The United Kingdom Diabetic Retinopathy Electronic Medical Record Users Group: Report 3: Baseline Retinopathy and Clinical Features Predict Progression of Diabetic Retinopathy

Prevalence of diabetic retinopathy and its risk factors in rural patients with type 2 diabetes referring to Beijing Huairou Hospital, China

BACKGROUND

China has the largest population of diabetic patients worldwide. A diverse population and regional discrepancy in access to health care and diabetes management may lead to unique risk factors for diabetic retinopathy (DR) in different regions of China. This study aimed to evaluate the prevalence and risk factors of DR in rural patients with type 2 diabetes.

METHODS

This hospital-based cross-sectional study recruited a sample of 704 type 2 diabetic patients from rural areas referred to Beijing Huairou Hospital, China, from June 1, 2022, to June 1, 2023. The medical history, demographic information, and results of laboratory examinations of patients were collected and analyzed. The diagnosis of DR were performed by experienced ophthalmologists using mydriatic fundus photography.

RESULTS

Out of all patients, 53.8% were male and 46.2% were female. The mean age of patients and duration of diabetes were 54.9 ± 13.0 and 6.2 ± 4.5 years, respectively. The DR prevalence was 16.8%. The independent risk factors for DR in multivariate analysis were diabetes duration > 10 years (OR = 9.16, 95%CI = 5.49-15.30), fasting plasma glucose ≥ 7.2 mmol/L (OR = 3.25, 95%CI = 1.42-7.42), glycosylated hemoglobin ≥ 7% (OR = 6.49, 95%CI = 2.59-16.23), hypertension (OR = 1.59, 95%CI = 1.05-2.40), hyperlipidemia (OR = 2.16, 95%CI = 1.30-3.59), diabetic nephropathy (OR = 1.95, 95%CI = 1.17-3.23), high uric acid level (OR = 3.57, 95%CI = 1.56-8.15), high albumin to creatinine ratio (OR = 2.48, 95%CI = 1.06-5.82), and insulin treatment (OR = 1.79, 95%CI = 1.12-2.88).

CONCLUSIONS

This study evaluated the DR prevalence and its associated risk factors among type 2 diabetic patients from rural areas in Beijing's Huairou District, China. Paying attention to these risk factors may be useful in screening high-risk diabetic patients for DR and adopting early preventive and therapeutic interventions.

Longitudinal Assessment of Intraretinal Microvascular Abnormalities in Diabetic Retinopathy Using Swept-Source Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography

Purpose

To longitudinally investigate the changes in intraretinal microvascular abnormalities (IRMAs) over time, employing swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography in eyes with diabetic retinopathy.

Methods

In this retrospective, longitudinal study, we evaluated 12 × 12-mm swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography centered on the macula at baseline and last available follow-up visit for (1) IRMA changes during follow-up, defined as (a) stable, (b) regressed, (c) obliterated, and (d) progressed; and the (2) development of new neovascularization (NV) and their origins. Competing-risk survival analysis was used to assess the factors associated with these changes.

Results

In total, 195 eyes from 131 participants with diabetic retinopathy were included. Stable, regressed, obliterated, and progressed IRMA were observed in 65.1%, 12.8%, 11.3%, and 19% of eyes with diabetic retinopathy, respectively. Anti-VEGF injections during the follow-up periods and a slower increase of foveal avascular zone were associated with IRMA regression (P < 0.001 and P = 0.039). Obliterated IRMA were correlated with previous panretinal photocoagulation (P < 0.001) and a lower deep capillary plexus vessel density at baseline (P = 0.007), as well as with follow-up anti-VEGF injections (P = 0.025). A higher baseline ischemia index (ISI) and panretinal photocoagulation during the follow-up periods were associated with IRMA progression (P = 0.049 and P < 0.001). A faster increase in ISI predicted the development of NV elsewhere (NVE) from veins (P < 0.001). No significant factors were found to be associated with NVE originating from IRMA.

Conclusions

Changes in IRMA closely correlated with the severity of retinal ischemia and treatment. Notably, our study confirmed the potential, yet relatively rare, development of NVE from IRMA in a large cohort; however, the risk factors associated with this transformation require further exploration.

Variations in Electronic Health Record-Based Definitions of Diabetic Retinopathy Cohorts: A Literature Review and Quantitative Analysis

Purpose

Use of the electronic health record (EHR) has motivated the need for data standardization. A gap in knowledge exists regarding variations in existing terminologies for defining diabetic retinopathy (DR) cohorts. This study aimed to review the literature and analyze variations regarding codified definitions of DR.

Design

Literature review and quantitative analysis.

Subjects

Published manuscripts.

Methods

Four graders reviewed PubMed and Google Scholar for peer-reviewed studies. Studies were included if they used codified definitions of DR (e.g., billing codes). Data elements such as author names, publication year, purpose, data set type, and DR definitions were manually extracted. Each study was reviewed by ≥ 2 authors to validate inclusion eligibility. Quantitative analyses of the codified definitions were then performed to characterize the variation between DR cohort definitions.

Main Outcome Measures

Number of studies included and numeric counts of billing codes used to define codified cohorts.

Results

In total, 43 studies met the inclusion criteria. Half of the included studies used datasets based on structured EHR data (i.e., data registries, institutional EHR review), and half used claims data. All but 1 of the studies used billing codes such as the International Classification of Diseases 9th or 10th edition (ICD-9 or ICD-10), either alone or in addition to another terminology for defining disease. Of the 27 included studies that used ICD-9 and the 20 studies that used ICD-10 codes, the most common codes used pertained to the full spectrum of DR severity. Diabetic retinopathy complications (e.g., vitreous hemorrhage) were also used to define some DR cohorts.

Conclusions

Substantial variations exist among codified definitions for DR cohorts within retrospective studies. Variable definitions may limit generalizability and reproducibility of retrospective studies. More work is needed to standardize disease cohorts.

Financial Disclosures

Proprietary or commercial disclosure may be found in the Footnotes and Disclosures at the end of this article.

