs and observed timely switching to TT after biomarker test result had similar outcomes to Upfront TT. Opportunities remain to improve the use of NGS for early ADO identification and determination of 1L TT.

Association between treatment and improvements in overall survival of patients with advanced/metastatic non-small cell lung cancer since 2011: A study in the United States, Canada, and Germany using retrospective real-world databases

BACKGROUND

This study aimed to describe treatment patterns and overall survival (OS) in patients with advanced non-small cell lung cancer (aNSCLC) in three countries between 2011 and 2020.

METHODS

Three databases (US, Canada, Germany) were used to identify incident aNSCLC patients. OS was assessed from the date of incident aNSCLC diagnosis and, for patients who received at least a first line of therapy (1LOT), from the date of 1LOT initiation. In multivariable analyses, we analyzed the influence of index year and type of prescribed treatment on OS.

FINDINGS

We included 51,318 patients with an incident aNSCLC diagnosis. The percentage of patients treated with a 1LOT differed substantially between countries, whereas the number of patients receiving immunotherapies/targeted treatments increased over time in all three countries. Median OS from the date of incident diagnosis was 9.9 months in the United States vs. 4.1 months in Canada. When measured from the start of 1LOT, patients had a median OS of 10.7 months in the United States, 10.9 months in Canada, and 10.9 months in Germany. OS from the start of 1LOT improved in all three countries from 2011 to 2020 by approximately 3 to 4 months.

CONCLUSIONS

Observed continuous improvement in OS among patients receiving at least a 1LOT from 2011 to 2020 was likely driven by improved care and changes in the treatment landscape. The difference in the proportion of patients receiving a 1LOT in the observed countries requires further investigation.

Kidney Outcomes and Preservation of Kidney Function With Obinutuzumab in Patients With Lupus Nephritis: A Post Hoc Analysis of the NOBILITY Trial

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether adding obinutuzumab to standard-of-care lupus nephritis (LN) therapy could improve the likelihood of long-term preservation of kidney function and do so with less glucocorticoids.

METHODS

Post hoc analyses of the phase II NOBILITY trial were performed. Time to unfavorable kidney outcome (a composite of treatment failure, doubling of serum creatinine, or death), LN flare, first 30% and 40% declines in estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) from baseline, and chronic eGFR slope during the trial were compared between patients with active LN who were randomized to take obinutuzumab (n = 63) or placebo (n = 62) in combination with mycophenolate mofetil and glucocorticoids. The number of patients who achieved complete renal response (CRR) on 7.5 mg or less per day of prednisone was also determined.

RESULTS

Obinutuzumab reduced the risk of developing the composite kidney outcome by 60%, LN flare by 57%, and first eGFR decline of 30% or 40% by 80% and 91%, respectively. Patients receiving obinutuzumab had a significantly slower decline in eGFR than patients receiving placebo, with an annualized eGFR slope advantage of 4.1 ml/min/1.73 m2 /year (95% confidence interval 0.14-8.08). Overall, 38% of patients receiving obinutuzumab compared with 16% of patients receiving placebo achieved CRR at week 76 while receiving 7.5 mg or less per day of prednisone (P < 0.01); at week 104, the difference did not achieve significance (38% vs 22%; P = 0.06).

CONCLUSION

Post hoc analyses of NOBILITY demonstrated that compared with standard-of-care therapy, obinutuzumab treatment resulted in superior preservation of kidney function and prevention of LN flares. More patients achieved CRR at week 76 with less glucocorticoid use in the obinutuzumab group.

The Clinical Development of Taldefgrobep Alfa: An Anti-Myostatin Adnectin for the Treatment of Duchenne Muscular Dystrophy

INTRODUCTION

Duchenne muscular dystrophy (DMD) is a genetic muscle disorder that manifests during early childhood and is ultimately fatal. Recently approved treatments targeting the genetic cause of DMD are limited to specific subpopulations of patients, highlighting the need for therapies with wider applications. Pharmacologic inhibition of myostatin, an endogenous inhibitor of muscle growth produced almost exclusively in skeletal muscle, has been shown to increase muscle mass in several species, including humans. Taldefgrobep alfa is an anti-myostatin recombinant protein engineered to bind to and block myostatin signaling. Preclinical studies of taldefgrobep alfa demonstrated significant decreases in myostatin and increased lower limb volume in three animal species, including dystrophic mice.

METHODS

This manuscript reports the cumulative data from three separate clinical trials of taldefgrobep alfa in DMD: a phase 1 study in healthy adult volunteers (NCT02145234), and two randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled studies in ambulatory boys with DMD-a phase 1b/2 trial assessing safety (NCT02515669) and a phase 2/3 trial including the North Star Ambulatory Assessment (NSAA) as the primary endpoint (NCT03039686).

RESULTS

In healthy adult volunteers, taldefgrobep alfa was generally well tolerated and resulted in a significant increase in thigh muscle volume. Treatment with taldefgrobep alfa was associated with robust dose-dependent suppression of free myostatin. In the phase 1b/2 trial, myostatin suppression was associated with a positive effect on lean body mass, though effects on muscle mass were modest. The phase 2/3 trial found that the effects of treatment did not meet the primary endpoint pre-specified futility analysis threshold (change from baseline of ≥ 1.5 points on the NSAA total score).

CONCLUSIONS

The futility analysis demonstrated that taldefgrobep alfa did not result in functional change for boys with DMD. The program was subsequently terminated in 2019. Overall, there were no safety concerns, and no patients were withdrawn from treatment as a result of treatment-related adverse events or serious adverse events.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT02145234, NCT02515669, NCT03039686.

Ocrelizumab exposure in relapsing-remitting multiple sclerosis: 10-year analysis of the phase 2 randomized clinical trial and its extension

Open-label extension (OLE) studies help inform long-term safety and efficacy of disease-modifying therapies in multiple sclerosis (MS). We report exploratory analyses from a phase 2 trial on the longest follow-up to date of ocrelizumab-treated patients with relapsing-remitting MS (RRMS). The primary treatment period (PTP) comprised four 24-week treatment cycles; participants were randomized to double-blind ocrelizumab (2000 mg or 600 mg), placebo, or interferon β-1a (open label) for one cycle, then dose-blinded ocrelizumab 1000 mg or 600 mg for the remaining cycles. The PTP was followed by consecutive assessed and unassessed treatment-free periods (TFPs) and then the OLE (ocrelizumab 600 mg every 24 weeks). Safety and efficacy were prospectively assessed. Of 220 participants randomized, 183 (84%) completed the PTP. After the TFP, 103 entered OLE (median OLE ocrelizumab exposure 6.5 years). Most common adverse events across all periods were infusion-related reactions. MRI activity, annualized relapse rate, and confirmed disability progression (CDP) rates remained low throughout. During the assessed TFP, there was a trend toward less and later B-cell repletion, and later CDP, for patients randomized to ocrelizumab; MRI activity was observed in 16.3% of patients, the earliest 24 weeks after the last ocrelizumab dose. This is the longest follow-up of ocrelizumab-treated patients with RRMS, with no new safety signals emerging during an observation period from 2008 to 2020. Results reinforce the sustained efficacy of long-term ocrelizumab. Reduced disease activity was maintained following interruption of 6-month dosing cycles, with no evidence of rebound.

Review of real-world evidence of dual inhibition of VEGF-A and ANG-2 with faricimab in NAMD and DME

Management of vitreoretinal disorders (e.g., neovascular age-related macular degeneration [nAMD] and diabetic macular edema [DME]) have assumed the standard therapy of lifelong anti-VEGF injections with drugs like aflibercept, brolucizumab, ranibizumab and bevacizumab. However, the burden imposed on patients is a major deterrent for continual therapy and recovery. Faricimab, a bispecific antibody, blocking both VEGF-A and Ang-2 molecules, produces a comparable functional and anatomical results, with less injections, significantly reducing patient burden. Visual acuity, safety, adverse effects, and anatomical outcomes are discussed in the pivotal clinical trials (YOSEMITE/RHINE and TENAYA/LUCERNE), and early data from real-world studies (TRUCKEE, TAHOE, FARWIDE-DME, FARETINA and others). In YOSEMITE and RHINE, faricimab demonstrated non-inferior vision gains, better anatomical outcomes compared to aflibercept every 8 weeks. Faricimab in the personalized treatment interval (PTI), after week 96, achieved 12-week interval in 78.1% of the patients and 16-week interval in 62.3%. TENAYA and LUCERNE reported comparable best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) improvement and better anatomic outcomes during head-to-head phase, parallel to aflibercept, at its 8-week treatment schedule. Faricimab in the PTI regimen, after week 96 achieved 12-week interval in 77.8% of the patients and 16-week interval in 63.1%. Safety of faricimab has been comparable to aflibercept in these pivotal trials. Real-world data supports the data from the pivotal studies regarding the efficacy and safety profile of faricimab in heterogenous real world patient population. Moreover, in previously treated patients, it also demonstrated a faster fluid resolution, good safety profile. Considering faricimab has demonstrated anatomic and durability benefit in the treatment of nAMD and DME, additional data from ongoing extension clinical trials, AVONELLE-X and RHONE-X will help understand longer term outcomes for patients treated with faricimab as well as patients switching from aflibercept to faricimab after finishing the pivotal trials. Longer term data from the real-world studies will also continue to contribute to our understanding of long-term efficacy, safety and durability in the real world patient population.

