Older versus younger adults with gastric cancer receiving perioperative treatment: Results from the CRITICS trial

Machine Learning Prediction of Early Recurrence in Gastric Cancer: A Nationwide Real-World Study

BACKGROUND

Patients with gastric cancer (GC) who experience early recurrence (ER) within 2 years postoperatively have poor prognoses. This study aimed to analyze and predict ER after curative surgery for patients with GC using machine learning (ML) methods.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

This multicenter population-based cohort study included data from ten large tertiary regional medical centers in China. The clinical, pathological, and laboratory parameters were retrospectively collected from the records of 11,615 patients. The patients were randomly divided into training (70%) and test (30%) cohorts. A total of ten ML models were developed and validated to predict the ER. Model performance was evaluated using area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC), calibration plots, and Brier score (BS). SHapley Additive exPlanations (SHAP) was used to rank the input features and interpret predictions.

RESULTS

ER was reported in 1794 patients (15%) during follow-up. The stacking ensemble model achieved AUCs of 1.0 and 0.8 in the training and testing cohorts, respectively, with a BS of 0.113. SHAP dependency plots revealed that tumor staging, elevated tumor marker levels, lymphovascular invasion, perineural invasion, and tumor size > 5 cm were associated with higher ER risk. The impact of age and the number of lymph nodes harvested on ER risk exhibited a "U-shaped distribution." Additionally, an online prediction tool based on the best model was developed to facilitate clinical applications.

CONCLUSIONS

We developed a robust clinical model for predicting the risk of ER after surgery for GC, which may aid in individualized clinical decision-making.

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy in relation to long-term mortality in individuals cured of gastric adenocarcinoma

BACKGROUND

Late effects of chemotherapy could affect mortality amongst cancer survivors. This study aimed to clarify if neoadjuvant chemotherapy for gastric adenocarcinoma influences the long-term survival in individuals cured of this tumour.

METHODS

This was a nationwide and population-based cohort study that included all individuals who underwent gastrectomy for gastric adenocarcinoma in Sweden between 2006 and 2015 and survived for ≥ 5 years after surgery. The cohort was followed up until death or end of study period (31 December 2020). Multivariable Cox proportional hazards regression was used to provide hazard ratios (HR) with 95% confidence intervals (CI). The HR were adjusted for age, sex, comorbidity, education, calendar year, tumour sub-location, in-hospital complications, and splenectomy. Data came from medical records and nationwide registers.

RESULTS

Amongst 613 gastric adenocarcinoma survivors, neoadjuvant chemotherapy (used in 269 patients; 43.9%) was associated with a decreased crude mortality rate (HR 0.66, 95% CI 0.46-0.96). However, the association attenuated and became statistically non-significant after adjustment for all confounders (HR 0.83, 95% CI 0.56-1.23) and after adjustments solely for age and comorbidity (HR 0.82, 95% CI 0.56-1.20). Stratified analyses did not reveal any statistically significant associations between neoadjuvant chemotherapy and long-term mortality in categories of age, sex, comorbidity, calendar year and tumour sub-location.

CONCLUSION

Neoadjuvant chemotherapy did not decrease the long-term survival amongst gastric adenocarcinoma survivors. Patients who received neoadjuvant chemotherapy were a selected group characterised by younger age and fewer severe comorbidities and therefore with better chances of long-term survival.

Emerging trends in early-onset gastric cancer

ABSTRACT

The incidence of early-onset gastric cancer (EOGC) is consistently increasing, and its etiology is notably complex. This increase may be attributed to distinctive factors that differ from those associated with late-onset gastric cancer (LOGC), including genetic predispositions, dietary factors, gastric microbiota dysbiosis, and screening of high-risk cases. These factors collectively contribute to the onset of cancer. EOGC significantly differs from LOGC in terms of clinicopathological and molecular characteristics. Moreover, multiple differences in prognosis and clinical management also exist. This study aimed to systematically review the latest research advancements in the epidemiological characteristics, etiological factors, clinicopathological and molecular features, prognosis, and treatment modalities of EOGC.

