Survival in infection-related acute-on-chronic liver failure is defined by extrahepatic organ failures

Uncontrolled diabetes mellitus increases risk of infection in patients with advanced cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Diabetes mellitus (DM) is common in patients with cirrhosis and is associated with increased risk of infection.

AIM

To analyze the impact of uncontrolled DM on infection and mortality among inpatients with advanced cirrhosis.

METHODS

This study utilized the Nationwide Inpatient Sample from 1998 to 2014. We defined advanced cirrhosis using a validated ICD-9-CM algorithm requiring a diagnosis of cirrhosis and clinically significant portal hypertension or decompensation. The primary outcome was bacterial infection. Secondary outcomes included inpatient mortality stratified by elderly age (age≥70). Multivariable logistic regression analyzed outcomes.

RESULTS

906,559 (29.2%) patients had DM and 109,694 (12.1%) were uncontrolled. Patients who had uncontrolled DM were younger, had less ascites, but more encephalopathy. Bacterial infection prevalence was more common in uncontrolled DM (34.2% vs. 28.4%, OR 1.33, 95% CI 1.29-1.37, p<0.001). Although uncontrolled DM was not associated with mortality, when stratified by age, elderly patients with uncontrolled DM had a significantly higher risk of inpatient mortality (OR 1.62, 95% CI 1.46-1.81).

CONCLUSIONS

Uncontrolled DM is associated with increased risk of infection, and when combined with elderly age is associated with increased risk of inpatient mortality. Glycemic control is a modifiable target to improve morbidity and mortality in patients with advanced cirrhosis.

Hospitalizations for Acute on Chronic Liver Failure at Academic Compared to Non-academic Centers Have Higher Mortality

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) in patients with cirrhosis has high short-term mortality. Data comparing ACLF admissions to academic centers (AC) and non-academic centers (NAC) are scanty.

METHODS

National Inpatient Sample (2006-2014) was queried for admissions with cirrhosis and ACLF using the ICD-09 codes, and was stratified to AC or NAC.

RESULTS

Of 1,928,764 admissions with cirrhosis (2006-2014), 112,174 (5. 9%) had ACLF. 6.7% of 1,018,568 cirrhosis admissions to AC had ACLF versus 5% of 910,196 admissions to NAC, P < 0.0001. Proportion of ACLF admissions to AC increased from 49% during 2006-2008 to 59% during 2012-2014. In a cohort of 73,630 ACLF admissions (36,615 each to AC and NAC) matched for patient demographics, cirrhosis etiology, number of comorbidities, elective versus emergent admission, ACLF grade, and type of organ failure. In-hospital mortality declined by 7% over the study period, but remained higher in AC (46% vs. 42%, P < 0.001), with 11% increased odds for in-hospital mortality compared to admission to NAC. Further admissions to AC versus NAC had higher median (IQR) length of stay at 13 (6-25) versus 11 (5-20) days, with higher median (IQR) hospital charges: 138,239 (66,772-275,603) versus 116,209 (55,767-232,699) USD, P < 0.001 for both.

CONCLUSION

Patients with ACLF have high in-hospital mortality. Further, this is higher among admissions to AC. Although the in-hospital mortality is improving, strategies are needed on early identification of patients with futility of care for early discussion on goals of care, and optimal utilization of hospital resources among admissions with ACLF.

A Randomized Trial of Albumin Infusions in Hospitalized Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND

Infection and increased systemic inflammation cause organ dysfunction and death in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Preclinical studies provide support for an antiinflammatory role of albumin, but confirmatory large-scale clinical trials are lacking. Whether targeting a serum albumin level of 30 g per liter or greater in these patients with repeated daily infusions of 20% human albumin solution, as compared with standard care, would reduce the incidences of infection, kidney dysfunction, and death is unknown.

METHODS

We conducted a randomized, multicenter, open-label, parallel-group trial involving hospitalized patients with decompensated cirrhosis who had a serum albumin level of less than 30 g per liter at enrollment. Patients were randomly assigned to receive either targeted 20% human albumin solution for up to 14 days or until discharge, whichever came first, or standard care. Treatment commenced within 3 days after admission. The composite primary end point was new infection, kidney dysfunction, or death between days 3 and 15 after the initiation of treatment.

RESULTS

A total of 777 patients underwent randomization, and alcohol was reported to be a cause of cirrhosis in most of these patients. A median total infusion of albumin of 200 g (interquartile range, 140 to 280) per patient was administered to the targeted albumin group (increasing the albumin level to ≥30 g per liter), as compared with a median of 20 g (interquartile range, 0 to 120) per patient administered to the standard-care group (adjusted mean difference, 143 g; 95% confidence interval [CI], 127 to 158.2). The percentage of patients with a primary end-point event did not differ significantly between the targeted albumin group (113 of 380 patients [29.7%]) and the standard-care group (120 of 397 patients [30.2%]) (adjusted odds ratio, 0.98; 95% CI, 0.71 to 1.33; P = 0.87). A time-to-event analysis in which data were censored at the time of discharge or at day 15 also showed no significant between-group difference (hazard ratio, 1.04; 95% CI, 0.81 to 1.35). More severe or life-threatening serious adverse events occurred in the albumin group than in the standard-care group.

CONCLUSIONS

In patients hospitalized with decompensated cirrhosis, albumin infusions to increase the albumin level to a target of 30 g per liter or more was not more beneficial than the current standard care in the United Kingdom. (Funded by the Health Innovation Challenge Fund; ATTIRE EudraCT number, 2014-002300-24; ISRCT number, N14174793.).

The dynamic of platelet count as a novel and valuable predictor for 90-day survival of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure patients

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is extremely poor due to multiple organ dysfunction.

OBJECTIVES

To investigate the prognostic risk factors and create a 90-day prognostic predictive model for the patients with HBV-ACLF.

METHODS

Demographic information, clinical examination, and laboratory test results of the enrolled patients were collected to study the prognostic risk factors. Univariate and multivariate analysis and stepwise Logistic regression were performed to develop the predictive model. External validation was performed to verify the model.

RESULTS

A total of 333 HBV-ACLF patients and 86 HBV-non-ACLF patients were included in this study. Age, alpha-fetoprotein (AFP), total bilirubin (TBIL), platelet (PLT), and international normalized ratio (INR) were found to be independent risk factors for poor outcomes of HBV-ACLF patients. The formula identified for the linear predictor (LP) of the prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients is thus: LP_ACLF=-5.04-0.056×age-0.002×AFP-0.010×PLT+0.002×TBIL+0.877×INR. The area under curve (AUC) of the receiver operating characteristic curve (ROC) was 0.7835 (95% CI 0.7248-0.8423).

CONCLUSIONS

A predictive model with good calibration and discrimination for 90-day survival of HBV-ACLF patients, including 5 variables, namely age, AFP, PLT, TBIL, and INR was established. Platelet count was a sensitive and dynamic variable for the prognosis of HBV-ACLF.

Liver transplantation for acute-on-chronic liver failure predicts post-transplant mortality and impaired long-term quality of life

BACKGROUND

Among patients with cirrhosis, candidate selection and timing of liver transplantation (LT) remain problematic. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe complication of cirrhosis with excessive short-term mortality rates under conservative therapeutic measures. The role of LT in the management of ACLF is uncertain.

OBJECTIVE

To assess the impact of ACLF on post-LT survival and long-term graft function, morbidity and quality of life (QoL).

METHODS

We retrospectively analysed all cirrhosis patients undergoing LT at our institution between 01/2009 and 12/2014. Median follow-up was 8.7 years. Long-term LT survivors were interviewed with established QoL questionnaires.

RESULTS

Of 250 LT recipients, 98 fulfilled the EASL diagnostic ACLF criteria before LT ('ACLF-LT'). ACLF associated with reduced post-LT survival (HR for 6-month survival compared to non-ACLF-LT: 0.18; HR for 10-year-survival: 0.47; both P < .001) depending on ACLF severity before LT, and mainly inferred by infections both in the early and late phases after LT. In ACLF patients, CLIFc-OFs was superior to MELD score in predicting post-LT mortality. Long-term follow-up revealed comparable graft functions and comorbidity burden in ACLF-LT and non-ACLF-LT survivors. ACLF-LT patients reported significantly impaired health and QoL, particularly with regards to anxiety/depression and physical and psychological health (all P < .05). LabMELD score, presence of ACLF at LT and duration of post-LT intensive care associated with poor long-term QoL.

CONCLUSION

ACLF predicts impaired post-LT survival. While long-term graft function and extrahepatic comorbidities are comparable in ACLF and non-ACLF LT survivors, the strikingly low QoL in many ACLF-LT recipients warrants consideration during follow-up patient care.

