Racial Differences in Atrial Fibrillation-Related Cardiovascular Disease and Mortality: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) Study

Augmenting Engagement in Decentralized Clinical Trials for Atrial Fibrillation: Development and Implementation of a Programmatic Architecture

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is a chronic cardiovascular condition that requires long-term adherence to medications and self-monitoring. Clinical trials for AF have had limited diversity by sex, race and ethnicity, and rural residence, thereby compromising the integrity and generalizability of trial findings. Digital technology coupled with remote strategies has the potential to increase recruitment of individuals from underrepresented demographic and geographic populations, resulting in increased trial diversity, and improvement in the generalizability of interventions for complex diseases such as AF.

Objective

This study aimed to summarize the architecture of a research program using remote methods to enhance geographic and demographic diversity in mobile health trials to improve medication adherence.

Methods

We developed a programmatic architecture to conduct remote recruitment and assessments of individuals with AF in 2 complementary randomized clinical trials, funded by the National Institutes of Health, to test the effectiveness of a smartphone-based relational agent on adherence to oral anticoagulation. The study team engaged individuals with either rural or metropolitan residences receiving care for AF at health care settings who then provided consent, and underwent baseline assessments and randomization during a remotely conducted telephone visit. Participants were randomized to receive the relational agent intervention or control and subsequently received a study smartphone with installed apps by mail. Participants received a telephone-based training session on device and app usage accompanied by a booklet with pictures and instructions accessible for any level of health or digital literacy. The program included remote methods by mail and telephone to promote retention at 4-, 8-, and 12-month visits and incentivized return of the smartphone following study participation. The program demonstrated excellent participant engagement and retention throughout the duration of the clinical trials.

Results

The trials enrolled 513 participants, surpassing recruitment goals for the rural (n=270; target n=264) and metropolitan (n=243; target n=240) studies. A total of 62% (319/513) were women; 31% (75/243) of participants in the metropolitan study were African American, Asian, American Indian or Alaskan native or other races or ethnicities, in contrast to 5% (12/270) in the rural study. Among all participants, 56% (286/513) had less than an associate's degree and 44% (225/513) were characterized as having limited health literacy. Intervention recipients receiving the relational agent used the agent median of 95-98 (IQR, 56-109) days across both studies. Retention exceeded 89% (457/513) at 12 months with study phones used for median 3.3 (IQR, 1-5) participants.

Conclusions

We report here the development and implementation of a programmatic architecture for the remote conduct of clinical trials. Our program successfully enhanced trial diversity and composition while providing an innovative mobile health intervention for medication adherence in AF. Our methods provide a model for enhanced recruitment and engagement of diverse participants in cardiovascular trials.

Contemporary trends in incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and mortality in individuals with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

The prognosis for atrial fibrillation (AF) patients is based on data that is decades old. Given evolving standards of clinical practice, we sought to evaluate temporal trends in clinically important outcomes among patients with AF.

METHODS AND RESULTS

California's Department of Health Care Access and Information databases were used to identify adults aged ≥18 years with AF receiving hospital-based care in California. We compared three time-periods: 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019. International Classification of Diseases codes were used to identify chronic diseases and acute events. The outcomes were incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and overall mortality. We included 2 009 832 patients with AF (52.7% males, 70.7% Whites, and mean age of 75.0 years), divided in three cohorts: 2005-2009 (n = 738 954), 2010-2014 (n = 609 447), and 2015-2019 (n = 661 431). Each outcome became substantially less common with time: compared with 2005-2009, AF patients diagnosed in 2015-2019 experienced a 34% (adjusted hazard ratio [HR] 0.66, 95% confidence interval 0.64-0.69), 22% (HR 0.78, 0.75-0.82), and 24% (HR 0.76, 0.75-0.77) reduction in risk of incident ischaemic stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and mortality, respectively. Between 2005-2009 and 2015-2019, patients aged ≥65 years experienced more reductions in each outcome compared with younger patients (P < 0.001 for all), and declines in each outcome were significantly lower for Hispanics and Blacks compared with white patients.

CONCLUSION

The risks of stroke, intracranial haemorrhage, and death have significantly declined among AF patients, although differences in the magnitude of improvement of these outcomes by demographic groups were observed. Commonly described estimates of the prognosis for AF patients should be updated to reflect contemporary care.

Outcomes of hospitalized black patients with atrial fibrillation based on sex

INTRODUCTION

Despite oral anticoagulation (AC), male patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) have worse inpatient outcomes versus females. This disparity is not well studied in Black Americans. Our objective was to evaluate in-patient outcomes of Black males hospitalized with AF versus Black females for whom AC was utilized.

METHODS

We conducted a retrospective analysis of the National Inpatient Sample and identified hospitalizations of Black Americans with AF prescribed AC between 4th quarter 2015 to 2020 using ICD-10 codes. Males were compared to females with the primary endpoint of major cardiovascular events (MACE) (acute myocardial infarction, cardiogenic shock, ischemic stroke, cardiac arrest, or in-patient mortality). Secondary endpoints included any major bleeding event, length-of-stay (LOS), and adjusted hospital charges. A logistic regression model was used to control potential confounders including age, Charlson Comorbidity Index, and in-hospital mortality.

RESULTS

A total of 180,650 Black patient hospitalizations were identified with AF prescribed AC, among which, 83,135 (46 %) were male. Males had more baseline comorbidities. After adjusting for selected confounders, Black males had higher odds of MACE (adjusted odds ratio [aOR] 1.16), major bleeding event (aOR 1.34), longer LOS (5.7 vs. 5.5 days), and higher adjusted hospital charges ($68,227 vs. $63,027); all p < 0.05.

CONCLUSION

In this "real life" inpatient cohort, compared with Black females, Black males with AF prescribed AC exhibit higher rates of MACE and major bleeding.

Electrocardiographic P-wave parameters and lifetime atrial fibrillation risk: A multicohort study

BACKGROUND

The P wave on the surface electrocardiogram (ECG) undergoes characteristic changes before development of atrial fibrillation (AF). However, the relationship between P-wave parameters and lifetime risk of AF remains poorly characterized.

OBJECTIVE

We sought to determine the association between baseline ECG P-wave parameters and lifetime risk of AF.

METHODS

We conducted a pooled analysis of 25,508 participants from 4 prospective cohort studies. P-wave parameters were analyzed on the basis of contemporary consensus criteria, including advanced interatrial block, P-terminal force in V1, P-wave axis, P-wave voltage in lead I, P-wave area in lead II, and P-wave dispersion. Using a modified Kaplan-Meier analysis accounting for competing risks, we calculated lifetime risk of AF stratified by individual and cumulative ECG abnormalities.

RESULTS

During follow-up, AF developed in 2877 participants (11.3%). At index age 45 years, interatrial block showed the strongest association with lifetime AF risk (35.4% vs 23.9%), followed by lead II area (30.0% vs 24.6%) and P-wave dispersion >70 ms (28.8% vs 23.6%). A dose-response relationship was observed with cumulative abnormalities: participants with 0-1 abnormalities had a lifetime risk of 22.9%, increasing to 27.0%, 30.7%, and 35.7% for 2, 3, and 4+ abnormalities, respectively. Participants with 4+ ECG abnormalities lived an average of 17.1 years free of AF compared with 21.7 years for those with none.

CONCLUSION

Multiple P-wave parameters are associated with increased lifetime risk of AF, with a strong dose-response relationship for cumulative abnormalities. These findings suggest that comprehensive ECG analysis may enhance long-term AF risk assessment.

Inequities in atrial fibrillation trials: An analysis of participant race, ethnicity, and sex over time

BACKGROUND

Despite the importance of racial and ethnic representation in clinical trials, limited data exist about the enrollment trends of these groups in atrial fibrillation (AF) trials over time.

OBJECTIVE

The purpose of this study was to examine the characteristics of contemporary AF clinical trials and to evaluate their association with race and ethnicity over time.

METHODS

We performed a systematic search of all completed AF trials registered in ClinicalTrials.gov from conception to December 31, 2023, and manually extracted composition of race/ethnicity. We stratified trials by study characteristics, including impact factor, publication status, funding source, and location. We calculated the participation to prevalence ratio (PPR) by dividing the percentage of non-White participants by the percentage of non-White participants in the disease population (PPR of 0.8-1.2 suggests proportional representation) over time.

RESULTS

We identified 277 completed AF trials encompassing a total of 1,933,441 adults, with a median proportion of non-White at 12% (interquartile range, 6%-27%), 121 (43.7%) device focused, and 184 (66.4%) funded by industry. Only 36.1% of trials reported comprehensive race information. Overall, non-White participants were underrepresented (PPR = 0.511; P < .001), including Black (PPR = 0.263) and Hispanic (PPR = 0.337) participants. The proportion of non-White participants did not change significantly between 2000 and 2023 (11% vs 9%; P = .343).

CONCLUSION

Despite greater awareness, race/ethnicity reporting and representation of non-White groups in AF clinical trials are poor and have not improved significantly over time. These findings demand additional recruitment efforts and novel recruitment policies to ensure adequate representation of these demographic subgroups in future AF clinical trials.

Controversies and challenges of anticoagulation therapy in obesity

INTRODUCTION

The relationship between anticoagulation efficacy and safety in obesity is complex and can vary between degrees of obesity and anticoagulant choice. Indeed, patients at extremes of body weight were under-represented in randomized trials. Additionally, the possibility of an 'obesity paradox' has been raised in atrial fibrillation, describing decreased thromboembolic risk in obese patients.

AREAS COVERED

We explore the current literature on anticoagulation in obesity, specifically with regard to efficacy in atrial fibrillation, efficacy in venous thromboembolism, and bleeding risk. Pharmacodynamic and pharmacokinetic considerations are also discussed.