The Patent and Literature Antibody Database (PLAbDab): an evolving reference set of functionally diverse, literature-annotated antibody sequences and structures

Antibodies are key proteins of the adaptive immune system, and there exists a large body of academic literature and patents dedicated to their study and concomitant conversion into therapeutics, diagnostics, or reagents. These documents often contain extensive functional characterisations of the sets of antibodies they describe. However, leveraging these heterogeneous reports, for example to offer insights into the properties of query antibodies of interest, is currently challenging as there is no central repository through which this wide corpus can be mined by sequence or structure. Here, we present PLAbDab (the Patent and Literature Antibody Database), a self-updating repository containing over 150,000 paired antibody sequences and 3D structural models, of which over 65 000 are unique. We describe the methods used to extract, filter, pair, and model the antibodies in PLAbDab, and showcase how PLAbDab can be searched by sequence, structure, or keyword. PLAbDab uses include annotating query antibodies with potential antigen information from similar entries, analysing structural models of existing antibodies to identify modifications that could improve their properties, and facilitating the compilation of bespoke datasets of antibody sequences/structures that bind to a specific antigen. PLAbDab is freely available via Github (https://github.com/oxpig/PLAbDab) and as a searchable webserver (https://opig.stats.ox.ac.uk/webapps/plabdab/).

Evaluating hybrid controls methodology in early-phase oncology trials: A simulation study based on the MORPHEUS-UC trial

Phase Ib/II oncology trials, despite their small sample sizes, aim to provide information for optimal internal company decision-making concerning novel drug development. Hybrid controls (a combination of the current control arm and controls from one or more sources of historical trial data [HTD]) can be used to increase statistical precision. Here we assess combining two sources of Roche HTD to construct a hybrid control in targeted therapy for decision-making via an extensive simulation study. Our simulations are based on the real data of one of the experimental arms and the control arm of the MORPHEUS-UC Phase Ib/II study and two Roche HTD for atezolizumab monotherapy. We consider potential complications such as model misspecification, unmeasured confounding, different sample sizes of current treatment groups, and heterogeneity among the three trials. We evaluate two frequentist methods (with both Cox and Weibull accelerated failure time [AFT] models) and three different commensurate priors in Bayesian dynamic borrowing (with a Weibull AFT model), and modifications within each of those, when estimating the effect of treatment on survival outcomes and measures of effect such as marginal hazard ratios. We assess the performance of these methods in different settings and the potential of generalizations to supplement decisions in early-phase oncology trials. The results show that the proposed joint frequentist methods and noninformative priors within Bayesian dynamic borrowing with no adjustment on covariates are preferred, especially when treatment effects across the three trials are heterogeneous. For generalization of hybrid control methods in such settings, we recommend more simulation studies.

The Cantabria Cohort, a protocol for a population-based cohort in northern Spain

Cantabria Cohort stems from a research and action initiative lead by researchers from Valdecilla Research Institute (IDIVAL), Marqués de Valdecilla University Hospital and University of Cantabria, supported by the regional Goverment. Its aim is to identify and follow up a cohort that would provide information to improve the understanding of the etiology and prognosis of different acute and chronic diseases. The Cantabria Cohort will recruit between 40,000-50,000 residents aged 40-69 years at baseline, representing 10-20% of the target population. Currently, more than 30,000 volunteers have been enrolled. All participants will be invited for a re-assessment every three years, while the overall duration is planned for twenty years. The repeated collection of biomaterials combined with broad information from participant questionnaires, medical examinations, actual health system records and other secondary public data sources is a major strength of its design, which will make it possible to address biological pathways of disease development, identify new factors involved in health and disease, design new strategies for disease prevention, and advance precision medicine. It is conceived to allow access to a large number of researchers worldwide to boost collaboration and medical research.

Fibroblast growth factor 23 but not copeptin is independently associated with kidney failure and mortality in patients with chronic kidney disease

Background

Copeptin and intact fibroblast growth factor 23 (iFGF23) increase early during chronic kidney disease (CKD) and may be predictive of unfavourable outcomes. The aim of this study was to evaluate their respective associations with renal and vital outcomes in CKD patients.

Methods

We included CKD patients from the NephroTest cohort with concomitant measurements of plasma copeptin and iFGF23 concentrations and isotopic glomerular filtration rate measurement (mGFR). The primary endpoint was a composite outcome including kidney failure (KF) (dialysis initiation, pre-emptive transplantation or a 57% decrease of mGFR, corresponding to doubling of serum creatinine) or death before KF. Hazard ratios (HRs) of the primary endpoint associated with log-transformed copeptin and iFGF23 concentrations were estimated by Cox models. The slope of mGFR over time was analysed using a linear mixed model.

Results

A total of 329 CKD patients (243 men, mean age 60.3 ± 14.6 years) were included. Among them, 301 with an mGFR >15 ml/min/1.73 m2 were included in survival and mGFR slope analyses. During a median follow-up of 4.61 years (quartile 1-quartile 3: 3.72-6.07), 61 KFs and 32 deaths occurred. Baseline iFGF23 concentrations were associated with the composite outcome after multiple adjustments {HR 2.72 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.85-3.99]}, whereas copeptin concentrations were not [HR 1.01 (95% CI 0.74-1.39)]. Neither copeptin nor iFGF23 were associated with mGFR slope over time.

Conclusion

Our study shows for the first time in population of CKD patients an independent association between iFGF23 and unfavourable renal and vital outcomes and shows no such association regarding copeptin, encouraging the integration of iFGF23 measurement into the follow-up of CKD.

Treatment Patterns by Race and Ethnicity in Newly Diagnosed Persons with Multiple Sclerosis

BACKGROUND

Non-Hispanic Black and Hispanic persons with MS (pwMS) are more likely to experience rapid disease progression and severe disability than non-Hispanic White pwMS; however, it is unknown how the initiation of high-efficacy disease-modifying therapies (DMTs) differs by race/ethnicity. This real-world study describes DMT treatment patterns in newly diagnosed pwMS in the United States (US) overall and by race/ethnicity.

METHODS

This retrospective analysis used the US Optum Market Clarity claims/electronic health records database (January 2015-September 2020). pwMS who were first diagnosed in 2016 or later and initiated any DMT in the two years following diagnosis were included. Continuous enrollment in the claims data for ≥ 12 months before and ≥ 24 months after diagnosis was required. Treatment patterns 2 years after diagnosis were analyzed descriptively overall and by race/ethnicity.

RESULTS

The sample included 682 newly diagnosed and treated pwMS (non-Hispanic Black, n = 99; non-Hispanic White, n = 479; Hispanic, n = 35; other/unknown race/ethnicity, n = 69). The mean time from diagnosis to DMT initiation was 4.9 months in all pwMS. Glatiramer acetate and dimethyl fumarate were the most common first-line DMTs in non-Hispanic Black (28% and 20% respectively) and Hispanic pwMS (31%, 29%); however, glatiramer acetate and ocrelizumab were the most common in non-Hispanic White pwMS (33%, 18%). Use of first-line high-efficacy DMTs was limited across all race/ethnicity subgroups (11-29%), but uptake increased in non-Hispanic Black and White pwMS over the study period.

CONCLUSION

Use of high-efficacy DMTs was low across all race/ethnicity subgroups of newly diagnosed pwMS in the US, including populations at a greater risk of experiencing rapid disease progression and severe disability.

Comparative Efficacy, Durability and Safety of Faricimab in the Treatment of Diabetic Macular Edema: A Systematic Literature Review and Network Meta-Analysis

INTRODUCTION

A systematic literature review (SLR) and network meta-analysis (NMA) were conducted to evaluate the comparative efficacy, durability and safety of faricimab, used in a Treat & Extend (T&E) regime with intervals up to every 16 weeks (Q16W), relative to other therapies currently in use for treatment of diabetic macular oedema (DME). Of particular interest were anti-vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF) therapies applied in flexible dosing regimens such as Pro re nata (PRN) and T&E, which are the mainstay in clinical practice.

METHODS

An SLR identifying randomised controlled trials (RCTs) published before August 2021 was conducted, followed by a Bayesian NMA comparing faricimab T&E treatment to aflibercept, ranibizumab, bevacizumab, dexamethasone and laser therapy. Outcomes included in the analysis were change in best-corrected visual acuity (BCVA), change in central subfield thickness (CST), injection frequency, ocular adverse events (AE) and all-cause discontinuation, all of which were evaluated at 12 months. Subgroup analyses including patients' naïve to anti-VEGF were conducted where feasible.