Factors associated with pathologic myopia onset and progression: A systematic review and meta-analysis

PURPOSE

To synthesise evidence across studies on factors associated with pathologic myopia (PM) onset and progression based on the META-analysis for Pathologic Myopia (META-PM) classification framework.

METHODS

Findings from six longitudinal studies (5-18 years) were narratively synthesised and meta-analysed, using odds ratio (OR) as the common measure of association. All studies adjusted for baseline myopia, age and sex at a minimum. The quality of evidence was rated using the Grades of Recommendation, Assessment, Development and Evaluation framework.

RESULTS

Five out of six studies were conducted in Asia. There was inconclusive evidence of an independent effect (or lack thereof) of ethnicity and sex on PM onset/progression. The odds of PM onset increased with greater axial length (pooled OR: 2.03; 95% CI: 1.71-2.40; p < 0.001), older age (pooled OR: 1.07; 1.05-1.09; p < 0.001) and more negative spherical equivalent refraction, SER (OR: 0.77; 0.68-0.87; p < 0.001), all of which were supported by an acceptable level of evidence. Fundus tessellation was found to independently increase the odds of PM onset in a population-based study (OR: 3.02; 2.58-3.53; p < 0.001), although this was only supported by weak evidence. There was acceptable evidence that greater axial length (pooled OR: 1.23; 1.09-1.39; p < 0.001), more negative SER (pooled OR: 0.87; 0.83-0.92; p < 0.001) and higher education level (pooled OR: 3.17; 1.36-7.35; p < 0.01) increased the odds of PM progression. Other baseline factors found to be associated with PM progression but currently supported by weak evidence included age (pooled OR: 1.01), severity of myopic maculopathy (OR: 3.61), intraocular pressure (OR: 1.62) and hypertension (OR: 0.21).

CONCLUSIONS

Most PM risk/prognostic factors are not supported by an adequate evidence base at present (an indication that PM remains understudied). Current factors for which an acceptable level of evidence exists (limited in number) are unmodifiable in adults and lack personalised information. More longitudinal studies focusing on uncovering modifiable factors and imaging biomarkers are warranted.

Ethnic disparities in progression rates for sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy in diabetic eye screening: a population-based retrospective cohort study

INTRODUCTION

The English Diabetic Eye Screening Programme (DESP) offers people living with diabetes (PLD) annual eye screening. We examined incidence and determinants of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) in a sociodemographically diverse multi-ethnic population.

RESEARCH DESIGN AND METHODS

North East London DESP cohort data (January 2012 to December 2021) with 137 591 PLD with no retinopathy, or non-STDR at baseline in one/both eyes, were used to calculate STDR incidence rates by sociodemographic factors, diabetes type, and duration. HR from Cox models examined associations with STDR.

RESULTS

There were 16 388 incident STDR cases over a median of 5.4 years (IQR 2.8-8.2; STDR rate 2.214, 95% CI 2.214 to 2.215 per 100 person-years). People with no retinopathy at baseline had a lower risk of sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy (STDR) compared with those with non-STDR in one eye (HR 3.03, 95% CI 2.91 to 3.15, p<0.001) and both eyes (HR 7.88, 95% CI 7.59 to 8.18, p<0.001). Black and South Asian individuals had higher STDR hazards than white individuals (HR 1.57, 95% CI 1.50 to 1.64 and HR 1.36, 95% CI 1.31 to 1.42, respectively). Additionally, every 5-year increase in age at inclusion was associated with an 8% reduction in STDR hazards (p<0.001).

CONCLUSIONS

Ethnic disparities exist in a health system limited by capacity rather than patient economic circumstances. Diabetic retinopathy at first screen is a strong determinant of STDR development. By using basic demographic characteristics, screening programmes or clinical practices can stratify risk for sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy development.

From randomised controlled trials to real-world data: Clinical evidence to guide management of diabetic macular oedema

Randomised clinical trials (RCTs) are generally considered the gold-standard for providing scientific evidence for treatments' effectiveness and safety but their findings may not always be generalisable to the broader population treated in routine clinical practice. RCTs include highly selected patient populations that fit specific inclusion and exclusion criteria. Although they may have a lower level of certainty than RCTs on the evidence hierarchy, real-world data (RWD), such as observational studies, registries and databases, provide real-world evidence (RWE) that can complement RCTs. For example, RWE may help satisfy requirements for a new indication of an already approved drug and help us better understand long-term treatment effectiveness, safety and patterns of use in clinical practice. Many countries have set up registries, observational studies and databases containing information on patients with retinal diseases, such as diabetic macular oedema (DMO). These DMO RWD have produced significant clinical evidence in the past decade that has changed the management of DMO. RWD and medico-administrative databases are a useful resource to identify low frequency safety signals. They often have long-term follow-up with a large number of patients and minimal exclusion criteria. We will discuss improvements in healthcare information exchange technologies, such as blockchain technology and FHIR (Fast Healthcare Interoperability Resources), which will connect and extend databases already available. These registries can be linked with existing or emerging retinal imaging modalities using artificial intelligence to aid diagnosis, treatment decisions and provide prognostic information. The results of RCTs and RWE are combined to provide evidence-based guidelines.

Retinal vein changes after treatment with aflibercept and PRP in high-risk proliferative diabetic retinopathy

Objective

The objective of the study was to investigate the effectiveness of aflibercept and panretinal photocoagulation (PRP) in the treatment of proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR).

Methods

A retrospective analysis was performed on 59 patients (59 eyes) with high-risk PDR who were treated with aflibercept and PRP between January 2018 and December 2019. The best corrected visual acuity (BCVA), central foveal thickness (CFT), and retinal vein diameter post-treatment were compared to those before the treatment.

Results

The best corrected visual acuity (BCVA) at 6 months (0.49 ± 0.14 logMAR), 12 months (0.54 ± 0.15 logMAR), 18 months (0.48 ± 0.15 logMAR), and 24 months (0.51 ± 0.15 logMAR) post-treatment were superior to the pre-treatment measurement (0.65 ± 0.18 logMAR). The central foveal thickness (CFT) at 6 months (310.67 ± 52.53 μm), 12 months (295.98 ± 45.65 μm), 18 months (282.56 ± 43.57 μm), and 24 months (281.53 ± 51.16 μm) post-treatment were lower than the pre-treatment measurement (456.53 ± 51.49 μm); the retinal vein diameter at 12 months (310.13 ± 24.60 μm), 18 months (309.50 ± 31.58 μm), and 24 months (317.00 ± 27.54 μm) post-treatment were lower than the pre-treatment measurement (361.81 ± 30.26 μm).

