Renal dysfunction as a predictor of stroke and systemic embolism in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation: validation of the R(2)CHADS(2) index in the ROCKET AF (Rivaroxaban Once-daily, oral, direct factor Xa inhibition Compared with vitamin K antagonism for prevention of stroke and Embolism Trial in Atrial Fibrillation) and ATRIA (AnTicoagulation and Risk factors In Atrial fibrillation) study cohorts

Comprehensive comparison of stroke risk score performance: a systematic review and meta-analysis among 6 267 728 patients with atrial fibrillation

AIMS

Multiple risk scores to predict ischaemic stroke (IS) in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have been developed. This study aims to systematically review these scores, their validations and updates, assess their methodological quality, and calculate pooled estimates of the predictive performance.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We searched PubMed and Web of Science for studies developing, validating, or updating risk scores for IS in AF patients. Methodological quality was assessed using the Prediction model Risk Of Bias ASsessment Tool (PROBAST). To assess discrimination, pooled c-statistics were calculated using random-effects meta-analysis. We identified 19 scores, which were validated and updated once or more in 70 and 40 studies, respectively, including 329 validations and 76 updates-nearly all on the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2. Pooled c-statistics were calculated among 6 267 728 patients and 359 373 events of IS. For the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2, pooled c-statistics were 0.644 [95% confidence interval (CI) 0.635-0.653] and 0.658 (0.644-0.672), respectively. Better discriminatory abilities were found in the newer risk scores, with the modified-CHADS2 demonstrating the best discrimination [c-statistic 0.715 (0.674-0.754)]. Updates were found for the CHA2DS2-VASc and CHADS2 only, showing improved discrimination. Calibration was reasonable but available for only 17 studies. The PROBAST indicated a risk of methodological bias in all studies.

CONCLUSION

Nineteen risk scores and 76 updates are available to predict IS in patients with AF. The guideline-endorsed CHA2DS2-VASc shows inferior discriminative abilities compared with newer scores. Additional external validations and data on calibration are required before considering the newer scores in clinical practice.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

ID CRD4202161247 (PROSPERO).

[Safety and effectiveness of oral anticoagulation in patients with atrial fibrillation and renal insufficiency - a real-world perspective]

Non-vitamin-K dependent oral anti-coagulants (NOAC) are the current therapeutic standard for preventing strokes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) and should be preferred over vitamin K antagonists (VKA) in this indication. This recommendation applies also to patients with VHF and concomitant chronic kidney disease (CKD). Real World Evidence (RWE), i. e., structured data from clinical practice, extends and confirms the clinical evidence generated in more formalized clinical trials with NOAC and VKA. In addition, RWE in respect to the indication showed that the superiority of NOAC versus the VKA warfarin can also be extrapolated to phenprocoumon, the commonly used VKA in Germany. Furthermore, data include evidence that the typical progression of CKD appears to be less pronounced in individuals treated with NOAC compared to those treated with VKA.

Edoxaban versus Warfarin in high-risk patients with atrial fibrillation: A comprehensive analysis of high-risk subgroups

BACKGROUND

To compare the efficacy and safety of edoxaban vs warfarin in high-risk subgroups.

METHODS

ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 was a multicenter randomized, double-blind, controlled trial in 21,105 patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) within 12 months and CHADS₂ score >2 randomized to higher-dose edoxaban regimen (HDER) 60 mg/reduced 30 mg, lower-dose edoxaban regimen (LDER) 30 mg/reduced 15 mg, or warfarin, and followed for 2.8 years (median). The primary outcome for this analysis was the net clinical outcome (NCO), a composite of stroke/systemic embolism events, major bleeding, or death. Multivariable risk-stratification analysis was used to categorize patients by the number of high-risk features.

RESULTS

The annualized NCO rates in the warfarin arm were highest in patients with malignancy (19.2%), increased fall risk (14.0%), and very-low body weight (13.5%). The NCO rates increased with the numbers of high-risk factors in the warfarin arm: 4.5%, 7.2%, 9.9% and 14.6% in patients with 0 to 1, 2, 3, and >4 risk factors, respectively (P_trend <0.001). Versus warfarin, HDER was associated with significant reductions of NCO in most of the subgroups: elderly, patients with moderate renal dysfunction, prior stroke/TIA, of Asian race, very-low body weight, concomitant single antiplatelet therapy, and VKA-naïve. With more high-risk features (0->4+), the absolute risk reductions favoring edoxaban over warfarin increased: 0.3%->2.0% for HDER; 0.4%->3.4% for LDER vs warfarin (P = .065 and P < .001, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

While underuse of anticoagulation in high-risk patients with AF remains common, substitution of effective and safer alternatives to warfarin, such as edoxaban, represents an opportunity to improve clinical outcomes.

Predicting cerebral infarction in patients with atrial fibrillation using machine learning: The Fushimi AF registry

The CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores are widely used to assess ischemic risk in the patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the discrimination performance of these scores is limited. Using the data from a community-based prospective cohort study, we sought to construct a machine learning-based prediction model for cerebral infarction in patients with AF, and to compare its performance with the existing scores. All consecutive patients with AF treated at 81 study institutions from March 2011 to May 2017 were enrolled (n = 4396). The whole dataset was divided into a derivation cohort (n = 1005) and validation cohort (n = 752) after excluding the patients with valvular AF and anticoagulation therapy. Using the derivation cohort dataset, a machine learning model based on gradient boosting tree algorithm (ML) was built to predict cerebral infarction. In the validation cohort, the receiver operating characteristic area under the curve of the ML model was higher than those of the existing models according to the Hanley and McNeil method: ML, 0.72 (95%CI, 0.66-0.79); CHADS₂, 0.61 (95%CI, 0.53-0.69); CHA₂DS₂-VASc, 0.62 (95%CI, 0.54-0.70). As a conclusion, machine learning algorithm have the potential to perform better than the CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores for predicting cerebral infarction in patients with non-valvular AF.

Left Atrial Diameter in the Prediction of Thromboembolic Event and Death in Atrial Fibrillation

Background: This study aimed to determine the predictive value of left atrial diameter (LAD), and the incremental prognostic value of LAD in combination with CHA2DS2-VASc score for predicting thromboembolic event and all-cause death in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (AF). Methods: This is a prospective study from 27 hospitals during 2014−2017. LADi is LAD data indexed by body surface area, and LADi in the 4th quartile (LADi Q4) was considered high. Results: A total of 2251 patients (mean age 67.4 years, 58.6% male) were enrolled. Mean follow-up duration was 32.3 months. Rates of thromboembolic events and all-cause death were significantly higher in LADi Q4 patients than in LADi Q1−3 patients (2.89 vs. 1.11 per 100 person-years, p < 0.001, and 7.52 vs. 3.13 per 100 person-years, p < 0.001, respectively). LADi Q4 is an independent predictor of thromboembolic events and all-cause death with an adjusted hazard ratio and 95% confidence interval of 1.94 (1.24−3.05) and 1.81 (1.38−2.37), respectively. LADi has incremental prognostic value on top of the CHA2DS2-VASc score with the increase in global chi-square for thromboembolism (p = 0.005) and all-cause death (p < 0.001). Conclusions: LADi is an independent predictor of thromboembolic event and has incremental prognostic value in combination with CHA2DS2-VASc score in AF patients.

Influence of hemoglobin concentration on the in-hospital outcomes in newly diagnosed heart failure patients with atrial fibrillation: Finding from CCC-AF (improving care for cardiovascular disease in China-atrial fibrillation) project

Atrial fibrillation (AF) and heart failure (HF) coexistence is common of clinical significance. Although anemia is a well-recognized risk factor for adverse outcomes, the prognostic value of hemoglobin is controversial in AF and HF. We aimed to determine whether hemoglobin is associated with in-hospital outcomes in such patients.On the basis of the data from the CCC-AF (Improving Care for Cardiovascular Diseases in China-Atrial Fibrillation) project, 2367 inpatients with a definitive diagnosis of AF and HF and record of admission hemoglobin concentration were included. Logistic regression analysis was performed to investigate the relationship between hemoglobin and in-hospital outcomes.All patients were divided into 4 groups according to quartiles of hemoglobin values. Compared with patients with higher hemoglobin, patients with lower hemoglobin had higher proportion of males, heart rate (HR), and diastolic blood pressure (DBP). On the contrary, they had lower age, medical history, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), and brain natriuretic peptide (P < .05). Spearman correlation showed that hemoglobin was negatively correlated with age, LVEF, international normalized ratio, and serum creatinine but positively correlated with HR, DBP, and blood urea nitrogen (P < .05). Multivariable logistic regression analysis revealed that increasing hemoglobin was an independent protective factor for in-hospital outcomes (odds ratio = 0.989; 95% confidence interval: 0.979-1.000; P = .046).Admission hemoglobin concentration was an independent protective factor for in-hospital outcomes in HF patients with AF. Our study indicated that increasing hemoglobin level and improving anemia degree might improve the prognosis of patients with AF and HF.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2022 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2022 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population and an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, and the global burden of cardiovascular disease and healthy life expectancy.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Management of Adults with Newly Diagnosed Atrial Fibrillation with and without CKD

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is highly prevalent in CKD and is associated with worse cardiovascular and kidney outcomes. Limited data exist on use of AF pharmacotherapies and AF-related procedures by CKD status. We examined a large "real-world" contemporary population with incident AF to study the association of CKD with management of AF.

METHODS

We identified patients with newly diagnosed AF between 2010 and 2017 from two large, integrated health care delivery systems. eGFR (≥60, 45-59, 30-44, 15-29, <15 ml/min per 1.73 m²) was calculated from a minimum of two ambulatory serum creatinine measures separated by ≥90 days. AF medications and procedures were identified from electronic health records. We performed multivariable Fine-Gray subdistribution hazards regression to test the association of CKD severity with receipt of targeted AF therapies.

