Impact of peginterferon and ribavirin therapy on hepatocellular carcinoma: incidence and survival in hepatitis C patients with advanced fibrosis

Cost-effectiveness and budget impact of hepatitis C virus treatment with sofosbuvir and ledipasvir in the United States

BACKGROUND

Sofosbuvir and ledipasvir, which have recently been approved for treatment of chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, are more efficacious and safer than the old standard of care (oSOC) but are substantially more expensive. Whether and in which patients their improved efficacy justifies their increased cost is unclear.

OBJECTIVE

To evaluate the cost-effectiveness and budget impact of sofosbuvir and ledipasvir.

DESIGN

Microsimulation model of the natural history of HCV infection.

DATA SOURCES

Published literature.

TARGET POPULATION

Treatment-naive and treatment-experienced HCV population defined on the basis of HCV genotype, age, and fibrosis distribution in the United States.

TIME HORIZON

Lifetime.

PERSPECTIVE

Third-party payer.

INTERVENTION

Simulation of sofosbuvir-ledipasvir compared with the oSOC (interferon-based therapies).

OUTCOME MEASURES

Quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs), incremental cost-effectiveness ratios (ICERs), and 5-year spending on antiviral drugs.

RESULTS OF BASE-CASE ANALYSIS

Sofosbuvir-based therapies added 0.56 QALY relative to the oSOC at an ICER of $55 400 per additional QALY. The ICERs ranged from $9700 to $284 300 per QALY depending on the patient's status with respect to treatment history, HCV genotype, and presence of cirrhosis. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $100 000 per QALY, sofosbuvir-based therapies were cost-effective in 83% of treatment-naive and 81% of treatment-experienced patients. Compared with the oSOC, treating eligible HCV-infected persons in the United States with the new drugs would cost an additional $65 billion in the next 5 years, whereas the resulting cost offsets would be $16 billion.

RESULTS OF SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS

Results were sensitive to drug price, drug efficacy, and quality of life after successful treatment.

LIMITATION

Data on real-world effectiveness of new antivirals are lacking.

CONCLUSION

Treatment of HCV is cost-effective in most patients, but additional resources and value-based patient prioritization are needed to manage patients with HCV.

PRIMARY FUNDING SOURCE

National Institutes of Health.

Successful anti-viral treatment improves survival of patients with advanced liver disease due to chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

Long-term outcome of chronic hepatitis C patients with successful viral eradication seems to be promising.

AIM

To evaluate mortality, incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver failure and liver transplantation in sustained virological responders (SVR) and non-SVR patients with different stages of fibrosis.

METHODS

Seven hundred and fourteen patients with a follow-up of 7.2 (1-21.1) years (age: 51.4 ± 12.0 years, 276 female, IFN-monotherapy: n = 19, IFN/RBV: n = 122, peg-IFN/RBV: n = 573, SVR: 551, non-SVR: 163) were studied. Two hundred and ten of 540 patients with a liver biopsy prior to treatment had advanced stages of fibrosis (Metavir F3/F4).

RESULTS

Forty-eight patients died during follow-up, 15 with SVR and 33 without (P < 0.001). Five- and 10-year mortality rates were 1.8% (10/551) and 2.7% (15/551) in the SVR group and 8.6% (14/163) and 19.1% (31/163) in the non-SVR patients (P < 0.001). In 29 patients, decompensation of liver disease [SVR: 9 (1.6%) vs. non-SVR: 20 (12.3%); P < 0.001] occurred and in 29 patients, HCC developed during follow-up [SVR: 10 (1.8%) vs. non-SVR: 19 (11.7%); P < 0.001]. Non-SVR was an independent predictor for developing (i) HCC [HR: 2.36 (95% CI: 1.07-5.23; P = 0.034], (ii) liver-related complications [HR: 2.62; (95% CI: 1.18-5.81; P = 0.018] and (iii) mortality (HR: 3.46; 95% CI: 1.91-6.29; P < 0.001). For patients with early stages of fibrosis (F0-F2), a survival benefit of SVR patients could not be demonstrated.

CONCLUSIONS

Successful anti-viral therapy decreases mortality, incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma and liver failure in patients with advanced fibrosis. However, hepatocellular carcinoma development or liver failure are not prevented completely, and further follow-up of patients is advisable.

Effect of peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin on hepatocellular carcinoma prevention in older patients with chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The population of patients chronically infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV) is aging, and the number of older patients with HCV-related hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is increasing. The purpose of this study was to elucidate the effects of peginterferon and ribavirin combination therapy on prevention of HCC in older patients with chronic hepatitis C (CH-C).

METHODS

We compared the sustained virological response (SVR) and treatment discontinuation rates between older (≥ 65 years) and younger patients (< 65 years) among 1280 CH-C patients treated with peginterferon alfa-2b and ribavirin. Cumulative incidence of HCC was determined by Kaplan-Meier analysis, and factors associated with liver carcinogenesis were analyzed by Cox proportional hazards regression.

RESULTS

Older patients had a significantly lower SVR rate and a significantly higher discontinuation rate of treatment than younger patients. Fifty patients developed HCC during median follow-up period of 47 months. Cox proportional hazards regression analysis indicated that the following were independent risk factors associated with the development of HCC: older age, male, advanced fibrosis, non-SVR in all patients: higher gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase, and non-SVR in older patients. Older patients who achieved SVR had a significantly reduced rate of HCC compared with those who did not achieve SVR, especially those who had gamma-glutamyltranspeptidase over 44 IU/L.

CONCLUSIONS

The SVR rate was lower and the combination therapy discontinuation rate was higher in older CH-C patients than in younger patients. However, older patients who achieved SVR had a markedly lower rate of HCC development compared with older patients who did not achieve SVR.

Reliable prediction of clinical outcome in patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced hepatic fibrosis: a validated model using objective and readily available clinical parameters

OBJECTIVE

Reliable tools to predict long-term outcome among patients with well compensated advanced liver disease due to chronic HCV infection are lacking.

DESIGN

Risk scores for mortality and for cirrhosis-related complications were constructed with Cox regression analysis in a derivation cohort and evaluated in a validation cohort, both including patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced fibrosis.

RESULTS

In the derivation cohort, 100/405 patients died during a median 8.1 (IQR 5.7-11.1) years of follow-up. Multivariate Cox analyses showed age (HR=1.06, 95% CI 1.04 to 1.09, p<0.001), male sex (HR=1.91, 95% CI 1.10 to 3.29, p=0.021), platelet count (HR=0.91, 95% CI 0.87 to 0.95, p<0.001) and log10 aspartate aminotransferase/alanine aminotransferase ratio (HR=1.30, 95% CI 1.12 to 1.51, p=0.001) were independently associated with mortality (C statistic=0.78, 95% CI 0.72 to 0.83). In the validation cohort, 58/296 patients with cirrhosis died during a median of 6.6 (IQR 4.4-9.0) years. Among patients with estimated 5-year mortality risks <5%, 5-10% and >10%, the observed 5-year mortality rates in the derivation cohort and validation cohort were 0.9% (95% CI 0.0 to 2.7) and 2.6% (95% CI 0.0 to 6.1), 8.1% (95% CI 1.8 to 14.4) and 8.0% (95% CI 1.3 to 14.7), 21.8% (95% CI 13.2 to 30.4) and 20.9% (95% CI 13.6 to 28.1), respectively (C statistic in validation cohort = 0.76, 95% CI 0.69 to 0.83). The risk score for cirrhosis-related complications also incorporated HCV genotype (C statistic = 0.80, 95% CI 0.76 to 0.83 in the derivation cohort; and 0.74, 95% CI 0.68 to 0.79 in the validation cohort).

CONCLUSIONS

Prognosis of patients with chronic HCV infection and compensated advanced liver disease can be accurately assessed with risk scores including readily available objective clinical parameters.

