Disease burden and economic impact of diagnosed non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) in the United Kingdom (UK) in 2018

Cardiac and liver impairment on multiorgan MRI and risk of major adverse cardiovascular and liver events

Cardiovascular disease and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease are common conditions associated with high mortality and morbidity, yet opportunities for integrated prevention are underinvestigated. We explored the association between impairment in the liver (defined by increased iron-corrected T1 (cT1) time) and/or heart (reduced left ventricular ejection fraction ≤ 50) and risk of experiencing cardiovascular- or liver-related events or all-cause mortality among 28,841 UK Biobank participants who underwent magnetic resonance imaging. Using Cox proportional hazard models, adjusted for age, sex, body mass index, type 2 diabetes and dyslipidaemia, we observed that cardiac impairment was associated with increased incidence of cardiovascular events (hazard ratio (HR) 2.3 (1.9-2.7)) and hospitalization (HR 2.1 (1.8-2.4)). Liver impairment was associated with incident cardiovascular hospitalization (cT1 ≥ 800 ms, HR 1.3 (1.1-1.5)), liver events (cT1 ≥ 875 ms, HR 9.2 (3.2-26) and hospitalization (cT1 ≥ 875 ms, HR 5.5 (3.2-9.3). Associations between cT1 and liver events were maintained in participants with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatotic liver disease (N = 6,223). Reduced left ventricular ejection fraction (≤50) combined with elevated cT1 (≥800 ms) were associated with earlier cardiovascular events (time to event 0.8 versus 2.4 years; P < 0.05). Cardiac and liver impairment are independently, or in combination, associated with cardiovascular or liver events, suggesting a dual role for magnetic resonance imaging in integrated prevention pathways.

Estimating the clinical and healthcare burden of metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis in England: a retrospective cohort study using routinely collected healthcare data from 2011 to 2020

OBJECTIVE

To characterise patients with metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) in England and to estimate its associated healthcare resource use (HCRU) and costs, both overall and by progression status and comorbidities.

DESIGN

This was a retrospective observational study of adults with a MASH-coded primary and/or secondary care recorded diagnosis in England (2011-2020). The analysis used data from the Clinical Practice Research Datalink linked to the Hospital Episode Statistics and death registrations. Annualised all-cause and MASH-related (ie, coded as MASH, end-stage liver disease or major adverse cardiovascular event) HCRU and costs were calculated for patients with incident MASH. Subgroup analyses were conducted for patients with type 2 diabetes, overweight/obesity, cardiovascular disease or progression to cirrhosis. Comparative cost analysis was conducted between those with progressed MASH and those who did not progress.

RESULTS

A total of 2696 patients were included (mean follow-up: 4 years). Incidence of MASH was estimated at 4.7 per 100 000 person-years overall and increased among patients with key comorbidities. Patients who had type 2 diabetes had greater HCRU and costs than those who did not (eg, mean 1.8 vs 1.0 all-cause inpatient admissions and £2227 vs £1151 all-cause inpatient costs per-patient per-year). Some patients with MASH progressed to compensated (8.6%) or decompensated cirrhosis (6.5%) during the study. HCRU and costs were substantially higher among patients who progressed than among those who did not (eg, mean 2.4 vs 1.1 all-cause inpatient admissions and £3620 vs £1290 all-cause inpatient costs per-patient per-year).

CONCLUSION

HCRU and costs associated with MASH are higher among patients who have cardiometabolic comorbidities or who progress to advanced disease stages. Therefore, efforts to detect cases early and prevent disease progression could reduce healthcare burden.

Disease and Economic Burden of Plastic Surgery-Related Diseases in the United Kingdom

This study aimed to assess the burden and economic impact of disease associated with plastic and reconstructive surgery in the United Kingdom. We calculated a value per statistical life year of £60,000 per person in the United Kingdom ($75,510 in U.S. dollars). We found that in 2019, the estimated age-standardized incident rates, age-standardized death rates, and age-standardized disability-adjusted life years of plastic surgery-related conditions were 361.47 per 100,000, 19.5 per 100,000 and 551.0 per 100,000, respectively. Burn emerged as the leading contributor to the overall disease burden, accounting for 32%, followed by decubitus ulcer (21%) and breast cancer (17%). The economic burden of plastic surgery-related diseases in the United Kingdom amounted to £34.3 billion (43.2 billion in U.S. dollars) in 2019, exhibiting a steady increase from £19.6 billion (24.7 billion in U.S. dollars) in 1990. Plastic and reconstructive surgery-related diseases, primarily breast cancer, thermal burns, and malignant melanoma, impose a substantial burden on the U.K. health care system. These findings hold significant implications for national health care policy, funding allocation, and research prioritization.

Utility and cost-effectiveness of LiverMultiScan for MASLD diagnosis: a real-world multi-national randomised clinical trial

BACKGROUND

Increasing prevalence of metabolic dysfunction-associated liver disease (MASLD) and metabolic dysfunction-associated steatohepatitis (MASH) poses a growing healthcare burden. Noninvasive diagnostic tools to replace liver biopsy are urgently needed. We investigated the utility and cost-effectiveness of including multiparametric magnetic resonance imaging (mpMRI) to the management of adults with suspected MASLD multi-nationally.

