A model to predict survival in patients with end-stage liver disease

Association between early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia and outcome after orthotopic heart transplantation

OBJECTIVES

In patients undergoing heart transplantation (HTX), preoperative liver impairment and consecutive hypoalbuminaemia are associated with increased mortality. The role of early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia after HTX is unclear. This study investigated the association between early postoperative hypoalbuminaemia and 1-year mortality as well as 'days alive and out of hospital' (DAOH) after HTX.

METHODS

This retrospective cohort study included patients who underwent HTX at the University Hospital Duesseldorf, Germany, between 2010 and 2022. The main exposure was serum albumin concentration at intensive care unit (ICU) arrival. The primary endpoints were mortality and DAOH within 1 year after surgery. Receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve analysis was performed and logistic and quantile regression models with adjustment for 13 a priori defined clinical risk factors were conducted.

RESULTS

Out of 241 patients screened, 229 were included in the analysis (mean age 55 ± 11 years, 73% male). ROC analysis showed moderate discrimination for 1-year mortality by postoperative serum albumin after HTX [AUC = 0.74; 95% confidence interval (CI): 0.66-0.83]. The cutoff for serum albumin at ICU arrival was 3.0 g/dl. According to multivariate logistic and quantile regression, there were independent associations between hypoalbuminaemia and mortality/DAOH [odds ratio of 4.76 (95% CI: 1.94-11.67) and regression coefficient of -46.97 (95% CI: -83.81 to -10.13)].

CONCLUSIONS

Postoperative hypoalbuminaemia <3.0 g/dl is associated with 1-year mortality and reduced DAOH after HTX and therefore might be used for early postoperative risk re-assessment in clinical practice.

Liver transplantation with uncontrolled versus controlled DCD donors using normothermic regional perfusion and ex-situ machine perfusion

In Italy, 20 minutes of continuous, flat-line electrocardiogram are required for death declaration, which significantly increases the risks of donation after circulatory death (DCD) LT. Despite prolonged warm ischemia time, Italian centers reported good outcomes in controlled donation after circulatory death LT by combining normothermic regional and end-ischemic machine perfusion. However, data on uncontrolled DCD (uDCD) LT performed by this approach are lacking. This was a multicenter, retrospective study performed at 3 large-volume centers comparing clinical outcomes of uncontrolled versus controlled DCD LT. The aim of the study was to assess outcomes of sequential normothermic regional perfusion and end-ischemic machine perfusion in uncontrolled DCD liver transplantation (LT). Of 153 DCD donors evaluated during the study period, 40 uDCD and 59 donation after circulatory death grafts were transplanted (utilization rate 52% vs. 78%, p = 0.004). Recipients of uDCD grafts had higher MEAF (4.9 vs. 3.5, p < 0.001) and CCI scores at discharge (24.4 vs. 8.7, p = 0.026), longer ICU stay (5 vs. 4 d, p = 0.047), and a trend toward more severe AKI. At multivariate analysis, 90-day graft loss was associated with recipient BMI and lactate downtrend during normothermic regional perfusion. One-year graft survival was lower in uDCD (75% vs. 90%, p = 0.007) but became comparable when non-liver-related graft losses were treated as censors (77% vs. 90%, p = 0.100). The incidence of ischemic cholangiopathy was 10% in uDCD versus 3% in donation after circulatory death, p = 0.356. uDCD LT with prolonged warm ischemia is feasible by the sequential use of normothermic regional perfusion and end-ischemic machine perfusion. Proper donor and recipient selection are key to achieving good outcomes in this setting.

Prediction of acute kidney injury in patients with liver cirrhosis using machine learning models: evidence from the MIMIC-III and MIMIC-IV

PURPOSE

To develop and validate a machine learning (ML)-based prediction model for acute kidney injury (AKI) in patients with liver cirrhosis.

METHODS

Data on liver cirrhosis patients were extracted from the Medical Information Mart for Intensive Care III (MIMIC-III) and MIMIC-IV databases in this retrospective cohort study. ML algorithms, including random forest (RF), extreme gradient boosting (XGB), light gradient boosting machine (LGBM), and gradient boosting decision tree (GBDT) were applied to construct prediction models. Predictors were screened via univariate logistic regression, and then the models were developed with all data of the included patients. A bootstrap resampling method was adopted to validate the models. The predictive abilities of our final model were compared with those of the sequential organ failure assessment score (SOFA), simplified acute physiology score II (SAPS II), Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD), and MELD Na.

RESULTS

This study included 950 patients, of which 429 (45.16%) had AKI. Mechanical ventilation, vasopressor, international normalized ratio (INR), bilirubin, Charlson comorbidity index (CCI), prothrombin time (PT), estimated glomerular filtration rate (EGFR), partial thromboplastin time (PTT), and heart rate served as predictors. In the derivation set, the developed RF [area under curve (AUC) = 0.747], XGB (AUC = 0.832), LGBM (AUC = 0.785), and GBDT (AUC = 0.811) models exhibited significantly greater predictive performance than the logistic regression model (AUC = 0.699) (all P < 0.05). Among the ML-based models, the XGB model had the greatest AUC. In internal validation, the predictive capacity of the XGB model (AUC = 0.833) was significantly superior to that of the logistic regression model (AUC = 0.701) (P = 0.045). Hence, the XGB model was selected as the final model for AKI prediction. In contrast to the XGB model (AUC = 0.832), the SOFA (AUC = 0.609), MELD (AUC = 0.690), MELD Na (AUC = 0.690), and SAPS II (AUC = 0.641) had significantly lower predictive abilities in the derivation set (all P < 0.001). The XGB model was internally validated to have an AUC of 0.833, which was significantly higher than the SOFA (AUC = 0.609), MELD (AUC = 0.690), MELD Na (AUC = 0.688), and SAPS II (AUC = 0.641) (all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

The XGB model had a better performance than the logistic regression model, SOFA, MELD, MELD Na, and SAPS II in AKI prediction for cirrhosis patients, which may help identify patients at a risk of AKI, and then provide timely interventions.

Neutrophil Gelatinase-associated Lipocalin Predicts Short-term Outcomes in Decompensated Cirrhosis With Acute Kidney Injury

Background and aims

Acute kidney injury (AKI) increases mortality in cirrhosis. Early identification of the cause of AKI helps in planning appropriate management. We aimed to find whether neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (NGAL) can be used to differentiate between different types of AKI in cirrhosis and predict short-term outcomes in patients with decompensated cirrhosis and AKI.

Method

This was a time-bound study in which consecutive hospitalized patients with cirrhosis and AKI were prospectively recruited and managed as per standard care. Acute on chronic liver failure (ACLF) was diagnosed as per the EASL-CLIF Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure in Cirrhosis (CANONIC) criteria. Urine NGAL was measured by enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA) by Epitope Diagnostics Inc. kit (San Diego, USA.) in all patients on admission, and patients were followed up until hospital discharge or death.

Results

A total of 110 consecutive patients (median [range] age: 44 [28-81] years;87.3%were male; ACLF: 71.8%; acute decompensation 28.2%; Model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) 27 [13-46]; Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) 11 [7-15]) with cirrhosis and AKI were recruited. Alcohol was the most common etiology of cirrhosis(64.5%)). Pre-renal azotemia (PRA) was the most common cause of AKI (n = 56). Urine NGAL was significantly elevated in acute tubular necrosis (ATN) (1747 [6-6141] ng/ml than in hepatorenal syndrome (HRS) (379 [33.5-2320] ng/ml; P < 0.0001) and PRA (167 ng/ml [3.34-660]; P < 0.0001). Sixty-four percent patients with ATN, 27.6% patients with HRS, and none with PRA required dialysis. A total of 79.31% patients with HRS and 76% with ATN died. Urine NGAL was significantly higher in patients who required hemodialysis than in those who did not (1733 [243-6141] ng/ml vs 235 [3.34-2320] ng/ml; P < 0.0001). Both urine NGAL (n = 110) and plasma NGAL (n = 90) were significantly higher in patients who died (urine NGAL: -475 [6-6141] ng/ml vs 247 [3.34-2320] ng/ml; P = 0.002;plasma NGAL-950 [94-4859] ng/ml vs 608 [18-3300)]g/ml; P < 0.001). On multivariate analysis, urine NGAL and INR could predict mortality.

Conclusion

NGAL can differentiate between different types of AKI in cirrhosis and predict the need for hemodialysis and mortality in decompensated cirrhosis with AKI.

The Trainee Collaborative for Research and Audit in Hepatology UK. Regional variations in inpatient decompensated cirrhosis mortality may be associated with access to specialist care: results from a multicentre retrospective study

INTRODUCTION

Specialist centres have been developed to deliver high-quality Hepatology care. However, there is geographical inequity in accessing these centres in the United Kingdom (UK). We aimed to assess the impact of these centres on decompensated cirrhosis patient outcomes and understand which patients transfer to specialist centres.

METHODS

A UK multicentred retrospective observational study was performed including emergency admissions for patients with decompensated cirrhosis in November 2019. Admissions were grouped by specialist/non-specialist centre designation, National Health Service region and whether a transfer to a more specialist centre occurred or not. Univariable and multivariable comparisons were made.