EXPERT OPINION

As a class, direct oral anticoagulants are comparable to vitamin-K antagonists in preventing and treating thromboembolism in overweight and obese patients, whilst not increasing bleeding risk.

Atrial fibrillation in Black American patients: A review of genetics, risk factors, and outcomes

Atrial fibrillation (AF), the most common arrhythmia in the United States, affects 6 million Americans, with numbers projected to increase to 12 million by 2030. A racial paradox difference in the incidence and prevalence of AF exists between Black and White Americans. Black Americans are less prone than White Americans to development of AF, but they display a higher burden of modifiable risk factors for cardiovascular disease and higher rates of ischemic stroke. Data pertaining to the American Heart Association Life's Simple 7 (LS7) health metrics show that Black Americans have suboptimal LS7 scores compared with White Americans on average despite lower genetic predisposition to AF. This trend suggests the impact of cardiovascular health on the development and progression of AF. Social, genetic, and lifestyle risk factors have been shown to play a role in the racial paradox and AF outcomes in Black Americans. This review summarizes factors contributing to the racial paradox and discusses suggestions for improved health outcomes in Black Americans with AF.

2025 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2025 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2024 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. This year's edition includes a continued focus on health equity across several key domains and enhanced global data that reflect improved methods and incorporation of ≈3000 new data sources since last year's Statistical Update.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Poor Olfaction and Risk of Stroke in Older Adults: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study

BACKGROUND

Poor olfaction may be associated with adverse cerebrovascular events, but empirical evidence is limited. We aimed to investigate the association of olfaction with the risk of stroke in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities Study.

METHODS

We included 5799 older adults with no history of stroke at baseline from 2011 to 2013 (75.5±5.1 years, 59.0% female and 22.2% Black). Olfaction was assessed by the 12-item Sniffin' Sticks odor identification test and defined as poor (number correct ≤8), moderate (9-10), or good (11-12). Participants were followed from baseline to the date of the first stroke, death, last contact, or December 31, 2020, whichever occurred first. We used the discrete-time subdistribution hazard model to estimate the marginal cumulative incidence of stroke across olfactory statuses and adjusted risk ratios, accounting for covariates and competing risk of death.

RESULTS

After up to 9.6 years of follow-up, we identified 332 incident stroke events. The adjusted marginal cumulative incidence of stroke at 9.6-year follow-up was 5.3% (95% CI, 4.2%-6.3%), 5.9% (95% CI, 4.8%-7.1%), and 7.7% (95% CI, 6.5%-9.1%) for good, moderate, and poor olfaction, respectively. Compared with good olfaction, poor olfaction was significantly associated with higher stroke risk throughout follow-up, albeit the association modestly attenuated after 6 years. Specifically, the adjusted risk ratios were 2.14 (95% CI, 1.22-3.94) at year 2, 1.98 (95% CI, 1.43-3.02) at year 4, 1.91 (95% CI, 1.43-2.77) at year 6, 1.49 (95% CI, 1.17-2.00) at year 8, and 1.45 (95% CI, 1.16-1.95) at year 9.6. Results were robust in multiple subgroup and sensitivity analyses.

CONCLUSIONS

In older adults, poor olfaction assessed by a single olfaction test was associated with the higher risk of stroke in the next 10 years.

Racial Differences in Device-Detected Incident Atrial Fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Prior research suggests Black individuals have a lower risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) than White individuals, but this may be related to the underdetection of AF. Whether this trend persists using highly sensitive methods of AF diagnosis has not been well-studied.

OBJECTIVES

The objective of this study was to use cardiac implantable electronic devices (CIEDs) capable of AF diagnosis to compare AF incidence between Black and White individuals.

METHODS

This was a retrospective observational study involving Black and White patients who had a CIED implanted between January 1, 2007, and June 1, 2019. Patients with insertable cardiac monitors, insufficient monitoring, or prior AF were excluded. The primary endpoint was the overall adjusted incidence of device-detected AF between Black and White individuals.

RESULTS

Of 441,047 patients with a CIED implanted during the study period, 88,427 patients (mean age, 69 ± 13 years; 80,382 White [91%]; 55,840 male [63%]) were included in analysis. The mean follow-up duration was 2.2 ± 1.7 years, and 35,143 patients (40%) had device-detected AF. The crude incidence of AF was greater among White, compared with Black, individuals (27.95 vs 24.86 cases per 100 person-years, P < 0.001). After adjusting for age, sex, and medical comorbidities, the hazard of AF was similar between Black and White individuals (HR: 1.02; 95% CI: 0.98-1.06). In subgroup analysis by type of CIED, White individuals had a greater hazard of AF in the pacemaker cohort, whereas Black individuals had a greater hazard of AF in the implantable cardioverter defibrillator cohort.

CONCLUSIONS

The adjusted hazard of AF was similar between Black and White individuals with CIEDs.

Racial differences and geographic variations in oral anticoagulation treatment among Medicare patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

INTRODUCTION

Use of oral anticoagulants (OACs) for stroke reduction in atrial fibrillation (AF) varies by race and geography within the United States. We seek to better understand the relationship between OAC underutilization, race, and US geography.

METHODS

Patients with AF were selected from the US Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services claims database from January 1, 2013, to December 31, 2016. The final population consisted of patients with 12 months of health plan enrollment before and after their index AF diagnosis, with a baseline CHAD2S2-VASc ≥2 and of either Black or White race (other races are underrepresented in the data). Among those with AF that met the inclusion criteria, patients who were prescribed warfarin or DOACs within 12 months after the index date were extracted. Each patient was assigned to a US county based on their 5-digit zip code and OAC use was stratified by race. Statistically significant differences were determined by student's t-test and chi-square.

RESULTS

Of the 2,390,830 final patients, 94.1% were White and 5.9% were Black patients. Mean (SD) age and HASBLED scores were 78 (9) and 3.9 (1.2) respectively, for Black patients and 80 (9) and 3.3 (1.2), respectively, for White patients (p<0.0001). The mean (SD) CHAD2S2-VASc scores were 4.5 (1.9) for White patients, and 5.3 (1.9) for Black patients with p<0.0001, respectively. Black patients (vs White patients) had a higher non-treatment (no DOAC or warfarin) rate (56.1% vs 47.4%, p<0.0001) across the US which was particularly notable in the southeast. In addition, treatment rates were highly variable within each US state. Counties with dense population more frequently demonstrated significant differences by race than counties with sparse population.

CONCLUSION

Our study showed differences in the use of OACs across US counties and among various racial groups. These disparities highlighted the areas of unmet need for both Black and White patients.

Temporal Trends in Mortality Related to Stroke and Atrial Fibrillation in the United States: A 21-Year Retrospective Analysis of CDC-WONDER Database

AIMS

Atrial Fibrillation (AF) is one of the most strongly associated risk factors for stroke. Our study aims to analyze changes in mortality from 1999 to 2020 in patients with AF and stroke.

METHODS

Using the Centre for Disease Control and Prevention Wide-Ranging Online Data for Epidemiologic Research (CDC-WONDER), we retrospectively analyzed annual age-adjusted mortality rates (AAMR) per million from 1999 to 2020 in stroke patients with AF. Temporal trends were analyzed, and Annual Percentage Change (APC) was calculated using the JoinPoint regression model across variations in demographics (sex, race) and regional subgroups.

RESULTS

Around 490 000 deaths were reported between 1999 and 2020 from stroke and AF across the 25-85+ age group. AAMR initially decreased until 2008 (APC = -0.9), followed by an increase till 2020 (APC = 1.1). Women had a higher AAMR than men throughout the years. Non-Hispanic white patients had a marginally higher AAMR than all other races and ethnicities. The highest AAMR was observed in the western region. States like Vermont, Oregon, Washington, Alaska, Minnesota, and West Virginia were in the top 90th percentile, while Nevada, Louisiana, Florida, New York, New Mexico, and Arizona were in the bottom 10th percentile. Nonmetropolitan areas had consistently higher AAMRs throughout the 2 decades.

CONCLUSION

An overall rise in mortality has been observed in stroke and AF patients, with a greater surge in 2019. The need for healthcare policy changes, especially in areas with high mortality and awareness of healthier lifestyle factors, can be an essential preventative measure to help mitigate growing mortality rates.

Ethnic Differences in Atrial Fibrillation in the United Kingdom

Background

Within the United States, White individuals experience a higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) while exhibiting a lower AF-related stroke risk compared to other ethnic groups. It is possible that these observations stem from phenomena unique to the United States, such as differential health care access. The United Kingdom provides socialized medicine, which ostensibly promotes equitable health care access.

Objectives

The purpose of the study was to examine whether ethnic differences in the risks of AF and AF-related stroke and systemic infarcts exist in the United Kingdom.

Methods

We leveraged longitudinal data from the UK Biobank between January 1, 2006, and June 30, 2020. Ethnicity was categorized as White, Black, South Asian, Chinese, or multiracial. Incident AF, stroke, and systemic infarct were ascertained from in- and out-patient records.

Results

A total of 458,785 participants (438,333 White, 7,244 Black, 9,143 South Asian, 1,376 Chinese, and 2,689 multiracial) were included. After excluding those with prevalent AF, 8,706 developed incident AF. Black individuals (HR: 0.60; 95% CI: 0.49-0.74; P < 0.001), South Asians (HR: 0.59; 95% CI: 0.49-0.72; P < 0.001), and Chinese (HR: 0.31; 95% CI: 0.12-0.83; P = 0.002) each exhibited substantially lower risks of AF compared to White individuals after multivariable adjustment. In AF participants, incident stroke and systemic infarct occurred in 1,550. No significant differences in the risk of AF-related stroke and systemic infarcts by ethnicity were detected, but small numbers of these events were present.