RESULTS

Twenty-six studies identified in the SLR were included in the NMA. Most importantly for decision making in clinical practise, faricimab T&E was associated with a statistically greater (95% credible intervals exclude zero) and clinically meaningful decrease in retinal thickness compared to all other flexible dosing regimens (greater retinal drying by 55-125 microns). Anatomical outcomes determine treatment efficacy and retreatment of patients. The NMA also showed a statistically greater increase in mean change in BCVA for faricimab T&E vs. flexible regimens using ranibizumab and bevacizumab (increase of 4.4-4.8 letters) as well as a numerical improvement vs. aflibercept PRN (two letters, 95% credible intervals including zero). Accordingly, the injection frequency was numerically lower versus other treatments using flexible dosing regimens (decrease by 0.92-1.43 injections). The analyses also indicated that the safety profile of faricimab T&E was comparable to those of ranibizumab and aflibercept, which have well-established safety profiles, with similar results for the number of all-cause discontinuations.

CONCLUSION

Faricimab provides a new treatment option in DME with dual-pathway inhibition of VEGF and angiopoeitin-2 (Ang-2). To the authors' knowledge, this is the first indirect comparison of faricimab T&E in DME. The analyses indicate that faricimab T&E is associated with superior retinal drying along with numerically fewer injections compared to all other treatments given in flexible dosing regimens. It also showed superior visual acuity outcomes compared to ranibizumab and bevacizumab.

The role of quantitative bias analysis for nonrandomized comparisons in health technology assessment: recommendations from an expert workshop

The use of treatment effects derived from nonrandomized studies (NRS) in health technology assessment (HTA) is growing. NRS carry an inherently greater risk of bias than randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Although bias can be mitigated to some extent through appropriate approaches to study design and analysis, concerns around data availability and quality and the absence of randomization mean residual biases typically render the interpretation of NRS challenging. Quantitative bias analysis (QBA) methods are a range of methods that use additional, typically external, data to understand the potential impact that unmeasured confounding and other biases including selection bias and time biases can have on the results (i.e., treatment effects) from an NRS. QBA has the potential to support HTA bodies in using NRS to support decision-making by quantifying the magnitude, direction, and uncertainty of biases. However, there are a number of key aspects of the use of QBA in HTA which have received limited discussion. This paper presents recommendations for the use of QBA in HTA developed using a multi-stakeholder workshop of experts in HTA with a focus on QBA for unmeasured confounding.

Systematic Literature Review to Identify Cost and Resource Use Data in Patients with Early-Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer (NSCLC)

BACKGROUND

Approximately 2 million new cases and 1.76 million deaths occur annually due to lung cancer, with the main histological subtype being non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC). The costs and resource use associated with NSCLC are important considerations to understand the economic impact imposed by the disease on patients, caregivers and healthcare services.

OBJECTIVE

The objective of this systematic literature review (SLR) is to provide a comprehensive overview of the available direct medical costs, direct non-medical costs, indirect costs, cost drivers and resource use data available for patients with early-stage NSCLC.

METHODS

Electronic searches were conducted via the Ovid platform in March 2021 and June 2022 and were supplemented by grey literature searches. Eligible patients had early-stage (stage I-III) resectable NSCLC and received treatment in the neoadjuvant or adjuvant setting. There was no restriction on intervention or comparators. Publication date was restricted to 2011 onwards, and English language publications or non-English language publications with an English abstract were of primary interest. Due to the anticipation of many studies meeting the inclusion criteria, analyses were restricted to full publications from countries of primary interest (Australia, Brazil, Canada, China, France, Germany, Italy, Japan, South Korea, Spain, UK and the US) and those with > 200 patients. The Molinier checklist was applied to conduct quality assessment.

RESULTS

Forty-two full publications met the eligibility criteria and were included in this SLR. Early-stage NSCLC was associated with significant direct medical costs and healthcare utilisation, and the economic burden of the disease increased with its progression. Surgery was the primary cost driver in stage I patients, but as patients progressed to stage II and III, treatments such as chemotherapy and radiotherapy, and inpatient care became the main cost drivers. There was no significant difference in resource use between patients with early-stage disease. However, these data were heavily US-centric and there was a paucity of data relating to direct non-medical and indirect costs associated with early-stage NSCLC.

CONCLUSIONS

Preventing disease progression for patients with NSCLC could reduce the economic burden of NSCLC on patients, caregivers and healthcare systems. This review provides a comprehensive overview of the available cost and resource use data in this indication, which is important in guiding the decisions of policy makers regarding the allocation of resources. However, it also indicates a need for more studies comparing the economic impact of NSCLC in markets in addition to the US.

A randomized, double-blind phase 1b study evaluating the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics and pharmacodynamics of the NLRP3 inhibitor selnoflast in patients with moderate to severe active ulcerative colitis

BACKGROUND

The NLRP3 inflammasome drives release of pro-inflammatory cytokines including interleukin (IL)-1β and IL-18 and is a potential target for ulcerative colitis (UC). Selnoflast (RO7486967) is an orally active, potent, selective and reversible small molecule NLRP3 inhibitor. We conducted a randomized, placebo-controlled Phase 1b study to assess the safety, tolerability, pharmacokinetics (PK) and pharmacodynamics (PD) of selnoflast.

METHODS

Nineteen adults with previous diagnosis of UC and current active moderate to severe disease were randomized 2:1 to selnoflast or placebo for 7 days. A dose of 450 mg QD (once daily) was selected to achieve 90% IL-1β inhibition in plasma and colon tissue. Consecutive blood, sigmoid colon biopsies and stool samples were analyzed for a variety of PD markers. Safety and PK were also evaluated.

RESULTS

Selnoflast was well-tolerated. Plasma concentrations increased rapidly after oral administration, reaching Tmax 1 h post-dose. Mean plasma concentrations stayed above the IL-1β IC90 level throughout the dosing interval (mean Ctrough on Day 1 and Day 5: 2.55 μg/mL and 2.66 μg/mL, respectively). At steady state, post-dose selnoflast concentrations in sigmoid colon (5-20 μg/g) were above the IC90 . Production of IL-1β was reduced in whole blood following ex vivo stimulation with lipopolysaccharide (LPS) (in the selnoflast arm). No changes were observed in plasma IL-18 levels. There were no meaningful differences in the expression of an IL-1-related gene signature in sigmoid colon tissue, and no differences in the expression of stool biomarkers.

CONCLUSIONS

Selnoflast was safe and well-tolerated. Selnoflast 450 mg QD achieved plasma and tissue exposure predicted to maintain IL-1β IC90 over the dosing interval. However, PD biomarker results showed no robust differences between treatment arms, suggesting no major therapeutic effects are to be expected in UC. The limitations of this study are its small sample size and indirect assessment of the effect on IL-1β in tissue.

TRIAL REGISTRATION

ISRCTN16847938.

Estimating the prevalence of diagnosed Alzheimer disease in England across deprivation groups using electronic health records: a clinical practice research datalink study

OBJECTIVE

Estimate the prevalence of diagnosed Alzheimer's disease (AD) and early Alzheimer's disease (eAD) overall and stratified by age, sex and deprivation and combinations thereof in England on 1 January 2020.

DESIGN

Cross-sectional.

SETTING

Primary care electronic health record data, the Clinical Practice Research database linked with secondary care data, Hospital Episode Statistics (HES) and patient-level deprivation data, Index of Multiple Deprivation (IMD).

OUTCOME MEASURES

The prevalence per 100 000 of the population and corresponding 95% CIs for both diagnosed AD and eAD overall and stratified by covariates. Sensitivity analyses were conducted to assess the sensitivity of the population definition and look-back period.

RESULTS

There were 448 797 patients identified in the Clinical Practice Research Datalink that satisfied the study inclusion criteria and were eligible for HES and IMD linkage. For the main analysis of AD and eAD, 379 763 patients are eligible for inclusion in the denominator. This resulted in an estimated prevalence of diagnosed AD of 378.39 (95% CI, 359.36 to 398.44) per 100 000 and eAD of 292.81 (95% CI, 276.12 to 310.52) per 100 000. Prevalence estimates across main and sensitivity analyses for the entire AD study population were found to vary widely with estimates ranging from 137.48 (95% CI, 127.05 to 148.76) to 796.55 (95% CI, 768.77 to 825.33). There was significant variation in prevalence of diagnosed eAD when assessing the sensitivity with the look-back periods, as low as 120.54 (95% CI, 110.80 to 131.14) per 100 000, and as high as 519.01 (95% CI, 496.64 to 542.37) per 100 000.

CONCLUSIONS

The study found relatively consistent patterns of prevalence across both AD and eAD populations. Generally, the prevalence of diagnosed AD increased with age and increased with deprivation for each age category. Women had a higher prevalence than men. More granular levels of stratification reduced patient numbers and increased the uncertainty of point prevalence estimates. Despite this, the study found a relationship between deprivation and prevalence of AD.

