Declining disease burden of HCC in the United States, 1992-2017: A population-based analysis

Liver cancer in 2021: Global Burden of Disease study

BACKGROUND & AIMS

The epidemiology of adult primary liver cancer continues to evolve, owing to the increasing prevalence of metabolic disease, rising alcohol consumption, advances in vaccination for HBV, and antiviral therapy for HCV. Disparities in care and the burden of liver cancer between populations persist. We assess trends in the burden of liver cancer and contributions by various etiologies across 204 countries and territories from 2010 to 2021.

METHODS

Utilizing the methodological framework of the Global Burden of Disease Study 2021, we analyzed global and regional temporal trends in incidence and mortality, and the contributions of various etiologies of liver disease.

RESULTS

In 2021, there were an estimated 529,202 incident cases and 483,875 deaths related to liver cancer. From 2010 to 2021, global liver cancer incident cases and deaths increased by 26% and 25%, respectively. Age-standardized incidence rates (ASIRs) and death rates (ASDRs) for liver cancer declined globally, but rose in the Americas and Southeast Asia. HBV remained the dominant cause of global incident liver cancer cases and deaths. MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) was the only etiology of liver cancer with rising ASIRs and ASDRs. By contrast, ASIRs and ASDRs remained stable for alcohol-related liver cancer, and declined for HBV- and HCV-related liver cancer.

CONCLUSIONS

While age-adjusted incidence and deaths from liver cancer have started to decline, the absolute number of incident cases and deaths continues to increase. Population growth and aging contribute to the observed disconnect in the temporal trends of absolute cases and rates. Disparities remain, and the incidence and mortality associated with MASLD-related liver cancer continue to rise.

IMPACT AND IMPLICATIONS

Liver cancer remains a major cause of death globally, but its causes and burden in various regions are changing. This study highlights that new diagnoses and deaths related to liver cancer continue to rise. Age-adjusted death rates of liver cancer related to viral hepatitis are declining but remain high. By contrast, age-adjusted death rates of liver cancer related to MASLD (metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease) are rising. Sustained efforts and resources are needed to eliminate viral hepatitis, reverse current trends in heavy alcohol use, and tackle the metabolic risk factors of MASLD.

Survival trends of gastrointestinal stromal tumor in real-world settings: a population-based retrospective study

Purpose

This study aims to evaluate whether survival outcomes for GIST patients have improved over the past decades and to identify the specific patient subgroups that have benefited from advances in treatment.

Patients and methods

A total of 4,127 GIST patients diagnosed between January 1980, and December 2019, were included in this study using data from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER)-9 Registries. Survival differences among GIST patients were analyzed across five time periods (1980-1999, 2000-2004, 2005-2009, 2010-2014, and 2015-2019) and within demographic, neoplastic, temporal, economic, and geographic categories using the log-rank test. Multivariable Cox regression models were employed to identify risk factors associated with GIST-specific survival. Associations between time periods and GIST-specific mortality (TSM) were examined using a multivariable Cox regression model.

Results

Survival outcomes for GIST patients significantly improved in the 2000-2009 period but showed no substantial improvement in the 2010-2019 period. After adjusting for age, gender, tumor location, ethnicity, tumor stage, median household income, and geographic area, the multivariable Cox regression models revealed that older age (≥65 years) (HR = 1.977, 95% CI = 1.470-2.657), tumors located outside the gastrointestinal tract (HR = 1.505, 95% CI = 1.267-1.786), regional lesions (HR = 2.225, 95% CI = 1.828-2.708), and distant lesions (HR = 5.177, 95% CI = 4.417-6.069) were independent risk factors for TSM (p < 0.05). After adjusting for time periods and age, gender, tumor location, tumor stage, median household income, patients in 2000-2004 (HR = 0.662, 95% CI = 0.523-0.839), 2005-2009 (HR = 0.431, 95% CI = 0.339-0.549), 2010-2014 (HR = 0.437, 95% CI = 0.341-0.561), and 2015-2019 (HR = 0.365, 95% CI = 0.273-0.489) had a significantly lower risk of TSM than patients in 1980-1999 (p < 0.05). Similarly, patients in 2005-2009 (HR = 0.661, 95% CI = 0.555-0.788), 2010-2014 (HR = 0.696, 95% CI = 0.578-0.838), and 2015-2019 (HR = 0.607, 95% CI = 0.476-0.773) also had a significantly lower risk of TSM than patients in 2000-2004 (p < 0.05). However, patients in 2010-2014 (HR = 1.042, 5% CI = 0.863-1.258) and 2015-2019 (HR = 0.945, 95% CI = 0.734-1.216) did not have a significantly lower risk of TSM compared to patients in 2005-2009 (p > 0.05).

Conclusion

GIST survival has significantly improved during the period 2000-2009 but showed no substantial improvement in 2010-2019, with the turning point for lower risk of TSM being 2005. Innovative strategies are needed to further improve survival outcomes for GIST patients, particularly for older patients and those with tumors originating outside the gastrointestinal tract.

Management of hepatocellular carcinoma in elderly and adolescent/young adult populations

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) presents unique challenges in both the elderly and adolescent/young adult (AYA) populations, requiring distinct management approaches. Recent epidemiological data show an increasing incidence of HCC in both age groups, with elderly cases rising significantly and AYA cases showing trends in specific regions. The clinical characteristics and treatment considerations vary substantially among these populations. Elderly patients with HCC typically present with hepatitis C virus infection, metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, well-differentiated tumors, and multiple comorbidities. In contrast, AYA patients with HCC often present with more aggressive tumor characteristics and predominantly with hepatitis B virus-related diseases. Treatment decisions for elderly patients with HCC require careful consideration of physiological reserves, comprehensive geriatric assessments, and potential complications. Recent studies have demonstrated that elderly patients can achieve outcomes comparable to younger patients across various treatment modalities when properly selected. While surgical outcomes are comparable to those of younger patients with proper selection, less-invasive options such as radiofrequency ablation or transarterial therapies may be more appropriate for some elderly patients. The treatment approach for AYA HCC emphasizes curative intent while considering long-term effects. AYA patients require specialized attention to their psychosocial needs, fertility preservation, and long-term health maintenance. Although data on AYA patients remain limited, they are known to have relatively favorable prognoses despite exhibiting more aggressive tumor characteristics. Management of HCC in both the elderly and AYA populations requires individualized approaches that consider age-specific factors. Both groups benefit from multidisciplinary team involvement and careful consideration of quality of life.