Utilizing the gut microbiome in decompensated cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure

The human gut microbiome has emerged as a major player in human health and disease. The liver, as the first organ to encounter microbial products that cross the gut epithelial barrier, is affected by the gut microbiome in many ways. Thus, the gut microbiome might play a major part in the development of liver diseases. The common end stage of liver disease is decompensated cirrhosis and the further development towards acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). These conditions have high short-term mortality. There is evidence that translocation of components of the gut microbiota, facilitated by different pathogenic mechanisms such as increased gut epithelial permeability and portal hypertension, is an important driver of decompensation by induction of systemic inflammation, and thereby also ACLF. Elucidating the role of the gut microbiome in the aetiology of decompensated cirrhosis and ACLF deserves further investigation and improvement; and might be the basis for development of diagnostic and therapeutic strategies. In this Review, we focus on the possible pathogenic, diagnostic and therapeutic role of the gut microbiome in decompensation of cirrhosis and progression to ACLF.

Expanding Indications of Liver Transplantation in Spain: Consensus Statement and Recommendations by the Spanish Society of Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

The number of patients awaiting liver transplantation (LT) in Spain has halved from 2015 to 2019 due to the reduction of candidates with hepatitis C and the successful implementation of nonheart beating donation programs across the country. The Spanish Society for Liver Transplantation has committed to take advantage of this situation by developing consensus around potential areas to expand the current indications for LT. The consensus group was composed of 6 coordinators and 23 expert delegates, each one representing an LT institution in Spain.

METHODS

A modified Delphi approach was used to identify areas to expand indications for LT and to build consensus around paramount aspects, such as inclusion criteria and waitlist prioritization within each area. The scientific evidence and strength of recommendations were assessed by the "Grading of Recommendations Assessment, Development, and Evaluation" system.

RESULTS

The consensus process resulted in the identification of 7 potential areas to expand criteria in LT: recipient's age, hepatocellular carcinoma, alcoholic hepatitis, acute-on-chronic liver failure, hilar and intrahepatic cholangiocarcinoma, and unresectable liver metastases of colorectal cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

We present the main recommendations issued for each topic, together with their core supporting evidence. These recommendations may allow for expanding criteria for LT homogenously in Spain and may provide a guidance to other countries/institutions facing a similar scenario.

Sites and Causes of Infection in Patients with Sepsis-Associated Liver Dysfunction: A Population Study from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III

BACKGROUND Little is known about the relationship between the site of infection, type of pathogen, and the occurrence of sepsis-associated liver dysfunction (SALD). This population study aimed to identify the sites and types of infection in SALD patients. MATERIAL AND METHODS We conducted a retrospective observational study using the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III. Patients with sepsis were divided into a SALD group and a control group. We evaluated the effect of the location of culture-positive specimens and the distribution of pathogens on the occurrence of SALD and then compared the clinical outcomes. RESULTS A total of 14 596 admissions were included, and the incidence of SALD was 11.96%. Positive bile culture (odds ratio [OR] 7.450, P<0.001), peritoneal fluid culture (OR 3.616, P<0.001), and blood culture (OR 1.957, P<0.001) were correlated with the occurrence of SALD. Infection with Enterococcus faecium (OR 3.065, P<0.001), Bacteroides fragilis (OR 2.061, P<0.001), Klebsiella oxytoca (OR 2.066, P<0.001), Enterobacter aerogenes (OR 1.92, P=0.001), and Aspergillus fumigatus (OR 2.144, P=0.001) were correlated with the occurrence of SALD. The Intensive Care Unit mortality and hospital mortality were higher in the SALD group than in the control group (24.7% vs 9.0%, P<0.001; 34.2% vs 13.8%, P<0.001, respectively). CONCLUSIONS SALD should be considered for patients with sepsis whose infection site is the biliary system, abdominal cavity, or blood and the pathogen is Enterococcus faecium, B. fragilis, K. oxytoca, Enterobacter aerogenes, or A. fumigatus. When SALD occurs in patients with sepsis, the above infection sites and pathogens should be considered first.

Toll-Like Receptors Recognize Intestinal Microbes in Liver Cirrhosis

Liver cirrhosis is one major cause of mortality in the clinic, and treatment of this disease is an arduous task. The scenario will be even getting worse with increasing alcohol consumption and obesity in the current lifestyle. To date, we have no medicines to cure cirrhosis. Although many etiologies are associated with cirrhosis, abnormal intestinal microbe flora (termed dysbiosis) is a common feature in cirrhosis regardless of the causes. Toll-like receptors (TLRs), one evolutional conserved family of pattern recognition receptors in the innate immune systems, play a central role in maintaining the homeostasis of intestinal microbiota and inducing immune responses by recognizing both commensal and pathogenic microbes. Remarkably, recent studies found that correction of intestinal flora imbalance could change the progress of liver cirrhosis. Therefore, correction of intestinal dysbiosis and targeting TLRs can provide novel and promising strategies in the treatment of liver cirrhosis. Here we summarize the recent advances in the related topics. Investigating the relationship among innate immunity TLRs, intestinal flora disorders, and liver cirrhosis and exploring the underlying regulatory mechanisms will assuredly have a bright future for both basic and clinical research.

Low Predictability of Readmissions and Death Using Machine Learning in Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Readmission and death in cirrhosis are common, expensive, and difficult to predict. Our aim was to evaluate the abilities of multiple artificial intelligence (AI) techniques to predict clinical outcomes based on variables collected at admission, during hospitalization, and at discharge.

METHODS

We used the multicenter North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) cohort of cirrhotic inpatients who are followed up through 90-days postdischarge for readmission and death. We used statistical methods to select variables that are significant for readmission and death and trained 3 AI models, including logistic regression (LR), kernel support vector machine (SVM), and random forest classifiers (RFC), to predict readmission and death. We used the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) from 10-fold crossvalidation for evaluation to compare sexes. Data were compared with model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) at discharge.

RESULTS

We included 2,170 patients (57 ± 11 years, MELD 18 ± 7, 61% men, 79% White, and 8% Hispanic). The 30-day and 90-day readmission rates were 28% and 47%, respectively, and 13% died at 90 days. Prediction for 30-day readmission resulted in 0.60 AUC for all patients with RFC, 0.57 AUC with LR for women-only subpopulation, and 0.61 AUC with LR for men-only subpopulation. For 90-day readmission, the highest AUC was achieved with kernel SVM and RFC (AUC = 0.62). We observed higher predictive value when training models with only women (AUC = 0.68 LR) vs men (AUC = 0.62 kernel SVM). Prediction for death resulted in 0.67 AUC for all patients, 0.72 for women-only subpopulation, and 0.69 for men-only subpopulation, all with LR. MELD-Na model AUC was similar to those from the AI models.

DISCUSSION

Despite using multiple AI techniques, it is difficult to predict 30- and 90-day readmissions and death in cirrhosis. AI model accuracies were equivalent to models generated using only MELD-Na scores. Additional biomarkers are needed to improve our predictive capability (See also the visual abstract at http://links.lww.com/AJG/B710).

Clinical features and evolution of bacterial infection-related acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Bacterial infections can trigger the development of organ failure(s) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Geographic variations in bacteriology and clinical practice could lead to worldwide differences in ACLF epidemiology, phenotypes and associated outcomes. Herein, we aimed to evaluate regional differences in bacterial infection-related ACLF in patients with cirrhosis admitted to hospital.

METHODS

This post hoc analysis included 1,175 patients with decompensated cirrhosis (with bacterial infection on admission or nosocomial infection) from 6 geographic regions worldwide. Clinical, laboratory and microbiological data were collected from the diagnosis of infection. Patients were followed-up for organ failure(s) and ACLF development according to the EASL-CLIF criteria from enrolment to discharge/death.

RESULTS

A total of 333 patients (28%) had ACLF at diagnosis of infection, while 230 patients developed ACLF after diagnosis of infection, resulting in an overall rate of bacterial infection related-ACLF of 48%, with rates differing amongst different geographic regions (38% in Southern Europe vs. 75% in the Indian subcontinent). Bacterial infection related-ACLF more frequently developed in younger patients (55 ± 13 vs. 58 ± 14 years), males (73% vs. 62%), patients with alcohol-related cirrhosis (59% vs. 45%) and those with a higher baseline MELD score (25 ± 11 vs. 16 ± 5) (all p <0.001). Spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, pneumonia or infections caused by extensively drug resistant (XDR) bacteria were more frequently associated with ACLF development. More patients with ACLF had a positive quick sequential organ failure assessment score and septic shock, resulting in a lower infection resolution rate (all p <0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Bacterial infections, especially with XDR organisms, are associated with the highest risk of ACLF development, accounting for almost half of cases globally. Geographic differences result in variable epidemiology and clinical outcomes.

LAY SUMMARY

Bacterial infections can trigger a sudden deterioration in an otherwise stable cirrhotic patient, a condition known as acute-on-chronic liver failure or ACLF. This study has found that the development of ACLF following bacterial infection occurs most commonly in the Indian subcontinent and less so in Southern Europe. The common infections that can trigger ACLF include infection of the abdominal fluid, known as spontaneous bacterial peritonitis, pneumonia and by bacteria that are resistant to multiple antibiotics. Patients who develop ACLF following a bacterial infection have high death rates and are frequently unable to clear the infection.