RESULTS

Among 115,564 patients with incident AF, 34% had baseline CKD. In multivariable models, compared with those with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m², patients with eGFR 30-44 (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 0.91; 95% CI, 0.99 to 0.93), 15-29 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.75 to 0.82), and <15 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.64; 95% CI, 0.58-0.70) had lower use of any AF therapy. Patients with eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m² had lower adjusted use of rate control agents (aHR, 0.61; 95% CI, 0.56 to 0.67), warfarin (aHR, 0.89; 95% CI, 0.84 to 0.94), and DOACs (aHR, 0.23; 95% CI, 0.19 to 0.27) compared with patients with eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m². These associations were even stronger for eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m². There was also a graded association between CKD severity and receipt of AF-related procedures (vs eGFR >60 ml/min per 1.73 m²): eGFR 30-44 ml/min per 1.73 (aHR, 0.78; 95% CI, 0.70 to 0.87), eGFR 15-29 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.61 to 0.88), and eGFR <15 ml/min per 1.73 m² (aHR, 0.48; 95% CI, 0.31 to 0.74).

CONCLUSIONS

In adults with newly diagnosed AF, CKD severity was associated with lower receipt of rate control agents, anticoagulation, and AF procedures. Additional data on efficacy and safety of AF therapies in CKD populations are needed to inform management strategies.

Left Atrial Appendage Thrombus in Patients with Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation before Catheter Ablation and Cardioversion: Risk Factors beyond the CHA2DS2-VASc Score

Left atrial appendage thrombus (LAAT) is a surrogate of thromboembolic events in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). We aimed to investigate the risk factors for LAAT formation before catheter ablation and cardioversion beside the CHA2DS2-VASc score. In this case-control study, patients with NVAF who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) were included. Demographic data, laboratory results, and echocardiographic measurements were retrospectively collected. Logistic regression analysis was performed to determine risk factors predicting LAAT. Of the 543 included patients, LAAT was identified in 50 patients (9.2%). Multivariable logistic regression analysis for the entire cohort showed that NT-proBNP (per 500 ng/L increase, OR (95% CI): 1.09 (1.00–1.19), p = 0.038) and LDL-C (per 1 mmol/L increase, OR (95% CI): 1.70 (1.05–2.77), p = 0.032) were independently correlated with the presence of LAAT after the adjustment for CHA2DS2-VASc score and anticoagulant therapy. The subgroup analysis of patients without anticoagulant therapy also yielded similar results. Regarding patients with CHA2DS2-VASc scores ≤ 1, a higher level of LDL-C (per 1 mmol/L increase, OR (95% CI): 6.31 (2.38–16.74), p < 0.001) independently correlated with the presence of LAAT. The present study suggests that beyond CHA2DS2-VASc score, raised NT-proBNP and LDL-C are additional predictors for LAAT in NVAF patients.

The comparative and added prognostic value of biomarkers to the Revised Cardiac Risk Index for preoperative prediction of major adverse cardiac events and all-cause mortality in patients who undergo noncardiac surgery

BACKGROUND

The Revised Cardiac Risk Index (RCRI) is a widely acknowledged prognostic model to estimate preoperatively the probability of developing in-hospital major adverse cardiac events (MACE) in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. However, the RCRI does not always make accurate predictions, so various studies have investigated whether biomarkers added to or compared with the RCRI could improve this.

OBJECTIVES

Primary: To investigate the added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Secondary: To investigate the prognostic value of biomarkers compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery. Tertiary: To investigate the prognostic value of other prediction models compared to the RCRI to preoperatively predict in-hospital MACE and other adverse outcomes in patients undergoing noncardiac surgery.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched MEDLINE and Embase from 1 January 1999 (the year that the RCRI was published) until 25 June 2020. We also searched ISI Web of Science and SCOPUS for articles referring to the original RCRI development study in that period.

SELECTION CRITERIA

We included studies among adults who underwent noncardiac surgery, reporting on (external) validation of the RCRI and: - the addition of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of biomarker(s) to the RCRI; or - the comparison of the predictive accuracy of the RCRI to other models. Besides MACE, all other adverse outcomes were considered for inclusion.

DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS

We developed a data extraction form based on the CHARMS checklist. Independent pairs of authors screened references, extracted data and assessed risk of bias and concerns regarding applicability according to PROBAST. For biomarkers and prediction models that were added or compared to the RCRI in ≥ 3 different articles, we described study characteristics and findings in further detail. We did not apply GRADE as no guidance is available for prognostic model reviews.

MAIN RESULTS

We screened 3960 records and included 107 articles.   Over all objectives we rated risk of bias as high in ≥ 1 domain in 90% of included studies, particularly in the analysis domain. Statistical pooling or meta-analysis of reported results was impossible due to heterogeneity in various aspects: outcomes used, scale by which the biomarker was added/compared to the RCRI, prediction horizons and studied populations.  Added predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI Fifty-one studies reported on the added value of biomarkers to the RCRI. Sixty-nine different predictors were identified derived from blood (29%), imaging (33%) or other sources (38%). Addition of NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination improved the RCRI for predicting MACE (median delta c-statistics: 0.08, 0.14 and 0.12 for NT-proBNP, troponin and their combination, respectively). The median total net reclassification index (NRI) was 0.16 and 0.74 after addition of troponin and NT-proBNP to the RCRI, respectively. Calibration was not reported. To predict myocardial infarction, the median delta c-statistic when NT-proBNP was added to the RCRI was 0.09, and 0.06 for prediction of all-cause mortality and MACE combined. For BNP and copeptin, data were not sufficient to provide results on their added predictive performance, for any of the outcomes. Comparison of the predictive value of biomarkers to the RCRI  Fifty-one studies assessed the predictive performance of biomarkers alone compared to the RCRI. We identified 60 unique predictors derived from blood (38%), imaging (30%) or other sources, such as the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) classification (32%). Predictions were similar between the ASA classification and the RCRI for all studied outcomes. In studies different from those identified in objective 1, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 and 0.12 in favour of  BNP and NT-proBNP alone, respectively, when compared to the RCRI, for the prediction of MACE. For C-reactive protein, the predictive performance was similar to the RCRI. For other biomarkers and outcomes, data were insufficient to provide summary results. One study reported on calibration and none on reclassification. Comparison of the predictive value of other prognostic models to the RCRI   Fifty-two articles compared the predictive ability of the RCRI to other prognostic models. Of these, 42% developed a new prediction model, 22% updated the RCRI, or another prediction model, and 37% validated an existing prediction model. None of the other prediction models showed better performance in predicting MACE than the RCRI. To predict myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest, ACS-NSQIP-MICA had a higher median delta c-statistic of 0.11 compared to the RCRI. To predict all-cause mortality, the median delta c-statistic was 0.15 higher in favour of ACS-NSQIP-SRS compared to the RCRI. Predictive performance was not better for CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc, R2CHADS2, Goldman index, Detsky index or VSG-CRI compared to the RCRI for any of the outcomes. Calibration and reclassification were reported in only one and three studies, respectively.

AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS

Studies included in this review suggest that the predictive performance of the RCRI in predicting MACE is improved when NT-proBNP, troponin or their combination are added. Other studies indicate that BNP and NT-proBNP, when used in isolation, may even have a higher discriminative performance than the RCRI. There was insufficient evidence of a difference between the predictive accuracy of the RCRI and other prediction models in predicting MACE. However, ACS-NSQIP-MICA and ACS-NSQIP-SRS outperformed the RCRI in predicting myocardial infarction and cardiac arrest combined, and all-cause mortality, respectively. Nevertheless, the results cannot be interpreted as conclusive due to high risks of bias in a majority of papers, and pooling was impossible due to heterogeneity in outcomes, prediction horizons, biomarkers and studied populations. Future research on the added prognostic value of biomarkers to existing prediction models should focus on biomarkers with good predictive accuracy in other settings (e.g. diagnosis of myocardial infarction) and identification of biomarkers from omics data. They should be compared to novel biomarkers with so far insufficient evidence compared to established ones, including NT-proBNP or troponins. Adherence to recent guidance for prediction model studies (e.g. TRIPOD; PROBAST) and use of standardised outcome definitions in primary studies is highly recommended to facilitate systematic review and meta-analyses in the future.

Patient selection, procedural planning and interventional guidance for non-valvular structural intervention

Percutaneous non-valvular structural interventions, encompassing patent foramen ovale, atrial or ventricular septal defect closure and left atrial appendage closure, are usually performed in young and healthy patients and represent a valid alternative to pharmacological or surgical interventions. In order to minimize procedural and device related complications, a careful pre-procedural planning together with an accurate intra-procedural imaging are crucial to improve patient's outcome. In this article, we review currently available evidence on patient selection, procedural planning and interventional guidance helping physician to determine who will derive the most benefit from the procedure.

Prognostic value of GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc score among patients with atrial fibrillation undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention

AIMS

The GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc risk score are developed for risk stratification in patients with acute coronary syndrome and AF, respectively. We aimed to assess the predictive performance of the GRACE score and CHA2DS2-VASc score among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) undergoing percutaneous coronary intervention (PCI).

METHODS

Consecutive patients with a diagnosis of AF admitted to our hospital for PCI between January 2016 and December 2018 were included and followed up for at least 1 year. The primary endpoint was a composite of major adverse cardiac events (MACEs) including all-cause mortality, repeat revascularization, myocardial infarction, or ischaemic stroke.