RESULTS

1224 admissions (1168 patients) from 104 acute hospitals were included in this analysis. Patients at specialist centres were more likely to be managed by a Consultant Gastroenterologist/Hepatologist on a Gastroenterology/Hepatology ward. Only 24 patients were transferred to a more specialist centre. These patients were more likely to be admitted for gastrointestinal bleeding and were not using alcohol. Specialist centres eliminated regional variations in mortality which were present at non-specialist centres. Low specialist Consultant staffing numbers impacted mortality at non-specialist centres (aOR 2.15 (95% CI 1.18 to 4.07)) but not at specialist centres. Hospitals within areas of high prevalence of deprivation were more likely to have lower specialist Consultant staffing numbers.

CONCLUSIONS

Specialist Hepatology centres improve patient care and standardise outcomes for patients with decompensated cirrhosis. There is a need to support service development and care delivery at non-specialist centres. Formal referral pathways are required to ensure all patients receive access to specialist interventions.

Clinical characteristics and prognosis of hospitalized patients with moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Little is known about the clinical characteristics and prognosis of hospitalized patients with moderate alcohol-associated hepatitis (mAH) as compared to severe alcohol-associated hepatitis (sAH). Therefore, we aimed to describe the clinical characteristics and risk factors associated with mortality in hospitalized mAH patients.

METHODS

Patients hospitalized with alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) from 1 January 2010 to 31 December 2020 at a large US healthcare system [11 hospitals, one liver transplant centre] were retrospectively analysed for outcomes. Primary outcome was 90-day mortality. AH and mAH were defined according to NIAAA Alcoholic Hepatitis Consortia and Model for End-stage Liver Disease Score ≤ 20 respectively. Multivariable Cox regression analysis was performed to identify independent risk factors associated with 90-day mortality.

RESULTS

1504 AH patients were hospitalized during the study period, of whom 39% (n = 590) had mAH. Compared to sAH patients, mAH patients were older (50 vs. 48 years, p < 0.001) and less likely to have underlying cirrhosis (74% vs. 83%, p < 0.001). There were no differences between the two groups for median alcohol intake g/day (mAH 140.0 vs. sAH 112.0, p = 0.071). The cumulative proportion surviving at 90 days was 88% in mAH versus 62% in sAH (p < 0.001). On multivariable analysis, older age [HR 1.03 (95% CI 1.00-1.06), p = 0.020], corticosteroid use [HR 1.80 (95% CI 1.06-3.06), p = 0.030] and acute kidney injury (AKI) [HR 2.43 (95% CI 1.33-4.47), p = 0.004] were independently associated with 90-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

mAH carries a 12% mortality rate at 90 days. Age, AKI and corticosteroid use were associated with an increased risk for 90-day mortality. Avoidance of corticosteroids and strategies to reduce the risk of AKI could improve outcomes in mAH patients.

Liver Severity Score-Based Modeling to Predict Six-Week Mortality Risk Among Hospitalized Cirrhosis Patients With Upper Gastrointestinal Bleeding

Background

Patients with cirrhosis who have gastrointestinal bleeding have high short-term mortality, but the best modality for risk calculation remains in debate. Liver severity indices, such as Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) and Model-for-End-Stage-Liver Disease (MELD) score, are well-studied in portal hypertensive bleeding, but there is a paucity of data confirming their accuracy in non-portal hypertensive bleeding and overall acute upper gastrointestinal bleeding (UGIB), unrelated to portal hypertension.

Aims

This study aims to better understand the accuracy of current mortality risk calculators in predicting mortality for patients with any type of UGIB, which could allow for earlier risk stratification and targeted intervention prior to endoscopy to identify the bleeding source.

Methods

In a large US single-center cohort, we investigated and recalibrated the model performance of CTP and MELD scores to predict six-week mortality risk for both sources of UGIB (portal hypertensive and non-portal hypertensive).

Results

Both CTP- and MELD-based models have excellent discrimination in predicting six-week mortality for all types of bleeding sources. However, only a CTP-based model demonstrates calibration for all bleeding, regardless of bleeding etiology. Median predicted 6-week mortality by CTP class A, B, and C estimates a risk of 1%, 7%, and 35% respectively.

Conclusions

Our study corroborates findings in the literature that CTP- and MELD-based models have similar discriminative abilities for predicting 6-week mortality in hospitalized cirrhosis patients presenting with either portal hypertensive or non-portal hypertensive UGIB. CTP class is an effective clinical decision tool that can be used, even prior to endoscopy, to accurately risk stratify a patient with known cirrhosis presenting with any UGIB into low, moderate, and severe risk groupings.

Superiority of the new sex-adjusted models to remove the female disadvantage restoring equity in liver transplant allocation

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

Model for End-stage Liver Disease (MELD) and MELDNa are used worldwide to guide graft allocation in liver transplantation (LT). Evidence exists that females are penalized in the present allocation systems. Recently, new sex-adjusted scores have been proposed with improved performance respect to MELD and MELDNa. GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0, and sex-adjusted MELDNa were developed to improve the 90-day dropout prediction from the list. The present study aimed at evaluating the accuracy and calibration of these scores in an Italian setting.

METHODS

The primary outcome of the present study was the dropout from the list up to 90 days because of death or clinical deterioration. We retrospectively analysed data from 855 adults enlisted for liver transplantation in the Lazio region (Italy) (2012-2018). Ninety-day prediction of GEMA-Na, MELD 3.0 and sex-adjusted MELDNa with respect to MELD and MELDNa was analysed. Brier score and Brier Skill score were used for accuracy, and the Greenwood-Nam-D'Agostino test was used to evaluate the calibration of the models.

RESULTS

GEMA-Na (concordance = .82, 95% CI = .75-.89), MELD 3.0 (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.87) and sex-adjusted MELDNa (concordance = .81, 95% CI = .74-.88) showed the best 90-day dropout prediction. GEMA-Na showed a higher increase in accuracy with respect to MELD (p = .03). No superiority was shown with respect to MELDNa. All the tested scores showed a good calibration of the models. Using GEMA-Na instead of MELD would potentially save one in nine dropouts and could save one dropout per 285 patients listed.

CONCLUSIONS

Validation and reclassification of the sex-adjusted score GEMA-Na confirm its superiority in predicting short-term dropout also in an Italian setting when compared with MELD.

Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Surgical Management and Evolving Therapies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the fifth most common cancer in men and the eighth most common cancer in women worldwide. It is also the second leading cause of cancer death worldwide, with 780,000 deaths in 2018. Seventy-two percent of HCC cases occur in Asia, 10% in Europe, 8% in Africa, 5% in North America, and 5% in Latin America (Singal et al. in J Hepatol 72(2):250-261, 2020 [1]).

Predictors of clinical trajectories of patients with acutely decompensated cirrhosis. An external validation of the PREDICT study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The PREDICT study recently showed that acutely decompensated (AD) patients with cirrhosis can present three different clinical phenotypes in the 90 days after admission: (1) pre-ACLF, developing acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF); (2) unstable decompensated cirrhosis (UDC), being re-admitted for AD without ACLF and (3) stable decompensated cirrhosis (SDC), not presenting readmission or ACLF. This study aimed to externally validate the existence of these three distinct trajectories and to identify predictors for the occurrence of each trajectory.

METHODS

Baseline data, 3-month ACLF and readmission incidence and 1-year survival were analysed in a prospective cohort of patients admitted for AD. A multinomial multivariable model was used to evaluate the association between baseline features and clinical trajectories.

RESULTS

Of the 311 patients enrolled, 55% met the criteria for SDC, 18% for UDC and 27% for pre-ACLF, presenting a significantly different 1-year mortality: pre-ACLF 65%, UDC 46%, SDC 21% (p < .001). The presence of hepatic encephalopathy (HE) was associated with UDC (p = .043), while the absence of ascites to SDC (p = .017). Among laboratory parameters, an increase in MELD-Na (p = .001) and C-reactive protein (p = .009) and a decrease in haemoglobin (p = .004) and albumin (p = .008) levels were associated with pre-ACLF.

CONCLUSION

The present study confirms that AD patients have three different clinical trajectories with different mortality rates. Besides the severity of cirrhosis, the association with C-reactive protein supports the predominant role of systemic inflammation in ACLF pathophysiology. Finally, HE is associated with the UDC phenotype highlighting the need for better management of this complication after discharge.

Five-year follow-up of 96 weeks peginterferon plus tenofovir disoproxil fumarate in hepatitis D

BACKGROUND & AIMS

Until recently, pegylated interferon-alfa-2a (PEG-IFNa) therapy was the only treatment option for patients infected with hepatitis D virus (HDV). Treatment with PEG-IFNa with or without tenofovir disoproxil fumarate (TDF) for 96 weeks resulted in HDV RNA suppression in 44% of patients at the end of therapy but did not prevent short-term relapses within 24 weeks. The virological and clinical long-term effects after prolonged PEG-IFNa-based treatment of hepatitis D are unknown.

METHODS

In the HIDIT-II study patients (including 40% with liver cirrhosis) received 180 μg PEG-IFNa weekly plus 300 mg TDF once daily (n = 59) or 180 μg PEG-IFNa weekly plus placebo (n = 61) for 96 weeks. Patients were followed until week 356 (5 years after end of therapy).