Age-period-cohort study of active pulmonary tuberculosis in eastern China: analysis of 15-year surveillance data

BACKGROUND

Tuberculosis remains a major public health challenge worldwide. This study aimed to determine the long-term trends in the notification rate of tuberculosis in Zhejiang Province, and to assess the potential independent risks associated with age, time period, and birth cohort.

METHODS

Data on all pulmonary tuberculosis (PTB) cases in Zhejiang Province from 2008 to 2022 were collected from the Tuberculosis Information Management System. Long-term trends in the notification rate and independent risks associated with quantitatively decomposed variables were determined using joinpoint regression model and age-period-cohort model.

RESULTS

Between 2008 and 2022, a total of 323,745 PTB cases were notified in Zhejiang Province. Overall, the notification rate declined, with notable turning points in 2010 and 2019. Net drift analysis revealed an average annual decrease of 5.7% (95% CI: -6.8%, -4.6%; P < 0.01), with faster declines among males than females. Age effects showed peaks in notification rates among people aged 15-29 and 65-74. Period effects peaked during 2008-2012 (RR = 1.4; 95% CI: 1.3, 1.5; P < 0.01). Cohort effects indicated decreasing risks in later birth cohorts, with the highest risk observed in the 1928-1932 birth cohort (RR = 11.0, 95% CI: 7.2, 16.8; P < 0.01) and relative protective effects in cohorts born after 1978-1982.

CONCLUSIONS

Notification rates of PTB declined consistently across various age groups in Zhejiang Province. Young individuals aged 15-29 and older individuals aged 65-74 were identified as high-risk groups requiring active intervention. Additionally, pre-1978 birth cohorts had a relatively higher risk of PTB. These findings provided valuable insights into the age, period, and birth cohort characteristics of patients with PTB in Zhejiang Province, aiding relevant authorities in formulating appropriate policies and implementing targeted preventive control measures.

Significant Disparities in Hepatocellular Carcinoma Outcomes by Race/Ethnicity and Sociodemographic Factors

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) disproportionately affects racial/ethnic minorities. We evaluated the impact of income and geography on racial/ethnic disparities across the HCC care cascade in the United States.

METHODS

Using NCI registry data spanning 2000 to 2020, adults with HCC were evaluated to determine race/ethnicity-specific differences in tumor stage at diagnosis, delays and gaps in treatment, and survival. Adjusted regression models evaluated predictors of HCC outcomes.

RESULTS

Among 112,389 adults with HCC, cohort characteristics were as follows: 49.8% non-Hispanic White (NHW), 12.0% African American(AA), 20.5% Hispanic, 16.5% Asian/Pacific Islander, and 1.1% American Indian/Alaska Native. Compared with NHW patients, AA patients had lower odds of localized-stage HCC at diagnosis [adjusted odds ratio (aOR), 0.84], lower odds of HCC treatment receipt (aOR, 0.77), greater odds of treatment delays (aOR, 1.12), and significantly greater risk of death [adjusted hazards ratio (aHR), 1.10]. Compared with NHW patients from large metro areas, AA patients from large metro areas had 8% higher mortality risk (aHR, 1.08), whereas AA patients from small-medium metro areas had 17% higher mortality risk (aHR, 1.17; all P < 0.05).

CONCLUSIONS

Among a population-based cohort of US adults with HCC, significant race/ethnicity-specific disparities across the HCC care continuum were observed. Lower household income and more rural geography among racial/ethnic minorities are also associated with disparities in HCC outcomes, particularly among AA patients.

IMPACT

Our study shows that lower income and less urban/more rural geography among racial/ethnic minorities are also associated with disparities in HCC outcomes, particularly among AA patients with HCC. This contextualizes the complex relationship between sociodemographic factors and HCC outcomes through an intersectional lens.

Liver diseases: epidemiology, causes, trends and predictions

As a highly complex organ with digestive, endocrine, and immune-regulatory functions, the liver is pivotal in maintaining physiological homeostasis through its roles in metabolism, detoxification, and immune response. Various factors including viruses, alcohol, metabolites, toxins, and other pathogenic agents can compromise liver function, leading to acute or chronic injury that may progress to end-stage liver diseases. While sharing common features, liver diseases exhibit distinct pathophysiological, clinical, and therapeutic profiles. Currently, liver diseases contribute to approximately 2 million deaths globally each year, imposing significant economic and social burdens worldwide. However, there is no cure for many kinds of liver diseases, partly due to a lack of thorough understanding of the development of these liver diseases. Therefore, this review provides a comprehensive examination of the epidemiology and characteristics of liver diseases, covering a spectrum from acute and chronic conditions to end-stage manifestations. We also highlight the multifaceted mechanisms underlying the initiation and progression of liver diseases, spanning molecular and cellular levels to organ networks. Additionally, this review offers updates on innovative diagnostic techniques, current treatments, and potential therapeutic targets presently under clinical evaluation. Recent advances in understanding the pathogenesis of liver diseases hold critical implications and translational value for the development of novel therapeutic strategies.

The Changing Demographics and Epidemiology of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

The epidemiology of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) has shifted significantly in the last 2 decades with non-viral etiologies such as metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and alcohol-associated liver disease on the rise. Key factors include the global obesity epidemic and the resurgence of alcohol use disorder, both of which were exacerbated by the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic. While these non-viral etiologies of HCC are becoming the leading cause in developed countries, the potential impact of immigration patterns on Hepatitis B virus epidemiology cannot be ignored. The risk of HCC remains significant in individuals with cirrhosis and viral hepatitis after curative treatments.

Management of Chronic Liver Disease in Patients with Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Management of cirrhosis sequelae is critical in providing the most options for patients with hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Compensated liver disease is the ideal state for HCC patients who may require resection, locoregional therapies, or liver transplantation. Portal hypertension complications, suboptimal nutrition, and frailty are common barriers to various HCC treatments. For patients with advanced HCC, systemic therapies are altering the approach to multifocal, unresectable HCC, but similar barriers exist related to managing cirrhosis complications. Frequently, managing the underlying liver disease etiology is a key component to enabling HCC treatment.

Global, Regional, and National Trends in Liver Disease-Related Mortality Across 112 Countries From 1990 to 2021, With Projections to 2050: Comprehensive Analysis of the WHO Mortality Database

BACKGROUND

Liver disease causes over two million deaths annually worldwide, comprising approximately 4% of all global fatalities. We aimed to analyze liver disease-related mortality trends from 1990 to 2021 using the World Health Organization (WHO) Mortality Database and forecast global liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050.