Lower incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma and cirrhosis in hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response by pegylated interferon and ribavirin

BACKGROUND

To elucidate the benefits of successful antiviral therapy in chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients

METHODS

A total of 463 CHC patients who underwent pegylated interferon alfa and ribavirin therapy were classified as sustained virological response (SVR) or non-SVR based on response to antiviral therapy. We investigated disease progression to cirrhosis in non-cirrhotic patients, development of cirrhosis-related complications such as ascites, variceal bleeding, and hepatic encephalopathy in patients with cirrhosis, and development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

RESULTS

Three hundred patients achieved SVR, and 163 were classified into the non-SVR group. The overall SVR rates were 64.8 %, and multivariate analysis showed that younger age, non-cirrhosis, HCV genotype 2 or 3, lower HCV RNA level (<800,000 IU/mL), and lower body weight were independent factors associated with SVR (all P < 0.05). During a median follow-up of 36.1 months, non-cirrhotic patients with SVR had significantly lower risk of progression to cirrhosis compared with patients with non-SVR (P < 0.001). Moreover, SVR was related to a reduced risk of HCC development (P = 0.017).

CONCLUSIONS

SVR resulted in significantly more favorable long-term outcomes, such as lower risk of progression to cirrhosis and HCC occurrence compared with non-SVR.

Achieving sustained virologic response in hepatitis C: a systematic review of the clinical, economic and quality of life benefits

Background

The goal of chronic hepatitis C treatment is to remove the virus to avoid progression of HCV-related disease. Sustained virologic response (SVR) is the most widely used efficacy endpoint in clinical studies of hepatitis C, and represents the eradication of HCV from the body. The aim of the current review was to examine the long-term clinical, economic and quality of life benefits associated with achieving SVR.

Methods

A systematic literature review was performed using the PubMed, EMBASE and Cochrane library databases to identify articles examining the clinical, economic and quality of life benefits associated with SVR, published in English language from 2002–2013. For inclusion studies were required to enroll ≥100 patients and to report clinical endpoints including hepatocellular carcinoma, overall- or liver-related mortality, or progression of disease/complications (e.g. portal hypertension, esophageal varices). Review of economic studies on cost/cost-effectiveness of achieving SVR were focused on studies assessing boceprevir/telaprevir plus pegIFN and ribavirin as this represents the current standard of care in several jurisdictions worldwide. Quality of life evidence was required to use validated quality of life instruments and provide a quantitative analysis of the impact of SVR versus no treatment or treatment failure.

Results

SVR is durable with late relapse rates over 4–5 year periods being in the range of 1–2%. Patients who achieve SVR frequently demonstrate some regression of fibrosis/cirrhosis and have a substantially reduced risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (relative risk [RR] 0.1–0.25), liver-related mortality (RR 0.03–0.2) and overall mortality (RR 0.1–0.3) in comparison with no treatment or treatment failure. In the 5 years post-treatment, medical costs for patients achieving SVR are 13-fold lower than patients not achieving SVR. Patients who achieve SVR also have health state utility values that are 0.05 to 0.31 higher than non-responders to treatment.

Conclusions

SVR represents the fundamental goal of antiviral treatment for patients infected with chronic HCV, so as to reduce risk of liver disease progression. Achievement of SVR has implications beyond those of clearing viral infection; it is associated with improved long-term clinical outcomes, economic benefits and improved health-related quality of life.

Electronic supplementary material

The online version of this article (doi:10.1186/s12879-015-0748-8) contains supplementary material, which is available to authorized users.

Safety and efficacy of partial splenic embolization in telaprevir-based triple therapy for chronic hepatitis C

OBJECTIVE

Pegylated-interferon/ribavirin (peg-IFN/RBV) therapy with a protease inhibitor is the standard therapy for genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C. Despite improving treatment outcomes, patients with thrombocytopenia are often difficult to treat because interferon commonly exacerbates thrombocytopenia. In this study, partial splenic embolization (PSE) was performed in patients with hypersplenism-induced thrombocytopenia to determine the effectiveness of this method as a potential treatment.

METHODS

Patients were pretreated with PSE and then received triple combination therapy. The safety and efficacy of PSE was evaluated.

RESULTS

Eighteen patients were analyzed, including 12 patients with the interleukin 28B (IL28B) major genotype and 12 patients with the inosine triphosphatase (ITPA) major genotype. The median embolization rate with PSE was 70% (range: 40-85%). PSE increased the patients' platelet counts from 71.5×10(3) /μL (53-99×10(3) /μL) to 121.5×10(3) /μL (70-194×10(3) /μL; p=0.0002). The patients' platelet counts fluctuated above 50×10(3) /μL during the treatment. Specifically, the increase in the platelet count was significantly associated with the ITPA major genotype compared with the minor genotype (p=0.0057 at 2 weeks, p=0.0031 at 3 weeks, and p=0.0148 at 4 weeks). Adherence to peg-IFN-α2b was sufficient (1.38 μg/kg/week). The rapid viral response rate was 72.2% (13/18), the end of treatment response rate was 88.9% (16/18), and the sustained virological response (SVR) rate was 66.7% (12/18). The SVR rate for patients with the IL28B major genotype was 83.3% (10/12). No adverse effect due to PSE pretreatment was found in any patients. Furthermore, no patient discontinued treatment due to thrombocytopenia.

CONCLUSION

PSE, in conjunction with triple combination therapy, is a useful and safe method to treat genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C patients with hypersplenism-induced thrombocytopenia.

Suppression of hepatocellular carcinoma development in hepatitis C patients given interferon-based antiviral therapy

The advance of antiviral treatment for chronic hepatitis C has brought a high sustained virological response (SVR) rate. In this review article, the suppressive effect of interferon (IFN)-based therapy on the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), risk factors for developing HCC and the characteristics of HCC development after SVR among chronic hepatitis C patients given IFN-based therapy were studied. The HCC incidence has been revealed to decrease with IFN-based antiviral therapy, especially in SVR, and the risk factors for developing HCC were older age, advanced liver fibrosis and male sex. α-Fetoprotein levels at 24 weeks after the end of IFN-based treatment was associated strongly with HCC incidence irrespective of virological response. In patients with SVR, other risk factors were glucose metabolism disorders, lipid metabolism disorders and alcohol intake. Extra attention to the possibility of HCC incidence should be required for these SVR patients. Antiviral therapy with a combination of HCV-specific direct-acting antivirals (DAA) is expected to be utilized in the future. However, it is not known whether DAA-based treatment can suppress HCC to the level of IFN-based treatment. Further research is required to clarify this.

Cirrhosis regression in hepatitis C patients with sustained virological response after antiviral therapy: a meta-analysis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Chronic hepatitis C may be associated with cirrhosis, liver failure and hepatocellular carcinoma. Studies have demonstrated improved clinical outcome in patients who achieved a sustained viral response (SVR).

METHODS

A systematic literature search was performed to identify studies that assessed the association between SVR and cirrhosis regression. The main outcome studied was cirrhosis regression in patients with a SVR as compared with patients without a SVR. Six studies totalling 443 patients were included. Dichotomous outcomes were reported as risk ratios (RR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI).

RESULTS

Of the 443 patients with cirrhosis, 137 achieved a SVR. Of these 137 patients who achieved an SVR, 73 (53%) patients had regression of cirrhosis. The risk ratio of cirrhosis regression was 2.69 [Confidence Interval (CI) 1.45-4.97, P < 0.01] in patients who achieved a SVR. The risk of cirrhosis regression was consistently in favour of patients who achieved a SVR regardless of the length of the biopsy or whether the biopsy was reviewed by a single or multiple pathologists. The risk ratio of cirrhosis regression was related to the duration of follow-up between biopsies. The relative risk for regression of cirrhosis in studies in which the mean or median time for the follow-up liver biopsy was greater than 36-month was 4.33 (CI 1.1-17.0, P = 0.04) as compared to a relative risk of 1.79 (CI 1.26-2.29, P < 0.01) in studies with a mean or median time between the follow-up biopsy of less than 36-month.

CONCLUSIONS

Our results suggest that the majority of patients with cirrhosis who achieve a SVR develop cirrhosis regression. Time between biopsies appears to be an important determinant of the likelihood of cirrhosis regression.