A dynamic prediction model for prognosis of acute-on-chronic liver failure based on the trend of clinical indicators

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a dynamic syndrome, and sequential assessments can reflect its prognosis more accurately. Our aim was to build and validate a new scoring system to predict short-term prognosis using baseline and dynamic data in ACLF. We conducted a retrospective cohort analysis of patients with ACLF from three different hospitals in China. To construct the model, we analyzed a training set of 541 patients from two hospitals. The model's performance was evaluated in a validation set of 130 patients from another center. In the training set, multivariate Cox regression analysis revealed that age, WGO type, basic etiology, total bilirubin, creatinine, prothrombin activity, and hepatic encephalopathy stage were all independent prognostic factors in ACLF. We designed a dynamic trend score table based on the changing trends of these indicators. Furthermore, a logistic prediction model (DP-ACLF) was constructed by combining the sum of dynamic trend scores and baseline prognostic parameters. All prognostic scores were calculated based on the clinical data of patients at the third day, first week, and second week after admission, respectively, and were correlated with the 90-day prognosis by ROC analysis. Comparative analysis showed that the AUC value for DP-ACLF was higher than for other prognostic scores, including Child-Turcotte-Pugh, MELD, MELD-Na, CLIF-SOFA, CLIF-C ACLF, and COSSH-ACLF. The new scoring model, which combined baseline characteristics and dynamic changes in clinical indicators to predict the course of ACLF, showed a better prognostic ability than current scoring systems. Prospective studies are needed to validate these results.

Sequential versus mono double plasma molecular adsorption system in acute-on-chronic liver failures: A propensity-score matched study

AIMS

Efficacy of sequential double plasma molecular adsorb system (DPMAS) and plasma exchange (PE) on patients with acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been rarely reported. We hereby reported the outcomes of a consecutive cohort of ACLF patients treated with sequential and mono DPMAS.

METHOD

Patients treated with artificial liver support system between January 2011 and December 2016 in XiJing hospital were retrospectively reviewed. A toal of 125 ACLF patients either received mono (DPMAS only) or sequential DPMAS (PE followed by DPMAS) therapy. One to one propensity-score matching (PSM) was used to compare the effects of sequential and mono DPMAS on survival and liver function.

RESULTS

After PSM, 80 patients were included with 40 patients in each group. Sequential therapy achieved significantly higher removal of total bilirubin, alanine aminotransferase, glutamic oxaloacetic transaminase, and alkaline phosphatase than mono DPMAS, but stabilized international normalized ratio. The effects of both regimens on white blood cell, platelet, creatinine, and liver function scores were similar. Survival rate on 90-day was 50% in the sequential group and 47.5% in the mono group.

CONCLUSION

For ACLF patients, sequential DPMAS and PE seemed to have a better effect on liver function improvement but provided no survival benefit compared with mono DPMAS.

Cohort profile: a multicentre prospective validation cohort of the Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (CATCH-LIFE) study

PURPOSE

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a clinical syndrome with high short-term mortality, unclear mechanism and controversial diagnosis criteria. The Chinese Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure (CATCH-LIFE) study has been conducted in China to fill the gaps. In the first phase (the CATCH-LIFE investigation cohort), 2600 patients were continuously recruited from 14 national nationwide liver centres from 12 different provinces of China in 2015-2016, and a series of important results were obtained. To validate the preliminary results, we designed and conducted this multicentre prospective observational cohort (the CATCH-LIFE validation cohort).

PARTICIPANTS

Patients diagnosed with chronic liver disease and hospitalised for acute decompensation (AD) or acute liver injure were enrolled, received standard medical therapy. We collected the participants' demographics, medical history, laboratory data, and blood and urine samples during their hospitalisation.

FINDINGS TO DATE

From September 2018 to March 2019, 1370 patients (73.4% men) aged from 15 to 79 years old were enrolled from 13 nationwide liver centres across China. Of these patients, 952 (69.5%) had chronic hepatitis B, 973 (71.1%) had cirrhosis and 1083 (79.1%) complicated with AD at admission. The numbers and proportions of enrolled patients from each participating centre and the patients' baseline characteristics are presented.

FUTURE PLANS

A total of 12 months is required for each participant to complete follow-up. Outcome information (survival, death or receiving liver transplantation) collection and data cleansing will be done before June 2020. The data in the CATCH-LIFE validation cohort will be used for comparison between the new ACLF diagnostic criteria derivated from the CATCH-LIFE investigation cohort with existing ones. Moreover, future proteomic and metabolic omics analyses will provide valuable insights into the mechanics of ACLF, which will promote the development of specific therapy that leads to decrease patients' mortality.

REGISTRATION

NCT03641872.

Trends and outcomes of mechanically ventilated cirrhotic patients in the United States from 2005–2014

Purpose

Cirrhotic patients in organ failure are frequently admitted to intensive care units (ICUs) to receive invasive mechanical ventilation (IMV). We evaluated the trends of hospitalizations, in-hospital mortality, hospital costs, and hospital length of stay (LOS) of IMV patients with cirrhosis.

Methods

We analyzed the United States National Inpatient Sample from 2005–2014. We selected discharges of IMV adult (≥18 years) patients with cirrhosis using the International Classification of Diseases, 9th Edition , Clinical Modification codes. Trends were assessed using linear regression and joinpoint regression.

Results

Between 2005 and 2014, there were approximately 9,441,605 hospitalizations of IMV adult patients, of which 4.7% had cirrhosis. There was an increasing trend in the total number of IMV cirrhotic patient hospitalizations (annual percent change [APC] 7.0%, 95% confidence interval [CI] 6.4%; 7.6%, Ptrend < 0.001). The in-hospital case-fatality ratio declined between 2005–2011 (APC –2.9%, 95% CI, –3.4%; –2.4%, Ptrend < 0.001); however, it remained similar between 2011–2014 ( Ptrend = 0.58). The total annual hospital costs of all IMV cirrhotic patients increased from approximately $1.2 billion USD in 2005 to $2.7 billion USD in 2014 ( Ptrend < 0.001). The mean hospital costs per patient and mean LOS declined between 2005 and 2014 ( Ptrend  < 0.001 and Ptrend = 0.01 respectively).

Conclusions

The total number of hospitalizations and total annual costs of IMV patients with cirrhosis have been increasing over time. However, past hesitancy around admitting cirrhotic patients to the ICU may need to be tempered by the improving mortality trends in this patient population.

A Stepwise Evaluation of Hepatitis B Virus-Related Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure to Optimize the Indication for Urgent Liver Transplantation

BACKGROUND

Hepatitis B virus-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) is a dynamic but reversible disease.

AIM

We aimed to clarify whether the change in Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B-ACLF (COSSH-ACLF) grade in HBV-ACLF patients can be used to predict prognosis, and to explore the appropriate conditions for performing urgent liver transplantation.

METHODS

We assessed the COSSH-ACLF grades of HBV-ACLF patients at different time points from June 2013 to May 2019 at Huashan Hospital in Shanghai, China, and analyzed the relationship between the change in grade and patient prognosis.

RESULTS

A total of 207 HBV-ACLF patients were enrolled, of which 79 underwent urgent liver transplantation. Their COSSH-ACLF grades were calculated at diagnosis, 3-7 days after diagnosis, and on the final day. Most of the final ACLF grades were consistent with their corresponding grades at days 3-7 after diagnosis (62.5%), while only 44.5% were in accordance with the initial grades at diagnosis. In patients who had a poor prognosis (initial ACLF-3 and ACLF-2 or -3 at days 3-7), the 28-day survival rate was 93.3% in those who underwent transplantation and 6.8% in those who did not (P < 0.0001). However, in patients who had a good prognosis (ACLF-0 or ACLF-1 at days 3-7), the 28-day survival rate was 100% in transplanted patients and 91.5% in non-transplanted patients (P = 0.236).

CONCLUSIONS

Reevaluation of the COSSH-ACLF grade 3-7 days after diagnosis could potentially show an indication for urgent liver transplantation.

Determinants of mortality in patients with cirrhosis and uncontrolled variceal bleeding

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Failure to control oesophago-gastric variceal bleeding (OGVB) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) are both important prognostic factors in cirrhosis. The aims of this study were to determine whether ACLF and its severity define the risk of death in OGVB and whether insertion of rescue transjugular intrahepatic shunt (TIPS) improves survival in patients with failure to control OGVB and ACLF.

METHODS

Data on 174 consecutive eligible patients, with failure to control OGVB between 2005 and 2015, were collected from a prospectively maintained intensive care unit registry. Rescue TIPS was defined as technically successful TIPS within 72 hours of presentation with failure to control OGVB. Cox-proportional hazards regression analyses were applied to explore the impact of ACLF and TIPS on survival in patients with failure to control OGVB.

RESULTS

Patients with ACLF (n = 119) were significantly older, had organ failures and higher white cell count than patients with acute decompensation (AD, n = 55). Mortality at 42-days and 1-year was significantly higher in patients with ACLF (47.9% and 61.3%) than in those with AD (9.1% and 12.7%, p <0.001), whereas there was no difference in the number of endoscopies and transfusion requirements between these groups. TIPS was inserted in 78 patients (AD 21 [38.2%]; ACLF 57 [47.8%]; p = 0.41). In ACLF, rescue TIPS insertion was an independent favourable prognostic factor for 42-day mortality. In contrast, rescue TIPS did not impact on the outcome of patients with AD.