RESULTS

Until the end of follow-up, 16 (13%) patients developed liver-related complications (PEG-IFNa + TDF, n = 5 vs PEG-IFNa + placebo, n = 11; p = .179). Achieving HDV suppression at week 96 was associated with decreased long-term risk for the development of hepatocellular carcinoma (p = .04) and hepatic decompensation (p = .009). Including complications irrespective of PEG-IFNa retreatment status, the number of patients developing serious complications was similar with (3/18) and without retreatment with PEG-IFNa (16/102, p > .999) but was associated with a higher chance of HDV-RNA suppression (p = .024, odds ratio 3.9 [1.3-12]).

CONCLUSIONS

Liver-related clinical events were infrequent and occurred less frequently in patients with virological responses to PEG-IFNa treatment. PEG-IFNa treatment should be recommended to HDV-infected patients until alternative therapies become available. Retreatment with PEG-IFNa should be considered for patients with inadequate response to the first course of treatment.

CLINICAL TRIAL REGISTRATION

NCT00932971.

The Predictive Value of the MELD Scores for In-Hospital Adverse Events in Normotensive Patients with Acute Pulmonary Embolism

The model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) and the model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (INR) (MELD-XI) scores, which reflect dysfunction of liver and kidneys, have been reported to be related to the prognosis of patients with right-sided "backward" failure. However, the relationship between the MELD/MELD-XI score and the in-hospital adverse events in pulmonary embolism (PE) patients was unknown. Normotensive PE patients were retrospectively enrolled at China-Japan friendship hospital from January 2017 to February 2020. The primary outcome was defined as death and clinical deterioration during hospitalization. Multivariate logistic analysis was used to explore the association between the MELD and MELD-XI scores for in-hospital adverse events. We also compared the accuracy of the MELD, MELD-XI, and the pulmonary embolism severity index (PESI) score using the time-dependent receiver operating characteristic curve and corresponding areas under the curve (AUC). A total of 222 PE patients were analyzed. Logistic regression analysis showed that the MELD score was independently associated with in-hospital adverse events (odds ratio = 1.115, 95% confidential interval = 1.022-1.217, P = .014). The MELD score has an AUC of 0.731 and was better than PESI (AUC of 0.629) in predicting in-hospital adverse events. Among PE patients with normal blood pressure on admission, the MELD score was associated with increased in-hospital adverse events.

The challenges and potential in developing microRNA associated with regeneration as biomarkers to improve prognostication for liver failure syndromes and hepatocellular carcinoma

INTRODUCTION

Determining the need for liver transplantation remains critical in the management of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and liver failure syndromes (including acute liver failure and decompensated cirrhosis states). Conventional prognostic models utilize biomarkers of liver and non-liver failure and have limitations in their application. Novel biomarkers which predict regeneration may fulfil this niche. microRNA are implicated in health and disease and are present in abundance in the circulation. Despite this, they have not translated into mainstream clinical biomarkers.

AREAS COVERED

We will discuss current challenges in the prognostication of patients with liver failure syndromes as well as for patients with HCC. We will discuss biomarkers implicated with liver regeneration. We then provide an overview of the challenges in developing microRNA into clinically tractable biomarkers. Finally, we will provide a scoping review of microRNA which may have potential as prognostic biomarkers in liver failure syndromes and HCC.

EXPERT OPINION

Novel biomarkers are needed to improve prognostic models in liver failure syndromes and HCC. Biomarkers associated with liver regeneration are currently lacking and may fulfil this niche. microRNA have the potential to be developed into clinically tractable biomarkers but a consensus on standardizing methodology and reporting is required prior to large-scale studies.

PIVKA‑II is associated with liver function, bone metabolism, and muscle function in patients with liver disease

Protein induced by vitamin K (VK) absence-II (PIVKA-II) is a sensitive marker for diagnosing hepatoma but is occasionally detected in patients without hepatoma Here, the clinical significance of serum PIVKA-II levels in patients who were not administered warfarin and did not have hepatoma or liver disease were evaluated. As VK is related to muscle and bone metabolism, PIVKA-II and clinical factors related to bone and muscle were compared. A total of 441 patients with various liver diseases were evaluated. Of these, 236 patients were female. Clinical factors and anthropometric measurements were obtained for each participant during outpatient visits. Among the clinical factors, type I procollagen N-propeptide (P1NP), a low titer of undercarboxylated osteocalcin (ucOC), and 25(OH) vitamin D (VD) were used as bone metabolic markers, and SARC-F and grip strength were used as muscle-related markers. Serum PIVKA-II levels above the upper limit were associated with Child B/C (Child-Pugh score), high titers of total P1NP, and low titers of ucOC in females, and alcohol-related liver disease and low VD in males. The titer of PIVKA-II were associated with immunoglobulin (Ig) A and prothrombin time (PT)-international normalized ratio (INR) in females, and fibrosis-4-4, IgG, total bilirubin, PT-INR, and SARC-F in males. Elevated PIVKA-II levels were associated with abnormal bone physiology in females, weak muscles in males, and severe liver disease in both sexes. Assessing PIVKA-II may assist in evaluating the clinical and bone-muscle metabolic stages in liver disease. Nutrition and supplementation with fat-soluble vitamins, including VK and VD may thus serve as a potential method to alleviate or prevent bone-muscle pathophysiology in patients with liver disease.

Mitigating Health Disparities in Transplantation Requires Equity, Not Equality

Despite decades of research and evidence-based mitigation strategies, disparities in access to transplantation persist for all organ types and in all stages of the transplant process. Although some strategies have shown promise for alleviating disparities, others have fallen short of the equity goal by providing the same tools and resources to all rather than tailoring the tools and resources to one's circumstances. Innovative solutions that engage all stakeholders are needed to achieve equity regardless of race, sex, age, socioeconomic status, or geography. Mitigation of disparities is paramount to ensure fair and equitable access for those with end-stage disease and to preserve the trust of the public, upon whom we rely for their willingness to donate organs. In this overview, we present a summary of recent literature demonstrating persistent disparities by stage in the transplant process, along with policies and interventions that have been implemented to combat these disparities and hypotheses for why some strategies have been more effective than others. We conclude with future directions that have been proposed by experts in the field and how these suggested strategies may help us finally arrive at equity in transplantation.

Portal vein thrombosis in patients with liver cirrhosis

Background/Aim. Portal vein thrombosis (PVT) in patients with liver cirrhosis (LC) has a prevalence of 0.6?26%. It is most commonly discovered incidentally as part of the evaluation of LC or in the context of acute decompensation of LC due to portal hypertension. The aim of the study was to determine the prevalence of PVT in patients with LC in relation to the severity of the disease and individual elements of portal hypertension. Methods. A total of 326 patients treated for LC decompensation were included in a retrospective study. Standard laboratory analyses, abdominal ultrasonography and/or computed tomography, and esophagogastroduodenoscopy were performed. Results. The diameter of the portal vein (PV) differed between patients without esophageal varices (12.2 mm) and those with large varices (13.6 mm), p = 0.026. PVT was identified in 6.1% of patients with LC. The patients were classified according to the Child-Pugh scoring system, which has the A, B, and C categories used to assess the severity of liver disease. PVT was present in 3.0% of patients in class C and 12.0% in class B, while none of the patients in class A had PVT (p = 0.005). PVT was present in 4.4% of patients with small varices and 16.7% with large varices (p < 0.001). There was no difference in the presence of PVT between the groups of patients with and without variceal bleeding nor between groups with different degrees of ascites. A fatal outcome occurred in 29.4% of patients, but there was no difference between patients with and without PVT. Conclusion. PVT is present in more advanced stages of LC and predominantly in patients with large esophageal varices. There was no higher prevalence of PVT observed with the occurrence of variceal bleeding or with the death outcome in patients with LC.

Interprofessional Therapeutic Drug Monitoring of Carbapenems Improves ICU Care and Guideline Adherence in Acute-on-Chronic Liver Failure

(1) Background: Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a severe, rapidly progressing disease in patients with liver cirrhosis. Meropenem is crucial for treating severe infections. Therapeutic drug monitoring (TDM) offers an effective means to control drug dosages, especially vital for bactericidal antibiotics like meropenem. We aimed to assess the outcomes of implementing TDM for meropenem using an innovative interprofessional approach in ACLF patients on a medical intensive care unit (ICU). (2) Methods: The retrospective study was conducted on a medical ICU. The outcomes of an interprofessional approach comprising physicians, hospital pharmacists, and staff nurses to TDM for meropenem in critically ill patients with ACLF were examined in 25 patients. Meropenem was administered continuously via an infusion pump after the application of an initial loading dose. TDM was performed weekly using high-performance liquid chromatography (HPLC). Meropenem serum levels, implementation of the recommendations of the interprofessional team, and meropenem consumption were analyzed. (3) Results: Initial TDM for meropenem showed a mean meropenem serum concentration of 20.9 ± 9.6 mg/L in the 25 analyzed patients. Of note, in the initial TDM, only 16.0% of the patients had meropenem serum concentrations within the respective target range, while 84.0% exceeded this range. Follow-up TDM showed serum concentrations of 15.2 ± 5.7 mg/L (9.0-24.6) in Week 2 and 11.9 ± 2.3 mg/L (10.2-13.5) in Week 3. In Week 2, 41.7% of the patients had meropenem serum concentrations that were within the respective target range, while 58.3% of the patients were above this range. In Week 3, 50% of the analyzed serum concentrations of meropenem were within the targeted range, and 50% were above the range. In total, 100% of the advice given by the interprofessional team regarding meropenem dosing or a change in antibiotic therapy was implemented. During the intervention period, the meropenem application density was 37.9 recommended daily doses (RDD)/100 patient days (PD), compared to 42.1 RDD/100 PD in the control period, representing a 10.0% decrease. (4) Conclusions: Our interprofessional approach to TDM significantly reduced meropenem dosing, with all the team's recommendations being implemented. This method not only improved patient safety but also considerably decreased the application density of meropenem.