Serum 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels affect treatment outcome in pegylated interferon/ribavirin combination therapy for compensated cirrhotic patients with hepatitis C virus genotype 1b and high viral load

AIM

Much is unknown about the effect of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 levels on the outcome of pegylated interferon/ribavirin (PEG IFN/RBV) therapy for hepatitis C virus-related cirrhosis. The purpose of the present study was to analyze and elucidate factors, including 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , that contribute to a sustained virological response (SVR) in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

We analyzed whether 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 contributes to the response to PEG IFN/RBV therapy among 134 cirrhotic patients.

RESULTS

SVR was achieved in 43 patients. The median 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 level was 20 ng/mL. Univariate analysis showed that the following factors contributed to SVR: low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, albumin, 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , core a.a.70 (a.a.70) substitutions, the number of mutations at the interferon sensitivity-determining region and IL28B genotype. Multivariate analysis identified IL28B genotype and 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 as independent factors contributing to SVR. Subsequently, SVR rate was examined by using 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 and other important factors. The SVR rate was 51.8% in patients with core a.a.70 wild and ≥15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 , whereas the SVR rate was 7.1% in patients with core a.a.70 wild and <15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 . The SVR rate was 56.9% in patients with IL28B major genotype and ≥15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 . Surprisingly, the SVR rate was 0% in patients with IL28B minor genotype and <15 ng/mL of 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 .

CONCLUSION

IL28B genotype and 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 were identified as independent factors contributing to SVR. Stratified analyses according to core a.a.70 substitution and IL28B genotype suggested that 25-hydroxyvitamin D3 influences the outcome of PEG IFN/RBV therapy for cirrhosis.

[Impact of antiviral therapy on the natural history of hepatitis C virus]

Chronic hepatitis C virus infection affects around 150 million persons, and 350,000 persons worldwide die of this disease each year. Although the data on its natural history are incomplete, after the acute infection, most patients develop chronic forms of hepatitis C with variable stages of fibrosis. In these patients, continual inflammatory activity can cause significant fibrosis, cirrhosis, decompensation of the liver disease, or hepatocarcinoma. In the next few years, it is expected that hepatitis C virus infection and its complications will significantly increase, as will the incidence of hepatocarcinoma in Spain. This review presents the data on the natural history of hepatitis C virus infection and discusses the potential impact of antiviral therapy on the distinct stages of the disease.

Impact of treatment against hepatitis C virus on overall survival of naive patients with advanced liver disease

The beneficial effect of achieving a sustained virological response (SVR) after antiviral treatment against hepatitis C virus is well established. However, it remains unclear whether unsuccessful treatment (non-SVR) also improves patient survival, especially in patients with advanced liver fibrosis. We retrospectively evaluated the incidence of death or liver transplantation in the 427 naive patients with a Child-Pugh score of A and advanced fibrosis newly admitted to the Hospital Beaujon between 2000 and 2010. Patients were followed for a median time of 5.5 years. The baseline characteristics of untreated (n=102) and treated (n=325) patients were largely similar, and there was no evidence of a bias of indication. Treated patients received a combination of interferon and ribavirin and had an SVR rate of 32%. The incidence of death or liver transplantation per 100 person-years was 1.00, 3.20, and 5.44 in SVR, non-SVR, and untreated patients, respectively. After adjusting for baseline characteristics, the risk of death or liver transplantation was significantly lower in SVR than in non-SVR patients and in non-SVR than in untreated patients (hazard ratios, 0.35 and 0.51, respectively; P=0.019 and 0.038, respectively). The effect of treatment in non-SVR patients was higher in patients who had a virological or a biochemical response than in those who did not have a virological or a biochemical response. The risk of death or liver transplantation was significantly lower in treated than in untreated patients. Moreover, there was a gradient of mortality between patients with SVRs, virological or biochemical responders, and untreated patients, suggesting that treatment, even in the absence of viral eradication, has a beneficial effect on survival.

Hepatocarcinogenesis in chronic hepatitis C patients achieving a sustained virological response to interferon: significance of lifelong periodic cancer screening for improving outcomes

BACKGROUND

Due to advances in interferon (IFN) therapy for chronic hepatitis C, most elderly patients, and even many of those with advanced hepatic fibrosis, now achieve a sustained virological response (SVR). However, carcinogenesis remains problematic in these patients. Hence, we aimed to elucidate risk factors for hepatocarcinogenesis in SVR patients and to present an appropriate follow-up protocol for improving outcomes.

METHODS

We retrospectively studied 562 consecutive SVR patients for a median observation period of 4.8 years.

RESULTS

Hepatocellular carcinoma was diagnosed in 31 patients (5.5%). Respective cumulative incidences were 3.1, 10.1, and 15.9% at 5, 10, and 15 years after completion of IFN therapy. The proportional hazards model identified moderate or advanced fibrosis stage, advanced age, habitual alcohol consumption, and alpha-fetoprotein elevation as determinants of carcinogenesis, with hazard ratios of 10.7 (p < 0.001), 4.1 (p < 0.01), 3.9 (p < 0.01), and 2.6 (p < 0.05), respectively. Carcinoma was diagnosed in 26% of patients more than 10 years after completion of IFN therapy. Unexpectedly, F2 fibrosis was detected in 42% of these patients. The 5-year survival rate was 93% in the patients who had received periodic cancer screening but only 60% in those who had not.

CONCLUSION

We recommend that SVR patients be observed at 6-month intervals, at a minimum, to facilitate diagnosis at an early stage, for as long as possible after completion of therapy even if not at an advanced stage of fibrosis.

Sustained virological response with telaprevir in 1,078 patients with advanced hepatitis C: the international telaprevir access program

BACKGROUND & AIMS

There is little information regarding the extent to which difficult to cure patients with advanced liver fibrosis, due to hepatitis C virus genotype-1 (HCV-1) can successfully and safely be treated with triple therapy with telaprevir (TVR), pegylated interferon alpha (P) and ribavirin (R). In the TVR early access program HEP3002 we aimed to explore treatment safety and efficacy, and identify predictors of sustained virological response at week 24 (SVR24).

METHODS

1078 patients with bridging fibrosis (n=552) or cirrhosis (n=526) diagnosed by either liver biopsy or non-invasive markers, with compensated bone marrow (neutrophils >1500/mm(3), Hb >12/13 g/dl) and liver function (Albumin >3.3g/dl, Platelets >90,000/ml) received TVR PR for 12 weeks, followed by a PR tail according to label.

RESULTS

Overall, 614 (57%) achieved SVR24 by intention-to-treat analysis. The SVR24 rate was 68% in 221 treatment naïve patients (62.8% F4), 72% in 356 prior relapsers (64.4% F4), 55% in 139 partial responders (53.2% F4), and 34% in 294 null responders (28.6% F4). The SVR24 rate to response-guided therapy (24 weeks treatment duration if undetectable viremia at weeks 4 and 12) was 84% in 222 naïve/relapser F3 patients. Independent predictors of response were: (A) F3 (odds ratio (OR)=1.51, 95% CI 1.31-2.00, p=0.005), (B) subtype 1b (OR=1.63, 95% CI 1.18-2.24, p=0.0029), (C) alpha-fetoprotein <10 ng/ml (OR=2.50, 95% CI 1.87-3.36, p<0.0001) and (D) any prior response other than null (OR=3.29, 95% CI 2.40-4.52, p<0.0001). SVR24 rose for patients who had more of these predictive factors: 6/32 (19%) for none, 38/139 (27%) for 1, 129/260 (50%) for 2, 202/329 (61%) for 3, and 194/235 (83%) for 4 factors. Grade 2-4 treatment-related adverse events (AE) were experienced by 719 (67%) patients; 169 (16%) discontinued therapy for AE and 7 (0.6%) died during the PR tail.

CONCLUSIONS

Naïve and experienced patients with advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis due to HCV-1 who have compensated bone marrow and liver function, can effectively and safely be treated by TVR triple therapy. Baseline predictors of outcome have been identified to optimize pre-treatment counselling.