Deep Ensembles Are Robust to Occasional Catastrophic Failures of Individual DNNs for Organs Segmentations in CT Images

Deep neural networks (DNNs) have recently showed remarkable performance in various computer vision tasks, including classification and segmentation of medical images. Deep ensembles (an aggregated prediction of multiple DNNs) were shown to improve a DNN's performance in various classification tasks. Here we explore how deep ensembles perform in the image segmentation task, in particular, organ segmentations in CT (Computed Tomography) images. Ensembles of V-Nets were trained to segment multiple organs using several in-house and publicly available clinical studies. The ensembles segmentations were tested on images from a different set of studies, and the effects of ensemble size as well as other ensemble parameters were explored for various organs. Compared to single models, Deep Ensembles significantly improved the average segmentation accuracy, especially for those organs where the accuracy was lower. More importantly, Deep Ensembles strongly reduced occasional "catastrophic" segmentation failures characteristic of single models and variability of the segmentation accuracy from image to image. To quantify this we defined the "high risk images": images for which at least one model produced an outlier metric (performed in the lower 5% percentile). These images comprised about 12% of the test images across all organs. Ensembles performed without outliers for 68%-100% of the "high risk images" depending on the performance metric used.

Comparison of SP263 and 22C3 immunohistochemistry PD-L1 assays for clinical efficacy of adjuvant atezolizumab in non-small cell lung cancer: results from the randomized phase III IMpower010 trial

BACKGROUND

Tumor samples from the phase III IMpower010 study were used to compare two programmed death-ligand 1 (PD-L1) immunohistochemistry assays (VENTANA SP263 and Dako 22C3) for identification of PD-L1 patient subgroups (negative, positive, low, and high expression) and their predictive value for adjuvant atezolizumab compared with best supportive care (BSC) in resectable early-stage non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC).

METHODS

PD-L1 expression was assessed by the SP263 assay, which measured the percentage of tumor cells with any membranous PD-L1 staining, and the 22C3 assay, which scored the percentage of viable tumor cells showing partial or complete membranous PD-L1 staining.

RESULTS

When examining the concordance at the PD-L1-positive threshold (SP263: tumor cell (TC)≥1%; 22C3: tumor proportion score (TPS)≥1%), the results were concordant between assays for 83% of the samples. Similarly, at the PD-L1-high cut-off (SP263: TC≥50%; 22C3: TPS≥50%), the results were concordant between assays for 92% of samples. The disease-free survival benefit of atezolizumab over BSC was comparable between assays for PD-L1-positive (TC≥1% by SP263: HR, 0.58 (95% CI: 0.40 to 0.85) vs TPS≥1% by 22C3: HR, 0.65 (95% CI: 0.45 to 0.95)) and PD-L1-high (TC≥50% by SP263: HR, 0.27 (95% CI: 0.14 to 0.53) vs TPS≥50% by 22C3: HR, 0.31 (95% CI: 0.16 to 0.60)) subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

The SP263 and 22C3 assays showed high concordance and a comparable clinical predictive value of atezolizumab at validated PD-L1 thresholds, suggesting that both assays can identify patients with early-stage NSCLC most likely to experience benefit from adjuvant atezolizumab.

TRIAL REGISTRATION NUMBER

NCT02486718.

Efficacy and Safety of Pirfenidone in Advanced Versus Non-Advanced Idiopathic Pulmonary Fibrosis: Post-Hoc Analysis of Six Clinical Studies

INTRODUCTION

In the European Union (EU), the indication for the antifibrotic pirfenidone prior to April 2023 did not include patients with advanced idiopathic pulmonary fibrosis (IPF). This analysis compared the efficacy and safety of pirfenidone in advanced IPF versus non-advanced IPF.

METHODS

Data were included from the following studies of pirfenidone: ASCEND (NCT01366209); CAPACITY (004 [NCT00287716] and 006 [NCT00287729]); RECAP (NCT00662038; advanced IPF defined as percent predicted forced vital capacity [%FVC] < 50% and/or percent predicted carbon monoxide diffusing capacity [%DLco] < 35% at baseline); PASSPORT (NCT02699879; advanced IPF defined as baseline %FVC < 50%); and SP-IPF (NCT02951429; patients with advanced IPF [defined as %DLco ≤ 40% at screening] at risk of group 3 pulmonary hypertension).

RESULTS

In the pooled ASCEND/CAPACITY studies, the annual mean rate of FVC decline from baseline to Week 52 was significantly lower for pirfenidone versus placebo in advanced (p = 0.0035) and non-advanced IPF (p = 0.0001). Rate of all-cause mortality over 52 weeks was numerically lower for pirfenidone versus placebo in advanced and non-advanced IPF. In RECAP, the mean annual rate of FVC decline from baseline to Week 180 of pirfenidone treatment was similar in patients with advanced (- 141.5 mL) and non-advanced IPF (- 153.5 mL). In SP-IPF, the mean annual rate of FVC decline and rate of all-cause mortality from baseline to Week 52 in patients treated with placebo + pirfenidone were - 93.0 mL and 20.2%, respectively. No new safety signals were identified, and the safety profile of pirfenidone in patients with advanced IPF was generally consistent with that of non-advanced IPF.

CONCLUSIONS

These results highlight the benefit of pirfenidone treatment in patients with advanced and non-advanced IPF. As such, the indication for pirfenidone in the EU has now been updated to include the treatment of adult patients with advanced IPF.

TRIAL REGISTRATIONS

ASCEND (NCT01366209), CAPACITY 004 (NCT00287716), CAPACITY 006 (NCT00287729), RECAP (NCT00662038), PASSPORT (NCT02699879), and SP-IPF (NCT02951429).

Survival and quality-of-life outcomes in early-stage NSCLC patients: a literature review of real-world evidence

Aim

Assess the long-term survival and quality-of-life outcomes in early-stage NSCLC (eNSCLC) patients.

Methods

Review of long-term survival and quality-of-life after curative treatment in eNSCLC patients in observational studies.

Results

Disease-free proportion decreased in stage III vs stage I patients. Recurrence-free proportion decreased with age and disease stage. Advanced stage and vascular invasion increased risk of late recurrence. Conditional 5-year relative survival rates did not exceed 87%, indicating higher mortality in eNSCLC survivors. Lower conditional survival rates and relative survival rates were associated with older age and advanced disease. Survivors of eNSCLC had poorer physical quality-of-life.

Conclusion

Despite curative-intent therapy, survivors of eNSCLC still face significant risks of recurrence, excess mortality, and diminished quality-of-life.

Health State Utility Values in Early-Stage Non-small Cell Lung Cancer: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND

Non-small cell lung cancer (NSCLC) is the predominant histological subtype of lung cancer and is the leading cause of cancer-related deaths globally. Quality of life is an important consideration for patients and current treatments can adversely affect health-related quality of life (HRQoL).

OBJECTIVE

The objectives of this systematic literature review (SLR) were to identify and provide a comprehensive catalogue of published health state utility values (HSUVs) in patients with early-stage NSCLC and to understand the factors impacting on HSUVs in this indication.

METHODS

Electronic searches of Embase, MEDLINE and Evidence-Based Medicine Reviews were conducted via the Ovid platform in March 2021 and June 2022 and were supplemented by grey literature searches of conference proceedings, reference lists, health technology assessment bodies, and other relevant sources. Eligibility criteria were based on patients with early-stage (stage I-III) resectable NSCLC receiving treatment in the adjuvant or neoadjuvant setting. No restriction was placed on interventions or comparators, geography, or publication date. English language publications or non-English language publications with an English abstract were of primary interest. A validated checklist was applied to conduct quality assessment of the full publications.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine publications (27 full publications and two conference abstracts) met all eligibility criteria and reported 217 HSUVs and seven disutilities associated with patients with early NSCLC. The data showed that increasing disease stage is associated with decreasing HRQoL. It was also indicated that utility values vary by treatment approach; however, the choice of treatment may be influenced by the patients' disease stage at presentation. Few studies aligned with the requirements of health technology assessment (HTA) bodies, indicating a need for future studies to conform to these preferences, making them suitable for use in economic evaluations.

CONCLUSIONS

This SLR found that disease stage and treatment approach were two of several factors that can impact patient-reported HRQoL. Additional studies are warranted to confirm these findings and to investigate emerging therapies for early NSCLC. In collecting a catalogue of HSUV data, this SLR has begun to identify the challenges associated with identifying reliable utility value estimates suitable for use in economic evaluations of early NSCLC.

On the interpretation of transcriptome-wide association studies

Transcriptome-wide association studies (TWAS) aim to detect relationships between gene expression and a phenotype, and are commonly used for secondary analysis of genome-wide association study (GWAS) results. Results from TWAS analyses are often interpreted as indicating a genetic relationship between gene expression and a phenotype, but this interpretation is not consistent with the null hypothesis that is evaluated in the traditional TWAS framework. In this study we provide a mathematical outline of this TWAS framework, and elucidate what interpretations are warranted given the null hypothesis it actually tests. We then use both simulations and real data analysis to assess the implications of misinterpreting TWAS results as indicative of a genetic relationship between gene expression and the phenotype. Our simulation results show considerably inflated type 1 error rates for TWAS when interpreted this way, with 41% of significant TWAS associations detected in the real data analysis found to have insufficient statistical evidence to infer such a relationship. This demonstrates that in current implementations, TWAS cannot reliably be used to investigate genetic relationships between gene expression and a phenotype, but that local genetic correlation analysis can serve as a potential alternative.