METHODS

RADIcAL-1, a 1:1 randomised controlled trial (standard-of-care [SoC] vs. imaging arm [IA; SoC+mpMRI]) included 802 participants from Germany, Netherlands, Portugal and UK. Wilcoxon-rank tests were used to compare access to healthcare practitioners, patient assessments and proportion of patients with a diagnosis (%diagnosis). Liver fat and disease activity (corrected T1 [cT1]) were used to identify patients not requiring biopsy in the imaging arm. Primary endpoint was mpMRI cost-effectiveness and improvement in resource use (visits avoided) using mpMRI.

RESULTS

mpMRI is cost-effective with an ICER of €4968/QALY gained. 403 were randomised to IA and 399 to SoC. SoC has significantly more specialist appointments (p = 0.015) and patient assessments (p < 0.001). Across all involved hospitals, %diagnosis is significantly higher in the imaging arm (p = 0.0012). cT1 correctly classifies 50% of patients without MASH with fibrosis and can avoid biopsy. Including all costs, the imaging arm incurs higher short-term per-patient healthcare expenditure compared to the SoC arm (€1,300 vs. €830).

CONCLUSION

Adding mpMRI to SoC for the management of adults with suspected MASLD multi-nationally is cost-effective, enhances rate of diagnosis multi-nationally and increases rate of diagnosis without increasing other liver-related health care resource use. Due to the need for standardisation of SoC, widespread use can support optimisation of the MASLD clinical pathway and improve long-term patient management.

RNA-seq analysis reveals transcriptome changes in livers from Efcab4b knockout mice

EFCAB4B is an evolutionarily conserved protein that encodes for the Rab GTPase Rab46, and the CRAC channel modulator, CRACR2A. Previous genome wide association studies have demonstrated the association of EFCAB4B variants in the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). In this study we show that mice with global depletion of Efcab4b -/- have significantly larger livers than their wild-type (WT) counterparts. We performed RNA-sequencing (RNA-seq) analysis of liver tissues to investigate differential global gene expression among Efcab4b -/- and WT mice. Of the 69 differentially expressed genes (DEGs), analyses of biological processes found significant enrichment in liver and bile development, with 6 genes (Pck1, Aacs, Onecut1, E2f8, Xbp1, and Hes1) involved in both processes. Specific consideration of possible roles of DEGs or their products in NAFLD progression to (NASH) and hepatocarcinoma (HCC), demonstrated DEGs in the livers of Efcab4b -/- mice had roles in molecular pathways including lipid metabolism, inflammation, ER stress and fibrosis. The results in this study provide additional insights into molecular mechanisms responsible for increasing susceptibility of liver injuries associated with EFCAB4B.

Screening for advanced liver disease incorporating the use of transitional elastography in primary care

OBJECTIVES

To describe the proportion of patients with liver fibrosis in at-risk populations in primary care (PC). To know the agreement between FIB-4 and transitional elastography (TE), interobserver agreement between PC and hospital care (HC) in TE, and associated risk Factors (RF).

METHODS

Observational, descriptive, cross-sectional study in ≥16 years of age with RF for chronic liver disease. Sex and age, RF (alteration of liver tests [LT], metabolic syndrome, diabetes, obesity, alcohol consumption, hepatic steatosis), and FIB-4, controlled attenuation parameter and TE in PC and in HC, were collected. According to a consensus algorithm, vibration-controlled TE was performed in PC in patients with FIB-4≥1,3, and those with measurement ≥8kPa were referred to HC.

RESULTS

326 patients were studied. 71% were not referred to HC, due to liver stiffness <8kPa. 83 of the 95 derivations did TE in HC. 45 (54%) had TE ≥8, and 25 (30%) ≥12. The proportion of patients with stiffness ≥8kPa was 13,8% (45/326) and ≥12kPa, 7,6% (25/326). The predictive values of the FIB-4 were low. The interobserver correlation coefficient between TE in PC and HC was 0,433. Variables associated with TE ≥8 in PC: LT alteration, diabetes and steatosis. With TE ≥12: LT alteration, diabetes and obesity.

PREDICTOR VARIABLES

LT alteration and obesity.

CONCLUSIONS

The study supports the sequential performance of serum indices and TE as a screening for fibrosis in the at-risk population in PC, which allows a reduction in the percentage of patients referred to AH, and a better stratification of risk patients.

Burden of NASH related liver cancer from 1990 to 2021 at the global, regional, and national levels

Background

The global burden of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH)-related liver cancer (NRLC) is increasing, making NASH the fastest-growing cause of liver cancer worldwide. This study presents a comprehensive analysis of NRLC burden at the global, regional, and national levels, further categorized by age, sex, and sociodemographic index (SDI).

Method

Data on NRLC from the Global Burden of Disease, Injuries, and Risk Factors (GBD) study 2021 were downloaded at global, regional, and national levels. The numbers and age-standardized rates (ASRs) of incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) were analyzed to quantify the global burden of NRLC. Additionally, percentage changes in ASRs were used to identify trends in NRLC from 1990 to 2021.