Conclusion

Aflibercept intravitreal injection and panretinal photocoagulation may morphologically reverse retinal vein diameter and venous beading in high-risk proliferative diabetic retinopathy.

Prognostic factors for the development and progression of proliferative diabetic retinopathy in people with diabetic retinopathy

BACKGROUND

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is characterised by neurovascular degeneration as a result of chronic hyperglycaemia. Proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) is the most serious complication of DR and can lead to total (central and peripheral) visual loss. PDR is characterised by the presence of abnormal new blood vessels, so-called "new vessels," at the optic disc (NVD) or elsewhere in the retina (NVE). PDR can progress to high-risk characteristics (HRC) PDR (HRC-PDR), which is defined by the presence of NVD more than one-fourth to one-third disc area in size plus vitreous haemorrhage or pre-retinal haemorrhage, or vitreous haemorrhage or pre-retinal haemorrhage obscuring more than one disc area. In severe cases, fibrovascular membranes grow over the retinal surface and tractional retinal detachment with sight loss can occur, despite treatment. Although most, if not all, individuals with diabetes will develop DR if they live long enough, only some progress to the sight-threatening PDR stage.  OBJECTIVES: To determine risk factors for the development of PDR and HRC-PDR in people with diabetes and DR.

SEARCH METHODS

We searched the Cochrane Central Register of Controlled Trials (CENTRAL; which contains the Cochrane Eyes and Vision Trials Register; 2022, Issue 5), Ovid MEDLINE, and Ovid Embase. The date of the search was 27 May 2022. Additionally, the search was supplemented by screening reference lists of eligible articles. There were no restrictions to language or year of publication.  SELECTION CRITERIA: We included prospective or retrospective cohort studies and case-control longitudinal studies evaluating prognostic factors for the development and progression of PDR, in people who have not had previous treatment for DR. The target population consisted of adults (≥18 years of age) of any gender, sexual orientation, ethnicity, socioeconomic status, and geographical location, with non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) or PDR with less than HRC-PDR, diagnosed as per standard clinical practice. Two review authors independently screened titles and abstracts, and full-text articles, to determine eligibility; discrepancies were resolved through discussion. We considered prognostic factors measured at baseline and any other time points during the study and in any clinical setting. Outcomes were evaluated at three and eight years (± two years) or lifelong.  DATA COLLECTION AND ANALYSIS: Two review authors independently extracted data from included studies using a data extraction form that we developed and piloted prior to the data collection stage. We resolved any discrepancies through discussion. We used the Quality in Prognosis Studies (QUIPS) tool to assess risk of bias. We conducted meta-analyses in clinically relevant groups using a random-effects approach. We reported hazard ratios (HR), odds ratios (OR), and risk ratios (RR) separately for each available prognostic factor and outcome, stratified by different time points. Where possible, we meta-analysed adjusted prognostic factors. We evaluated the certainty of the evidence with an adapted version of the GRADE framework.   MAIN RESULTS: We screened 6391 records. From these, we identified 59 studies (87 articles) as eligible for inclusion. Thirty-five were prospective cohort studies, 22 were retrospective studies, 18 of which were cohort and six were based on data from electronic registers, and two were retrospective case-control studies. Twenty-three studies evaluated participants with type 1 diabetes (T1D), 19 with type 2 diabetes (T2D), and 17 included mixed populations (T1D and T2D). Studies on T1D included between 39 and 3250 participants at baseline, followed up for one to 45 years. Studies on T2D included between 100 and 71,817 participants at baseline, followed up for one to 20 years. The studies on mixed populations of T1D and T2D ranged from 76 to 32,553 participants at baseline, followed up for four to 25 years.  We found evidence indicating that higher glycated haemoglobin (haemoglobin A1c (HbA1c)) levels (adjusted OR ranged from 1.11 (95% confidence interval (CI) 0.93 to 1.32) to 2.10 (95% CI 1.64 to 2.69) and more advanced stages of retinopathy (adjusted OR ranged from 1.38 (95% CI 1.29 to 1.48) to 12.40 (95% CI 5.31 to 28.98) are independent risk factors for the development of PDR in people with T1D and T2D. We rated the evidence for these factors as of moderate certainty because of moderate to high risk of bias in the studies.  There was also some evidence suggesting several markers for renal disease (for example, nephropathy (adjusted OR ranged from 1.58 (95% CI not reported) to 2.68 (2.09 to 3.42), and creatinine (adjusted meta-analysis HR 1.61 (95% CI 0.77 to 3.36)), and, in people with T1D, age at diagnosis of diabetes (< 12 years of age) (standardised regression estimate 1.62, 95% CI 1.06 to 2.48), increased triglyceride levels (adjusted RR 1.55, 95% CI 1.06 to 1.95), and larger retinal venular diameters (RR 4.28, 95% CI 1.50 to 12.19) may increase the risk of progression to PDR. The certainty of evidence for these factors, however, was low to very low, due to risk of bias in the included studies, inconsistency (lack of studies preventing the grading of consistency or variable outcomes), and imprecision (wide CIs). There was no substantial and consistent evidence to support duration of diabetes, systolic or diastolic blood pressure, total cholesterol, low- (LDL) and high- (HDL) density lipoproteins, gender, ethnicity, body mass index (BMI), socioeconomic status, or tobacco and alcohol consumption as being associated with incidence of PDR. There was insufficient evidence to evaluate prognostic factors associated with progression of PDR to HRC-PDR.  AUTHORS' CONCLUSIONS: Increased HbA1c is likely to be associated with progression to PDR; therefore, maintaining adequate glucose control throughout life, irrespective of stage of DR severity, may help to prevent progression to PDR and risk of its sight-threatening complications. Renal impairment in people with T1D or T2D, as well as younger age at diagnosis of diabetes mellitus (DM), increased triglyceride levels, and increased retinal venular diameters in people with T1D may also be associated with increased risk of progression to PDR. Given that more advanced DR severity is associated with higher risk of progression to PDR, the earlier the disease is identified, and the above systemic risk factors are controlled, the greater the chance of reducing the risk of PDR and saving sight.