Multi-ancestry GWAS analysis identifies two novel loci associated with diabetic eye disease and highlights APOL1 as a high risk locus in patients with diabetic macular edema

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is a common complication of diabetes. Approximately 20% of DR patients have diabetic macular edema (DME) characterized by fluid leakage into the retina. There is a genetic component to DR and DME risk, but few replicable loci. Because not all DR cases have DME, we focused on DME to increase power, and conducted a multi-ancestry GWAS to assess DME risk in a total of 1,502 DME patients and 5,603 non-DME controls in discovery and replication datasets. Two loci reached GWAS significance (p<5x10-8). The strongest association was rs2239785, (K150E) in APOL1. The second finding was rs10402468, which co-localized to PLVAP and ANKLE1 in vascular / endothelium tissues. We conducted multiple sensitivity analyses to establish that the associations were specific to DME status and did not reflect diabetes status or other diabetic complications. Here we report two novel loci for risk of DME which replicated in multiple clinical trial and biobank derived datasets. One of these loci, containing the gene APOL1, is a risk factor in African American DME and DKD patients, indicating that this locus plays a broader role in diabetic complications for multiple ancestries. Trial Registration: NCT00473330, NCT00473382, NCT03622580, NCT03622593, NCT04108156.

Enabling endpoint development for interventional clinical trials in individuals with Angelman syndrome: a prospective, longitudinal, observational clinical study (FREESIAS)

BACKGROUND

Angelman syndrome (AS) is a rare neurodevelopmental disorder characterized by the absence of a functional UBE3A gene, which causes developmental, behavioral, and medical challenges. While currently untreatable, comprehensive data could help identify appropriate endpoints assessing meaningful improvements in clinical trials. Herein are reported the results from the FREESIAS study assessing the feasibility and utility of in-clinic and at-home measures of key AS symptoms.

METHODS

Fifty-five individuals with AS (aged < 5 years: n = 16, 5-12 years: n = 27, ≥ 18 years: n = 12; deletion genotype: n = 40, nondeletion genotype: n = 15) and 20 typically developing children (aged 1-12 years) were enrolled across six USA sites. Several clinical outcome assessments and digital health technologies were tested, together with overnight 19-lead electroencephalography (EEG) and additional polysomnography (PSG) sensors. Participants were assessed at baseline (Clinic Visit 1), 12 months later (Clinic Visit 2), and during intermittent home visits.

RESULTS

The participants achieved high completion rates for the clinical outcome assessments (adherence: 89-100% [Clinic Visit 1]; 76-91% [Clinic Visit 2]) and varied feasibility of and adherence to digital health technologies. The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic impacted participants' uptake of and/or adherence to some measures. It also potentially impacted the at-home PSG/EEG recordings, which were otherwise feasible. Participants achieved Bayley-III results comparable to the available natural history data, showing similar scores between individuals aged ≥ 18 and 5-12 years. Also, participants without a deletion generally scored higher on most clinical outcome assessments than participants with a deletion. Furthermore, the observed AS EEG phenotype of excess delta-band power was consistent with prior reports.

CONCLUSIONS

Although feasible clinical outcome assessments and digital health technologies are reported herein, further improved assessments of meaningful AS change are needed. Despite the COVID-19 pandemic, remote assessments facilitated high adherence levels and the results suggested that at-home PSG/EEG might be a feasible alternative to the in-clinic EEG assessments. Taken altogether, the combination of in-clinic/at-home clinical outcome assessments, digital health technologies, and PSG/EEG may improve protocol adherence, reduce patient burden, and optimize study outcomes in AS and other rare disease populations.

A proteomics analysis of 5xFAD mouse brain regions reveals the lysosome-associated protein Arl8b as a candidate biomarker for Alzheimer's disease

BACKGROUND

Alzheimer's disease (AD) is characterized by the intra- and extracellular accumulation of amyloid-β (Aβ) peptides. How Aβ aggregates perturb the proteome in brains of patients and AD transgenic mouse models, remains largely unclear. State-of-the-art mass spectrometry (MS) methods can comprehensively detect proteomic alterations, providing relevant insights unobtainable with transcriptomics investigations. Analyses of the relationship between progressive Aβ aggregation and protein abundance changes in brains of 5xFAD transgenic mice have not been reported previously.

METHODS

We quantified progressive Aβ aggregation in hippocampus and cortex of 5xFAD mice and controls with immunohistochemistry and membrane filter assays. Protein changes in different mouse tissues were analyzed by MS-based proteomics using label-free quantification; resulting MS data were processed using an established pipeline. Results were contrasted with existing proteomic data sets from postmortem AD patient brains. Finally, abundance changes in the candidate marker Arl8b were validated in cerebrospinal fluid (CSF) from AD patients and controls using ELISAs.

RESULTS

Experiments revealed faster accumulation of Aβ42 peptides in hippocampus than in cortex of 5xFAD mice, with more protein abundance changes in hippocampus, indicating that Aβ42 aggregate deposition is associated with brain region-specific proteome perturbations. Generating time-resolved data sets, we defined Aβ aggregate-correlated and anticorrelated proteome changes, a fraction of which was conserved in postmortem AD patient brain tissue, suggesting that proteome changes in 5xFAD mice mimic disease-relevant changes in human AD. We detected a positive correlation between Aβ42 aggregate deposition in the hippocampus of 5xFAD mice and the abundance of the lysosome-associated small GTPase Arl8b, which accumulated together with axonal lysosomal membranes in close proximity of extracellular Aβ plaques in 5xFAD brains. Abnormal aggregation of Arl8b was observed in human AD brain tissue. Arl8b protein levels were significantly increased in CSF of AD patients.

CONCLUSIONS

We report a comprehensive biochemical and proteomic investigation of hippocampal and cortical brain tissue derived from 5xFAD transgenic mice, providing a valuable resource to the neuroscientific community. We identified Arl8b, with significant abundance changes in 5xFAD and AD patient brains. Arl8b might enable the measurement of progressive lysosome accumulation in AD patients and have clinical utility as a candidate biomarker.

The socioeconomic impact of disability progression in multiple sclerosis: A retrospective cohort study of the German NeuroTransData (NTD) registry

Background

Multiple sclerosis (MS) is a progressively debilitating neurologic disease that poses significant costs to the healthcare system and workforce.

Objective

To evaluate the impact of MS disease progression on societal costs and quality of life (QoL) using data from the German NeuroTransData (NTD) MS registry.

Methods

Cross-sectional cohort study. The cost cohort included patients with MS disability assessed using Expanded Disability Status Scale (EDSS) in 2019 while the QoL cohort included patients assessed using EDSS and EuroQol-5 Dimension 5-Levels between 2009 and 2019. Direct and indirect medical, and non-medical resource use was quantified and costs derived from public sources.

Results

Within the QoL cohort (n = 9821), QoL worsened with increasing EDSS. Within the cost cohort (n = 7286), increasing resource use with increasing EDSS was observed. Societal costs per patient, excluding or including disease-modifying therapies, increased from €5694 or €19,315 at EDSS 0 to 3.5 to €25,419 or €36,499 at EDSS 4 to 6.5, and €52,883 or €58,576 at EDSS 7 to 9.5. In multivariate modeling, each 0.5-step increase in EDSS was significantly associated with increasing costs, and worsening QoL.

Conclusion

This study confirms the major socioeconomic burden associated with MS disability progression. From a socioeconomic perspective, delaying disability progression may benefit patients and society.

Delineating effects of angiopoietin-2 inhibition on vascular permeability and inflammation in models of retinal neovascularization and ischemia/reperfusion

Introduction

Clinical trials demonstrated that co-targeting angiopoietin-2 (Ang-2) and vascular endothelial growth factor (VEGF-A) with faricimab controls anatomic outcomes and maintains vision improvements, with strong durability, through 2 years in patients with neovascular age-related macular degeneration and diabetic macular edema. The mechanism(s) underlying these findings is incompletely understood and the specific role that Ang-2 inhibition plays requires further investigation.

Methods

We examined the effects of single and dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition in diseased vasculatures of JR5558 mice with spontaneous choroidal neovascularization (CNV) and in mice with retinal ischemia/reperfusion (I/R) injuries.

Results

In JR5558 mice, Ang-2, VEGF-A, and dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition reduced CNV area after 1 week; only dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition decreased neovascular leakage. Only Ang-2 and dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition maintained reductions after 5 weeks. Dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition reduced macrophage/microglia accumulation around lesions after 1 week. Both Ang-2 and dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition reduced macrophage/microglia accumulation around lesions after 5 weeks. In the retinal I/R injury model, dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition was statistically significantly more effective than Ang-2 or VEGF-A inhibition alone in preventing retinal vascular leakage and neurodegeneration.