RESULTS

A total of 1452 patients were identified. Cox regression demonstrated that the GRACE (HR 1.014, 95% CI 1.008-1.020, p < 0.001) but not the CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with the risk of MACEs. Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores were predictive of all-cause mortality with HR of 1.028 (95% CI 1.020-1.037, p < 0.001) and 1.334 (95% CI 1.107-1.632, p = 0.003). Receiver operating characteristic analyses showed both scores had similar discrimination capacity for all-cause mortality (C-statistic: 0.708 for GRACE vs. 0.661 for CHA2DS2-VASc, p = 0.299). High GRACE score was also significantly associated with increased risk of ischaemic stroke (HR 1.018, 95% CI 1.005-1.031, p = 0.006) and major bleeding (HR 1.012, 95% CI 1.001-1.024, p = 0.039), whereas high CHA2DS2-VASc score was not.

CONCLUSIONS

High GRACE score but not CHA2DS2-VASc score were both associated with an increased risk of MACEs after PCI in patients with AF. The GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores have similar predictive performance for predicting all-cause mortality.Key messages:In patients with AF undergoing PCI, increasing GRACE but not CHA2DS2-VASc scores was independently associated high risk of MACEs.The GRACE score could also help identify patients at higher risk of stroke and major bleeding.Both GRACE and CHA2DS2-VASc scores showed good ability in the prediction of all-cause mortality.

Patient characteristics, care patterns, and outcomes of atrial fibrillation associated hospitalizations in patients with chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease

BACKGROUND

Chronic Kidney Disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) are associated with poor outcomes in patients with cardiovascular disease. There is a paucity of contemporary data on in-hospital outcomes and care patterns of atrial fibrillation (AF) associated hospitalizations CKD and ESRD.

METHODS

Outcomes and care patterns were evaluated in GWTG-AFIB database (Jan 2013-Dec 2018), including in-hospital mortality, use of a rhythm control strategy, and oral anticoagulation (OAC) prescription at discharge among eligible patients. Generalized logistic regression models with generalized estimating equations were used to ascertain differences in outcomes. Hospital-level variation in OAC prescription and rhythm control was also evaluated.

RESULTS

Among 50,154 patients from 105 hospitals the median age was 70 years (interquartile range 61-79) and 47.3% were women. The prevalence of CKD was 36.0% while that of ESRD was 1.6%. Among eligible patients, discharge OAC prescription rates were 93.6% for CKD and 89.1% for ESRD. After adjustment, CKD and ESRD were associated with higher in-hospital mortality (odds ratio [OR] 3.08, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.57-6.03 for ESRD and OR 2.02, 95% CI 1.52-2.67 for CKD), lower odds of OAC prescription at discharge (OR 0.59, 95% CI 0.44-0.79 for ESRD and OR 0.84, 95% CI 0.75-0.94 for CKD) compared with normal renal function. CKD was associated with lower utilization of rhythm control strategy (OR 0.92, 95% CI 0.87-0.98) with no significant difference between ESRD and normal renal function (OR 1.32, 95% CI 0.79-1.11). There was large hospital-level variation in OAC prescription at discharge (MOR 2.34, 95% CI 2.05-2.76) and utilization of a rhythm control strategy (MOR 2.69, 95% CI 2.34-3.21).

CONCLUSIONS

CKD/ESRD is associated with higher in-hospital mortality, less frequent rhythm control, and less OAC prescription among patients hospitalized for AF. There is wide hospital-level variation in utilization of a rhythm control strategy and OAC prescription at discharge highlighting potential opportunities to improve care and outcomes for these patients, and better define standards of care in this patient population.

Chronic kidney disease and risks of adverse clinical events in patients with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is highly prevalent in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the association between CKD and clinical consequences in AF patients is still under debate.

METHODS

We included 19,079 nonvalvular AF patients with available estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) values in the Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry from 2011 to 2018. Patients were classified into no CKD (eGFR ≥ 90 mL/min per 1.73 m²), mild CKD (60 ≤ eGFR < 90 mL/min per 1.73 m ²), moderate CKD (30 ≤ eGFR < 60 mL/min per 1.73 m ²), and severe CKD (eGFR < 30 mL/min per 1.73 m ²) groups. The risks of thromboembolism, major bleeding, and cardiovascular mortality were estimated with Fine-Gray regression analysis according to CKD status. Cox regression was performed to assess the risk of all-cause mortality associated with CKD.

RESULTS

Over a mean follow-up of 4.1 ± 1.9 years, there were 985 thromboembolic events, 414 major bleeding events, 956 cardiovascular deaths, and 1,786 all-cause deaths. After multivariate adjustment, CKD was not an independent risk factor of thromboembolic events. As compared to patients with no CKD, those with mild CKD, moderate CKD, and severe CKD had a 45%, 47%, and 133% higher risk of major bleeding, respectively. There was a graded increased risk of cardiovascular mortality associated with CKD status compared with no CKD group: adjusted hazard ratio [HR] was 1.34 (95% CI: 1.07-1.68,P = 0.011) for mild CKD group, 2.17 (95% CI: 1.67-2.81,P < 0.0001) for moderate CKD group, and 2.95 (95% CI: 1.97-4.41, P < 0.0001) for severe CKD group, respectively. Risk of all-cause mortality also increased among patients with moderate or severe CKD.

CONCLUSIONS

CKD status was independently associated with progressively higher risks of major bleeding and mortality, but didn't seem to be an independent predictor of thromboembolism in AF patients.

Comparison of Low and Full Dose Apixaban Versus Warfarin in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation and Renal Dysfunction (from a National Registry)

The use of direct oral anticoagulants for stroke prevention in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is robust. However, the efficacy and safety of different dosage in patients with renal dysfunction is still a clinical challenge. We aimed to evaluate the clinical characteristics and outcomes of patients treated with apixaban in its different doses. A multicenter prospective cohort study, where consecutive eligible apixaban or warfarin treated patients with NVAF and renal impairment, were registered. Patients were followed-up for clinical events over a mean period of 1 year. Analyses were performed according to the dose of apixaban given, with consideration to the standard indications for dose reduction. Primary outcome was a composite of 1-year mortality, stroke or systemic embolism, major bleeding and myocardial infarction, while secondary outcomes included those components separated. Among the study population (n = 2,140), risk of composite outcome was significantly lower in the high dose apixaban group (10%, n = 491) than the low dose group (18%, n = 673) and the warfarin group (18%, n = 976) p <0.001. Results of 1-year mortality were similar. Apixaban dosing analysis revealed 65% of patients were appropriately dosed, while 31% were under-dosed and 4% were over-dosed. Furthermore, 53% of patients treated with low dose apixaban were under-dosed. Propensity score analysis revealed that patients who were appropriately treated with low-dose apixaban had a trend towards better composite outcome and mortality than 1:1 matched warfarin treated patients (18% vs 24%, p = 0.09 and 16% vs 23%, p = 0.06, respectively). Overall, appropriately dosed apixaban treated patients at any dose had significantly better outcomes than matched warfarin treated patients (composite outcome probability of 13.1% vs 18.6%, p = 0.007). In conclusion, apixaban at any dose is a reasonable alternative to warfarin in patients with renal impairment, possibly associated with improved outcomes.

Efficacy of R2CHA2DS2-VA score for predicting thromboembolism in Thai patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Background

There is no data specific to the addition of renal dysfunction and age 50–64 years as risk parameters to the CHA₂DS₂-VA score, which is known as the R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA score, among NVAF patients. Accordingly, the aim of this study was to validate the R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA score for predicting thromboembolism in Thai NVAF patients.

Methods

Thai NVAF patients were prospectively enrolled in a nationwide multicenter registry from 27 hospitals during 2014–2020. Each component of the CHA₂DS₂-VA and R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA scores was scored and recorded. The main outcomes were thromboembolism, including ischemic stroke, transient ischemic attack (TIA), and/or systemic embolism. The annual incidence rate of thromboembolism among patients in each R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and CHA₂DS₂-VA risk score category is shown as hazard ratio (HR) and 95% confidence interval (95% CI). The performance of the R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and CHA₂DS₂-VA scores was demonstrated using c-statistics. Net reclassification index was calculated. Calibration plat was used to assess agreement between observed probabilities and predicted probabilities of both scoring system.

Results

A total of 3402 patients were enrolled during 2014–2020. The average age of patients was 67.38 ± 11.27 years. Of those, 46.9% had renal disease, 30.7% had a history of heart failure, and 17.1% had previous stroke or TIA. The average R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and CHA₂DS₂-VA scores were 3.92 ± 1.92 and 2.98 ± 1.43, respectively. Annual thromboembolic risk increased with incremental increase in R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and CHA₂DS₂-VA scores. Oral anticoagulants had benefit in stroke prevention in NVAF patients with an R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA score of 2 or more (adjusted HR: 0.630, 95% CI 0.413–0.962, p = 0.032). The c-statistics were 0.630 (95% CI 0.61–0.65) and 0.627 (95% CI 0.61–0.64), for R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and CHA2DS2-VA scores respectively. NRI was 2.2%. The slope and R2 of the calibration plot were 0.73 and 0.905 for R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA and 0.70 and 0.846 for CHA₂DS₂-VA score respectively.

Conclusions

R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA score was found to be at least as good as CHA₂DS₂-VA score for predicting thromboembolism in Thai patients with NVAF. Similar to CHA₂DS₂-VA score, thromboembolism increased with incremental increase in R₂CHA₂DS₂-VA score.

[Atrial fibrillation and the limits of oral anticoagulation: for whom are left atrial appendage occluders suitable?]

BACKGROUND

Patients with atrial fibrillation are at a significantly increased risk of thromboembolic events, especially ischemic strokes. Oral anticoagulation reduces this risk, but cannot be used in some patients for various reasons and is associated with a relevantly increased risk of bleeding. As an alternative for prophylaxis of thromboembolic events in patients with atrial fibrillation, there are different options of left atrial appendage closure.

AIM

This article explains the possibilities of interventional atrial occlusion as well as the suitable patient clientele using an overview of the currently available systems for atrial occlusion, a guideline for patient selection and a summary of the current scientific data.