CONCLUSIONS

This study shows that in patients with failure to control OGVB, the presence and severity of ACLF determines the risk of 42-day and 1-year mortality. Rescue TIPS is associated with improved survival in patients with ACLF.

LAY SUMMARY

Variceal bleeding that is not controlled by initial endoscopy is associated with high risk of death. The results of this study showed that in the occurrence of failure of the liver and other organs defines the risk of death. In these patients, insertion of a shunt inside the liver to drain the portal vein improves survival.

Admission Serum Urea is a Better Predictor of Mortality than Creatinine in Patients With Acute-On-Chronic Liver Failure and Acute Kidney Injury

BACKGROUND

The occurrence of acute kidney injury (AKI) in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) negatively impacts the survival of patients. There are scant data on the impact of serum urea on outcomes in these patients. We performed this study to evaluate the relationship between admission serum urea and the survival in patients with ACLF and AKI.

METHODS

A prospective study was conducted on patients with ACLF (as per Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver criteria) and AKI (as per Acute Kidney Injury Network criteria) hospitalized in the gastroenterology ward between October 2016 and May 2018. Demographic, clinical and laboratory parameters were recorded, and outcomes were compared in patients with respect to the admission serum urea level.

RESULTS

A total of 103 of 143 hospitalized patients with ACLF had AKI and were included as study subjects. The discrimination ability between survivors and the deceased was similar for serum urea levels (area under the receiver operating characteristic curve [AUROC] [95% confidence interval {CI}]: 28 days survival, 0.76 [0.67-0.85]; 90 days survival, 0.81 [0.72-0.91]) and serum creatinine levels (AUROC [95% CI]: 28 days survival, 0.75 [0.66-0.84]; 90 days survival: 0.77 [0.67-0.88]) in patients with ACLF and AKI. However, on multivariate analysis, admission serum urea (not serum creatinine) was an independent predictor of mortality in these patients both at 28 days (p = 0.001, adjusted hazard ratio [AHR]: 1.013 [1.005-1.021]) and 90 days (p = 0.001, AHR: 1.014 [1.006-1.022]).

CONCLUSION

Over two-thirds of patients with ACLF had AKI. The discrimination ability between survivors and the deceased was similar for both serum urea and serum creatinine levels. However admission serum urea was found to be a better predictor of mortality than serum creatinine in patients with ACLF and AKI.

Endpoints and design of clinical trials in patients with decompensated cirrhosis: Position paper of the LiverHope Consortium

Management of decompensated cirrhosis is currently geared towards the treatment of complications once they occur. To date there is no established disease-modifying therapy aimed at halting progression of the disease and preventing the development of complications in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. The design of clinical trials to investigate new therapies for patients with decompensated cirrhosis is complex. The population of patients with decompensated cirrhosis is heterogeneous (i.e., different etiologies, comorbidities and disease severity), leading to the inclusion of diverse populations in clinical trials. In addition, primary endpoints selected for trials that include patients with decompensated cirrhosis are not homogeneous and at times may not be appropriate. This leads to difficulties in comparing results obtained from different trials. Against this background, the LiverHope Consortium organized a meeting of experts, the goal of which was to develop recommendations for the design of clinical trials and to define appropriate endpoints, both for trials aimed at modifying the natural history and preventing progression of decompensated cirrhosis, as well as for trials aimed at managing the individual complications of cirrhosis.

Determinants of Outcomes in Autoimmune Hepatitis Presenting as Acute on Chronic Liver Failure Without Extrahepatic Organ Dysfunction upon Treatment With Steroids

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Autoimmune hepatitis presenting as acute on chronic liver failure (AIH-ACLF) is a novel entity with limited data on clinical course and management. We assessed outcomes in patients of AIH-ACLF with no extrahepatic organ dysfunction/failure when administered steroids.

METHODS

In this retrospective analysis, clinical data, laboratory parameters, liver biopsy indices and prognostic scores such as model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) scores at baseline were computed for patients with AIH-ACLF and compared across strata of incident infections and transplant-free survival. The primary outcome was 90-day transplant-free survival. Biochemical remission was assessed, and predictors of end points were identified.

RESULTS

Twenty-nine patients of AIH-ACLF were included with a median follow-up of 4 months. The 90- and 180-day transplant-free survival rates of 55.2 [95% confidence interval (CI): 39.7-76.6]% and 30.2(95% CI: 16.7-54.6)%, respectively, were attained on steroids. Three patients (10.3%) underwent liver transplant while 16 (55.2%) deaths occurred. Infections developed in 12 patients (41.3%), leading to worsening prognostic scores, new onset organ dysfunction/failure and 11 deaths. Seven of ten patients (70%) in the transplant-free survivor group attained biochemical remission on follow-up. The MELD score<24 (sensitivity: 68.4%; specificity: 80%) and CTP<11 (sensitivity: 78.9%; specificity: 90%) had best predictive value for survival, in addition to decrease in the MELD score at 2 weeks (sensitivity: 78.9%; specificity: 70%).

CONCLUSION

Patients with AIH-ACLF have a morbid disease course despite treatment with steroids. Patients with no extrahepatic organ failure with good baseline prognostic scores may be administered steroids with close monitoring for change in MELD over 2 weeks.

Characteristics and outcome of nosocomial bloodstream infection in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

AIM

Patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) have a high risk of developing infections while hospitalized. Nosocomial bloodstream infection (BSI) is not uncommon, particular in patients who receive invasive operation, which may have negative impact on prognosis. In this study, we aim to investigate the characteristics and short-term outcome of nosocomial BSI in patients with ACLF.

METHODS

Sixty-three patients with ACLF and nosocomial BSI from January 2014 to December 2015 were retrospectively studied. Clinical characteristics and distribution of bacteria at the time of BSI onset and short-term mortality were collected.

RESULTS

The most common etiology of ACLF was hepatitis B virus infection. Eighty-one percent of ACLF patients had other types of infections at BSI onset. Gram-negative bacteria (77.8%) were the main pathogens, among which Escherichia coli was responsible for 46.9%. Staphylococcus epidermidis was the main Gram-positive bacteria. The most prevalent multidrug resistance (MDR) bacteria was extended-spectrum β-lactamase (ESBL)-producing E. coli. The overall 28-day mortality rate was 42.9%. Multivariate analysis found that model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and number of organ failures were predictors of 28-day mortality. The area under the receiver operating characteristic of the numbers of organ failures to predict 28-day mortality was higher than MELD score (0.833 vs. 0.784, 0.4099), but without significant difference.

CONCLUSION

Gram-negative bacteria were the most prevalent pathogens and ESBL-producing bacteria were responsible for most of the MDR bacteria in patients with ACLF and nosocomial BSI. Higher MELD score and multiorgan failure were associated with worse outcomes.

MELD-Na Is More Strongly Associated with Risk of Infection and Outcomes Than Other Characteristics of Patients with Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The nature and outcomes of infection among patients with cirrhosis in safety-net hospitals are not well described. We aimed to characterize the rate of and risk factors for infection, both present on admission and nosocomial, in this unique population. We hypothesized that infections would be associated with adverse outcomes such as short-term mortality.

METHODS

We used descriptive statistics to characterize infections within a retrospective cohort characterized previously. We used multivariable logistic regression models to assess potential risk factors for infection and associations with key outcomes such as short-term mortality and length of stay.

RESULTS

The study cohort of 1112 patients included 33% women with a mean age of 56 ± 10 years. Infections were common (20%), with respiratory and urinary tract infections the most frequent. We did not observe a difference in the incidence of infection on admission based on patient demographic factors such as race/ethnicity or estimated household income. Infections on admission were associated with greater short-term mortality (12% vs 4% in-hospital and 14% vs 7% 30-day), longer length of stay (6 vs 3 days), intensive care unit admission (28% vs 18%), and acute-on-chronic liver failure (10% vs 2%) (p < 0.01 for all). Nosocomial infections were relatively uncommon (4%), but more frequent among patients admitted to the intensive care unit. Antibiotic resistance was common (38%), but not associated with negative outcomes.

CONCLUSION

We did not identify demographic risk factors for infection, but did confirm its morbid effect among patients with cirrhosis in safety-net hospitals.

Higher Frequency of Hospital-Acquired Infections but Similar In-Hospital Mortality Among Admissions With Alcoholic Hepatitis at Academic vs. Non-academic Centers

Background

Alcoholic hepatitis (AH) is a unique syndrome characterized by high short-term mortality. The impact of the academic status of a hospital (urban and teaching) on outcomes in AH is unknown.

Methods

National Inpatient Sample dataset (2006–2014) on AH admissions stratified to academic center (AC) or non-academic center (NAC) and analyzed for in-hospital mortality (IHM), hospital resource use, length of stay in days (d), and total charges (TC) in United States dollars (USD). Admission year was stratified to 2006–2008 (TMI), 2009–2011 (TM2), and 2012–2014 (TM3).