Conclusions

In a European population with universal access to health care, White individuals consistently experienced the highest risk of AF, but there were no detectable differences in AF-related stroke or systemic infarcts.

Fair prediction of 2-year stroke risk in patients with atrial fibrillation

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to develop machine learning models that provide both accurate and equitable predictions of 2-year stroke risk for patients with atrial fibrillation across diverse racial groups.

MATERIALS AND METHODS

Our study utilized structured electronic health records (EHR) data from the All of Us Research Program. Machine learning models (LightGBM) were utilized to capture the relations between stroke risks and the predictors used by the widely recognized CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores. We mitigated the racial disparity by creating a representative tuning set, customizing tuning criteria, and setting binary thresholds separately for subgroups. We constructed a hold-out test set that not only supports temporal validation but also includes a larger proportion of Black/African Americans for fairness validation.

RESULTS

Compared to the original CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc scores, significant improvements were achieved by modeling their predictors using machine learning models (Area Under the Receiver Operating Characteristic curve from near 0.70 to above 0.80). Furthermore, applying our disparity mitigation strategies can effectively enhance model fairness compared to the conventional cross-validation approach.

DISCUSSION

Modeling CHADS2 and CHA2DS2-VASc risk factors with LightGBM and our disparity mitigation strategies achieved decent discriminative performance and excellent fairness performance. In addition, this approach can provide a complete interpretation of each predictor. These highlight its potential utility in clinical practice.

CONCLUSIONS

Our research presents a practical example of addressing clinical challenges through the All of Us Research Program data. The disparity mitigation framework we proposed is adaptable across various models and data modalities, demonstrating broad potential in clinical informatics.

Peripheral artery disease and risk of kidney outcomes: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The potential impact of peripheral artery disease (PAD) on kidney outcomes is not well understood. The aim of this study was to explore the association between PAD and end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) and chronic kidney disease (CKD).

METHODS

Among 14,051 participants (mean age 54 [SD 6 years]) from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study, we categorized PAD status as symptomatic PAD (intermittent claudication or leg revascularization), asymptomatic PAD (ankle-brachial index [ABI] ≤0.90 without clinical history of symptoms), and ABI 0.91-1.00, 1.01-1.10, 1.11-1.20 (reference), 1.21-1.30, and >1.30. We evaluated their associations with two kidney outcomes: ESKD (the need of renal replacement therapy or death due to kidney disease) and CKD (ESKD cases or an estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) < 60 mL/min/1.73 m2 with a ≥25 % decline from the baseline) using multivariable Cox proportional hazards models.

RESULTS

Over ∼30 years of follow-up, there were 598 cases of incident ESKD and 4686 cases of incident CKD. After adjusting for potential confounders, both symptomatic PAD and asymptomatic PAD conferred a significantly elevated risk of ESKD (hazard ratio 2.28 [95 % confidence interval 1.23-4.22] and 1.75 [1.19-2.57], respectively). Corresponding estimates for CKD were 1.54 (1.14-2.09) and 1.63 (1.38-1.93). Borderline low ABI 0.91-1.00 also showed elevated risk of adverse kidney outcomes after adjustment for demographic variables. Largely consistent results were observed across demographic and clinical subgroups.

CONCLUSIONS

Symptomatic PAD and asymptomatic PAD were independently associated with an elevated risk of ESKD and CKD. These results highlight the importance of monitoring kidney function in persons with PAD, even when symptoms are absent.

Resting Heart Rate and Incident Atrial Fibrillation in Black Adults in the Jackson Heart Study

Importance

Resting heart rate (RHR) is a widely available measure of cardiovascular fitness that has been associated with several cardiovascular outcomes. RHR has previously been associated with the risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) among individuals of European ancestry, but little is known about this association in Black adults.

Objective

To evaluate the association between RHR and incident AF in a large community-based sample of Black adults, independently of established risk factors.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This cohort study uses data from the Jackson Heart Study, a prospective community-based cohort in Jackson, Mississippi. Participants without prevalent AF were included and were monitored for new-onset AF during follow-up, from 2000 through 2016. Data analysis was performed from August 1 to December 11, 2023.

Exposure

RHR was assessed from resting 12-lead electrocardiograms performed at examination 1 (2000-2004) and examination 3 (2009-2013).

Main Outcomes and Measures

AF was identified from study electrocardiograms, hospitalization discharge diagnosis codes, and Medicare claims diagnosis codes. Cox regression was used to evaluate the association between baseline (examination 1) RHR and incident AF, adjusting for established AF risk factors.

Results

Among 4965 Black adults eligible for analysis, the mean (SD) age was 55 (13) years, 1830 (37%) were male, and the mean (SD) RHR at baseline was 65 (11) beats per minute (bpm). During a median (IQR) 14 (12-15) years of follow-up, there were 458 incident AF events, resulting in an incident rate of 7.5 per 1000 person-years (95% CI, 6.8-8.2 incidents per 1000 person-years). Each 10-bpm higher RHR was associated with a 9% higher risk of incident AF after adjustment for AF risk factors (hazard ratio, 1.09; 95% CI, 1.00-1.19). In a sensitivity analysis that excluded individuals with prior heart failure, prior myocardial infarction, and antiarrhythmic medication use at baseline, the hazard ratio was 1.14 (95% CI, 1.02-1.28). There was little evidence of effect modification of these associations by age, sex, body mass index, hypertension, or physical activity level.

Conclusions and Relevance

In this large prospective cohort study of Black adults, elevated baseline RHR was associated with increased risk of incident AF, consistent with findings from previous studies of European ancestry populations. Future research should focus on determining whether RHR can be used to screen patients at high risk of AF.

Addressing racial differences in the management of atrial fibrillation: Focus on black patients

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most common sustained arrhythmia, affecting between 3 and 6 million people in the United States. It is associated with a reduced quality of life and increased risk of stroke, cognitive decline, heart failure and death. Black patients have a lower prevalence of AF than White patients but are more likely to suffer worse outcomes with the disease. It is important that stakeholders understand the disproportionate burden of disease and management gaps that exists among Black patients living with AF. Appropriate treatments, including aggressive risk factor control, early referral to cardiovascular specialists and improving healthcare access may bridge some of the gaps in management and improve outcomes.

Long-Term Clinical Outcomes Following the WATCHMAN Device Use in Medicare Beneficiaries

BACKGROUND

Long-term outcomes following left atrial appendage occlusion outside clinical trials and small registries are largely unknown. Collecting these data was a condition of US market authorization of the WATCHMAN device. The aim of this analysis was to evaluate the rates of stroke, bleeding, and death among Medicare beneficiaries following left atrial appendage occlusion implantation during initial commercial availability of the WATCHMAN left atrial appendage occlusion device overall and in important subgroups.

METHODS

All Medicare fee-for-service beneficiaries ≥65 years of age who underwent left atrial appendage occlusion from April 1, 2016, to August 31, 2020, were included based on the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, and Current Procedural Terminology codes. Over a 5-year follow-up period, the cumulative incidence over time of mortality, ischemic stroke, and major bleeding were calculated using the International Classification of Diseases, Tenth Revision, diagnosis codes for the full study cohort and within important prespecified subgroups.

RESULTS

WATCHMAN recipients (n=48 763) were a median of 77 (interquartile range, 72-82) years of age, 42% female, and mostly White (93%). The median CHA2DS2VASc score was 4 (interquartile range, 3-5) with prior major bleeding in 42% and prior stroke in 12%. At 5 years, death occurred in 44%, bleeding in 15% (with higher risk early following implantation), and ischemic stroke in 7%. Each of these end points was more common with greater baseline age. Male patients had greater 5-year mortality than female patients (46.9% versus 40.6%), but there was no difference between sexes in the rates of ischemic stroke (6.6% versus 7.5%) or major bleeding (14.9% for both). WATCHMAN recipients with prior ischemic stroke or a major bleeding event were older and frailer; these groups had higher rates of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and death.

CONCLUSIONS

Compared with patients enrolled in the pivotal clinical trials, Medicare beneficiaries undergoing WATCHMAN implantation were older, more female, and had more comorbid conditions. Substantial long-term mortality and major bleeding following WATCHMAN reflect the high-risk nature of the patient population, while the ischemic stroke rate was relatively low (<1.5% per year).

Racial Differences in Ischemic and Hemorrhagic Stroke: An Ecological Epidemiological Study

BACKGROUND

 This study aimed to evaluate racial differences in the incidence of stroke by conducting an ecological epidemiological study using UK Biobank and Korean nationwide data.

METHODS

 This study used individual data from the Korean National Health Insurance Service-Health Screening and UK Biobank, which included participants who underwent health examinations between 2006 and 2010. We included 112,750 East Asians (50.7% men, mean age: 52.6 years) and 210,995 Caucasians (44.7% men, mean age: 55.0 years) who were not diagnosed with atrial fibrillation, cardiovascular diseases, chronic kidney disease, chronic obstructive pulmonary disease, or cancer. The primary outcome was defined as a composite of ischemic and hemorrhagic stroke.

RESULTS

 East Asians tended to have a lower body mass index (23.7 vs. 26.4 kg/m2, p < 0.001) and a higher proportion of participants who did not engage in moderate-to-vigorous physical activity (49.6% vs. 10.7%, p < 0.001) than Caucasians. During the follow-up, East Asians had higher 5-year incidence rates (presented as per 1,000 person-years) for primary outcome (1.73 vs. 0.50; IR ratio [IRR]: 3.48, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 3.13-3.88), ischemic stroke (1.23 vs. 0.33; IRR: 3.70, 95% CI: 3.25-4.21), hemorrhagic stroke (0.56 vs. 0.18; IRR: 3.20, 95% CI: 2.67-3.84), and atrial fibrillation-related stroke (0.19 vs. 0.09; IRR: 2.04, 95% CI: 1.55-2.68).