METHODS

This study examined age-standardized liver disease-related death rates from 1990 to 2021, employing data from the WHO Mortality Database across 112 countries across five continents. The rates over time were calculated using a locally weighted scatter plot smoother curve, with weights assigned based on the population of each country. Furthermore, this study projected liver disease-related mortality rates up to 2050 using a Bayesian age-period-cohort (BAPC) model. Additionally, a decomposition analysis was conducted to discern influencing factors such as population growth, aging, and epidemiological changes.

RESULTS

The estimated global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates surged significantly from 1990 to 2021 across 112 countries, rising from 103.4 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% confidence interval [CI], 88.16, 118.74) in 1990 to 173.0 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 155.15, 190.95) in 2021. This upward trend was particularly pronounced in low- and middle-income countries, in Africa, and in populations aged 65 years and older. Moreover, age-standardized liver disease-related mortality rates were correlated with a lower Human Development Index (P < 0.001) and sociodemographic index (P = 0.001). According to the BAPC model, the projected trend indicated a sustained and substantial decline in liver disease-related mortality rates, with an estimated decrease from 185.08 deaths per 1,000,000 people (95% CI, 179.79, 190.63) in 2021 to 156.29 (112.32, 214.77) in 2050. From 1990 to 2021, age-standardized liver disease-related deaths surged primarily due to epidemiological changes, whereas from 1990 to 2050, the impact of population aging and growth became the primary contributing factors to the overall increase.

CONCLUSION

Global age-standardized liver disease-related mortality has increased significantly and continues to emerge as a crucial global public health issue. Further investigation into liver disease-related mortality rates in Africa is needed, and updating policies is necessary to effectively manage the global burden of liver disease.

LI-RADS US Surveillance Version 2024 for Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: An Update to the American College of Radiology US LI-RADS

In 2017, the American College of Radiology introduced the US Liver Imaging Reporting and Data System (LI-RADS) as a framework for US surveillance of patients at risk for developing hepatocellular carcinoma. This has aided in the standardization of technique, clinical reporting, patient management, data collection, and research. Emerging evidence has helped inform changes to the algorithm, now released as LI-RADS US Surveillance version 2024. The updated algorithm, the rationale for changes, and its alignment with the 2023 American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases Practice Guidance are presented.

Incidence of liver cancer in young adults according to the Global Burden of Disease database 2019

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The worldwide burden of cancer is increasing in younger populations. However, the epidemiology of primary liver cancer remains understudied in young adults compared to other cancer forms.

APPROACH AND RESULTS

This study analyzed data from the Global Burden of Disease study between 2010 and 2019 to assess the age-standardized incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years associated with primary liver cancer in the young (15-49 y), stratified by region, nation, sociodemographic index, and sex. The study found a global estimate of 78,299 primary liver cancer cases, 60,602 deaths, and 2.90 million disability-adjusted life years in the young population. The Western Pacific region exhibited the highest burden in 2019, showing the most significant increase compared to other regions between 2010 and 2019. More than half of the countries worldwide have undergone an increase in primary liver cancer incidence rates in young adults. Around 12.51% of deaths due to primary liver cancer occur in young individuals. Throughout the study period, there was a significant decline in primary liver cancer mortality due to most etiologies, except for metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.87%, 95% CI: 0.70%-1.05%) and alcohol-attributable primary liver cancer (annual percentage change + 0.21%, 95% CI: 0.01%-0.42%). The limitations of the Global Burden of Disease database include reliance on the quality of primary data and possible underestimation of alcohol consumption.

CONCLUSIONS

Over the past decade, there has been a marked increase in the burden of primary liver cancer, especially that originating from steatotic liver disease. This trend calls for the development of urgent and comprehensive strategies to mitigate this rising burden globally.

Incidence and survival of pediatric and adult hepatocellular carcinoma, United States, 2001-2020

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma accounts for approximately 80 % of liver neoplasms. Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma ranks as the third most lethal cancer, with the number of deaths expected to further increase by 2040. In adults, disparities in incidence and survival are well described while pediatric epidemiology is not well characterized. We describe incidence and survival for pediatric (ages 0-19 years) hepatocellular carcinoma cases and compare these measures to adults (ages ≥ 20 years) diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma.

METHODS

We assessed incidence data from the US Cancer Statistics database during 2003-2020 and 5-year survival from the National Program of Cancer Registries during 2001-2019. Incidence trends were determined by annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using joinpoint regression. Five-year survival was evaluated by relative survival, and all-cause survival was estimated using multivariate Cox modeling. Corresponding 95 % confidence intervals (CI) were calculated for all analyses.

RESULTS

Incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 0.056 (95 %CI:0.052-0.060) for pediatric cases and 7.793 (7.767-7.819) for adults. Incidence was stable in the pediatric population (0.3 AAPC, - 1.1 to 1.7). In contrast, after periods of increase, incidence declined in adults after 2015 (-1.5 APC). Relative survival increased over time for both pediatric and adult ages and was higher for children and adolescents (46.4 %, 95 %CI:42.4-50.3) than adults (20.7 %, 95 %CI:20.5-20.9). Regression modeling showed that non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with higher risk of death in children and adolescents (1.48, 95 %CI:1.07-2.05) and adults (1.11, 95 %CI:1.09-1.12) compared to non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity.

CONCLUSIONS

Between 2003 and 2020 in the United States, pediatric incidence was stable while incidence in adults began to decline after 2015. Survival was higher across all stages for children and adolescents compared to adults. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity showed a higher risk of death for both age groups. Further studies could explore the factors that influence these outcome disparities.

Mapping the Hidden Terrain of Hepatocellular Carcinoma: Exploring Regional Differences in Incidence and Mortality across Two Decades by Using the Largest US Datasets