CONCLUSION AND AVAILABLE SCIENTIFIC DATA

In carefully selected patients suffering from atrial fibrillation with relative or absolute contraindications for oral anticoagulation, interventional closure of the atrial appendage is a safe alternative for prophylaxis against thromboembolic events. The currently available scientific evidence from randomized controlled trials is sparse. Nevertheless, extensive amounts of registry study data suggest a benefit, while the results of several large randomized controlled trials are expected in the coming years.

Nomogram to Predict Left Atrial Thrombus or Spontaneous Echo Contrast in Patients With Non-valvular Atrial Fibrillation

Background: The predictive power of the CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc scores for the presence of Left atrial thrombus (LAT)/ spontaneous echo contrast (SEC) in non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF) is modest. The aim of this analysis is to define clinical and ultrasonic variables associated with LAT/SEC and to propose nomograms for individual risk prediction.

Methods: Data on 1,813 consecutive NVAF patients who underwent transesophageal echocardiography (TEE) from January 2016 to January 2021 were collected. The univariate and multivariate logistic regression analyses were used to construct a nomogram. We examined the predictive ability of the risk scores by calculating the area under the curve (AUC). Moreover, the performance of the nomogram was assessed with respect to calibration, discrimination, and clinical usefulness.

Results: LAT/SEC was found in 260 (21.0%) and 124 (21.6%) patients in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. On multivariate analysis, independent factors for LAT/SEC were Age, left atrial diameter (LAD), left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), hypertension (HTN), previous stroke or transient ischemic attack, Non-paroxysmal AF and a nomogram was built based on these variables. The calibration curve for the probability of LAT/SEC showed good prediction agreement with actual observation. The nomogram achieved good concordance indexes of 0.836 and 0.794 in predicting LAT/SEC in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Decision curve analysis demonstrated that the nomogram would be clinically useful.

Conclusions: In this study, a nomogram was constructed that incorporated six characteristics of NVAF patients. The nomogram may be of great value for the prediction of LAT/SEC in NVAF patients.

Comparison of the Safety and Efficacy of Direct Oral Anticoagulants and Warfarin in Atrial Fibrillation or Venous Thromboembolism in Patients with Renal Impairment: Systematic Review, Meta-Analysis and Network Meta-Analysis

BACKGROUND

Due to the high risk of ischemic and arterial or venous bleeding events in atrial fibrillation (AF) or venous thromboembolism (VTE) patients with renal impairment (RI), selection of appropriate anticoagulant regimen is important. Therefore, we systematically reviewed and compared the safety and effects of oral anticoagulants in AF and VTE patients with RI.

METHODS

Eligible articles were identified through a literature search in PubMed, Embase, ClinicalTrials.gov, and the Cochrane Library for studies published between January 2008 and November 2020. Network meta-analysis was conducted with STATA 14.0 to analyze the effects and safety of each drug with regard to different levels of renal function.

RESULTS

15 studies including 82,931 patients (76,957 with AF and 5974 with VTE) were analyzed. Compared with those of warfarin, the risk ratios of effect and safety outcomes of apixaban were 0.70 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.60-0.82) and 0.56 (95% CI 0.42-0.76) in AF patients and 0.33 (95% CI 0.19-0.59) and 0.95 (95% CI 0.68-1.34) in VTE patients. Apixaban had the first or second highest probability of being ranked first with respect to surface under the cumulative ranking curve (SUCRA) scores in the prevention of major bleeding events, while in the prevention of ischemic events, rivaroxaban showed a higher SUCRA score (0.78-0.92) in mild RI patients and dabigatran showed a higher SUCRA value (0.90-0.99) in moderate RI patients.

CONCLUSIONS AND RELEVANCE

In the systematic review and meta-analysis, for AF or VTE patients with RI, direct oral anticoagulants performed comparably to or better than warfarin with regard to safety and effects. The network meta-analysis indicated that for patients with mild RI, apixaban might be safer for patients with a lower risk of ischemic events, while rivaroxaban might be suitable for patients with a lower risk of bleeding events. For patients with moderate RI, apixaban could reduce the risk of ischemic events without increasing the risk of bleeding events. For AF patients with severe RI, apixaban, rivaroxaban, and warfarin showed a similar effect. These results might provide suggestions for clinical arterial and venous thrombosis prevention.

Consequences of oral antithrombotic use in patients with chronic kidney disease

We assessed the risks of bleeding, acute kidney injury (AKI), and kidney failure associated with the prescription of antithrombotic agents (oral anticoagulants and/or antiplatelet agents) in patients with moderate-to-advanced chronic kidney disease (CKD). CKD-REIN is a prospective cohort of 3022 nephrology outpatients with CKD stages 2-5 at baseline. We used cause-specific Cox proportional hazard models to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) for bleeding (identified through hospitalizations), AKI, and kidney failure. Prescriptions of oral antithrombotics were treated as time-dependent variables. At baseline, 339 (11%) patients (65% men; 69 [60-76] years) were prescribed oral anticoagulants only, 1095 (36%) antiplatelets only, and 101 (3%) both type of oral antithrombotics. Over a median (interquartile range [IQR]) follow-up period of 3.0 (IQR, 2.8-3.1) years, 152 patients experienced a bleeding event, 414 patients experienced an episode of AKI, and 270 experienced kidney failure. The adjusted HRs (95% confidence interval [95% CI]) for bleeding associated with prescriptions of antiplatelets only, oral anticoagulants only, and antiplatelet + oral anticoagulant were, respectively, 0.74 (95% CI, 0.46-1.19), 2.38 (95% CI, 1.45-3.89), and 3.96 (95% CI, 2.20-7.12). An increased risk of AKI risk was associated with the prescription of oral anticoagulants (adjusted HR, 1.90, 95% CI, 1.47-2.45) but not the prescription of antiplatelets (HR, 1.24, 95% CI, 0.98-1.56). Kidney failure was not associated with the prescription of oral antithrombotics of any type. This study confirms the high risk of AKI associated with oral anticoagulants prescription in patients with CKD and also highlights the potential aggravating effect of combining vitamin K antagonist (VKA) and antiplatelets on the risk of bleeding.

Association of kidney function and atrial fibrillation progression to clinical outcomes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices

BACKGROUND

Kidney function may promote progression of AF.

OBJECTIVE

We evaluated the association of kidney function to AF progression and resultant clinical outcomes in patients with cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIED).

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study using national clinical data from the Veterans Health Administration linked to CIED data from the Carelink® remote monitoring data warehouse (Medtronic Inc, Mounds View, MN). All devices had atrial leads and at least 75% of remote monitoring transmission coverage. Patients were included at the date of the first AF episode lasting ≥6 minutes, and followed until the occurrence of persistent AF in the first year, defined as ≥7 consecutive days with continuous AF. We used Cox regression analyses with persistent AF as a time-varying covariate to examine the association to stroke, myocardial infarction, heart failure and death.

RESULTS

Of, 10,323 eligible patients, 1,771 had a first CIED-detected AF (mean age 69 ± 10 years, 1.2% female). In the first year 355 (20%) developed persistent AF. Kidney function was not associated with persistent AF after multivariable adjustment including CHA₂DS₂-VASc variables and prior medications. Only higher age increased the risk (HR: 1.37 per 10 years; 95% CI:1.22-1.54). Persistent AF was associated to higher risk of heart failure (HR: 2.27; 95% CI: 1.88-2.74) and death (HR: 1.60; 95% CI: 1.30-1.96), but not stroke (HR: 1.28; 95% CI: 0.62-2.62) or myocardial infarction (HR: 1.43; 95% CI: 0.91-2.25).

CONCLUSION

Kidney function was not associated to AF progression, whereas higher age was. Preventing AF progression could reduce the risk of heart failure and death.

Effectiveness of Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Obese Adults With Atrial Fibrillation: A Systematic Review of Systematic Reviews and Meta-Analysis

Background: Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained cardiac arrhythmia. Obesity is an independent risk factor for AF. Anticoagulants have been strongly recommended by all international guidelines to prevent stroke. However, altered pathophysiology in obese adults may influence anticoagulant pharmacology. Direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) in the context of obesity and AF have been examined in recent systematic reviews. Despite the similarities in included studies, their results and conclusions do not agree.

Methods and Results: The protocol for this review was registered with PROSPERO (CRD42020181510). Seven key electronic databases were searched using search terms such as “atrial fibrillation,” “obese,^*” “overweight,” “novel oral anticoagulant,” “direct oral anticoagulant,” “DOAC,” “NOAC,” “apixaban,” dabigatran,” “rivaroxaban,” and “edoxaban” to locate published and unpublished studies. Only systematic reviews with meta-analyses that examined the effect of DOACs in overweight or obese adults with AF, published in the English language, were included. A total of 9,547 articles were initially retrieved. After removing the duplicates, title and abstract review and full-text review, five articles were included in the systematic review. From these only RCTs were included in the meta-analyses. There was disagreement within the published systematic reviews on DOACs in obesity. The results from our meta-analysis did not show any significant difference between all body mass index (BMI) groups for all outcomes at both 12 months and for the entire trial duration. Non-significant differences were seen among the different types of DOACs.

Conclusion: There was no difference between the BMI classes in any of the outcomes assessed. This may be due to the limited number of people in the trial that were in the obese class, especially obese class III. There is a need for large prospective trials to confirm which DOACs are safe and efficacious in the obese class III adults and at which dose.

Association of chronic kidney disease and end-stage renal disease with procedural complications and in-hospital outcomes from left atrial appendage occlusion device implantation in patients with atrial fibrillation: Insights from the national inpatient sample of 36,065 procedures

Background

Left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) has emerged as an alternative strategy to oral anticoagulation for mitigating ischemic stroke risk in selected patients with atrial fibrillation (AF), but safety data in patients with significant kidney disease are limited.