CONCLUSION

 Based on this ecological epidemiological study, racial differences in stroke incidence were robust to a variety of statistical analyses, regardless of the subtype. This suggests the need for region-specific approaches to stroke prevention.

Sex-based differences in the comprehensive geriatric assessment in elderly hospitalized patients with non-valvular atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) represents the most common supraventricular arrhythmia, with a prevalence of 1-3 % in the world population. Growing evidences show that AF plays an important role as a risk factor for the development of cognitive impairment (CoI) and dementia, depression and functional limitation. The purpose of the study is to evaluate, in a large cohort of elderly hospitalized patients with nonvalvular AF (NVAF) on direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) therapy, the prevalence of CoI, depression, and functional limitation, and to assess the different variables that may be detrimental or protective on the risk of CoI or functional limitation. 1004 elderly patients were enrolled, 384 men and 620 women, with a mean age of 84±7.1 years. The two groups were comparable for the main study variables, except for age, prevalence of hypertension and CKD, which were higher in women, while ischemic heart disease was higher in men. In addition, the two groups differed in the CHA2DS2VASc score 5.3 ± 1.3 vs 4.2 ± 1.4 pts (p < 0.0001) and HAS-BLED score 2.5 ± 0.7 vs 2.3 ± 0.8 pts (p = 0.009) that were significantly higher in women. Our study revealed that in a cohort of elderly patients hospitalized with AF taking DOACs, CoI and disability are widely represented, and female sex increases the risk of being affected by CoI by about 3-fold, while improvement of functional limitations reduce this risk by about 15 %. In addition, CoI and depressive symptoms increase the risk of functional impairment about 2-fold and 28 % respectively, while antihypertensive and anti-diabetic therapy reduce this risk.

The predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the prognosis of patients with atrial fibrillation based on a prospective cohort study

Background

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia encountered in clinical practice, and it is associated with an increased risk of mortality, stroke, and peripheral embolism. The risk of stroke in AF is heterogeneous and dependent on underlying clinical conditions included in current risk stratification schemes. Recently, the CHA2DS2-VASc score has been incorporated into guidelines to encompass common stroke risk factors observed in routine clinical practice. The aim of this study was to study the predictive value of CHA2DS2-VASc score on the prognosis of patients with AF to determine the correlation of major complications including cerebral infarction and intracranial hemorrhage in patients with AF with oral anticoagulant and antiplatelet aggregation drugs and to identify the risk factors for all-cause mortality.

Methods

A prospective study was conducted on 181 patients with AF who underwent physical examinations at Hai'an Qutang Central Hospital from January 2020 to December 2020. The patient's general condition, chronic disease history, CHA2DS2-VASc [congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years (doubled), diabetes, stroke (doubled), vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category (female)] score, left ventricular ejection fraction (LVEF), lipid metabolism, and oral anticoagulant and antiplatelet aggregation medication during physical examination were recorded. By using telephone meetings to complete the follow-up, we tracked the patient's cerebral infarction, intracranial hemorrhage, and survival status within 2 years of follow-up, statistically analyzed the relationship between AF complications and medication, and grouped patients with AF based on the CHA2DS2-VASc score to evaluate its predictive ability for mortality outcomes in these patients.

Results

The patients were divided into four groups according to the medication situation, and the incidence of cerebral infarction in the combination group was significantly lower than that in the non-medication group (0.0% vs. 19.2%; P<0.01). The incidence of intracranial hemorrhage in the combination group was significantly higher than that in the non-drug group (13.8% vs. 0.0%; P<0.01). The logistic regression model indicated that patients with a history of cerebral infarction had an increased risk of death compared to those without a history of cerebral infarction [odds ratio (OR) =7.404; 95% confidence interval (CI): 2.255-24.309]. After grouping according to the CHA2DS2-VASc score, we found that there was a significant difference in the 2-year survival rate between patients with CHA2DS2-VASc score <5 and those with a score ≥5 (P<0.01). The characteristic curve analysis of the participants showed that the CHA2DS2-VASc score had good predictive ability for all-cause mortality in patients with AF (area under the curve =0.754), with a cutoff value of 4, a sensitivity of 62.50%, a specificity of 86.06%, and a 95% CI of 0.684-0.815.

Conclusions

The CHA2DS2-VASc score demonstrated high predictive value for all-cause mortality in patients with AF.

Enhancing long-term survival prediction with two short-term events: Landmarking with a flexible varying coefficient model

Patients with cardiovascular diseases who experience disease-related short-term events, such as hospitalizations, often exhibit diverse long-term survival outcomes compared to others. In this study, we aim to improve the prediction of long-term survival probability by incorporating two short-term events using a flexible varying coefficient landmark model. Our objective is to predict the long-term survival among patients who survived up to a pre-specified landmark time since the initial admission. Inverse probability weighting estimation equations are formed based on the information of the short-term outcomes before the landmark time. The kernel smoothing method with the use of cross-validation for bandwidth selection is employed to estimate the time-varying coefficients. The predictive performance of the proposed model is evaluated and compared using predictive measures: area under the receiver operating characteristic curve and Brier score. Simulation studies confirm that parameters under the landmark models can be estimated accurately and the predictive performance of the proposed method consistently outperforms existing methods that either do not incorporate or only partially incorporate information from two short-term events. We demonstrate the practical application of our model using a community-based cohort from the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities (ARIC) study.

Association Between Family History and Early-Onset Atrial Flutter Across Racial and Ethnic Groups

BACKGROUND

Genetic and familial contributions to early-onset atrial fibrillation are described primarily in individuals of European ancestry. However, the role of racial and familial contributions in the pathogenesis of early-onset atrial flutter (EOAFL) is unclear.

METHODS AND RESULTS

In this cross-sectional study, participants were enrolled prospectively from 2015 to 2021 in multiple academic centers with a diagnosis of atrial flutter (AFL) confirmed by ECG. EOAFL was defined as a diagnosis of AFL before age 66 years with no concomitant or previous diagnosis of atrial tachyarrhythmias. Family history was adjudicated through baseline questionnaires and direct family interviews about the diagnosis of atrial tachyarrhythmias, stroke, and cardiomyopathy. The primary exposure was a positive family history in first-degree relatives, and the primary outcome was the odds of EOAFL versus late-onset AFL. A total of 909 patients were enrolled. Participants with a positive family history of atrial tachyarrhythmias were younger, less likely to be of Black race, and more likely to have EOAFL. The adjusted odds ratio (OR) for EOAFL in those with a positive family history was 1.8 (95% CI, 1.1-3.0). There was an increased odds of EOAFL in those of Black race (OR, 2.1 [95% CI, 1.4-3.2]), alcohol use (OR, 1.6 [95% CI, 1.0-2.6]), and obstructive sleep apnea (OR, 1.9 [95% CI, 1.0-3.4]). Use of cardioselective β blockers or calcium channel blockers before the diagnosis of AFL were associated with a lower odds of EOAFL (OR, 0.5 [95% CI, 0.2-0.9]).

CONCLUSIONS

These findings suggest a potentially hereditary predisposition to EOAFL across race and ethnicity, warranting further study of the genetic contributions to AFL.

Effect of an Intensive Lifestyle Intervention on Circulating Biomarkers of Atrial Fibrillation-Related Pathways among Adults with Metabolic Syndrome: Results from a Randomized Trial

Background: Lifestyles influence atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. Determining the effect of lifestyle interventions on blood concentrations of biomarkers of AF-related pathways could help understand AF pathophysiology and contribute to AF prevention. Methods: We studied 532 participants enrolled in the PREDIMED-Plus trial, a Spanish randomized trial conducted in adults (55-75 years) with metabolic syndrome and body mass index between 27-40 kg/m2. Eligible participants were randomized 1:1 to an intensive lifestyle intervention, emphasizing physical activity, weight loss, and adherence to an energy-reduced Mediterranean diet or to a control group. Serum biomarkers [carboxy-terminal propeptide of procollagen type I (PICP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP), 3-nitrotyrosine (3-NT), and N-terminal propeptide of B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)] were measured at baseline, 3 and 5 years after randomization. Mixed models were used to evaluate the effect of intervention on changes in biomarkers through year 5. Mediation analysis was performed to examine the proportion mediated by each component of the intervention. Results: At baseline, participants' mean age was 65, 40% were female, and 50% were assigned to the intervention. After five years, mean changes in log-transformed biomarkers were -0.01 (PICP), 0.20 (hsTnT), -0.17 (hsCRP), 0.12 (3-NT), and 0.27 (NT-proBNP). Compared to the control group, participants in the intervention group experienced greater decreases in hsCRP (-14%, 95% confidence interval (CI) -26%, 0%) or smaller increases in 3-NT (-16%, 95% CI -25%, -5%) and NT-proBNP (-12%, 95% CI -23%, 1%). The intervention had minimal impact on hsTnT (-3%, 95% CI -7%, 2%) or PICP concentrations (-2%, 95% CI -9%, 6%). The effect of the intervention on hsCRP was primarily mediated by weight loss (89% at year 5). Conclusions: Over five years, a dietary and lifestyle intervention for weight-loss favorably affected concentrations of hsCRP, 3-NT, and NT-proBNP, pointing to specific mechanisms in pathways linking lifestyles and AF.

Delayed treatment initiation of oral anticoagulants among Medicare patients with atrial fibrillation

Study objective

This study aimed to identify factors associated with delayed oral anticoagulant (OAC) treatment initiation among atrial fibrillation (AF) patients in United States (US) clinical practice.