Background: There is an observed variation in the burden of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) across different US populations. Our study aims to comprehensively assess variations in HCC incidence and mortality rates across different regions of the US. Understanding these geographical differences is crucial, given prior evidence indicating variations in the incidence of viral hepatitis and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease and varying access to curative HCC treatment among states. Methods: HCC age-adjusted incidence rates between 2001 and 2021 were obtained from the United States Cancer Statistics (USCS) database (which covers approximately 98% of the US population). HCC age-adjusted mortality rates between 2000 and 2022 were obtained from the National Center of Health Statistics (NCHS) database (covering approximately 100% of the US population). The rates were categorized by US geographical region into West, Midwest, Northeast, and South. Incidence rates were also categorized by race/ethnicity. Time trends [annual percentage change (APC) and average APC (AAPC)] were estimated by using Joinpoint Regression via the weighted Bayesian Information Criteria (p < 0.05). Results: Between 2001 and 2021, there were 491,039 patients diagnosed with HCC in the US (74.2% males). The highest incidence rate per 100,000 population was noted in the West (7.38), followed by the South (6.85). Overall incidence rates increased between 2001 and 2015 and then significantly decreased until 2021 (APC = -2.29). Most cases were in the South (38.8%), which also had the greatest increase in incidence (AAPC = 2.74). All four geographical regions exhibited an overall similar trend with an increase in incidence over the first 10-15 years followed by stable or decreasing rates. While stratification of the trends by race/ethnicity showed slight variations among the regions and groups, the findings are largely similar to all race/ethnic groups combined. Between 2000 and 2022, there were 370,450 patients whose death was attributed to HCC in the US (71.6% males). The highest mortality rate per 100,000 population was noted in the South (5.02), followed by the West (4.99). Overall mortality rates significantly increased between 2000 and 2013 (APC = 1.90), then stabilized between 2013 and 2016, and then significantly decreased till 2022 (APC = -1.59). Most deaths occurred in the South (35.8%), which also had the greatest increase in mortality (AAPC = 1.33). All four geographical regions followed an overall similar trend, with an increase in mortality over the first 10-15 years, followed by stable or decreasing rates. Conclusions: Our analysis, capturing about 98% of the US population, demonstrates an increase in HCC incidence and mortality rates in all geographical regions from 2000 to around 2014-2016, followed by stabilizing and decreasing incidence and mortality rates. We observed regional variations, with the highest incidence and mortality rates noted in the West and South regions and the fastest increase in both incidence and mortality noted in the South. Our findings are likely attributable to the introduction of antiviral therapy. Furthermore, demographic, socioeconomic, and comorbid variability across geographical regions in the US might also play a role in the observed trends. We provide important epidemiologic data for HCC in the US, prompting further studies to investigate the underlying factors responsible for the observed regional variations in HCC incidence and mortality.

Examining the evolving landscape of liver cancer burden in the United States from 1990 to 2019

INTRODUCTION

Liver cancer (LC) is frequently preceded by cirrhosis and poses a significant public health challenge in the United States (US). Recent decades have seen notable shifts in the epidemiological patterns of LC, yet national data guiding the optimal allocation of resources and preventive efforts remain limited. This study aims to investigate the current trends, risk factors, and outcomes of LC in the US.

METHODS

This study utilized the Global Burden of Disease (GBD) dataset to collect data on the annual incident cases, deaths, Disability-Adjusted Life Years (DALYs), age-standardized incidence rates (ASIR), age-standardized death rates, and age-standardized DALY rates of primary LC and its etiologies and risk factors, between 1990 and 2019. Percentage changes in incident cases, DALYs, and deaths and the estimated annual percentage change (EAPC) in ASIR and deaths rates of LC were calculated to conduct temporal analysis. Linear regression was applied for the calculation of EAPCs. Correlations of EAPC with socio-demographic index (SDI) were separately evaluated by Pearson correlation analyses.

RESULTS

We observed a marked increase in the ASIR of LC, increasing from 2.22 (95% CI: 2.15-2.27) per 100,000 people in 1990 to 5.23 (95% CI: 4.28-6.29) per 100,000 people in 2019, a percentage change of 135.4%. LC due to hepatitis C followed by alcohol use were the primary factors driving this increase. The ASIR and age-standardized death rates of LC showed a significant average annual increase of 3.0% (95% CI: 2.7-3.2) and 2.6% (95% CI: 2.5-2.8), respectively. There was a significant negative correlation between the SDI and the EAPC in ASIR (ρ = -0.40, p = 0.004) and age-standardized death rates (ρ = -0.46, p < 0.001). In 2019, drug and alcohol use, followed by elevated body mass index (BMI) were the primary risk factors for age-standardized DALY rates attributable to LC.

CONCLUSION

The increased burden of LC in the US highlights the need for interventions. This is particularly important given that LC is mostly influenced by modifiable risk factors, such as drug and alcohol use, and elevated BMI. Our findings highlight the urgent need for public health interventions targeting socio-economic, lifestyle, and modifiable risk factors to mitigate the escalating burden of LC.

Targeted therapies in hepatocellular carcinoma: past, present, and future

Targeted therapies are the mainstay of systemic therapies for patients with advanced, unresectable, or metastatic hepatocellular carcinoma. Several therapeutic targets, such as c-Met, TGF-β, and FGFR, have been evaluated in the past, though results from these clinical studies failed to show clinical benefit. However, these remain important targets for the future with novel targeted agents and strategies. The Wnt/β-catenin signaling pathway, c-Myc oncogene, GPC3, PPT1 are exciting novel targets, among others, currently undergoing evaluation. Through this review, we aim to provide an overview of previously evaluated and potentially novel therapeutic targets and explore their continued relevance in ongoing and future studies for HCC.

Hepatocellular carcinoma and lipid metabolism: Novel targets and therapeutic strategies

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is an increasingly prevalent disease that is associated with high and continually rising mortality rates. Lipid metabolism holds a crucial role in the pathogenesis of HCC, in which abnormalities pertaining to the delicate balance of lipid synthesis, breakdown, and storage, predispose for the pathogenesis of the nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), a disease precursor to HCC. If caught early enough, HCC treatment may be curative. In later stages, treatment is only halting the inevitable outcome of death, boldly prompting for novel drug discovery to provide a fighting chance for this patient population. In this review, we begin by providing a summary of current local and systemic treatments against HCC. From such we discuss hepatic lipid metabolism and highlight novel targets that are ripe for anti-cancer drug discovery. Lastly, we provide a targeted summary of current known risk factors for HCC pathogenesis, providing key insights that will be essential for rationalizing future development of anti-HCC therapeutics.

Unveiling the role of the Hedgehog signaling pathway in chronic liver disease: Therapeutic insights and strategies

The Hedgehog (Hh) signaling plays a crucial role in adult liver repair by promoting the expansion and differentiation of hepatic progenitor cells into mature hepatocytes and cholangiocytes. Elevated Hh signaling is associated with severe chronic liver diseases, making Hh inhibitors a promising therapeutic option. Sonidegib and vismodegib, both FDA-approved Smoothened (Smo) inhibitors for basal cell carcinoma (BCC), have shown potential for application in chronic liver disorders based on clinical evidence. We highlight the vital role of the Hh pathway in metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (MASLD)/metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH), liver fibrosis, and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Moreover, therapeutic strategies targeting the Hh pathway in chronic liver diseases have been discussed, providing a basis for improving disease management and outcomes.