Proliferative diabetic retinopathy and diabetic macular edema are two factors that increase macrophage-like cell density characterized by en face optical coherence tomography

BACKGROUND

Macrophage-like cells (MLCs) located at the ILM were observed in live human retinas using adaptive optics optical coherence tomography (OCT) as well as clinically-used OCT. The study aimed to quantitatively analyzing MLCs at the vitreoretinal interface (VRI) in diabetic retinopathy (DR) using en face OCT and swept-source optical coherence tomography angiography (SS-OCTA).

METHODS

190 DR eyes were included in the study, with 70 proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) eyes and 120 non- proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) eyes. Sixty-three eyes from normal subjects were included as controls. MLCs were visualized in a 5 μm en face OCT slab above the VRI centered on the fovea. Mann-Whitney U test and Kruskal-Wallis H test were used to compare the OCTA parameters and the MLC parameters among groups. We evaluated the MLC density among groups on binarized images after image processing. We also investigated the relationship between MLC density and other OCT parameters including retina thickness and vessel density (VD).

RESULTS

The MLC density significantly increased in PDR eyes (PDR vs. NPDR, 8.97 (8.40) cells/mm² vs.6.14 (8.78) cells/mm², P = 0.013; PDR vs. normal, 8.97 (8.40) cells/mm²vs. 6.48 (6.71) cells/mm², P = 0.027) and diabetic macular edema (DME) eyes (DME vs. without DME, 8.94 (8.26) vs.6.09 (9.00), P = 0.005). After adjusting for age and gender, MLC density in NPDR eyes negatively correlated to VD of deep capillary plexus (DCP) (P = 0.01).

CONCLUSIONS

SS-OCTA is a non-invasive and simple method for the characterization of MLCs at the VRI. PDR and DME are two factors that increase MLC density. MLC density also correlated with VD.

Deep Capillary Geometric Perfusion Deficits on OCT Angiography Detect Clinically Referable Eyes with Diabetic Retinopathy

PURPOSE

To evaluate the sensitivity (SN) and specificity (SP) of OCT angiography (OCTA) parameters for detecting clinically referable eyes with diabetic retinopathy (DR) in a cohort of patients with diabetes mellitus (DM).

DESIGN

Retrospective, cross-sectional study.

SUBJECTS

Patients with DM with various levels of DR.

METHODS

We measured vessel density, vessel length density (VLD), and geometric perfusion deficits (GPDs) in the full retina, superficial capillary plexus (SCP), and deep capillary plexus (DCP) on 3 × 3-mm OCTA images. Geometric perfusion deficit was recently described as retinal tissue located further than 30 μm from blood vessels, excluding the foveal avascular zone (FAZ). We modified the GPD metric by including the FAZ as an additional variable. Clinically referable eyes were defined as moderate nonproliferative DR (NPDR) or worse retinopathy, or diabetic macular edema (DME). One eye from each patient was selected for the analysis based on image quality. We used a binary logistic regression model to adjust for covariates.

MAIN OUTCOME MEASURES

Sensitivity, SP, and area under the curve (AUC).

RESULTS

Seventy-one of 150 included eyes from 150 patients (52 with DM without DR, 27 with mild NPDR, 16 with moderate NPDR, 10 with severe NPDR, 30 with proliferative DR, and 15 with DME) had clinically referable DR. Geometric perfusion deficit metric that included the FAZ performed better than GPD in detecting referable DR in the SCP (P = 0.025) but not the DCP or full retina (P > 0.05 for both). Deep capillary plexus GPD had the largest AUC for detecting clinically referable eyes (AUC = 0.965, SN = 97.2%, SP = 84.8%), which was significantly larger than the AUC for vessel density of any layer (P < 0.05 for all) but not DCP VLD (P = 0.166). The cutoff value of 2.5% for DCP GPD resulted in a highly sensitive test for detecting clinically referable eyes without adjusting for covariates (AUC = 0.955, SN = 97.2%, SP = 79.7%).

CONCLUSIONS

Vascular parameters in OCTA, especially in the DCP, have the potential to identify eyes that warrant further evaluation. Geometric perfusion deficits may better distinguish these clinically referable eyes with DR than standard vessel density parameters.

Proliferative Diabetic Retinopathy Events in Patients With Diabetic Macular Edema: Post Hoc Analysis of VISTA and VIVID Trials

Purpose:

This work aimed to assess the incidence of proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) events and improvement to mild non-PDR (NPDR) or better after intravitreal aflibercept injection (IAI) or laser treatment (control) in diabetic macular edema (DME).

Methods:

PDR events in the VISTA (NCT01363440) and VIVID (NCT01331681) phase 3 clinical trials were evaluated in a combined IAI-treated group (IAI 2 mg every 4 weeks or 2 mg every 8 weeks after 5 initial monthly doses; n = 475) and a macular laser control group (n = 235) through week 100 in eyes without PDR at baseline (Diabetic Retinopathy Severity Scale [DRSS] score ≤ 53). Improvement in the DRSS score to 35 or better was evaluated in those with a baseline DRSS score of 43 or greater.

Results:

A lower proportion of eyes in the IAI group than in the laser group developed a PDR event through week 100 (4.4% vs 11.1%; adjusted difference, −6.7%; 97.5% CI, −11.7 to −1.6; nominal P = .0008). All PDR events occurred in eyes with a baseline DRSS score of 43, 47, or 53 and not in those with a score of 35 or less. A greater proportion of eyes in the IAI group than in the control group achieved a DRSS score of 35 or less (20.0% vs 3.8%; nominal P < .0001).

Conclusions:

Fewer eyes with NPDR and DME treated with IAI than eyes treated with a laser had a PDR event. More eyes treated with IAI improved to mild NPDR or better (DRSS score ≤ 35) through 100 weeks.