Participants

Medicare beneficiaries newly diagnosed with AF without moderate-to-severe mitral stenosis or a mechanical heart valve, were aged ≥65 years and prescribed OAC on or after 10/1/2015 through 2019 were included. Delayed and early OAC initiation were defined as >3 months and 0-3 months initiation from first AF diagnosis, respectively.

Main outcome measures

Association between delayed OAC initiation and patient demographics, clinical and index OAC coverage and formulary characteristics was examined using multivariable logistic regression.

Results

A total of 446,441 patients met the inclusion criteria; 30.0 % (N = 131,969) were identified as delayed and 70.0 % (N = 314,472) as early OAC initiation. Median age for both cohorts was 78 years. In the early and delayed OAC cohorts, 47.1 % and 47.6 % were male and 88.8 % and 86.6 %, were White, respectively. Factors associated with delayed OAC initiation (odds ratio; 95 % confidence interval) included Black race (1.29; 1.25 to 1.33), west region (1.29; 1.26 to 1.32), comorbidities such as dementia (1.27; 1.23 to 1.30), recent bleeding hospitalization (1.22; 1.18 to 1.27), prior authorization (1.69; 1.66 to 1.71), tier 4 formulary for index OAC at AF diagnosis (1.26; 1.22 to 1.30).

Conclusion

Our study revealed that nearly one-third of Medicare patients with AF experienced delayed OAC initiation. Key patient characteristics found to be associated with delayed OAC initiation included race and ethnicity, comorbidities, and formulary restrictions.

2024 Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics: A Report of US and Global Data From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association (AHA), in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, nutrition, sleep, and obesity) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, glucose control, and metabolic syndrome) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The AHA Heart Disease and Stroke Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, brain health, complications of pregnancy, kidney disease, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, sudden cardiac arrest, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, cardiomyopathy, heart failure, valvular disease, venous thromboembolism, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The AHA, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States and globally to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2024 AHA Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2023 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and AHA staff members. The AHA strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional global data, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Atrial fibrillation: comorbidities, lifestyle, and patient factors

Modern anticoagulation therapy has dramatically reduced the risk of stroke and systemic thromboembolism in people with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, AF still impairs quality of life, increases the risk of stroke and heart failure, and is linked to cognitive impairment. There is also a recognition of the residual risk of thromboembolic complications despite anticoagulation. Hence, AF management is evolving towards a more comprehensive understanding of risk factors predisposing to the development of this arrhythmia, its' complications and interventions to mitigate the risk. This review summarises the recent advances in understanding of risk factors for incident AF and managing these risk factors. It includes a discussion of lifestyle, somatic, psychological, and socioeconomic risk factors. The available data call for a practice shift towards a more individualised approach considering an increasingly broader range of health and patient factors contributing to AF-related health burden. The review highlights the needs of people living with co-morbidities (especially with multimorbidity), polypharmacy and the role of the changing population demographics affecting the European region and globally.

Comparing the Efficacy of Targeted and Blast Portal Messaging in Message Opening Rate and Anticoagulation Initiation in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation in the Preventing Preventable Strokes Study II: Prospective Cohort Study

BACKGROUND

The gap in anticoagulation use among patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) is a major public health threat. Inadequate patient education contributes to this gap. Patient portal-based messaging linked to educational materials may help bridge this gap, but the most effective messaging approach is unknown.

OBJECTIVE

This study aims to compare the responsiveness of patients with AF to an AF or anticoagulation educational message between 2 portal messaging approaches: sending messages targeted at patients with upcoming outpatient appointments 1 week before their scheduled appointment (targeted) versus sending messages to all eligible patients in 1 blast, regardless of appointment scheduling status (blast), at 2 different health systems: the University of Massachusetts Chan Medical School (UMass) and the University of Florida College of Medicine-Jacksonville (UFL).

METHODS

Using the 2 approaches, we sent patient portal messages to patients with AF and grouped patients by high-risk patients on anticoagulation (group 1), high-risk patients off anticoagulation (group 2), and low-risk patients who may become eligible for anticoagulation in the future (group 3). Risk was classified based on the congestive heart failure, hypertension, age ≥75 years, diabetes mellitus, stroke, vascular disease, age between 65 and 74 years, and sex category (CHA2DS2-VASc) score. The messages contained a link to the Upbeat website of the Heart Rhythm Society, which displays print and video materials about AF and anticoagulation. We then tracked message opening, review of the website, anticoagulation use, and administered patient surveys across messaging approaches and sites using Epic Systems (Epic Systems Corporation) electronic health record data and Google website traffic analytics. We then conducted chi-square tests to compare potential differences in the proportion of patients opening messages and other evaluation metrics, adjusting for potential confounders. All statistical analyses were performed in SAS (version 9.4; SAS Institute).

RESULTS

We sent 1686 targeted messages and 1450 blast messages. Message opening was significantly higher with the targeted approach for patients on anticoagulation (723/1156, 62.5% vs 382/668, 57.2%; P=.005) and trended the same in patients off anticoagulation; subsequent website reviews did not differ by messaging approach. More patients off anticoagulation at baseline started anticoagulation with the targeted approach than the blast approach (adjusted percentage 9.3% vs 2.1%; P<.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Patients were more responsive in terms of message opening and subsequent anticoagulation initiation with the targeted approach.

Oral anticoagulation in heart failure complicated by atrial fibrillation: A nationwide routine data study

BACKGROUND

This nationwide routine data analysis evaluates if oral anticoagulant (OAC) use in patients with heart failure (HF) and atrial fibrillation (AF) leads to a lower mortality and reduced readmission rate. Superiority of new oral anticoagulants (NOACs), compared to vitamin K antagonists (VKA), was analyzed for these endpoints.

METHODS

Anonymous data of patients with a health insurance at the Allgemeine Ortskrankenkasse and a claims record for hospitalization with the main diagnosis of HF and secondary diagnosis of AF (2017-2019) were included. A hospital stay in the previous year was an exclusion criterion. Mortality and readmission for all-cause and stroke/intracranial bleeding (ICB) were analyzed 91-365 days after the index hospitalization. Kaplan-Meier survival curves and multivariable Cox regression models were used to evaluate the impact of medication on outcome.

RESULTS

180,316 cases were included [81 years (IQR 76-86), 55.6% female, CHA2DS2-VASc score ≥ 2 (96.81%)]. In 80.6%, OACs were prescribed (VKA: 21.7%; direct factor Xa inhibitors (FXaI): 60.0%; direct thrombin inhibitors (DTI): 3.4%; with multiple prescriptions per patient included). Mortality rate was 19.1%, readmission rate was 29.9% and stroke/ICB occurred in 1.9%. Risk of death was lower with any OAC (HR 0.77, 95% CI [0.75-0.79]) but without significant differences in OAC type (VKA: HR 0.73, [0.71-0.76]; FXaI: HR 0.77, [0.75-0.78]; DTI: HR 0.71, [0.66-0.77]). The total readmission rate (HR 0.97, [0.94 to 0.99]) and readmission for stroke/ICB (HR 0.71, [0.65-0.77]) was lower with OAC.

CONCLUSIONS

Nationwide data confirm a reduction in mortality and readmission rate in HF-AF patients taking OACs, without NOAC superiority.

Turkish Real Life Atrial Fibrillation in Clinical Practice: TRAFFIC Study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent cardiac arrhythmia worldwide and is associated with an increased risk of thromboembolism, ischemic stroke, impaired quality of life, and mortality. The latest research that shows the prevalence and incidence of AF patients in Türkiye was the Turkish Adults' Heart Disease and Risk Factors study, which included 3,450 patients and collected data until 2006/07.The Turkish Real Life Atrial Fibrillation in Clinical Practice (TRAFFIC) study is planned to present current prevalence data, reveal the reflection of new treatment and risk approaches in our country, and develop new prediction models in terms of outcomes.

METHODS

The TRAFFIC study is a national, prospective, multicenter, observational registry. The study aims to collect data from at least 1900 patients diagnosed with atrial fibrillation, with the participation of 40 centers from Türkiye. The following data will be collected from patients: baseline demographic characteristics, medical history, vital signs, symptoms of AF, ECG and echocardiographic findings, CHADS2-VASC2 and HAS-BLED (1-year risk of major bleeding) risk scores, interventional treatments, antithrombotic and antiarrhythmic medications, or other medications used by the patients. For patients who use warfarin, international normalized ratio levels will be monitored. Follow-up data will be collected at 6, 12, 18, and 24 months. Primary endpoints are defined as systemic embolism or major safety endpoints (major bleeding, clinically relevant nonmajor bleeding, and minor bleeding as defined by the International Society on Thrombosis and Hemostasis). The main secondary endpoints include major adverse cardiovascular events (systemic embolism, myocardial infarction, and cardiovascular death), all-cause mortality, and hospitalizations due to all causes or specific reasons.

RESULTS

The results of the 12-month follow-up of the study are planned to be shared by the end of 2023.

CONCLUSION

The TRAFFIC study will reveal the prevalence and incidence, demographic characteristics, and risk profiles of AF patients in Türkiye. Additionally, it will provide insights into how current treatments are reflected in this population. Furthermore, risk prediction modeling and risk scoring can be conducted for patients with AF.

Atrial fibrillation mortality trends in individuals with heart failure

Atrial fibrillation (AF) frequently occurs concurrently with heart failure (HF). The two conditions can exacerbate each other, resulting in higher morbidity and mortality. In our analysis, we evaluated mortality trends related to AF in individuals with underlying HF. Cross-sectional analyses were performed using publicly available data from the Center for Disease Control and Prevention database to compare AF-related age-adjusted mortality rates across age, gender, racial/ethnic, and geographic subgroups. Mortality trends were evaluated by fitting log-linear regression models followed by calculation of the average annual percentage change (AAPC) using the Monte Carlo permutation test. We identified a total of 55,917 deaths within the United States from AF with comorbid HF between 1999 and 2020. Males, older adults, White populations, and non-metropolitan regions had higher age-adjusted mortality compared to females, younger adults, Black populations, and metropolitan regions, respectively. The AAPC among younger adults was significantly higher compared to older adults. Our results demonstrate existing disparities among age, gender, racial, and geographic subgroups related to AF mortality among individuals with comorbid HF. Although decreased overall mortality was observed within younger populations compared to older populations, the prominent AAPC seen in younger populations warrants further investigation. Detection of AF among younger adults with comorbid HF should prompt the intensification of preventative and treatment measures.