Results

Globally, both the number of cases and ASRs for NRLC increased between 1990 and 2021. In 2021, there were 42,291 new cases, 40,925 deaths, and 995,475 DALYs attributed to NRLC. East Asia, South Asia, and Southeast Asia reported the highest absolute case numbers, while Western, Southern, and Eastern Sub-Saharan Africa exhibited the highest ASRs. From 1990 to 2021, Australasia, Southern Latin America, and High-income North America showed the most significant increases in NRLC incidence. Nationally, Mongolia, Gambia, and Mozambique exhibited the highest ASR in 2021.The greatest percentage increases in ASIR occurred in Australia, the United Kingdom, and New Zealand between 1990 and 2021. NRLC incidence rates were higher in men and increased with age, peaking at 80-89 years. Similar patterns were observed for NRLC-related deaths and DALYs. Regionally, ASRs initially declined but then increased as SDI rose. At the national level, ASRs consistently decreased with higher SDI.

Conclusion

This study highlights the substantial burden of NRLC at global, regional, and national levels. Males and older individuals bear a higher disease burden, and considerable variation exists across different regions and countries. These findings provide critical insights for formulating effective strategies to prevent and manage NRLC.

Progression from Non-alcoholic Steatohepatitis to Advanced Liver Diseases and Mortality Among Medicare Patients

INTRODUCTION

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) may progress to more advanced liver disease. This study aimed to characterize NASH progression and mortality in the Medicare population.

METHODS

Patients with NASH in 100% Medicare fee-for-service claims accrued from 2015-2021 who were ≥ 66 years old at index diagnosis, continuously enrolled for ≥ 12 months prior to and ≥ 6 months following index (unless death), and had no evidence of other causes of liver disease were included. Diagnosis codes defined severity states: non-cirrhotic NASH, compensated cirrhosis (CC), decompensated cirrhosis (DCC), hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC), and liver transplant (LT). Survival analyses of disease progression and mortality were conducted for each state and by year of progression (Y1-5). Cox proportional hazards models assessed risk factors of worsening disease.

RESULTS

Mean age and follow-up were 72.2 and 2.8 years in 14,806 unique patients (n = 12,990 NASH; 1899 CC; 997 DCC; 209 HCC; 140 LT). Progression rates were highest for patients with CC (11-37% for Y1-5), followed by DCC (3-18%), NASH (3-12%), and HCC (2-4%). Mortality rates were highest for patients with HCC (41-85% for Y1-5), followed by DCC (41-76%), LT (7-33%), CC (6-26%), and NASH (2-12%). Patients with any disease progression had a 5-year mortality rate more than double that of patients without progression (41% vs. 16%). Delayed progression from NASH was associated with lower mortality risk; the 5-year mortality rate was 26% lower for patients with progression in Y2 vs. Y1 (32% vs. 43%) and further decreased for progression in Y3-Y5. Risk factors included age, nursing home use, congestive heart failure, coagulopathy, fluid/electrolyte disorders, and unexplained weight loss.

CONCLUSION

Medicare patients ≥ 66 years with NASH experience high risk of disease progression associated with increased mortality rates. Slower disease progression is associated with lower mortality rates, suggesting that therapies that can delay or prevent NASH progression may reduce morbidity and mortality.

Artificial Intelligence in Identifying Patients With Undiagnosed Nonalcoholic Steatohepatitis

Background: Although increasing in prevalence, nonalcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is often undiagnosed in clinical practice. Objective: This study identified patients in the Veterans Affairs (VA) health system who likely had undiagnosed NASH using a machine learning algorithm. Methods: From a VA data set of 25 million adult enrollees, the study population was divided into NASH-positive, non-NASH, and at-risk cohorts. We performed a claims data analysis using a machine learning algorithm. To build our model, the study population was randomly divided into an 80% training subset and a 20% testing subset and tested and trained using a cross-validation technique. In addition to the baseline model, a gradient-boosted classification tree, naïve Bayes, and random forest model were created and compared using receiver operator characteristics, area under the curve, and accuracy. The best performing model was retrained on the full 80% training subset and applied to the 20% testing subset to calculate the performance metrics. Results: In total, 4 223 443 patients met the study inclusion criteria, of whom 4903 were positive for NASH and 35 528 were non-NASH patients. The remainder was in the at-risk patient cohort, of which 514 997 patients (12%) were identified as likely to have NASH. Age, obesity, and abnormal liver function tests were the top determinants in assigning NASH probability. Conclusions: Utilization of machine learning to predict NASH allows for wider recognition, timely intervention, and targeted treatments to improve or mitigate disease progression and could be used as an initial screening tool.

Molecular Pharmacology of Vitamin C and Relevance to Health and Obesity-A Narrative Review

The role of food constituents as pharmacological agents is an important consideration in health and obesity. Vitamin C acts as a small molecule antioxidant but is also a co-factor for numerous transition metal-dependent enzymes involved in healthy weight and energy metabolism. Vitamin C cannot be manufactured by humans and is mainly obtained from the dietary intake of fresh fruit and vegetables. There is great variability between different nutritional guidelines in the recommended daily allowance of vitamin C. Vitamin C deficiency results from an inadequate intake of vitamin C-containing foods and also increased utilization by oxidative and carbonyl stress. Risk factors for vitamin C deficiency include cigarette smoking, malnutrition, obesity, type 2 diabetes mellitus, age, race, sex, social isolation, major surgery, and Western-type diets. Despite the common belief that vitamin C deficiency is rare in affluent countries, surveys of large populations and specific patient groups suggest otherwise. Patients with obesity typically consume highly processed, energy-dense foods which contain inadequate micronutrients. As obesity increases, larger amounts of oral vitamin C are required to achieve adequate plasma and tissue concentrations, as compared to persons with a healthy weight. This is important in the control of oxidative stress and the maintenance of homeostasis and organ function. In this narrative review, the dosage, absorption, distribution, excretion, and catabolism of vitamin C are reviewed, together with the latest findings on vitamin C pharmacology in patients with obesity.