Non-Perfusion Area Index for Prognostic Prediction in Diabetic Retinopathy

Fundus fluorescent angiography is a standard examination in Japan that can directly visualize the circulatory failure in diabetic retinopathy but is not used in Western countries. In this study, we examine the relationship between the non-perfusion area in fundus fluorescent angiography and the progression of diabetic retinopathy. We evaluated 22 eyes between 22 patients who had their first fundus fluorescent angiography during a clinical episode at Keio University Hospital from January 2012 to May 2015, were diagnosed as having preproliferative diabetic retinopathy, and could be followed for at least three years. The non-perfusion area index (%) in nine segmented fundi in the initial fundus fluorescent angiography was calculated, and the progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy over three years was evaluated. Three out of the 22 eyes (13.6%) developed proliferative diabetic retinopathy over three years. The non-perfusion area index for the initial fundus fluorescent angiography was significantly associated with progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy. The non-perfusion area index in the posterior pole was most strongly correlated with the progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy. Thus, the non-perfusion area index in the posterior pole among those with preproliferative diabetic retinopathy may predict the progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy in the subsequent three years.

People to policy: The promise and challenges of big data for India

Big data holds great promise to help unravel insights to bridge the gap in human understanding. There has to be an emphasis on the quality of the data points being collected to ensure meaningful analysis. India has made significant strides to lay down a strong framework through the National Digital Health Blueprint and the National Health Stack for the future. There is a need to focus on the first important step of collection of a “good quality” data point through the implementation of electronic medical records by the health care providers. In India, 60 million individuals move below the poverty line every year because of the expenses related to unforeseen illness that adversely affects the individual's welfare and the nation's economic growth. With an out-of-pocket expense rate currently at 70% and the government's health budget at a mere 1.3% of its GDP (gross domestic product), data-driven decisions are the need of the hour for policy making and to ensure equitable, efficient, and excellent delivery of health care. There is a huge potential to harness the power of big data to generate insights to address the four big challenges of health care in India – availability, accessibility, affordability, and acceptability.

Role of Oral Antioxidant Supplementation in the Current Management of Diabetic Retinopathy

Oxidative stress has been postulated as an underlying pathophysiologic mechanism of diabetic retinopathy (DR), the main cause of avoidable blindness in working-aged people. This review addressed the current daily clinical practice of DR and the role of antioxidants in this practice. A systematic review of the studies on antioxidant supplementation in DR patients was presented. Fifteen studies accomplished the inclusion criteria. The analysis of these studies concluded that antioxidant supplementation has a IIB level of recommendation in adult Type 1 and Type 2 diabetes mellitus subjects without retinopathy or mild-to-moderate nonproliferative DR without diabetic macular oedema as a complementary therapy together with standard medical care.

Epidemiology of moderately severe and severe non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy in South West England

Aims

To estimate the incidence of early treatment diabetic retinopathy study (ETDRS) level 47 and 53 and progression to treatment with panretinal photocoagulation (PRP) for proliferative DR (PDR).

Methods

Log-linear regression was used to estimate the incidence of level 47–53 or worse for 33,009 people with diabetes (PWD) in Gloucestershire during 2013–2016 by calendar year and diabetes type, based on the first recording. Progression was analysed in Gloucestershire and Bristol with a parametric survival analysis examining the association of baseline and time-varying demographic and clinical factors on time to PRP after the first recording of level 47–53.

Results

Incidence decreased from 0.57 (95% confidence intervals (CI) 0.48–0.67) per 100 PWD in 2013 to 0.35 (95% CI 0.29–0.43) in 2016 (p < 0.001). For progression, 338 eligible PWD from Gloucestershire and 418 from Bristol were followed for a median of 1.4 years; 78 and 83% had Type 2 diabetes and a median (interquartile range) of 15 (10–22) and 17 (11–25) years duration of diagnosed diabetes respectively. Three years from the incident ETDRS 47–53, 18.9% and 17.2% had received PRP respectively. For Gloucestershire, severe IRMA and updated mean HbA_1c were associated with an increase in the risk of initiating PRP (hazard ratio 3.14 (95% CI: 1.60–6.15) and 1.21 (95% CI: 1.06–1.38 per 10 mmol/mol) respectively).

Conclusion

This study provides additional understanding of this population and shows that a high proportion of patients with ETDRS levels 47–53 need to be monitored as they are at high risk of progressing to PDR.

Electronic Medical Record-Based Case Phenotyping for the Charlson Conditions: Scoping Review

BACKGROUND

Electronic medical records (EMRs) contain large amounts of rich clinical information. Developing EMR-based case definitions, also known as EMR phenotyping, is an active area of research that has implications for epidemiology, clinical care, and health services research.

OBJECTIVE

This review aims to describe and assess the present landscape of EMR-based case phenotyping for the Charlson conditions.

METHODS

A scoping review of EMR-based algorithms for defining the Charlson comorbidity index conditions was completed. This study covered articles published between January 2000 and April 2020, both inclusive. Embase (Excerpta Medica database) and MEDLINE (Medical Literature Analysis and Retrieval System Online) were searched using keywords developed in the following 3 domains: terms related to EMR, terms related to case finding, and disease-specific terms. The manuscript follows the Preferred Reporting Items for Systematic reviews and Meta-analyses extension for Scoping Reviews (PRISMA) guidelines.

RESULTS

A total of 274 articles representing 299 algorithms were assessed and summarized. Most studies were undertaken in the United States (181/299, 60.5%), followed by the United Kingdom (42/299, 14.0%) and Canada (15/299, 5.0%). These algorithms were mostly developed either in primary care (103/299, 34.4%) or inpatient (168/299, 56.2%) settings. Diabetes, congestive heart failure, myocardial infarction, and rheumatology had the highest number of developed algorithms. Data-driven and clinical rule-based approaches have been identified. EMR-based phenotype and algorithm development reflect the data access allowed by respective health systems, and algorithms vary in their performance.