Eliminating Health Disparities in Atrial Fibrillation, Heart Failure, and Dyslipidemia: A Path Toward Achieving Pharmacoequity

PURPOSE OF REVIEW

Pharmacoequity refers to the goal of ensuring that all patients have access to high-quality medications, regardless of their race, ethnicity, gender, or other characteristics. The goal of this article is to review current evidence on disparities in access to cardiovascular drug therapies across sociodemographic subgroups, with a focus on heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and dyslipidemia.

RECENT FINDINGS

Considerable and consistent disparities to life-prolonging heart failure, atrial fibrillation, and dyslipidemia medications exist in clinical trial representation, access to specialist care, prescription of guideline-based therapy, drug affordability, and pharmacy accessibility across racial, ethnic, gender, and other sociodemographic subgroups. Researchers, health systems, and policy makers can take steps to improve pharmacoequity by diversifying clinical trial enrollment, increasing access to inpatient and outpatient cardiology care, nudging clinicians to increase prescription of guideline-directed medical therapy, and pursuing system-level reforms to improve drug access and affordability.

Relationship of health-related social needs and hospital readmissions in patients following a hospitalization for atrial fibrillation

Atrial fibrillation (AF) has a high economic burden on the healthcare system with rehospitalizations as the most significant contributing factor necessitating an understanding of aspects related to hospitalizations to minimize economic costs and improve patient outcomes. Our study aims to assess whether all-cause 30-day hospital readmission following AF-specific hospitalization is associated with health-related social needs (HRSN) using the Nationwide Readmissions Database (NRD). All hospitalization data were abstracted from the 2015-2019 NRD, including hospitalizations for patients at least 18 years of age with a primary discharge diagnosis of AF. For each hospitalization, we identified secondary diagnoses for five HRSN domains including employment, family, housing, psychosocial, and socioeconomic status. Primary outcomes included all-cause 30-day readmission rates. Secondary outcomes included all-cause 90-day readmissions and diagnosis on readmissions. An estimated 1,807,460 index hospitalizations in the United States included a primary discharge diagnosis of AF. Of these, 97.3 % included a diagnosis in only one HRSN domain with the most frequently diagnosed HRSN domain being housing (54.5 %) followed by socioeconomic (29.4 %), family (10.0 %), employment (6.1 %), and psychosocial (2.8 %). Index hospitalizations that included any HRSN diagnosis had 2.2-times greater unadjusted odds of all-cause 30-day readmission (95 % CI: 2.1 to 2.3-times greater, p < .001). Index hospitalizations that included an HRSN diagnosis were associated with higher rates of 90-day readmission due to conduction disorder and COPD. In conclusion, there is a significant association between HRSN and hospital readmissions in patients with AF. Further research is required to explain the true nature of this relationship with a specific emphasis on housing insecurity.

Association between cognitive impairment and risk of atrial fibrillation: The Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study

BACKGROUND

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is reportedly a risk factor for cognitive impairment. Interestingly, recent studies have emphasized that impaired cognition is probably an initiating factor of cardiovascular disease. Thus, we aimed to explore the association between impaired cognition and the risk of AF, and clarify the potential mechanisms.

METHODS

Participants of visit 2 (1991-1993) in the Atherosclerosis Risk in Communities study were included. Global cognition z-scores and factor scores were calculated using the word fluency, delayed word recall, and digit symbol substitution tests. AF incidents were diagnosed by electrocardiography and inpatient records. The association of cognitive decline with AF risk and left atrial volume index (LAVI) was explored using Cox proportional hazards and linear regression models, respectively.

RESULTS

During the median follow-up of 18.2 ± 6.2 years, 2056/11,675 (17.6%) participants developed AF. Participants in the lowest quartile of global cognition z- and factor scores had a higher risk of AF (hazard ratio [HR]: 1.271, 95% confidence interval [CI]: 1.094-1.477, p = 0.002; HR: 1.305, 95% CI: 1.110-1.535, p = 0.001, respectively) than those in the highest quartile. Global cognition z- and factor scores were negatively correlated with the LAVI (B: -0.411, 95% CI: -0.749 to -0.074, p = 0.017; B: -0.425, 95% CI: -0.833 to -0.017, p = 0.041, respectively).

CONCLUSIONS

Cognitive decline is significantly associated with a higher risk of AF, with atrial remodeling being a potential mechanism. Our results extend previous findings of the brain-heart axis and indicate the effects of cognitive injury on cardiac function and structure.

REGISTRATION

URL: https://www.

CLINICALTRIALS

gov; unique identifier: NCT00005131.

Effect of an intensive lifestyle intervention on circulating biomarkers of atrial fibrillation-related pathways among adults with metabolic syndrome

Background Lifestyles influence atrial fibrillation (AF) risk. Blood biomarkers can characterize the atrial substrate that facilitates the development of AF. Therefore, determining the effect of lifestyle interventions on blood concentrations of biomarkers of AF-related pathways could help understand AF pathophysiology and contribute to AF prevention. Methods We studied 471 participants enrolled in the PREDIMED-Plus trial, a Spanish randomized trial conducted in adults (55-75 years) with metabolic syndrome and body mass index between 27-40 kg/m2. Eligible participants were randomized 1:1 to an intensive lifestyle intervention, emphasizing physical activity, weight loss, and adherence to an energy-reduced Mediterranean diet or to a control group. Serum biomarkers [carboxy-terminal propeptide of procollagen type I (PICP), high-sensitivity troponin T (hsTnT), high-sensitivity C reactive protein (hsCRP), 3-nitrotyrosine (3-NT), and N-terminal propeptide of B-type natriuretic peptide (NT-proBNP)] were measured at baseline, 3 and 5 years after randomization. Mixed models were used to evaluate the effect of intervention on changes in biomarkers through year 5. Mediation analysis was performed to examine the proportion mediated by each component of the intervention. Results At baseline, participants' mean age was 65, 41% were female, and 50% were assigned to the intervention. After five years, mean changes in log-transformed biomarkers were -0.03 (PICP), 0.19 (hsTnT), -0.15 (hsCRP), 0.12 (3-NT), and 0.30 (NT-proBNP). Compared to the control group, participants in the intervention group experienced greater decreases in hsCRP (-16%, 95% confidence interval (CI) -28%, -1%) or smaller increases in 3-NT (-15%, 95% CI -25%, -4%) and NT-proBNP (-13%, 95% CI -25%, 0%). The intervention had minimal impact on hsTnT (-3%, 95% CI -8%, 2%) or PICP concentrations (-0%, 95% CI -9%, 9%). The effect of the intervention on hsCRP was primarily mediated by weight loss (73% and 66% at years 3 and 5). Conclusion Over five years, a dietary and lifestyle intervention for weight-loss favorably affected concentrations of hsCRP, 3-NT, and NT-proBNP, pointing to specific mechanisms in pathways linking lifestyles and AF.

The bidirectional association between atrial fibrillation and myocardial infarction

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is associated with an increased risk of myocardial infarction (MI) and vice versa. This bidirectional association relies on shared risk factors as well as on several direct and indirect mechanisms, including inflammation, atrial ischaemia, left ventricular remodelling, myocardial oxygen supply-demand mismatch and coronary artery embolism, through which one condition can predispose to the other. Patients with both AF and MI are at greater risk of stroke, heart failure and death than patients with only one of the conditions. In this Review, we describe the bidirectional association between AF and MI. We discuss the pathogenic basis of this bidirectional relationship, describe the risk of adverse outcomes when the two conditions coexist, and review current data and guidelines on the prevention and management of both conditions. We also identify important gaps in the literature and propose directions for future research on the bidirectional association between AF and MI. The Review also features a summary of methodological approaches for the study of bidirectional associations in population-based studies.

Race, ethnicity, sex, and socioeconomic disparities in anticoagulation for atrial fibrillation: A narrative review of contemporary literature

Atrial fibrillation (AF) is the most prevalent arrhythmia in the United States and is responsible for 1 in 7 ischemic strokes. While anticoagulation is effective at preventing strokes, prior work has highlighted significant disparities in anticoagulation prescribing. Furthermore, racial, ethnic, sex, and socioeconomic disparities in AF outcomes have been described. As such, we aimed to review recent data on disparities with respect to anticoagulation for AF published between January 2018 and February 2021. The search string consisted of 7 phrases that combined AF, anticoagulation, and disparities involving sex, race, ethnicity, income, socioeconomic status (SES), and access to care and identified 13 relevant articles. The aggregate data demonstrated that Black patients were less likely to be prescribed anticoagulation than patients of other racial/ethnic groups. Additionally, Black patients were more likely to be prescribed warfarin instead of direct oral anticoagulants (DOACs) despite evidence that DOACs are safer and better tolerated. Lower-income patients and patients with less education were also less likely to receive DOACs. Some studies found that women were less likely to be anticoagulated than men even when their estimated stroke risk was higher, although other studies did not show sex-based differences. Building upon prior work, our study demonstrates that racial and ethnic disparities have persisted in the management of AF. Additionally, we our work highlights that there are significant disparities in anticoagulation management for AF associated with sex, income, and education. More work is needed to identify mechanisms for these disparities and identify potential solutions to achieve pharmacoequity.