Efficacy and safety of aldafermin in non-alcoholic steatohepatitis: A systematic review and meta-analysis of randomized controlled trials

BACKGROUND

Non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is an advanced subtype of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). NASH prevalence is increasing exponentially and carries a high risk for disease progression, cirrhosis, and liver-related mortality. Aldafermin, a fibroblast growth factor 19 (FGF19) analog, is one of the evolving therapeutic agents with the potential to regulate multiple pathways involved in the pathogenesis of NASH. We aimed to investigate the efficacy and safety of aldafermin in patients with NASH.

METHODS

PubMed, Scopus, Cochrane Library, and Web of Science were searched till November 2023 to identify eligible randomized controlled trials (RCTs). Continuous data were pooled as mean difference (MD), while dichotomous data were pooled as risk ratios (RR) with a 95 % confidence interval. A subgroup meta-analysis was conducted to evaluate the efficacy of the two doses (1 mg and 3 mg) of aldafermin.

RESULTS

Four RCTs with a total of 491 patients were included. Aldafermin showed a dose-dependent improvement in the ≥30 % reduction in the liver fat content (RR: 2.16, 95 % CI [1.41 to 3.32]) and (RR: 5.00, 95 % CI [1.34 to 18.64]), alanine aminotransferase levels (MD: -19.79, 95 % CI [-30.28 to -9.3]) and (MD: -21.91, 95 % CI [-29.62 to -14.21]), aspartate aminotransferase levels (MD: -11.79, 95 % CI [-18.06 to -5.51]) and (MD: -13.9, 95 % CI [-18.59 to -9.21]), and enhanced liver fibrosis score (ELF) (MD: -0.13, 95 % CI [-0.29 to 0.02]) and (MD: -0.33, 95 % CI [-0.50 to -0.17]), in the 1 mg and 3 mg subgroups respectively. No significant differences were detected in the aldafermin group regarding histologic endpoints, lipid profile, metabolic parameters, and overall adverse effects, except for the increased occurrence of diarrhea in the aldafermin 3 mg subgroup.

CONCLUSION

Aldafermin is a promising well-tolerated therapeutic agent for NASH with evidence supporting its ability to reduce liver fat content, fibrosis serum biomarkers, and liver enzymes. However, its effectiveness in improving histologic fibrosis, while showing numerical trends, still lacks statistical significance. Larger and longer NASH trials are warranted to enhance the robustness of the evidence.

Development of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis is associated with gut microbiota but not with oxysterol enzymes CH25H, EBI2, or CYP7B1 in mice

Liver steatosis is the most frequent liver disorder and its advanced stage, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), will soon become the main reason for liver fibrosis and cirrhosis. The "multiple hits hypothesis" suggests that progression from simple steatosis to NASH is triggered by multiple factors including the gut microbiota composition. The Epstein Barr virus induced gene 2 (EBI2) is a receptor for the oxysterol 7a, 25-dihydroxycholesterol synthesized by the enzymes CH25H and CYP7B1. EBI2 and its ligand control activation of immune cells in secondary lymphoid organs and the gut. Here we show a concurrent study of the microbial dysregulation and perturbation of the EBI2 axis in a mice model of NASH.We used mice with wildtype, or littermates with CH25H-/-, EBI2-/-, or CYP7B1-/- genotypes fed with a high-fat diet (HFD) containing high amounts of fat, cholesterol, and fructose for 20 weeks to induce liver steatosis and NASH. Fecal and small intestinal microbiota samples were collected, and microbiota signatures were compared according to genotype and NASH disease state.We found pronounced differences in microbiota composition of mice with HFD developing NASH compared to mice did not developing NASH. In mice with NASH, we identified significantly increased 33 taxa mainly belonging to the Clostridiales order and/ or the family, and significantly decreased 17 taxa. Using an Elastic Net algorithm, we suggest a microbiota signature that predicts NASH in animals with a HFD from the microbiota composition with moderate accuracy (area under the receiver operator characteristics curve = 0.64). In contrast, no microbiota differences regarding the studied genotypes (wildtype vs knock-out CH25H-/-, EBI2-/-, or CYP7B1-/-) were observed.In conclusion, our data confirm previous studies identifying the intestinal microbiota composition as a relevant marker for NASH pathogenesis. Further, no link of the EBI2 - oxysterol axis to the intestinal microbiota was detectable in the current study.

Estimating the cost of illness of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in Bangladesh

BACKGROUND AND AIM

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is a growing concern, affecting about 45 million of the Bangladeshi population. There is a paucity of research on the economic burden of NAFLD. The study aims to estimate the cost of illness of NAFLD in Bangladesh.

METHODS

In this prospective, cross-sectional study, a total of 250 patients of NAFLD, non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), and NASH cirrhosis were included from public and private hospitals. Costs of hospitalization, physician fees, investigation costs, expenditures on medical procedures, drugs; and nonmedical costs such as transport expenses and other informal payments (tips) were estimated.