CONCLUSIONS

Recognizing similarities and differences in health systems, data collection strategies, extraction, data release protocols, and existing clinical pathways is critical to algorithm development strategies. Several strategies to assist with phenotype-based case definitions have been proposed.

TGF-β Serum Levels in Diabetic Retinopathy Patients and the Role of Anti-VEGF Therapy

Transforming growth factor β1 (TGFβ1) is a proinflammatory cytokine that has been implicated in the pathogenesis of diabetic retinopathy (DR), particularly in the late phase of disease. The aim of the present study was to validate serum TGFβ1 as a diagnostic and prognostic biomarker of DR stages. Thirty-eight subjects were enrolled and, after diagnosis and evaluation of inclusion and exclusion criteria, were assigned to six groups: (1) healthy age-matched control, (2) diabetic without DR, (3) non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR) naïve to treatment, (4) NPDR treated with intravitreal (IVT) aflibercept, (5) proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR) naïve to treatment and (6) PDR treated with IVT aflibercept. Serum levels of vascular endothelial growth factor A (VEGF-A), placental growth factor (PlGF) and TGFβ1 were measured by means of enzyme-linked immunosorbent assay (ELISA). Foveal macular thickness (FMT) in enrolled subjects was evaluated by means of structural-optical coherence tomography (S-OCT). VEGF-A serum levels decreased in NPDR and PDR patients treated with aflibercept, compared to naïve DR patients. PlGF serum levels were modulated only in aflibercept-treated NPDR patients. Particularly, TGFβ1 serum levels were predictive of disease progression from NPDR to PDR. A Multivariate ANOVA analysis (M-ANOVA) was also carried out to assess the effects of fixed factors on glycated hemoglobin (HbA1c) levels, TGFβ1, and diabetes duration. In conclusion, our data have strengthened the hypothesis that TGFβ1 would be a biomarker and pharmacological target of diabetic retinopathy.

A practical guide to optical coherence tomography angiography interpretation

Background

Optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA) can image the retinal vasculature in vivo, without the need for contrast dye. This technology has been commercially available since 2014, however, much of its use has been limited to the research setting. Over time, more clinical practices have adopted OCTA imaging. While countless publications detail OCTA’s use for the study of retinal microvasculature, few studies outline OCTA’s clinical utility.

Body

This review provides an overview of OCTA imaging and details tips for successful interpretation. The review begins with a summary of OCTA technology and artifacts that arise from image acquisition. New methods and best practices to prevent image artifacts are discussed. OCTA has the unique ability among retinovascular imaging modalities to individually visualize each retinal plexus. Slabs offered in standard OCTA devices are reviewed, and clinical uses for each slab are outlined. Lastly, the use of OCTA for the clinical interpretation of retinal pathology, such as diabetic retinopathy and age-related macular degeneration, is discussed.

Conclusion

OCTA is evolving from a scientific tool to a clinical imaging device. This review provides a toolkit for successful image interpretation in a clinical setting.

Macular and Peripapillary Optical Coherence Tomography Angiography Metrics Predict Progression in Diabetic Retinopathy: A Sub-analysis of TIME-2b Study Data

PURPOSE

To identify optical coherence tomography angiography (OCTA)-derived vessel metrics of the macula and optic nerve head (ONH) that predict diabetic retinopathy (DR) disease progression.

DESIGN

Secondary analysis of clinical trial data.

METHODS

This was a sub-analysis of prospectively collected data from 73 subjects that participated in the TIME-2b study (Aerpio Pharmaceuticals), a multicenter clinical trial for patients with moderate-to-severe DR treated with AKB-9778 and followed over a 12-month period. Eligible subjects were tested every 3 months with color fundus photography, spectral-domain OCT, and slit-lamp biomicroscopy. OCTA of the macula and ONH was obtained for a subset of patients enrolled at participating sites. En face, full-depth retinal projections centered at the macula were analyzed for multiple metrics including foveal avascular zone (FAZ) area and perimeter, nonperfusion area, vessel density (VD), and presence of intraretinal microvascular abnormalities (IRMA). VD of the radial peripapillary capillaries was evaluated in 4 quadrants surrounding the optic disc for ONH images. Progression was defined as a ≥2-step increase in DR severity scale score or development of diabetic macular edema.

RESULTS

Over a follow-up period of 12 months, 15 of 73 (20.5%) subjects progressed. At pretreatment baseline, larger FAZ area, presence of IRMA, and reduced peripapillary VD in the superior temporal and inferior temporal regions were significantly associated with increased odds of progression.

CONCLUSIONS

FAZ area and temporal peripapillary VD are predictors of DR progression. OCTA metrics may improve progression risk assessment in DR when compared to established risk factors alone.

Predictors for diabetic retinopathy progression-findings from nominal group technique and Evidence review

Objectives

Risk stratification is needed for patients referred to hospital eye services by Diabetic Eye Screening Programme UK. This requires a set of candidate predictors. The literature contains a large number of predictors. The objective of this research was to arrive at a small set of clinically important predictors for the outcome of the progression of diabetic retinopathy (DR). They need to be evidence based and readily available during the clinical consultation.

Methods and analysis

Initial list of predictors was obtained from a systematic review of prediction models. We sought the clinical expert opinion using a formal qualitative study design. A series of nominal group technique meetings to shorten the list and to rank the predictors for importance by voting were held with National Health Service hospital-based clinicians involved in caring for patients with DR in the UK. We then evaluated the evidence base for the selected predictors by critically appraising the evidence.

Results

The source list was presented at nominal group meetings (n=4), attended by 44 clinicians. Twenty-five predictors from the original list were ranked as important predictors and eight new predictors were proposed. Two additional predictors were retained after evidence check. Of these 35, 21 had robust supporting evidence in the literature condensed into a set of 19 predictors by categorising DR.

Conclusion

We identified a set of 19 clinically meaningful predictors of DR progression that can help stratify higher-risk patients referred to hospital eye services and should be considered in the development of an individual risk stratification model.

Study design

A qualitative study and evidence review.

Setting

Secondary eye care centres in North East, Midlands and South of England.