Imaging features and management of focal liver lesions

Notably, the number of incidentally detected focal liver lesions (FLLs) has increased dramatically in recent years due to the increased use of radiological imaging. The diagnosis of FLLs can be made through a well-documented medical history, physical examination, laboratory tests, and appropriate imaging methods. Although benign FLLs are more common than malignant ones in adults, even in patients with primary malignancy, accurate diagnosis of incidental FLLs is of utmost clinical significance. In clinical practice, FLLs are frequently evaluated non-invasively using ultrasound (US), computed tomography (CT), and magnetic resonance imaging (MRI). Although US is a cost-effective and widely used imaging method, its diagnostic specificity and sensitivity for FLL characterization are limited. FLLs are primarily characterized by obtaining enhancement patterns through dynamic contrast-enhanced CT and MRI. MRI is a problem-solving method with high specificity and sensitivity, commonly used for the evaluation of FLLs that cannot be characterized by US or CT. Recent technical advancements in MRI, along with the use of hepatobiliary-specific MRI contrast agents, have significantly improved the success of FLL characterization and reduced unnecessary biopsies. The American College of Radiology (ACR) appropriateness criteria are evidence-based recommendations intended to assist clinicians in selecting the optimal imaging or treatment option for their patients. ACR Appropriateness Criteria Liver Lesion-Initial Characterization guideline provides recommendations for the imaging methods that should be used for the characterization of incidentally detected FLLs in various clinical scenarios. The American College of Gastroenterology (ACG) Clinical Guideline offers evidence-based recommendations for both the diagnosis and management of FLL. American Association for the Study of Liver Diseases (AASLD) Practice Guidance provides an approach to the diagnosis and management of patients with hepatocellular carcinoma. In this article, FLLs are reviewed with a comprehensive analysis of ACR Appropriateness Criteria, ACG Clinical Guideline, AASLD Practice Guidance, and current medical literature from peer-reviewed journals. The article includes a discussion of imaging methods used for the assessment of FLL, current recommended imaging techniques, innovations in liver imaging, contrast agents, imaging features of common nonmetastatic benign and malignant FLL, as well as current management recommendations.

Macrophage Perspectives in Liver Diseases: Programmed Death, Related Biomarkers, and Targeted Therapy

Macrophages, as important immune cells of the organism, are involved in maintaining intrahepatic microenvironmental homeostasis and can undergo rapid phenotypic changes in the injured or recovering liver. In recent years, the crucial role of macrophage-programmed cell death in the development and regression of liver diseases has become a research hotspot. Moreover, macrophage-targeted therapeutic strategies are emerging in both preclinical and clinical studies. Given the macrophages' vital role in complex organismal environments, there is tremendous academic interest in developing novel therapeutic strategies that target these cells. This review provides an overview of the characteristics and interactions between macrophage polarization, programmed cell death, related biomarkers, and macrophage-targeted therapies. It aims to deepen the understanding of macrophage immunomodulation and molecular mechanisms and to provide a basis for the treatment of macrophage-associated liver diseases.

Research progress of protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II in liver transplantation for hepatocellular carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common pathologic type of primary liver cancer. Liver transplantation (LT) is a radical strategy for treating patients with early-stage HCC, which may lead to a better prognosis compared to hepatectomy and ablation. However, survival of patients who develop HCC recurrence after LT is short, and early recurrence is the most common cause of death. Thus, efficient biomarkers are also needed in LT to guide precision therapy to improve patient prognosis and 5-year survival. Protein induced by vitamin K absence or antagonist II (PIVKA-II) is an abnormal prothrombin that cannot activate coagulation, and it is significantly increased in patients with HCC, obstructive jaundice, and those taking vitamin K antagonists. Over the past decades, substantial progress has been made in the study of PIVKA-II in diagnosing, surveilling, and treating HCC, but its role in LT still needs to be elaborated. In this review, we focused on the role of PIVKA-II as a biomarker in LT for HCC, especially its relationship with clinicopathologic features, early recurrence, long-term survival, and donor-recipient selection.

Incidence and survival of pediatric and adult hepatocellular carcinoma, United States, 2001-2020

Importance

Hepatocellular carcinoma accounts for approximately 80% of liver neoplasms. Globally, hepatocellular carcinoma ranks as the third most lethal cancer, with the number of deaths expected to further increase by 2040. In adults, disparities in incidence and survival are well described while pediatric epidemiology is not well characterized.

Objective

To describe incidence and survival for pediatric (ages 0-19 years) hepatocellular carcinoma cases and compare these measures to adults (ages ≥20 years) diagnosed with hepatocellular carcinoma. We evaluated demographic factors and clinical characteristics that influence incidence and outcomes.

Design

Population-based cohort study.

Setting

Incidence data from the US Cancer Statistics database from 2003 to 2020 and 5-year relative survival from the National Program of Cancer Registries from 2001 to 2019, covering 97% and 83% of the US population, respectively.

Participants

355,349 US Cancer Statistics and 257,406 the National Program of Cancer Registries patients were identified using ICD-O-3 C22.0 and 8170-5 codes.

Main Outcomes and Measures

Incidence annual percent change (APC) and average APC (AAPC) using joinpoint regression. Five-year relative survival. All-cause survival estimated using multivariate Cox modeling. Corresponding 95% confidence intervals (CI) were calculated.

Results

Incidence rate per 100,000 persons was 0.056 (95%CI:0.052-0.060) for pediatric cases and 7.793 (7.767-7.819) for adults. Incidence was stable in the pediatric population (0.3 AAPC, -1.1-1.7). In contrast, after periods of increase, incidence declined in adults after 2015 (-1.5 APC). Relative survival increased over time for both pediatric and adult ages and was higher for children and adolescents (46.4%, 95%CI:42.4-50.3) than adults (20.7%, 95%CI:20.5-20.9) overall and when stratified by stage. Regression modeling showed that non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity was associated with higher risk of death in children and adolescents (1.48, 95%CI:1.07-2.05) and adults (1.11, 95%CI:1.09-1.12) compared to non-Hispanic white race and ethnicity.

Conclusions and Relevance

Between 2003 and 2020 in the United States, pediatric incidence was stable while incidence in adults began to decline after 2015. Survival was higher across all stages for children and adolescents compared to adults. Non-Hispanic Black race and ethnicity showed a higher risk of death for both age groups. Further studies could explore the factors that influence these outcome disparities.