RESULTS

The overall cost per patient per evaluation was (16.90-46 942.00) USD. The cost in public and private hospitals was 384.76 and 1146.93 USD, respectively. The cost per patient of NAFLD was 157.91 (16.90-955.08) USD, and for NASH cirrhosis was 1783.80 (422.48-46 942) USD. The cost of illness increased to USD 281.18 for diabetics and 254.52 USD for hypertensive. If all the NAFLD patients are evaluated once in healthcare settings, the projected cost will be 7.11 billion USD. In NAFLD, cost for investigations, medicines, transportation, and consultation of physicians was 49.08%, 32.41%, 11.11%, and 6.67%, respectively.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is causing a huge economic burden to the healthcare system. The cost of illness is increased with NASH cirrhosis. Overall, this study provides valuable insights into the economic burden of NAFLD in Bangladesh and emphasizes the several ways of intervention to reduce the cost by preventive measures and accessible healthcare for affected individuals.

Diagnostic accuracy and clinical impact of MRI-based technologies for patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease: systematic review and economic evaluation

Background

Magnetic resonance imaging-based technologies are non-invasive diagnostic tests that can be used to assess non-alcoholic fatty liver disease.

Objectives

The study objectives were to assess the diagnostic test accuracy, clinical impact and cost-effectiveness of two magnetic resonance imaging-based technologies (LiverMultiScan and magnetic resonance elastography) for patients with non-alcoholic fatty liver disease for whom advanced fibrosis or cirrhosis had not been diagnosed and who had indeterminate results from fibrosis testing, or for whom transient elastography or acoustic radiation force impulse was unsuitable, or who had discordant results from fibrosis testing.

Data sources

The data sources searched were MEDLINE, MEDLINE Epub Ahead of Print, In-Process & Other Non-Indexed Citations, Embase, Cochrane Database of Systematic Reviews, Cochrane Central Database of Controlled Trials, Database of Abstracts of Reviews of Effects and the Health Technology Assessment.

Methods

A systematic review was conducted using established methods. Diagnostic test accuracy estimates were calculated using bivariate models and a summary receiver operating characteristic curve was calculated using a hierarchical model. A simple decision-tree model was developed to generate cost-effectiveness results.

Results

The diagnostic test accuracy review (13 studies) and the clinical impact review (11 studies) only included one study that provided evidence for patients who had indeterminate or discordant results from fibrosis testing. No studies of patients for whom transient elastography or acoustic radiation force impulse were unsuitable were identified. Depending on fibrosis level, relevant published LiverMultiScan diagnostic test accuracy results ranged from 50% to 88% (sensitivity) and from 42% to 75% (specificity). No magnetic resonance elastography diagnostic test accuracy data were available for the specific population of interest. Results from the clinical impact review suggested that acceptability of LiverMultiScan was generally positive. To explore how the decision to proceed to biopsy is influenced by magnetic resonance imaging-based technologies, the External Assessment Group presented cost-effectiveness analyses for LiverMultiScan plus biopsy versus biopsy only. Base-case incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per quality-adjusted life year gained results for seven of the eight diagnostic test strategies considered showed that LiverMultiScan plus biopsy was dominated by biopsy only; for the remaining strategy (Brunt grade ≥2), the incremental cost-effectiveness ratio per quality-adjusted life year gained was £1,266,511. Results from threshold and scenario analyses demonstrated that External Assessment Group base-case results were robust to plausible variations in the magnitude of key parameters.

Limitations

Diagnostic test accuracy, clinical impact and cost-effectiveness data for magnetic resonance imaging-based technologies for the population that is the focus of this assessment were limited.

Conclusions

Magnetic resonance imaging-based technologies may be useful to identify patients who may benefit from additional testing in the form of liver biopsy and those for whom this additional testing may not be necessary. However, there is a paucity of diagnostic test accuracy and clinical impact data for patients who have indeterminate results from fibrosis testing, for whom transient elastography or acoustic radiation force impulse are unsuitable or who had discordant results from fibrosis testing. Given the External Assessment Group cost-effectiveness analyses assumptions, the use of LiverMultiScan and magnetic resonance elastography for assessing non-alcoholic fatty liver disease for patients with inconclusive results from previous fibrosis testing is unlikely to be a cost-effective use of National Health Service resources compared with liver biopsy only.

Study registration

This study is registered as PROSPERO CRD42021286891.

Funding

Funding for this study was provided by the Evidence Synthesis Programme of the National Institute for Health and Care Research (NIHR) Health Technology Assessment programme and will be published in full in Health Technology Assessment; Vol. 27, No. 10. See the NIHR Journals Library website for further project information.

Overview of Cellular and Soluble Mediators in Systemic Inflammation Associated with Non-Alcoholic Fatty Liver Disease

Non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) is currently the most prevalent chronic liver disease in Western countries, affecting approximately 25% of the adult population. This condition encompasses a spectrum of liver diseases characterized by abnormal accumulation of fat in liver tissue (non-alcoholic fatty liver, NAFL) that can progress to non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH), characterized by the presence of liver inflammation and damage. The latter form often coexists with liver fibrosis which, in turn, may progress to a state of cirrhosis and, potentially, hepatocarcinoma, both irreversible processes that often lead to the patient's death and/or the need for liver transplantation. Along with the high associated economic burden, the high mortality rate among NAFLD patients raises interest, not only in the search for novel therapeutic approaches, but also in early diagnosis and prevention to reduce the incidence of NAFLD-related complications. In this line, an exhaustive characterization of the immune status of patients with NAFLD is mandatory. Herein, we attempted to gather and compare the current and relevant scientific evidence on this matter, mainly on human reports. We addressed the current knowledge related to circulating cellular and soluble mediators, particularly platelets, different leukocyte subsets and relevant inflammatory soluble mediators.