Discussion

These data highlight the role of Ang-2 in dual Ang-2/VEGF-A inhibition and indicate that dual inhibition has complementary anti-inflammatory and neuroprotective effects, suggesting a mechanism for the durability and efficacy of faricimab in clinical trials.

Atezolizumab Plus PEGPH20 Versus Chemotherapy in Advanced Pancreatic Ductal Adenocarcinoma and Gastric Cancer: MORPHEUS Phase Ib/II Umbrella Randomized Study Platform

BACKGROUND

The MORPHEUS platform comprises multiple open-label, randomized, phase Ib/II trials designed to identify early efficacy and safety signals of treatment combinations across cancers. Atezolizumab (anti-programmed cell death 1 ligand 1 [PD-L1]) was evaluated in combination with PEGylated recombinant human hyaluronidase (PEGPH20).

METHODS

In 2 randomized MORPHEUS trials, eligible patients with advanced, previously treated pancreatic ductal adenocarcinoma (PDAC) or gastric cancer (GC) received atezolizumab plus PEGPH20, or control treatment (mFOLFOX6 or gemcitabine plus nab-paclitaxel [MORPHEUS-PDAC]; ramucirumab plus paclitaxel [MORPHEUS-GC]). Primary endpoints were objective response rates (ORR) per RECIST 1.1 and safety.

RESULTS

In MORPHEUS-PDAC, ORRs with atezolizumab plus PEGPH20 (n = 66) were 6.1% (95% CI, 1.68%-14.80%) vs. 2.4% (95% CI, 0.06%-12.57%) with chemotherapy (n = 42). In the respective arms, 65.2% and 61.9% had grade 3/4 adverse events (AEs); 4.5% and 2.4% had grade 5 AEs. In MORPHEUS-GC, confirmed ORRs with atezolizumab plus PEGPH20 (n = 13) were 0% (95% CI, 0%-24.7%) vs. 16.7% (95% CI, 2.1%-48.4%) with control (n = 12). Grade 3/4 AEs occurred in 30.8% and 75.0% of patients, respectively; no grade 5 AEs occurred.

CONCLUSION

Atezolizumab plus PEGPH20 showed limited clinical activity in patients with PDAC and none in patients with GC. The safety of atezolizumab plus PEGPH20 was consistent with each agent's known safety profile. (ClinicalTrials.gov Identifier: NCT03193190 and NCT03281369).

Estimation of FMO3 Ontogeny by Mechanistic Population Pharmacokinetic Modelling of Risdiplam and Its Impact on Drug-Drug Interactions in Children

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVE

Spinal muscular atrophy (SMA) is a progressive neuromuscular disease caused by insufficient levels of survival motor neuron (SMN) protein. Risdiplam (EvrysdiTM) increases SMN protein and is approved for the treatment of SMA. Risdiplam has high oral bioavailability and is primarily eliminated through hepatic metabolism by flavin-containing monooxygenase3 (FMO3) and cytochrome P450 (CYP) 3A, by 75% and 20%, respectively. While the FMO3 ontogeny is critical input data for the prediction of risdiplam pharmacokinetics (PK) in children, it was mostly studied in vitro, and robust in vivo FMO3 ontogeny is currently lacking. We derived in vivo FMO3 ontogeny by mechanistic population PK modelling of risdiplam and investigated its impact on drug-drug interactions in children.

METHODS

Population and physiologically based PK (PPK and PBPK) modelling conducted during the development of risdiplam were integrated into a mechanistic PPK (Mech-PPK) model to estimate in vivo FMO3 ontogeny. A total of 10,205 risdiplam plasma concentration-time data from 525 subjects aged 2 months-61 years were included. Six different structural models were examined to describe the in vivo FMO3 ontogeny. Impact of the newly estimated FMO3 ontogeny on predictions of drug-drug interaction (DDI) in children was investigated by simulations for dual CYP3A-FMO3 substrates including risdiplam and theoretical substrates covering a range of metabolic fractions (fm) of CYP3A and FMO3 (fmCYP3A:fmFMO3 = 10%:90%, 50%:50%, 90%:10%).

RESULTS

All six models consistently predicted higher FMO3 expression/activity in children, reaching a maximum at the age of 2 years with an approximately threefold difference compared with adults. Different trajectories of FMO3 ontogeny in infants < 4 months of age were predicted by the six models, likely due to limited observations for this age range. Use of this  in vivo FMO3 ontogeny function improved prediction of risdiplam PK in children compared to in vitro FMO3 ontogeny functions. The simulations of theoretical dual CYP3A-FMO3 substrates predicted comparable or decreased CYP3A-victim DDI propensity in children compared to adults across the range of fm values. Refinement of FMO3 ontogeny in the risdiplam model had no impact on the previously predicted low CYP3A-victim or -perpetrator DDI risk of risdiplam in children.

CONCLUSION

Mech-PPK modelling successfully estimated in vivo FMO3 ontogeny from risdiplam data collected from 525 subjects aged 2 months-61 years. To our knowledge, this is the first investigation of in vivo FMO3 ontogeny by population approach using comprehensive data covering a wide age range. Derivation of a robust in vivo FMO3 ontogeny function has significant implications on the prospective prediction of PK and DDI in children for other FMO3 substrates in the future, as illustrated in the current study for FMO3 and/or dual CYP3A-FMO3 substrates.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRY NUMBERS

NCT02633709, NCT03032172, NCT02908685, NCT02913482, NCT03988907.

Current proteomics methods applicable to dissecting the DNA damage response

The DNA damage response (DDR) entails reorganization of proteins and protein complexes involved in DNA repair. The coordinated regulation of these proteomic changes maintains genome stability. Traditionally, regulators and mediators of DDR have been investigated individually. However, recent advances in mass spectrometry (MS)-based proteomics enable us to globally quantify changes in protein abundance, post-translational modifications (PTMs), protein localization, and protein-protein interactions (PPIs) in cells. Furthermore, structural proteomics approaches, such as crosslinking MS (XL-MS), hydrogen/deuterium exchange MS (H/DX-MS), Native MS (nMS), provide large structural information of proteins and protein complexes, complementary to the data collected from conventional methods, and promote integrated structural modeling. In this review, we will overview the current cutting-edge functional and structural proteomics techniques that are being actively utilized and developed to help interrogate proteomic changes that regulate the DDR.

Cost-effectiveness of adjuvant atezolizumab for patients with stage II-IIIA PD-L1+ non-small-cell lung cancer

Aim: Atezolizumab improved disease-free survival (DFS) versus best supportive care (BSC) as adjuvant treatment following resection and platinum-based chemotherapy for stage II-IIIA PD-L1+ NSCLC in IMpower010. Materials & methods: This cost-effectiveness study evaluated atezolizumab versus BSC (US commercial payer perspective) using a Markov model with DFS, locoregional recurrence, first- and second-line metastatic recurrence and death health states, and a lifetime time horizon with 3% annual discounting. Results: Atezolizumab provided 1.045 additional quality-adjusted life-years (QALY) at an incremental cost of $48,956, yielding an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $46,859/QALY. Scenario analysis showed similar findings in a Medicare population ($48,512/QALY). Conclusion: At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $150,000/QALY and an incremental cost-effectiveness ratio of $46,859/QALY, atezolizumab is cost-effective versus BSC for adjuvant NSCLC treatment.

Trust Your Gut: Strategies and Tactics for Intestinally Restricted Drugs

Non-absorbable small-molecule drugs targeted to the gut represent an alternative approach to safe, non-systemic therapeutics. Such drugs remain confined to the gastrointestinal tract upon oral dosing by virtue of their limited passive permeability, increasing the local concentration at the site of action while minimizing exposure elsewhere in the body. Herein we review the latest advances in the field of gut-restricted therapeutics, highlighting the different strategies and tactics that medicinal chemists have employed in pursuit of drugs with minimal intestinal absorption.

Monoclonal Antibodies in Hospitalised Patients with COVID-19: The Role of SARS-COV-2 Serostatus in an Evolving Pandemic

Appropriately selected neutralising monoclonal antibodies (nmAbs) are an effective treatment for patients with mild or moderate coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) who are at high risk of progression to severe disease. In contrast, the efficacy of nmAbs in patients hospitalised with COVID-19 has been mixed, and clinical benefit has largely been restricted to seronegative patients [i.e. those lacking endogenous severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) antibodies] in the trials with positive outcomes. This review summarises the major clinical trial data investigating nmAb treatment for hospitalised patients with COVID-19, and explores current definitions of seropositivity, what they mean in a late-pandemic context and discusses the current late-pandemic challenges associated with defining 'seroprotection' in a clinically meaningful way. We conclude that following widespread vaccination, increasing numbers of prior infections and emerging viral variants, seropositivity now reflects a range of immune coverage rather than a binary tool with which to aid decision-making on a clinically actionable timescale. Treatment decisions with nmAbs in a late-pandemic context would therefore likely best rely on information regarding clinical status, time since symptom onset, underlying patient condition(s) and the dominant circulating variant, should they be approved for future use in hospitalised patients with COVID-19.