Objective

To determine the association of chronic kidney disease (CKD) and end-stage renal disease (ESRD) with procedural complications and in-hospital outcomes after LAAO in AF patients.

Methods

Data were extracted from National Inpatient Sample for calendar years 2015–2018. Watchman implantations were identified on the basis of International Classification of Diseases, 9th and 10th Revision, Clinical Modification codes of 37.90 and 02L73DK. The outcomes assessed in our study included complications, inpatient mortality, and resource utilization with LAAO.

Results

A total of 36,065 Watchman recipients were included in the final analysis. CKD (9.8%, n = 3545) and ESRD (3%, n = 1155) were associated with a higher prevalence of major complications and mortality in crude analysis compared to no CKD. After multivariate adjustment for potential confounders, CKD was associated with length of stay (LOS) >1 day (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.355; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.234–1.488), median cost >$24,663 (aOR 1.267; 95% CI 1.176–1.365), and acute kidney injury (aOR 4.134; 95% CI 3.536–4.833), while ESRD was associated with in-patient mortality (aOR 7.156; 95% CI 3.294–15.544).

Conclusion

The prevalence of CKD and ESRD was approximately 13% in AF patients undergoing Watchman LAAO implantations. CKD was independently associated with prolonged LOS, higher hospitalization costs, and acute kidney injury, while ESRD was independently associated with in-patient mortality.

Decreased estimated glomerular filtration rate predicts long-term recurrence after catheter ablation of atrial fibrillation in mild to moderate renal insufficiency

BACKGROUND

Catheter ablation is an established therapy for atrial fibrillation (AF), but recurrence after ablation remains a great challenge. Additionally, little is known about the effect of renal function on the efficiency of AF ablation. This study aimed to evaluate the predictors of the prognosis of catheter ablation for AF, especially the effect of renal function.

METHODS

A total of 306 drug-refractory symptomatic patients with AF who underwent first-time catheter ablation were enrolled in the present study. Individuals underwent circumferential pulmonary vein isolation for paroxysmal AF and stepwise ablation for persistent AF.

RESULTS

The follow-up time was 27.2 ± 19.5 months, 202 patients (66.01%) were free of atrial tachyarrhythmia (non-recurrence group), and the other 104 patients experienced recurrence (recurrence group). The recurrence group had a larger left atrial diameter (LAD) and left atrial volume (LAV), a higher LAV index (LAVI) (both, p < 0.01), and a lower estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) (53.5 ± 14.4 vs. 65.5 ± 13.3 ml/min/1.732, p < 0.001) and creatinine clearance rate (CCr) (85.2 ± 26.1 vs. 101.5 ± 29.4 ml/min, p < 0.05). Multivariate logistic regression indicated both eGFR (p = 0.002) and LAVI (p < 0.001) as independent associated factors for long-term recurrence after single catheter ablation; multivariate Cox proportional hazard regression with backward feature selection identified both eGFR (HR: 0.93, 95% CI: 0.91-0.95, p < 0.001) and LAVI (HR: 1.32, 95% CI: 1.25-1.40, p < 0.001) as independent prognostic factors for recurrence when adjusting other clinical variables.

CONCLUSIONS

Decreased eGFR and elevated LAVI may facilitate the long-term recurrence of atrial tachyarrhythmia after catheter ablation for AF.

Why Did All Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and High Risk of Stroke Not Receive Oral Anticoagulants? Results of the Polish Atrial Fibrillation (POL-AF) Registry

Background: Most atrial fibrillation (AF) patients are at high risk of thromboembolic, and the use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) is advised in such cases. The aim of the study was to evaluate the frequency at which OACs were used in patients with AF and high risk thromboembolic complications, and identify factors that result in OACs not being used in the researched group of patients. Methods: The prospective, multicenter and non-interventional POL-AF registry is a study that includes AF patients from ten Polish cardiology centers. They were consecutively hospitalized between January and December of 2019. All the patients in the study were of high stroke risk. Results: A total of 3614 patients with AF and high stroke risk were included. Among the total study population, 91.5% received OAC therapy; antiplatelet therapy was prescribed for 3.7% of patients, heparin for 2.7%, and 2.1% of patients did not receive any stroke prevention therapy. Independent predictors of no OAC prescription were intracranial bleeding (OR 0.15, 95%CI 0.07–0.35, p < 0.001), gastrointestinal bleeding (OR 0.25, 95%CI 0.17–0.37, p < 0.001), cancer (OR 0.37, 95%CI 0.25–0.55, p < 0.001), hospitalization due to acute coronary syndrome (OR 0.48, 95%CI 0.33–0.69, p < 0.001), and anemia (OR 0.62, 95%CI 0.48–0.81, p < 0.001). Conclusions: Most AF patients with a high thromboembolic risk received OACs. The factors predisposing a lack of OAC use in these patients were conditions that significantly increased the risk of bleeding complications.

Does CHA2DS2-VASc score predict mortality in chronic kidney disease?

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is a leading cause of morbidity and mortality worldwide. Assessment of cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality in CKD patients is of particular importance. CHA2DS2-VASc (congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥ 75 years, diabetes, prior stroke, vascular disease, age 65-74 years, and sex) score was originally formulated to predict the annual thromboembolic risk in patients with nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (AF). The calculation of R2CHADS2 and R2CHA2DS2VASc scores awarded an additional 2 points for CrCl < 60 mL/min and GFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2. Recent studies have investigated whether CHA2DS2-VASc and R2CHADS ± VASC scores could be used to predict CV or all-cause mortality in patients with CKD. CHA2DS2-VASc score was proven to be a significant predictor of CV and all-cause mortality in CKD patients, and a higher CHA2DS2-VASc score was associated with increased mortality. These findings are quite promising, and they may help physicians to identify high-risk groups in this population.

Effect of renal impairment on the efficacy and safety of intra-arterial treatment: A post-hoc analysis of DIRECT-MT study

OBJECTIVE

To determine the influence of renal impairment on clinical outcomes in patients presenting emergent anterior circulation occlusion treated with mechanical thrombectomy.

METHODS

Consecutive patients with anterior circulation stroke treated with mechanical thrombectomy at 41 academic tertiary care centers were included. renal impairment was defined as glomerular filtration rate <60 mL/min/1.73 m² at the time of admission. The primary outcome was the distribution of scores on the modified Rankin scale, and safety outcomes were mortality within 90 days and hemorrhagic complications. Binary and ordinal logistic regression was used to evaluate the associations between renal impairment and categorical outcomes. Linear regression was used to assess continuous outcomes.

RESULTS

A total of 607 patients (47 renal impairment and 600 non-renal impairment) who underwent mechanical thrombectomy were included in this study. Multivariate regression analysis showed that renal impairment was independently associated with the increase of the modified Rankin scale at 90 days. The proportion of patients with successful reperfusion was 71.7% in the renal impairment group and 83.3% in the non-renal impairment group. Renal impairment was an independent predictor of 90-day mortality. No significant treatment for the ordinal modified Rankin scale or 90-day mortality was observed by renal impairment interaction. The risk of asymptomatic intracranial hemorrhage was higher in the mechanical thrombectomy plus IVT group (53.6%) than in the mechanical thrombectomy alone group (15.8%) for renal impairment, but was similar between the mechanical thrombectomy plus IVT group (34.6%) and the mechanical thrombectomy alone group (36.4%) for non-renal impairment (p = 0.01).

CONCLUSION

These results demonstrated that the outcomes of mechanical thrombectomy alone and mechanical thrombectomy plus IVT group did not differ significantly in acute stroke patients with and without renal impairment. Also, renal impairment was an independent predictor of worse functional independence and higher mortality at 90 days.

Evidence and Challenges in Left Atrial Appendage Management

This review aimed to discuss the anatomical properties of the left atrial appendage (LAA), its relationship with atrial fibrillation (AF), effectiveness of LAA occlusion (LAAO), techniques, and new devices used to perform this procedure. An electronic search was performed to identify studies, in the English language, on LAA management. Searches were performed on PubMed Central, Scopus, and Medline from the dates of database inception to February 2020. For the assessed papers, data were extracted from the reviewed text, tables, and figures, by two independent authors. Anticoagulant therapy for patients with AF has proven beneficial and is highly recommended, but it is challenging for many patients to maintain optimal treatment. Surgery is the most cost-effective option; surgical methods include simple LAA resection, thoracoscopic surgery, and catheter treatment. Each procedure has its advantages and disadvantages, and many prospective studies have been conducted to evaluate various treatment methods. In managing the LAA, dissection of the LAA, such as changes in its shape and size due to remodeling during AF, changes in autonomic nerve function, and thrombosis, must be understood anatomically and physiologically. We believe that early treatment intervention for the LAA should be considered particularly in cases of recurrent AF.

Conclusion: SLET under artificial pneumothorax is feasible and safe in minimally invasive McKeown esophagectomy.

Prediction of Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Chronic Kidney Disease: The Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort Study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is common in CKD and associated with poor kidney and cardiovascular outcomes. Prediction models developed using novel methods may be useful to identify patients with CKD at highest risk of incident AF. We compared a previously published prediction model with models developed using machine learning methods in a CKD population.

DESIGN, SETTING, PARTICIPANTS, & MEASUREMENTS

We studied 2766 participants in the Chronic Renal Insufficiency Cohort study without prior AF with complete cardiac biomarker (N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T) and clinical data. We evaluated the utility of machine learning methods as well as a previously validated clinical prediction model (Cohorts for Heart and Aging Research in Genomic Epidemiology [CHARGE]-AF, which included 11 predictors, using original and re-estimated coefficients) to predict incident AF. Discriminatory ability of each model was assessed using the ten-fold cross-validated C-index; calibration was evaluated graphically and with the Grønnesby and Borgan test.