Textbook outcome as indicator of surgical quality in a single Western center: results from 300 consecutive gastrectomies

Textbook outcome (TO) has been proposed as a tool to evaluate surgical quality. Textbook oncological outcome (TOO) adds chemotherapeutic compliance to TO. This study was conducted to analyze the TO and TOO of patients with gastric adenocarcinoma who underwent surgery at our center. Data from a prospective database of patients operated on for gastric adenocarcinoma between September 2018 and September 2022 were analyzed. Postoperative management followed Enhanced Recovery After Surgery guidelines. The Dutch Upper Gastrointestinal Cancer Audit group defined TO as a multidimensional measure (10 items). TOO also considers guideline-accordant chemotherapeutic compliance. Three hundred patients underwent surgery during the study period (167 men, 133 women). One hundred seventy-six (58.7%) reached TO. Achieving TO was influenced by patients' comorbidities, calculated via the Charlson Comorbidity Score (3 vs. 4; p = 0.002) and surgery type (subtotal gastrectomy; p < 0.001), but not by the American Society of Anesthesiologists (ASA) score (p = 0.057) or surgical approach (laparoscopic vs. open; p = 0.208). The analysis of TOO included 213 patients. Of these, 71 (33%) underwent complete adequate systemic treatment. Compared with the non-TOO group, patients who achieved TOO had a lower median age (64 vs. 73 years; p < 0.001) and lower ASA score (p < 0.001) and more frequently underwent preoperative chemotherapy (p < 0.001). Our results represent the experience of a single team at a high-volume Western institute. Patients' comorbidities and surgery type influenced whether TO was achieved. Conversely, younger age, lower ASA score and preoperative chemotherapy were associated with TOO.

Comparison of postoperative survival between early-onset and late-onset adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction: a population-based study

BACKGROUND AND AIM

The prognosis of early-onset adenocarcinoma of esophagogastric junction (AEG) remains unclear. This research aimed at comparing the prognosis between early-onset and late-onset AEGs.

METHODS

We extracted eligible patients with surgically resected, pathologically confirmed, nonmetastatic AEG from the Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database from 2004 to 2015. The cutoff age of early-onset AEG was set at ≤50 years old. Univariate and multivariate Cox analysis as well as competing risk model were adopted for comparing overall survival (OS) and cancer-specific survival (CSS) between early-onset and late-onset AEGs. In addition, multiple imputation and propensity score matching (PSM) were also carried out for sensitivity analysis.

RESULTS

In total, 4610 eligible AEG patients were collected in this study, including 610 early-onset AEGs and 4000 late-onset AEGs. Kaplan-Meier curves revealed significantly better survival in early-onset AEGs than late-onset AEGs. After interpolating missing data by multiple imputation, multivariate Cox regression analysis similarly showed better OS and CSS in early-onset AEGs. By using PSM analysis at a ratio of 1:1, we matched 610 early-onset AEG patients with 610 late-onset AEG patients. After PSM, univariate Cox regression model still revealed favorable prognosis in early-onset AEGs. Similar results were confirmed by performing PSM analysis at a ratio of 1:2 and 1:3. In addition, competing risk model demonstrated significantly lower cancer-specific death in early-onset AEGs compared to late-onset AEGs before and after matching.

CONCLUSION

By applying several effective sensitivity analyses, we reported significantly favorable OS and CSS in early-onset AEGs compared to late-onset AEGs.

Outcome evaluation of ECF, DCF, FOLFOX, and FLOT chemotherapy regimens as perioperative treatment in elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer; A retrospective comparative study

Background

The incidence of gastric cancer is known to be high in the elderly population. Identification of the best perioperative chemotherapy regimen is challenging in patients with resectable gastric cancer. In this study, we aimed to evaluate and compare the outcomes and safety of epirubicin, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (ECF), docetaxel, cisplatin, and 5-fluorouracil (DCF), oxaliplatin plus 5-Fluorouracil and leucovorin (FOLFOX), and docetaxel, oxaliplatin, leucovorin, and 5-Fluorouracil (FLOT) chemotherapy regimens to identify the most appropriate treatment option for elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Materials and Methods

In this retrospective observational cohort study, data were extracted from the medical archives (2017-2021) of Omid Hospital, which is a tertiary oncology referral hospital in Isfahan, Iran. Patients with resectable gastric cancer, above 60 years of age, who were perioperatively treated with one of the mentioned chemotherapy regimens and met the inclusion criteria, were enrolled in this study. The survival parameters and safety profile of the regimens were evaluated and compared in this population.

Results

A total of 63 patients were included in this study. The median follow-up period of the patients was 24 months (range, 7-51 months). The results of survival analysis revealed that the FLOT and DCF regimens were significantly associated with longer overall survival (OS) as compared to the other regimens (median OS: 38 and 33 months, respectively). Based on the results, the progression-free survival was longer in the DCF regimen (median: 24 months) compared to the other regimens; however, only the difference with the ECF regimen (median: 14 months) was significant. The results of Cox regression analysis showed no significant difference in the overall adjusted hazard ratio of mortality between the FLOT and DCF regimens (P = 0.802). The DCF and FOLFOX regimens accounted for the highest and lowest rates of adverse events (e.g., neutropenia and mucositis), respectively.