MELD-Na score may underestimate disease severity and risk of death in patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)

Portal hypertension often precedes the development of advanced fibrosis in patients with Metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD) and may accelerate disease progression to cirrhosis. We aimed to evaluate whether prioritization tools accurately predict survival in patients with MASLD and clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH). We retrospectively identified patients diagnosed with esophageal or gastric varices (EGV). Laboratory results, endoscopy reports and outcomes of patients with MASLD were compared to patients with advanced stage chronic liver disease (CLD) of other etiologies. During the study period 326 patients were diagnosed with EGV. 88 (26.9%) had MASLD, 113 (34.6%) viral hepatitis (VH), 63 (19.3%) alcoholic liver disease (ALD) and 62 (19%) both VH and ALD (VHALD). EGV bleeding events were significantly more frequent in patients with MASLD (36.3%), compared to VH (28.3%), ALD (30.1%) and VHALD (25.8%), respectively (p < 0.01). Mean Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD)-Na score surrounding 1 year of first event of EGV bleeding was significantly lower in MASLD patients compared to all other etiologies (p = 0.02). At a MELD-Na score of 11-20, cumulative survival rate was significantly lower in MASLD patients compared to all other etiologies (log rank p < 0.01). MASLD patients present with EGV bleeding at lower MELD-Na scores compared to other etiologies of CLD. MELD-Na score may therefore underestimate disease severity and risk of death in patients with MASLD and CSPH.

Seroconversion and safety of Covid-19 vaccines in pa-tients with chronic liver disease and liver transplant: A systematic review

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

As part of the COVID-19 control strategy, a growing number of vaccine portfolios evolved and got fast-tracked through regulatory agencies, with a limited examination of their efficacy and safety in vulnerable populations, such as patients with chronic conditions and immunocompromised states. Patients with chronic liver disease (CLD), and cohorts post liver transplant (LT) in particular, were underrepresented in the determinant trials of vaccine development, hence the paucity of data on their efficacy and safety in published literature. This systematic review aims to examine the available evidence and ascertain the effectiveness and safety of Covid-19 vaccination in patients with CLD and those with LT.

METHODS

A systematic review of PubMed (Medline), Google Scholar, Cochrane Library, and ScienceDirect from inception until 1st March 2022 was conducted. We included observational studies and assessed vaccine efficacy regarding seroconversion or immunological rate, whereas serious or significant adverse effects have been considered safety outcomes when reported.

RESULTS

Studies comprised 45275 patients, performed in 11 different countries. Seroconversion or immunological rate after Covid-19 vaccination was mostly the primary endpoint, whereas other endpoints like covid-19 related adverse effects were also reported. Twenty-four of the final analyzed studies are prospective cohort studies, while four are retrospective cohort studies. Twenty-one studies included patients who underwent LT and received the Covid vaccine; nine included patients who had CLD due to various etiologies. The median age range of all included patients varied from 43-69 years. All patients with LT who received at least two doses of Covid vaccine had a seroconversion rate of around 60%. Patients with CLD had a seroconversion rate of about 92% post two doses of Covid vaccination. The average seroconversion rate in post-transplant recipients was around 45% after two doses of the significant Covid vaccines: Pfizer, AstraZeneca, Moderna, and Jansen. Only two studies have reported a higher seroconversion rate of 75% and 73% after the third dose of Covid vaccine. No significant adverse effects were reported in all studies; the most commonly reported negative effect was local injection site pain.

CONCLUSION

The present systematic review, comprising real-world observational data studies, concludes that Covid-19 vaccination was associated with 92% and 60% seroconversion rates in patients with CLD and LT, respectively. No significant side effects were reported in all studies. This finding helps to resolve the uncertainty associated with Covid-19 vaccination in this cohort of patients.

Extracellular volume by dual-energy CT, hepatic reserve capacity scoring, CT volumetry, and transient elastography for estimating liver fibrosis

Our purpose was to compare the efficacy of liver and splenic volumetry (LV and SV), extracellular volume (ECV) on dual-layer spectral-detector CT scoring systems for estimating liver fibrosis (LF) in 45 patients with pathologically staged LF. ECV measured on CT value (HU-ECV), iodine density (ID-ECV), atomic number (Zeff-ECV), and electron density (ED-ECV), LV or SV/body surface area (BSA), albumin bilirubin grade (ALBI), model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, aspartate aminotransferase platelet ratio index (APRI), and fibrosis index based on the four factors (FIB-4) were recorded. Transient elastography was measured in 22 patients, and compared to ECV. No correlation was found between transient elastography and all ECVs. Area under the curve (AUC) for estimating F4 on transient elastography was 0.885 (95% CI 0.745-1.000). ALBI was weakly associated with LF (p = 0.451), while MELD (p < 0.001), APRI (p = 0.010), and FIB-4 (p = 0.010) were significantly associated with LF. SV/BSA had a higher AUC than MELD, APRI, and FIB-4 for estimating F4 (AUC = 0.815, 95% CI 0.63-0.999), but MELD (AUC = 0.799, 95% CI 0.634-0.965), APRI (AUC = 0.722, 95% CI 0.561-0.883), and FIB-4 (AUC = 0.741, 95% CI 0.582-0.899) had higher AUCs than ALBI. SV/BSA significantly contributed to differentiation for estimating F4; odds ratio (OR) was 1.304-1.353 (Reader 1-2; R1-R2), whereas MELD significantly contributed to the differentiation between F0-2 and F3-4; OR was 1.528-1.509 (R1-R2). AUC for SV/BSA and MELD combined was 0.877 (95% CI 0.748-1.000). In conclusion, SV/BSA allows for a higher estimation of liver cirrhosis (F4). MELD is more suitable for assessing severe LF (≥ F3-4). The combination of SV/BSA and MELD had a higher AUC than SV/BSA alone for liver cirrhosis (F4).

Novel prognostic biomarkers in decompensated cirrhosis: a systematic review and meta-analysis

BACKGROUND

Patients with decompensated cirrhosis experience high mortality rates. Current prognostic scores, including the model for end-stage liver disease (MELD), may underperform in settings other than in those they were initially developed. Novel biomarkers have been proposed to improve prognostication accuracy and even to predict development of complications.

METHODS

We performed a systematic review and meta-analysis on novel urine and blood biomarkers and their ability to predict 90-day mortality in patients with decompensated cirrhosis. Secondary outcomes included 28-day and 1-year mortality, and development of acute-on-chronic liver failure, acute kidney injury and other complications. To overcome differences in units, temporal changes in assays and reporting heterogeneity, we used the ratio of means (RoM) as measure of association for assessing strength in predicting outcomes. An RoM>1 implies that the mean biomarker level is higher in those that develop the outcome than in those that do not.

RESULTS

Of 6629 unique references, 103 were included, reporting on 29 different biomarkers, with a total of 31 362 biomarker patients. Most studies were prospective cohorts of hospitalised patients (median Child-Pugh-Turcotte score of 9 and MELD score of 18). The pooled 90-day mortality rate was 0.27 (95% CI 0.24 to 0.29). The RoM for predicting 90-day mortality was highest for interleukin 6 (IL-6) (2.56, 95% CI 2.39 to 2.74), followed by urinary neutrophil gelatinase-associated lipocalin (uNGAL) (2.42, 95% CI 2.20 to 2.66) and copeptin (2.33, 95% CI 2.17 to 2.50). These RoMs were all higher than for MELD (1.44, 95% CI 1.42 to 1.46).

CONCLUSION

Novel biomarkers, including IL-6, uNGAL and copeptin, can probably improve prognostication of patients with decompensated cirrhosis compared with MELD alone.

Interleukin-8 predicts short-term mortality in acute-on-chronic liver failure patients with hepatitis B-related-related cirrhosis background

BACKGROUND

Acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF) is a distinctive and severe syndrome, marked by an excessive systemic inflammatory response. In vivo, interleukin 8 (IL-8) is an essential pro-inflammatory cytokine. We aimed to investigate the value of serum IL-8 levels in predicting mortality in ACLF patients in the background of hepatitis B virus-related cirrhosis.

METHODS

In this study, we conducted a retrospective analysis of the clinical baseline characteristics of 276 patients with ACLF in the context of HBV-related cirrhosis. Logistic regression analysis was employed to identify independent risk factors for short-, intermediate-, and long-term mortality. Using these independent risk factors, we developed a nomogram model, which was subsequently validated. To assess the clinical usefulness of the nomogram model, we performed decision curve analysis (DCA).

RESULTS

Out of the 276 patients with ACLF, 98 (35.5%), 113 (40.9%), and 128 (46.4%) died within 28, 90, and 180 days, respectively. Serum IL-8 levels were only an independent predictor of 28-day mortality and could simply classify ACLF patients. Conversely, mean arterial pressure (MAP), HBV-DNA, and COSHACLF IIs were independent predictors of mortality across all three observation periods. We constructed a nomogram based on IL-8 that was able to visualise and predict 28-day mortality with a C-index of 0.901 (95% CI: 0.862-0.940). Our calibration curves, Predicted Probability of Death & Actual Survival Status plot, and Confusion Matrix demonstrated the nomogram model's strong predictive power. DCA indicated the nomogram's promising clinical utility in predicting 28-day mortality in ACLF patients.