Results

Of 62,136 AH admissions, the proportion at AC increased from 46% in TM1 to 57% in TM3, Armitage trend, p < 0.001. On logistic regression, TM3, younger age, black race, Medicaid and private insurance, and development of acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) were associated with admission to an AC. Of 53,264 admissions propensity score matched for demographics, pay status, and disease severity, admissions to AC vs. NAC (26,622 each) were more likely to have liver disease complications (esophageal varices, ascites, and hepatic encephalopathy) and hospital-acquired infections (HAI), especially Clostridioides difficile and ventilator-associated pneumonia. Admissions to AC were more likely transfers from outside hospital (1.6% vs. 1.3%) and seen by palliative care (4.8% vs. 3.3%), p < 0.001. Use of endoscopy, dialysis, and mechanical ventilation were similar. With similar IHM comparing AC vs. NAC (7.7% vs. 7.8%, p = 0.93), average LOS and number of procedures were higher at AC (7.7 vs. 7.1 d and 2.3 vs. 1.9, respectively, p < 0.001) without difference on total charges ($52,821 vs. $52,067 USD, p = 0.28). On multivariable logistic regression model after controlling for demographics, ACLF grade, and calendar year, IHM was similar irrespective of academic status of the hospital, HR (95% CI): 1.01 (0.93–1.08, p = 0.70). IHM decreased over time, with ACLF as strongest predictor. A total of 63 and 22% were discharged to home and skilled nursing facility, respectively, without differences on academic status of the hospital.

Conclusion

Admissions with AH to AC compared to NAC have higher frequency of liver disease complications and HAI, with longer duration of hospitalization. Prospective studies are needed to reduce HAI among hospitalized patients with AH.

The Use of NACSELD and EASL-CLIF Classification Systems of ACLF in the Prediction of Prognosis in Hospitalized Patients With Cirrhosis

INTRODUCTION

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver-Chronic Liver Failure (EASL-CLIF) consortium and the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) as an acute deterioration of cirrhosis with multiple organ failures and high short-term mortality. However, their diagnostic criteria differ. We aimed to compare these 2 criteria in the prediction of prognosis in hospitalized cirrhosis.

METHODS

This was a prospective study of nonelectively hospitalized patients with cirrhosis (N = 468) from a single tertiary hospital between 2016 and 2018. Baseline characteristics, incidence, and types of organ failure and survival data at 7, 28, and 90 days were collected. Prognostic utilities of the 2 criteria were compared.

RESULTS

One hundred thirty-seven of 468 patients (29.3%) had EASL-CLIF ACLF, and 35 of 468 (7.4%) had NACSELD ACLF. The 28-day transplant-free survival of ACLF was 58.4% using EASL-CLIF and 37.1% using the NACSELD criteria. In predicting 28-day mortality, the NACSELD criteria demonstrated significantly higher overall accuracy (92.0% vs 85.3%, P < 0.01), specificity (99.7% vs 84.0%, P < 0.001), and positive predictive value (97.1% vs 50.4%, P < 0.001) but lower sensitivity (49.3% vs 92.5%, P < 0.001) and negative predictive value (91.6% vs 98.5%, P < 0.001) than those of EASL-CLIF. The results were similar in predicting 7-day outcome. However, the overall accuracy became similar between NACSELD and EASL-CLIF ACLF criteria in predicting 90-day mortality (86.3% vs 88.7%, P = 0.27) because of the decrease of sensitivity and negative predictive value of NACSELD ACLF criteria. The prognostic performance of these 2 ACLF criteria was similar when applied to patients with or without hepatitis B virus infection as an etiology of cirrhosis.

DISCUSSION

There are both caveats and utilities of NACSELD and EASL-CLIF ACLF criteria in prognosis prediction in patients with cirrhosis. NACSED criteria is highly accurate in predicting morality, whereas the EASL-CLIF criteria is more sensitive to identify patients who would benefit from liver transplantation.

Contemporary Epidemiology of Chronic Liver Disease and Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Accurate estimates for the contemporary burden of chronic liver disease (CLD) are vital for setting clinical, research, and policy priorities. We aimed to review the incidence, prevalence, and mortality of CLD and its resulting complications, including cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC).

METHODS

We reviewed the published literature on the incidence, prevalence, trends of various etiologies of CLD and its resulting complications. In addition, we provided updated data from the Centers for Disease Control and Global Burden of Disease Study on the morbidity and mortality of CLD, cirrhosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Lastly, we assessed the strengths and weaknesses of available sources of data in hopes of providing important context to these national estimates of cirrhosis burden.

RESULTS

An estimated 1.5 billion persons have CLD worldwide and the age-standardized incidence of CLD and cirrhosis is 20.7/100,000, a 13% increase since 2000. Similarly, cirrhosis prevalence and mortality has increased in recent years in the United States. The epidemiology of CLD is shifting, reflecting implementation of large-scale hepatitis B vaccination and hepatitis C treatment programs, the increasing prevalence of the metabolic syndrome, and increasing alcohol misuse.

CONCLUSIONS

The global burden of CLD and cirrhosis is substantial. Although vaccination, screening, and antiviral treatment campaigns for hepatitis B and C have reduced the CLD burden in some parts of the world, concomitant increases in injection drug use, alcohol misuse, and metabolic syndrome threaten these trends. Ongoing efforts to address CLD-related morbidity and mortality require accurate contemporary estimates of epidemiology and outcomes.

Serum Levels of Metabolites Produced by Intestinal Microbes and Lipid Moieties Independently Associated With Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure and Death in Patients With Cirrhosis

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Inpatients with cirrhosis have high rates of acute-on-chronic failure (ACLF) development and high mortality within 30 days of admission to the hospital. Better biomarkers are needed to predict these outcomes. We performed metabolomic analyses of serum samples from patients with cirrhosis at multiple centers to determine whether metabolite profiles might identify patients at high risk for ACLF and death.

METHODS

We performed metabolomic analyses, using liquid chromatography, of serum samples collected at time of admission to 12 North American tertiary hepatology centers from 602 patients in the North American Consortium for the Study of End-Stage Liver Disease sites from 2015 through 2017 (mean age, 56 years; 61% men; mean model for end-stage liver disease score, 19.5). We performed analysis of covariance, adjusted for model for end-stage liver disease at time of hospital admission, serum levels of albumin and sodium, and white blood cell count, to identify metabolites that differed between patients who did vs did not develop ACLF and patients who did vs did not die during hospitalization and within 30 days. We performed random forest analysis to identify specific metabolite(s) that were associated with outcomes and area under the curve (AUC) analyses to analyze them in context of clinical parameters. We analyzed microbiomes of stool samples collected from 133 patients collected at the same time and examined associations with serum metabolites.

RESULTS

Of the 602 patients analyzed, 88 developed ACLF (15%), 43 died in the hospital (7%), and 72 died within 30 days (12%). Increased levels of compounds of microbial origin (aromatic compounds, secondary or sulfated bile acids, and benzoate) and estrogen metabolites, as well as decreased levels of phospholipids, were associated with development of ACLF, inpatient, and 30-day mortality and were also associated with fecal microbiomes. Random forest analysis and logistic regression showed that levels of specific microbially produced metabolites identified patients who developed ACLF with an AUC of 0.84 (95% confidence interval [CI] 0.78-0.88; P = .001), patients who died while in the hospital with an AUC of 0.81 (95% CI 0.74-0.85; P = .002), and patients who died within 30 days with an AUC of 0.77 (95% CI 0.73-0.81; P = .02). The metabolites were significantly additive to clinical parameters for predicting these outcomes. Metabolites associated with outcomes were also correlated with microbiomes of stool samples.

CONCLUSIONS

In an analysis of serum metabolites and fecal microbiomes of patients hospitalized with cirrhosis at multiple centers, we associated metabolites of microbial origin and lipid moieties with development of ACLF and death as an inpatient or within 30 days, after controlling for clinical features.

Massive iron overload and acute-on-chronic liver failure in a patient with Diamond-Blackfan anaemia: a case report

BACKGROUND

Genetic anaemias lead us to reflect on the classic 'trolley dilemma', when there are two choices but neither one is satisfactory. Either we do not treat anaemia and the patient suffers from chronic tiredness and fatigue, or we do treat it through blood transfusions, leading to iron overload, which is a quite harmful consequence.

CASE PRESENTATION

We present the case of a 34-year-old woman with Diamond-Blackfan anaemia (DBA). Bone marrow stem cell transplantation had not been accessible during her childhood, so she had been submitted to monthly blood transfusions throughout her life, leading to a hepatitis C virus infection (which was treated, achieving a sustained virological response when she was 18 years old), and secondary haemochromatosis. Despite chelation therapy, diffuse iron deposition was occurring in multiple organs, markedly in the heart and liver. Her serum ferritin was higher than 21,000 ng/mL and transferrin saturation reached 102%. When she faced heart decompensation, this congestive condition led to an acute liver injury overlapping pre-existing hepatic fibrosis. She progressed to haemodynamic and hepatic failure, with clinical features of acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). Despite therapeutic optimisation, she died of respiratory insufficiency. An autopsy was performed and revealed the macroscopic and microscopic findings of a massive iron deposition in the liver, heart, lungs, spleen, bone marrow, thyroid and adrenal glands. We found marked advance of liver fibrosis (chronic damage), as well as necrosis of hepatocytes in zone 3 of the Rappaport acinus (acute damage), supporting the hypothesis of ACLF. The main feature responsible for acute liver decompensation seemed to be heart insufficiency.