Conclusion

Considering the higher rate of adverse events in the DCF group, besides the significant improvement of OS and the acceptable adverse event profile of patients treated with the FLOT regimen, it can be proposed that this chemotherapy regimen is the most appropriate treatment option for elderly patients with resectable gastric cancer.

Phase II clinical trial to study the safety and efficacy of combined S-1 + oxaliplatin therapy as neoadjuvant chemotherapy for locally advanced gastric cancer in older patients

BACKGROUND

Gastrectomy with D2 dissection and adjuvant chemotherapy is the standard treatment for locally advanced gastric cancer (LAGC) in Asia. However, administering chemotherapy with sufficient intensity after gastrectomy is challenging. Several trials demonstrated the efficacy of neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NAC). However, limited studies explored the feasibility of NAC-SOX for older patients with LAGC. This phase II study (KSCC1801) evaluated the safety and efficacy of NAC-SOX in patients with LAGC aged ≥ 70 years.

METHODS

Patients received three cycles of SOX130 (oxaliplatin 130 mg/m2 on day 1, oral S-1 40-60 mg twice daily for two weeks every three weeks) as NAC, followed by gastrectomy with lymph node dissection. The primary endpoint was the dose intensity (DI). The secondary endpoints were safety, R0 resection rate, pathological response rate (pRR), overall survival, and relapse-free survival.

RESULTS

The median age of 26 enrolled patients was 74.5 years. The median DI in NAC-SOX130 was 97.2% for S-1 and 98.3% for oxaliplatin. Three cycles of NAC were administered in 25 patients (96.2%), of whom 24 (92.3%) underwent gastrectomy with lymphadenectomy. The R0 resection rate was 92.3% and the pRR (≥ grade 1b) was 62.5%. The major adverse events (≥ grade 3) were neutropenia (20.0%), thrombocytopenia (11.5%), anorexia (11.5%), nausea (7.7%), and hyponatremia (7.7%). Postoperative complications of abdominal infection, elevated blood amylase, and bacteremia occurred in one patient each. Severe diarrhea and dehydration caused one treatment-related death.

CONCLUSIONS

NAC-SOX130 is a feasible therapy for older patients, although systemic management and careful monitoring of adverse events are necessary.

Stratified analysis of multiple management of gastric cancer: A population-based study of incidence, mortality and DALY

The aim was to illuminate the difference in incidence, mortality, and disability-adjusted life-years (DALYs) of gastric cancer (GC) between the United States of America (US) and China. The multiple management was analyzed with stratification to explore an effective survival improvement strategy. The Global Burden of Disease Study data was analyzed to assess GC morbidity, mortality and DALYs from 1990 to 2019 in the US and China. The age-period-cohort model was established to generate estimation of metrics. Verification was completed and stratified analysis of the multiple management was performed by accessing data of Surveillance, Epidemiology, and End Results database in 1992 to 2019. Continuous downtrends in GC incidence, mortality and DALYs from 1990 to 2019 and persistent uptrends in 1-, 3-year survival from 1992 to 2019 were observed in the US population. In the Chinese population, the overall trends of incidence, mortality and DALYs decreased with a fluctuating manner. The lower overall survival rates were observed in elderly, unmarried patients, distant disease and poor grade, as well as patients lacking of medical treatment (P < .05). In stratified analyses, single local therapy decreased and the other modalities increased over time across different stages. Moreover, combined treatment and single systemic therapy decreased, but single local and conservative therapy increased with age. The study quantified the incidence, GC-specific mortality and DALYs in the US and China and estimated stage profiles, 1- and 3-year survival in the US. The heavy burden on later-onset GC (>70) and potential increase on early-onset GC (<40) needed to be addressed. Combined modalities and single chemotherapy were becoming more widely used over time, however, their uses decreased with age because of poor physical fitness. Our findings provide new insights into management tailoring appropriately to specific subgroups contributes to the increasing survival rate.

Age-specific incidence, treatment, and survival trends in esophageal cancer: a Dutch population-based cohort study

BACKGROUND

Data on the age-specific incidence of esophageal cancer are lacking. Our aim was to investigate the age-stratified incidence, treatment, and survival trends of esophageal cancer in the Netherlands, with a focus on adults <50 years.