Adjuvant therapy for hepatocellular carcinoma after curative treatment

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a common malignancy in the world. Although resection and various locoregional therapies can achieve eradication or complete ablation of small HCC, HCC recurrence after these therapies is still common. Although candidates for medical ablation usually exhibit compensated hepatic functional status, the frequent recurrence of HCC after successful ablation contributes to short survival. Therefore, attempts to prevent HCC recurrence are essential to prolong survival. Efforts in preventing HCC recurrence after curative therapies include prevention of early recurrence by improving liver immunity and eliminating microscopic tumor foci or micrometastases, and prevention of late recurrence by reducing the hepatitis activity and using antiviral therapies based on viral suppression/eradication. In HCC with vascular invasion, adjuvant transcatheter arterial chemoembolization should be considered to provide better control. Whether the adjuvant use of sorafenib may suppress microscopic tumor foci or micrometastases may be unveiled in the near future. This review article will update the algorithms, novel medication or study drugs in the prevention of HCC after curative therapies.

Role of antiviral treatment for HCC prevention

Chemoprevention of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is listed as a yet highly debated long-term benefit of a successful treatment of patients with chronic viral hepatitis. In the hepatitis B virus (HBV) arena, the retrospective scrutiny of both interferon and nucleos(t)ide analogues (NUC) studies failed to provide robust evidence for HCC chemoprevention, due to a number of confoundings in the studies that were originally designed to assess the antiviral activity of interferon therapy. However, the reanalysis of outcomes following patients stratification for risk factors of HCC, provided a clue to find an association between NUC therapy and a reduced risk of liver cancer in non cirrhotic patients, only. In the hepatitis C scenario, a meta analysis of 30 observational studies of patients treated with interferon demonstrated a more than 70% reduction of HCC risk occurring independently of severity of underlying liver fibrosis which was less pronounced in aged patients and those with more advanced liver fibrosis. While the reasons for the residual risk of HCC in virological responders remain largely unexplained, international societies recommend surveillance for HCC of both HBV and HCV responders to antiviral therapy.

Personalized cost-effectiveness of boceprevir-based triple therapy for untreated patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND

We assessed the cost-effectiveness of boceprevir-based triple therapy compared to peginterferon alpha and ribavirin dual therapy in untreated patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C; patients were discriminated according to the combination of baseline plus on-treatment predictors of boceprevir-based triple therapy.

METHODS

Cost-effectiveness analysis performed according to data from the available published literature. The target population was composed of untreated Caucasian patients, aged 50 years, with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C, and these were evaluated over a lifetime horizon by Markov model. The study was carried out from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service. Outcomes included discounted costs (in euro, at 2013 value), life-years gained, quality-adjusted life year, and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio. The robustness of the results was evaluated by multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

According to the baseline predictors of sustained virological response (genotype 1b, low viral load, fibrosis F0-F3, and body mass index) and the 1Log drop of HCV-RNA after the dual therapy lead-in period, boceprevir was cost-effective in different patient profiles.

CONCLUSIONS

In untreated genotype 1b chronic hepatitis C patients, the cost-effectiveness of boceprevir-based triple therapy widely ranges according to different profiles of sustained virological response predictors, allowing optimization and personalization of triple therapy.

Long-term safety and efficacy of microRNA-targeted therapy in chronic hepatitis C patients

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

MicroRNA-122 (miR-122) is an important host factor for hepatitis C virus (HCV) and promotes HCV RNA accumulation. Decreased intra-hepatic levels of miR-122 were observed in patients with hepatocellular carcinoma, suggesting a potential role of miR-122 in the development of HCC. Miravirsen targets miR-122 and resulted in a dose dependent and prolonged decrease of HCV RNA levels in chronic hepatitis C patients. The aim of this study was to establish the sustained virological response rate to peginterferon (P) and ribavirin (R) following miravirsen dosing and to assess long-term safety in patients treated with miravirsen.

METHODS

In this multicenter, retrospective follow-up study we included 36 treatment naïve patients with chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 who received five weekly subcutaneous injections with miravirsen or placebo over a 29-day period in a phase 2a study. Patients were offered PR therapy 3weeks (3mg/kg group) or 6weeks (5 or 7mg/kg group) after completion of miravirsen or placebo dosing.

RESULTS

PR therapy was started in 14/36 patients of whom 12 had received miravirsen. SVR was achieved in 7/12 patients previously dosed with miravirsen. All patients dosed with 7mg/kg miravirsen who were subsequently treated with PR achieved SVR. One patient had a prolonged undetectable HCV RNA period from week 14 to week 29 after baseline without subsequent antiviral therapy and relapsed thereafter. None of the patients treated with anti-miR-122 developed HCC or other liver-related complications.

CONCLUSION

No long-term safety issues were observed among 27 miravirsen-treated patients. Targeting miR-122 may be an effective and safe treatment strategy for HCV infection and should be investigated in larger clinical trials.

Effect of thrombocytopenia on treatment tolerability and outcome in patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced hepatic fibrosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Pegylated interferon is still the backbone of hepatitis C treatment and may cause thrombocytopenia, leading to dose reductions, early discontinuation, and eventually worse clinical outcome. We assessed associations between interferon-induced thrombocytopenia and bleeding complications, interferon dose reductions, early treatment discontinuation, as well as SVR and long-term clinical outcome.

METHODS

All consecutive patients with chronic HCV infection and biopsy-proven advanced hepatic fibrosis (Ishak 4-6) who initiated interferon-based therapy between 1990 and 2003 in 5 large hepatology units in Europe and Canada were included.

RESULTS

Overall, 859 treatments were administered to 546 patients. Baseline platelets (in 10(9)/L) were normal (⩾150) in 394 (46%) treatments; thrombocytopenia was moderate (75-149) in 324 (38%) and severe (<75) in 53 (6%) treatments. Thrombocytopenia-induced interferon dose reductions occurred in 3 (1%); 46 (16%), and 15 (30%) treatments respectively (p<0.001); interferon was discontinued due to thrombocytopenia in 1 (<1%), 8 (3%), and in 8 (16%) treatments respectively (p<0.001). In total, 104 bleeding events were reported during 53 treatments. Only two severe bleeding complications occurred. Multivariate analysis showed that cirrhosis and a platelet count below 50 were associated with on-treatment bleeding. Within thrombocytopenic patients, patients attaining SVR had a lower occurrence of liver failure (p<0.001), hepatocellular carcinoma (p<0.001), liver related death or liver transplantation (p<0.001), and all-cause mortality (p=0.001) compared to patients without SVR.

CONCLUSIONS

Even in thrombocytopenic patients with chronic HCV infection and advanced hepatic fibrosis, on-treatment bleedings are generally mild. SVR was associated with a marked reduction in cirrhosis-related morbidity and mortality, especially in patients with baseline thrombocytopenia.

Diabetes mellitus is an independent prognostic factor for major liver-related outcomes in patients with cirrhosis and chronic hepatitis C

In patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC), cirrhosis is associated with age, gender, diabetes, alcohol abuse, and coinfection with human immunodeficiency virus (HIV) or hepatitis B virus (HBV). The effect of these factors on the outcome of cirrhosis is unknown. This study in CHC patients with cirrhosis aimed to assess the influence of these factors on decompensation, liver transplantation, and death. Consecutive patients with CHC and cirrhosis hospitalized between January 1, 2006 and December 31, 2008 were followed up until death, transplantation, or study closure in March 2013. Gender, age, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score, diabetes, alcohol abuse, HIV, or HBV coinfection were collected at inclusion. The complications of cirrhosis, death, and liver transplantation were recorded at inclusion and during follow-up. The association between baseline factors and liver-related outcomes at inclusion and during follow-up were tested using logistic regression and Cox's model, respectively. A total of 348 patients with CHC and cirrhosis (68% men; median age: 59 years; median MELD: 10) were included. At baseline, 40% of the patients had diabetes, 29% alcohol abuse, and 6% HIV or HBV coinfection. Baseline MELD≥10 (P<0.001), diabetes (P=0.027), and HBV coinfection (P=0.001) were independently associated with transplantation-free survival. Baseline diabetes was independently associated with ascites (P=0.05), bacterial infections (P=0.001), and encephalopathy (P<0.001) at inclusion. Baseline diabetes was independently associated with development of ascites (P=0.057), renal dysfunction (P=0.004), bacterial infections (P=0.007), and hepatocellular carcinoma (P=0.016) during the follow-up.

CONCLUSION

In patients with CHC and cirrhosis, diabetes is an independent prognostic factor. Improving diabetes control may improve the outcome of cirrhosis.