Intravitreal AAV2.COMP-Ang1 Attenuates Deep Capillary Plexus Expansion in the Aged Diabetic Mouse Retina

Purpose

We determine whether intravitreal angiopoietin-1 combined with the short coiled-coil domain of cartilage oligomeric matrix protein by adeno-associated viral serotype 2 (AAV2.COMP-Ang1) delivery following the onset of vascular damage could rescue or repair damaged vascular beds and attenuate neuronal atrophy and dysfunction in the retinas of aged diabetic mice.

Methods

AAV2.COMP-Ang1 was bilaterally injected into the vitreous of 6-month-old male Ins2Akita mice. Age-matched controls consisted of uninjected C57BL/6J and Ins2Akita males, and of Ins2Akita males injected with PBS or AAV2.REPORTER (AcGFP or LacZ). Retinal thickness and visual acuity were measured in vivo at baseline and at the 10.5-month endpoint. Ex vivo vascular parameters were measured from retinal flat mounts, and Western blot was used to detect protein expression.

Results

All three Ins2Akita control groups showed significantly increased deep vascular density at 10.5 months compared to uninjected C57BL/6J retinas (as measured by vessel area, length, lacunarity, and number of junctions). In contrast, deep microvascular density of Ins2Akita retinas treated with AAV2.COMP-Ang1 was more similar to uninjected C57BL/6J retinas for all parameters. However, no significant improvement in retinal thinning or diabetic retinopathy-associated visual loss was found in treated diabetic retinas.

Conclusions

Deep retinal microvasculature of diabetic Ins2Akita eyes shows late stage changes consistent with disorganized vascular proliferation. We show that intravitreally injected AAV2.COMP-Ang1 blocks this increase in deep microvascularity, even when administered subsequent to development of the first detectable vascular defects. However, improving vascular normalization did not attenuate neuroretinal degeneration or loss of visual acuity. Therefore, additional interventions are required to address neurodegenerative changes that are already underway.

Evaluating the Impact of Uveitis on Visual Field Progression Using Large-Scale Real-World Data

PURPOSE

To compare rates of visual field (VF) loss in uveitis patients with glaucoma against patients with primary open-angle glaucoma (POAG) and explore the association between intraocular pressure (IOP) and rate of VF loss.

DESIGN

Retrospective cohort study.

METHODS

Anonymized VFs and IOP measurements extracted from the electronic medical records of 5 regionally different glaucoma clinics in England. A total of 205 eyes with diagnosis of uveitis plus glaucoma were compared with 4600 eyes with POAG only. Minimum inclusion criteria were ≥4 visits within a 4-year window. Relative risk (RR) of being a "rapid progressor" (mean deviation [MD] loss ≥1.5 dB/year) was calculated. A mixed-effects model (MEM) and a pointwise VF progression analysis of pattern deviation were used to confirm differences between the groups. Longitudinal IOP mean, range, and variability were compared with rate of VF progression.

RESULTS

Median (interquartile range) baseline MD in the uveitis and POAG groups was -3.8 (-8.7, -1.5) dB and -3.1 (-6.6, -1.2) dB, respectively. The uveitis and POAG groups had 23 of 205 (11%) and 331 of 4600 (7%) "rapidly progressing" eyes, respectively. Age-adjusted RR for "rapid progression" in uveitic vs POAG eyes was 1.9 (95% confidence interval: 1.8-2.0). The MEM confirmed that uveitic eyes (-0.49 dB/year) showed higher rates of VF progression than the POAG group (-0.37 dB/year; P < .01). IOP range and variability were higher in the "rapidly progressing" uveitic eyes.

CONCLUSIONS

Our analysis suggests that VF loss occurs faster in glaucoma patients with uveitis than those without uveitis. The risk of progressing rapidly in glaucoma with uveitis is almost double than in those without uveitis. Early identification of "rapid progressors" may enable targeted intervention to preserve visual function in this high-risk group.

United Kingdom Diabetic Retinopathy Electronic Medical Record (UK DR EMR) Users Group: report 4, real-world data on the impact of deprivation on the presentation of diabetic eye disease at hospital services

AIM

To assess the impact of deprivation on diabetic retinopathy presentation and related treatment interventions, as observed within the UK hospital eye service.

METHODS

This is a multicentre, national diabetic retinopathy database study with anonymised data extraction across 22 centres from an electronic medical record system. The following were the inclusion criteria: all patients with diabetes and a recorded, structured diabetic retinopathy grade. The minimum data set included, for baseline, age and Index of Multiple Deprivation, based on residential postcode; and for all time points, visual acuity, ETDRS grading of retinopathy and maculopathy, and interventions (laser, intravitreal therapies and surgery). The main  outcome measures were (1) visual acuity and binocular visual state, and (2) presence of sight-threatening complications and need for early treatment.

RESULTS

79 775 patients met the inclusion criteria. Deprivation was associated with later presentation in patients with diabetic eye disease: the OR of being sight-impaired at entry into the hospital eye service (defined as 6/18 to better than 3/60 in the better seeing eye) was 1.29 (95% CI 1.20 to 1.39) for the most deprived decile vs 0.77 (95% CI 0.70 to 0.86) for the least deprived decile; the OR for being severely sight-impaired (3/60 or worse in the better seeing eye) was 1.17 (95% CI 0.90 to 1.55) for the most deprived decile vs 0.88 (95% CI 0.61 to 1.27) for the least deprived decile (reference=fifth decile in all cases). There is also variation in sight-threatening complications at presentation and treatment undertaken: the least deprived deciles had lower chance of having a tractional retinal detachment (OR=0.48 and 0.58 for deciles 9 and 10, 95% CI 0.24 to 0.90 and 0.29 to 1.09, respectively); in terms of accessing treatment, the rate of having a vitrectomy was lowest in the most deprived cohort (OR=0.34, 95% CI 0.19 to 0.58).

CONCLUSIONS

This large real-world study suggests that first presentation at a hospital eye clinic with visual loss or sight-threatening diabetic eye disease is associated with deprivation. These initial hospital visits represent the first opportunities to receive treatment and to formally engage with support services. Such patients are more likely to be sight-impaired or severely sight-impaired at presentation, and may need additional resources to engage with the hospital eye services over complex treatment schedules.