CONCLUSION

Serum IL-8 levels predict short-term mortality in ACLF patients in the background of HBV-associated cirrhosis, and the developed Nomogram model has strong predictive power and good clinical utility.

Predictors of 30-day mortality in patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy on admission to the emergency department

BACKGROUND

The aim of this study is to compare the laboratory findings and disease severity scores of patients diagnosed with hepatic encephalopathy (HE) in the emergency department (ED) to predict 30-day mortality.

METHOD

The patients over 18 years old and diagnosed HE in the ED of a tertiary hospital were included in the study. Demographic and clinical characteristics, laboratory parameters, predisposing causes and outcomes of the patients included in the study were recorded in the data form. Severity of liver disease was assessed by Child Pugh Score (CPS), End-stage liver disease model (MELD), MELD-Na and MELD-Lactate scores.

RESULTS

Two hundred fifty-four patients diagnosed with HE were included in the study. 59.1% of the patients were male. The mean age of the patients was 65.2 ± 12.6 years. The mortality rate of the patients was 47.2%. When the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) analysis, which determines the predictive properties of laboratory parameters and disease severity scores, was examined, the area under curve value of the MELD-Lactate score (0.858 95% CI 0.812-0.904, P  < 0.001) was the highest. Binary logistic regression analysis for the estimation of patients' 30-day mortality showed that CPS and MELD-Lactate scores and blood ammonia and B-type natriuretic peptide levels were independent predictors of mortality.

CONCLUSION

According to the study data, MELD-Lactate and BNP levels in patients diagnosed with HE in the ED may help the clinician in the prediction of 30-day mortality in the early period.

In severe alcohol-related hepatitis, acute kidney injury is prevalent, associated with mortality independent of liver disease severity, and can be predicted using IL-8 and micro-RNAs

BACKGROUND

The prevalence, prediction and impact of acute kidney injury (AKI) in alcohol-related hepatitis (AH) is uncertain.

AIMS

We aimed to determine AKI incidence; association with mortality; evaluate serum biomarkers and the modifying effects of prednisolone and pentoxifylline in the largest AH cohort to date.

METHODS

Participants in the Steroids or Pentoxifylline for Alcoholic Hepatitis trial with day zero (D0) creatinine available were included. AKI was defined by modified International Club of Ascites criteria; incident AKI as day 7 (D7) AKI without D0-AKI. Survival was compared by Kaplan-Meier; mortality associations by Cox regression; associations with AKI by binary logistic regression; biomarkers by AUROC analyses.

RESULTS

D0-AKI was present in 198/1051 (19%) participants; incident AKI developed in a further 119/571 (21%) with available data. Participants with D0-AKI had higher 90-day mortality than those without (32% vs. 25%, p = 0.008), as did participants with incident AKI compared to those without D0-AKI or incident AKI (47% vs. 25%, p < 0.001). Incident AKI was associated with D90 mortality adjusted for age and discriminant function (AHR 2.15, 1.56-2.97, p < 0.001); D0-AKI was not. Prednisolone therapy reduced incident AKI (AOR 0.55, 0.36-0.85, p = 0.007) but not mortality. D0 bilirubin and IL-8 combined, miR-6826-5p, and miR-6811-3p predicted incident AKI (AUROCs 0.726, 0.821, 0.770, p < 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

Incident AKI is associated with 90-day mortality independent of liver function. Prednisolone therapy was associated with reduced incident AKI. IL-8 and several miRNAs are potential biomarkers to predict AKI. Novel therapies to prevent incident AKI should be evaluated in AH to reduce mortality.

Development and validation of a practical machine learning model to predict sepsis after liver transplantation

BACKGROUND

Postoperative sepsis is one of the main causes of mortality after liver transplantation (LT). Our study aimed to develop and validate a predictive model for postoperative sepsis within 7 d in LT recipients using machine learning (ML) technology.

METHODS

Data of 786 patients received LT from January 2015 to January 2020 was retrospectively extracted from the big data platform of Third Affiliated Hospital of Sun Yat-sen University. Seven ML models were developed to predict postoperative sepsis. The area under the receiver-operating curve (AUC), sensitivity, specificity, accuracy, and f1-score were evaluated as the model performances. The model with the best performance was validated in an independent dataset involving 118 adult LT cases from February 2020 to April 2021. The postoperative sepsis-associated outcomes were also explored in the study.

RESULTS

After excluding 109 patients according to the exclusion criteria, 677 patients underwent LT were finally included in the analysis. Among them, 216 (31.9%) were diagnosed with sepsis after LT, which were related to more perioperative complications, increased postoperative hospital stay and mortality after LT (all p < .05). Our results revealed that a larger volume of red blood cell infusion, ascitic removal, blood loss and gastric drainage, less volume of crystalloid infusion and urine, longer anesthesia time, higher level of preoperative TBIL were the top 8 important variables contributing to the prediction of post-LT sepsis. The Random Forest Classifier (RF) model showed the best overall performance to predict sepsis after LT among the seven ML models developed in the study, with an AUC of 0.731, an accuracy of 71.6%, the sensitivity of 62.1%, and specificity of 76.1% in the internal validation set, and a comparable AUC of 0.755 in the external validation set.

CONCLUSIONS

Our study enrolled eight pre- and intra-operative variables to develop an RF-based predictive model of post-LT sepsis to assist clinical decision-making procedure.

Prognostic models in alcohol-related liver disease and alcohol-related hepatitis

Alcohol-associated liver disease (ALD) and alcohol-associated hepatitis (AH) are dynamic disorders whose prognosis can be challenging to determine. A number of prognostic models have been developed to determine likelihood of death, when to refer for liver transplant (LT) and the role for glucocorticoids. Often these models were created with a specific application in mind but were found to have additional applications with further study. Those prognostic models that have stood the test of time are easy to use, have clear interpretations and employ objective parameters. These parameters most often include total bilirubin, INR and creatinine among other data points. Ideally, these models could be utilized at all phases of disease but in most, it is important for clinicians to consider drinking history and how it might alter the determined scores. Herein we provide a brief review of prognostic models in ALD and AH and provide practical tips and considerations to successfully make use of these tools in a clinical setting.

Meld-sarcopenia score and skeletal muscle density predicts short-term readmission of patients with hepatic encephalopathy

PURPOSE

To investigate whether the quality of skeletal muscle mass could predict short-term readmission in patients with hepatic encephalopathy (HE).

METHOD

Patients with HE were enrolled from 2018 to 2022. Sarcopenia and myosteatosis were defined using the L3 skeletal muscle index (SMI) and skeletal muscle density (SMD) obtained from CT imaging. MELD-Sarcopenia score was calculated. Multivariable analysis and multiple linear regression were applied to identify predictors of 30-day readmission and length of hospitalization.

RESULTS

123 patients with HE were included. 55 (44.7%) and 87 (70.7%) patients were identified with sarcopenia and myosteatosis, respectively. Patients with sarcopenia exhibited a higher prevalence of myosteatosis, lower SMI and SMD (p < 0.05). Patients with myosteatosis were older, had a lower body mass index, a higher neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio and MELD-sarcopenia scores (p < 0.05). 10 (8.1%) patients were readmitted within 30 days. The readmitted group had a higher MELD-sarcopenia score (25.0 ± 6.6 vs. 19.5 ± 7.8, p = 0.034) and lower L3 SMD (28.3 ± 5.9 vs. 33.8 ± 6.9, p = 0.015). In the multivariable analysis, MELD-sarcopenia score (95% CI 1.388 [1.074-1.793], p = 0.012) and SMD (95% CI 0.778 [0.610-0.991], p = 0.042) were found to be significantly associated with the 30-day readmission of patients with HE. Age (p = 0.028), alcohol liver disease (p = 0.025), and hypertension (p = 0.003) were associated with the length of hospitalization for patients with HE.

CONCLUSIONS

The MELD-sarcopenia score and SMD were identified as predictive factors for short-term readmission in patients diagnosed as HE.

Prognostic models in end stage liver disease

Cirrhosis is a major cause of death worldwide, and is associated with significant health care costs. Even if milestones have been recently reached in understanding and managing end-stage liver disease (ESLD), the disease course remains somewhat difficult to prognosticate. These difficulties have already been acknowledged already in the past, when scores instead of single parameters have been proposed as valuable tools for short-term prognosis. These standard scores, like Child Turcotte Pugh (CTP) and model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) score, relying on biochemical and clinical parameters, are still widely used in clinical practice to predict short- and medium-term prognosis. The MELD score, which remains an accurate, easy-to-use, objective predictive score, has received significant modifications over time, in order to improve its performance especially in the liver transplant (LT) setting, where it is widely used as prioritization tool. Although many attempts to improve prognostic accuracy have failed because of lack of replicability or poor benefit with the comparator (often the MELD score or its variants), few scores have been recently proposed and validated especially for subgroups of patients with ESLD, as those with acute-on-chronic liver failure. Artificial intelligence will probably help hepatologists in the near future to fill the current gaps in predicting disease course and long-term prognosis of such patients.