CONCLUSION

This is the first case reporting the sequence: DBA, multiple blood transfusions, secondary haemochromatosis, advanced liver fibrosis, heart failure, ACLF and death. A multidisciplinary team is essential to care for DBA patients, since there is a significant emotional burden related to the disease, which might impair an effective chelation therapy and lead to severe consequences due to iron deposition.

GUT MICROBIOTA, PREBIOTICS, PROBIOTICS, AND SYNBIOTICS IN GASTROINTESTINAL AND LIVER DISEASES: PROCEEDINGS OF A JOINT MEETING OF THE BRAZILIAN SOCIETY OF HEPATOLOGY (SBH), BRAZILIAN NUCLEUS FOR THE STUDY OF HELICOBACTER PYLORI AND MICROBIOTA (NBEHPM), AND BRAZILIAN FEDERATION OF GASTROENTEROLOGY (FBG)

Over the last years, there is growing evidence that microorganisms are involved in the maintenance of our health and are related to various diseases, both intestinal and extraintestinal. Changes in the gut microbiota appears to be a key element in the pathogenesis of hepatic and gastrointestinal disorders, including non-alcoholic fatty liver disease, alcoholic liver disease, liver cirrhosis, inflammatory bowel disease, irritable bowel syndrome, and Clostridium difficile - associated diarrhea. In 2019, the Brazilian Society of Hepatology (SBH) in cooperation with the Brazilian Nucleus for the Study of Helicobacter Pylori and Microbiota (NBEHPM), and Brazilian Federation of Gastroenterology (FBG) sponsored a joint meeting on gut microbiota and the use of prebiotics, probiotics, and synbiotics in gastrointestinal and liver diseases. This paper summarizes the proceedings of the aforementioned meeting. It is intended to provide practical information about this topic, addressing the latest discoveries and indicating areas for future studies.

Serum Lactate Level Predicts Short-Term and Long-Term Mortality of HBV-ACLF Patients: A Prospective Study

Background

Acute chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a high-mortality disease characterized by rapid deterioration of liver function and multiple organ failure. The aim of this study was to assess the short-term and long-term predictive values of serum lactate in HBV-ACLF patients to facilitate early treatment and thereby improve patient survival.

Methods

We conducted a single-center, observational prospective study of 108 hospitalized patients. Biochemical examination and demographic data were obtained within 24 hours of admission. Logistics analysis was used to determine whether serum levels were independently for prognosis of HBV-ACLF patients. The area under ROC curve evaluates the prediction accuracy compared to the existing score.

Results

Serum lactate levels in nonsurviving patients were significantly higher than those in surviving patients. Logistics analysis demonstrated that serum lactate was an independent risk factor for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. ROC curve evaluates the prediction efficiencies of serum lactate for 28-day, 3-month, and 6-month mortality. The AUROCs of new scores by adding lactate (Child-Pugh+ lactate score, MELD+ lactate score, MELD-Na+ lactate score, CLIF-C OF+ lactate score, CLIF-SOFA+ lactate score, CLIF-C ACLF+ lactate score) were superior to those of existing scores, particularly the MELD score and MELD-Na score (P<0.05) at all time points.

Conclusion

Serum lactate can be used as an effective indicator to predict the short-term and long-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients, and the predictive value of the MELD score and MELD-Na was improved by adjusting for lactate. Lactate testing at admission can be beneficial in prognostic assessment and clinical decision-making.

Infection deteriorating hepatitis B virus related acute-on-chronic liver failure: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

Infection is common in acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), which may worsen the clinical condition and prognosis. However, the characteristics of infection and its influence on prognosis in hepatitis B virus related ACLF (HBV-ACLF) as defined by the European Association for the Study of the Liver (EASL) have not been clarified. We aimed to investigate the characteristics of infection and its influence on mortality in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in China.

METHODS

We performed a retrospective cohort study in patients with HBV-ACLF defined by EASL in a single center from January 2015 to December 2017. These patients were divided into two groups with and without infection. The incidence, sites of infection, isolated strains, and risk factors associated with mortality were evaluated.

RESULTS

A total of 289 patients were included, among them 185 (64.0%) were diagnosed with an infection. The most common type of infection was pneumonia (55.7%), followed by spontaneous bacterial peritonitis (47.6%) and others. The gram-negative bacteria were the most frequent (58.3%). Patients with one, two, and three or more infection sites had a gradually increasing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01), septic shock (P < 0.001), and ACLF-3 (P < 0.05). Also, patients with infection isolated one, two, and three or more strains showed a growing incidence of sepsis (P < 0.01) and septic shock (P < 0.001). Patients with infection showed a significantly higher 28-day mortality than those without (P < 0.01), especially in patients with ACLF-3. Infection was identified as an independent risk factor for 28-day mortality in all HBV-ACLF patients. Pneumonia and sepsis were identified as independent predictors of 28-day mortality for patients with infection.

CONCLUSIONS

Infection is associated with severe clinical course and high mortality in HBV-ACLF defined by EASL. The increased number of infection sites or isolated strains was associated with the occurrence of sepsis and septic shock. Pneumonia and sepsis were independent predictors for mortality in HBV-ACLF patients with infection.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Which Definition Is Appropriate in Latin America?

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Acute-on-chronic liver failure: to admit to intensive care or not?

Acute-on-chronic liver failure is used to describe an acute decline in liver function in a patient with existing liver disease combined with other organ failure. Acute-on-chronic liver failure is associated with high short-term mortality, and the greater the number and severity of organ failures, the higher the mortality. The most commonly identified precipitants of acute-on-chronic liver failure include bacterial infection, gastrointestinal haemorrhage, viral hepatitis and recent excessive alcohol intake. Since some of these aetiologies are treatable, organ failure may return to pre-decompensation levels in up to 55% of patients. As a result, a trial of critical care treatment may be appropriate for many of these patients. Clinical scoring tools may help clinicians recognise futility, allowing timely withdrawal of organ support and shifting the focus of care toward palliation.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure: Definitions, pathophysiology and principles of treatment

The term acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) defines an abrupt and life-threatening worsening of clinical conditions in patients with cirrhosis or chronic liver disease. In recent years, different definitions and diagnostic criteria for the syndrome have been proposed by the major international scientific societies. The main controversies relate to the type of acute insult (specifically hepatic or also extrahepatic), the stage of underlying liver disease (cirrhosis or chronic hepatitis) and the concomitant extrahepatic organ failure(s) that should be considered in the definition of ACLF. Therefore, different severity criteria and prognostic scores have been proposed and validated. Current evidence shows that the pathophysiology of ACLF is closely associated with an intense systemic inflammation sustained by circulating pathogen-associated molecular patterns and damage-associated molecular patterns. The development of organ failures may be a result of a combination of tissue hypoperfusion, direct immune-mediated damage and mitochondrial dysfunction. Management of ACLF is currently based on the supportive treatment of organ failures, mainly in an intensive care setting. For selected patients, liver transplantation is an effective treatment that offers a good long-term prognosis. Future studies on potential mechanistic treatments that improve patient survival are eagerly awaited.

Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Budd-Chiari Syndrome: Profile and Predictors of Outcome

BACKGROUND AND AIM

There is a paucity of data on the clinical presentations and outcome of Budd-Chiari syndrome (BCS) patients presenting as acute-on-chronic liver failure (BCS-ACLF). We aimed to describe the profile and outcomes of endovascular interventions in patients with BCS-ACLF.

METHODS

All BCS-ACLF patients presenting between October 2007 and April 2019 satisfying the Asian Pacific Association for the Study of the Liver (APASL) definition were studied. We compared 30- , 90- and, 180-day survival among BCS-ACLF patients who underwent endovascular intervention with those who did not, and with a historical cohort of Child-C BCS patients without ACLF who underwent endovascular intervention.

RESULTS

Twenty-eight (5%) of 553 BCS patients presented as ACLF as per APASL definition. The majority (60.7%) were males, and mean age was 29.6 ± 11.2 years. The most common site of the block was isolated involvement of hepatic veins-HV (68%), followed by combined inferior vena cava (IVC) and HV block (25%) and isolated IVC block (7%). The acute precipitants were stent thrombosis (17.9%), acute HV thrombosis (10.7%), acute viral hepatitis (7.1%), and antituberculosis drug with hepatitis B virus reactivation (3.6%). In 60.7% patients, no acute precipitant could be identified. The 30- , 90- , and 180-day survival in BCS-ACLF post-endovascular intervention (n = 15), BCS-ACLF without endovascular intervention (n = 13), and Child-C BCS without ACLF who underwent endovascular intervention (n = 25) were (93%, 87%, and 87%), (46%, 28%, and 0%) and (96%, 92%, and 88%), respectively (log-rank test, p value < 0.001). On multivariate Cox proportional analysis, endovascular intervention and the presence of hepatic encephalopathy were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

Budd-Chiari syndrome can present as acute-on-chronic liver failure. Endovascular intervention is associated with an improved outcome.