Socioeconomic Status and Burden of Atrial Fibrillation Hospitalizations among Black US Adults: A Fifteen Year Analysis

BACKGROUND

Socioeconomic status (SES) may help delineate inequities in atrial fibrillation (AF) among Blacks versus non-blacks.

METHODS

We queried the National Inpatient Sample database from January 2004 to December 2018 to determine trends in AF hospitalizations and in-hospital mortality stratified by Black race and SES.

RESULTS

Total admissions for AF in the US has increased by 12% from 1077 to 1202 per 1 million US adults. Among patients hospitalized with AF, the proportion of Black adults is increasing. In those of low SES, both Black and non-black patients have had increases in AF hospitalizations. In those of high SES, Black patients have had a modest increase while non-black patients have had a progressive decrease in rate of hospitalizations. Overall, in-hospital mortality rates improved in Blacks and non-blacks, regardless of SES.

CONCLUSION

Joint associations of SES and race can further qualify disparities in AF care.

Changes in Controllable Coronary Artery Bypass Grafting Practice for White and Black Americans

BACKGROUND

Racial disparities in outcomes after cardiac surgery are well reported. We sought to determine whether variation by race exists in controllable practices during coronary artery bypass graft surgery (CABG). We hypothesized that racial disparities exist in CABG quality metrics, but have improved over time.

METHODS

All patients undergoing isolated CABG (2000 to 2019) in a multiple state database were stratified into three eras by race. Analysis included propensity matched White Americans and Black Americans. Primary outcomes included left internal mammary artery use, multiple arterial grafting, revascularization completeness, and guideline-directed medication prescription.

RESULTS

Of 72 248 patients undergoing CABG, Black American patients (n = 10 270, 15%) had higher rates of diabetes mellitus, hypertension, prior stroke, and myocardial infarction. After matching, 19 806 patients (n = 9903 per group) were well balanced. Left internal mammary artery use was significantly different early (era 1, Black Americans 84.7% vs White Americans 86.6%; P = .03), but equalized over time. Importantly, multiarterial grafting differed between Black Americans and White Americans over the entire study (9.1% vs 11.5%, P < .001) and within each era. Black Americans had more incomplete revascularization during the study period (14% vs 12.8%, P = .02) driven by a large disparity in era 1 (9.5% vs 7.2%, P < .001). Despite similar rates of preoperative use, Black Americans were more often discharged on a regimen of β-blockers (91.8% vs 89.6%, P < .001).

CONCLUSIONS

Coronary artery bypass graft surgery metrics of left internal mammary artery use and optimal medical therapy have improved over time and are similar despite patient race. Black Americans undergo less frequent multiarterial grafting and greater discharge β-blocker prescription. Identifying changes in controllable CABG quality practices across races supports a continued focus on standardizing such efforts.

Racial, Ethnic, and Socioeconomic Inequities in Access to Left Atrial Appendage Occlusion

Background Inequitable access to high-technology therapeutics may perpetuate inequities in care. We examined the characteristics of US hospitals that did and did not establish left atrial appendage occlusion (LAAO) programs, the patient populations those hospitals served, and the associations between zip code-level racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic composition and rates of LAAO among Medicare beneficiaries living within large metropolitan areas with LAAO programs. Methods and Results We conducted cross-sectional analyses of Medicare fee-for-service claims for beneficiaries aged 66 years or older between 2016 and 2019. We identified hospitals establishing LAAO programs during the study period. We used generalized linear mixed models to measure the association between zip code-level racial, ethnic, and socioeconomic composition and age-adjusted rates of LAAO in the most populous 25 metropolitan areas with LAAO sites. During the study period, 507 candidate hospitals started LAAO programs, and 745 candidate hospitals did not. Most new LAAO programs opened in metropolitan areas (97.4%). Compared with non-LAAO centers, LAAO centers treated patients with higher median household incomes (difference of $913 [95% CI, $197-$1629], P=0.01). Zip code-level rates of LAAO procedures per 100 000 Medicare beneficiaries in large metropolitan areas were 0.34% (95% CI, 0.33%-0.35%) lower for each $1000 zip code-level decrease in median household income. After adjustment for socioeconomic markers, age, and clinical comorbidities, LAAO rates were lower in zip codes with higher proportions of Black or Hispanic patients. Conclusions Growth in LAAO programs in the United States had been concentrated in metropolitan areas. LAAO centers treated wealthier patient populations in hospitals without LAAO programs. Within major metropolitan areas with LAAO programs, zip codes with higher proportions of Black and Hispanic patients and more patients experiencing socioeconomic disadvantage had lower age-adjusted rates of LAAO. Thus, geographic proximity alone may not ensure equitable access to LAAO. Unequal access to LAAO may reflect disparities in referral patterns, rates of diagnosis, and preferences for using novel therapies experienced by racial and ethnic minority groups and patients experiencing socioeconomic disadvantage.

Heart Disease and Stroke Statistics-2023 Update: A Report From the American Heart Association

BACKGROUND

The American Heart Association, in conjunction with the National Institutes of Health, annually reports the most up-to-date statistics related to heart disease, stroke, and cardiovascular risk factors, including core health behaviors (smoking, physical activity, diet, and weight) and health factors (cholesterol, blood pressure, and glucose control) that contribute to cardiovascular health. The Statistical Update presents the latest data on a range of major clinical heart and circulatory disease conditions (including stroke, congenital heart disease, rhythm disorders, subclinical atherosclerosis, coronary heart disease, heart failure, valvular disease, venous disease, and peripheral artery disease) and the associated outcomes (including quality of care, procedures, and economic costs).

METHODS

The American Heart Association, through its Epidemiology and Prevention Statistics Committee, continuously monitors and evaluates sources of data on heart disease and stroke in the United States to provide the most current information available in the annual Statistical Update with review of published literature through the year before writing. The 2023 Statistical Update is the product of a full year's worth of effort in 2022 by dedicated volunteer clinicians and scientists, committed government professionals, and American Heart Association staff members. The American Heart Association strives to further understand and help heal health problems inflicted by structural racism, a public health crisis that can significantly damage physical and mental health and perpetuate disparities in access to health care, education, income, housing, and several other factors vital to healthy lives. This year's edition includes additional COVID-19 (coronavirus disease 2019) publications, as well as data on the monitoring and benefits of cardiovascular health in the population, with an enhanced focus on health equity across several key domains.

RESULTS

Each of the chapters in the Statistical Update focuses on a different topic related to heart disease and stroke statistics.

CONCLUSIONS

The Statistical Update represents a critical resource for the lay public, policymakers, media professionals, clinicians, health care administrators, researchers, health advocates, and others seeking the best available data on these factors and conditions.

Transforming Atrial Fibrillation Research to Integrate Social Determinants of Health: A National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute Workshop Report

Importance

Only modest attention has been paid to the contributions of social determinants of health to atrial fibrillation (AF) risk factors, diagnosis, symptoms, management, and outcomes. The diagnosis of AF provides unique challenges exacerbated by the arrhythmia's often paroxysmal nature and individuals' disparate access to health care and technologies that facilitate detection. Social determinants of health affect access to care and management decisions for AF, increasing the likelihood of adverse outcomes among individuals who experience systemic disadvantages. Developing effective approaches to address modifiable social determinants of health requires research to eliminate the substantive inequities in health care delivery and outcomes in AF.

Observations

The National Heart, Lung, and Blood Institute convened an expert panel to identify major knowledge gaps and research opportunities in the field of social determinants of AF. The workshop addressed the following social determinants: (1) socioeconomic status and access to care; (2) health literacy; (3) race, ethnicity, and racism; (4) sex and gender; (5) shared decision-making in systemically disadvantaged populations; and (6) place, including rurality, neighborhood, and community. Many individuals with AF have multiple adverse social determinants, which may cluster in the individual and in systemically disadvantaged places (eg, rural locations, urban neighborhoods). Cumulative disadvantages may accumulate over the life course and contribute to inequities in the diagnosis, management, and outcomes in AF.

Conclusions and Relevance

Workshop participants identified multiple critical research questions and approaches to catalyze social determinants of health research that address the distinctive aspects of AF. The long-term aspiration of this work is to eradicate the substantive inequities in AF diagnosis, management, and outcomes across populations.

Association between sensitivity to thyroid hormones and risk of arrhythmia in patients with coronary heart disease: a RCSCD-TCM study in China

BACKGROUND

Thyroid dysfunction is closely related to arrhythmia. However, the relationship between sensitivity to thyroid hormone and risk of arrhythmia remains unknown. This study aimed to investigate the association between the thyroid system complex index and risk of arrhythmia in patients with coronary heart disease (CHD).

METHODS

This large, multicenter study included 28,413 patients with CHD. Central sensitivity to thyroid hormone was assessed by calculating the thyroid feedback quantile-based index (TFQI). Logistic regression was used to analyze the relationship between sensitivity to thyroid hormone and risk of arrhythmia. This study also assessed the relationship between sensitivity to thyroid hormone and risk of arrhythmia in different sexes, ages, and glucose regulation and blood lipid states.

RESULTS

Of the 28,413 participants, 8935 (31.4%) patients with CHD had arrhythmia. There was a remarkable association between TFQI and risk of arrhythmia (odds ratio [OR]: 0.783; 95% confidence interval [CI], 0.735-0.836). Furthermore, the association between the TFQI and risk of arrhythmia in women (OR: 0.731; 95% CI: 0.667-0.802) was stronger than that in men (OR: 0.894; 95% CI: 0.816-0.910), as well as higher in elder (OR: 0.779; 95% CI: 0.721-0.843) than middle-aged (OR: 0.789; 95% CI: 0.703-0.886) patients. Furthermore, the association was strong in the state of diabetes (OR: 0.635; 95% 0.569-0.709) and dyslipidemia (OR: 0.706; 95% CI: 0.644-0.774).