A novel score of IL-13 and age predicts 90-day mortality in severe alcohol-associated hepatitis: A multicenter plasma biomarker analysis

BACKGROUND

Severe alcoholic hepatitis (AH) has a high short-term mortality rate. The MELD assesses disease severity and mortality; however, it is not specific for AH. We screened plasma samples from patients with severe AH for biomarkers of multiple pathological processes and identified predictors of short-term mortality.

METHODS

Plasma was collected at baseline from 85 patients with severe AH (MELD≥20, Maddrey's discriminant function≥32) enrolled in the Defeat Alcoholic Steatohepatitis clinical trial (investigating IL-1 receptor antagonist+pentoxifylline+zinc vs. methylprednisolone+placebo). Samples were analyzed for 43 biomarkers and the markers' association with 28- and 90-day mortalities was assessed.

RESULTS

Thirty-one (36.5%) patients died during the 90-day follow-up with similar ratios in the treatment groups. Eight biomarkers showed an association with mortality. IL-6, IL-22, interferon-α2, soluble TNF receptor 1, lipocalin-2, and α-fetoprotein levels were associated with 28-day mortality, while IL-6, IL-13, and endotoxin levels with 90-day mortality. In multivariable Cox regression, encephalopathy, lipocalin-2, and α-fetoprotein levels were independent predictors of 28-day mortality, and IL-6, IL-13, international normalized ratio levels, and age were independent predictors of 90-day mortality. The combination of IL-13 and age had superior performance in predicting 90-day mortality compared with MELD in the total cohort and the individual treatment groups.

CONCLUSIONS

We identified predictors of short-term mortality in a cohort exclusively involving patients with severe AH. We created a composite score of IL-13 and age that predicts 90-day mortality regardless of the treatment type with a performance superior to MELD in severe AH.

Correlation of Hepatic Venous Pressure Gradient Level With Clinical and Endoscopic Parameters in Decompensated Chronic Liver Disease

BACKGROUND

The amount of liver fibrosis usually correlates with portal pressure, which is measured as the hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG). The fact that portal pressure significantly decreases after treatment may increase cirrhotic patients' long-term survival suggests that measuring HVPG may offer specific information for outcome prediction. The study thus seeks to determine the relationship between the level of the HVPG and endoscopic and clinical parameters in decompensated chronic liver disease (CLD).

METHODOLOGY

Thirty patients with CLD were studied and subjected to serum creatinine, total bilirubin, serum sodium, serum albumin, prothrombin time (PT), international normalized ratio (INR), esophagogastroduodenoscopy (upper gastrointestinal (UGI) endoscopy), and transjugular or transfemoral catheterization for HVPG measurement, and Child-Turcotte-Pugh (CTP) score and Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) score were calculated.

RESULTS

The results indicates a strong positive connection between MELD and HVPG, which is statistically significant (r=0.754; p<0.001). Similarly, CTP and HVPG also exhibit a significant positive association (r=0.793; p<0.001) suggesting a link between the severity of liver disease. Additionally, the moderate positive correlation for encephalopathy has a significant value (r=0.584; p=0.001), while the weak positive correlations for serum bilirubin, INR, and HVPG have non-significant values (r=0.244; p=0.194, and r=0.375; p=0.041, respectively). A strong negative connection between serum albumin and HVPG was also found (r=0.546; p=0.005) suggesting a relationship between worsening liver function.

CONCLUSION

In patients with decompensated CLD, the severity of the CLD as measured by the CTP and MELD score corresponds with HVPG, and higher HVPG associated with severe CLD and severe ascites, large varices, and variceal hemorrhage. Higher HVPG in cirrhotic patients also suggests the existence of sequelae, such as varices, severe ascites, and severe hepatic encephalopathy, although HVPG has little bearing on the underlying cause.

Short- and long-term outcomes of laparoscopic liver resection for non-alcoholic fatty liver disease-associated hepatocellular carcinoma: a retrospective cohort study

BACKGROUND

We compared the recurrence-free survival (RFS), overall survival (OS), and safety of laparoscopic liver resection (LLR) between non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) and non-NAFLD hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients.

METHODS

Patients with HCC (n = 349) were divided into four groups based on the HCC etiology (NAFLD [n = 71], hepatitis B [n = 27], hepatitis C [n = 187], alcohol/autoimmune hepatitis [AIH] [n = 64]). RFS and OS were assessed by multivariate analysis after adjustment for clinicopathological variables. A subgroup analysis was performed based on the presence (n = 248) or absence (n = 101) of cirrhosis.

RESULTS

Compared with the NAFLD group, the hazard ratios (95% confidence intervals) for RFS in the hepatitis B, hepatitis C, and alcohol/AIH groups were 0.49 (0.22-1.09), 0.90 (0.54-1.48), and 1.08 (0.60-1.94), respectively. For OS, the values were 0.28 (0.09-0.84), 0.52 (0.28-0.95), and 0.59 (0.27-1.30), respectively. With cirrhosis, NAFLD was associated with worse OS than hepatitis C (P = 0.010). Without cirrhosis, NAFLD had significantly more complications (P = 0.034), but comparable survival than others.

DISCUSSION

Patients with NAFLD-HCC have some disadvantages after LLR. In patients with cirrhosis, LLR is safe, but survival is poor. In patients without cirrhosis, the complication risk is high.

Prevalence of Minimal Hepatic Encephalopathy in Patients With Liver Cirrhosis: A Multicenter Study

INTRODUCTION

The prevalence of minimal hepatic encephalopathy (MHE), in particular in different subgroups, remains unknown. This study aimed to analyze the prevalence of MHE in different subgroups to identify patients at high risk and to pave the way for personalized screening approaches.

METHODS

In this study, data of patients recruited at 10 centers across Europe and the United States were analyzed. Only patients without clinical signs of hepatic encephalopathy were included. MHE was detected using the Psychometric Hepatic Encephalopathy Score (PHES, cut-off < or ≤-4 depending on local norms). Clinical and demographic characteristics of the patients were assessed and analyzed.

RESULTS

In total, 1,868 patients with cirrhosis with a median model for end-stage liver disease (MELD) of 11 were analyzed (Child-Pugh [CP] stages: A 46%, B 42%, and C 12%). In the total cohort, MHE was detected by PHES in 650 patients (35%). After excluding patients with a history of overt hepatic encephalopathy, the prevalence of MHE was 29%. In subgroup analyses, the prevalence of MHE in patients with CP A was low (25%), whereas it was high in CP B or C (42% and 52%). In patients with a MELD score <10, the prevalence of MHE was only 25%, but it was 48% in patients with a MELD score ≥20. Standardized ammonia levels (ammonia level/upper limit of normal of each center) correlated significantly, albeit weakly with PHES (Spearman ρ = -0.16, P < 0.001).

DISCUSSION

The prevalence of MHE in patients with cirrhosis was high but varied substantially between diseases stages. These data may pave the way for more individualized MHE screening approaches.

Posttreatment liver function, but not baseline liver function stratifies patient survival after direct-acting antiviral treatment in decompensated cirrhosis with hepatitis C virus

BACKGROUND

The prognosis of cirrhosis is clearly stratified by liver function. Although direct-acting antiviral (DAA) has recently been used to eliminate hepatitis C virus (HCV), it is not clear whether liver function stratifies the prognosis of decompensated cirrhotic patients treated with DAA.

METHODS

A total of 206 HCV-associated decompensated cirrhotic patients who started DAA from February 2019 to December 2021 at 31 Japanese hospitals were prospectively registered.

RESULTS

The median age was 68, and the proportions of patients with Child-Pugh class A (CP-A), CP-B and CP-C were 10% (20/206), 76% (156/206) and 15% (30/206), respectively. Twenty-six patients died, and two patients underwent liver transplantation (LT); the 2- and 3-year LT-free survival rates were 90.0% and 83.2%, respectively. We examined factors associated with LT-free survival using 2 models including either CP class (Model 1) or MELD score (Model 2). In multivariate Cox proportional hazard analysis, CP class at 12 weeks after the end of treatment (EOT) in Model 1 and MELD score at 12 weeks after the EOT in Model 2 were significant factors, while baseline CP class or MELD score was not. Two-year LT-free survival rates were 100%, 91.6% and 60.4% for patients with CP-A, CP-B and CP-C at 12 weeks after the EOT and 95.2% and 69.6% for patients with MELD < 15 and MELD ≥ 15 at 12 weeks after the EOT, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

The prognosis of decompensated cirrhotic patients receiving DAA was stratified by liver function at 12 weeks after the EOT, not by baseline liver function.

Resuscitation and Preparation of the Emergency General Surgery Patient

Traditionally, the workflow surrounding a general surgery patient allows for a period of evaluation and optimization of underlying medical issues to allow for risk modification; however, in the emergency, this optimization period is largely condensed because of its time-dependent nature. Because the lack of optimization can lead to complications, the ability to rapidly resuscitate the patient, proceed to procedural intervention to control the situation, and manage common medical comorbidities is paramount. This article provides an overview on these subjects.