Immune checkpoint inhibitors in the treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma

Despite advances in cancer treatment, hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), the most common form of liver cancer, remains a major public health problem worldwide. The immune microenvironment plays a critical role in regulating tumor progression and resistance to therapy, and in HCC, the tumor microenvironment (TME) is characterized by an abundance of immunosuppressive cells and signals that facilitate immune evasion and metastasis. Recently, anti-cancer immunotherapies, therapeutic interventions designed to modulate the immune system to recognize and eliminate cancer, have become an important cornerstone of cancer therapy. Immunotherapy has demonstrated the ability to improve survival and provide durable cancer control in certain groups of HCC patients, while reducing adverse side effects. These findings represent a significant step toward improving cancer treatment outcomes. As demonstrated in clinical trials, the administration of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs), particularly in combination with anti-angiogenic agents and tyrosine kinase inhibitors, has prolonged survival in a subset of patients with HCC, providing an alternative for patients who progress on first-line therapy. In this review, we aimed to provide an overview of HCC and the role of the immune system in its development, and to summarize the findings of clinical trials involving ICIs, either as monotherapies or in combination with other agents in the treatment of the disease. Challenges and considerations regarding the administration of ICIs in the treatment of HCC are also outlined.

Role of Neoadjuvant Therapy Prior to Curative Resection in Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Immunotherapy has revolutionized the standard of care in multiple aspects of oncology. Given successes in the setting of unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and the advantages of neoadjuvant therapy, many trials are demonstrating the safety and feasibility of combination of immune checkpoint inhibitors (ICIs)/tyrosine kinases in patients with resectable HCC. Numerous clinical trials are currently investigating the role of different immune modulators either as monotherapy or as combination therapy in the neoadjuvant setting. Key questions that remain to be addressed include efficacy, safety, predictive biomarkers, and length of treatment.

Global trends in hepatocellular carcinoma epidemiology: implications for screening, prevention and therapy

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) mortality rates are increasing globally, and particularly in the Western world. Cirrhosis remains the predominant risk factor for HCC. However, epidemiological shifts in the incidence of HCC from patients with virus-related liver disease to those with non-viral aetiologies, including alcohol-associated and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease, have important implications for prevention, surveillance and treatment. Hepatitis B vaccination and antiviral therapy for hepatitis B and C are effective for primary prevention of virus-related HCCs, but chemoprevention strategies for non-viral liver disease remain an unmet need. Emerging data suggest associations between aspirin, statins, metformin and coffee and reduced HCC incidence, although none has been proved to be causally related. Secondary prevention of HCC via semi-annual surveillance is associated with improvements in early detection and thus reduced mortality; however, current tools, including abdominal ultrasonography, have suboptimal sensitivity for the detection of early stage HCC, particularly in patients with obesity and/or non-viral liver disease. Promising blood-based or imaging-based surveillance strategies are emerging, although these approaches require further validation before adoption in clinical practice. In the interim, efforts should be focused on maximizing use of the existing surveillance tools given their prevalent underuse globally. Remarkable advances have been made in the treatment of HCC, including expanded eligibility for surgical therapies, improved patient selection for locoregional treatments and increased systemic treatment options, including immune-checkpoint inhibitors. In this Review, we discuss trends in the epidemiology of HCC and their implications for screening, prevention and therapy.

Decreasing incidence of hepatocellular carcinoma among most racial groups: SEER-22, 2000-2019

BACKGROUND

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) incidence was rising in the United States. Previously, using data collected by the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results (SEER) Program through 2017, we found that overall incidence had begun to decline, although not in Black and American Indian/Alaska Native (AI/AN) populations. Utilizing expanded SEER data encompassing ~50% of the population, we examined secular trends and demographic differences in HCC incidence through 2019.

METHODS

We included cases of HCC diagnosed in adults aged ≥20 years residing in SEER-22 registry areas. We examined case counts, incidence rates (per 100,000 person-years), annual percent changes (APCs), and calendar years when APCs changed significantly.

RESULTS

HCC incidence increased from 5.56 in 2000 to 8.89 in 2009 (APC, 5.17%), then rose more slowly during 2009-2015 (APC, 2.28%). After peaking at 10.03 in 2015, incidence fell to 9.20 in 2019 (APC, -2.26%). In Asian/Pacific Islanders (A/PI), the decline began in 2007 and accelerated in 2015 (APCs: 2007-2015, -1.84%; 2015-2019, -5.80%). In 2014, incidence began to fall in the White (APC: 2014-2019, -1.11%) and Hispanic populations (APC: 2014-2019, -1.72%). In 2016, rates began to fall in Black individuals (APC: 2016-2019, -6.05%). In the AI/AN population, incidence was highest in 2017, although the subsequent decline was not statistically significant. In 2019, population-specific rates were: White, 6.94; Black, 10.74; A/PI, 12.11; AI/AN, 14.56; Hispanic, 15.48.

CONCLUSION

HCC incidence is now decreasing in most US racial/ethnic populations, including among Black individuals. The onset of decline differed among racial/ethnic groups and wide disparities in HCC rates remain.

Changing treatment landscape associated with improved survival in advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a nationwide, population-based study

BACKGROUND AND AIMS

The treatment of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is undergoing a historic transformation with the approval of several new systemic therapies in the last few years. This study aimed to examine the impact of this changing landscape on survival and costs in a Western nationwide, real-world cohort.

METHODS

A nationwide representative claims database (InGef) was screened for HCC cases between 2015 and 2020. Survival in an era with only sorafenib (period A, January 2015 to July 2018) and after approval of lenvatinib and other systemic treatments (period B, August 2018 to December 2020) was analysed. Health care costs were assessed.

RESULTS

We identified 2876 individuals with HCC in the study period. The proportion of patients receiving systemic therapy increased significantly over time, from 11.8% in 2015 to 15.1% in 2020 (p < 0.0001). The median overall survival in period B was 6.5 months (95% confidence interval [CI]: 4.9-8.9) and in period A was 5.3 months (95% CI: 4.5-6.3; p = 0.046). In period B, the median overall survival with lenvatinib was 9.7 months (95% CI: 6.3-18.4) versus 4.8 months with sorafenib (95% CI: 4.0-7.1, p = 0.008). Costs for prescription drugs per patient increased from €6150 in 2015 to €9049 in 2020 (p < 0.0001), and costs for outpatient care per patient increased from €1646 to €2149 (p = 0.0240).

CONCLUSION

The approval of new systemic therapies resulted in a survival benefit in patients with HCC. The magnitude of the effect is modest and associated with a moderate increase in health costs.