MATERIAL AND METHODS

Patients diagnosed with esophageal cancer were included from the nationwide Netherlands Cancer Registry (1989-2018). Follow-up data were available until 31 December 2018. Annual percentage changes of incidence were analyzed according to age group (<50, 50-74, and ≥75 years) and histology type: adenocarcinoma (EAC) and squamous cell carcinoma (ESCC). Treatment trends and relative survival rates (RSR) were estimated by age and stage grouping.

RESULTS

A total 59,584 patients were included. In adults <50 years, EAC incidence tripled (mean increase per year: males 1.5%, females 3%), while the incidence of ESCC decreased (mean decrease per year: males -5.3%, females -4.3%). Patients <50 years more often presented with advanced disease stages compared to older patients and were more likely to receive multimodality treatments. Most patients <50 years with potentially curable disease were treated with neoadjuvant chemoradiotherapy followed by surgery compared to patients 50-74 and ≥75 years (74% vs. 55% vs. 15%, respectively; p < .001), and received more frequent systemic therapy once staged with palliative disease (72% vs. 54% vs. 19%, respectively; p < .001). The largest RSR improvement was seen in patients <50 years with early-stage (five years: +47%), potentially curable (five years: +22%), and palliative disease (one year: +11%). Over time, a trend of increasing survival difference was seen between patients <50 and ≥75 years with potentially curable (five-year difference: 17% to 27%) and palliative disease (one-year difference: 11% to 20%).

CONCLUSION

The incidence of EAC is increasing in adults <50 years in the Netherlands. Differences in the use of multimodality treatments with curative or life-prolonging intent in different age categories may account for increasing survival gaps.

Impact of neoadjuvant therapy followed by laparoscopic radical gastrectomy with D2 lymph node dissection in Western population: A multi-institutional propensity score-matched study

BACKGROUND AND OBJECTIVES

In the setting of a minimally invasive approach, we aimed to compare short and long-term postoperative outcomes of patients treated with neoadjuvant therapy (NAT) + surgery or upfront surgery in Western population.

METHODS

All consecutive patients from six Italian and one Serbian center with locally advanced gastric cancer who had undergone laparoscopic gastrectomy with D2 lymph node dissection were selected between 2005 and 2019. After propensity score-matching, postoperative morbidity and oncologic outcomes were investigated.

RESULTS

After matching, 97 patients were allocated in each cohort with a mean age of 69.4 and 70.5 years. The two groups showed no difference in operative details except for a higher conversion rate in the NAT group (p = 0.038). The overall postoperative complications rate significantly differed between NAT + surgery (38.1%) and US (21.6%) group (p = 0.019). NAT was found to be related to a higher risk of postoperative morbidity in patients older than 60 years old (p = 0.013) but not in patients younger (p = 0.620). Conversely, no difference in overall survival (p = 0.41) and disease-free-survival (p = 0.34) was found between groups.

CONCLUSIONS

NAT appears to be related to a higher postoperative complication rate and equivalent oncological outcomes when compared with surgery alone. However, poor short-term outcomes are more evident in patients over 60 years old receiving NAT.

A case-control study of a combination of single nucleotide polymorphisms and clinical parameters to predict clinically relevant toxicity associated with fluoropyrimidine and platinum-based chemotherapy in gastric cancer

Background

Fluoropyrimidine plus platinum chemotherapy remains the standard first line treatment for gastric cancer (GC). Guidelines exist for the clinical interpretation of four DPYD genotypes related to severe fluoropyrimidine toxicity within European populations. However, the frequency of these single nucleotide polymorphisms (SNPs) in the Latin American population is low (< 0.7%). No guidelines have been development for platinum. Herein, we present association between clinical factors and common SNPs in the development of grade 3–4 toxicity.

Methods

Retrospectively, 224 clinical records of GC patient were screened, of which 93 patients were incorporated into the study. Eleven SNPs with minor allelic frequency above 5% in GSTP1, ERCC2, ERCC1, TP53, UMPS, SHMT1, MTHFR, ABCC2 and DPYD were assessed. Association between patient clinical characteristics and toxicity was estimated using logistic regression models and classification algorithms.