Arterial blood pressure waveform in liver transplant surgery possesses variability of morphology reflecting recipients' acuity and predicting short term outcomes

We investigated clinical information underneath the beat-to-beat fluctuation of the arterial blood pressure (ABP) waveform morphology. We proposed the Dynamical Diffusion Map algorithm (DDMap) to quantify the variability of morphology.  The underlying physiology could be the compensatory mechanisms involving complex interactions between various physiological mechanisms to regulate the cardiovascular system. As a liver transplant surgery contains distinct periods, we investigated its clinical behavior in different surgical steps. Our study used DDmap algorithm, based on unsupervised manifold learning, to obtain a quantitative index for the beat-to-beat variability of morphology. We examined the correlation between the variability of ABP morphology and disease acuity as indicated by Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) scores, the postoperative laboratory data, and 4 early allograft failure (EAF) scores. Among the 85 enrolled patients, the variability of morphology obtained during the presurgical phase was best correlated with MELD-Na scores. The neohepatic phase variability of morphology was associated with EAF scores as well as postoperative bilirubin levels, international normalized ratio, aspartate aminotransferase levels, and platelet count. Furthermore, variability of morphology presents more associations with the above clinical conditions than the common BP measures and their BP variability indices. The variability of morphology obtained during the presurgical phase is indicative of patient acuity, whereas those during the neohepatic phase are indicative of short-term surgical outcomes.

Transplant Candidate Outcomes After Declining a DCD Liver in the United States

BACKGROUND

In the context of the organ shortage, donation after circulatory death (DCD) provides an opportunity to expand the donor pool. Although deceased-donor liver transplantation from DCD donors has expanded, DCD livers continue to be discarded at elevated rates; the use of DCD livers from older donors, or donors with comorbidities, is controversial.

METHODS

Using US registry data from 2009 to 2020, we identified 1564 candidates on whose behalf a DCD liver offer was accepted ("acceptors") and 16 981 candidates on whose behalf the same DCD offers were declined ("decliners"). We characterized outcomes of decliners using a competing risk framework and estimated the survival benefit (adjusted hazard ratio [95% confidence interval]) of accepting DCD livers using Cox regression.

RESULTS

Within 10 y of DCD offer decline, 50.9% of candidates died or were removed from the waitlist before transplantation with any type of allograft. DCD acceptors had lower mortality compared with decliners at 10 y postoffer (35.4% versus 48.9%, P < 0.001). After adjustment for candidate covariates, DCD offer acceptance was associated with a 46% reduction in mortality (0.54 [0.49-0.61]). Acceptors of older (age ≥50), obese (body mass index ≥30), hypertensive, nonlocal, diabetic, and increased risk DCD livers had 44% (0.56 [0.42-0.73]), 40% (0.60 [0.49-0.74]), 48% (0.52 [0.41-0.66]), 46% (0.54 [0.45-0.65]), 32% (0.68 [0.43-1.05]), and 45% (0.55 [0.42-0.72]) lower mortality risk compared with DCD decliners, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

DCD offer acceptance is associated with considerable long-term survival benefits for liver transplant candidates, even with older DCD donors or donors with comorbidities. Increased recovery and utilization of DCD livers should be encouraged.

Computed Tomography-Defined Sarcopenia in Outcomes of Patients with Unresectable Hepatocellular Carcinoma Undergoing Radioembolization: Assessment with Total Abdominal, Psoas, and Paraspinal Muscles

INTRODUCTION

Sarcopenia is an adverse prognostic factor in patients with liver cirrhosis and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Image-based sarcopenia assessment allows a standardized method to assess abdominal skeletal muscle. However, which is an index muscle for sarcopenia remains unclear. Therefore, we investigated whether sarcopenia defined according to different muscle groups with computed tomography (CT) scans can predict the prognosis of HCC after radioembolization.

METHODS

In this retrospective study, we analyzed patients who underwent radioembolization for unresectable HCC between January 2010 and December 2019. Before treatment, the total abdominal muscle (TAM), psoas muscle (PM), and paraspinal muscle (PS) areas were evaluated using a single CT slice at the third lumbar vertebra. In previous studies, sarcopenia was determined using the TAM, PM, and PS after stratifying by sex. Finally, we investigated each muscle-defined sarcopenia to decide whether or not it can serve as a prognostic factor for overall survival (OS).

RESULTS

We included 92 patients (74 men and 18 women). TAM, PM, and PS areas were significantly higher in the men than in the women (all p < 0.05). The patients with sarcopenia defined using PM, but not TAM and PS, exhibited significantly poorer OS than those without sarcopenia (median 15.3 vs. 23.8 months, p = 0.034, 0.821, and 0.341, respectively). After adjustment for clinical variables, such as body mass index, liver function, alpha-fetoprotein level, clinical staging, treatment response, and posttreatment curative therapy, PM-defined sarcopenia (hazard ratio: 1.899, 95% confidence interval: 1.087-3.315) remained an independent predictor for the poor OS.

CONCLUSION

CT-assessed sarcopenia defined using PM was an independent prognostic factor for the poorer prognosis of unresectable HCC after radioembolization.

Utilization of hepatitis C virus infected donors in heart transplant recipients with elevated MELD-XI score

BACKGROUND

The advent of direct-acting antivirals has helped to increase the safe utilization of organs from hepatitis C virus positive (HCV+) donors. However, the outcomes of heart transplantation (HT) using an HCV+ donor are unclear in recipients with underlying liver disease represented by an elevated model for end-stage liver disease excluding international normalized ratio (MELD-XI).

METHODS

The United Network of Organ Sharing database was queried from Jan 2016 to Dec 2021. Post-transplant outcomes stratified by recipient MELD-XI score (low <10.37, medium, 10.38-13.39, and high >13.4) was compared between patients with HT from HCV+ (N = 792) and patients with HT from HCV-negative donors (N = 15,266).

RESULTS

The median MELD-XI score was comparable (HCV+, 12.1, vs. HCV-negative, 11.8, p = .37). In the HCV+ group, donors were older (33 vs. 31 years, p < .001). Ischemic time of donor hearts (3.48 vs. 3.28 h, p < .001) and travel distance (250 vs. 157 miles, p < .001) were longer in HCV+ group. In the Kaplan Meier analysis with a median follow-up of 750 days, survival was comparable between the two groups (2-year survival, MELD-XI Low: HCV+, 92.4 ± 3.6% vs. HCV-negative, 91.1 ±.8%, p = .83, Medium: HCV+ 89.2 ± 4.3% vs. HCV-negative, 88.2 ± 1.0%, p = .68, and High: HCV+, 84.9 ± 4.5% vs. HCV-negative, 84.6 ± 1.1%, p = .75) In multivariate Cox hazard models, HCV donors were not associated with mortality in each MELD-XI subgroup (Low: adjusted hazard ratio (aHR), 1.02, p = .94; Medium: aHR, .95, p = .81; and High: aHR, .93, p = .68).

CONCLUSION

Utilization of HCV+ hearts was not associated with an increased risk of adverse outcomes in recipients with an elevated MELD- XI score.

Vitamin D status as a predictor for liver transplant outcomes

It is well known that vitamin D plays a pivotal role in immune system modulation; however, its role in liver transplantation (LT) has not yet been well elucidated. This study aimed to assess the association between vitamin D status and LT outcomes. This retrospective cohort study was conducted on 335 registered cirrhotic patients with end-stage liver disease (ESLD) who underwent LT during 2019-2021 and had measurement of serum vitamin D before LT. The association of vitamin D levels before LT with the odds of acute cellular rejection (ACR) and risk mortality was assessed by applying logistic and cox regression, respectively. The mean MELD-Na and serum level of vitamin D were 20.39 ± 9.36 and 21.52 ± 15.28 ng/ml, respectively. In the final adjusted model, there was a significant association between vitamin D deficiency in the pre-transplant period and odds of ACR (odds ratio [OR] 2.69; 95% confidence interval [CI] 1.50-4.68). Although in the crude model, vitamin D deficiency in the pre-transplant period was significantly associated with an increased risk of mortality after two years of follow-up (Hazard ratio (HR) = 2.64, 95% CI 1.42-4.33), after adjustment for potential confounders, the association of vitamin D status and mortality became non-significant (HR = 1.46, 95% CI 0.71-3.00). The present study provides evidence that pre-transplant serum vitamin D levels may be a predictor for ACR in patients with cirrhosis undergoing LT.

Comparison of Inflammatory Cytokine Levels in Hepatic and Jugular Veins of Patients with Cirrhosis

Background

Systemic inflammation with elevated inflammatory cytokines is a hallmark in patients with cirrhosis and the main driver of decompensation. There is insufficient data on whether inflammatory cytokine levels differ between hepatic and jugular veins, which may have implications for further immunological studies.

Methods

Blood from the hepatic and jugular veins of 40 patients with cirrhosis was collected during hepatic venous pressure gradient (HVPG) measurements. Serum levels of 13 inflammatory cytokines (IL-1β, Int-α2, Int-γ, TNF-α, MCP-1, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-12p70, IL-17A, IL-18, IL-23, and IL-33) were quantified by cytometric bead array.

Results

Cytokine levels of IFN-α2, IFN-γ, TNF-α, IL-6, IL-8, IL-10, IL-17A, IL-18, IL-23, and IL-33 were significantly elevated in patients with decompensated cirrhosis compared to patients with compensated cirrhosis. When comparing patients with clinically significant portal hypertension (CSPH, HVPG ≥ 10 mmHg) to patients without CSPH, there were significantly enhanced serum levels of IL-6 and IL-18 in the former group. There was no significant difference between cytokine serum levels between blood obtained from the jugular versus hepatic veins. Even in subgroup analyses stratified for an early cirrhosis stage (Child-Pugh (CP) A) or more decompensated stages (CP B/C), cytokine levels were similar.