Exploring Opportunities to Enhance the Screening and Surveillance of Hepatocellular Carcinoma in Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease (NAFLD) through Risk Stratification Algorithms Incorporating Ultrasound Elastography

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), with its progressive form, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), has emerged as a significant public health concern, affecting over 30% of the global population. Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), a complication associated with both cirrhotic and non-cirrhotic NAFLD, has shown a significant increase in incidence. A substantial proportion of NAFLD-related HCC occurs in non-cirrhotic livers, highlighting the need for improved risk stratification and surveillance strategies. This comprehensive review explores the potential role of liver ultrasound elastography as a risk assessment tool for HCC development in NAFLD and highlights the importance of effective screening tools for early, cost-effective detection and improved management of NAFLD-related HCC. The integration of non-invasive tools and algorithms into risk stratification strategies could have the capacity to enhance NAFLD-related HCC screening and surveillance effectiveness. Alongside exploring the potential advancement of non-invasive tools and algorithms for effectively stratifying HCC risk in NAFLD, we offer essential perspectives that could enable readers to improve the personalized assessment of NAFLD-related HCC risk through a more methodical screening approach.

Global, regional, and national time trends in cancer mortality attributable to high fasting plasma glucose: an age-period cohort analysis

BACKGROUND

High fasting plasma glucose (HFPG) is the fastest-growing risk factor for cancer deaths worldwide. We reported the cancer mortality attributable to HFPG at global, regional, and national levels over the past three decades and associations with age, period, and birth cohort.

METHODS

Data for this study were retrieved from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019, and we used age-period-cohort modelling to estimate age, cohort and period effects, as well as net drift (overall annual percentage change) and local drift (annual percentage change in each age group).

RESULTS

Over the past 30 years, the global age-standardized mortality rate (ASMR) attributable to HFPG has increased by 27.8%. The ASMR in 2019 was highest in the male population in high sociodemographic index (SDI) areas (8.70; 95% CI, 2.23-18.04). The net drift for mortality was highest in the female population in low SDI areas (2.33; 95% CI, 2.12-2.55). Unfavourable period and cohort effects were found across all SDI quintiles. Cancer subtypes such as "trachea, bronchus, and lung cancers", "colon and rectal cancers", "breast cancer" and "pancreatic cancer" exhibited similar trends.

CONCLUSIONS

The cancer mortality attributable to HFPG has surged during the past three decades. Unfavourable age-period-cohort effects on mortality were observed across all SDI quintiles, and the cancer mortality attributable to HFPG is expected to continue to increase rapidly in the future, particularly in lower SDI locations. This is a grim global public health issue that requires immediate attention.

Emerging treatment strategies in hepatobiliary cancer

INTRODUCTION

There have been significant advances in the treatment of hepatobiliary cancers, especially for advanced-stage disease. However, data is limited for optimal therapy selection in the first line and sequencing of available options.

AREAS COVERED

This review covers the systemic treatment of hepatobiliary cancers with an emphasis on the advanced stage. The previously published and ongoing trials will be discussed to create an algorithm for the current practice and to give future perspectives on how the field could go forward.

EXPERT OPINION

While there is no standard-of-care option in the adjuvant treatment of hepatocellular cancer, capecitabine is the standard of care for biliary tract cancer. The efficacy of adjuvant gemcitabine and cisplatin and the added benefit of radiotherapy to chemotherapy are yet to be defined. For the advanced stage, immunotherapy-based combinations became the standard of care for both hepatocellular and biliary tract cancers. The molecularly targeted therapy has profoundly changed the second-line and later treatment for biliary tract cancers, while the optimal second-line treatment for advanced hepatocellular cancer is yet to be defined due to rapid advances in the first-line setting.

Emerging Role of Cancer-Associated Fibroblasts in Progression and Treatment of Hepatocellular Carcinoma

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is one of the most prevalent cancers worldwide and the fourth leading cause of cancer-related death globally. Tumor cells recruit and remodel various types of stromal and inflammatory cells to form a tumor microenvironment (TME), which encompasses cellular and molecular entities, including cancer-associated fibroblasts (CAFs), tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs), tumor-associated neutrophils (TANs), immune cells, myeloid-derived suppressor cells (MDSCs), immune checkpoint molecules and cytokines that promote cancer cell growth, as well as their drug resistance. HCC usually arises in the context of cirrhosis, which is always associated with an enrichment of activated fibroblasts that are owed to chronic inflammation. CAFs are a major component of the TME, providing physical support in it and secreting various proteins, such as extracellular matrices (ECMs), hepatocyte growth factor (HGF), insulin-like growth factor 1/2 (ILGF1/2) and cytokines that can modulate tumor growth and survival. As such, CAF-derived signaling may increase the pool of resistant cells, thus reducing the duration of clinical responses and increasing the degree of heterogeneity within tumors. Although CAFs are often implicated to be associated with tumor growth, metastasis and drug resistance, several studies have reported that CAFs have significant phenotypic and functional heterogeneity, and some CAFs display antitumor and drug-sensitizing properties. Multiple studies have highlighted the relevance of crosstalk between HCC cells, CAFs and other stromal cells in influence of HCC progression. Although basic and clinical studies partially revealed the emerging roles of CAFs in immunotherapy resistance and immune evasion, a better understanding of the unique functions of CAFs in HCC progression will contribute to development of more effective molecular-targeted drugs. In this review article, molecular mechanisms involved in crosstalk between CAFs, HCC cells and other stromal cells, as well as the effects of CAFs on HCC-cell growth, metastasis, drug resistance and clinical outcomes, are comprehensively discussed.

Treatment of recurrent hepatocellular carcinoma following liver resection, ablation or liver transplantation

Hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is the most common primary liver malignancy and causes one third of cancer related deaths world-wide. Approximately one third of patients with HCC are eligible for curative treatments that include hepatic resection, liver transplantation or imaging guided tumor ablation. Recurrence rates after primary therapy depends on tumor biology and pre-treatment tumor burden with early recurrence rates ranging from 30%-80% following surgical resection and ablation. HCC recurs in over ten percent following liver transplantation for HCC. Treatment modalities for tumor recurrence following resection and ablation include repeat liver resection, salvage liver transplantation, locoregional therapies, and systemic chemotherapy/immunotherapy. Locoregional and immune mediated therapies are limited for patients with tumor recurrence following liver transplantation given potential immune related allograft rejection. Given the high HCC recurrence rates after primary tumor treatment, it is imperative for the clinician to review the appropriate treatment strategy for this disease entity. This article will review the current literature regarding HCC recurrence after primary curative therapies and will discuss the relevant future trends in the HCC field.

Exposure to perfluoroalkyl substances and risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in a multiethnic cohort

Background & Aims

Exposure to poly- and perfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), a class of persistent organic pollutants, is ubiquitous. Animal studies suggest that PFAS may increase risk of fatty liver and hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) via impacts on hepatic lipid, amino acid, and glucose metabolism, but human data is lacking. We examined associations between PFAS exposure, altered metabolic pathways, and risk of non-viral HCC.