Underutilization of Hospice in Inpatients with Cirrhosis: The NACSELD Experience

BACKGROUND

Little is known about patients discharged to hospice following hospitalization for complications of cirrhosis.

AIM

We sought to understand the current pattern of hospice utilization in patients with cirrhosis by evaluating the North American Consortium for the Study of End-stage Liver Disease (NACSELD) cohort.

METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis from 14 tertiary-care hepatology centers across North America non-electively hospitalized and prospectively enrolled were evaluated. Exclusion criteria included HIV infection, transplantation or non-hepatic malignancy. Random computer-based propensity score matching was undertaken in a 1:2 ratio based on admission MELD score ± 3 points.

RESULTS

Totally, 2718 patients were enrolled, 5% (N = 132) were discharged to hospice, 6% (N = 171) died, and the rest were discharged alive. Patients discharged to hospice were older (60 vs. 57 years, p = 0.04), less likely to have had SBP (13% vs. 28%, p = 0.002) and be listed for liver transplantation (11% vs. 26%, p = 0.0007). Features, on multivariable modeling, associated with increased probability of discharge to hospice as opposed to being discharged alive: grade-3-4 hepatic encephalopathy, a higher Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score, and a higher discharge serum creatinine; however, a higher serum sodium, being listed for transplant and being prescribed rifaximin or a statin were protective from hospice discharge.

CONCLUSION

Patients with more advanced liver disease, hepatic encephalopathy, renal dysfunction, and those not candidates for liver transplantation were more likely to be discharged to hospice. However, in this sick multinational cohort of cirrhotic inpatients, it seems that hospice is markedly underutilized (5%) since 25% of patients not discharged to hospice died within 6 months.

Leucocyte ratios are biomarkers of mortality in patients with acute decompensation of cirrhosis and acute-on-chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

In patients with cirrhosis, progression to acute decompensation (AD) and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) has been associated with poor prognosis. Differential leucocyte ratios might predict mortality in systemic inflammatory conditions.

AIM

To evaluate differential leucocyte ratios as prognostic biomarkers in patients with cirrhosis.

METHODS

Patients with AD and ACLF were recruited from four centres in three countries. Peripheral blood differential leucocytes were measured (three centres using flow cytometry) on hospital admission and at 48 hours. Ratios were correlated to model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), chronic liver failure-sequential organ failure (CLIF-SOFA), suspected/culture-positive bacterial infection and survival.

RESULTS

Nine hundred twenty-six patients (562 (61%) male, median age 55 (25-94) years) were studied. Overall, 350 (37%) did not survive to hospital discharge. Neutrophil-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) and monocyte-lymphocyte ratio (MLR) were elevated in patients with AD and ACLF who died during their hospital stay. On multivariate analysis NLR retained statistical significance independently of CLIF-SOFA or MELD. NLR >30 was associated with an 80% 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF but not AD. On sensitivity analysis for subgroups (alcohol-related liver disease and suspected sepsis), NLR and MLR retained statistically robust accuracy for the prediction of mortality. Significant predictive accuracy was only observed in centres using flow cytometry.

CONCLUSION

Leucocyte ratios are simple and robust biomarkers of outcome in ACLF, which are comparable to CLIF-SOFA score but dependent on leucocyte quantification method. NLR and MLR may be used as screening tools for mortality prediction in patients with acutely deteriorating cirrhosis.

Transjugular Intrahepatic Portosystemic Shunts Reduce Variceal Bleeding and Improve Survival in Patients with Cirrhosis: A Population-Based Analysis

PURPOSE

To investigate from a population health perspective the effects of transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) creation on recurrent variceal bleeding and survival in patients with cirrhosis.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Patients with cirrhosis who presented to outpatient and acute-care hospitals in California (2005-2011) and Florida (2005-2014) with variceal bleeding comprised the study cohort. Patients entered the study cohort at their first presentation for variceal bleeding; all subsequent hospital encounters were then evaluated to determine subsequent interventions, complications, and mortality data.

RESULTS

A total of 655,577 patients with cirrhosis were identified, of whom 42,708 (6.5%) had at least 1 episode of variceal bleeding and comprised the study cohort. The median follow-up time was 2.61 years. A TIPS was created in 4,201 (9.8%) of these patients. There were significantly greater incidences of coagulopathy (83.9% vs 72.8%; P < .001), diabetes (45.5% vs 38.8%; P < .001), and hepatorenal syndrome (15.3% vs 12.5%; P < .001) in TIPS recipients vs those without a TIPS. Following propensity-score matching, TIPS recipients were found to have improved overall survival (82% vs 77% at 12 mo; P < .001) and a lower rate of recurrent variceal bleeding (88% vs 83% recurrent bleeding-free survival at 12 months,; P < .001) than patients without a TIPS. Patients with a TIPS had a significant increase in encounters for hepatic encephalopathy vs those without (1.01 vs 0.49 per year; P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

TIPS improves recurrent variceal bleeding rates and survival in patients with cirrhosis complicated by variceal bleeding. However, TIPS creation is also associated with a significant increase in hepatic encephalopathy.

Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Definition and Implications

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is an inflammation-based disorder that occurs in patients with underlying liver disease and is characterized by hepatic and extrahepatic organ failure. Morbidity and mortality are high in patients with ACLF, and therefore prevention and early identification are critical to improve outcome. The purpose of this article is to define ACLF, describe ways to identify the expected outcome of ACLF after development, and illustrate interventions to prevent it and when it is not preventable reduce associated morbidity and mortality.

Prevalence and short-term outcome of acute kidney injury in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure: A meta-analysis

Acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a distinct syndrome to that in patients with cirrhosis, yet is less characterized. The aim of this meta-analysis was to investigate the impact of AKI on outcome of ACLF. We searched PubMed, Web of Science and Cochrane Library for original articles that evaluated the impact of AKI on outcome of ACLF from 2011 to 2019. Odds ratio (OR) with 95% confidence interval (CI) for 1-month and 3-month mortality was calculated. The response rate of vasoconstrictor for hepatorenal syndrome (HRS)-AKI was assessed. Eight relevant articles with 3610 patients were included. The prevalence of AKI in ACLF patients was 41% (95% CI 32%-50%). The presence of AKI was significantly associated with 1-month mortality of ACLF (OR 3.98, 95% CI 3.09-5.12; P < .001) and 3-month mortality (OR 4.98, 95% CI 3.59-6.92; P < .001). Additionally, patients with AKI stage ≥2 showed a higher 3-month mortality than stage 1 (OR 3.89, 95% CI 2.60-5.82; P < .001), and those of stage 3 had a higher mortality than stage ≤2 (OR 3.77, 95% CI 2.10-6.77; P < .001). The pooled response rate of vasoconstrictors was 32% (95% CI 26%-37%). This meta-analysis indicated that about 40% of ACLF patients complicated with AKI and the presence of AKI substantially increased the short-term mortality, together with a poor response rate of vasoconstrictors for HRS-AKI.

Acute-on-chronic liver failure in liver transplant candidates with non-alcoholic steatohepatitis

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) has become the most common liver disease worldwide. It is expected that non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), NASH-related cirrhosis and its decompensated forms will increase further in the next two decades. Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a distinct syndrome characterized by rapid deterioration of liver function in patients with chronic liver disease that is associated with development of one or more organ failures, and carries a very high short-term mortality. There is a paucity of data on ACLF in patients with NASH cirrhosis. Recent studies have shown that although ACLF incidence due to NASH is lower when compared to other etiologies, NASH is the fastest growing liver disease etiology among all ACLF hospitalizations. Higher rates of infections, as a precipitating factor, and circulatory failure were noted in this population. Metabolic derangements such as obesity and diabetes might also play a confounding role in the pathophysiology, clinical course, and prognosis of NASH patients with ACLF. Patients with ACLF due to NASH have shown a lower inpatient mortality despite a longer hospital length-of-stay and a higher 28- and 90-day mortality. Patients with ACLF should be promptly transferred to a transplant center and evaluated for liver transplantation (LT). Optimal prognostic scores, timing of LT, and the best bridge to LT therapy and treatment of post-LT complications need to be elucidated in prospective studies.

Systematic review with meta-analysis: liver transplant provides survival benefit in patients with acute on chronic liver failure

BACKGROUND

Data on liver transplantation (LT) in acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) are scanty.

AIM

To perform meta-analysis on outcomes after LT for ACLF compared with ACLF patients not receiving LT or with LT recipients for indications other than ACLF.

METHODS

We pooled data from 12 studies on LT outcomes among ACLF patients.