Impact of Influenza and Influenza-Like Illness on Work Productivity Outcomes: A Systematic Literature Review

BACKGROUND

Influenza is a persistent public health problem with a significant burden on patients, employers, and society. A systematic review by Keech and Beardsworth (2008) characterized the burden of influenza/influenza-like illness (ILI) on absenteeism. We conducted a systematic literature review evaluating the impact of influenza/ILI on work productivity among adults as an update to the work of Keech and Beardsworth.

METHODS

This systematic review identified studies evaluating the impact of influenza/ILI on absenteeism, presenteeism, or related work productivity measures for employees and employed caregivers based on laboratory confirmation, physician diagnosis, and/or self-reported illness. Eligible studies were in English, French, or German published from 7 March 2007 through 15 February 2022, in PubMed, Embase, or BIOSIS. Two reviewers completed screening and full-text review, with conflicts resolved by a third advisor. Summary data were extracted by two analysts; all records were quality checked by one analyst. Work productivity outcomes were summarized qualitatively, and risk of bias was not evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 14,387 records were retrieved; 12,245 titles/abstracts were screened and 145 full-text publications were reviewed, of which 63 were included in the qualitative assessment. Studies of self-reported ILI were most frequent (49%), followed by laboratory-confirmed cases (37%) and physician diagnoses (11%). Overall, approximately 20-75% of employees missed work due to illness across study settings and populations. Mean time out of work among ill employees varied widely across study designs and populations, ranging from < 1 to > 10 days, and was often reported to be approximately 2-3 days. Considerable heterogeneity was observed across study designs, populations, and outcomes. Most employees (≈ 60-80%) reported working while experiencing influenza/ILI symptoms. Reporting of costs was sparse and heterogeneous; one study reported annual costs of influenza-related absences equating to $42,851 per 100,000 employee health plan members. Results were partitioned based on the following categories. Among otherwise healthy adults, 1-74% of workers missed ≥1 workday due to influenza/ILI, for a mean [standard deviation (SD)] of 0.5 (1.44) to 5.3 (4.50) days, and 42-89% reported working while ill, for a mean (SD) of 0.3 (0.63) to 4.4 (3.73) days. Among working caregivers, 50-75% missed work to care for children/household members with influenza/ILI, for 1-2 days on average. Similarly, the mean absenteeism among healthcare workers ranged from 0.5 to 3.2 days. Across studies evaluating vaccination status, generally smaller proportions of vaccinated employees missed time from work due to influenza/ILI.

CONCLUSIONS

This systematic review summarized the productivity burden of influenza/ILI on the worldwide working-age population. Despite notable heterogeneity in study designs, influenza/ILI case definitions, and productivity outcome measures, this review highlighted the substantial productivity burden that influenza/ILI may have on employees, employers, and society, consistent with the findings of Keech and Beardsworth (2008).

Two-year efficacy and safety of risdiplam in patients with type 2 or non-ambulant type 3 spinal muscular atrophy (SMA)

Risdiplam is an oral, survival of motor neuron 2 (SMN2) pre-mRNA splicing modifier approved for the treatment of spinal muscular atrophy (SMA). SUNFISH (NCT02908685) Part 2, a Phase 3, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, investigated the efficacy and safety of risdiplam in type 2 and non‑ambulant type 3 SMA. The primary endpoint was met: a significantly greater change from baseline in 32-item Motor Function Measure (MFM32) total score was observed with risdiplam compared with placebo at month 12. After 12 months, all participants received risdiplam while preserving initial treatment blinding. We report 24-month efficacy and safety results in this population. Month 24 exploratory endpoints included change from baseline in MFM32 and safety. MFM‑derived results were compared with an external comparator. At month 24 of risdiplam treatment, 32% of patients demonstrated improvement (a change of ≥ 3) from baseline in MFM32 total score; 58% showed stabilization (a change of ≥ 0). Compared with an external comparator, a treatment difference of 3.12 (95% confidence interval [CI] 1.67-4.57) in favor of risdiplam was observed in MFM-derived scores. Overall, gains in motor function at month 12 were maintained or improved upon at month 24. In patients initially receiving placebo, MFM32 remained stable compared with baseline (0.31 [95% CI - 0.65 to 1.28]) after 12 months of risdiplam; 16% of patients improved their score and 59% exhibited stabilization. The safety profile after 24 months was consistent with that observed after 12 months. Risdiplam over 24 months resulted in further improvement or stabilization in motor function, confirming the benefit of longer-term treatment.

Venetoclax improves CD20 immunotherapy in a mouse model of MYC/BCL2 double-expressor diffuse large B-cell lymphoma

BACKGROUND

Approximately one-third of diffuse large B cell lymphoma (DLBCL) patients exhibit co-expression of MYC and BCL2 (double-expressor lymphoma, DEL) and have a dismal prognosis. Targeted inhibition of the anti-apoptotic protein BCL2 with venetoclax (ABT-199) has been approved in multiple B-cell malignancies and is currently being investigated in clinical trials for DLBCL. Whether BCL2 anti-apoptotic function represents a multifaceted vulnerability for DEL-DLBCL, affecting both lymphoma B cells and T cells within the tumor microenvironment, remains to be elucidated.

METHODS

Here, we present novel genetically engineered mice that preclinically recapitulate DEL-DLBCL lymphomagenesis, and evaluate their sensitivity ex vivo and in vivo to the promising combination of venetoclax with anti-CD20-based standard immunotherapy.

RESULTS

Venetoclax treatment demonstrated specific killing of MYC⁺/BCL2⁺ lymphoma cells by licensing their intrinsically primed apoptosis, and showed previously unrecognized immunomodulatory activity by specifically enriching antigen-activated effector CD8 T cells infiltrating the tumors. Whereas DEL-DLBCL mice were refractory to venetoclax alone, inhibition of BCL2 significantly extended overall survival of mice that were simultaneously treated with a murine surrogate for anti-CD20 rituximab.

CONCLUSIONS

These results suggest that the combination of anti-CD20-based immunotherapy and BCL2 inhibition leads to cooperative immunomodulatory effects and improved preclinical responses, which may offer promising therapeutic opportunities for DEL-DLBCL patients.

Novel modelling approaches to predict the role of antivirals in reducing influenza transmission

To aid understanding of the effect of antiviral treatment on population-level influenza transmission, we used a novel pharmacokinetic-viral kinetic transmission model to test the correlation between nasal viral load and infectiousness, and to evaluate the impact that timing of treatment with the antivirals oseltamivir or baloxavir has on influenza transmission. The model was run under three candidate profiles whereby infectiousness was assumed to be proportional to viral titer on a natural-scale, log-scale, or dose-response model. Viral kinetic profiles in the presence and absence of antiviral treatment were compared for each individual (N = 1000 simulated individuals); subsequently, viral transmission mitigation was calculated. The predicted transmission mitigation was greater with earlier administration of antiviral treatment, and with baloxavir versus oseltamivir. When treatment was initiated 12-24 hours post symptom onset, the predicted transmission mitigation was 39.9-56.4% for baloxavir and 26.6-38.3% for oseltamivir depending on the infectiousness profile. When treatment was initiated 36-48 hours post symptom onset, the predicted transmission mitigation decreased to 0.8-28.3% for baloxavir and 0.8-19.9% for oseltamivir. Model estimates were compared with clinical data from the BLOCKSTONE post-exposure prophylaxis study, which indicated the log-scale model for infectiousness best fit the observed data and that baloxavir affords greater reductions in secondary case rates compared with neuraminidase inhibitors. These findings suggest a role for baloxavir and oseltamivir in reducing influenza transmission when treatment is initiated within 48 hours of symptom onset in the index patient.

An observational study to assess validity and reliability of smartphone sensor-based gait and balance assessments in multiple sclerosis: Floodlight GaitLab protocol

Background

Gait and balance impairments are often present in people with multiple sclerosis (PwMS) and have a significant impact on quality of life and independence. Gold-standard quantitative tools for assessing gait and balance such as motion capture systems and force plates usually require complex technical setups. Wearable sensors, including those integrated into smartphones, offer a more frequent, convenient, and minimally burdensome assessment of functional disability in a home environment. We developed a novel smartphone sensor-based application (Floodlight) that is being used in multiple research and clinical contexts, but a complete validation of this technology is still lacking.

Methods

This protocol describes an observational study designed to evaluate the analytical and clinical validity of Floodlight gait and balance tests. Approximately 100 PwMS and 35 healthy controls will perform multiple gait and balance tasks in both laboratory-based and real-world environments in order to explore the following properties: (a) concurrent validity of the Floodlight gait and balance tests against gold-standard assessments; (b) reliability of Floodlight digital measures derived under different controlled gait and balance conditions, and different on-body sensor locations; (c) ecological validity of the tests; and (d) construct validity compared with clinician- and patient-reported assessments.