Conclusion

Cytokine levels increase with decompensation and increasing portal hypertension in patients with cirrhosis. There is no relevant difference in cytokine levels between hepatic and jugular blood in patients with cirrhosis.

Benefit and harm of waiting time in liver transplantation for HCC

Liver transplantation is the most successful treatment for limited-stage HCC. The waiting time for liver transplantation (LT) can be a critical factor affecting the oncological prognosis and outcome of patients with HCC. Efficient strategies to optimize waiting time are essential to maximize the benefits of LT and to reduce the harm of delay in transplantation. The ever-increasing demand for donor livers emphasizes the need to improve the organization of the waiting list for transplantation and to optimize organ availability for patients with and without HCC. Current progress in innovations to expand the donor pool includes the implementation of living donor LT and the use of grafts from extended donors. By expanding selection criteria, an increased number of patients are eligible for transplantation, which necessitates criteria to prevent futile transplantations. Thus, the selection criteria for LT have evolved to include not only tumor characteristics but biomarkers as well. Enhancing our understanding of HCC tumor biology through the analysis of subtypes and molecular genetics holds significant promise in advancing the personalized approach for patients. In this review, the effect of waiting time duration on outcome in patients with HCC enlisted for LT is discussed.

Markers of inflammation predict survival in newly diagnosed cirrhosis: a prospective registry study

The inflammatory activity in cirrhosis is often pronounced and related to episodes of decompensation. Systemic markers of inflammation may contain prognostic information, and we investigated their possible correlation with admissions and mortality among patients with newly diagnosed liver cirrhosis. We collected plasma samples from 149 patients with newly diagnosed (within the past 6 months) cirrhosis, and registered deaths and hospital admissions within 180 days. Ninety-two inflammatory markers were quantified and correlated with clinical variables, mortality, and admissions. Prediction models were calculated by logistic regression. We compared the disease courses of our cohort with a validation cohort of 86 patients with cirrhosis. Twenty of 92 markers of inflammation correlated significantly with mortality within 180 days (q-values of 0.00-0.044), whereas we found no significant correlations with liver-related admissions. The logistic regression models yielded AUROCs of 0.73 to 0.79 for mortality and 0.61 to 0.73 for liver-related admissions, based on a variety of modalities (clinical variables, inflammatory markers, clinical scores, or combinations thereof). The models performed moderately well in the validation cohort and were better able to predict mortality than liver-related admissions. In conclusion, markers of inflammation can be used to predict 180-day mortality in patients with newly diagnosed cirrhosis. Prediction models for newly diagnosed cirrhotic patients need further validation before implementation in clinical practice.Trial registration: NCT04422223 (and NCT03443934 for the validation cohort), and Scientific Ethics Committee No.: H-19024348.

Predicting disease progression in cirrhotic patients after transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt implantation: A sex-stratified analysis

BACKGROUND

Transjugular intrahepatic portosystemic shunt (TIPS) has been extensively used to treat portal hypertension-associated complications, including cirrhosis. The prediction of post-TIPS prognosis is important for cirrhotic patients, as more aggressive liver transplantation is needed when the post-TIPS prognosis is poor.

AIM

To construct a nutrition-based model that could predict the disease progression of cirrhotic patients after TIPS implantation in a sex-dependent manner.

METHODS

This study retrospectively recruited cirrhotic patients undergoing TIPS implantation for analysis. Muscle quality was assessed by measuring the skeletal muscle index (SMI) by computed tomography. Multivariate Cox proportional hazard models were utilized to determine the association between SMI and disease progression in cirrhotic patients after TIPS implantation.

RESULTS

This study eventually included 186 cirrhotic patients receiving TIPS who were followed up for 30.5 ± 18.8 mo. For male patients, the 30-mo survival rate was significantly lower and the probability of progressive events was higher (3.257-fold) in the low-level SMI group than in the high-level SMI group. According to the multivariate Cox analysis of male patients, SMI < 32.8 was an independent risk factor for long-term adverse outcomes after TIPS implantation. A model was constructed, which involved creatinine, plasma ammonia, SMI, and acute-on-chronic liver failure and hepatic encephalopathy occurring within half a year after surgery. This model had an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 0.852, sensitivity of 0.926, and specificity of 0.652. According to the results of the DeLong test, this model outperformed other models (Child-Turcotte-Pugh, Model for End-Stage Liver Disease, and Freiburg index of post-TIPS survival) (P < 0.05).

CONCLUSION

SMI is strongly associated with poor long-term outcomes in male patients with cirrhosis who underwent TIPS implantation.

Association of direct bilirubin to total bilirubin ratio with 90-day mortality in patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure

Background

Hyperbilirubinemia occurs when the liver fails to process bilirubin properly. A disproportionate increase in direct bilirubin indicates a decreased ability of the hepatocytes to uptake and/or convert bilirubin, which may impact the prognosis of patients with acute-on-chronic liver failure (ACLF). However, the association of direct bilirubin to total bilirubin ratio (DB/TB) with outcomes in patients with ACLF remains unclear.

Methods

A retrospective study was conducted in West China Hospital of Sichuan University to assess the association between DB/TB and 90-day mortality in patients with ACLF. The diagnosis of ACLF was based on the Chinese Group on the Study of Severe Hepatitis B (COSSH) ACLF criteria. Ordinal logistic regression models, linear regression models, and Cox proportional hazards models were applied to evaluate the association between DB/TB and hepatic encephalopathy, disease severity, and outcome, respectively.

Results

A total of 258 patients with ACLF were included. The surviving patients were less likely to have liver cirrhosis and comorbidities, and their disease severities were milder than the dead. DB/TB was negatively correlated to cerebral score for hepatic encephalopathy (adjusted odds ratio: 0.01, p = 0.043), and disease severity (adjusted standardized coefficients: -0.42~-0.31, all p < 0.001), respectively. A significant 90-day mortality risk of DB/TB was observed [all adjusted hazard ratio (aHR) < 0.20 and all p ≤ 0.001]. Compared with patients with DB/TB < 0.80, patients with ACLF and DB/TB ≥ 0.80 had much lower 90-day mortality risk (all aHR < 0.75 and all p < 0.01).

Conclusion

DB/TB could be an independent risk factor to predict the short-term prognosis in patients with ACLF. More attention should be paid to patients with lower DB/TB due to their poorer prognosis and more urgent need for liver transplantation.Clinical trial registration:http://www.chictr.org.cn/showproj.aspx?proj=56960, identifier, ChiCTR2000035013.

Risk stratification for isolated tricuspid valve surgery assisted using the Model for End-Stage Liver Disease score

OBJECTIVE

Isolated tricuspid valve surgery is perceived as high-risk. This perception is nurtured by patients who often present with substantial liver dysfunction, which is inappropriately reflected in current surgical risk scores (eg, the Society of Thoracic Surgeons [STS] score has no specific tricuspid model). The Model for End-Stage Liver Disease (MELD) has was developed as a measure for the severity of liver dysfunction. We report scores and outcomes for our patient population.

METHODS

We calculated STS, European System for Cardiac Operative Risk Evaluation (EuroSCORE) II (ESII), and MELD scores for all of our patients who received isolated tricuspid valve surgery between 2011 and 2020 (n = 157). We determined the MELD score, stratified patients into 3 groups (MELD <10: low, n = 53; 10 to <20: intermediate, n = 78; ≥20: high, n = 26) and describe associated outcomes.

RESULTS

Patients were 72 ± 10 years old and 43% were male. Mean STS score was 4.9 ± 3.5% and ESII was 7.2 ± 6.6%. Mortality was 8.9% at 30 days and 65% at latest follow-up (95% CI, 51%-76%). Median follow-up was 4.4 years (range, 0-9.7 years). Although ESII and STS score accurately predicted 30-day mortality at low MELD scores (observed to expected [O/E] for ESII score = 0.8 and O/E for STS score = 1.0) and intermediate MELD (O/E for ESII score = 0.7, O/E for STS score = 1.0), mortality was underestimated at high MELD (O/E for ESII score = 3.0, O/E for STS score = 4.7). This subgroup also had higher incidence of new-onset hemodialysis. Besides MELD category, recent congestive heart failure, endocarditis, and hemodialysis were also associated with 30-day mortality.

CONCLUSIONS

For isolated tricuspid valve regurgitation, classic surgical risk stratification with STS or ESII scores failed to predict perioperative mortality if there was evidence of severe liver dysfunction. Preoperative MELD assessment might be useful to assist in proper risk assessment for isolated tricuspid valve surgery.

The yesterday, today and tomorrow of liver transplant

With a very long history of setbacks and successes, organ transplantation is one of the greatest medical achievements of the twentieth century. Liver transplantation is currently the most effective method for treating end-stage liver disease. From humble beginnings, improvements in surgical technique, perioperative management, and immunosuppressive therapy have yielded excellent graft and patient outcomes. Most established 'liver transplant' (LT) centres have a 1-year survival rate exceeding 90%, and a 3-year survival rate of over 80%. With immense success, the need for hepatic grafts substantially exceeds their availability. This problem has been partially addressed by using split grafts, living donor liver transplantation (LDLT), and extended criteria grafts (ECG). This article reviews the immense progress made in various aspects of LT including evaluation, increasing donor pool, surgical advances, immunosuppression and anaesthesia related aspects and the way forward. With ongoing cutting edge research in technologies like artificial liver devices, tissue bioengineering and hepatocyte 'farms', the future of LT is more exciting than ever before.