RESULTS

Mean (SD) age of participants was 57 (11) years, 55% were men, 38% were Black, and mean (SD) eGFR was 45 (15) ml/min per 1.73 m2; 259 incident AF events occurred during a median of 8 years of follow-up. The CHARGE-AF prediction equation using original and re-estimated coefficients had C-indices of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.71) and 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70), respectively. A likelihood-based boosting model using clinical variables only had a C-index of 0.67 (95% confidence interval, 0.64 to 0.70); adding N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide, high-sensitivity troponin T, or both biomarkers improved the C-index by 0.04, 0.01, and 0.04, respectively. In addition to N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T, the final model included age, non-Hispanic Black race/ethnicity, Hispanic race/ethnicity, cardiovascular disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, myocardial infarction, peripheral vascular disease, use of angiotensin-converting enzyme inhibitor/angiotensin receptor blockers, calcium channel blockers, diuretics, height, and weight.

CONCLUSIONS

Using machine learning algorithms, a model that included 12 standard clinical variables and cardiac-specific biomarkers N-terminal pro-B-type natriuretic peptide and high-sensitivity troponin T had moderate discrimination for incident AF in a CKD population.

Chronic Kidney Disease and Cerebrovascular Disease: Consensus and Guidance From a KDIGO Controversies Conference

The global health burden of chronic kidney disease is rapidly rising, and chronic kidney disease is an important risk factor for cerebrovascular disease. Proposed underlying mechanisms for this relationship include shared traditional risk factors such as hypertension and diabetes, uremia-related nontraditional risk factors, such as oxidative stress and abnormal calcium-phosphorus metabolism, and dialysis-specific factors such as cerebral hypoperfusion and changes in cardiac structure. Chronic kidney disease frequently complicates routine stroke risk prediction, diagnosis, management, and prevention. It is also associated with worse stroke severity, outcomes and a high burden of silent cerebrovascular disease, and vascular cognitive impairment. Here, we present a summary of the epidemiology, pathophysiology, diagnosis, and treatment of cerebrovascular disease in chronic kidney disease from the Kidney Disease: Improving Global Outcomes Controversies Conference on central and peripheral arterial disease with a focus on knowledge gaps, areas of controversy, and priorities for research.

Prior ischemic strokes are non-inferior for predicting future ischemic strokes than CHA2DS2-VASc score in hemodialysis patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Background

We tested whether CHA₂DS₂-VASc and/or HAS-BLED scores better predict ischemic stroke and major bleeding, respectively, than their individual components in maintenance hemodialysis (MHD) patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Methods

A retrospective cohort study of a clinical database containing the medical records of 268 MHD patients with non-valvular AF (167 women, mean age 73.4 ± 10.2 years). During the median follow-up of 21.0 (interquartile range, 5.0–44.0) months, 46 (17.2%) ischemic strokes and 24 (9.0%) major bleeding events were reported.

Results

Although CHA₂DS₂-VASc predicted ischemic stroke risk in the study population (adjusted HR 1.74 with 95% CI 1.23–2.46 for each unit of increase in CHA₂DS₂-VASc score, and HR of 5.57 with 95% CI 1.88–16.49 for CHA₂DS₂-VASc score ≥ 6), prior ischemic strokes/transient ischemic attacks (TIAs) were non-inferior in both univariate and multivariate analyses (adjusted HR 8.65 with 95% CI 2.82–26.49). The ROC AUC was larger for the prior ischemic stroke/TIA than for CHA₂DS₂-VASc. Furthermore, the CHA₂DS₂-VASc score did not predict future ischemic stroke risks in study participants who did not previously experience ischemic strokes/TIAs (adjusted HR 1.41, 95% CI: 0.84–2.36). The HAS-BLED score and its components did not have predictive abilities in discriminating bleeding risk in the study population.

Conclusions

Previous ischemic strokes are non-inferior for predicting of future ischemic strokes than the complete CHA₂DS₂-VASc score in MHD patients. CHA₂DS₂VASc scores are less predictive in MHD patients without histories of CVA/TIA. HAS-BLED scores do not predict major bleeding in MHD patients. These findings should redesign approaches to ischemic stroke risk stratification in MHD patients if future large-scale epidemiological studies confirm them.

Edoxaban versus warfarin in patients with atrial fibrillation in relation to the risk of stroke: A secondary analysis of the ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 study

INTRODUCTION

The efficacy and safety of the oral factor Xa inhibitor edoxaban compared to warfarin stratified by CHA₂DS₂VASc scores have not been described.

METHODS

The ENGAGE AF-TIMI 48 trial randomized patients with atrial fibrillation to once-daily edoxaban or warfarin. We classified patients based on CHA₂DS₂VASc score and compared pharmacokinetics (edoxaban concentration), pharmacodynamics (anti-factor Xa [FXa] with edoxaban, time-in-therapeutic range for warfarin), efficacy (stroke or systemic embolism [SSE]), safety (major bleeding [MB], intracranial hemorrhage), and cardiovascular mortality, for the approved edoxaban regimen vs warfarin.

RESULTS

The distribution CHA₂DS₂VASc score were:≤3, N = 4159 (29.6%); 4, N = 4066 (28.9%); 5, N = 3165 (22.5%); and ≥6, N = 2681 (19.1%). Increasing rates of SSE (1.05 to 2.99%/year) and MB (2.27 to 4.66%/year) were observed in the warfarin arm as the CHA₂DS₂VASc score increased. The hazard ratios per unit increase of CHA₂DS₂VASc score were 1.29 (1.21-1.38) and 1.26 (1.17-1.36) for SSE, and 1.20 (1.13-1.27) and 1.19 (1.12-1.27) for MB, with warfarin and edoxaban, respectively. Time-in-therapeutic range in warfarin-treated patients was similar and high (median 68%-69%) across CHA₂DS₂VASc scores, whereas edoxaban trough concentration, exogenous anti-FXa activity and %inhibition of endogenous FXa were higher at increasing CHA₂DS₂VASc scores. Edoxaban reduced SSE, MB, intracranial hemorrhage, and cardiovascular mortality vs warfarin to a similar degree across the range of CHA₂DS₂VASc scores (P-int = 0.90, 0.96, 0.21, and 0.37, respectively). Because of higher event rates the number of events prevented with edoxaban tended to be greater in patients with higher CHA₂DS₂VASc scores.

CONCLUSION

The benefit and safety of edoxaban versus warfarin is maintained across CHA₂DS₂VASc scores. While the relative risk reductions remain similar, edoxaban provides incrementally larger absolute reductions in outcomes over warfarin in patients with higher CHA₂DS₂VASc scores.

Novel model-based point scoring system for predicting stroke risk in atrial fibrillation patients: Results from a nationwide cohort study with validation

•

This study used rigorous statistical method to construct the novel AF-CA-Stroke score and demonstrated that the novel stroke risk stratification tool had significantly higher discrimination abilities than conventional scores.

•

This study exhibited that the status of various age stratifications and receiving AF ablation shall be considered in managing AF treatment.

•

Based on the AF-CA-Stroke score, around 80–85% patients may take benefits form AF ablation procedures with lower stroke risks, and they may not be necessary to receive oral anticoagulants after receiving successful AF ablations.

Background

The stroke risk scoring system for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients can vary considerably based on patients’ status while receiving ablation. This study aimed to demonstrate a novel scoring system for stroke risk stratification based on the status of catheter ablation.

Methods

First, 787 patients with AF undergoing ablation were matched according to age, sex, and underlying diseases with the same number of patients not undergoing ablation using the propensity-score (PS)-matched cohort. Multivariate Cox model-derived coefficients were used to construct a simple point-based clinical model using the PS-matched cohort. Thereafter, the novel model (AF-CA-Stroke score) was validated in a nationwide AF cohort.

Results

The AF-CA-Stroke score was calculated based on age (point = 5), ablation status (point = 4), prior history of stroke (point = 4), chronic kidney disease (point = 2), diabetes mellitus (point = 1), and congestive heart failure (point = 1). Risk function to predict the 1-, 5-, 10-year absolute stroke risks was reported. The estimated area under the receive operating characteristic curve of the AF-CA-Stroke score in the PS-matched cohort was 0.845 (95% confidence interval: 0.824–0.865) to predict long-term stroke. A validation study showed that discrimination abilities in the AF-CA-Stroke scores were significantly higher than those in the CHADS₂/CHA₂DS_2-VASc scores. The best cut-off value of the AF-CA-Stroke score to predict future strokes was ≥ 5.

Conclusions

This novel model-based point scoring system effectively identifies stroke risk using clinical factors and AF ablation status of patients with AF. Various age stratifications and AF ablation should be considered in AF management.

GARFIELD-AF risk score for mortality, stroke and bleeding within 2 years in patients with atrial fibrillation

Aims

To determine whether the Global Anticoagulant Registry in the FIELD–Atrial Fibrillation (GARFIELD-AF) integrated risk tool predicts mortality, non-haemorrhagic stroke/systemic embolism, and major bleeding for up to 2 years after new-onset AF and to assess how this risk tool performs compared with CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED.

Methods and results

Potential predictors of events included demographic and clinical characteristics, choice of treatment, and lifestyle factors. A Cox proportional hazards model was identified for each outcome by least absolute shrinkage and selection operator methods. Indices were evaluated in comparison with CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED risk predictors. Models were validated internally and externally in ORBIT-AF and Danish nationwide registries. Among the 52 080 patients enrolled in GARFIELD-AF, 52 032 had follow-up data. The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA₂DS₂-VASc for all-cause mortality in all cohorts. The GARFIELD-AF risk score was superior to CHA₂DS₂-VASc for non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in internal validation and in the Danish AF cohort. In very low- to low-risk patients [CHA₂DS₂-VASc 0 or 1 (men) and 1 or 2 (women)], the GARFIELD-AF risk score offered strong discriminatory value for all the endpoints when compared to CHA₂DS₂-VASc and HAS-BLED. The GARFIELD-AF tool also included the effect of oral anticoagulation (OAC) therapy, thus allowing clinicians to compare the expected outcome of different anticoagulant treatment decisions [i.e. no OAC, non-vitamin K antagonist (VKA) oral anticoagulants, or VKAs].