Results

Reported grade ≤ 2 and 3–4 toxicities were 64.6% (61/93) and 34.4% (32/93) respectively. Selected DPYD SNPs were associated with higher toxicity (rs1801265; OR = 4.20; 95% CI = 1.70–10.95, p = 0.002), while others displayed a trend towards lower toxicity (rs1801159; OR = 0.45; 95% CI = 0.19–1.08; p = 0.071). Combination of paired SNPs demonstrated significant associations in DPYD (rs1801265), UMPS (rs1801019), ABCC2 (rs717620) and SHMT1 (rs1979277). Using multivariate logistic regression that combined age, sex, peri-operative chemotherapy, 5-FU regimen, the binary combination of the SNPs DPYD (rs1801265) + ABCC2 (rs717620), and DPYD (rs1801159) displayed the best predictive performance. A nomogram was constructed to assess the risk of developing overall toxicity.

Conclusion

Pending further validation, this model could predict chemotherapy associated toxicity and improve GC patient quality of life.

Supplementary Information

The online version contains supplementary material available at 10.1186/s12885-021-08745-0.

Union is strength: Textbook outcome with perioperative chemotherapy compliance decreases the risk of death in advanced gastric cancer patients

PURPOSE

Perioperative chemotherapy (POC) in advanced gastric cancer (GC) patients significantly increases the curative resection rate and overall survival (OS). Textbook outcome (TO) represents a composite of surgical quality metrics strongly associated with improved OS. However, the current definition of TO after resection for GC does not include POC. Herein we propose to supplement the current description of TO with an additional feature, POC compliance. The present study aimed to evaluate prognostic impact of thus defined textbook oncological outcome (TOO) among patients undergoing gastrectomy for advanced GC.

PATIENTS AND METHODS

We collected data from a prospectively maintained database of all patients operated for GC between 2010 and 2020 in our institution. Patients with histologically confirmed and resectable advanced GC but without distant metastases, in whom multimodal treatment was planned by institutional MDT were included.

RESULTS

A total of 194 patients were analyzed. In the multivariate analysis, patients with TOO had a 50 % lower risk of death than patients without TOO (medians: NR vs 42 months; HR = 0.50, p = 0.0109). Patients treated with POC had a 43 % lower risk of death than patients treated with only preoperative chemotherapy (medians: 78 vs 33 months; HR = 0.57, p = 0.0450). Patients with a pathological response (PR) in the primary tumor had a 59 % lower risk of death than patients without PR (medians: NR vs 36 months; HR = 0.41, p = 0.0229). POC combined with TO surgery significantly decreased the risk of death in advanced GC patients (medians: NR vs 42 months; HR = 0.35, p = 0.0258).

CONCLUSION

Since TOO is associated with improved survival, it may serve as a multimodal treatment quality parameter in patients with advanced GC.

Towards Personalization in the Curative Treatment of Gastric Cancer

Gastric cancer is the fifth most common cancer worldwide and has a high mortality rate. In the last decades, treatment strategy has shifted from an exclusive surgical approach to a multidisciplinary strategy. Treatment options for patients with resectable gastric cancer as recommended by different worldwide guidelines, include perioperative chemotherapy, pre- or postoperative chemoradiotherapy and postoperative chemotherapy. Although gastric cancer is a heterogeneous disease with respect to patient-, tumor-, and molecular characteristics, the current standard of care is still according to a one-size-fits-all approach. In this review, we discuss the background of the different treatment strategies in resectable gastric cancer including the current standard, the specific role of radiotherapy, and describe the current areas of research and potential strategies for personalization of therapy.

Treatment of Gastric Cancer Patients During COVID-19 Pandemic: The West is More Vulnerable

The outbreak of the COVID-19 is currently the biggest international concern. Treatment of gastric cancer (GC) patients in the pandemic era with high hospital burden and under severe oncological/surgical resource constraints should implicate a need for resource re-allocation with a new "pandemic" GC treatment algorithm. The neoadjuvant/perioperative (radio-)chemotherapy is applied in the majority of advanced GC cases with poor postoperative therapy compliance. In the East, radical surgery is frequently used in the first instance, with adjuvant chemotherapy reserved for patients with a high risk of recurrence. Moreover, the elderly population might be effectively treated by surgery alone, thus saving oncological resources for younger people who need a more aggressive approach. In this framework, prioritization is a key concept based on the severity of symptoms and the need for urgent (surgical) intervention. High-risk and marginally effective surgery should be replaced with definitive radio- and/or chemotherapy. The pandemic framework to provide optimal care for GC patients must be based on multidisciplinary decision-making and include all anti-cancer treatment options: surgery, systemic therapy, and radiotherapy. The priority and staffing dictate adherence to the new algorithm. We believe that these priorities may improve the delivery of care to all, including elderly GC patients.