The Global, Regional, and National Burden and Trends of NAFLD in 204 Countries and Territories: An Analysis From Global Burden of Disease 2019

BACKGROUND

Nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) poses a substantial socioeconomic burden and is becoming the fastest growing driver of chronic liver disease, potentially accompanied by a poor prognosis.

OBJECTIVE

We aim to elucidate the global and regional epidemiologic changes in NAFLD during the past 30 years and explore the interconnected diseases.

METHODS

Data on NAFLD incidence, prevalence, death, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) were extracted from the Global Burden of Disease Study 2019. The age-standardized incident rate (ASIR), age-standardized prevalent rate (ASPR), age-standardized death rate (ASDR), and age-standardized DALYs were calculated to eliminate the confounding effects of age when comparing the epidemiologic changes between different geographical regions. In addition, we also investigated the correlation between the NAFLD burden and the sociodemographic index (SDI). Finally, the associations of the 3 common comorbidities with NAFLD were determined.

RESULTS

Globally, the incidence and prevalence of NAFLD both increased drastically during the past 3 decades (incidence: from 88,180 in 1990 to 172,330 in 2019, prevalence: from 561,370,000 in 1990 to 1,235,700,000 in 2019), mainly affecting young adults who were aged from 15 to 49 years. The ASIR increased slightly from 1.94 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 2.08 per 100,000 population in 2019, while ASPR increased from 12,070 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 15,020 per 100,000 population in 2019. In addition, the number of deaths and DALYs attributable to NAFLD increased significantly as well from 93,760 in 1990 to 168,970 in 2019 and from 2,711,270 in 1990 to 4,417,280 in 2019, respectively. However, the ASDR and age-standardized DALYs presented decreasing trends with values of estimated annual percentage change equaling to -0.67 and -0.82, respectively (ASDR: from 2.39 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 2.09 per 100,000 population in 2019; age-standardized DALYs: from 63.28 per 100,000 population in 1990 to 53.33 per 100,000 population in 2019). Thereinto, the burden of death and DALYs dominated the patients with NAFLD who are older than 50 years. Moreover, SDI appeared to have obvious negative associations with ASPR, ASDR, and age-standardized DALYs among 21 regions and 204 countries, although there is no marked association with ASIR. Finally, we found that the incidence and prevalence of NAFLD were positively related to those of diabetes mellitus type 2, stroke, and ischemic heart disease.

CONCLUSIONS

NAFLD is leading to increasingly serious health challenges worldwide. The morbidity presented a clear shift toward the young populations, while the heavier burden of death and DALYs in NAFLD was observed in the aged populations and in regions with relatively low SDI. Comprehensive acquisition of the epidemiologic pattern for NAFLD and the identification of high-risk comorbidities may help policy makers and clinical physicians develop cost-effective prevention and control strategies, especially in countries with a high NAFLD burden.

Conducting national burden of disease studies and knowledge translation in eight small European states: challenges and opportunities

BACKGROUND

Several countries across Europe are engaging in burden of disease (BoD) studies. This article aims to understand the experiences of eight small European states in relation to their research opportunities and challenges in conducting national BoD studies and in knowledge translation of research outputs to policy-making.

METHODS

Countries participating in the study were those outlined by the WHO/Europe Small Countries Initiative and members of the Cooperation in Science and Technology (COST) Action CA18218 European Burden of Disease Network. A set of key questions targeting the research landscape were distributed to these members. WHO's framework approach for research development capacities was applied to gain a comprehensive understanding of shortages in relation to national BoD studies in order to help strengthen health research capacities in the small states of Europe.

RESULTS

Most small states lack the resources and expertise to conduct BoD studies, but nationally representative data are relatively accessible. Public health officials and researchers tend to have a close-knit relationship with the governing body and policy-makers. The major challenge faced by small states is in knowledge generation and transfer rather than knowledge translation. Nevertheless, some policy-makers fail to make adequate use of knowledge translation.

CONCLUSIONS

Small states, if equipped with adequate resources, may have the capacity to conduct national BoD studies. This work can serve as a model for identifying current gaps and opportunities in each of the eight small European countries, as well as a guide for translating country BoD study results into health policy.

Global and regional projections of the economic burden of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias from 2019 to 2050: A value of statistical life approach

Background

The burden of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias (ADRDs) is expected to grow rapidly with population aging, especially in low- and middle-income countries, in the next few decades. We used a willingness-to-pay approach to project the global, regional, and national economic burden of ADRDs from 2019 to 2050 under status quo.

Methods

We projected age group and country-specific disability-adjusted life years (DALYs) lost to ADRDs in future years based on historical growth in disease burden and available population projections. We used country-specific extrapolations of the value of a statistical life (VSL) year and its future projections based on historical income growth to estimate the economic burden - measured in terms of the value of lost DALYs - of ADRDs. A probabilistic uncertainty analysis was used to calculate point estimates and 95% uncertainty bounds of the economic burden.