Emerging therapies for hepatitis C

The combination of pegylated interferon (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin (RBV), the current therapy for hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, has saved the lives of many HCV-infected patients. Direct-acting antivirals (DAAs) target several sites of HCV nonstructural proteins, resulting in the cessation of viral replication. The first NS3/4A protease inhibitors consisted of boceprevir and telaprevir, which have shown superior efficacy against genotype 1 HCV infection when combined with PEG-IFN/RBV compared with the standard therapy in both treatment-naive and -experienced patients. Simeprevir, faldaprevir, and asunaprevir are second-wave, first-generation NS3/4A inhibitors that have already been or will soon be approved. Second-generation protease inhibitors are in clinical trials. Daclatasvir is the first approved DAA belonging to the class of NS5A replication complex inhibitors. The potency of daclatasvir is very high, and this drug is an important and essential component of combination regimens for all genotypes. Sofosbuvir, the first approved NS5B polymerase inhibitor, is characterized by high potency and genetic barriers to resistance. Sofosbuvir combined with RBV achieved an interferon-free regimen in genotype 2 or 3 patients with a reduced treatment duration. It can also be used in combination with PEG-IFN/RBV in genotype 1 patients for 12 weeks. DAAs have provided new hope for curing HCV infections with a short treatment duration and acceptable adverse events.

Cost-effectiveness of boceprevir co-administration versus pegylated interferon-α2b and ribavirin only for patients with hepatitis C genotype 1 in Singapore

BACKGROUND

Patients infected with chronic HCV genotype 1 experience liver complications as the disease progresses. This study aims to project the long-term reduction of liver complications and cost-effectiveness of treatment strategies, including co-administrating boceprevir (BOC) with pegylated interferon-α2b (PEG-IFN) and ribavirin compared with standard of care (SOC) of PEG-IFN and ribavirin only.

METHODS

A Markov model was created to estimate the expected costs and quality-adjusted life-years (QALYs) associated with treatment strategies outlined in the BOC package insert in Singapore. Patient characteristics were from pivotal trials, the transition probabilities and QALYs were estimated from publications, and the pharmaceutical and health status costs were obtained from a public hospital in Singapore. The threshold of cost-effectiveness was chosen as 65,000 SGD for this study.

RESULTS

For treatment-naive patients, BOC is highly cost-effective compared with SOC (179 SGD/QALY) and cost-saving for patients who have failed prior treatment, due to higher QALYs from better sustained virological response (SVR) and lower costs from avoidance of complications. Sub-group analyses show that BOC is cost-effective for non-cirrhotic treatment-experienced patients and null responders. It out-performs SOC for treatment-naive non-cirrhotic and cirrhotic patients who have failed prior treatment. Even after adjusting for higher prevalence of favourable IL28B genotype in Asians, BOC is cost-effective compared with SOC. Only untreated cirrhotic patients showed inconclusive cost-effectiveness for BOC.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with SOC, BOC prevents more HCV liver complications from HCV genotype 1, particularly in patients who have failed previous SOC. Improved SVR and shortened duration of treatment result in BOC being potentially cost-saving or cost-effective in an Asian population.

The number needed to treat to prevent mortality and cirrhosis-related complications among patients with cirrhosis and HCV genotype 1 infection

Cirrhotic patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection remain at risk for complications following sustained virological response (SVR). Therefore, we aimed to evaluate treatment efficacy with the number needed to treat (NNT) to prevent clinical endpoints. Mortality and cirrhosis-related morbidity were assessed in an international multicentre cohort of consecutively treated patients with HCV genotype 1 infection and cirrhosis. The NNT to prevent death or clinical disease progression (any cirrhosis-related event or death) in one patient was determined with the adjusted (event-free) survival among patients without SVR and adjusted hazard ratio of SVR. Overall, 248 patients were followed for a median of 8.3 (IQR 6.2-11.1) years. Fifty-nine (24%) patients attained SVR. Among patients without SVR, the adjusted 5-year survival and event-free survival were 94.4% and 80.0%, respectively. SVR was associated with reduced all-cause mortality (HR 0.15, 95% CI 0.05-0.48, P = 0.002) and clinical disease progression (HR 0.16, 95% CI 0.07-0.36, P < 0.001). The NNT to prevent one death in 5 years declined from 1052 (95% CI 937-1755) at 2% SVR (interferon monotherapy) to 61 (95% CI 54-101) at 35% SVR (peginterferon and ribavirin). At 50% SVR, which might be expected with triple therapy, the estimated NNT was 43 (95% CI 38-71). The NNT to prevent clinical disease progression in one patient in 5 years was 302 (95% CI 271-407), 18 (95% CI 16-24) and 13 (95% CI 11-17) at 2%, 35% and 50% SVR, respectively. In conclusion, the NNT to prevent clinical endpoints among cirrhotic patients with HCV genotype 1 has declined enormously with the improvement of antiviral therapy.

Hepatitis C virus screening practices and seropositivity among US veterans born during 1945 - 1965

BACKGROUND

The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) and the United States Preventive Services Task Force (USPSTF) recently augmented risk-based hepatitis C (HCV) screening guidelines with a recommendation to perform one-time screening in all persons born during 1945 - 1965, a birth cohort known to have a higher prevalence of HCV. We sought to estimate the proportion of veterans seen at the Atlanta VA Medical Center (AVAMC) who had ever been screened for HCV infection by birth year.

METHODS

We used an administrative database of all veterans seen at the AVAMC between January 1, 2011 and December 31, 2011, and a laboratory generated list of all HCV antibody tests and HCV RNA viral loads that were performed at the AVAMC to determine receipt of screening and HCV antibody positivity. Odds ratios and 95% confidence intervals were estimated using SAS version 9.2 (SAS institute, Cary, North Carolina).

RESULTS

HCV antibody testing had ever been performed on 48% (41,556) of the veterans seen in 2011; 10% of those tested had a positive antibody. Confirmatory viral loads were performed in 96% of those with a positive antibody screen. Those born during 1945 - 1965 were more likely to have a HCV antibody performed when compared with those born in other years (54% vs. 41%, odds ratio [OR] 1.70, 95% Confidence Interval [CI] 1.65-1.74). Among veterans ever tested for HCV antibody (n = 41,556), those born during 1945 - 1965 were 6 times more likely to have a positive HCV antibody (15% vs. 3%, OR 5.87, 95% CI 5.32-6.78), and 3 times more likely to have chronic HCV infection (76% vs. 50%, OR 3.25, 95% CI 2.65-4.00).

CONCLUSIONS

Nearly half of the veterans seen in 2011 at the AVAMC had ever been tested for HCV infection. When examined by birth cohort, over half of the veterans born during 1945 - 1965 had been screened for HCV and 15% of those screened had a positive HCV antibody. Our findings confirm the increased prevalence of HCV infection in persons born during 1945 - 1965 as identified in the updated CDC and USPSTF recommendations.

Post-treatment levels of α-fetoprotein predict incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma after interferon therapy

BACKGROUND & AIMS

In patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection, lack of sustained virologic response (SVR) 24 weeks after the end of interferon therapy is a significant risk factor for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Although many pretreatment factors are known to affect HCC incidence, less is known about post-treatment factors-many change during the course of interferon therapy.

METHODS

We performed a prospective study, collecting data from 2659 patients with chronic hepatitis C without a history of HCC who had been treated with pegylated interferon (Peg-IFN) plus ribavirin from 2002 through 2008 at hospitals in Japan. Biopsy specimens were collected before treatment; all patients received Peg-IFN plus ribavirin for 48 to 72 weeks (HCV genotype 1) or 24 weeks (HCV genotype 2). Hematologic, biochemical, and virologic data were collected every 4 weeks during treatment and every 6 months after treatment. HCC was diagnosed based on angiography, computed tomography, and/or magnetic resonance imaging findings.