Human vitreous in proliferative diabetic retinopathy: Characterization and translational implications

Diabetic retinopathy (DR) is one of the leading causes of visual impairment in the working-age population. DR is a progressive eye disease caused by long-term accumulation of hyperglycaemia-mediated pathological alterations in the retina of diabetic patients. DR begins with asymptomatic retinal abnormalities and may progress to advanced-stage proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), characterized by neovascularization or preretinal/vitreous haemorrhages. The vitreous, a transparent gel that fills the posterior cavity of the eye, plays a vital role in maintaining ocular function. Structural and molecular alterations of the vitreous, observed during DR progression, are consequences of metabolic and functional modifications of the retinal tissue. Thus, vitreal alterations reflect the pathological events occurring at the vitreoretinal interface. These events are caused by hypoxic, oxidative, inflammatory, neurodegenerative, and leukostatic conditions that occur during diabetes. Conversely, PDR vitreous can exert pathological effects on the diabetic retina, resulting in activation of a vicious cycle that contributes to disease progression. In this review, we recapitulate the major pathological features of DR/PDR, and focus on the structural and molecular changes that characterize the vitreal structure and composition during DR and progression to PDR. In PDR, vitreous represents a reservoir of pathological signalling molecules. Therefore, in this review we discuss how studying the biological activity of the vitreous in different in vitro, ex vivo, and in vivo experimental models can provide insights into the pathogenesis of PDR. In addition, the vitreous from PDR patients can represent a novel tool to obtain preclinical experimental evidences for the development and characterization of new therapeutic drug candidates for PDR therapy.

The unmet need for better risk stratification of non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy

Diabetic retinopathy is a common microvascular complication of diabetes and remains one of the leading causes of preventable blindness in working-age people. Non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy is the earliest stage of diabetic retinopathy and is typically asymptomatic. Currently, the severity of diabetic retinopathy is assessed using semi-quantitative grading systems based on the presence or absence of retinal lesions. These methods are well validated, but do not predict those at high risk of rapid progression to sight-threatening diabetic retinopathy; therefore, new approaches for identifying these people are a current unmet need. We evaluated published data reporting the lesion characteristics associated with different progression profiles in people with non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy. Based on these findings, we propose that additional assessments of features of non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy lesions may help to stratify people based on the likelihood of rapid progression. In addition to the current classification, the following measurements should be considered: the shape and size of lesions; whether lesions are angiogenic in origin; the location of lesions, including predominantly peripheral lesions; and lesion turnover and dynamics. For lesions commonly seen in hypertensive retinopathy, a detailed assessment of potential concomitant diseases is also recommended. We believe that natural history studies of these changes will help characterize these non-proliferative diabetic retinopathy progression profiles and advance our understanding of the pathogenesis of diabetic retinopathy in order to individualize management of people with diabetic retinopathy.

Progression of diabetic retinopathy severity after treatment with dexamethasone implant: a 24-month cohort study the 'DR-Pro-DEX Study'

PURPOSE

Intravitreal anti-vascular endothelial growth factor agents have been shown to reduce diabetic retinopathy (DR) progression; data on the effects of intravitreal corticosteroids on modifying disease severity are limited. This study evaluates the long-term effect of intravitreal dexamethasone implant (DEX) on the severity and progression of non-proliferative DR (NPDR).

METHODS

This was a retrospective cohort study. Sixty eyes from 60 consecutive patients with NPDR and diabetic macular edema (DME) treated with dexamethasone implant (DEX group) and 49 eyes from consecutive 49 patients without DME requiring observation only. Fundus angiography images from baseline and after 24 months were graded by two masked assessors into mild, moderate and severe NPDR and PDR, according to the ETDRS classification. Patients were followed up 1-3 and 4-6 months after each DEX implant. Re-treatment with DEX implant was on a pro re nata basis. Records were reviewed for performance of panretinal photocoagulation. Main outcome was as follows: change of DR ≥ 1 grade and progression to proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR).

RESULTS

Three eyes (5%) in the DEX group and 43 (87.8%) eyes in the control group progressed to PDR (P < 0.0001). Twenty-five eyes (41.7%) in the DEX group but none in the control group demonstrated an improvement in DR severity (P < 0.0001).

CONCLUSION

This study provides the first long-term evidence that DEX implant has the potential to not only delay progression of DR and PDR development, but may also improve DR severity over 24 months. Better understanding of the effects of corticosteroids will help guide its use in the treatment pathway of DR.

Venous beading in two or more quadrants might not be a sensitive grading criterion for severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy

Purpose

To determine whether venous beading (VB) in two or more quadrants is an appropriate grading criterion for severe nonproliferative diabetic retinopathy (NPDR).

Methods

A hospital-based, retrospective, cross-sectional study. A total of 806 patients admitted with diabetic retinopathy (DR) from January 2014 to April 2017 were included in this study. DR severity was graded by the international grading criterion. The status of VB, intraretinal microvascular abnormalities (IRMA), capillary nonperfusion, arteriovenous nicking, and diabetic macular edema was evaluated based on fundus fluorescein angiography.

Results

The prevalence of VB in eyes with proliferative diabetic retinopathy (PDR), severe NPDR, and moderate NPDR was 41.3% (327/791), 5.9% (31/526), and 0% (0/295), respectively (p < 0.001). Moreover, the proportion of VB in two or more quadrants was even lower (27.1% for PDR and 2.1% for severe NPDR, p < 0.001), and among the total of 225 eyes with VB in two or more quadrants, 214 eyes (95.1%) were graded as PDR. Furthermore, VB formation was significantly correlated with capillary nonperfusion, duration of diabetes (both p < 0.001), and smoking (p < 0.05). After adjusting for age, sex, and other possible factors, VB (OR = 7.479, p < 0.001) and IRMA (OR = 2.433, p < 0.001) were determined as independent risk factors for developing PDR.

Conclusions

Our study suggested that VB in two or more quadrants might not be a sensitive grading criterion for severe NPDR among a Chinese population with type 2 diabetes. Nevertheless, VB has a great specificity to define an advanced form of DR.