RESULTS

Among nine studies, 22 238 LT recipients for ACLF vs 30 791 for non-ACLF were younger by 1.1 years, less males (64% vs 66.4%), and higher model for end-stage disease score by 14.5 (14.4-14.6), P < 0.01 for all. Post-transplant patient survival at 30 day, 90 day, 6 months, 1 year and 5 years was lower in ACLF: 96.2% vs 98.1%, 92.6% vs 96.2%, 89.9% vs 94.4%, 86.0% vs 91.9%, 66.9% vs 80.7% respectively, P < 0.01 for all. ACLF patients stayed longer in hospital and ICU by 5.7 and 10.5 days respectively, P < 0.001, with similar post-transplant complications [74.4% vs 55.5%, P = 0.12]. Among three studies, 441 LT recipients for ACLF vs 301 ACLF patients not selected for LT had better 30 day and 1 year survival: 95.2% vs 60% and 85.3% vs 28.2% respectively, P < 0.001. Outcomes were worse in ACLF-3 and better for ACLF-1 and ACLF-2 patients at the time of LT.

CONCLUSION

In this pooled analysis with a large sample size across the globe, LT for select patients with ACLF provided survival benefit. However, larger prospective studies are needed to further refine selection criteria, especially for ACLF-3 patients as basis for improving outcomes and optimal utilisation of scarce donor pool.

Comparison of mortality risk in patients with cirrhosis and COVID-19 compared with patients with cirrhosis alone and COVID-19 alone: multicentre matched cohort

OBJECTIVE

Comorbid conditions are associated with poor prognosis in COVID-19. Registry data show that patients with cirrhosis may be at high risk. However, outcome comparisons among patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 versus patients with COVID-19 alone and cirrhosis alone are lacking. The aim of this study was to perform these comparisons.

DESIGN

A multicentre study of inpatients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 compared with age/gender-matched patients with COVID-19 alone and cirrhosis alone was performed. COVID-19 and cirrhosis characteristics, development of organ failures and acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) and mortality (inpatient death+hospice) were compared.

RESULTS

37 patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 were matched with 108 patients with COVID-19 and 127 patients with cirrhosis from seven sites. Race/ethnicity were similar. Patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 had higher mortality compared with patients with COVID-19 (30% vs 13%, p=0.03) but not between patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 and patients with cirrhosis (30% vs 20%, p=0.16). Patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 versus patients with COVID-19 alone had equivalent respiratory symptoms, chest findings and rates of intensive care unit transfer and ventilation. However, patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 had worse Charlson Comorbidity Index (CCI 6.5±3.1 vs 3.3±2.5, p<0.001), lower presenting GI symptoms and higher lactate. Patients with cirrhosis alone had higher cirrhosis-related complications, maximum model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score and lower BiPAP/ventilation requirement compared with patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19, but CCI and ACLF rates were similar. In the entire group, CCI (OR 1.23, 95% CI 1.11 to 1.37, p<0.0001) was the only variable predictive of mortality on multivariable regression.

CONCLUSIONS

In this multicentre North American contemporaneously enrolled study, age/gender-matched patients with cirrhosis+COVID-19 had similar mortality compared with patients with cirrhosis alone but higher than patients with COVID-19 alone. CCI was the only independent mortality predictor in the entire matched cohort.

Liver Transplantation for Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure: Science or Fiction?

Acute clinical deterioration of a patient with chronic liver disease remains a decisive time point both in terms of medical management and prognosis. This condition, also known as acute decompensation (AD), is an important event determining a crossroad in the trajectory of patients. A significant number of patients with AD may develop hepatic or extrahepatic organ failure, or both, which defines the syndrome acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF), and ACLF is associated with a high morbidity and short-term mortality. ACLF may occur at any phase during chronic liver disease and is pathogenetically defined by systemic inflammation and immune metabolic dysfunction. When organ failures develop in the presence of cirrhosis, especially extrahepatic organ failures, liver transplantation (LT) may be the only curative treatment. This review outlines the evidence supporting LT in ACLF patients, highlighting the role of timing, bridging to LT, and possible indicators of futility. Importantly, prospective studies on ACLF and transplantation are urgently needed.

LIV-4: A novel model for predicting transplant-free survival in critically ill cirrhotics

BACKGROUND

Critically ill patients with cirrhosis, particularly those with acute decompensation, have higher mortality rates in the intensive care unit (ICU) than patients without chronic liver disease. Prognostication of short-term mortality is important in order to identify patients at highest risk of death. None of the currently available prognostic models have been widely accepted for use in cirrhotic patients in the ICU, perhaps due to complexity of calculation, or lack of universal variables readily available for these patients. We believe a survival model meeting these requirements can be developed, to guide therapeutic decision-making and contribute to cost-effective healthcare resource utilization.

AIM

To identify markers that best identify likelihood of survival and to determine the performance of existing survival models.

METHODS

Consecutive cirrhotic patients admitted to a United States quaternary care center ICU between 2008-2014 were included and comprised the training cohort. Demographic data and clinical laboratory test collected on admission to ICU were analyzed. Area under the curve receiver operator characteristics (AUROC) analysis was performed to assess the value of various scores in predicting in-hospital mortality. A new predictive model, the LIV-4 score, was developed using logistic regression analysis and validated in a cohort of patients admitted to the same institution between 2015-2017.

RESULTS

Of 436 patients, 119 (27.3%) died in the hospital. In multivariate analysis, a combination of the natural logarithm of the bilirubin, prothrombin time, white blood cell count, and mean arterial pressure was found to most accurately predict in-hospital mortality. Derived from the regression coefficients of the independent variables, a novel model to predict inpatient mortality was developed (the LIV-4 score) and performed with an AUROC of 0.86, compared to the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Chronic Liver Failure-Sequential Organ Failure Assessment, and Royal Free Hospital Score, which performed with AUROCs of 0.81, 0.80, and 0.77, respectively. Patients in the internal validation cohort were substantially sicker, as evidenced by higher Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease-Sodium, Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation III, SOFA and LIV-4 scores. Despite these differences, the LIV-4 score remained significantly higher in subjects who expired during the hospital stay and exhibited good prognostic values in the validation cohort with an AUROC of 0.80.

CONCLUSION

LIV-4, a validated model for predicting mortality in cirrhotic patients on admission to the ICU, performs better than alternative liver and ICU-specific survival scores.

Early Transplantation in Acute on Chronic Liver Failure: Who and When

Purpose of Review

Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a unique syndrome that afflicts patients with chronic liver disease and results in high short-term mortality, > 50% at 28 days in patients with severe ACLF (grade 3, ACLF-3). Given this prognosis, there is an urgent need to understand risk factors for this condition, as well as selection criteria for patients who may benefit from liver transplantation (LT).

Recent Findings

Several studies have identified risk factors for developing ACLF, including higher model for end-stage liver disease score, anemia, and morbid obesity, as well ACLF mortality, such as infection, increasing organ failures, and higher white blood cell count. Prognostic tools are now available as online calculators. Regarding LT in ACLF, data suggest that even patients with ACLF-3 may do well after LT, with 1-year survival > 80% in several studies. Improvement in organ failures prior to LT, higher donor quality, and lack of mechanical ventilation further improve outcomes. Importantly, ACLF-3 patients may have higher short-term wait list mortality than patients listed status-1a, suggesting that increased LT prioritization may be warranted.

Summary

ACLF is a high-mortality condition that frequently responds well to LT. Ongoing efforts to understand the natural history of ACLF and predictors of improved post-LT survival will facilitate LT criteria for this condition, which may ultimately include increased LT prioritization for selected patients.

Admission Characteristics Identify Risk of Pediatric Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

OBJECTIVES

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is well-studied in adults and characterized by decompensated cirrhosis, multi-organ failure, and early mortality. Studies of ACLF in children are limited. We sought to characterize the prevalence and clinical factors associated with pediatric ACLF (PACLF).

METHODS

A retrospective review of children 3 months to 18 years listed for liver transplantation and hospitalized for decompensated cirrhosis between January 2007 and December 2017 at a single pediatric hospital. Primary outcome was the development of PACLF, characterized as failure of at least 1 extrahepatic organ (mechanical ventilation, renal replacement therapy, vasoactive medications, grade III/IV hepatic encephalopathy). Characteristics were recorded for each hospitalization.

RESULTS

Sixty-six patients had 186 hospitalizations with mean age at admission 4.0 ± 5.6 years and diagnosis of biliary atresia (BA) in 65%. PACLF developed in 20 patients during 23 hospitalizations (12%) and respiratory failure was most common (17/23, 74%). Duration of intensive care unit stay, 13.1 ± 1.2 days versus 0.6 ± 0.6 days (P < 0.001) and length of stay, 24.3 ± 5.0 days versus 7.9 ± 1.9 days (P = 0.003) were longer in PACLF compared with non-PACLF. Mortality during PACLF hospitalizations was 22%. Clinical factors associated with PACLF were reported from a generalized linear mixed model and included increased admission creatinine (P < 0.0001), increased aspartate aminotransferase (AST) (P = 0.014), increased international normalized ration (INR) (P = 0.0015), and a positive blood culture (P = 0.007).

CONCLUSION

In this pediatric series, PACLF developed in 12% of hospitalizations and mortality was high. Admission creatinine, AST, INR, and presence of a positive blood culture were associated with PACLF development.