RESULTS

HCC developed in 104 patients during a mean observation period of 40 months. Older age, male sex, lower platelet counts and higher levels of α-fetoprotein at baseline, and lack of an SVR were significant risk factors for HCC. The cumulative incidence of HCC was significantly lower in patients without SVRs who relapsed than those with no response to treatment. Levels of α-fetoprotein 24 weeks after the end of treatment (AFP24) were significantly lower than levels of α-fetoprotein at baseline in patients with SVRs and those who relapsed, but not in nonresponders. Post-treatment risk factors for HCC among patients with SVRs included higher AFP24 level and older age; among those without SVRs, risk factors included higher AFP24 level, integrated level of alanine aminotransferase, older age, and male sex. AFP24 (≥10 ng/mL, 10-5 ng/mL, and then <5 ng/mL) was a better predictor of HCC incidence than pretreatment level of AFP among patients with and without SVRs.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients with chronic HCV infection, levels of α-fetoprotein decrease during interferon therapy. High post-treatment levels of α-fetoprotein predict HCC, regardless of whether patients achieve an SVR. University Hospital Medical Information Network Clinical Trials Registry: C000000196, C000000197.

Indices of initial hepatitis C virus RNA reduction rate to predict efficacy of interferon-beta followed by peginterferon plus ribavirin for genotype 1b high viral load

AIM

Initial hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA reduction was investigated as a potential index for sustained virological response (SVR) in the treatment of interferon (IFN)-β followed by peginterferon plus ribavirin (PEG IFN/RBV).

METHODS

The treatment course was retrospectively analyzed in 64 genotype 1b patients with a HCV RNA level of 5.0 logIU/mL or higher. IFN-β was administrated twice a day for 2 weeks followed by 24 or 48 weeks of PEG IFN/RBV. The serum HCV RNA level was measured by real-time polymerase chain reaction before administration and at 1, 2 and 4 weeks of therapy.

RESULTS

By the duration of PEG IFN administration, the SVR rates were 11% (2/18, <19 weeks), 64% (23/36, 20-24 weeks) and 40% (4/10, 25-72 weeks) (P = 0.0011, χ(2) -test). The SVR rate was high in patients in whom the HCV RNA level had decreased by 2.5 logIU/mL or greater at 1 week of IFN-β (29/55 [53%] vs 0/9 [0%], P = 0.0029, χ(2) -test). Among these patients, the SVR rate was even higher in those with continuous reduction in the first 2 weeks after the switch to PEG IFN/RBV (27/45 [60%] vs 2/10 [20%], P = 0.0048). Age below 65 years, no previous IFN course and good initial HCV RNA reduction were significantly associated with SVR on multivariate analysis, and the SVR rate was 95% (18/19) among these patients.

CONCLUSION

The 2.5 logIU/mL reduction in HCV RNA at 1 week of IFN-β and the continuous reduction just after the switch to PEG IFN/RBV are important SVR-predictive indices.

Hepatitis C in Argentina: epidemiology and treatment

Hepatitis C is the leading cause of chronic hepatitis, cirrhosis, and liver cancer in Argentina, where from 1.5% to 2.5% of adults are infected. Most of the infections were acquired 30-50 years ago. It is estimated that more than half of infected individuals are not aware of their infection. Even though the prevalence in blood donors has decreased to 0.45% at present, many high-prevalence populations still exist, where the reported prevalence ranges from 2.2% to 7.1%. Therapy is recommended for patients with fibrosis, in order to prevent disease progression, hepatic decompensation, and hepatocellular carcinoma. Great advances were achieved in the treatment of genotype 1 infection since the development and release of boceprevir and telaprevir. When either of these protease inhibitors is associated with peginterferon plus ribavirin, the sustained virological response (SVR) rate improves from 40%-50% to 67%-75%. For genotype 2 and 3 infection, treatment with peginterferon plus ribavirin is still the standard of care, with SVR rates of 70%-90%. There are significant new antivirals in development, and some of them are close to being released. These drugs will most likely be the future standard of care for all genotypes, and will be incorporated in better-tolerated and highly effective all-oral regimes. The impact that these new therapies might have in health-related economics is unpredictable, especially in developing countries. Each country must carefully evaluate the local situation in order to implement proper screening and treatment programs. Difficult-to-treat patients, such as those with decompensated cirrhosis, patients in hemodialysis, and those with other significant comorbidities, might not be able to receive these new therapeutic approaches and their management will remain challenging.

Prediction of morbidity and mortality in patients with chronic hepatitis C by non-invasive liver fibrosis models

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Liver fibrosis is prognostic of outcomes among patients with chronic hepatitis C (CHC). We evaluated the accuracy of non-invasive markers and liver biopsy in predicting morbidity and mortality in CHC patients.

METHODS

Compensated CHC patients were evaluated over a 10-year period. Non-invasive markers including Hepascore, FIB-4, APRI and liver biopsy results were retrospectively collated. Follow-up morbidity and mortality data were obtained from the Western Australian Data Linkage System. The prognostic significance of baseline non-invasive markers and biopsy were assessed using Kaplan-Meier analysis.

RESULTS

A total of 406 subjects (64% male, mean age 48 ± 11 years) were followed up for 2385 person-years, during which there were 22 (5.4%) deaths including 14 (3.4%) who died from liver disease or required liver transplantation. Sixteen (3.9%) subjects developed liver decompensation. Hepascore and liver biopsy (P < 0.005) but not APRI or FIB-4 were predictive of overall and liver-related mortality as well as liver decompensation. A Hepascore>0.5 was associated with increased overall mortality [Hazard Ratio (95%CI) 6.7 (2.6-17), P < 0.001], liver-related mortality [32.8 (4.3-250), P = 0.001] and risk of future decompensation [11.8 (3.3-41), P < 0.001], whereas a Hepascore ≤0.5 was associated with a 99% probability of not dying from liver-related causes over 10 years. Hepascore had comparable accuracy with liver biopsy in predicting liver-related mortality with AUROC of 0.86 (95%CI 0.80-0.90) and 0.87 (0.79-0.96), respectively.

CONCLUSION

Hepascore is predictive of overall and liver-related mortality and morbidity in CHC patients with comparable accuracy to liver biopsy. Hepascore may be a useful prognostic marker in clinical practice.

Cost-effectiveness of sofosbuvir-based triple therapy for untreated patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C

We assessed the cost-effectiveness of sofosbuvir (SOF)-based triple therapy (TT) compared with boceprevir (BOC)- and telaprevir (TVR)-based TT in untreated genotype 1 (G1) chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients discriminated according to IL28B genotype, severity of liver fibrosis, and G1 subtype. The available published literature provided the data source. The target population was made up of untreated Caucasian patients, aged 50 years, with G1CHC and these were evaluated over a lifetime horizon by Markov model. The study was carried out from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service. Outcomes included discounted costs (in euros at 2013 value), life-years gained (LYG), quality-adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER). Cost of SOF was assumed to be € 3,500 per week, i.e., the price generating a willingness-to-pay threshold of € 25,000 per LYG compared with TVR in the entire population of untreated G1 patients. The robustness of the results was evaluated by one-way deterministic and multivariate probabilistic sensitivity analyses. SOF was cost-effective compared with BOC in all strategies with the exception of cirrhosis and IL28B CC patients. In comparison with TVR-based strategies, SOF was cost-effective in IL28B CT/TT (ICER per LYG € 22,229) and G1a (€ 19,359) patients, not cost-effective in IL28B CC (€45,330), fibrosis F0-F3 (€ 26,444), and in cirrhosis (€ 34,906) patients, and dominated in G1b patients. The models were sensitive to SOF prices and to likelihood of sustained virological response.

CONCLUSION

In untreated G1 CHC patients, SOF-based TT may be a cost-effective alternative to first-generation protease inhibitors depending on pricing. The cost-effectiveness of SOF improved in IL28B CT/TT and G1a patients. SOF was dominated by TVR in G1b patients even if, in clinical practice, this issue could be counterbalanced by the good tolerability profile of SOF and by the shorter treatment duration.

Prediction of a null response to pegylated interferon α-2b plus ribavirin in patients with high viral load genotype 1b hepatitis C

Background/Aims

The present study aimed to clarify whether virological response within 2 weeks after therapy initiation can predict a null response to pegylated interferon α-2b plus ribavirin therapy in patients with high viral load genotype 1b hepatitis C.

Methods

The participants consisted of 72 patients with high viral load genotype 1b. The dynamics of viral load within 2 weeks were measured.