Conclusions

The Floodlight GaitLab study (ISRCTN15993728) represents a critical step in the technical validation of Floodlight technology to measure gait and balance in PwMS, and will also allow the development of new test designs and algorithms.

Pertuzumab, trastuzumab, and chemotherapy in HER2-positive gastric/gastroesophageal junction cancer: end-of-study analysis of the JACOB phase III randomized clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Dual-targeted anti-HER2 therapy significantly improves outcomes in HER2-positive breast cancer and could be beneficial in other HER2-positive cancers. JACOB's end-of study analyses aimed to evaluate the long-term efficacy and safety of pertuzumab plus trastuzumab and chemotherapy for previously untreated HER2-positive metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer.

METHODS

Eligible patients were randomized 1:1 to pertuzumab/placebo plus trastuzumab and chemotherapy every 3 weeks.

PRIMARY ENDPOINT

overall survival (OS). Secondary endpoints included progression-free survival (PFS), objective response rate (ORR), duration of response (DoR), and safety.

RESULTS

The intention-to-treat population comprised 388 patients in the pertuzumab arm and 392 in the placebo arm. The safety population comprised 385 and 388 patients, respectively. Median follow-up was ≥ 44.4 months. Median OS was increased by 3.9 months (hazard ratio 0.85 [95% confidence intervals, 0.72-0.99]) and median PFS by 1.3 months (hazard ratio 0.73 [95% confidence intervals, 0.62-0.85]) in the pertuzumab vs. the placebo arm. ORR was numerically higher (57.0% vs. 48.6%) and median DoR 1.8 months longer with pertuzumab treatment. There was a trend for more favorable hazard ratios in certain subgroups related to HER2 amplification/overexpression. Safety was comparable between arms, except for serious and grade 3-5 adverse events, and any-grade diarrhea, which were more frequent with pertuzumab.

CONCLUSIONS

JACOB did not meet its primary endpoint. Nonetheless, the study continues to demonstrate some, albeit limited, evidence of treatment activity and an acceptable safety profile for pertuzumab plus trastuzumab and chemotherapy in previously untreated HER2-positive metastatic gastric or gastroesophageal junction cancer after long-term follow-up. Trial registration NCT01774786; https://clinicaltrials.gov/ct2/show/NCT01774786 .

Shaping a research agenda to ensure a successful European health technology assessment: insights generated during the inaugural convention of the European access academy

OBJECTIVES

Key challenges for a joint European Health Technology Assessment (HTA) include consolidated approaches towards the choice of adequate comparator(s), selection of endpoints that are relevant to patients with a given disease, dealing with remaining uncertainties as well as transparent and consistent management of related processes. We aimed to further crystallize related core domains within these four areas that warrant further research and scrutiny.

METHODS

Building on the outcomes of a previously conducted questionnaire survey, four key areas, processes, uncertainty, comparator choice and endpoint selection, were identified. At the inaugural convention of the European Access Academy dedicated working groups were established defining and prioritizing core domains for each of the four areas. The working groups consisted of ~ 10 participants each, representing all relevant stakeholder groups (patients/ clinicians/ regulators/ HTA & payers/ academia/ industry). Story books identifying the work assignments were shared in advance. Two leads and one note taker per working group facilitated the process. All rankings were conducted on an ordinal Likert Response Scale scoring from 1 (low priority) to 7 (high priority).

RESULTS

Identified key domains include for processes: i) address (resource-) challenge of multiple PICOs (Patient/ Intervention/ Comparator/ Outcomes), ii) time and capacity challenges, iii) integrating all involved stakeholders, iv) conflicts and aligning between different multi-national stakeholders, v) interaction with health technology developer; for uncertainty: i) early and inclusive collaboration, ii) agreement on feasibility of RCT and acceptance of uncertainty, iii) alignment on closing evidence gaps, iv) capacity gaps; for comparator choice: i) criteria for the choice of comparator in an increasingly fragmented treatment landscape, ii) reasonable number of comparators in PICOs, iii) shape Early Advice so that comparator fulfils both regulatory and HTA needs, iv) acceptability of Indirect Treatment Comparisons (ITC), v) ensure broad stakeholder involvement in comparator selection; for endpoint selection: i) approaching new endpoints; ii) patient preferences on endpoints; iii) position of HTA and other stakeholders; iv) long-term generation and secondary use of data; v) endpoint challenges in RCTs.

CONCLUSIONS

The implementation of a joint European HTA assessment is a unique opportunity for a stronger European Health Union. We identified 19 domains related to the four key areas, processes, uncertainty, comparator choice and endpoint selection that urgently need to be addressed for this regulation to become a success.

Data-Driven Approach toward Long-Term Equipment Condition Assessment in Sterile Drug Product Manufacturing

A two-stage data-driven methodology for long-term equipment condition assessment in drug product manufacturing is presented with a case study for a commercially operating aseptic filling line. The methodology leverages process monitoring data. Sensor measurements are partitioned using process information and maintenance schedules that are available on different databases. Data is processed to tackle heterogeneity in sources and formats. The data is cleaned to remove the effects of short-term variabilities and to enhance underlying long-term trends. Two approaches are presented for data analysis: first, anomaly detection using independent component analysis (ICA), where clusters of outliers are identified. The frequency and timing of such outliers yield important insights regarding maintenance schedules and actions. The second approach enables condition monitoring using principal component analysis (PCA). Long-term operational baselines are identified and shifts therein are linked with different process and equipment faults. This approach highlights the impact of equipment deterioration on shifting operational data baselines and shows the potential for the combined application of ICA and PCA for equipment condition monitoring. It can be applied within predictive maintenance applications where the installation of new specialized sensors is difficult, like in the pharmaceutical industry.

Volumetric subfield analysis of cynomolgus monkey’s choroid derived from hybrid machine learning optical coherence tomography segmentation

This study aimed to provide volumetric choroidal readings regarding sex, origin, and eye side from healthy cynomolgus monkey eyes as a reference database using optical coherence tomography (OCT) imaging. A machine learning (ML) algorithm was used to extract the choroid from the volumetric OCT data. Classical computer vision methods were then applied to automatically identify the deepest location in the foveolar depression. The choroidal thickness was determined from this reference point. A total of 374 eyes of 203 cynomolgus macaques from Asian and Mauritius origin were included in the analysis. The overall subfoveolar mean choroidal volume in zone 1, in the region of the central bouquet, was 0.156 mm³ (range, 0.131–0.193 mm³). For the central choroid volume, the coefficient of variation (CV) was found of 6.3%, indicating relatively little variation. Our results show, based on analyses of variance, that monkey origin (Asian or Mauritius) does not influence choroid volumes. Sex had a significant influence on choroidal volumes in the superior-inferior axis (p ≤ 0.01), but not in the fovea centralis. A homogeneous foveolar choroidal architecture was also observed.

Dual HER2 blockade with pertuzumab (P) and trastuzumab (T) in patients with HER2-positive metastatic breast cancer (mBC) relapsing after adjuvant treatment with T: results from a German non-interventional study (NIS) HELENA (NCT01777958)

Purpose

NIS HELENA documented outcomes in clinical routine practice of first-line therapy with P plus T and docetaxel (D) of patients with advanced HER2-positive BC and prior (neo)adjuvant T.

Methods

Between 06/2013 through 07/2016, 126 patients (in-label use of P at study start = full analysis set, FAS) in 81 German study sites were included. Intense documentation period was limited to 28 treatment cycles. Maximum follow-up (FU) was 24 months (mos). Safety was assessed in the safety set (SAF = eligible patients with at least one dose of P, n = 132). Median progression-free survival (PFS) was the main parameter of interest.

Results

Mean age of FAS patients was 55.1 [30.7–80.2] years, 81.7% (95.2%) were < 65 (75) years of age. 51.6% of the FAS patients were hormone receptor-positive (HR+), 91.3% had distant, 73.0% visceral, and 18.3% non-visceral metastases. Median disease-free interval was 40.2 [6.6–95.9] mos. Effectiveness (FAS): Median PFS was 18.8 [15.1; 24.2] mos. Overall response rate was 64.3% (55.6; 72.1). Median overall survival was 55.9 mos [41.2, not reached]. Safety (SAF): 93.9% of patients had an adverse event (AE), 32.6% a serious AE (SAE). AEs related to P occurred in 53.8% of SAF, SAEs related to P in 13.6%. Diarrhea was the most frequently reported related (S)AE. There were 8 (6.1%) patients with a fatal AE.

Conclusion

Based on the outcomes from NIS HELENA, results of dual blockade with P+T in patients relapsing after (neo)adjuvant T as reported from the CLEOPATRA study (NCT01777958) can be transferred to routine clinical practice. No new safety signals were detected.