Methods

In this nested case-control study, pre-diagnostic plasma PFAS and metabolomics were measured in 50 incident HCC cases and 50 individually matched controls from the Multiethnic Cohort (MEC) study. Cases/controls were matched by age, sex, race, and study area. PFAS exposure and risk of HCC were examined using conditional logistic regression. A metabolome-wide association study and pathway enrichment analysis was performed for PFAS exposure and HCC risk, and key metabolites/metabolic pathways were identified using a meet in the middle approach.

Results

High perfluorooctane sulfonic acid (PFOS) levels (90th percentile from NHANES; >55 μg/L) were associated with 4.5-fold increased risk of HCC (odds ratio 4.5, 95% CI 1.2-16.0). Pathway enrichment analysis showed that PFOS exposure was associated with alterations in amino acid and glycan biosynthesis pathways, which were also associated with HCC risk. We identified 4 metabolites linking PFOS exposure with HCC, including glucose, butyric acid (a short-chain fatty acid), α-ketoisovaleric acid (a branched-chain α-keto acid), and 7α-hydroxy-3-oxo-4-cholestenoate (a bile acid), each of which was positively associated with PFOS exposure and risk of HCC.

Conclusion

This proof-of-concept analysis shows that exposure to high PFOS levels was associated with increased risk of non-viral HCC, likely via alterations in glucose, amino acid, and bile acid metabolism. Larger studies are needed to confirm these findings.

Lay summary

Per- and polyfluoroalkyl substances (PFAS), often referred to as "forever chemicals" because they are difficult to break down and stay in the human body for years, are extremely common and can cause liver damage. In a first of its kind study, we found that exposure to high levels of perfluorooctanesulfonic acid, one of the most common PFAS chemicals, was linked to increased risk of hepatocellular carcinoma in humans. Hepatocellular carcinoma is difficult to treat and is one of the most common forms of liver cancer, and these findings may provide new avenues for helping to prevent this disease.

Inhibition of APOC1 promotes the transformation of M2 into M1 macrophages via the ferroptosis pathway and enhances anti-PD1 immunotherapy in hepatocellular carcinoma based on single-cell RNA sequencing

Single-cell RNA-sequencing (scRNA-seq) presents better insights into cell behavior in the context of a complex tumor microenvironment by profiling single-cell populations. However, the mechanisms underlying treatment failure in hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) are poorly understood. In this study, we performed deep scRNA-seq on immune cells under the isolation in peripheral blood, cancer tissues, and nearby common tissues of four HCC cases and two non-cancer controls, and 212,494 cells were included in the analysis. We identified distinct immune cell subtypes, enriched pathways for differential genes, and delineated associated developmentally relevant trajectories. APOC1 was found over-expressed in tumor-associated macrophages (TAMs) of HCC tissues than in normal tissues. Inhibition of APOC1 reversed the M2 phenotype to the M1 phenotype via the ferroptosis pathway in TAMs from HCC. Tumors in APOC1 ^−/− C57BL/6 mice demonstrated consistent attenuation compared to wild-type (WT) mice. Mass spectrometry results revealed that the relative proportion of M2 macrophages, B cells, and CD4⁺ T cells in the APOC1 ^−/− group exhibited a downward expression compared with the WT group, whereas CD8⁺ T cells, M1 macrophages, and NK cells exhibited an upward trend. Finally, APOC1 was found to be negatively correlated with the expression of PD1/PD-L1 in human HCC samples. In conclusion, the present study demonstrated that inhibiting APOC1 can promote the transformation of M2 macrophages into M1 macrophages via the ferroptosis pathway, thereby reshaping the tumor immune microenvironment and improving the anti-PD1 immunotherapy for HCC, providing a new strategy for improving the therapeutic effect of anti-PD1, and bringing new hope to HCC patients.

Trends in the disease burden of congenital heart disease in China over the past three decades

OBJECTIVE

To investigate the disease burden of congenital heart disease (CHD) in China from 1990 to 2019.

METHODS

Using the data from Global Burden of Disease (GBD) study 2019, the incidence, age-standardized incidence rates, the mortality, age-standardized mortality rates, disability-adjusted life year (DALY) and age-standardized DALY rates of CHD were calculated. Time trend analysis of disease burden-related indicators was analyzed by Joinpoint regression model. Age-period-cohort model was used to describe age, period, and birth cohort effects in CHD mortality population. The relationship between age-standardized incidence, mortality, DALY rates of congenital heart disease and human development index (HDI) were analyzed by Pearson correlation.

RESULTS

From 1990 to 2019, the mean annual percentage change (AAPC) in age-standardized incidence rate, mortality rate and DALY rate of CHD in China were -0.1%(95% CI: -0.7%-0.4%)、-3.5%(95% CI: -3.7%--3.2%) and -3.5%(95% CI: -3.7%--3.2%), respectively. CHD usually occurred in the first year of life. The mean incidence rate at birth was 2497.9/100 000, and the mean incidence rate under 1 year of age was 2626.6/100 000. During the period of 1995-2000, the incidence rate in newborn and <1 year children showed an exponential upward trend, then it remained a steady downward trend. However, there was an exponential increase in <1 year children during 2010-2013 and 2014-2015, followed by an exponential decrease to the lowest value in the last three decades. The mortality of CHD tended to decrease with age, with mortality of 101.67/100 000 for children under 5 years of age and a decrease after 5 years of age. However, there was a transient increase in mortality in age group 55-<60. From 1995 to 2019, the relative risk of death of patients with CHD showed a downward trend. Compared with 1995-1999, the rate ratio of death decreased by 24% in 2015-2019. Such downward trend was also observed in the birth cohort after 1945. Compared with the 1945-1949 birth cohort, the rate ratio of death for patients with CHD decreased by 75% in the 2015-2019 birth cohort. When HDI<0.58 (before 1999), the age-standardized incidence of CHD was positively correlated with HDI ( r=0.74, P<0.05). When HDI≥0.58 (after 1999), the age-standardized incidence of CHD was negatively correlated with HDI ( r=-0.76, P<0.01). The age-standardized mortality and DALY rates were negatively correlated with HDI ( r=-0.95 and -0.93, both P<0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

During 1990 to 1999, the incidence of CHD increases and is positively correlated with the social development. During 1999 to 2019, the incidence of CHD decreases and is negatively correlated with the social development. The disease burden of CHD decreases and is negatively correlated with the social development. Some progress has been made in the field of prevention and control of CHD, but the disease burden remains high among younger population in China.