Results

Significant differences between null responders and nonnull responders were noted for interleukin (IL)-28B genotype, amino acid 70 substitution, α-fetoprotein, low-density lipoprotein cholesterol, hyaluronic acid, and viral response. The area under the curve (AUC) for the receiver operating characteristic curve of the hepatitis C virus (HCV) RNA level decline at 2 weeks (AUC=0.993) was the highest among the factors predicting the null response. When the cutoff value for the HCV RNA level decline at 2 weeks was set at 0.80 log, the sensitivity, specificity, positive predictive value, negative predictive value, and accuracy in predicting a null response were 82%, 96%, 82%, 96%, and 94%, respectively. In comparison, values for the non-TT and mutant type of amino acid 70 substitution were similar to those for HCV RNA level decline at 2 weeks.

Conclusions

Virological response at 2 weeks or the combination of IL-28B and amino acid 70 substitution are accurate predictors of a null response.

Reversal, maintenance or progression: what happens to the liver after a virologic cure of hepatitis C?

A sustained virological response (SVR) from HCV (synonymous with virological cure) leads to decreased mortality, morbidity and improved quality of life, as well as a reduced incidence of liver disease progression, including liver failure, cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma. Large clinical trials comparing pre- and post-treatment liver biopsies demonstrate improvements in inflammation as well as fibrosis score following SVR. However, a small subset of patients display persistent hepatic inflammation and/or progress to cirrhosis despite SVR. In addition to conferring a risk of fibrosis progression, advanced fibrosis pre-treatment is a major risk factor for post-SVR hepatocellular carcinoma. In this review, we discuss the mechanisms of fibrosis regression uncovered using experimental fibrosis models and highlight potential mechanisms in those few patients with fibrosis progression despite SVR. We also introduce current concepts of fibrosis-dependent tumorigenesis post-SVR in patients with advanced disease. This article forms part of a symposium in Antiviral Research on "Hepatitis C: next steps toward global eradication."

Elderly age is not a negative predictive factor for virological response to therapy with pegylated interferon-α and ribavirin in chronic hepatitis C virus patients

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Age is frequently discussed as negative host factor to achieve a sustained virological response (SVR) to antiviral therapy of chronic hepatitis C. However, elderly patients often show advanced fibrosis/cirrhosis as known negative predictive factor. The aim of this study was to assess age as an independent predictive factor during antiviral therapy.

METHODS

Overall, 516 hepatitis C patients were treated with pegylated interferon-α and ribavirin, thereof 66 patients ≥60 years. We analysed the impact of host factors (age, gender, fibrosis, haemoglobin, previous hepatitis C treatment) and viral factors (genotype, viral load) on SVR per therapy course by performing a generalized estimating equations (GEE) regression modelling, a matched pair analysis and a classification tree analysis.

RESULTS

Overall, SVR per therapy course was 42.9 and 26.1%, respectively, in young and elderly patients with hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotypes 1/4/6. The corresponding figures for HCV genotypes 2/3 were 74.4 and 84%. In the GEE model, age had no significant influence on achieving SVR. In matched pair analysis, SVR was not different in young and elderly patients (54.2 and 55.9% respectively; P = 0.795 in binominal test). In classification tree analysis, age was not a relevant splitting variable.

CONCLUSIONS

Age is not a significant predictive factor for achieving SVR, when relevant confounders are taken into account. As life expectancy in Western Europe at age 60 is more than 20 years, it is reasonable to treat chronic hepatitis C in selected elderly patients with relevant fibrosis or cirrhosis but without major concomitant diseases, as SVR improves survival and reduces carcinogenesis.

Hepatitis C-related liver cirrhosis - strategies for the prevention of hepatic decompensation, hepatocarcinogenesis, and mortality

Liver cirrhosis (LC) is a critical stage of chronic liver disease, including that caused by hepatitis C virus (HCV). In the absence of antiviral therapy, 67%-91% of patients with HCV-related LC patients die of liver-related causes, including hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver failure. Among the therapeutic strategies used to prevent liver-related complications in these patients is standard therapy with pegylated interferon and ribavirin, which induces a sustained virological response (SVR) in 25% of HCV genotype 1-infected patients and in 69% of patients infected with genotypes 2 and 3. SVR in patients with HCV-related LC has been associated with reduced rates of hepatic decompensation, HCC, and mortality. More recently developed direct-acting antiviral agents have shown excellent antiviral efficacy, with preliminary data demonstrating that an interferon-free regimen that includes these direct-acting antiviral agents achieved SVR in more than 50% of patients with HCV genotype 1 LC. Branched-chain amino acid supplementation, improvement of insulin resistance, and the use of β-blockers for portal hypertension may also reduce liver-related complications. Here, we review advances in antiviral and adjunctive therapies for improved outcomes in patients with HCV-associated LC.

Hepatitis C virus vaccines among people who inject drugs

Most people who inject drugs (PWID) are infected with hepatitis C virus (HCV), and PWID have the highest risk of HCV infection of any risk group. The incidence of HCV infection is 5%-25% per year, demonstrating continued need for HCV infection prevention in PWID. Existing data in chimpanzees and PWID suggest that protective immunity against persistent HCV infection is achievable. Due to the high incidence of infection, PWID are both the most likely to benefit from a vaccine and a population in which vaccine efficacy could be tested. Challenges to testing a vaccine in PWID are significant. However, the first HCV vaccine trial in at-risk HCV-uninfected PWID was initiated in 2012. The results will likely guide future vaccine development and strategies for vaccination of this and other high-risk populations.

Improved Serum Alpha-Fetoprotein Levels after Iron Reduction Therapy in HCV Patients

Background and Aims. To examine the changes in serum alpha-fetoprotein (AFP) levels after iron reduction by therapeutic phlebotomy in chronic hepatitis C patients. Methods. This retrospective study included 26 chronic hepatitis C patients. The patients were developed iron depletion by repeated therapeutic phlebotomies. Results. Iron reduction therapy significantly reduced the median level of serum AFP from 13 to 7 ng/mL, ALT from 96 to 50 IU/L, gamma-glutamyl transpeptidase (GGT) from 55 to 28 IU/L, and ferritin from 191 to 10 ng/mL (P < 0.001 for each). The rate of decline in the AFP level correlated positively only with that in GGT (r = 0.695, P = 0.001), although a spurious correlation was observed between the rates of decline for AFP and ALT. The AFP level normalized (<10 ng/mL) posttreatment in eight (50%) of 16 patients who had elevated pretreatment AFP levels. Normalized post-treatment ALT and GGT levels were seen in 12% (3 of 26) and 39% (7 of 18) of the patients, respectively. Multivariate analysis identified a post-treatment GGT level of <30 IU/L as an independent factor associated with post-treatment AFP normalization (odds ratio, 21; 95% confidence interval, 1.5-293; P = 0.024). Conclusions. Iron reduction by therapeutic phlebotomy can reduce serum AFP and GGT levels in chronic hepatitis C patients.

Virus associated malignancies: the role of viral hepatitis in hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the third leading fatal cancer worldwide and its incidence continues to increase. Chronic viral hepatitis involving either hepatitis B virus (HBV) or hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection is the leading etiology for HCC, making HCC prevention a major goal of antiviral therapy. While recent clinical observations and translational research have enhanced our understanding of the molecular mechanisms driving the initiation and progression of HCC, much remains unknown. Current data indicates that HCC tumors are highly complex and heterogeneous resulting from the aberrant function of multiple molecular pathways. This complex biology is responsible, at least in part, for the absence of highly efficient target-directed therapies for this deadly cancer. Additionally, the direct or indirect effect of HBV and HCV infection on the development of HCC is still a contentious issue. Thus, the question remains whether viral hepatitis-associated HCC stems from virus-specific factors, and/or from a general mechanism involving inflammation and tissue regeneration. In this review we summarize general mechanisms implicated in HCC, emphasizing data generated by new technologies available today. We also highlight specific pathways by which HBV and HCV could be involved in HCC pathogenesis. However, improvements to current in vitro and in vivo systems for both viruses will be needed to rigorously define the temporal sequence and specific pathway dysregulations that drive the strong clinical link between chronic hepatitis virus infection and HCC.