Findings

In 2019, the global VSL-based economic burden of ADRDs was an estimated $2.8 trillion. The burden was projected to increase to $4.7 trillion (95% uncertainty bound: $4 trillion-$5.5 trillion) in 2030, $8.5 trillion ($6.8 trillion-$10.8 trillion) in 2040, and $16.9 trillion ($11.3 trillion-$27.3 trillion) in 2050. Low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) would account for 65% of the global VSL-based economic burden in 2050, as compared with only 18% in 2019. Within LMICs, upper-middle income countries would carry the largest VSL-based economic burden by 2050 (92% of LMICs burden and 60% of global burden).

Interpretation

ADRDs have a large and inequitable projected future VSL-based economic burden.

Funding

The Davos Alzheimer's Collaborative.

The Economic Burden of Non-Alcoholic Steatohepatitis: A Systematic Review

BACKGROUND

The global prevalence of non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH) is increasing, such that NASH is predicted to become the leading cause of liver transplantation (LT) in the US by 2025. Despite this, data on the economic burden of NASH are limited.

OBJECTIVES

This systematic literature review aimed to summarise and critically evaluate studies reporting on the economic burden of NASH and identify evidence gaps for subsequent research.

METHODS

Medline, EMBASE, the Cochrane Library and EconLit were searched up to 6 January 2021 for English language articles published from January 2010 to January 2021 inclusive that reported economic outcomes of a NASH population or subpopulation. Evidence was presented and synthesised using narrative data analysis, and quality was assessed by two reviewers using an 11-item checklist developed for economic evaluations and adapted to cost of illness.

RESULTS

Fourteen studies were included, of which five presented data on costs and resource use, four on costs only and five on resource use only. Overall, NASH is associated with a significant and increasing economic burden in terms of healthcare resource utilisation (HCRU) and direct and indirect costs. This burden was higher among NASH patients with advanced (fibrosis stage 3-4) versus early (fibrosis stage 0-2) disease, symptomatic versus asymptomatic disease and for patients with complications or comorbidities versus those without. In LT patients, those with NASH as the primary indication had greater HCRU and higher costs compared with non-NASH indications such as hepatitis B and C viruses. Considerable variability in HCRU and costs was seen across the US and Europe, with the highest costs seen in the US. The quality of the included studies was variable, and the studies themselves were heterogeneous in terms of study methodology, patient populations, comorbidities, follow-up time and outcomes measured.

CONCLUSIONS

This review highlights a general scarcity of NASH-specific economic outcomes data. Despite this, the identified studies show that NASH is associated with a significant economic burden in terms of increased HCRU, and high direct medical and non-medical costs and societal burden that increases with disease severity or when patients have complications or comorbidity. More national-level NASH prevalence data are needed to generate accurate forecasts of HCRU and costs in the coming decades.

FUNDING

Novo Nordisk A/S, Søborg, Denmark.

Specialized Pro-Resolving Mediators Derived from N-3 Polyunsaturated Fatty Acids: Role in Metabolic Syndrome and Related Complications

Significance: Metabolic syndrome (MetS) prevalence continues to grow and represents a serious public health issue worldwide. This multifactorial condition carries the risk of hastening the development of type 2 diabetes (T2D), non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD), and cardiovascular diseases (CVD). Another troubling aspect of MetS is the requirement of poly-pharmacological therapy not devoid of side effects. Therefore, there is an urgent need for prospecting alternative nutraceuticals as effective therapeutic agents for MetS. Recent Advances: Currently, there is an increased interest in understanding the regulation of metabolic derangements by specialized pro-resolving lipid mediators (SPMs), especially those derived from the long chain n-3 polyunsaturated fatty acids. Critical Issues: The SPMs are recognized as efficient modulators that are capable of inhibiting the production of pro-inflammatory cytokines, blocking neutrophil activation/recruitment, and inducing non-phlogistic (anti-inflammatory) activation of macrophage engulfment and removal of apoptotic inflammatory cells and debris. The aim of the present review is precisely to first underline key concepts relative to SPM functions before focusing on their status and actions on MetS components (e.g., obesity, glucose dysmetabolism, hyperlipidemia, hypertension) and complications such as T2D, NAFLD, and CVD. Future Directions: Valuable data from preclinical and clinical investigations have emphasized the SPM functions and influence on oxidative stress- and inflammation-related MetS. Despite these promising findings obtained without compromising host defense, additional efforts are needed to evaluate their potential therapeutic applications and further develop practical tools to monitor their bioavailability to cope with cardiometabolic disorders. Antioxid. Redox Signal. 37, 54-83.