Conclusions

The GARFIELD-AF risk tool outperformed CHA₂DS₂-VASc at predicting death and non-haemorrhagic stroke, and it outperformed HAS-BLED for major bleeding in overall as well as in very low- to low-risk group patients with AF.

Clinical trial registration

URL: http://www.clinicaltrials.gov. Unique identifier for GARFIELD-AF: NCT01090362, ORBIT-AF I: NCT01165710; ORBIT-AF II: NCT01701817.

Pharmacotherapy for diabetes and stroke risk: Results from ROCKET AF

Background

Insulin use may be a better predictor of stroke risk and morbidity and mortality than diabetes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF).

Objectives

Determine if the increased risk of stroke observed in patients with AF and diabetes is restricted to those treated with insulin.

Methods

We analyzed the association between diabetes and treatment and the occurrence of stroke/systemic embolism, myocardial infarction (MI), all-cause death, vascular death, composite outcomes, and bleeding risk in the ROCKET AF trial.

Results

In a cohort of 14,264 patients, there were 40.3% (n = 5746) with diabetes, 5.9% (n = 842) on insulin, 18.9% (n = 2697) on oral medications, and 11.9% (n = 1703) diet-controlled. Compared to those without diabetes, patients with non–insulin-treated diabetes had increased risks of stroke (hazard ratio [HR] 1.33, 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.06–1.68), MI (HR 1.64, 95% CI 1.17–2.30), all-cause death (HR 1.26, 95% CI 1.08–1.46), vascular death (HR 1.33, 95% CI 1.11–1.60), and composite outcomes (HR 1.37, 95% CI 1.18–1.157). Patients with insulin-treated diabetes had a significantly higher risk of MI (HR 2.31, 95% CI 1.33–4.01) and composite outcomes (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.19–2.08) compared to those without diabetes. There were no significant differences between insulin-treated and non–insulin-treated diabetes for any outcome.

Conclusion

Among patients with AF and diabetes, there were no significant differences in outcomes in insulin-treated diabetes compared to non–insulin-treated diabetes.

Associations between model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics and efficacy and safety outcomes in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics may affect the rivaroxaban benefit–risk balance. This study aimed to quantify associations between model-predicted rivaroxaban exposure and patient characteristics and efficacy and safety outcomes in patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF), using data from the phase 3 ROCKET AF trial (NCT00403767). In ROCKET AF, 14,264 patients with NVAF were randomized to rivaroxaban (20 mg once daily [OD], or 15 mg OD if creatinine clearance was 30–49 mL/min) or dose-adjusted warfarin (median follow-up: 707 days); rivaroxaban plasma concentration was measured in a subset of 161 patients. In this post hoc exposure–response analysis, a multivariate Cox model was used to correlate individual predicted rivaroxaban exposures and patient characteristics with time-to-event efficacy and safety outcomes in 7061 and 7111 patients, respectively. There was no significant association between model-predicted rivaroxaban trough plasma concentration (C_trough) and efficacy outcomes. Creatinine clearance and history of stroke were significantly associated with efficacy outcomes. C_trough was significantly associated with the composite of major or non-major clinically relevant (NMCR) bleeding (hazard ratio [95th percentile vs. median]: 1.26 [95% confidence interval 1.13–1.40]) but not with major bleeding alone. The exposure–response relationship for major or NMCR bleeding was shallow with no clear threshold for an acceleration in risk. History of gastrointestinal bleeding had a greater influence on safety outcomes than C_trough. These results support fixed rivaroxaban 15 mg and 20 mg OD dosages in NVAF. Therapeutic drug monitoring is unlikely to offer clinical benefits in this indication beyond evaluation of patient characteristics.

Stroke Risk Scores as Predictors of Severe Outcomes in Atrial Fibrillation: A Comprehensive Review

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent sustained arrhythmia. It increases the risk of stroke, heart failure, death, hospitalizations, and costs.

AREA OF UNCERTAINTY

Several scores were introduced to stratify the stroke risk and need for anticoagulation in patients (pts) with AF . CHA2DS2-VASc, the most frequently used score, as well as other stroke risk scores have been additionally applied to estimate outcomes for different other conditions, with inhomogeneous results. To date, there has been no consensus regarding the usefulness of these scores to estimate outcomes outside of thromboembolic risk assessment, and their value in estimating different end-point outcomes is still a subject of debate. We conducted this review to investigate whether the stroke risk scores' utility can be extended for the prediction of other severe outcomes in pts with AF.

DATA SOURCES

We searched PubMed database and included studies that stratified the outcome of pts with AF by different stroke risk scores. We also included studies with a separate analysis of the pts with AF subpopulation.

RESULTS

Mortality rates increased with higher CHADS2 [from 2.28% (2.00%-2.58%) to 13.2% (8.24%-20.8%) per year] and CHA2DS2-VASc scores [risk ratio 1.26 (1.21-1.32), P < 0.0001 for score ≥3]. CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc predicted poor outcome in stroke [odds ratio (OR) ranging 1.42-6 for CHADS2 and 1.3-7.3 for CHA2DS2-VASc]. Acute myocardial infarction rates increased with higher CHADS2 [OR 2.120 (1.942-2.315) P < 0.001] and CHA2DS2-VASc [OR 1.63 (1.53-1.75), P < 0.001]. Limited data were reported for ABC( Age, Biomarkers, Clinical histoty) and R2CHADS2. No statistically significant correlation was found for major bleeding.

CONCLUSIONS

CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc are useful tools in identifying pts with AF at higher risk for all-cause death, regardless of other pathologies. Both scores correlated with the development of acute myocardial infarction, cardiovascular hospitalization, outcome in stroke, major adverse cardiovascular events, and major adverse cardiovascular and cerebral events, but not with serious bleeding.

Usefulness of CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for predicting incident atrial fibrillation in heart failure with preserved ejection fraction patients

AIMS

Coexisting of atrial fibrillation (AF) in patients with heart failure with preserved ejection fraction (HFpEF) could increase the risk of mortality. In this study, we aimed to assess the values of the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores for AF prediction in HFpEF patients.

METHODS AND RESULTS

We performed a retrospective analysis on symptomatic HFpEF patients in the TOPCAT (Treatment of Preserved Cardiac Function Heart Failure with an Aldosterone Antagonist) trial. Associations of the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores with the risk of incident AF in HFpEF patients without baseline AF (n = 2202) were assessed using the multivariable competing risk regression models. The discriminatory performances of these scores were calculated using the C-index. During a median follow-up of 3.3 years, the average incidence of AF was 1.80 per 100 patient-years in HFpEF patients. When score was analysed as a continuous variable, per 1-point increase in the CHADS2 (hazard ratio [HR] = 1.42, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.20-1.68, C-index: 0.71), R2CHADS2 (HR = 1.25, 95% CI: 1.10-1.42, C-index: 0.69), or CHA2DS2-VASc (HR = 1.30, 95% CI: 1.16-1.46, C-index: 0.70) scores was associated with an increased risk of incident AF. When score was analysed as a categorical variable, patients with CHADS2 ≥ 3 (HR = 2.62, 95% CI: 1.70-4.04), R2CHADS2 ≥ 3 (HR = 2.55, 95% CI: 1.56-4.17), or CHA2DS2-VASc ≥ 4 (HR = 2.54, 95% CI: 1.59-4.07) had a higher risk of incident AF compared with the corresponding controls.

CONCLUSIONS

Our data first suggest that the CHADS2, R2CHADS2, and CHA2DS2-VASc scores could predict the risk of incident AF in HFpEF patients with modest predictive abilities.

Stroke risk scores to predict hospitalization for acute decompensated heart failure in atrial fibrillation patients

Introduction. Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most frequent hospitalized arrhythmia. It associates increased risk of death, stroke and heart failure (HF). Stroke risk scores, especially CHA₂DS₂-VASc, have been applied also for populations with different diseases. There is, however, limited data focusing on the ability of these scores to predict HF decompensation.Methods. We conducted a retrospective observational study on a cohort of 204 patients admitted for cardiovascular pathology to the Cardiology Ward of our tertiary University Hospital. We aimed to determine whether the stroke risk scores could predict hospitalisations for acute decompensated HF in AF patients.Results. C-statistics for CHADS₂ and R₂CHADS₂ showed a modest predictive ability for hospitalisation with decompensated HF (CHADS₂: AUC 0.631 p = 0.003; 95%CI 0.560-0.697. R₂CHADS₂: AUC 0.619; 95%CI 0.548-0.686; p = 0.004), a marginal correlation for CHA₂DS_2-VASc (AUC 0.572 95%CI 0.501-0.641 with a p value of only 0.09, while the other scores failed to show a correlation. A CHADS₂ ≥ 2 showed a RR = 2.96, p<0.0001 for decompensated HF compared to a score <2. For R₂CHADS₂ ≥ 2, RR = 2.41, p = 0.001 compared to a score <2. For CHA₂DS_2-VASc ≥ 2 RR = 2.18 p = 0.1, compared to CHA₂DS₂-VASc <2. The correlation coefficients showed a weak correlation for CHADS₂ (r = 0.216; p = 0.001) and even weaker for R₂CHADS₂ (r = 0.197; p = 0.0047 and CHA₂DS₂-VASc (r = 0.14; p = 0.035).Conclusions. Among AF patients, CHADS_2, CHA₂DS₂-VASc and R₂CHADS₂ were associated with the risk of hospitalisation for decompensated HF while ABC and ATRIA failed to show an association. However, predictive accuracy was modest and the clinical utility for this outcome remains to be determined.