CONCLUSION

There is a remarkable association between sensitivity to thyroid hormone and risk of arrhythmia in patients with CHD, which is more pronounced among women and the elderly. The association is also stronger in CHD patients with dyslipidemia or diabetes.

The association of disparities in neighborhood median household income and mortality in patients admitted to the hospital with atrial fibrillation

BACKGROUND

Lower neighborhood median household income (nMHI) is associated with increased adverse outcomes in patients with atrial fibrillation (AF). However, its effect on mortality is yet unknown.

METHODS

Data from the regional United States (U.S.) electronic medical records database, Research Action for Health Network (REACHnet), was extracted for adult patients with AF at Tulane Medical Center over 10 years. Annual nMHI & neighborhood high school graduation (HSG) data was collected from the US Census bureau. Only African Americans (AA) and Caucasians (CC) who had socioeconomic data were included. Low nMHI and low HSG were defined as ≤$25,000 & <90% respectively. High nMHI and HSG were defined as >$50,000 & ≥90% respectively. Primary endpoints were all cause and cardiovascular (CV) mortality. Cox-proportional hazard ratios were used to evaluate the endpoints.

RESULTS

We included 4616 patients diagnosed with AF. During a median follow up of 4.6 years, 434 patients died of which 32.7% patients had CV mortality. There was a stepwise decrease in incidence of both all-cause and CV mortality as nMHI increased. Patients with low nMHI had the greatest risk of all-cause mortality (HR 1.9, C.I. 1.2-3.2, P 0.004). The association between low nMHI and all-cause mortality persisted after adjusting for age, sex, race, HSG and stroke risk factors using CHA₂DS₂VASC, delta CHA₂DS₂VASC scores and oral anticoagulant use. CV mortality followed a similar trend as all-cause mortality, however, this association was not significant after adjusting for the above variables. Apart from low nMHI, CHA₂DS₂VASC delta CHA₂DS₂VASC were statistically significant independent predictors of both all-cause and CV mortality.

CONCLUSION

Low nMHI is an independent risk factor for all cause and CV mortality in AF. Higher burden of co-morbidities is the driving force behind this disparity. Future studies should evaluate the role of educational and therapeutic intervention in these populations to reduce mortality.

Impact of Race on Outcomes from Catheter Ablation of Ventricular Tachycardia in Structural Heart Disease: A Prospective Registry from South Metropolitan Chicago

Background

Whether racial disparities in outcomes are present after catheter ablation for scar-related ventricular tachycardia (VT) is not known.

Objective

The purpose of this study was to examine whether racial differences exist in outcomes for patients undergoing VT ablation.

Methods

From March 2016 through April 2021, consecutive patients undergoing catheter ablation for scar-related VT at the University of Chicago were prospectively enrolled. The primary outcome was VT recurrence, with secondary outcome of mortality alone and composite endpoint of left ventricular assist device placement, heart transplant, or mortality.

Results

A total of 258 patients were analyzed: 58 (22%) self-identified as Black, and 113 (44%) had ischemic cardiomyopathy. Black patients had significantly higher rates of hypertension (HTN), chronic kidney disease (CKD), and VT storm at presentation. At 7 months, Black patients experienced higher rates of VT recurrence (P = .009). However, after multivariable adjustment, there were no observed differences in VT recurrence (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR] 1.65; 95% confidence interval [CI] 0.91-2.97; P = .10), all-cause mortality (aHR 0.49; 95% CI 0.21-1.17; P = .11), or composite events (aHR 0.76; 95% CI 0.37-1.54; P = .44) between Black and non-Black patients.

Conclusion

In this diverse prospective registry of patients undergoing catheter ablation for scar-related VT, Black patients experienced higher rates of VT recurrence compared to non-Black patients. When adjusted for highly prevalent HTN, CKD, and VT storm, Black patients had comparable outcomes as non-Black patients.

American Indians and atrial fibrillation

The American Indian population is known to experience high rates of cardiovascular disease and have a heightened vulnerability to severe outcomes driven by an overall poor health status and lower access to quality health care. Our group has previously published an analysis demonstrating that American Indians have the highest risk of atrial fibrillation (AF), as well as of AF-related stroke, when compared with other races and ethnicities. Despite this, AF in this population has not been extensively studied and additional publications are scarce. Our review article provides an up-to-date summary of the relevant literature addressing the relationship between race, ethnicity, and AF by focusing on American Indians.

Machine learning for atrial fibrillation risk prediction in patients with sleep apnea and coronary artery disease

Background

Patients with sleep apnea (SA) and coronary artery disease (CAD) are at higher risk of atrial fibrillation (AF) than the general population. Our objectives were: to evaluate the role of CAD and SA in determining AF risk through cluster and survival analysis, and to develop a risk model for predicting AF.

Methods

Electronic medical record (EMR) database from 22,302 individuals including 10,202 individuals with AF, CAD, and SA, and 12,100 individuals without these diseases were analyzed using K-means clustering technique; k-nearest neighbor (kNN) algorithm and survival analysis. Age, sex, and diseases developed for each individual during 9 years were used for cluster and survival analysis.

Results

The risk models for AF, CAD, and SA were identified with high accuracy and sensitivity (0.98). Cluster analysis showed that CAD and high blood pressure (HBP) are the most prevalent diseases in the AF group, HBP is the most prevalent disease in CAD; and HBP and CAD are the most prevalent diseases in the SA group. Survival analysis demonstrated that individuals with HBP, CAD, and SA had a 1.5-fold increased risk of developing AF [hazard ratio (HR): 1.49, 95% CI: 1.18-1.87, p = 0.0041; HR: 1.46, 95% CI: 1.09-1.96, p = 0.01; HR: 1.54, 95% CI: 1.22-1.94, p = 0.0039, respectively] and individuals with chronic kidney disease (CKD) developed AF approximately 50% earlier than patients without these comorbidities in a period of 7 years (HR: 3.36, 95% CI: 1.46-7.73, p = 0.0023). Comorbidities that contributed to develop AF earlier in females compared to males in the group of 50-64 years were HBP (HR: 3.75 95% CI: 1.08-13, p = 0.04) CAD and SA in the group of 60-75 years were (HR: 2.4 95% CI: 1.18-4.86, p = 0.02; HR: 2.51, 95% CI: 1.14-5.52, p = 0.02, respectively).

Conclusion

Machine learning based algorithms demonstrated that CAD, SA, HBP, and CKD are significant risk factors for developing AF in a Latin-American population.

Association of Race and Ethnicity With Oral Anticoagulation and Associated Outcomes in Patients With Atrial Fibrillation: Findings From the Get With The Guidelines-Atrial Fibrillation Registry

Importance

Oral anticoagulation (OAC) is underprescribed in underrepresented racial and ethnic group individuals with atrial fibrillation (AF). Little is known of how differential OAC prescribing relates to inequities in AF outcomes.

Objective

To compare OAC use at discharge and AF-related outcomes by race and ethnicity in the Get With The Guidelines-Atrial Fibrillation (GWTG-AFIB) registry.

Design, Setting, and Participants

This retrospective cohort analysis used data from the GWTG-AFIB registry, a national quality improvement initiative for hospitalized patients with AF. All registry patients hospitalized with AF from 2014 to 2020 were included in the study. Data were analyzed from November 2021 to July 2022.

Exposures

Self-reported race and ethnicity assessed in GWTG-AFIB registry.

Main Outcomes and Measures

The primary outcome was prescription of direct-acting OAC (DOAC) or warfarin at discharge. Secondary outcomes included cumulative 1-year incidence of ischemic stroke, major bleeding, and mortality postdischarge. Outcomes adjusted for patient demographic, clinical, and socioeconomic characteristics as well as hospital factors.

Results

Among 69 553 patients hospitalized with AF from 159 sites between 2014 and 2020, 863 (1.2%) were Asian, 5062 (7.3%) were Black, 4058 (5.8%) were Hispanic, and 59 570 (85.6%) were White. Overall, 34 113 (49.1%) were women; the median (IQR) age was 72 (63-80) years, and the median (IQR) CHA2DS2-VASc score (calculated as congestive heart failure, hypertension, age 75 years and older, diabetes, stroke or transient ischemic attack, vascular disease, age 65 to 74 years, and sex category) was 4 (2-5). At discharge, 56 385 patients (81.1%) were prescribed OAC therapy, including 41 760 (74.1%) receiving DOAC. OAC prescription at discharge was lowest in Hispanic patients (3010 [74.2%]), followed by Black patients (3935 [77.7%]) Asian patients (691 [80.1%]), and White patients (48 749 [81.8%]). Black patients were less likely than White patients to be discharged while taking any anticoagulant (adjusted odds ratio, 0.75; 95% CI, 0.68-0.84) and DOACs (adjusted odds ratio, 0.73; 95% CI, 0.65-0.82). In 16 307 individuals with 1-year follow up data, bleeding risks (adjusted hazard ratio [aHR], 2.08; 95% CI, 1.53-2.83), stroke risks (aHR, 2.07; 95% CI, 1.34-3.20), and mortality risks (aHR, 1.22; 95% CI, 1.02-1.47) were higher in Black patients than White patients. Hispanic patients had higher stroke risk (aHR, 2.02; 95% CI, 1.38-2.95) than White patients.

Conclusions and Relevance

In a national registry of hospitalized patients with AF, compared with White patients, Black patients were less likely to be discharged while taking anticoagulant therapy and DOACs in particular. Black and Hispanic patients had higher risk of stroke compared with White patients; Black patients had a higher risk of bleeding and mortality. There is an urgent need for interventions to achieve pharmacoequity in guideline-directed AF management to improve overall outcomes.