Glucagon-Like Peptide 1 Receptor Agonists and Sodium-Glucose Cotransporter 2 Inhibitors and Risk of Nonalcoholic Fatty Liver Disease Among Patients With Type 2 Diabetes

OBJECTIVE

To determine whether glucagon-like peptide 1 receptor agonists (GLP-1 RA) and sodium-glucose cotransporter 2 (SGLT-2) inhibitors, separately, are associated with a decreased risk of nonalcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) compared with dipeptidyl peptidase 4 (DPP-4) inhibitors among patients with type 2 diabetes.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

We assembled two new-user, active comparator cohorts using the U.K. Clinical Practice Research Datalink. The first included 30,291 and 225,320 new users of GLP-1 RA and DPP-4 inhibitors, respectively. The second included 41,184 and 148,421 new users of SGLT-2 inhibitors and DPP-4 inhibitors, respectively. Cox proportional hazards models weighted using propensity score fine stratification were fit to estimate hazard ratios (HRs) with 95% CIs of NAFLD. We also determined whether the study drugs were associated with a decreased risk of hepatic transaminase elevation within restricted subcohorts.

RESULTS

GLP-1 RA were associated with a lower incidence of NAFLD with a wide CI compared with DPP-4 inhibitors (3.9 vs. 4.6 per 1,000 person-years, respectively; HR 0.86, 95% CI 0.73-1.01). SGLT-2 inhibitors were associated with a decreased risk of NAFLD (5.4 vs. 7.0 per 1,000 person-years, respectively; HR 0.78, 95% CI 0.68-0.89). In the restricted subcohorts, both GLP-1 RA and SGLT-2 inhibitors were associated with a decreased risk of hepatic transaminase elevation (HR 0.89, 95% CI 0.83-0.95, and HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.61-0.71).

CONCLUSIONS

SGLT-2 inhibitors, and possibly GLP-1 RA, may be associated with a decreased incidence of NAFLD and hepatic transaminase elevation among patients with type 2 diabetes.

Prevalence and outcomes of chronic liver disease in patients receiving dialysis: systematic review and meta-analysis

Background

Patients receiving dialysis for end-stage kidney disease (ESKD) commonly co-exhibit risk factors for hepatic impairment. This systematic review and meta-analysis aimed to quantify the coexistence of chronic liver disease (CLD) and characterize risk factors and outcomes.

Methods

We searched the following databases from inception to May 2021: CINAHL, Cochrane Library, Embase, Kings Fund Library, MEDLINE and PubMed. The protocol was pre-registered on PROSPERO (study ID: CRD42020206486). Studies were assessed against three inclusion criteria: adults (>18 years) with ESKD receiving dialysis, primary outcome involving CLD prevalence and publications in English. Moderator analysis was performed for age, gender, study size and publication year. Sensitivity analysis was performed where applicable by removing outlier results and studies at high risk of bias.

Results

Searches yielded 7195 articles; of these 15 met the inclusion criteria. A total of 320 777 patients were included. The prevalence of cirrhosis and non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD) was 5% and 55%, respectively. Individuals with CLD had 2-fold higher mortality than those without {odds ratio [OR] 2.19 [95% confidence interval (CI) 1.39-3.45]}. Hepatitis B [OR 13.47 (95% CI 1.37-132.55)] and hepatitis C [OR 7.05 (95% CI 4.00-12.45)], but not diabetes, conferred increased cirrhosis risk. All studies examining NAFLD were judged to be at high risk of bias. We found no data on non-alcoholic steatohepatitis (NASH). Deaths from CLD, cancer and infection were greater among cirrhotic patients.

Conclusions

CLD is prevalent in dialysis patients. Hepatitis B and C confer increased risk of CLD. The impact of NAFLD and NASH cirrhosis requires further study. CLD is associated with an increased risk of mortality in this setting.

Comparison of several blood lipid-related indexes in the screening of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease in women: a cross-sectional study in the Pearl River Delta region of southern China

Background

Lipid metabolism disorders play a critical role in the progression of non-alcoholic fatty liver disease (NAFLD). However, the number of studies on the relationships among blood lipid-related indexes and NAFLD is limited, and few studies have emphasized the comparison of blood lipid-related indexes in the same population to identify the optimal index for NAFLD screening. This study aimed to investigate the relationships among several blood lipid-related indexes and NAFLD, and to find the index with the best screening value for NAFLD.

Methods

Based on a general health examination at community health service agencies in the Pearl River Delta region of China in 2015, 3239 women were recruited in this cross-sectional study. The relationships among blood lipid-related indexes and NAFLD were assessed separately by constructing multivariate logistic regression models. Receiver operating characteristic analysis was used to evaluate and compare the screening abilities of the indexes for NAFLD. All data analyses were conducted in SPSS and MedCalc software.

Results

Whether in the crude model or each model adjusted for possible confounding factors, the risk of NAFLD significantly rose with increasing cardiometabolic index (CMI), triglyceride glucose index (TyG), triglycerides (TG) to high-density lipoprotein cholesterol (HDL-C) ratio (TG/HDL-C), total cholesterol (TC) to HDL-C ratio (TC/HDL-C) and low-density lipoprotein (LDL-C) to HDL-C ratio (LDL-C/HDL-C). Moreover, the area under the curve (AUC) of CMI was 0.744, which was better than that of TyG (0.725), TG/HDL-C (0.715), TC/HDL-C (0.650), and LDL-C/HDL-C (0.644) (P < 0.001). In addition, the optimal cut-off points were 0.62 for CMI, 8.55 for TyG, 1.15 for TG/HDL-C, 4.17 for TC/HDL-C, and 2.22 for LDL-C/HDL-C.

Conclusions

CMI is easy to obtain, is a recommended index in the screening of NAFLD in women and may be useful for detecting populations that are at high risk of NAFLD.