Direct Oral Anticoagulants in Patients with Atrial Fibrillation and Renal Dysfunction

Atrial fibrillation and renal dysfunction often coexist, each disorder may predispose to the other and contribute to worsening prognosis. Both atrial fibrillation and chronic kidney disease are associated with increased risk of stroke and thromboembolic complications. Oral anticoagulation for stroke prevention is therefore recommended in patients with atrial fibrillation and decreased renal function. Each direct oral anticoagulant has unique pharmacologic properties of which clinician should be aware to optimally manage patients. The doses of direct oral anticoagulants require adjustment for renal function. There is debate regarding which equation, the Chronic Kidney Disease Epidemiology (CKD-EPI) equation vs. the Cockcroft-Gault equation, should be used to estimate glomerular filtration rate in patients with atrial fibrillation treated with direct oral anticoagulants. Our review tries to find arguments for benefit of direct oral anticoagulants in patients with renal dysfunction.

Oral anticoagulation in chronic kidney disease with atrial fibrillation

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) and atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently coexist, amplifying the risk of cardiovascular events and mortality. In patients with CKD stage 3 and non-valvular AF, direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) have shown, compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA), equal or greater efficacy in the prevention of stroke and systemic embolism, and greater safety. There are no randomizedtrials of the efficacy and safety of DOACs and VKA in advanced CKD. On the other hand, observational studies suggest that DOACs, compared to warfarin, are associated with a lower risk of acute kidney damage and generation/progression of CKD. This paper reviews the epidemiological and pathophysiological aspects of the CKD and AF association, the evidence of the efficacy and safety of warfarin and ACODs in various stages of CKD with AF as well as the comparison between warfarin and ACODs in efficacy and anticoagulant safety, and in its renal effects.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2021 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update. The 2021 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. This year's edition includes data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, an enhanced focus on social determinants of health, adverse pregnancy outcomes, vascular contributions to brain health, the global burden of cardiovascular disease, and further evidence-based approaches to changing behaviors related to cardiovascular disease.

RESULTS

Each of the 27 chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policy makers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Pre-Diabetes Increases Stroke Risk in Patients With Nonvalvular Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) increases the risk of embolism in nonvalvular atrial fibrillation (NVAF). The association between pre-diabetes and risk of ischemic stroke has not been studied separately in this population.

OBJECTIVES

The purpose of this study was to evaluate whether pre-diabetes is associated with increased risk of stroke and death in patients with NVAF.

METHODS

We conducted a historical cohort study using the Clalit Health Services electronic medical records. The study population included all members aged ≥25 years, with a first diagnosis of NVAF between January 1, 2010, and December 31, 2016. We compared 3 groups of individuals: those with pre-diabetes, those with diabetes, and normoglycemic patients.

RESULTS

A total of 44,451 cases were identified. The median age was 75 years, and 52.5% were women. During a mean follow-up of 38 months, the incidence rates of stroke (per 100 person-years) were: 1.14 in normoglycemic individuals, 1.40 in those with pre-diabetes, and 2.15 in those with diabetes. In both univariate and multivariate analyses, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke compared with normoglycemic persons (adjusted hazard ratio [adjHR]: 1.19; 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.01 to 1.4) even after adjustment for CHA₂DS₂-Vasc risk factors and use of anticoagulants, while diabetes conferred an even higher risk (vs. normoglycemia (adjHR: 1.56; 95% CI: 1.37 to 1.79). The risk for mortality was higher for individuals with diabetes (adjHR: 1.47; 95% CI: 1.41 to 1.54) but not for those with pre-diabetes (adjHR: 0.98; 95% CI: 0.92 to 1.03).

CONCLUSIONS

In this cohort of patients with incident NVAF, pre-diabetes was associated with an increased risk of stroke even after accounting for other recognized risk factors.

Chronic kidney disease and cardiovascular mortality in patients with atrial fibrillation: European Society of Hypertension project - ESH A Fib

Our aim was to analyze characteristics of atrial fibrillation (AF) patients with chronic kidney disease (CKD) from the Croatian cohort of the ESH A Fib survey and to determine the association of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) with cardiovascular (CV) mortality after 24 months of follow-up.Consecutive sample of 301 patients with AF were enrolled in the period 2014 to 2018. Hypertension was defined as BP > 140/90 mm Hg and/or antihypertensive drugs treatment, CKD was defined as eGFR (CKD Epi) < 60 ml/min/1.73 m2 which was confirmed after 3 months.CKD was diagnosed in 45.2% of patients (13.3% in CKD stage > 3b). CKD patients were older than non-CKD and had significantly more frequent coronary heart disease, heart failure and valvular disease. CKD patients had significantly higher CHA2DS2-VASc score and more CKD than non-CKD patients had CHA2DS2-VASc > 2. Crude CV mortality rate per 1000 population at the end of the first year of the follow-up was significantly higher in CKD vs non-CKD group who had shorter mean survival time. CV mortality was independently associated with eGFR, male gender, CHA2DS2VASc and R2CHA2DS2VASc scores.Prevalence of CKD, particularly more advanced stages of CKD, is very high in patients with AF. Observed higher CV mortality and shorter mean survival time in CKD patients could be explained with higher CHA2DS2VASc score which is a consequence of clustering of all score components in CKD patients. However, eGFR was independently associated with CV mortality. In our cohort, R2CHA2DS2VASc score was not associated significantly more with CV mortality than CHA2DS2VASc score.

Anticoagulant Therapy for Frail Patients with Atrial Fibrillation

The prevalence of atrial fibrillation (AF) increases with age, as does the proportion of patients with frailty. AF patients with frailty have a higher risk of stroke than those without frailty, and progressive frailty caused by stroke is also associated with a worse prognosis. Despite this, anticoagulant therapy tends to not be used in frail patients because of the risk of falls and bleeding complications. However, some studies have shown that anticoagulant therapy improves the prognosis in patients with frailty. An accurate assessment of the "net-clinical-benefits" is needed in patients with frailty, with the aim of improving the prognoses of patients with frailty by selecting those who will benefit from anticoagulant therapy and actively reducing the risk of bleeding. A comprehensive intervention that includes a team of doctors and social resources is required. We herein review the effectiveness and bleeding risk associated with anticoagulant therapy in frail patients investigated in clinical studies.

Left atrial appendage closure in patients with chronic kidney disease: results from the German multicentre LAARGE registry

OBJECTIVES

Chronic kidney disease (CKD) is associated with an increased complication rate after cardiac interventions. Although CKD has a high prevalence among atrial fibrillation patients, the impact of CKD on periprocedural complications and the outcome after an interventional left atrial appendage closure (LAAC) is unclear. The present study, therefore, aimed to investigate whether CKD influences the procedure's effectiveness and safety.

METHODS

LAARGE is a prospective, non-randomised registry. LAAC was conducted with different standard commercial devices, and the follow-up period was one year. CKD was defined by an eGFR < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2, and subgroups were further analysed (i.e. eGFR < 15, 15-29, and 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m2, respectively).

RESULTS

Two hundred ninety-nine of 623 patients (48.0%) revealed a CKD. The prevalence of cardiovascular comorbidity, CHA2DS2-VASc score (4.9 vs. 4.2), and HAS-BLED score (4.3 vs. 3.5) was significantly higher in CKD patients (each p < 0.001). Implantation success was similarly high across all GFR groups (97.9%). Periprocedural MACCE (0.7 vs. 0.3%), and other major complications (4.7 vs. 3.7%) were comparably infrequent. Survival free of stroke was significantly lower among CKD patients within 1 year (82.0 vs. 93.0%; p < 0.001; consistent after adjustment for confounding factors), without significant accentuation in advanced CKD (i.e. eGFR < 30 mL/min/1.73 m2; p > 0.05  vs. eGFR 30-59 mL/min/1.73 m2). Non-fatal strokes were absolutely infrequent during follow-up (0 vs. 1.1%). Severe non-fatal bleedings were observed only among CKD patients (1.4 vs. 0%; p = 0.021).

CONCLUSIONS

Despite an increased cardiovascular risk profile of CKD patients, device implantation was safe, and LAAC was associated with effective stroke prevention across all CKD stages.

Using CHADS2, R2CHADS2, CHA2DS2-VASc score for mortality prediction in patients with abnormal low and high ankle-brachial index

Abnormal low and high ankle brachial index (ABI) is regarded as peripheral artery disease (PAD) which has extremely high morbidity and mortality. How to identify high-risk PAD patients with increased mortality is very important to improve the outcome. CHADS₂, R₂CHADS₂, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score are clinically useful scores to evaluate the annual risk of stroke in patients with atrial fibrillation. However, there was no literature discussing the usefulness of these scores for cardiovascular (CV) and all-cause mortality prediction in the patients with abnormal ABI. This longitudinal study enrolled 195 patients with abnormal low (< 0.9) and high ABI (> 1.3). CHADS₂, R₂CHADS₂, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were calculated for each patient. CV and all-cause mortality data were collected for outcome prediction. The median follow-up to mortality was 90 months. After multivariate analysis, CHADS₂, R₂CHADS₂, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score were significant predictors of CV and all-cause mortality (all P < 0.001). CHA₂DS₂-VASc score had a better additive predictive value than CHADS₂ and R₂CHADS₂ score for CV mortality prediction. R₂CHADS₂ and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score had better additive predictive values than CHADS₂ score for all-cause mortality prediction. In conclusion, our study is the first study to investigate the usefulness of CHADS₂, R₂CHADS₂, and CHA₂DS₂-VASc score for mortality prediction in patients with abnormal ABI. Our study showed all three scores are significant predictors for CV and all-cause mortality although there are some differences between the scores. Therefore, using the three scoring systems may help physicians to identify the high-risk PAD patients with increased mortality.