Is there sufficient evidence to recommend antiviral therapy in hepatitis C?

While patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection are treated in order to prevent liver-related morbidity and mortality, we rely on sustained virological response (SVR) as a virological biomarker to evaluate treatment efficacy in both clinical practice as well as in drug development. However, conclusive evidence for the clinical benefit of antiviral therapy or validity of SVR as surrogate marker, as derived from trials randomizing patients to a treatment or control arm, is lacking. In fact, the Hepatitis C Antiviral Long-term Treatment Against Cirrhosis (HALT-C) trial recently showed an increased mortality rate among interferon-treated patients compared to untreated controls. Consequently, the recommendation to treat patients with chronic HCV infection was challenged. Here, we argue that the possible harmful effect of long-term low-dose pegylated interferon mono therapy, as was observed in the HALT-C trial cohort, cannot be extrapolated to potentially curative short-term treatment regimens. Furthermore, we discuss SVR as a surrogate biomarker, based on numerous studies which indicated an association between SVR and improvements in health-related quality of life, hepatic inflammation and fibrosis, and portal pressure as well as a reduced risk for hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), liver failure and mortality.

Cost-effectiveness of boceprevir or telaprevir for previously treated patients with genotype 1 chronic hepatitis C

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Randomised controlled trials (RCTs) show that triple therapy (TT) with peginterferon alfa, ribavirin, and boceprevir (BOC) or telaprevir (TVR) is more effective than peginterferon-ribavirin dual therapy (DT) in the treatment of genotype 1 (G1) chronic hepatitis C (CHC) patients with previous relapse (RR), partial response (PAR), and null-response (NR). We assess the cost-effectiveness of TT compared to no therapy in the treatment of patients previously treated with G1 CHC.

METHODS

The available published literature provided the data source. The target population was made up of previously treated Caucasian patients with G1 CHC and these were evaluated over a lifetime horizon by Markov model. The study was carried out from the perspective of the Italian National Health Service. Outcomes included discounted costs (in euro at 2012 value), life years gained (LYG), quality adjusted life year (QALY), and incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER).The robustness of the results was evaluated by one-way deterministic and multivariable probabilistic sensitivity analyses.

RESULTS

In RR patients, ICER per LYG compared to no therapy was €9555 for BOC-LEAD-IN-RR and €7910 for TVR-LEAD-IN-RR, being BOC dominated by TVR. In PAR patients, ICER for LYG was €11,947 for BOC-LEAD-IN-PAR and €14,931 for TVR-PAR, being TVR cost-effective compared to BOC (ICER for QALY €22,258). In NR patients, ICER for LYG was €26,499 for TVR-LEAD-IN-NR. The models were sensitive to likelihood of sustained virological response and to BOC/TVR prices.

CONCLUSIONS

1st generation HCV PI is highly cost-effective compared to no therapy in RR and PAR G1 CHC patients. TVR dominated BOC in RR, and was cost-effective compared to BOC in PAR patients. In NR patients an assessment of the response after a lead-in period should be performed to improve safety and cost-effectiveness.

Preparing the patient for success: treat or wait?

Hepatitis C is a frequent cause of liver cirrhosis and, hepatocellular carcinoma worldwide. However, predicting clinical outcomes in patients with chronic hepatitis C is challenging. The risk of disease progression is not linear and can be associated with several factors. With the currently available therapies, around 70% of naïve patients, independently of hepatitis C virus genotype can achieve a sustained virologic response. Consequently, all hepatitis C virus patients are candidates for antiviral therapy. The decision to treat a patient with chronic hepatitis C virus infection is based on several factors, including the natural history of the disease, the stage of fibrosis, and the efficacy and adverse effects related to therapy. The decision to treat immediately or wait for a new drug is more difficult and should be tailored to each patient, taking into account the patient's characteristics, the risk of disease progression, the patient's wishes, and the experience of the attending physician.

Global control of hepatitis C: where challenge meets opportunity

We are entering an important new chapter in the story of hepatitis C virus (HCV) infection. There are clear challenges and opportunities. On the one hand, new HCV infections are still occurring, and an estimated 185 million people are or have previously been infected worldwide. Most HCV-infected persons are unaware of their status yet are at risk for life-threatening diseases such as cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), whose incidences are predicted to rise in the coming decade. On the other hand, new HCV infections can be prevented, and those that have already occurred can be detected and treated--viral eradication is even possible. How the story ends will largely be determined by the extent to which these rapidly advancing opportunities overcome the growing challenges and by the vigor of the public health response.

Cost-effectiveness of boceprevir in patients previously treated for chronic hepatitis C genotype 1 infection in the United States

OBJECTIVES

The phase 3 trial, Serine Protease Inhibitor Boceprevir and PegIntron/Rebetol-2 (RESPOND-2), demonstrated that the addition of boceprevir (BOC) to peginterferon-ribavirin (PR) resulted in significantly higher rates of sustained virologic response (SVR) in previously treated patients with chronic hepatitis C virus (HCV) genotype-1 infection as compared with PR alone. We evaluated the cost-effectiveness of treatment with BOC in previously treated patients with chronic hepatitis C in the United States using treatment-related data from RESPOND-2 and PROVIDE studies.

METHODS

We developed a Markov cohort model to project the burden of HCV disease, lifetime costs, and quality-adjusted life-years associated with PR and two BOC-based therapies-response-guided therapy (BOC/RGT) and fixed-duration therapy for 48 weeks (BOC/PR48). We estimated treatment-related inputs (efficacy, adverse events, and discontinuations) from clinical trials and obtained disease progression rates, costs, and quality-of-life data from published studies. We estimated the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio (ICER) for BOC-based regimens as studied in RESPOND-2, as well as by patient's prior response to treatment and the IL-28B genotype.

RESULTS

BOC-based regimens were projected to reduce the lifetime incidence of liver-related complications by 43% to 53% in comparison with treatment with PR. The ICER of BOC/RGT in comparison with that of PR was $30,200, and the ICER of BOC/PR48 in comparison with that of BOC/RGT was $91,500. At a willingness-to-pay threshold of $50,000, the probabilities of BOC/RGT and BOC/PR48 being the preferred option were 0.74 and 0.25, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients previously treated for chronic HCV genotype-1 infection, BOC was projected to increase quality-adjusted life-years and reduce the lifetime incidence of liver complications. In addition, BOC-based therapies were projected to be cost-effective in comparison with PR alone at commonly used willingness-to-pay thresholds.

Does hepatitis C viremia or genotype predict the risk of mortality in individuals co-infected with HIV?

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The influence of HCV-RNA levels and genotype on HCV disease progression is not well studied. The prognostic value of these markers was investigated in HIV/HCV co-infected individuals from the EuroSIDA cohort.

METHODS

EuroSIDA is a prospective cohort of 18,295 HIV-1 infected patients in 105 centres across Europe, Israel, and Argentina. All subjects with known HCV antibody (HCVAb) status (n=13,025) were enrolled in the present study.

RESULTS

4044 (31.0%) patients had detectable HCVAb. After adjustment, HCVAb+ patients had an increased incidence of liver-related death (LRD) compared to HCVAb- individuals (IRR 8.90; 95% CI 5.60-14.14, p<0.0001). Information on HCV-RNA was available for 2709 (67.0%) HCVAb+ patients and 2010 (74.2%) were HCV-RNA+. Of 1907 patients with measured HCV genotype, 1008 (52.9%), 62 (3.3%), 567 (29.7%), and 270 (14.2%) were infected with genotype 1, 2, 3 and 4, respectively. Patients with detectable HCV-RNA had similar incidence of non-LRD, but higher incidence of LRD compared to HCVAb+ aviremic patients (adjusted IRR 1.18; 95% CI 0.93-1.50, p=0.17) and (adjusted IRR 2.11; 95% CI 1.30-3.42, p=0.0025), respectively. In patients with HCV viremia, HCV-RNA levels and HCV genotype did not influence the risk of non-LRD or LRD.

CONCLUSIONS

HCV seropositive HIV patients had a 9-fold increased risk of LRD compared to patients who were HCV seronegative. Risk of death from any cause or LRD was not influenced by level of HCV viremia or HCV genotype.